81_FR_10871 81 FR 10830 - Guidelines for Assessing Marine Mammal Stocks

81 FR 10830 - Guidelines for Assessing Marine Mammal Stocks

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Federal Register Volume 81, Issue 41 (March 2, 2016)

Page Range10830-10842
FR Document2016-04537

NMFS has incorporated public comments into revisions of the guidelines for preparing stock assessment reports (SARs) pursuant to section 117 of the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA). The revised guidelines are now complete and available to the public.

Federal Register, Volume 81 Issue 41 (Wednesday, March 2, 2016)
[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 41 (Wednesday, March 2, 2016)]
[Notices]
[Pages 10830-10842]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2016-04537]


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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

RIN 0648-XA937


Guidelines for Assessing Marine Mammal Stocks

AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.

ACTION: Notice of availability; response to comments.

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SUMMARY: NMFS has incorporated public comments into revisions of the 
guidelines for preparing stock assessment reports (SARs) pursuant to 
section 117 of the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA). The revised 
guidelines are now complete and available to the public.

ADDRESSES: Electronic copies of the guidelines are available on the 
Internet at the following address: http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/guidelines.htm.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Shannon Bettridge, Office of Protected 
Resources, 301-427-8402, [email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Background

    Section 117 of the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) (16 U.S.C. 
1361 et seq.) requires NMFS and the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 
(FWS) to prepare stock assessments for each stock of marine mammals 
occurring in waters under the jurisdiction of the United States. These 
reports must contain information regarding the distribution and 
abundance of the stock, population growth rates and trends, estimates 
of annual human-caused mortality and serious injury from all sources, 
descriptions of the fisheries with which the stock interacts, and the 
status of the stock. Initial stock assessment reports (SARs, or 
Reports) were first completed in 1995.
    NMFS convened a workshop in June 1994, including representatives 
from NMFS, FWS, and the Marine Mammal Commission (Commission), to 
develop draft guidelines for preparing SARs. The report of this 
workshop (Barlow et al., 1995) included the guidelines for preparing 
SARs and a summary of the discussions upon which the guidelines were 
based. The draft guidelines were made available, along with the initial 
draft SARs, for public review and comment (59 FR 40527, August 9, 
1994), and were finalized August 25, 1995 (60 FR 44308).
    In 1996, NMFS convened a second workshop (referred to as the 
Guidelines for Assessing Marine Mammal Stocks, or ``GAMMS,'' workshop) 
to review the guidelines and to recommend changes to them, if 
appropriate. Workshop participants included representatives from NMFS, 
FWS, the Commission, and the three regional scientific review groups 
(SRGs). The report of that workshop (Wade and Angliss, 1997) summarized 
the discussion at the workshop and contained revised guidelines. The 
revised guidelines represented minor changes from the initial version. 
The revised guidelines were made available for public review and 
comment along with revised stock assessment reports on January 21, 1997 
(62 FR 3005) and later finalized.
    In September 2003, NMFS again convened a workshop (referred to as 
GAMMS II) to review the guidelines and again recommend minor changes to 
them. Participants at the workshop included representatives of NMFS, 
FWS, the Commission, and the regional SRGs. Changes to the guidelines 
resulting from the 2003 workshop were directed primarily toward 
identifying population stocks and estimating Potential Biological 
Removal (PBR) for declining stocks of marine mammals. The revised 
guidelines were made available for public review and comment on 
November 18, 2004 (69 FR 67541) and finalized on June 20, 2005 (70 FR 
35397, NMFS 2005).
    In February 2011, NMFS convened another workshop (referred to as 
GAMMS III) to review the guidelines and again recommend changes to 
them. Participants at the workshop included representatives from NMFS, 
FWS, the Commission, and the three regional SRGs. The objectives of the 
GAMMS III workshop were to (1) consider methods for assessing stock 
status (i.e., how to apply the PBR framework) when abundance data are 
outdated, nonexistent, or only partially available; (2) develop 
policies on stock identification and application of the PBR framework 
to small stocks, transboundary stocks, and situations where stocks mix; 
and (3) develop consistent national approaches to a variety of other 
issues, including reporting mortality and serious injury information in 
assessments. Nine specific topics were discussed at the workshop. The 
deliberations of these nine topics resulted in a series of recommended 
modifications to the current guidelines (NMFS, 2005). The main body of 
the GAMMS III workshop report includes summaries of the presentations 
and discussions for each of the nine agenda topics, as well as 
recommended revisions to individual sections of the guidelines (Moore 
and Merrick, 2011). Appendices to the workshop report provide a variety 
of supporting documents, including the full proposed revision of the 
guidelines (Appendix IV). On January 24, 2012 (77 FR 3450), NMFS made 
the GAMMS III workshop report available for public review, and 
requested comment on the proposed revisions in Appendix IV. The report 
is available at http://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/gamms3_nmfsopr47.pdf.

[[Page 10831]]

Revisions to the Guidelines for Preparing Stock Assessment Reports

    The paragraphs below describe the proposed guideline revisions that 
were recommended by the GAMMS III workshop participants, as well as a 
summary of how NMFS has or has not incorporated those proposed 
revisions into the final revised guidelines. They are organized by 
topic, as outlined in Appendix IV of the GAMMS III workshop report.
    Topic 1: PBR calculations with outdated abundance estimates. For an 
increasing number of marine mammal stocks, the most recent abundance 
estimates are more than 8 years old. Under existing guidelines (NMFS, 
2005), these are considered to be outdated and thus not used to 
calculate PBR. The current practice is to consider the PBR for a stock 
to be ``undetermined'' after supporting survey information is more than 
eight years old, unless there is compelling evidence that the stock has 
not declined during that time.
    The workshop participants recommended and the proposed guidelines 
included the following revisions to calculate PBRs for stocks with old 
abundance information: (1) During years 1-8 after the most recent 
abundance survey, ``uncertainty projections'' would be used, based on 
uniform distribution assumptions, to serially reduce the minimum 
abundance estimate (Nmin) by a small increment each year; 
(2) after eight years, and assuming no new abundance estimate has 
become available, a worst-case scenario would be assumed (i.e., a 
plausible 10-percent decline per year since the most recent survey), 
and so a retroactive 10-percent decline per year would be applied; and 
(3) if data to estimate a population trend model are available, such a 
model could have been used to influence the uncertainty projections 
during the first eight years.
    NMFS received a number of comments expressing strenuous objection 
to/concern with the proposed framework for stocks with outdated 
abundance estimates, which has led us to reevaluate the topic. As such, 
NMFS is not finalizing these recommended changes related to Topic 1 at 
this time. Rather, we will be further analyzing this issue, and should 
we contemplate changes to the guidelines regarding this topic, NMFS 
will propose them and solicit public comment in a separate action.
    Topic 2: Improving stock identification. For most marine mammal 
species, few stock definition changes have been made since the initial 
SARs were written. The proposed guidelines directed that each Report 
state in the ``Stock Definition and Geographic Range'' section whether 
it is plausible the stock contains multiple demographically independent 
populations that should be separate stocks, along with a brief 
rationale. If additional structure is plausible and human-caused 
mortality or serious injury is concentrated within a portion of the 
range of the stock, the Reports should identify the portion of the 
range in which the mortality or serious injury occurs. These revisions 
to the guidelines have been made.
    The GAMMS III workshop also addressed the terms ``demographic 
isolation'' and ``reproductive isolation.'' Workshop participants 
agreed that the intended meaning of these terms when originally 
included in the guidelines was not of complete isolation, which implies 
that there should be no interchange between stocks. Therefore, they 
recommended and the proposed guidelines included clarification of 
terminology by replacing references to ``demographic isolation'' and 
``reproductive isolation'' with ``demographic independence'' and 
``reproductive independence,'' respectively. These revisions to the 
guidelines have been made.
    Related to this topic, the workshop participants also recommended 
that NMFS convene a national workshop to systematically review the 
status of stock identification efforts and to identify and prioritize 
the information needed to improve stock identification. NMFS convened 
such a workshop in August 2014 (Martien et al., 2015). See response to 
Comment 10.
    Topic 3a: Assessment of very small stocks. The PBR estimate for 
some stocks may be very small (just a few animals or even less than 
one). In such cases, low levels of observer coverage may introduce 
substantial small-sample bias in bycatch estimates. The proposed 
guideline revisions included a table in the Technical Details section 
that provides guidance on the amount of sampling effort (observer 
coverage and/or number of years of data pooling) required to limit 
small-sample bias, given a certain PBR level. If suggested sampling 
goals (per the table) cannot be met, the proposed guidelines instructed 
that mortality should be estimated and reported, but the estimates 
should be qualified in the SARs by stating they could be biased. NMFS 
has incorporated this language into the revised guidelines.
    The proposed guidelines suggested removing the following sentence 
from the Status of Stocks section: ``In the complete absence of any 
information on sources of mortality, and without guidance from the 
Scientific Review Groups, the precautionary principle should be 
followed and the default stock status should be strategic until 
information is available to demonstrate otherwise.'' NMFS has 
incorporated this revision into the guidelines, as NMFS does not 
consider the original text to be consistent with the MMPA's definition 
of ``strategic.''
    Topic 3b: Assessment of small endangered stocks. Some endangered 
species, like Hawaiian monk seals, are declining with little to no 
direct human-caused mortality, and the stock's dynamics therefore do 
not conform to the underlying model for calculating PBR. Thus, PBR 
estimates for some endangered species stocks have not been included or 
have been considered ``undetermined'' in SARs. The proposed guidelines 
instructed that in such cases, if feasible, PBR should still be 
calculated and included in the SARs to comply with the MMPA. In 
situations where a stock's dynamics do not conform to the underlying 
model for calculating PBR, a qualifying statement should accompany the 
PBR estimate in the SAR. NMFS has incorporated this language into the 
revised guidelines.
    Topic 4: Apportioning PBR across feeding aggregations, allocating 
mortality for mixed stocks, and estimating PBR for transboundary 
stocks.
    Feeding aggregations: Given the definition that a population stock 
consists of individuals in common spatial arrangements that interbreed 
when mature, population stocks of species that have discrete feeding 
and breeding grounds (e.g., humpback whales) have generally been 
defined based on breeding ground stocks. However, given the strong 
maternal fidelity to feeding grounds, migratory species such as 
humpback whales can have feeding aggregations that are demographically 
independent with limited movement of individuals between feeding 
aggregations. Such feeding aggregations can consist of a portion of one 
breeding population, or of portions of multiple breeding populations, 
and can represent a single demographically-independent unit, or a mix 
of two or more demographically-independent units. Although this 
approach of identifying stocks based on feeding aggregations seemed 
feasible, workshop participants felt this approach added significant 
complexity without providing substantial management advantages. The 
workshop participants did not recommend any such changes to the 
guidelines at this point. None were

[[Page 10832]]

included in the proposed guidelines nor have any been made in the final 
revisions.
    Allocating mortality for mixed stocks: In some cases, mortality and 
serious injury occur in areas where more than one stock of marine 
mammals occurs. The proposed guidelines specify that when biological 
information is sufficient to identify the stock from which a dead or 
seriously injured animal came, the mortality or serious injury should 
be associated only with that stock. When one or more deaths or serious 
injuries cannot be assigned directly to a stock, then those deaths or 
serious injuries may be partitioned among stocks within the appropriate 
geographic area, provided there is sufficient information to support 
such partitioning. In those cases, Reports should discuss the potential 
for over- or under-estimating stock-specific mortality and serious 
injury. In cases where mortalities and serious injuries cannot be 
assigned directly to a stock and available information is not 
sufficient to support partitioning those deaths and serious injuries 
among stocks, the proposed guidelines instruct that the total 
unassigned mortality and serious injuries should be assigned to each 
stock within the appropriate geographic area. When deaths and serious 
injuries are assigned to each overlapping stock in this manner, the 
Reports should discuss the potential for over-estimating stock-specific 
mortality and serious injury. NMFS has incorporated this language into 
the revised guidelines.
    Transboundary stocks: The proposed guidelines strengthen the 
language regarding transboundary stocks, cautioning against 
extrapolating abundance estimates from one surveyed area to another 
unsurveyed area to estimate range-wide PBR. They state that informed 
interpolation (e.g., based on habitat associations) may be used, as 
appropriate and supported by existing data, to fill gaps in survey 
coverage and estimate abundance and PBR over broader areas. If 
estimates of mortality or abundance from outside the U.S. EEZ cannot be 
determined, PBR calculations should be based on abundance in the EEZ 
and compared to mortality within the EEZ. NMFS has incorporated this 
language into the revised guidelines and has provided a footnote 
defining informed interpolation.
    Topic 5: Clarifying reporting of mortality and serious injury 
incidental to commercial fishing. Currently, SARs do not consistently 
summarize mortality and serious injury incidental to commercial 
fishing. The proposed guidelines specified that SARs should include a 
summary of all human-caused mortality and serious injury including 
information on all sources of mortality and serious injury. 
Additionally, a summary of mortality and serious injury incidental to 
U.S. commercial fisheries should be presented in a table, while 
mortality and serious injury from other sources (e.g., recreational 
fisheries, other sources of human-caused mortality and serious injury 
within the U.S. EEZ, foreign fisheries on the high seas) should be 
clearly distinguished from U.S. commercial fishery-related mortality. 
Finally, the proposed guidelines contained the addition of a subsection 
summarizing the most prevalent potential human-caused mortality and 
serious injury threats that are unquantified in the SARs, and the SARs 
should also indicate if there are no known major sources of 
unquantifiable human-caused mortality and serious injury. NMFS has 
incorporated this language into the revised guidelines.
    Topic 6: When stock declines are sufficient for a strategic 
designation. The proposed guidelines included the following: ``Stocks 
that have evidence suggesting at least a 50 percent decline, either 
based on previous abundance estimates or historical abundance estimated 
by back-calculation, should be noted in the Status of Stocks section as 
likely to be below OSP. The choice of 50 percent does not mean that OSP 
is at 50 percent of historical numbers, but rather that a population 
below this level would be below OSP with high probability. Similarly, a 
stock that has increased back to levels pre-dating the known decline 
may be within OSP; however, additional analyses may determine a 
population is within OSP prior to reaching historical levels.'' NMFS 
has incorporated this language into the revised guidelines.
    Additionally, the workshop participants recommended and the 
proposed guidelines included the following interpretation of the 
definition of a strategic stock: ``A stock shall be designated as 
strategic if it is declining and has a greater than 50 percent 
probability of a continuing decline of at least five percent per year. 
Such a decline, if not stopped, would result in a 50 percent decline in 
15 years and would likely lead to the stock being listed as threatened. 
The estimate of trend should be based on data spanning at least eight 
years. Alternative thresholds for decline rates and duration, as well 
as alternative data criteria, may also be used if sufficient rationale 
is provided to indicate that the decline is likely to result in the 
stock being listed as threatened within the foreseeable future. Stocks 
that have been designated as strategic due to a population decline may 
be designated as non-strategic if the decline is stopped and the stock 
is not otherwise strategic.'' NMFS received comments expressing concern 
with the proposed interpretation of ``likely to be listed as a 
threatened species under the ESA within the foreseeable future'' (sec. 
3(19)(B) of the MMPA). NMFS is not finalizing the proposed changes 
related to this topic at this time. Rather, we will further analyze 
this issue. Should we contemplate changes to the guidelines regarding 
this topic, NMFS will propose them and solicit public comment in a 
separate action.
    The proposed guidelines included the following direction regarding 
recovery factors for declining stocks: ``A stock that is strategic 
because, based on the best available scientific information, it is 
declining and is likely to be listed as a threatened species under the 
ESA within the foreseeable future (sec. 3(19)(B) of the MMPA) should 
use a recovery factor between 0.1 and 0.5.'' As we are not finalizing 
the recommended changes regarding strategic stock designation (sec. 
3(19)(B) of the MMPA), above, we have decided not to revise the 
guidelines regarding recovery factors under such situations at this 
time. Should changes to the guidelines regarding the above be 
contemplated, NMFS will include the recommended recovery factors when 
we solicit public comment on that action. Therefore, NMFS is not 
finalizing the recommended change related to this paragraph at this 
time.
    Topic 7: Assessing stocks without abundance estimates or PBR. For 
many stocks, data are so sparse that it is not possible to produce an 
Nmin and not possible to estimate PBR. When mortality and/or 
population abundance estimates are unavailable, the PBR approach cannot 
be used to assess populations, in spite of a statutory mandate to do 
so. The proposed guidelines included the following addition to the 
Status of Stocks section: ``Likewise, trend monitoring can help inform 
the process of determining strategic status.'' NMFS has incorporated 
this language into the revised guidelines.
    Topic 8: Characterizing uncertainty in key SAR elements. It is 
difficult to infer the overall uncertainty for key parameters as they 
are currently reported in the SARs. The proposed guidelines direct that 
the Stock Definition and Geographic Range, Elements of the PBR Formula, 
Population Trend, Annual Human-Caused Mortality and Serious Injury,

[[Page 10833]]

and Status of the Stock sections include a description of key 
uncertainties associated with parameters in these sections and an 
evaluation of the effects of these uncertainties associated with 
parameters in these sections. NMFS has incorporated this language into 
the revised guidelines with some minor revisions.
    Topic 9: Including non-serious injuries and disturbance in SARs. 
Currently, many Reports include information on human-related mortality 
and serious injury from all known sources (not just from commercial 
fisheries) but do not include information on human-related non-serious 
injury or disturbance. The workshop participants concluded that the 
guidelines, with respect to the scope of content considered by the 
SARs, could be retained as they currently stand. However, they 
encouraged authors to routinely consider including information in the 
Reports about what ``other factors'' may cause a decline or impede 
recovery of a particular stock. A final recommended revision to the 
guidelines was the addition of the following italicized text: ``The 
MMPA requires for strategic stocks a consideration of other factors 
that may be causing a decline or impeding recovery of the stock, 
including effects on marine mammal habitat and prey, or other lethal or 
non-lethal factors.'' However, this italicized text is not contained in 
the MMPA, and therefore, as proposed could be misconstrued as being 
required by the MMPA. Therefore, the revision to the guidelines has 
been reworded for clarity.

Comments and Responses

    NMFS solicited public comments on the proposed revisions to the 
guidelines (January 24, 2012, 77 FR 3450), contained in Appendix IV of 
the GAMMS III workshop report. NMFS received comments from the 
Commission, the three regional SRGs, two non-governmental environmental 
organizations (Humane Society of the United States and Center for 
Biological Diversity), representatives from the fishing industry 
(Western Pacific Regional Fishery Management Council, Garden State 
Seafood Association, Maine Lobstermen's Association, Hawaii Longline 
Association, Cape Cod Hook Fishermen's Association, and two 
individuals), the American Veterinary Medical Association, the States 
of Maine and Massachusetts, the Makah Indian Tribe, the Center for 
Regulatory Effectiveness, representatives from the oil and gas industry 
(American Petroleum Institute, International Association of Geophysical 
Contractors, and Alaska Oil and Gas Association), and one individual.
    NMFS received a number of comments supporting its efforts to 
improve stock identification (topic 2). Many commenters urged NMFS to 
prioritize conducting regular surveys for those species with the 
greatest human-caused mortality or oldest survey data. Many commenters 
disagreed with NMFS' proposals to use a precautionary approach with 
aging abundance estimates (topic 1) and apportion PBR and serious 
injuries and mortalities (topic 4). Comments on actions not related to 
the GAMMS (e.g., convening a Take Reduction Team or listing a marine 
mammal species under the Endangered Species Act (ESA)), or on items not 
related to portions of the guidelines finalized in this action, are not 
included below. Comments and responses are organized below according to 
the relevant workshop topics outlined in Appendix IV of the report.

Comments on General Issues

    Comment 1: The Commission recommended that NMFS continue to 
encourage more exchange between regional SRGs to ensure consistency 
where needed and to promote useful and informative exchange among them.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this comment and will continue to 
encourage exchange between SRGs and strive to ensure consistency among 
the groups and among the SARs. To that end, we are convening a joint 
meeting of the three SRGs in February 2016, in addition to individual 
SRG meetings.
    Comment 2: The Commission recommended that NMFS consider requiring 
a brief summary paragraph or table on the historical trend of each 
stock in the SARs, where appropriate, to combat the tendency to exclude 
important stock dynamics or allow for the shifting baselines 
phenomenon.
    Response: It is unclear from the comment what historical trend 
information, specifically, the Commission is referencing that is not 
already provided in the SARs. Where able, we provide historical 
abundance data and estimate trends in abundance (see for example, the 
California sea lion SAR, which provides abundance data for the prior 
four decades). With respect to bycatch, we do not think it is feasible 
or appropriate to provide trends in bycatch rates over decades, as 
fisheries and monitoring programs change too frequently. The status of 
each stock is informed by current parameters, such as ESA listing 
status and relationship to OSP and PBR. Additionally, the statute 
specifies that the SARs provide current population trend information. 
We will continue to endeavor to provide as much historical abundance, 
trend, and human-related removal information (for example, historical 
whaling data as it relates to stock recovery and OSP, see Eastern North 
Pacific blue whale report) as possible, but at this time will not 
require a summary table or paragraph in each SAR.
    Comment 3: NMFS should secure adequate support and funding to 
conduct marine mammal abundance surveys in the region at least every 
five years. Alternative cost-effective approaches to determining 
Nmin, such as trend data from index sites, should be 
developed and specified as acceptable methods in the guidelines.
    Response: NMFS agrees that such a schedule would be ideal, but we 
do not currently have the resources to accomplish this. We continue to 
develop and implement strategies to support more efficient use of ship 
time through multi-species ecosystem studies, better survey designs and 
sampling technologies, and leveraging inter- and intra-agency 
resources. NMFS is also exploring alternative approaches for assessing 
stock status (e.g., through use of unmanned systems and acoustic 
technologies) apart from reliance on abundance survey data, in regions 
where regular surveys are cost-prohibitive. As noted in the workshop 
report, such approaches could include trend monitoring at index sites. 
Developing guidelines for alternative assessment methods was not a 
focus of the GAMMS III workshop, and so this does not appear in the 
revisions finalized here. However, NMFS will make efforts to consider 
how alternative sets of information could be used to aid its marine 
mammal stock assessments.
    Comment 4: The effective management of marine mammals requires 
timely and accurate stock status information that is currently lacking. 
The proposed assumption that the existing measures protecting marine 
mammal species are failing to achieve management objectives and the 
continued use of old data to assess the status of stocks are 
unacceptable and fail to acknowledge collective efforts to reconcile 
marine mammal protection with varied ocean uses. NMFS should more 
frequently assess the status of marine mammal stocks and incorporate 
this new information into management actions.
    Response: NMFS agrees that management of marine mammal stocks 
depends on timely and accurate stock information, and in many cases up-
to-date stock assessments are not available, nor are the resources 
necessary to

[[Page 10834]]

conduct the assessment. NMFS acknowledges that the reliability of 
abundance estimates for calculating PBR is reduced over time. The 
proposed approach to calculating PBR with outdated abundance 
information assumed the worst-case scenario, but we are not finalizing 
that approach at this time. Accordingly, NMFS is analyzing methods to 
calculate PBRs for stocks with outdated abundance information as well 
as developing methods to collect data more efficiently and cost 
effectively. See response to Comment 3.
    Comment 5: The Alaska SRG expressed concern that very different 
approaches are taken for PBR and mortality components of SARs. A great 
deal of modeling effort and simulations has gone into making the PBR 
calculations conservative, but there is no similar concern for the 
mortality and serious injury data. In some of the Alaska SARs, 20+ 
year-old observer data are the only mortality data for a particular 
fishery. The nature of Alaska fisheries can change quite quickly, so 
Alaska SRG members strongly object to using such old data. The 
reliability of removals data is just as important as population data 
when assessing stock status. This issue merits serious attention, and 
as a first step, the quality of removals data should be thoroughly and 
explicitly evaluated when uncertainty in SARs is evaluated.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges that many of the data related to Alaska 
marine mammal stocks are dated. NMFS continues to rely upon and 
incorporate the best available data in the SARs, but in some cases 
these data are many years old. The revised guidelines instruct SAR 
authors to describe uncertainties in key factors, including human-
caused mortality and serious injury, and to evaluate the effects of 
those uncertainties.
    Comment 6: The proposed changes do not reflect an agency commitment 
to generating best available science upon which to base its decisions. 
In fact, this rule contains no statements as to what the agency intends 
to do with respect to old or non-existent assessments other than to 
reduce PBR. We request the agency comment for the record specifically 
how NOAA intends to address the GAMMS III stated need for accurate and 
timely census data.
    Response: The MMPA requires that NMFS and FWS use the best 
available scientific information in its assessment and management of 
marine mammal stocks. NMFS strives to collect the data necessary for 
timely stock assessments in a cost-efficient manner, but agency 
resources are limited, and there are instances where data are either 
too old or non-existent. We are currently analyzing how to calculate 
PBR when data are outdated.
    Comment 7: We appreciate NMFS' efforts to improve stock 
identification, small stock biases, non-serious injuries, and institute 
other SAR enhancements, and encourage NMFS to incorporate veterinary 
expertise relative to marine mammal population, health, and ecosystem 
conservation status.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this comment. NMFS continues to 
incorporate and rely upon veterinary expertise in activities related to 
stock assessment; for example, the development of the serious injury 
determination policy and procedures, and response to stranded animals 
and UMEs.
    Comment 8: Several of the GAMMS III recommendations require more 
explanations and verbiage to be added to the SARs (e.g., Topics 2, 5, 
8, and 9).
    Response: NMFS recognizes that the recommendations require 
additional text to be added to the SARs. We strive to maintain the 
conciseness of the SARs while providing best available science and 
meeting the directive of MMPA section 117(a).
    Comment 9: NMFS should produce a record showing that the guidelines 
and GAMMS Report comply with the Information Quality Act (IQA) Pre-
dissemination review requirements as follows: (1) All models that the 
guidelines or GAMMS Report use should be peer reviewed in order to 
determine their compliance with Council for Regulatory Environmental 
Modeling Guidance; (2) the method used by the guidelines and GAMMS 
Report to estimate population uncertainty violates the IQA accuracy and 
reliability requirement; and (3) the guidelines and GAMMS Report 
violate the IQA accuracy and reliability requirements by telling staff 
to make up abundance data and PBR when measured data do not exist 
(``informed interpolation''). In addition, NMFS should revise the 
guidelines and GAMMS Report to delete any suggestion that marine mammal 
SARs should discuss oil and gas seismic effects, as oil and gas seismic 
operations do not cause mortality or serious injury to marine mammals 
and do not cause a decline or impede recovery of any strategic stock.
    Response: The GAMMS report referenced by the commenter is a summary 
of the proceedings of a workshop and was reviewed for accuracy prior to 
dissemination. We did not solicit comments nor are we responding to 
comments on the workshop report itself. The guidelines also underwent 
IQA pre-dissemination review prior to being finalized and released to 
the public. There is no requirement under the NOAA or OMB Information 
Quality Guidance to explain within the guidelines themselves how they 
have met IQA requirements.
    The marine mammal SARs are based on the best available science. 
NMFS strives to use peer-reviewed data as the basis for reports. 
However, in some cases, the best available science may not have been 
published or subjected to a juried professional journal review, as this 
process can take months or years to complete. In other cases, data 
pertinent to assessments of stocks are routinely collected and analyzed 
but are not suitable for a stand-alone external peer-reviewed 
publication. Therefore, NMFS often relies on science that has been 
through a NMFS Science Center's internal expert review process and/or 
has been subjected to other internal or external expert review to 
ensure that information is not only high quality but is available for 
management decisions in a timely fashion. In these cases, all NOAA-
authored literature should meet, at the least, the standards for 
Fundamental Research Communications established by the NOAA Research 
Council and by NMFS. NMFS may rely on the SRGs to provide independent 
expert reviews of particular components of new science to be 
incorporated into the SARs to ensure that these components constitute 
the best available scientific information. Likewise, upon SRG review of 
these components and the draft SARs themselves, NMFS considers the SRG 
review of the draft SARs to constitute peer review and to meet the 
requirements of the OMB Peer Review Bulletin and the Information 
Quality Act.
    The proposed method for projecting uncertainty in abundance 
estimates (topic 1) is not being finalized at this time (see below). 
Any models that are employed in the SARs have been peer reviewed, as is 
their specific application to the SARs, and therefore meet the 
requirements of the IQA. Regarding the use of informed interpolation to 
estimate abundance within a study area based on habitat modeling or 
similar approaches (i.e., model-based abundance estimation), this 
approach is commonly applied in ecology. The International Whaling 
Commission Scientific Committee recently acknowledged the strength and 
utility of model-based abundance estimation methods and is planning a 
workshop to formulate revisions to its guidelines for conducting 
surveys and analyzing data to include guidance on the use of these 
methods in management (IWC, 2015).

[[Page 10835]]

Model-based estimation of density is based on survey data and habitat 
or other covariates, which is entirely science based. To suggest we are 
directing staff to ``make up abundance data and PBR'' is a 
mischaracterization of what is contained in the revised guidelines. We 
have added a footnote to the guidelines to clarify the definition of 
``informed interpolation.''
    Regarding oil and gas activities, nowhere in the proposed 
guidelines are oil and gas or seismic activities specifically 
discussed. The guidelines do not direct the inclusion of oil and gas 
activities in the SARs; however, if oil and gas activities are found to 
be having a detrimental effect on a stock or its habitat, we would 
include it in the report, as we would with any other activity. The 
final revised guidelines (very slightly revised from the proposed 
guidelines) state: ``The MMPA requires for strategic stocks a 
consideration of other factors that may be causing a decline or 
impeding recovery of the stock, including effects on marine mammal 
habitat and prey. In practice, interpretation of ``other factors'' may 
include lethal or non-lethal factors other than effects on habitat and 
prey. Therefore, such issues should be summarized in the Status of the 
Stock section for all strategic stocks. If substantial issues regarding 
the habitat of the stock are important, a separate section titled 
``Habitat Issues'' should be used. If data exist that indicate a 
problem, they should be summarized and included in the Report. If there 
are no known habitat issues or other factors causing a decline or 
impeding recovery, this should be stated in the Status of the Stock 
section.''

Comments on Topic 1: Assessing Stocks With Outdated Abundance Estimates

    NMFS received a number of comments expressing strenuous objection 
to/concern with the proposed framework for stocks with outdated 
abundance estimates. As such, NMFS is not finalizing the proposed 
revisions related to Topic 1 at this time. Rather, we will further 
analyze this issue. Should we contemplate changes to the guidelines 
regarding this topic, NMFS will propose them and solicit public comment 
in a separate action.

Comments on Topic 2: Improving Stock Identification

    Comment 10: The Commission recommended that NMFS convene a national 
workshop to systematically review the status of stock identification 
efforts and to identify and prioritize the information needed to 
improve stock identification.
    Response: In August 2014, NMFS convened a workshop on the use of 
multiple lines of evidence to delineate demographically independent 
populations (Martien et al., 2015). The meeting participants agreed 
that the best way to provide guidance on the use of multiple lines of 
evidence when delineating demographically independent populations for 
marine mammals was to produce a Stock Delineation Handbook that can 
serve as a guide for future demographically-independent population 
delineation efforts. Development of the handbook is currently underway. 
Subsequent to the 2014 workshop, NMFS began developing an internal 
procedure for identifying and prioritizing stocks in need of 
examination for potential revisions that would complement and be 
integrated into the stock delineation workshop outputs and the existing 
SAR process.
    Comment 11: The GAMMS III workshop report makes several very good 
recommendations for improving stock identification, and the Alaska SRG 
and the Humane Society of the United States agree with all of them.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this comment.
    Comment 12: The Pacific SRG recommends that NMFS focus on the role 
of genetics in determining marine mammal stock structure and in 
defining the terms ``stock'' and ``population.''
    Response: Although the guidelines are clear that genetic evidence 
is not the sole evidence that could be used to define stocks, changes 
in stock definition have relied on genetic data as the primary line of 
evidence, and species for which genetic evidence are not available have 
not had new stocks defined. The MMPA uses the term ``population 
stock.'' The guidelines have a lengthy section on ``Definition of 
stock'' that has been discussed in each of the GAMMS workshops and in a 
special workshop devoted to stock definition (see response to Comment 
(10). The language that interprets ``population stock'' has remained 
largely unchanged since the first set of guidelines despite much 
discussion.
    Comment 13: The Pacific SRG would like to have the following 
questions addressed: How do we integrate the MMPA's goal of maintaining 
a population as a functioning part of the ecosystem with the statute's 
definition of a stock (that emphasizes breeding interchange)? In a 
continuum of levels of genetic exchange, where does one draw the line 
between what is a stock and what is not? How will the proposed use of 
eco-regions be practically implemented in stock determination and how 
will migratory stocks that feed in one region and breed in another be 
treated under this proposal? How do we balance the conservation 
concerns resulting from stocks being defined very broadly versus the 
costs and management concerns resulting from stocks being defined very 
finely?
    Response: The definition of ``population stock'' as ``a group of 
marine mammals of the same species or smaller taxa in a common spatial 
arrangement, that interbreed when mature'' is vague from a biological 
perspective. To some degree, all ``groups'' within a species interbreed 
when mature or else they would be considered different species 
according to the biological species concept. Clearly, population stock 
was intended to mean interbreeding at some greater level but that level 
is not specified. Interpretation becomes more difficult when 
considering known cases of migratory species with strong fidelity to 
both feeding and breeding grounds. Consider, for example, humpback 
whales that feed in Southeast Alaska and breed in Hawaii. These 
individuals can interbreed when mature but can (and do) interbreed with 
individuals that feed in other areas. If a threat occurred within 
Southeast Alaska that resulted in unsustainable deaths in that area, 
then if the ``Southeast Alaska whales'' were a stock, that stock's PBR 
could be used as an indicator that management efforts to mitigate that 
threat were warranted. In contrast, if ``interbreed when mature'' 
considered all the whales in Hawaii, then the human-caused mortality in 
Southeast Alaska may never exceed the PBR based on Hawaii, and 
eventually the ecosystem in Southeast Alaska would cease to have 
humpback whales as a functioning part. Such cases result in an apparent 
conflict between the words ``interbreed when mature'' and the goal to 
maintain population stocks as functioning elements of their ecosystem.
    Often, changes to stock delineations in the SARs have relied on 
interpretation of genetic data. The Pacific SRG asks where one draws 
the line on what level of genetic exchange suffices to qualify as a 
stock. Interpretation has been based on the guidelines:
    ``Demographic independence means that the population dynamics of 
the affected group is more a consequence of births and deaths within 
the group (internal dynamics) rather than immigration or emigration 
(external dynamics). Thus, the exchange of individuals between 
population stocks is not great enough to prevent the depletion of one 
of the populations as

[[Page 10836]]

a result of increased mortality or lower birth rates.''
    To date, accepted ``new'' stocks have been strongly differentiated, 
indicating such low levels of exchange that immigration is relatively 
trivial. There will be, however, borderline cases. Such is the nature 
of imposing discrete categories on continuous processes.
    The recommendations from the GAMMS III workshop do not propose 
basing stocks on eco-regions. Eco-regions were discussed during the 
workshop in two contexts: (1) In a working paper that demonstrated that 
most stocks are currently defined at a very large scale often 
encompassing several eco-regions, and (2) that eco-regions may 
highlight stocks that may deserve consideration in a stock definition 
meeting because that stock may be at too large a scale and could 
encompass multiple demographically independent populations.
    Comment 14: In the SARs, a concise statement concerning uncertainty 
in stock structure could be included in the section on uncertainty 
discussed under Topic 8. Details should be provided only when 
publications are not yet available. The Pacific SRG questions the 
usefulness of repeating in nearly every SAR the sentence ``It is 
plausible that there are multiple demographically-independent 
populations within this stock.''
    Response: The Pacific SRG requested that the reader of a SAR be 
able to readily assess the level of confidence that can be ascribed to 
the PBR calculation. A critical part of that calculation is abundance, 
which can be severely biased if stock definition is incorrect. We 
recognize that many SARs will include the same statement about the 
plausibility of multiple demographically independent populations within 
the stock, but we consider it necessary to better inform the reader's 
understanding of areas of uncertainty.
    Comment 15: NMFS received a number of comments related to stock 
definition and stock delineation based on feeding aggregations. Such 
as: The revised guidelines should address whether, and under what 
circumstances, a feeding aggregation can be identified as a stock 
consistently with the MMPA's statutory definition of a stock. One 
commenter stated that it is not clear whether or how the definition of 
a stock in the proposed guidelines relates to the definition of a stock 
in the MMPA. One commenter suggested that the revised guidelines should 
clarify the meaning of ``internal dynamics'' and explain how it relates 
to the statutory interbreeding requirement. Another suggestion was that 
the revised guidelines should address the workshop participants' 
suggestion ``that human-caused mortality on the feeding grounds be 
monitored and evaluated against a PBR calculation made for the feeding 
aggregation and that the feeding-ground PBR, mortality, and evaluation 
results be reported in the SARs, as is currently done for Pacific 
humpback stocks.''
    Response: The workshop participants discussed the possibility of 
basing stocks on feeding aggregations. Although workshop participants 
considered this approach to be feasible, they believed it added 
significant complexity without providing substantial management 
advantages, and did not recommend revisions to the guidelines at this 
time. Therefore, this revision of the guidelines does not specifically 
discuss identification of stocks based on feeding aggregations. We 
recognize and acknowledge these comments related to feeding 
aggregations and stock definition, but as they do not relate to the 
current revisions to the guidelines, we are not addressing them in this 
action. If the issue is further considered by the agency in a separate 
action, we will address those comments in the development of that 
action.
    Comment 16: In the proposed guidelines, NMFS suggests that it may 
delineate marine mammal stocks based upon human factors such as 
incidental take as a result of human-caused mortality. However, the 
MMPA does not permit the determination of stock status based on human-
related factors. Accordingly, when delineating stocks, NMFS can only 
consider the demographic and biological characteristics of the species 
at issue. Carving out stocks in areas where human-caused mortality is 
high, as NMFS proposes, would violate the MMPA.
    Response: The guidelines state: ``For example, it is common to have 
human-caused mortality restricted to a portion of a species' range. 
Such concentrated mortality (if of a large magnitude) could lead to 
population fragmentation, a reduction in range, or even the loss of 
undetected populations, and would only be mitigated by high immigration 
rates from adjacent areas.'' They caution that serious consideration 
should be given to areas with concentrated high human-caused mortality, 
but that actual stock definition should be based on biological 
considerations. In other words, high-localized human-caused mortality 
should highlight the need for stock identification scrutiny but not the 
lines of evidence used.
    Comment 17: If it cannot be demonstrated with normal genetic 
analysis, then it is unwarranted to establish populations or 
subpopulations based on behavior or distribution. To split existing 
populations into smaller units only invites the development of 
fragmented PBRs with an aggregate value that will likely be lower than 
that of the whole population.
    Response: Genetic data are certainly useful when attainable, but in 
many cases genetic samples (of sufficient quantity to draw sound 
inferences) cannot be obtained. There are many other lines of evidence 
that can be informative to determining stock structure, including 
behavior and distribution and also movement data from photographic 
identification or tagging. Genetic data are sometimes sufficient but 
are not exclusively needed to make sound inferences concerning stock 
structure. In 2014, NMFS convened a workshop to review the use of other 
lines of evidence, as consistency and accuracy in delineating stocks 
for species with limited data would be improved if guidelines were 
available on both the strengths of different lines of evidence and how 
to evaluate multiple lines together (Martien et al., 2015). As a result 
of this workshop, NMFS is developing a handbook for identification of 
demographically independent populations, which includes genetic 
information as well as other lines of evidence.
    Comment 18: The revised guidelines should acknowledge that factors 
other than demographic independence, such as a localized disease or a 
localized change in prey availability, might cause different population 
responses between geographic regions. In light of such factors, the 
revised guidelines should discuss under what circumstances it is 
appropriate to designate stocks solely on the basis of different 
population responses between geographic regions.
    Response: Demographic independence is defined in terms of birth and 
death rates within the population and immigrations from outside the 
population. Presumably, the response of a population to `localized 
disease or localized change in prey availability' would be changes in 
the birth and/or death rates. Thus, it would seem that the concern 
above is already accounted for in the guidelines.
    Comment 19: If the revised guidelines continue to define a stock as 
a demographically-independent biological population, they should 
explain more clearly the circumstances under which a group of marine 
mammals can be designated as a stock even in the

[[Page 10837]]

absence of evidence that the group comprises a demographically 
independent biological population. Are such circumstances limited to 
those in which ``mortality is greater than a PBR calculated from the 
abundance just within the oceanographic region where the human-caused 
mortality occurs,'' as suggested in the GAMMS III Report? Or can stocks 
be designated in other circumstances in the absence of evidence of 
demographic independence? If so, what other circumstances are 
contemplated?
    Response: The section on definition of stocks in the guidelines 
seeks to clarify the practical process of definition given biological 
complexity and different types and qualities of available data. This 
section was contained in GAMMS II (NMFS 2005) and was not revised in 
this current revision of the guidelines. The guidelines note that 
particular attention should be given to areas where mortality is 
greater than PBR but do not limit stock definition to those 
circumstances. The stock definition workshop (see above) was suggested 
as a forum to improve stock definition in data-poor cases.

Comments on Topic 3: Assessment of Small and Endangered Stocks

    Comment 20: The Commission recommends that NMFS adopt the workshop 
recommendation to include, when appropriate, a statement in each 
assessment explaining that bycatch data are not sufficient to estimate 
the bycatch rate with acceptable precision. The Commission and another 
commenter recommended NMFS treat each such stock as strategic unless 
and until the data are sufficient to demonstrate that it is not.
    Response: NMFS agrees with the importance of including a statement 
in each stock assessment to indicate when bycatch estimates are prone 
to small-sample bias, though it should be noted that bias and precision 
are different issues. The guidelines recommend pooling years of 
information as necessary to achieve precision levels of CV less than 
0.3.
    At this point, NMFS does not make the default assumption that a 
stock is strategic until demonstrated otherwise. The MMPA requires a 
determination of a stock's status as being either strategic or non-
strategic and does not include a category of unknown. The revised 
guidelines state, for non-ESA listed and/or non-depleted stocks, ``if 
abundance or human-related mortality levels are truly unknown (or if 
the fishery-related mortality level is only available from self-
reported data), some judgment will be required to make this 
determination. If the human-caused mortality is believed to be small 
relative to the stock size based on the best scientific judgment, the 
stock could be considered as non-strategic. If human-caused mortality 
is likely to be significant relative to stock size (e.g., greater than 
the annual production increment) the stock could be considered as 
strategic.''
    Comment 21: When calculating PBR, NMFS should err on the side of 
caution rather than allowing loosely defined flexibility that may be 
used to the detriment of the stock. With stocks such as the Cook Inlet 
belugas or Hawaiian monk seals, the documented decline in abundance 
would seem to challenge the assumption that net productivity occurs. 
Therefore, a PBR of zero is appropriate and would promote regional 
consistency.
    Response: NMFS recognizes that in some cases the dynamics of a 
stock do not comport with the underlying assumptions of the PBR 
framework. Given that Section 117 directs the agency to calculate PBR, 
the revised guidelines direct authors to calculate PBR but in such 
instances to qualify the calculation in the PBR section of the Report.
    Comment 22: We support the calculation of PBR even for small stocks 
with little human-caused mortality to comply with the MMPA. However, we 
do not support the exception to depart from the PBR requirement.
    Response: NMFS recognizes that, pursuant to Sec. 117 of the MMPA, 
each stock assessment report should include an estimate of the PBR for 
the stock. However, PBR is not always estimable. Most obviously, we 
lack abundance estimates for some stocks. Less obviously, the equation 
for estimating PBR makes assumptions about the underlying population 
growth model for marine mammals, and for stocks whose population 
dynamics do not appear to conform to these assumptions, the calculated 
PBR is considered unreliable as an estimate of the true potential 
biological removal. The revisions to the guidelines encourage reporting 
PBR for all stocks possible and qualifying in the SAR when the reported 
value is not considered reliable. Departure from this suggestion must 
be discussed fully within any affected report.
    Comment 23: The Commission recommends that NMFS require stock 
assessment authors to set PBR to zero in those cases that are not in 
accord with the commonly assumed PBR framework and involve stocks with 
no tolerance for additional human-related removals.
    Response: The revisions to the guidelines encourage reporting PBR 
for all stocks possible and qualifying in the stock assessment report 
when the reported value is not considered reliable or in cases where a 
stock's dynamics do not conform to the underlying model for calculating 
PBR. At this point, the guidelines are not instructing authors to set 
PBR to zero.
    Comment 24: The Pacific SRG continues to support a decision not to 
report a PBR in the monk seal SAR.
    Response: By ecological theory, i.e., when the assumption of simple 
logistic population growth is reasonable and when a stock's status can 
be attributed to direct anthropogenic impacts, a non-zero estimate of 
PBR is not unreasonable. In the case of Hawaiian monk seal, however, it 
is not apparent that these model assumptions hold. See response to 
Comment 22.
    Comment 25: The Alaska SRG preference would be to have an 
undetermined PBR when assessing endangered stocks. If numerical 
estimates of PBR are to be given in SARs, we recommend that language be 
included clarifying whether negligible impact determinations have been 
made, what they are, and if not, stating that no human-caused takes are 
authorized. We do not agree that this topic is beyond the scope of SARs 
and rather believe that inclusion of such information would help 
readers understand the actual meaning of PBR in this case.
    Response: NMFS disagrees with including negligible impact 
determinations (NIDs) under section 101(a)(5)(E) of the MMPA in the 
SARs. The five criteria (64 FR 28800, May 27, 1999) that NMFS may use 
for making a final determination and issuing 3-year incidental take 
authorizations to Category I and II fisheries are complex and may be 
difficult to relate to the data contained in the SARs, which often 
change on an annual basis. Furthermore, while some NIDs may use 
fisheries bycatch data from the past five years in making an 
assessment, other NID analyses may contain bycatch data from more than 
five years, depending on changes in fisheries, particularly regulatory 
changes such as time/area closures or mandatory bycatch reduction 
methods. In addition, NMFS may use the more recent observer data or 
stranding data, which may not yet be included in the most recent SARs, 
which may also confuse readers. Further, NMFS does not authorize (or 
prohibit) incidental mortalities through the SAR process.

[[Page 10838]]

Comments on Topic 4: Apportioning PBR, Allocating Mortality, and 
Estimating PBR for Transboundary Stocks

    Comment 26: The Commission recommends that NMFS include in their 
stock assessments comparisons of PBR for feeding aggregations, and 
estimate or apportion mortality and serious injury levels for each 
aggregation.
    Response: The workshop participants discussed how feeding ground 
PBRs should be calculated for stocks where there was a desire to 
monitor potential risks to feeding aggregations; however, this was not 
reflected in the recommended revised text for the guidelines nor were 
comments solicited on this issue. NMFS is not including text regarding 
apportioning PBR among feeding aggregations in this revision of the 
guidelines.
    Comment 27: The Commission recommends that NMFS apply the total 
unassigned mortality and serious injury to each affected stock in both 
data-rich and data-poor cases involving taking of mixed stocks that 
cannot be or are not identified in the field. Doing so is the only way 
to be precautionary and also provides the appropriate incentive to 
develop better information about the affected stocks.
    Response: NMFS disagrees and believes that the guidelines are 
sufficiently conservative at this time.
    Comment 28: The Commission recommends that NMFS discourage the use 
of informed interpolation, require strong justification where it is 
used, and require that it be accompanied by reasonable measures of 
uncertainty associated with the interpolation.
    Response: The revised guidelines allow for the use of informed 
interpolation (i.e., model-based abundance estimation) as appropriate 
and supported by existing data. NMFS has added text to the guidelines 
specifying that when informed interpolation is employed, the Report 
should provide justification for its use and associated measure of 
uncertainty. As a point of clarification, informed interpolation is not 
a person making an informed judgement; it is a model that is informed 
by the covariation between habitat or other variables and density that 
is making the ``judgement.''
    Comment 29: We support the recommendation of assigning the total 
unassigned mortalities and serious injuries to each stock within the 
appropriate geographic area.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this comment.
    Comment 30: NMFS should not assign the ``unassigned mortality and 
serious injury'' to each stock within the affected geographic area as 
it would effectively double count these human interactions and affect 
the PBR of multiple stocks. Instead, NMFS should develop methodology 
based on the best available data to assign the serious injury and 
mortality according to the relative abundance of the stocks. When this 
is not possible, serious injury and mortality should remain unassigned 
to avoid arbitrary determinations.
    Response: The revised guidelines direct that in data poor 
situations with mixed stocks, when relative abundances are unknown, the 
total unassigned mortality and serious injuries should be assigned to 
each stock within the appropriate geographic area. NMFS and workshop 
participants recognize that this approach effectively would repeatedly 
``count'' the same deaths and serious injuries against multiple stocks. 
However, this approach is considered to be the most conservative in 
terms of ensuring that the most severe possible impacts were considered 
for each stock. The revised guidelines instruct that when deaths and 
serious injuries are assigned to each overlapping stock in this manner, 
the Reports will contain a discussion of the potential for over-
estimating stock-specific mortality and serious injury.
    Comment 31: NMFS's proposal to identify transboundary or high seas 
stocks with no available population data is contrary to the MMPA.
    Response: NMFS did not propose to identify transboundary or high 
seas stocks with no available population data. Rather, the workshop 
discussions involved estimating range-wide abundance and PBR for 
transboundary stocks, and specifically, addressing the problem of 
managing transboundary marine mammal stocks for which PBR is estimated 
based on abundance from only a portion of each stock's range (for 
example, PBR levels for transboundary stocks being estimated based on 
abundance surveys that occur only within the U.S. EEZ). Although it is 
inappropriate to simply extrapolate abundance estimates to an 
unsurveyed area, the revised guidelines allow for the use of model-
based density estimation to fill gaps in survey coverage and estimate 
abundance and PBR over broader areas as appropriate and supported by 
existing data. In such cases, the Report should provide justification 
for use of interpolation and associated measure of uncertainty.
    Comment 32: NMFS must ensure that it prioritizes collection of data 
necessary to support interpolations when full assessments are not 
possible. In cases where a partial survey is conducted and methods of 
interpolation or modeling are not incorporated, serious injuries and 
mortalities should only be counted if they occur in the portion of the 
stock that was surveyed.
    Response: NMFS agrees surveys should ideally cover the entirety of 
the stock range. When this is not possible, Nmin is defined 
under the MMPA as an estimate of the number of animals in a stock that 
provides reasonable assurance that the stock size is equal to or 
greater than the estimate, so a partial survey can be used to calculate 
Nmin and PBR. All human-caused mortality and serious injury 
needs to be accounted for under the MMPA, so injuries or deaths that 
are known to come from a stock must be apportioned to that stock even 
if the abundance is underestimated. The solution to this mismatch is 
not to ignore human-caused mortality and serious injury (which is 
contrary to the MMPA), but to conduct adequate surveys or develop 
models to obtain complete abundance estimates.
    Comment 33: The apportionment of PBR to foraging grounds between 
surveyed and un-surveyed areas appears to be a significant problem in 
the absence of data and lacks scientific justification. It appears that 
this will be based on untested assumptions regarding stock 
distributions. Assuming uniform distribution will have animals present 
where they may not exist or exist only seasonally.
    Response: NMFS agrees that it is not appropriate to assume uniform 
distribution between surveyed and unsurveyed areas, and as such 
discourages the use of extrapolation. The workshop participants 
discussed this issue, and the background paper on this topic suggested 
that informed modeling exercises may sometimes be appropriate or 
necessary for management decisions and to ensure that stocks remain as 
functioning elements of the ecosystem. Therefore, the revised 
guidelines state, ``abundance or density estimates from one area should 
not be extrapolated to unsurveyed areas to estimate range-wide 
abundance (and PBR). But, informed interpolation (e.g., based on 
habitat associations) may be used to fill gaps in survey coverage and 
estimate abundance and PBR over broader areas as appropriate and 
supported by existing data.''
    Comment 34: Given the known lack of general data and uncertainty of 
existing data, it appears that it will be difficult to accurately use 
separate PBRs for marine mammal populations with multiple feeding 
grounds. To the extent that this is understood, information pertaining 
to separate feeding

[[Page 10839]]

aggregations should be noted in the stock assessment reports, but 
separate PBRs should not be used for stocks with multiple feeding 
grounds. There is a significant risk that ``unassigned mortality and 
serious injury'' could be wrongly assigned and result in erroneous 
estimates to one or more populations. To avoid arbitrary assignments, 
when this is not possible, serious injury and mortality should remain 
unassigned.
    Response: See response to Comment 26.
    Comment 35: The section on apportioning PBR among feeding 
aggregations does not provide clear guidance for cases like eastern 
Pacific gray whales and whether the Pacific Coast Feeding Group is a 
stock or not, a case where there may be mitochondrial differences 
between feeding areas but all animals go to a common breeding area.
    Response: The current Guideline revisions do not address 
apportioning PBR among feeding aggregations. See response to Comment 
26.
    Comment 36: Separate PBRs for stocks with multiple feeding grounds 
should not be used. Separating PBR among feeding stocks is complicated 
and data-intensive, and is unlikely to improve management. NMFS is 
rarely able to adequately determine which portion of the stock was 
involved in a human interaction.
    Response: See response to Comment 26.
    Comment 37: There is concern that failure to estimate a population-
wide PBR in the assessments will lead to the reliance on the proposed 
default of assuming the population is in decline. The agency should 
develop an assessment methodology based on the best available data and 
devise a statistically sound interpolation algorithm to fill in gaps in 
survey coverage and estimate abundance over the range of the 
population. If this is not developed then there is a very strong 
possibility that assessment scientists will discount or not utilize 
historical estimates derived from multiple surveys spanning multiple 
geographic regions in one year, and/or limited surveys the following 
year.
    Response: NMFS recognizes the need to estimate population-wide PBR 
for marine mammal stocks, which is why the revised guidelines allow for 
the use of informed interpolation (i.e., model-based abundance 
estimation) to fill gaps in geographical survey coverage. Where 
interpolation is employed, the Reports should include a statement about 
the level of uncertainty surrounding the estimates.
    Comment 38: Priority for research should be given to stocks for 
which serious injury and mortality exceeds PBR and for which additional 
management action is required under take reduction plans. In cases 
where this is not possible, NMFS must consider the availability of data 
for interpolation or informed modeling exercises to obtain abundance 
estimates for the full range of the stock. This strategy requires 
careful coordination with Canada for transboundary stocks. If timely 
and robust data are not available, NMFS should not make stock 
assessment determinations.
    Response: Staffs from NMFS Science Centers, Regional Offices, and 
Headquarters Offices communicate regularly to discuss science needed to 
support management and to help prioritize research efforts. This 
includes discussion of stocks for which human-caused mortality and 
serious injury exceed PBR and take reduction planning needs. The 
revised guidelines allow for the use of informed interpolation (e.g., 
based on habitat associations) to fill gaps in survey coverage and 
estimate abundance and PBR, as appropriate and when supported by 
existing data.

Comments on Topic 5: Reporting of Mortality and Serious Injury

    Comment 39: The Commission recommends that NMFS require a summary 
of all human-caused mortality and serious injury in each stock 
assessment report. Efforts to meet that requirement will almost 
certainly vary, perhaps markedly. With that in mind, the Commission 
encourages NMFS to re-examine those report sections after one to two 
years to identify the most effective reporting strategies that could 
then be used to develop a consistent and informative reporting 
approach.
    Response: Section 117 of the MMPA requires that all sources of 
human-caused mortality and serious injury be included in stock 
assessments. NMFS makes every effort to include these sources of 
anthropogenic mortality and serious injury in each stock assessment, 
whether the mortality or serious injury is systematically recorded by 
fishery observer programs or through opportunistic records, such as 
strandings, where the cause of death or serious injury can be linked to 
human-related causes. NMFS understands that clearly presenting these 
mortality and serious injury data in the SARs is an important part of 
allowing the public to interpret the status of marine mammal stocks. 
Every effort will be made to continue to improve the way in which 
mortality and serious injury are reported in the SARs.
    Comment 40: The Alaska SRG believes that extensive tabling of 
interactions between marine mammals and commercial fisheries should be 
confined to an Appendix, with only a summary table that includes 
mortality in the various Federal groundfish fisheries, state water 
fisheries, and international transboundary fisheries included in the 
body of the assessment. The strategy of summarizing fishery 
interactions should lead to a single clearly-documented estimate of 
mortality and associated variance for all fisheries combined with easy 
access to details available preferably in an online appendix.
    Response: NMFS makes every effort to present fishery interaction 
data simply in the body of each SAR, whether in the text, tabular form, 
or both. The agency feels that it is valuable to have all interaction 
data appear within the SAR itself (although some regions also currently 
include a separate Appendix describing those fisheries that interact 
with marine mammals). NMFS also produces stand-alone injury 
determination and bycatch papers by region, which has reduced the 
amount of information that needs to go into the SARs, as they are 
incorporated by reference. The agency will continue to improve the 
clarity of how interaction data are presented within the SARs.
    Comment 41: The SARs tend to lag approximately two years behind in 
incorporating available observer bycatch data. For some fisheries that 
have 100-percent observer coverage such as the Hawaii-based swordfish 
fishery, such bycatch data are available in near real-time. Review of 
new data should be conducted promptly given that PBR, the zero 
mortality rate goal, and strategic status for stocks are all based on 
the most recent SAR.
    Response: Bycatch data for most fisheries are not available in 
real-time and every effort is made to produce and incorporate new 
bycatch estimates from observer data in a timely manner into the draft 
SARs. SARs are typically drafted in the autumn of each year, with 
previous calendar year observer data representing the most up-to-date 
full-year information. For example, draft 2016 SARs will be prepared in 
the autumn of 2015 for review by regional Scientific Review Groups in 
early 2016. These draft 2016 reports will utilize bycatch data from 
calendar year 2014 if available, thus the 2-year time lag between the 
year the reports are published and the year of the most recent bycatch 
data.

[[Page 10840]]

Comments on Topic 6: Determining When Stock Declines Warrant a 
Strategic Designation

    Comment 42: In an apparent attempt to interpret the MMPA definition 
of strategic stock, the proposed guidelines suggest that a ``strategic 
stock'' is a stock that ``is declining and has a greater than 50 
percent probability of a continuing decline of at least five percent 
per year.'' However, in reality, a stock that ``has a greater than 50 
percent probability of a continuing decline of at least five percent 
per year'' would not necessarily qualify as ``threatened'' in all 
cases. Rather, the determination of ``threatened'' status under the ESA 
requires a species-specific analysis of specific factors that are 
expressly set forth in the ESA. While NMFS may have the discretion to 
develop a general guideline for determining ``strategic'' status, NMFS 
may not mechanically apply the ``strategic stock'' definition set forth 
in the proposed guidelines.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this comment and has not made this 
revision to the guidelines. See Response to Comment 43.
    Comment 43: The Commission recommends that NMFS consider any marine 
mammal stock that has declined by 40 percent or more to be strategic. 
Additionally, the Commission and the Humane Society of the United 
States recommend that stocks declining with more than 50 percent 
probability of continuing decline (by at least five percent/year) 
should be treated as strategic with the aim of reducing and reversing 
the stock's decline before a depleted designation is required.
    Response: Section 3(19) of the MMPA defines a ``strategic stock,'' 
as one: ``(A) for which the level of direct human-caused mortality 
exceeds the potential biological removal level; (B) which, based on the 
best available scientific information, is declining and is likely to be 
listed as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 
within the foreseeable future; or (C) which is listed as a threatened 
species or endangered species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 
(16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.), or is designated as depleted under this 
Act.'' NMFS has not adopted the workshop-recommended revisions 
regarding a quantitative interpretation of strategic status per section 
3(19)(B) but will continue to analyze how to interpret ``likely to be 
listed as a threatened species under the (ESA) within the foreseeable 
future.'' However, NMFS has finalized the revision regarding declines 
in abundance: ``Stocks that have evidence suggesting at least a 50 
percent decline, either based on previous abundance estimates or 
historical abundance estimated by back-calculation, should be noted in 
the Status of Stocks section as likely to be below OSP. The choice of 
50 percent does not mean that OSP is at 50 percent of historical 
numbers, but rather that a population below this level would be below 
OSP with high probability.''
    Comment 44: The Alaska SRG supports the quantitative 
recommendations for determining when non-ESA listed stocks should be 
considered as ``strategic.'' We also find the rationale for using 15 
years as ``the foreseeable future'' a reasonable default because it is 
based on a five percent decrease over a 15-year period resulting in a 
50 percent decline.
    Response: At this time, NMFS is not adopting the recommended 
changes related to strategic status of stocks that are declining and 
likely to be listed as a threatened species under the ESA within the 
foreseeable future.
    Comment 45: The Alaska SRG agrees with the working group's 
recommendation that a Recovery Factor scaled from 0.1 to 0.5 be 
associated with stocks that are declining and likely to be listed as a 
threatened species under the ESA within the foreseeable future. In some 
cases where a decline is steep and ongoing or where the uncertainty 
about the population or causes of the decline are high a lower recovery 
factor could be warranted. We also recommend that there be a more 
formal process for NMFS to regularly review non-ESA listed stocks of 
concern to determine their status.
    Response: As we are not finalizing the recommended changes 
regarding strategic stock designation (sec. 3(19)(B) of the MMPA), 
above, we have decided not to revise the guidelines regarding recovery 
factors under such situations at this time. Each time a SAR is 
reviewed, the status of the stock is evaluated.
    Comment 46: While the revisions in the guidelines are a step toward 
developing criteria for a strategic designation, and using the 
threatened species recovery factors seems prudent, this revision falls 
short of setting timeframes to evaluate whether a stock should be 
reclassified.
    Response: It is unclear whether the commenter is referencing 
evaluation timeframes under the MMPA (sec. 117(c)(1)) or the ESA 
(relative to the interpretation of sec. 3(19)(B) of the MMPA). Stock 
assessments are reviewed by NMFS every three years for non-strategic 
stocks or every year for strategic stocks. This sets the timeframe for 
evaluating whether a stock's status should be revised. See response to 
Comment 45 regarding MMPA sec. 3(19)(B).
    Comment 47: The Pacific SRG supports the revision of when stock 
declines merit a strategic designation but suggests wording changes 
that give NMFS more flexibility surrounding the obligation to determine 
when a stock is depleted prior to classifying it as strategic. The SRG 
recommends that the NMFS regularly review whether a ``depleted'' status 
is warranted for (1) unlisted stocks of marine mammals that are 
declining and (2) stocks listed as depleted that are recovering.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this comment, and agrees that the 
depleted status of marine mammal stocks should be reviewed periodically 
to ensure that designations are appropriate. We are currently 
evaluating information contained within a review of the SARs conducted 
by the Commission and will, as a part of this evaluation, consider 
whether there is more that NMFS should to do enhance consistency and 
accuracy with regard to depleted status of marine mammal stocks on a 
more regular basis.
    Comment 48: Given the challenges facing NMFS to collect timely data 
covering the full range of stocks already designated as strategic, NMFS 
should not adopt new guidelines to take on the responsibility of 
delineating strategic stocks that are not designated under the ESA. 
There is already an acceptable federal process under the ESA to 
designate strategic stocks.
    Response: The ESA does not designate stocks as strategic or non-
strategic. Rather, the MMPA directs stocks be considered strategic if 
ESA-listed (i.e., threatened or endangered), depleted, or human-caused 
mortality exceeds PBR. Additionally section 3(19)(B) allows for 
strategic designations of a stock that is declining and is likely to be 
listed as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 
within the foreseeable future. At this time, we are not finalizing the 
recommended changes regarding strategic stock designation (sec. 
3(19)(B) of the MMPA).

Comments on Topic 7: Assessing Stocks Without Abundance Estimates or 
PBR

    Comment 49: The Alaska SRG supports the suggested guideline 
modifications relating to the use of trend monitoring. However, small 
changes to the guidelines will do very little to improve the situation. 
More substantive changes and new approaches are needed and have been 
described.
    Response: NMFS agrees that it would be valuable to identify 
alternative

[[Page 10841]]

approaches for assessing stock status, apart from reliance on abundance 
survey data, in regions where regular surveys are cost-prohibitive. As 
noted in the guidelines, such approaches could include trend monitoring 
at index sites. However, developing guidelines for alternative 
assessment methods was not a focus of the GAMMS III workshop. NMFS will 
make efforts to consider how alternative sets of information could be 
used to aid its marine mammal stock assessments. See responses to 
Comment 3 and Comment 4.
    Comment 50: Based on the statutory mandate to use the PBR formula, 
NMFS should prioritize gathering data for any stocks with insufficient 
information to calculate levels of abundance, trends, or mortality. 
NMFS should not consider approaches other than those that are mandated 
and should provide admonition that stocks should not automatically be 
determined to be non-strategic in the absence of information. Absence 
of data on the degree of impact to stocks is not the same as data on 
the absence of impacts to stocks.
    Response: NMFS does prioritize its data collection based upon what 
it perceives to be the most critical information gaps. NMFS does not 
make the default assumption that a stock is strategic or non-strategic 
until demonstrated otherwise. See response to Comment 20.
    Comment 51: If a significant data shortage makes it difficult to 
identify unit stocks, then NMFS should make it a high priority to 
remedy this uncertainty that seems crucial to determine ``population 
status.'' What has NMFS done to improve ``best available science'' on 
marine mammal abundance and stock structure?
    Response: NMFS agrees that it is a high priority to improve the 
identification of unit stocks. Consistent with this, the GAMMS III 
workshop participants recommended a national workshop be held to review 
and summarize information that is relevant to population structure. 
NMFS convened such a workshop and has begun developing an internal 
procedure for identifying and prioritizing stocks in need of 
examination for potential revisions that would complement and be 
integrated into the stock delineation workshop outputs and the existing 
SAR process.
    Comment 52: Given that the MMPA provides significant latitude in 
data sources for affected species and to the extent that ``anecdotal 
information'' and ``unpublished information'' are used, ``trend 
monitoring'' information from the fishermen who are out there every day 
should be used in stock assessments.
    Response: Various sources of information could be used to estimate 
trends as long as the information is credible and compatible with 
existing statistical or modeling frameworks.

Comments on Topic 8: Characterizing Uncertainty

    Comment 53: The Commission recommends that NMFS include all 
relevant sources or measures of uncertainty in stock assessment 
documents. Such indicators of uncertainty are essential for readers to 
form reliable conclusions regarding the status of the affected stocks 
and the factors affecting them.
    Response: NMFS agrees that information on key sources of 
uncertainty should be made explicit in the Reports, and this has been 
added to the revised guidelines.
    Comment 54: The Pacific SRG has strived over the years to make the 
SARs models of conciseness, and the proposed guidelines could reverse 
these efforts. SARs should be summaries of significant results and 
conclusions and not lengthy discussions including detailed descriptions 
of methods and repetitive caveats. The recommendation to include 
statements regarding uncertainty about parameters affecting PBR has 
been made by the Pacific SRG previously, which envisioned a brief 
separate ``Uncertainties'' section summarizing significant sources of 
uncertainty in the stock assessment. Lengthy discussions of uncertainty 
embedded in each SAR section reduce clarity and readability. Additions 
such as points of contact could be placed in an appendix to each set of 
SARs, but not be placed in each individual SAR.
    Response: NMFS agrees that discussions of uncertainty should be 
added in a way that will not detract from the clarity and readability 
of the stock assessment reports and will not add appreciably to the 
length of those reports. The workshop participants' recommended 
addition of providing a point of contact has not been incorporated.
    Comment 55: The Alaska SRG supports changes to guidelines that 
would help ensure that SARs provide adequate evaluations of 
uncertainty. We recommend a `report card' format as suggested by 
workshop attendees that will likely be more user-friendly and promote 
consistency between regional SARs. Additionally, this format would be 
more concise than the text additions recommended in the GAMMS III 
proposed guidelines. This report card could include the proportion of 
fisheries monitored within the last five years that might be 
interacting with strategic stocks.
    Response: NMFS agrees that quantitative criteria should be used to 
evaluate the uncertainty in marine mammal stock assessment reports and 
that a ``report card'' may be a good format for presenting this 
information. The quantitative criteria and format for this has not yet 
been finalized and is not specified in the revised guidelines. The 
workshop participants also saw merit to the report card, but there was 
general agreement that such information would be better conveyed as a 
periodic publication, such as in a NOAA Technical Memorandum, which 
could be considered by the SRGs.
    Comment 56: The Alaska SRG supports including a characterization of 
uncertainty in the Status of Stocks section, and recommends that it be 
described as ``reliable,'' ``moderately reliable,'' or ``unreliable'' 
as a clear way to characterize the overall utility of the status 
determination. We also support the suggestion that an overall 
assessment of the quality of SARs be conducted periodically and 
reported as Tech Memos, but not as a substitute for the ``report 
cards'' in the individual SARs.
    Response: Uncertainty comes in many gradations, and the method of 
determining PBR for human-caused mortality and serious injury was 
specifically designed to be effective at achieving management 
objectives in the face of many sources and levels of uncertainty. 
Furthermore, the revised guidelines recommend that the most prevalent 
sources of uncertainty in determining stock status and PBR levels be 
identified so that future research can be better directed at reducing 
these sources of uncertainty.

Comments on Topic 9: Expanding SARs To Include Non-Serious Injury and 
Disturbance

    Comment 57: The Commission recommends that NMFS require sections in 
stock assessment reports that identify and characterize non-lethal 
factors that may affect population status.
    Response: Section 117(a)(3) requires NMFS, in consultation with the 
appropriate regional scientific review group, to include other factors 
that might be causing a decline or impeding recovery of a strategic 
stock, including effects on marine mammal habitat and prey. While 
inclusion of non-lethal factors may be a useful qualitative approach, 
such factors cannot be compared to PBR to assess population status. 
Furthermore, other environmental documents such as

[[Page 10842]]

environmental assessments or impact statements required under the 
National Environmental Policy Act would contain that information, where 
known. Consistent with SRG recommendations, NMFS is trying to keep the 
SARs concise.
    Comment 58: NMFS should revise the guidelines to delete any 
suggestion that a mere ``disturbance'' or ``non-serious injury'' is 
sufficient to be included in SARs. SARs should only include events--in 
particular commercial fishing events--which cause mortality or serious 
injury, or which can be shown to cause the decline or impede the 
recovery of a strategic stock. This has been NMFS' position in the 
past, it is correct, and it should not be changed.
    Response: The MMPA requires SARs to include an estimate of all 
sources of human-caused mortality and serious injury, not just an 
estimate of commercial fisheries mortality. See response to Comment 57.
    Comment 59: The Alaska SRG agrees that SARs should include the 
annual levels of mortality and serious injury reported through take 
authorizations and research permits in the ``Other Mortality'' section.
    Response: NMFS acknowledges this and is finalizing this text within 
the revised guidelines under the Annual Human-caused Mortality and 
Serious Injury section.
    Comment 60: The MMPA allows for SAR comments on non-lethal factors 
affecting recovery for strategic stocks, and it seems reasonable that 
SARs for non-strategic stocks should also evaluate such factors. 
However, because there is a high degree of uncertainty regarding 
population-level effects of non-lethal injury and disturbance, it is 
inappropriate to include estimates of those takes in the SARs unless 
there is evidence they are affecting stock recovery. Disturbance and 
non-serious injury do not constitute ``Potential Biological Removal.'' 
While it may be useful for NMFS permit users or others to compare their 
potential for disturbance/injury to a stock's PBR, this falls outside 
the intent of the MMPA-mandated PBR process for managing interactions 
with commercial fisheries.
    Response: The revised GAMMS specify that SARs contain information 
on other factors that may be causing a decline or impeding recovery 
strategic stocks, which we have interpreted as including non-lethal 
effects. As discussed in response to Comment 9, we would report on all 
activities found to be having a detrimental effect on a stock or its 
habitat. Within the SARs, PBR is only compared to takes that are 
determined to be serious injuries or mortalities.
    Comment 61: The guidelines should require a ``Habitat Concerns'' 
section in all new stock assessments. If there are no known habitat 
issues, this should be stated.
    Response: The previous (2005) guidelines direct that if substantial 
issues regarding the habitat of the stock are important, a separate 
section titled ``Habitat Issues'' should be used. Specifically, ``If 
data exist that indicate a problem, they should be summarized and 
included in the Report. If there are no known habitat issues or other 
factors causing a decline or impeding recovery, this should be stated 
in the Status of the Stock section.'' This section of the guidelines 
was not changed in this revision.

    Dated: February 26, 2016.
Perry F. Gayaldo,
Deputy Director, Office of Protected Resources, National Marine 
Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2016-04537 Filed 3-1-16; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 3510-22-P



                                                  10830                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  email: maureen.hinman@trade.gov.)                       guidelines for preparing stock                        and comment along with revised stock
                                                  This meeting is physically accessible to                assessment reports (SARs) pursuant to                 assessment reports on January 21, 1997
                                                  people with disabilities. Requests for                  section 117 of the Marine Mammal                      (62 FR 3005) and later finalized.
                                                  sign language interpretation or other                   Protection Act (MMPA). The revised                       In September 2003, NMFS again
                                                  auxiliary aids should be directed to                    guidelines are now complete and                       convened a workshop (referred to as
                                                  OEEI at (202) 482–5225 no less than one                 available to the public.                              GAMMS II) to review the guidelines and
                                                  week prior to the meeting.                              ADDRESSES: Electronic copies of the                   again recommend minor changes to
                                                  SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The                          guidelines are available on the Internet              them. Participants at the workshop
                                                  meeting will take place from 8:30 a.m.                  at the following address: http://                     included representatives of NMFS,
                                                  to 3:30 p.m. EDT. The general meeting                   www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/                            FWS, the Commission, and the regional
                                                  is open to the public and time will be                  guidelines.htm.
                                                                                                                                                                SRGs. Changes to the guidelines
                                                  permitted for public comment from                       FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                      resulting from the 2003 workshop were
                                                  3:00–3:30 p.m. EDT. Those interested in                 Shannon Bettridge, Office of Protected                directed primarily toward identifying
                                                  attending must provide notification by                  Resources, 301–427–8402,                              population stocks and estimating
                                                  Tuesday, March 15, 2016 at 5:00 p.m.                    Shannon.Bettridge@noaa.gov.                           Potential Biological Removal (PBR) for
                                                  EDT, via the contact information                        SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                            declining stocks of marine mammals.
                                                  provided above. Written comments
                                                  concerning ETTAC affairs are welcome                    Background                                            The revised guidelines were made
                                                  any time before or after the meeting.                                                                         available for public review and
                                                                                                             Section 117 of the Marine Mammal
                                                  Minutes will be available within 30                                                                           comment on November 18, 2004 (69 FR
                                                                                                          Protection Act (MMPA) (16 U.S.C. 1361
                                                  days of this meeting.                                                                                         67541) and finalized on June 20, 2005
                                                                                                          et seq.) requires NMFS and the U.S. Fish
                                                     Topics to be considered: The agenda                                                                        (70 FR 35397, NMFS 2005).
                                                                                                          and Wildlife Service (FWS) to prepare
                                                  for this meeting will include discussion                stock assessments for each stock of                      In February 2011, NMFS convened
                                                  of priorities and objectives for the                    marine mammals occurring in waters                    another workshop (referred to as
                                                  committee, trade promotion programs                     under the jurisdiction of the United                  GAMMS III) to review the guidelines
                                                  within the International Trade                          States. These reports must contain                    and again recommend changes to them.
                                                  Administration, and subcommittee                        information regarding the distribution                Participants at the workshop included
                                                  working meetings.                                       and abundance of the stock, population                representatives from NMFS, FWS, the
                                                     Background: The ETTAC is mandated                    growth rates and trends, estimates of                 Commission, and the three regional
                                                  by Public Law 103–392. It was created                   annual human-caused mortality and                     SRGs. The objectives of the GAMMS III
                                                  to advise the U.S. government on                        serious injury from all sources,                      workshop were to (1) consider methods
                                                  environmental trade policies and                        descriptions of the fisheries with which              for assessing stock status (i.e., how to
                                                  programs, and to help it to focus its                   the stock interacts, and the status of the            apply the PBR framework) when
                                                  resources on increasing the exports of                  stock. Initial stock assessment reports               abundance data are outdated,
                                                  the U.S. environmental industry.                        (SARs, or Reports) were first completed               nonexistent, or only partially available;
                                                  ETTAC operates as an advisory                           in 1995.                                              (2) develop policies on stock
                                                  committee to the Secretary of Commerce                     NMFS convened a workshop in June                   identification and application of the
                                                  and the Trade Promotion Coordinating                    1994, including representatives from                  PBR framework to small stocks,
                                                  Committee (TPCC). ETTAC was                             NMFS, FWS, and the Marine Mammal                      transboundary stocks, and situations
                                                  originally chartered in May of 1994. It                 Commission (Commission), to develop                   where stocks mix; and (3) develop
                                                  was most recently re-chartered until                    draft guidelines for preparing SARs. The              consistent national approaches to a
                                                  August 2016.                                            report of this workshop (Barlow et al.,               variety of other issues, including
                                                    Dated: February 25, 2016.                             1995) included the guidelines for                     reporting mortality and serious injury
                                                  Man Cho,                                                preparing SARs and a summary of the                   information in assessments. Nine
                                                                                                          discussions upon which the guidelines
                                                  Acting Office Director, Office of Energy and                                                                  specific topics were discussed at the
                                                  Environmental Industries.                               were based. The draft guidelines were
                                                                                                                                                                workshop. The deliberations of these
                                                                                                          made available, along with the initial
                                                  [FR Doc. 2016–04607 Filed 3–1–16; 8:45 am]                                                                    nine topics resulted in a series of
                                                                                                          draft SARs, for public review and
                                                  BILLING CODE 3510–DR–P                                                                                        recommended modifications to the
                                                                                                          comment (59 FR 40527, August 9, 1994),
                                                                                                                                                                current guidelines (NMFS, 2005). The
                                                                                                          and were finalized August 25, 1995 (60
                                                                                                          FR 44308).                                            main body of the GAMMS III workshop
                                                  DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE                                                                                        report includes summaries of the
                                                                                                             In 1996, NMFS convened a second
                                                                                                          workshop (referred to as the Guidelines               presentations and discussions for each
                                                  National Oceanic and Atmospheric
                                                                                                          for Assessing Marine Mammal Stocks,                   of the nine agenda topics, as well as
                                                  Administration
                                                                                                          or ‘‘GAMMS,’’ workshop) to review the                 recommended revisions to individual
                                                  RIN 0648–XA937                                          guidelines and to recommend changes                   sections of the guidelines (Moore and
                                                                                                          to them, if appropriate. Workshop                     Merrick, 2011). Appendices to the
                                                  Guidelines for Assessing Marine                                                                               workshop report provide a variety of
                                                                                                          participants included representatives
                                                  Mammal Stocks                                                                                                 supporting documents, including the
                                                                                                          from NMFS, FWS, the Commission, and
                                                  AGENCY:  National Marine Fisheries                      the three regional scientific review                  full proposed revision of the guidelines
                                                                                                                                                                (Appendix IV). On January 24, 2012 (77
mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES




                                                  Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and                    groups (SRGs). The report of that
                                                  Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),                      workshop (Wade and Angliss, 1997)                     FR 3450), NMFS made the GAMMS III
                                                  Commerce.                                               summarized the discussion at the                      workshop report available for public
                                                  ACTION: Notice of availability; response                workshop and contained revised                        review, and requested comment on the
                                                  to comments.                                            guidelines. The revised guidelines                    proposed revisions in Appendix IV. The
                                                                                                          represented minor changes from the                    report is available at http://
                                                  SUMMARY:  NMFS has incorporated                         initial version. The revised guidelines               www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/
                                                  public comments into revisions of the                   were made available for public review                 gamms3_nmfsopr47.pdf.


                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   19:10 Mar 01, 2016   Jkt 238001   PO 00000   Frm 00004   Fmt 4703   Sfmt 4703   E:\FR\FM\02MRN1.SGM   02MRN1


                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices                                           10831

                                                  Revisions to the Guidelines for                         were written. The proposed guidelines                 complete absence of any information on
                                                  Preparing Stock Assessment Reports                      directed that each Report state in the                sources of mortality, and without
                                                     The paragraphs below describe the                    ‘‘Stock Definition and Geographic                     guidance from the Scientific Review
                                                  proposed guideline revisions that were                  Range’’ section whether it is plausible               Groups, the precautionary principle
                                                  recommended by the GAMMS III                            the stock contains multiple                           should be followed and the default
                                                  workshop participants, as well as a                     demographically independent                           stock status should be strategic until
                                                  summary of how NMFS has or has not                      populations that should be separate                   information is available to demonstrate
                                                  incorporated those proposed revisions                   stocks, along with a brief rationale. If              otherwise.’’ NMFS has incorporated this
                                                  into the final revised guidelines. They                 additional structure is plausible and                 revision into the guidelines, as NMFS
                                                                                                          human-caused mortality or serious                     does not consider the original text to be
                                                  are organized by topic, as outlined in
                                                                                                          injury is concentrated within a portion               consistent with the MMPA’s definition
                                                  Appendix IV of the GAMMS III
                                                                                                          of the range of the stock, the Reports                of ‘‘strategic.’’
                                                  workshop report.                                                                                                 Topic 3b: Assessment of small
                                                     Topic 1: PBR calculations with                       should identify the portion of the range
                                                                                                          in which the mortality or serious injury              endangered stocks. Some endangered
                                                  outdated abundance estimates. For an
                                                                                                          occurs. These revisions to the guidelines             species, like Hawaiian monk seals, are
                                                  increasing number of marine mammal
                                                                                                          have been made.                                       declining with little to no direct human-
                                                  stocks, the most recent abundance                          The GAMMS III workshop also                        caused mortality, and the stock’s
                                                  estimates are more than 8 years old.                    addressed the terms ‘‘demographic                     dynamics therefore do not conform to
                                                  Under existing guidelines (NMFS,                        isolation’’ and ‘‘reproductive isolation.’’           the underlying model for calculating
                                                  2005), these are considered to be                       Workshop participants agreed that the                 PBR. Thus, PBR estimates for some
                                                  outdated and thus not used to calculate                 intended meaning of these terms when                  endangered species stocks have not
                                                  PBR. The current practice is to consider                originally included in the guidelines                 been included or have been considered
                                                  the PBR for a stock to be                               was not of complete isolation, which                  ‘‘undetermined’’ in SARs. The proposed
                                                  ‘‘undetermined’’ after supporting survey                implies that there should be no                       guidelines instructed that in such cases,
                                                  information is more than eight years                    interchange between stocks. Therefore,                if feasible, PBR should still be
                                                  old, unless there is compelling evidence                they recommended and the proposed                     calculated and included in the SARs to
                                                  that the stock has not declined during                  guidelines included clarification of                  comply with the MMPA. In situations
                                                  that time.                                              terminology by replacing references to                where a stock’s dynamics do not
                                                     The workshop participants                            ‘‘demographic isolation’’ and                         conform to the underlying model for
                                                  recommended and the proposed                            ‘‘reproductive isolation’’ with                       calculating PBR, a qualifying statement
                                                  guidelines included the following                       ‘‘demographic independence’’ and                      should accompany the PBR estimate in
                                                  revisions to calculate PBRs for stocks                  ‘‘reproductive independence,’’                        the SAR. NMFS has incorporated this
                                                  with old abundance information: (1)                     respectively. These revisions to the                  language into the revised guidelines.
                                                  During years 1–8 after the most recent                  guidelines have been made.                               Topic 4: Apportioning PBR across
                                                  abundance survey, ‘‘uncertainty                            Related to this topic, the workshop                feeding aggregations, allocating
                                                  projections’’ would be used, based on                   participants also recommended that                    mortality for mixed stocks, and
                                                  uniform distribution assumptions, to                    NMFS convene a national workshop to                   estimating PBR for transboundary
                                                  serially reduce the minimum abundance                   systematically review the status of stock             stocks.
                                                  estimate (Nmin) by a small increment                    identification efforts and to identify and               Feeding aggregations: Given the
                                                  each year; (2) after eight years, and                   prioritize the information needed to                  definition that a population stock
                                                  assuming no new abundance estimate                      improve stock identification. NMFS                    consists of individuals in common
                                                  has become available, a worst-case                      convened such a workshop in August                    spatial arrangements that interbreed
                                                  scenario would be assumed (i.e., a                      2014 (Martien et al., 2015). See response             when mature, population stocks of
                                                  plausible 10-percent decline per year                   to Comment 10.                                        species that have discrete feeding and
                                                  since the most recent survey), and so a                    Topic 3a: Assessment of very small                 breeding grounds (e.g., humpback
                                                  retroactive 10-percent decline per year                 stocks. The PBR estimate for some                     whales) have generally been defined
                                                  would be applied; and (3) if data to                    stocks may be very small (just a few                  based on breeding ground stocks.
                                                  estimate a population trend model are                   animals or even less than one). In such               However, given the strong maternal
                                                  available, such a model could have been                 cases, low levels of observer coverage                fidelity to feeding grounds, migratory
                                                  used to influence the uncertainty                       may introduce substantial small-sample                species such as humpback whales can
                                                  projections during the first eight years.               bias in bycatch estimates. The proposed               have feeding aggregations that are
                                                     NMFS received a number of                            guideline revisions included a table in               demographically independent with
                                                  comments expressing strenuous                           the Technical Details section that                    limited movement of individuals
                                                  objection to/concern with the proposed                  provides guidance on the amount of                    between feeding aggregations. Such
                                                  framework for stocks with outdated                      sampling effort (observer coverage and/               feeding aggregations can consist of a
                                                  abundance estimates, which has led us                   or number of years of data pooling)                   portion of one breeding population, or
                                                  to reevaluate the topic. As such, NMFS                  required to limit small-sample bias,                  of portions of multiple breeding
                                                  is not finalizing these recommended                     given a certain PBR level. If suggested               populations, and can represent a single
                                                  changes related to Topic 1 at this time.                sampling goals (per the table) cannot be              demographically-independent unit, or a
                                                  Rather, we will be further analyzing this               met, the proposed guidelines instructed               mix of two or more demographically-
                                                  issue, and should we contemplate                        that mortality should be estimated and                independent units. Although this
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                                                  changes to the guidelines regarding this                reported, but the estimates should be                 approach of identifying stocks based on
                                                  topic, NMFS will propose them and                       qualified in the SARs by stating they                 feeding aggregations seemed feasible,
                                                  solicit public comment in a separate                    could be biased. NMFS has incorporated                workshop participants felt this approach
                                                  action.                                                 this language into the revised                        added significant complexity without
                                                     Topic 2: Improving stock                             guidelines.                                           providing substantial management
                                                  identification. For most marine mammal                     The proposed guidelines suggested                  advantages. The workshop participants
                                                  species, few stock definition changes                   removing the following sentence from                  did not recommend any such changes to
                                                  have been made since the initial SARs                   the Status of Stocks section: ‘‘In the                the guidelines at this point. None were


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                                                  10832                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  included in the proposed guidelines nor                 include a summary of all human-caused                 foreseeable future. Stocks that have been
                                                  have any been made in the final                         mortality and serious injury including                designated as strategic due to a
                                                  revisions.                                              information on all sources of mortality               population decline may be designated
                                                    Allocating mortality for mixed stocks:                and serious injury. Additionally, a                   as non-strategic if the decline is stopped
                                                  In some cases, mortality and serious                    summary of mortality and serious injury               and the stock is not otherwise strategic.’’
                                                  injury occur in areas where more than                   incidental to U.S. commercial fisheries               NMFS received comments expressing
                                                  one stock of marine mammals occurs.                     should be presented in a table, while                 concern with the proposed
                                                  The proposed guidelines specify that                    mortality and serious injury from other               interpretation of ‘‘likely to be listed as
                                                  when biological information is                          sources (e.g., recreational fisheries,                a threatened species under the ESA
                                                  sufficient to identify the stock from                   other sources of human-caused                         within the foreseeable future’’ (sec.
                                                  which a dead or seriously injured                       mortality and serious injury within the               3(19)(B) of the MMPA). NMFS is not
                                                  animal came, the mortality or serious                   U.S. EEZ, foreign fisheries on the high               finalizing the proposed changes related
                                                  injury should be associated only with                   seas) should be clearly distinguished                 to this topic at this time. Rather, we will
                                                  that stock. When one or more deaths or                  from U.S. commercial fishery-related                  further analyze this issue. Should we
                                                  serious injuries cannot be assigned                     mortality. Finally, the proposed                      contemplate changes to the guidelines
                                                  directly to a stock, then those deaths or               guidelines contained the addition of a                regarding this topic, NMFS will propose
                                                  serious injuries may be partitioned                     subsection summarizing the most                       them and solicit public comment in a
                                                  among stocks within the appropriate                     prevalent potential human-caused                      separate action.
                                                  geographic area, provided there is                      mortality and serious injury threats that                The proposed guidelines included the
                                                  sufficient information to support such                  are unquantified in the SARs, and the                 following direction regarding recovery
                                                  partitioning. In those cases, Reports                   SARs should also indicate if there are                factors for declining stocks: ‘‘A stock
                                                  should discuss the potential for over- or               no known major sources of                             that is strategic because, based on the
                                                  under-estimating stock-specific                         unquantifiable human-caused mortality                 best available scientific information, it
                                                  mortality and serious injury. In cases                  and serious injury. NMFS has                          is declining and is likely to be listed as
                                                  where mortalities and serious injuries                  incorporated this language into the                   a threatened species under the ESA
                                                  cannot be assigned directly to a stock                  revised guidelines.                                   within the foreseeable future (sec.
                                                  and available information is not                           Topic 6: When stock declines are                   3(19)(B) of the MMPA) should use a
                                                  sufficient to support partitioning those                sufficient for a strategic designation.               recovery factor between 0.1 and 0.5.’’ As
                                                  deaths and serious injuries among                       The proposed guidelines included the                  we are not finalizing the recommended
                                                  stocks, the proposed guidelines instruct                following: ‘‘Stocks that have evidence                changes regarding strategic stock
                                                  that the total unassigned mortality and                 suggesting at least a 50 percent decline,             designation (sec. 3(19)(B) of the MMPA),
                                                  serious injuries should be assigned to                  either based on previous abundance                    above, we have decided not to revise the
                                                  each stock within the appropriate                       estimates or historical abundance                     guidelines regarding recovery factors
                                                  geographic area. When deaths and                        estimated by back-calculation, should                 under such situations at this time.
                                                  serious injuries are assigned to each                   be noted in the Status of Stocks section              Should changes to the guidelines
                                                  overlapping stock in this manner, the                   as likely to be below OSP. The choice                 regarding the above be contemplated,
                                                  Reports should discuss the potential for                of 50 percent does not mean that OSP                  NMFS will include the recommended
                                                  over-estimating stock-specific mortality                is at 50 percent of historical numbers,               recovery factors when we solicit public
                                                  and serious injury. NMFS has                            but rather that a population below this               comment on that action. Therefore,
                                                  incorporated this language into the                     level would be below OSP with high                    NMFS is not finalizing the
                                                  revised guidelines.                                     probability. Similarly, a stock that has              recommended change related to this
                                                    Transboundary stocks: The proposed                    increased back to levels pre-dating the               paragraph at this time.
                                                  guidelines strengthen the language                      known decline may be within OSP;                         Topic 7: Assessing stocks without
                                                  regarding transboundary stocks,                         however, additional analyses may                      abundance estimates or PBR. For many
                                                  cautioning against extrapolating                        determine a population is within OSP                  stocks, data are so sparse that it is not
                                                  abundance estimates from one surveyed                   prior to reaching historical levels.’’                possible to produce an Nmin and not
                                                  area to another unsurveyed area to                      NMFS has incorporated this language                   possible to estimate PBR. When
                                                  estimate range-wide PBR. They state                     into the revised guidelines.                          mortality and/or population abundance
                                                  that informed interpolation (e.g., based                   Additionally, the workshop                         estimates are unavailable, the PBR
                                                  on habitat associations) may be used, as                participants recommended and the                      approach cannot be used to assess
                                                  appropriate and supported by existing                   proposed guidelines included the                      populations, in spite of a statutory
                                                  data, to fill gaps in survey coverage and               following interpretation of the                       mandate to do so. The proposed
                                                  estimate abundance and PBR over                         definition of a strategic stock: ‘‘A stock            guidelines included the following
                                                  broader areas. If estimates of mortality                shall be designated as strategic if it is             addition to the Status of Stocks section:
                                                  or abundance from outside the U.S. EEZ                  declining and has a greater than 50                   ‘‘Likewise, trend monitoring can help
                                                  cannot be determined, PBR calculations                  percent probability of a continuing                   inform the process of determining
                                                  should be based on abundance in the                     decline of at least five percent per year.            strategic status.’’ NMFS has
                                                  EEZ and compared to mortality within                    Such a decline, if not stopped, would                 incorporated this language into the
                                                  the EEZ. NMFS has incorporated this                     result in a 50 percent decline in 15 years            revised guidelines.
                                                  language into the revised guidelines and                and would likely lead to the stock being                 Topic 8: Characterizing uncertainty in
                                                  has provided a footnote defining                        listed as threatened. The estimate of                 key SAR elements. It is difficult to infer
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                                                  informed interpolation.                                 trend should be based on data spanning                the overall uncertainty for key
                                                    Topic 5: Clarifying reporting of                      at least eight years. Alternative                     parameters as they are currently
                                                  mortality and serious injury incidental                 thresholds for decline rates and                      reported in the SARs. The proposed
                                                  to commercial fishing. Currently, SARs                  duration, as well as alternative data                 guidelines direct that the Stock
                                                  do not consistently summarize mortality                 criteria, may also be used if sufficient              Definition and Geographic Range,
                                                  and serious injury incidental to                        rationale is provided to indicate that the            Elements of the PBR Formula,
                                                  commercial fishing. The proposed                        decline is likely to result in the stock              Population Trend, Annual Human-
                                                  guidelines specified that SARs should                   being listed as threatened within the                 Caused Mortality and Serious Injury,


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices                                           10833

                                                  and Status of the Stock sections include                and Alaska Oil and Gas Association),                  population trend information. We will
                                                  a description of key uncertainties                      and one individual.                                   continue to endeavor to provide as
                                                  associated with parameters in these                        NMFS received a number of                          much historical abundance, trend, and
                                                  sections and an evaluation of the effects               comments supporting its efforts to                    human-related removal information (for
                                                  of these uncertainties associated with                  improve stock identification (topic 2).               example, historical whaling data as it
                                                  parameters in these sections. NMFS has                  Many commenters urged NMFS to                         relates to stock recovery and OSP, see
                                                  incorporated this language into the                     prioritize conducting regular surveys for             Eastern North Pacific blue whale report)
                                                  revised guidelines with some minor                      those species with the greatest human-                as possible, but at this time will not
                                                  revisions.                                              caused mortality or oldest survey data.               require a summary table or paragraph in
                                                     Topic 9: Including non-serious                       Many commenters disagreed with                        each SAR.
                                                  injuries and disturbance in SARs.                       NMFS’ proposals to use a precautionary                   Comment 3: NMFS should secure
                                                  Currently, many Reports include                         approach with aging abundance                         adequate support and funding to
                                                  information on human-related mortality                  estimates (topic 1) and apportion PBR                 conduct marine mammal abundance
                                                  and serious injury from all known                       and serious injuries and mortalities                  surveys in the region at least every five
                                                  sources (not just from commercial                       (topic 4). Comments on actions not                    years. Alternative cost-effective
                                                  fisheries) but do not include                           related to the GAMMS (e.g., convening                 approaches to determining Nmin, such as
                                                  information on human-related non-                       a Take Reduction Team or listing a                    trend data from index sites, should be
                                                  serious injury or disturbance. The                      marine mammal species under the                       developed and specified as acceptable
                                                  workshop participants concluded that                    Endangered Species Act (ESA)), or on                  methods in the guidelines.
                                                  the guidelines, with respect to the scope               items not related to portions of the                     Response: NMFS agrees that such a
                                                  of content considered by the SARs,                      guidelines finalized in this action, are              schedule would be ideal, but we do not
                                                  could be retained as they currently                     not included below. Comments and                      currently have the resources to
                                                  stand. However, they encouraged                         responses are organized below                         accomplish this. We continue to
                                                  authors to routinely consider including                 according to the relevant workshop                    develop and implement strategies to
                                                  information in the Reports about what                   topics outlined in Appendix IV of the                 support more efficient use of ship time
                                                  ‘‘other factors’’ may cause a decline or                report.                                               through multi-species ecosystem
                                                  impede recovery of a particular stock. A                                                                      studies, better survey designs and
                                                                                                          Comments on General Issues                            sampling technologies, and leveraging
                                                  final recommended revision to the
                                                  guidelines was the addition of the                         Comment 1: The Commission                          inter- and intra-agency resources. NMFS
                                                  following italicized text: ‘‘The MMPA                   recommended that NMFS continue to                     is also exploring alternative approaches
                                                  requires for strategic stocks a                         encourage more exchange between                       for assessing stock status (e.g., through
                                                  consideration of other factors that may                 regional SRGs to ensure consistency                   use of unmanned systems and acoustic
                                                  be causing a decline or impeding                        where needed and to promote useful                    technologies) apart from reliance on
                                                  recovery of the stock, including effects                and informative exchange among them.                  abundance survey data, in regions
                                                  on marine mammal habitat and prey, or                      Response: NMFS acknowledges this                   where regular surveys are cost-
                                                  other lethal or non-lethal factors.’’                   comment and will continue to                          prohibitive. As noted in the workshop
                                                  However, this italicized text is not                    encourage exchange between SRGs and                   report, such approaches could include
                                                  contained in the MMPA, and therefore,                   strive to ensure consistency among the                trend monitoring at index sites.
                                                  as proposed could be misconstrued as                    groups and among the SARs. To that                    Developing guidelines for alternative
                                                  being required by the MMPA. Therefore,                  end, we are convening a joint meeting                 assessment methods was not a focus of
                                                  the revision to the guidelines has been                 of the three SRGs in February 2016, in                the GAMMS III workshop, and so this
                                                  reworded for clarity.                                   addition to individual SRG meetings.                  does not appear in the revisions
                                                                                                             Comment 2: The Commission                          finalized here. However, NMFS will
                                                  Comments and Responses                                  recommended that NMFS consider                        make efforts to consider how alternative
                                                     NMFS solicited public comments on                    requiring a brief summary paragraph or                sets of information could be used to aid
                                                  the proposed revisions to the guidelines                table on the historical trend of each                 its marine mammal stock assessments.
                                                  (January 24, 2012, 77 FR 3450),                         stock in the SARs, where appropriate, to                 Comment 4: The effective
                                                  contained in Appendix IV of the                         combat the tendency to exclude                        management of marine mammals
                                                  GAMMS III workshop report. NMFS                         important stock dynamics or allow for                 requires timely and accurate stock status
                                                  received comments from the                              the shifting baselines phenomenon.                    information that is currently lacking.
                                                  Commission, the three regional SRGs,                       Response: It is unclear from the                   The proposed assumption that the
                                                  two non-governmental environmental                      comment what historical trend                         existing measures protecting marine
                                                  organizations (Humane Society of the                    information, specifically, the                        mammal species are failing to achieve
                                                  United States and Center for Biological                 Commission is referencing that is not                 management objectives and the
                                                  Diversity), representatives from the                    already provided in the SARs. Where                   continued use of old data to assess the
                                                  fishing industry (Western Pacific                       able, we provide historical abundance                 status of stocks are unacceptable and
                                                  Regional Fishery Management Council,                    data and estimate trends in abundance                 fail to acknowledge collective efforts to
                                                  Garden State Seafood Association,                       (see for example, the California sea lion             reconcile marine mammal protection
                                                  Maine Lobstermen’s Association,                         SAR, which provides abundance data                    with varied ocean uses. NMFS should
                                                  Hawaii Longline Association, Cape Cod                   for the prior four decades). With respect             more frequently assess the status of
                                                  Hook Fishermen’s Association, and two                   to bycatch, we do not think it is feasible            marine mammal stocks and incorporate
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                                                  individuals), the American Veterinary                   or appropriate to provide trends in                   this new information into management
                                                  Medical Association, the States of                      bycatch rates over decades, as fisheries              actions.
                                                  Maine and Massachusetts, the Makah                      and monitoring programs change too                       Response: NMFS agrees that
                                                  Indian Tribe, the Center for Regulatory                 frequently. The status of each stock is               management of marine mammal stocks
                                                  Effectiveness, representatives from the                 informed by current parameters, such as               depends on timely and accurate stock
                                                  oil and gas industry (American                          ESA listing status and relationship to                information, and in many cases up-to-
                                                  Petroleum Institute, International                      OSP and PBR. Additionally, the statute                date stock assessments are not available,
                                                  Association of Geophysical Contractors,                 specifies that the SARs provide current               nor are the resources necessary to


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                                                  10834                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  conduct the assessment. NMFS                            or non-existent. We are currently                     review prior to being finalized and
                                                  acknowledges that the reliability of                    analyzing how to calculate PBR when                   released to the public. There is no
                                                  abundance estimates for calculating PBR                 data are outdated.                                    requirement under the NOAA or OMB
                                                  is reduced over time. The proposed                         Comment 7: We appreciate NMFS’                     Information Quality Guidance to
                                                  approach to calculating PBR with                        efforts to improve stock identification,              explain within the guidelines
                                                  outdated abundance information                          small stock biases, non-serious injuries,             themselves how they have met IQA
                                                  assumed the worst-case scenario, but we                 and institute other SAR enhancements,                 requirements.
                                                  are not finalizing that approach at this                and encourage NMFS to incorporate                        The marine mammal SARs are based
                                                  time. Accordingly, NMFS is analyzing                    veterinary expertise relative to marine               on the best available science. NMFS
                                                  methods to calculate PBRs for stocks                    mammal population, health, and                        strives to use peer-reviewed data as the
                                                  with outdated abundance information as                  ecosystem conservation status.                        basis for reports. However, in some
                                                  well as developing methods to collect                      Response: NMFS acknowledges this                   cases, the best available science may not
                                                  data more efficiently and cost                          comment. NMFS continues to                            have been published or subjected to a
                                                  effectively. See response to Comment 3.                 incorporate and rely upon veterinary                  juried professional journal review, as
                                                     Comment 5: The Alaska SRG                            expertise in activities related to stock              this process can take months or years to
                                                  expressed concern that very different                   assessment; for example, the                          complete. In other cases, data pertinent
                                                  approaches are taken for PBR and                        development of the serious injury                     to assessments of stocks are routinely
                                                  mortality components of SARs. A great                   determination policy and procedures,                  collected and analyzed but are not
                                                  deal of modeling effort and simulations                 and response to stranded animals and                  suitable for a stand-alone external peer-
                                                  has gone into making the PBR                            UMEs.                                                 reviewed publication. Therefore, NMFS
                                                  calculations conservative, but there is                    Comment 8: Several of the GAMMS III                often relies on science that has been
                                                  no similar concern for the mortality and                recommendations require more                          through a NMFS Science Center’s
                                                  serious injury data. In some of the                     explanations and verbiage to be added                 internal expert review process and/or
                                                  Alaska SARs, 20+ year-old observer data                 to the SARs (e.g., Topics 2, 5, 8, and 9).            has been subjected to other internal or
                                                  are the only mortality data for a                          Response: NMFS recognizes that the                 external expert review to ensure that
                                                  particular fishery. The nature of Alaska                recommendations require additional                    information is not only high quality but
                                                  fisheries can change quite quickly, so                  text to be added to the SARs. We strive               is available for management decisions in
                                                  Alaska SRG members strongly object to                   to maintain the conciseness of the SARs               a timely fashion. In these cases, all
                                                  using such old data. The reliability of                 while providing best available science                NOAA-authored literature should meet,
                                                  removals data is just as important as                   and meeting the directive of MMPA                     at the least, the standards for
                                                  population data when assessing stock                    section 117(a).                                       Fundamental Research Communications
                                                  status. This issue merits serious                          Comment 9: NMFS should produce a                   established by the NOAA Research
                                                  attention, and as a first step, the quality             record showing that the guidelines and                Council and by NMFS. NMFS may rely
                                                  of removals data should be thoroughly                   GAMMS Report comply with the                          on the SRGs to provide independent
                                                  and explicitly evaluated when                           Information Quality Act (IQA) Pre-                    expert reviews of particular components
                                                  uncertainty in SARs is evaluated.                       dissemination review requirements as                  of new science to be incorporated into
                                                     Response: NMFS acknowledges that                     follows: (1) All models that the                      the SARs to ensure that these
                                                  many of the data related to Alaska                      guidelines or GAMMS Report use                        components constitute the best available
                                                  marine mammal stocks are dated. NMFS                    should be peer reviewed in order to                   scientific information. Likewise, upon
                                                  continues to rely upon and incorporate                  determine their compliance with                       SRG review of these components and
                                                  the best available data in the SARs, but                Council for Regulatory Environmental                  the draft SARs themselves, NMFS
                                                  in some cases these data are many years                 Modeling Guidance; (2) the method                     considers the SRG review of the draft
                                                  old. The revised guidelines instruct SAR                used by the guidelines and GAMMS                      SARs to constitute peer review and to
                                                  authors to describe uncertainties in key                Report to estimate population                         meet the requirements of the OMB Peer
                                                  factors, including human-caused                         uncertainty violates the IQA accuracy                 Review Bulletin and the Information
                                                  mortality and serious injury, and to                    and reliability requirement; and (3) the              Quality Act.
                                                  evaluate the effects of those                           guidelines and GAMMS Report violate                      The proposed method for projecting
                                                  uncertainties.                                          the IQA accuracy and reliability                      uncertainty in abundance estimates
                                                     Comment 6: The proposed changes do                   requirements by telling staff to make up              (topic 1) is not being finalized at this
                                                  not reflect an agency commitment to                     abundance data and PBR when                           time (see below). Any models that are
                                                  generating best available science upon                  measured data do not exist (‘‘informed                employed in the SARs have been peer
                                                  which to base its decisions. In fact, this              interpolation’’). In addition, NMFS                   reviewed, as is their specific application
                                                  rule contains no statements as to what                  should revise the guidelines and                      to the SARs, and therefore meet the
                                                  the agency intends to do with respect to                GAMMS Report to delete any suggestion                 requirements of the IQA. Regarding the
                                                  old or non-existent assessments other                   that marine mammal SARs should                        use of informed interpolation to
                                                  than to reduce PBR. We request the                      discuss oil and gas seismic effects, as oil           estimate abundance within a study area
                                                  agency comment for the record                           and gas seismic operations do not cause               based on habitat modeling or similar
                                                  specifically how NOAA intends to                        mortality or serious injury to marine                 approaches (i.e., model-based
                                                  address the GAMMS III stated need for                   mammals and do not cause a decline or                 abundance estimation), this approach is
                                                  accurate and timely census data.                        impede recovery of any strategic stock.               commonly applied in ecology. The
                                                     Response: The MMPA requires that                        Response: The GAMMS report                         International Whaling Commission
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                                                  NMFS and FWS use the best available                     referenced by the commenter is a                      Scientific Committee recently
                                                  scientific information in its assessment                summary of the proceedings of a                       acknowledged the strength and utility of
                                                  and management of marine mammal                         workshop and was reviewed for                         model-based abundance estimation
                                                  stocks. NMFS strives to collect the data                accuracy prior to dissemination. We did               methods and is planning a workshop to
                                                  necessary for timely stock assessments                  not solicit comments nor are we                       formulate revisions to its guidelines for
                                                  in a cost-efficient manner, but agency                  responding to comments on the                         conducting surveys and analyzing data
                                                  resources are limited, and there are                    workshop report itself. The guidelines                to include guidance on the use of these
                                                  instances where data are either too old                 also underwent IQA pre-dissemination                  methods in management (IWC, 2015).


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices                                           10835

                                                  Model-based estimation of density is                       Response: In August 2014, NMFS                     and how will migratory stocks that feed
                                                  based on survey data and habitat or                     convened a workshop on the use of                     in one region and breed in another be
                                                  other covariates, which is entirely                     multiple lines of evidence to delineate               treated under this proposal? How do we
                                                  science based. To suggest we are                        demographically independent                           balance the conservation concerns
                                                  directing staff to ‘‘make up abundance                  populations (Martien et al., 2015). The               resulting from stocks being defined very
                                                  data and PBR’’ is a mischaracterization                 meeting participants agreed that the best             broadly versus the costs and
                                                  of what is contained in the revised                     way to provide guidance on the use of                 management concerns resulting from
                                                  guidelines. We have added a footnote to                 multiple lines of evidence when                       stocks being defined very finely?
                                                  the guidelines to clarify the definition of             delineating demographically                              Response: The definition of
                                                  ‘‘informed interpolation.’’                             independent populations for marine                    ‘‘population stock’’ as ‘‘a group of
                                                     Regarding oil and gas activities,                    mammals was to produce a Stock                        marine mammals of the same species or
                                                  nowhere in the proposed guidelines are                  Delineation Handbook that can serve as                smaller taxa in a common spatial
                                                  oil and gas or seismic activities                       a guide for future demographically-                   arrangement, that interbreed when
                                                  specifically discussed. The guidelines                  independent population delineation                    mature’’ is vague from a biological
                                                  do not direct the inclusion of oil and gas              efforts. Development of the handbook is               perspective. To some degree, all
                                                  activities in the SARs; however, if oil                 currently underway. Subsequent to the                 ‘‘groups’’ within a species interbreed
                                                  and gas activities are found to be having               2014 workshop, NMFS began                             when mature or else they would be
                                                  a detrimental effect on a stock or its                  developing an internal procedure for                  considered different species according
                                                  habitat, we would include it in the                     identifying and prioritizing stocks in                to the biological species concept.
                                                  report, as we would with any other                      need of examination for potential                     Clearly, population stock was intended
                                                  activity. The final revised guidelines                  revisions that would complement and                   to mean interbreeding at some greater
                                                  (very slightly revised from the proposed                be integrated into the stock delineation              level but that level is not specified.
                                                  guidelines) state: ‘‘The MMPA requires                  workshop outputs and the existing SAR                 Interpretation becomes more difficult
                                                  for strategic stocks a consideration of                 process.                                              when considering known cases of
                                                  other factors that may be causing a                        Comment 11: The GAMMS III                          migratory species with strong fidelity to
                                                  decline or impeding recovery of the                     workshop report makes several very                    both feeding and breeding grounds.
                                                  stock, including effects on marine                      good recommendations for improving                    Consider, for example, humpback
                                                  mammal habitat and prey. In practice,                   stock identification, and the Alaska SRG              whales that feed in Southeast Alaska
                                                  interpretation of ‘‘other factors’’ may                 and the Humane Society of the United                  and breed in Hawaii. These individuals
                                                  include lethal or non-lethal factors other              States agree with all of them.                        can interbreed when mature but can
                                                  than effects on habitat and prey.                          Response: NMFS acknowledges this                   (and do) interbreed with individuals
                                                  Therefore, such issues should be                        comment.                                              that feed in other areas. If a threat
                                                  summarized in the Status of the Stock                      Comment 12: The Pacific SRG                        occurred within Southeast Alaska that
                                                  section for all strategic stocks. If                    recommends that NMFS focus on the                     resulted in unsustainable deaths in that
                                                  substantial issues regarding the habitat                role of genetics in determining marine                area, then if the ‘‘Southeast Alaska
                                                  of the stock are important, a separate                  mammal stock structure and in defining                whales’’ were a stock, that stock’s PBR
                                                  section titled ‘‘Habitat Issues’’ should be             the terms ‘‘stock’’ and ‘‘population.’’               could be used as an indicator that
                                                  used. If data exist that indicate a                        Response: Although the guidelines are              management efforts to mitigate that
                                                  problem, they should be summarized                      clear that genetic evidence is not the                threat were warranted. In contrast, if
                                                  and included in the Report. If there are                sole evidence that could be used to                   ‘‘interbreed when mature’’ considered
                                                  no known habitat issues or other factors                define stocks, changes in stock                       all the whales in Hawaii, then the
                                                  causing a decline or impeding recovery,                 definition have relied on genetic data as             human-caused mortality in Southeast
                                                  this should be stated in the Status of the              the primary line of evidence, and                     Alaska may never exceed the PBR based
                                                  Stock section.’’                                        species for which genetic evidence are                on Hawaii, and eventually the
                                                                                                          not available have not had new stocks                 ecosystem in Southeast Alaska would
                                                  Comments on Topic 1: Assessing Stocks                   defined. The MMPA uses the term                       cease to have humpback whales as a
                                                  With Outdated Abundance Estimates                       ‘‘population stock.’’ The guidelines have             functioning part. Such cases result in an
                                                     NMFS received a number of                            a lengthy section on ‘‘Definition of                  apparent conflict between the words
                                                  comments expressing strenuous                           stock’’ that has been discussed in each               ‘‘interbreed when mature’’ and the goal
                                                  objection to/concern with the proposed                  of the GAMMS workshops and in a                       to maintain population stocks as
                                                  framework for stocks with outdated                      special workshop devoted to stock                     functioning elements of their ecosystem.
                                                  abundance estimates. As such, NMFS is                   definition (see response to Comment                      Often, changes to stock delineations
                                                  not finalizing the proposed revisions                   (10). The language that interprets                    in the SARs have relied on
                                                  related to Topic 1 at this time. Rather,                ‘‘population stock’’ has remained largely             interpretation of genetic data. The
                                                  we will further analyze this issue.                     unchanged since the first set of                      Pacific SRG asks where one draws the
                                                  Should we contemplate changes to the                    guidelines despite much discussion.                   line on what level of genetic exchange
                                                  guidelines regarding this topic, NMFS                      Comment 13: The Pacific SRG would                  suffices to qualify as a stock.
                                                  will propose them and solicit public                    like to have the following questions                  Interpretation has been based on the
                                                  comment in a separate action.                           addressed: How do we integrate the                    guidelines:
                                                                                                          MMPA’s goal of maintaining a                             ‘‘Demographic independence means
                                                  Comments on Topic 2: Improving Stock                    population as a functioning part of the               that the population dynamics of the
                                                  Identification
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                                                                                                          ecosystem with the statute’s definition               affected group is more a consequence of
                                                     Comment 10: The Commission                           of a stock (that emphasizes breeding                  births and deaths within the group
                                                  recommended that NMFS convene a                         interchange)? In a continuum of levels                (internal dynamics) rather than
                                                  national workshop to systematically                     of genetic exchange, where does one                   immigration or emigration (external
                                                  review the status of stock identification               draw the line between what is a stock                 dynamics). Thus, the exchange of
                                                  efforts and to identify and prioritize the              and what is not? How will the proposed                individuals between population stocks
                                                  information needed to improve stock                     use of eco-regions be practically                     is not great enough to prevent the
                                                  identification.                                         implemented in stock determination                    depletion of one of the populations as


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                                                  10836                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  a result of increased mortality or lower                suggestion was that the revised                          Comment 17: If it cannot be
                                                  birth rates.’’                                          guidelines should address the workshop                demonstrated with normal genetic
                                                     To date, accepted ‘‘new’’ stocks have                participants’ suggestion ‘‘that human-                analysis, then it is unwarranted to
                                                  been strongly differentiated, indicating                caused mortality on the feeding grounds               establish populations or subpopulations
                                                  such low levels of exchange that                        be monitored and evaluated against a                  based on behavior or distribution. To
                                                  immigration is relatively trivial. There                PBR calculation made for the feeding                  split existing populations into smaller
                                                  will be, however, borderline cases. Such                aggregation and that the feeding-ground               units only invites the development of
                                                  is the nature of imposing discrete                      PBR, mortality, and evaluation results                fragmented PBRs with an aggregate
                                                  categories on continuous processes.                     be reported in the SARs, as is currently              value that will likely be lower than that
                                                     The recommendations from the                         done for Pacific humpback stocks.’’                   of the whole population.
                                                  GAMMS III workshop do not propose                          Response: The workshop participants                   Response: Genetic data are certainly
                                                  basing stocks on eco-regions. Eco-                      discussed the possibility of basing                   useful when attainable, but in many
                                                  regions were discussed during the                       stocks on feeding aggregations.                       cases genetic samples (of sufficient
                                                  workshop in two contexts: (1) In a                      Although workshop participants                        quantity to draw sound inferences)
                                                  working paper that demonstrated that                    considered this approach to be feasible,              cannot be obtained. There are many
                                                  most stocks are currently defined at a                  they believed it added significant                    other lines of evidence that can be
                                                  very large scale often encompassing                     complexity without providing                          informative to determining stock
                                                  several eco-regions, and (2) that eco-                  substantial management advantages,                    structure, including behavior and
                                                  regions may highlight stocks that may                   and did not recommend revisions to the                distribution and also movement data
                                                  deserve consideration in a stock                        guidelines at this time. Therefore, this              from photographic identification or
                                                  definition meeting because that stock                   revision of the guidelines does not                   tagging. Genetic data are sometimes
                                                  may be at too large a scale and could                   specifically discuss identification of                sufficient but are not exclusively needed
                                                  encompass multiple demographically                      stocks based on feeding aggregations.                 to make sound inferences concerning
                                                  independent populations.                                We recognize and acknowledge these                    stock structure. In 2014, NMFS
                                                     Comment 14: In the SARs, a concise                                                                         convened a workshop to review the use
                                                                                                          comments related to feeding
                                                  statement concerning uncertainty in                                                                           of other lines of evidence, as
                                                                                                          aggregations and stock definition, but as
                                                  stock structure could be included in the                                                                      consistency and accuracy in delineating
                                                                                                          they do not relate to the current
                                                  section on uncertainty discussed under                                                                        stocks for species with limited data
                                                  Topic 8. Details should be provided                     revisions to the guidelines, we are not
                                                                                                          addressing them in this action. If the                would be improved if guidelines were
                                                  only when publications are not yet                                                                            available on both the strengths of
                                                  available. The Pacific SRG questions the                issue is further considered by the
                                                                                                          agency in a separate action, we will                  different lines of evidence and how to
                                                  usefulness of repeating in nearly every                                                                       evaluate multiple lines together
                                                  SAR the sentence ‘‘It is plausible that                 address those comments in the
                                                                                                                                                                (Martien et al., 2015). As a result of this
                                                  there are multiple demographically-                     development of that action.
                                                                                                                                                                workshop, NMFS is developing a
                                                  independent populations within this                        Comment 16: In the proposed                        handbook for identification of
                                                  stock.’’                                                guidelines, NMFS suggests that it may                 demographically independent
                                                     Response: The Pacific SRG requested                  delineate marine mammal stocks based                  populations, which includes genetic
                                                  that the reader of a SAR be able to                     upon human factors such as incidental                 information as well as other lines of
                                                  readily assess the level of confidence                  take as a result of human-caused                      evidence.
                                                  that can be ascribed to the PBR                         mortality. However, the MMPA does not                    Comment 18: The revised guidelines
                                                  calculation. A critical part of that                    permit the determination of stock status              should acknowledge that factors other
                                                  calculation is abundance, which can be                  based on human-related factors.                       than demographic independence, such
                                                  severely biased if stock definition is                  Accordingly, when delineating stocks,                 as a localized disease or a localized
                                                  incorrect. We recognize that many SARs                  NMFS can only consider the                            change in prey availability, might cause
                                                  will include the same statement about                   demographic and biological                            different population responses between
                                                  the plausibility of multiple                            characteristics of the species at issue.              geographic regions. In light of such
                                                  demographically independent                             Carving out stocks in areas where                     factors, the revised guidelines should
                                                  populations within the stock, but we                    human-caused mortality is high, as                    discuss under what circumstances it is
                                                  consider it necessary to better inform                  NMFS proposes, would violate the                      appropriate to designate stocks solely on
                                                  the reader’s understanding of areas of                  MMPA.                                                 the basis of different population
                                                  uncertainty.                                               Response: The guidelines state: ‘‘For              responses between geographic regions.
                                                     Comment 15: NMFS received a                          example, it is common to have human-                     Response: Demographic
                                                  number of comments related to stock                     caused mortality restricted to a portion              independence is defined in terms of
                                                  definition and stock delineation based                  of a species’ range. Such concentrated                birth and death rates within the
                                                  on feeding aggregations. Such as: The                   mortality (if of a large magnitude) could             population and immigrations from
                                                  revised guidelines should address                       lead to population fragmentation, a                   outside the population. Presumably, the
                                                  whether, and under what                                 reduction in range, or even the loss of               response of a population to ‘localized
                                                  circumstances, a feeding aggregation can                undetected populations, and would                     disease or localized change in prey
                                                  be identified as a stock consistently                   only be mitigated by high immigration                 availability’ would be changes in the
                                                  with the MMPA’s statutory definition of                 rates from adjacent areas.’’ They caution             birth and/or death rates. Thus, it would
                                                  a stock. One commenter stated that it is                that serious consideration should be                  seem that the concern above is already
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                                                  not clear whether or how the definition                 given to areas with concentrated high                 accounted for in the guidelines.
                                                  of a stock in the proposed guidelines                   human-caused mortality, but that actual                  Comment 19: If the revised guidelines
                                                  relates to the definition of a stock in the             stock definition should be based on                   continue to define a stock as a
                                                  MMPA. One commenter suggested that                      biological considerations. In other                   demographically-independent biological
                                                  the revised guidelines should clarify the               words, high-localized human-caused                    population, they should explain more
                                                  meaning of ‘‘internal dynamics’’ and                    mortality should highlight the need for               clearly the circumstances under which
                                                  explain how it relates to the statutory                 stock identification scrutiny but not the             a group of marine mammals can be
                                                  interbreeding requirement. Another                      lines of evidence used.                               designated as a stock even in the


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices                                            10837

                                                  absence of evidence that the group                      If the human-caused mortality is                      stock assessment report when the
                                                  comprises a demographically                             believed to be small relative to the stock            reported value is not considered reliable
                                                  independent biological population. Are                  size based on the best scientific                     or in cases where a stock’s dynamics do
                                                  such circumstances limited to those in                  judgment, the stock could be considered               not conform to the underlying model for
                                                  which ‘‘mortality is greater than a PBR                 as non-strategic. If human-caused                     calculating PBR. At this point, the
                                                  calculated from the abundance just                      mortality is likely to be significant                 guidelines are not instructing authors to
                                                  within the oceanographic region where                   relative to stock size (e.g., greater than            set PBR to zero.
                                                  the human-caused mortality occurs,’’ as                 the annual production increment) the
                                                  suggested in the GAMMS III Report? Or                   stock could be considered as strategic.’’                Comment 24: The Pacific SRG
                                                  can stocks be designated in other                          Comment 21: When calculating PBR,                  continues to support a decision not to
                                                  circumstances in the absence of                         NMFS should err on the side of caution                report a PBR in the monk seal SAR.
                                                  evidence of demographic                                 rather than allowing loosely defined                     Response: By ecological theory, i.e.,
                                                  independence? If so, what other                         flexibility that may be used to the                   when the assumption of simple logistic
                                                  circumstances are contemplated?                         detriment of the stock. With stocks such              population growth is reasonable and
                                                     Response: The section on definition of               as the Cook Inlet belugas or Hawaiian                 when a stock’s status can be attributed
                                                  stocks in the guidelines seeks to clarify               monk seals, the documented decline in                 to direct anthropogenic impacts, a non-
                                                  the practical process of definition given               abundance would seem to challenge the                 zero estimate of PBR is not
                                                  biological complexity and different                     assumption that net productivity occurs.              unreasonable. In the case of Hawaiian
                                                  types and qualities of available data.                  Therefore, a PBR of zero is appropriate
                                                                                                                                                                monk seal, however, it is not apparent
                                                  This section was contained in GAMMS                     and would promote regional
                                                                                                                                                                that these model assumptions hold. See
                                                  II (NMFS 2005) and was not revised in                   consistency.
                                                  this current revision of the guidelines.                   Response: NMFS recognizes that in                  response to Comment 22.
                                                  The guidelines note that particular                     some cases the dynamics of a stock do                    Comment 25: The Alaska SRG
                                                  attention should be given to areas where                not comport with the underlying                       preference would be to have an
                                                  mortality is greater than PBR but do not                assumptions of the PBR framework.                     undetermined PBR when assessing
                                                  limit stock definition to those                         Given that Section 117 directs the                    endangered stocks. If numerical
                                                  circumstances. The stock definition                     agency to calculate PBR, the revised                  estimates of PBR are to be given in
                                                  workshop (see above) was suggested as                   guidelines direct authors to calculate                SARs, we recommend that language be
                                                  a forum to improve stock definition in                  PBR but in such instances to qualify the              included clarifying whether negligible
                                                  data-poor cases.                                        calculation in the PBR section of the                 impact determinations have been made,
                                                                                                          Report.                                               what they are, and if not, stating that no
                                                  Comments on Topic 3: Assessment of                         Comment 22: We support the
                                                  Small and Endangered Stocks                                                                                   human-caused takes are authorized. We
                                                                                                          calculation of PBR even for small stocks
                                                     Comment 20: The Commission                           with little human-caused mortality to                 do not agree that this topic is beyond
                                                  recommends that NMFS adopt the                          comply with the MMPA. However, we                     the scope of SARs and rather believe
                                                  workshop recommendation to include,                     do not support the exception to depart                that inclusion of such information
                                                  when appropriate, a statement in each                   from the PBR requirement.                             would help readers understand the
                                                  assessment explaining that bycatch data                    Response: NMFS recognizes that,                    actual meaning of PBR in this case.
                                                  are not sufficient to estimate the bycatch              pursuant to Sec. 117 of the MMPA, each                   Response: NMFS disagrees with
                                                  rate with acceptable precision. The                     stock assessment report should include                including negligible impact
                                                  Commission and another commenter                        an estimate of the PBR for the stock.                 determinations (NIDs) under section
                                                  recommended NMFS treat each such                        However, PBR is not always estimable.                 101(a)(5)(E) of the MMPA in the SARs.
                                                  stock as strategic unless and until the                 Most obviously, we lack abundance                     The five criteria (64 FR 28800, May 27,
                                                  data are sufficient to demonstrate that it              estimates for some stocks. Less                       1999) that NMFS may use for making a
                                                  is not.                                                 obviously, the equation for estimating                final determination and issuing 3-year
                                                     Response: NMFS agrees with the                       PBR makes assumptions about the                       incidental take authorizations to
                                                  importance of including a statement in                  underlying population growth model for
                                                  each stock assessment to indicate when                                                                        Category I and II fisheries are complex
                                                                                                          marine mammals, and for stocks whose
                                                  bycatch estimates are prone to small-                                                                         and may be difficult to relate to the data
                                                                                                          population dynamics do not appear to
                                                  sample bias, though it should be noted                  conform to these assumptions, the                     contained in the SARs, which often
                                                  that bias and precision are different                   calculated PBR is considered unreliable               change on an annual basis. Furthermore,
                                                  issues. The guidelines recommend                        as an estimate of the true potential                  while some NIDs may use fisheries
                                                  pooling years of information as                         biological removal. The revisions to the              bycatch data from the past five years in
                                                  necessary to achieve precision levels of                guidelines encourage reporting PBR for                making an assessment, other NID
                                                  CV less than 0.3.                                       all stocks possible and qualifying in the             analyses may contain bycatch data from
                                                     At this point, NMFS does not make                    SAR when the reported value is not                    more than five years, depending on
                                                  the default assumption that a stock is                  considered reliable. Departure from this              changes in fisheries, particularly
                                                  strategic until demonstrated otherwise.                 suggestion must be discussed fully                    regulatory changes such as time/area
                                                  The MMPA requires a determination of                    within any affected report.                           closures or mandatory bycatch
                                                  a stock’s status as being either strategic                 Comment 23: The Commission                         reduction methods. In addition, NMFS
                                                  or non-strategic and does not include a                 recommends that NMFS require stock                    may use the more recent observer data
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                                                  category of unknown. The revised                        assessment authors to set PBR to zero in              or stranding data, which may not yet be
                                                  guidelines state, for non-ESA listed and/               those cases that are not in accord with               included in the most recent SARs,
                                                  or non-depleted stocks, ‘‘if abundance                  the commonly assumed PBR framework                    which may also confuse readers.
                                                  or human-related mortality levels are                   and involve stocks with no tolerance for              Further, NMFS does not authorize (or
                                                  truly unknown (or if the fishery-related                additional human-related removals.                    prohibit) incidental mortalities through
                                                  mortality level is only available from                     Response: The revisions to the                     the SAR process.
                                                  self-reported data), some judgment will                 guidelines encourage reporting PBR for
                                                  be required to make this determination.                 all stocks possible and qualifying in the


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                                                  10838                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  Comments on Topic 4: Apportioning                       injury’’ to each stock within the affected            methods of interpolation or modeling
                                                  PBR, Allocating Mortality, and                          geographic area as it would effectively               are not incorporated, serious injuries
                                                  Estimating PBR for Transboundary                        double count these human interactions                 and mortalities should only be counted
                                                  Stocks                                                  and affect the PBR of multiple stocks.                if they occur in the portion of the stock
                                                     Comment 26: The Commission                           Instead, NMFS should develop                          that was surveyed.
                                                                                                          methodology based on the best available                  Response: NMFS agrees surveys
                                                  recommends that NMFS include in their
                                                                                                          data to assign the serious injury and                 should ideally cover the entirety of the
                                                  stock assessments comparisons of PBR
                                                                                                          mortality according to the relative                   stock range. When this is not possible,
                                                  for feeding aggregations, and estimate or
                                                                                                          abundance of the stocks. When this is                 Nmin is defined under the MMPA as an
                                                  apportion mortality and serious injury
                                                                                                          not possible, serious injury and                      estimate of the number of animals in a
                                                  levels for each aggregation.
                                                                                                          mortality should remain unassigned to                 stock that provides reasonable assurance
                                                     Response: The workshop participants
                                                                                                          avoid arbitrary determinations.                       that the stock size is equal to or greater
                                                  discussed how feeding ground PBRs
                                                                                                             Response: The revised guidelines                   than the estimate, so a partial survey
                                                  should be calculated for stocks where
                                                                                                          direct that in data poor situations with              can be used to calculate Nmin and PBR.
                                                  there was a desire to monitor potential                 mixed stocks, when relative abundances                All human-caused mortality and serious
                                                  risks to feeding aggregations; however,                 are unknown, the total unassigned                     injury needs to be accounted for under
                                                  this was not reflected in the                           mortality and serious injuries should be              the MMPA, so injuries or deaths that are
                                                  recommended revised text for the                        assigned to each stock within the                     known to come from a stock must be
                                                  guidelines nor were comments solicited                  appropriate geographic area. NMFS and                 apportioned to that stock even if the
                                                  on this issue. NMFS is not including                    workshop participants recognize that                  abundance is underestimated. The
                                                  text regarding apportioning PBR among                   this approach effectively would                       solution to this mismatch is not to
                                                  feeding aggregations in this revision of                repeatedly ‘‘count’’ the same deaths and              ignore human-caused mortality and
                                                  the guidelines.                                         serious injuries against multiple stocks.             serious injury (which is contrary to the
                                                     Comment 27: The Commission                           However, this approach is considered to               MMPA), but to conduct adequate
                                                  recommends that NMFS apply the total                    be the most conservative in terms of                  surveys or develop models to obtain
                                                  unassigned mortality and serious injury                 ensuring that the most severe possible                complete abundance estimates.
                                                  to each affected stock in both data-rich                impacts were considered for each stock.                  Comment 33: The apportionment of
                                                  and data-poor cases involving taking of                 The revised guidelines instruct that                  PBR to foraging grounds between
                                                  mixed stocks that cannot be or are not                  when deaths and serious injuries are                  surveyed and un-surveyed areas appears
                                                  identified in the field. Doing so is the                assigned to each overlapping stock in                 to be a significant problem in the
                                                  only way to be precautionary and also                   this manner, the Reports will contain a               absence of data and lacks scientific
                                                  provides the appropriate incentive to                   discussion of the potential for over-                 justification. It appears that this will be
                                                  develop better information about the                    estimating stock-specific mortality and               based on untested assumptions
                                                  affected stocks.                                        serious injury.                                       regarding stock distributions. Assuming
                                                     Response: NMFS disagrees and                            Comment 31: NMFS’s proposal to                     uniform distribution will have animals
                                                  believes that the guidelines are                        identify transboundary or high seas                   present where they may not exist or
                                                  sufficiently conservative at this time.                 stocks with no available population data              exist only seasonally.
                                                     Comment 28: The Commission                           is contrary to the MMPA.                                 Response: NMFS agrees that it is not
                                                  recommends that NMFS discourage the                        Response: NMFS did not propose to                  appropriate to assume uniform
                                                  use of informed interpolation, require                  identify transboundary or high seas                   distribution between surveyed and
                                                  strong justification where it is used, and              stocks with no available population                   unsurveyed areas, and as such
                                                  require that it be accompanied by                       data. Rather, the workshop discussions                discourages the use of extrapolation.
                                                  reasonable measures of uncertainty                      involved estimating range-wide                        The workshop participants discussed
                                                  associated with the interpolation.                      abundance and PBR for transboundary                   this issue, and the background paper on
                                                     Response: The revised guidelines                     stocks, and specifically, addressing the              this topic suggested that informed
                                                  allow for the use of informed                           problem of managing transboundary                     modeling exercises may sometimes be
                                                  interpolation (i.e., model-based                        marine mammal stocks for which PBR is                 appropriate or necessary for
                                                  abundance estimation) as appropriate                    estimated based on abundance from                     management decisions and to ensure
                                                  and supported by existing data. NMFS                    only a portion of each stock’s range (for             that stocks remain as functioning
                                                  has added text to the guidelines                        example, PBR levels for transboundary                 elements of the ecosystem. Therefore,
                                                  specifying that when informed                           stocks being estimated based on                       the revised guidelines state, ‘‘abundance
                                                  interpolation is employed, the Report                   abundance surveys that occur only                     or density estimates from one area
                                                  should provide justification for its use                within the U.S. EEZ). Although it is                  should not be extrapolated to
                                                  and associated measure of uncertainty.                  inappropriate to simply extrapolate                   unsurveyed areas to estimate range-wide
                                                  As a point of clarification, informed                   abundance estimates to an unsurveyed                  abundance (and PBR). But, informed
                                                  interpolation is not a person making an                 area, the revised guidelines allow for the            interpolation (e.g., based on habitat
                                                  informed judgement; it is a model that                  use of model-based density estimation                 associations) may be used to fill gaps in
                                                  is informed by the covariation between                  to fill gaps in survey coverage and                   survey coverage and estimate
                                                  habitat or other variables and density                  estimate abundance and PBR over                       abundance and PBR over broader areas
                                                  that is making the ‘‘judgement.’’                       broader areas as appropriate and                      as appropriate and supported by
                                                     Comment 29: We support the                           supported by existing data. In such                   existing data.’’
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                                                  recommendation of assigning the total                   cases, the Report should provide                         Comment 34: Given the known lack of
                                                  unassigned mortalities and serious                      justification for use of interpolation and            general data and uncertainty of existing
                                                  injuries to each stock within the                       associated measure of uncertainty.                    data, it appears that it will be difficult
                                                  appropriate geographic area.                               Comment 32: NMFS must ensure that                  to accurately use separate PBRs for
                                                     Response: NMFS acknowledges this                     it prioritizes collection of data necessary           marine mammal populations with
                                                  comment.                                                to support interpolations when full                   multiple feeding grounds. To the extent
                                                     Comment 30: NMFS should not assign                   assessments are not possible. In cases                that this is understood, information
                                                  the ‘‘unassigned mortality and serious                  where a partial survey is conducted and               pertaining to separate feeding


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices                                           10839

                                                  aggregations should be noted in the                        Comment 38: Priority for research                     Comment 40: The Alaska SRG
                                                  stock assessment reports, but separate                  should be given to stocks for which                   believes that extensive tabling of
                                                  PBRs should not be used for stocks with                 serious injury and mortality exceeds                  interactions between marine mammals
                                                  multiple feeding grounds. There is a                    PBR and for which additional                          and commercial fisheries should be
                                                  significant risk that ‘‘unassigned                      management action is required under                   confined to an Appendix, with only a
                                                  mortality and serious injury’’ could be                 take reduction plans. In cases where this             summary table that includes mortality
                                                  wrongly assigned and result in                          is not possible, NMFS must consider the               in the various Federal groundfish
                                                  erroneous estimates to one or more                      availability of data for interpolation or             fisheries, state water fisheries, and
                                                  populations. To avoid arbitrary                         informed modeling exercises to obtain                 international transboundary fisheries
                                                  assignments, when this is not possible,                 abundance estimates for the full range of             included in the body of the assessment.
                                                  serious injury and mortality should                     the stock. This strategy requires careful             The strategy of summarizing fishery
                                                  remain unassigned.                                      coordination with Canada for                          interactions should lead to a single
                                                     Response: See response to Comment                    transboundary stocks. If timely and                   clearly-documented estimate of
                                                  26.                                                     robust data are not available, NMFS                   mortality and associated variance for all
                                                     Comment 35: The section on                           should not make stock assessment
                                                  apportioning PBR among feeding                                                                                fisheries combined with easy access to
                                                                                                          determinations.                                       details available preferably in an online
                                                  aggregations does not provide clear                        Response: Staffs from NMFS Science
                                                  guidance for cases like eastern Pacific                 Centers, Regional Offices, and                        appendix.
                                                  gray whales and whether the Pacific                     Headquarters Offices communicate                         Response: NMFS makes every effort to
                                                  Coast Feeding Group is a stock or not,                  regularly to discuss science needed to                present fishery interaction data simply
                                                  a case where there may be                               support management and to help                        in the body of each SAR, whether in the
                                                  mitochondrial differences between                       prioritize research efforts. This includes            text, tabular form, or both. The agency
                                                  feeding areas but all animals go to a                   discussion of stocks for which human-                 feels that it is valuable to have all
                                                  common breeding area.                                   caused mortality and serious injury                   interaction data appear within the SAR
                                                     Response: The current Guideline                      exceed PBR and take reduction planning                itself (although some regions also
                                                  revisions do not address apportioning                   needs. The revised guidelines allow for               currently include a separate Appendix
                                                  PBR among feeding aggregations. See                     the use of informed interpolation (e.g.,              describing those fisheries that interact
                                                  response to Comment 26.                                 based on habitat associations) to fill                with marine mammals). NMFS also
                                                     Comment 36: Separate PBRs for stocks                 gaps in survey coverage and estimate                  produces stand-alone injury
                                                  with multiple feeding grounds should                    abundance and PBR, as appropriate and                 determination and bycatch papers by
                                                  not be used. Separating PBR among                       when supported by existing data.                      region, which has reduced the amount
                                                  feeding stocks is complicated and data-                                                                       of information that needs to go into the
                                                  intensive, and is unlikely to improve                   Comments on Topic 5: Reporting of
                                                                                                          Mortality and Serious Injury                          SARs, as they are incorporated by
                                                  management. NMFS is rarely able to
                                                                                                                                                                reference. The agency will continue to
                                                  adequately determine which portion of                      Comment 39: The Commission
                                                                                                                                                                improve the clarity of how interaction
                                                  the stock was involved in a human                       recommends that NMFS require a
                                                                                                          summary of all human-caused mortality                 data are presented within the SARs.
                                                  interaction.
                                                     Response: See response to Comment                    and serious injury in each stock                         Comment 41: The SARs tend to lag
                                                  26.                                                     assessment report. Efforts to meet that               approximately two years behind in
                                                     Comment 37: There is concern that                    requirement will almost certainly vary,               incorporating available observer bycatch
                                                  failure to estimate a population-wide                   perhaps markedly. With that in mind,                  data. For some fisheries that have 100-
                                                  PBR in the assessments will lead to the                 the Commission encourages NMFS to                     percent observer coverage such as the
                                                  reliance on the proposed default of                     re-examine those report sections after                Hawaii-based swordfish fishery, such
                                                  assuming the population is in decline.                  one to two years to identify the most                 bycatch data are available in near real-
                                                  The agency should develop an                            effective reporting strategies that could             time. Review of new data should be
                                                  assessment methodology based on the                     then be used to develop a consistent and              conducted promptly given that PBR, the
                                                  best available data and devise a                        informative reporting approach.                       zero mortality rate goal, and strategic
                                                  statistically sound interpolation                          Response: Section 117 of the MMPA                  status for stocks are all based on the
                                                  algorithm to fill in gaps in survey                     requires that all sources of human-                   most recent SAR.
                                                  coverage and estimate abundance over                    caused mortality and serious injury be
                                                                                                          included in stock assessments. NMFS                      Response: Bycatch data for most
                                                  the range of the population. If this is not
                                                  developed then there is a very strong                   makes every effort to include these                   fisheries are not available in real-time
                                                  possibility that assessment scientists                  sources of anthropogenic mortality and                and every effort is made to produce and
                                                  will discount or not utilize historical                 serious injury in each stock assessment,              incorporate new bycatch estimates from
                                                  estimates derived from multiple surveys                 whether the mortality or serious injury               observer data in a timely manner into
                                                  spanning multiple geographic regions in                 is systematically recorded by fishery                 the draft SARs. SARs are typically
                                                  one year, and/or limited surveys the                    observer programs or through                          drafted in the autumn of each year, with
                                                  following year.                                         opportunistic records, such as                        previous calendar year observer data
                                                     Response: NMFS recognizes the need                   strandings, where the cause of death or               representing the most up-to-date full-
                                                  to estimate population-wide PBR for                     serious injury can be linked to human-                year information. For example, draft
                                                  marine mammal stocks, which is why                      related causes. NMFS understands that                 2016 SARs will be prepared in the
                                                                                                                                                                autumn of 2015 for review by regional
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                                                  the revised guidelines allow for the use                clearly presenting these mortality and
                                                  of informed interpolation (i.e., model-                 serious injury data in the SARs is an                 Scientific Review Groups in early 2016.
                                                  based abundance estimation) to fill gaps                important part of allowing the public to              These draft 2016 reports will utilize
                                                  in geographical survey coverage. Where                  interpret the status of marine mammal                 bycatch data from calendar year 2014 if
                                                  interpolation is employed, the Reports                  stocks. Every effort will be made to                  available, thus the 2-year time lag
                                                  should include a statement about the                    continue to improve the way in which                  between the year the reports are
                                                  level of uncertainty surrounding the                    mortality and serious injury are reported             published and the year of the most
                                                  estimates.                                              in the SARs.                                          recent bycatch data.


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                                                  10840                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  Comments on Topic 6: Determining                        either based on previous abundance                    Comment 45 regarding MMPA sec.
                                                  When Stock Declines Warrant a                           estimates or historical abundance                     3(19)(B).
                                                  Strategic Designation                                   estimated by back-calculation, should                    Comment 47: The Pacific SRG
                                                                                                          be noted in the Status of Stocks section              supports the revision of when stock
                                                     Comment 42: In an apparent attempt
                                                                                                          as likely to be below OSP. The choice                 declines merit a strategic designation
                                                  to interpret the MMPA definition of
                                                                                                          of 50 percent does not mean that OSP                  but suggests wording changes that give
                                                  strategic stock, the proposed guidelines
                                                                                                          is at 50 percent of historical numbers,               NMFS more flexibility surrounding the
                                                  suggest that a ‘‘strategic stock’’ is a stock
                                                                                                          but rather that a population below this               obligation to determine when a stock is
                                                  that ‘‘is declining and has a greater than
                                                                                                          level would be below OSP with high                    depleted prior to classifying it as
                                                  50 percent probability of a continuing
                                                                                                          probability.’’                                        strategic. The SRG recommends that the
                                                  decline of at least five percent per year.’’
                                                                                                             Comment 44: The Alaska SRG                         NMFS regularly review whether a
                                                  However, in reality, a stock that ‘‘has a
                                                                                                          supports the quantitative                             ‘‘depleted’’ status is warranted for (1)
                                                  greater than 50 percent probability of a
                                                                                                          recommendations for determining when                  unlisted stocks of marine mammals that
                                                  continuing decline of at least five                     non-ESA listed stocks should be                       are declining and (2) stocks listed as
                                                  percent per year’’ would not necessarily                considered as ‘‘strategic.’’ We also find             depleted that are recovering.
                                                  qualify as ‘‘threatened’’ in all cases.                 the rationale for using 15 years as ‘‘the                Response: NMFS acknowledges this
                                                  Rather, the determination of                            foreseeable future’’ a reasonable default             comment, and agrees that the depleted
                                                  ‘‘threatened’’ status under the ESA                     because it is based on a five percent                 status of marine mammal stocks should
                                                  requires a species-specific analysis of                 decrease over a 15-year period resulting              be reviewed periodically to ensure that
                                                  specific factors that are expressly set                 in a 50 percent decline.                              designations are appropriate. We are
                                                  forth in the ESA. While NMFS may have                      Response: At this time, NMFS is not                currently evaluating information
                                                  the discretion to develop a general                     adopting the recommended changes                      contained within a review of the SARs
                                                  guideline for determining ‘‘strategic’’                 related to strategic status of stocks that            conducted by the Commission and will,
                                                  status, NMFS may not mechanically                       are declining and likely to be listed as              as a part of this evaluation, consider
                                                  apply the ‘‘strategic stock’’ definition set            a threatened species under the ESA                    whether there is more that NMFS
                                                  forth in the proposed guidelines.                       within the foreseeable future.                        should to do enhance consistency and
                                                     Response: NMFS acknowledges this                        Comment 45: The Alaska SRG agrees                  accuracy with regard to depleted status
                                                  comment and has not made this revision                  with the working group’s                              of marine mammal stocks on a more
                                                  to the guidelines. See Response to                      recommendation that a Recovery Factor                 regular basis.
                                                  Comment 43.                                             scaled from 0.1 to 0.5 be associated with                Comment 48: Given the challenges
                                                     Comment 43: The Commission                           stocks that are declining and likely to be            facing NMFS to collect timely data
                                                  recommends that NMFS consider any                       listed as a threatened species under the              covering the full range of stocks already
                                                  marine mammal stock that has declined                   ESA within the foreseeable future. In                 designated as strategic, NMFS should
                                                  by 40 percent or more to be strategic.                  some cases where a decline is steep and               not adopt new guidelines to take on the
                                                  Additionally, the Commission and the                    ongoing or where the uncertainty about                responsibility of delineating strategic
                                                  Humane Society of the United States                     the population or causes of the decline               stocks that are not designated under the
                                                  recommend that stocks declining with                    are high a lower recovery factor could                ESA. There is already an acceptable
                                                  more than 50 percent probability of                     be warranted. We also recommend that                  federal process under the ESA to
                                                  continuing decline (by at least five                    there be a more formal process for                    designate strategic stocks.
                                                  percent/year) should be treated as                      NMFS to regularly review non-ESA                         Response: The ESA does not
                                                  strategic with the aim of reducing and                  listed stocks of concern to determine                 designate stocks as strategic or non-
                                                  reversing the stock’s decline before a                  their status.                                         strategic. Rather, the MMPA directs
                                                  depleted designation is required.                          Response: As we are not finalizing the             stocks be considered strategic if ESA-
                                                     Response: Section 3(19) of the MMPA                  recommended changes regarding                         listed (i.e., threatened or endangered),
                                                  defines a ‘‘strategic stock,’’ as one: ‘‘(A)            strategic stock designation (sec. 3(19)(B)            depleted, or human-caused mortality
                                                  for which the level of direct human-                    of the MMPA), above, we have decided                  exceeds PBR. Additionally section
                                                  caused mortality exceeds the potential                  not to revise the guidelines regarding                3(19)(B) allows for strategic designations
                                                  biological removal level; (B) which,                    recovery factors under such situations at             of a stock that is declining and is likely
                                                  based on the best available scientific                  this time. Each time a SAR is reviewed,               to be listed as a threatened species
                                                  information, is declining and is likely to              the status of the stock is evaluated.                 under the Endangered Species Act of
                                                  be listed as a threatened species under                    Comment 46: While the revisions in                 1973 within the foreseeable future. At
                                                  the Endangered Species Act of 1973                      the guidelines are a step toward                      this time, we are not finalizing the
                                                  within the foreseeable future; or (C)                   developing criteria for a strategic                   recommended changes regarding
                                                  which is listed as a threatened species                 designation, and using the threatened                 strategic stock designation (sec. 3(19)(B)
                                                  or endangered species under the                         species recovery factors seems prudent,               of the MMPA).
                                                  Endangered Species Act of 1973 (16                      this revision falls short of setting
                                                  U.S.C. 1531 et seq.), or is designated as               timeframes to evaluate whether a stock                Comments on Topic 7: Assessing Stocks
                                                  depleted under this Act.’’ NMFS has not                 should be reclassified.                               Without Abundance Estimates or PBR
                                                  adopted the workshop-recommended                           Response: It is unclear whether the                   Comment 49: The Alaska SRG
                                                  revisions regarding a quantitative                      commenter is referencing evaluation                   supports the suggested guideline
                                                  interpretation of strategic status per                  timeframes under the MMPA (sec.                       modifications relating to the use of
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                                                  section 3(19)(B) but will continue to                   117(c)(1)) or the ESA (relative to the                trend monitoring. However, small
                                                  analyze how to interpret ‘‘likely to be                 interpretation of sec. 3(19)(B) of the                changes to the guidelines will do very
                                                  listed as a threatened species under the                MMPA). Stock assessments are                          little to improve the situation. More
                                                  (ESA) within the foreseeable future.’’                  reviewed by NMFS every three years for                substantive changes and new
                                                  However, NMFS has finalized the                         non-strategic stocks or every year for                approaches are needed and have been
                                                  revision regarding declines in                          strategic stocks. This sets the timeframe             described.
                                                  abundance: ‘‘Stocks that have evidence                  for evaluating whether a stock’s status                  Response: NMFS agrees that it would
                                                  suggesting at least a 50 percent decline,               should be revised. See response to                    be valuable to identify alternative


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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices                                              10841

                                                  approaches for assessing stock status,                  day should be used in stock                           monitored within the last five years that
                                                  apart from reliance on abundance                        assessments.                                          might be interacting with strategic
                                                  survey data, in regions where regular                      Response: Various sources of                       stocks.
                                                  surveys are cost-prohibitive. As noted in               information could be used to estimate                   Response: NMFS agrees that
                                                  the guidelines, such approaches could                   trends as long as the information is                  quantitative criteria should be used to
                                                  include trend monitoring at index sites.                credible and compatible with existing                 evaluate the uncertainty in marine
                                                  However, developing guidelines for                      statistical or modeling frameworks.                   mammal stock assessment reports and
                                                  alternative assessment methods was not                                                                        that a ‘‘report card’’ may be a good
                                                                                                          Comments on Topic 8: Characterizing
                                                  a focus of the GAMMS III workshop.                                                                            format for presenting this information.
                                                                                                          Uncertainty
                                                  NMFS will make efforts to consider how                                                                        The quantitative criteria and format for
                                                  alternative sets of information could be                   Comment 53: The Commission                         this has not yet been finalized and is not
                                                  used to aid its marine mammal stock                     recommends that NMFS include all                      specified in the revised guidelines. The
                                                  assessments. See responses to Comment                   relevant sources or measures of                       workshop participants also saw merit to
                                                  3 and Comment 4.                                        uncertainty in stock assessment                       the report card, but there was general
                                                     Comment 50: Based on the statutory                   documents. Such indicators of                         agreement that such information would
                                                  mandate to use the PBR formula, NMFS                    uncertainty are essential for readers to              be better conveyed as a periodic
                                                  should prioritize gathering data for any                form reliable conclusions regarding the               publication, such as in a NOAA
                                                                                                          status of the affected stocks and the                 Technical Memorandum, which could
                                                  stocks with insufficient information to
                                                                                                          factors affecting them.                               be considered by the SRGs.
                                                  calculate levels of abundance, trends, or
                                                                                                             Response: NMFS agrees that                           Comment 56: The Alaska SRG
                                                  mortality. NMFS should not consider                     information on key sources of
                                                  approaches other than those that are                                                                          supports including a characterization of
                                                                                                          uncertainty should be made explicit in                uncertainty in the Status of Stocks
                                                  mandated and should provide                             the Reports, and this has been added to
                                                  admonition that stocks should not                                                                             section, and recommends that it be
                                                                                                          the revised guidelines.                               described as ‘‘reliable,’’ ‘‘moderately
                                                  automatically be determined to be non-                     Comment 54: The Pacific SRG has
                                                  strategic in the absence of information.                                                                      reliable,’’ or ‘‘unreliable’’ as a clear way
                                                                                                          strived over the years to make the SARs               to characterize the overall utility of the
                                                  Absence of data on the degree of impact                 models of conciseness, and the
                                                  to stocks is not the same as data on the                                                                      status determination. We also support
                                                                                                          proposed guidelines could reverse these               the suggestion that an overall
                                                  absence of impacts to stocks.                           efforts. SARs should be summaries of                  assessment of the quality of SARs be
                                                     Response: NMFS does prioritize its                   significant results and conclusions and               conducted periodically and reported as
                                                  data collection based upon what it                      not lengthy discussions including                     Tech Memos, but not as a substitute for
                                                  perceives to be the most critical                       detailed descriptions of methods and                  the ‘‘report cards’’ in the individual
                                                  information gaps. NMFS does not make                    repetitive caveats. The recommendation                SARs.
                                                  the default assumption that a stock is                  to include statements regarding                         Response: Uncertainty comes in many
                                                  strategic or non-strategic until                        uncertainty about parameters affecting                gradations, and the method of
                                                  demonstrated otherwise. See response                    PBR has been made by the Pacific SRG                  determining PBR for human-caused
                                                  to Comment 20.                                          previously, which envisioned a brief                  mortality and serious injury was
                                                     Comment 51: If a significant data                    separate ‘‘Uncertainties’’ section                    specifically designed to be effective at
                                                  shortage makes it difficult to identify                 summarizing significant sources of                    achieving management objectives in the
                                                  unit stocks, then NMFS should make it                   uncertainty in the stock assessment.                  face of many sources and levels of
                                                  a high priority to remedy this                          Lengthy discussions of uncertainty                    uncertainty. Furthermore, the revised
                                                  uncertainty that seems crucial to                       embedded in each SAR section reduce                   guidelines recommend that the most
                                                  determine ‘‘population status.’’ What                   clarity and readability. Additions such               prevalent sources of uncertainty in
                                                  has NMFS done to improve ‘‘best                         as points of contact could be placed in               determining stock status and PBR levels
                                                  available science’’ on marine mammal                    an appendix to each set of SARs, but not              be identified so that future research can
                                                  abundance and stock structure?                          be placed in each individual SAR.                     be better directed at reducing these
                                                     Response: NMFS agrees that it is a                      Response: NMFS agrees that                         sources of uncertainty.
                                                  high priority to improve the                            discussions of uncertainty should be
                                                  identification of unit stocks. Consistent               added in a way that will not detract                  Comments on Topic 9: Expanding SARs
                                                  with this, the GAMMS III workshop                       from the clarity and readability of the               To Include Non-Serious Injury and
                                                  participants recommended a national                     stock assessment reports and will not                 Disturbance
                                                  workshop be held to review and                          add appreciably to the length of those                   Comment 57: The Commission
                                                  summarize information that is relevant                  reports. The workshop participants’                   recommends that NMFS require
                                                  to population structure. NMFS                           recommended addition of providing a                   sections in stock assessment reports that
                                                  convened such a workshop and has                        point of contact has not been                         identify and characterize non-lethal
                                                  begun developing an internal procedure                  incorporated.                                         factors that may affect population status.
                                                  for identifying and prioritizing stocks in                 Comment 55: The Alaska SRG                            Response: Section 117(a)(3) requires
                                                  need of examination for potential                       supports changes to guidelines that                   NMFS, in consultation with the
                                                  revisions that would complement and                     would help ensure that SARs provide                   appropriate regional scientific review
                                                  be integrated into the stock delineation                adequate evaluations of uncertainty. We               group, to include other factors that
                                                  workshop outputs and the existing SAR                   recommend a ‘report card’ format as                   might be causing a decline or impeding
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                                                  process.                                                suggested by workshop attendees that                  recovery of a strategic stock, including
                                                     Comment 52: Given that the MMPA                      will likely be more user-friendly and                 effects on marine mammal habitat and
                                                  provides significant latitude in data                   promote consistency between regional                  prey. While inclusion of non-lethal
                                                  sources for affected species and to the                 SARs. Additionally, this format would                 factors may be a useful qualitative
                                                  extent that ‘‘anecdotal information’’ and               be more concise than the text additions               approach, such factors cannot be
                                                  ‘‘unpublished information’’ are used,                   recommended in the GAMMS III                          compared to PBR to assess population
                                                  ‘‘trend monitoring’’ information from                   proposed guidelines. This report card                 status. Furthermore, other
                                                  the fishermen who are out there every                   could include the proportion of fisheries             environmental documents such as


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                                                  10842                        Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 41 / Wednesday, March 2, 2016 / Notices

                                                  environmental assessments or impact                     determined to be serious injuries or                     Under the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery
                                                  statements required under the National                  mortalities.                                          Conservation and Management Act, the
                                                  Environmental Policy Act would                             Comment 61: The guidelines should                  Secretary of Commerce (Secretary) has
                                                  contain that information, where known.                  require a ‘‘Habitat Concerns’’ section in             the responsibility for the conservation
                                                  Consistent with SRG recommendations,                    all new stock assessments. If there are               and management of marine fishery
                                                  NMFS is trying to keep the SARs                         no known habitat issues, this should be               resources. Much of this responsibility
                                                  concise.                                                stated.                                               has been delegated to the National
                                                     Comment 58: NMFS should revise the                      Response: The previous (2005)                      Oceanic and Atmospheric
                                                  guidelines to delete any suggestion that                guidelines direct that if substantial                 Administration (NOAA)/National
                                                  a mere ‘‘disturbance’’ or ‘‘non-serious                 issues regarding the habitat of the stock             Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS).
                                                  injury’’ is sufficient to be included in                are important, a separate section titled              Under this stewardship role, the
                                                  SARs. SARs should only include                          ‘‘Habitat Issues’’ should be used.                    Secretary was given certain regulatory
                                                  events—in particular commercial                         Specifically, ‘‘If data exist that indicate           authorities to ensure the most beneficial
                                                  fishing events—which cause mortality                    a problem, they should be summarized                  uses of these resources. One of the
                                                  or serious injury, or which can be                      and included in the Report. If there are              regulatory steps taken to carry out the
                                                  shown to cause the decline or impede                    no known habitat issues or other factors              conservation and management
                                                  the recovery of a strategic stock. This                 causing a decline or impeding recovery,
                                                                                                                                                                objectives is to collect data from users
                                                  has been NMFS’ position in the past, it                 this should be stated in the Status of the
                                                                                                                                                                of the resource. Thus, as regional
                                                  is correct, and it should not be changed.               Stock section.’’ This section of the
                                                                                                                                                                Fishery Management Councils develop
                                                     Response: The MMPA requires SARs                     guidelines was not changed in this
                                                                                                                                                                specific Fishery Management Plans
                                                  to include an estimate of all sources of                revision.
                                                                                                                                                                (FMP), the Secretary has promulgated
                                                  human-caused mortality and serious                        Dated: February 26, 2016.                           rules for the issuance and use of a vessel
                                                  injury, not just an estimate of                         Perry F. Gayaldo,                                     Interactive Voice Response (IVR)
                                                  commercial fisheries mortality. See                     Deputy Director, Office of Protected                  system, a Vessel Monitoring System
                                                  response to Comment 57.                                 Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service.         (VMS) and vessel logbooks (VTR) to
                                                     Comment 59: The Alaska SRG agrees                    [FR Doc. 2016–04537 Filed 3–1–16; 8:45 am]            obtain fishery-dependent data to
                                                  that SARs should include the annual                     BILLING CODE 3510–22–P                                monitor, evaluate, and enforce fishery
                                                  levels of mortality and serious injury                                                                        regulations.
                                                  reported through take authorizations
                                                                                                          DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE                                   Fishing vessels permitted to
                                                  and research permits in the ‘‘Other
                                                                                                                                                                participate in Federally-permitted
                                                  Mortality’’ section.
                                                                                                          National Oceanic and Atmospheric                      fisheries in the Northeast are required to
                                                     Response: NMFS acknowledges this                                                                           submit logbooks containing catch and
                                                  and is finalizing this text within the                  Administration
                                                                                                                                                                effort information about their fishing
                                                  revised guidelines under the Annual                     Submission for OMB Review;                            trips. Participants in the herring, tilefish
                                                  Human-caused Mortality and Serious                      Comment Request                                       and red crab fisheries are also required
                                                  Injury section.                                                                                               to make weekly reports on their catch
                                                     Comment 60: The MMPA allows for                        The Department of Commerce will
                                                                                                                                                                through IVR. In addition, vessels fishing
                                                  SAR comments on non-lethal factors                      submit to the Office of Management and
                                                                                                          Budget (OMB) for clearance the                        under a days-at sea (DAS) management
                                                  affecting recovery for strategic stocks,                                                                      system can use the IVR system to
                                                  and it seems reasonable that SARs for                   following proposal for collection of
                                                                                                          information under the provisions of the               request a DAS credit when they have
                                                  non-strategic stocks should also                                                                              canceled a trip for unforeseen
                                                  evaluate such factors. However, because                 Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C.
                                                                                                          Chapter 35).                                          circumstances. The information
                                                  there is a high degree of uncertainty                                                                         submitted is needed for the management
                                                  regarding population-level effects of                     Agency: National Oceanic and
                                                                                                          Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).                    of the fisheries.
                                                  non-lethal injury and disturbance, it is
                                                  inappropriate to include estimates of                     Title: Greater Atlantic Region Logbook                 Affected Public: Business or other for-
                                                  those takes in the SARs unless there is                 Family of Forms.                                      profit organizations.
                                                  evidence they are affecting stock                         OMB Control Number: 0648–0212.
                                                                                                            Form Number(s): NOAA 88–30 and                         Frequency: Weekly, monthly and on
                                                  recovery. Disturbance and non-serious                                                                         occasion.
                                                                                                          88–140.
                                                  injury do not constitute ‘‘Potential                      Type of Request: Regular (extension of                 Respondent’s Obligation: Mandatory.
                                                  Biological Removal.’’ While it may be                   a currently approved information
                                                  useful for NMFS permit users or others                                                                           This information collection request
                                                                                                          collection).                                          may be viewed at reginfo.gov. Follow
                                                  to compare their potential for                            Number of Respondents: 4,337.
                                                  disturbance/injury to a stock’s PBR, this                                                                     the instructions to view Department of
                                                                                                            Average Hours per Response: 5
                                                  falls outside the intent of the MMPA-                                                                         Commerce collections currently under
                                                                                                          minutes per Fishing Vessel Trip Report
                                                  mandated PBR process for managing                                                                             review by OMB.
                                                                                                          page (FVTR); 12.5 minutes per response
                                                  interactions with commercial fisheries.                 for the Shellfish Log; 4 minutes for a                   Written comments and
                                                     Response: The revised GAMMS                          herring or red crab report to the IVR                 recommendations for the proposed
                                                  specify that SARs contain information                   system; 2 minutes for a tilefish report to            information collection should be sent
                                                  on other factors that may be causing a                  the Interactive Voice Response (IVR)                  within 30 days of publication of this
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                                                  decline or impeding recovery strategic                  system; 30 seconds for voluntary                      notice to OIRA_Submission@omb.
                                                  stocks, which we have interpreted as                    additional halibut information; and 5                 eop.gov or fax to (202) 395–5806.
                                                  including non-lethal effects. As                        minutes for each Days at Sea (DAS)                      Dated: February 25, 2016.
                                                  discussed in response to Comment 9, we                  credit request.                                       Sarah Brabson,
                                                  would report on all activities found to                   Burden Hours: 11,508.
                                                  be having a detrimental effect on a stock                 Needs and Uses: This request is for an              NOAA PRA Clearance Officer.
                                                  or its habitat. Within the SARs, PBR is                 extension of a currently approved                     [FR Doc. 2016–04488 Filed 3–1–16; 8:45 am]
                                                  only compared to takes that are                         information collection.                               BILLING CODE 3510–22–P




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Document Created: 2018-02-02 15:04:01
Document Modified: 2018-02-02 15:04:01
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
ActionNotice of availability; response to comments.
ContactShannon Bettridge, Office of Protected Resources, 301-427-8402, [email protected]
FR Citation81 FR 10830 
RIN Number0648-XA93

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