80_FR_37448 80 FR 37323 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The Options Clearing Corporation; Notice of No Objection to an Advance Notice Concerning Modifications To Backtesting Procedures in Order To Enhance Monitoring of Margin Coverage and Model Risk Exposure

80 FR 37323 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The Options Clearing Corporation; Notice of No Objection to an Advance Notice Concerning Modifications To Backtesting Procedures in Order To Enhance Monitoring of Margin Coverage and Model Risk Exposure

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 125 (June 30, 2015)

Page Range37323-37326
FR Document2015-15994

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 125 (Tuesday, June 30, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 125 (Tuesday, June 30, 2015)]
[Notices]
[Pages 37323-37326]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-15994]


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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

[Release No. 34-75290; File No. SR-OCC-2014-810]


Self-Regulatory Organizations; The Options Clearing Corporation; 
Notice of No Objection to an Advance Notice Concerning Modifications To 
Backtesting Procedures in Order To Enhance Monitoring of Margin 
Coverage and Model Risk Exposure

June 24, 2015.
    On November 13, 2014, The Options Clearing Corporation (``OCC'') 
filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (``Commission'') 
advance notice SR-OCC-2014-810 (``Advance Notice'') pursuant to Section 
806(e)(1) of the Payment, Clearing, and Settlement Supervision Act of 
2010 (``Payment, Clearing and Settlement Supervision Act'') \1\ and 
Rule 19b-4(n)(1)(i) under

[[Page 37324]]

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (``Exchange Act'') to modify 
backtesting procedures to better identify and make improvements to its 
monitoring of its margin methodology and to enhance its ability to 
manage risk.\2\ The Advance Notice was published for comment in the 
Federal Register on December 11, 2014.\3\ On January 9, 2015, pursuant 
to section 806(e)(1)(D) of the Payment, Clearing and Settlement 
Supervision Act,\4\ the Commission required OCC to provide additional 
information concerning the Advance Notice.\5\ The Commission did not 
receive any comments on the Advance Notice. This publication serves as 
a notice of no objection to the Advance Notice.
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    \1\ 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1). The Financial Stability Oversight 
Council designated OCC a systemically important financial market 
utility on July 18, 2012. See Financial Stability Oversight Council 
2012 Annual Report, Appendix A, http://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/fsoc/Documents/2012%20Annual%20Report.pdf. Therefore, OCC is 
required to comply with the Clearing Supervision Act and file 
advance notices with the Commission. See 12 U.S.C. 5465(e).
    \2\ 17 CFR 240.19b-4(n)(1)(i).
    \3\ See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 73749 (December 5, 
2014), 79 FR 73673 (December 11, 2014) (SR-OCC-2014-810) 
(``Notice'').
    \4\ 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(D).
    \5\ The Commission received a response from OCC with the 
additional information for consideration on April 29, 2015, which, 
pursuant to Sections 806(e)(1)(E) and (G) of the Payment, Clearing 
and Settlement Supervision Act, initiated a new 60 day period of 
review. See 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(E) and 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(G).
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I. Description of the Advance Notice

    As described in OCC's Notice,\6\ the proposed change modifies OCC's 
backtesting procedures to enhance its monitoring of margin coverage and 
model risk exposure. Such monitoring will allow OCC to better identify 
and make improvements to its margin methodology and thus enhance OCC's 
ability to manage risk.\7\
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    \6\ See supra note 3.
    \7\ If OCC determines that the results of these modified 
backtesting procedures require changes to its margin model, OCC may 
be required to file an advance notice to effect those changes. See 
id.
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    OCC implements backtesting procedures to test its methodology for 
determining the amount of margin to collect from clearing members and 
validate the assumptions and mechanisms inherent in its methodology and 
to make any necessary changes to the methodology. Each trading day, OCC 
estimates the risk exposure of accounts and uses this estimate as a 
basis for each account's margin charge. On the following business day, 
OCC's current backtesting procedures compare an account's observed 
profit and loss (``P&L'') with the prior day's estimated risk using a 
variety of analytical and statistical tools. These daily tests measure 
the performance of OCC's risk measures for each account, and, 
therefore, also measure the performance of OCC's underlying margin 
methodology. OCC's backtesting program enables OCC to assess 
performance of its margining systems and determine whether financial 
risks are adequately or inadequately captured by the quantitative 
models in use.
    OCC has conducted daily backtesting of margin accounts since 2006. 
OCC employs the ``traffic light'' test published by the Basel Committee 
on Banking Supervision in 1996 (the ``Traffic Light Test'').\8\ In 
conducting the Traffic Light Test, OCC determines the actual number of 
instances in which the realized loss on an account exceeded the margin, 
referred to as an ``exceedance,'' over an observation period of one 
year. The number of exceedances during the observation period is 
compared against the number of expected exceedances under the 
assumption that the exceedances are independent and identically 
distributed over time. When backtesting results reveal the potential 
opportunity for remediation of OCC's margin methodology, OCC undertakes 
a root cause analysis to determine the cause of any issues. Any 
significant shortcomings of OCC's methodology lead to OCC undertaking a 
model improvement project designed to correct the problems. After 
analyzing the exceedances, OCC provides monthly reports to OCC's 
Enterprise Risk Management Committee (``ERMC''), which include, among 
other things, pertinent conclusions based on results from the full set 
of backtests.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \8\ See ``Supervisory Framework for the Use of `Backtesting' in 
Conjunction with Internal Model Approach to Market Risk Capital 
Requirement.'' Located at http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs22.htm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OCC analyzed its backtesting program and identified several 
enhancements to the program, as discussed in more detail below: (1) 
Enhancement of and increase in the number of statistical tests, (2) 
data set changes, (3) forecast horizon changes, and (4) root cause 
analysis changes.

1. Enhancement of and Increase in the Number of Statistical Tests

    As proposed in the Notice, OCC will enhance an existing statistical 
test and add three new statistical tests. OCC proposed to enhance its 
existing Traffic Light Test so that it may be applied to exceedances 
across all of OCC's margin accounts. Given that exceedances are not 
independent across margin accounts, OCC will enhance this test to 
address the dependency of exceedances between accounts.
    In addition to the enhanced Traffic Light Test, OCC will implement 
three other industry standard tests related to exceedances in order to 
provide a more comprehensive set of tests. First, OCC will add the 
Kupiec Test,\9\ which is a new proportion of failures test that 
compares the actual number of exceedances with the number that would be 
expected in light of the confidence level associated with the 
calculation of margin. For example, when calculating margin with a 
confidence level of 99%, the number of exceedances is expected to be 1% 
of the total observations (i.e., the P&Ls for all accounts for all days 
during the measurement period). If the actual number of exceedances is 
near the expected number, this is an indication that the calculated 
margin requirements are not inaccurate estimates of the accounts' 
estimated losses.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \9\ See, Kupiec, P. ``Techniques for Verifying the Accuracy of 
Risk Management Models,'' Journal of Derivatives, v3, P73-84 (1995).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Second, OCC will add the Christoffersen Independence Test,\10\ 
which is a new statistical test that measures the extent to which 
exceedances are independent of each other. Specifically, if OCC's 
margin models are correctly assessing risk, the probability of an 
exceedance occurring at any two points in time should be the same as 
the probability of an exceedance occurring at either point in time, 
individually, without the exceedance occurring at the other point in 
time. Third, OCC will add the Probtile test, which compares the 
distribution of the daily observed P&L to the daily forecasted P&L 
distribution. If the distribution of these P&L ratios approximates a 
uniform random distribution, this is an indication that OCC's margin 
models are not providing inaccurate forecasts of potential losses in an 
account. Combined, these new statistical tests will provide OCC with 
additional pertinent information to evaluate the effectiveness of its 
models in determining margin coverage.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \10\ See, Christoffersen, Peter, ``Evaluating Interval 
Forecasts.'' International Economic Review, 39 (4), 841-862 (1998).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

2. Data Set Changes

    In addition to the changes to its backtesting program, as described 
above, OCC also will make two enhancements to the data sets being 
backtested to allow for testing against various assumed portfolio and 
market data scenarios, in addition to the performance of actual 
portfolios against actual, current market conditions. First, OCC will 
backtest hypothetical portfolios, allowing for the design and 
monitoring of portfolios that have magnified sensitivities to 
particular aspects of the models used in the

[[Page 37325]]

margin computations. Backtesting against hypothetical portfolios will 
provide a more comprehensive insight into the adequacy of the 
underlying model assumptions under market conditions prevailing in the 
backtest observation periods.
    Under the second data set enhancement, OCC will backtest current 
accounts against earlier observation periods. The market data observed 
over the observation period is used to generate the margin forecasts 
and P&L and observation periods will be chosen to reflect special 
market conditions. OCC believes this enhancement should be useful 
because even though margin coverage might be adequate in the current 
environment, margin coverage could be inadequate under stressed 
conditions, such as periods of high volatility. The ability to select 
specific observation periods will not limit the backtesting to the 
current environments but rather will highlight performance of margin 
coverage and model performance in market scenarios other than 
prevailing market conditions.

3. Forecast Horizons Changes

    Currently, OCC conducts backtesting using a one-day time horizon, 
which means that it compares calculated margin with realized P&Lthat 
occur on the business day following the calculation. However, OCC's 
margin calculations assume that positions will be liquidated over a 
two-day period, resulting in the test comparing two-day margin numbers 
to a one-day P&L calculation. This difference requires OCC to make 
adjustments to its existing backtesting methodology in its testing to 
account for the difference between the two-day liquidation period used 
in its margin calculation and the one-day horizon used in the P&L 
calculation.
    Pursuant to the proposal, OCC will revise its backtesting 
methodology to take into account losses over a two-day time horizon, 
which will match the two-day liquidation period used in the margin 
calculation without such adjustments. OCC will implement the necessary 
functionality into its backtesting system to conduct a two-day time 
horizon backtest, which will compare calculated margin against a two-
day P&L calculation. OCC also will revise its backtesting methodology 
to compare one-day margin calculations against one-day P&L 
calculations, and will implement system functionality for such a test. 
All issues identified in any of these backtesting results will be 
reported to the ERMC. OCC believes that its adoption of the additional 
forecast horizons tests will allow it to have a more accurate view of 
the sufficiency of its margin methodology.

4. Root Cause Analysis Changes

    Currently, OCC's backtesting staff conducts investigations, as 
necessary, in order to identify the root cause of exceedances. The 
investigation itself is a manual process that is dependent upon the 
facts and circumstances pertaining to a given exceedance. Pursuant to 
its proposal, OCC will now make system modifications that will provide 
OCC's backtesting staff with additional tools to facilitate such 
investigations. Specifically, OCC will add system functionality that 
should reveal attribution of losses due to underlying price movements 
and implied volatility movements. Further, these improvements will 
allow OCC to incorporate hypothetical accounts and positions into the 
tests and will allow OCC to identify risk factors that move above or 
below the projected values. These changes should improve OCC's ability 
to conduct investigations and root cause analyses that identify the 
root cause of exceedances by providing OCC with additional automated 
investigative tools which should, in turn, lead to improving OCC's 
backtesting methodology and its margin coverage.

II. Discussion and Commission Findings

    Although Title VIII does not specify a standard of review for an 
advance notice, the Commission believes that the stated purpose of 
Title VIII is instructive.\11\ The stated purpose of Title VIII is to 
mitigate systemic risk in the financial system and promote financial 
stability by, among other things, promoting uniform risk management 
standards for systemically-important financial market utilities and 
strengthening the liquidity of systemically important financial market 
utilities.\12\
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    \11\ See 12 U.S.C. 5461(b).
    \12\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 805(a)(2) of the Payment, Clearing and Settlement 
Supervision Act \13\ authorizes the Commission to prescribe risk 
management standards for the payment, clearing, and settlement 
activities of designated clearing entities and financial institutions 
engaged in designated activities for which it is the supervisory agency 
or the appropriate financial regulator. Section 805(b) of the Payment, 
Clearing and Settlement Supervision Act \14\ states that the objectives 
and principles for the risk management standards prescribed under 
Section 805(a) shall be to:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \13\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(a)(2).
    \14\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

     Promote robust risk management;
     promote safety and soundness;
     reduce systemic risks; and
     support the stability of the broader financial system.
    The Commission has adopted risk management standards under Section 
805(a)(2) of the Payment, Clearing and Settlement Supervision Act 
(``Clearing Agency Standards'').\15\ The Clearing Agency Standards 
became effective on January 2, 2013, and require registered clearing 
agencies that perform central counterparty (``CCP'') services to 
establish, implement, maintain, and enforce written policies and 
procedures that are reasonably designed to meet certain minimum 
requirements for their operations and risk management practices on an 
ongoing basis.\16\ As such, it is appropriate for the Commission to 
review advance notices against these Clearing Agency Standards, and the 
objectives and principles of these risk management standards as 
described in Section 805(b) of the Payment, Clearing and Settlement 
Supervision Act.\17\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \15\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22.
    \16\ The Clearing Agency Standards are substantially similar to 
the risk management standards established by the Board of Governors 
of the Federal Reserve System governing the operations of designated 
financial market utilities that are not clearing entities and 
financial institutions engaged in designated activities for which 
the Commission or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission is the 
Supervisory Agency. See Financial Market Utilities, 77 FR 45907 
(August 2, 2012).
    \17\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Commission believes that the proposal in this Advance Notice is 
designed to further the objectives and principles of Section 805(b) of 
the Payment, Clearing and Settlement Supervision Act.\18\ The 
Commission believes that the additional backtesting improvements should 
promote robust risk management by providing OCC with additional tools 
to test the performance of its margin methodology in a more 
comprehensive manner and better evaluate the effectiveness of its 
models in determining model coverage. First, the enhancement to OCC's 
existing Traffic Light Test and the adoption of the three new 
statistical tests should provide a more comprehensive set of tests for 
it to use to evaluate its margin models. Second, the enhancement of the 
data sets to be backtested should provide OCC with additional 
informative data on the performance of margin coverage and model 
performance in market scenarios other than prevailing market 
conditions.

[[Page 37326]]

Third, revising the backtesting methodology to take into account losses 
over a two-day time horizon, should allow OCC to have a more accurate 
view of the sufficiency of its margin methodology. Finally, system 
modifications that should reveal attribution of losses due to 
underlying price movements and implied volatility movements should 
provide OCC with additional, automated investigative tools to conduct 
analysis into the root causes of exceedances.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \18\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In addition, the Commission believes that the proposal in this 
Advance Notice is consistent with Clearing Agency Standards, in 
particular, Rule 17Ad-22(b)(4) under the Exchange Act,\19\ which, in 
relevant part, requires registered clearing agencies that perform 
central counterparty services establish, implement, maintain, and 
enforce written policies and procedures reasonably designed to provide 
for an annual model validation consisting of evaluating the performance 
of the clearing agency's margin models and the related parameters and 
assumptions associated with such models. The Commission believes that 
this proposal is consistent with Exchange Act Rule 17Ad-22(b)(4) \20\ 
because it provides OCC with the ability to employ improved statistical 
tests to better evaluate the performance of its margin models and thus 
improving its ability to validate such models.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \19\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22(b)(3).
    \20\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

III. Conclusion

    It is therefore noticed, pursuant to Section 806(e)(1)(I) of the 
Payment, Clearing and Settlement Supervision Act,\21\ that the 
Commission does not object to advance notice proposal (SR-OCC-2014-810) 
and that OCC is authorized to implement the proposal.
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    \21\ 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(I).

    By the Commission.
Robert W. Errett,
Deputy Secretary.
[FR Doc. 2015-15994 Filed 6-29-15; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 8011-01-P



                                                                                   Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 125 / Tuesday, June 30, 2015 / Notices                                                     37323

                                                       The Exchange also believes that                      necessary or appropriate in furtherance                change that are filed with the
                                                    having the CFR serve in the advisory                    of the purposes of the Exchange Act.                   Commission, and all written
                                                    capacity of the Market Performance                      The proposed rule change is not                        communications relating to the
                                                    Committee and Regulatory Advisory                       intended to address competitive issues                 proposed rule change between the
                                                    Committee is consistent with and                        but rather is concerned solely with the                Commission and any person, other than
                                                    facilitates a governance and regulatory                 administration and functioning of the                  those that may be withheld from the
                                                    structure that furthers the objectives of               Exchange’s board of directors.                         public in accordance with the
                                                    Section 6(b)(5) of the Exchange Act. The                                                                       provisions of 5 U.S.C. 552, will be
                                                    Exchange believes that member                           C. Self-Regulatory Organization’s                      available for Web site viewing and
                                                    participation on the proposed CFR                       Statement on Comments on the                           printing in the Commission’s Public
                                                    would be sufficient to provide for the                  Proposed Rule Change Received From                     Reference Room, 100 F Street, NE.,
                                                    fair representation of members in the                   Members, Participants, or Others                       Washington, DC 20549, on official
                                                    administration of the affairs of the                      No written comments were solicited                   business days between the hours of
                                                    Exchange, including rulemaking and the                  or received with respect to the proposed               10:00 a.m. and 3:00 p.m. Copies of the
                                                    disciplinary process, consistent with                   rule change.                                           filing will also be available for
                                                    Section 6(b)(3) of the Exchange Act.                                                                           inspection and copying at the NYSE’s
                                                       The Exchange believes that                           III. Date of Effectiveness of the
                                                                                                            Proposed Rule Change and Timing for                    principal office and on its Internet Web
                                                    eliminating references to ‘‘Chief                                                                              site at www.nyse.com. All comments
                                                    Executive Officer’’ of NYSE Regulation                  Commission Action
                                                                                                                                                                   received will be posted without change;
                                                    in Rules 48, 49 and 86 and replacing                       Within 45 days of the date of                       the Commission does not edit personal
                                                    them with CRO, which is used                            publication of this notice in the Federal              identifying information from
                                                    throughout the Exchange’s rules,                        Register or up to 90 days (i) as the                   submissions. You should submit only
                                                    removes impediments to and perfects a                   Commission may designate if it finds                   information that you wish to make
                                                    national market system because it                       such longer period to be appropriate                   available publicly. All submissions
                                                    would reduce potential confusion that                   and publishes its reasons for so finding               should refer to File Number SR–NYSE–
                                                    may result from retaining different                     or (ii) as to which the self-regulatory                2015–27 and should be submitted on or
                                                    designations for the same individual in                 organization consents, the Commission                  before July 21, 2015.
                                                    the Exchange’s rulebook. Removing                       will:
                                                                                                                                                                     For the Commission, by the Division of
                                                    potentially confusing conflicting                          (A) By order approve or disapprove
                                                                                                                                                                   Trading and Markets, pursuant to delegated
                                                    designations would also further the goal                the proposed rule change, or                           authority.57
                                                    of transparency and add consistency to                     (B) institute proceedings to determine
                                                                                                                                                                   Robert W. Errett,
                                                    the Exchange’s rules.                                   whether the proposed rule change
                                                                                                                                                                   Deputy Secretary.
                                                       Finally, making conforming                           should be disapproved.
                                                    amendments to Rules 0, 1, 22, 36, 37,                                                                          [FR Doc. 2015–15984 Filed 6–29–15; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                            IV. Solicitation of Comments
                                                    46, 46A, 48, 49, 54, 70, 103, 103A, 103B,                                                                      BILLING CODE 8011–01–P

                                                    104, 308, 422, 475, 476, 476A, 497 and                    Interested persons are invited to
                                                    9310 in connection with creation of the                 submit written data, views, and
                                                    proposed ROC and the CFR                                arguments concerning the foregoing,                    SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE
                                                    subcommittee and termination of the                     including whether the proposed rule                    COMMISSION
                                                    Delegation Agreement removes                            change is consistent with the Act.                     [Release No. 34–75290; File No. SR–OCC–
                                                    impediments to and perfects the                         Comments may be submitted by any of                    2014–810]
                                                    mechanism of a free and open market by                  the following methods:
                                                    removing confusion that may result                                                                             Self-Regulatory Organizations; The
                                                                                                            Electronic Comments                                    Options Clearing Corporation; Notice
                                                    from having obsolete references in the
                                                    Exchange’s rulebook. The Exchange                         • Use the Commission’s Internet                      of No Objection to an Advance Notice
                                                    further believes that the proposal                      comment form (http://www.sec.gov/                      Concerning Modifications To
                                                    removes impediments to and perfects                     rules/sro.shtml); or                                   Backtesting Procedures in Order To
                                                    the mechanism of a free and open                          • Send an email to rule-comments@                    Enhance Monitoring of Margin
                                                    market by ensuring that persons subject                 sec.gov. Please include File Number SR–                Coverage and Model Risk Exposure
                                                    to the Exchange’s jurisdiction,                         NYSE–2015–27 on the subject line.
                                                                                                                                                                   June 24, 2015.
                                                    regulators, and the investing public can                Paper Comments                                           On November 13, 2014, The Options
                                                    more easily navigate and understand the                                                                        Clearing Corporation (‘‘OCC’’) filed with
                                                    Exchange’s rulebook. The Exchange                         • Send paper comments in triplicate
                                                                                                            to Brent J. Fields, Secretary, Securities              the Securities and Exchange
                                                    believes that eliminating obsolete                                                                             Commission (‘‘Commission’’) advance
                                                    references would not be inconsistent                    and Exchange Commission, 100 F Street
                                                                                                            NE., Washington, DC 20549–1090.                        notice SR–OCC–2014–810 (‘‘Advance
                                                    with the public interest and the                                                                               Notice’’) pursuant to Section 806(e)(1) of
                                                    protection of investors because investors               All submissions should refer to File
                                                                                                            Number SR–NYSE–2015–27. This file                      the Payment, Clearing, and Settlement
                                                    will not be harmed and in fact would                                                                           Supervision Act of 2010 (‘‘Payment,
                                                    benefit from increased transparency,                    number should be included on the
                                                                                                            subject line if email is used. To help the             Clearing and Settlement Supervision
                                                    thereby reducing potential confusion.                                                                          Act’’) 1 and Rule 19b–4(n)(1)(i) under
                                                                                                            Commission process and review your
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES




                                                    Removing such obsolete references will
                                                    also further the goal of transparency and               comments more efficiently, please use                    57 17CFR 200.30–3(a)(12).
                                                    add clarity to the Exchange’s rules.                    only one method. The Commission will                     1 12U.S.C. 5465(e)(1). The Financial Stability
                                                                                                            post all comments on the Commission’s                  Oversight Council designated OCC a systemically
                                                    B. Self-Regulatory Organization’s                       Internet Web site (http://www.sec.gov/                 important financial market utility on July 18, 2012.
                                                    Statement on Burden on Competition                      rules/sro.shtml). Copies of the                        See Financial Stability Oversight Council 2012
                                                                                                                                                                   Annual Report, Appendix A, http://
                                                      The Exchange does not believe that                    submission, all subsequent                             www.treasury.gov/initiatives/fsoc/Documents/
                                                    the proposed rule change will impose                    amendments, all written statements                     2012%20Annual%20Report.pdf. Therefore, OCC is
                                                    any burden on competition that is not                   with respect to the proposed rule                                                                 Continued




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                                                    37324                          Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 125 / Tuesday, June 30, 2015 / Notices

                                                    the Securities Exchange Act of 1934                     backtesting program enables OCC to                     exceedances in order to provide a more
                                                    (‘‘Exchange Act’’) to modify backtesting                assess performance of its margining                    comprehensive set of tests. First, OCC
                                                    procedures to better identify and make                  systems and determine whether                          will add the Kupiec Test,9 which is a
                                                    improvements to its monitoring of its                   financial risks are adequately or                      new proportion of failures test that
                                                    margin methodology and to enhance its                   inadequately captured by the                           compares the actual number of
                                                    ability to manage risk.2 The Advance                    quantitative models in use.                            exceedances with the number that
                                                    Notice was published for comment in                        OCC has conducted daily backtesting                 would be expected in light of the
                                                    the Federal Register on December 11,                    of margin accounts since 2006. OCC                     confidence level associated with the
                                                    2014.3 On January 9, 2015, pursuant to                  employs the ‘‘traffic light’’ test                     calculation of margin. For example,
                                                    section 806(e)(1)(D) of the Payment,                    published by the Basel Committee on                    when calculating margin with a
                                                    Clearing and Settlement Supervision                     Banking Supervision in 1996 (the                       confidence level of 99%, the number of
                                                    Act,4 the Commission required OCC to                    ‘‘Traffic Light Test’’).8 In conducting the            exceedances is expected to be 1% of the
                                                    provide additional information                          Traffic Light Test, OCC determines the                 total observations (i.e., the P&Ls for all
                                                    concerning the Advance Notice.5 The                     actual number of instances in which the                accounts for all days during the
                                                    Commission did not receive any                          realized loss on an account exceeded                   measurement period). If the actual
                                                    comments on the Advance Notice. This                    the margin, referred to as an                          number of exceedances is near the
                                                    publication serves as a notice of no                    ‘‘exceedance,’’ over an observation                    expected number, this is an indication
                                                    objection to the Advance Notice.                        period of one year. The number of                      that the calculated margin requirements
                                                                                                            exceedances during the observation                     are not inaccurate estimates of the
                                                    I. Description of the Advance Notice
                                                                                                            period is compared against the number                  accounts’ estimated losses.
                                                       As described in OCC’s Notice,6 the                   of expected exceedances under the                         Second, OCC will add the
                                                    proposed change modifies OCC’s                          assumption that the exceedances are                    Christoffersen Independence Test,10
                                                    backtesting procedures to enhance its                   independent and identically distributed                which is a new statistical test that
                                                    monitoring of margin coverage and                       over time. When backtesting results                    measures the extent to which
                                                    model risk exposure. Such monitoring                    reveal the potential opportunity for                   exceedances are independent of each
                                                    will allow OCC to better identify and                   remediation of OCC’s margin                            other. Specifically, if OCC’s margin
                                                    make improvements to its margin                         methodology, OCC undertakes a root                     models are correctly assessing risk, the
                                                    methodology and thus enhance OCC’s                      cause analysis to determine the cause of               probability of an exceedance occurring
                                                    ability to manage risk.7                                any issues. Any significant                            at any two points in time should be the
                                                       OCC implements backtesting                                                                                  same as the probability of an
                                                                                                            shortcomings of OCC’s methodology
                                                    procedures to test its methodology for                                                                         exceedance occurring at either point in
                                                                                                            lead to OCC undertaking a model
                                                    determining the amount of margin to                                                                            time, individually, without the
                                                                                                            improvement project designed to correct
                                                    collect from clearing members and                                                                              exceedance occurring at the other point
                                                                                                            the problems. After analyzing the
                                                    validate the assumptions and                                                                                   in time. Third, OCC will add the
                                                                                                            exceedances, OCC provides monthly
                                                    mechanisms inherent in its                                                                                     Probtile test, which compares the
                                                                                                            reports to OCC’s Enterprise Risk
                                                    methodology and to make any necessary                                                                          distribution of the daily observed P&L to
                                                                                                            Management Committee (‘‘ERMC’’),
                                                    changes to the methodology. Each                                                                               the daily forecasted P&L distribution. If
                                                                                                            which include, among other things,
                                                    trading day, OCC estimates the risk                                                                            the distribution of these P&L ratios
                                                                                                            pertinent conclusions based on results
                                                    exposure of accounts and uses this                                                                             approximates a uniform random
                                                                                                            from the full set of backtests.
                                                    estimate as a basis for each account’s                                                                         distribution, this is an indication that
                                                                                                               OCC analyzed its backtesting program
                                                    margin charge. On the following                                                                                OCC’s margin models are not providing
                                                                                                            and identified several enhancements to
                                                    business day, OCC’s current backtesting                                                                        inaccurate forecasts of potential losses
                                                                                                            the program, as discussed in more detail
                                                    procedures compare an account’s                                                                                in an account. Combined, these new
                                                                                                            below: (1) Enhancement of and increase
                                                    observed profit and loss (‘‘P&L’’) with                                                                        statistical tests will provide OCC with
                                                                                                            in the number of statistical tests, (2) data
                                                    the prior day’s estimated risk using a                                                                         additional pertinent information to
                                                                                                            set changes, (3) forecast horizon
                                                    variety of analytical and statistical tools.                                                                   evaluate the effectiveness of its models
                                                                                                            changes, and (4) root cause analysis
                                                    These daily tests measure the                                                                                  in determining margin coverage.
                                                                                                            changes.
                                                    performance of OCC’s risk measures for
                                                                                                                                                                   2. Data Set Changes
                                                    each account, and, therefore, also                      1. Enhancement of and Increase in the
                                                    measure the performance of OCC’s                        Number of Statistical Tests                               In addition to the changes to its
                                                    underlying margin methodology. OCC’s                                                                           backtesting program, as described
                                                                                                              As proposed in the Notice, OCC will                  above, OCC also will make two
                                                                                                            enhance an existing statistical test and               enhancements to the data sets being
                                                    required to comply with the Clearing Supervision
                                                    Act and file advance notices with the Commission.       add three new statistical tests. OCC                   backtested to allow for testing against
                                                    See 12 U.S.C. 5465(e).                                  proposed to enhance its existing Traffic               various assumed portfolio and market
                                                       2 17 CFR 240.19b–4(n)(1)(i).                         Light Test so that it may be applied to                data scenarios, in addition to the
                                                       3 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 73749
                                                                                                            exceedances across all of OCC’s margin                 performance of actual portfolios against
                                                    (December 5, 2014), 79 FR 73673 (December 11,           accounts. Given that exceedances are
                                                    2014) (SR–OCC–2014–810) (‘‘Notice’’).                                                                          actual, current market conditions. First,
                                                       4 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(D).                           not independent across margin                          OCC will backtest hypothetical
                                                       5 The Commission received a response from OCC        accounts, OCC will enhance this test to                portfolios, allowing for the design and
                                                    with the additional information for consideration       address the dependency of exceedances                  monitoring of portfolios that have
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                                                    on April 29, 2015, which, pursuant to Sections          between accounts.                                      magnified sensitivities to particular
                                                    806(e)(1)(E) and (G) of the Payment, Clearing and         In addition to the enhanced Traffic
                                                    Settlement Supervision Act, initiated a new 60 day                                                             aspects of the models used in the
                                                    period of review. See 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(E) and 12    Light Test, OCC will implement three
                                                    U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(G).                                   other industry standard tests related to                 9 See, Kupiec, P. ‘‘Techniques for Verifying the
                                                       6 See supra note 3.                                                                                         Accuracy of Risk Management Models,’’ Journal of
                                                       7 If OCC determines that the results of these          8 See ‘‘Supervisory Framework for the Use of         Derivatives, v3, P73–84 (1995).
                                                    modified backtesting procedures require changes to      ‘Backtesting’ in Conjunction with Internal Model         10 See, Christoffersen, Peter, ‘‘Evaluating Interval

                                                    its margin model, OCC may be required to file an        Approach to Market Risk Capital Requirement.’’         Forecasts.’’ International Economic Review, 39 (4),
                                                    advance notice to effect those changes. See id.         Located at http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs22.htm.         841–862 (1998).



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                                                                                   Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 125 / Tuesday, June 30, 2015 / Notices                                                       37325

                                                    margin computations. Backtesting                        more accurate view of the sufficiency of                   management standards prescribed under
                                                    against hypothetical portfolios will                    its margin methodology.                                    Section 805(a) shall be to:
                                                    provide a more comprehensive insight                                                                                  • Promote robust risk management;
                                                                                                            4. Root Cause Analysis Changes                                • promote safety and soundness;
                                                    into the adequacy of the underlying
                                                    model assumptions under market                            Currently, OCC’s backtesting staff                          • reduce systemic risks; and
                                                    conditions prevailing in the backtest                   conducts investigations, as necessary, in                     • support the stability of the broader
                                                    observation periods.                                    order to identify the root cause of                        financial system.
                                                                                                                                                                          The Commission has adopted risk
                                                      Under the second data set                             exceedances. The investigation itself is
                                                                                                                                                                       management standards under Section
                                                    enhancement, OCC will backtest current                  a manual process that is dependent
                                                                                                                                                                       805(a)(2) of the Payment, Clearing and
                                                    accounts against earlier observation                    upon the facts and circumstances
                                                                                                                                                                       Settlement Supervision Act (‘‘Clearing
                                                    periods. The market data observed over                  pertaining to a given exceedance.
                                                                                                                                                                       Agency Standards’’).15 The Clearing
                                                    the observation period is used to                       Pursuant to its proposal, OCC will now
                                                                                                                                                                       Agency Standards became effective on
                                                    generate the margin forecasts and P&L                   make system modifications that will
                                                                                                                                                                       January 2, 2013, and require registered
                                                    and observation periods will be chosen                  provide OCC’s backtesting staff with
                                                                                                                                                                       clearing agencies that perform central
                                                    to reflect special market conditions.                   additional tools to facilitate such
                                                                                                                                                                       counterparty (‘‘CCP’’) services to
                                                    OCC believes this enhancement should                    investigations. Specifically, OCC will
                                                                                                                                                                       establish, implement, maintain, and
                                                    be useful because even though margin                    add system functionality that should
                                                                                                                                                                       enforce written policies and procedures
                                                    coverage might be adequate in the                       reveal attribution of losses due to
                                                                                                                                                                       that are reasonably designed to meet
                                                    current environment, margin coverage                    underlying price movements and
                                                                                                                                                                       certain minimum requirements for their
                                                    could be inadequate under stressed                      implied volatility movements. Further,
                                                                                                                                                                       operations and risk management
                                                    conditions, such as periods of high                     these improvements will allow OCC to
                                                                                                                                                                       practices on an ongoing basis.16 As
                                                    volatility. The ability to select specific              incorporate hypothetical accounts and
                                                                                                                                                                       such, it is appropriate for the
                                                    observation periods will not limit the                  positions into the tests and will allow
                                                                                                                                                                       Commission to review advance notices
                                                    backtesting to the current environments                 OCC to identify risk factors that move
                                                                                                                                                                       against these Clearing Agency
                                                    but rather will highlight performance of                above or below the projected values.
                                                                                                                                                                       Standards, and the objectives and
                                                    margin coverage and model                               These changes should improve OCC’s
                                                                                                                                                                       principles of these risk management
                                                    performance in market scenarios other                   ability to conduct investigations and
                                                                                                                                                                       standards as described in Section 805(b)
                                                    than prevailing market conditions.                      root cause analyses that identify the root
                                                                                                                                                                       of the Payment, Clearing and Settlement
                                                                                                            cause of exceedances by providing OCC
                                                    3. Forecast Horizons Changes                                                                                       Supervision Act.17
                                                                                                            with additional automated investigative
                                                                                                                                                                          The Commission believes that the
                                                       Currently, OCC conducts backtesting                  tools which should, in turn, lead to
                                                                                                                                                                       proposal in this Advance Notice is
                                                    using a one-day time horizon, which                     improving OCC’s backtesting
                                                                                                                                                                       designed to further the objectives and
                                                    means that it compares calculated                       methodology and its margin coverage.
                                                                                                                                                                       principles of Section 805(b) of the
                                                    margin with realized P&Lthat occur on
                                                                                                            II. Discussion and Commission                              Payment, Clearing and Settlement
                                                    the business day following the
                                                                                                            Findings                                                   Supervision Act.18 The Commission
                                                    calculation. However, OCC’s margin
                                                                                                                                                                       believes that the additional backtesting
                                                    calculations assume that positions will                    Although Title VIII does not specify a                  improvements should promote robust
                                                    be liquidated over a two-day period,                    standard of review for an advance                          risk management by providing OCC
                                                    resulting in the test comparing two-day                 notice, the Commission believes that the                   with additional tools to test the
                                                    margin numbers to a one-day P&L                         stated purpose of Title VIII is                            performance of its margin methodology
                                                    calculation. This difference requires                   instructive.11 The stated purpose of                       in a more comprehensive manner and
                                                    OCC to make adjustments to its existing                 Title VIII is to mitigate systemic risk in                 better evaluate the effectiveness of its
                                                    backtesting methodology in its testing to               the financial system and promote                           models in determining model coverage.
                                                    account for the difference between the                  financial stability by, among other                        First, the enhancement to OCC’s
                                                    two-day liquidation period used in its                  things, promoting uniform risk                             existing Traffic Light Test and the
                                                    margin calculation and the one-day                      management standards for systemically-                     adoption of the three new statistical
                                                    horizon used in the P&L calculation.                    important financial market utilities and                   tests should provide a more
                                                       Pursuant to the proposal, OCC will                   strengthening the liquidity of                             comprehensive set of tests for it to use
                                                    revise its backtesting methodology to                   systemically important financial market                    to evaluate its margin models. Second,
                                                    take into account losses over a two-day                 utilities.12                                               the enhancement of the data sets to be
                                                    time horizon, which will match the two-                    Section 805(a)(2) of the Payment,                       backtested should provide OCC with
                                                    day liquidation period used in the                      Clearing and Settlement Supervision                        additional informative data on the
                                                    margin calculation without such                         Act 13 authorizes the Commission to                        performance of margin coverage and
                                                    adjustments. OCC will implement the                     prescribe risk management standards for                    model performance in market scenarios
                                                    necessary functionality into its                        the payment, clearing, and settlement                      other than prevailing market conditions.
                                                    backtesting system to conduct a two-day                 activities of designated clearing entities
                                                    time horizon backtest, which will                       and financial institutions engaged in                        15 17  CFR 240.17Ad–22.
                                                    compare calculated margin against a                     designated activities for which it is the                    16 The  Clearing Agency Standards are
                                                    two-day P&L calculation. OCC also will                  supervisory agency or the appropriate                      substantially similar to the risk management
                                                    revise its backtesting methodology to                                                                              standards established by the Board of Governors of
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                                                                                                            financial regulator. Section 805(b) of the                 the Federal Reserve System governing the
                                                    compare one-day margin calculations                     Payment, Clearing and Settlement                           operations of designated financial market utilities
                                                    against one-day P&L calculations, and                   Supervision Act 14 states that the                         that are not clearing entities and financial
                                                    will implement system functionality for                 objectives and principles for the risk                     institutions engaged in designated activities for
                                                    such a test. All issues identified in any                                                                          which the Commission or the Commodity Futures
                                                                                                                                                                       Trading Commission is the Supervisory Agency.
                                                    of these backtesting results will be                      11 See    12 U.S.C. 5461(b).                             See Financial Market Utilities, 77 FR 45907 (August
                                                    reported to the ERMC. OCC believes that                   12 Id.                                                   2, 2012).
                                                    its adoption of the additional forecast                   13 12    U.S.C. 5464(a)(2).                                 17 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).

                                                    horizons tests will allow it to have a                    14 12    U.S.C. 5464(b).                                    18 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).




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                                                    37326                              Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 125 / Tuesday, June 30, 2015 / Notices

                                                    Third, revising the backtesting                             SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE                                 concerning the securities of McIntosh
                                                    methodology to take into account losses                     COMMISSION                                              Bancshares Inc. (CIK No. 872545)
                                                    over a two-day time horizon, should                                                                                 (‘‘MITB’’), a Georgia corporation with its
                                                                                                                [File No. 500–1]
                                                    allow OCC to have a more accurate view                                                                              principal place of business in Jackson,
                                                    of the sufficiency of its margin                            In the Matter of Aspire Japan, Inc.,                    Georgia, with stock quoted on OTC
                                                    methodology. Finally, system                                Market & Research Corp. (n/k/a MRC                      Link, because it has not filed any
                                                    modifications that should reveal                            Group Ltd.), McIntosh Bancshares Inc.,                  periodic reports since the period ended
                                                    attribution of losses due to underlying                     Pure Minerals, Inc. (f/k/a Pure                         September 30, 2010. On April 29, 2013,
                                                    price movements and implied volatility                      Pharmaceuticals Corp.) and Salamon                      Corporation Finance sent a delinquency
                                                                                                                Group, Inc.; Order of Suspension of                     letter to MITB requesting compliance
                                                    movements should provide OCC with
                                                                                                                Trading                                                 with its periodic reporting obligations at
                                                    additional, automated investigative
                                                                                                                                                                        the address shown in its then-most
                                                    tools to conduct analysis into the root                     June 26, 2015.                                          recent filing with the Commission, but
                                                    causes of exceedances.                                         It appears to the Securities and                     MITB did not receive the delinquency
                                                       In addition, the Commission believes                     Exchange Commission that there is a                     letter due to its failure to maintain a
                                                    that the proposal in this Advance Notice                    lack of current and accurate information                valid address on file with the
                                                    is consistent with Clearing Agency                          concerning the securities of Aspire                     Commission as required by Commission
                                                    Standards, in particular, Rule 17Ad–                        Japan, Inc. (CIK No. 1317838)                           rules (Rule 301 of Regulation S–T, 17
                                                    22(b)(4) under the Exchange Act,19                          (‘‘ASJP’’ 1), a void Delaware corporation               CFR 232.301 and Section 5.4 of the
                                                    which, in relevant part, requires                           with its principal place of business in                 EDGAR Filer Manual).
                                                    registered clearing agencies that perform                   Los Angeles, California, with stock                        It appears to the Securities and
                                                    central counterparty services establish,                    quoted on OTC Link (previously, ‘‘Pink                  Exchange Commission that there is a
                                                    implement, maintain, and enforce                            Sheets’’) operated by OTC Markets                       lack of current and accurate information
                                                                                                                Group Inc. (‘‘OTC Link’’) because it has                concerning the securities of Pure
                                                    written policies and procedures
                                                                                                                not filed any periodic reports since the                Minerals, Inc. (f/k/a Pure
                                                    reasonably designed to provide for an
                                                                                                                period ended April 30, 2011. On June                    Pharmaceuticals Corp.) (CIK No.
                                                    annual model validation consisting of                                                                               1364326) (‘‘PPMA’’), a revoked Nevada
                                                                                                                26, 2013, the Division of Corporation
                                                    evaluating the performance of the                           Finance (‘‘Corporation Finance’’) sent a                corporation with its principal place of
                                                    clearing agency’s margin models and the                     delinquency letter to ASJP requesting                   business in Montreal, Quebec, Canada,
                                                    related parameters and assumptions                          compliance with its periodic reporting                  with stock quoted on OTC Link, because
                                                    associated with such models. The                            obligations at the address shown in its                 it has not filed any periodic reports
                                                    Commission believes that this proposal                      then-most recent filing with the                        since the period ended December 31,
                                                    is consistent with Exchange Act Rule                        Commission, but ASJP did not receive                    2010. On June 25, 2013, Corporation
                                                    17Ad–22(b)(4) 20 because it provides                        the delinquency letter due to its failure               Finance sent a delinquency letter to
                                                    OCC with the ability to employ                              to maintain a valid address on file with                PPMA requesting compliance with its
                                                    improved statistical tests to better                        the Commission as required by                           periodic reporting obligations at the
                                                    evaluate the performance of its margin                      Commission rules (Rule 301 of                           address shown in its then-most recent
                                                    models and thus improving its ability to                    Regulation S–T, 17 CFR 232.301 and                      filing with the Commission which was
                                                    validate such models.                                       Section 5.4 of the EDGAR Filer Manual).                 delivered.
                                                                                                                   It appears to the Securities and                        It appears to the Securities and
                                                    III. Conclusion                                             Exchange Commission that there is a                     Exchange Commission that there is a
                                                                                                                lack of current and accurate information                lack of current and accurate information
                                                      It is therefore noticed, pursuant to                                                                              concerning the securities of Salamon
                                                                                                                concerning the securities of Market &
                                                    Section 806(e)(1)(I) of the Payment,                                                                                Group, Inc. (CIK No. 1274211)
                                                                                                                Research Corp. (n/k/a MRC Group Ltd.
                                                    Clearing and Settlement Supervision                         (CIK No.) 1009830) (‘‘MTRE’’), a void                   (‘‘SLMU’’), a revoked Nevada
                                                    Act,21 that the Commission does not                         Delaware corporation with its principal                 corporation with its principal place of
                                                    object to advance notice proposal (SR–                      place of business in Westport,                          business in Kelowna, British Columbia,
                                                    OCC–2014–810) and that OCC is                               Connecticut, with stock quoted on OTC                   with stock quoted on OTC Link because
                                                    authorized to implement the proposal.                       Link, because it has not filed any                      it has not filed any periodic reports
                                                      By the Commission.                                        periodic reports since the period ended                 since the period ended June 30, 2012.
                                                                                                                June 30, 2010. On April 29, 2013,                       On September 16, 2014, Corporation
                                                    Robert W. Errett,
                                                                                                                Corporation Finance sent a delinquency                  Finance sent a delinquency letter to
                                                    Deputy Secretary.                                                                                                   SLMU requesting compliance with its
                                                                                                                letter to MTRE requesting compliance
                                                    [FR Doc. 2015–15994 Filed 6–29–15; 8:45 am]                                                                         periodic reporting obligations at the
                                                                                                                with its periodic reporting obligations at
                                                    BILLING CODE 8011–01–P                                      the address shown in its then-most                      address shown in its then-most recent
                                                                                                                recent filing with the Commission, but                  filing with the Commission, but SLMU
                                                                                                                MTRE did not receive the delinquency                    did not receive the delinquency letter
                                                                                                                letter due to its failure to maintain a                 due to its failure to maintain a valid
                                                                                                                valid address on file with the                          address on file with the Commission as
                                                                                                                Commission as required by Commission                    required by Commission rules (Rule 301
                                                                                                                                                                        of Regulation S–T, 17 CFR 232.301 and
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                                                                                                                rules (Rule 301 of Regulation S–T, 17
                                                                                                                CFR 232.301 and Section 5.4 of the                      Section 5.4 of the EDGAR Filer Manual).
                                                                                                                EDGAR Filer Manual).                                       The Commission is of the opinion that
                                                                                                                   It appears to the Securities and                     the public interest and the protection of
                                                                                                                Exchange Commission that there is a                     investors require a suspension of trading
                                                                                                                lack of current and accurate information                in the securities of the above-listed
                                                      19 17    CFR 240.17Ad–22(b)(3).                                                                                   companies. Therefore, it is ordered,
                                                      20 Id.                                                       1 The short form of each issuer’s name is also its   pursuant to Section 12(k) of the
                                                      21 12    U.S.C. 5465(e)(1)(I).                            ticker symbol.                                          Securities Exchange Act of 1934, that


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Document Created: 2018-02-22 11:17:22
Document Modified: 2018-02-22 11:17:22
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
FR Citation80 FR 37323 

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