80_FR_11676 80 FR 11634 - Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Shell Ice Overflight Surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska

80 FR 11634 - Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Shell Ice Overflight Surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 42 (March 4, 2015)

Page Range11634-11648
FR Document2015-04426

NMFS received an application from Shell Gulf of Mexico Inc. (Shell) for an Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to take marine mammals, by harassment, incidental to ice overflight surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska. Pursuant to the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments on its proposal to issue an IHA to Shell to take, by Level B harassment only, seven species of marine mammals during the specified activity.

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 42 (Wednesday, March 4, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 42 (Wednesday, March 4, 2015)]
[Notices]
[Pages 11634-11648]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-04426]


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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

RIN 0648-XD732


Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; 
Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Shell Ice Overflight Surveys in the 
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska

AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.

ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental harassment authorization; request 
for comments.

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SUMMARY: NMFS received an application from Shell Gulf of Mexico Inc. 
(Shell) for an Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to take marine 
mammals, by harassment, incidental to ice overflight surveys in the 
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska. Pursuant to the Marine Mammal 
Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments on its proposal to 
issue an IHA to Shell to take, by Level B harassment only, seven 
species of marine mammals during the specified activity.

DATES: Comments and information must be received no later than April 3, 
2015.

ADDRESSES: Comments on the application should be addressed to Jolie 
Harrison, Chief, Permits and Conservation Division, Office of Protected 
Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West Highway, 
Silver Spring, MD 20910. The mailbox address for providing email 
comments is [email protected]. NMFS is not responsible for email 
comments sent to addresses other than

[[Page 11635]]

the one provided here. Comments sent via email, including all 
attachments, must not exceed a 10-megabyte file size.
    Instructions: All comments received are a part of the public record 
and will generally be posted to http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm without change. All Personal Identifying Information 
(for example, name, address, etc.) voluntarily submitted by the 
commenter may be publicly accessible. Do not submit Confidential 
Business Information or otherwise sensitive or protected information.
    A copy of the application, which contains several attachments used 
in this document, including Shell's marine mammal mitigation and 
monitoring plan (4MP) and Plan of Cooperation, may be obtained by 
writing to the address specified above, telephoning the contact listed 
below (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the Internet 
at: http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm. Documents cited 
in this notice may also be viewed, by appointment, during regular 
business hours, at the aforementioned address.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Shane Guan, Office of Protected 
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427-8401.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Background

    Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) 
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the 
incidental, but not intentional, taking of small numbers of marine 
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than 
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain 
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking 
is limited to harassment, a notice of a proposed authorization is 
provided to the public for review.
    An authorization for incidental takings shall be granted if NMFS 
finds that the taking will have a negligible impact on the species or 
stock(s), will not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the 
availability of the species or stock(s) for subsistence uses (where 
relevant), and if the permissible methods of taking and requirements 
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting of such takings 
are set forth. NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103 
as ``an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot be 
reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely 
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of 
recruitment or survival.''
    Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the 
MMPA defines ``harassment'' as: Any act of pursuit, torment, or 
annoyance which (i) has the potential to injure a marine mammal or 
marine mammal stock in the wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the 
potential to disturb a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild 
by causing disruption of behavioral patterns, including, but not 
limited to, migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or 
sheltering [Level B harassment].

Summary of Request

    On December 2, 2014, Shell submitted an application to NMFS for the 
taking of marine mammals incidental to ice overflight surveys the 
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska. After receiving comments and 
questions from NMFS, Shell revised its IHA application on January 13, 
2015. NMFS determined that the application was adequate and complete on 
January 15, 2015.
    The proposed activity would occur between May 1, 2015 and April 30, 
2016. The following specific aspects of the proposed activities are 
likely to result in the take of marine mammals: Ice overflight surveys 
using fixed and rotate winged aircraft when flying at low altitudes.
    Shell has requested an authorization to take seven marine mammal 
species by Level B harassment. These species include: Beluga whale 
(Delphinapterus leucas); bowhead whale (Balaena mysticetus); gray whale 
(Eschrichtius robustus); bearded seal (Erignathus barbatus); ringed 
seal (Phoca hispida); spotted seal (P. largha); and ribbon seal 
(Histriophoca fasciata).

Description of the Specified Activity

Overview

    Shell plans to conduct two periods of ice overflight surveys during 
May 2015-April 2016: Break-up surveys and freeze-up surveys.
    Shell plans to conduct the overflight surveys from fixed wing and 
rotary aircraft. The aircraft to be used for the surveys are not 
currently under contract to Shell or a contractor to Shell. Ice and 
weather conditions will influence when and where the surveys can be 
conducted.

Dates and Duration

    For initial planning purposes, Shell proposes to conduct the 
overflight surveys during May 1, 2015 to April 30, 2016.

Specified Geographic Region

    The ice overflight survey areas are the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, 
Alaska, as indicated in Figure 1-1 of Shell's IHA application. Aircraft 
supporting these surveys will operate out of Barrow and Deadhorse, 
Alaska.

Detailed Description of Activities

(1) Proposed Break-Up Surveys
    The break-up surveys will occur between June and July in either the 
Chukchi or Beaufort Sea and will include:
     Up to five fixed-wing flights of approximately 1,500 nm 
total for up to approximately 13 hours total;
     One helicopter flight totaling of approximately 200 nm 
total for up to approximately 3 hours total.
    Flight altitudes for fixed wing surveys will range from 30 to 610 m 
(100 to 2,000 ft) but will mostly be at or above 152 m (500 ft). For 
helicopter flights, the altitude will range from 15 to 152 m (50 to 500 
ft) but will mostly be at or above 61 m (200 ft). Flights will occur 
when there is daylight. Aircraft are not scheduled to fly at the same 
time.
(2) Proposed Freeze-Up Surveys
    The freeze-up surveys will occur between November 2015 and March 
2016 in either the Chukchi or Beaufort Sea and will include:
     Up to seven fixed-wing flights of approximately 2,500 
nautical miles (nm) total in early winter for up to approximately 21 
hours total;
     One helicopter flight in the Beaufort of approximately 200 
nm that will include approximately 4 landings to collect ice 
measurements during late freeze-up including sampling with a battery 
powered ice auger for up to approximately 3 hours total.
    Flight altitudes for fixed wing surveys will range from 30 to 610 m 
(100 to 2,000 ft) but will mostly be at or above 152 m (500 ft). For 
helicopter flights, the altitude will range from 15 to 152 m (50 to 500 
ft) but will mostly be at or above 61 m (200 ft). Helicopter flights 
will also include landings. Flights will occur when there is daylight. 
Aircraft are not scheduled to fly at the same time.

Proposed Aircraft To Conduct Ice Overflight Surveys

    Shell plans to conduct the ice overflight surveys with an Aero 
Commander (or similar) fixed winged aircraft and a Bell 412, AW 139, EC 
145 (or similar) helicopter.
    Shell will also have a dedicated helicopter for Search and Rescue 
(SAR) for the spring 2015 surveys. The SAR helicopter is expected to be 
a Sikorsky S-92 (or similar). This aircraft will stay grounded at the 
Barrow shorebase location except during training drills,

[[Page 11636]]

emergencies, and other non-routine events.

Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of the Specified Activity

    The Chukchi and Beaufort Seas support a diverse assemblage of 
marine mammals, including: Bowhead, gray, beluga, killer, minke, 
humpback, and fin whales; harbor porpoise; ringed, ribbon, spotted, and 
bearded seals; narwhals; polar bears; and walruses. Both the walrus and 
the polar bear are managed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 
(USFWS) and are not considered further in this proposed IHA notice.
    Among the rest of marine mammal species, only beluga, bowhead, and 
gray whales, and ringed, spotted, bearded, and ribbon seals could 
potentially be affected by the proposed ice overflight activity. The 
remaining cetacean species are rare and not likely to be encountered 
during Shell's ice overflight surveys, which are planned either during 
winter when nearly 10/10 ice coverage is present, or during spring when 
sea ice also pre-dominants the study area. Therefore, these species are 
not further discussed.
    The bowhead whale is listed as ``endangered'' under the Endangered 
Species Act (ESA) and as depleted under the MMPA. The ringed seal is 
listed as ``threatened'' under the ESA. Certain stocks or populations 
of gray and beluga whales and spotted seals are listed as endangered 
under the ESA; however, none of those stocks or populations occur in 
the proposed activity area.
    Shell's application contains information on the status, 
distribution, seasonal distribution, abundance, and life history of 
each of the species under NMFS' jurisdiction mentioned in this 
document. When reviewing the application, NMFS determined that the 
species descriptions provided by Shell correctly characterized the 
status, distribution, seasonal distribution, and abundance of each 
species. Please refer to the application for that information (see 
ADDRESSES). Additional information can also be found in the NMFS Stock 
Assessment Reports (SAR). The Alaska 2013 SAR is available at: http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/pdf/ak2013_final.pdf.
    Table 1 lists the seven marine mammal species under NMFS' 
jurisdiction with confirmed or possible occurrence in the proposed 
project area.

           Table 1--Marine Mammal Species and Stocks That Could Be Affected by Shell's Ice Overflight Surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           Common name                Scientific name           Status             Occurrence          Seasonality             Range          Abundance
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       Odontocetes
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beluga whale (Eastern Chukchi Sea  Dephinapterus leucas  ...................  Common.............  Mostly spring and    Russia to Canada...        3,710
 stock).                                                                                            fall with some in
                                                                                                    summer.
Beluga whale (Beaufort Sea stock)  Delphinapterus        ...................  Common.............  Mostly spring and    Russia to Canada...       39,258
                                    leucas.                                                         fall with some in
                                                                                                    summer.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       Mysticetes
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bowhead whale....................  Balaena mysticetus..  Endangered;          Common.............  Mostly spring and    Russia to Canada...       19,534
                                                          Depleted.                                 fall with some in
                                                                                                    summer.
Gray whale.......................  Eschrichtius          ...................  Somewhat common....  Mostly summer......  Mexico to the U.S.        19,126
                                    robustus.                                                                            Arctic Ocean.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                        Pinnipeds
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bearded seal (Beringia distinct    Erigathus barbatus..  Candidate..........  Common.............  Spring and summer..  Bering, Chukchi,         155,000
 population segment).                                                                                                    and Beaufort Seas.
Ringed seal (Arctic stock).......  Phoca hispida.......  Threatened;          Common.............  Year round.........  Bering, Chukchi,         300,000
                                                          Depleted.                                                      and Beaufort Seas.
Spotted seal.....................  Phoca largha........  ...................  Common.............  Summer.............  Japan to U.S.            141,479
                                                                                                                         Arctic Ocean.
Ribbon seal......................  Histriophoca          Species of concern.  Occasional.........  Summer.............  Russia to U.S.            49,000
                                    fasciata.                                                                            Arctic Ocean.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Potential Effects of the Specified Activity on Marine Mammals

    This section includes a summary and discussion of the ways that the 
types of stressors associated with the specified activity (e.g., 
aircraft overflight) have been observed to or are thought to impact 
marine mammals. This section may include a discussion of known effects 
that do not rise to the level of an MMPA take (for example, with 
acoustics, we may include a discussion of studies that showed animals 
not reacting at all to sound or exhibiting barely measurable 
avoidance). The discussion may also include reactions that we consider 
to rise to the level of a take and those that we do not consider to 
rise to the level of a take. This section is intended as a background 
of potential effects and does not consider either the specific manner 
in which this activity will be carried out or the mitigation that will 
be implemented or how either of those will shape the anticipated 
impacts from this specific activity. The ``Estimated Take by Incidental 
Harassment'' section later in this document will include a quantitative 
analysis of the number of individuals that are expected to be taken by 
this activity. The ``Negligible Impact Analysis'' section will include 
the analysis of how this specific activity will impact marine mammals 
and will

[[Page 11637]]

consider the content of this section, the ``Estimated Take by 
Incidental Harassment'' section, the ``Mitigation'' section, and the 
``Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal Habitat'' section to draw 
conclusions regarding the likely impacts of this activity on the 
reproductive success or survivorship of individuals and from that on 
the affected marine mammal populations or stocks.
    The reasonably expected or reasonably likely impacts of the 
specified activities on marine mammals will be related primarily to 
localized, short-term acoustic disturbance from aircraft flying 
primarily over areas covered by sea ice with limited flight activity 
over open water and adjacent ice edges. The acoustic sense of marine 
mammals probably constitutes their most important distance receptor 
system. Potential acoustic effects relate to sound produced by 
helicopters and fixed-wing aircraft.
    Dominant tones in noise spectra from helicopters are generally 
below 500 Hz (Greene and Moore 1995). Harmonics of the main rotor and 
tail rotor usually dominate the sound from helicopters; however, many 
additional tones associated with the engines and other rotating parts 
are sometimes present. Because of Doppler shift effects, the 
frequencies of tones received at a stationary site diminish when an 
aircraft passes overhead. The apparent frequency is increased while the 
aircraft approaches and is reduced while it moves away.
    Aircraft flyovers are not heard underwater for very long, 
especially when compared to how long they are heard in air as the 
aircraft approaches an observer. Very few cetaceans, including the 
species in the proposed ice overflight survey areas, are expected to be 
encountered during ice overflights due to the low density of cetacean 
species in the winter survey area and small area to be flown over open 
water during spring. Most of these effects are expected in open-water 
where limited aircraft noise could penetrate into the water column. For 
cetaceans under the ice, the noise levels from the aircraft are 
expected to be dramatically reduced by floating ice. Long-term or 
population level effects are not expected.
    Evidence from flyover studies of ringed and bearded seals suggests 
that a reaction to helicopters is more common than to fixed wing 
aircraft, all else being equal (Born et al. 1999; Burns and Frost 
1979). Under calm conditions, rotor and engine sounds are coupled into 
the water through ice within a 26[deg] cone beneath the aircraft 
(Richardson et al. 1995). Scattering and absorption, however, will 
limit lateral propagation in the shallow water (Greene and Moore 1995). 
The majority of seals encountered by fixed wing aircraft are unlikely 
to show a notable disturbance reaction, and approximately half of the 
seals encountered by helicopters may react by moving from ice into the 
water (Born et al. 1999). Any potential disturbance from aircraft to 
seals in the area of ice overflights will be localized and short-term 
in duration with no population level effects.
    Historically, there have been far greater levels of aviation 
activity in the offshore Chukchi and Beaufort Seas compared with that 
of the proposed ice overflights. None of this previous offshore 
aviation activity is believed to have resulted in long-term impacts to 
marine mammals, as demonstrated by results from a wide range of 
monitoring programs and scientific studies. Impacts to marine mammals 
from aviation activities in Arctic offshore habitats have been shown to 
be, at most, short-term and highly-localized in nature (e.g., Funk et 
al. 2013; Richardson et al. 1985a, b; Patenaude et al. 2002; Born et 
al. 1999).
    The effect of aircraft overflight on marine mammals will depend on 
the behavior of the animal at the time of reception of the stimulus, as 
well as the distance from the aircraft and received level of sound. 
Cetaceans (such as bowhead, gray, and beluga whales) will only be 
present, and thus have the potential to be disturbed, when aircraft fly 
over open water in between ice floes; seals may be disturbed when 
aircraft are over open water or over ice on which seals may be present. 
Disturbance reactions are likely to vary among some of the seals in the 
general vicinity, and not all of the seals present are expected to 
react to fixed wing aircraft and helicopters.
    Behavioral distances from marine mammals also depend on the 
altitudes of the aircraft overflight. Marine mammals are not likely to 
be affected by aircraft overflights that are above 1,000 ft. Therefore, 
behavioral harassments discussed above are only limited to those 
aircraft flying at lower altitudes. Proposed monitoring measures 
discussed below would further reduce potential affects from Shell's 
proposed ice overflight surveys.
    In light of the nature of the activities, and for the reasons 
described below, NMFS does not expect marine mammals will be injured or 
killed as a result of ice overflight surveys. In addition, due to the 
low received noise levels from aircraft overflights, NMFS does not 
expect marine mammals will experience hearing impairment such as TTS or 
PTS.
    Of the seal species which may be encountered, only ringed seals are 
abundant in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas during the winter and early 
spring when the overflights are scheduled to occur. In March-April, 
ringed seals give birth in subnivean lairs established on shorefast and 
stable pack ice (Smith and Stirling 1975; Smith 1973). Ringed seals in 
subnivean layers have been known to react to aircraft overhead by 
entering the water in some instances (Kelly et al. 1986); however, 
there is no evidence to indicate injurious effects to adults or pups 
from such a response.
    Bearded seals spend the winter season in the Bering Sea, and then 
follow the ice edge as it retreats in spring (MacIntyre and Stafford 
2011). Large numbers of bearded seals are unlikely to be present in the 
project area during the time of planned operations. However, some 
individuals may be encountered. Spotted seals are found in the Bering 
Sea in winter and spring where they breed, molt, and pup in large 
groups (Quakenbush 1988; Rugh et al. 1997). Few spotted seals are 
expected to be encountered in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas until July. 
Even then, they are rarely seen on pack ice but are commonly observed 
hauled out on land or swimming in open water (Lowry et al. 1998). The 
ice overflights are designed to maximize flying over ice, avoiding 
coastal and terrestrial areas. Haul outs for spotted seals are 
generally known, and Shell will avoid these areas during the break up 
surveys.
    Based on extensive analysis of digital imagery taken during aerial 
surveys in support of Shell's 2012 operations in the Chukchi and 
Beaufort Seas, ice seals are very infrequently observed hauled out on 
the ice in groups of greater than one individual (Shell 2015). Tens of 
thousands of images from 17 flights that took place from July through 
October were reviewed in detail. Of 107 total observations of spotted 
or ringed seals on ice, only three of those sightings were of a group 
of two individuals (Shell 2015). Since seals typically are found as 
individuals or in very small groups when they are in the project area, 
the chance of a stampede event is very unlikely. Finally, ice seals are 
well adapted to move between ice and water without injury, including 
``escape reactions'' to avoid predators.
    Ringed and bearded seals sometimes, but not always, dive when 
approached by low-flying aircraft (Burns and Frost 1979; Burns et al. 
1982). Ringed and bearded seals may be more sensitive to helicopter 
sounds than to fixed-wing aircraft (Burns and Frost 1979). In 2000, 
during a study on e impacts of pipe-driving sounds on pinnipeds at

[[Page 11638]]

Northstar in the Beaufort Sea which involved helicopter, only some of 
the ringed seals present exhibited a reaction to an approaching 
helicopter (Blackwell et al. 2001). Of 23 individuals, only 11 reacted; 
of those 11, 10 increased alertness and only 1 moved into the water 
(when the helicopter was 100 m away; Blackwell et al. 2004). Reactions 
of ringed seals while they are in subnivean lairs vary with the 
characteristics of the flyover, including lateral distance and altitude 
of aircraft (Kelly et al. 1986).
    The sound of aircraft is also reduced by the snow of the lair 
(Cummings and Holliday 1983). Spotted seals are sensitive to aircraft, 
reacting erratically at considerable distances which may result in 
mother-pup separation or injury to pups (Frost et al 1993, Rugh et al. 
1993). However, as previously noted, few spotted seals are expected to 
be present in the project area during the time of planned ice 
overflights, and overflights will focus on offshore areas as opposed to 
terrestrial habitat with potential spotted seal haulouts.

Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal Habitat

    Shell's planned 2015/16 ice overflight surveys will not result in 
any permanent impact on habitats used by marine mammals, or to their 
prey sources. The primary potential impacts on marine mammal habitat 
and prey resources that are reasonably expected or reasonably likely 
are associated with elevated sound levels from the aircraft passing 
overhead. Effects on marine mammal habitat from the generation of sound 
from the planned surveys would be negligible and temporary, lasting 
only as long as the aircraft is overhead. Water column effects will be 
localized and ephemeral, lasting only the duration of the aircrafts 
presence. All effects on marine mammal habitat from the planned surveys 
are expected to be negligible and confined to very small areas within 
the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas.
    The primary effect of the sound energy generated by ice overflight 
survey activities on marine mammal habitat will be the ensonification 
of the water column and air at the surface. Sound energy can also 
affect invertebrates and fish that are marine mammal prey, and thereby 
indirectly impact the marine mammals.
    Levels and duration of sounds received by marine mammals underwater 
from a passing helicopter or fixed-wing aircraft are a function of the 
type of aircraft, orientation and altitude of the aircraft, depth of 
the animal, and water depth. Aircraft sounds are detectable underwater 
at greater distances when the receiver is in shallow rather than deep 
water. Generally, sound levels received underwater decrease as the 
altitude of the aircraft increases (Richardson et al. 1995a). The 
nature of sounds produced by aircraft activities does not pose a direct 
threat to the underwater marine mammal habitat or prey.
    Aircraft sounds are audible for much greater distances in air than 
in water. Under calm conditions, rotor and engine sounds are coupled 
into the water within a 26[deg] cone beneath the aircraft. Some of the 
sound will transmit beyond the immediate area, and some sound will 
enter the water outside the 26 degree area when the sea surface is 
rough. However, scattering and absorption will limit lateral 
propagation in shallow water. Dominant tones in noise spectra from 
helicopters are generally below 500 Hz (Greene and Moore 1995). Because 
of Doppler shift effects, the frequencies of tones received at a 
stationary site diminish when an aircraft passes overhead. The apparent 
frequency is increased while the aircraft approaches and is reduced 
while it moves away. Sounds generated underwater from aircraft flyovers 
are of short duration.
    Helicopters will generally maintain straight-line routes, thereby 
limiting the sound levels at and below the surface. Given the timing 
and location of the proposed ice overflight activities, as well as the 
mitigation measures that will be implemented as a part of the program, 
any impacts from aircraft traffic on marine mammal habitat or prey will 
be localized and temporary with no anticipated population level 
effects.

Proposed Mitigation

    In order to issue an incidental take authorization (ITA) under 
sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA, NMFS must, where applicable, 
set forth the permissible methods of taking pursuant to such activity, 
and other means of effecting the least practicable impact on such 
species or stock and its habitat, paying particular attention to 
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of similar significance, and on 
the availability of such species or stock for taking for certain 
subsistence uses (where relevant). This section summarizes the contents 
of Shell's Marine Mammal Monitoring and Mitigation Plan (4MP). Later in 
this document in the ``Proposed Incidental Harassment Authorization'' 
section, NMFS lays out the proposed conditions for review, as they 
would appear in the final IHA (if issued).
    Shell submitted a 4MP as part of its application (see ADDRESSES). 
Shell proposes a suite of mitigation measures to minimize any adverse 
impacts associated with the ice overflight surveys in the Chukchi and 
Beaufort Sea. These include, among others discussed in the 4MP (See 
Attachment A of Shell's IHA application), the following: (1) The timing 
and locations for active survey acquisition work; and (2) increasing 
altitude or deviating from survey tract when the protected species 
observers sight visually (from the aircraft) the presence of marine 
mammals. The mitigation measures are presented in the 4MP. To 
summarize:
     A PSO will be aboard all flights recording all sightings/
observations (e.g. including number of individuals, approximate age 
(when possible to determine), and any type of potential reaction to the 
aircraft). Environmental information the observer will record includes 
weather, air temperature, cloud and ice cover, visibility conditions, 
and wind speed.
     The aircraft will maintain a 1 mi radius when flying over 
areas where seals appear to be concentrated in groups of >=5 
individuals;
     The aircraft will not land on ice within 0.5 mi of hauled 
out pinnipeds or polar bears;
     The aircraft will avoid flying over polynyas and along 
adjacent ice margins as much as possible to minimize potential 
disturbance to cetaceans; and
     Shell will routinely engage with local communities and 
subsistence groups to ensure no disturbance of whaling or other 
subsistence activities.

Mitigation Conclusions

    NMFS has carefully evaluated the applicant's proposed mitigation 
measures and considered a range of other measures in the context of 
ensuring that NMFS prescribes the means of effecting the least 
practicable impact on the affected marine mammal species and stocks and 
their habitat. Our evaluation of potential measures included 
consideration of the following factors in relation to one another:

 The manner in which, and the degree to which, the successful 
implementation of the measure is expected to minimize adverse impacts 
to marine mammals
 The proven or likely efficacy of the specific measure to 
minimize adverse impacts as planned, and
 The practicability of the measure for applicant 
implementation.

    Any mitigation measure(s) prescribed by NMFS should be able to 
accomplish, have a reasonable likelihood of

[[Page 11639]]

accomplishing (based on current science), or contribute to the 
accomplishment of one or more of the general goals listed below:
    1. Avoidance or minimization of injury or death of marine mammals 
wherever possible (goals 2, 3, and 4 may contribute to this goal).
    2. A reduction in the numbers of marine mammals (total number or 
number at biologically important time or location) exposed to received 
levels of noises generated from ice overflight surveys, or other 
activities expected to result in the take of marine mammals (this goal 
may contribute to 1, above, or to reducing harassment takes only).
    3. A reduction in the number of times (total number or number at 
biologically important time or location) individuals would be exposed 
to received levels of noises generated from ice overflight surveys, or 
other activities expected to result in the take of marine mammals (this 
goal may contribute to 1, above, or to reducing harassment takes only).
    4. A reduction in the intensity of exposures (either total number 
or number at biologically important time or location) to received 
levels of noises generated from ice overflight surveys, or other 
activities expected to result in the take of marine mammals (this goal 
may contribute to a, above, or to reducing the severity of harassment 
takes only).
    5. Avoidance or minimization of adverse effects to marine mammal 
habitat, paying special attention to the food base, activities that 
block or limit passage to or from biologically important areas, 
permanent destruction of habitat, or temporary destruction/disturbance 
of habitat during a biologically important time.
    6. For monitoring directly related to mitigation--an increase in 
the probability of detecting marine mammals, thus allowing for more 
effective implementation of the mitigation.
    Based on our evaluation of the applicant's proposed measures, as 
well as other measures considered by NMFS, NMFS has preliminarily 
determined that the proposed mitigation measures provide the means of 
effecting the least practicable impact on marine mammals species or 
stocks and their habitat, paying particular attention to rookeries, 
mating grounds, and areas of similar significance.
    Proposed measures to ensure availability of such species or stock 
for taking for certain subsistence uses are discussed later in this 
document (see ``Impact on Availability of Affected Species or Stock for 
Taking for Subsistence Uses'' section).

Proposed Monitoring and Reporting

    In order to issue an ITA for an activity, section 101(a)(5)(D) of 
the MMPA states that NMFS must set forth, ``requirements pertaining to 
the monitoring and reporting of such taking.'' The MMPA implementing 
regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(13) indicate that requests for ITAs 
must include the suggested means of accomplishing the necessary 
monitoring and reporting that will result in increased knowledge of the 
species and of the level of taking or impacts on populations of marine 
mammals that are expected to be present in the proposed action area. 
Shell submitted a marine mammal monitoring plan as part of the IHA 
application. It can be found in Appendix B of the Shell's IHA 
application. The plan may be modified or supplemented based on comments 
or new information received from the public during the public comment 
period or from the peer review panel (see the ``Monitoring Plan Peer 
Review'' section later in this document).
    Monitoring measures prescribed by NMFS should accomplish one or 
more of the following general goals:
    1. An increase in the probability of detecting marine mammals, both 
within the mitigation zone (thus allowing for more effective 
implementation of the mitigation) and in general to generate more data 
to contribute to the analyses mentioned below;
    2. An increase in our understanding of how many marine mammals are 
likely to be exposed to levels of noises generated from ice overflight 
surveys that we associate with specific adverse effects, such as 
behavioral harassment, TTS, or PTS;
    3. An increase in our understanding of how marine mammals respond 
to stimuli expected to result in take and how anticipated adverse 
effects on individuals (in different ways and to varying degrees) may 
impact the population, species, or stock (specifically through effects 
on annual rates of recruitment or survival) through any of the 
following methods:
    [ssquf] Behavioral observations in the presence of stimuli compared 
to observations in the absence of stimuli (need to be able to 
accurately predict received level, distance from source, and other 
pertinent information);
    [ssquf] Physiological measurements in the presence of stimuli 
compared to observations in the absence of stimuli (need to be able to 
accurately predict received level, distance from source, and other 
pertinent information);
    [ssquf] Distribution and/or abundance comparisons in times or areas 
with concentrated stimuli versus times or areas without stimuli;
    4. An increased knowledge of the affected species; and
    5. An increase in our understanding of the effectiveness of certain 
mitigation and monitoring measures.

Proposed Monitoring Measures

(1) Protected Species Observers
    Aerial monitoring for marine mammals will be conducted by a trained 
protected species observer (PSO) aboard each flight. PSO duties will 
include watching for and identifying marine mammals, recording their 
numbers, distances from, and potential reactions to the presence of the 
aircraft, in addition to working with the helicopter pilots to identify 
areas for landings on ice that is clear of marine mammals.
(2) Observer Qualifications and Training
    Observers will have previous marine mammal observation experience 
in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. All observers will be trained and 
familiar with the marine mammals of the area, data collection 
protocols, reporting procedures, and required mitigation measures.
(3) Specialized Field Equipment
    The following specialized field equipment for use by the onboard 
PSO: Fujinon 7 x 50 binoculars for visual monitoring, a GPS unit to 
document the route of each ice overflight, a laptop computer for data 
entry, a voice recorder to capture detailed observations and data for 
post flight entry into the computer, and digital still cameras.
(4) Field Data-Recording
    The observer on the aircraft will record observations directly into 
computers using a custom software package. The accuracy of the data 
entry will be verified in the field by computerized validity checks as 
the data are entered, and by subsequent manual checking following the 
flight. Additionally, observers will capture the details of sightings 
and other observations with a voice recorder, which will maximize 
observation time and the collection of data. These procedures will 
allow initial summaries of data to be prepared during and shortly after 
the surveys, and will facilitate transfer of the data to statistical, 
graphical or other programs for further processing.
    During the course of the flights, the observer will record 
information for each sighting including number of individuals, 
approximate age (when

[[Page 11640]]

possible to determine), and any type of potential reaction to the 
aircraft. Environmental information the observer will record includes 
weather, air temperature, cloud and ice cover, visibility conditions, 
and wind speed.

Monitoring Plan Peer Review

    The MMPA requires that monitoring plans be independently peer 
reviewed ``where the proposed activity may affect the availability of a 
species or stock for taking for subsistence uses'' (16 U.S.C. 
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III)). Regarding this requirement, NMFS' implementing 
regulations state, ``Upon receipt of a complete monitoring plan, and at 
its discretion, [NMFS] will either submit the plan to members of a peer 
review panel for review or within 60 days of receipt of the proposed 
monitoring plan, schedule a workshop to review the plan'' (50 CFR 
216.108(d)).
    NMFS has established an independent peer review panel to review 
Shell's 4MP for ice overflight survey in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. 
The panel is scheduled to meet in early March 2015, and will provide 
comments to NMFS shortly after they meet. After completion of the peer 
review, NMFS will consider all recommendations made by the panel, 
incorporate appropriate changes into the monitoring requirements of the 
IHA (if issued), and publish the panel's findings and recommendations 
in the final IHA notice of issuance or denial document.
Reporting Measures
(1) Final Report
    The results of Shell's ice overflight monitoring report will be 
presented in the ``90-day'' final report, as required by NMFS under the 
proposed IHA. The initial final report is due to NMFS within 90 days 
after the expiration of the IHA (if issued). The report will include:
     Summaries of monitoring effort: Total hours, total 
distances flown, and environmental conditions during surveys;
     Summaries of occurrence, species composition, and 
distribution of all marine mammal sightings including date, numbers, 
age/size/gender categories (when discernible), group sizes, ice cover 
and other environmental variables; data will be visualized by plotting 
sightings relative to the position of the aircraft; and
     Analyses of the potential effects of ice overflights on 
marine mammals and the number of individuals that may have been 
disturbed by aircraft.
    The ``90-day'' report will be subject to review and comment by 
NMFS. Any recommendations made by NMFS must be addressed in the final 
report prior to acceptance by NMFS.
(2) Notification of Injured or Dead Marine Mammals
    Shell will be required to notify NMFS' Office of Protected 
Resources and NMFS' Stranding Network of any sighting of an injured or 
dead marine mammal. Based on different circumstances, Shell may or may 
not be required to stop operations upon such a sighting. Shell will 
provide NMFS with the species or description of the animal(s), the 
condition of the animal(s) (including carcass condition if the animal 
is dead), location, time of first discovery, observed behaviors (if 
alive), and photo or video (if available). The specific language 
describing what Shell must do upon sighting a dead or injured marine 
mammal can be found in the ``Proposed Incidental Harassment 
Authorization'' section of this document.

Estimated Take by Incidental Harassment

    Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the 
MMPA defines ``harassment'' as: Any act of pursuit, torment, or 
annoyance which (i) has the potential to injure a marine mammal or 
marine mammal stock in the wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the 
potential to disturb a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild 
by causing disruption of behavioral patterns, including, but not 
limited to, migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or 
sheltering [Level B harassment]. Only take by Level B behavioral 
harassment is anticipated as a result of the proposed ice overflight 
surveys.
    As discussed earlier in this document, potential noise impacts to 
marine mammals from ice overflight surveys would be limited in a 
26[deg] cone under the flight path. The intensity of noise enters the 
water depends on the altitude of the aircraft (Richardson et al. 1995). 
Scattering and absorption, however, will limit lateral propagation in 
the shallow water (Greene and Moore 1995).

Basis for Estimating ``Take by Harassment''

    Exposures were calculated in the following sections for cetaceans 
and seals. The methods used to estimate exposure for each species group 
was fundamentally the same with minor differences as described below. 
Exposure estimates for cetaceans were calculated by multiplying the 
anticipated area to be flown over open water each season (winter and 
spring) by the expected densities of cetaceans that may occur in the 
survey area.
    Exposures of seals were calculated by multiplying the anticipated 
area to be flown over open water and ice in each season (winter and 
spring) by the expected densities of seals that may occur in the survey 
area by the proportion of seals on ice that may actually show a 
disturbance reaction to each type of aircraft (Born et al. 1999).

Marine Mammal Density Estimates

    Marine mammal density estimates in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas 
have been derived for two time periods: the winter period covering 
November through April, and the spring period including May through 
early July.
    There is some uncertainty about the representativeness of the data 
and assumptions used in the calculations. To provide some allowance for 
uncertainties, ``average'' as well as ``maximum'' estimates of the 
numbers of marine mammals potentially affected have been derived. For a 
few species, several density estimates were available. In those cases, 
the mean and maximum estimates were determined from the reported 
densities or survey data. In other cases, only one or no applicable 
estimate was available, so correction factors were used to arrive at 
``average'' and ``maximum'' estimates. These are described in detail in 
the following sections.
    In Polar Regions, most pinnipeds are associated with sea ice and 
typical census methods involve counting pinnipeds when they are hauled 
out on ice. In the Beaufort Sea, abundance surveys typically occur in 
spring when ringed seals emerge from their lairs (Frost et al. 2004). 
Depending on the species and study, a correction factor for the 
proportion of animals hauled out at any one time may or may not have 
been applied (depending on whether an appropriate correction factor was 
available for the particular species, area, and time period). By 
applying a correction factor, the density of the pinniped species in an 
area can be estimated.
    Detectability bias, quantified in part by f(0), is associated with 
diminishing sightability with increasing lateral distance from the 
survey trackline. Availability bias, g(0), refers to the fact that 
there is <100 percent probability of sighting an animal that is present 
along the survey trackline. Some sources below included these 
correction factors in the reported densities (e.g. ringed seals in 
Bengtson et al. 2005) and the best available correction factors were 
applied to reported results when they

[[Page 11641]]

had not already been included (e.g. bearded seals in Bengtson et al. 
2005).
(1) Cetaceans: Winter
(A) Beluga Whales
    Beluga whale density estimates were calculated based on aerial 
survey data collected in October in the eastern Alaskan Beaufort Sea by 
the NMML (as part of the BWASP program funded by BOEMRE) in 2007-2010. 
They reported 31 sightings of 66 individual whales during 1597 km of 
on-transect effort over waters 200-2000 m deep. An f(0) value of 2.326 
was applied and it was calculated using beluga whale sightings data 
collected in the Canadian Beaufort Sea (Innes et al. 2002). A g(0) 
value of 0.419 was used that represents a combination of ga(0) = 0.55 
(Innes et al. 2002) and gd(0) = 0.762 (Harwood et al. 1996). The 
resulting densities were then multiplied by 0.10 because the Beaufort 
Sea and north-eastern Chukchi Sea is believed to be at the edge of the 
species' range in by November. Belugas typically migrate into the 
Bering Sea for the winter (Allen and Angliss 2014) and are not expected 
to be present in the study area in the winter. Satellite tagging data 
support this and indicate belugas migrate out of the Beaufort Sea in 
the October-November period (Suydam et al. 2005).
(B) Bowhead Whales
    Bowhead whale density estimates in the winter in the planned ice 
overflight area are expected to be quite low. Miller et al. (2002) 
presented a 10-day moving average of bowhead whale abundance in the 
eastern Beaufort Sea using data from 1979-2000 that showed a decrease 
of ~90% from early to late October. Based on these data, it is expected 
that almost all whales that had been in the Chukchi Sea during early 
October would likely have migrated beyond the survey areas by November-
December. In addition, kernel density estimates and animal tracklines 
generated from satellite-tagged bowhead whales, along with acoustic 
monitoring data, suggest that few bowhead whales are present in the 
proposed survey area in November (near Point Barrow), and no whales 
were present in December (ADFG 2010; Moore et al. 2010). Therefore, 
minimal density estimates (0.0001whales/km\2\) were used.
(C) Gray whales
    Gray whales may be encountered as they have been detected near Pt. 
Barrow throughout the winter (Moore et al. 2006, Stafford et al. 2007), 
but they are expected to be very rare. Thus no density estimate is 
available.
(2) Cetaceans: Spring
(A) Beluga Whales
    Spring densities of beluga whales in offshore waters are expected 
to be low, with somewhat higher densities in ice-margin and nearshore 
areas. Past aerial surveys have recorded few belugas in the offshore 
Chukchi Sea during the summer months and belugas are most likely 
encountered in offshore waters of the eastern Alaskan Beaufort Sea 
(Moore et al. 2000). More recent aerial surveys from 2008-2012 flown by 
the National Marine Mammal Laboratory (NMML) as part of the Chukchi 
Offshore Monitoring in Drilling Area (COMIDA) project, now part of the 
Aerial Surveys of Arctic Marine Mammals (ASAMM) project, reported 10 
beluga sightings (22 individuals) in offshore waters during 22,154 km 
of on-transect effort. Larger groups of beluga whales were recorded in 
nearshore areas, especially in June and July during the spring 
migration (Clarke and Ferguson in prep; Clarke et al. 2012, 2013). 
Effort and sightings reported by Clarke and Ferguson (in prep.) and 
Clarke et al. (2012, 2013) were used to calculate the average open-
water density estimate.
    Those aerial surveys recorded 10 on-transect beluga sightings (22 
individuals) during 22,154 km of on transect effort in waters 36-50 m 
deep in the Chukchi Sea during July and August. The mean group size of 
the sightings was 2.2. An f(0) value of 2.841 and g(0) value of 0.58 
from Harwood et al. (1996) were also used in the density calculation 
resulting in an average open-water density of 0.0024 belugas/km\2\. 
Specific data on the relative abundance of beluga whales in open-water 
versus ice-margin habitat during the summer in the Chukchi Sea is not 
available. However, belugas are commonly associated with ice, 
particularly ice edges and adjacent polynyas, so an inflation factor of 
4 was used to estimate the ice-margin densities from the open-water 
densities.
(B) Bowhead Whales
    Eastward migrating bowhead whales were recorded during industry 
aerial surveys of the continental shelf near Camden Bay in 2008 until 
12 July (Christie et al. 2010). No bowhead sightings were recorded 
again, despite continued flights, until 19 August. Aerial surveys by 
industry operators did not begin until late August of 2006 and 2007, 
but in both years bowheads were also recorded in the region before the 
end of August (Lyons et al. 2009). The late August sightings were 
likely of bowheads beginning their fall migration so the densities 
calculated from those surveys were not used to estimate summer 
densities in this region. The three surveys in July of 2008 resulted in 
density estimates of 0.0099, 0.0717, and 0.0186 bowhead whales/km\2\, 
respectively (Christie et al. 2010). The estimate of 0.0186 whales/
km\2\ was used as the average nearshore density and the estimate of 0 
0.0717 whales/km2 was used as the maximum. Sea ice was not present 
during these surveys. Moore et al. (2000) reported that bowhead whales 
in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea were distributed uniformly relative to sea 
ice.
(C) Gray Whales
    Gray whales are expected to be present in the Chukchi Sea but are 
unlikely in the Beaufort Sea. Moore et al. (2000) found the 
distribution of gray whales in Chukchi Sea was scattered and limited to 
nearshore areas where most whales were observed in water less than 35m 
deep. The average open-water summer density (Table 2) was calculated 
from 2008-2012 aerial survey effort and sightings in Clarke and 
Ferguson (in prep) and Clarke et al. (2012, 2013) for water depths 36-
50 m including 98 sightings (137 individuals) during 22,154 km of on-
transect effort. The average group size of those sightings was 1.4. 
Correction factors f(0) = 2.49 (Forney and Barlow 1998) and g(0) = 0.30 
(Forney and Barlow 1998, Mallonee 1991) were used to calculate and 
average open-water density of 0.0253 gray whales/km\2\ (Table 2). The 
highest density from the survey periods reported in Clarke and Ferguson 
(in prep) and Clarke et al. (2012, 2013) was 0.0268 gray whales/km\2\ 
in 2012 and this was used as the maximum open-water density.
(3) Pinnipeds: Winter
(A) Ringed Seals
    Ringed seal densities were taken from offshore aerial surveys of 
the pack ice zone conducted in spring 1999 and 2000 (Bengtson et al. 
2005). Seal distribution and density in spring, prior to break-up, are 
thought to reflect distribution patterns established earlier in the 
year (i.e., during the winter months; Frost et al. 2004). The average 
density from those two years (weighted by survey effort) was 0.4892 
seals/km\2\. This value served as the average density while the highest 
density from the two years (0.8100 seals/km\2\ in 1999) was used as the 
maximum density.
(B) Other Seal Species
    Other seal species are not expected to be present in the ice 
overflight survey area in large numbers during the winter period of the 
ice overflights. Bearded, spotted, and ribbon seals would be

[[Page 11642]]

present in the area in smaller numbers than ringed seals during spring 
through fall summer, but these less common seal species generally 
migrate into the southern Chukchi and Bering Seas during fall and 
remain there through the winter (Allen and Angliss 2014). Few 
satellite-tagging studies have been conducted on these species in the 
Beaufort Sea, winter surveys have not been conducted, and a few bearded 
seals have been reported over the continental shelf in spring prior to 
general break-up. However, the tracks of three bearded seals tagged in 
2009 moved south into the Bering Sea along the continental shelf by 
November (Cameron and Boveng 2009). These species would be more common 
in the area during spring through fall, but it is possible that some 
individuals, bearded seals in particular, may be present in the area 
surveyed in winter. Ribbon seals are unlikely to be present in the 
survey area during winter as they also migrate southward from the 
northeastern Chukchi Sea during this period. In the absence of better 
information from the published literature or other sources that would 
indicate that significant numbers of any of these species might be 
present during winter, minimal density estimates were used for these 
species. Estimates for bearded seals were assumed to be slightly higher 
than those for spotted and ribbon seals.
(4) Pinnipeds: Spring
    Three species of pinnipeds under NMFS' jurisdiction are likely to 
be encountered in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas during planned ice 
overflights in spring of 2015: ringed, bearded, and spotted seals. 
Ringed and bearded seals are associated with both the ice margin and 
the nearshore open water area during spring. Spotted seals are often 
considered to be predominantly a coastal species except in the spring 
when they may be found in the southern margin of the retreating sea 
ice. However, satellite tagging has shown that some individuals 
undertake long excursions into offshore waters during summer (Lowry et 
al. 1994, 1998). Ribbon seals have been reported in very small numbers 
within the Chukchi Sea by observers on industry vessels (Patterson et 
al. 2007, Hartin et al. 2013).
(A) Ringed Seal and Bearded Seal
    Ringed seal and bearded seal ``average'' and ``maximum'' spring 
densities were available in Bengtson et al. (2005) from spring surveys 
in the offshore pack ice zone (zone 12P) of the northern Chukchi Sea. 
However, corrections for bearded seal availability, g(0), based on 
haulout and diving patterns were not available.
(B) Spotted Seal
    Little information on spotted seal densities in offshore areas of 
the Alaskan Arctic is available. Spotted seal densities in the spring 
were estimated by multiplying the ringed seal densities by 0.02. This 
was based on the ratio of the estimated occurrence of the two species 
during ice overflight surveys and the assumption that the vast majority 
of seals present in areas of pack ice would be ringed seals (Funk et 
al., 2010; 2013).
(C) Ribbon Seal
    Four ribbon seal sightings were reported during industry vessel 
operations in the Chukchi Sea in 2006-2010 (Hartin et al. 2013). The 
resulting density estimate of 0.0007/km\2\ was used as the average 
density and 4 times that was used as the maximum for the spring season.

Estimated Areas Where Cetaceans May Be Encountered by Aircraft

    Encounters that may result in potential disturbance of cetaceans 
will likely occur only in open water. Flight paths over open water and 
adjacent ice edges will be minimized by the objectives of the program 
as an effort to reduce encounters with cetaceans. It is estimated that 
five to ten percent of distance flown in winter will be over open 
water, and ten to twenty percent of distance flown in spring will be 
over open water. We applied the most conservative of these percentages 
to the proposed tracklines in winter and spring to estimate the area of 
open water exposed by planned ice overflights.
    The potential disturbance area for each season was based on flight 
altitude and lateral distance of cetaceans from the center trackline. 
Based on known air-to-water propagation paths, cetaceans may be exposed 
to sounds produced by the aircraft when individuals are up to 13 
degrees from the aircraft's center (Snell's law; Urick 1972 in 
Richardson et al. 1995). It was assumed that cetaceans in open water 
could be disturbed within 13 degrees of vertical (i.e., a 26-degree 
cone) from the location of an aircraft when aircraft are 305 m (1,000 
ft) or lower. NMFS considers aircraft above this altitude would not 
appreciably disturb cetaceans in open water below. This 305-m maximum 
disturbance altitude and Snell's law results in a maximum potential 
disturbance radius of approximately 70 m. Based on Snell's law 
(Richardson et al. 1995) and a 305 m flight altitude, we used a 
conservative radius of 75 m to calculate the potential disturbance area 
beneath an aircraft for cetaceans in open-water conditions.
    Table 2 summarizes potential disturbance radii, maximum flight 
distances over open water, and potential disturbance areas for 
cetaceans from fixed wing aircraft and helicopters during Shell's 
proposed ice overflights program in winter (November through April) and 
spring (May through early July). Maximum percentage of total trackline 
over open water, as based on previous surveys, is 10% and 20% of the 
total trackline for winter and spring, respectively. Based on maximum 
flight distances, percent open water, and a potential disturbance 
radius of 75 m for fixed wing aircraft and helicopters, a total of 169 
km2 of open-water could be disturbed. Approximately 45% of this total 
estimated open-water area would be surveyed in winter and the remaining 
55% would be surveyed during spring.

 Table 2--Potential Disturbance Radii, Maximum Flight Distances Over Open Water, and Potential Disturbance Areas
 for Cetaceans in Open Water From Fixed Wing Aircraft and Helicopters in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska,
                           During the Proposed 2015-2016 Ice Overflight Survey Program
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                 Maximum open water       Potential disturbance
                                                  Potential     flight distance (km)          area (km\2\)
                    Aircraft                     disturbance ---------------------------------------------------
                                                 radius (km)     Winter       Spring       Winter       Spring
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fixed Wing.....................................        0.075          463          556           69           83
Helicopter.....................................        0.075           37           74            6           11
                                                ----------------------------------------------------------------
    Grand Totals...............................  ...........          500          630           75           94
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 11643]]

Estimated Areas Where Seals May Be Encountered by Aircraft
    Fixed wing and helicopter flights over ice at ice overflight survey 
altitudes have the potential to disturb seals hauled out on ice, 
although the flight altitude and lateral distances at which seals may 
react to aircraft are highly variable (Born et al. 1999; Burns et al. 
1982; Burns and Frost 1979). The probability of a seal hauled out on 
ice reacting to a fixed wing aircraft or helicopter is influenced by a 
combination of variables such as flight altitude, lateral distance from 
the aircraft, ambient conditions (e.g., wind chill), activity, and time 
of day (Born et al. 1999). Evidence from flyover studies of ringed and 
bearded seals suggests that a reaction to helicopters is more common 
than to fixed wing aircraft, all else being equal (Born et al. 1999; 
Burns and Frost 1979).
    Born et al. (1999) investigated the reactions of ringed seals 
hauled out on ice to aircraft. The threshold lateral distances from the 
aircraft trackline out to which the vast majority of reactions were 
observed were 600 and 1500 m for fixed wing aircraft and helicopters, 
respectively. Many individual ringed seals within these distances; 
however, did not react (Born et al. 1999). Results indicated ~6% and 
~49% of total seals observed reacted to fixed wing aircraft and 
helicopters, respectively, by entering the water when aircraft were 
flown over ice at altitudes similar to those proposed for Shell's ice 
overflight surveys as described in the Description of the Specific 
Activity section. These lateral distances and reaction probabilities 
were used as guidelines for estimating the area of sea ice habitat 
within which hauled out seals may be disturbed by aircraft and the 
number of seals that might react. Born et al. 1999, also was used as a 
guideline in a similar fashion for estimating the numbers of seals that 
would react to helicopters during US Fish and Wildlife Service polar 
bear tagging in 2011 and 2012, in which an IHA was issued by NMFS (NMFS 
2011).
    Table 3 summarizes potential disturbance radii, maximum flight 
distances, and potential disturbance areas for seals from fixed wing 
aircraft and helicopters during Shell's proposed ice overflights 
program in winter (November through April) and spring (May through 
early July). Based on maximum flight distances and potential 
disturbance radii of 600 and 1500 m for fixed wing aircraft and 
helicopters, respectively, a total of 11,112 km\2\ (of sea ice could be 
disturbed. Based on Born et al.'s (1999) observations, however, it is 
estimated that only ~6 and ~49% of seals in these areas will exhibit a 
notable reaction to fixed wing aircraft and helicopters, respectively, 
by entering the water. Approximately 60% of this total area would be 
surveyed in winter and the remaining 40% would be surveyed during 
spring.

 Table 3--Potential Disturbance Radii, Maximum Flight Distances Over Open Water, and Potential Disturbance Areas
   for Seals in Open Water From Fixed Wing Aircraft and Helicopters in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska,
                           During the Proposed 2015-2016 Ice Overflight Survey Program
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Maximum flight distance    Potential disturbance
                                                  Potential             (km)                  area (km\2\)
                    Aircraft                     disturbance ---------------------------------------------------
                                                 radius (km)     Winter       Spring       Winter       Spring
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fixed Wing.....................................          0.6        4,630        2,778        5,557        3,335
Helicopter.....................................          1.5          370          370        1,110        1,110
                                                ----------------------------------------------------------------
    Grand Totals...............................  ...........        5,000        3,148        6,667        4,445
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Potential Number of ``Takes by Harassment''

(1) Cetaceans
    This subsection provides estimates of the number of individual 
cetaceans that could potentially be disturbed by aircraft during 
Shell's proposed ice overflights. The estimates are based on an 
estimate of the anticipated open-water area that could be subjected to 
disturbance from overflights, proximity of cetaceans in open water to 
the aircraft, and expected cetacean densities in those areas during 
each season.
    The number of individuals of each cetacean species potentially 
disturbed by fixed wing aircraft or helicopters was estimated by 
multiplying:
     The potential disturbance area from each aircraft (fixed 
wing and helicopter) for each season (winter and spring), by
     The percentage of survey area expected to be over open 
water as opposed to ice in each season, by
     The expected cetacean density for each season.
    The numbers of individual cetaceans potentially disturbed were then 
summed for each species across the two seasons.
    Estimates of the average and maximum number of individual cetaceans 
that may be disturbed are shown by season in Table 4. Less than one 
individual of each cetacean species was estimated to be disturbed in 
winter. This was due to the low density of cetaceans in the survey area 
in winter and extensive ice cover during this period. In spring, a few 
beluga whales, bowhead whales, and gray whales are estimated to 
potentially be disturbed during ice overflights when aircraft transit 
over open water for short periods. The numbers of individuals exposed 
represent very small proportions of their populations.
(2) Pinnipeds
    This subsection provides estimates of the number of individual ice 
seals that could potentially be disturbed by aircraft during Shell's 
proposed ice overflights. The estimates are based on a consideration of 
the proposed flight distances, proximity of seals to the aircraft 
trackline, and the proportion of ice seals present that might actually 
be disturbed appreciably (i.e. moving from the ice into the water) by 
flight operations in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas and the anticipated 
area that could be subjected to disturbance from overflights.
    The number of individuals of each ice seal species potentially 
disturbed by fixed wing aircraft or helicopters was estimated by 
multiplying:
     The potential disturbance area from each aircraft (fixed 
wing and helicopter) for each season (winter and spring), by
     The expected seal density in each season, and by
     The expected proportion of seals expected to react to each 
type of aircraft in a way that could be interpreted as disturbance.
    The numbers of individuals potentially disturbed were then summed 
for each species across the two seasons.

[[Page 11644]]

    Estimates of the average number of individual seals that may be 
disturbed are shown by season in Table 4. The estimates shown represent 
proportions of the total number of seals encountered that may actually 
demonstrate a disturbance reaction to each type of aircraft. Estimates 
shown in Table 4 were based on Born et al. 1999, which assumed that ~6 
and ~49% of seals would react within lateral distances of 600 and 1,500 
m of fixed wing aircraft and helicopters, respectively.
    Ringed seal is by far the most abundant species expected to be 
encountered during the planned ice overflights. The best (average) 
estimate of the numbers of ringed seals potentially disturbed during 
ice overflights is 793 individuals, which represents only a small 
proportion of the estimated population of ringed seals in the Chukchi 
and Beaufort Seas. Fewer individuals of other pinniped species are 
estimated to be encountered during ice overflights, also representing 
very small proportions of their populations.

  Table 4--The Total Number of Potential Exposures of Marine Mammals During the Shell's Proposed Ice Overflight
   Surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska, 2015-2016. Estimates Are Also Shown as a Percent of Each
                                                   Population
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                      Number          Percent
                             Species                                 Abundance       potential       estimated
                                                                                     exposure       population
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beluga (E. Chukchi Sea).........................................           3,710               1           0.027
Beluga whale (Beaufort Sea).....................................          39,258               1           0.003
Bowhead whale...................................................          19,534               2           0.010
Gray whale......................................................          19,126               2           0.010
Bearded seal....................................................         155,000              11           0.007
Ribbon seal.....................................................          49,000               1           0.002
Ringed seal.....................................................         300,000             793           0.264
Spotted seal....................................................         141,479               7           0.005
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Analysis and Preliminary Determinations

Negligible Impact

    Negligible impact is ``an impact resulting from the specified 
activity that cannot be reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably 
likely to, adversely affect the species or stock through effects on 
annual rates of recruitment or survival'' (50 CFR 216.103). A 
negligible impact finding is based on the lack of likely adverse 
effects on annual rates of recruitment or survival (i.e., population-
level effects). An estimate of the number of Level B harassment takes, 
alone, is not enough information on which to base an impact 
determination. In addition to considering estimates of the number of 
marine mammals that might be ``taken'' through behavioral harassment, 
NMFS must consider other factors, such as the likely nature of any 
responses (their intensity, duration, etc.), the context of any 
responses (critical reproductive time or location, migration, etc.), as 
well as the number and nature of estimated Level A harassment takes, 
the number of estimated mortalities, effects on habitat, and the status 
of the species.
    No injuries or mortalities are anticipated to occur as a result of 
Shell's proposed ice overflight surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi 
Seas, and none are proposed to be authorized. Additionally, animals in 
the area are not expected to incur hearing impairment (i.e., TTS or 
PTS) or non-auditory physiological effects. Instead, any impact that 
could result from Shell's activities is most likely to be behavioral 
harassment and is expected to be of brief duration and the aircraft 
flies by. Although it is possible that some individuals may be exposed 
to sounds from aircraft overflight more than once, during the migratory 
periods it is less likely that this will occur since animals will 
continue to move across the Chukchi Sea towards their wintering 
grounds.
    Aircraft flyovers are not heard underwater for very long, 
especially when compared to how long they are heard in air as the 
aircraft approaches an observer. Very few cetaceans are expected to be 
encountered during ice overflights due to the low density of cetacean 
species in the winter survey area and small area to be flown over open 
water during spring. Long-term or population level effects are not 
expected. The majority of seals encountered by fixed wing aircraft will 
unlikely show a notable disturbance reaction, and approximately half of 
the seals encountered by helicopters may react by moving from ice into 
the water. Any potential disturbance from aircraft to seals in the area 
of ice overflights will be localized and short-term in duration with no 
population level effects
    Of the seven marine mammal species likely to occur in the proposed 
ice overflight survey area, only the bowhead whale and ringed seal are 
listed as endangered under the ESA. These two species are also 
designated as ``depleted'' under the MMPA. Despite these designations, 
the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort stock of bowheads has been increasing at a 
rate of 3.4% annually for nearly a decade (Allen and Angliss, 2011), 
even in the face of ongoing industrial activity. Additionally, during 
the 2001 census, 121 calves were counted, which was the highest yet 
recorded. The calf count provides corroborating evidence for a healthy 
and increasing population (Allen and Angliss, 2011). Certain stocks or 
populations of gray and beluga whales and spotted seals are listed as 
endangered or are proposed for listing under the ESA; however, none of 
those stocks or populations occur in the proposed activity area. Ringed 
seals were recently listed under the ESA as threatened species. On July 
25, 2014 the U.S. District Court for the District of Alaska vacated the 
rule listing to the Beringia bearded seal DPS and remanded the rule to 
NMFS to correct the deficiencies identified in the opinion. None of the 
other species that may occur in the project area is listed as 
threatened or endangered under the ESA or designated as depleted under 
the MMPA. There is currently no established critical habitat in the 
proposed project area for any of these seven species.
    Potential impacts to marine mammal habitat were discussed 
previously in this document (see the ``Anticipated Effects on Habitat'' 
section). Although some disturbance is possible to food sources of 
marine mammals, the impacts are anticipated to be minor. Based on the 
vast size of the Arctic Ocean where feeding by marine

[[Page 11645]]

mammals occurs versus the localized area of the ice overflight surveys, 
any missed feeding opportunities in the direct project area would be of 
little consequence, as marine mammals would have access to other 
feeding grounds.
    Based on the analysis contained herein of the likely effects of the 
specified activity on marine mammals and their habitat, and taking into 
consideration the implementation of the proposed monitoring and 
mitigation measures, NMFS preliminarily finds that the total marine 
mammal take from Shell's proposed 2015 ice overflight surveys in the 
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas will have a negligible impact on the affected 
marine mammal species or stocks.

Small Numbers

    The estimated takes proposed to be authorized represent less than 
0.3% of the affected population or stock for all species in the survey 
area.
    Based on the analysis contained herein of the likely effects of the 
specified activity on marine mammals and their habitat, and taking into 
consideration the implementation of the mitigation and monitoring 
measures, NMFS preliminarily finds that small numbers of marine mammals 
will be taken relative to the populations of the affected species or 
stocks.

Impact on Availability of Affected Species or Stock for Taking for 
Subsistence Uses

Potential Impacts to Subsistence Uses

    NMFS has defined ``unmitigable adverse impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103 
as: ``an impact resulting from the specified activity: (1) That is 
likely to reduce the availability of the species to a level 
insufficient for a harvest to meet subsistence needs by: (i) Causing 
the marine mammals to abandon or avoid hunting areas; (ii) Directly 
displacing subsistence users; or (iii) Placing physical barriers 
between the marine mammals and the subsistence hunters; and (2) That 
cannot be sufficiently mitigated by other measures to increase the 
availability of marine mammals to allow subsistence needs to be met.
    Subsistence hunting continues to be an essential aspect of Inupiat 
Native life, especially in rural coastal villages. The Inupiat 
participate in subsistence hunting activities in and around the 
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. The animals taken for subsistence provide a 
significant portion of the food that will last the community through 
the year. Marine mammals represent on the order of 60-80% of the total 
subsistence harvest. Along with the nourishment necessary for survival, 
the subsistence activities strengthen bonds within the culture, provide 
a means for educating the younger generation, provide supplies for 
artistic expression, and allow for important celebratory events.

Bowhead Whale

    Activities associated with Shell's planned ice overflight survey 
program is not likely to have an un-mitigable adverse impact on the 
availability of bowhead whales for taking for subsistence uses. Ice 
overflight surveys that may occur near Point Lay, Wainwright, Barrow, 
Nuiqsut, and Kaktovik would traverse bowhead subsistence areas. Most 
flights would take place after the date of fall and prior to spring 
bowhead whale hunting from the villages. The most commonly observed 
reactions of bowheads to aircraft traffic are hasty dives, but changes 
in orientation, dispersal, and changes in activity are sometimes noted. 
Such reactions could potentially affect subsistence hunts if the 
flights occurred near and at the same time as the hunt. Shell has 
developed and proposes to implement a number of mitigation measures to 
avoid such impacts. These mitigation measures include minimum flight 
altitudes, use of Village Community Liaison Officers (CLOs), 
Subsistence Advisors (SAs), and Communication Centers in order to avoid 
conflicts with subsistence activities. SA calls will be held while 
subsistence activities are underway during the ice overflight survey 
program and are attended by operations staff, logistics staff, and 
CLOs. Aircraft flights are adjusted as needed and planned in a manner 
that avoids potential impacts to bowhead whale hunts and other 
subsistence activities. With these mitigation measures any effects on 
the bowhead whale as a subsistence resource, or effects on bowhead 
subsistence hunts would be minimal.

Beluga Whale

    Activities associated with Shell's planned ice overflight survey 
program will not have an un-mitigable adverse impact on the 
availability of beluga whales for taking for subsistence uses.
    Ice overflight surveys may occur near Point Lay, Wainwright, 
Barrow, Nuiqsut, and Kaktovik would and traverse beluga whale hunt 
subsistence areas. Most flights would take place when belugas are not 
typically harvested. Survey activities could potentially affect 
subsistence hunts if the flights occurred near and at the same time as 
the hunt. Shell has developed and proposes to implement a number of 
mitigation measures to avoid such impacts. These mitigation measures 
include minimum flight altitudes, use of CLOs, SAs, and Communication 
Centers. SA calls will be held while subsistence activities are 
underway during the ice overflight survey program and are attended by 
operations staff, logistics staff, and CLOs. Aircraft flights are 
adjusted as needed and planned in a manner that avoids potential 
impacts to beluga whale hunts and other subsistence activities. With 
these mitigation measures any effects on the beluga whale as a 
subsistence resource, or effects on beluga subsistence hunts would be 
minimal.

Seals

    Seals are an important subsistence resource with ringed and bearded 
seals making up the bulk of the seal harvest. The survey areas are far 
outside of areas reportedly utilized for the harvest of seals by the 
villages of Point Hope, thus the ice overflight surveys will not have 
an un-mitigable adverse impact on the availability of ice seals for 
taking for subsistence uses. The survey areas encompass some areas 
utilized by residents of Point Lay, Wainwright, Barrow, Nuiqsut and 
Kaktovik for the harvest of seals. Most ringed and bearded seals are 
harvested in the winter and a harvest of seals could possibly be 
affected by Shell's planned activities. Spotted seals are harvested 
during the summer and may overlap briefly with Shell's planned 
activities. Most seals are harvested in coastal waters, with available 
maps of recent and past subsistence use areas indicating that seal 
harvests have occurred only within 30-40 mi (48-64 km) off the 
coastline. Some of the planned ice overflight surveys would take place 
in areas used by the village residents for the harvest of seals. The 
survey aircraft could potentially travel over areas used by residents 
for seal hunting and could potentially disturb seals and, therefore, 
subsistence hunts for seals. Any such effects from the survey 
activities would be minimal due to the infrequency of the planned 
surveys. Shell has developed and proposes to implement a number of 
mitigation measures which include a proposed 4MP, use of CLOs, SAs, 
operation of Communication Centers, and minimum altitude requirements. 
SA calls will be held while subsistence activities are underway during 
the ice overflight survey program and are attended by operations staff, 
logistics staff, and CLO's. Aircraft movements and activities are 
adjusted as needed and planned in a manner that avoids potential 
impacts to subsistence

[[Page 11646]]

activities. With these mitigation measures any effects on ringed, 
bearded, and spotted seals as subsistence resources, or effects on 
subsistence hunts for seals, would be minimal.

Plan of Cooperation or Measures To Minimize Impacts to Subsistence 
Hunts

    Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12) require IHA applicants for 
activities that take place in Arctic waters to provide a Plan of 
Cooperation (POC) or information that identifies what measures have 
been taken and/or will be taken to minimize adverse effects on the 
availability of marine mammals for subsistence purposes.
    Shell is preparing to implement a POC in accordance with NMFS' 
regulations. The POC relies upon the Chukchi Sea Communication Plans to 
identify the measures that Shell has developed in consultation with 
North Slope subsistence communities and will implement during its 
planned 2015/2016 ice overflight surveys to minimize any adverse 
effects on the availability of marine mammals for subsistence uses. In 
addition, the POC will detail Shell's communications and consultations 
with local subsistence communities concerning its planned 2015/2016 
program, potential conflicts with subsistence activities, and means of 
resolving any such conflicts (50 CFR 216.104(a) (12) (i), (ii), and 
(iv)). Shell continues to document its contacts with the North Slope 
subsistence communities, as well as the substance of its communications 
with subsistence stakeholder groups.
    The POC identifies and documents potential conflicts and associated 
measures that will be taken to minimize any adverse effects on the 
availability of marine mammals for subsistence use. Outcomes of POC 
meetings are typically included in updates attached to the POC as 
addenda and distributed to federal, state, and local agencies as well 
as local stakeholder groups that either adjudicate or influence 
mitigation approaches for Shell's activities.
    Shell will engage with the villages potentially impacted by the 
2015/2016 ice overflight surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas in 
2014 and early 2015. Meetings were held in Barrow and Point Lay in 
early November 2014 and additional engagements are scheduled with other 
villages in early 2015. Throughout 2015, and 2016 Shell anticipates 
continued engagement with the marine mammal commissions and committees 
active in the subsistence harvests and marine mammal research.
    Following the 2015/2016 season, Shell intends to have a post-season 
co-management meeting with the commissioners and committee heads to 
discuss results of mitigation measures and outcomes of the preceding 
season. The goal of the post-season meeting is to build upon the 
knowledge base, discuss successful or unsuccessful outcomes of 
mitigation measures, and possibly refine plans or mitigation measures 
if necessary.
    In addition to the POC, the following subsistence mitigation 
measures will be implemented for Shell's proposed ice overflight 
surveys.
(1) Communications
     Shell has developed a Communication Plan and will 
implement this plan before initiating ice overflight survey operations 
to coordinate activities with local subsistence users, as well as 
Village Whaling Captains' Associations, to minimize the risk of 
interfering with subsistence hunting activities, and keep current as to 
the timing and status of the bowhead whale hunt and other subsistence 
hunts.
     Shell will employ local CLOs and/or SAs from the Chukchi 
Sea villages that are potentially impacted by Shell's ice overflight 
surveys. The CLOs and SAs will provide consultation and guidance 
regarding the whale migration and subsistence activities. There will be 
one per village. The CLO and/or SA will use local knowledge 
(Traditional Knowledge) to gather data on the subsistence lifestyle 
within the community and provide advice on ways to minimize and 
mitigate potential negative impacts to subsistence resources during the 
survey season. Responsibilities include reporting any subsistence 
concerns or conflicts; coordinating with subsistence users; reporting 
subsistence-related comments, concerns, and information; and advising 
how to avoid subsistence conflicts.
(2) Aircraft Travel
     The aircraft will maintain a 1 mi (1.6 km) radius when 
flying over areas where seals appear to be concentrated in groups of >= 
5 individuals.
     The aircraft will not land on ice within 0.5 mi (805 m) of 
hauled out pinnipeds.
     The aircraft will avoid flying over polynyas and along 
adjacent ice margins as much as possible to minimize potential 
disturbance to cetaceans.
     Aircraft shall not operate below 1,500 ft (457 m) in areas 
of active whale hunting; such areas to be identified through 
communications with the Com Centers and SAs.
     Shell will routinely engage with local communities and 
subsistence groups to ensure no disturbance of whaling or other 
subsistence activities.

Unmitigable Adverse Impact Analysis and Preliminary Determination

    NMFS considers that these mitigation measures including measures to 
reduce overall impacts to marine mammals in the vicinity of the 
proposed ice overflight survey area and measures to mitigate any 
potential adverse effects on subsistence use of marine mammals are 
adequate to ensure subsistence use of marine mammals in the vicinity of 
Shell's proposed ice overflight surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort 
Seas.
    Based on the description of the specified activity, the measures 
described to minimize adverse effects on the availability of marine 
mammals for subsistence purposes, and the proposed mitigation and 
monitoring measures, NMFS has preliminarily determined that there will 
not be an unmitigable adverse impact on subsistence uses from Shell's 
proposed activities.

Endangered Species Act (ESA)

    There are two marine mammal species listed as endangered under the 
ESA with confirmed or possible occurrence in the proposed project area: 
the bowhead whale and ringed seal. NMFS' Permits and Conservation 
Division will initiate consultation with NMFS' Endangered Species 
Division under section 7 of the ESA on the issuance of an IHA to Shell 
under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA for this activity. Consultation 
will be concluded prior to a determination on the issuance of an IHA.

National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)

    NMFS is preparing an Environmental Assessment (EA), pursuant to 
NEPA, to determine whether the issuance of an IHA to Shell for its 
2015/2016 ice overflight surveys may have a significant impact on the 
human environment. NMFS has released a draft of the EA for public 
comment along with this proposed IHA.

Proposed Authorization

    As a result of these preliminary determinations, NMFS proposes to 
issue an IHA to Shell for conducting ice overflight surveys in the 
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas during 2015/2016, provided the previously 
mentioned mitigation, monitoring, and reporting requirements are 
incorporated. The proposed IHA language is provided next.
    This section contains a draft of the IHA itself. The wording 
contained in

[[Page 11647]]

this section is proposed for inclusion in the IHA (if issued).
    (1) This Authorization is valid from May 1, 2015, through April 30, 
2016.
    (2) This Authorization is valid only for activities associated with 
Shell's 2015/2016 Chukchi and Beaufort Seas ice overflight surveys. The 
specific areas where Shell's ice overflight surveys will be conducted 
are the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska, as indicated in Figure 1-1 
of Shell's IHA application.
    (3)(a) The incidental taking of marine mammals, by Level B 
harassment only, is limited to the following species: bowhead whale; 
gray whale; beluga whale; ringed seal; bearded seal; spotted seal; and 
ribbon seal.
    (3)(b) The taking by injury (Level A harassment), serious injury, 
or death of any of the species listed in Condition 3(a) or the taking 
of any kind of any other species of marine mammal is prohibited and may 
result in the modification, suspension or revocation of this 
Authorization.
    (4) The authorization for taking by harassment is limited to the 
following activities: Ice overflight surveys during freeze-up, winter, 
and break-up periods in 2015 and 2016 by aircraft.
    (5) The taking of any marine mammal in a manner prohibited under 
this Authorization must be reported immediately to the Chief, Permits 
and Conservation Division, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS or her 
designee.
    (6) The holder of this Authorization must notify the Chief of the 
Permits and Conservation Division, Office of Protected Resources, at 
least 48 hours prior to the start of ice overflight surveys (unless 
constrained by the date of issuance of this Authorization in which case 
notification shall be made as soon as possible).
    (7) Ice Overflight Mitigation and Monitoring Requirements: The 
Holder of this Authorization is required to implement the following 
mitigation and monitoring requirements when conducting the specified 
activities to achieve the least practicable impact on affected marine 
mammal species or stocks:
    (a) A PSO will be aboard all flights recording all sightings/
observations (e.g. including number of individuals, approximate age 
(when possible to determine)), and any type of potential reaction to 
the aircraft. Environmental information the observer will record 
includes weather, air temperature, cloud and ice cover, visibility 
conditions, and wind speed.
    (b) The aircraft will maintain a 1 mi radius when flying over areas 
where seals appear to be concentrated in groups of >= 5 individuals;
    (c) The aircraft will not land on ice within 0.5 mi of hauled out 
pinnipeds or polar bears; and
    (d) The aircraft will avoid flying over polynyas and along adjacent 
ice margins as much as possible to minimize potential disturbance to 
cetaceans.
    (8) Subsistence Mitigation Measures: To ensure no unmitigable 
adverse impact on subsistence uses of marine mammals, the Holder of 
this Authorization shall:
    (a) Develop and implement a Communication Plan before initiating 
ice overflight survey operations to coordinate activities with local 
subsistence users, as well as Village Whaling Captains' Associations, 
to minimize the risk of interfering with subsistence hunting 
activities, and keep current as to the timing and status of the bowhead 
whale hunt and other subsistence hunts.
    (b) Employ local Community Liaison Officers (CLOs) and/or 
Subsistence Advisors (SAs) from the Chukchi Sea villages that are 
potentially impacted by the ice overflight surveys.
    (A) The CLOs and SAs will provide consultation and guidance 
regarding the whale migration and subsistence activities.
    (B) The CLOs and SAs will also report any subsistence concerns or 
conflicts; coordinate with subsistence users; report subsistence-
related comments, concerns, and information; and advise how to avoid 
subsistence conflicts.
    (c) Routinely engage with local communities and subsistence groups 
to ensure no disturbance of whaling or other subsistence activities.
    (9) Monitoring Measures:
    (a) Protected Species Observers:
    (A) Aerial monitoring for marine mammals will be conducted by a 
trained protected species observer (PSO) aboard each flight.
    (B) PSO duties will include watching for and identifying marine 
mammals, recording their numbers, distances from, and potential 
reactions to the presence of the aircraft, in addition to working with 
the helicopter pilots to identify areas for landings on ice that is 
clear of marine mammals.
    (b) Observer Qualifications and Training
    (A) Observers will have previous marine mammal observation 
experience in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas.
    (B) All observers will be trained and familiar with the marine 
mammals of the area, data collection protocols, reporting procedures, 
and required mitigation measures.
    (c) Specialized Field Equipment:
    (A) Fujinon 7 X 50 binoculars for visual monitoring,
    (B) GPS unit to document the route of each ice overflight,
    (C) Laptop computer for data entry,
    (D) Voice recorder to capture detailed observations and data for 
post flight entry into the computer,
    (E) Digital still cameras.
    (d) Field Data-Recording
    (A) The observer on the aircraft will record observations directly 
into computers using a custom software package.
    (B) The accuracy of the data entry will be verified in the field by 
computerized validity checks as the data are entered, and by subsequent 
manual checking following the flight.
    (C) Observers will capture the details of sightings and other 
observations with a voice recorder, which will maximize observation 
time and the collection of data.
    (D) During the course of the flights, the observer will record 
information for each sighting including:
     Number of individuals,
     Approximate age (when possible to determine),
     Any type of potential reaction to the aircraft.
     Weather, air temperature, wind speed, cloud and ice cover, 
and
     Visibility conditions.
    (10) Reporting Requirements:
    (a) Final Report: The results of Shell's ice overflight monitoring 
report will be presented in the ``90-day'' final report, as required by 
NMFS under the proposed IHA. The initial final report is due to NMFS 
within 90 days after the expiration of the IHA. The report will 
include:
    (A) Summaries of monitoring effort: total hours, total distances 
flown, and environmental conditions during surveys;
    (B) Summaries of occurrence, species composition, and distribution 
of all marine mammal sightings including date, numbers, age/size/gender 
categories (when discernible), group sizes, ice cover and other 
environmental variables; data will be visualized by plotting sightings 
relative to the position of the aircraft; and
    (C) Analyses of the potential effects of ice overflights on marine 
mammals and the number of individuals that may have been disturbed by 
aircraft.
    (b) The ``90-day'' report will be subject to review and comment by 
NMFS. Any recommendations made by NMFS must be addressed in the final 
report prior to acceptance by NMFS.
    (11)(a) In the unanticipated event that the ice overflight surveys 
clearly cause the take of a marine mammal in a

[[Page 11648]]

manner prohibited by this Authorization, such as an injury (Level A 
harassment), serious injury or mortality, Shell shall immediately cease 
operations and immediately report the incident to the Chief of the 
Permits and Conservation Division, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, 
by phone or email and the Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators. The 
report must include the following information: (i) Time, date, and 
location (latitude/longitude) of the incident; (ii) the name and type 
of vessel involved; (iii) the vessel's speed during and leading up to 
the incident; (iv) description of the incident; (v) status of all sound 
source use in the 24 hours preceding the incident; (vi) water depth; 
(vii) environmental conditions (e.g., wind speed and direction, 
Beaufort sea state, cloud cover, and visibility); (viii) description of 
marine mammal observations in the 24 hours preceding the incident; (ix) 
species identification or description of the animal(s) involved; (x) 
the fate of the animal(s); (xi) and photographs or video footage of the 
animal (if equipment is available).
    Activities shall not resume until NMFS is able to review the 
circumstances of the prohibited take. NMFS shall work with Shell to 
determine what is necessary to minimize the likelihood of further 
prohibited take and ensure MMPA compliance. Shell may not resume their 
activities until notified by NMFS via letter, email, or telephone.
    (b) In the event that Shell discovers an injured or dead marine 
mammal, and the lead PSO determines that the cause of the injury or 
death is unknown and the death is relatively recent (i.e., in less than 
a moderate state of decomposition as described in the next paragraph), 
Shell will immediately report the incident to the Chief of the Permits 
and Conservation Division, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, by 
phone or email and the NMFS Alaska Stranding Hotline and/or by email to 
the Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators. The report must include the 
same information identified in Condition 12(a) above. Activities may 
continue while NMFS reviews the circumstances of the incident. NMFS 
will work with Shell to determine whether modifications in the 
activities are appropriate.
    (c) In the event that Shell discovers an injured or dead marine 
mammal, and the lead PSO determines that the injury or death is not 
associated with or related to the activities authorized in Condition 2 
of this Authorization (e.g., previously wounded animal, carcass with 
moderate to advanced decomposition, or scavenger damage), Shell shall 
report the incident to the Chief of the Permits and Conservation 
Division, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone or email and 
the NMFS Alaska Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the Alaska 
Regional Stranding Coordinators, within 24 hours of the discovery. 
Shell shall provide photographs or video footage (if available) or 
other documentation of the stranded animal sighting to NMFS and the 
Marine Mammal Stranding Network. Activities may continue while NMFS 
reviews the circumstances of the incident.
    (12) The Plan of Cooperation outlining the steps that will be taken 
to cooperate and communicate with the native communities to ensure the 
availability of marine mammals for subsistence uses must be 
implemented.
    (13) Shell is required to comply with the Terms and Conditions of 
the Incidental Take Statement (ITS) corresponding to NMFS's Biological 
Opinion issued to NMFS's Office of Protected Resources.
    (14) A copy of this Authorization and the ITS must be in the 
possession of all contractors and PSOs operating under the authority of 
this Incidental Harassment Authorization.
    (15) Penalties and Permit Sanctions: Any person who violates any 
provision of this Incidental Harassment Authorization is subject to 
civil and criminal penalties, permit sanctions, and forfeiture as 
authorized under the MMPA.
    (16) This Authorization may be modified, suspended or withdrawn if 
the Holder fails to abide by the conditions prescribed herein or if the 
authorized taking is having more than a negligible impact on the 
species or stock of affected marine mammals, or if there is an 
unmitigable adverse impact on the availability of such species or 
stocks for subsistence uses.

Request for Public Comment

    As noted above, NMFS requests comment on our analysis, the draft 
authorization, and any other aspect of the Notice of Proposed IHA for 
Shell's 2015/2016 Chukchi and Beaufort Seas ice overflight surveys. 
Please include, with your comments, any supporting data or literature 
citations to help inform our final decision on Shell's request for an 
MMPA authorization.

    Dated: February 25, 2015.
Donna S. Wieting,
Director, Office of Protected Resources, National Marine Fisheries 
Service.
[FR Doc. 2015-04426 Filed 3-3-15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-P



                                                  11634                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  via email. All distributors have an Excel               Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),                      The meetings are open to the public,
                                                  spreadsheet which they submit for the                   Commerce.                                             and will be conducted in English.
                                                  twice-yearly report.                                    ACTION: Notice of a public meeting.                     Special Accommodations: These
                                                                                                                                                                meetings are physically accessible to
                                                  III. Data                                               SUMMARY:   The Caribbean Fishery                      people with disabilities. For more
                                                    OMB Control Number: 0648–0508.                        Management Council’s (Council)                        information or request for sign language
                                                    Form Number(s): None.                                 Scientific and Statistical Committee                  interpretation and/other auxiliary aids,
                                                    Type of Review: Regular submission                    (SSC) will hold a meeting.                            please contact Mr. Miguel A. Rolón,
                                                  (extension of a currently approved                      DATES: The SSC meeting will be held on                Executive Director, Caribbean Fishery
                                                  information collection).                                March 24–26, 2015, from 9 a.m. to 5                   Management Council, 270 Muñoz
                                                    Affected Public: Not-for-profit                       p.m.                                                  Rivera Avenue, Suite 401, San Juan,
                                                  institutions; business or other for-profits                                                                   Puerto Rico, 00918, telephone (787)
                                                  organizations.                                          ADDRESSES:   The SSC will meet at the
                                                                                                                                                                766–5926, at least 5 days prior to the
                                                    Estimated Number of Respondents: 8.                   Caribbean Fishery Management Council
                                                                                                                                                                meeting date.
                                                    Estimated Time per Response: 1 hour                   headquarters, located at 270 Muñoz
                                                                                                          Rivera Avenue, Suite 401, San Juan,                     Dated: February 26, 2015.
                                                  to provide a distribution report twice a
                                                                                                          Puerto Rico.                                          Tracey L. Thompson,
                                                  year, 12 hours for reporting of errors in
                                                                                                          SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The SSC                    Acting Deputy Director, Office of Sustainable
                                                  the ENC (approximately 4 per month,
                                                                                                          will meet to discuss the items contained              Fisheries, National Marine Fisheries Service.
                                                  usually each distributor will catch the
                                                                                                          in the following agenda:                              [FR Doc. 2015–04414 Filed 3–3–15; 8:45 am]
                                                  same issue).
                                                                                                                                                                BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
                                                    Estimated Total Annual Burden                         March 24–26, 2015
                                                  Hours: 88.
                                                    Estimated Total Annual Cost to                        Æ Call to Order
                                                                                                          Æ Selection Criteria for Exclusion/                   DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
                                                  Public: $0 in recordkeeping/reporting
                                                  costs.                                                       Inclusion of Species in the Island-
                                                                                                               Based FMPs                                       National Oceanic and Atmospheric
                                                  IV. Request for Comments                                  A. Brief Review of criteria selection—              Administration
                                                     Comments are invited on: (a) Whether                      Status to date                                   RIN 0648–XD732
                                                  the proposed collection of information                    B. Continuation of determining
                                                  is necessary for the proper performance                      selection criteria                               Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to
                                                  of the functions of the agency, including                 1. Data available                                   Specified Activities; Taking Marine
                                                  whether the information shall have                        a. Commercial Landings Data—SEFSC                   Mammals Incidental to Shell Ice
                                                  practical utility; (b) the accuracy of the                   Update                                           Overflight Surveys in the Beaufort and
                                                  agency’s estimate of the burden                           i. Overview of Landings Data: Species               Chukchi Seas, Alaska
                                                  (including hours and cost) of the                            List Ranked by Poundage and
                                                                                                               Value—Puerto Rico, St. Thomas/St.                AGENCY:  National Marine Fisheries
                                                  proposed collection of information; (c)                                                                       Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
                                                  ways to enhance the quality, utility, and                    John, St. Croix
                                                                                                            ii. Monthly landings                                Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
                                                  clarity of the information to be                                                                              Commerce.
                                                  collected; and (d) ways to minimize the                   iii. Spatial distribution of landings
                                                                                                               (EEZ-State)                                      ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental
                                                  burden of the collection of information                                                                       harassment authorization; request for
                                                  on respondents, including through the                     iv. Landings by Coast for Puerto Rico
                                                                                                               as a Proxy to Differentiate Species              comments.
                                                  use of automated collection techniques
                                                  or other forms of information                                that Might be Restricted to the State
                                                                                                                                                                SUMMARY:   NMFS received an
                                                  technology.                                                  Waters
                                                                                                                                                                application from Shell Gulf of Mexico
                                                     Comments submitted in response to                      v. Landings by Fishing Center-Town:
                                                                                                                                                                Inc. (Shell) for an Incidental Harassment
                                                  this notice will be summarized and/or                        Puerto Rico
                                                                                                                                                                Authorization (IHA) to take marine
                                                  included in the request for OMB                           b. SEFSC/DNER revision of the 2005
                                                                                                                                                                mammals, by harassment, incidental to
                                                  approval of this information collection;                     East Coast Correction Factor Update
                                                                                                                                                                ice overflight surveys in the Chukchi
                                                                                                            c. Recreational Landings Data—MRIP
                                                  they also will become a matter of public                                                                      and Beaufort Seas, Alaska. Pursuant to
                                                                                                               Update
                                                  record.                                                                                                       the Marine Mammal Protection Act
                                                                                                            i. Overview of Landings Data: Species
                                                    Dated: February 27, 2015.                                                                                   (MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments
                                                                                                               List Ranked by Poundage.
                                                  Sarah Brabson,                                                                                                on its proposal to issue an IHA to Shell
                                                                                                            ii. Spatial distribution of recreational
                                                                                                                                                                to take, by Level B harassment only,
                                                  NOAA PRA Clearance Officer.                                  landings
                                                                                                            iii. Recommendation to CFMC                         seven species of marine mammals
                                                  [FR Doc. 2015–04475 Filed 3–3–15; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                            2. District Advisory Panels Reports                 during the specified activity.
                                                  BILLING CODE 3520–JE–P
                                                                                                          Æ New ABC control rule dealing with                   DATES: Comments and information must
                                                                                                               data poor stocks.                                be received no later than April 3, 2015.
                                                  DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE                                  Æ FMUs ACL Overages—SERO Update                       ADDRESSES: Comments on the
                                                                                                            Accountability Measures                             application should be addressed to Jolie
                                                  National Oceanic and Atmospheric                        Æ Red Hind Data Review to develop a                   Harrison, Chief, Permits and
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                                                  Administration                                               separate ACL for red hind                        Conservation Division, Office of
                                                                                                            1. Data review SEFSC                                Protected Resources, National Marine
                                                  RIN 0648–XD792                                                                                                Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West
                                                                                                            2. Recommendation to CFMC
                                                  Caribbean Fishery Management                            Æ National SSC V (February 23–25,                     Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910. The
                                                  Council; Public Meeting                                      2015): Report                                    mailbox address for providing email
                                                                                                          Æ Discussion of 5-year Research Plan                  comments is ITP.Guan@noaa.gov.
                                                  AGENCY:  National Marine Fisheries                      Æ Federal Permits Options Paper                       NMFS is not responsible for email
                                                  Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and                    Æ Other Business                                      comments sent to addresses other than


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                               11635

                                                  the one provided here. Comments sent                      Except with respect to certain                      indicated in Figure 1–1 of Shell’s IHA
                                                  via email, including all attachments,                   activities not pertinent here, the MMPA               application. Aircraft supporting these
                                                  must not exceed a 10-megabyte file size.                defines ‘‘harassment’’ as: Any act of                 surveys will operate out of Barrow and
                                                     Instructions: All comments received                  pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)              Deadhorse, Alaska.
                                                  are a part of the public record and will                has the potential to injure a marine
                                                                                                                                                                Detailed Description of Activities
                                                  generally be posted to http://                          mammal or marine mammal stock in the
                                                  www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/                           wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has                (1) Proposed Break-Up Surveys
                                                  incidental.htm without change. All                      the potential to disturb a marine
                                                                                                                                                                   The break-up surveys will occur
                                                  Personal Identifying Information (for                   mammal or marine mammal stock in the
                                                                                                                                                                between June and July in either the
                                                  example, name, address, etc.)                           wild by causing disruption of behavioral
                                                                                                                                                                Chukchi or Beaufort Sea and will
                                                  voluntarily submitted by the commenter                  patterns, including, but not limited to,
                                                                                                                                                                include:
                                                  may be publicly accessible. Do not                      migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
                                                                                                                                                                   • Up to five fixed-wing flights of
                                                  submit Confidential Business                            feeding, or sheltering [Level B
                                                                                                                                                                approximately 1,500 nm total for up to
                                                  Information or otherwise sensitive or                   harassment].
                                                                                                                                                                approximately 13 hours total;
                                                  protected information.                                  Summary of Request                                       • One helicopter flight totaling of
                                                     A copy of the application, which                                                                           approximately 200 nm total for up to
                                                  contains several attachments used in                      On December 2, 2014, Shell submitted
                                                                                                          an application to NMFS for the taking                 approximately 3 hours total.
                                                  this document, including Shell’s marine                                                                          Flight altitudes for fixed wing surveys
                                                  mammal mitigation and monitoring                        of marine mammals incidental to ice
                                                                                                          overflight surveys the Chukchi and                    will range from 30 to 610 m (100 to
                                                  plan (4MP) and Plan of Cooperation,                                                                           2,000 ft) but will mostly be at or above
                                                  may be obtained by writing to the                       Beaufort Seas, Alaska. After receiving
                                                                                                          comments and questions from NMFS,                     152 m (500 ft). For helicopter flights, the
                                                  address specified above, telephoning the                                                                      altitude will range from 15 to 152 m (50
                                                  contact listed below (see FOR FURTHER                   Shell revised its IHA application on
                                                                                                          January 13, 2015. NMFS determined                     to 500 ft) but will mostly be at or above
                                                  INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the
                                                                                                          that the application was adequate and                 61 m (200 ft). Flights will occur when
                                                  Internet at: http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/                                                                        there is daylight. Aircraft are not
                                                  pr/permits/incidental.htm. Documents                    complete on January 15, 2015.
                                                                                                            The proposed activity would occur                   scheduled to fly at the same time.
                                                  cited in this notice may also be viewed,
                                                                                                          between May 1, 2015 and April 30,                     (2) Proposed Freeze-Up Surveys
                                                  by appointment, during regular business
                                                                                                          2016. The following specific aspects of
                                                  hours, at the aforementioned address.                                                                            The freeze-up surveys will occur
                                                                                                          the proposed activities are likely to
                                                  FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                        result in the take of marine mammals:                 between November 2015 and March
                                                  Shane Guan, Office of Protected                         Ice overflight surveys using fixed and                2016 in either the Chukchi or Beaufort
                                                  Resources, NMFS, (301) 427–8401.                        rotate winged aircraft when flying at                 Sea and will include:
                                                  SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                              low altitudes.                                           • Up to seven fixed-wing flights of
                                                                                                            Shell has requested an authorization                approximately 2,500 nautical miles (nm)
                                                  Background
                                                                                                          to take seven marine mammal species                   total in early winter for up to
                                                     Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the                 by Level B harassment. These species                  approximately 21 hours total;
                                                  MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct                    include: Beluga whale (Delphinapterus                    • One helicopter flight in the Beaufort
                                                  the Secretary of Commerce to allow,                     leucas); bowhead whale (Balaena                       of approximately 200 nm that will
                                                  upon request, the incidental, but not                   mysticetus); gray whale (Eschrichtius                 include approximately 4 landings to
                                                  intentional, taking of small numbers of                 robustus); bearded seal (Erignathus                   collect ice measurements during late
                                                  marine mammals by U.S. citizens who                     barbatus); ringed seal (Phoca hispida);               freeze-up including sampling with a
                                                  engage in a specified activity (other than              spotted seal (P. largha); and ribbon seal             battery powered ice auger for up to
                                                  commercial fishing) within a specified                  (Histriophoca fasciata).                              approximately 3 hours total.
                                                  geographical region if certain findings                                                                          Flight altitudes for fixed wing surveys
                                                  are made and either regulations are                     Description of the Specified Activity                 will range from 30 to 610 m (100 to
                                                  issued or, if the taking is limited to                  Overview                                              2,000 ft) but will mostly be at or above
                                                  harassment, a notice of a proposed                                                                            152 m (500 ft). For helicopter flights, the
                                                                                                             Shell plans to conduct two periods of
                                                  authorization is provided to the public                                                                       altitude will range from 15 to 152 m (50
                                                                                                          ice overflight surveys during May 2015–
                                                  for review.                                                                                                   to 500 ft) but will mostly be at or above
                                                                                                          April 2016: Break-up surveys and
                                                     An authorization for incidental                                                                            61 m (200 ft). Helicopter flights will also
                                                                                                          freeze-up surveys.
                                                  takings shall be granted if NMFS finds                     Shell plans to conduct the overflight              include landings. Flights will occur
                                                  that the taking will have a negligible                  surveys from fixed wing and rotary                    when there is daylight. Aircraft are not
                                                  impact on the species or stock(s), will                 aircraft. The aircraft to be used for the             scheduled to fly at the same time.
                                                  not have an unmitigable adverse impact                  surveys are not currently under contract
                                                  on the availability of the species or                                                                         Proposed Aircraft To Conduct Ice
                                                                                                          to Shell or a contractor to Shell. Ice and            Overflight Surveys
                                                  stock(s) for subsistence uses (where                    weather conditions will influence when
                                                  relevant), and if the permissible                       and where the surveys can be                            Shell plans to conduct the ice
                                                  methods of taking and requirements                      conducted.                                            overflight surveys with an Aero
                                                  pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring                                                                      Commander (or similar) fixed winged
                                                  and reporting of such takings are set                   Dates and Duration                                    aircraft and a Bell 412, AW 139, EC 145
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                                                  forth. NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible                      For initial planning purposes, Shell                (or similar) helicopter.
                                                  impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as ‘‘an                      proposes to conduct the overflight                      Shell will also have a dedicated
                                                  impact resulting from the specified                     surveys during May 1, 2015 to April 30,               helicopter for Search and Rescue (SAR)
                                                  activity that cannot be reasonably                      2016.                                                 for the spring 2015 surveys. The SAR
                                                  expected to, and is not reasonably likely                                                                     helicopter is expected to be a Sikorsky
                                                  to, adversely affect the species or stock               Specified Geographic Region                           S–92 (or similar). This aircraft will stay
                                                  through effects on annual rates of                        The ice overflight survey areas are the             grounded at the Barrow shorebase
                                                  recruitment or survival.’’                              Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, Alaska, as                 location except during training drills,


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                                                  11636                              Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  emergencies, and other non-routine                              are rare and not likely to be encountered                    seasonal distribution, abundance, and
                                                  events.                                                         during Shell’s ice overflight surveys,                       life history of each of the species under
                                                                                                                  which are planned either during winter                       NMFS’ jurisdiction mentioned in this
                                                  Description of Marine Mammals in the
                                                                                                                  when nearly 10/10 ice coverage is                            document. When reviewing the
                                                  Area of the Specified Activity
                                                                                                                  present, or during spring when sea ice                       application, NMFS determined that the
                                                     The Chukchi and Beaufort Seas                                also pre-dominants the study area.                           species descriptions provided by Shell
                                                  support a diverse assemblage of marine                          Therefore, these species are not further                     correctly characterized the status,
                                                  mammals, including: Bowhead, gray,                              discussed.                                                   distribution, seasonal distribution, and
                                                  beluga, killer, minke, humpback, and fin
                                                  whales; harbor porpoise; ringed, ribbon,                           The bowhead whale is listed as                            abundance of each species. Please refer
                                                  spotted, and bearded seals; narwhals;                           ‘‘endangered’’ under the Endangered                          to the application for that information
                                                  polar bears; and walruses. Both the                             Species Act (ESA) and as depleted                            (see ADDRESSES). Additional information
                                                  walrus and the polar bear are managed                           under the MMPA. The ringed seal is                           can also be found in the NMFS Stock
                                                  by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service                           listed as ‘‘threatened’’ under the ESA.                      Assessment Reports (SAR). The Alaska
                                                  (USFWS) and are not considered further                          Certain stocks or populations of gray                        2013 SAR is available at: http://www.
                                                  in this proposed IHA notice.                                    and beluga whales and spotted seals are                      nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/pdf/ak2013_
                                                     Among the rest of marine mammal                              listed as endangered under the ESA;                          final.pdf.
                                                  species, only beluga, bowhead, and gray                         however, none of those stocks or
                                                                                                                  populations occur in the proposed                               Table 1 lists the seven marine
                                                  whales, and ringed, spotted, bearded,                                                                                        mammal species under NMFS’
                                                  and ribbon seals could potentially be                           activity area.
                                                                                                                                                                               jurisdiction with confirmed or possible
                                                  affected by the proposed ice overflight                            Shell’s application contains                              occurrence in the proposed project area.
                                                  activity. The remaining cetacean species                        information on the status, distribution,

                                                   TABLE 1—MARINE MAMMAL SPECIES AND STOCKS THAT COULD BE AFFECTED BY SHELL’S ICE OVERFLIGHT SURVEYS IN
                                                                                     THE BEAUFORT AND CHUKCHI SEAS

                                                              Common name                         Scientific name           Status                Occurrence              Seasonality                  Range         Abundance

                                                                                                                                        Odontocetes

                                                  Beluga whale (Eastern Chukchi                   Dephinapterus       .......................   Common ..........   Mostly spring and fall        Russia to Can-          3,710
                                                    Sea stock).                                     leucas.                                                          with some in sum-              ada.
                                                                                                                                                                     mer.
                                                  Beluga whale (Beaufort Sea                      Delphinapterus      .......................   Common ..........   Mostly spring and fall        Russia to Can-         39,258
                                                    stock).                                         leucas.                                                          with some in sum-              ada.
                                                                                                                                                                     mer.

                                                                                                                                          Mysticetes

                                                  Bowhead whale ..........................        Balaena             Endangered;               Common ..........   Mostly spring and fall        Russia to Can-         19,534
                                                                                                    mysticetus.         Depleted.                                    with some in sum-              ada.
                                                                                                                                                                     mer.
                                                  Gray whale .................................    Eschrichtius        .......................   Somewhat            Mostly summer .........       Mexico to the          19,126
                                                                                                    robustus.                                     common.                                          U.S. Arctic
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Ocean.

                                                                                                                                           Pinnipeds

                                                  Bearded seal (Beringia distinct                 Erigathus           Candidate .....           Common ..........   Spring and summer ..          Bering, Chukchi,      155,000
                                                    population segment).                            barbatus.                                                                                       and Beaufort
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Seas.
                                                  Ringed seal (Arctic stock) ..........           Phoca hispida       Threatened;               Common ..........   Year round ................   Bering, Chukchi,      300,000
                                                                                                                        Depleted.                                                                   and Beaufort
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Seas.
                                                  Spotted seal ................................   Phoca largha ...    .......................   Common ..........   Summer ....................   Japan to U.S.         141,479
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Arctic Ocean.
                                                  Ribbon seal .................................   Histriophoca        Species of                Occasional ......   Summer ....................   Russia to U.S.         49,000
                                                                                                    fasciata.           concern.                                                                    Arctic Ocean.



                                                  Potential Effects of the Specified                              acoustics, we may include a discussion                       will be implemented or how either of
                                                  Activity on Marine Mammals                                      of studies that showed animals not                           those will shape the anticipated impacts
                                                                                                                  reacting at all to sound or exhibiting                       from this specific activity. The
                                                     This section includes a summary and                          barely measurable avoidance). The                            ‘‘Estimated Take by Incidental
                                                  discussion of the ways that the types of
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                                                                                                                  discussion may also include reactions                        Harassment’’ section later in this
                                                  stressors associated with the specified                         that we consider to rise to the level of                     document will include a quantitative
                                                  activity (e.g., aircraft overflight) have                       a take and those that we do not consider                     analysis of the number of individuals
                                                  been observed to or are thought to                              to rise to the level of a take. This section                 that are expected to be taken by this
                                                  impact marine mammals. This section                             is intended as a background of potential                     activity. The ‘‘Negligible Impact
                                                  may include a discussion of known                               effects and does not consider either the                     Analysis’’ section will include the
                                                  effects that do not rise to the level of an                     specific manner in which this activity                       analysis of how this specific activity
                                                  MMPA take (for example, with                                    will be carried out or the mitigation that                   will impact marine mammals and will


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                            11637

                                                  consider the content of this section, the               however, will limit lateral propagation                 Of the seal species which may be
                                                  ‘‘Estimated Take by Incidental                          in the shallow water (Greene and Moore                encountered, only ringed seals are
                                                  Harassment’’ section, the ‘‘Mitigation’’                1995). The majority of seals encountered              abundant in the Chukchi and Beaufort
                                                  section, and the ‘‘Anticipated Effects on               by fixed wing aircraft are unlikely to                Seas during the winter and early spring
                                                  Marine Mammal Habitat’’ section to                      show a notable disturbance reaction,                  when the overflights are scheduled to
                                                  draw conclusions regarding the likely                   and approximately half of the seals                   occur. In March–April, ringed seals give
                                                  impacts of this activity on the                         encountered by helicopters may react by               birth in subnivean lairs established on
                                                  reproductive success or survivorship of                 moving from ice into the water (Born et               shorefast and stable pack ice (Smith and
                                                  individuals and from that on the                        al. 1999). Any potential disturbance                  Stirling 1975; Smith 1973). Ringed seals
                                                  affected marine mammal populations or                   from aircraft to seals in the area of ice             in subnivean layers have been known to
                                                  stocks.                                                 overflights will be localized and short-              react to aircraft overhead by entering the
                                                     The reasonably expected or                           term in duration with no population                   water in some instances (Kelly et al.
                                                  reasonably likely impacts of the                        level effects.                                        1986); however, there is no evidence to
                                                  specified activities on marine mammals                     Historically, there have been far                  indicate injurious effects to adults or
                                                  will be related primarily to localized,                 greater levels of aviation activity in the            pups from such a response.
                                                  short-term acoustic disturbance from                    offshore Chukchi and Beaufort Seas                      Bearded seals spend the winter season
                                                  aircraft flying primarily over areas                    compared with that of the proposed ice                in the Bering Sea, and then follow the
                                                  covered by sea ice with limited flight                  overflights. None of this previous                    ice edge as it retreats in spring
                                                  activity over open water and adjacent                   offshore aviation activity is believed to             (MacIntyre and Stafford 2011). Large
                                                  ice edges. The acoustic sense of marine                 have resulted in long-term impacts to                 numbers of bearded seals are unlikely to
                                                  mammals probably constitutes their                      marine mammals, as demonstrated by                    be present in the project area during the
                                                  most important distance receptor                        results from a wide range of monitoring               time of planned operations. However,
                                                  system. Potential acoustic effects relate               programs and scientific studies. Impacts              some individuals may be encountered.
                                                  to sound produced by helicopters and                    to marine mammals from aviation                       Spotted seals are found in the Bering
                                                  fixed-wing aircraft.                                    activities in Arctic offshore habitats                Sea in winter and spring where they
                                                     Dominant tones in noise spectra from                 have been shown to be, at most, short-                breed, molt, and pup in large groups
                                                  helicopters are generally below 500 Hz                  term and highly-localized in nature                   (Quakenbush 1988; Rugh et al. 1997).
                                                  (Greene and Moore 1995). Harmonics of                   (e.g., Funk et al. 2013; Richardson et al.            Few spotted seals are expected to be
                                                  the main rotor and tail rotor usually                   1985a, b; Patenaude et al. 2002; Born et              encountered in the Chukchi and
                                                  dominate the sound from helicopters;                    al. 1999).                                            Beaufort seas until July. Even then, they
                                                  however, many additional tones                             The effect of aircraft overflight on               are rarely seen on pack ice but are
                                                  associated with the engines and other                   marine mammals will depend on the                     commonly observed hauled out on land
                                                  rotating parts are sometimes present.                   behavior of the animal at the time of                 or swimming in open water (Lowry et
                                                  Because of Doppler shift effects, the                   reception of the stimulus, as well as the             al. 1998). The ice overflights are
                                                  frequencies of tones received at a                      distance from the aircraft and received               designed to maximize flying over ice,
                                                  stationary site diminish when an aircraft               level of sound. Cetaceans (such as                    avoiding coastal and terrestrial areas.
                                                  passes overhead. The apparent                           bowhead, gray, and beluga whales) will                Haul outs for spotted seals are generally
                                                  frequency is increased while the aircraft               only be present, and thus have the                    known, and Shell will avoid these areas
                                                  approaches and is reduced while it                      potential to be disturbed, when aircraft              during the break up surveys.
                                                  moves away.                                             fly over open water in between ice floes;               Based on extensive analysis of digital
                                                     Aircraft flyovers are not heard                      seals may be disturbed when aircraft are              imagery taken during aerial surveys in
                                                  underwater for very long, especially                    over open water or over ice on which                  support of Shell’s 2012 operations in the
                                                  when compared to how long they are                      seals may be present. Disturbance                     Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, ice seals are
                                                  heard in air as the aircraft approaches                 reactions are likely to vary among some               very infrequently observed hauled out
                                                  an observer. Very few cetaceans,                        of the seals in the general vicinity, and             on the ice in groups of greater than one
                                                  including the species in the proposed                   not all of the seals present are expected             individual (Shell 2015). Tens of
                                                  ice overflight survey areas, are expected               to react to fixed wing aircraft and                   thousands of images from 17 flights that
                                                  to be encountered during ice overflights                helicopters.                                          took place from July through October
                                                  due to the low density of cetacean                         Behavioral distances from marine                   were reviewed in detail. Of 107 total
                                                  species in the winter survey area and                   mammals also depend on the altitudes                  observations of spotted or ringed seals
                                                  small area to be flown over open water                  of the aircraft overflight. Marine                    on ice, only three of those sightings
                                                  during spring. Most of these effects are                mammals are not likely to be affected by              were of a group of two individuals
                                                  expected in open-water where limited                    aircraft overflights that are above 1,000             (Shell 2015). Since seals typically are
                                                  aircraft noise could penetrate into the                 ft. Therefore, behavioral harassments                 found as individuals or in very small
                                                  water column. For cetaceans under the                   discussed above are only limited to                   groups when they are in the project
                                                  ice, the noise levels from the aircraft are             those aircraft flying at lower altitudes.             area, the chance of a stampede event is
                                                  expected to be dramatically reduced by                  Proposed monitoring measures                          very unlikely. Finally, ice seals are well
                                                  floating ice. Long-term or population                   discussed below would further reduce                  adapted to move between ice and water
                                                  level effects are not expected.                         potential affects from Shell’s proposed               without injury, including ‘‘escape
                                                     Evidence from flyover studies of                     ice overflight surveys.                               reactions’’ to avoid predators.
                                                  ringed and bearded seals suggests that a                   In light of the nature of the activities,            Ringed and bearded seals sometimes,
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                                                  reaction to helicopters is more common                  and for the reasons described below,                  but not always, dive when approached
                                                  than to fixed wing aircraft, all else being             NMFS does not expect marine mammals                   by low-flying aircraft (Burns and Frost
                                                  equal (Born et al. 1999; Burns and Frost                will be injured or killed as a result of              1979; Burns et al. 1982). Ringed and
                                                  1979). Under calm conditions, rotor and                 ice overflight surveys. In addition, due              bearded seals may be more sensitive to
                                                  engine sounds are coupled into the                      to the low received noise levels from                 helicopter sounds than to fixed-wing
                                                  water through ice within a 26° cone                     aircraft overflights, NMFS does not                   aircraft (Burns and Frost 1979). In 2000,
                                                  beneath the aircraft (Richardson et al.                 expect marine mammals will experience                 during a study on e impacts of pipe-
                                                  1995). Scattering and absorption,                       hearing impairment such as TTS or PTS.                driving sounds on pinnipeds at


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                                                  11638                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  Northstar in the Beaufort Sea which                     detectable underwater at greater                        Shell submitted a 4MP as part of its
                                                  involved helicopter, only some of the                   distances when the receiver is in                     application (see ADDRESSES). Shell
                                                  ringed seals present exhibited a reaction               shallow rather than deep water.                       proposes a suite of mitigation measures
                                                  to an approaching helicopter (Blackwell                 Generally, sound levels received                      to minimize any adverse impacts
                                                  et al. 2001). Of 23 individuals, only 11                underwater decrease as the altitude of                associated with the ice overflight
                                                  reacted; of those 11, 10 increased                      the aircraft increases (Richardson et al.             surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort
                                                  alertness and only 1 moved into the                     1995a). The nature of sounds produced                 Sea. These include, among others
                                                  water (when the helicopter was 100 m                    by aircraft activities does not pose a                discussed in the 4MP (See Attachment
                                                  away; Blackwell et al. 2004). Reactions                 direct threat to the underwater marine                A of Shell’s IHA application), the
                                                  of ringed seals while they are in                       mammal habitat or prey.                               following: (1) The timing and locations
                                                  subnivean lairs vary with the                              Aircraft sounds are audible for much               for active survey acquisition work; and
                                                  characteristics of the flyover, including               greater distances in air than in water.               (2) increasing altitude or deviating from
                                                  lateral distance and altitude of aircraft               Under calm conditions, rotor and engine               survey tract when the protected species
                                                  (Kelly et al. 1986).                                    sounds are coupled into the water                     observers sight visually (from the
                                                     The sound of aircraft is also reduced                within a 26° cone beneath the aircraft.               aircraft) the presence of marine
                                                  by the snow of the lair (Cummings and                   Some of the sound will transmit beyond                mammals. The mitigation measures are
                                                  Holliday 1983). Spotted seals are                       the immediate area, and some sound                    presented in the 4MP. To summarize:
                                                  sensitive to aircraft, reacting erratically             will enter the water outside the 26                     • A PSO will be aboard all flights
                                                  at considerable distances which may                     degree area when the sea surface is                   recording all sightings/observations (e.g.
                                                  result in mother-pup separation or                      rough. However, scattering and                        including number of individuals,
                                                  injury to pups (Frost et al 1993, Rugh et               absorption will limit lateral propagation             approximate age (when possible to
                                                  al. 1993). However, as previously noted,                in shallow water. Dominant tones in                   determine), and any type of potential
                                                  few spotted seals are expected to be                    noise spectra from helicopters are                    reaction to the aircraft). Environmental
                                                  present in the project area during the                  generally below 500 Hz (Greene and                    information the observer will record
                                                  time of planned ice overflights, and                    Moore 1995). Because of Doppler shift                 includes weather, air temperature, cloud
                                                  overflights will focus on offshore areas                effects, the frequencies of tones received            and ice cover, visibility conditions, and
                                                  as opposed to terrestrial habitat with                  at a stationary site diminish when an                 wind speed.
                                                  potential spotted seal haulouts.                        aircraft passes overhead. The apparent                  • The aircraft will maintain a 1 mi
                                                                                                          frequency is increased while the aircraft             radius when flying over areas where
                                                  Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal
                                                                                                          approaches and is reduced while it                    seals appear to be concentrated in
                                                  Habitat
                                                                                                          moves away. Sounds generated                          groups of ≥5 individuals;
                                                     Shell’s planned 2015/16 ice overflight               underwater from aircraft flyovers are of                • The aircraft will not land on ice
                                                  surveys will not result in any permanent                short duration.                                       within 0.5 mi of hauled out pinnipeds
                                                  impact on habitats used by marine                          Helicopters will generally maintain                or polar bears;
                                                  mammals, or to their prey sources. The                  straight-line routes, thereby limiting the              • The aircraft will avoid flying over
                                                  primary potential impacts on marine                     sound levels at and below the surface.
                                                  mammal habitat and prey resources that                                                                        polynyas and along adjacent ice margins
                                                                                                          Given the timing and location of the
                                                  are reasonably expected or reasonably                                                                         as much as possible to minimize
                                                                                                          proposed ice overflight activities, as
                                                  likely are associated with elevated                                                                           potential disturbance to cetaceans; and
                                                                                                          well as the mitigation measures that will
                                                  sound levels from the aircraft passing                                                                          • Shell will routinely engage with
                                                                                                          be implemented as a part of the
                                                  overhead. Effects on marine mammal                                                                            local communities and subsistence
                                                                                                          program, any impacts from aircraft
                                                  habitat from the generation of sound                                                                          groups to ensure no disturbance of
                                                                                                          traffic on marine mammal habitat or
                                                  from the planned surveys would be                                                                             whaling or other subsistence activities.
                                                                                                          prey will be localized and temporary
                                                  negligible and temporary, lasting only as               with no anticipated population level                  Mitigation Conclusions
                                                  long as the aircraft is overhead. Water                 effects.                                                NMFS has carefully evaluated the
                                                  column effects will be localized and
                                                                                                          Proposed Mitigation                                   applicant’s proposed mitigation
                                                  ephemeral, lasting only the duration of
                                                                                                             In order to issue an incidental take               measures and considered a range of
                                                  the aircrafts presence. All effects on
                                                                                                          authorization (ITA) under sections                    other measures in the context of
                                                  marine mammal habitat from the
                                                                                                          101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA,                     ensuring that NMFS prescribes the
                                                  planned surveys are expected to be
                                                                                                          NMFS must, where applicable, set forth                means of effecting the least practicable
                                                  negligible and confined to very small
                                                                                                          the permissible methods of taking                     impact on the affected marine mammal
                                                  areas within the Chukchi and Beaufort
                                                                                                          pursuant to such activity, and other                  species and stocks and their habitat. Our
                                                  Seas.
                                                     The primary effect of the sound                      means of effecting the least practicable              evaluation of potential measures
                                                  energy generated by ice overflight                      impact on such species or stock and its               included consideration of the following
                                                  survey activities on marine mammal                      habitat, paying particular attention to               factors in relation to one another:
                                                  habitat will be the ensonification of the               rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of               • The manner in which, and the degree
                                                  water column and air at the surface.                    similar significance, and on the                        to which, the successful
                                                  Sound energy can also affect                            availability of such species or stock for               implementation of the measure is
                                                  invertebrates and fish that are marine                  taking for certain subsistence uses                     expected to minimize adverse impacts
                                                  mammal prey, and thereby indirectly                     (where relevant). This section                          to marine mammals
                                                                                                                                                                • The proven or likely efficacy of the
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                                                  impact the marine mammals.                              summarizes the contents of Shell’s
                                                     Levels and duration of sounds                        Marine Mammal Monitoring and                            specific measure to minimize adverse
                                                  received by marine mammals                              Mitigation Plan (4MP). Later in this                    impacts as planned, and
                                                  underwater from a passing helicopter or                 document in the ‘‘Proposed Incidental                 • The practicability of the measure for
                                                  fixed-wing aircraft are a function of the               Harassment Authorization’’ section,                     applicant implementation.
                                                  type of aircraft, orientation and altitude              NMFS lays out the proposed conditions                   Any mitigation measure(s) prescribed
                                                  of the aircraft, depth of the animal, and               for review, as they would appear in the               by NMFS should be able to accomplish,
                                                  water depth. Aircraft sounds are                        final IHA (if issued).                                have a reasonable likelihood of


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                            11639

                                                  accomplishing (based on current                         Proposed Monitoring and Reporting                     concentrated stimuli versus times or
                                                  science), or contribute to the                             In order to issue an ITA for an                    areas without stimuli;
                                                  accomplishment of one or more of the                                                                             4. An increased knowledge of the
                                                                                                          activity, section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
                                                  general goals listed below:                                                                                   affected species; and
                                                                                                          MMPA states that NMFS must set forth,                    5. An increase in our understanding
                                                     1. Avoidance or minimization of                      ‘‘requirements pertaining to the
                                                  injury or death of marine mammals                                                                             of the effectiveness of certain mitigation
                                                                                                          monitoring and reporting of such                      and monitoring measures.
                                                  wherever possible (goals 2, 3, and 4 may                taking.’’ The MMPA implementing
                                                  contribute to this goal).                               regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(13)                  Proposed Monitoring Measures
                                                     2. A reduction in the numbers of                     indicate that requests for ITAs must
                                                  marine mammals (total number or                                                                               (1) Protected Species Observers
                                                                                                          include the suggested means of
                                                  number at biologically important time                   accomplishing the necessary monitoring                   Aerial monitoring for marine
                                                  or location) exposed to received levels                 and reporting that will result in                     mammals will be conducted by a
                                                  of noises generated from ice overflight                 increased knowledge of the species and                trained protected species observer (PSO)
                                                  surveys, or other activities expected to                of the level of taking or impacts on                  aboard each flight. PSO duties will
                                                  result in the take of marine mammals                    populations of marine mammals that are                include watching for and identifying
                                                  (this goal may contribute to 1, above, or               expected to be present in the proposed                marine mammals, recording their
                                                  to reducing harassment takes only).                     action area. Shell submitted a marine                 numbers, distances from, and potential
                                                     3. A reduction in the number of times                mammal monitoring plan as part of the                 reactions to the presence of the aircraft,
                                                  (total number or number at biologically                 IHA application. It can be found in                   in addition to working with the
                                                  important time or location) individuals                 Appendix B of the Shell’s IHA                         helicopter pilots to identify areas for
                                                  would be exposed to received levels of                  application. The plan may be modified                 landings on ice that is clear of marine
                                                  noises generated from ice overflight                    or supplemented based on comments or                  mammals.
                                                  surveys, or other activities expected to                new information received from the                     (2) Observer Qualifications and Training
                                                  result in the take of marine mammals                    public during the public comment
                                                  (this goal may contribute to 1, above, or                                                                       Observers will have previous marine
                                                                                                          period or from the peer review panel                  mammal observation experience in the
                                                  to reducing harassment takes only).                     (see the ‘‘Monitoring Plan Peer Review’’
                                                     4. A reduction in the intensity of                                                                         Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. All
                                                                                                          section later in this document).                      observers will be trained and familiar
                                                  exposures (either total number or                          Monitoring measures prescribed by
                                                  number at biologically important time                                                                         with the marine mammals of the area,
                                                                                                          NMFS should accomplish one or more                    data collection protocols, reporting
                                                  or location) to received levels of noises               of the following general goals:
                                                  generated from ice overflight surveys, or                                                                     procedures, and required mitigation
                                                                                                             1. An increase in the probability of               measures.
                                                  other activities expected to result in the              detecting marine mammals, both within
                                                  take of marine mammals (this goal may                   the mitigation zone (thus allowing for                (3) Specialized Field Equipment
                                                  contribute to a, above, or to reducing the              more effective implementation of the                    The following specialized field
                                                  severity of harassment takes only).                     mitigation) and in general to generate                equipment for use by the onboard PSO:
                                                     5. Avoidance or minimization of                      more data to contribute to the analyses               Fujinon 7 × 50 binoculars for visual
                                                  adverse effects to marine mammal                        mentioned below;                                      monitoring, a GPS unit to document the
                                                  habitat, paying special attention to the                   2. An increase in our understanding                route of each ice overflight, a laptop
                                                  food base, activities that block or limit               of how many marine mammals are                        computer for data entry, a voice
                                                  passage to or from biologically                         likely to be exposed to levels of noises              recorder to capture detailed
                                                  important areas, permanent destruction                  generated from ice overflight surveys                 observations and data for post flight
                                                  of habitat, or temporary destruction/                   that we associate with specific adverse               entry into the computer, and digital still
                                                  disturbance of habitat during a                         effects, such as behavioral harassment,               cameras.
                                                  biologically important time.                            TTS, or PTS;
                                                     6. For monitoring directly related to                   3. An increase in our understanding                (4) Field Data-Recording
                                                  mitigation—an increase in the                           of how marine mammals respond to                        The observer on the aircraft will
                                                  probability of detecting marine                         stimuli expected to result in take and                record observations directly into
                                                  mammals, thus allowing for more                         how anticipated adverse effects on                    computers using a custom software
                                                  effective implementation of the                         individuals (in different ways and to                 package. The accuracy of the data entry
                                                  mitigation.                                             varying degrees) may impact the                       will be verified in the field by
                                                     Based on our evaluation of the                       population, species, or stock                         computerized validity checks as the
                                                  applicant’s proposed measures, as well                  (specifically through effects on annual               data are entered, and by subsequent
                                                  as other measures considered by NMFS,                   rates of recruitment or survival) through             manual checking following the flight.
                                                  NMFS has preliminarily determined                       any of the following methods:                         Additionally, observers will capture the
                                                  that the proposed mitigation measures                      D Behavioral observations in the                   details of sightings and other
                                                  provide the means of effecting the least                presence of stimuli compared to                       observations with a voice recorder,
                                                  practicable impact on marine mammals                    observations in the absence of stimuli                which will maximize observation time
                                                  species or stocks and their habitat,                    (need to be able to accurately predict                and the collection of data. These
                                                  paying particular attention to rookeries,               received level, distance from source,                 procedures will allow initial summaries
                                                  mating grounds, and areas of similar                    and other pertinent information);                     of data to be prepared during and
                                                                                                             D Physiological measurements in the
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                                                  significance.                                                                                                 shortly after the surveys, and will
                                                     Proposed measures to ensure                          presence of stimuli compared to                       facilitate transfer of the data to
                                                  availability of such species or stock for               observations in the absence of stimuli                statistical, graphical or other programs
                                                  taking for certain subsistence uses are                 (need to be able to accurately predict                for further processing.
                                                  discussed later in this document (see                   received level, distance from source,                   During the course of the flights, the
                                                  ‘‘Impact on Availability of Affected                    and other pertinent information);                     observer will record information for
                                                  Species or Stock for Taking for                            D Distribution and/or abundance                    each sighting including number of
                                                  Subsistence Uses’’ section).                            comparisons in times or areas with                    individuals, approximate age (when


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                                                  11640                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  possible to determine), and any type of                 recommendations made by NMFS must                     by the expected densities of cetaceans
                                                  potential reaction to the aircraft.                     be addressed in the final report prior to             that may occur in the survey area.
                                                  Environmental information the observer                  acceptance by NMFS.                                      Exposures of seals were calculated by
                                                  will record includes weather, air                                                                             multiplying the anticipated area to be
                                                                                                          (2) Notification of Injured or Dead
                                                  temperature, cloud and ice cover,                       Marine Mammals                                        flown over open water and ice in each
                                                  visibility conditions, and wind speed.                                                                        season (winter and spring) by the
                                                                                                             Shell will be required to notify NMFS’             expected densities of seals that may
                                                  Monitoring Plan Peer Review                             Office of Protected Resources and                     occur in the survey area by the
                                                     The MMPA requires that monitoring                    NMFS’ Stranding Network of any                        proportion of seals on ice that may
                                                  plans be independently peer reviewed                    sighting of an injured or dead marine                 actually show a disturbance reaction to
                                                  ‘‘where the proposed activity may affect                mammal. Based on different                            each type of aircraft (Born et al. 1999).
                                                  the availability of a species or stock for              circumstances, Shell may or may not be
                                                  taking for subsistence uses’’ (16 U.S.C.                required to stop operations upon such a               Marine Mammal Density Estimates
                                                  1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III)). Regarding this                 sighting. Shell will provide NMFS with                  Marine mammal density estimates in
                                                  requirement, NMFS’ implementing                         the species or description of the                     the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas have
                                                  regulations state, ‘‘Upon receipt of a                  animal(s), the condition of the animal(s)             been derived for two time periods: the
                                                  complete monitoring plan, and at its                    (including carcass condition if the                   winter period covering November
                                                  discretion, [NMFS] will either submit                   animal is dead), location, time of first              through April, and the spring period
                                                  the plan to members of a peer review                    discovery, observed behaviors (if alive),             including May through early July.
                                                  panel for review or within 60 days of                   and photo or video (if available). The                  There is some uncertainty about the
                                                  receipt of the proposed monitoring plan,                specific language describing what Shell               representativeness of the data and
                                                  schedule a workshop to review the                       must do upon sighting a dead or injured               assumptions used in the calculations.
                                                  plan’’ (50 CFR 216.108(d)).                             marine mammal can be found in the                     To provide some allowance for
                                                     NMFS has established an                              ‘‘Proposed Incidental Harassment                      uncertainties, ‘‘average’’ as well as
                                                  independent peer review panel to                        Authorization’’ section of this                       ‘‘maximum’’ estimates of the numbers of
                                                  review Shell’s 4MP for ice overflight                   document.                                             marine mammals potentially affected
                                                  survey in the Beaufort and Chukchi                      Estimated Take by Incidental                          have been derived. For a few species,
                                                  Seas. The panel is scheduled to meet in                 Harassment                                            several density estimates were available.
                                                  early March 2015, and will provide                                                                            In those cases, the mean and maximum
                                                  comments to NMFS shortly after they                        Except with respect to certain
                                                                                                          activities not pertinent here, the MMPA               estimates were determined from the
                                                  meet. After completion of the peer                                                                            reported densities or survey data. In
                                                  review, NMFS will consider all                          defines ‘‘harassment’’ as: Any act of
                                                                                                          pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)              other cases, only one or no applicable
                                                  recommendations made by the panel,                                                                            estimate was available, so correction
                                                  incorporate appropriate changes into the                has the potential to injure a marine
                                                                                                          mammal or marine mammal stock in the                  factors were used to arrive at ‘‘average’’
                                                  monitoring requirements of the IHA (if                                                                        and ‘‘maximum’’ estimates. These are
                                                  issued), and publish the panel’s findings               wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
                                                                                                          the potential to disturb a marine                     described in detail in the following
                                                  and recommendations in the final IHA                                                                          sections.
                                                  notice of issuance or denial document.                  mammal or marine mammal stock in the
                                                                                                          wild by causing disruption of behavioral                In Polar Regions, most pinnipeds are
                                                  Reporting Measures                                      patterns, including, but not limited to,              associated with sea ice and typical
                                                                                                          migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,              census methods involve counting
                                                  (1) Final Report                                                                                              pinnipeds when they are hauled out on
                                                                                                          feeding, or sheltering [Level B
                                                    The results of Shell’s ice overflight                 harassment]. Only take by Level B                     ice. In the Beaufort Sea, abundance
                                                  monitoring report will be presented in                  behavioral harassment is anticipated as               surveys typically occur in spring when
                                                  the ‘‘90-day’’ final report, as required by             a result of the proposed ice overflight               ringed seals emerge from their lairs
                                                  NMFS under the proposed IHA. The                        surveys.                                              (Frost et al. 2004). Depending on the
                                                  initial final report is due to NMFS                        As discussed earlier in this document,             species and study, a correction factor for
                                                  within 90 days after the expiration of                  potential noise impacts to marine                     the proportion of animals hauled out at
                                                  the IHA (if issued). The report will                    mammals from ice overflight surveys                   any one time may or may not have been
                                                  include:                                                would be limited in a 26° cone under                  applied (depending on whether an
                                                    • Summaries of monitoring effort:                     the flight path. The intensity of noise               appropriate correction factor was
                                                  Total hours, total distances flown, and                 enters the water depends on the altitude              available for the particular species, area,
                                                  environmental conditions during                         of the aircraft (Richardson et al. 1995).             and time period). By applying a
                                                  surveys;                                                Scattering and absorption, however, will              correction factor, the density of the
                                                    • Summaries of occurrence, species                    limit lateral propagation in the shallow              pinniped species in an area can be
                                                  composition, and distribution of all                    water (Greene and Moore 1995).                        estimated.
                                                  marine mammal sightings including                                                                               Detectability bias, quantified in part
                                                  date, numbers, age/size/gender                          Basis for Estimating ‘‘Take by                        by f(0), is associated with diminishing
                                                  categories (when discernible), group                    Harassment’’                                          sightability with increasing lateral
                                                  sizes, ice cover and other environmental                  Exposures were calculated in the                    distance from the survey trackline.
                                                  variables; data will be visualized by                   following sections for cetaceans and                  Availability bias, g(0), refers to the fact
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                                                  plotting sightings relative to the position             seals. The methods used to estimate                   that there is <100 percent probability of
                                                  of the aircraft; and                                    exposure for each species group was                   sighting an animal that is present along
                                                    • Analyses of the potential effects of                fundamentally the same with minor                     the survey trackline. Some sources
                                                  ice overflights on marine mammals and                   differences as described below.                       below included these correction factors
                                                  the number of individuals that may                      Exposure estimates for cetaceans were                 in the reported densities (e.g. ringed
                                                  have been disturbed by aircraft.                        calculated by multiplying the                         seals in Bengtson et al. 2005) and the
                                                    The ‘‘90-day’’ report will be subject to              anticipated area to be flown over open                best available correction factors were
                                                  review and comment by NMFS. Any                         water each season (winter and spring)                 applied to reported results when they


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                            11641

                                                  had not already been included (e.g.                     (2) Cetaceans: Spring                                 surveys were not used to estimate
                                                  bearded seals in Bengtson et al. 2005).                 (A) Beluga Whales                                     summer densities in this region. The
                                                                                                                                                                three surveys in July of 2008 resulted in
                                                  (1) Cetaceans: Winter                                      Spring densities of beluga whales in               density estimates of 0.0099, 0.0717, and
                                                  (A) Beluga Whales                                       offshore waters are expected to be low,               0.0186 bowhead whales/km2,
                                                                                                          with somewhat higher densities in ice-                respectively (Christie et al. 2010). The
                                                    Beluga whale density estimates were                   margin and nearshore areas. Past aerial
                                                  calculated based on aerial survey data                                                                        estimate of 0.0186 whales/km2 was used
                                                                                                          surveys have recorded few belugas in                  as the average nearshore density and the
                                                  collected in October in the eastern                     the offshore Chukchi Sea during the
                                                  Alaskan Beaufort Sea by the NMML (as                                                                          estimate of 0 0.0717 whales/km2 was
                                                                                                          summer months and belugas are most                    used as the maximum. Sea ice was not
                                                  part of the BWASP program funded by                     likely encountered in offshore waters of
                                                  BOEMRE) in 2007–2010. They reported                                                                           present during these surveys. Moore et
                                                                                                          the eastern Alaskan Beaufort Sea (Moore               al. (2000) reported that bowhead whales
                                                  31 sightings of 66 individual whales                    et al. 2000). More recent aerial surveys              in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea were
                                                  during 1597 km of on-transect effort                    from 2008–2012 flown by the National                  distributed uniformly relative to sea ice.
                                                  over waters 200–2000 m deep. An f(0)                    Marine Mammal Laboratory (NMML) as
                                                  value of 2.326 was applied and it was                   part of the Chukchi Offshore Monitoring               (C) Gray Whales
                                                  calculated using beluga whale sightings                 in Drilling Area (COMIDA) project, now                   Gray whales are expected to be
                                                  data collected in the Canadian Beaufort                 part of the Aerial Surveys of Arctic                  present in the Chukchi Sea but are
                                                  Sea (Innes et al. 2002). A g(0) value of                Marine Mammals (ASAMM) project,                       unlikely in the Beaufort Sea. Moore et
                                                  0.419 was used that represents a                        reported 10 beluga sightings (22                      al. (2000) found the distribution of gray
                                                  combination of ga(0) = 0.55 (Innes et al.               individuals) in offshore waters during                whales in Chukchi Sea was scattered
                                                  2002) and gd(0) = 0.762 (Harwood et al.                 22,154 km of on-transect effort. Larger               and limited to nearshore areas where
                                                  1996). The resulting densities were then                groups of beluga whales were recorded                 most whales were observed in water less
                                                  multiplied by 0.10 because the Beaufort                 in nearshore areas, especially in June                than 35m deep. The average open-water
                                                  Sea and north-eastern Chukchi Sea is                    and July during the spring migration                  summer density (Table 2) was
                                                  believed to be at the edge of the species’              (Clarke and Ferguson in prep; Clarke et               calculated from 2008–2012 aerial survey
                                                  range in by November. Belugas typically                 al. 2012, 2013). Effort and sightings                 effort and sightings in Clarke and
                                                  migrate into the Bering Sea for the                     reported by Clarke and Ferguson (in                   Ferguson (in prep) and Clarke et al.
                                                  winter (Allen and Angliss 2014) and are                 prep.) and Clarke et al. (2012, 2013)                 (2012, 2013) for water depths 36–50 m
                                                  not expected to be present in the study                 were used to calculate the average open-              including 98 sightings (137 individuals)
                                                  area in the winter. Satellite tagging data              water density estimate.                               during 22,154 km of on-transect effort.
                                                  support this and indicate belugas                          Those aerial surveys recorded 10 on-               The average group size of those
                                                  migrate out of the Beaufort Sea in the                  transect beluga sightings (22                         sightings was 1.4. Correction factors f(0)
                                                  October–November period (Suydam et                      individuals) during 22,154 km of on                   = 2.49 (Forney and Barlow 1998) and
                                                  al. 2005).                                              transect effort in waters 36–50 m deep                g(0) = 0.30 (Forney and Barlow 1998,
                                                  (B) Bowhead Whales                                      in the Chukchi Sea during July and                    Mallonee 1991) were used to calculate
                                                                                                          August. The mean group size of the                    and average open-water density of
                                                     Bowhead whale density estimates in                   sightings was 2.2. An f(0) value of 2.841             0.0253 gray whales/km2 (Table 2). The
                                                  the winter in the planned ice overflight                and g(0) value of 0.58 from Harwood et                highest density from the survey periods
                                                  area are expected to be quite low. Miller               al. (1996) were also used in the density              reported in Clarke and Ferguson (in
                                                  et al. (2002) presented a 10-day moving                 calculation resulting in an average open-             prep) and Clarke et al. (2012, 2013) was
                                                  average of bowhead whale abundance in                   water density of 0.0024 belugas/km2.                  0.0268 gray whales/km2 in 2012 and
                                                  the eastern Beaufort Sea using data from                Specific data on the relative abundance               this was used as the maximum open-
                                                  1979–2000 that showed a decrease of                     of beluga whales in open-water versus                 water density.
                                                  ∼90% from early to late October. Based                  ice-margin habitat during the summer in
                                                  on these data, it is expected that almost                                                                     (3) Pinnipeds: Winter
                                                                                                          the Chukchi Sea is not available.
                                                  all whales that had been in the Chukchi                 However, belugas are commonly                         (A) Ringed Seals
                                                  Sea during early October would likely                   associated with ice, particularly ice                    Ringed seal densities were taken from
                                                  have migrated beyond the survey areas                   edges and adjacent polynyas, so an                    offshore aerial surveys of the pack ice
                                                  by November–December. In addition,                      inflation factor of 4 was used to estimate            zone conducted in spring 1999 and 2000
                                                  kernel density estimates and animal                     the ice-margin densities from the open-               (Bengtson et al. 2005). Seal distribution
                                                  tracklines generated from satellite-                    water densities.                                      and density in spring, prior to break-up,
                                                  tagged bowhead whales, along with                                                                             are thought to reflect distribution
                                                  acoustic monitoring data, suggest that                  (B) Bowhead Whales
                                                                                                                                                                patterns established earlier in the year
                                                  few bowhead whales are present in the                      Eastward migrating bowhead whales                  (i.e., during the winter months; Frost et
                                                  proposed survey area in November (near                  were recorded during industry aerial                  al. 2004). The average density from
                                                  Point Barrow), and no whales were                       surveys of the continental shelf near                 those two years (weighted by survey
                                                  present in December (ADFG 2010;                         Camden Bay in 2008 until 12 July                      effort) was 0.4892 seals/km2. This value
                                                  Moore et al. 2010). Therefore, minimal                  (Christie et al. 2010). No bowhead                    served as the average density while the
                                                  density estimates (0.0001whales/km2)                    sightings were recorded again, despite                highest density from the two years
                                                  were used.                                              continued flights, until 19 August.                   (0.8100 seals/km2 in 1999) was used as
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                                                                                                          Aerial surveys by industry operators did              the maximum density.
                                                  (C) Gray whales                                         not begin until late August of 2006 and
                                                    Gray whales may be encountered as                     2007, but in both years bowheads were                 (B) Other Seal Species
                                                  they have been detected near Pt. Barrow                 also recorded in the region before the                  Other seal species are not expected to
                                                  throughout the winter (Moore et al.                     end of August (Lyons et al. 2009). The                be present in the ice overflight survey
                                                  2006, Stafford et al. 2007), but they are               late August sightings were likely of                  area in large numbers during the winter
                                                  expected to be very rare. Thus no                       bowheads beginning their fall migration               period of the ice overflights. Bearded,
                                                  density estimate is available.                          so the densities calculated from those                spotted, and ribbon seals would be


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                                                  11642                                  Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  present in the area in smaller numbers                                    during summer (Lowry et al. 1994,                                      open water. We applied the most
                                                  than ringed seals during spring through                                   1998). Ribbon seals have been reported                                 conservative of these percentages to the
                                                  fall summer, but these less common seal                                   in very small numbers within the                                       proposed tracklines in winter and
                                                  species generally migrate into the                                        Chukchi Sea by observers on industry                                   spring to estimate the area of open water
                                                  southern Chukchi and Bering Seas                                          vessels (Patterson et al. 2007, Hartin et                              exposed by planned ice overflights.
                                                  during fall and remain there through the                                  al. 2013).                                                                The potential disturbance area for
                                                  winter (Allen and Angliss 2014). Few                                      (A) Ringed Seal and Bearded Seal                                       each season was based on flight altitude
                                                  satellite-tagging studies have been                                                                                                              and lateral distance of cetaceans from
                                                  conducted on these species in the                                            Ringed seal and bearded seal
                                                                                                                            ‘‘average’’ and ‘‘maximum’’ spring                                     the center trackline. Based on known
                                                  Beaufort Sea, winter surveys have not                                                                                                            air-to-water propagation paths,
                                                  been conducted, and a few bearded                                         densities were available in Bengtson et
                                                                                                                            al. (2005) from spring surveys in the                                  cetaceans may be exposed to sounds
                                                  seals have been reported over the                                                                                                                produced by the aircraft when
                                                  continental shelf in spring prior to                                      offshore pack ice zone (zone 12P) of the
                                                                                                                            northern Chukchi Sea. However,                                         individuals are up to 13 degrees from
                                                  general break-up. However, the tracks of                                                                                                         the aircraft’s center (Snell’s law; Urick
                                                  three bearded seals tagged in 2009                                        corrections for bearded seal availability,
                                                                                                                            g(0), based on haulout and diving                                      1972 in Richardson et al. 1995). It was
                                                  moved south into the Bering Sea along
                                                                                                                            patterns were not available.                                           assumed that cetaceans in open water
                                                  the continental shelf by November
                                                                                                                                                                                                   could be disturbed within 13 degrees of
                                                  (Cameron and Boveng 2009). These                                          (B) Spotted Seal                                                       vertical (i.e., a 26-degree cone) from the
                                                  species would be more common in the
                                                                                                                              Little information on spotted seal                                   location of an aircraft when aircraft are
                                                  area during spring through fall, but it is
                                                                                                                            densities in offshore areas of the                                     305 m (1,000 ft) or lower. NMFS
                                                  possible that some individuals, bearded                                   Alaskan Arctic is available. Spotted seal                              considers aircraft above this altitude
                                                  seals in particular, may be present in the                                densities in the spring were estimated                                 would not appreciably disturb cetaceans
                                                  area surveyed in winter. Ribbon seals                                     by multiplying the ringed seal densities                               in open water below. This 305-m
                                                  are unlikely to be present in the survey                                  by 0.02. This was based on the ratio of                                maximum disturbance altitude and
                                                  area during winter as they also migrate                                   the estimated occurrence of the two                                    Snell’s law results in a maximum
                                                  southward from the northeastern                                           species during ice overflight surveys                                  potential disturbance radius of
                                                  Chukchi Sea during this period. In the                                    and the assumption that the vast                                       approximately 70 m. Based on Snell’s
                                                  absence of better information from the                                    majority of seals present in areas of pack                             law (Richardson et al. 1995) and a 305
                                                  published literature or other sources                                     ice would be ringed seals (Funk et al.,                                m flight altitude, we used a conservative
                                                  that would indicate that significant                                      2010; 2013).                                                           radius of 75 m to calculate the potential
                                                  numbers of any of these species might
                                                                                                                            (C) Ribbon Seal                                                        disturbance area beneath an aircraft for
                                                  be present during winter, minimal
                                                                                                                                                                                                   cetaceans in open-water conditions.
                                                  density estimates were used for these                                       Four ribbon seal sightings were
                                                  species. Estimates for bearded seals                                      reported during industry vessel                                           Table 2 summarizes potential
                                                  were assumed to be slightly higher than                                   operations in the Chukchi Sea in 2006–                                 disturbance radii, maximum flight
                                                  those for spotted and ribbon seals.                                       2010 (Hartin et al. 2013). The resulting                               distances over open water, and potential
                                                                                                                            density estimate of 0.0007/km2 was                                     disturbance areas for cetaceans from
                                                  (4) Pinnipeds: Spring                                                                                                                            fixed wing aircraft and helicopters
                                                                                                                            used as the average density and 4 times
                                                    Three species of pinnipeds under                                        that was used as the maximum for the                                   during Shell’s proposed ice overflights
                                                  NMFS’ jurisdiction are likely to be                                       spring season.                                                         program in winter (November through
                                                  encountered in the Chukchi and                                                                                                                   April) and spring (May through early
                                                  Beaufort Seas during planned ice                                          Estimated Areas Where Cetaceans May                                    July). Maximum percentage of total
                                                  overflights in spring of 2015: ringed,                                    Be Encountered by Aircraft                                             trackline over open water, as based on
                                                  bearded, and spotted seals. Ringed and                                       Encounters that may result in                                       previous surveys, is 10% and 20% of
                                                  bearded seals are associated with both                                    potential disturbance of cetaceans will                                the total trackline for winter and spring,
                                                  the ice margin and the nearshore open                                     likely occur only in open water. Flight                                respectively. Based on maximum flight
                                                  water area during spring. Spotted seals                                   paths over open water and adjacent ice                                 distances, percent open water, and a
                                                  are often considered to be                                                edges will be minimized by the                                         potential disturbance radius of 75 m for
                                                  predominantly a coastal species except                                    objectives of the program as an effort to                              fixed wing aircraft and helicopters, a
                                                  in the spring when they may be found                                      reduce encounters with cetaceans. It is                                total of 169 km2 of open-water could be
                                                  in the southern margin of the retreating                                  estimated that five to ten percent of                                  disturbed. Approximately 45% of this
                                                  sea ice. However, satellite tagging has                                   distance flown in winter will be over                                  total estimated open-water area would
                                                  shown that some individuals undertake                                     open water, and ten to twenty percent                                  be surveyed in winter and the remaining
                                                  long excursions into offshore waters                                      of distance flown in spring will be over                               55% would be surveyed during spring.

                                                   TABLE 2—POTENTIAL DISTURBANCE RADII, MAXIMUM FLIGHT DISTANCES OVER OPEN WATER, AND POTENTIAL DISTURB-
                                                      ANCE AREAS FOR CETACEANS IN OPEN WATER FROM FIXED WING AIRCRAFT AND HELICOPTERS IN THE CHUKCHI
                                                      AND BEAUFORT SEAS, ALASKA, DURING THE PROPOSED 2015–2016 ICE OVERFLIGHT SURVEY PROGRAM

                                                                                                                                                                                        Maximum open water flight     Potential disturbance
                                                                                                                                                                  Potential                    distance                        area
                                                                                                                                                                 disturbance
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                                                                                                  Aircraft                                                                                       (km)                         (km2)
                                                                                                                                                                    radius
                                                                                                                                                                     (km)
                                                                                                                                                                                          Winter         Spring        Winter        Spring

                                                  Fixed Wing ...............................................................................................               0.075               463             556              69            83
                                                  Helicopter .................................................................................................             0.075                37              74               6            11

                                                        Grand Totals .....................................................................................       ....................          500             630              75            94



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                                                                                         Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                                                      11643

                                                  Estimated Areas Where Seals May Be                                        ice to aircraft. The threshold lateral                                polar bear tagging in 2011 and 2012, in
                                                  Encountered by Aircraft                                                   distances from the aircraft trackline out                             which an IHA was issued by NMFS
                                                                                                                            to which the vast majority of reactions                               (NMFS 2011).
                                                     Fixed wing and helicopter flights over                                 were observed were 600 and 1500 m for
                                                  ice at ice overflight survey altitudes                                                                                                             Table 3 summarizes potential
                                                                                                                            fixed wing aircraft and helicopters,                                  disturbance radii, maximum flight
                                                  have the potential to disturb seals                                       respectively. Many individual ringed
                                                  hauled out on ice, although the flight                                                                                                          distances, and potential disturbance
                                                                                                                            seals within these distances; however,
                                                  altitude and lateral distances at which                                                                                                         areas for seals from fixed wing aircraft
                                                                                                                            did not react (Born et al. 1999). Results
                                                  seals may react to aircraft are highly                                                                                                          and helicopters during Shell’s proposed
                                                                                                                            indicated ∼6% and ∼49% of total seals
                                                  variable (Born et al. 1999; Burns et al.                                  observed reacted to fixed wing aircraft                               ice overflights program in winter
                                                  1982; Burns and Frost 1979). The                                          and helicopters, respectively, by                                     (November through April) and spring
                                                  probability of a seal hauled out on ice                                   entering the water when aircraft were                                 (May through early July). Based on
                                                  reacting to a fixed wing aircraft or                                      flown over ice at altitudes similar to                                maximum flight distances and potential
                                                  helicopter is influenced by a                                             those proposed for Shell’s ice overflight                             disturbance radii of 600 and 1500 m for
                                                  combination of variables such as flight                                   surveys as described in the Description                               fixed wing aircraft and helicopters,
                                                  altitude, lateral distance from the                                       of the Specific Activity section. These                               respectively, a total of 11,112 km2 (of
                                                  aircraft, ambient conditions (e.g., wind                                  lateral distances and reaction                                        sea ice could be disturbed. Based on
                                                  chill), activity, and time of day (Born et                                probabilities were used as guidelines for                             Born et al.’s (1999) observations,
                                                  al. 1999). Evidence from flyover studies                                  estimating the area of sea ice habitat                                however, it is estimated that only ∼6
                                                  of ringed and bearded seals suggests that                                 within which hauled out seals may be                                  and ∼49% of seals in these areas will
                                                  a reaction to helicopters is more                                         disturbed by aircraft and the number of                               exhibit a notable reaction to fixed wing
                                                  common than to fixed wing aircraft, all                                   seals that might react. Born et al. 1999,                             aircraft and helicopters, respectively, by
                                                  else being equal (Born et al. 1999; Burns                                 also was used as a guideline in a similar                             entering the water. Approximately 60%
                                                  and Frost 1979).                                                          fashion for estimating the numbers of                                 of this total area would be surveyed in
                                                     Born et al. (1999) investigated the                                    seals that would react to helicopters                                 winter and the remaining 40% would be
                                                  reactions of ringed seals hauled out on                                   during US Fish and Wildlife Service                                   surveyed during spring.

                                                   TABLE 3—POTENTIAL DISTURBANCE RADII, MAXIMUM FLIGHT DISTANCES OVER OPEN WATER, AND POTENTIAL DISTURB-
                                                      ANCE AREAS FOR SEALS IN OPEN WATER FROM FIXED WING AIRCRAFT AND HELICOPTERS IN THE CHUKCHI AND
                                                      BEAUFORT SEAS, ALASKA, DURING THE PROPOSED 2015–2016 ICE OVERFLIGHT SURVEY PROGRAM
                                                                                                                                                                  Potential             Maximum flight distance     Potential disturbance area
                                                                                                                                                                 disturbance                   (km)                            (km2)
                                                                                                  Aircraft                                                          radius
                                                                                                                                                                     (km)                Winter         Spring        Winter         Spring

                                                  Fixed Wing ...............................................................................................                    0.6          4,630          2,778         5,557          3,335
                                                  Helicopter .................................................................................................                  1.5            370            370         1,110          1,110

                                                        Grand Totals .....................................................................................       ....................        5,000          3,148         6,667          4,445



                                                  Potential Number of ‘‘Takes by                                               The numbers of individual cetaceans                                overflights. The estimates are based on
                                                  Harassment’’                                                              potentially disturbed were then                                       a consideration of the proposed flight
                                                                                                                            summed for each species across the two                                distances, proximity of seals to the
                                                  (1) Cetaceans
                                                                                                                            seasons.                                                              aircraft trackline, and the proportion of
                                                    This subsection provides estimates of                                      Estimates of the average and                                       ice seals present that might actually be
                                                  the number of individual cetaceans that                                   maximum number of individual                                          disturbed appreciably (i.e. moving from
                                                  could potentially be disturbed by                                         cetaceans that may be disturbed are                                   the ice into the water) by flight
                                                  aircraft during Shell’s proposed ice                                      shown by season in Table 4. Less than                                 operations in the Chukchi and Beaufort
                                                  overflights. The estimates are based on                                   one individual of each cetacean species                               Seas and the anticipated area that could
                                                  an estimate of the anticipated open-                                      was estimated to be disturbed in winter.                              be subjected to disturbance from
                                                  water area that could be subjected to                                     This was due to the low density of                                    overflights.
                                                  disturbance from overflights, proximity                                                                                                            The number of individuals of each ice
                                                                                                                            cetaceans in the survey area in winter
                                                  of cetaceans in open water to the                                                                                                               seal species potentially disturbed by
                                                                                                                            and extensive ice cover during this
                                                  aircraft, and expected cetacean densities                                                                                                       fixed wing aircraft or helicopters was
                                                                                                                            period. In spring, a few beluga whales,
                                                  in those areas during each season.                                                                                                              estimated by multiplying:
                                                                                                                            bowhead whales, and gray whales are                                      • The potential disturbance area from
                                                    The number of individuals of each                                       estimated to potentially be disturbed
                                                  cetacean species potentially disturbed                                                                                                          each aircraft (fixed wing and helicopter)
                                                                                                                            during ice overflights when aircraft                                  for each season (winter and spring), by
                                                  by fixed wing aircraft or helicopters was                                 transit over open water for short                                        • The expected seal density in each
                                                  estimated by multiplying:                                                 periods. The numbers of individuals                                   season, and by
                                                    • The potential disturbance area from                                   exposed represent very small                                             • The expected proportion of seals
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                                                  each aircraft (fixed wing and helicopter)                                 proportions of their populations.                                     expected to react to each type of aircraft
                                                  for each season (winter and spring), by                                                                                                         in a way that could be interpreted as
                                                                                                                            (2) Pinnipeds
                                                    • The percentage of survey area                                                                                                               disturbance.
                                                  expected to be over open water as                                           This subsection provides estimates of                                  The numbers of individuals
                                                  opposed to ice in each season, by                                         the number of individual ice seals that                               potentially disturbed were then
                                                    • The expected cetacean density for                                     could potentially be disturbed by                                     summed for each species across the two
                                                  each season.                                                              aircraft during Shell’s proposed ice                                  seasons.


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                                                  11644                                  Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                    Estimates of the average number of                                      assumed that ∼6 and ∼49% of seals                                      overflights is 793 individuals, which
                                                  individual seals that may be disturbed                                    would react within lateral distances of                                represents only a small proportion of
                                                  are shown by season in Table 4. The                                       600 and 1,500 m of fixed wing aircraft                                 the estimated population of ringed seals
                                                  estimates shown represent proportions                                     and helicopters, respectively.                                         in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas.
                                                  of the total number of seals encountered                                    Ringed seal is by far the most                                       Fewer individuals of other pinniped
                                                  that may actually demonstrate a                                           abundant species expected to be                                        species are estimated to be encountered
                                                  disturbance reaction to each type of                                      encountered during the planned ice                                     during ice overflights, also representing
                                                  aircraft. Estimates shown in Table 4                                      overflights. The best (average) estimate                               very small proportions of their
                                                  were based on Born et al. 1999, which                                     of the numbers of ringed seals                                         populations.
                                                                                                                            potentially disturbed during ice
                                                   TABLE 4—THE TOTAL NUMBER OF POTENTIAL EXPOSURES OF MARINE MAMMALS DURING THE SHELL’S PROPOSED ICE
                                                      OVERFLIGHT SURVEYS IN THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEAS, ALASKA, 2015–2016. ESTIMATES ARE ALSO SHOWN
                                                      AS A PERCENT OF EACH POPULATION

                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Number         Percent
                                                                                                                  Species                                                                          Abundance       potential     estimated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   exposure      population

                                                  Beluga (E. Chukchi Sea) .............................................................................................................                  3,710               1         0.027
                                                  Beluga whale (Beaufort Sea) ......................................................................................................                    39,258               1         0.003
                                                  Bowhead whale ...........................................................................................................................             19,534               2         0.010
                                                  Gray whale ...................................................................................................................................        19,126               2         0.010
                                                  Bearded seal ................................................................................................................................        155,000              11         0.007
                                                  Ribbon seal ..................................................................................................................................        49,000               1         0.002
                                                  Ringed seal ..................................................................................................................................       300,000             793         0.264
                                                  Spotted seal .................................................................................................................................       141,479               7         0.005



                                                  Analysis and Preliminary                                                  activities is most likely to be behavioral                             increasing at a rate of 3.4% annually for
                                                  Determinations                                                            harassment and is expected to be of                                    nearly a decade (Allen and Angliss,
                                                                                                                            brief duration and the aircraft flies by.                              2011), even in the face of ongoing
                                                  Negligible Impact
                                                                                                                            Although it is possible that some                                      industrial activity. Additionally, during
                                                     Negligible impact is ‘‘an impact                                       individuals may be exposed to sounds                                   the 2001 census, 121 calves were
                                                  resulting from the specified activity that                                from aircraft overflight more than once,                               counted, which was the highest yet
                                                  cannot be reasonably expected to, and is                                  during the migratory periods it is less                                recorded. The calf count provides
                                                  not reasonably likely to, adversely affect                                likely that this will occur since animals                              corroborating evidence for a healthy and
                                                  the species or stock through effects on                                   will continue to move across the                                       increasing population (Allen and
                                                  annual rates of recruitment or survival’’                                 Chukchi Sea towards their wintering                                    Angliss, 2011). Certain stocks or
                                                  (50 CFR 216.103). A negligible impact                                     grounds.                                                               populations of gray and beluga whales
                                                  finding is based on the lack of likely                                       Aircraft flyovers are not heard                                     and spotted seals are listed as
                                                  adverse effects on annual rates of                                        underwater for very long, especially                                   endangered or are proposed for listing
                                                  recruitment or survival (i.e., population-                                when compared to how long they are                                     under the ESA; however, none of those
                                                  level effects). An estimate of the number                                 heard in air as the aircraft approaches                                stocks or populations occur in the
                                                  of Level B harassment takes, alone, is                                    an observer. Very few cetaceans are                                    proposed activity area. Ringed seals
                                                  not enough information on which to                                        expected to be encountered during ice                                  were recently listed under the ESA as
                                                  base an impact determination. In                                          overflights due to the low density of                                  threatened species. On July 25, 2014 the
                                                  addition to considering estimates of the                                  cetacean species in the winter survey                                  U.S. District Court for the District of
                                                  number of marine mammals that might                                       area and small area to be flown over                                   Alaska vacated the rule listing to the
                                                  be ‘‘taken’’ through behavioral                                           open water during spring. Long-term or                                 Beringia bearded seal DPS and
                                                  harassment, NMFS must consider other                                      population level effects are not                                       remanded the rule to NMFS to correct
                                                  factors, such as the likely nature of any                                 expected. The majority of seals
                                                  responses (their intensity, duration,                                                                                                            the deficiencies identified in the
                                                                                                                            encountered by fixed wing aircraft will
                                                  etc.), the context of any responses                                                                                                              opinion. None of the other species that
                                                                                                                            unlikely show a notable disturbance
                                                  (critical reproductive time or location,                                                                                                         may occur in the project area is listed
                                                                                                                            reaction, and approximately half of the
                                                  migration, etc.), as well as the number                                                                                                          as threatened or endangered under the
                                                                                                                            seals encountered by helicopters may
                                                  and nature of estimated Level A                                                                                                                  ESA or designated as depleted under the
                                                                                                                            react by moving from ice into the water.
                                                  harassment takes, the number of                                                                                                                  MMPA. There is currently no
                                                                                                                            Any potential disturbance from aircraft
                                                  estimated mortalities, effects on habitat,                                                                                                       established critical habitat in the
                                                                                                                            to seals in the area of ice overflights will
                                                  and the status of the species.                                                                                                                   proposed project area for any of these
                                                                                                                            be localized and short-term in duration
                                                     No injuries or mortalities are                                                                                                                seven species.
                                                                                                                            with no population level effects
                                                  anticipated to occur as a result of Shell’s                                  Of the seven marine mammal species                                    Potential impacts to marine mammal
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                                                  proposed ice overflight surveys in the                                    likely to occur in the proposed ice                                    habitat were discussed previously in
                                                  Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, and none                                       overflight survey area, only the                                       this document (see the ‘‘Anticipated
                                                  are proposed to be authorized.                                            bowhead whale and ringed seal are                                      Effects on Habitat’’ section). Although
                                                  Additionally, animals in the area are not                                 listed as endangered under the ESA.                                    some disturbance is possible to food
                                                  expected to incur hearing impairment                                      These two species are also designated as                               sources of marine mammals, the
                                                  (i.e., TTS or PTS) or non-auditory                                        ‘‘depleted’’ under the MMPA. Despite                                   impacts are anticipated to be minor.
                                                  physiological effects. Instead, any                                       these designations, the Bering-Chukchi-                                Based on the vast size of the Arctic
                                                  impact that could result from Shell’s                                     Beaufort stock of bowheads has been                                    Ocean where feeding by marine


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                             11645

                                                  mammals occurs versus the localized                     harvest. Along with the nourishment                   mitigation measures to avoid such
                                                  area of the ice overflight surveys, any                 necessary for survival, the subsistence               impacts. These mitigation measures
                                                  missed feeding opportunities in the                     activities strengthen bonds within the                include minimum flight altitudes, use of
                                                  direct project area would be of little                  culture, provide a means for educating                CLOs, SAs, and Communication
                                                  consequence, as marine mammals                          the younger generation, provide                       Centers. SA calls will be held while
                                                  would have access to other feeding                      supplies for artistic expression, and                 subsistence activities are underway
                                                  grounds.                                                allow for important celebratory events.               during the ice overflight survey program
                                                    Based on the analysis contained                                                                             and are attended by operations staff,
                                                                                                          Bowhead Whale
                                                  herein of the likely effects of the                                                                           logistics staff, and CLOs. Aircraft flights
                                                  specified activity on marine mammals                       Activities associated with Shell’s                 are adjusted as needed and planned in
                                                  and their habitat, and taking into                      planned ice overflight survey program is              a manner that avoids potential impacts
                                                  consideration the implementation of the                 not likely to have an un-mitigable                    to beluga whale hunts and other
                                                  proposed monitoring and mitigation                      adverse impact on the availability of                 subsistence activities. With these
                                                  measures, NMFS preliminarily finds                      bowhead whales for taking for                         mitigation measures any effects on the
                                                  that the total marine mammal take from                  subsistence uses. Ice overflight surveys              beluga whale as a subsistence resource,
                                                  Shell’s proposed 2015 ice overflight                    that may occur near Point Lay,                        or effects on beluga subsistence hunts
                                                  surveys in the Chukchi and Beaufort                     Wainwright, Barrow, Nuiqsut, and                      would be minimal.
                                                  Seas will have a negligible impact on                   Kaktovik would traverse bowhead
                                                                                                          subsistence areas. Most flights would                 Seals
                                                  the affected marine mammal species or
                                                  stocks.                                                 take place after the date of fall and prior              Seals are an important subsistence
                                                                                                          to spring bowhead whale hunting from                  resource with ringed and bearded seals
                                                  Small Numbers                                           the villages. The most commonly                       making up the bulk of the seal harvest.
                                                     The estimated takes proposed to be                   observed reactions of bowheads to                     The survey areas are far outside of areas
                                                  authorized represent less than 0.3% of                  aircraft traffic are hasty dives, but                 reportedly utilized for the harvest of
                                                  the affected population or stock for all                changes in orientation, dispersal, and                seals by the villages of Point Hope, thus
                                                  species in the survey area.                             changes in activity are sometimes noted.              the ice overflight surveys will not have
                                                     Based on the analysis contained                      Such reactions could potentially affect               an un-mitigable adverse impact on the
                                                  herein of the likely effects of the                     subsistence hunts if the flights occurred             availability of ice seals for taking for
                                                  specified activity on marine mammals                    near and at the same time as the hunt.                subsistence uses. The survey areas
                                                  and their habitat, and taking into                      Shell has developed and proposes to                   encompass some areas utilized by
                                                  consideration the implementation of the                 implement a number of mitigation                      residents of Point Lay, Wainwright,
                                                  mitigation and monitoring measures,                     measures to avoid such impacts. These                 Barrow, Nuiqsut and Kaktovik for the
                                                  NMFS preliminarily finds that small                     mitigation measures include minimum                   harvest of seals. Most ringed and
                                                  numbers of marine mammals will be                       flight altitudes, use of Village                      bearded seals are harvested in the
                                                  taken relative to the populations of the                Community Liaison Officers (CLOs),                    winter and a harvest of seals could
                                                  affected species or stocks.                             Subsistence Advisors (SAs), and                       possibly be affected by Shell’s planned
                                                                                                          Communication Centers in order to                     activities. Spotted seals are harvested
                                                  Impact on Availability of Affected                      avoid conflicts with subsistence                      during the summer and may overlap
                                                  Species or Stock for Taking for                         activities. SA calls will be held while               briefly with Shell’s planned activities.
                                                  Subsistence Uses                                        subsistence activities are underway                   Most seals are harvested in coastal
                                                  Potential Impacts to Subsistence Uses                   during the ice overflight survey program              waters, with available maps of recent
                                                                                                          and are attended by operations staff,                 and past subsistence use areas
                                                     NMFS has defined ‘‘unmitigable                       logistics staff, and CLOs. Aircraft flights           indicating that seal harvests have
                                                  adverse impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as:                  are adjusted as needed and planned in                 occurred only within 30–40 mi (48–64
                                                  ‘‘an impact resulting from the specified                a manner that avoids potential impacts                km) off the coastline. Some of the
                                                  activity: (1) That is likely to reduce the              to bowhead whale hunts and other                      planned ice overflight surveys would
                                                  availability of the species to a level                  subsistence activities. With these                    take place in areas used by the village
                                                  insufficient for a harvest to meet                      mitigation measures any effects on the                residents for the harvest of seals. The
                                                  subsistence needs by: (i) Causing the                   bowhead whale as a subsistence                        survey aircraft could potentially travel
                                                  marine mammals to abandon or avoid                      resource, or effects on bowhead                       over areas used by residents for seal
                                                  hunting areas; (ii) Directly displacing                 subsistence hunts would be minimal.                   hunting and could potentially disturb
                                                  subsistence users; or (iii) Placing                                                                           seals and, therefore, subsistence hunts
                                                  physical barriers between the marine                    Beluga Whale                                          for seals. Any such effects from the
                                                  mammals and the subsistence hunters;                       Activities associated with Shell’s                 survey activities would be minimal due
                                                  and (2) That cannot be sufficiently                     planned ice overflight survey program                 to the infrequency of the planned
                                                  mitigated by other measures to increase                 will not have an un-mitigable adverse                 surveys. Shell has developed and
                                                  the availability of marine mammals to                   impact on the availability of beluga                  proposes to implement a number of
                                                  allow subsistence needs to be met.                      whales for taking for subsistence uses.               mitigation measures which include a
                                                     Subsistence hunting continues to be                     Ice overflight surveys may occur near              proposed 4MP, use of CLOs, SAs,
                                                  an essential aspect of Inupiat Native life,             Point Lay, Wainwright, Barrow,                        operation of Communication Centers,
                                                  especially in rural coastal villages. The               Nuiqsut, and Kaktovik would and                       and minimum altitude requirements. SA
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                                                  Inupiat participate in subsistence                      traverse beluga whale hunt subsistence                calls will be held while subsistence
                                                  hunting activities in and around the                    areas. Most flights would take place                  activities are underway during the ice
                                                  Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. The animals                  when belugas are not typically                        overflight survey program and are
                                                  taken for subsistence provide a                         harvested. Survey activities could                    attended by operations staff, logistics
                                                  significant portion of the food that will               potentially affect subsistence hunts if               staff, and CLO’s. Aircraft movements
                                                  last the community through the year.                    the flights occurred near and at the same             and activities are adjusted as needed
                                                  Marine mammals represent on the order                   time as the hunt. Shell has developed                 and planned in a manner that avoids
                                                  of 60–80% of the total subsistence                      and proposes to implement a number of                 potential impacts to subsistence


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                                                  11646                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  activities. With these mitigation                       commissioners and committee heads to                  groups to ensure no disturbance of
                                                  measures any effects on ringed, bearded,                discuss results of mitigation measures                whaling or other subsistence activities.
                                                  and spotted seals as subsistence                        and outcomes of the preceding season.
                                                                                                                                                                Unmitigable Adverse Impact Analysis
                                                  resources, or effects on subsistence                    The goal of the post-season meeting is
                                                                                                                                                                and Preliminary Determination
                                                  hunts for seals, would be minimal.                      to build upon the knowledge base,
                                                                                                          discuss successful or unsuccessful                      NMFS considers that these mitigation
                                                  Plan of Cooperation or Measures To                                                                            measures including measures to reduce
                                                  Minimize Impacts to Subsistence Hunts                   outcomes of mitigation measures, and
                                                                                                          possibly refine plans or mitigation                   overall impacts to marine mammals in
                                                     Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)                 measures if necessary.                                the vicinity of the proposed ice
                                                  require IHA applicants for activities that                In addition to the POC, the following               overflight survey area and measures to
                                                  take place in Arctic waters to provide a                subsistence mitigation measures will be               mitigate any potential adverse effects on
                                                  Plan of Cooperation (POC) or                            implemented for Shell’s proposed ice                  subsistence use of marine mammals are
                                                  information that identifies what                        overflight surveys.                                   adequate to ensure subsistence use of
                                                  measures have been taken and/or will                                                                          marine mammals in the vicinity of
                                                  be taken to minimize adverse effects on                 (1) Communications                                    Shell’s proposed ice overflight surveys
                                                  the availability of marine mammals for                    • Shell has developed a                             in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas.
                                                  subsistence purposes.                                   Communication Plan and will                             Based on the description of the
                                                     Shell is preparing to implement a                    implement this plan before initiating ice             specified activity, the measures
                                                  POC in accordance with NMFS’                            overflight survey operations to                       described to minimize adverse effects
                                                  regulations. The POC relies upon the                    coordinate activities with local                      on the availability of marine mammals
                                                  Chukchi Sea Communication Plans to                      subsistence users, as well as Village                 for subsistence purposes, and the
                                                  identify the measures that Shell has                    Whaling Captains’ Associations, to                    proposed mitigation and monitoring
                                                  developed in consultation with North                                                                          measures, NMFS has preliminarily
                                                                                                          minimize the risk of interfering with
                                                  Slope subsistence communities and will                                                                        determined that there will not be an
                                                                                                          subsistence hunting activities, and keep
                                                  implement during its planned 2015/                                                                            unmitigable adverse impact on
                                                                                                          current as to the timing and status of the
                                                  2016 ice overflight surveys to minimize                                                                       subsistence uses from Shell’s proposed
                                                                                                          bowhead whale hunt and other
                                                  any adverse effects on the availability of                                                                    activities.
                                                                                                          subsistence hunts.
                                                  marine mammals for subsistence uses.
                                                  In addition, the POC will detail Shell’s                  • Shell will employ local CLOs and/                 Endangered Species Act (ESA)
                                                  communications and consultations with                   or SAs from the Chukchi Sea villages
                                                                                                                                                                   There are two marine mammal
                                                  local subsistence communities                           that are potentially impacted by Shell’s
                                                                                                                                                                species listed as endangered under the
                                                  concerning its planned 2015/2016                        ice overflight surveys. The CLOs and
                                                                                                                                                                ESA with confirmed or possible
                                                  program, potential conflicts with                       SAs will provide consultation and
                                                                                                                                                                occurrence in the proposed project area:
                                                  subsistence activities, and means of                    guidance regarding the whale migration
                                                                                                                                                                the bowhead whale and ringed seal.
                                                  resolving any such conflicts (50 CFR                    and subsistence activities. There will be
                                                                                                                                                                NMFS’ Permits and Conservation
                                                  216.104(a) (12) (i), (ii), and (iv)). Shell             one per village. The CLO and/or SA will
                                                                                                                                                                Division will initiate consultation with
                                                  continues to document its contacts with                 use local knowledge (Traditional
                                                                                                                                                                NMFS’ Endangered Species Division
                                                  the North Slope subsistence                             Knowledge) to gather data on the
                                                                                                                                                                under section 7 of the ESA on the
                                                  communities, as well as the substance of                subsistence lifestyle within the
                                                                                                                                                                issuance of an IHA to Shell under
                                                  its communications with subsistence                     community and provide advice on ways
                                                                                                                                                                section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA for
                                                  stakeholder groups.                                     to minimize and mitigate potential
                                                                                                                                                                this activity. Consultation will be
                                                     The POC identifies and documents                     negative impacts to subsistence
                                                                                                                                                                concluded prior to a determination on
                                                  potential conflicts and associated                      resources during the survey season.
                                                                                                                                                                the issuance of an IHA.
                                                  measures that will be taken to minimize                 Responsibilities include reporting any
                                                  any adverse effects on the availability of              subsistence concerns or conflicts;                    National Environmental Policy Act
                                                  marine mammals for subsistence use.                     coordinating with subsistence users;                  (NEPA)
                                                  Outcomes of POC meetings are typically                  reporting subsistence-related comments,                 NMFS is preparing an Environmental
                                                  included in updates attached to the POC                 concerns, and information; and advising               Assessment (EA), pursuant to NEPA, to
                                                  as addenda and distributed to federal,                  how to avoid subsistence conflicts.                   determine whether the issuance of an
                                                  state, and local agencies as well as local              (2) Aircraft Travel                                   IHA to Shell for its 2015/2016 ice
                                                  stakeholder groups that either                                                                                overflight surveys may have a
                                                  adjudicate or influence mitigation                        • The aircraft will maintain a 1 mi                 significant impact on the human
                                                  approaches for Shell’s activities.                      (1.6 km) radius when flying over areas                environment. NMFS has released a draft
                                                     Shell will engage with the villages                  where seals appear to be concentrated in              of the EA for public comment along
                                                  potentially impacted by the 2015/2016                   groups of ≥ 5 individuals.                            with this proposed IHA.
                                                  ice overflight surveys in the Chukchi                     • The aircraft will not land on ice
                                                  and Beaufort Seas in 2014 and early                     within 0.5 mi (805 m) of hauled out                   Proposed Authorization
                                                  2015. Meetings were held in Barrow and                  pinnipeds.                                              As a result of these preliminary
                                                  Point Lay in early November 2014 and                      • The aircraft will avoid flying over               determinations, NMFS proposes to issue
                                                  additional engagements are scheduled                    polynyas and along adjacent ice margins               an IHA to Shell for conducting ice
                                                  with other villages in early 2015.                      as much as possible to minimize                       overflight surveys in the Chukchi and
                                                                                                          potential disturbance to cetaceans.
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                                                  Throughout 2015, and 2016 Shell                                                                               Beaufort Seas during 2015/2016,
                                                  anticipates continued engagement with                     • Aircraft shall not operate below                  provided the previously mentioned
                                                  the marine mammal commissions and                       1,500 ft (457 m) in areas of active whale             mitigation, monitoring, and reporting
                                                  committees active in the subsistence                    hunting; such areas to be identified                  requirements are incorporated. The
                                                  harvests and marine mammal research.                    through communications with the Com                   proposed IHA language is provided
                                                     Following the 2015/2016 season,                      Centers and SAs.                                      next.
                                                  Shell intends to have a post-season co-                   • Shell will routinely engage with                    This section contains a draft of the
                                                  management meeting with the                             local communities and subsistence                     IHA itself. The wording contained in


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices                                             11647

                                                  this section is proposed for inclusion in               seals appear to be concentrated in                      (A) Fujinon 7 X 50 binoculars for
                                                  the IHA (if issued).                                    groups of ≥ 5 individuals;                            visual monitoring,
                                                     (1) This Authorization is valid from                    (c) The aircraft will not land on ice                (B) GPS unit to document the route of
                                                  May 1, 2015, through April 30, 2016.                    within 0.5 mi of hauled out pinnipeds                 each ice overflight,
                                                     (2) This Authorization is valid only                 or polar bears; and                                     (C) Laptop computer for data entry,
                                                  for activities associated with Shell’s                     (d) The aircraft will avoid flying over              (D) Voice recorder to capture detailed
                                                  2015/2016 Chukchi and Beaufort Seas                     polynyas and along adjacent ice margins               observations and data for post flight
                                                  ice overflight surveys. The specific areas              as much as possible to minimize                       entry into the computer,
                                                  where Shell’s ice overflight surveys will               potential disturbance to cetaceans.                     (E) Digital still cameras.
                                                  be conducted are the Chukchi and                           (8) Subsistence Mitigation Measures:                 (d) Field Data-Recording
                                                  Beaufort Seas, Alaska, as indicated in                  To ensure no unmitigable adverse                        (A) The observer on the aircraft will
                                                  Figure 1–1 of Shell’s IHA application.                  impact on subsistence uses of marine                  record observations directly into
                                                     (3)(a) The incidental taking of marine               mammals, the Holder of this                           computers using a custom software
                                                  mammals, by Level B harassment only,                    Authorization shall:                                  package.
                                                  is limited to the following species:                       (a) Develop and implement a                          (B) The accuracy of the data entry will
                                                  bowhead whale; gray whale; beluga                       Communication Plan before initiating                  be verified in the field by computerized
                                                  whale; ringed seal; bearded seal; spotted               ice overflight survey operations to                   validity checks as the data are entered,
                                                  seal; and ribbon seal.                                  coordinate activities with local                      and by subsequent manual checking
                                                     (3)(b) The taking by injury (Level A                 subsistence users, as well as Village                 following the flight.
                                                  harassment), serious injury, or death of                Whaling Captains’ Associations, to                      (C) Observers will capture the details
                                                  any of the species listed in Condition                  minimize the risk of interfering with                 of sightings and other observations with
                                                  3(a) or the taking of any kind of any                   subsistence hunting activities, and keep              a voice recorder, which will maximize
                                                  other species of marine mammal is                       current as to the timing and status of the            observation time and the collection of
                                                  prohibited and may result in the                        bowhead whale hunt and other                          data.
                                                  modification, suspension or revocation                  subsistence hunts.                                      (D) During the course of the flights,
                                                  of this Authorization.                                     (b) Employ local Community Liaison                 the observer will record information for
                                                                                                          Officers (CLOs) and/or Subsistence                    each sighting including:
                                                     (4) The authorization for taking by
                                                                                                          Advisors (SAs) from the Chukchi Sea                     • Number of individuals,
                                                  harassment is limited to the following
                                                                                                          villages that are potentially impacted by               • Approximate age (when possible to
                                                  activities: Ice overflight surveys during
                                                                                                          the ice overflight surveys.                           determine),
                                                  freeze-up, winter, and break-up periods                                                                         • Any type of potential reaction to the
                                                  in 2015 and 2016 by aircraft.                              (A) The CLOs and SAs will provide
                                                                                                          consultation and guidance regarding the               aircraft.
                                                     (5) The taking of any marine mammal                                                                          • Weather, air temperature, wind
                                                  in a manner prohibited under this                       whale migration and subsistence
                                                                                                          activities.                                           speed, cloud and ice cover, and
                                                  Authorization must be reported                                                                                  • Visibility conditions.
                                                                                                             (B) The CLOs and SAs will also report
                                                  immediately to the Chief, Permits and                                                                           (10) Reporting Requirements:
                                                                                                          any subsistence concerns or conflicts;
                                                  Conservation Division, Office of                                                                                (a) Final Report: The results of Shell’s
                                                                                                          coordinate with subsistence users;
                                                  Protected Resources, NMFS or her                                                                              ice overflight monitoring report will be
                                                                                                          report subsistence-related comments,
                                                  designee.                                                                                                     presented in the ‘‘90-day’’ final report,
                                                                                                          concerns, and information; and advise
                                                     (6) The holder of this Authorization                                                                       as required by NMFS under the
                                                                                                          how to avoid subsistence conflicts.
                                                  must notify the Chief of the Permits and                                                                      proposed IHA. The initial final report is
                                                                                                             (c) Routinely engage with local
                                                  Conservation Division, Office of                                                                              due to NMFS within 90 days after the
                                                                                                          communities and subsistence groups to
                                                  Protected Resources, at least 48 hours                                                                        expiration of the IHA. The report will
                                                                                                          ensure no disturbance of whaling or
                                                  prior to the start of ice overflight                                                                          include:
                                                                                                          other subsistence activities.
                                                  surveys (unless constrained by the date                    (9) Monitoring Measures:                             (A) Summaries of monitoring effort:
                                                  of issuance of this Authorization in                       (a) Protected Species Observers:                   total hours, total distances flown, and
                                                  which case notification shall be made as                   (A) Aerial monitoring for marine                   environmental conditions during
                                                  soon as possible).                                      mammals will be conducted by a                        surveys;
                                                     (7) Ice Overflight Mitigation and                    trained protected species observer (PSO)                (B) Summaries of occurrence, species
                                                  Monitoring Requirements: The Holder                     aboard each flight.                                   composition, and distribution of all
                                                  of this Authorization is required to                       (B) PSO duties will include watching               marine mammal sightings including
                                                  implement the following mitigation and                  for and identifying marine mammals,                   date, numbers, age/size/gender
                                                  monitoring requirements when                            recording their numbers, distances from,              categories (when discernible), group
                                                  conducting the specified activities to                  and potential reactions to the presence               sizes, ice cover and other environmental
                                                  achieve the least practicable impact on                 of the aircraft, in addition to working               variables; data will be visualized by
                                                  affected marine mammal species or                       with the helicopter pilots to identify                plotting sightings relative to the position
                                                  stocks:                                                 areas for landings on ice that is clear of            of the aircraft; and
                                                     (a) A PSO will be aboard all flights                 marine mammals.                                         (C) Analyses of the potential effects of
                                                  recording all sightings/observations (e.g.                 (b) Observer Qualifications and                    ice overflights on marine mammals and
                                                  including number of individuals,                        Training                                              the number of individuals that may
                                                  approximate age (when possible to                          (A) Observers will have previous                   have been disturbed by aircraft.
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                                                  determine)), and any type of potential                  marine mammal observation experience                    (b) The ‘‘90-day’’ report will be
                                                  reaction to the aircraft. Environmental                 in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas.                     subject to review and comment by
                                                  information the observer will record                       (B) All observers will be trained and              NMFS. Any recommendations made by
                                                  includes weather, air temperature, cloud                familiar with the marine mammals of                   NMFS must be addressed in the final
                                                  and ice cover, visibility conditions, and               the area, data collection protocols,                  report prior to acceptance by NMFS.
                                                  wind speed.                                             reporting procedures, and required                      (11)(a) In the unanticipated event that
                                                     (b) The aircraft will maintain a 1 mi                mitigation measures.                                  the ice overflight surveys clearly cause
                                                  radius when flying over areas where                        (c) Specialized Field Equipment:                   the take of a marine mammal in a


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                                                  11648                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 42 / Wednesday, March 4, 2015 / Notices

                                                  manner prohibited by this                               scavenger damage), Shell shall report                 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
                                                  Authorization, such as an injury (Level                 the incident to the Chief of the Permits
                                                  A harassment), serious injury or                        and Conservation Division, Office of                  National Oceanic and Atmospheric
                                                  mortality, Shell shall immediately cease                Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone                   Administration
                                                  operations and immediately report the                   or email and the NMFS Alaska
                                                                                                                                                                RIN 0648–XD741
                                                  incident to the Chief of the Permits and                Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the
                                                  Conservation Division, Office of                        Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators,               Taking of Marine Mammals Incidental
                                                  Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone                     within 24 hours of the discovery. Shell               to Specified Activities; Anacortes Tie-
                                                  or email and the Alaska Regional                        shall provide photographs or video                    Up Slips Dolphin and Wingwall
                                                  Stranding Coordinators. The report must                 footage (if available) or other                       Replacement
                                                  include the following information: (i)                  documentation of the stranded animal
                                                  Time, date, and location (latitude/                     sighting to NMFS and the Marine                       AGENCY:  National Marine Fisheries
                                                  longitude) of the incident; (ii) the name               Mammal Stranding Network. Activities                  Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
                                                  and type of vessel involved; (iii) the                  may continue while NMFS reviews the                   Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
                                                  vessel’s speed during and leading up to                 circumstances of the incident.                        Commerce.
                                                  the incident; (iv) description of the                      (12) The Plan of Cooperation                       ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental
                                                  incident; (v) status of all sound source                outlining the steps that will be taken to             harassment authorization; request for
                                                  use in the 24 hours preceding the                       cooperate and communicate with the                    comments and information.
                                                  incident; (vi) water depth; (vii)                       native communities to ensure the
                                                  environmental conditions (e.g., wind                    availability of marine mammals for                    SUMMARY:    NMFS has received a request
                                                  speed and direction, Beaufort sea state,                subsistence uses must be implemented.                 from the Washington State Department
                                                  cloud cover, and visibility); (viii)                       (13) Shell is required to comply with              of Transportation (WSDOT) for an
                                                  description of marine mammal                                                                                  authorization to take small numbers of
                                                                                                          the Terms and Conditions of the
                                                  observations in the 24 hours preceding                                                                        11 species of marine mammals, by Level
                                                                                                          Incidental Take Statement (ITS)
                                                  the incident; (ix) species identification                                                                     B harassment, incidental to proposed
                                                                                                          corresponding to NMFS’s Biological
                                                  or description of the animal(s) involved;                                                                     construction activities for a tie-up slips
                                                                                                          Opinion issued to NMFS’s Office of
                                                  (x) the fate of the animal(s); (xi) and                                                                       dolphin and wingwall replacement
                                                                                                          Protected Resources.
                                                  photographs or video footage of the                                                                           project in Anacortes, Washington State.
                                                  animal (if equipment is available).                        (14) A copy of this Authorization and              Pursuant to the Marine Mammal
                                                     Activities shall not resume until                    the ITS must be in the possession of all              Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is
                                                  NMFS is able to review the                              contractors and PSOs operating under                  requesting comments on its proposal to
                                                  circumstances of the prohibited take.                   the authority of this Incidental                      issue an authorization to WDOT to
                                                  NMFS shall work with Shell to                           Harassment Authorization.                             incidentally take, by harassment, small
                                                  determine what is necessary to                             (15) Penalties and Permit Sanctions:               numbers of marine mammals for a
                                                  minimize the likelihood of further                      Any person who violates any provision                 period of 1 year.
                                                  prohibited take and ensure MMPA                         of this Incidental Harassment
                                                                                                                                                                DATES: Comments and information must
                                                  compliance. Shell may not resume their                  Authorization is subject to civil and
                                                                                                                                                                be received no later than April 3, 2015.
                                                  activities until notified by NMFS via                   criminal penalties, permit sanctions,
                                                  letter, email, or telephone.                            and forfeiture as authorized under the                ADDRESSES: Comments on the
                                                     (b) In the event that Shell discovers an             MMPA.                                                 application should be addressed to Jolie
                                                  injured or dead marine mammal, and                         (16) This Authorization may be                     Harrison, Chief, Permits and
                                                  the lead PSO determines that the cause                  modified, suspended or withdrawn if                   Conservation Division, Office of
                                                  of the injury or death is unknown and                   the Holder fails to abide by the                      Protected Resources, National Marine
                                                  the death is relatively recent (i.e., in less           conditions prescribed herein or if the                Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West
                                                  than a moderate state of decomposition                  authorized taking is having more than a               Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910. The
                                                  as described in the next paragraph),                    negligible impact on the species or stock             mailbox address for providing email
                                                  Shell will immediately report the                       of affected marine mammals, or if there               comments is itp.guan@noaa.gov. NMFS
                                                  incident to the Chief of the Permits and                is an unmitigable adverse impact on the               is not responsible for email comments
                                                  Conservation Division, Office of                        availability of such species or stocks for            sent to addresses other than the one
                                                  Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone                     subsistence uses.                                     provided here. Comments sent via
                                                  or email and the NMFS Alaska                                                                                  email, including all attachments, must
                                                  Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the                Request for Public Comment                            not exceed a 25-megabyte file size.
                                                  Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators.                   As noted above, NMFS requests                          Instructions: All comments received
                                                  The report must include the same                        comment on our analysis, the draft                    are a part of the public record and will
                                                  information identified in Condition                     authorization, and any other aspect of                generally be posted to http://
                                                  12(a) above. Activities may continue                    the Notice of Proposed IHA for Shell’s                www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
                                                  while NMFS reviews the circumstances                    2015/2016 Chukchi and Beaufort Seas                   incidental.htm without change. All
                                                  of the incident. NMFS will work with                    ice overflight surveys. Please include,               Personal Identifying Information (for
                                                  Shell to determine whether                              with your comments, any supporting                    example, name, address, etc.)
                                                  modifications in the activities are                     data or literature citations to help                  voluntarily submitted by the commenter
                                                  appropriate.                                            inform our final decision on Shell’s                  may be publicly accessible. Do not
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                                                     (c) In the event that Shell discovers an             request for an MMPA authorization.                    submit Confidential Business
                                                  injured or dead marine mammal, and                                                                            Information or otherwise sensitive or
                                                  the lead PSO determines that the injury                   Dated: February 25, 2015.                           protected information.
                                                  or death is not associated with or related              Donna S. Wieting,                                        A copy of the application may be
                                                  to the activities authorized in Condition               Director, Office of Protected Resources,              obtained by writing to the address
                                                  2 of this Authorization (e.g., previously               National Marine Fisheries Service.                    specified above or visiting the internet
                                                  wounded animal, carcass with moderate                   [FR Doc. 2015–04426 Filed 3–3–15; 8:45 am]            at: http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/
                                                  to advanced decomposition, or                           BILLING CODE 3510–22–P                                permits/incidental.htm. Documents


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Document Created: 2018-02-21 09:31:46
Document Modified: 2018-02-21 09:31:46
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
ActionNotice; proposed incidental harassment authorization; request for comments.
DatesComments and information must be received no later than April 3, 2015.
ContactShane Guan, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, (301) 427-8401.
FR Citation80 FR 11634 
RIN Number0648-XD73

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