80_FR_63971 80 FR 63768 - Before Commissioners: Norman C. Bay, Chairman; Philip D. Moeller, Cheryl A. LaFleur, Tony Clark, and Colette D. Honorable; Public Service Company of New Mexico, Order Accepting Notice of Change in Status, Rejecting, Without Prejudice, Request for Market-Based Rate Authorization and Providing Clarification on Submitting Delivered Price Test Analyses and Simultaneous Transmission Import Limit Studies

80 FR 63768 - Before Commissioners: Norman C. Bay, Chairman; Philip D. Moeller, Cheryl A. LaFleur, Tony Clark, and Colette D. Honorable; Public Service Company of New Mexico, Order Accepting Notice of Change in Status, Rejecting, Without Prejudice, Request for Market-Based Rate Authorization and Providing Clarification on Submitting Delivered Price Test Analyses and Simultaneous Transmission Import Limit Studies

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 203 (October 21, 2015)

Page Range63768-63778
FR Document2015-26724

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 203 (Wednesday, October 21, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 203 (Wednesday, October 21, 2015)]
[Notices]
[Pages 63768-63778]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-26724]


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DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

[Docket No. ER10-2302-005]


Before Commissioners: Norman C. Bay, Chairman; Philip D. Moeller, 
Cheryl A. LaFleur, Tony Clark, and Colette D. Honorable; Public Service 
Company of New Mexico, Order Accepting Notice of Change in Status, 
Rejecting, Without Prejudice, Request for Market-Based Rate 
Authorization and Providing Clarification on Submitting Delivered Price 
Test Analyses and Simultaneous Transmission Import Limit Studies

    1. In this order, we accept the notice of change in status filed by 
Public Service Company of New Mexico (PNM) to report a transaction in 
which it purchased the interests in Delta Person, Limited Partnership 
(Delta Person).\1\ Also in this order, we reject, without prejudice, 
PNM's request for market-based rate authority in the PNM balancing 
authority area and we reject, without prejudice, the simultaneous 
transmission import limit (SIL) values submitted by PNM for the PNM 
balancing authority area. We take this opportunity to remind applicants 
seeking initial market-based rate authority or seeking to retain such 
authority of the type of information and analysis that is useful and 
appropriate for our consideration of a Delivered Price Test (DPT) and 
what is not. We are providing this information not only to PNM but to 
industry broadly with respect to several issues that arose in our 
review of the DPT analysis and SIL study prepared by PNM. These issues, 
as with others, are recurring across a myriad of applicants. Our goal 
in providing this clarification is to promote compliance with the 
Commission's regulations and policies in an effort to more timely 
process requests for market-based rate authorization and reduce delay.
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    \1\ The related acquisition of jurisdictional facilities was 
authorized by the Commission in Delta Person, Limited Partnership, 
142 FERC ] 62,155 (2013).
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I. Background

    2. On August 18, 2014, as amended on December 17, 2014 and February 
18, 2015,\2\ PNM filed a notice of change in status notifying the 
Commission that, effective July 17, 2014, PNM purchased the interests 
in Delta Person, the owner of a 132 megawatt (MW) gas-fired generating 
facility located in the PNM balancing authority area. PNM states that 
the acquisition does not affect PNM's horizontal market power because, 
prior to the acquisition, PNM purchased the full output of the facility 
under a long-term contract with Delta Person and, as such, was already 
deemed to control the output of that facility.\3\
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    \2\ For purposes of this order, the February 18, 2015 amendment 
will be referred to as ``Response to the Data Request.''
    \3\ August 18, 2014 Filing at 1.
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    3. Additionally, PNM requests market-based rate authorization in 
the PNM balancing authority area.\4\ PNM states that the market 
characteristics in the PNM balancing authority area have changed since 
PNM relinquished its market-based rate authority in 2010 and PNM is 
therefore seeking to reestablish

[[Page 63769]]

its market-based rate authority in that balancing authority area.\5\
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    \4\ PNM states that its tariff reflects that it relinquished its 
market-based rate authority in the PNM and El Paso Electric Company 
(El Paso Electric) balancing authority areas. Id. at 3 (citing 
Public Service Company of New Mexico, Docket No. ER96-1551-022 (Oct. 
26, 2010) (delegated letter order)). PNM states that it only seeks 
to reestablish its market-based rate authority in the PNM balancing 
authority area and not in the El Paso Electric balancing authority 
area. Id. at 2 n.4.
    \5\ Id. at 4.
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    4. PNM included an updated market power analysis with its August 
18, 2014 Filing. PNM states that it passes the pivotal supplier screen 
and the wholesale market share screen in the summer season; however, 
PNM represents that it fails the wholesale market share screen in the 
winter, fall, and spring seasons. PNM notes that the failure of the 
indicative screens creates a rebuttable presumption of horizontal 
market power. However, PNM states it has rebutted that presumption by 
demonstrating that PNM passes a DPT analysis for the PNM balancing 
authority area.\6\
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    \6\ On December 17, 2014, PNM submitted public versions of its 
DPT files, explaining that it initially submitted numerous 
electronic files related to the DPT analysis on a confidential 
basis.
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    5. Additionally, PNM submitted historical evidence related to a 
request for proposal (RFP) issued by the City of Gallup, New Mexico, 
representing that PNM was not selected as the winner and that the 
results of the RFP should be considered as alternative evidence to 
rebut the presumption that PNM may have market power in the PNM 
balancing authority area.\7\
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    \7\ Id. at 12-13.
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    6. On December 19, 2014, the Director of the Division of Electric 
Power Regulation--West requested additional information from PNM with 
regard to the DPT analysis and SIL study (Data Request).\8\ On February 
18, 2015, PNM submitted a revised DPT analysis and an additional SIL 
sensitivity analysis, with revised Submittal 1 and Submittal 2 results, 
in response to the request for additional information (Response to the 
Data Request).
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    \8\ Public Service Company of New Mexico, Docket No. ER10-2302-
005 (Dec. 19, 2014) (delegated letter order). We note that on 
January 21, 2015, PNM filed a motion for an extension of time to 
file its Response to the Data Request, which was granted. See Notice 
of Extension of Time, Docket No. ER10-2302-005 (Jan. 27, 2015).
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II. Notice of Filings

    7. Notice of PNM's August 18, 2014 filing, as amended on December 
17, 2014 and on February 18, 2015, was published in the Federal 
Register,\9\ with interventions and protests due on or before March 11, 
2015. Navopache Electric Cooperative, Inc. (Navopache) filed a timely 
motion to intervene.
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    \9\ 79 FR 50,642; 79 FR 78,081 (2014); 80 FR 10,472 (2015).
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III. Discussion

A. Procedural Matters

    8. Pursuant to Rule 214 of the Commission's Rules of Practice and 
Procedure, 18 CFR 385.214 (2015), Navopache's timely, unopposed motion 
to intervene serves to make it a party to this proceeding.

B. Substantive Matters

    9. We accept PNM's notice of change in status filing. However, as 
discussed below, we reject, without prejudice, PNM's request for 
market-based rate authority in the PNM balancing authority area and 
PNM's related SIL study. We find that PNM has failed to rebut the 
presumption of horizontal market power in the PNM balancing authority 
area, and therefore, has not supported its request for market-based 
rate authority in the PNM balancing authority area. Also, as discussed 
below, we take this opportunity to identify deficiencies in PNM's DPT 
analysis and provide general clarification regarding DPT analyses and 
SIL studies. We note that our efforts to provide such clarification in 
this order are hampered by the fact that PNM's most recent February 18, 
2015 DPT analysis and SIL submittals were all filed as non-public.\10\ 
Thus, we often cite to earlier public versions of filings instead of 
the most recent non-public versions. However, unless otherwise noted, 
the discussion is applicable to the most recent non-public version as 
well.


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    \10\ We encourage filers to submit as much information as 
possible as public and only to claim confidential treatment for 
information that is exempt from mandatory disclosure under the 
Freedom of Information Act, 5 U.S.C. 552. Filers must follow the 
requirements in 18 CFR 388.112 (2015) when submitting requests for 
privileged treatment of filings.
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C. Market-Based Rate Authorization

    10. The Commission allows power sales at market-based rates if the 
seller and its affiliates do not have, or have adequately mitigated, 
horizontal and vertical market power.\11\ An applicant that fails one 
or more of the indicative screens is provided with several procedural 
options including the right to challenge the market power presumption 
by submitting a DPT analysis.\12\ As discussed in the body of this 
order, PNM's DPT analysis includes inaccurate data and modeling errors 
and is inconsistent with the Commission's regulations. The deficiencies 
pertain to the following: (i) Data integrity; (ii) identification of 
potential supply; (iii) calculation of variable costs; (iv) accounting 
for power purchase agreements; (v) calculation of transmission rates; 
(vi) calculation of available economic capacity (AEC); (vii) use of 
historical transaction data to corroborate results; and (viii) 
preparation of the SIL study.
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    \11\ See Market-Based Rates for Wholesale Sales of Electric 
Energy, Capacity and Ancillary Services by Public Utilities, Order 
No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252, at PP 62, 399, 408, 440, 
clarified, 121 FERC ] 61,260 (2007), order on reh'g, Order No. 697-
A, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,268, clarified, 124 FERC ] 61,055, order 
on reh'g, Order No. 697-B, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,285 (2008), 
order on reh'g, Order No. 697-C, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,291 
(2009), order on reh'g, Order No. 697-D, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 
31,305 (2010), aff'd sub nom. Mont. Consumer Counsel v. FERC, 659 
F.3d 910 (9th Cir. 2011), cert. denied, 133 S. Ct. 26 (2012).
    \12\ Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at P 63.
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1. Horizontal Market Power
    11. The Commission adopted two indicative screens for assessing 
horizontal market power: the pivotal supplier screen and the wholesale 
market share screen.\13\ The Commission has stated that passage of both 
screens establishes a rebuttable presumption that the applicant does 
not possess horizontal market power, while failure of either screen 
creates a rebuttable presumption that the applicant has horizontal 
market power.\14\
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    \13\ Id. P 62.
    \14\ Id. PP 33, 62-63.
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    12. PNM prepared the pivotal supplier and wholesale market share 
screens for the PNM balancing authority area, consistent with the 
requirements of Order No. 697.\15\ We have reviewed these and find that 
PNM passes the pivotal supplier screen and the wholesale market share 
screen in the summer season with a market share of 18.0 percent, but 
fails the wholesale market share screen in the other seasons with 
market shares ranging from 24.9 to 26.8 percent.\16\ As a result of 
failing the indicative screens in the fall, winter, and spring seasons, 
PNM submitted alternative evidence and performed a DPT analysis to 
rebut the presumption of horizontal market power in the PNM balancing 
authority area.
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    \15\ Id. PP 231-232.
    \16\ August 18, 2014 Filing, Exhibit No. JMC-3.
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    13. As the Commission has previously explained, the DPT analysis 
identifies potential suppliers based on market prices, input costs, and 
transmission availability, and calculates each supplier's economic 
capacity (EC) \17\ and

[[Page 63770]]

AEC \18\ for each season/load period.\19\ The results of the DPT can be 
used for pivotal supplier, market share and market concentration 
analyses.\20\ Under the DPT analysis, applicants must also calculate 
market concentration using the Hirschman-Herfindahl Index (HHI).\21\ An 
HHI of less than 2,500 in the relevant market for all seasons/load 
periods, in combination with a demonstration that the applicants are 
not pivotal and do not possess more than a 20 percent market share in 
any of the seasons/load periods, would constitute a showing of a lack 
of horizontal market power, absent compelling contrary evidence from 
interveners. A detailed description of the mechanics of the DPT 
analysis is provided in Order No. 697.\22\
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    \17\ The EC of a supplier is defined as ``the amount of 
generating capacity owned or controlled by a potential supplier with 
variable costs low enough that energy from such capacity could be 
economically delivered to the destination market.'' See 18 CFR 
33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015).
    \18\ The Commission's regulations provide that AEC ``means the 
amount of generating capacity meeting the definition of economic 
capacity less the amount of generating capacity needed to serve the 
potential supplier's native load commitments,'' 18 CFR 
33.3(c)(4)(i)(B) (2015).
    \19\ The seasons/load periods are as follows: super-peak, peak, 
and off-peak, for winter, shoulder, and summer periods and an 
additional highest super-peak for the summer.
    \20\ See AEP Power Marketing, Inc., 107 FERC ] 61,018, at PP 
106-108 (April 14 Order), order on reh'g, 108 FERC ] 61,026 (2004).
    \21\ The HHI is the sum of the squared market shares. For 
example, in a market with five equal size firms, each would have a 
20 percent market share. For that market, HHI = (20)\2\ + (20)\2\ + 
(20)\2\ + (20)\2\ + (20)\2\ = 400 + 400 + 400 + 400 + 400 = 2,000.
    \22\ Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at PP 104-117.
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    14. As with the indicative screens, applicants and interveners may 
present evidence, such as historical sales and transmission data, which 
may be used to calculate market shares and market concentration and to 
refute or support the results of the DPT analysis. In Order No. 697, 
the Commission encouraged applicants to present the most complete 
analysis of competitive conditions in the market as the data allow.\23\
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    \23\ Id. PP 71, 111.
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    15. PNM's DPT analysis for the PNM balancing authority area 
indicates that PNM is not pivotal in any season/load period using 
either the EC measure or the AEC measure.\24\ Using the AEC measure, 
PNM reports market shares below 20 percent in all seasons/load periods 
and HHIs below 2,500.\25\ However, using the EC measure, PNM reports 
market shares above 20 percent in all seasons/load periods and HHIs 
below 2,500.\26\
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    \24\ August 18, 2014 Filing, Carey Aff. at 27, Table 4 
(Delivered Price Test for the PNM BAA Destination Market Available 
Economic Capacity); Id., Carey Aff. at 30, Table 5 (Delivered Price 
Test for the PNM BAA Destination Market Economic Capacity). We note 
that PNM also submitted sensitivity analyses that separately 
analyzed what effect, if any, a 10 percent increase or decrease in 
market price would have on the results of its DPT analysis. Id., 
Carey Aff. at 30.
    \25\ Id., Carey Aff. at 27, Table 4.
    \26\ Id., Carey Aff. at 30, Table 5.
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a. Alternative Evidence--RFP
    16. PNM states that the Commission allows a seller to present 
alternative evidence to rebut the results of the indicative screens. 
PNM requests that the RFP results be considered as additional 
alternative evidence to rebut the presumption that PNM may have market 
power in the PNM balancing authority area.
    17. According to PNM, on September 26, 2013, the City of Gallup 
issued an RFP for long-term power supply and scheduling services for a 
minimum of five years. The RFP represents that the City of Gallup 
serves approximately 10,500 customers and averages approximately 
215,000,000 kilowatt-hours (kWh) in annual sales provided from 
wholesale energy purchases of around 220,000,000 kWh bought from PNM 
and 15,000,000 kWh from Western Area Power Administration. PNM states 
that, as the City of Gallup's existing supplier, it responded to the 
RFP. PNM further states that the City of Gallup received bids from five 
suppliers. Further, PNM represents that it was not selected as the 
winner in the RFP and ranked third in the competitiveness of its bid. 
PNM states that Continental Divide Electric Cooperative was selected as 
the winning bidder, having submitted a bid that was significantly lower 
than those submitted by either PNM or the other bidders.
    18. PNM contends that the fact that there were a number of bidders 
in the RFP, several of whose bids were lower than the bid submitted by 
PNM, in and of itself, demonstrates that PNM lacks market power in the 
PNM balancing authority area. PNM further states that this alternative 
evidence is bolstered by the fact that a neighboring utility that 
maintains market-based rate authority in the PNM balancing authority 
area also underbid PNM, making it difficult to justify the notion that 
PNM has market power. Moreover, PNM states that the RFP is significant 
recent real-world evidence that corroborates the results of its DPT 
analysis demonstrating that PNM lacks market power in the PNM balancing 
authority area.
Commission Determination
    19. Although PNM presents this RFP as alternative evidence to rebut 
the results of the indicative screens, we find that this alternative 
evidence does not sufficiently demonstrate that PNM lacks market power 
in that balancing authority area. We do not believe that the City of 
Gallup's load is a sufficient proxy for the load PNM served during the 
study period.\27\ Further, the results of the RFP may simply reflect 
that there are competitors to PNM that can provide a small amount of 
long-term power supply and scheduling services for a minimum of five 
years less expensively than PNM. However, the Commission's analysis of 
horizontal market power includes other factors, such as uncommitted 
capacity and system operating conditions during various levels of load 
in a relevant geographic market, none of which is addressed by PNM's 
alternative evidence. Thus, we are unable to conclude from the RFP 
evidence that PNM lacks horizontal market power in the PNM balancing 
authority area. Further, PNM does not provide historical sales or 
transmission data to rebut the results of the indicative screens.\28\
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    \27\ We note that the 215,000,000 kWh translates into 
approximately 25 MW of load at a 100 percent load factor 
(215,000,000 kWh / 1,000 = 215,000 MWh; 215,000 MWh / 8,760 hours in 
a year = 24.5 MW). A load factor of 60 percent would translate into 
approximately 41 MW of annual peak load. Either amount is 
significantly less than the 2,142 MW of retail requirements, 
wholesale load obligation plus off system sales that PNM served 
during the summer peak of 2013. See id., Carey Aff. at 11. It is 
also less than the 2,563 MW PNM balancing authority annual peak 
load. See id., Exhibit No. JMC-3 at 1.
    \28\ Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at P 75.
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b. DPT Analysis
    20. In Order No. 697, the Commission provided the option for a 
seller to submit a DPT analysis when that seller fails an indicative 
screen.\29\
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    \29\ Id. P 105.
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    21. The Commission, prior to Order No. 697, provided industry 
guidance concerning the DPT in the Merger Policy Statement.\30\ The 
Commission provided an overview of the definition of the product market 
studied by the DPT analysis, and specifically stated that a key part 
``in determining the size of the geographic market is to identify those 
suppliers that can compete to serve a given market or customer and how 
much of a competitive presence they are in the market. Alternative 
suppliers must be able to reach the market both economically and 
physically. There are two parts to this analysis. One is determining 
the economic capability of a supplier to reach a market. This is 
accomplished by a delivered price test. The second part

[[Page 63771]]

evaluates the physical capability of a supplier to reach a 
market.''\31\
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    \30\ Inquiry Concerning the Commission's Merger Policy Under the 
Federal Power Act: Policy Statement, Order No. 592, FERC Stats. & 
Regs. ] 31,044 (1996) (Merger Policy Statement), reconsideration 
denied, Order No. 592-A, 79 FERC ] 61,321 (1997).
    \31\ Id. at 31,130.
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    22. The first part of the product market analysis, that is, the 
calculation of all potential suppliers given the prevailing market 
price. The EC of a supplier is the amount of generating capacity owned 
or controlled by a potential supplier with variable costs low enough 
that energy from such capacity could be economically delivered to the 
destination market. The EC calculation can be described as follows.\32\
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    \32\ We note that these steps are not an exhaustive list to 
perform a DPT analysis; however, these steps are provided as an 
illustration to discuss PNM's DPT analysis.
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    23. The first step in calculating a potential supplier's EC is to 
calculate the variable cost of each unit.\33\ Commission regulations 
state that, at a minimum, these costs include variable operation and 
maintenance, including both fuel and non-fuel operation and 
maintenance, and environmental compliance. To the extent these costs 
are allocated among units at the same plant, allocation methods should 
be fully described.\34\ Any generation capacity acquired under long-
term firm purchase contracts (i.e., contracts with a remaining 
commitment of more than one year) should be added to the potential 
supplier's generation capacity.\35\ In addition, the regulations 
provide that ``other generating capacity may also be attributed to 
another supplier based on operational control criteria as deemed 
necessary, but the applicant must explain the reasons for doing so.'' 
\36\ The variable cost for contractual capacity acquired, or attributed 
to another supplier, should be calculated in the same way as generation 
owned or under the direct control of the supplier. Commission 
regulations also require that specific information on long-term 
purchase and sale data be submitted.\37\
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    \33\ Revised Filing Requirements Under Part 33 of the 
Commission's Regulations, Order No. 642, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 
31,111, at 31,886 n.39 (2000), order on reh'g, Order No. 642-A, 94 
FERC ] 61,289 (2001).
    \34\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2)(i) (2015).
    \35\ 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015) (specifying that the 
potential supplier's capacity is adjusted by subtracting capacity 
committed under long-term firm sales contracts and adding capacity 
acquired under long-term firm purchase contracts).
    \36\ Id.
    \37\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3) (2015) (``Long-term purchase and sales 
data. For each sale and purchase of capacity, the applicant must 
provide the following information: (i) Purchasing entity name; (ii) 
Selling entity name; (iii) Duration of the contract; (iv) Remaining 
contract term and any evergreen provisions; (v) Provisions regarding 
renewal of the contract; (vi) Priority or degree of 
interruptibility; (vii) FERC rate schedule number, if applicable; 
(viii) Quantity and price of capacity and/or energy purchased or 
sold under the contract; and (ix) Information on provisions of 
contracts which confer operational control over generation resources 
to the purchaser.'').
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    24. The second step is to add to the estimate of the unit's 
variable generation cost any and all applicable transmission costs that 
a supplier would incur to deliver the energy into the study area. 
Commission regulations state that these costs include the maximum 
transmission rate in a transmission provider's tariff as well as the 
estimated cost of supplying energy losses.\38\ The costs of ancillary 
services incurred to deliver the competing energy into the study area 
should also be included.\39\ These costs should be accumulated 
beginning at the source of the generation and ending where the 
generation sinks in the study area.\40\
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    \38\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5)(i) and 33.3(d)(5)(iii)(H) (2015).
    \39\ 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4) (2015) (``Perform delivered price test. 
For each destination market, the applicant must calculate the amount 
of relevant product a potential supplier could deliver to the 
destination market from owned or controlled capacity at a price, 
including applicable transmission prices, loss factors and ancillary 
services costs, that is no more than five (5) percent above the pre-
transaction market clearing price in the destination market.'' 
(emphasis added)).
    \40\ Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 at 
31,132 (``In contrast, a supplier that is three or four `wheels' 
away from the same buyer may be an economic supplier if the sum of 
the wheeling charges and the effect of losses is less than the 
difference between the decremental cost of the buyer and the price 
at which the supplier is willing to sell.'' (emphasis added)).
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    25. The final step in calculating economically competitive capacity 
is to determine whether the computed generation cost of a unit is price 
competitive in the study area. The supplier should compare the computed 
cost of a generating unit (including all aforementioned generation, 
transmission, and other costs), to the computed market price plus five 
(5) percent in the study area.\41\ Generation with a delivered cost 
that meets all of the above conditions is referred to as the EC of that 
unit.
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    \41\ April 14 Order, 107 FERC ] 61,018 at Appendix F 
(``[D]etermine the suppliers that could sell into the destination 
market at a price less than or equal to 5% over the market price. 
That is, determine which generators have costs less than or equal to 
1.05 times the market price.''); id., Appendix F n.216 (``The costs 
include running costs, transmission charges, [operation and 
maintenance] and environmental adders.'').
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    26. The AEC of the units and all suppliers must also be calculated. 
AEC includes ``capacity from generating units that are not used to 
serve native load (or are contractually committed).'' \42\ Accordingly, 
AEC is the amount of generating capacity meeting the definition of 
economic capacity less the amount of generating capacity needed to 
serve the potential supplier's native load commitments, where native 
load commitments are ``commitments to serve wholesale and retail power 
customers on whose behalf the potential supplier, by statute, 
franchise, regulatory requirement, or contract, has undertaken an 
obligation to construct and operate its system to meet their reliable 
electricity needs.'' \43\ Units that are contractually committed or 
needed to serve native load or meet reliable electricity needs are not 
available to compete in a DPT analysis.
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    \42\ Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 at 
31,132.
    \43\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(4)(i) (2015).
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    27. Furthermore, as stated in the Merger Policy Statement, the 
presumption underlying the AEC measure is that the lowest running cost 
units are used to serve native load and other firm contractual 
obligations and would not be available for other sales.\44\ Such units 
are not available to compete in the DPT analysis.
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    \44\ Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 at 
31,132.
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    28. The second part of the analysis, evaluating whether generation 
with AEC can reach the study area, and the use of this information to 
compute market shares and concentration statistics, is discussed below.
    29. Turning to PNM's calculation, we find that the analysis as 
presented is flawed and from it we are unable to conclude that PNM 
rebutted the presumption of PNM's horizontal market power in the PNM 
balancing authority area. The deficiencies pertain to the following: 
(i) Data integrity; (ii) identification of potential supply; (iii) 
calculation of variable costs; (iv) accounting for power purchase 
agreements; (v) calculation of transmission rates; (vi) calculation of 
AEC; (vii) use of historical transaction data to corroborate results; 
and (viii) preparation of the SIL study. Each of these items is 
discussed further below.
PNM's Calculation of Economic Capacity
i. Data Integrity
    30. PNM submitted compact discs (CDs) that included its DPT model 
and underlying work papers with links to other data sources that are 
not available on its CDs. For instance, when opening some of the files 
on the CDs submitted on August 18, 2014 and on February 18, 2015, there 
is an error message that states ``There are links to data sources that 
cannot be updated.''
    31. We remind applicants that including workable links to data 
sources in the spreadsheets enables the

[[Page 63772]]

Commission to verify the accuracy of the data sources and to ensure the 
accuracy of the submitted DPT.
ii. Identification of Potential Supply
    32. PNM appears to have included generating units that are no 
longer operational when it calculated EC. EC is the amount of 
generating capacity owned or controlled by a potential supplier with 
variable costs low enough that energy from such capacity could be 
economically delivered to the destination market. Including, for 
example, the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (San Onofre) as 
operational and reporting units 2 and 3 of this plant as having EC in 
all seasons of the DPT analysis is inconsistent with the definition of 
EC.\45\ Thus, the output of generating facilities, such as San Onofre, 
that are not in operation during the seasons studied in a DPT analysis 
cannot feasibly be delivered to the destination market and should not 
be included in EC.
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    \45\ We note that the Velocity Suite database indicates that the 
San Onofre plant units 2 and 3 last generated electricity in January 
2012, while the study period for the DPT analysis was December 2012 
through November 2013. This information is sourced from the Ventyx, 
Velocity Suite database in September 2015. We note that the San 
Onofre plant is currently in the process of decommissioning. See 
Decommissioning of San Onofre, http://www.songscommunity.com.
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    33. Similarly, PNM identifies many units as having their output 
committed under long-term power purchase contracts, but still considers 
the units to have EC in the model. For example, PNM identifies 
Whitewater Hill Wind Partners as having EC when Whitewater Hill Wind 
Partners has affirmed to the Commission that the output of its facility 
is fully committed to an unaffiliated third party.\46\ An entity that 
does not own any uncommitted capacity or hold a long-term purchase 
contract should not be considered as a potential supplier of EC in a 
DPT analysis.\47\ In addition, PNM did not provide the information for 
these contracts as required in 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3)(i).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \46\ Response to the Data Request, Workpaper ``Wkp--Suppliers 
Details.xlsx'' (Tab ``AEC By Suppliers--Base Prices''). See also 
Whitewater Hill Wind Partners, LLC, Docket No. ER02-2309-000 at 1 
(filed July 11, 2002); Whitewater Hill Wind Partners, LLC, Docket 
No. ER02-2309-000 (Aug. 29, 2002) (delegated letter order accepting 
filing). Note also that the comments in the spreadsheet submitted by 
PNM identify Whitewater Hill Wind Partners as being under a long-
term contract. There are additional cells in PNM's spreadsheets that 
identify certain generating facilities as having EC or AEC even 
though the spreadsheets also show those facilities as being under 
long-term contracts.
    \47\ We note that here we describe Whitewater Hill Wind Partners 
for illustrative purposes only, and not because it is the only 
entity listed in PNM's DPT analysis that lacks EC or AEC.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    34. Commission regulations require that a potential supplier's EC 
be adjusted by long-term firm contracts.\48\ Units that are committed 
to unaffiliated entities under long-term firm contracts should be 
attributed to the purchasing entities rather than the owners of those 
facilities, and should potentially be included in EC only if the 
purchasing entity has EC. Thus, the inclusion of nonoperational units 
in the DPT analysis is inappropriate and the output of facilities that 
are committed under long-term firm contracts should be attributed to 
the purchasing entities and included as EC only if the purchasing 
entity has EC. The inclusion of generation from such units distorts the 
amount of EC in the DPT analysis. This raises additional concerns that 
the DPT results may be inaccurate and unreliable.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \48\ 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015) (``Economic capacity means 
the amount of generating capacity owned or controlled by a potential 
supplier with variable costs low enough that energy from such 
capacity could be economically delivered to the destination market. 
Prior to applying the delivered price test, the generating capacity 
meeting this definition must be adjusted by subtracting capacity 
committed under long-term firm sales contracts and adding capacity 
acquired under long-term firm purchase contracts (i.e., contracts 
with a remaining commitment of more than one year.'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

iii. Calculating Variable Costs
    35. As mentioned above, Commission regulations state that for each 
generating plant or unit owned or controlled by each potential supplier 
in a DPT analysis, the applicant must also provide variable cost 
components, which must include at a minimum: (A) variable operation and 
maintenance, including both fuel and non-fuel operation and 
maintenance; and (B) environmental compliance.\49\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \49\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2)(i) (2015). Additionally, ``[t]o the 
extent costs described in paragraph (d)(2)(i) of this section are 
allocated among units at the same plant, allocation methods must be 
fully described.'' 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2)(ii) (2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Variable Cost: Fuel
    36. In its August 18, 2014 Filing, PNM states that it constructed a 
supply curve ``in the model for each entity by estimating its unit-
specific incremental dispatch costs. The incremental cost is calculated 
by multiplying the fuel cost for the unit by the unit's efficiency 
(heat rate) and adding any additional variable costs that may apply, 
i.e., costs for variable operations and maintenance and costs for 
environmental offsets.'' \50\ PNM further clarifies that ``[t]he 
characteristics for all of the units included in the analysis, 
including their estimated incremental costs, are included in work 
papers.'' \51\ PNM states that incremental costs were derived by 
multiplying unit specific heat rates (generally from the Energy 
Information Administration (EIA) Form 860 or Ventyx) by fuel prices 
(from FERC Form 423 for the Study Period, as reported by Ventyx) and 
then adding VOM and any applicable environmental adders.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \50\ August 18, 2014 Filing, Carey Aff. ] 34. We note that 
``Ventyx'' is the same database as ``Velocity Suite'' also referred 
to as ``Velocity.'' In this order we use the term ``Velocity 
Suite'', except for where the term ``Ventyx'' or ``Velocity'' is 
used in direct quotes from PNM's filings. We note that the acronym 
``VOM'' used above in PNM's description of variable costs is 
generally interpreted to mean ``Variable Operations and 
Maintenance'' costs.
    \51\ August 18, 2014 Filing, Carey Aff. ] 34 n.36.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    37. Fuel is a significant component of variable cost, and natural 
gas- and coal-fired generation is a significant portion of the 
generation analyzed by PNM.\52\ PNM takes a number of steps to compute 
a fuel price for generators to determine whether they are economic in 
each of the 10 season/load levels. PNM appears to use natural gas price 
data from the ``ICE10x Day Ahead Gas Prices'' for the El Paso Gas 
(Permian Basin) and El Paso--South Mainline locations.\53\ Further, PNM 
appears to use EIA and Velocity Suite data to compute coal prices 
across the Western Electricity Coordinating Council (WECC) region.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \52\ For instance, natural gas-fired generation accounts for 28 
percent of the nameplate generation capacity in the underlying PNM 
dataset. See id., Workpaper ``Gas Prices Final.xlsx.''
    \53\ See id., Workpaper ``Gas Prices Final.xlsx'' (Tab ``Wkp--
Gas Prices''); December 17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ``Wkp PNM DPT 
Public Inputs.xlsx'' (Tab ``Wkp--Gas Prices,'' Tab ``Wkp--Coal Spot 
Prices,'' Tab ``Wkp--Detailed Coal Transactions'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    38. For natural gas, PNM computes seasonal prices at the two 
locations mentioned above by averaging all of the hourly prices for 
each location in each season/load level. These two locations seem to be 
the hubs that are closest to the PNM balancing authority area. However, 
PNM also includes in its spreadsheets hourly gas prices for 22 
locations in the WECC region.\54\ The summer average prices for the 22 
locations range from $1.88 at ``Questar North Pool'' to $3.27 at 
``PG&E-Citygate,'' a variation of almost 74 percent. Although PNM 
submitted data for 22 locations, it only used prices from the two hubs 
identified above to calculate input costs for all gas-fired generators 
in the WECC region.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \54\ August 18, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ``Gas Prices Final.xlsx'' 
(Tab ``Wkp--Gas Prices'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    39. Additionally, PNM uses only three natural gas prices in its 
model, one for each of the summer, winter and shoulder seasons. To do 
this, for the one-hour Summer Super Peak 1 (S_SP1)

[[Page 63773]]

season, PNM computes a price of $3.57/MMBtu at El Paso Gas (Permian 
Basin) and $3.81/MMBtu at El Paso--South Mainline. In a similar way, 
PNM calculates prices for the remaining seasons/load levels at each of 
these locations. Next, PNM calculates the average of the El Paso Gas 
(Permian Basin) and El Paso--South Mainline seasonal prices in order to 
attain 10 average seasonal natural gas prices. PNM then calculates the 
average over the four summer seasons/load levels as the summer natural 
gas price, and uses that as the natural gas price for all four summer 
seasons/load levels in its model. PNM calculates Winter and Shoulder 
seasonal natural gas prices similarly.
    40. Further, PNM submitted work papers that include an average coal 
price for 83 plants with unique EIA identification numbers. Only seven 
of these plants appear to be in the WECC region, although there are 
more than seven coal-fired plants in WECC. These average prices were 
calculated from monthly ``Detailed Coal Transactions From December 2012 
to November 2013,'' \55\ but not every plant has an average price for 
each month and some plants include more than one average price for some 
months. The average prices for the seven WECC plants range from $1.42 
to $2.52 per MMBtu, but do not account for any seasonality in coal 
prices. In its generation dataset, PNM appears to attribute the 
calculated coal price for each of the seven plants as that plant's 
input cost, but then uses the average of all seven as the input price 
for all other coal-fired generators in the WECC.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \55\ December 17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ``Wkp PNM DPT Public 
Inputs.xlsx'' (Tab ``Wkp--Detailed Coal Transactions'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    41. Sellers should account for some measure of regional differences 
in fuel price. As described above, PNM used one natural gas price for 
each of the three seasons' seasonal gas price estimate for all gas-
fired generation in the entire WECC, which are derived from the average 
prices at two hubs. That is, PNM used the same natural gas fuel costs 
for generators in Alberta, Northern and Southern California and New 
Mexico even though PNM's own spreadsheets detail the locational 
variation in natural gas prices across the WECC region. As explained 
above, the fuel cost of each generating facility is one of the main 
factors in determining whether the output of that facility should be 
included as EC in a DPT analysis. Oversimplifying the variable cost 
calculations by assuming that all gas-fired generators have the same 
input cost regardless of their location may cause certain units, whose 
actual gas prices are lower than these averages, to be inappropriately 
considered uneconomic and may cause units whose actual gas prices are 
higher than these averages to be inappropriately considered economic. 
Thus, regional price variation for input fuels should be considered in 
a model that includes competing supply capacity from a large geographic 
footprint, and a generator's fuel cost should be estimated from a 
nearby price point unless the seller explains why another methodology 
is reasonable. Furthermore, we note an apparent contradiction between 
the seven coal prices used in the generation data set and the single 
coal price reported for WECC of $1.97 \56\ in the Fuel Prices Summary 
worksheet. However, as with natural gas prices, we would expect a coal-
fired generator's fuel cost to be estimated from a nearby price point 
and not an average of several price points across a region as large as 
WECC.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \56\ Id., Workpaper ``Wkp PNM DPT Public Inputs.xlsx'' (Tab 
``Wkp--Fuel Prices Summary''). PNM used a price of $1.97 for Winter, 
Summer, and Shoulder season.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    42. For the reasons stated above, we cannot conclude that PNM has 
rebutted the presumption of market power because of the flaws in its 
analysis.
Variable Cost: Operations and Maintenance
    43. As mentioned above, Commission regulations state that sellers 
must calculate, at a minimum, variable cost for a unit used in the DPT 
analysis. For each such generating unit, the seller must also provide 
variable cost components, which include operation and maintenance 
costs.\57\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \57\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2) (2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    44. PNM's DPT model contains a worksheet, ``Generation Dataset,'' 
that contains variable cost calculations for the WECC generators that 
PNM included in its model. There are 4,293 observations in this dataset 
and 2,118 of these observations have a zero dollar cost for VOM.\58\ We 
note that a vast majority of these observations with a zero dollar cost 
for VOM are from renewable resources.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \58\ December 17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ``Wkp PNM DPT Public 
Inputs.xlsx'' (Tab ``Generation Dataset'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    45. Although the Data Request did not specifically request that PNM 
provide actual values for VOM costs, we take this opportunity to 
provide clarification to PNM and other DPT filers. Although VOM costs 
may be a small component of hourly costs, we do not expect these costs 
for most generating units to have a zero value \59\ because all 
generation technologies require maintenance or have at least some 
operational costs to produce electricity. PNM states that it uses 
Velocity Suite data in its model. We note that Velocity Suite provides 
cost estimates for various renewable generation technologies. PNM has 
not explained why it assumed a zero cost for VOM when estimates for 
this cost are available for most types of renewable generation from 
Velocity Suite.\60\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \59\ We note that although EIA states that wind generation has a 
relatively small VOM cost, EIA uses a zero cost for all non 
dispatchable generation in its Annual Energy Outlook 2015 Reference 
Case model. See EIA, Levelized Cost and Levelized Avoided Cost of 
New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (June 
2015), available at http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf.
    \60\ A Velocity Suite supply curve for the PNM balancing 
authority area for July 31, 2013, provides a range of VOM cost 
estimates for most types of renewable generation. Specifically, 
Velocity Suite provides a VOM in $/MWh of $1.26 to $1.56 for the 
hydro plants; $1.90 to $2.06 for photovoltaic generation; $1.25 for 
energy storage devices; and $4.79 for biomass facilities. Velocity 
Suite does not provide a VOM cost for wind generation. Velocity 
Suite states that its estimates are based on many sources of unit or 
plant data and are calculated in an internal model.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    46. Therefore, it appears that PNM underestimates the variable cost 
of a significant portion of generation in its DPT model, which 
potentially overestimates the amount of EC calculated in its DPT 
analysis.
iv. Accounting for Purchase Contracts
    47. As mentioned above, another step in the calculation of a 
supplier's EC is accounting for long-term firm purchase contracts. EC 
refers to ``the amount of generating capacity owned or controlled by a 
potential supplier with variable costs low enough that energy from such 
capacity could be economically delivered to the destination market.'' 
\61\ The Commission's regulations require that ``the generating 
capacity meeting this definition must be adjusted by subtracting 
capacity committed under long-term firm sales contracts and adding 
capacity acquired under long-term firm purchase contracts (i.e., 
contracts with a remaining commitment of more than one year).'' \62\ 
The regulations further provide that ``capacity associated with any 
such adjustments must be attributed to the party that has authority to 
decide when generating resources are available for operation'' and 
notes that ``other generating capacity may also be attributed to 
another supplier based on operational control criteria as deemed

[[Page 63774]]

necessary, but the applicant must explain the reasons for doing so.'' 
\63\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \61\ See 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015).
    \62\ Id.
    \63\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    48. As noted above, Commission regulations require information on 
all long-term firm purchases and sales ``for each sale and purchase of 
capacity'' as part of the DPT analysis.\64\ A seller performing a DPT 
analysis should account for the purchase contracts of potential 
suppliers because the contracts may affect the competitive situation of 
a supplier in a DPT analysis. A supplier with a contractual obligation 
to sell energy or capacity may not have any AEC to be considered as 
competing in the DPT analysis. Conversely, a supplier with the 
contractual obligation to purchase supply may have excess energy and 
become a potential supplier in the DPT analysis. The determination of 
whether a supplier with purchase contracts has EC or AEC depends on a 
number of factors specific to that supplier such as the supplier's 
native load (if any), the amount of generation the supplier has to meet 
that load, including any contracts the supplier has to buy or sell 
energy or capacity, and the prevailing market price. These specific 
factors should be accounted for in a DPT analysis to determine whether 
a potential supplier with purchase contracts is a potential competitor.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \64\ See 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3). See also n.37 above.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    49. The Data Request sought information from PNM concerning how 
certain sellers could be considered competitive suppliers for purposes 
of the DPT analysis when each of those seller's native load appeared to 
exceed its generation capacity. Specifically, PNM was asked to explain 
whether one particular supplier, Tri State Generation & Transmission 
Association Inc. (TriState), could have any uncommitted capacity to 
compete with PNM given that TriState's peak load is reported to be 
greater than its generation capacity. The Data Request did not 
specifically identify any other sellers in a similar situation to 
TriState. However, the Data Request directed PNM to identify every 
potential supplier for whom its study deducted native load obligations, 
the amount of those obligations and the source of their native load 
values.\65\ Finally, the Data Request directed PNM to adjust its model 
as needed to reflect TriState and other sellers that have load greater 
than their respective uncommitted capacity.\66\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \65\ See Data Request, Question No. 5, at 4.
    \66\ See Data Request, Question No. 6, at 4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    50. In its Response to the Data Request, PNM stated that there are 
differences between the reporting in the data sources that the 
Commission used to formulate its questions and the data source(s) PNM 
used in its calculation of competitive supply. PNM further added that 
TriState ``has substantial purchase agreements, including ownership in 
[WECC] output facilities that would not be tracked by Velocity.'' \67\ 
PNM did not mention any other sellers who might be in this similar 
situation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \67\ Response to the Data Request at 8.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    51. We appreciate PNM's Response to the Data Request but find that 
more information is necessary. While PNM provided information on 
TriState's purchasing, it did not disclose the amount of power 
purchased under these contracts that would enable TriState to meet its 
native load requirements and have sufficient generation to be a 
competitive supplier in the DPT analysis. PNM also did not meet the 
reporting requirements for long-term contracts of sales and purchases 
in 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3) for TriState or for any other suppliers, such as 
Whitewater Hill Wind Partners, whose output is fully committed under 
long-term contract to another entity. Additionally, in its Response to 
the Data Request, PNM did not indicate whether there are other 
potential suppliers with long-term contracts or adjust its model to 
reflect any other potential suppliers with native load obligations 
greater than their respective generation capacity.
    52. Generation units in a supplier's portfolio whose output is 
committed under long-term firm contracts should not be considered 
available to compete in the study area as AEC. Including such capacity 
may overstate the amount of AEC that a potential supplier can 
contribute or inaccurately attribute that capacity to the wrong 
potential supplier in a DPT analysis. Additionally, incorrectly 
attributing capacity to sellers that have sold the output of their 
facilities to unaffiliated entities under purchase power agreements 
impacts the market concentration results of the DPT analysis. Lastly, 
PNM did not adjust its model as requested in the Data Request or 
otherwise explain that such adjustment was not required. For these 
reasons, we are unable to rely on PNM's DPT analysis.
v. Transmission Rates
    53. As mentioned above, Commission regulations require a DPT 
analysis to account for any and all applicable transmission costs that 
a supplier would incur to deliver the energy into the study area and 
add these costs to the estimate of the available unit's variable 
generation cost. Commission regulations state that these costs must 
include the maximum transmission rate in a transmission provider's 
tariff as well as the estimated cost of supplying energy losses.\68\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \68\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5) (2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    54. PNM did not include all applicable transmission costs in its EC 
calculation. In the December 17, 2014 Filing, PNM's DPT analysis used a 
universal $2.00 transmission rate for all peak periods and a $1.00 
transmission rate for all off-peak periods for all generators, 
regardless of location.\69\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \69\ December 17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ``Wkp PNM DPT Public 
Inputs.xlsx'' (Tab ``Wkp--TTC and Tx Rates'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    55. In the Data Request, PNM was requested to provide the 
transmission rate schedule for the PNM balancing authority area and all 
of the balancing authority areas where competing suppliers are located, 
and to provide cites to the relevant open access transmission 
tariff(s).\70\ The Data Request asked PNM to explain if the 
transmission rates used in its DPT analysis are the maximum rates for 
the PNM balancing authority area and the balancing authority areas 
where the DPT analysis indicates there is competitively priced 
generation.\71\ Finally, the Data Request directed that, if those are 
not the maximum rates, PNM should re-run the AEC calculations to 
include the cost to traverse each balancing authority area using the 
maximum `up to' transmission rate when PNM re-runs the DPT model.\72\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \70\ Data Request, Question No. 14a, at 6.
    \71\ Id., Question No. 14b, at 6-7.
    \72\ Id., Question No. 14c, at 7.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    56. In Response to the Data Request, PNM stated that it assumed 
transmission rates for purposes of the model because it lacks details 
on specific transmission rates for some of the WECC transmission 
providers. PNM stated that this assumption has a de minimis impact on 
the results of the analyses. PNM also provided a spreadsheet that 
identifies the 24 individual balancing authority areas in WECC, their 
minimum and maximum transmission rates, information on the rate 
schedules for these balancing authority areas and screen snapshots of 
the appropriate Open Access Same Time Information System (OASIS) Web 
sites where PNM retrieved the maximum and minimum rates.\73\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \73\ See Response to the Data Request, ``WECC OATT Rates.xlsx.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    57. We note that these maximum rates for the peak periods ranged 
from $1.26 to $10.02 and averaged $4.96. Likewise, the maximum rates 
for the off-peak periods ranged from $0.72 to $9.00 and averaged $3.59. 
In Response to the Data Request, PNM provided a sensitivity analysis 
that used the average of these

[[Page 63775]]

maximum transmission rates to update its DPT model.\74\ PNM complied 
with the first part of Question 14 by identifying that the $2.00 and 
$1.00 transmission rates are not the maximum rates for the peak and 
off-peak periods, respectively. PNM also identified the 24 source 
balancing authority areas and provided a link and screen snapshots of 
the OASIS Web sites for these balancing authority areas that display 
their maximum and minimum rates.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \74\ See id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    58. However, we find the remaining portion of PNM's Response to the 
Data Request to be unresponsive to the question asked and not in 
compliance with Commission regulations. PNM did not re-run the DPT 
analysis with the maximum rate for each balancing authority area as 
requested in the Data Request \75\ and required by Commission 
regulations.\76\ Furthermore, PNM did not calculate any additional 
costs for transmission losses or ancillary services necessary to 
deliver energy into the study area, as required by Commission 
regulations.\77\ For capacity outside of the study area, PNM did not 
consider additional transmission charges that a competing generator 
would likely incur to deliver power to the destination market. 
Therefore, we find that PNM's calculations underestimate the 
transmission cost component for most observations in its dataset and 
further compromise the results of the DPT analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \75\ Data Request, Question No. 14c, at 7 (``If the rates used 
in your model are not the maximum rate, please re-run your AEC 
calculations using the maximum `up to' transmission rate to include 
the cost to traverse each balancing authority when you re-run your 
DPT model.'').
    \76\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5) (2015).
    \77\ 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5) (2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

vi. Calculation of AEC
    59. As mentioned above, alternative suppliers should be able to 
reach the market both economically and physically.\78\ First, we 
discuss how to determine the AEC of a supplier.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \78\ Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 at 
30,130.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    60. After computing the EC of potential competing suppliers, an 
applicant should compute the AEC of those suppliers. AEC is ``the 
amount of generating capacity meeting the definition of EC less the 
amount of generating capacity needed to serve the potential supplier's 
native load commitments.'' \79\ We note that the Commission has relied 
more heavily on AEC in the DPT analysis when utilities have significant 
native load.\80\ Further, in Order No. 697, the Commission stated that 
``in markets where utilities retain significant native load 
obligations, an analysis of available economic capacity may more 
accurately assess an individual seller's competitiveness, as well as 
the overall competitiveness of a market, because available economic 
capacity recognizes the native load obligations of the sellers.'' \81\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \79\ 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(B) (2015).
    \80\ Great Plains Energy, Inc., 121 FERC ] 61,069, at P 34 & 
n.44 (2007), reh'g denied, 122 FERC ] 61,177 (2008); Nat'l Grid, 
plc, 117 FERC ] 61,080, at PP 27-28 (2006), reh'g denied, 122 FERC ] 
61,096 (2008); Westar Energy, Inc., 115 FERC ] 61,228, at P 72, 
reh'g denied, 117 FERC ] 61,011, at P 39 (2006); Nev. Power Co., 113 
FERC ] 61,265, at P 15 (2005).
    \81\ Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at P 112.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    61. The Data Request directed PNM to explain whether its DPT model 
first allocated the lowest running cost units to a supplier's native 
load and cited to the Merger Policy Statement.\82\ In Response to the 
Data Request, PNM stated, in part, that ``[t]he model implicitly 
allocates PNM's lowest running cost units to serve native load for PNM 
and non-PNM suppliers to their native load (non-PNM load) by the 
derivation of the [AEC]. The DPT model does not rank order each 
supplier's generating units from lowest to highest running cost but 
rather aggregates all [EC] for each supplier within the seasonal/load 
periods analyzed.'' \83\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \82\ Data Request, Question No. 4, at 3 (``In the [AEC] 
calculation, please explain whether the model first allocates PNM's 
lowest running cost units to serve native load for PNM. Please 
explain whether the model allocates the lowest running cost units of 
non-PNM suppliers to their native load (non-PNM load).''). The Data 
Request noted that ``AEC includes `capacity from generating units 
that are not used to serve native load (or are contractually 
committed) and whose variable costs are such that they could deliver 
energy to a market at a price close to the competitive price in the 
market. The presumption underlying this measure is that the lowest 
running cost units are used to serve native load and other firm 
contractual obligations and would not be available for other 
sales.''' Data Request, Question No. 4 n.6, at 3 (citing Merger 
Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 at 30,132).
    \83\ Response to the Data Request at 7.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    62. In the Merger Policy Statement, the Commission stated that the 
AEC measure ``includes capacity from generating units that are not used 
to serve native load (or are contractually committed).'' \84\ However, 
PNM stated that ``[t]he DPT model does not rank order each supplier's 
generating units from lowest to highest running cost but rather 
aggregates all economic capacity for each supplier within the seasonal/
load periods analyzed.'' \85\ Further, it is unclear how PNM's model 
might implicitly allocate an entity's lowest running cost units to 
serve its native load. Based on this response, we conclude that PNM did 
not allocate the lowest cost units of itself and its competitors to 
serve their respective native load. Therefore, we are unable to rely on 
the reported results of potential competitive AEC suppliers and whether 
they accurately reflect the costs of the competitive generation in the 
market.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \84\ Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 at 
30,132.
    \85\ Response to the Data Request at 7 (emphasis added).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

vii. Historical Transaction Data to Corroborate Results
    63. Commission regulations state that ``[t]he applicant must 
provide historical trade data and historical transmission data to 
corroborate the results of the horizontal Competitive Analysis 
Screen.'' \86\ Commission regulations also state that the applicant 
must provide data and information used in calculating the EC and AEC 
that a potential supplier could deliver to a destination market, 
including transmission capability, transmission constraints and firm 
transmission rights.\87\ Further, Commission direction has been to 
provide a ``trade data check'' to support the results of the DPT 
analysis.\88\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \86\ 18 CFR 33.3(c)(6) (2015).
    \87\ See 18 CFR 33.3(d)(7)-(9) (2015).
    \88\ See Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,044 
at 30,133 (``It would be expected that there be some correlation 
between the suppliers included in the market by the delivered price 
test and those actually trading in the market. As a check, actual 
trade data should be used to compare actual trade patterns with the 
results of the delivered price test. For example, it may be 
appropriate to include current trading partners in the relevant 
market even if the above analysis indicates otherwise.'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    64. The Data Request directed PNM to identify suppliers with AEC 
and document their contribution to competing supply entering the PNM 
study area.\89\ In its Response to the Data Request, PNM provided a 
spreadsheet that complied with the request by identifying all 
generation units, their location, and the identity of the suppliers 
with non-zero contribution to the AEC calculation.\90\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \89\ Data Request, Question No. 15, at 7 (``Please provide the 
following information for each supplier with a non-zero contribution 
to the available economic capacity in the study area of your model: 
the full name of each supplier, the name of the unit(s) that 
supplied the energy, the amount of energy supplied by each unit(s) 
in megawatts and the balancing authority area location of the 
unit(s) for each of the 10 load level/study periods.'' (footnote 
omitted)).
    \90\ Response to the Data Request at 12 & Workpaper ``Wkp--
Suppliers Details.xlsx.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    65. Although the Data Request did not specifically ask PNM to 
provide historical transaction data to corroborate the results of its 
DPT analysis, we take this opportunity to provide clarification for PNM 
and others who may file a DPT

[[Page 63776]]

analysis in a section 205 proceeding in order to rebut the presumption 
of market power. PNM did not submit historical transaction data or 
transmission data to corroborate the results of its model as required 
by 18 CFR 33.3(c)(6). For example, although PNM indicates in its 
Response to the Data Request that its model includes significant 
generation capacity from the California Independent System Operator 
Corporation (CAISO) market as available to compete in the PNM balancing 
authority area, PNM did not submit historical transaction data or 
transmission data to corroborate this. PNM could have submitted eTag 
data to demonstrate flows from CAISO were consistent with its DPT 
model. Moreover, the Commission's review of eTag data was not able to 
corroborate PNM's results. Without such information, we are concerned 
that the amount of competing generation capacity imported into the PNM 
study area in PNM's DPT analysis is not supported by historical trade 
or transmission data and is overstated. We remind DPT filers that they 
should provide historical trade and transmission data and explain 
significant discrepancies between modeling results and such data.
viii. SIL Study
    66. As mentioned above, alternative suppliers must be able to reach 
the market both economically and physically. We provide clarification 
regarding determining the physical capability of a supplier with EC and 
AEC to reach the study area.\91\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \91\ In this order, we do not discuss the ultimate DPT 
calculations, combining the economic and physical analyses to create 
market share and concentration indices because we do not believe 
that the first two steps of the PNM DPT analysis provide a 
reasonable foundation to examine this final step.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    67. The physical ability of a supplier to reach the market or study 
area requires the use of a SIL study as a basis for transmission access 
for both the indicative screens and the DPT analysis.\92\ In Order No. 
697, the Commission clarified that the SIL study as shown in Appendix E 
of the April 14 Order is the only study that meets the Commission's 
requirements for the DPT analysis and the indicative screens.\93\ In 
the April 14 Order, the Commission set the amount of supply that can 
reach the relevant market as uncommitted capacity limited by the 
simultaneous transmission import capability.\94\ In Puget Sound Energy, 
Inc., the Commission consolidated and clarified its direction regarding 
SIL studies given in previous orders and provided required formats for 
submitting SIL data.\95\ Specifically, the Commission directed filers 
to submit their SIL data in the format provided in Appendix B of Puget 
in order to properly summarize and document their SIL study 
results.\96\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \92\ Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at P 19.
    \93\ Id. (``With regard to [SILs], the Commission adopts the 
requirement that the SIL study be used as a basis for transmission 
access for both the indicative screens and the DPT analysis. 
Further, the Commission clarifies that the SIL study as shown in 
Appendix E of the April 14 Order is the only study that meets our 
requirements.'').
    \94\ April 14 Order, 107 FERC ] 61,018 at Appendix E.
    \95\ Puget Sound Energy, Inc., 135 FERC ] 61,254 (2011) (Puget).
    \96\ Submittal 1 of Appendix B of Puget contains a summary table 
of components used to calculate SIL values and provides a 
spreadsheet format with numerical examples. Submittal 2 provides a 
spreadsheet for identification of long-term firm transmission 
reservations used to import power from seller and affiliate 
generating resources in a first-tier area to serve native load in 
the study area.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    68. The SIL study calculates the aggregated simultaneous transfer 
capability into the balancing authority area being studied. It is 
intended to provide a reasonable simulation of historical conditions 
and is not a theoretical maximum import capability or best import case 
scenario.\97\ A simplified view of the SIL study is that it 
simultaneously increases generator output in one area, the first-tier, 
and decreases generator output in another area, the study area. As the 
source of generation is incrementally shifted, single contingency 
conditions are tested in both areas while the relevant transmission 
elements are monitored for overloads.\98\ A ``single contingency 
condition'' is the unexpected failure of a single system component, 
such as a generator, transmission line, circuit breaker, switch or 
other electrical equipment.\99\ The Commission direction has been to 
increase or ``scale up available generation in the exporting 
(aggregated first tier areas) and scale down the study area resources 
according to the same methods used historically in assessing available 
transmission for non-affiliate resources.'' \100\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \97\ Puget, 135 FERC ] 61,254 at Appendix B (citing Order No. 
697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at P 354).
    \98\ See, e.g., Puget, 135 FERC ] 61,254, Appendix B, Sec.  I.D 
(Prior Commission Direction on Scaling).
    \99\ Id. Appendix B (citing Carolina Power & Light Co., 128 FERC 
] 61,039, at P 8 n.7 (2009)).
    \100\ April 14 Order, 107 FERC ] 61,018 at Appendix E.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    69. The Commission recognizes that it is a complex process for a 
seller to estimate transmission capability using the model of its 
transmission system in a simplified manner so that elements are 
accurately accounted for in SIL studies. Therefore, the Commission 
previously has provided guidance so that sellers can more accurately 
measure the amount of available transmission capability into the study 
area. One area of concern has been the proper modeling and scaling of 
jointly-owned generating plants in a SIL study, particularly when units 
have long-term firm transmission reservations.\101\ The Commission has 
determined that these remote plants should be dispatched at their 
historical output levels and should not be scaled down as doing so 
would be unrealistic and inconsistent with historical practices.\102\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \101\ A long-term firm transmission reservation is a reservation 
that is 28 days or longer. See Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 
31,252 at P 368 (``While we find that firm transmission reservations 
less than or equal to 28 days in duration are usually unpredictable, 
we believe that firm transmission reservations of a longer duration 
are not related to the unpredictable nature of real time events and 
are based upon planned and predictable events. Therefore, the 
Commission will require sellers to account for firm and network 
transmission reservations having a duration of longer than 28 
days.'').
    \102\ See Pinnacle West Capital Corp., 117 FERC ] 61,316, at P 6 
(2006) (Pinnacle West).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    70. In Pinnacle West,\103\ the Commission identified errors and 
provided guidance and clarification as to how the SIL study should be 
revised to satisfy the Commission's requirements. The PNM SIL study 
presents issues similar to those presented by the SIL study at issue in 
Pinnacle West. With regard to the PNM SIL study, the Data Request noted 
that some units within the study area have long-term firm commitments 
to serve load outside of the study area. The Data Request noted that 
the Commission expects that any such unit's generation that has been 
committed with long-term firm transmission reservations would be 
considered unavailable for scaling; however, it appears that some such 
units were scaled down during the SIL study. Therefore, the Data 
Request required PNM to identify all generation units within the PNM 
balancing authority area that have long-term firm transmission 
reservations (to serve study area load or to export power to the first-
tier), describe whether the unit's output level was either maintained 
or scaled in the SIL study, and adjust the SIL study as necessary.\104\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \103\ Id. P 3.
    \104\ Data Request, Question No. 2, at 2 (citing Pinnacle West, 
117 FERC ] 61,316 at P 6; April 14 Order, 107 FERC ] 61,018 at 
Appendix E).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    71. In its Response to the Data Request, PNM filed revised work 
papers and SIL information. PNM also submitted a table listing the 
long-term firm transmission reservations for exports out of the PNM 
balancing

[[Page 63777]]

authority area and the corresponding source generator within the study 
area. This table indicates that these generation units are jointly-
owned by PNM and other entities, and that the non-PNM owned portions of 
these units are committed with long-term firm transmission reservations 
to export out of the study area (i.e., the PNM balancing authority 
area). However, based on the power flow models submitted by PNM in the 
original SIL study, it is evident that PNM scaled down these jointly-
owned generation units, including portions belonging to other 
owners.\105\ In addition, PNM provided Submittal 1 and Submittal 2 
tables which reported the results of two sensitivities that PNM 
conducted in response to the scaling guidance in the Data Request.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \105\ August 18, 2014 Filing, Stahlhut Aff. Exhibit JWS-3.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    72. PNM's first sensitivity study ``does not scale resources with 
potential commitments outside of the PNM [balancing authority area].'' 
\106\ The second sensitivity ``scales half of the resources with 
potential commitments outside of the PNM [balancing authority area].'' 
\107\ However, for both sensitivities, PNM stated that ``the associated 
export reservations are recognized as long-term firm commitments to be 
consistent and reflect the equal but opposite effect to import 
reservations and compensate for prematurely limiting the imports below 
the physical limit of the transmission system or load within the study 
area. The export reservations are reflected in the SIL sensitivity 
analyses by inclusion in Table 2 [of Submittal 2].'' \108\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \106\ Response to the Data Request at 3. We interpret PNM's 
language ``resources with potential commitments'' to mean the long-
term firm transmission reservations capacity or export reservations 
of the units within the PNM balancing authority area that have long-
term firm transmission reservations to serve load in the first tier.
    \107\ Id. at 4.
    \108\ Id. at 3-4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    73. The practice of capturing long-term firm export reservations in 
Submittal 2 is inconsistent with the instructions and purpose of 
Submittal 2, which is to identify and sum the long-term firm 
transmission reservations from affiliated remote generating resources 
in the first-tier to serve native load in the study area.\109\ Export 
reservations are long-term firm transmission reservations from the 
study area to the first-tier to serve first-tier load; because the 
exports are commitments from capacity that belongs to the first-tier, 
these export reservations should not be captured in Submittal 2. As 
such, the Commission cannot utilize these sensitivities as support for 
PNM's SIL study. Furthermore, while the scaling method used in the 
first sensitivity is consistent with guidance given in the Data 
Request, the ownership and commitments of the generation units was not 
apparent in the original August 18, 2014 Filing or the December 17, 
2014 Filing. Thus, we believe that further clarification is warranted 
on the modeling and treatment of jointly-owned units in SIL studies.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \109\ Puget, 135 FERC ] 61,254, at Appendix B, Sec.  II.B.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    74. In Puget, the Commission stated that ``[i]n the case of 
jointly-owned power plants, the plant's capacity should be allocated 
among the generator owners' balancing authority areas according to its 
ownership percentages.'' \110\ Additionally, the Commission has stated 
that a seasonal benchmark case model should simulate historical 
seasonal conditions that were present during the modeled season. The 
Commission has stated that ``[a]ny generating units owned by the study 
area utility that are located in the first-tier area, including the 
study area utility's portion of jointly-owned units[,] should be 
modeled . . . in the first-tier area.'' \111\ In addition, ``any long-
term reservations from these facilities used to serve study area native 
load shall be included in the study area net area interchange.'' \112\ 
While this statement references jointly-owned generating units located 
in the first-tier area, we believe that it is reasonable to treat 
jointly-owned generating units located within the study area committed 
to serving first-tier load similarly. As portions of these units belong 
to unaffiliated entities located in the first-tier area, they should 
not be scaled down; doing so would misrepresent the incremental 
transfer capability of the study area by reducing generation that 
actually has commitments to first-tier load.\113\ This has the effect 
of allowing more first-tier generation into the study area than is 
actually available to be displaced in the study area.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \110\ Id. P 18.
    \111\ Id., Appendix B, II.D at 4.3.7.
    \112\ Id.
    \113\ See id., Appendix B, Sec.  II.D (Submittal 4: Seasonal 
Benchmark Case) (4.3.7 and 4.3.8 discuss how jointly-owned units 
should be modeled according to historical dispatch).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    75. Thus, we clarify that, for purposes of generation scaling for 
the SIL, the appropriate method of modeling a generation unit in the 
study area that is jointly-owned between the seller and one or more 
unaffiliated sellers in the first-tier area is to represent the unit as 
multiple units in the model based on ownership percentage such that the 
multiple units fully represent the generation commitments and impacts 
on the transmission system. One unit will represent the seller's 
generation capacity in the study area, and one or more additional units 
will represent the capacity owned by unaffiliated entities within the 
first-tier area.\114\ The seller's unit will remain modeled within the 
study area balancing authority area while the portion of the unit(s) 
belonging to unaffiliated first-tier sellers will be given the 
appropriate first-tier balancing authority area number in the model. 
Importantly, we note that this method retains the same physical 
location of the unit within the transmission network as modeled; 
however, the portion of the unit(s) belonging to the unaffiliated 
first-tier sellers would not be considered a study area generator for 
purposes of calculating net area interchange. We also note that with 
this method, the seller's generation capacity can appropriately be 
scaled down, and the portion of the unit(s) belonging to the 
unaffiliated first-tier sellers now modeled in the first-tier area can 
appropriately be scaled up to serve study area load if it is not 
committed under long-term firm transmission reservations. Additionally, 
any generating resources in the first-tier with long-term firm 
transmission reservations to serve study area load should be reported 
as a long-term firm transmission reservation in Submittal 2.\115\ 
Furthermore, entities are required to ``[p]rovide a listing of first-
tier area generating units and portions of jointly-owned first-tier 
area generating units to be scaled-up in the first-tier area, including 
any first-tier area generation or portions of jointly-owned first-tier 
area generating units physically located within the study area, 
according to the same methods used historically in assessing available 
transmission for non-affiliate resources.'' \116\ Entities should 
identify their jointly-owned units, report the ownership breakdown, and 
indicate what scaling, if any, was utilized for each portion of the 
generator.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \114\ In Puget, the Commission approved NorthWestern's use of 
this general method to represent the jointly-owned Colstrip plant. 
The model represented separate generators for each owner, each with 
one owner's portion of Colstrip's total capacity. Id. P 18.
    \115\ Id., Appendix B, II.B, Instruction 3.
    \116\ Id., Appendix B, II.G (Submittal 7: The Sub-System File) 
(7.2.1).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    76. Finally, we clarify that entities should complete the 
``Description of Remote Resources'' column as necessary

[[Page 63778]]

in each row of Submittal 2.\117\ We expect that, at a minimum, entities 
will indicate the balancing authority area from which these remote 
resources are sourced.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \117\ Id., Appendix B, II.B (Submittal 2: Identification of 
Long-Term Firm Transmission Reservations used to Import Power for 
Generating Resources in the First-Tier Area to Serve Native Load in 
the Study Area) (Instruction 2).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Conclusion
    77. As described above, we are unable to validate the results of 
PNM's SIL model, its calculations of EC and AEC, and its DPT analysis. 
Thus, we find that PNM has not adequately rebutted the presumption of 
horizontal market power caused by its failure of the indicative screens 
in the PNM balancing authority area. Therefore, we reject, without 
prejudice, PNM's request for market-based rate authorization in the PNM 
balancing authority area. We encourage other market-based rate 
applicants to make use of the guidance and clarification offered 
herein.

D. Notice of Change in Status

    78. PNM states that its purchase of Delta Person does not affect 
PNM's horizontal market power because PNM was already deemed to control 
the output of the Delta Person facility under a long-term contract with 
Delta Person.\118\ In its most recent updated market power analysis for 
the Southwest region, PNM studied Delta Person's generation in the 
first-tier balancing authority areas in which PNM has market-based rate 
authority.\119\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \118\ August 18, 2014 Filing at 1.
    \119\ Public Service Company of New Mexico, Docket No. ER10-
2302-004 (Aug. 22, 2014) (delegated letter order). PNM has market-
based rate authority in seven first-tier balancing authority areas 
to the PNM balancing authority area. These balancing authority areas 
are Southwestern Public Service Company, Western Area Power 
Administration-Colorado Missouri, Western Area Power 
Administration--Lower Colorado, Public Service Company of Colorado, 
Arizona Public Service Company, Salt River Project, and Tucson 
Electric Power Company.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    79. Based on PNM's representations, we find that PNM satisfies the 
Commission's requirements for market-based rates regarding horizontal 
market power in all balancing authority areas in which PNM currently 
has market-based rate authority, i.e., outside of the PNM and El Paso 
Electric balancing authority areas.
    80. PNM represents that of it and its affiliates, only PNM owns or 
controls transmission facilities subject to Commission jurisdiction. 
PNM states that open access to these transmission facilities is 
provided pursuant to the terms of PNM's Open Access Transmission Tariff 
on file with the Commission.\120\ Further, PNM represents that neither 
it nor any affiliate owns or controls intrastate natural gas 
transportation, storage, or distribution facilities. PNM represents 
that it owns several sites that may be used for generation capacity 
development including sites in which PNM has existing facilities. PNM 
states that it currently has plans to develop new generation at or near 
the San Juan Generating Station in the PNM balancing authority area. 
Additionally, PNM states that it holds one undeveloped site near 
Albuquerque, New Mexico.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \120\ Public Service Company of New Mexico, FERC FPA Electric 
Tariff, PNM Open Access Transmission Tariff.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    81. PNM states that it purchases coal under various long-term 
agreements but does not currently own any coal mines or mineral rights. 
PNM represents that these coal purchase contracts are used exclusively 
to supply coal to power plants owned and operated by PNM.
    82. Finally, PNM states that it has not erected barriers to entry 
into the relevant market, the PNM balancing authority area, and will 
not erect barriers to entry into the relevant market.
    83. Based on PNM's representations, we find that PNM satisfies the 
Commission's requirements for market-based rates regarding vertical 
market power.
    84. Based on PNM's satisfaction of the Commission's requirements 
for market-based authorization regarding horizontal and vertical market 
power in the markets where it has market-based rate authority, we 
accept PNM's notice of change in status.

E. Reporting Requirements

    85. An entity with market-based rate authorization must file an 
Electric Quarterly Report (EQR) with the Commission, consistent with 
Order Nos. 2001 \121\ and 768,\122\ to fulfill its responsibility under 
section 205(c) \123\ of the Federal Power Act to have rates on file in 
a convenient form and place.\124\ PNM must file EQRs electronically 
with the Commission consistent with the procedures set forth in Order 
No. 770.\125\ Failure to timely and accurately file an EQR is a 
violation of the Commission's regulations for which PNM may be subject 
to refund, civil penalties, and/or revocation of market-based rate 
authority.\126\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \121\ Revised Public Utility Filing Requirements, Order No. 
2001, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,127, reh'g denied, Order No. 2001-A, 
100 FERC ] 61,074, reh'g denied, Order No. 2001-B, 100 FERC ] 
61,342, order directing filing, Order No. 2001-C, 101 FERC ] 61,314 
(2002), order directing filing, Order No. 2001-D, 102 FERC ] 61,334, 
order refining filing requirements, Order No. 2001-E, 105 FERC ] 
61,352 (2003), order on clarification, Order No. 2001-F, 106 FERC ] 
61,060 (2004), order revising filing requirements, Order No. 2001-G, 
120 FERC ] 61,270, order on reh'g and clarification, Order No. 2001-
H, 121 FERC ] 61,289 (2007), order revising filing requirements, 
Order No. 2001-I, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,282 (2008).
    \122\ Electricity Mkt. Transparency Provisions of Section 220 of 
the Fed. Power Act, Order No. 768, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,336 
(2012), order on reh'g, Order No. 768-A, 143 FERC ] 61,054 (2013).
    \123\ 16 U.S.C. 824d(c) (2012).
    \124\ See Revisions to Electric Quarterly Report Filing Process, 
Order No. 770, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,338, at P 3 (2012) (citing 
Order No. 2001, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,127 at P 31).
    \125\ Order No. 770, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,338.
    \126\ The exact filing dates for these reports are prescribed in 
18 CFR 35.10b (2015). Forfeiture of market-based rate authority may 
require a new application for market-based rate authority if the 
applicant wishes to resume making sales at market-based rates.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    86. PNM must timely report to the Commission any change in status 
that would reflect a departure from the characteristics the Commission 
relied upon in granting market-based rate authority.\127\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \127\ Reporting Requirement for Changes in Status for Public 
Utilities with Market-Based Rate Authority, Order No. 652, FERC 
Stats. & Regs. ] 31,175, order on reh'g, 111 FERC ] 61,413 (2005); 
18 CFR 35.42 (2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    87. Additionally, PNM must file an updated market power analysis 
for all regions in which it is designated as a Category 2 seller in 
compliance with the regional reporting schedule adopted in Order No. 
697.\128\ The Commission also reserves the right to require such an 
analysis at any intervening time.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \128\ Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ] 31,252 at PP 848-850.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Commission orders:
    (A) PNM's notice of change in status is hereby accepted for filing, 
as discussed in the body of this order.
    (B) PNM's request for market-based authority in the PNM balancing 
authority area is hereby rejected, without prejudice, as discussed in 
the body of this order.
    (C) PNM's SIL study is hereby rejected, without prejudice, as 
discussed in the body of this order.
    (D) The Secretary is hereby directed to publish a copy of this 
order in the Federal Register.

    By the Commission.

    Issued: October 15, 2015.
Kimberly D. Bose,
Secretary.
[FR Doc. 2015-26724 Filed 10-20-15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6717-01-P



                                              63768                     Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices

                                                 Description: Notice of Self-                            Accession Number: 20151008–5001.                   Also in this order, we reject, without
                                              Certification of Exempt Wholesale                          Comments Due: 5 p.m. ET 10/29/15.                  prejudice, PNM’s request for market-
                                              Generator Status of Seville Solar Two,                     Docket Numbers: ER16–35–000.                       based rate authority in the PNM
                                              LLC.                                                       Applicants: Brown’s Energy Services,               balancing authority area and we reject,
                                                 Filed Date: 10/8/15.                                 LLC.                                                  without prejudice, the simultaneous
                                                 Accession Number: 20151008–5087.                        Description: Baseline eTariff Filing:              transmission import limit (SIL) values
                                                 Comments Due: 5 p.m. ET 10/29/15.                    Market Based Rate Tariff to be effective              submitted by PNM for the PNM
                                                 Take notice that the Commission                      11/5/2015.                                            balancing authority area. We take this
                                              received the following electric rate                       Filed Date: 10/8/15.                               opportunity to remind applicants
                                              filings:                                                   Accession Number: 20151008–5002.                   seeking initial market-based rate
                                                 Docket Numbers: ER10–2331–040;                          Comments Due: 5 p.m. ET 10/29/15.                  authority or seeking to retain such
                                              ER14–630–017; ER10–2319–032; ER10–                         The filings are accessible in the                  authority of the type of information and
                                              2317–032; ER13–1351–014; ER10–2330–                     Commission’s eLibrary system by                       analysis that is useful and appropriate
                                              039.                                                                                                          for our consideration of a Delivered
                                                                                                      clicking on the links or querying the
                                                 Applicants: J.P. Morgan Ventures                                                                           Price Test (DPT) and what is not. We are
                                                                                                      docket number.
                                              Energy Corporation, AlphaGen Power                                                                            providing this information not only to
                                                                                                         Any person desiring to intervene or
                                              LLC, BE Alabama LLC, BE CA LLC,                                                                               PNM but to industry broadly with
                                                                                                      protest in any of the above proceedings
                                              Florida Power Development LLC, Utility                                                                        respect to several issues that arose in
                                                                                                      must file in accordance with Rules 211
                                              Contract Funding, L.L.C.                                                                                      our review of the DPT analysis and SIL
                                                                                                      and 214 of the Commission’s
                                                 Description: Notice of Non-Material                                                                        study prepared by PNM. These issues,
                                                                                                      Regulations (18 CFR 385.211 and
                                              Change in Status of the J.P. Morgan                                                                           as with others, are recurring across a
                                                                                                      385.214) on or before 5:00 p.m. Eastern
                                              Sellers.                                                                                                      myriad of applicants. Our goal in
                                                                                                      time on the specified comment date.
                                                 Filed Date: 10/7/15.                                                                                       providing this clarification is to promote
                                                                                                      Protests may be considered, but                       compliance with the Commission’s
                                                 Accession Number: 20151007–5156.                     intervention is necessary to become a
                                                 Comments Due: 5 p.m. ET 10/28/15.                                                                          regulations and policies in an effort to
                                                                                                      party to the proceeding.                              more timely process requests for market-
                                                 Docket Numbers: ER11–4380–005;                          eFiling is encouraged. More detailed               based rate authorization and reduce
                                              ER13–1562–004; ER13–1641–002;                           information relating to filing                        delay.
                                              ER10–2434–006; ER10–2467–006;                           requirements, interventions, protests,
                                              ER10–2488–012; ER12–1931–006;                           service, and qualifying facilities filings            I. Background
                                              ER15–1045–001;ER10–2504–007; ER12–                      can be found at: http://www.ferc.gov/                    2. On August 18, 2014, as amended on
                                              610–007; ER13–338–006;ER12–2037–                        docs-filing/efiling/filing-req.pdf. For               December 17, 2014 and February 18,
                                              006; ER12–2314–005; ER10–2436–                          other information, call (866) 208–3676                2015,2 PNM filed a notice of change in
                                              006;ER11–4381–005.                                      (toll free). For TTY, call (202) 502–8659.            status notifying the Commission that,
                                                 Applicants: Bellevue Solar, LLC,                       Dated: October 8, 2015.                             effective July 17, 2014, PNM purchased
                                              Catalina Solar Lessee, LLC, Chestnut                                                                          the interests in Delta Person, the owner
                                                                                                      Nathaniel J. Davis, Sr.,
                                              Flats Lessee, LLC, Fenton Power                                                                               of a 132 megawatt (MW) gas-fired
                                              Partners I, LLC, Hoosier Wind Project,                  Deputy Secretary.
                                                                                                                                                            generating facility located in the PNM
                                              LLC, Oasis Power Partners, LLC, Pacific                 [FR Doc. 2015–26701 Filed 10–20–15; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                                                                            balancing authority area. PNM states
                                              Wind Lessee, LLC, Pilot Hill Wind, LLC,                 BILLING CODE 6717–01–P
                                                                                                                                                            that the acquisition does not affect
                                              Shiloh Wind Project 2, LLC, Shiloh III                                                                        PNM’s horizontal market power
                                              Lessee, LLC, Shiloh IV Lessee, LLC,                                                                           because, prior to the acquisition, PNM
                                              Spearville 3, LLC, Spinning Spur Wind                   DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
                                                                                                                                                            purchased the full output of the facility
                                              LLC, Wapsipinicon Wind Project, LLC,                    Federal Energy Regulatory                             under a long-term contract with Delta
                                              Yamhill Solar, LLC.                                     Commission                                            Person and, as such, was already
                                                 Description: Notice of Change in                                                                           deemed to control the output of that
                                              Status of the EDF–RE MBR Companies.                     [Docket No. ER10–2302–005]                            facility.3
                                                 Filed Date: 10/7/15.                                                                                          3. Additionally, PNM requests
                                                 Accession Number: 20151007–5249.                     Before Commissioners: Norman C.                       market-based rate authorization in the
                                                 Comments Due: 5 p.m. ET 10/28/15.                    Bay, Chairman; Philip D. Moeller,                     PNM balancing authority area.4 PNM
                                                 Docket Numbers: ER15–2426–000.                       Cheryl A. LaFleur, Tony Clark, and                    states that the market characteristics in
                                                 Applicants: Northern Indiana Public                  Colette D. Honorable; Public Service                  the PNM balancing authority area have
                                              Service Company.                                        Company of New Mexico, Order                          changed since PNM relinquished its
                                                 Description: Amendment to August                     Accepting Notice of Change in Status,                 market-based rate authority in 2010 and
                                              12, 2015 Proposed Reactive Power                        Rejecting, Without Prejudice, Request                 PNM is therefore seeking to reestablish
                                              Revenue Requirements of Northern                        for Market-Based Rate Authorization
                                              Indiana Public Service Company for                      and Providing Clarification on                        Delta Person, Limited Partnership, 142 FERC ¶
                                              twelve generating facilities located in                 Submitting Delivered Price Test                       62,155 (2013).
                                              the MISO pricing zone under ER15–                       Analyses and Simultaneous                                2 For purposes of this order, the February 18,

                                                                                                      Transmission Import Limit Studies                     2015 amendment will be referred to as ‘‘Response
                                              2426.                                                                                                         to the Data Request.’’
                                                 Filed Date: 10/7/15.                                   1. In this order, we accept the notice                 3 August 18, 2014 Filing at 1.

                                                 Accession Number: 20151007–5243.                     of change in status filed by Public
                                                                                                                                                               4 PNM states that its tariff reflects that it
tkelley on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with NOTICES




                                                 Comments Due: 5 p.m. ET 10/13/15.                                                                          relinquished its market-based rate authority in the
                                                                                                      Service Company of New Mexico (PNM)                   PNM and El Paso Electric Company (El Paso
                                                 Docket Numbers: ER16–34–000.                         to report a transaction in which it                   Electric) balancing authority areas. Id. at 3 (citing
                                                 Applicants: Harborside Energy, LLC.                  purchased the interests in Delta Person,              Public Service Company of New Mexico, Docket No.
                                                 Description: Baseline eTariff Filing:                                                                      ER96–1551–022 (Oct. 26, 2010) (delegated letter
                                                                                                      Limited Partnership (Delta Person).1                  order)). PNM states that it only seeks to reestablish
                                              Market Based Rate Tariff to be effective                                                                      its market-based rate authority in the PNM
                                              11/5/2015.                                                1 The related acquisition of jurisdictional         balancing authority area and not in the El Paso
                                                 Filed Date: 10/8/15.                                 facilities was authorized by the Commission in        Electric balancing authority area. Id. at 2 n.4.



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                                                                          Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices                                                     63769

                                              its market-based rate authority in that                   Procedure, 18 CFR 385.214 (2015),                      inaccurate data and modeling errors and
                                              balancing authority area.5                                Navopache’s timely, unopposed motion                   is inconsistent with the Commission’s
                                                 4. PNM included an updated market                      to intervene serves to make it a party to              regulations. The deficiencies pertain to
                                              power analysis with its August 18, 2014                   this proceeding.                                       the following: (i) Data integrity; (ii)
                                              Filing. PNM states that it passes the                                                                            identification of potential supply; (iii)
                                              pivotal supplier screen and the                           B. Substantive Matters
                                                                                                                                                               calculation of variable costs; (iv)
                                              wholesale market share screen in the                        9. We accept PNM’s notice of change
                                                                                                                                                               accounting for power purchase
                                              summer season; however, PNM                               in status filing. However, as discussed
                                                                                                                                                               agreements; (v) calculation of
                                              represents that it fails the wholesale                    below, we reject, without prejudice,
                                                                                                        PNM’s request for market-based rate                    transmission rates; (vi) calculation of
                                              market share screen in the winter, fall,
                                                                                                        authority in the PNM balancing                         available economic capacity (AEC); (vii)
                                              and spring seasons. PNM notes that the
                                              failure of the indicative screens creates                 authority area and PNM’s related SIL                   use of historical transaction data to
                                              a rebuttable presumption of horizontal                    study. We find that PNM has failed to                  corroborate results; and (viii)
                                              market power. However, PNM states it                      rebut the presumption of horizontal                    preparation of the SIL study.
                                              has rebutted that presumption by                          market power in the PNM balancing                      1. Horizontal Market Power
                                              demonstrating that PNM passes a DPT                       authority area, and therefore, has not
                                              analysis for the PNM balancing                            supported its request for market-based                    11. The Commission adopted two
                                              authority area.6                                          rate authority in the PNM balancing                    indicative screens for assessing
                                                 5. Additionally, PNM submitted                         authority area. Also, as discussed below,              horizontal market power: the pivotal
                                              historical evidence related to a request                  we take this opportunity to identify                   supplier screen and the wholesale
                                              for proposal (RFP) issued by the City of                  deficiencies in PNM’s DPT analysis and                 market share screen.13 The Commission
                                              Gallup, New Mexico, representing that                     provide general clarification regarding                has stated that passage of both screens
                                              PNM was not selected as the winner and                    DPT analyses and SIL studies. We note                  establishes a rebuttable presumption
                                              that the results of the RFP should be                     that our efforts to provide such
                                                                                                                                                               that the applicant does not possess
                                              considered as alternative evidence to                     clarification in this order are hampered
                                                                                                                                                               horizontal market power, while failure
                                              rebut the presumption that PNM may                        by the fact that PNM’s most recent
                                                                                                        February 18, 2015 DPT analysis and SIL                 of either screen creates a rebuttable
                                              have market power in the PNM
                                                                                                        submittals were all filed as non-                      presumption that the applicant has
                                              balancing authority area.7
                                                 6. On December 19, 2014, the Director                  public.10 Thus, we often cite to earlier               horizontal market power.14
                                              of the Division of Electric Power                         public versions of filings instead of the                 12. PNM prepared the pivotal
                                              Regulation—West requested additional                      most recent non-public versions.                       supplier and wholesale market share
                                              information from PNM with regard to                       However, unless otherwise noted, the                   screens for the PNM balancing authority
                                              the DPT analysis and SIL study (Data                      discussion is applicable to the most                   area, consistent with the requirements
                                              Request).8 On February 18, 2015, PNM                      recent non-public version as well.                     of Order No. 697.15 We have reviewed
                                              submitted a revised DPT analysis and an                                                                          these and find that PNM passes the
                                              additional SIL sensitivity analysis, with                                                                        pivotal supplier screen and the
                                              revised Submittal 1 and Submittal 2                       C. Market-Based Rate Authorization
                                                                                                                                                               wholesale market share screen in the
                                              results, in response to the request for                     10. The Commission allows power                      summer season with a market share of
                                              additional information (Response to the                   sales at market-based rates if the seller              18.0 percent, but fails the wholesale
                                              Data Request).                                            and its affiliates do not have, or have                market share screen in the other seasons
                                              II. Notice of Filings                                     adequately mitigated, horizontal and                   with market shares ranging from 24.9 to
                                                                                                        vertical market power.11 An applicant                  26.8 percent.16 As a result of failing the
                                                 7. Notice of PNM’s August 18, 2014                     that fails one or more of the indicative
                                              filing, as amended on December 17,                                                                               indicative screens in the fall, winter,
                                                                                                        screens is provided with several
                                              2014 and on February 18, 2015, was                                                                               and spring seasons, PNM submitted
                                                                                                        procedural options including the right
                                              published in the Federal Register,9 with                                                                         alternative evidence and performed a
                                                                                                        to challenge the market power
                                              interventions and protests due on or                      presumption by submitting a DPT                        DPT analysis to rebut the presumption
                                              before March 11, 2015. Navopache                          analysis.12 As discussed in the body of                of horizontal market power in the PNM
                                              Electric Cooperative, Inc. (Navopache)                    this order, PNM’s DPT analysis includes                balancing authority area.
                                              filed a timely motion to intervene.                                                                                 13. As the Commission has previously
                                              III. Discussion
                                                                                                           10 We encourage filers to submit as much
                                                                                                                                                               explained, the DPT analysis identifies
                                                                                                        information as possible as public and only to claim
                                                                                                        confidential treatment for information that is
                                                                                                                                                               potential suppliers based on market
                                              A. Procedural Matters                                                                                            prices, input costs, and transmission
                                                                                                        exempt from mandatory disclosure under the
                                                8. Pursuant to Rule 214 of the                          Freedom of Information Act, 5 U.S.C. 552. Filers       availability, and calculates each
                                              Commission’s Rules of Practice and                        must follow the requirements in 18 CFR 388.112         supplier’s economic capacity (EC) 17 and
                                                                                                        (2015) when submitting requests for privileged
                                                                                                        treatment of filings.
                                                5 Id.  at 4.                                               11 See Market-Based Rates for Wholesale Sales of
                                                6 On   December 17, 2014, PNM submitted public          Electric Energy, Capacity and Ancillary Services by
                                              versions of its DPT files, explaining that it initially   Public Utilities, Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs.
                                              submitted numerous electronic files related to the        ¶ 31,252, at PP 62, 399, 408, 440, clarified, 121
                                              DPT analysis on a confidential basis.                                                                              13 Id. P 62.
                                                                                                        FERC ¶ 61,260 (2007), order on reh’g, Order No.
                                                 7 Id. at 12–13.                                                                                                 14 Id.
                                                                                                        697–A, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,268, clarified, 124             PP 33, 62–63.
                                                 8 Public Service Company of New Mexico, Docket         FERC ¶ 61,055, order on reh’g, Order No. 697–B,          15 Id. PP 231–232.
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                                              No. ER10–2302–005 (Dec. 19, 2014) (delegated              FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,285 (2008), order on reh’g,     16 August 18, 2014 Filing, Exhibit No. JMC–3.
                                              letter order). We note that on January 21, 2015,          Order No. 697–C, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,291            17 The EC of a supplier is defined as ‘‘the amount
                                              PNM filed a motion for an extension of time to file       (2009), order on reh’g, Order No. 697–D, FERC
                                              its Response to the Data Request, which was               Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,305 (2010), aff’d sub nom. Mont.   of generating capacity owned or controlled by a
                                              granted. See Notice of Extension of Time, Docket          Consumer Counsel v. FERC, 659 F.3d 910 (9th Cir.       potential supplier with variable costs low enough
                                              No. ER10–2302–005 (Jan. 27, 2015).                        2011), cert. denied, 133 S. Ct. 26 (2012).             that energy from such capacity could be
                                                 9 79 FR 50,642; 79 FR 78,081 (2014); 80 FR 10,472         12 Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252 at   economically delivered to the destination market.’’
                                              (2015).                                                   P 63.                                                  See 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015).



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                                              63770                     Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices

                                              AEC 18 for each season/load period.19                   reports market shares above 20 percent                   authority area. We do not believe that
                                              The results of the DPT can be used for                  in all seasons/load periods and HHIs                     the City of Gallup’s load is a sufficient
                                              pivotal supplier, market share and                      below 2,500.26                                           proxy for the load PNM served during
                                              market concentration analyses.20 Under                                                                           the study period.27 Further, the results
                                                                                                      a. Alternative Evidence—RFP
                                              the DPT analysis, applicants must also                                                                           of the RFP may simply reflect that there
                                              calculate market concentration using the                   16. PNM states that the Commission                    are competitors to PNM that can provide
                                              Hirschman-Herfindahl Index (HHI).21                     allows a seller to present alternative                   a small amount of long-term power
                                              An HHI of less than 2,500 in the                        evidence to rebut the results of the                     supply and scheduling services for a
                                              relevant market for all seasons/load                    indicative screens. PNM requests that                    minimum of five years less expensively
                                              periods, in combination with a                          the RFP results be considered as                         than PNM. However, the Commission’s
                                              demonstration that the applicants are                   additional alternative evidence to rebut                 analysis of horizontal market power
                                              not pivotal and do not possess more                     the presumption that PNM may have                        includes other factors, such as
                                              than a 20 percent market share in any                   market power in the PNM balancing                        uncommitted capacity and system
                                              of the seasons/load periods, would                      authority area.                                          operating conditions during various
                                              constitute a showing of a lack of                          17. According to PNM, on September                    levels of load in a relevant geographic
                                              horizontal market power, absent                         26, 2013, the City of Gallup issued an                   market, none of which is addressed by
                                              compelling contrary evidence from                       RFP for long-term power supply and                       PNM’s alternative evidence. Thus, we
                                              interveners. A detailed description of                  scheduling services for a minimum of                     are unable to conclude from the RFP
                                              the mechanics of the DPT analysis is                    five years. The RFP represents that the                  evidence that PNM lacks horizontal
                                              provided in Order No. 697.22                            City of Gallup serves approximately                      market power in the PNM balancing
                                                 14. As with the indicative screens,                  10,500 customers and averages                            authority area. Further, PNM does not
                                                                                                      approximately 215,000,000 kilowatt-                      provide historical sales or transmission
                                              applicants and interveners may present
                                                                                                      hours (kWh) in annual sales provided                     data to rebut the results of the indicative
                                              evidence, such as historical sales and
                                                                                                      from wholesale energy purchases of                       screens.28
                                              transmission data, which may be used
                                                                                                      around 220,000,000 kWh bought from
                                              to calculate market shares and market                                                                            b. DPT Analysis
                                                                                                      PNM and 15,000,000 kWh from Western
                                              concentration and to refute or support
                                                                                                      Area Power Administration. PNM states                       20. In Order No. 697, the Commission
                                              the results of the DPT analysis. In Order
                                                                                                      that, as the City of Gallup’s existing                   provided the option for a seller to
                                              No. 697, the Commission encouraged
                                                                                                      supplier, it responded to the RFP. PNM                   submit a DPT analysis when that seller
                                              applicants to present the most complete
                                                                                                      further states that the City of Gallup                   fails an indicative screen.29
                                              analysis of competitive conditions in
                                                                                                      received bids from five suppliers.                          21. The Commission, prior to Order
                                              the market as the data allow.23
                                                                                                      Further, PNM represents that it was not                  No. 697, provided industry guidance
                                                 15. PNM’s DPT analysis for the PNM                                                                            concerning the DPT in the Merger
                                                                                                      selected as the winner in the RFP and
                                              balancing authority area indicates that                                                                          Policy Statement.30 The Commission
                                                                                                      ranked third in the competitiveness of
                                              PNM is not pivotal in any season/load                                                                            provided an overview of the definition
                                                                                                      its bid. PNM states that Continental
                                              period using either the EC measure or                                                                            of the product market studied by the
                                                                                                      Divide Electric Cooperative was selected
                                              the AEC measure.24 Using the AEC                                                                                 DPT analysis, and specifically stated
                                                                                                      as the winning bidder, having submitted
                                              measure, PNM reports market shares                                                                               that a key part ‘‘in determining the size
                                                                                                      a bid that was significantly lower than
                                              below 20 percent in all seasons/load                                                                             of the geographic market is to identify
                                                                                                      those submitted by either PNM or the
                                              periods and HHIs below 2,500.25                                                                                  those suppliers that can compete to
                                                                                                      other bidders.
                                              However, using the EC measure, PNM                         18. PNM contends that the fact that                   serve a given market or customer and
                                                 18 The Commission’s regulations provide that
                                                                                                      there were a number of bidders in the                    how much of a competitive presence
                                              AEC ‘‘means the amount of generating capacity           RFP, several of whose bids were lower                    they are in the market. Alternative
                                              meeting the definition of economic capacity less the    than the bid submitted by PNM, in and                    suppliers must be able to reach the
                                              amount of generating capacity needed to serve the       of itself, demonstrates that PNM lacks                   market both economically and
                                              potential supplier’s native load commitments,’’ 18                                                               physically. There are two parts to this
                                              CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(B) (2015).
                                                                                                      market power in the PNM balancing
                                                 19 The seasons/load periods are as follows: super-   authority area. PNM further states that                  analysis. One is determining the
                                              peak, peak, and off-peak, for winter, shoulder, and     this alternative evidence is bolstered by                economic capability of a supplier to
                                              summer periods and an additional highest super-         the fact that a neighboring utility that                 reach a market. This is accomplished by
                                              peak for the summer.                                    maintains market-based rate authority in                 a delivered price test. The second part
                                                 20 See AEP Power Marketing, Inc., 107 FERC ¶

                                              61,018, at PP 106–108 (April 14 Order), order on
                                                                                                      the PNM balancing authority area also
                                                                                                                                                                  27 We note that the 215,000,000 kWh translates
                                              reh’g, 108 FERC ¶ 61,026 (2004).                        underbid PNM, making it difficult to
                                                                                                                                                               into approximately 25 MW of load at a 100 percent
                                                 21 The HHI is the sum of the squared market          justify the notion that PNM has market                   load factor (215,000,000 kWh ÷ 1,000 = 215,000
                                              shares. For example, in a market with five equal        power. Moreover, PNM states that the                     MWh; 215,000 MWh ÷ 8,760 hours in a year = 24.5
                                              size firms, each would have a 20 percent market         RFP is significant recent real-world                     MW). A load factor of 60 percent would translate
                                              share. For that market, HHI = (20)2 + (20)2 + (20)2                                                              into approximately 41 MW of annual peak load.
                                              + (20)2 + (20)2 = 400 + 400 + 400 + 400 + 400 =         evidence that corroborates the results of
                                                                                                                                                               Either amount is significantly less than the 2,142
                                              2,000.                                                  its DPT analysis demonstrating that                      MW of retail requirements, wholesale load
                                                 22 Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252 at    PNM lacks market power in the PNM                        obligation plus off system sales that PNM served
                                              PP 104–117.                                             balancing authority area.                                during the summer peak of 2013. See id., Carey Aff.
                                                 23 Id. PP 71, 111.                                                                                            at 11. It is also less than the 2,563 MW PNM
                                                 24 August 18, 2014 Filing, Carey Aff. at 27, Table   Commission Determination                                 balancing authority annual peak load. See id.,
                                              4 (Delivered Price Test for the PNM BAA                                                                          Exhibit No. JMC–3 at 1.
                                              Destination Market Available Economic Capacity);
                                                                                                        19. Although PNM presents this RFP                        28 Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252 at
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                                              Id., Carey Aff. at 30, Table 5 (Delivered Price Test    as alternative evidence to rebut the                     P 75.
                                              for the PNM BAA Destination Market Economic             results of the indicative screens, we find                  29 Id. P 105.

                                              Capacity). We note that PNM also submitted              that this alternative evidence does not                     30 Inquiry Concerning the Commission’s Merger
                                              sensitivity analyses that separately analyzed what                                                               Policy Under the Federal Power Act: Policy
                                              effect, if any, a 10 percent increase or decrease in
                                                                                                      sufficiently demonstrate that PNM lacks
                                                                                                                                                               Statement, Order No. 592, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶
                                              market price would have on the results of its DPT       market power in that balancing                           31,044 (1996) (Merger Policy Statement),
                                              analysis. Id., Carey Aff. at 30.                                                                                 reconsideration denied, Order No. 592–A, 79 FERC
                                                 25 Id., Carey Aff. at 27, Table 4.                     26 Id.,   Carey Aff. at 30, Table 5.                   ¶ 61,321 (1997).



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                                                                         Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices                                                      63771

                                              evaluates the physical capability of a                      24. The second step is to add to the                  the definition of economic capacity less
                                              supplier to reach a market.’’31                          estimate of the unit’s variable generation               the amount of generating capacity
                                                 22. The first part of the product                     cost any and all applicable transmission                 needed to serve the potential supplier’s
                                              market analysis, that is, the calculation                costs that a supplier would incur to                     native load commitments, where native
                                              of all potential suppliers given the                     deliver the energy into the study area.                  load commitments are ‘‘commitments to
                                              prevailing market price. The EC of a                     Commission regulations state that these                  serve wholesale and retail power
                                              supplier is the amount of generating                     costs include the maximum                                customers on whose behalf the potential
                                              capacity owned or controlled by a                        transmission rate in a transmission                      supplier, by statute, franchise,
                                              potential supplier with variable costs                   provider’s tariff as well as the estimated               regulatory requirement, or contract, has
                                              low enough that energy from such                         cost of supplying energy losses.38 The                   undertaken an obligation to construct
                                              capacity could be economically                           costs of ancillary services incurred to                  and operate its system to meet their
                                              delivered to the destination market. The                 deliver the competing energy into the                    reliable electricity needs.’’ 43 Units that
                                              EC calculation can be described as                       study area should also be included.39                    are contractually committed or needed
                                              follows.32                                               These costs should be accumulated                        to serve native load or meet reliable
                                                 23. The first step in calculating a                   beginning at the source of the generation                electricity needs are not available to
                                              potential supplier’s EC is to calculate                  and ending where the generation sinks                    compete in a DPT analysis.
                                              the variable cost of each unit.33                        in the study area.40                                        27. Furthermore, as stated in the
                                              Commission regulations state that, at a                     25. The final step in calculating                     Merger Policy Statement, the
                                              minimum, these costs include variable                    economically competitive capacity is to                  presumption underlying the AEC
                                              operation and maintenance, including                     determine whether the computed                           measure is that the lowest running cost
                                              both fuel and non-fuel operation and                     generation cost of a unit is price                       units are used to serve native load and
                                              maintenance, and environmental                           competitive in the study area. The                       other firm contractual obligations and
                                              compliance. To the extent these costs                    supplier should compare the computed                     would not be available for other sales.44
                                              are allocated among units at the same                    cost of a generating unit (including all                 Such units are not available to compete
                                              plant, allocation methods should be                      aforementioned generation,                               in the DPT analysis.
                                              fully described.34 Any generation                        transmission, and other costs), to the                      28. The second part of the analysis,
                                              capacity acquired under long-term firm                   computed market price plus five (5)                      evaluating whether generation with AEC
                                              purchase contracts (i.e., contracts with a               percent in the study area.41 Generation                  can reach the study area, and the use of
                                              remaining commitment of more than                        with a delivered cost that meets all of                  this information to compute market
                                              one year) should be added to the                         the above conditions is referred to as the               shares and concentration statistics, is
                                              potential supplier’s generation                          EC of that unit.                                         discussed below.
                                              capacity.35 In addition, the regulations                    26. The AEC of the units and all                         29. Turning to PNM’s calculation, we
                                              provide that ‘‘other generating capacity                 suppliers must also be calculated. AEC                   find that the analysis as presented is
                                              may also be attributed to another                        includes ‘‘capacity from generating                      flawed and from it we are unable to
                                              supplier based on operational control                    units that are not used to serve native                  conclude that PNM rebutted the
                                              criteria as deemed necessary, but the                    load (or are contractually                               presumption of PNM’s horizontal
                                              applicant must explain the reasons for                   committed).’’ 42 Accordingly, AEC is the                 market power in the PNM balancing
                                              doing so.’’ 36 The variable cost for                     amount of generating capacity meeting                    authority area. The deficiencies pertain
                                              contractual capacity acquired, or                                                                                 to the following: (i) Data integrity; (ii)
                                              attributed to another supplier, should be                Quantity and price of capacity and/or energy             identification of potential supply; (iii)
                                              calculated in the same way as                            purchased or sold under the contract; and (ix)           calculation of variable costs; (iv)
                                                                                                       Information on provisions of contracts which confer      accounting for power purchase
                                              generation owned or under the direct                     operational control over generation resources to the
                                              control of the supplier. Commission                      purchaser.’’).
                                                                                                                                                                agreements; (v) calculation of
                                              regulations also require that specific                      38 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5)(i) and 33.3(d)(5)(iii)(H)        transmission rates; (vi) calculation of
                                              information on long-term purchase and                    (2015).                                                  AEC; (vii) use of historical transaction
                                              sale data be submitted.37                                   39 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4) (2015) (‘‘Perform delivered      data to corroborate results; and (viii)
                                                                                                       price test. For each destination market, the             preparation of the SIL study. Each of
                                                                                                       applicant must calculate the amount of relevant
                                                31 Id.  at 31,130.                                     product a potential supplier could deliver to the
                                                                                                                                                                these items is discussed further below.
                                                32 We    note that these steps are not an exhaustive   destination market from owned or controlled              PNM’s Calculation of Economic
                                              list to perform a DPT analysis; however, these steps     capacity at a price, including applicable
                                              are provided as an illustration to discuss PNM’s         transmission prices, loss factors and ancillary
                                                                                                                                                                Capacity
                                              DPT analysis.                                            services costs, that is no more than five (5) percent
                                                 33 Revised Filing Requirements Under Part 33 of
                                                                                                                                                                i. Data Integrity
                                                                                                       above the pre-transaction market clearing price in
                                              the Commission’s Regulations, Order No. 642, FERC        the destination market.’’ (emphasis added)).                30. PNM submitted compact discs
                                              Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,111, at 31,886 n.39 (2000), order       40 Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs.       (CDs) that included its DPT model and
                                              on reh’g, Order No. 642–A, 94 FERC ¶ 61,289              ¶ 31,044 at 31,132 (‘‘In contrast, a supplier that is
                                              (2001).
                                                                                                                                                                underlying work papers with links to
                                                                                                       three or four ‘wheels’ away from the same buyer
                                                 34 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2)(i) (2015).
                                                                                                       may be an economic supplier if the sum of the
                                                                                                                                                                other data sources that are not available
                                                 35 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015) (specifying that    wheeling charges and the effect of losses is less than   on its CDs. For instance, when opening
                                              the potential supplier’s capacity is adjusted by         the difference between the decremental cost of the       some of the files on the CDs submitted
                                              subtracting capacity committed under long-term           buyer and the price at which the supplier is willing     on August 18, 2014 and on February 18,
                                              firm sales contracts and adding capacity acquired        to sell.’’ (emphasis added)).
                                              under long-term firm purchase contracts).                   41 April 14 Order, 107 FERC ¶ 61,018 at
                                                                                                                                                                2015, there is an error message that
                                                 36 Id.                                                Appendix F (‘‘[D]etermine the suppliers that could       states ‘‘There are links to data sources
                                                 37 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3) (2015) (‘‘Long-term purchase     sell into the destination market at a price less than    that cannot be updated.’’
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                                              and sales data. For each sale and purchase of            or equal to 5% over the market price. That is,              31. We remind applicants that
                                              capacity, the applicant must provide the following       determine which generators have costs less than or       including workable links to data sources
                                              information: (i) Purchasing entity name; (ii) Selling    equal to 1.05 times the market price.’’); id.,
                                              entity name; (iii) Duration of the contract; (iv)        Appendix F n.216 (‘‘The costs include running            in the spreadsheets enables the
                                              Remaining contract term and any evergreen                costs, transmission charges, [operation and
                                              provisions; (v) Provisions regarding renewal of the      maintenance] and environmental adders.’’).                 43 18CFR 33.3(d)(4)(i) (2015).
                                              contract; (vi) Priority or degree of interruptibility;      42 Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs.         44 Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs.
                                              (vii) FERC rate schedule number, if applicable; (viii)   ¶ 31,044 at 31,132.                                      ¶ 31,044 at 31,132.



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                                              63772                      Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices

                                              Commission to verify the accuracy of                        34. Commission regulations require                     PNM further clarifies that ‘‘[t]he
                                              the data sources and to ensure the                       that a potential supplier’s EC be                         characteristics for all of the units
                                              accuracy of the submitted DPT.                           adjusted by long-term firm contracts.48                   included in the analysis, including their
                                                                                                       Units that are committed to unaffiliated                  estimated incremental costs, are
                                              ii. Identification of Potential Supply
                                                                                                       entities under long-term firm contracts                   included in work papers.’’ 51 PNM states
                                                32. PNM appears to have included                       should be attributed to the purchasing                    that incremental costs were derived by
                                              generating units that are no longer                      entities rather than the owners of those                  multiplying unit specific heat rates
                                              operational when it calculated EC. EC is                 facilities, and should potentially be                     (generally from the Energy Information
                                              the amount of generating capacity                        included in EC only if the purchasing                     Administration (EIA) Form 860 or
                                              owned or controlled by a potential                       entity has EC. Thus, the inclusion of                     Ventyx) by fuel prices (from FERC Form
                                              supplier with variable costs low enough                  nonoperational units in the DPT                           423 for the Study Period, as reported by
                                              that energy from such capacity could be                  analysis is inappropriate and the output                  Ventyx) and then adding VOM and any
                                              economically delivered to the                            of facilities that are committed under                    applicable environmental adders.
                                              destination market. Including, for                       long-term firm contracts should be                           37. Fuel is a significant component of
                                              example, the San Onofre Nuclear                          attributed to the purchasing entities and                 variable cost, and natural gas- and coal-
                                              Generating Station (San Onofre) as                       included as EC only if the purchasing                     fired generation is a significant portion
                                              operational and reporting units 2 and 3                  entity has EC. The inclusion of                           of the generation analyzed by PNM.52
                                              of this plant as having EC in all seasons                generation from such units distorts the                   PNM takes a number of steps to
                                              of the DPT analysis is inconsistent with                 amount of EC in the DPT analysis. This                    compute a fuel price for generators to
                                              the definition of EC.45 Thus, the output                 raises additional concerns that the DPT                   determine whether they are economic in
                                              of generating facilities, such as San                    results may be inaccurate and                             each of the 10 season/load levels. PNM
                                              Onofre, that are not in operation during                 unreliable.                                               appears to use natural gas price data
                                              the seasons studied in a DPT analysis                                                                              from the ‘‘ICE10x Day Ahead Gas
                                                                                                       iii. Calculating Variable Costs
                                              cannot feasibly be delivered to the                                                                                Prices’’ for the El Paso Gas (Permian
                                              destination market and should not be                        35. As mentioned above, Commission                     Basin) and El Paso—South Mainline
                                              included in EC.                                          regulations state that for each generating                locations.53 Further, PNM appears to
                                                                                                       plant or unit owned or controlled by                      use EIA and Velocity Suite data to
                                                33. Similarly, PNM identifies many
                                                                                                       each potential supplier in a DPT                          compute coal prices across the Western
                                              units as having their output committed
                                                                                                       analysis, the applicant must also                         Electricity Coordinating Council
                                              under long-term power purchase
                                                                                                       provide variable cost components,                         (WECC) region.
                                              contracts, but still considers the units to
                                                                                                       which must include at a minimum: (A)                         38. For natural gas, PNM computes
                                              have EC in the model. For example,
                                                                                                       variable operation and maintenance,                       seasonal prices at the two locations
                                              PNM identifies Whitewater Hill Wind
                                                                                                       including both fuel and non-fuel                          mentioned above by averaging all of the
                                              Partners as having EC when Whitewater
                                                                                                       operation and maintenance; and (B)                        hourly prices for each location in each
                                              Hill Wind Partners has affirmed to the
                                                                                                       environmental compliance.49                               season/load level. These two locations
                                              Commission that the output of its
                                              facility is fully committed to an                                                                                  seem to be the hubs that are closest to
                                                                                                       Variable Cost: Fuel
                                              unaffiliated third party.46 An entity that                                                                         the PNM balancing authority area.
                                                                                                          36. In its August 18, 2014 Filing, PNM                 However, PNM also includes in its
                                              does not own any uncommitted capacity                    states that it constructed a supply curve
                                              or hold a long-term purchase contract                                                                              spreadsheets hourly gas prices for 22
                                                                                                       ‘‘in the model for each entity by                         locations in the WECC region.54 The
                                              should not be considered as a potential                  estimating its unit-specific incremental
                                              supplier of EC in a DPT analysis.47 In                                                                             summer average prices for the 22
                                                                                                       dispatch costs. The incremental cost is                   locations range from $1.88 at ‘‘Questar
                                              addition, PNM did not provide the                        calculated by multiplying the fuel cost
                                              information for these contracts as                                                                                 North Pool’’ to $3.27 at ‘‘PG&E-
                                                                                                       for the unit by the unit’s efficiency (heat               Citygate,’’ a variation of almost 74
                                              required in 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3)(i).                        rate) and adding any additional variable                  percent. Although PNM submitted data
                                                                                                       costs that may apply, i.e., costs for                     for 22 locations, it only used prices from
                                                 45 We note that the Velocity Suite database
                                                                                                       variable operations and maintenance                       the two hubs identified above to
                                              indicates that the San Onofre plant units 2 and 3
                                              last generated electricity in January 2012, while the    and costs for environmental offsets.’’ 50                 calculate input costs for all gas-fired
                                              study period for the DPT analysis was December                                                                     generators in the WECC region.
                                              2012 through November 2013. This information is             48 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015) (‘‘Economic
                                                                                                                                                                    39. Additionally, PNM uses only three
                                              sourced from the Ventyx, Velocity Suite database in      capacity means the amount of generating capacity
                                              September 2015. We note that the San Onofre plant        owned or controlled by a potential supplier with          natural gas prices in its model, one for
                                              is currently in the process of decommissioning. See      variable costs low enough that energy from such           each of the summer, winter and
                                              Decommissioning of San Onofre, http://                   capacity could be economically delivered to the           shoulder seasons. To do this, for the
                                              www.songscommunity.com.                                  destination market. Prior to applying the delivered       one-hour Summer Super Peak 1 (S_SP1)
                                                 46 Response to the Data Request, Workpaper            price test, the generating capacity meeting this
                                              ‘‘Wkp—Suppliers Details.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘AEC By             definition must be adjusted by subtracting capacity
                                              Suppliers—Base Prices’’). See also Whitewater Hill       committed under long-term firm sales contracts and        description of variable costs is generally interpreted
                                              Wind Partners, LLC, Docket No. ER02–2309–000 at          adding capacity acquired under long-term firm             to mean ‘‘Variable Operations and Maintenance’’
                                              1 (filed July 11, 2002); Whitewater Hill Wind            purchase contracts (i.e., contracts with a remaining      costs.
                                                                                                                                                                   51 August 18, 2014 Filing, Carey Aff. ¶ 34 n.36.
                                              Partners, LLC, Docket No. ER02–2309–000 (Aug. 29,        commitment of more than one year.’’).
                                                                                                                                                                   52 For instance, natural gas-fired generation
                                              2002) (delegated letter order accepting filing). Note       49 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2)(i) (2015). Additionally, ‘‘[t]o

                                              also that the comments in the spreadsheet                the extent costs described in paragraph (d)(2)(i) of      accounts for 28 percent of the nameplate generation
                                              submitted by PNM identify Whitewater Hill Wind           this section are allocated among units at the same        capacity in the underlying PNM dataset. See id.,
                                              Partners as being under a long-term contract. There      plant, allocation methods must be fully described.’’      Workpaper ‘‘Gas Prices Final.xlsx.’’
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                                              are additional cells in PNM’s spreadsheets that          18 CFR 33.3(d)(2)(ii) (2015).                               53 See id., Workpaper ‘‘Gas Prices Final.xlsx’’

                                              identify certain generating facilities as having EC or      50 August 18, 2014 Filing, Carey Aff. ¶ 34. We         (Tab ‘‘Wkp—Gas Prices’’); December 17, 2014
                                              AEC even though the spreadsheets also show those         note that ‘‘Ventyx’’ is the same database as              Filing, Workpaper ‘‘Wkp PNM DPT Public
                                              facilities as being under long-term contracts.           ‘‘Velocity Suite’’ also referred to as ‘‘Velocity.’’ In   Inputs.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘Wkp—Gas Prices,’’ Tab ‘‘Wkp—
                                                 47 We note that here we describe Whitewater Hill      this order we use the term ‘‘Velocity Suite’’, except     Coal Spot Prices,’’ Tab ‘‘Wkp—Detailed Coal
                                              Wind Partners for illustrative purposes only, and        for where the term ‘‘Ventyx’’ or ‘‘Velocity’’ is used     Transactions’’).
                                              not because it is the only entity listed in PNM’s        in direct quotes from PNM’s filings. We note that           54 August 18, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ‘‘Gas Prices

                                              DPT analysis that lacks EC or AEC.                       the acronym ‘‘VOM’’ used above in PNM’s                   Final.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘Wkp—Gas Prices’’).



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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices                                                    63773

                                              season, PNM computes a price of $3.57/                  cost regardless of their location may                 a zero value 59 because all generation
                                              MMBtu at El Paso Gas (Permian Basin)                    cause certain units, whose actual gas                 technologies require maintenance or
                                              and $3.81/MMBtu at El Paso—South                        prices are lower than these averages, to              have at least some operational costs to
                                              Mainline. In a similar way, PNM                         be inappropriately considered                         produce electricity. PNM states that it
                                              calculates prices for the remaining                     uneconomic and may cause units whose                  uses Velocity Suite data in its model.
                                              seasons/load levels at each of these                    actual gas prices are higher than these               We note that Velocity Suite provides
                                              locations. Next, PNM calculates the                     averages to be inappropriately                        cost estimates for various renewable
                                              average of the El Paso Gas (Permian                     considered economic. Thus, regional                   generation technologies. PNM has not
                                              Basin) and El Paso—South Mainline                       price variation for input fuels should be             explained why it assumed a zero cost
                                              seasonal prices in order to attain 10                   considered in a model that includes                   for VOM when estimates for this cost
                                              average seasonal natural gas prices.                    competing supply capacity from a large                are available for most types of
                                              PNM then calculates the average over                    geographic footprint, and a generator’s               renewable generation from Velocity
                                              the four summer seasons/load levels as                  fuel cost should be estimated from a                  Suite.60
                                              the summer natural gas price, and uses                  nearby price point unless the seller                    46. Therefore, it appears that PNM
                                              that as the natural gas price for all four              explains why another methodology is                   underestimates the variable cost of a
                                              summer seasons/load levels in its                       reasonable. Furthermore, we note an                   significant portion of generation in its
                                              model. PNM calculates Winter and                        apparent contradiction between the                    DPT model, which potentially
                                              Shoulder seasonal natural gas prices                    seven coal prices used in the generation              overestimates the amount of EC
                                              similarly.                                              data set and the single coal price                    calculated in its DPT analysis.
                                                40. Further, PNM submitted work                       reported for WECC of $1.97 56 in the
                                              papers that include an average coal                     Fuel Prices Summary worksheet.                        iv. Accounting for Purchase Contracts
                                              price for 83 plants with unique EIA                     However, as with natural gas prices, we                  47. As mentioned above, another step
                                              identification numbers. Only seven of                   would expect a coal-fired generator’s                 in the calculation of a supplier’s EC is
                                              these plants appear to be in the WECC                   fuel cost to be estimated from a nearby               accounting for long-term firm purchase
                                              region, although there are more than                    price point and not an average of several             contracts. EC refers to ‘‘the amount of
                                              seven coal-fired plants in WECC. These                  price points across a region as large as              generating capacity owned or controlled
                                              average prices were calculated from                     WECC.                                                 by a potential supplier with variable
                                              monthly ‘‘Detailed Coal Transactions                      42. For the reasons stated above, we                costs low enough that energy from such
                                              From December 2012 to November                          cannot conclude that PNM has rebutted                 capacity could be economically
                                              2013,’’ 55 but not every plant has an                   the presumption of market power                       delivered to the destination market.’’ 61
                                              average price for each month and some                   because of the flaws in its analysis.                 The Commission’s regulations require
                                              plants include more than one average
                                                                                                      Variable Cost: Operations and                         that ‘‘the generating capacity meeting
                                              price for some months. The average
                                                                                                      Maintenance                                           this definition must be adjusted by
                                              prices for the seven WECC plants range
                                                                                                        43. As mentioned above, Commission                  subtracting capacity committed under
                                              from $1.42 to $2.52 per MMBtu, but do
                                                                                                      regulations state that sellers must                   long-term firm sales contracts and
                                              not account for any seasonality in coal
                                                                                                      calculate, at a minimum, variable cost                adding capacity acquired under long-
                                              prices. In its generation dataset, PNM
                                                                                                      for a unit used in the DPT analysis. For              term firm purchase contracts (i.e.,
                                              appears to attribute the calculated coal
                                                                                                      each such generating unit, the seller                 contracts with a remaining commitment
                                              price for each of the seven plants as that
                                                                                                      must also provide variable cost                       of more than one year).’’ 62 The
                                              plant’s input cost, but then uses the
                                                                                                      components, which include operation                   regulations further provide that
                                              average of all seven as the input price
                                                                                                      and maintenance costs.57                              ‘‘capacity associated with any such
                                              for all other coal-fired generators in the
                                                                                                        44. PNM’s DPT model contains a                      adjustments must be attributed to the
                                              WECC.
                                                 41. Sellers should account for some                  worksheet, ‘‘Generation Dataset,’’ that               party that has authority to decide when
                                              measure of regional differences in fuel                 contains variable cost calculations for               generating resources are available for
                                              price. As described above, PNM used                     the WECC generators that PNM                          operation’’ and notes that ‘‘other
                                              one natural gas price for each of the                   included in its model. There are 4,293                generating capacity may also be
                                              three seasons’ seasonal gas price                       observations in this dataset and 2,118 of             attributed to another supplier based on
                                              estimate for all gas-fired generation in                these observations have a zero dollar                 operational control criteria as deemed
                                              the entire WECC, which are derived                      cost for VOM.58 We note that a vast
                                                                                                                                                               59 We note that although EIA states that wind
                                              from the average prices at two hubs.                    majority of these observations with a
                                                                                                                                                            generation has a relatively small VOM cost, EIA
                                              That is, PNM used the same natural gas                  zero dollar cost for VOM are from                     uses a zero cost for all non dispatchable generation
                                              fuel costs for generators in Alberta,                   renewable resources.                                  in its Annual Energy Outlook 2015 Reference Case
                                              Northern and Southern California and                      45. Although the Data Request did not               model. See EIA, Levelized Cost and Levelized
                                                                                                      specifically request that PNM provide                 Avoided Cost of New Generation Resources in the
                                              New Mexico even though PNM’s own                                                                              Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (June 2015), available
                                              spreadsheets detail the locational                      actual values for VOM costs, we take                  at http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/electricity_
                                              variation in natural gas prices across the              this opportunity to provide clarification             generation.pdf.
                                              WECC region. As explained above, the                    to PNM and other DPT filers. Although                    60 A Velocity Suite supply curve for the PNM

                                              fuel cost of each generating facility is                VOM costs may be a small component                    balancing authority area for July 31, 2013, provides
                                                                                                      of hourly costs, we do not expect these               a range of VOM cost estimates for most types of
                                              one of the main factors in determining                                                                        renewable generation. Specifically, Velocity Suite
                                              whether the output of that facility                     costs for most generating units to have               provides a VOM in $/MWh of $1.26 to $1.56 for the
                                              should be included as EC in a DPT                                                                             hydro plants; $1.90 to $2.06 for photovoltaic
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                                                                                                        56 Id., Workpaper ‘‘Wkp PNM DPT Public              generation; $1.25 for energy storage devices; and
                                              analysis. Oversimplifying the variable
                                                                                                      Inputs.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘Wkp—Fuel Prices Summary’’).      $4.79 for biomass facilities. Velocity Suite does not
                                              cost calculations by assuming that all                  PNM used a price of $1.97 for Winter, Summer, and     provide a VOM cost for wind generation. Velocity
                                              gas-fired generators have the same input                Shoulder season.                                      Suite states that its estimates are based on many
                                                                                                        57 18 CFR 33.3(d)(2) (2015).                        sources of unit or plant data and are calculated in
                                                55 December 17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ‘‘Wkp            58 December 17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ‘‘Wkp        an internal model.
                                                                                                                                                               61 See 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(A) (2015).
                                              PNM DPT Public Inputs.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘Wkp—Detailed        PNM DPT Public Inputs.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘Generation
                                              Coal Transactions’’).                                   Dataset’’).                                              62 Id.




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                                              63774                     Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices

                                              necessary, but the applicant must                       to formulate its questions and the data                  transmission provider’s tariff as well as
                                              explain the reasons for doing so.’’ 63                  source(s) PNM used in its calculation of                 the estimated cost of supplying energy
                                                 48. As noted above, Commission                       competitive supply. PNM further added                    losses.68
                                              regulations require information on all                  that TriState ‘‘has substantial purchase                    54. PNM did not include all
                                              long-term firm purchases and sales ‘‘for                agreements, including ownership in                       applicable transmission costs in its EC
                                              each sale and purchase of capacity’’ as                 [WECC] output facilities that would not                  calculation. In the December 17, 2014
                                              part of the DPT analysis.64 A seller                    be tracked by Velocity.’’ 67 PNM did not                 Filing, PNM’s DPT analysis used a
                                              performing a DPT analysis should                        mention any other sellers who might be                   universal $2.00 transmission rate for all
                                              account for the purchase contracts of                   in this similar situation.                               peak periods and a $1.00 transmission
                                              potential suppliers because the                           51. We appreciate PNM’s Response to                    rate for all off-peak periods for all
                                              contracts may affect the competitive                    the Data Request but find that more                      generators, regardless of location.69
                                              situation of a supplier in a DPT analysis.              information is necessary. While PNM                         55. In the Data Request, PNM was
                                              A supplier with a contractual obligation                provided information on TriState’s                       requested to provide the transmission
                                              to sell energy or capacity may not have                 purchasing, it did not disclose the                      rate schedule for the PNM balancing
                                              any AEC to be considered as competing                   amount of power purchased under these                    authority area and all of the balancing
                                              in the DPT analysis. Conversely, a                      contracts that would enable TriState to                  authority areas where competing
                                              supplier with the contractual obligation                meet its native load requirements and                    suppliers are located, and to provide
                                              to purchase supply may have excess                      have sufficient generation to be a                       cites to the relevant open access
                                              energy and become a potential supplier                  competitive supplier in the DPT                          transmission tariff(s).70 The Data
                                              in the DPT analysis. The determination                  analysis. PNM also did not meet the                      Request asked PNM to explain if the
                                              of whether a supplier with purchase                     reporting requirements for long-term                     transmission rates used in its DPT
                                              contracts has EC or AEC depends on a                    contracts of sales and purchases in 18                   analysis are the maximum rates for the
                                              number of factors specific to that                      CFR 33.3(d)(3) for TriState or for any                   PNM balancing authority area and the
                                              supplier such as the supplier’s native                  other suppliers, such as Whitewater Hill                 balancing authority areas where the DPT
                                              load (if any), the amount of generation                 Wind Partners, whose output is fully                     analysis indicates there is competitively
                                              the supplier has to meet that load,                     committed under long-term contract to                    priced generation.71 Finally, the Data
                                              including any contracts the supplier has                another entity. Additionally, in its                     Request directed that, if those are not
                                              to buy or sell energy or capacity, and the              Response to the Data Request, PNM did                    the maximum rates, PNM should re-run
                                              prevailing market price. These specific                 not indicate whether there are other                     the AEC calculations to include the cost
                                              factors should be accounted for in a DPT                potential suppliers with long-term                       to traverse each balancing authority area
                                              analysis to determine whether a                         contracts or adjust its model to reflect                 using the maximum ‘up to’ transmission
                                              potential supplier with purchase                        any other potential suppliers with                       rate when PNM re-runs the DPT
                                              contracts is a potential competitor.                    native load obligations greater than their               model.72
                                                 49. The Data Request sought                          respective generation capacity.                             56. In Response to the Data Request,
                                              information from PNM concerning how                       52. Generation units in a supplier’s                   PNM stated that it assumed
                                              certain sellers could be considered                     portfolio whose output is committed                      transmission rates for purposes of the
                                              competitive suppliers for purposes of                   under long-term firm contracts should                    model because it lacks details on
                                              the DPT analysis when each of those                     not be considered available to compete                   specific transmission rates for some of
                                              seller’s native load appeared to exceed                 in the study area as AEC. Including such                 the WECC transmission providers. PNM
                                              its generation capacity. Specifically,                  capacity may overstate the amount of                     stated that this assumption has a de
                                              PNM was asked to explain whether one                    AEC that a potential supplier can                        minimis impact on the results of the
                                              particular supplier, Tri State Generation               contribute or inaccurately attribute that                analyses. PNM also provided a
                                              & Transmission Association Inc.                         capacity to the wrong potential supplier                 spreadsheet that identifies the 24
                                              (TriState), could have any uncommitted                  in a DPT analysis. Additionally,                         individual balancing authority areas in
                                              capacity to compete with PNM given                      incorrectly attributing capacity to sellers              WECC, their minimum and maximum
                                              that TriState’s peak load is reported to                that have sold the output of their                       transmission rates, information on the
                                              be greater than its generation capacity.                facilities to unaffiliated entities under                rate schedules for these balancing
                                              The Data Request did not specifically                   purchase power agreements impacts the                    authority areas and screen snapshots of
                                              identify any other sellers in a similar                 market concentration results of the DPT                  the appropriate Open Access Same
                                              situation to TriState. However, the Data                analysis. Lastly, PNM did not adjust its                 Time Information System (OASIS) Web
                                              Request directed PNM to identify every                  model as requested in the Data Request                   sites where PNM retrieved the
                                              potential supplier for whom its study                   or otherwise explain that such                           maximum and minimum rates.73
                                              deducted native load obligations, the                   adjustment was not required. For these                      57. We note that these maximum rates
                                              amount of those obligations and the                     reasons, we are unable to rely on PNM’s                  for the peak periods ranged from $1.26
                                              source of their native load values.65                   DPT analysis.                                            to $10.02 and averaged $4.96. Likewise,
                                              Finally, the Data Request directed PNM                                                                           the maximum rates for the off-peak
                                                                                                      v. Transmission Rates                                    periods ranged from $0.72 to $9.00 and
                                              to adjust its model as needed to reflect
                                              TriState and other sellers that have load                  53. As mentioned above, Commission                    averaged $3.59. In Response to the Data
                                              greater than their respective                           regulations require a DPT analysis to                    Request, PNM provided a sensitivity
                                              uncommitted capacity.66                                 account for any and all applicable                       analysis that used the average of these
                                                 50. In its Response to the Data                      transmission costs that a supplier would
                                              Request, PNM stated that there are                      incur to deliver the energy into the                       68 18  CFR 33.3(d)(5) (2015).
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                                              differences between the reporting in the                study area and add these costs to the                      69 December   17, 2014 Filing, Workpaper ‘‘Wkp
                                                                                                      estimate of the available unit’s variable                PNM DPT Public Inputs.xlsx’’ (Tab ‘‘Wkp—TTC
                                              data sources that the Commission used                                                                            and Tx Rates’’).
                                                                                                      generation cost. Commission regulations                    70 Data Request, Question No. 14a, at 6.
                                                63 Id.                                                state that these costs must include the                    71 Id., Question No. 14b, at 6–7.
                                                64 See 18 CFR 33.3(d)(3). See also n.37 above.        maximum transmission rate in a                             72 Id., Question No. 14c, at 7.
                                                65 See Data Request, Question No. 5, at 4.                                                                       73 See Response to the Data Request, ‘‘WECC
                                                66 See Data Request, Question No. 6, at 4.              67 Response   to the Data Request at 8.                OATT Rates.xlsx.’’



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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices                                                     63775

                                              maximum transmission rates to update                    in Order No. 697, the Commission                       implicitly allocate an entity’s lowest
                                              its DPT model.74 PNM complied with                      stated that ‘‘in markets where utilities               running cost units to serve its native
                                              the first part of Question 14 by                        retain significant native load                         load. Based on this response, we
                                              identifying that the $2.00 and $1.00                    obligations, an analysis of available                  conclude that PNM did not allocate the
                                              transmission rates are not the maximum                  economic capacity may more accurately                  lowest cost units of itself and its
                                              rates for the peak and off-peak periods,                assess an individual seller’s                          competitors to serve their respective
                                              respectively. PNM also identified the 24                competitiveness, as well as the overall                native load. Therefore, we are unable to
                                              source balancing authority areas and                    competitiveness of a market, because                   rely on the reported results of potential
                                              provided a link and screen snapshots of                 available economic capacity recognizes                 competitive AEC suppliers and whether
                                              the OASIS Web sites for these balancing                 the native load obligations of the                     they accurately reflect the costs of the
                                              authority areas that display their                      sellers.’’ 81                                          competitive generation in the market.
                                              maximum and minimum rates.                                 61. The Data Request directed PNM to
                                                 58. However, we find the remaining                                                                          vii. Historical Transaction Data to
                                                                                                      explain whether its DPT model first
                                              portion of PNM’s Response to the Data                                                                          Corroborate Results
                                                                                                      allocated the lowest running cost units
                                              Request to be unresponsive to the                       to a supplier’s native load and cited to                  63. Commission regulations state that
                                              question asked and not in compliance                    the Merger Policy Statement.82 In                      ‘‘[t]he applicant must provide historical
                                              with Commission regulations. PNM did                    Response to the Data Request, PNM                      trade data and historical transmission
                                              not re-run the DPT analysis with the                    stated, in part, that ‘‘[t]he model                    data to corroborate the results of the
                                              maximum rate for each balancing                         implicitly allocates PNM’s lowest                      horizontal Competitive Analysis
                                              authority area as requested in the Data                 running cost units to serve native load                Screen.’’ 86 Commission regulations also
                                              Request 75 and required by Commission                   for PNM and non-PNM suppliers to                       state that the applicant must provide
                                              regulations.76 Furthermore, PNM did                     their native load (non-PNM load) by the                data and information used in calculating
                                              not calculate any additional costs for                  derivation of the [AEC]. The DPT model                 the EC and AEC that a potential supplier
                                              transmission losses or ancillary services               does not rank order each supplier’s                    could deliver to a destination market,
                                              necessary to deliver energy into the                    generating units from lowest to highest                including transmission capability,
                                              study area, as required by Commission                   running cost but rather aggregates all                 transmission constraints and firm
                                              regulations.77 For capacity outside of                  [EC] for each supplier within the                      transmission rights.87 Further,
                                              the study area, PNM did not consider                    seasonal/load periods analyzed.’’ 83                   Commission direction has been to
                                              additional transmission charges that a                     62. In the Merger Policy Statement,                 provide a ‘‘trade data check’’ to support
                                              competing generator would likely incur                  the Commission stated that the AEC                     the results of the DPT analysis.88
                                              to deliver power to the destination                     measure ‘‘includes capacity from                          64. The Data Request directed PNM to
                                              market. Therefore, we find that PNM’s                   generating units that are not used to                  identify suppliers with AEC and
                                              calculations underestimate the                          serve native load (or are contractually                document their contribution to
                                              transmission cost component for most                    committed).’’ 84 However, PNM stated                   competing supply entering the PNM
                                              observations in its dataset and further                 that ‘‘[t]he DPT model does not rank                   study area.89 In its Response to the Data
                                              compromise the results of the DPT                       order each supplier’s generating units                 Request, PNM provided a spreadsheet
                                              analysis.                                               from lowest to highest running cost but                that complied with the request by
                                              vi. Calculation of AEC                                  rather aggregates all economic capacity                identifying all generation units, their
                                                                                                      for each supplier within the seasonal/                 location, and the identity of the
                                                59. As mentioned above, alternative                                                                          suppliers with non-zero contribution to
                                              suppliers should be able to reach the                   load periods analyzed.’’ 85 Further, it is
                                                                                                      unclear how PNM’s model might                          the AEC calculation.90
                                              market both economically and                                                                                      65. Although the Data Request did not
                                              physically.78 First, we discuss how to                                                                         specifically ask PNM to provide
                                                                                                      61,177 (2008); Nat’l Grid, plc, 117 FERC ¶ 61,080,
                                              determine the AEC of a supplier.                        at PP 27–28 (2006), reh’g denied, 122 FERC ¶           historical transaction data to corroborate
                                                60. After computing the EC of                         61,096 (2008); Westar Energy, Inc., 115 FERC ¶         the results of its DPT analysis, we take
                                              potential competing suppliers, an                       61,228, at P 72, reh’g denied, 117 FERC ¶ 61,011,
                                                                                                                                                             this opportunity to provide clarification
                                              applicant should compute the AEC of                     at P 39 (2006); Nev. Power Co., 113 FERC ¶ 61,265,
                                                                                                      at P 15 (2005).                                        for PNM and others who may file a DPT
                                              those suppliers. AEC is ‘‘the amount of                    81 Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252 at
                                              generating capacity meeting the                         P 112.                                                   86 18  CFR 33.3(c)(6) (2015).
                                              definition of EC less the amount of                        82 Data Request, Question No. 4, at 3 (‘‘In the       87 See  18 CFR 33.3(d)(7)–(9) (2015).
                                              generating capacity needed to serve the                 [AEC] calculation, please explain whether the             88 See Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. &

                                              potential supplier’s native load                        model first allocates PNM’s lowest running cost        Regs. ¶ 31,044 at 30,133 (‘‘It would be expected that
                                                                                                      units to serve native load for PNM. Please explain     there be some correlation between the suppliers
                                              commitments.’’ 79 We note that the                      whether the model allocates the lowest running cost    included in the market by the delivered price test
                                              Commission has relied more heavily on                   units of non-PNM suppliers to their native load        and those actually trading in the market. As a
                                              AEC in the DPT analysis when utilities                  (non-PNM load).’’). The Data Request noted that        check, actual trade data should be used to compare
                                              have significant native load.80 Further,                ‘‘AEC includes ‘capacity from generating units that    actual trade patterns with the results of the
                                                                                                      are not used to serve native load (or are              delivered price test. For example, it may be
                                                74 See
                                                                                                      contractually committed) and whose variable costs      appropriate to include current trading partners in
                                                        id.                                           are such that they could deliver energy to a market
                                                75 Data
                                                                                                                                                             the relevant market even if the above analysis
                                                         Request, Question No. 14c, at 7 (‘‘If the    at a price close to the competitive price in the       indicates otherwise.’’).
                                              rates used in your model are not the maximum rate,      market. The presumption underlying this measure           89 Data Request, Question No. 15, at 7 (‘‘Please
                                              please re-run your AEC calculations using the           is that the lowest running cost units are used to      provide the following information for each supplier
                                              maximum ‘up to’ transmission rate to include the        serve native load and other firm contractual           with a non-zero contribution to the available
                                              cost to traverse each balancing authority when you      obligations and would not be available for other       economic capacity in the study area of your model:
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                                              re-run your DPT model.’’).                              sales.’’’ Data Request, Question No. 4 n.6, at 3
                                                 76 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5) (2015).
                                                                                                                                                             the full name of each supplier, the name of the
                                                                                                      (citing Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs.   unit(s) that supplied the energy, the amount of
                                                 77 18 CFR 33.3(d)(5) (2015).                         ¶ 31,044 at 30,132).                                   energy supplied by each unit(s) in megawatts and
                                                 78 Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs.         83 Response to the Data Request at 7.
                                                                                                                                                             the balancing authority area location of the unit(s)
                                              ¶ 31,044 at 30,130.                                        84 Merger Policy Statement, FERC Stats. & Regs.     for each of the 10 load level/study periods.’’
                                                 79 18 CFR 33.3(c)(4)(i)(B) (2015).                   ¶ 31,044 at 30,132.                                    (footnote omitted)).
                                                 80 Great Plains Energy, Inc., 121 FERC ¶ 61,069,        85 Response to the Data Request at 7 (emphasis         90 Response to the Data Request at 12 &

                                              at P 34 & n.44 (2007), reh’g denied, 122 FERC ¶         added).                                                Workpaper ‘‘Wkp—Suppliers Details.xlsx.’’



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                                              63776                      Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices

                                              analysis in a section 205 proceeding in                 relevant market as uncommitted                            Therefore, the Commission previously
                                              order to rebut the presumption of                       capacity limited by the simultaneous                      has provided guidance so that sellers
                                              market power. PNM did not submit                        transmission import capability.94 In                      can more accurately measure the
                                              historical transaction data or                          Puget Sound Energy, Inc., the                             amount of available transmission
                                              transmission data to corroborate the                    Commission consolidated and clarified                     capability into the study area. One area
                                              results of its model as required by 18                  its direction regarding SIL studies given                 of concern has been the proper
                                              CFR 33.3(c)(6). For example, although                   in previous orders and provided                           modeling and scaling of jointly-owned
                                              PNM indicates in its Response to the                    required formats for submitting SIL                       generating plants in a SIL study,
                                              Data Request that its model includes                    data.95 Specifically, the Commission                      particularly when units have long-term
                                              significant generation capacity from the                directed filers to submit their SIL data                  firm transmission reservations.101 The
                                              California Independent System Operator                  in the format provided in Appendix B                      Commission has determined that these
                                              Corporation (CAISO) market as available                 of Puget in order to properly summarize                   remote plants should be dispatched at
                                              to compete in the PNM balancing                         and document their SIL study results.96                   their historical output levels and should
                                              authority area, PNM did not submit                         68. The SIL study calculates the                       not be scaled down as doing so would
                                              historical transaction data or                          aggregated simultaneous transfer                          be unrealistic and inconsistent with
                                              transmission data to corroborate this.                  capability into the balancing authority                   historical practices.102
                                              PNM could have submitted eTag data to                   area being studied. It is intended to                        70. In Pinnacle West,103 the
                                              demonstrate flows from CAISO were                       provide a reasonable simulation of                        Commission identified errors and
                                              consistent with its DPT model.                          historical conditions and is not a                        provided guidance and clarification as
                                              Moreover, the Commission’s review of                    theoretical maximum import capability                     to how the SIL study should be revised
                                              eTag data was not able to corroborate                   or best import case scenario.97 A                         to satisfy the Commission’s
                                              PNM’s results. Without such                             simplified view of the SIL study is that                  requirements. The PNM SIL study
                                              information, we are concerned that the                  it simultaneously increases generator                     presents issues similar to those
                                              amount of competing generation                          output in one area, the first-tier, and                   presented by the SIL study at issue in
                                              capacity imported into the PNM study                    decreases generator output in another                     Pinnacle West. With regard to the PNM
                                              area in PNM’s DPT analysis is not                       area, the study area. As the source of                    SIL study, the Data Request noted that
                                              supported by historical trade or                        generation is incrementally shifted,                      some units within the study area have
                                              transmission data and is overstated. We                 single contingency conditions are tested                  long-term firm commitments to serve
                                              remind DPT filers that they should                      in both areas while the relevant                          load outside of the study area. The Data
                                              provide historical trade and                            transmission elements are monitored for                   Request noted that the Commission
                                              transmission data and explain                           overloads.98 A ‘‘single contingency                       expects that any such unit’s generation
                                              significant discrepancies between                       condition’’ is the unexpected failure of                  that has been committed with long-term
                                              modeling results and such data.                         a single system component, such as a                      firm transmission reservations would be
                                                                                                      generator, transmission line, circuit                     considered unavailable for scaling;
                                              viii. SIL Study
                                                                                                      breaker, switch or other electrical                       however, it appears that some such
                                                66. As mentioned above, alternative                   equipment.99 The Commission direction                     units were scaled down during the SIL
                                              suppliers must be able to reach the                     has been to increase or ‘‘scale up                        study. Therefore, the Data Request
                                              market both economically and                            available generation in the exporting                     required PNM to identify all generation
                                              physically. We provide clarification                    (aggregated first tier areas) and scale                   units within the PNM balancing
                                              regarding determining the physical                      down the study area resources                             authority area that have long-term firm
                                              capability of a supplier with EC and                    according to the same methods used                        transmission reservations (to serve
                                              AEC to reach the study area.91                          historically in assessing available                       study area load or to export power to the
                                                67. The physical ability of a supplier                transmission for non-affiliate                            first-tier), describe whether the unit’s
                                              to reach the market or study area                       resources.’’ 100                                          output level was either maintained or
                                              requires the use of a SIL study as a basis                 69. The Commission recognizes that it                  scaled in the SIL study, and adjust the
                                              for transmission access for both the                    is a complex process for a seller to                      SIL study as necessary.104
                                              indicative screens and the DPT                          estimate transmission capability using                       71. In its Response to the Data
                                              analysis.92 In Order No. 697, the                       the model of its transmission system in                   Request, PNM filed revised work papers
                                              Commission clarified that the SIL study                 a simplified manner so that elements are                  and SIL information. PNM also
                                              as shown in Appendix E of the April 14                  accurately accounted for in SIL studies.                  submitted a table listing the long-term
                                              Order is the only study that meets the                                                                            firm transmission reservations for
                                              Commission’s requirements for the DPT                      94 April 14 Order, 107 FERC ¶ 61,018 at                exports out of the PNM balancing
                                              analysis and the indicative screens.93 In               Appendix E.
                                              the April 14 Order, the Commission set                     95 Puget Sound Energy, Inc., 135 FERC ¶ 61,254           101 A long-term firm transmission reservation is a

                                              the amount of supply that can reach the                 (2011) (Puget).                                           reservation that is 28 days or longer. See Order No.
                                                                                                         96 Submittal 1 of Appendix B of Puget contains
                                                                                                                                                                697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252 at P 368 (‘‘While
                                                 91 In this order, we do not discuss the ultimate     a summary table of components used to calculate           we find that firm transmission reservations less
                                              DPT calculations, combining the economic and            SIL values and provides a spreadsheet format with         than or equal to 28 days in duration are usually
                                              physical analyses to create market share and            numerical examples. Submittal 2 provides a                unpredictable, we believe that firm transmission
                                              concentration indices because we do not believe         spreadsheet for identification of long-term firm          reservations of a longer duration are not related to
                                              that the first two steps of the PNM DPT analysis        transmission reservations used to import power            the unpredictable nature of real time events and are
                                              provide a reasonable foundation to examine this         from seller and affiliate generating resources in a       based upon planned and predictable events.
                                              final step.                                             first-tier area to serve native load in the study area.   Therefore, the Commission will require sellers to
                                                                                                         97 Puget, 135 FERC ¶ 61,254 at Appendix B              account for firm and network transmission
                                                 92 Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252 at
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                                              P 19.                                                   (citing Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252       reservations having a duration of longer than 28
                                                 93 Id. (‘‘With regard to [SILs], the Commission      at P 354).                                                days.’’).
                                                                                                         98 See, e.g., Puget, 135 FERC ¶ 61,254, Appendix         102 See Pinnacle West Capital Corp., 117 FERC ¶
                                              adopts the requirement that the SIL study be used
                                              as a basis for transmission access for both the         B, § I.D (Prior Commission Direction on Scaling).         61,316, at P 6 (2006) (Pinnacle West).
                                                                                                         99 Id. Appendix B (citing Carolina Power & Light         103 Id. P 3.
                                              indicative screens and the DPT analysis. Further,
                                              the Commission clarifies that the SIL study as          Co., 128 FERC ¶ 61,039, at P 8 n.7 (2009)).                 104 Data Request, Question No. 2, at 2 (citing

                                              shown in Appendix E of the April 14 Order is the           100 April 14 Order, 107 FERC ¶ 61,018 at               Pinnacle West, 117 FERC ¶ 61,316 at P 6; April 14
                                              only study that meets our requirements.’’).             Appendix E.                                               Order, 107 FERC ¶ 61,018 at Appendix E).



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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices                                                     63777

                                              authority area and the corresponding                    As such, the Commission cannot utilize                  multiple units fully represent the
                                              source generator within the study area.                 these sensitivities as support for PNM’s                generation commitments and impacts
                                              This table indicates that these                         SIL study. Furthermore, while the                       on the transmission system. One unit
                                              generation units are jointly-owned by                   scaling method used in the first                        will represent the seller’s generation
                                              PNM and other entities, and that the                    sensitivity is consistent with guidance                 capacity in the study area, and one or
                                              non-PNM owned portions of these units                   given in the Data Request, the                          more additional units will represent the
                                              are committed with long-term firm                       ownership and commitments of the                        capacity owned by unaffiliated entities
                                              transmission reservations to export out                 generation units was not apparent in the                within the first-tier area.114 The seller’s
                                              of the study area (i.e., the PNM                        original August 18, 2014 Filing or the                  unit will remain modeled within the
                                              balancing authority area). However,                     December 17, 2014 Filing. Thus, we                      study area balancing authority area
                                              based on the power flow models                          believe that further clarification is                   while the portion of the unit(s)
                                              submitted by PNM in the original SIL                    warranted on the modeling and                           belonging to unaffiliated first-tier sellers
                                              study, it is evident that PNM scaled                    treatment of jointly-owned units in SIL                 will be given the appropriate first-tier
                                              down these jointly-owned generation                     studies.                                                balancing authority area number in the
                                              units, including portions belonging to                     74. In Puget, the Commission stated
                                                                                                      that ‘‘[i]n the case of jointly-owned                   model. Importantly, we note that this
                                              other owners.105 In addition, PNM
                                                                                                      power plants, the plant’s capacity                      method retains the same physical
                                              provided Submittal 1 and Submittal 2
                                                                                                      should be allocated among the generator                 location of the unit within the
                                              tables which reported the results of two
                                              sensitivities that PNM conducted in                     owners’ balancing authority areas                       transmission network as modeled;
                                              response to the scaling guidance in the                 according to its ownership                              however, the portion of the unit(s)
                                              Data Request.                                           percentages.’’ 110 Additionally, the                    belonging to the unaffiliated first-tier
                                                 72. PNM’s first sensitivity study ‘‘does             Commission has stated that a seasonal                   sellers would not be considered a study
                                              not scale resources with potential                      benchmark case model should simulate                    area generator for purposes of
                                              commitments outside of the PNM                          historical seasonal conditions that were                calculating net area interchange. We
                                              [balancing authority area].’’ 106 The                   present during the modeled season. The                  also note that with this method, the
                                              second sensitivity ‘‘scales half of the                 Commission has stated that ‘‘[a]ny                      seller’s generation capacity can
                                              resources with potential commitments                    generating units owned by the study                     appropriately be scaled down, and the
                                              outside of the PNM [balancing authority                 area utility that are located in the first-             portion of the unit(s) belonging to the
                                              area].’’ 107 However, for both                          tier area, including the study area                     unaffiliated first-tier sellers now
                                              sensitivities, PNM stated that ‘‘the                    utility’s portion of jointly-owned units[,]             modeled in the first-tier area can
                                              associated export reservations are                      should be modeled . . . in the first-tier               appropriately be scaled up to serve
                                              recognized as long-term firm                            area.’’ 111 In addition, ‘‘any long-term                study area load if it is not committed
                                              commitments to be consistent and                        reservations from these facilities used to              under long-term firm transmission
                                              reflect the equal but opposite effect to                serve study area native load shall be                   reservations. Additionally, any
                                              import reservations and compensate for                  included in the study area net area                     generating resources in the first-tier
                                              prematurely limiting the imports below                  interchange.’’ 112 While this statement                 with long-term firm transmission
                                              the physical limit of the transmission                  references jointly-owned generating                     reservations to serve study area load
                                              system or load within the study area.                   units located in the first-tier area, we                should be reported as a long-term firm
                                              The export reservations are reflected in                believe that it is reasonable to treat                  transmission reservation in Submittal
                                              the SIL sensitivity analyses by inclusion               jointly-owned generating units located                  2.115 Furthermore, entities are required
                                              in Table 2 [of Submittal 2].’’ 108                      within the study area committed to                      to ‘‘[p]rovide a listing of first-tier area
                                                 73. The practice of capturing long-                  serving first-tier load similarly. As                   generating units and portions of jointly-
                                              term firm export reservations in                        portions of these units belong to                       owned first-tier area generating units to
                                              Submittal 2 is inconsistent with the                    unaffiliated entities located in the first-             be scaled-up in the first-tier area,
                                              instructions and purpose of Submittal 2,                tier area, they should not be scaled                    including any first-tier area generation
                                              which is to identify and sum the long-                  down; doing so would misrepresent the
                                                                                                                                                              or portions of jointly-owned first-tier
                                              term firm transmission reservations                     incremental transfer capability of the
                                              from affiliated remote generating                                                                               area generating units physically located
                                                                                                      study area by reducing generation that
                                              resources in the first-tier to serve native                                                                     within the study area, according to the
                                                                                                      actually has commitments to first-tier
                                              load in the study area.109 Export                       load.113 This has the effect of allowing                same methods used historically in
                                              reservations are long-term firm                         more first-tier generation into the study               assessing available transmission for
                                              transmission reservations from the                      area than is actually available to be                   non-affiliate resources.’’ 116 Entities
                                              study area to the first-tier to serve first-            displaced in the study area.                            should identify their jointly-owned
                                              tier load; because the exports are                         75. Thus, we clarify that, for purposes              units, report the ownership breakdown,
                                              commitments from capacity that belongs                  of generation scaling for the SIL, the                  and indicate what scaling, if any, was
                                              to the first-tier, these export reservations            appropriate method of modeling a                        utilized for each portion of the
                                              should not be captured in Submittal 2.                  generation unit in the study area that is               generator.
                                                                                                      jointly-owned between the seller and                       76. Finally, we clarify that entities
                                                 105 August 18, 2014 Filing, Stahlhut Aff. Exhibit    one or more unaffiliated sellers in the                 should complete the ‘‘Description of
                                              JWS–3.                                                  first-tier area is to represent the unit as
                                                 106 Response to the Data Request at 3. We
                                                                                                                                                              Remote Resources’’ column as necessary
                                                                                                      multiple units in the model based on
                                              interpret PNM’s language ‘‘resources with potential
                                              commitments’’ to mean the long-term firm                ownership percentage such that the                        114 In Puget, the Commission approved
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                                              transmission reservations capacity or export                                                                    NorthWestern’s use of this general method to
                                              reservations of the units within the PNM balancing        110 Id.   P 18.                                       represent the jointly-owned Colstrip plant. The
                                              authority area that have long-term firm transmission      111 Id.,  Appendix B, II.D at 4.3.7.                  model represented separate generators for each
                                              reservations to serve load in the first tier.             112 Id.                                               owner, each with one owner’s portion of Colstrip’s
                                                 107 Id. at 4.                                                                                                total capacity. Id. P 18.
                                                                                                        113 See id., Appendix B, § II.D (Submittal 4:
                                                 108 Id. at 3–4.                                                                                                115 Id., Appendix B, II.B, Instruction 3.
                                                                                                      Seasonal Benchmark Case) (4.3.7 and 4.3.8 discuss
                                                 109 Puget, 135 FERC ¶ 61,254, at Appendix B,         how jointly-owned units should be modeled                 116 Id., Appendix B, II.G (Submittal 7: The Sub-

                                              § II.B.                                                 according to historical dispatch).                      System File) (7.2.1).



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                                              63778                     Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 203 / Wednesday, October 21, 2015 / Notices

                                              in each row of Submittal 2.117 We                       Commission.120 Further, PNM                            the Federal Power Act to have rates on
                                              expect that, at a minimum, entities will                represents that neither it nor any                     file in a convenient form and place.124
                                              indicate the balancing authority area                   affiliate owns or controls intrastate                  PNM must file EQRs electronically with
                                              from which these remote resources are                   natural gas transportation, storage, or                the Commission consistent with the
                                              sourced.                                                distribution facilities. PNM represents                procedures set forth in Order No.
                                                                                                      that it owns several sites that may be                 770.125 Failure to timely and accurately
                                              Conclusion
                                                                                                      used for generation capacity                           file an EQR is a violation of the
                                                77. As described above, we are unable                 development including sites in which                   Commission’s regulations for which
                                              to validate the results of PNM’s SIL                    PNM has existing facilities. PNM states                PNM may be subject to refund, civil
                                              model, its calculations of EC and AEC,                  that it currently has plans to develop
                                              and its DPT analysis. Thus, we find that                                                                       penalties, and/or revocation of market-
                                                                                                      new generation at or near the San Juan
                                              PNM has not adequately rebutted the                                                                            based rate authority.126
                                                                                                      Generating Station in the PNM
                                              presumption of horizontal market power                  balancing authority area. Additionally,                   86. PNM must timely report to the
                                              caused by its failure of the indicative                 PNM states that it holds one                           Commission any change in status that
                                              screens in the PNM balancing authority                  undeveloped site near Albuquerque,                     would reflect a departure from the
                                              area. Therefore, we reject, without                     New Mexico.                                            characteristics the Commission relied
                                              prejudice, PNM’s request for market-                       81. PNM states that it purchases coal               upon in granting market-based rate
                                              based rate authorization in the PNM                     under various long-term agreements but                 authority.127
                                              balancing authority area. We encourage                  does not currently own any coal mines
                                                                                                                                                                87. Additionally, PNM must file an
                                              other market-based rate applicants to                   or mineral rights. PNM represents that
                                                                                                                                                             updated market power analysis for all
                                              make use of the guidance and                            these coal purchase contracts are used
                                                                                                                                                             regions in which it is designated as a
                                              clarification offered herein.                           exclusively to supply coal to power
                                                                                                      plants owned and operated by PNM.                      Category 2 seller in compliance with the
                                              D. Notice of Change in Status                              82. Finally, PNM states that it has not             regional reporting schedule adopted in
                                                 78. PNM states that its purchase of                  erected barriers to entry into the                     Order No. 697.128 The Commission also
                                              Delta Person does not affect PNM’s                      relevant market, the PNM balancing                     reserves the right to require such an
                                              horizontal market power because PNM                     authority area, and will not erect                     analysis at any intervening time.
                                              was already deemed to control the                       barriers to entry into the relevant                       The Commission orders:
                                              output of the Delta Person facility under               market.
                                              a long-term contract with Delta                                                                                   (A) PNM’s notice of change in status
                                                                                                         83. Based on PNM’s representations,
                                              Person.118 In its most recent updated                   we find that PNM satisfies the                         is hereby accepted for filing, as
                                              market power analysis for the                           Commission’s requirements for market-                  discussed in the body of this order.
                                              Southwest region, PNM studied Delta                     based rates regarding vertical market                     (B) PNM’s request for market-based
                                              Person’s generation in the first-tier                   power.                                                 authority in the PNM balancing
                                              balancing authority areas in which PNM                     84. Based on PNM’s satisfaction of the              authority area is hereby rejected,
                                              has market-based rate authority.119                     Commission’s requirements for market-                  without prejudice, as discussed in the
                                                 79. Based on PNM’s representations,                  based authorization regarding horizontal               body of this order.
                                              we find that PNM satisfies the                          and vertical market power in the
                                                                                                                                                                (C) PNM’s SIL study is hereby
                                              Commission’s requirements for market-                   markets where it has market-based rate
                                              based rates regarding horizontal market                                                                        rejected, without prejudice, as discussed
                                                                                                      authority, we accept PNM’s notice of
                                              power in all balancing authority areas in               change in status.                                      in the body of this order.
                                              which PNM currently has market-based                                                                              (D) The Secretary is hereby directed to
                                                                                                      E. Reporting Requirements
                                              rate authority, i.e., outside of the PNM                                                                       publish a copy of this order in the
                                              and El Paso Electric balancing authority                  85. An entity with market-based rate                 Federal Register.
                                              areas.                                                  authorization must file an Electric
                                                                                                                                                               By the Commission.
                                                 80. PNM represents that of it and its                Quarterly Report (EQR) with the
                                              affiliates, only PNM owns or controls                   Commission, consistent with Order Nos.                   Issued: October 15, 2015.
                                              transmission facilities subject to                      2001 121 and 768,122 to fulfill its                    Kimberly D. Bose,
                                              Commission jurisdiction. PNM states                     responsibility under section 205(c) 123 of             Secretary.
                                              that open access to these transmission                                                                         [FR Doc. 2015–26724 Filed 10–20–15; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                        120 Public Service Company of New Mexico,
                                              facilities is provided pursuant to the                                                                         BILLING CODE 6717–01–P
                                                                                                      FERC FPA Electric Tariff, PNM Open Access
                                              terms of PNM’s Open Access                              Transmission Tariff.
                                              Transmission Tariff on file with the                      121 Revised Public Utility Filing Requirements,         124 See Revisions to Electric Quarterly Report

                                                                                                      Order No. 2001, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,127, reh’g    Filing Process, Order No. 770, FERC Stats. & Regs.
                                                117 Id., Appendix B, II.B (Submittal 2:               denied, Order No. 2001–A, 100 FERC ¶ 61,074,           ¶ 31,338, at P 3 (2012) (citing Order No. 2001, FERC
                                              Identification of Long-Term Firm Transmission           reh’g denied, Order No. 2001–B, 100 FERC ¶             Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,127 at P 31).
                                              Reservations used to Import Power for Generating        61,342, order directing filing, Order No. 2001–C,         125 Order No. 770, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,338.
                                              Resources in the First-Tier Area to Serve Native        101 FERC ¶ 61,314 (2002), order directing filing,
                                                                                                                                                                126 The exact filing dates for these reports are
                                              Load in the Study Area) (Instruction 2).                Order No. 2001–D, 102 FERC ¶ 61,334, order
                                                118 August 18, 2014 Filing at 1.                      refining filing requirements, Order No. 2001–E, 105    prescribed in 18 CFR 35.10b (2015). Forfeiture of
                                                119 Public Service Company of New Mexico,             FERC ¶ 61,352 (2003), order on clarification, Order    market-based rate authority may require a new
                                              Docket No. ER10–2302–004 (Aug. 22, 2014)                No. 2001–F, 106 FERC ¶ 61,060 (2004), order            application for market-based rate authority if the
                                              (delegated letter order). PNM has market-based rate     revising filing requirements, Order No. 2001–G, 120    applicant wishes to resume making sales at market-
                                              authority in seven first-tier balancing authority       FERC ¶ 61,270, order on reh’g and clarification,       based rates.
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                                              areas to the PNM balancing authority area. These        Order No. 2001–H, 121 FERC ¶ 61,289 (2007), order         127 Reporting Requirement for Changes in Status
                                              balancing authority areas are Southwestern Public       revising filing requirements, Order No. 2001–I,
                                                                                                      FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,282 (2008).                   for Public Utilities with Market-Based Rate
                                              Service Company, Western Area Power
                                                                                                        122 Electricity Mkt. Transparency Provisions of      Authority, Order No. 652, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶
                                              Administration-Colorado Missouri, Western Area
                                              Power Administration—Lower Colorado, Public             Section 220 of the Fed. Power Act, Order No. 768,      31,175, order on reh’g, 111 FERC ¶ 61,413 (2005);
                                              Service Company of Colorado, Arizona Public             FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,336 (2012), order on reh’g,   18 CFR 35.42 (2015).
                                              Service Company, Salt River Project, and Tucson         Order No. 768–A, 143 FERC ¶ 61,054 (2013).                128 Order No. 697, FERC Stats. & Regs. ¶ 31,252

                                              Electric Power Company.                                   123 16 U.S.C. 824d(c) (2012).                        at PP 848–850.



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Document Created: 2018-02-27 08:54:11
Document Modified: 2018-02-27 08:54:11
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
FR Citation80 FR 63768 

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