83_FR_28054 83 FR 27938 - Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Arizona; Nonattainment Plan for the Miami SO2

83 FR 27938 - Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Arizona; Nonattainment Plan for the Miami SO2

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

Federal Register Volume 83, Issue 116 (June 15, 2018)

Page Range27938-27948
FR Document2018-12913

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve an Arizona state implementation plan (SIP) revision for attaining the 1-hour sulfur dioxide (SO<INF>2</INF>) primary national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS or ``standard'') for the Miami SO<INF>2</INF> nonattainment area (NAA). This SIP revision (hereinafter called the ``Miami SO<INF>2</INF> Plan'' or ``Plan'') includes Arizona's attainment demonstration and other elements required under the Clean Air Act (CAA or ``Act''). In addition to an attainment demonstration, the Plan addresses the requirement for meeting reasonable further progress toward attainment of the NAAQS, reasonably available control measures and reasonably available control technology, base-year and projected emission inventories, enforceable emissions limitations and control measures, and contingency measures. The EPA proposes to conclude that Arizona has appropriately demonstrated that the Plan provides for attainment of the 2010 1-hour primary SO<INF>2</INF> NAAQS in the Miami SO<INF>2</INF> NAA by the attainment date of October 4, 2018 and that the Plan meets the other applicable requirements under the CAA.

Federal Register, Volume 83 Issue 116 (Friday, June 15, 2018)
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 116 (Friday, June 15, 2018)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 27938-27948]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2018-12913]


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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

40 CFR Part 52

[EPA-R09-OAR-2017-0621; FRL-9979-49--Region 9]


Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; 
Arizona; Nonattainment Plan for the Miami SO2 Nonattainment Area

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION: Proposed rule.

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SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to 
approve an Arizona state implementation plan (SIP) revision for 
attaining the 1-hour sulfur dioxide (SO2) primary national 
ambient air quality standard (NAAQS or ``standard'') for the Miami 
SO2 nonattainment area (NAA). This SIP revision (hereinafter 
called the ``Miami SO2 Plan'' or ``Plan'') includes 
Arizona's attainment demonstration and other elements required under 
the Clean Air Act (CAA or ``Act''). In addition to an attainment 
demonstration, the Plan addresses the requirement for meeting 
reasonable further progress toward attainment of the NAAQS, reasonably 
available control measures and reasonably available control technology, 
base-year and projected emission inventories, enforceable emissions 
limitations and control measures, and contingency measures. The EPA 
proposes to conclude that Arizona has appropriately demonstrated that 
the Plan provides for attainment of the 2010 1-hour primary 
SO2 NAAQS in the Miami SO2 NAA by the attainment 
date of October 4, 2018 and that the Plan meets the other applicable 
requirements under the CAA.

DATES: Comments must be received on or before July 16, 2018.

ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R09-
OAR-2017-0621 at http://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online 
instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot 
be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish any 
comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any 
information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) 
or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. 
Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a 
written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment 
and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA 
will generally not consider comments or comment contents located 
outside of the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other 
file sharing system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA 
public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, 
and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit http://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:  Krishna Viswanathan, EPA, Region IX, 
Air Division, Air Planning Office, (520) 999-7880 or 
[email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document whenever, ``we,'' 
``us,'' or ``our'' is used, we mean the EPA.

Table of Contents

I. Why was Arizona required to submit a plan for the Miami 
SO2 NAA?
II. Requirements for SO2 Nonattainment Plans
III. Attainment Demonstration and Longer-Term Averaging
IV. Review of Modeled Attainment Demonstration
V. Review of Other Plan Requirements
VI. Conformity
VII. The EPA's Proposed Action
VIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

I. Why was Arizona required to submit a plan for the Miami SO[bdi2] 
NAA?

    On June 22, 2010, the EPA promulgated a new 1-hour primary 
SO2 NAAQS of 75 parts per billion (ppb). This standard is 
met at an ambient air quality monitoring site when the 3-year average 
of the annual 99th percentile of daily maximum 1-hour average 
concentrations does not exceed 75 ppb, as determined in accordance with 
appendix T of 40 CFR part 50.\1\ On August 5, 2013, the EPA designated 
a first set of 29 areas of the country as nonattainment for the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS, including the Miami SO2 NAA within 
Arizona.\2\ These area designations became effective on October 4, 
2013. Section 191 of the CAA directs states to submit SIPs for areas

[[Page 27939]]

designated as nonattainment for the SO2 NAAQS to the EPA 
within 18 months of the effective date of the designation, i.e., by no 
later than April 4, 2015, in this case (hereinafter called ``plans'' or 
``nonattainment plans''). Under CAA section 192, these plans are 
required to have measures that will help their respective areas attain 
the NAAQS as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than 5 years 
from the effective date of designation, which for the Miami 
SO2 NAA is October 4, 2018.
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    \1\ See 75 FR 35520, codified at 40 CFR 50.17(a)-(b).
    \2\ See 78 FR 47191, codified at 40 CFR part 81, subpart C.
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    For a number of areas, including the Miami SO2 NAA, the 
EPA published a document on March 18, 2016, finding that Arizona and 
other pertinent states had failed to submit the required SO2 
nonattainment plan by the submittal deadline.\3\ This finding, which 
became effective on April 18, 2016, initiated a deadline under CAA 
section 179(a) for the potential imposition of new source review offset 
and highway funding sanctions. Additionally, under CAA section 110(c), 
the finding triggered a requirement that the EPA promulgate a federal 
implementation plan (FIP) within two years of the effective date of the 
finding unless by that time the State had made the necessary complete 
submittal and the EPA had approved the submittal as meeting applicable 
requirements.
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    \3\ See 81 FR 14736.
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    In response to the requirement for SO2 nonattainment 
plan submittals, the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality (ADEQ) 
submitted the Miami SO2 Plan on March 9, 2017, and submitted 
associated final rules on April 6, 2017.\4\ The EPA issued letters 
dated July 17, 2017, and September 26, 2017, finding the submittals 
complete and halting the sanctions clock under CAA section 179(a).\5\
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    \4\ Letters from Tim Franquist, ADEQ, to Alexis Strauss, EPA, 
dated March 8, 2017, and April 6, 2017. Although the cover letter 
for the Miami SO2 Plan was dated March 8, 2017, the Plan 
was transmitted to the EPA on March 9, 2017.
    \5\ Letters from Elizabeth Adams, EPA, to Tim Franquist, ADEQ, 
dated July 17, 2017, and September 26, 2017.
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    The remainder of this preamble describes the requirements that 
nonattainment plans must meet in order to obtain EPA approval, provides 
a review of the Miami SO2 Plan with respect to these 
requirements, and describes the EPA's proposed action on the Plan.

II. Requirements for SO[bdi2] Nonattainment Plans

    Nonattainment plans for SO2 must meet the applicable 
requirements of the CAA, specifically CAA sections 110, 172, 191 and 
192. The EPA's regulations governing nonattainment SIP submissions are 
set forth at 40 CFR part 51, with specific procedural requirements and 
control strategy requirements residing at subparts F and G, 
respectively. Soon after Congress enacted the 1990 Amendments to the 
CAA, the EPA issued comprehensive guidance on SIP revisions in the 
``General Preamble for the Implementation of Title I of the Clean Air 
Act Amendments of 1990.'' \6\ Among other things, the General Preamble 
addressed SO2 SIP submissions and fundamental principles for 
SIP control strategies.\7\ On April 23, 2014, the EPA issued 
recommended guidance for meeting the statutory requirements in 
SO2 SIP submissions, in a document entitled, ``Guidance for 
1-Hour SO2 Nonattainment Area SIP Submissions'' (``2014 
SO2 Guidance''). In the 2014 SO2 Guidance, the 
EPA described the statutory requirements for a complete nonattainment 
plan, which include: An accurate emissions inventory of current 
emissions for all sources of SO2 within the NAA; an 
attainment demonstration; demonstration of RFP; implementation of RACM 
(including RACT); new source review, enforceable emissions limitations 
and control measures, and adequate contingency measures for the 
affected area.
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    \6\ See 57 FR 13498 (April 16, 1992) (General Preamble).
    \7\ Id. at 13545-49, 13567-68.
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    For the EPA to fully approve a SIP revision as meeting the 
requirements of CAA sections 110, 172 and 191-192 and the EPA's 
regulations at 40 CFR part 51, the plan for the affected area needs to 
demonstrate to the EPA's satisfaction that each of the aforementioned 
requirements has been met. Under CAA section 110(l), the EPA may not 
approve a plan that would interfere with any applicable requirement 
concerning NAAQS attainment and RFP, or any other applicable 
requirement. Under CAA section 193, no requirement in effect (or 
required to be adopted by an order, settlement, agreement, or plan in 
effect before November 15, 1990) in any area that is a NAA for any air 
pollutant may be modified in any manner unless it insures equivalent or 
greater emission reductions of such air pollutant.

III. Attainment Demonstration and Longer-Term Averaging

    Section 172(c)(1) and 172(c)(6) of the CAA direct states with areas 
designated as nonattainment to demonstrate that the submitted plan 
provides for attainment of the NAAQS. 40 CFR part 51, subpart G further 
delineates the control strategy requirements that plans must meet, and 
the EPA has long required that all SIPs and control strategies reflect 
four fundamental principles of quantification, enforceability, 
replicability, and accountability.\8\ SO2 nonattainment 
plans must consist of two components: (1) Emission limits and other 
control measures that assure implementation of permanent, enforceable 
and necessary emission controls, and (2) a modeling analysis that meets 
the requirements of 40 CFR part 51, appendix W and demonstrates that 
these emission limits and control measures provide for timely 
attainment of the primary SO2 NAAQS as expeditiously as 
practicable, but by no later than the attainment date for the affected 
area. In cases where the necessary emission limits have not previously 
been made a part of the state's SIP, or have not otherwise become 
federally enforceable, the plan needs to include the necessary 
enforceable limits in adopted form suitable for incorporation into the 
SIP in order for the plan to be approved by the EPA. In all cases, the 
emission limits and control measures must be accompanied by appropriate 
methods and conditions to determine compliance with the respective 
emission limits and control measures and must be quantifiable (i.e., a 
specific amount of emission reduction can be ascribed to the measures), 
fully enforceable (i.e., specifying clear, unambiguous and measurable 
requirements for which compliance can be practicably determined), 
replicable (i.e., the procedures for determining compliance are 
sufficiently specific and non-subjective so that two independent 
entities applying the procedures would obtain the same result), and 
accountable (i.e., source specific limits must be permanent and must 
reflect the assumptions used in the SIP demonstrations).
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    \8\ See 57 FR at 13567-68 (April 16, 1992).
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    The EPA's 2014 SO2 Guidance recommends that the emission 
limits be expressed as short-term average limits not to exceed the 
averaging time for the applicable NAAQS that the limit is intended to 
help maintain (e.g., addressing emissions averaged over one or three 
hours), but it also describes the option to utilize emission limits 
with longer averaging times of up to 30 days as long as the state meets 
various suggested criteria.\9\ The 2014 SO2 Guidance 
recommends that--should states and sources utilize longer averaging 
times (such as 30 days)--the longer-term average limit should be set at 
an adjusted level that reflects a

[[Page 27940]]

stringency comparable to the 1-hour average limit at the critical 
emission value shown to provide for attainment.
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    \9\ See 2014 SO2 Guidance, pages 22 to 39.
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    The 2014 SO2 Guidance provides an extensive discussion 
of the EPA's rationale for concluding that appropriately set, 
comparably stringent limitations based on averaging times as long as 30 
days can be found to provide for attainment of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS. In evaluating this option, the EPA considered the nature of the 
standard, conducted detailed analyses of the impact of use of 30-day 
average limits on the prospects for attaining the standard, and 
carefully reviewed how best to achieve an appropriate balance among the 
various factors that warrant consideration in judging whether a state's 
plan provides for attainment.\10\
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    \10\ Id. pages 22 to 39. See also id. at Appendices B and D.
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    As specified in 40 CFR 50.17(b), the 1-hour primary SO2 
NAAQS is met at an ambient air quality monitoring site when the 3-year 
average of the annual 99th percentile of daily maximum 1-hour average 
concentrations is less than or equal to 75 ppb. In a year with 365 days 
of valid monitoring data, the 99th percentile would be the fourth 
highest daily maximum 1-hour value. The 2010 SO2 NAAQS, 
including this form of determining compliance with the standard, was 
upheld by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia 
Circuit in Nat'l Envt'l Dev. Ass'n's Clean Air Project v. EPA, 686 F.3d 
803 (D.C. Cir. 2012). Because the standard has this form, a single 
hourly exceedance does not create a violation of the standard. Instead, 
at issue is whether a source operating in compliance with a properly 
set longer-term average could cause hourly exceedances, and if so what 
the resulting frequency and magnitude of such exceedances would be, and 
in particular whether the EPA can have reasonable confidence that a 
properly set longer-term average limit will provide that the three-year 
average of the annual fourth highest daily maximum hourly value will be 
at or below 75 ppb. A synopsis of the EPA's review of how to judge 
whether such plans ``provide for attainment,'' based on modeling of 
projected allowable emissions and in light of the NAAQS' form for 
determining attainment at monitoring sites, follows.
    For SO2 plans based on 1-hour emission limits, the 
standard approach is to conduct modeling using fixed emission rates. 
The maximum emission rate that would be modeled to result in attainment 
(i.e., in an ``average year'' \11\ shows three, not four days with 
maximum hourly levels exceeding 75 ppb) is labeled the ``critical 
emission value.'' The modeling process for identifying this critical 
emissions value inherently considers the numerous variables that affect 
ambient concentrations of SO2, such as meteorological data, 
background concentrations, and topography. In the standard approach, 
the state would then provide for attainment by setting a continuously 
applicable 1-hour emission limit at this critical emission value.
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    \11\ An ``average year'' is used to mean a year with average air 
quality. While 40 CFR part 50, appendix T provides for averaging 
three years of 99th percentile daily maximum hourly values (e.g., 
the fourth highest maximum daily hourly concentration in a year with 
365 days with valid data), this discussion and an example below uses 
a single ``average year'' in order to simplify the illustration of 
relevant principles.
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    The EPA recognizes that some sources have highly variable emissions 
due, for example, to variations in fuel sulfur content and operating 
rate, that can make it extremely difficult, even with a well-designed 
control strategy, to ensure in practice that emissions for any given 
hour do not exceed the critical emission value. The EPA also 
acknowledges the concern that longer-term emission limits can allow 
short periods with emissions above the critical emissions value, which, 
if coincident with meteorological conditions conducive to high 
SO2 concentrations, could in turn create the possibility of 
a NAAQS exceedance occurring on a day when an exceedance would not have 
occurred if emissions were continuously controlled at the level 
corresponding to the critical emission value. However, for several 
reasons, the EPA believes that the approach recommended in the 2014 
SO2 Guidance suitably addresses this concern. First, from a 
practical perspective, the EPA expects the actual emission profile of a 
source subject to an appropriately set longer-term average limit to be 
similar to the emission profile of a source subject to an analogous 1-
hour average limit. The EPA expects this similarity because it has 
recommended that the longer-term average limit be set at a level that 
is comparably stringent to the otherwise applicable 1-hour limit 
(reflecting a downward adjustment from the critical emissions value) 
and that takes the source's emissions profile into account. As a 
result, the EPA expects either form of emission limit to yield 
comparable air quality.
    Second, from a more theoretical perspective, the EPA has compared 
the likely air quality with a source having maximum allowable emissions 
under an appropriately set longer-term limit, as compared to the likely 
air quality with the source having maximum allowable emissions under 
the comparable 1-hour limit. In this comparison, in the 1-hour-average-
limit scenario, the source is presumed at all times to emit at the 
critical emission level, and in the longer-term average limit scenario, 
the source is presumed occasionally to emit more than the critical 
emission value but on average, and presumably at most times, to emit 
well below the critical emission value. In an ``average year,'' 
compliance with the 1-hour limit is expected to result in three 
exceedance days (i.e., three days with hourly values above 75 ppb) and 
a fourth day with a maximum hourly value at 75 ppb. By comparison, with 
the source complying with a longer-term limit, it is possible that 
additional exceedances would occur that would not occur in the 1-hour 
limit scenario (if emissions exceed the critical emission value at 
times when meteorology is conducive to poor air quality). However, this 
comparison must also factor in the likelihood that exceedances that 
would be expected in the 1-hour limit scenario would not occur in the 
longer-term limit scenario. This result arises because the longer-term 
limit requires lower emissions most of the time (because the limit is 
set well below the critical emission value). Therefore, a source 
complying with an appropriately set longer-term limit is likely to have 
lower emissions at critical times than would be the case if the source 
were emitting as allowed with a 1-hour limit.
    The following hypothetical example illustrates the aforementioned 
points. Suppose there is a source that always emits 1000 pounds of 
SO2 per hour and these emissions result in air quality at 
the level of the NAAQS (i.e., a design value of 75 ppb).\12\ For this 
source, in an ``average year'', these emissions cause the five highest 
maximum daily average 1-hour concentrations to be 100 ppb, 90 ppb, 80 
ppb, 75 ppb, and 70 ppb. Subsequently, the source becomes subject to a 
30-day average emission limit of 700 (lb/hr). It is theoretically 
possible for a source meeting this limit to have emissions that 
occasionally exceed 1000 lb/hr, but with a typical emissions profile, 
emissions would much more commonly be between 600 and 800 lb/hr. In 
this simplified example, assume a zero-background concentration, which 
allows one to

[[Page 27941]]

assume a linear relationship between emissions and air quality.\13\ Air 
quality will depend on what emissions happen on what critical hours, 
but suppose that emissions at the relevant times on these five days are 
800 lb/hr, 1100 lb/hr, 500 lb/hr, 900 lb/hr, and 1200 lb/hr, 
respectively. (This is a conservative example because the average of 
these emissions, 900 lb/hr, is well over the 30-day average emission 
limit.) These emissions would result in daily maximum 1-hour 
concentrations of 80 ppb, 99 ppb, 40 ppb, 67.5 ppb, and 84 ppb. In this 
example, the fifth day would have an exceedance that would not 
otherwise have occurred, but the third and fourth days would not have 
exceedances that otherwise would have occurred. In this example, the 
fourth highest maximum daily concentration under the 30-day average 
would be 67.5 ppb.
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    \12\ Design values are the metrics (i.e., statistics) that are 
compared to the NAAQS levels to determine compliance. The design 
value for the primary 1-hour SO2 NAAQS is the 3-year 
average of annual 99th percentile daily maximum 1-hour values for a 
monitoring site, calculated as specified in 40 CFR part 50, appendix 
T, section 5.
    \13\ A nonzero background concentration would make the 
mathematics more difficult but would give similar results.
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    This simplified example illustrates the findings of a more 
complicated statistical analysis that the EPA conducted using a range 
of scenarios using actual plant data. As described in Appendix B of the 
2014 SO2 Guidance, the EPA found that the requirement for 
lower average emissions is highly likely to yield better air quality 
than is required with a comparably stringent 1-hour limit. Based on 
analyses described in appendix B of the 2014 SO2 Guidance, 
the EPA expects that an emission profile with maximum allowable 
emissions under an appropriately set comparably stringent 30-day 
average limit is likely to have the net effect of having a lower number 
of exceedances and better air quality than an emission profile with 
maximum allowable emissions under a 1-hour emission limit at the 
critical emission value.
    The EPA must evaluate whether a longer-term average emission limit 
approach, which is likely to produce a net lower number of overall 
exceedances of 75 ppb even though it may produce some exceedances of 75 
ppb on occasions when emissions are above the critical emission value, 
meets the requirements in sections 110(a)(1) and 172(c)(1) and (6) for 
state implementation plans to ``provide for attainment'' of the NAAQS. 
For SO2, as for other pollutants, it is generally impossible 
to design a nonattainment plan in the present that will guarantee that 
attainment will occur in the future. A variety of factors can cause a 
well-designed nonattainment plan to fail and unexpectedly not result in 
attainment (e.g., if meteorology occurs that is more conducive to poor 
air quality than was anticipated in the plan). Therefore, in 
determining whether a plan meets the requirement to provide for 
attainment, the EPA's task is commonly to judge not whether the plan 
provides absolute certainty that attainment will in fact occur, but 
rather whether the plan provides an adequate level of confidence of 
prospective NAAQS attainment. From this perspective, in evaluating use 
of a 30-day average limit, the EPA must weigh the likely net effect on 
air quality. Such an evaluation must consider the risk that occasions 
with meteorology conducive to high concentrations will have elevated 
emissions leading to exceedances that would not otherwise have 
occurred, and it must also weigh the likelihood that the requirement 
for lower emissions on average will result in days not having 
exceedances that would have been expected with emissions at the 
critical emissions value. Additional policy considerations, such as in 
this case the desirability of accommodating real-world emissions 
variability without significant risk of violations, are also 
appropriate factors for the EPA to weigh in judging whether a plan 
provides a reasonable degree of confidence that the plan will lead to 
attainment. Based on these considerations, especially given the high 
likelihood that a continuously enforceable limit averaged over as long 
as 30 days, determined in accordance with the 2014 SO2 
Guidance, will result in attainment, the EPA believes as a general 
matter that such limits, if appropriately determined, can reasonably be 
considered to provide for attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
    The 2014 SO2 Guidance offers specific recommendations 
for determining an appropriate longer-term average limit. The 
recommended method starts with determination of the 1-hour emission 
limit that would provide for attainment (i.e., the critical emission 
value) and applies an adjustment factor to determine the (lower) level 
of the longer-term average emission limit that would be estimated to 
have a stringency comparable to the otherwise necessary 1-hour emission 
limit. This method uses a database of continuous emission data 
reflecting the type of control that the source will be using to comply 
with the SIP emission limits, which may require use of an emission 
database from another source (e.g., if compliance requires new 
controls). The recommended method involves using these data to compute 
a complete set of emission averages, calculated according to the 
averaging time and averaging procedures of the prospective emission 
limitation. In this recommended method, the ratio of the 99th 
percentile among these long-term averages to the 99th percentile of the 
1-hour values represents an adjustment factor that may be multiplied by 
the candidate 1-hour emission limit to determine a longer-term average 
emission limit that may be considered comparably stringent.\14\ The 
guidance also addresses a variety of related topics, such as the 
potential utility of setting supplemental emission limits (e.g., mass-
based limits) to reduce the likelihood and/or magnitude of elevated 
emission levels that might occur under the longer-term emission rate 
limit.
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    \14\ For example, if the critical emission value is 1000 pounds 
of SO2 per hour, and a suitable adjustment factor is 
determined to be 70 percent, the recommended longer-term average 
limit would be 700 pounds per hour.
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    Preferred air quality models for use in regulatory applications are 
described in appendix A of the EPA's Guideline on Air Quality Models 
(40 CFR part 51, appendix W (``appendix W'')).\15\ In general, 
nonattainment SIP submissions must demonstrate the adequacy of the 
selected control strategy using the applicable air quality model 
designated in appendix W.\16\ However, where an air quality model 
specified in appendix W is inappropriate for the particular 
application, the model may be modified or another model substituted, if 
the EPA approves the modification or substitution.\17\ In 2005, the EPA 
promulgated the American Meteorological Society/Environmental 
Protection Agency Regulatory Model (AERMOD) as the Agency's preferred 
near-field dispersion modeling for a wide range of regulatory 
applications addressing stationary sources (e.g., in estimating 
SO2 concentrations) in all types of terrain based on 
extensive developmental and performance evaluation. Supplemental 
guidance on modeling for purposes of demonstrating attainment of the 
SO2 standard is provided in appendix A to the 2014 
SO2 Guidance. Appendix A provides extensive guidance on the 
modeling domain, the source inputs, assorted types of meteorological 
data, and background concentrations. Consistency with the 
recommendations in the 2014 SO2 Guidance is generally 
necessary for the attainment demonstration to offer adequately reliable 
assurance that the plan provides for attainment.
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    \15\ The EPA published revisions to appendix W on January 17, 
2017, 82 FR 5182.
    \16\ 40 CFR 51.112(a)(1).
    \17\ 40 CFR 51.112(a)(2); appendix W, section 3.2.
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    As stated previously, attainment demonstrations for the 2010 1-hour

[[Page 27942]]

primary SO2 NAAQS must demonstrate future attainment and 
maintenance of the NAAQS in the entire area designated as nonattainment 
(i.e., not just at the violating monitor) by using air quality 
dispersion modeling (see appendix W) to show that the mix of sources 
and enforceable control measures and emission rates in an identified 
area will not lead to a violation of the SO2 NAAQS. For a 
short-term (i.e., 1-hour) standard, the EPA believes that dispersion 
modeling, using allowable emissions and addressing stationary sources 
in the affected area (and in some cases those sources located outside 
the NAA which may affect attainment in the area) is technically 
appropriate. This approach is also efficient and effective in 
demonstrating attainment in NAAs because it takes into consideration 
combinations of meteorological and source operating conditions that may 
contribute to peak ground-level concentrations of SO2.
    The meteorological data used in the analysis should generally be 
processed with the most recent version of AERMET, which is the 
meteorological data preprocessor for AERMOD. Estimated concentrations 
should include ambient background concentrations, follow the form of 
the standard, and be calculated as described in the EPA's August 23, 
2010 clarification memo.\18\
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    \18\ ``Applicability of Appendix W Modeling Guidance for the 1-
hr SO2 National Ambient Air Quality Standard'' (August 
23, 2010).
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IV. Review of Modeled Attainment Demonstration

    The following discussion evaluates various features of the modeling 
that Arizona used in its attainment demonstration.

A. Model Selection

    Arizona's attainment demonstration used a combination of AERMOD and 
the Buoyant Line and Point Source model (BLP).\19\ The State used 
AERMOD version 14134 (``v14134''), the regulatory version at the time 
it conducted its nonattainment planning, for all emission sources 
except for those over the Freeport-McMoRan Miami Incorporated (FMMI) 
smelter (``Miami Smelter'' or ``Smelter'') building roofline. For 
AERMOD-only sources, the State used regulatory default options. To 
represent emissions from the Smelter roofline, the State used a 
combination of AERMOD v14134 and BLP (``BLP/AERMOD Hybrid Approach''). 
BLP was used to estimate hourly final plume rise and sigma-z (a measure 
of vertical size of the plume), which were then used to define volume 
sources in AERMOD. The State later repeated the simulation using AERMOD 
version 16216r, the current regulatory version, and showed no 
difference in predicted annual 4th high daily SO2 hourly 
concentrations from the previous version.\20\
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    \19\ See Appendix C to Miami SO2 Plan, ``Modeling 
Technical Support Document for the Miami Sulfur Dioxide 
(SO2) Nonattainment Area'' (Modeling TSD).
    \20\ See letter from Farah Mohammadesmaeili, ADEQ, to Rynda Kay, 
EPA Region 9, dated March 16, 2018.
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    The copper smelting process produces large amounts of excess heat. 
Fugitive SO2 is released from the Miami Smelter building 
roofline at an elevated temperature and velocity, leading to enhanced 
plume rise. AERMOD v14134 does not account for buoyant plume rise from 
line sources. At the time of preparation of the Miami SO2 
Plan, BLP was identified in appendix W as the preferred model for 
representing buoyant line sources.\21\ As noted above, where an air 
quality model specified in appendix W is inappropriate for the 
particular application, the model may be modified or another model 
substituted if the EPA approves the modification or substitution.\22\ 
Appendix W also specifies that for all such approvals, the EPA regional 
office will coordinate and seek the concurrence of the EPA's Model 
Clearinghouse.\23\ Arizona has sought approval to use the BLP/AERMOD 
Hybrid Approach under appendix W, paragraph 3.2.2(b), condition (2), 
which allows for use of an alternative model where ``a statistical 
performance evaluation has been conducted using measured air quality 
data and the results of that evaluation indicate the alternative model 
performs better for the given application than a comparable model in 
appendix A.'' The State provided a statistical performance evaluation 
using measured air quality data that demonstrates the alternative model 
performs better than the preferred model for this application. 
Additionally, the State provided technical justification for the 
validity of the approach for the meteorology and topography affecting 
this area. EPA Region 9 requested and received concurrence from the 
EPA's Model Clearinghouse that the alternative model is appropriate for 
this particular application.24 25 For the reasons described 
in the concurrence documents, the EPA finds this selection appropriate 
and proposes to approve use of this alternative under 40 CFR 
51.112(a)(2).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \21\ The EPA has since approved AERMOD, with newly incorporated 
BLP algorithms, as the preferred model for buoyant line sources. See 
82 FR 5182.
    \22\ 40 CFR 51.112(a)(2); Appendix W, section 3.2.
    \23\ Id. section 3.0(b).
    \24\ Further details can be found in ``Concurrence Request for 
Approval of Alternative Model: BLP/AERMOD Hybrid Approach for 
Modeling Buoyant Roofline Sources at the FMMI Copper Smelter in 
Miami, AZ'' (March 12, 2018).
    \25\ ``Model Clearinghouse Review of a BLP/AERMOD Hybrid 
Alternative Model Approach for Modeling Buoyant Roofline Sources at 
the FMMI Copper Smelter in Miami, AZ'' (March 26, 2018).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The modeling domain was centered on the Miami Smelter facility and 
extended to the edges of the Miami SO2 NAA. A grid spacing 
of 25 meters was used to resolve AERMOD model concentrations along the 
ambient air boundary surrounding the Smelter and increased toward the 
edges of the NAA. Receptors were excluded within the ambient air 
boundary, which is defined by the facility's physical fence line, 
except in several segments where there is no fence and the State 
inspected and concluded steep topography precludes public access. We 
agree with the State's conclusion that the model receptors placed by 
the State correspond to ambient air.

B. Meteorological Data

    Arizona conducted its modeling using three years of on-site surface 
meteorological data collected by FMMI between 2010 and 2013 at a 30.5-
meter tower located approximately 0.32 kilometer (km) southwest of the 
Smelter. The State provided annual audit reports for the monitoring 
station to document that the station's installation and data collection 
were consistent with the EPA recommendations.26 27 Cloud 
cover and relative humidity were not measured at the onsite location 
and were taken from the National Weather Service (NWS) station at 
Safford Airport (Weather Bureau Army Navy (WBAN) 93084), which is 132 
km to the southeast of the Smelter and representative of cloud cover 
and relative humidity to the Miami SO2 NAA. The State used 
upper air data from the NWS station in Tucson, Arizona (WBAN 23160), 
which is 146 km south of the Smelter. The State used AERMET v14134 to 
process meteorological data for use with AERMOD and the Meteorological

[[Page 27943]]

Processor for Regulatory Models for use with BLP.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \26\ See email from Farah Mohammadesmaeili, ADEQ, to Rynda Kay, 
EPA Region 9, dated March 16, 2018.
    \27\ ``EPA Meteorological Monitoring Guidance for Regulatory 
Modeling Applications.'' Publication No. EPA-454/R-99-005 (February 
2000).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The State used AERSURFACE version 13016 using data from the onsite 
location and the NWS Safford site to estimate the surface 
characteristics (i.e., albedo, Bowen ratio, and surface roughness 
(zo)). The State estimated zo values for 12 
spatial sectors out to 1 km at a seasonal temporal resolution for dry 
conditions. We conclude that the State appropriately selected 
meteorological sites, properly processed meteorological data, and 
adequately estimated surface characteristics.
    The State used the Auer (1978) land use method, with land cover 
data from the United States Geological Survey National Land Cover Data 
1992 archives, to determine that the 3-km area around the Miami Smelter 
is composed of 97.3% rural land types. Therefore, the State selected 
rural dispersion coefficients for modeling. We agree with the State's 
determination that the facility should be modeled as a rural source.

C. Emissions Data

    Arizona completed a modeling emissions inventory for sources within 
the Miami SO2 NAA and a 50-km buffer zone extending from the 
NAA boundary based on 2009-2011 data. In 2011, the Miami Smelter 
emitted 2,545 tpy SO2, accounting for more than 99.5% of 
SO2 emissions in the NAA. Other SO2 sources in 
the NAA include the Carlota Copper Pinto Valley Mine (2011 
SO2 emissions of 32 tpy) and the Freeport McMoRan Miami Mine 
Smelter (2011 SO2 emissions of 7 tpy), located 13 km and 3.3 
km southwest of the Miami Smelter, respectively. No other sources had 
2011 SO2 emissions greater than 1 tpy SO2 in the 
NAA. The ASARCO LLC (ASARCO) copper smelter is located 46 km south of 
the Miami Smelter and had 2011 SO2 emissions of 21,747 tpy. 
The two smelters are separated by large mountains, making these two 
airsheds distinct. The State modeled the ASARCO stack emissions and 
determined that the modeled concentrations from that source were 
negligible in the Miami SO2 NAA. The State determined that 
other than the Miami Smelter, no sources were drivers of nonattainment. 
The State also determined that no other sources have the potential to 
cause significant concentration gradients in the vicinity of the Miami 
SO2 NAA affected by the Miami Smelter. Additionally, the 
State determined that all nearby sources are sufficiently captured by 
background monitored concentrations. We agree with the State's 
determination that only Miami Smelter emissions need to be included in 
the attainment modeling.
    FMMI is undertaking substantial upgrades to the Smelter that will 
reduce SO2 and other pollutant emissions (see section 4.3 of 
the Miami SO2 Plan). The State estimated post-upgrade 
maximum 1-hour SO2 emissions and used those estimates to 
model all facility emission sources subject to additional control. The 
State provided a justification for the control efficiencies assumed in 
the adjustments, which we reviewed and agree are reasonable.\28\ The 
State also modeled additional sources within the Smelter complex, 
including intermittent emergency generators, smelter building leaks, 
slag storage area, and other small sources, which will not be subject 
to further control. These sources collectively account for an 
additional 8 pounds per hour (lb/hr) of SO2 emissions, which 
we agree were appropriately calculated.\29\ The resulting hourly 
emission rates used in the attainment modeling are shown in Table 1. 
Together these emissions accounted for a facility-wide critical 
emission value of 393 lb/hr (rounded to nearest whole number). The 
facility-wide critical emission value was used to derive a single 
facility-wide 30-day average emission limit, as described in section 
IV.D below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \28\ See ``FmmiReponseToEpaReview--20160721--Final w 
Signature.pdf'' and ``FMMI--Emissions-Inventory--2015-07-13--Past-
Actuals-Using-Sulfur-Balance.xlsx.''
    \29\ See Appendix K of Modeling TSD.

    Table 1--Projected Maximum Smelter SO2 Emissions After Additional
                                Controls
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                           SO2 Emissions
                         Source                               (lb/hr)
 
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Acid Plant Tail Gas Stack...............................             3.2
Vent Fume Stack.........................................            13.0
Aisle Scrubber Stack--Normal Operations.................            14.3
Aisle Scrubber Stack--Bypass Operations.................           275.0
Isa Roof Vent...........................................            31.8
ELF Roof Vent...........................................            14.2
Converter Roof Vent.....................................            25.6
Anode Roof Vent.........................................             8.0
Additional Sources......................................             8.0
                                                         ---------------
  Total.................................................             393
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The State asserts that a single facility-wide emission limit will 
adequately regulate emissions from each Smelter source. The State 
provided an analysis of the Smelter's emissions variability, which 
showed that, due to the batch nature of the smelting process, emissions 
are independent of one another and therefore do not peak at the same 
time. This analysis indicates that the collection of future maximum 
potential emission rates for each source listed in Table 1 is a 
conservative estimate of the worst-case emission distribution at the 
Smelter.\30\ Additionally, the State conducted a sensitivity analysis 
increasing the modeled emission rate of each source (except the bypass 
stack) by 21%, while proportionally decreasing the emission rate of the 
remaining sources so that total facility-wide emissions remained 
constant.\31\ The resulting modeled design values were within 1% of 
those predicted by the attainment modeling and all below the NAAQS. 
These analyses suggest that variations in the location of peak 
emissions will not affect attainment so that a facility-wide limit 
would be sufficiently protective. We agree with the State that a 
facility-wide emission limit is appropriate in this case.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \30\ See Appendix E of Modeling TSD.
    \31\ See Appendix I of Modeling TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The State also adequately characterized source parameters for the 
emissions described above, as well as the Miami Smelter's building 
layout and location in its modeling. Where appropriate, the AERMOD 
component Building Profile Input Program for Plume Rise Model 
Enhancements (BPIPPRM) was used to assist in addressing building 
downwash.

D. Emission Limits

    An important prerequisite for approval of a nonattainment plan is 
that the emission limits that provide for attainment be quantifiable, 
fully enforceable, replicable, and accountable.\32\ The numeric 
emission limit on which Arizona's Plan relies is expressed as a 30-day 
average limit. Therefore, part of the review of Arizona's Plan must 
address the use of longer-term average limits, both with respect to the 
general suitability of using such limits for this purpose and with 
respect to whether the particular numeric emission limit included in 
the Plan has been suitably demonstrated to provide for attainment. The 
first subsection that follows addresses the enforceability of the 
limits in the Plan (including both the numeric 30-day emission limit as 
well as operation and maintenance requirements, which also constitute 
emission limits),\33\ and the

[[Page 27944]]

second subsection that follows addresses the 30-day limit in 
particular.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \32\ See 57 FR at 13567-68.
    \33\ See CAA section 302(k)(defining ``emission limit'' to 
include ``any requirement relating to the operation or maintenance 
of a source to assure continuous emission reduction.'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

1. Enforceability
    The emission limits for the Miami Smelter are codified in the 
Arizona Administrative Code, Title 18, Chapter 2, Article 13, Section 
R18-2-C1302 (``Rule C1302''). After following proper public notice 
procedures, Rule C1302 was adopted by the State of Arizona through a 
final rulemaking in the Arizona Administrative Register. To ensure that 
the regulatory document was consistent with procedures for 
incorporating by reference, the EPA subsequently requested that ADEQ 
provide the version of this regulation that was codified in the Arizona 
Administrative Code as a supplement to the original SIP revision.
    Subsection (A)(2) of Rule C1302 (``Effective Date'') states that, 
``(e)xcept as otherwise provided, the provisions of this Section shall 
take effect on the later of the effective date of the Administrator's 
action approving it as part of the state implementation plan or January 
1, 2018.'' Accordingly, the majority of the rule's requirements will 
come into effect upon final approval by the EPA of the rule. We 
proposed to approve Rule C1302 into the Arizona SIP on March 30, 2018 
\34\ and we intend to finalize action on the rule prior to taking final 
action on the Miami SO2 Plan.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \34\ 83 FR 13716.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Rule C1302's 30-day rolling average emission limit of 142.45 lbs/hr 
applies to emissions from the tail gas stack, vent fume stack, aisle 
scrubber stack, and bypass stack, as well as any fugitives that may 
come from the roofline of the smelter structure. To ensure that all 
emission sources subject to the facility-wide limit are accurately 
monitored and reported, the rule also requires that continuous 
monitoring systems be installed on each of the aforementioned stacks 
and at the roofline to measure fugitive emissions. In addition, under 
subsection (E)(8) of Rule C1302, FMMI is required to develop and 
implement a roofline fugitive emissions monitoring plan for review and 
approval by ADEQ and the EPA. Furthermore, FMMI is required to develop 
and submit for EPA review and approval an Operations & Maintenance plan 
for capture and control systems at the smelter to ensure that these 
systems are functioning properly and are adequately maintained in order 
to minimize fugitive emissions. The rule also includes provisions for 
determining compliance with the emission limit, and the necessary 
monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements to ensure that 
the regulation as a whole is enforceable. As noted above, the EPA 
proposed to approve this regulation into the Arizona SIP in a separate 
action. Further discussion on the enforceability for Rule C1302 is 
included in the Technical Support Document (TSD) for that action.\35\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \35\ ``Technical Support Document for the EPA's Rulemaking for 
the Arizona State Implementation Plan; Arizona Administrative Code, 
Title 18, Chapter 2, Article 13, Part C--Miami, Arizona, Planning 
Area; R18-2-C1302--Limits on SO2 Emissions from the Miami 
Smelter'' (March 2018) (Rule C1302 TSD).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In accordance with EPA guidance on the use of federally enforceable 
limits, we find that the limits in Rule C1302 will be enforceable upon 
our approval of the rule, are supportive of attainment, and are 
suitable for inclusion into the Arizona SIP. We also find that the 30-
day average limit is set at a lower level than the critical emission 
value used in the attainment demonstration; this relationship is 
discussed in detail in the following section.
2. Longer-Term Average Limits
    The State modeled emissions from the Miami Smelter as described in 
Section IV.C of this notice to determine a facility-wide critical 
emission value of 393 lb/hr. Arizona demonstrated that the Smelter's 
``Additional Sources'' listed in Table 1, which account for 8 lb/hr, 
have a negligible contribution to the predicted design value 
concentration and asserted that these emissions need not be a part of 
the facility's enforceable emission limit.\36\ As such, Arizona used an 
adjusted critical emission value of 385 lb/hr (i.e., 393 lb/hr minus 8 
lb/hr) in the calculation of the facility's longer-term average limit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \36\ See Appendix K of the Modeling TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    To derive a longer-term average emission limit, the State used 
hourly SO2 data collected using continuous emission monitors 
from May 2013 to October 2014, adjusted to account for facility 
upgrades and increased production capacity, as a representative 
emission distribution for the Smelter's future configuration. The State 
summed the emissions from all point and fugitive sources, which yielded 
the hourly emissions data that provided for calculation of the 30-day 
average emission rates used to determine an appropriate adjustment 
factor. The 99th percentile of the 30-day and 1-hour SO2 
emission rates were 102.4 lb/hr and 276.7 lb/hr, respectively. The 
ratio of these two values (i.e., the computed adjustment factor) was 
0.37. Compared to the national average adjustment factors (i.e., 0.63-
0.79) estimated for Electrical Generating Units (EGUs) and listed in 
Table 1 of Appendix D of the 2014 SO2 Guidance, the ratio 
reflects the high variability in Smelter emissions. Although the 
adjustment factor is out of the range derived for EGUs, this is 
expected, as smelters exhibit a greater range of variability due to 
feed and operational variability. In general, we expect operations with 
large variability to require bigger adjustments (lower adjustment 
factors) and result in lower longer-term average emissions limits 
relative to the 1-hour critical emission value. The adjustment factor 
was multiplied by the adjusted critical emission value (i.e., 385 lb/
hr) to derive a longer-term 30-day average emission limit of 142.45 lb/
hr. Based on a review of the State's submittal, the EPA believes that 
the 30-day average limit for the Miami Smelter provides a justified 
alternative to establishing a 1-hour average emission limit for this 
source.
    The 2014 SO2 Guidance does not directly address the 
establishment of limits governing the sum of emissions from multiple 
units, and the it provides no specific recommendations for a 
methodology for determining appropriate adjustment factors for deriving 
comparably stringent longer-term limits in such cases. Nevertheless, 
the 2014 SO2 Guidance recommends computing adjustment 
factors based on emissions data that have been determined in accordance 
with the methods used to determine compliance with the limit. 
Therefore, in this case, it is appropriate to use facility total 
emissions data as the basis for a statistical analysis of the degree of 
adjustment warranted in determining a 30-day facility-wide emission 
limit that is comparably stringent to the plant total 1-hour emission 
limit that would otherwise have been set.
    The State has used an appropriate data base and the methodology 
specified in the 2014 SO2 Guidance to derive an emission 
limit that has comparable stringency to the 1-hour average limit that 
the State determined would otherwise have been necessary to provide for 
attainment. While the 30-day average limit allows occasions in which 
emissions may be higher than the level that would be allowed with the 
1-hour limit, the State's limit compensates by requiring average 
emissions to be lower than the level that would otherwise have been 
required by a 1-hour average limit. For reasons described above and 
explained in more detail in the 2014 SO2 Guidance, the EPA 
finds that appropriately set longer-term average limits provide a 
reasonable basis by which nonattainment plans

[[Page 27945]]

may provide for attainment. Based on our review of this general 
information as well as the particular information in Arizona's Plan, 
the EPA finds that the 30 day-average limit will provide for attainment 
of the SO2 standard in the Miami SO2 NAA.

E. Background Concentrations

    Arizona selected background SO2 concentrations using 
ambient air measurements recorded between 2009 and 2013 during Smelter 
shutdown periods at the Jones Ranch (Air Quality System (AQS) ID: 04-
007-0011), Townsite (AQS ID: 04-007-0012) and Ridgeline (AQS ID: 04-
007-0009) monitors. The State calculated the 5-year averages of the 
daily maximum 99th percentile 1-hour average SO2 during 
Smelter shutdowns at each site, which were 8.1, 6.7, and 7.2 ppb, 
respectively. The State chose to use the Jones Ranch value of 8.1 ppb 
(21.2 micrograms per cubic meter ([micro]g/m\3\)) as background 
concentrations of SO2 to add to modeled design values. We 
agree that the State appropriately and conservatively calculated 
background concentrations.

F. Summary of Results

    The EPA has reviewed Arizona's submitted modeling supporting the 
attainment demonstration for the Miami SO2 NAA and has 
preliminarily determined that this modeling is consistent with CAA 
requirements, appendix W and the 2014 SO2 Guidance. The 
State's modeling indicates that with a critical emission value of 393 
lb/hr, the highest predicted 99th percentile daily maximum 1-hour 
concentration within the Miami SO2 NAA would be 194.1 [mu]g/
m\3\, below the NAAQS level of 196.4 [mu]g/m\3\ (75 ppb). This modeled 
concentration includes the background concentration of SO2 
of 21.2 [micro]g/m\3\. The modeling indicates that the Smelter upgrades 
and resulting 30-day emission limit of 142.45 lb/hr are sufficient for 
the Miami SO2 NAA to attain the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.

V. Review of Other Plan Requirements

A. Emissions Inventory

    The emissions inventory and source emission rate data for an area 
serve as the foundation for air quality modeling and other analyses 
that enable states to estimate the degree to which different sources 
within a NAA contribute to violations within the affected area and 
assess the expected improvement in air quality within the NAA due to 
the adoption and implementation of control measures. As noted above, 
the state must develop and submit to the EPA a comprehensive, accurate 
and current inventory of actual emissions from all sources of 
SO2 emissions in each NAA, as well as any sources located 
outside the NAA which may affect attainment in the area.\37\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \37\ See CAA section 172(c)(3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The base year inventory establishes a baseline that is used to 
evaluate emission reductions achieved by the control strategy and to 
assess reasonable further progress requirements. Arizona used 2011 as 
the base year for emission inventory preparation. At the time of 
preparation of the Plan, 2011 reflected the most recent triennial 
National Emission Inventory, supported the requirement for timeliness 
of data, and was also representative of a year with violations of the 
primary SO2 NAAQS. Arizona reviewed and compiled actual 
emissions of all sources of SO2 in the NAA in the 2011 base 
year emission inventory. In addition to developing an emission 
inventory of SO2 emission sources within the NAA, Arizona 
also provided an SO2 emission inventory for those emission 
sources within a 50 kilometer buffer zone of the NAA. Table 2 below 
summarizes 2011 base year SO2 emissions inventory data for 
the NAA, categorized by emission source type (rounded to the nearest 
whole number).

                                          Table 2--2011 Base Year SO2 Emission Inventory for the Miami SO2 NAA
                                                                       [Tons/year]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                        Mobile source    Mobile source
                                Year                                   Point source   Nonpoint source      (onroad)        (non-road)         Total
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2011...............................................................           2,583               13                2               >1            2,598
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As seen above, the majority of SO2 emissions in the 2011 
base year inventory can be attributed to the point source category. 
Emissions for this category are provided in further detail in Table 3 
below.

             Table 3--2011 Base Year SO2 Emission Inventory
                             [Point sources]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                        Emissions (tons/
                     Point source                            year)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Freeport McMoRan Miami Smelter.......................              2,545
Freeport McMoRan Miami Mine..........................                  7
BHP Copper Pinto Valley Miami Unit...................                 >1
BHP Copper Pinto Valley Mine.........................                 >1
Carlota Copper Pinto Valley Mine.....................                 31
                                                      ------------------
    Total............................................              2,583
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    A projected attainment year emission inventory should also be 
included in the SIP submission according to the 2014 SO2 
Guidance. This emission inventory should include, in a manner 
consistent with the attainment demonstration, estimated emissions for 
all SO2 emission sources that were determined to have an 
impact on the affected NAA for the projected attainment year. Table 4 
below summarizes Arizona's projected 2018 SO2 emissions 
inventory data for the NAA, categorized by source type. 2011 base year 
emissions, as well as the projected change between base year and 
projected year emissions, are also summarized below (rounded to nearest 
whole number).

[[Page 27946]]



                      Table 4--Projected 2018 SO2 Emission Inventory for the Miami SO2 NAA
                                                   [Tons/year]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Nonpoint      Mobile source   Mobile source
              Year                 Point source       source         (onroad)       (non-road)         Total
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2011............................           2,583              13               2              >1           2,598
2018............................             685              13               2              >1             700
Change..........................          -1,898               0               0               0          -1,898
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As seen above, both the majority of SO2 emissions in the 
projected 2018 emission inventory, as well as the majority of projected 
SO2 emission reductions, can be attributed to point sources. 
Emissions for this category are provided in further detail in Table 5 
below.

                                 Table 5--Projected 2018 SO2 Emission Inventory
                                                 [Point sources]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                  2011 Base year  2018 Projected
                          Point source                               emissions    year emissions      Change
                                                                    (tons/year)     (tons/year)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Freeport McMoRan Miami Smelter..................................           2,545             660          -1,885
Freeport McMoRan Miami Mine.....................................               7               8               1
BHP Copper Pinto Valley Miami Unit..............................              >1              >1               0
BHP Copper Pinto Valley Mine....................................              >1              14              13
Carlota Copper Pinto Valley Mine................................              31               3             -28
                                                                 -----------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................................           2,583             685          -1,898
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As seen above, the single largest decrease in emissions is 
attributed to the Miami Smelter. The projected 2018 SO2 
emissions for the Miami Smelter are consistent with allowable emission 
limits for the Miami Smelter that Arizona is requesting that the EPA 
approve into the SIP. For other point sources, projected 2018 
SO2 emissions were determined by Arizona based on existing 
permit allowable SO2 limits or other federally enforceable 
SO2 emission limits.
    The EPA has evaluated Arizona's 2011 base year inventory and 
projected 2018 emission inventory for the Miami SO2 NAA, and 
considers these inventories to have been developed consistent with EPA 
guidance. As a result, the EPA is proposing to determine that the Miami 
SO2 Plan meets the requirements of CAA Section 172(c)(3) and 
(4) for the Miami SO2 NAA.

B. Reasonably Available Control Measures and Reasonably Available 
Control Technology

    Arizona's Plan for attaining the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS in the 
Miami SO2 NAA is based on implementation of controls at the 
Miami Smelter. ADEQ conducted a reasonably available control measures 
and reasonably available control technology (RACM/RACT) analysis in the 
Miami SO2 Plan, comparing the requirements at the Miami 
Smelter with controls in use at other large sources of SO2 
to identify potentially available control measures, eliminating any 
measures that were not feasible at the Miami Smelter or not more 
stringent than those measures already being implemented. ADEQ then 
compared the proposed control measures for the Miami Smelter with the 
measures not eliminated in the first step of the RACM/RACT analysis, 
and concluded that the proposed control measures would be more 
stringent. We provide an assessment below of whether ADEQ's RACM/RACT 
analysis is consistent with EPA guidance.
    The State's RACM/RACT analysis can be found in section 4.4.3 of the 
Miami SO2 Plan. ADEQ compared SO2 controls at 
eight different facilities and found that all of these units used an 
acid plant to recover or reduce SO2 emissions. Some of these 
facilities also used acid absorption equipment (wet and dry scrubbers) 
to further control SO2. ADEQ also noted that enhanced 
capture systems (such as additional hooding, improved ventilation 
systems and enhanced ductwork) at the Miami Smelter would contribute to 
reducing uncontrolled fugitive emissions from the smelter structure. 
While enhanced capture does not inherently reduce SO2 
emissions, these capture systems will route a greater amount of gas to 
control devices that do reduce SO2 emissions.
    The State concluded that upgrades to the acid plant, the 
installation of additional and improved scrubbers, and the installation 
of improved capture systems at the IsaSmelt furnace, electric furnace, 
converter department, and anode casting operations at the Miami Smelter 
constituted RACM/RACT and would allow the facility to meet the 142.45 
lb/hr emission limit and other requirements outlined in Rule C1302. As 
explained in the Rule C1302 TSD, we agree that Rule C1302 generally 
requires implementation of reasonable controls for the Miami Smelter. 
We also find that it was appropriate for Arizona to focus its RACM/RACT 
analysis solely on this source, given that the Miami Smelter accounted 
for more than 99.5 percent of SO2 emissions in the NAA 
during the 2011 base year.\38\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \38\ Miami SO2 Plan, Section 3.1.1, page 33.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted above, most of the requirements of Rule C1302 will become 
enforceable only after final approval of the rule by the EPA. However, 
the Plan itself provides that the owner or operator of the Miami 
Smelter will complete construction of the relevant control measures no 
later than January 1, 2018, including steps that ADEQ will undertake if 
the owner or operator failed to complete construction by January 1, 
2018.\39\ On December 19, 2017, FMMI notified the EPA and ADEQ that it 
had completed construction of the SO2 capture and control 
system upgrades

[[Page 27947]]

and had initiated associated commissioning activities.\40\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \39\ Id., page 84.
    \40\ Letter from Byron Belew, FMMI, to Alexis Strauss, EPA, and 
Timothy Franquist, ADEQ (December 19, 2017).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As explained above, we find that Arizona has demonstrated that 
implementation of the control measures required under the Plan are 
sufficient to provide for attainment of the NAAQS. Given that these 
controls have already been installed and will be fully operational 
prior to October 4, 2018, we propose to conclude that the State has 
satisfied the requirement in section 172(c)(1) and (6) to adopt and 
submit all RACM and emissions limitations and control measures as 
needed to attain the standards as expeditiously as practicable and the 
requirement in section 192(b) to provide for attainment by October 4, 
2018.

C. New Source Review

    On November 2, 2015, the EPA published a final limited approval and 
limited disapproval of revisions to ADEQ's new source review (NSR) 
rules.\41\ On May 4, 2018, the EPA approved additional rule revisions 
to address many of the deficiencies identified in the 2015 action.\42\ 
Collectively these rule revisions will ensure that ADEQ's rules provide 
for appropriate NSR for SO2 sources undergoing construction 
or major modification in the Miami SO2 NAA without need for 
further modification. Therefore, the EPA concludes that the NSR 
requirement has been met for this area. We note that Rule C1302 
subsection (I) indicates that the smelter emission limits contained in 
the rule shall be determined to be SO2 RACT for purposes of 
minor NSR requirements. This provision does not interfere with or 
adversely affect existing nonattainment NSR rules.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \41\ 80 FR 67319 (November 2, 2015).
    \42\ 83 FR 19631 (May 4, 2018).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

D. Reasonable Further Progress

    In the Miami SO2 Plan, Arizona explained its rationale 
for concluding that the Plan meets the requirement for reasonable 
further progress (RFP) in accordance with EPA guidance. Specifically, 
Arizona's rationale is based on EPA guidance interpreting the RFP 
requirement being satisfied for SO2 if the Plan requires 
``adherence to an ambitious compliance schedule'' that ``implement[s] 
appropriate control measures as expeditiously as practicable.'' Arizona 
noted that its Plan provides for attainment as expeditiously as 
practicable, i.e., by October 4, 2018, and finds that the Plan thereby 
satisfies the requirement for RFP.
    Arizona finds that the Miami SO2 Plan requires affected 
sources to implement appropriate control measures as expeditiously as 
practicable in order to ensure attainment of the standard by the 
applicable attainment date. Arizona concludes that the Plan therefore 
provides for RFP in accordance with the approach to RFP described in 
the 2014 SO2 Guidance. The EPA concurs and proposes to 
conclude that the Plan provides for RFP.

E. Contingency Measures

    In the Miami SO2 Plan, Arizona explained its rationale 
for concluding that the Plan meets the requirement for contingency 
measures. Specifically, Arizona relies on the 2014 SO2 
Guidance, which notes the special circumstances that apply to 
SO2 and explains on that basis why the contingency 
requirement in CAA section 172(c)(9) is met for SO2 by 
having a comprehensive program to identify sources of violations of the 
SO2 NAAQS and to undertake an aggressive follow-up for 
compliance and enforcement of applicable emissions limitations. Arizona 
stated that it has such an enforcement program pursuant to state law in 
Arizona Revised Statutes (ARS) sections 49-461, 49-402, 49-404 and 49-
406. Arizona also describes the process under State law to apply 
contingency measures for failure to make RFP and/or for failure to 
attain the SO2 NAAQS by the attainment date and concludes 
that Arizona's Plan satisfies contingency measure requirements. The EPA 
concurs with this assessment. We note that the EPA has approved ARS 49-
402, 49-404, 49-406 and 49-461 into the Arizona SIP.\43\ In addition, 
we have approved ARS 49-422(A) (``Powers and Duties''), which 
authorizes ADEQ to require sources of air contaminants to ``monitor, 
sample or perform other studies to quantify emissions of air 
contaminants or levels of air pollution that may reasonably be 
attributable to that source'' for purposes of determining whether the 
source is in violation of a control requirement. We have also approved 
ARS 49-460 through 49-463, which authorize ADEQ to request compliance-
related information from sources, to issue orders of abatement upon 
reasonable cause to believe a source has violated or is violating an 
air pollution control requirement, to establish injunctive relief, to 
establish civil penalties of up to $10,000 per day per violation, and 
to conduct criminal enforcement, as appropriate through the Attorney 
General.\44\ Therefore, we agree that the Arizona SIP establishes a 
comprehensive enforcement program, allowing for the identification of 
sources of SO2 NAAQS violations and aggressive compliance 
and enforcement follow-up. We propose to approve Arizona's Plan as 
meeting the contingency measure requirement in this manner.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \43\ See 40 CFR 52.120(e), Table 3.
    \44\ 77 FR 66398 (November 5, 2012).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

VI. Conformity

    Generally, as set forth in section 176(c) of the CAA, conformity 
requires that actions by federal agencies do not cause new air quality 
violations, worsen existing violations, or delay timely attainment of 
the relevant NAAQS. General conformity applies to federal actions, 
other than certain highway and transportation projects, if the action 
takes place in a nonattainment area or maintenance area (i.e., an area 
which submitted a maintenance plan that meets the requirements of 
section 175A of the CAA and has been redesignated to attainment) for 
ozone, particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, lead, or 
SO2. The EPA's General Conformity Rule establishes the 
criteria and procedures for determining if a federal action conforms to 
the SIP.\45\ With respect to the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, federal 
agencies are expected to continue to estimate emissions for conformity 
analyses in the same manner as they estimated emissions for conformity 
analyses under the previous NAAQS for SO2. The EPA's General 
Conformity Rule includes the basic requirement that a federal agency's 
general conformity analysis be based on the latest and most accurate 
emission estimation techniques available.\46\ When updated and improved 
emissions estimation techniques become available, the EPA expects the 
federal agency to use these techniques.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \45\ 40 CFR 93.150 to 93.165.
    \46\ 40 CFR 93.159(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Transportation conformity determinations are not required in 
SO2 nonattainment and maintenance areas. The EPA concluded 
in its 1993 transportation conformity rule that highway and transit 
vehicles are not significant sources of SO2. Therefore, 
transportation plans, transportation improvement programs and projects 
are presumed to conform to applicable implementation plans for 
SO2.\47\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \47\ See 58 FR 3776 (January 11, 1993).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

VII. The EPA's Proposed Action

    The EPA is proposing to approve the Miami SO2 Plan, 
which includes Arizona's attainment demonstration for the Miami 
SO2 NAA and addresses requirements for RFP, RACT/RACM,

[[Page 27948]]

base-year and projected emission inventories, and contingency measures. 
The EPA proposes to determine that the Miami SO2 Plan meets 
applicable requirements of sections 110, 172, 191 and 192 of the CAA 
for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
    The EPA is taking public comments for thirty days following the 
publication of this proposed action in the Federal Register. We will 
take all relevant comments into consideration in our final action.

VIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

    Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP 
submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable 
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in 
reviewing SIP submissions, the EPA's role is to approve state choices, 
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this 
proposed action merely approves state law as meeting Federal 
requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those 
imposed by state law. For that reason, this proposed action:
     Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to 
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Order 
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 
2011);
     Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82 FR 9339, February 2, 
2017) regulatory action because SIP approvals are exempted under 
Executive Order 12866;
     Does not impose an information collection burden under the 
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
     Is certified as not having a significant economic impact 
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory 
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
     Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or 
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded 
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
     Does not have Federalism implications as specified in 
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
     Is not an economically significant regulatory action based 
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 
19885, April 23, 1997);
     Is not a significant regulatory action subject to 
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
     Is not subject to requirements of section 12(d) of the 
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent 
with the CAA; and
     Does not provide the EPA with the discretionary authority 
to address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or 
environmental effects, using practicable and legally permissible 
methods, under Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
    In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian 
reservation land or in any other area where the EPA or an Indian tribe 
has demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of 
Indian country, the rule does not have tribal implications and will not 
impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal 
law as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 
2000).

List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52

    Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by 
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Reporting and recordkeeping 
requirements, Sulfur oxides.

    Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.

    Dated: June 4, 2018.
Michael B. Stoker,
Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX.
[FR Doc. 2018-12913 Filed 6-14-18; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 6560-50-P



                                                  27938                     Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  Agency views this as a noncontroversial                 section of this Federal Register                       you consider to be Confidential
                                                  submittal and anticipates no adverse                    publication.                                           Business Information (CBI) or other
                                                  comments. A detailed rationale for the                    Dated: June 6, 2018.                                 information whose disclosure is
                                                  approval is set forth in the direct final               Cecil Rodrigues,
                                                                                                                                                                 restricted by statute. Multimedia
                                                  rule. If no adverse comments are                                                                               submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
                                                                                                          Acting Regional Administrator, Region III.
                                                  received in response to this action, no                                                                        accompanied by a written comment.
                                                  further activity is contemplated. If EPA                [FR Doc. 2018–12704 Filed 6–14–18; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                                                                                 The written comment is considered the
                                                  receives adverse comments relevant to                   BILLING CODE 6560–50–P                                 official comment and should include
                                                  this action, the direct final rule will be                                                                     discussion of all points you wish to
                                                  withdrawn and all public comments                                                                              make. The EPA will generally not
                                                  received will be addressed in a                         ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
                                                                                                                                                                 consider comments or comment
                                                  subsequent final rule based on this                     AGENCY
                                                                                                                                                                 contents located outside of the primary
                                                  proposed rule. EPA will not institute a                 40 CFR Part 52                                         submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or
                                                  second comment period. Any parties                                                                             other file sharing system). For
                                                  interested in commenting on this action                 [EPA–R09–OAR–2017–0621; FRL–9979–                      additional submission methods, the full
                                                  should do so at this time.                              49—Region 9]                                           EPA public comment policy,
                                                  DATES: Comments must be received in                                                                            information about CBI or multimedia
                                                                                                          Approval and Promulgation of Air
                                                  writing by July 16, 2018.                                                                                      submissions, and general guidance on
                                                                                                          Quality Implementation Plans; Arizona;
                                                  ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,                                                                               making effective comments, please visit
                                                                                                          Nonattainment Plan for the Miami SO2
                                                  identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R03–                                                                           http://www2.epa.gov/dockets/
                                                                                                          Nonattainment Area
                                                  OAR–2018–0277 at http://                                                                                       commenting-epa-dockets.
                                                  www.regulations.gov, or via email to                    AGENCY:  Environmental Protection                      FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
                                                  spielberger.susan@epa.gov. For                          Agency (EPA).                                          Krishna Viswanathan, EPA, Region IX,
                                                  comments submitted at Regulations.gov,                  ACTION: Proposed rule.                                 Air Division, Air Planning Office, (520)
                                                  follow the online instructions for                                                                             999–7880 or viswanathan.krishna@
                                                  submitting comments. Once submitted,                    SUMMARY:   The Environmental Protection                epa.gov.
                                                  comments cannot be edited or removed                    Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve
                                                                                                                                                                 SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                                                  from Regulations.gov. For either manner                 an Arizona state implementation plan
                                                                                                          (SIP) revision for attaining the 1-hour                Throughout this document whenever,
                                                  of submission, the EPA may publish any
                                                                                                          sulfur dioxide (SO2) primary national                  ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or ‘‘our’’ is used, we mean
                                                  comment received to its public docket.
                                                                                                          ambient air quality standard (NAAQS or                 the EPA.
                                                  Do not submit electronically any
                                                  information you consider to be                          ‘‘standard’’) for the Miami SO2                        Table of Contents
                                                  confidential business information (CBI)                 nonattainment area (NAA). This SIP                     I. Why was Arizona required to submit a plan
                                                  or other information whose disclosure is                revision (hereinafter called the ‘‘Miami                     for the Miami SO2 NAA?
                                                  restricted by statute. Multimedia                       SO2 Plan’’ or ‘‘Plan’’) includes Arizona’s             II. Requirements for SO2 Nonattainment
                                                  submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be                attainment demonstration and other                           Plans
                                                  accompanied by a written comment.                       elements required under the Clean Air                  III. Attainment Demonstration and Longer-
                                                                                                          Act (CAA or ‘‘Act’’). In addition to an                      Term Averaging
                                                  The written comment is considered the
                                                                                                                                                                 IV. Review of Modeled Attainment
                                                  official comment and should include                     attainment demonstration, the Plan
                                                                                                                                                                       Demonstration
                                                  discussion of all points you wish to                    addresses the requirement for meeting                  V. Review of Other Plan Requirements
                                                  make. EPA will generally not consider                   reasonable further progress toward                     VI. Conformity
                                                  comments or comment contents located                    attainment of the NAAQS, reasonably                    VII. The EPA’s Proposed Action
                                                  outside of the primary submission (i.e.                 available control measures and                         VIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
                                                  on the web, cloud, or other file sharing                reasonably available control technology,
                                                                                                          base-year and projected emission                       I. Why was Arizona required to submit
                                                  system). For additional submission
                                                                                                          inventories, enforceable emissions                     a plan for the Miami SO2 NAA?
                                                  methods, please contact the person
                                                  identified in the FOR FURTHER                           limitations and control measures, and                     On June 22, 2010, the EPA
                                                  INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the                    contingency measures. The EPA                          promulgated a new 1-hour primary SO2
                                                  full EPA public comment policy,                         proposes to conclude that Arizona has                  NAAQS of 75 parts per billion (ppb).
                                                  information about CBI or multimedia                     appropriately demonstrated that the                    This standard is met at an ambient air
                                                  submissions, and general guidance on                    Plan provides for attainment of the 2010               quality monitoring site when the 3-year
                                                  making effective comments, please visit                 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS in the                        average of the annual 99th percentile of
                                                  http://www2.epa.gov/dockets/                            Miami SO2 NAA by the attainment date                   daily maximum 1-hour average
                                                  commenting-epa-dockets.                                 of October 4, 2018 and that the Plan                   concentrations does not exceed 75 ppb,
                                                  FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                        meets the other applicable requirements                as determined in accordance with
                                                  Brian Rehn, (215) 814–2176, or by email                 under the CAA.                                         appendix T of 40 CFR part 50.1 On
                                                  at rehn.brian@epa.gov.                                  DATES: Comments must be received on                    August 5, 2013, the EPA designated a
                                                                                                          or before July 16, 2018.                               first set of 29 areas of the country as
                                                  SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: For
                                                                                                                                                                 nonattainment for the 2010 SO2
                                                  further information on this action to                   ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
                                                  remove requirements related to                                                                                 NAAQS, including the Miami SO2 NAA
                                                                                                          identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R09–
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                                                  Pennsylvania Department of                              OAR–2017–0621 at http://                               within Arizona.2 These area
                                                  Environmental Protection (PADEP)                        www.regulations.gov. Follow the online                 designations became effective on
                                                  requirements for a low RVP gasoline                     instructions for submitting comments.                  October 4, 2013. Section 191 of the CAA
                                                  program in the Pittsburgh-Beaver Valley                 Once submitted, comments cannot be                     directs states to submit SIPs for areas
                                                  Area from the SIP, please see the                       edited or removed from Regulations.gov.                  1 See   75 FR 35520, codified at 40 CFR 50.17(a)–
                                                  information provided in the direct final                The EPA may publish any comment                        (b).
                                                  action, with the same title, that is                    received to its public docket. Do not                    2 See 78 FR 47191, codified at 40 CFR part 81,

                                                  located in the ‘‘Rules and Regulations’’                submit electronically any information                  subpart C.



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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                     27939

                                                  designated as nonattainment for the SO2                 governing nonattainment SIP                            must meet, and the EPA has long
                                                  NAAQS to the EPA within 18 months of                    submissions are set forth at 40 CFR part               required that all SIPs and control
                                                  the effective date of the designation, i.e.,            51, with specific procedural                           strategies reflect four fundamental
                                                  by no later than April 4, 2015, in this                 requirements and control strategy                      principles of quantification,
                                                  case (hereinafter called ‘‘plans’’ or                   requirements residing at subparts F and                enforceability, replicability, and
                                                  ‘‘nonattainment plans’’). Under CAA                     G, respectively. Soon after Congress                   accountability.8 SO2 nonattainment
                                                  section 192, these plans are required to                enacted the 1990 Amendments to the                     plans must consist of two components:
                                                  have measures that will help their                      CAA, the EPA issued comprehensive                      (1) Emission limits and other control
                                                  respective areas attain the NAAQS as                    guidance on SIP revisions in the                       measures that assure implementation of
                                                  expeditiously as practicable, but no later              ‘‘General Preamble for the                             permanent, enforceable and necessary
                                                  than 5 years from the effective date of                 Implementation of Title I of the Clean                 emission controls, and (2) a modeling
                                                  designation, which for the Miami SO2                    Air Act Amendments of 1990.’’ 6 Among                  analysis that meets the requirements of
                                                  NAA is October 4, 2018.                                 other things, the General Preamble                     40 CFR part 51, appendix W and
                                                     For a number of areas, including the                 addressed SO2 SIP submissions and                      demonstrates that these emission limits
                                                  Miami SO2 NAA, the EPA published a                      fundamental principles for SIP control                 and control measures provide for timely
                                                  document on March 18, 2016, finding                     strategies.7 On April 23, 2014, the EPA                attainment of the primary SO2 NAAQS
                                                  that Arizona and other pertinent states                 issued recommended guidance for                        as expeditiously as practicable, but by
                                                  had failed to submit the required SO2                   meeting the statutory requirements in                  no later than the attainment date for the
                                                  nonattainment plan by the submittal                     SO2 SIP submissions, in a document                     affected area. In cases where the
                                                  deadline.3 This finding, which became                   entitled, ‘‘Guidance for 1-Hour SO2                    necessary emission limits have not
                                                  effective on April 18, 2016, initiated a                Nonattainment Area SIP Submissions’’                   previously been made a part of the
                                                  deadline under CAA section 179(a) for                   (‘‘2014 SO2 Guidance’’). In the 2014 SO2               state’s SIP, or have not otherwise
                                                  the potential imposition of new source                  Guidance, the EPA described the                        become federally enforceable, the plan
                                                  review offset and highway funding                       statutory requirements for a complete                  needs to include the necessary
                                                  sanctions. Additionally, under CAA                      nonattainment plan, which include: An                  enforceable limits in adopted form
                                                  section 110(c), the finding triggered a                 accurate emissions inventory of current                suitable for incorporation into the SIP in
                                                  requirement that the EPA promulgate a                   emissions for all sources of SO2 within                order for the plan to be approved by the
                                                  federal implementation plan (FIP)                       the NAA; an attainment demonstration;                  EPA. In all cases, the emission limits
                                                  within two years of the effective date of               demonstration of RFP; implementation                   and control measures must be
                                                  the finding unless by that time the State               of RACM (including RACT); new source                   accompanied by appropriate methods
                                                  had made the necessary complete                         review, enforceable emissions                          and conditions to determine compliance
                                                  submittal and the EPA had approved the                  limitations and control measures, and                  with the respective emission limits and
                                                  submittal as meeting applicable                         adequate contingency measures for the                  control measures and must be
                                                  requirements.                                           affected area.                                         quantifiable (i.e., a specific amount of
                                                     In response to the requirement for SO2                  For the EPA to fully approve a SIP                  emission reduction can be ascribed to
                                                  nonattainment plan submittals, the                      revision as meeting the requirements of                the measures), fully enforceable (i.e.,
                                                  Arizona Department of Environmental                     CAA sections 110, 172 and 191–192 and                  specifying clear, unambiguous and
                                                  Quality (ADEQ) submitted the Miami                      the EPA’s regulations at 40 CFR part 51,               measurable requirements for which
                                                  SO2 Plan on March 9, 2017, and                          the plan for the affected area needs to                compliance can be practicably
                                                  submitted associated final rules on                     demonstrate to the EPA’s satisfaction                  determined), replicable (i.e., the
                                                  April 6, 2017.4 The EPA issued letters                  that each of the aforementioned                        procedures for determining compliance
                                                  dated July 17, 2017, and September 26,                  requirements has been met. Under CAA                   are sufficiently specific and non-
                                                  2017, finding the submittals complete                   section 110(l), the EPA may not approve                subjective so that two independent
                                                  and halting the sanctions clock under                   a plan that would interfere with any                   entities applying the procedures would
                                                  CAA section 179(a).5                                    applicable requirement concerning                      obtain the same result), and accountable
                                                     The remainder of this preamble                       NAAQS attainment and RFP, or any                       (i.e., source specific limits must be
                                                  describes the requirements that                         other applicable requirement. Under                    permanent and must reflect the
                                                  nonattainment plans must meet in order                  CAA section 193, no requirement in                     assumptions used in the SIP
                                                  to obtain EPA approval, provides a                      effect (or required to be adopted by an                demonstrations).
                                                  review of the Miami SO2 Plan with                       order, settlement, agreement, or plan in                  The EPA’s 2014 SO2 Guidance
                                                  respect to these requirements, and                      effect before November 15, 1990) in any                recommends that the emission limits be
                                                  describes the EPA’s proposed action on                  area that is a NAA for any air pollutant               expressed as short-term average limits
                                                  the Plan.                                               may be modified in any manner unless                   not to exceed the averaging time for the
                                                                                                          it insures equivalent or greater emission              applicable NAAQS that the limit is
                                                  II. Requirements for SO2                                reductions of such air pollutant.                      intended to help maintain (e.g.,
                                                  Nonattainment Plans                                                                                            addressing emissions averaged over one
                                                     Nonattainment plans for SO2 must                     III. Attainment Demonstration and                      or three hours), but it also describes the
                                                  meet the applicable requirements of the                 Longer-Term Averaging                                  option to utilize emission limits with
                                                  CAA, specifically CAA sections 110,                        Section 172(c)(1) and 172(c)(6) of the              longer averaging times of up to 30 days
                                                  172, 191 and 192. The EPA’s regulations                 CAA direct states with areas designated                as long as the state meets various
                                                                                                                                                                 suggested criteria.9 The 2014 SO2
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                                                                                                          as nonattainment to demonstrate that
                                                    3 See  81 FR 14736.                                   the submitted plan provides for                        Guidance recommends that—should
                                                    4 Letters  from Tim Franquist, ADEQ, to Alexis        attainment of the NAAQS. 40 CFR part                   states and sources utilize longer
                                                  Strauss, EPA, dated March 8, 2017, and April 6,         51, subpart G further delineates the                   averaging times (such as 30 days)—the
                                                  2017. Although the cover letter for the Miami SO2                                                              longer-term average limit should be set
                                                  Plan was dated March 8, 2017, the Plan was              control strategy requirements that plans
                                                  transmitted to the EPA on March 9, 2017.                                                                       at an adjusted level that reflects a
                                                     5 Letters from Elizabeth Adams, EPA, to Tim            6 See 57 FR 13498 (April 16, 1992) (General

                                                  Franquist, ADEQ, dated July 17, 2017, and               Preamble).                                               8 See   57 FR at 13567–68 (April 16, 1992).
                                                  September 26, 2017.                                       7 Id. at 13545–49, 13567–68.                           9 See   2014 SO2 Guidance, pages 22 to 39.



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                                                  27940                     Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  stringency comparable to the 1-hour                     shows three, not four days with                          compared to the likely air quality with
                                                  average limit at the critical emission                  maximum hourly levels exceeding 75                       the source having maximum allowable
                                                  value shown to provide for attainment.                  ppb) is labeled the ‘‘critical emission                  emissions under the comparable 1-hour
                                                     The 2014 SO2 Guidance provides an                    value.’’ The modeling process for                        limit. In this comparison, in the 1-hour-
                                                  extensive discussion of the EPA’s                       identifying this critical emissions value                average-limit scenario, the source is
                                                  rationale for concluding that                           inherently considers the numerous                        presumed at all times to emit at the
                                                  appropriately set, comparably stringent                 variables that affect ambient                            critical emission level, and in the
                                                  limitations based on averaging times as                 concentrations of SO2, such as                           longer-term average limit scenario, the
                                                  long as 30 days can be found to provide                 meteorological data, background                          source is presumed occasionally to emit
                                                  for attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.                   concentrations, and topography. In the                   more than the critical emission value
                                                  In evaluating this option, the EPA                      standard approach, the state would then                  but on average, and presumably at most
                                                  considered the nature of the standard,                  provide for attainment by setting a                      times, to emit well below the critical
                                                  conducted detailed analyses of the                      continuously applicable 1-hour                           emission value. In an ‘‘average year,’’
                                                  impact of use of 30-day average limits                  emission limit at this critical emission                 compliance with the 1-hour limit is
                                                  on the prospects for attaining the                      value.                                                   expected to result in three exceedance
                                                  standard, and carefully reviewed how                       The EPA recognizes that some sources                  days (i.e., three days with hourly values
                                                  best to achieve an appropriate balance                  have highly variable emissions due, for                  above 75 ppb) and a fourth day with a
                                                  among the various factors that warrant                  example, to variations in fuel sulfur                    maximum hourly value at 75 ppb. By
                                                  consideration in judging whether a                      content and operating rate, that can                     comparison, with the source complying
                                                  state’s plan provides for attainment.10                 make it extremely difficult, even with a                 with a longer-term limit, it is possible
                                                     As specified in 40 CFR 50.17(b), the                 well-designed control strategy, to ensure                that additional exceedances would
                                                  1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS is met at an                   in practice that emissions for any given                 occur that would not occur in the 1-
                                                  ambient air quality monitoring site                     hour do not exceed the critical emission                 hour limit scenario (if emissions exceed
                                                  when the 3-year average of the annual                   value. The EPA also acknowledges the                     the critical emission value at times
                                                  99th percentile of daily maximum 1-                     concern that longer-term emission limits                 when meteorology is conducive to poor
                                                  hour average concentrations is less than                can allow short periods with emissions                   air quality). However, this comparison
                                                  or equal to 75 ppb. In a year with 365                  above the critical emissions value,                      must also factor in the likelihood that
                                                  days of valid monitoring data, the 99th                 which, if coincident with                                exceedances that would be expected in
                                                  percentile would be the fourth highest                  meteorological conditions conducive to                   the 1-hour limit scenario would not
                                                  daily maximum 1-hour value. The 2010                    high SO2 concentrations, could in turn                   occur in the longer-term limit scenario.
                                                  SO2 NAAQS, including this form of                       create the possibility of a NAAQS                        This result arises because the longer-
                                                  determining compliance with the                         exceedance occurring on a day when an                    term limit requires lower emissions
                                                  standard, was upheld by the U.S. Court                  exceedance would not have occurred if                    most of the time (because the limit is set
                                                  of Appeals for the District of Columbia                 emissions were continuously controlled                   well below the critical emission value).
                                                  Circuit in Nat’l Envt’l Dev. Ass’n’s Clean              at the level corresponding to the critical               Therefore, a source complying with an
                                                  Air Project v. EPA, 686 F.3d 803 (D.C.                  emission value. However, for several                     appropriately set longer-term limit is
                                                  Cir. 2012). Because the standard has this               reasons, the EPA believes that the                       likely to have lower emissions at critical
                                                  form, a single hourly exceedance does                   approach recommended in the 2014 SO2                     times than would be the case if the
                                                  not create a violation of the standard.                 Guidance suitably addresses this                         source were emitting as allowed with a
                                                  Instead, at issue is whether a source                   concern. First, from a practical                         1-hour limit.
                                                  operating in compliance with a properly                 perspective, the EPA expects the actual                     The following hypothetical example
                                                  set longer-term average could cause                     emission profile of a source subject to                  illustrates the aforementioned points.
                                                  hourly exceedances, and if so what the                  an appropriately set longer-term average                 Suppose there is a source that always
                                                  resulting frequency and magnitude of                    limit to be similar to the emission                      emits 1000 pounds of SO2 per hour and
                                                  such exceedances would be, and in                       profile of a source subject to an                        these emissions result in air quality at
                                                  particular whether the EPA can have                     analogous 1-hour average limit. The                      the level of the NAAQS (i.e., a design
                                                  reasonable confidence that a properly                   EPA expects this similarity because it                   value of 75 ppb).12 For this source, in
                                                  set longer-term average limit will                      has recommended that the longer-term                     an ‘‘average year’’, these emissions
                                                  provide that the three-year average of                  average limit be set at a level that is                  cause the five highest maximum daily
                                                  the annual fourth highest daily                         comparably stringent to the otherwise                    average 1-hour concentrations to be 100
                                                  maximum hourly value will be at or                      applicable 1-hour limit (reflecting a                    ppb, 90 ppb, 80 ppb, 75 ppb, and 70
                                                  below 75 ppb. A synopsis of the EPA’s                   downward adjustment from the critical                    ppb. Subsequently, the source becomes
                                                  review of how to judge whether such                     emissions value) and that takes the                      subject to a 30-day average emission
                                                  plans ‘‘provide for attainment,’’ based                 source’s emissions profile into account.                 limit of 700 (lb/hr). It is theoretically
                                                  on modeling of projected allowable                      As a result, the EPA expects either form                 possible for a source meeting this limit
                                                  emissions and in light of the NAAQS’                    of emission limit to yield comparable air                to have emissions that occasionally
                                                  form for determining attainment at                      quality.                                                 exceed 1000 lb/hr, but with a typical
                                                  monitoring sites, follows.                                 Second, from a more theoretical                       emissions profile, emissions would
                                                     For SO2 plans based on 1-hour                        perspective, the EPA has compared the                    much more commonly be between 600
                                                  emission limits, the standard approach                  likely air quality with a source having                  and 800 lb/hr. In this simplified
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                                                  is to conduct modeling using fixed                      maximum allowable emissions under an                     example, assume a zero-background
                                                  emission rates. The maximum emission                    appropriately set longer-term limit, as                  concentration, which allows one to
                                                  rate that would be modeled to result in
                                                                                                          T provides for averaging three years of 99th               12 Design values are the metrics (i.e., statistics)
                                                  attainment (i.e., in an ‘‘average year’’ 11             percentile daily maximum hourly values (e.g., the        that are compared to the NAAQS levels to
                                                                                                          fourth highest maximum daily hourly concentration        determine compliance. The design value for the
                                                    10 Id. pages 22 to 39. See also id. at Appendices
                                                                                                          in a year with 365 days with valid data), this           primary 1-hour SO2 NAAQS is the 3-year average
                                                  B and D.                                                discussion and an example below uses a single            of annual 99th percentile daily maximum 1-hour
                                                    11 An ‘‘average year’’ is used to mean a year with    ‘‘average year’’ in order to simplify the illustration   values for a monitoring site, calculated as specified
                                                  average air quality. While 40 CFR part 50, appendix     of relevant principles.                                  in 40 CFR part 50, appendix T, section 5.



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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                  27941

                                                  assume a linear relationship between                    (e.g., if meteorology occurs that is more              procedures of the prospective emission
                                                  emissions and air quality.13 Air quality                conducive to poor air quality than was                 limitation. In this recommended
                                                  will depend on what emissions happen                    anticipated in the plan). Therefore, in                method, the ratio of the 99th percentile
                                                  on what critical hours, but suppose that                determining whether a plan meets the                   among these long-term averages to the
                                                  emissions at the relevant times on these                requirement to provide for attainment,                 99th percentile of the 1-hour values
                                                  five days are 800 lb/hr, 1100 lb/hr, 500                the EPA’s task is commonly to judge not                represents an adjustment factor that may
                                                  lb/hr, 900 lb/hr, and 1200 lb/hr,                       whether the plan provides absolute                     be multiplied by the candidate 1-hour
                                                  respectively. (This is a conservative                   certainty that attainment will in fact                 emission limit to determine a longer-
                                                  example because the average of these                    occur, but rather whether the plan                     term average emission limit that may be
                                                  emissions, 900 lb/hr, is well over the 30-              provides an adequate level of                          considered comparably stringent.14 The
                                                  day average emission limit.) These                      confidence of prospective NAAQS                        guidance also addresses a variety of
                                                  emissions would result in daily                         attainment. From this perspective, in                  related topics, such as the potential
                                                  maximum 1-hour concentrations of 80                     evaluating use of a 30-day average limit,              utility of setting supplemental emission
                                                  ppb, 99 ppb, 40 ppb, 67.5 ppb, and 84                   the EPA must weigh the likely net effect               limits (e.g., mass-based limits) to reduce
                                                  ppb. In this example, the fifth day                     on air quality. Such an evaluation must                the likelihood and/or magnitude of
                                                  would have an exceedance that would                     consider the risk that occasions with                  elevated emission levels that might
                                                  not otherwise have occurred, but the                    meteorology conducive to high                          occur under the longer-term emission
                                                  third and fourth days would not have                    concentrations will have elevated                      rate limit.
                                                  exceedances that otherwise would have                   emissions leading to exceedances that                     Preferred air quality models for use in
                                                  occurred. In this example, the fourth                   would not otherwise have occurred, and                 regulatory applications are described in
                                                  highest maximum daily concentration                     it must also weigh the likelihood that                 appendix A of the EPA’s Guideline on
                                                  under the 30-day average would be 67.5                  the requirement for lower emissions on                 Air Quality Models (40 CFR part 51,
                                                  ppb.                                                    average will result in days not having                 appendix W (‘‘appendix W’’)).15 In
                                                     This simplified example illustrates                  exceedances that would have been                       general, nonattainment SIP submissions
                                                  the findings of a more complicated                      expected with emissions at the critical                must demonstrate the adequacy of the
                                                  statistical analysis that the EPA                       emissions value. Additional policy                     selected control strategy using the
                                                  conducted using a range of scenarios                    considerations, such as in this case the               applicable air quality model designated
                                                  using actual plant data. As described in                desirability of accommodating real-                    in appendix W.16 However, where an air
                                                  Appendix B of the 2014 SO2 Guidance,                    world emissions variability without                    quality model specified in appendix W
                                                  the EPA found that the requirement for                  significant risk of violations, are also               is inappropriate for the particular
                                                  lower average emissions is highly likely                appropriate factors for the EPA to weigh               application, the model may be modified
                                                  to yield better air quality than is                     in judging whether a plan provides a                   or another model substituted, if the EPA
                                                  required with a comparably stringent 1-                 reasonable degree of confidence that the               approves the modification or
                                                  hour limit. Based on analyses described                 plan will lead to attainment. Based on                 substitution.17 In 2005, the EPA
                                                  in appendix B of the 2014 SO2                           these considerations, especially given                 promulgated the American
                                                  Guidance, the EPA expects that an                       the high likelihood that a continuously                Meteorological Society/Environmental
                                                  emission profile with maximum                           enforceable limit averaged over as long                Protection Agency Regulatory Model
                                                  allowable emissions under an                            as 30 days, determined in accordance                   (AERMOD) as the Agency’s preferred
                                                  appropriately set comparably stringent                  with the 2014 SO2 Guidance, will result                near-field dispersion modeling for a
                                                  30-day average limit is likely to have the              in attainment, the EPA believes as a                   wide range of regulatory applications
                                                  net effect of having a lower number of                  general matter that such limits, if                    addressing stationary sources (e.g., in
                                                  exceedances and better air quality than                 appropriately determined, can                          estimating SO2 concentrations) in all
                                                  an emission profile with maximum                        reasonably be considered to provide for                types of terrain based on extensive
                                                  allowable emissions under a 1-hour                      attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.                      developmental and performance
                                                  emission limit at the critical emission                                                                        evaluation. Supplemental guidance on
                                                                                                             The 2014 SO2 Guidance offers specific               modeling for purposes of demonstrating
                                                  value.
                                                     The EPA must evaluate whether a                      recommendations for determining an                     attainment of the SO2 standard is
                                                  longer-term average emission limit                      appropriate longer-term average limit.                 provided in appendix A to the 2014 SO2
                                                  approach, which is likely to produce a                  The recommended method starts with                     Guidance. Appendix A provides
                                                  net lower number of overall                             determination of the 1-hour emission                   extensive guidance on the modeling
                                                  exceedances of 75 ppb even though it                    limit that would provide for attainment                domain, the source inputs, assorted
                                                  may produce some exceedances of 75                      (i.e., the critical emission value) and                types of meteorological data, and
                                                  ppb on occasions when emissions are                     applies an adjustment factor to                        background concentrations. Consistency
                                                  above the critical emission value, meets                determine the (lower) level of the                     with the recommendations in the 2014
                                                  the requirements in sections 110(a)(1)                  longer-term average emission limit that                SO2 Guidance is generally necessary for
                                                  and 172(c)(1) and (6) for state                         would be estimated to have a stringency                the attainment demonstration to offer
                                                  implementation plans to ‘‘provide for                   comparable to the otherwise necessary                  adequately reliable assurance that the
                                                  attainment’’ of the NAAQS. For SO2, as                  1-hour emission limit. This method uses                plan provides for attainment.
                                                                                                          a database of continuous emission data                    As stated previously, attainment
                                                  for other pollutants, it is generally
                                                                                                          reflecting the type of control that the                demonstrations for the 2010 1-hour
                                                  impossible to design a nonattainment
                                                                                                          source will be using to comply with the
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                                                  plan in the present that will guarantee
                                                                                                          SIP emission limits, which may require                   14 For example, if the critical emission value is
                                                  that attainment will occur in the future.
                                                                                                          use of an emission database from                       1000 pounds of SO2 per hour, and a suitable
                                                  A variety of factors can cause a well-
                                                                                                          another source (e.g., if compliance                    adjustment factor is determined to be 70 percent,
                                                  designed nonattainment plan to fail and                                                                        the recommended longer-term average limit would
                                                                                                          requires new controls). The
                                                  unexpectedly not result in attainment                                                                          be 700 pounds per hour.
                                                                                                          recommended method involves using                        15 The EPA published revisions to appendix W on

                                                    13 A nonzero background concentration would           these data to compute a complete set of                January 17, 2017, 82 FR 5182.
                                                  make the mathematics more difficult but would           emission averages, calculated according                  16 40 CFR 51.112(a)(1).

                                                  give similar results.                                   to the averaging time and averaging                      17 40 CFR 51.112(a)(2); appendix W, section 3.2.




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                                                  27942                     Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  primary SO2 NAAQS must demonstrate                      AERMOD Hybrid Approach’’). BLP was                     application.24 25 For the reasons
                                                  future attainment and maintenance of                    used to estimate hourly final plume rise               described in the concurrence
                                                  the NAAQS in the entire area                            and sigma-z (a measure of vertical size                documents, the EPA finds this selection
                                                  designated as nonattainment (i.e., not                  of the plume), which were then used to                 appropriate and proposes to approve
                                                  just at the violating monitor) by using                 define volume sources in AERMOD. The                   use of this alternative under 40 CFR
                                                  air quality dispersion modeling (see                    State later repeated the simulation using              51.112(a)(2).
                                                  appendix W) to show that the mix of                     AERMOD version 16216r, the current                        The modeling domain was centered
                                                  sources and enforceable control                         regulatory version, and showed no                      on the Miami Smelter facility and
                                                  measures and emission rates in an                       difference in predicted annual 4th high
                                                  identified area will not lead to a                                                                             extended to the edges of the Miami SO2
                                                                                                          daily SO2 hourly concentrations from                   NAA. A grid spacing of 25 meters was
                                                  violation of the SO2 NAAQS. For a                       the previous version.20
                                                  short-term (i.e., 1-hour) standard, the                                                                        used to resolve AERMOD model
                                                  EPA believes that dispersion modeling,                     The copper smelting process produces                concentrations along the ambient air
                                                  using allowable emissions and                           large amounts of excess heat. Fugitive                 boundary surrounding the Smelter and
                                                  addressing stationary sources in the                    SO2 is released from the Miami Smelter                 increased toward the edges of the NAA.
                                                  affected area (and in some cases those                  building roofline at an elevated                       Receptors were excluded within the
                                                  sources located outside the NAA which                   temperature and velocity, leading to                   ambient air boundary, which is defined
                                                  may affect attainment in the area) is                   enhanced plume rise. AERMOD v14134                     by the facility’s physical fence line,
                                                  technically appropriate. This approach                  does not account for buoyant plume rise                except in several segments where there
                                                  is also efficient and effective in                      from line sources. At the time of                      is no fence and the State inspected and
                                                  demonstrating attainment in NAAs                        preparation of the Miami SO2 Plan, BLP                 concluded steep topography precludes
                                                  because it takes into consideration                     was identified in appendix W as the                    public access. We agree with the State’s
                                                  combinations of meteorological and                      preferred model for representing                       conclusion that the model receptors
                                                  source operating conditions that may                    buoyant line sources.21 As noted above,                placed by the State correspond to
                                                  contribute to peak ground-level                         where an air quality model specified in                ambient air.
                                                  concentrations of SO2.                                  appendix W is inappropriate for the
                                                     The meteorological data used in the                  particular application, the model may                  B. Meteorological Data
                                                  analysis should generally be processed                  be modified or another model                              Arizona conducted its modeling using
                                                  with the most recent version of                         substituted if the EPA approves the                    three years of on-site surface
                                                  AERMET, which is the meteorological                     modification or substitution.22                        meteorological data collected by FMMI
                                                  data preprocessor for AERMOD.                           Appendix W also specifies that for all                 between 2010 and 2013 at a 30.5-meter
                                                  Estimated concentrations should                         such approvals, the EPA regional office                tower located approximately 0.32
                                                  include ambient background                              will coordinate and seek the                           kilometer (km) southwest of the
                                                  concentrations, follow the form of the                  concurrence of the EPA’s Model                         Smelter. The State provided annual
                                                  standard, and be calculated as described                Clearinghouse.23 Arizona has sought                    audit reports for the monitoring station
                                                  in the EPA’s August 23, 2010                            approval to use the BLP/AERMOD                         to document that the station’s
                                                  clarification memo.18                                   Hybrid Approach under appendix W,                      installation and data collection were
                                                  IV. Review of Modeled Attainment                        paragraph 3.2.2(b), condition (2), which               consistent with the EPA
                                                  Demonstration                                           allows for use of an alternative model                 recommendations.26 27 Cloud cover and
                                                                                                          where ‘‘a statistical performance                      relative humidity were not measured at
                                                    The following discussion evaluates
                                                                                                          evaluation has been conducted using                    the onsite location and were taken from
                                                  various features of the modeling that
                                                                                                          measured air quality data and the                      the National Weather Service (NWS)
                                                  Arizona used in its attainment
                                                  demonstration.                                          results of that evaluation indicate the                station at Safford Airport (Weather
                                                                                                          alternative model performs better for the              Bureau Army Navy (WBAN) 93084),
                                                  A. Model Selection                                      given application than a comparable                    which is 132 km to the southeast of the
                                                    Arizona’s attainment demonstration                    model in appendix A.’’ The State                       Smelter and representative of cloud
                                                  used a combination of AERMOD and the                    provided a statistical performance                     cover and relative humidity to the
                                                  Buoyant Line and Point Source model                     evaluation using measured air quality                  Miami SO2 NAA. The State used upper
                                                  (BLP).19 The State used AERMOD                          data that demonstrates the alternative                 air data from the NWS station in
                                                  version 14134 (‘‘v14134’’), the                         model performs better than the                         Tucson, Arizona (WBAN 23160), which
                                                  regulatory version at the time it                       preferred model for this application.                  is 146 km south of the Smelter. The
                                                  conducted its nonattainment planning,                   Additionally, the State provided                       State used AERMET v14134 to process
                                                  for all emission sources except for those               technical justification for the validity of            meteorological data for use with
                                                  over the Freeport-McMoRan Miami                         the approach for the meteorology and                   AERMOD and the Meteorological
                                                  Incorporated (FMMI) smelter (‘‘Miami                    topography affecting this area. EPA
                                                  Smelter’’ or ‘‘Smelter’’) building                      Region 9 requested and received                          24 Further details can be found in ‘‘Concurrence
                                                  roofline. For AERMOD-only sources, the                  concurrence from the EPA’s Model                       Request for Approval of Alternative Model: BLP/
                                                  State used regulatory default options. To               Clearinghouse that the alternative model               AERMOD Hybrid Approach for Modeling Buoyant
                                                  represent emissions from the Smelter                    is appropriate for this particular                     Roofline Sources at the FMMI Copper Smelter in
                                                                                                                                                                 Miami, AZ’’ (March 12, 2018).
                                                  roofline, the State used a combination of
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                                                                                                                                                                   25 ‘‘Model Clearinghouse Review of a BLP/
                                                  AERMOD v14134 and BLP (‘‘BLP/                             20 See letter from Farah Mohammadesmaeili,
                                                                                                                                                                 AERMOD Hybrid Alternative Model Approach for
                                                                                                          ADEQ, to Rynda Kay, EPA Region 9, dated March          Modeling Buoyant Roofline Sources at the FMMI
                                                    18 ‘‘Applicability of Appendix W Modeling             16, 2018.                                              Copper Smelter in Miami, AZ’’ (March 26, 2018).
                                                                                                            21 The EPA has since approved AERMOD, with
                                                  Guidance for the 1-hr SO2 National Ambient Air                                                                   26 See email from Farah Mohammadesmaeili,

                                                  Quality Standard’’ (August 23, 2010).                   newly incorporated BLP algorithms, as the              ADEQ, to Rynda Kay, EPA Region 9, dated March
                                                    19 See Appendix C to Miami SO Plan, ‘‘Modeling
                                                                                    2
                                                                                                          preferred model for buoyant line sources. See 82 FR    16, 2018.
                                                  Technical Support Document for the Miami Sulfur         5182.                                                    27 ‘‘EPA Meteorological Monitoring Guidance for
                                                                                                            22 40 CFR 51.112(a)(2); Appendix W, section 3.2.
                                                  Dioxide (SO2) Nonattainment Area’’ (Modeling                                                                   Regulatory Modeling Applications.’’ Publication
                                                  TSD).                                                     23 Id. section 3.0(b).                               No. EPA–454/R–99–005 (February 2000).



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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                           27943

                                                  Processor for Regulatory Models for use                 Miami Smelter emissions need to be                           another and therefore do not peak at the
                                                  with BLP.                                               included in the attainment modeling.                         same time. This analysis indicates that
                                                     The State used AERSURFACE version                      FMMI is undertaking substantial                            the collection of future maximum
                                                  13016 using data from the onsite                        upgrades to the Smelter that will reduce                     potential emission rates for each source
                                                  location and the NWS Safford site to                    SO2 and other pollutant emissions (see                       listed in Table 1 is a conservative
                                                  estimate the surface characteristics (i.e.,             section 4.3 of the Miami SO2 Plan). The                      estimate of the worst-case emission
                                                  albedo, Bowen ratio, and surface                        State estimated post-upgrade maximum                         distribution at the Smelter.30
                                                  roughness (zo)). The State estimated zo                 1-hour SO2 emissions and used those                          Additionally, the State conducted a
                                                  values for 12 spatial sectors out to 1 km               estimates to model all facility emission                     sensitivity analysis increasing the
                                                  at a seasonal temporal resolution for dry               sources subject to additional control.                       modeled emission rate of each source
                                                  conditions. We conclude that the State                  The State provided a justification for the                   (except the bypass stack) by 21%, while
                                                  appropriately selected meteorological                   control efficiencies assumed in the                          proportionally decreasing the emission
                                                  sites, properly processed meteorological                adjustments, which we reviewed and                           rate of the remaining sources so that
                                                  data, and adequately estimated surface                  agree are reasonable.28 The State also                       total facility-wide emissions remained
                                                  characteristics.                                        modeled additional sources within the                        constant.31 The resulting modeled
                                                     The State used the Auer (1978) land                  Smelter complex, including intermittent                      design values were within 1% of those
                                                  use method, with land cover data from                   emergency generators, smelter building                       predicted by the attainment modeling
                                                  the United States Geological Survey                     leaks, slag storage area, and other small                    and all below the NAAQS. These
                                                  National Land Cover Data 1992                           sources, which will not be subject to                        analyses suggest that variations in the
                                                  archives, to determine that the 3-km                    further control. These sources                               location of peak emissions will not
                                                  area around the Miami Smelter is                        collectively account for an additional 8                     affect attainment so that a facility-wide
                                                  composed of 97.3% rural land types.                     pounds per hour (lb/hr) of SO2                               limit would be sufficiently protective.
                                                  Therefore, the State selected rural                     emissions, which we agree were                               We agree with the State that a facility-
                                                  dispersion coefficients for modeling. We                appropriately calculated.29 The                              wide emission limit is appropriate in
                                                  agree with the State’s determination that               resulting hourly emission rates used in                      this case.
                                                  the facility should be modeled as a rural               the attainment modeling are shown in
                                                                                                          Table 1. Together these emissions                               The State also adequately
                                                  source.                                                                                                              characterized source parameters for the
                                                                                                          accounted for a facility-wide critical
                                                  C. Emissions Data                                       emission value of 393 lb/hr (rounded to                      emissions described above, as well as
                                                                                                          nearest whole number). The facility-                         the Miami Smelter’s building layout and
                                                    Arizona completed a modeling                                                                                       location in its modeling. Where
                                                  emissions inventory for sources within                  wide critical emission value was used to
                                                                                                          derive a single facility-wide 30-day                         appropriate, the AERMOD component
                                                  the Miami SO2 NAA and a 50-km buffer                                                                                 Building Profile Input Program for
                                                  zone extending from the NAA boundary                    average emission limit, as described in
                                                                                                          section IV.D below.                                          Plume Rise Model Enhancements
                                                  based on 2009–2011 data. In 2011, the                                                                                (BPIPPRM) was used to assist in
                                                  Miami Smelter emitted 2,545 tpy SO2,                                                                                 addressing building downwash.
                                                  accounting for more than 99.5% of SO2                          TABLE 1—PROJECTED MAXIMUM
                                                  emissions in the NAA. Other SO2                               SMELTER SO2 EMISSIONS AFTER D. Emission Limits
                                                  sources in the NAA include the Carlota                        ADDITIONAL CONTROLS
                                                  Copper Pinto Valley Mine (2011 SO2                                                                                      An important prerequisite for
                                                  emissions of 32 tpy) and the Freeport                                                                    SO2         approval of a nonattainment plan is that
                                                                                                                         Source                          Emissions     the emission limits that provide for
                                                  McMoRan Miami Mine Smelter (2011                                                                        (lb/hr)
                                                  SO2 emissions of 7 tpy), located 13 km                                                                               attainment be quantifiable, fully
                                                  and 3.3 km southwest of the Miami                       Acid Plant Tail Gas Stack ....                         3.2   enforceable, replicable, and
                                                  Smelter, respectively. No other sources                 Vent Fume Stack ..................                    13.0   accountable.32 The numeric emission
                                                  had 2011 SO2 emissions greater than 1                   Aisle Scrubber Stack—Nor-                                    limit on which Arizona’s Plan relies is
                                                  tpy SO2 in the NAA. The ASARCO LLC                        mal Operations ..................                   14.3   expressed as a 30-day average limit.
                                                  (ASARCO) copper smelter is located 46                   Aisle Scrubber Stack—By-                                     Therefore, part of the review of
                                                                                                            pass Operations ................                   275.0   Arizona’s Plan must address the use of
                                                  km south of the Miami Smelter and had
                                                                                                          Isa Roof Vent ........................                31.8   longer-term average limits, both with
                                                  2011 SO2 emissions of 21,747 tpy. The                   ELF Roof Vent ......................                  14.2
                                                  two smelters are separated by large                                                                                  respect to the general suitability of using
                                                                                                          Converter Roof Vent .............                     25.6
                                                  mountains, making these two airsheds                    Anode Roof Vent ..................                     8.0   such limits for this purpose and with
                                                  distinct. The State modeled the                         Additional Sources ................                    8.0   respect to whether the particular
                                                  ASARCO stack emissions and                                                                                           numeric emission limit included in the
                                                  determined that the modeled                               Total ..................................            393    Plan has been suitably demonstrated to
                                                  concentrations from that source were                                                                                 provide for attainment. The first
                                                  negligible in the Miami SO2 NAA. The                      The State asserts that a single facility-                  subsection that follows addresses the
                                                  State determined that other than the                    wide emission limit will adequately                          enforceability of the limits in the Plan
                                                  Miami Smelter, no sources were drivers                  regulate emissions from each Smelter                         (including both the numeric 30-day
                                                  of nonattainment. The State also                        source. The State provided an analysis                       emission limit as well as operation and
                                                  determined that no other sources have                   of the Smelter’s emissions variability,                      maintenance requirements, which also
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                                                  the potential to cause significant                      which showed that, due to the batch                          constitute emission limits),33 and the
                                                  concentration gradients in the vicinity                 nature of the smelting process,
                                                  of the Miami SO2 NAA affected by the                    emissions are independent of one                               30 See  Appendix E of Modeling TSD.
                                                                                                                                                                         31 See  Appendix I of Modeling TSD.
                                                  Miami Smelter. Additionally, the State
                                                                                                            28 See ‘‘FmmiReponseToEpaReview—20160721—                    32 See 57 FR at 13567–68.
                                                  determined that all nearby sources are
                                                                                                          Final w Signature.pdf’’ and ‘‘FMMI—Emissions-                  33 See CAA section 302(k)(defining ‘‘emission
                                                  sufficiently captured by background                     Inventory—2015–07–13—Past-Actuals-Using-                     limit’’ to include ‘‘any requirement relating to the
                                                  monitored concentrations. We agree                      Sulfur-Balance.xlsx.’’                                       operation or maintenance of a source to assure
                                                  with the State’s determination that only                  29 See Appendix K of Modeling TSD.                         continuous emission reduction.’’).



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                                                  27944                      Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  second subsection that follows                           reporting requirements to ensure that                  factors (i.e., 0.63–0.79) estimated for
                                                  addresses the 30-day limit in particular.                the regulation as a whole is enforceable.              Electrical Generating Units (EGUs) and
                                                                                                           As noted above, the EPA proposed to                    listed in Table 1 of Appendix D of the
                                                  1. Enforceability
                                                                                                           approve this regulation into the Arizona               2014 SO2 Guidance, the ratio reflects the
                                                     The emission limits for the Miami                     SIP in a separate action. Further                      high variability in Smelter emissions.
                                                  Smelter are codified in the Arizona                      discussion on the enforceability for Rule              Although the adjustment factor is out of
                                                  Administrative Code, Title 18, Chapter                   C1302 is included in the Technical                     the range derived for EGUs, this is
                                                  2, Article 13, Section R18–2–C1302                       Support Document (TSD) for that                        expected, as smelters exhibit a greater
                                                  (‘‘Rule C1302’’). After following proper                 action.35                                              range of variability due to feed and
                                                  public notice procedures, Rule C1302                       In accordance with EPA guidance on                   operational variability. In general, we
                                                  was adopted by the State of Arizona                      the use of federally enforceable limits,               expect operations with large variability
                                                  through a final rulemaking in the                        we find that the limits in Rule C1302                  to require bigger adjustments (lower
                                                  Arizona Administrative Register. To                      will be enforceable upon our approval                  adjustment factors) and result in lower
                                                  ensure that the regulatory document                      of the rule, are supportive of attainment,             longer-term average emissions limits
                                                  was consistent with procedures for                       and are suitable for inclusion into the                relative to the 1-hour critical emission
                                                  incorporating by reference, the EPA                      Arizona SIP. We also find that the 30-                 value. The adjustment factor was
                                                  subsequently requested that ADEQ                         day average limit is set at a lower level              multiplied by the adjusted critical
                                                  provide the version of this regulation                   than the critical emission value used in               emission value (i.e., 385 lb/hr) to derive
                                                  that was codified in the Arizona                         the attainment demonstration; this                     a longer-term 30-day average emission
                                                  Administrative Code as a supplement to                   relationship is discussed in detail in the             limit of 142.45 lb/hr. Based on a review
                                                  the original SIP revision.                               following section.                                     of the State’s submittal, the EPA
                                                     Subsection (A)(2) of Rule C1302                                                                              believes that the 30-day average limit for
                                                  (‘‘Effective Date’’) states that, ‘‘(e)xcept             2. Longer-Term Average Limits
                                                                                                                                                                  the Miami Smelter provides a justified
                                                  as otherwise provided, the provisions of                    The State modeled emissions from the                alternative to establishing a 1-hour
                                                  this Section shall take effect on the later              Miami Smelter as described in Section                  average emission limit for this source.
                                                  of the effective date of the                             IV.C of this notice to determine a                        The 2014 SO2 Guidance does not
                                                  Administrator’s action approving it as                   facility-wide critical emission value of               directly address the establishment of
                                                  part of the state implementation plan or                 393 lb/hr. Arizona demonstrated that                   limits governing the sum of emissions
                                                  January 1, 2018.’’ Accordingly, the                      the Smelter’s ‘‘Additional Sources’’                   from multiple units, and the it provides
                                                  majority of the rule’s requirements will                 listed in Table 1, which account for 8                 no specific recommendations for a
                                                  come into effect upon final approval by                  lb/hr, have a negligible contribution to               methodology for determining
                                                  the EPA of the rule. We proposed to                      the predicted design value                             appropriate adjustment factors for
                                                  approve Rule C1302 into the Arizona                      concentration and asserted that these                  deriving comparably stringent longer-
                                                  SIP on March 30, 2018 34 and we intend                   emissions need not be a part of the                    term limits in such cases. Nevertheless,
                                                  to finalize action on the rule prior to                  facility’s enforceable emission limit.36               the 2014 SO2 Guidance recommends
                                                  taking final action on the Miami SO2                     As such, Arizona used an adjusted                      computing adjustment factors based on
                                                  Plan.                                                    critical emission value of 385 lb/hr (i.e.,            emissions data that have been
                                                     Rule C1302’s 30-day rolling average                   393 lb/hr minus 8 lb/hr) in the                        determined in accordance with the
                                                  emission limit of 142.45 lbs/hr applies                  calculation of the facility’s longer-term              methods used to determine compliance
                                                  to emissions from the tail gas stack, vent               average limit.                                         with the limit. Therefore, in this case, it
                                                  fume stack, aisle scrubber stack, and                       To derive a longer-term average                     is appropriate to use facility total
                                                  bypass stack, as well as any fugitives                   emission limit, the State used hourly                  emissions data as the basis for a
                                                  that may come from the roofline of the                   SO2 data collected using continuous                    statistical analysis of the degree of
                                                  smelter structure. To ensure that all                    emission monitors from May 2013 to                     adjustment warranted in determining a
                                                  emission sources subject to the facility-                October 2014, adjusted to account for                  30-day facility-wide emission limit that
                                                  wide limit are accurately monitored and                  facility upgrades and increased                        is comparably stringent to the plant total
                                                  reported, the rule also requires that                    production capacity, as a representative               1-hour emission limit that would
                                                  continuous monitoring systems be                         emission distribution for the Smelter’s                otherwise have been set.
                                                  installed on each of the aforementioned                  future configuration. The State summed                    The State has used an appropriate
                                                  stacks and at the roofline to measure                    the emissions from all point and fugitive              data base and the methodology specified
                                                  fugitive emissions. In addition, under                   sources, which yielded the hourly                      in the 2014 SO2 Guidance to derive an
                                                  subsection (E)(8) of Rule C1302, FMMI                    emissions data that provided for                       emission limit that has comparable
                                                  is required to develop and implement a                   calculation of the 30-day average                      stringency to the 1-hour average limit
                                                  roofline fugitive emissions monitoring                   emission rates used to determine an                    that the State determined would
                                                  plan for review and approval by ADEQ                     appropriate adjustment factor. The 99th                otherwise have been necessary to
                                                  and the EPA. Furthermore, FMMI is                        percentile of the 30-day and 1-hour SO2                provide for attainment. While the 30-
                                                  required to develop and submit for EPA                   emission rates were 102.4 lb/hr and                    day average limit allows occasions in
                                                  review and approval an Operations &                      276.7 lb/hr, respectively. The ratio of                which emissions may be higher than the
                                                  Maintenance plan for capture and                         these two values (i.e., the computed                   level that would be allowed with the
                                                  control systems at the smelter to ensure                 adjustment factor) was 0.37. Compared                  1-hour limit, the State’s limit
                                                  that these systems are functioning                                                                              compensates by requiring average
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                                                                                                           to the national average adjustment
                                                  properly and are adequately maintained                                                                          emissions to be lower than the level that
                                                  in order to minimize fugitive emissions.                   35 ‘‘Technical Support Document for the EPA’s        would otherwise have been required by
                                                  The rule also includes provisions for                    Rulemaking for the Arizona State Implementation        a 1-hour average limit. For reasons
                                                  determining compliance with the                          Plan; Arizona Administrative Code, Title 18,           described above and explained in more
                                                                                                           Chapter 2, Article 13, Part C—Miami, Arizona,          detail in the 2014 SO2 Guidance, the
                                                  emission limit, and the necessary                        Planning Area; R18–2–C1302—Limits on SO2
                                                  monitoring, recordkeeping, and                           Emissions from the Miami Smelter’’ (March 2018)        EPA finds that appropriately set longer-
                                                                                                           (Rule C1302 TSD).                                      term average limits provide a reasonable
                                                    34 83   FR 13716.                                        36 See Appendix K of the Modeling TSD.               basis by which nonattainment plans


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                                                                                      Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                                                             27945

                                                  may provide for attainment. Based on                                        attainment demonstration for the Miami                                         must develop and submit to the EPA a
                                                  our review of this general information as                                   SO2 NAA and has preliminarily                                                  comprehensive, accurate and current
                                                  well as the particular information in                                       determined that this modeling is                                               inventory of actual emissions from all
                                                  Arizona’s Plan, the EPA finds that the                                      consistent with CAA requirements,                                              sources of SO2 emissions in each NAA,
                                                  30 day-average limit will provide for                                       appendix W and the 2014 SO2                                                    as well as any sources located outside
                                                  attainment of the SO2 standard in the                                       Guidance. The State’s modeling                                                 the NAA which may affect attainment in
                                                  Miami SO2 NAA.                                                              indicates that with a critical emission                                        the area.37
                                                  E. Background Concentrations                                                value of 393 lb/hr, the highest predicted                                         The base year inventory establishes a
                                                                                                                              99th percentile daily maximum 1-hour                                           baseline that is used to evaluate
                                                    Arizona selected background SO2                                           concentration within the Miami SO2
                                                  concentrations using ambient air                                                                                                                           emission reductions achieved by the
                                                                                                                              NAA would be 194.1 mg/m3, below the                                            control strategy and to assess reasonable
                                                  measurements recorded between 2009                                          NAAQS level of 196.4 mg/m3 (75 ppb).
                                                  and 2013 during Smelter shutdown                                                                                                                           further progress requirements. Arizona
                                                                                                                              This modeled concentration includes                                            used 2011 as the base year for emission
                                                  periods at the Jones Ranch (Air Quality                                     the background concentration of SO2 of
                                                  System (AQS) ID: 04–007–0011),                                                                                                                             inventory preparation. At the time of
                                                                                                                              21.2 mg/m3. The modeling indicates that                                        preparation of the Plan, 2011 reflected
                                                  Townsite (AQS ID: 04–007–0012) and                                          the Smelter upgrades and resulting 30-
                                                  Ridgeline (AQS ID: 04–007–0009)                                                                                                                            the most recent triennial National
                                                                                                                              day emission limit of 142.45 lb/hr are                                         Emission Inventory, supported the
                                                  monitors. The State calculated the                                          sufficient for the Miami SO2 NAA to
                                                  5-year averages of the daily maximum                                                                                                                       requirement for timeliness of data, and
                                                                                                                              attain the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.                                                     was also representative of a year with
                                                  99th percentile 1-hour average SO2
                                                  during Smelter shutdowns at each site,                                      V. Review of Other Plan Requirements                                           violations of the primary SO2 NAAQS.
                                                  which were 8.1, 6.7, and 7.2 ppb,                                                                                                                          Arizona reviewed and compiled actual
                                                                                                                              A. Emissions Inventory                                                         emissions of all sources of SO2 in the
                                                  respectively. The State chose to use the
                                                  Jones Ranch value of 8.1 ppb (21.2                                            The emissions inventory and source                                           NAA in the 2011 base year emission
                                                  micrograms per cubic meter (mg/m3)) as                                      emission rate data for an area serve as                                        inventory. In addition to developing an
                                                  background concentrations of SO2 to                                         the foundation for air quality modeling                                        emission inventory of SO2 emission
                                                  add to modeled design values. We agree                                      and other analyses that enable states to                                       sources within the NAA, Arizona also
                                                  that the State appropriately and                                            estimate the degree to which different                                         provided an SO2 emission inventory for
                                                  conservatively calculated background                                        sources within a NAA contribute to                                             those emission sources within a 50
                                                  concentrations.                                                             violations within the affected area and                                        kilometer buffer zone of the NAA. Table
                                                                                                                              assess the expected improvement in air                                         2 below summarizes 2011 base year SO2
                                                  F. Summary of Results                                                       quality within the NAA due to the                                              emissions inventory data for the NAA,
                                                    The EPA has reviewed Arizona’s                                            adoption and implementation of control                                         categorized by emission source type
                                                  submitted modeling supporting the                                           measures. As noted above, the state                                            (rounded to the nearest whole number).

                                                                                      TABLE 2—2011 BASE YEAR SO2 EMISSION INVENTORY FOR THE MIAMI SO2 NAA
                                                                                                                                                           [Tons/year]

                                                                                                                                                                                  Nonpoint               Mobile source              Mobile source
                                                                                           Year                                                    Point source                                                                                              Total
                                                                                                                                                                                   source                  (onroad)                  (non-road)

                                                  2011 .....................................................................................             2,583                         13                          2                          >1             2,598



                                                    As seen above, the majority of SO2                                        inventory can be attributed to the point                                       category are provided in further detail
                                                  emissions in the 2011 base year                                             source category. Emissions for this                                            in Table 3 below.

                                                                                                               TABLE 3—2011 BASE YEAR SO2 EMISSION INVENTORY
                                                                                                                                                        [Point sources]

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Emissions
                                                                                                                                         Point source                                                                                                    (tons/year)

                                                  Freeport McMoRan Miami Smelter ...............................................................................................................................................                                  2,545
                                                  Freeport McMoRan Miami Mine ....................................................................................................................................................                                    7
                                                  BHP Copper Pinto Valley Miami Unit ............................................................................................................................................                                    >1
                                                  BHP Copper Pinto Valley Mine .....................................................................................................................................................                                 >1
                                                  Carlota Copper Pinto Valley Mine .................................................................................................................................................                                 31

                                                        Total ........................................................................................................................................................................................            2,583
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                                                    A projected attainment year emission                                      estimated emissions for all SO2                                                the NAA, categorized by source type.
                                                  inventory should also be included in the                                    emission sources that were determined                                          2011 base year emissions, as well as the
                                                  SIP submission according to the 2014                                        to have an impact on the affected NAA                                          projected change between base year and
                                                  SO2 Guidance. This emission inventory                                       for the projected attainment year. Table                                       projected year emissions, are also
                                                  should include, in a manner consistent                                      4 below summarizes Arizona’s projected                                         summarized below (rounded to nearest
                                                  with the attainment demonstration,                                          2018 SO2 emissions inventory data for                                          whole number).

                                                    37 See   CAA section 172(c)(3).



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                                                  27946                               Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                                                      TABLE 4—PROJECTED 2018 SO2 EMISSION INVENTORY FOR THE MIAMI SO2 NAA
                                                                                                                                                          [Tons/year]

                                                                                                                                                                                 Nonpoint              Mobile source         Mobile source
                                                                                           Year                                                    Point source                                                                                      Total
                                                                                                                                                                                  source                 (onroad)             (non-road)

                                                  2011 .....................................................................................                 2,583                              13                     2                 >1             2,598
                                                  2018 .....................................................................................                   685                              13                     2                 >1               700
                                                  Change .................................................................................                  ¥1,898                               0                     0                  0            ¥1,898



                                                    As seen above, both the majority of                                       majority of projected SO2 emission                                         provided in further detail in Table 5
                                                  SO2 emissions in the projected 2018                                         reductions, can be attributed to point                                     below.
                                                  emission inventory, as well as the                                          sources. Emissions for this category are

                                                                                                               TABLE 5—PROJECTED 2018 SO2 EMISSION INVENTORY
                                                                                                                                                       [Point sources]

                                                                                                                                                                                                           2011                   2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Base year               Projected
                                                                                                                Point source                                                                                                                       Change
                                                                                                                                                                                                        emissions            year emissions
                                                                                                                                                                                                        (tons/year)            (tons/year)

                                                  Freeport McMoRan Miami Smelter .............................................................................................                                  2,545                   660            ¥1,885
                                                  Freeport McMoRan Miami Mine ..................................................................................................                                    7                     8                 1
                                                  BHP Copper Pinto Valley Miami Unit ..........................................................................................                                    >1                    >1                 0
                                                  BHP Copper Pinto Valley Mine ...................................................................................................                                 >1                    14                13
                                                  Carlota Copper Pinto Valley Mine ...............................................................................................                                 31                     3              ¥28

                                                        Total ......................................................................................................................................            2,583                   685            ¥1,898



                                                    As seen above, the single largest                                         SO2 to identify potentially available                                      the installation of improved capture
                                                  decrease in emissions is attributed to                                      control measures, eliminating any                                          systems at the IsaSmelt furnace, electric
                                                  the Miami Smelter. The projected 2018                                       measures that were not feasible at the                                     furnace, converter department, and
                                                  SO2 emissions for the Miami Smelter are                                     Miami Smelter or not more stringent                                        anode casting operations at the Miami
                                                  consistent with allowable emission                                          than those measures already being                                          Smelter constituted RACM/RACT and
                                                  limits for the Miami Smelter that                                           implemented. ADEQ then compared the                                        would allow the facility to meet the
                                                  Arizona is requesting that the EPA                                          proposed control measures for the                                          142.45 lb/hr emission limit and other
                                                  approve into the SIP. For other point                                       Miami Smelter with the measures not                                        requirements outlined in Rule C1302.
                                                  sources, projected 2018 SO2 emissions                                       eliminated in the first step of the                                        As explained in the Rule C1302 TSD,
                                                  were determined by Arizona based on                                         RACM/RACT analysis, and concluded
                                                                                                                                                                                                         we agree that Rule C1302 generally
                                                  existing permit allowable SO2 limits or                                     that the proposed control measures
                                                                                                                                                                                                         requires implementation of reasonable
                                                  other federally enforceable SO2                                             would be more stringent. We provide an
                                                                                                                              assessment below of whether ADEQ’s                                         controls for the Miami Smelter. We also
                                                  emission limits.
                                                    The EPA has evaluated Arizona’s                                           RACM/RACT analysis is consistent with                                      find that it was appropriate for Arizona
                                                  2011 base year inventory and projected                                      EPA guidance.                                                              to focus its RACM/RACT analysis solely
                                                  2018 emission inventory for the Miami                                          The State’s RACM/RACT analysis can                                      on this source, given that the Miami
                                                  SO2 NAA, and considers these                                                be found in section 4.4.3 of the Miami                                     Smelter accounted for more than 99.5
                                                  inventories to have been developed                                          SO2 Plan. ADEQ compared SO2 controls                                       percent of SO2 emissions in the NAA
                                                  consistent with EPA guidance. As a                                          at eight different facilities and found                                    during the 2011 base year.38
                                                  result, the EPA is proposing to                                             that all of these units used an acid plant                                    As noted above, most of the
                                                  determine that the Miami SO2 Plan                                           to recover or reduce SO2 emissions.                                        requirements of Rule C1302 will become
                                                  meets the requirements of CAA Section                                       Some of these facilities also used acid                                    enforceable only after final approval of
                                                  172(c)(3) and (4) for the Miami SO2                                         absorption equipment (wet and dry                                          the rule by the EPA. However, the Plan
                                                  NAA.                                                                        scrubbers) to further control SO2. ADEQ                                    itself provides that the owner or
                                                                                                                              also noted that enhanced capture                                           operator of the Miami Smelter will
                                                  B. Reasonably Available Control                                             systems (such as additional hooding,
                                                  Measures and Reasonably Available                                                                                                                      complete construction of the relevant
                                                                                                                              improved ventilation systems and
                                                  Control Technology                                                                                                                                     control measures no later than January
                                                                                                                              enhanced ductwork) at the Miami
                                                    Arizona’s Plan for attaining the 1-hour                                                                                                              1, 2018, including steps that ADEQ will
                                                                                                                              Smelter would contribute to reducing
                                                  SO2 NAAQS in the Miami SO2 NAA is                                           uncontrolled fugitive emissions from                                       undertake if the owner or operator failed
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                                                  based on implementation of controls at                                      the smelter structure. While enhanced                                      to complete construction by January 1,
                                                  the Miami Smelter. ADEQ conducted a                                         capture does not inherently reduce SO2                                     2018.39 On December 19, 2017, FMMI
                                                  reasonably available control measures                                       emissions, these capture systems will                                      notified the EPA and ADEQ that it had
                                                  and reasonably available control                                            route a greater amount of gas to control                                   completed construction of the SO2
                                                  technology (RACM/RACT) analysis in                                          devices that do reduce SO2 emissions.                                      capture and control system upgrades
                                                  the Miami SO2 Plan, comparing the                                              The State concluded that upgrades to
                                                  requirements at the Miami Smelter with                                      the acid plant, the installation of                                         38 Miami     SO2 Plan, Section 3.1.1, page 33.
                                                  controls in use at other large sources of                                   additional and improved scrubbers, and                                      39 Id.,   page 84.



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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                   27947

                                                  and had initiated associated                              Arizona finds that the Miami SO2                     that the Arizona SIP establishes a
                                                  commissioning activities.40                             Plan requires affected sources to                      comprehensive enforcement program,
                                                    As explained above, we find that                      implement appropriate control                          allowing for the identification of sources
                                                  Arizona has demonstrated that                           measures as expeditiously as practicable               of SO2 NAAQS violations and
                                                  implementation of the control measures                  in order to ensure attainment of the                   aggressive compliance and enforcement
                                                  required under the Plan are sufficient to               standard by the applicable attainment                  follow-up. We propose to approve
                                                  provide for attainment of the NAAQS.                    date. Arizona concludes that the Plan                  Arizona’s Plan as meeting the
                                                  Given that these controls have already                  therefore provides for RFP in                          contingency measure requirement in
                                                  been installed and will be fully                        accordance with the approach to RFP                    this manner.
                                                  operational prior to October 4, 2018, we                described in the 2014 SO2 Guidance.
                                                  propose to conclude that the State has                                                                         VI. Conformity
                                                                                                          The EPA concurs and proposes to
                                                  satisfied the requirement in section                    conclude that the Plan provides for RFP.                  Generally, as set forth in section
                                                  172(c)(1) and (6) to adopt and submit all                                                                      176(c) of the CAA, conformity requires
                                                  RACM and emissions limitations and                      E. Contingency Measures                                that actions by federal agencies do not
                                                  control measures as needed to attain the                  In the Miami SO2 Plan, Arizona                       cause new air quality violations, worsen
                                                  standards as expeditiously as                           explained its rationale for concluding                 existing violations, or delay timely
                                                  practicable and the requirement in                      that the Plan meets the requirement for                attainment of the relevant NAAQS.
                                                  section 192(b) to provide for attainment                contingency measures. Specifically,                    General conformity applies to federal
                                                  by October 4, 2018.                                     Arizona relies on the 2014 SO2                         actions, other than certain highway and
                                                                                                          Guidance, which notes the special                      transportation projects, if the action
                                                  C. New Source Review                                    circumstances that apply to SO2 and                    takes place in a nonattainment area or
                                                    On November 2, 2015, the EPA                          explains on that basis why the                         maintenance area (i.e., an area which
                                                  published a final limited approval and                  contingency requirement in CAA                         submitted a maintenance plan that
                                                  limited disapproval of revisions to                     section 172(c)(9) is met for SO2 by                    meets the requirements of section 175A
                                                  ADEQ’s new source review (NSR)                          having a comprehensive program to                      of the CAA and has been redesignated
                                                  rules.41 On May 4, 2018, the EPA                        identify sources of violations of the SO2              to attainment) for ozone, particulate
                                                  approved additional rule revisions to                   NAAQS and to undertake an aggressive                   matter, nitrogen dioxide, carbon
                                                  address many of the deficiencies                        follow-up for compliance and                           monoxide, lead, or SO2. The EPA’s
                                                  identified in the 2015 action.42                        enforcement of applicable emissions                    General Conformity Rule establishes the
                                                  Collectively these rule revisions will                  limitations. Arizona stated that it has                criteria and procedures for determining
                                                  ensure that ADEQ’s rules provide for                    such an enforcement program pursuant                   if a federal action conforms to the SIP.45
                                                  appropriate NSR for SO2 sources                         to state law in Arizona Revised Statutes               With respect to the 2010 SO2 NAAQS,
                                                  undergoing construction or major                        (ARS) sections 49–461, 49–402, 49–404                  federal agencies are expected to
                                                  modification in the Miami SO2 NAA                       and 49–406. Arizona also describes the                 continue to estimate emissions for
                                                  without need for further modification.                  process under State law to apply                       conformity analyses in the same manner
                                                  Therefore, the EPA concludes that the                   contingency measures for failure to                    as they estimated emissions for
                                                  NSR requirement has been met for this                   make RFP and/or for failure to attain the              conformity analyses under the previous
                                                  area. We note that Rule C1302                           SO2 NAAQS by the attainment date and                   NAAQS for SO2. The EPA’s General
                                                  subsection (I) indicates that the smelter               concludes that Arizona’s Plan satisfies                Conformity Rule includes the basic
                                                  emission limits contained in the rule                   contingency measure requirements. The                  requirement that a federal agency’s
                                                  shall be determined to be SO2 RACT for                  EPA concurs with this assessment. We                   general conformity analysis be based on
                                                  purposes of minor NSR requirements.                     note that the EPA has approved ARS                     the latest and most accurate emission
                                                  This provision does not interfere with or               49–402, 49–404, 49–406 and 49–461                      estimation techniques available.46 When
                                                  adversely affect existing nonattainment                 into the Arizona SIP.43 In addition, we                updated and improved emissions
                                                  NSR rules.                                              have approved ARS 49–422(A) (‘‘Powers                  estimation techniques become available,
                                                  D. Reasonable Further Progress                          and Duties’’), which authorizes ADEQ to                the EPA expects the federal agency to
                                                                                                          require sources of air contaminants to                 use these techniques.
                                                     In the Miami SO2 Plan, Arizona                       ‘‘monitor, sample or perform other                        Transportation conformity
                                                  explained its rationale for concluding                  studies to quantify emissions of air                   determinations are not required in SO2
                                                  that the Plan meets the requirement for                 contaminants or levels of air pollution
                                                  reasonable further progress (RFP) in                                                                           nonattainment and maintenance areas.
                                                                                                          that may reasonably be attributable to                 The EPA concluded in its 1993
                                                  accordance with EPA guidance.                           that source’’ for purposes of determining
                                                  Specifically, Arizona’s rationale is based                                                                     transportation conformity rule that
                                                                                                          whether the source is in violation of a                highway and transit vehicles are not
                                                  on EPA guidance interpreting the RFP                    control requirement. We have also
                                                  requirement being satisfied for SO2 if                                                                         significant sources of SO2. Therefore,
                                                                                                          approved ARS 49–460 through 49–463,                    transportation plans, transportation
                                                  the Plan requires ‘‘adherence to an                     which authorize ADEQ to request
                                                  ambitious compliance schedule’’ that                                                                           improvement programs and projects are
                                                                                                          compliance-related information from                    presumed to conform to applicable
                                                  ‘‘implement[s] appropriate control                      sources, to issue orders of abatement
                                                  measures as expeditiously as                                                                                   implementation plans for SO2.47
                                                                                                          upon reasonable cause to believe a
                                                  practicable.’’ Arizona noted that its Plan              source has violated or is violating an air             VII. The EPA’s Proposed Action
                                                  provides for attainment as expeditiously                pollution control requirement, to
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                                                                                                                                                                   The EPA is proposing to approve the
                                                  as practicable, i.e., by October 4, 2018,               establish injunctive relief, to establish              Miami SO2 Plan, which includes
                                                  and finds that the Plan thereby satisfies               civil penalties of up to $10,000 per day               Arizona’s attainment demonstration for
                                                  the requirement for RFP.                                per violation, and to conduct criminal                 the Miami SO2 NAA and addresses
                                                    40 Letter from Byron Belew, FMMI, to Alexis
                                                                                                          enforcement, as appropriate through the                requirements for RFP, RACT/RACM,
                                                  Strauss, EPA, and Timothy Franquist, ADEQ               Attorney General.44 Therefore, we agree
                                                  (December 19, 2017).                                                                                             45 40 CFR 93.150 to 93.165.
                                                    41 80 FR 67319 (November 2, 2015).                      43 See 40 CFR 52.120(e), Table 3.                      46 40 CFR 93.159(b).
                                                    42 83 FR 19631 (May 4, 2018).                           44 77 FR 66398 (November 5, 2012).                     47 See 58 FR 3776 (January 11, 1993).




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                                                  27948                     Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 116 / Friday, June 15, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  base-year and projected emission                        October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821,                application of those requirements would
                                                  inventories, and contingency measures.                  January 21, 2011);                                     be inconsistent with the CAA; and
                                                  The EPA proposes to determine that the                     • Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82                  • Does not provide the EPA with the
                                                  Miami SO2 Plan meets applicable                         FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory                  discretionary authority to address, as
                                                  requirements of sections 110, 172, 191                  action because SIP approvals are                       appropriate, disproportionate human
                                                  and 192 of the CAA for the 2010 SO2                     exempted under Executive Order 12866;                  health or environmental effects, using
                                                  NAAQS.                                                     • Does not impose an information                    practicable and legally permissible
                                                     The EPA is taking public comments                    collection burden under the provisions                 methods, under Executive Order 12898
                                                  for thirty days following the publication               of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44                     (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
                                                  of this proposed action in the Federal                  U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
                                                                                                             • Is certified as not having a                         In addition, the SIP is not approved
                                                  Register. We will take all relevant                                                                            to apply on any Indian reservation land
                                                  comments into consideration in our                      significant economic impact on a
                                                                                                          substantial number of small entities                   or in any other area where the EPA or
                                                  final action.                                                                                                  an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
                                                                                                          under the Regulatory Flexibility Act
                                                  VIII. Statutory and Executive Order                     (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);                                tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
                                                  Reviews                                                    • Does not contain any unfunded                     Indian country, the rule does not have
                                                                                                          mandate or significantly or uniquely                   tribal implications and will not impose
                                                    Under the CAA, the Administrator is                   affect small governments, as described                 substantial direct costs on tribal
                                                  required to approve a SIP submission                    in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act                    governments or preempt tribal law as
                                                  that complies with the provisions of the                of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);                               specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
                                                  Act and applicable Federal regulations.                    • Does not have Federalism                          FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
                                                  42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).                     implications as specified in Executive
                                                  Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the                                                                        List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
                                                                                                          Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
                                                  EPA’s role is to approve state choices,                 1999);                                                   Environmental protection, Air
                                                  provided that they meet the criteria of                    • Is not an economically significant                pollution control, Incorporation by
                                                  the CAA. Accordingly, this proposed                     regulatory action based on health or                   reference, Intergovernmental relations,
                                                  action merely approves state law as                     safety risks subject to Executive Order                Reporting and recordkeeping
                                                  meeting Federal requirements and does                   13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);                   requirements, Sulfur oxides.
                                                  not impose additional requirements                         • Is not a significant regulatory action              Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
                                                  beyond those imposed by state law. For                  subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
                                                  that reason, this proposed action:                                                                               Dated: June 4, 2018.
                                                                                                          28355, May 22, 2001);
                                                    • Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory                      • Is not subject to requirements of                 Michael B. Stoker,
                                                  action’’ subject to review by the Office                section 12(d) of the National                          Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX.
                                                  of Management and Budget under                          Technology Transfer and Advancement                    [FR Doc. 2018–12913 Filed 6–14–18; 8:45 am]
                                                  Executive Order 12866 (58 FR 51735,                     Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because               BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




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Document Created: 2018-11-02 12:00:35
Document Modified: 2018-11-02 12:00:35
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionProposed rule.
DatesComments must be received on or before July 16, 2018.
ContactKrishna Viswanathan, EPA, Region IX, Air Division, Air Planning Office, (520) 999-7880 or [email protected]
FR Citation83 FR 27938 
CFR AssociatedEnvironmental Protection; Air Pollution Control; Incorporation by Reference; Intergovernmental Relations; Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements and Sulfur Oxides

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