80_FR_13842 80 FR 13791 - Energy Conservation Program: Data Collection and Comparison With Forecasted Unit Sales of Five Lamp Types

80 FR 13791 - Energy Conservation Program: Data Collection and Comparison With Forecasted Unit Sales of Five Lamp Types

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 51 (March 17, 2015)

Page Range13791-13794
FR Document2015-05947

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is informing the public of its collection of shipment data and creation of spreadsheet models to provide comparisons between actual and benchmark estimate unit sales of five lamp types (i.e., rough service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3- way incandescent lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen general service incandescent lamps, and shatter-resistant lamps) that are currently exempt from energy conservation standards. As the actual sales do not exceed the forecasted estimate by 100 percent for any lamp type (i.e., the threshold triggering a rulemaking for an energy conservation standard), DOE has determined that no regulatory action is necessary at this time. However, DOE will continue to track sales data for these exempted lamps. Relating to this activity, DOE has prepared, and is making available on its Web site, a spreadsheet showing the comparisons of anticipated versus actual sales, as well as the model used to generate the original sales estimates. The spreadsheet is available online at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/product.aspx/ productid/63.

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 51 (Tuesday, March 17, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 51 (Tuesday, March 17, 2015)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 13791-13794]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-05947]


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DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

10 CFR Part 430

[Docket No. EERE-2011-BT-NOA-0013]


Energy Conservation Program: Data Collection and Comparison With 
Forecasted Unit Sales of Five Lamp Types

AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of 
Energy.

ACTION: Notice of data availability.

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SUMMARY: The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is informing the public of 
its collection of shipment data and creation of spreadsheet models to

[[Page 13792]]

provide comparisons between actual and benchmark estimate unit sales of 
five lamp types (i.e., rough service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-
way incandescent lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen general service incandescent 
lamps, and shatter-resistant lamps) that are currently exempt from 
energy conservation standards. As the actual sales do not exceed the 
forecasted estimate by 100 percent for any lamp type (i.e., the 
threshold triggering a rulemaking for an energy conservation standard), 
DOE has determined that no regulatory action is necessary at this time. 
However, DOE will continue to track sales data for these exempted 
lamps. Relating to this activity, DOE has prepared, and is making 
available on its Web site, a spreadsheet showing the comparisons of 
anticipated versus actual sales, as well as the model used to generate 
the original sales estimates. The spreadsheet is available online at: 
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/product.aspx/productid/63.

DATES: As of March 17, 2015, DOE has determined that no regulatory 
action is necessary at this time.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
    Ms. Lucy deButts, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy 
Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies, EE-2J, 1000 
Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121. Telephone: (202) 
287-1604. Email: [email protected].
    Mr. Peter Cochran, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the General 
Counsel, GC-33, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-
0121. Telephone: (202) 586-9496. Email: [email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: 

Table of Contents

I. Background
II. Definitions
    A. Rough Service Lamps
    B. Vibration Service Lamps
    C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps
    D. 2,601-3,300 Lumen General Service Incandescent Lamps
    E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps
III. Comparison Methodology
IV. Comparison Results
    A. Rough Service Lamps
    B. Vibration Service Lamps
    C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps
    D. 2,601-3,300 Lumen General Service Incandescent Lamps
    E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps
V. Conclusion

I. Background

    The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA 2007; Pub. 
L. 110-140) was enacted on December 19, 2007. Among the requirements of 
subtitle B (Lighting Energy Efficiency) of title III of EISA 2007 were 
provisions directing DOE to collect, analyze, and monitor unit sales of 
five lamp types (i.e., rough service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-
way incandescent lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen general service incandescent 
lamps, and shatter-resistant lamps). In relevant part, section 
321(a)(3)(B) of EISA 2007 amended section 325(l) of the Energy Policy 
and Conservation Act of 1975 (EPCA) by adding paragraph (4)(B), which 
generally directs DOE, in consultation with the National Electrical 
Manufacturers Association (NEMA), to: (1) Collect unit sales data for 
each of the five lamp types for calendar years 1990 through 2006 in 
order to determine the historical growth rate for each lamp type; and 
(2) construct a model for each of the five lamp types based on 
coincident economic indicators that closely match the historical annual 
growth rates of each lamp type to provide a neutral comparison 
benchmark estimate of future unit sales. (42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(B)) 
Section 321(a)(3)(B) of EISA 2007 also amends section 325(l) of EPCA by 
adding paragraph (4)(C), which, in relevant part, directs DOE to 
collect unit sales data for calendar years 2010 through 2025, in 
consultation with NEMA, for each of the five lamp types. DOE must then: 
(1) Compare the actual lamp sales in that year with the benchmark 
estimate; (2) determine if the unit sales projection has been exceeded; 
and (3) issue the findings within 90 days of the end of the analyzed 
calendar year. (42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(C))
    On December 18, 2008, DOE issued a notice of data availability 
(NODA) for the Report on Data Collection and Estimated Future Unit 
Sales of Five Lamp Types (hereafter the ``2008 analysis''), which was 
published in the Federal Register on December 24, 2008. 73 FR 79072. 
The 2008 analysis presented the 1990 through 2006 shipment data 
collected in consultation with NEMA, the spreadsheet model DOE 
constructed for each lamp type, and the benchmark unit sales estimates 
for 2010 through 2025. On April 4, 2011, DOE published a NODA in the 
Federal Register announcing the availability of updated spreadsheet 
models presenting the benchmark estimates from the 2008 analysis and 
the collected sales data from 2010 for the first annual comparison. 76 
FR 18425. Similarly, DOE published NODAs in the Federal Register in the 
following three years announcing the updated spreadsheet models and 
sales data for the annual comparisons. 77 FR 16183 (March 20, 2012); 78 
FR 15891 (March 13, 2013); 79 FR 15058 (March 18, 2014). This NODA 
presents the fifth annual comparison; specifically, section IV of this 
report compares the actual unit sales against benchmark unit sales 
estimates for 2014.\1\
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    \1\ The notices and related documents for the 2008 analysis and 
successive annual comparisons, including this NODA, are available 
through the DOE Web site at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/product.aspx/productid/63.
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    EISA 2007 also amends section 325(l) of EPCA by adding paragraphs 
(4)(D) through (4)(H), which state that if DOE finds that the unit 
sales for a given lamp type in any year between 2010 and 2025 exceed 
the benchmark estimate of unit sales by at least 100 percent (i.e., 
more than double the anticipated sales), then DOE must take regulatory 
action to establish an energy conservation standard for such lamps. (42 
U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(D) through (H)) For 2,601-3,300 lumen general service 
incandescent lamps, DOE must adopt a statutorily prescribed energy 
conservation standard. For the other four types of lamps, the statute 
requires DOE to initiate an accelerated rulemaking to establish energy 
conservation standards. If the Secretary does not complete the 
accelerated rulemakings within one year of the end of the previous 
calendar year, there is a ``backstop requirement'' for each lamp type, 
which would establish energy conservation standard levels and related 
requirements by statute. Id.
    As in the 2008 analysis and previous comparisons, DOE uses 
manufacturer shipments as a surrogate for unit sales in this NODA 
because manufacturer shipment data are tracked and aggregated by the 
trade organization, NEMA. DOE believes that annual shipments track 
closely with actual unit sales of these five lamp types, as DOE 
presumes that retailer inventories remain constant from year to year. 
DOE believes this is a reasonable assumption because the markets for 
these five lamp types have existed for many years, thereby enabling 
manufacturers and retailers to establish appropriate inventory levels 
that reflect market demand. In addition, increasing unit sales must 
eventually result in increasing manufacturer shipments. This is the 
same methodology presented in DOE's 2008 analysis and subsequent annual 
comparisons, and the Department did not receive any comments 
challenging this assumption or the general approach.

[[Page 13793]]

II. Definitions

A. Rough Service Lamps

    Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007 amended section 321(30) of EPCA 
by adding the definition of a ``rough service lamp.'' The statutory 
definition reads as follows: ``The term `rough service lamp' means a 
lamp that--(i) has a minimum of 5 supports with filament configurations 
that are C-7A, C-11, C-17, and C-22 as listed in Figure 6-12 of the 9th 
edition of the IESNA [Illuminating Engineering Society of North 
America] Lighting handbook, or similar configurations where lead wires 
are not counted as supports; and (ii) is designated and marketed 
specifically for `rough service' applications, with--(I) the 
designation appearing on the lamp packaging; and (II) marketing 
materials that identify the lamp as being for rough service.'' (42 
U.S.C. 6291(30)(X))
    As noted above, rough service incandescent lamps must have a 
minimum of five filament support wires (not counting the two connecting 
leads at the beginning and end of the filament), and must be designated 
and marketed for ``rough service'' applications. This type of 
incandescent lamp is typically used in applications where the lamp 
would be subject to mechanical shock or vibration while it is 
operating. Standard incandescent lamps have only two support wires 
(which also serve as conductors), one at each end of the filament coil. 
When operating (i.e., when the tungsten filament is glowing so hot that 
it emits light), a standard incandescent lamp's filament is brittle, 
and rough service applications could cause it to break prematurely. To 
address this problem, lamp manufacturers developed lamp designs that 
incorporate additional support wires along the length of the filament 
to ensure that it has support not just at each end, but at several 
other points as well. The additional support protects the filament 
during operation and enables longer operating life for incandescent 
lamps in rough service applications. Typical applications for these 
rough service lamps might include commercial hallways and stairwells, 
gyms, storage areas, and security areas.

B. Vibration Service Lamps

    Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007 amended section 321(30) of EPCA 
by adding the definition of a ``vibration service lamp.'' The statutory 
definition reads as follows: ``The term `vibration service lamp' means 
a lamp that--(i) has filament configurations that are C-5, C-7A, or C-
9, as listed in Figure 6-12 of the 9th Edition of the IESNA Lighting 
Handbook or similar configurations; (ii) has a maximum wattage of 60 
watts; (iii) is sold at retail in packages of 2 lamps or less; and (iv) 
is designated and marketed specifically for vibration service or 
vibration-resistant applications, with--(I) the designation appearing 
on the lamp packaging; and (II) marketing materials that identify the 
lamp as being vibration service only.'' (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(AA))
    The statute mentions three examples of filament configurations for 
vibration service lamps in Figure 6-12 of the IESNA Lighting Handbook, 
one of which (i.e., C-7A) is also listed in the statutory definition of 
``rough service lamp.'' The definition of ``vibration service lamp'' 
requires that such lamps have a maximum wattage of 60 watts and be sold 
at a retail level in packages of two lamps or fewer. Similar to rough 
service lamps, vibration service lamps must be designated and marketed 
for vibration service or vibration-resistant applications. As the name 
suggests, this type of incandescent lamp is generally used in 
applications where the incandescent lamp would be subject to a 
continuous low level of vibration, such as in a ceiling fan light kit. 
In such applications, standard incandescent lamps without additional 
filament support wires may not achieve the full rated life, because the 
filament wire is brittle and would be subject to breakage at typical 
operating temperature. To address this problem, lamp manufacturers 
typically use a more malleable tungsten filament to avoid damage and 
short circuits between coils.

C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps

    Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007 amended section 321(30) of EPCA 
by adding the definition of a ``3-way incandescent lamp.'' The 
statutory definition reads as follows: ``The term `3-way incandescent 
lamp' includes an incandescent lamp that--(i) employs 2 filaments, 
operated separately and in combination, to provide 3 light levels; and 
(ii) is designated on the lamp packaging and marketing materials as 
being a 3-way incandescent lamp.'' (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(Y))
    Three-way lamps are commonly found in wattage combinations such as 
50, 100, and 150 watts or 30, 70, and 100 watts. These lamps use two 
filaments (e.g., a 30-watt and a 70-watt filament) and can be operated 
separately or together to produce three different lumen outputs (e.g., 
305 lumens with one filament, 995 lumens with the other, or 1,300 
lumens using the filaments together). When used in three-way sockets, 
these lamps allow users to control the light level. Three-way 
incandescent lamps are typically used in residential multi-purpose 
areas, where consumers may adjust the light level to be appropriate for 
the task they are performing.

D. 2,601--3,300 Lumen General Service Incandescent Lamps

    The statute does not provide a definition of ``2,601-3,300 Lumen 
General Service Incandescent Lamps''; however, DOE is interpreting this 
term to be a general service incandescent lamp \2\ that emits light 
between 2,601 and 3,300 lumens. Lamps on the market that emit light 
within this lumen range are immediately recognizable because, as 
required by the Energy Policy Act of 1992, Public Law 102-486, all 
general service incandescent lamps must be labeled with lamp lumen 
output.\3\ These lamps are used in general service applications when 
high light output is needed.
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    \2\ ``The term `general service incandescent lamp' means a 
standard incandescent or halogen type lamp that--(I) is intended for 
general service applications; (II) has a medium screw base; (III) 
has a lumen range of not less than 310 lumens and not more than 
2,600 lumens or, in the case of a modified spectrum lamp, not less 
than 232 lumens and not more than 1,950 lumens; and (IV) is capable 
of being operated at a voltage range at least partially within 110 
and 130 volts.'' (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(D)(i)).
    \3\ The Federal Trade Commission issued the lamp labeling 
requirements in 1994 (see 59 FR 25176 (May 13, 1994)). Further 
amendments were made to the lamp labeling requirements in 2007 (see 
16 CFR 305.15(b); 72 FR 49948, 49971-72 (August 29, 2007)). The 
package must display the lamp's light output (in lumens), energy use 
(in watts), and lamp life (in hours).
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E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps

    Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007 amended section 321(30) of EPCA 
by adding the definition of a ``shatter-resistant lamp, shatter-proof 
lamp, or shatter-protected lamp.'' The statutory definition reads as 
follows: ``The terms `shatter-resistant lamp,' `shatter-proof lamp,' 
and `shatter-protected lamp' mean a lamp that--(i) has a coating or 
equivalent technology that is compliant with [National Sanitation 
Foundation/American National Standards Institute] NSF/ANSI 51 and is 
designed to contain the glass if the glass envelope of the lamp is 
broken; and (ii) is designated and marketed for the intended 
application, with--(I) the designation on the lamp packaging; and (II) 
marketing materials that identify the lamp as being shatter-resistant, 
shatter-proof, or shatter-protected.'' (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(Z)) Although 
the definition provides three names commonly used to refer to these 
lamps, DOE simply refers to them collectively as ``shatter-resistant 
lamps.''
    Shatter-resistant lamps incorporate a special coating designed to 
prevent glass

[[Page 13794]]

shards from being dispersed if a lamp's glass envelope breaks. Shatter-
resistant lamps incorporate a coating compliant with industry standard 
NSF/ANSI 51,\4\ ``Food Equipment Materials,'' and are labeled and 
marketed as shatter-resistant, shatter-proof, or shatter-protected. 
Some types of the coatings can also protect the lamp from breakage in 
applications subject to heat and thermal shock that may occur from 
water, sleet, snow, soldering, or welding.
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    \4\ NSF/ANSI 51 applies specifically to materials and coatings 
used in the manufacturing of equipment and objects destined for 
contact with foodstuffs.
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III. Comparison Methodology

    In the 2008 analysis, DOE reviewed each of the five sets of 
shipment data that was collected in consultation with NEMA and applied 
two curve fits to generate unit sales estimates for the five lamp types 
after calendar year 2006. One curve fit applied a linear regression to 
the historical data and extended that line into the future. The other 
curve fit applied an exponential growth function to the shipment data 
and projected unit sales into the future. For this calculation, linear 
regression treats the year as a dependent variable and shipments as the 
independent variable. The linear regression curve fit is modeled by 
minimizing the differences among the data points and the best curve-fit 
linear line using the least squares function.\5\ The exponential curve 
fit is also a regression function and uses the same least squares 
function to find the best fit. For some data sets, an exponential curve 
provides a better characterization of the historical data, and, 
therefore, a better projection of the future data.
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    \5\ The least squares function is an analytical tool that DOE 
uses to minimize the sum of the squared residual differences between 
the actual historical data points and the modeled value (i.e., the 
linear curve fit). In minimizing this value, the resulting curve fit 
will represent the best fit possible to the data provided.
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    For 3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen general service 
incandescent lamps, and shatter-resistant lamps, DOE found that the 
linear regression and exponential growth curve fits produced nearly the 
same estimates of unit sales (i.e., the difference between the two 
forecasted values was less than 1 or 2 percent). However, for rough 
service and vibration service lamps, the linear regression curve fit 
projected lamp unit sales would decline to zero for both lamp types by 
2018. In contrast, the exponential growth curve fit projected a more 
gradual decline in unit sales, such that lamps would still be sold 
beyond 2018, and it was, therefore, considered the more realistic 
forecast. While DOE was satisfied that either the linear regression or 
exponential growth spreadsheet model generated a reasonable benchmark 
unit sales estimate for 3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen 
general service incandescent lamps, and shatter-resistant lamps, DOE 
selected the exponential growth curve fit for these lamp types for 
consistency with the selection made for rough service and vibration 
service lamps.\6\ DOE examines the benchmark unit sales estimates and 
actual sales for each of the five lamp types in the following section 
and also makes the comparisons available in a spreadsheet online: 
http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/product.aspx/productid/63.
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    \6\ This selection is consistent with the previous annual 
comparisons. See DOE's 2008 forecast spreadsheet models of the lamp 
types for greater detail on the estimates.
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IV. Comparison Results

A. Rough Service Lamps

    For rough service lamps, the exponential growth forecast projected 
the benchmark unit sales estimate for 2014 to be 5,224,000 units. The 
NEMA-provided shipment data reported shipments of 7,267,000 units in 
2014. As this finding exceeds the estimate by only 39.1 percent, DOE 
will continue to track rough service lamp sales data and will not 
initiate regulatory action for this lamp type at this time.

B. Vibration Service Lamps

    For vibration service lamps, the exponential growth forecast 
projected the benchmark unit sales estimate for 2014 to be 2,729,000 
units. The NEMA-provided shipment data reported shipments of 5,220,000 
units in 2014. As this finding exceeds the estimate by only 91.3 
percent, DOE will continue to track vibration service lamp sales data 
and will not initiate regulatory action for this lamp type at this 
time.

C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps

    For 3-way incandescent lamps, the exponential growth forecast 
projected the benchmark unit sales estimate for 2014 to be 49,107,000 
units. The NEMA-provided shipment data reported shipments of 35,340,000 
units in 2014. As this finding is only 72.0 percent of the estimate, 
DOE will continue to track 3-way incandescent lamp sales data and will 
not initiate regulatory action for this lamp type at this time.

D. 2,601-3,300 Lumen General Service Incandescent Lamps

    For 2,601-3,300 lumen general service incandescent lamps, the 
exponential growth forecast projected the benchmark unit sales estimate 
for 2014 to be 34,110,000 units. The NEMA-provided shipment data 
reported shipments of 5,232,000 units in 2014. As this finding is 15.3 
percent of the estimate, DOE will continue to track 2,601-3,300 lumen 
general service incandescent lamp sales data and will not initiate 
regulatory action for this lamp type at this time.

E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps

    For shatter-resistant lamps, the exponential growth forecast 
projected the benchmark unit sales estimate for 2014 to be 1,671,000 
units. The NEMA-provided shipment data reported shipments of 1,042,000 
units in 2014. As this finding is only 62.4 percent of the estimate, 
DOE will continue to track shatter-resistant lamp sales data and will 
not initiate regulatory action for this lamp type at this time.

V. Conclusion

    None of the shipments for rough service lamps, vibration service 
lamps, 3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen general service 
incandescent lamps, or shatter-resistant lamps crossed the statutory 
threshold for a standard. DOE will continue to monitor these five 
currently exempted lamp types and will assess 2015 sales by March 31, 
2016, in order to determine whether an energy conservation standards 
rulemaking is required, consistent with 42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(D) through 
(H).

    Issued in Washington, DC, on March 10, 2015.
Kathleen B. Hogan,
Deputy Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency, Energy Efficiency and 
Renewable Energy.
[FR Doc. 2015-05947 Filed 3-16-15; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 6450-01-P



                                                                          Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 51 / Tuesday, March 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                                13791

                                                            Agency                            Program or initiative                                                      Results

                                                  Natural Resources Con-          Conservation Delivery Streamlining Ini-         CDSI Client Gateway (CG) is a secure web application that will enable
                                                    servation Service.              tiative (CDSI).                                 NRCS clients to perform many functions online and view their data with-
                                                                                                                                    out having to travel to the USDA local service center. A client will be
                                                                                                                                    able to request technical assistance, view their conservation plans,
                                                                                                                                    apply for Farm Bill conservation program financial assistance, view their
                                                                                                                                    contract payments for certified contract items (practices in Farm Bill
                                                                                                                                    conservation program contracts) upload and download supporting docu-
                                                                                                                                    mentation, and sign their plans, agreements, and contracts. CG will re-
                                                                                                                                    duce approximately 110,000 hours of travel time for clients going to
                                                                                                                                    agency offices and reduce the information collection burden by approxi-
                                                                                                                                    mately 40,000 hours.
                                                  Animal and Plant Health         Declaration Forms for Imported Plant            In cooperation with other Federal entities, implemented initiatives to re-
                                                    Inspection Service.             and Plant Products.                             duce the burden on importers and is developing an electronic entry sys-
                                                                                                                                    tem and solicited public comments on regulatory options.
                                                                                                                                  Cost savings to industry estimated at $1.7 million to $5.7 million for the
                                                                                                                                    electronic entry system and cost savings to industry estimated at $7.2
                                                                                                                                    million to $24 million for the de minimis exemption approximately and a
                                                                                                                                    reduction of approximately 120,000 hours in information collection bur-
                                                                                                                                    den.
                                                                                                                                  Rulemaking is underway.
                                                  Animal and Plant Health         Participation in the International Trade        Amending regulations to remove any impediments to the full implementa-
                                                    Inspection Service.             Data System.                                    tion of participation in the International Trade Data System via the Auto-
                                                                                                                                    mated Commercial Environment.
                                                  Animal and Plant Health         Certification, Accreditation, Registra-         Creating a new electronic system to consolidate and streamline agency
                                                    Inspection Service.             tion, Permits, and Other Licenses.              certification, accreditation, registration permit, and license processes.
                                                                                                                                  Expects both savings in cost and information collection burden hours.



                                                  III. Regulatory Flexibility                             IV. Questions for Commenters                          comments and is not intended to limit
                                                     In addition to looking back at current                  In providing comments, the public is               the issues that commenters may choose
                                                  regulations, USDA is also looking                       encouraged to respond to the below                    to address. We welcome comments from
                                                  forward to how new regulations are                      questions:                                            the public on any of USDA’s regulations
                                                  implemented and how existing                               • What regulations or reporting                    and ways to improve them to help
                                                  regulations can be improved. Regulatory                 requirements that have become outdated                USDA agencies advance the mission of
                                                  flexibility includes a variety of                       and, if so, how can they be modernized                the Department consistent with the
                                                  regulatory techniques that can help                     to accomplish the regulatory objectives               Executive Order. USDA notes that this
                                                  avoid unnecessary costs on regulated                    better?                                               RFI is issued solely for information and
                                                  entities and avoid negative impacts.                       • Do agencies currently collect                    program-planning purposes. While
                                                  Regulatory flexibility techniques could                 information that they do not need or use              responses to this RFI do not bind USDA
                                                  include:                                                effectively to achieve regulatory                     to any further actions related to the
                                                     • Pilot projects, which can be used                  objectives?                                           response, all submissions will be made
                                                  test regulatory approaches;                                • Which regulations, reporting                     publicly available on http://
                                                                                                          requirements, or regulatory submission                www.regulations.gov.
                                                     • Safe harbors, which are streamlined
                                                                                                          or application processes are
                                                  modes of regulatory compliance and can                                                                        Thomas J. Vilsack,
                                                                                                          unnecessarily complicated or could be
                                                  serve to reduce compliance costs;                                                                             Secretary of Agriculture.
                                                                                                          streamlined to achieve regulatory
                                                     • Sunset provisions, which terminate                                                                       [FR Doc. 2015–05742 Filed 3–16–15; 08:45 am]
                                                                                                          objectives in ways that are more
                                                  a rule after a certain date;
                                                                                                          efficient?                                            BILLING CODE 3410–90–P
                                                     • Trigger provisions, which specify                     • Which regulations, submission and
                                                  one or more threshold indicators that                   application processes, or reporting
                                                  the rule is designed to address;                        requirements have been overtaken by                   DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
                                                     • Phase-ins, which allow the rule to                 technological developments? Can new
                                                  be phased-in for different groups at                    technologies be used to modify,                       10 CFR Part 430
                                                  different times;                                        streamline, or do away with existing
                                                     • Streamlined requirements, which                    regulatory or reporting requirements?
                                                                                                                                                                [Docket No. EERE–2011–BT–NOA–0013]
                                                  provide exemptions or other                                • Which regulations provide                        Energy Conservation Program: Data
                                                  streamlined requirements if a particular                examples of how regulatory flexibility                Collection and Comparison With
                                                  entity (for example, a small business)                  techniques have worked well? In                       Forecasted Unit Sales of Five Lamp
                                                  may otherwise experience                                general, who has benefitted from the                  Types
                                                  disproportionate burden from a rule;                    regulatory flexibility? What types of
                                                     • State flexibilities, which provide                 regulatory flexibility have worked well?              AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and
rljohnson on DSK3VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  greater flexibility to States or other                     • What regulations would be                        Renewable Energy, Department of
                                                  regulatory partners, for example, giving                improved through the addition of                      Energy.
                                                  them freedom to implement alternative                   regulatory flexibility techniques? How                ACTION: Notice of data availability.
                                                  regulatory approaches; and                              would regulatory flexibility lower costs
                                                     • Exceptions, which allow exceptions                 and burden? How would regulatory                      SUMMARY:    The U.S. Department of
                                                  to part or all of the rule in cases where               flexibility improve benefits?                         Energy (DOE) is informing the public of
                                                  there is a potential or suspected                          This is a non-exhaustive list that is              its collection of shipment data and
                                                  unintended consequence.                                 meant to assist in the formulation of                 creation of spreadsheet models to


                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   15:22 Mar 16, 2015   Jkt 235001   PO 00000   Frm 00003   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\17MRP1.SGM    17MRP1


                                                  13792                   Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 51 / Tuesday, March 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                  provide comparisons between actual                      19, 2007. Among the requirements of                   the annual comparisons. 77 FR 16183
                                                  and benchmark estimate unit sales of                    subtitle B (Lighting Energy Efficiency) of            (March 20, 2012); 78 FR 15891 (March
                                                  five lamp types (i.e., rough service                    title III of EISA 2007 were provisions                13, 2013); 79 FR 15058 (March 18,
                                                  lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-way                   directing DOE to collect, analyze, and                2014). This NODA presents the fifth
                                                  incandescent lamps, 2,601–3,300 lumen                   monitor unit sales of five lamp types                 annual comparison; specifically, section
                                                  general service incandescent lamps, and                 (i.e., rough service lamps, vibration                 IV of this report compares the actual
                                                  shatter-resistant lamps) that are                       service lamps, 3-way incandescent                     unit sales against benchmark unit sales
                                                  currently exempt from energy                            lamps, 2,601–3,300 lumen general                      estimates for 2014.1
                                                  conservation standards. As the actual                   service incandescent lamps, and shatter-                 EISA 2007 also amends section 325(l)
                                                  sales do not exceed the forecasted                      resistant lamps). In relevant part,                   of EPCA by adding paragraphs (4)(D)
                                                  estimate by 100 percent for any lamp                    section 321(a)(3)(B) of EISA 2007                     through (4)(H), which state that if DOE
                                                  type (i.e., the threshold triggering a                  amended section 325(l) of the Energy                  finds that the unit sales for a given lamp
                                                  rulemaking for an energy conservation                   Policy and Conservation Act of 1975                   type in any year between 2010 and 2025
                                                  standard), DOE has determined that no                   (EPCA) by adding paragraph (4)(B),                    exceed the benchmark estimate of unit
                                                  regulatory action is necessary at this                  which generally directs DOE, in
                                                                                                                                                                sales by at least 100 percent (i.e., more
                                                  time. However, DOE will continue to                     consultation with the National Electrical
                                                                                                                                                                than double the anticipated sales), then
                                                  track sales data for these exempted                     Manufacturers Association (NEMA), to:
                                                                                                                                                                DOE must take regulatory action to
                                                  lamps. Relating to this activity, DOE has               (1) Collect unit sales data for each of the
                                                                                                                                                                establish an energy conservation
                                                  prepared, and is making available on its                five lamp types for calendar years 1990
                                                                                                                                                                standard for such lamps. (42 U.S.C.
                                                  Web site, a spreadsheet showing the                     through 2006 in order to determine the
                                                                                                                                                                6295(l)(4)(D) through (H)) For 2,601–
                                                  comparisons of anticipated versus                       historical growth rate for each lamp
                                                                                                                                                                3,300 lumen general service
                                                  actual sales, as well as the model used                 type; and (2) construct a model for each
                                                                                                                                                                incandescent lamps, DOE must adopt a
                                                  to generate the original sales estimates.               of the five lamp types based on
                                                                                                                                                                statutorily prescribed energy
                                                  The spreadsheet is available online at:                 coincident economic indicators that
                                                                                                                                                                conservation standard. For the other
                                                  http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/                  closely match the historical annual
                                                                                                                                                                four types of lamps, the statute requires
                                                  appliance_standards/product.aspx/                       growth rates of each lamp type to
                                                  productid/63.                                           provide a neutral comparison                          DOE to initiate an accelerated
                                                                                                          benchmark estimate of future unit sales.              rulemaking to establish energy
                                                  DATES: As of March 17, 2015, DOE has
                                                                                                          (42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(B)) Section                     conservation standards. If the Secretary
                                                  determined that no regulatory action is
                                                                                                          321(a)(3)(B) of EISA 2007 also amends                 does not complete the accelerated
                                                  necessary at this time.
                                                                                                          section 325(l) of EPCA by adding                      rulemakings within one year of the end
                                                  FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                                                                              of the previous calendar year, there is a
                                                     Ms. Lucy deButts, U.S. Department of                 paragraph (4)(C), which, in relevant
                                                                                                          part, directs DOE to collect unit sales               ‘‘backstop requirement’’ for each lamp
                                                  Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and
                                                                                                          data for calendar years 2010 through                  type, which would establish energy
                                                  Renewable Energy, Building
                                                                                                          2025, in consultation with NEMA, for                  conservation standard levels and related
                                                  Technologies, EE–2J, 1000
                                                                                                          each of the five lamp types. DOE must                 requirements by statute. Id.
                                                  Independence Avenue SW.,
                                                  Washington, DC 20585–0121.                              then: (1) Compare the actual lamp sales                  As in the 2008 analysis and previous
                                                  Telephone: (202) 287–1604. Email: five_                 in that year with the benchmark                       comparisons, DOE uses manufacturer
                                                  lamp_types@ee.doe.gov.                                  estimate; (2) determine if the unit sales             shipments as a surrogate for unit sales
                                                     Mr. Peter Cochran, U.S. Department of                projection has been exceeded; and (3)                 in this NODA because manufacturer
                                                  Energy, Office of the General Counsel,                  issue the findings within 90 days of the              shipment data are tracked and
                                                  GC–33, 1000 Independence Avenue                         end of the analyzed calendar year. (42                aggregated by the trade organization,
                                                  SW., Washington, DC 20585–0121.                         U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(C))                                 NEMA. DOE believes that annual
                                                  Telephone: (202) 586–9496. Email:                          On December 18, 2008, DOE issued a                 shipments track closely with actual unit
                                                  Peter.Cochran@hq.doe.gov.                               notice of data availability (NODA) for                sales of these five lamp types, as DOE
                                                  SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                              the Report on Data Collection and                     presumes that retailer inventories
                                                                                                          Estimated Future Unit Sales of Five                   remain constant from year to year. DOE
                                                  Table of Contents                                                                                             believes this is a reasonable assumption
                                                                                                          Lamp Types (hereafter the ‘‘2008
                                                  I. Background                                           analysis’’), which was published in the               because the markets for these five lamp
                                                  II. Definitions                                         Federal Register on December 24, 2008.                types have existed for many years,
                                                     A. Rough Service Lamps                               73 FR 79072. The 2008 analysis                        thereby enabling manufacturers and
                                                     B. Vibration Service Lamps                                                                                 retailers to establish appropriate
                                                     C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps
                                                                                                          presented the 1990 through 2006
                                                     D. 2,601–3,300 Lumen General Service                 shipment data collected in consultation               inventory levels that reflect market
                                                        Incandescent Lamps                                with NEMA, the spreadsheet model                      demand. In addition, increasing unit
                                                     E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps                           DOE constructed for each lamp type,                   sales must eventually result in
                                                  III. Comparison Methodology                             and the benchmark unit sales estimates                increasing manufacturer shipments.
                                                  IV. Comparison Results                                  for 2010 through 2025. On April 4,                    This is the same methodology presented
                                                     A. Rough Service Lamps                               2011, DOE published a NODA in the                     in DOE’s 2008 analysis and subsequent
                                                     B. Vibration Service Lamps                           Federal Register announcing the                       annual comparisons, and the
                                                     C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps                                                                            Department did not receive any
                                                                                                          availability of updated spreadsheet
rljohnson on DSK3VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                     D. 2,601–3,300 Lumen General Service
                                                                                                          models presenting the benchmark                       comments challenging this assumption
                                                        Incandescent Lamps
                                                     E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps                           estimates from the 2008 analysis and the              or the general approach.
                                                  V. Conclusion                                           collected sales data from 2010 for the
                                                                                                          first annual comparison. 76 FR 18425.                   1 The notices and related documents for the 2008
                                                  I. Background                                           Similarly, DOE published NODAs in the                 analysis and successive annual comparisons,
                                                                                                                                                                including this NODA, are available through the
                                                     The Energy Independence and                          Federal Register in the following three               DOE Web site at: http://www1.eere.energy.gov/
                                                  Security Act of 2007 (EISA 2007; Pub.                   years announcing the updated                          buildings/appliance_standards/product.aspx/
                                                  L. 110–140) was enacted on December                     spreadsheet models and sales data for                 productid/63.



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                                                                          Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 51 / Tuesday, March 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                                      13793

                                                  II. Definitions                                         has a maximum wattage of 60 watts; (iii)              in residential multi-purpose areas,
                                                                                                          is sold at retail in packages of 2 lamps              where consumers may adjust the light
                                                  A. Rough Service Lamps
                                                                                                          or less; and (iv) is designated and                   level to be appropriate for the task they
                                                     Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007                    marketed specifically for vibration                   are performing.
                                                  amended section 321(30) of EPCA by                      service or vibration-resistant
                                                  adding the definition of a ‘‘rough service                                                                    D. 2,601—3,300 Lumen General Service
                                                                                                          applications, with—(I) the designation
                                                  lamp.’’ The statutory definition reads as                                                                     Incandescent Lamps
                                                                                                          appearing on the lamp packaging; and
                                                  follows: ‘‘The term ‘rough service lamp’                (II) marketing materials that identify the              The statute does not provide a
                                                  means a lamp that—(i) has a minimum                     lamp as being vibration service only.’’               definition of ‘‘2,601–3,300 Lumen
                                                  of 5 supports with filament                             (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(AA))                              General Service Incandescent Lamps’’;
                                                  configurations that are C–7A, C–11, C–                     The statute mentions three examples                however, DOE is interpreting this term
                                                  17, and C–22 as listed in Figure 6–12 of                of filament configurations for vibration              to be a general service incandescent
                                                  the 9th edition of the IESNA                            service lamps in Figure 6–12 of the                   lamp 2 that emits light between 2,601
                                                  [Illuminating Engineering Society of                    IESNA Lighting Handbook, one of                       and 3,300 lumens. Lamps on the market
                                                  North America] Lighting handbook, or                    which (i.e., C–7A) is also listed in the              that emit light within this lumen range
                                                  similar configurations where lead wires                 statutory definition of ‘‘rough service               are immediately recognizable because,
                                                  are not counted as supports; and (ii) is                lamp.’’ The definition of ‘‘vibration                 as required by the Energy Policy Act of
                                                  designated and marketed specifically for                service lamp’’ requires that such lamps               1992, Public Law 102–486, all general
                                                  ‘rough service’ applications, with—(I)                  have a maximum wattage of 60 watts                    service incandescent lamps must be
                                                  the designation appearing on the lamp                   and be sold at a retail level in packages             labeled with lamp lumen output.3 These
                                                  packaging; and (II) marketing materials                 of two lamps or fewer. Similar to rough               lamps are used in general service
                                                  that identify the lamp as being for rough               service lamps, vibration service lamps                applications when high light output is
                                                  service.’’ (42 U.S.C. 6291(30)(X))                      must be designated and marketed for                   needed.
                                                     As noted above, rough service                        vibration service or vibration-resistant
                                                  incandescent lamps must have a                                                                                E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps
                                                                                                          applications. As the name suggests, this
                                                  minimum of five filament support wires                  type of incandescent lamp is generally                  Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007
                                                  (not counting the two connecting leads                  used in applications where the                        amended section 321(30) of EPCA by
                                                  at the beginning and end of the                         incandescent lamp would be subject to                 adding the definition of a ‘‘shatter-
                                                  filament), and must be designated and                   a continuous low level of vibration,                  resistant lamp, shatter-proof lamp, or
                                                  marketed for ‘‘rough service’’                          such as in a ceiling fan light kit. In such           shatter-protected lamp.’’ The statutory
                                                  applications. This type of incandescent                 applications, standard incandescent                   definition reads as follows: ‘‘The terms
                                                  lamp is typically used in applications                  lamps without additional filament                     ‘shatter-resistant lamp,’ ‘shatter-proof
                                                  where the lamp would be subject to                      support wires may not achieve the full                lamp,’ and ‘shatter-protected lamp’
                                                  mechanical shock or vibration while it                  rated life, because the filament wire is              mean a lamp that—(i) has a coating or
                                                  is operating. Standard incandescent                     brittle and would be subject to breakage              equivalent technology that is compliant
                                                  lamps have only two support wires                       at typical operating temperature. To                  with [National Sanitation Foundation/
                                                  (which also serve as conductors), one at                address this problem, lamp                            American National Standards Institute]
                                                  each end of the filament coil. When                     manufacturers typically use a more                    NSF/ANSI 51 and is designed to contain
                                                  operating (i.e., when the tungsten                      malleable tungsten filament to avoid                  the glass if the glass envelope of the
                                                  filament is glowing so hot that it emits                damage and short circuits between coils.              lamp is broken; and (ii) is designated
                                                  light), a standard incandescent lamp’s                                                                        and marketed for the intended
                                                  filament is brittle, and rough service                  C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps                       application, with—(I) the designation on
                                                  applications could cause it to break                       Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007                  the lamp packaging; and (II) marketing
                                                  prematurely. To address this problem,                   amended section 321(30) of EPCA by                    materials that identify the lamp as being
                                                  lamp manufacturers developed lamp                       adding the definition of a ‘‘3-way                    shatter-resistant, shatter-proof, or
                                                  designs that incorporate additional                     incandescent lamp.’’ The statutory                    shatter-protected.’’ (42 U.S.C.
                                                  support wires along the length of the                   definition reads as follows: ‘‘The term               6291(30)(Z)) Although the definition
                                                  filament to ensure that it has support                  ‘3-way incandescent lamp’ includes an                 provides three names commonly used to
                                                  not just at each end, but at several other              incandescent lamp that—(i) employs 2                  refer to these lamps, DOE simply refers
                                                  points as well. The additional support                  filaments, operated separately and in                 to them collectively as ‘‘shatter-resistant
                                                  protects the filament during operation                  combination, to provide 3 light levels;               lamps.’’
                                                  and enables longer operating life for                   and (ii) is designated on the lamp                      Shatter-resistant lamps incorporate a
                                                  incandescent lamps in rough service                     packaging and marketing materials as                  special coating designed to prevent glass
                                                  applications. Typical applications for                  being a 3-way incandescent lamp.’’ (42
                                                                                                                                                                   2 ‘‘The term ‘general service incandescent lamp’
                                                  these rough service lamps might include                 U.S.C. 6291(30)(Y))
                                                                                                                                                                means a standard incandescent or halogen type
                                                  commercial hallways and stairwells,                        Three-way lamps are commonly                       lamp that—(I) is intended for general service
                                                  gyms, storage areas, and security areas.                found in wattage combinations such as                 applications; (II) has a medium screw base; (III) has
                                                                                                          50, 100, and 150 watts or 30, 70, and                 a lumen range of not less than 310 lumens and not
                                                  B. Vibration Service Lamps                              100 watts. These lamps use two                        more than 2,600 lumens or, in the case of a
                                                                                                                                                                modified spectrum lamp, not less than 232 lumens
                                                     Section 321(a)(1)(B) of EISA 2007                    filaments (e.g., a 30-watt and a 70-watt              and not more than 1,950 lumens; and (IV) is capable
                                                  amended section 321(30) of EPCA by                      filament) and can be operated separately              of being operated at a voltage range at least partially
rljohnson on DSK3VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  adding the definition of a ‘‘vibration                  or together to produce three different                within 110 and 130 volts.’’ (42 U.S.C.
                                                                                                                                                                6291(30)(D)(i)).
                                                  service lamp.’’ The statutory definition                lumen outputs (e.g., 305 lumens with                     3 The Federal Trade Commission issued the lamp
                                                  reads as follows: ‘‘The term ‘vibration                 one filament, 995 lumens with the                     labeling requirements in 1994 (see 59 FR 25176
                                                  service lamp’ means a lamp that—(i) has                 other, or 1,300 lumens using the                      (May 13, 1994)). Further amendments were made to
                                                  filament configurations that are C–5, C–                filaments together). When used in three-              the lamp labeling requirements in 2007 (see 16 CFR
                                                                                                                                                                305.15(b); 72 FR 49948, 49971–72 (August 29,
                                                  7A, or C–9, as listed in Figure 6–12 of                 way sockets, these lamps allow users to               2007)). The package must display the lamp’s light
                                                  the 9th Edition of the IESNA Lighting                   control the light level. Three-way                    output (in lumens), energy use (in watts), and lamp
                                                  Handbook or similar configurations; (ii)                incandescent lamps are typically used                 life (in hours).



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                                                  13794                     Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 51 / Tuesday, March 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                  shards from being dispersed if a lamp’s                  2018, and it was, therefore, considered               D. 2,601–3,300 Lumen General Service
                                                  glass envelope breaks. Shatter-resistant                 the more realistic forecast. While DOE                Incandescent Lamps
                                                  lamps incorporate a coating compliant                    was satisfied that either the linear
                                                                                                                                                                   For 2,601–3,300 lumen general
                                                  with industry standard NSF/ANSI 51,4                     regression or exponential growth
                                                                                                                                                                 service incandescent lamps, the
                                                  ‘‘Food Equipment Materials,’’ and are                    spreadsheet model generated a
                                                                                                                                                                 exponential growth forecast projected
                                                  labeled and marketed as shatter-                         reasonable benchmark unit sales
                                                  resistant, shatter-proof, or shatter-                                                                          the benchmark unit sales estimate for
                                                                                                           estimate for 3-way incandescent lamps,                2014 to be 34,110,000 units. The NEMA-
                                                  protected. Some types of the coatings                    2,601–3,300 lumen general service
                                                  can also protect the lamp from breakage                                                                        provided shipment data reported
                                                                                                           incandescent lamps, and shatter-                      shipments of 5,232,000 units in 2014.
                                                  in applications subject to heat and                      resistant lamps, DOE selected the
                                                  thermal shock that may occur from                                                                              As this finding is 15.3 percent of the
                                                                                                           exponential growth curve fit for these                estimate, DOE will continue to track
                                                  water, sleet, snow, soldering, or                        lamp types for consistency with the
                                                  welding.                                                                                                       2,601–3,300 lumen general service
                                                                                                           selection made for rough service and                  incandescent lamp sales data and will
                                                  III. Comparison Methodology                              vibration service lamps.6 DOE examines                not initiate regulatory action for this
                                                                                                           the benchmark unit sales estimates and                lamp type at this time.
                                                     In the 2008 analysis, DOE reviewed
                                                                                                           actual sales for each of the five lamp
                                                  each of the five sets of shipment data                                                                         E. Shatter-Resistant Lamps
                                                                                                           types in the following section and also
                                                  that was collected in consultation with
                                                                                                           makes the comparisons available in a                    For shatter-resistant lamps, the
                                                  NEMA and applied two curve fits to
                                                                                                           spreadsheet online: http://                           exponential growth forecast projected
                                                  generate unit sales estimates for the five
                                                  lamp types after calendar year 2006.                     www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/                       the benchmark unit sales estimate for
                                                  One curve fit applied a linear regression                appliance_standards/product.aspx/                     2014 to be 1,671,000 units. The NEMA-
                                                  to the historical data and extended that                 productid/63.                                         provided shipment data reported
                                                  line into the future. The other curve fit                IV. Comparison Results                                shipments of 1,042,000 units in 2014.
                                                  applied an exponential growth function                                                                         As this finding is only 62.4 percent of
                                                  to the shipment data and projected unit                  A. Rough Service Lamps                                the estimate, DOE will continue to track
                                                  sales into the future. For this                                                                                shatter-resistant lamp sales data and
                                                                                                              For rough service lamps, the                       will not initiate regulatory action for
                                                  calculation, linear regression treats the
                                                                                                           exponential growth forecast projected                 this lamp type at this time.
                                                  year as a dependent variable and
                                                  shipments as the independent variable.                   the benchmark unit sales estimate for
                                                                                                           2014 to be 5,224,000 units. The NEMA-                 V. Conclusion
                                                  The linear regression curve fit is
                                                  modeled by minimizing the differences                    provided shipment data reported                         None of the shipments for rough
                                                  among the data points and the best                       shipments of 7,267,000 units in 2014.                 service lamps, vibration service lamps,
                                                  curve-fit linear line using the least                    As this finding exceeds the estimate by               3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601–3,300
                                                  squares function.5 The exponential                       only 39.1 percent, DOE will continue to               lumen general service incandescent
                                                  curve fit is also a regression function                  track rough service lamp sales data and               lamps, or shatter-resistant lamps crossed
                                                  and uses the same least squares function                 will not initiate regulatory action for               the statutory threshold for a standard.
                                                  to find the best fit. For some data sets,                this lamp type at this time.                          DOE will continue to monitor these five
                                                  an exponential curve provides a better                   B. Vibration Service Lamps                            currently exempted lamp types and will
                                                  characterization of the historical data,                                                                       assess 2015 sales by March 31, 2016, in
                                                  and, therefore, a better projection of the                  For vibration service lamps, the                   order to determine whether an energy
                                                  future data.                                             exponential growth forecast projected                 conservation standards rulemaking is
                                                     For 3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601–                  the benchmark unit sales estimate for                 required, consistent with 42 U.S.C.
                                                  3,300 lumen general service                              2014 to be 2,729,000 units. The NEMA-                 6295(l)(4)(D) through (H).
                                                  incandescent lamps, and shatter-                         provided shipment data reported                         Issued in Washington, DC, on March 10,
                                                  resistant lamps, DOE found that the                      shipments of 5,220,000 units in 2014.                 2015.
                                                  linear regression and exponential                        As this finding exceeds the estimate by               Kathleen B. Hogan,
                                                  growth curve fits produced nearly the                    only 91.3 percent, DOE will continue to
                                                  same estimates of unit sales (i.e., the                                                                        Deputy Assistant Secretary for Energy
                                                                                                           track vibration service lamp sales data               Efficiency, Energy Efficiency and Renewable
                                                  difference between the two forecasted                    and will not initiate regulatory action               Energy.
                                                  values was less than 1 or 2 percent).                    for this lamp type at this time.                      [FR Doc. 2015–05947 Filed 3–16–15; 8:45 am]
                                                  However, for rough service and
                                                  vibration service lamps, the linear                      C. Three-Way Incandescent Lamps                       BILLING CODE 6450–01–P

                                                  regression curve fit projected lamp unit
                                                                                                             For 3-way incandescent lamps, the
                                                  sales would decline to zero for both
                                                                                                           exponential growth forecast projected
                                                  lamp types by 2018. In contrast, the
                                                                                                           the benchmark unit sales estimate for                 NUCLEAR REGULATORY
                                                  exponential growth curve fit projected a
                                                                                                           2014 to be 49,107,000 units. The NEMA-                COMMISSION
                                                  more gradual decline in unit sales, such
                                                                                                           provided shipment data reported
                                                  that lamps would still be sold beyond                                                                          10 CFR Parts 30, 40, 50, 52, 60, 61, 63,
                                                                                                           shipments of 35,340,000 units in 2014.
                                                    4 NSF/ANSI 51 applies specifically to materials
                                                                                                           As this finding is only 72.0 percent of               70, 71, and 72
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                                                  and coatings used in the manufacturing of                the estimate, DOE will continue to track
                                                  equipment and objects destined for contact with          3-way incandescent lamp sales data and                [Docket Nos. PRM–50–107; NRC–2013–
                                                  foodstuffs.                                              will not initiate regulatory action for               0077]
                                                    5 The least squares function is an analytical tool
                                                                                                           this lamp type at this time.
                                                  that DOE uses to minimize the sum of the squared                                                               Requirement To Submit Complete and
                                                  residual differences between the actual historical
                                                  data points and the modeled value (i.e., the linear        6 This selection is consistent with the previous    Accurate Information
                                                  curve fit). In minimizing this value, the resulting      annual comparisons. See DOE’s 2008 forecast
                                                  curve fit will represent the best fit possible to the    spreadsheet models of the lamp types for greater      AGENCY:Nuclear Regulatory
                                                  data provided.                                           detail on the estimates.                              Commission.


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Document Created: 2015-12-18 12:01:10
Document Modified: 2015-12-18 12:01:10
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionNotice of data availability.
DatesAs of March 17, 2015, DOE has determined that no regulatory action is necessary at this time.
ContactMs. Lucy deButts, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies, EE-2J, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121. Telephone: (202) 287-1604. Email: [email protected]
FR Citation80 FR 13791 

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