80_FR_78919 80 FR 78677 - Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted Percentages for the 2015-16 Crop Year for Tart Cherries

80 FR 78677 - Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted Percentages for the 2015-16 Crop Year for Tart Cherries

DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 242 (December 17, 2015)

Page Range78677-78681
FR Document2015-31777

This proposed rule would implement a recommendation from the Cherry Industry Administrative Board (Board) to establish free and restricted percentages for the 2015-16 crop year under the marketing order for tart cherries grown in the states of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin (order). The Board locally administers the marketing order and is comprised of producers and handlers of tart cherries operating within the production area. This action would establish the proportion of tart cherries from the 2015 crop which may be handled in commercial outlets at 80 percent free and 20 percent restricted. In addition, this proposal would increase the carry-out volume of fruit to 55 million pounds for this season. These percentages should stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve grower returns.

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 242 (Thursday, December 17, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 242 (Thursday, December 17, 2015)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 78677-78681]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-31777]


========================================================================
Proposed Rules
                                                Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________

This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains notices to the public of 
the proposed issuance of rules and regulations. The purpose of these 
notices is to give interested persons an opportunity to participate in 
the rule making prior to the adoption of the final rules.

========================================================================


Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 242 / Thursday, December 17, 2015 / 
Proposed Rules

[[Page 78677]]



DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

Agricultural Marketing Service

7 CFR Part 930

[Doc. No. AMS-FV-15-0063; FV16-930-1 PR]


Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and 
Restricted Percentages for the 2015-16 Crop Year for Tart Cherries

AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.

ACTION: Proposed rule.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: This proposed rule would implement a recommendation from the 
Cherry Industry Administrative Board (Board) to establish free and 
restricted percentages for the 2015-16 crop year under the marketing 
order for tart cherries grown in the states of Michigan, New York, 
Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin (order). The 
Board locally administers the marketing order and is comprised of 
producers and handlers of tart cherries operating within the production 
area. This action would establish the proportion of tart cherries from 
the 2015 crop which may be handled in commercial outlets at 80 percent 
free and 20 percent restricted. In addition, this proposal would 
increase the carry-out volume of fruit to 55 million pounds for this 
season. These percentages should stabilize marketing conditions by 
adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve grower returns.

DATES: Comments must be received by January 19, 2016.

ADDRESSES: Interested persons are invited to submit written comments 
concerning this proposal. Comments must be sent to the Docket Clerk, 
Marketing Order and Agreement Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, 
USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-
0237; Fax: (202) 720-8938; or Internet: http://www.regulations.gov. All 
comments should reference the document number and the date and page 
number of this issue of the Federal Register and will be made available 
for public inspection in the Office of the Docket Clerk during regular 
business hours, or can be viewed at: http://www.regulations.gov. All 
comments submitted in response to this proposal will be included in the 
record and will be made available to the public. Please be advised that 
the identity of the individuals or entities submitting the comments 
will be made public on the internet at the address provided above.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jennie M. Varela, Marketing 
Specialist, or Christian D. Nissen, Regional Director, Southeast 
Marketing Field Office, Marketing Order and Agreement Division, 
Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324-3375, Fax: 
(863) 291-8614, or Email: Jennie.Varela@ams.usda.gov or 
Christian.Nissen@ams.usda.gov.
    Small businesses may request information on complying with this 
regulation by contacting Jeffrey Smutny, Marketing Order and Agreement 
Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue 
SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; Telephone: (202) 720-2491, 
Fax: (202) 720-8938, or Email: Jeffrey.Smutney@ams.usda.gov.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This proposal is issued under Marketing 
Agreement and Order No. 930, both as amended (7 CFR part 930), 
regulating the handling of tart cherries produced in the States of 
Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington and 
Wisconsin, hereinafter referred to as the ``order.'' The order is 
effective under the Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937, as 
amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), hereinafter referred to as the ``Act.''
    The Department of Agriculture (USDA) is issuing this proposed rule 
in conformance with Executive Orders 12866, 13563, and 13175.
    This proposal has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988, Civil 
Justice Reform. Under the order provisions now in effect, free and 
restricted percentages may be established for tart cherries handled 
during the crop year. This proposed rule would establish free and 
restricted percentages for tart cherries for the 2015-16 crop year, 
beginning July 1, 2015, through June 30, 2016.
    The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted 
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the 
Act, any handler subject to an order may file with USDA a petition 
stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any obligation 
imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance with law and 
request a modification of the order or to be exempted therefrom. A 
handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the petition. 
After the hearing, USDA would rule on the petition. The Act provides 
that the district court of the United States in any district in which 
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or her principal place of 
business, has jurisdiction to review USDA's ruling on the petition, 
provided an action is filed not later than 20 days after the date of 
the entry of the ruling.
    This proposed rule invites comments on the establishment of free 
and restricted percentages for the 2015-16 crop year. This proposal 
would establish the proportion of tart cherries from the 2015 crop 
which may be handled in commercial outlets at 80 percent free and 20 
percent restricted. In addition, this proposal would increase the 
carry-out volume of fruit to 55 million pounds for calculation purposes 
for this season. This proposal should stabilize marketing conditions by 
adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve grower returns. 
The proposed carry-out and the final percentages were recommended by 
the Board at a meeting on September 10, 2015.
    Section 930.51(a) of the order provides authority to regulate 
volume by designating free and restricted percentages for any tart 
cherries acquired by handlers in a given crop year. Section 930.50 
prescribes procedures for computing an optimum supply based on sales 
history and for calculating these free and restricted percentages. Free 
percentage volume may be shipped to any market, while restricted 
percentage volume must be held by handlers in a primary or secondary 
reserve, or be diverted or used for exempt purposes as prescribed in 
Sec. Sec.  930.159 and 930.162 of the regulations. Exempt purposes 
include, in part, the development of new products, sales into new 
markets, the development of export markets, and charitable 
contributions. For cherries

[[Page 78678]]

held in reserve, handlers would be responsible for storage and would 
retain title of the tart cherries.
    Under Sec.  930.52, only those districts with an annual average 
production of at least six million pounds are subject to regulation and 
any district producing a crop which is less than 50 percent of its 
annual average is exempt. The regulated districts for the 2015-2016 
crop year would be: District 1--Northern Michigan; District 2--Central 
Michigan; District 3--Southern Michigan; District 4--New York; District 
7--Utah; District 8--Washington; and District 9--Wisconsin. Districts 5 
and 6 (Oregon and Pennsylvania, respectively) would not be regulated 
for the 2015-16 season.
    Demand for tart cherries and tart cherry products tend to be 
relatively stable from year to year. Conversely, annual tart cherry 
production can vary greatly. In addition, tart cherries are processed 
and can be stored and carried over from crop year to crop year, further 
impacting supply. As a result, supply and demand for tart cherries are 
rarely in balance.
    Because demand for tart cherries is inelastic, total sales volume 
is not very responsive to changes in price. However, prices are very 
sensitive to changes in supply. As such, an oversupply of cherries 
would have a sharp negative effect on prices, driving down grower 
returns. The Board, aware of this economic relationship, focuses on 
using the volume control provisions in the order to balance supply and 
demand to stabilize industry returns.
    Pursuant to Sec.  930.50 of the order, the Board meets on or about 
July 1 to review sales data, inventory data, current crop forecasts and 
market conditions for the upcoming season and, if necessary, to 
recommend preliminary free and restricted percentages if anticipated 
supply would exceed demand. After harvest is complete, but no later 
than September 15, the Board meets again to update their calculations 
using actual production data, consider any necessary adjustments to the 
preliminary percentages, and determine if final free and restricted 
percentages should be recommended to the Secretary.
    The Board uses sales history, inventory, and production data to 
determine whether there is a surplus, and if so, how much volume should 
be restricted to maintain optimum supply. The optimum supply represents 
the desirable volume of tart cherries that should be available for sale 
in the coming crop year. Optimum supply is defined as the average free 
sales of the prior three years plus desirable carry-out inventory. 
Desirable carry-out is the amount of fruit needed by the industry to be 
carried into the succeeding crop year to meet market demand until the 
new crop is available. Desirable carry-out is set by the Board after 
considering market circumstances and needs. Section 930.50(a) specifies 
that desirable carry-out can range from zero to a maximum of 20 million 
pounds, but also authorizes the Board to establish an alternative 
carry-out figure with the approval of the Secretary.
    In addition, USDA's ``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and 
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' (http://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders) 
specify that 110 percent of recent years' sales should be made 
available to primary markets each season before recommendations for 
volume regulation are approved. This requirement is codified in Sec.  
930.50(g) of the order, which specifies that in years when restricted 
percentages are established, the Board shall make available tonnage 
equivalent to an additional 10 percent of the average sales of the 
prior three years for market expansion (market growth factor).
    After the Board determines optimum supply, desirable carry-out, and 
market growth factor, it must examine the current year's available 
volume to determine whether there is an oversupply situation. Available 
volume includes carry-in inventory (any inventory available at the 
beginning of the season) along with that season's production. If 
production is greater than the optimum supply minus carry-in, the 
difference is considered surplus. This surplus tonnage is divided by 
the sum of production in the regulated districts to reach a restricted 
percentage. This percentage must be held in reserve or used for 
approved diversion activities, such as exports.
    The Board met on June 25, 2015, and computed an optimum supply of 
208 million pounds for the 2015-16 crop year using the average of free 
sales for the three previous seasons and a desirable carry-out of 20 
million pounds. The Board then subtracted the estimated carry-in of 104 
million pounds from the optimum supply to calculate the production 
needed from the 2015-16 crop to meet optimum supply. This number, 104 
million pounds, was subtracted from the Board's estimated 2015-16 
production of 233 million pounds to calculate a surplus of 129 million 
pounds of tart cherries. The surplus minus the market growth factor was 
then divided by the expected production in the regulated districts (228 
million pounds) to reach a preliminary restricted percentage of 48 
percent for the 2015-16 crop year.
    In discussing the calculations, industry participants commented 
that a carry-out of 20 million pounds would not meet their needs at the 
end of the season before the new crop is available. To address that 
concern, the Board recommended increasing the desirable carry-out to 55 
million pounds for the 2015-2016 season. This change increased the 
optimum supply to 243 million pounds, reducing the surplus to 94 
million pounds.
    The Board also discussed whether the substantial reduction of 
supply in 2012 due to weather was still a factor that needed to be 
considered in determining optimum supply. Because of the crop loss, 
sales in 2012-13 reached only 123 million pounds, nearly 100 million 
pounds less than 2013-14 sales. In the previous two seasons when 
considering volume regulation, the Board recommended economic 
adjustments to account for the substantial decline in 2012. The Board 
again determined that the market required additional tonnage to 
continue recovering sales and voted to make an economic adjustment of 
43 million pounds to increase the available supply of tart cherries. 
The Board also complied with the market growth factor requirement by 
adding 19 million pounds (188 million times 10 percent, rounded) to the 
free supply.
    The economic adjustment and market growth factor further reduced 
the preliminary surplus to 32 million pounds. After these adjustments, 
the preliminary restricted percentage was recalculated as 14 percent 
(32 million pounds divided by 228 million pounds).
    The Board met again on September 10, 2015, to consider establishing 
final volume regulation percentages for the 2015-16 season. The final 
percentages are based on the Board's reported production figures and 
the supply and demand information available in September. The total 
production for the 2015-16 season was 249 million pounds, 25 million 
pounds above the Board's June estimate. In addition, growers diverted 1 
million pounds in the orchard, leaving 248 million pounds available to 
market. Using the actual production numbers, and accounting for the 
recommended increase in desirable carry-out and economic adjustment, as 
well as the market growth factor, the restricted percentage was 
recalculated.
    The Board subtracted the carry-in figure used in June of 104 
million pounds from the optimum supply of 243 million pounds to 
determine 139 million pounds of 2015-16 production would be necessary 
to reach optimum supply. The Board subtracted the 139 million pounds 
from the actual production of 248 million pounds,

[[Page 78679]]

resulting in a surplus of 109 million pounds of tart cherries. The 
surplus was then reduced by subtracting the economic adjustment of 43 
million pounds and the market growth factor of 19 million pounds, 
resulting in an adjusted surplus of 47 million pounds. The Board then 
divided this final surplus by the actual production in the regulated 
districts (240 million pounds) to calculate a restricted percentage of 
20 percent with a corresponding free percentage of 80 percent for the 
2015-16 crop year, as outlined in the following table:

------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                            Millions of
                                                              pounds
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Calculations:
    (1) Average sales of the prior three years..........             188
    (2) Plus desirable carry-out........................              55
    (3) Optimum supply calculated by the Board..........             243
    (4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2015.....................             104
    (5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3 minus item 4)...             139
    (6) Board reported production.......................             248
    (7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5)...................             109
    (8) Total economic adjustments......................              43
    (9) Market growth factor............................              19
    (10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus items 8 and 9)..              47
    (11) Production from regulated districts............             240
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Percentages:                                            Percent
                                                         ---------------
    Restricted (item 10 divided by item 11 x 100).......              20
    Free (100 minus restricted percentage)..............              80
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The primary purpose of setting restricted percentages is an attempt 
to bring supply and demand into balance. If the primary market is 
oversupplied with cherries, grower prices decline substantially. 
Restricted percentages have benefited grower returns and helped 
stabilize the market as compared to those seasons prior to the 
implementation of the order. The Board believes the available 
information indicates that a restricted percentage should be 
established for the 2015-16 crop year to avoid oversupplying the market 
with tart cherries. Consequently, based on its discussion of this issue 
and the result of the above calculations, the Board recommended final 
percentages of 80 percent free and 20 percent restricted by a vote of 
16 in favor and 1 against.
    During the discussion of the proposed restriction, some members 
expressed concern regarding competition from imported tart cherry juice 
concentrate. In particular, some were concerned that the additional 
volume from imports is not accounted for in the Optimum Supply Formula, 
thus not capturing overall supply and demand. An economist from 
Michigan State University is working with the Board to assemble 
information on tart cherry imports. The Board also voted to establish 
an import committee to review the data on imports once it is available. 
Another member asserted that any restriction would adversely impact 
growers' ability to sell all of their fruit. One member also said that 
a 20 percent restriction seemed high given the moderate production in 
2015.
    One member noted setting the restriction at 20 percent would aid in 
maintaining price stability, with another member reminding the Board of 
the importance of the order and volume control in avoiding 
oversupplying the market with tart cherries. One other member said it 
was also important to maintain a reserve in case of another crop 
disaster. Other members stated the demand adjustment and the 
recommended increased carry-out would put sufficient fruit on the 
market in the coming year.
    After reviewing the available data, and considering the concerns 
expressed, the Board determined that a 20 percent restriction with a 
carry-out volume of 55 million pounds would meet sales needs and 
establish some reserves without oversupplying the market. Thus, the 
Board recommended establishing final percentages of 80 percent free and 
20 percent restricted. The Board could meet and recommend the release 
of additional volume during the crop year if conditions so warranted.

Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis

    Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility 
Act (RFA) (5 U.S.C. 601-612), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) 
has considered the economic impact of this proposed rule on small 
entities. Accordingly, AMS has prepared this initial regulatory 
flexibility analysis.
    The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of 
businesses subject to such actions in order that small businesses will 
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued 
pursuant to the Act, and rules issued thereunder, are unique in that 
they are brought about through group action of essentially small 
entities acting on their own behalf.
    There are approximately 600 producers of tart cherries in the 
regulated area and approximately 40 handlers of tart cherries who are 
subject to regulation under the order. Small agricultural producers are 
defined by the Small Business Administration (SBA) as those having 
annual receipts of less than $750,000 and small agricultural service 
firms have been defined as those whose annual receipts are less than 
$7,000,000 (13 CFR 121.201).
    According to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) 
and Board data, the average annual grower price for tart cherries 
during the 2014-15 season was $0.35 per pound, and total utilization 
was around 300 million pounds. Therefore, average receipts for tart 
cherry producers were around $175,800, well below the SBA threshold for 
small producers. In 2014, The Food Institute estimated an f.o.b. price 
of $0.96 per pound for frozen tart cherries, which make up the majority 
of processed tart cherries. Using this data, average annual handler 
receipts were about $6.9 million, which is also below the SBA threshold 
for small agricultural service firms. Assuming a normal distribution, 
the majority of producers and handlers of tart cherries may be 
classified as small entities.
    The tart cherry industry in the United States is characterized by 
wide annual

[[Page 78680]]

fluctuations in production. According to NASS, tart cherry production 
in 2012 was 85 million pounds, 294 million pounds in 2013, and in 2014, 
production was 304 million pounds. Because of these fluctuations, the 
supply and demand for tart cherries are rarely equal.
    Demand for tart cherries is inelastic, meaning changes in price 
have a minimal effect on total sales volume. However, prices are very 
sensitive to changes in supply, and grower prices vary widely in 
response to the large swings in annual supply, with prices ranging from 
a low of 7.3 cents per pound in 1987 to a high of 59.4 cents per pound 
in 2012.
    Because of this relationship between supply and price, 
oversupplying the market with tart cherries would have a sharp negative 
effect on prices, driving down grower returns. The Board, aware of this 
economic relationship, focuses on using the volume control authority in 
the order in an effort to balance supply and demand in order to 
stabilize industry returns. This authority allows the industry to set 
free and restricted percentages as a way to bring supply and demand 
into balance. Free percentage cherries can be marketed by handlers to 
any outlet, while restricted percentage volume must be held by handlers 
in reserve, diverted or used for exempted purposes.
    This proposal would establish free and restricted percentages using 
an increased carry-out volume of 55 million pounds for the 2015-16 crop 
year under the order for tart cherries. This proposal would control the 
supply of tart cherries by establishing percentages of 80 percent free 
and 20 percent restricted for the 2015-16 crop year. These percentages 
should stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply to meet 
market demand and help improve grower returns. The proposal would 
regulate tart cherries handled in Michigan, New York, Utah, Washington, 
and Wisconsin. The authority for this action is provided for in 
Sec. Sec.  930.51(a) and 930.52 of the order. The Board recommended 
this action at a meeting on September 10, 2015.
    This proposal would result in some fruit being diverted from the 
primary domestic markets. However, as mentioned earlier, the USDA's 
``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop Marketing 
Orders'' (http://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders) specify that 110 percent of recent 
years' sales should be made available to primary markets each season 
before recommendations for volume regulation are approved. The quantity 
that would be available under this proposal is greater than 110 percent 
of the average quantity shipped in the prior three years.
    In addition, there are secondary uses available for restricted 
fruit, including the development of new products, sales into new 
markets, the development of export markets, and being placed in 
reserve. While these alternatives may provide different levels of 
return than the sales to primary markets, they play an important role 
for the industry. The areas of new products, new markets, and the 
development of export markets utilize restricted fruit to develop and 
expand the markets for tart cherries. In 2014-15, these activities 
accounted for 21 million pounds in sales, nearly 14 million of which 
were exports.
    Placing tart cherries into reserves is also a key part of balancing 
supply and demand. Although the industry must bear the handling and 
storage costs for fruit in reserve, reserves stored in large crop years 
are used to supplement supplies in short crop years. The reserves allow 
the industry to mitigate the impact of oversupply in large crop years, 
while allowing the industry to maintain and supply markets in years 
where production falls below demand. Further, storage and handling 
costs are more than offset by the increase in price when moving from a 
large crop to a short crop year.
    In addition, the Board recommended an increased carry-out of 55 
million pounds and made a demand adjustment of 43 million pounds in 
order to make the regulation less restrictive. Even with the 
recommended restriction, over 300 million pounds of fruit would be 
available to the domestic market. Consequently, it is not anticipated 
that this proposal would unduly burden growers or handlers.
    While this proposal could result in some additional costs to the 
industry, these costs are more than outweighed by the benefits. The 
purpose of setting restricted percentages is to attempt to bring supply 
and demand into balance. If the primary market (domestic) is 
oversupplied with cherries, grower prices decline substantially. 
Without volume control, the primary market would likely be 
oversupplied, resulting in lower grower prices.
    The three districts in Michigan, along with the districts in New 
York, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin are the restricted areas for this 
crop year with a combined total production of 240 million pounds. A 20 
percent restriction means 192 million pounds would be available to be 
shipped to primary markets from these five states. The 192 million 
pounds from the restricted districts, nearly 9 million pounds from the 
unrestricted districts (Oregon and Pennsylvania), and the 104 million 
pound carry-in inventory would make a total of 305 million pounds 
available as free tonnage for the primary markets. This is similar to 
the 300 million pounds of total utilization in 2014-2015 and less 
restrictive than the 12 percent restriction in 2011-2012 which made 
just under 262 million pounds available. Further, the Board could meet 
and recommend the release of additional volume during the crop year if 
conditions so warranted.
    Prior to the implementation of the order, grower prices often did 
not come close to covering the cost of production. The most recent 
costs of production determined by representatives of Michigan State 
University are an estimated $0.33 per pound. To assess the impact that 
volume control has on the prices growers receive for their product, an 
econometric model has been developed. Based on the model, the use of 
volume control would have a positive impact on grower returns for this 
crop year. With volume control, grower prices are estimated to be 
approximately $0.03 per pound higher than without restrictions.
    In addition, absent volume control, the industry could start to 
build large amounts of unwanted inventories. These inventories would 
have a depressing effect on grower prices. The econometric model shows 
for every 1 million-pound increase in carry-in inventories, a decrease 
in grower prices of $0.0042 per pound occurs.
    Retail demand is assumed to be highly inelastic, which indicates 
that changes in price do not result in significant changes in the 
quantity demanded. Consumer prices largely do not reflect fluctuations 
in cherry supplies. Therefore, this proposal should have little or no 
effect on consumer prices and should not result in a reduction in 
retail sales.
    The free and restricted percentages established by this proposal 
would provide the market with optimum supply and apply uniformly to all 
regulated handlers in the industry, regardless of size. As the 
restriction represents a percentage of a handler's volume, the costs, 
when applicable, are proportionate and should not place an extra burden 
on small entities as compared to large entities.
    The stabilizing effects of this proposal would benefit all handlers 
by helping them maintain and expand markets, despite seasonal supply 
fluctuations. Likewise, price stability positively impacts all growers 
and handlers by allowing them to better anticipate the

[[Page 78681]]

revenues their tart cherries would generate. Growers and handlers, 
regardless of size, would benefit from the stabilizing effects of this 
restriction. In addition, the increased carry-out should provide 
processors enough supply to meet market needs going into the next 
season.
    The Board considered some alternatives in its preliminary 
restriction discussions that affected this recommended action. The 
first alternative concerned the average sales in estimating demand for 
the coming season, and the second alternative regarded the recommended 
carry-out figure.
    Regarding demand, the Board began with the actual sales average of 
188 million pounds. There was concern, however that this value, which 
incorporated the weather-related crop failure of 2012, would result in 
an over-restrictive calculation. After considering options in the range 
of 40 to 62 million pounds, the Board determined that an adjustment of 
43 million pounds, would best meet the industry's sales needs. Thus the 
other alternatives were rejected and the Board recommended the 43 
million pound economic adjustment.
    Regarding the carry-out value, the Board previously considered a 
one-year increase above the 20 million pounds specified in the order to 
50 million pounds. However, this season, Board members indicated the 
carry-out should be even higher to facilitate processing at the end of 
the crop year. Board members suggested a series of options from 35 
million to 60 million pounds of carry-out. Some feel the additional 
fruit is necessary while others were more cautious about having 
additional fruit on the market at the time of harvest, which may put 
downward pressure on prices. In conjunction with the demand adjustment, 
the Board reached a consensus and recommended the Secretary increase 
the maximum carry-out to 55 million pounds for the 2015-2016 season.
    In accordance with the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 
Chapter 35), the order's information collection requirements have been 
previously approved by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) and 
assigned OMB No. 0581-0177, Tart Cherries Grown in the States of MI, 
NY, PA, OR, UT, WA, and WI. No changes in those requirements as a 
result of this action are necessary. Should any changes become 
necessary, they would be submitted to OMB for approval.
    This proposal would not impose any additional reporting or 
recordkeeping requirements on either small or large tart cherry 
handlers. As with all Federal marketing order programs, reports and 
forms are periodically reviewed to reduce information requirements and 
duplication by industry and public sector agencies.
    AMS is committed to complying with the E-Government Act, to promote 
the use of the Internet and other information technologies to provide 
increased opportunities for citizen access to Government information 
and services, and for other purposes.
    USDA has not identified any relevant Federal rules that duplicate, 
overlap or conflict with this proposed rule.
    In addition, the Board's meeting was widely publicized throughout 
the tart cherry industry and all interested persons were invited to 
attend the meeting and participate in Board deliberations on all 
issues. Like all Board meetings, the June 25, 2015, and September 10, 
2015, meetings were public meetings and all entities, both large and 
small, were able to express views on this issue. Finally, interested 
persons are invited to submit comments on this proposed rule, including 
the regulatory and informational impacts of this proposal on small 
businesses.
    A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and 
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: http://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses. Any questions 
about the compliance guide should be sent to Jeffrey Smutny at the 
previously mentioned address in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT 
section.
    A 30-day comment period is provided to allow interested persons to 
respond to this proposal. Thirty days is deemed appropriate because 
this proposed rule would need to be in place as soon as possible since 
handlers are already shipping tart cherries from the 2015-16 crop. All 
written comments timely received will be considered before a final 
determination is made on this matter.

List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930

    Marketing agreements, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, 
Tart cherries.

    For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR part 930 is 
proposed to be amended as follows:

PART 930--TART CHERRIES GROWN IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW YORK, 
PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON, UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND WISCONSIN

0
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part 930 continues to read as 
follows:

    Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.

0
2. Revise Sec.  930.151 to read as follows:


Sec.  930.151  Desirable carry-out inventory.

    For the crop year beginning on July 1, 2015, the desirable carry-
out inventory, for the purposes of determining an optimum supply 
volume, will be 55 million pounds.
0
3. Revise Sec.  930.256 to read as follows:


Sec.  930.256  Free and restricted percentages for the 2015-16 crop 
year.

    The percentages for tart cherries handled by handlers during the 
crop year beginning on July 1, 2015, which shall be free and 
restricted, respectively, are designated as follows: Free percentage, 
80 percent and restricted percentage, 20 percent.

    Dated: December 14, 2015.
Rex A. Barnes,
Associate Administrator, Agricultural Marketing Service.
[FR Doc. 2015-31777 Filed 12-16-15; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 3410-02-P



                                                                                                                                                                                               78677

                                               Proposed Rules                                                                                                Federal Register
                                                                                                                                                             Vol. 80, No. 242

                                                                                                                                                             Thursday, December 17, 2015



                                               This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER                    document number and the date and                         The Act provides that administrative
                                               contains notices to the public of the proposed          page number of this issue of the Federal              proceedings must be exhausted before
                                               issuance of rules and regulations. The                  Register and will be made available for               parties may file suit in court. Under
                                               purpose of these notices is to give interested          public inspection in the Office of the                section 608c(15)(A) of the Act, any
                                               persons an opportunity to participate in the            Docket Clerk during regular business                  handler subject to an order may file
                                               rule making prior to the adoption of the final
                                               rules.
                                                                                                       hours, or can be viewed at: http://                   with USDA a petition stating that the
                                                                                                       www.regulations.gov. All comments                     order, any provision of the order, or any
                                                                                                       submitted in response to this proposal                obligation imposed in connection with
                                               DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE                               will be included in the record and will               the order is not in accordance with law
                                                                                                       be made available to the public. Please               and request a modification of the order
                                               Agricultural Marketing Service                          be advised that the identity of the                   or to be exempted therefrom. A handler
                                                                                                       individuals or entities submitting the                is afforded the opportunity for a hearing
                                               7 CFR Part 930                                          comments will be made public on the                   on the petition. After the hearing, USDA
                                               [Doc. No. AMS–FV–15–0063; FV16–930–1
                                                                                                       internet at the address provided above.               would rule on the petition. The Act
                                               PR]                                                     FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                      provides that the district court of the
                                                                                                       Jennie M. Varela, Marketing Specialist,               United States in any district in which
                                               Tart Cherries Grown in the States of                    or Christian D. Nissen, Regional                      the handler is an inhabitant, or has his
                                               Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted                   Director, Southeast Marketing Field                   or her principal place of business, has
                                               Percentages for the 2015–16 Crop Year                   Office, Marketing Order and Agreement                 jurisdiction to review USDA’s ruling on
                                               for Tart Cherries                                       Division, Specialty Crops Program,                    the petition, provided an action is filed
                                                                                                       AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324–                      not later than 20 days after the date of
                                               AGENCY:  Agricultural Marketing Service,                3375, Fax: (863) 291–8614, or Email:                  the entry of the ruling.
                                               USDA.                                                   Jennie.Varela@ams.usda.gov or                            This proposed rule invites comments
                                               ACTION: Proposed rule.                                  Christian.Nissen@ams.usda.gov.                        on the establishment of free and
                                                                                                          Small businesses may request                       restricted percentages for the 2015–16
                                               SUMMARY:   This proposed rule would                     information on complying with this                    crop year. This proposal would
                                               implement a recommendation from the                     regulation by contacting Jeffrey Smutny,              establish the proportion of tart cherries
                                               Cherry Industry Administrative Board                    Marketing Order and Agreement                         from the 2015 crop which may be
                                               (Board) to establish free and restricted                Division, Specialty Crops Program,                    handled in commercial outlets at 80
                                               percentages for the 2015–16 crop year                   AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence                          percent free and 20 percent restricted. In
                                               under the marketing order for tart                      Avenue SW., STOP 0237, Washington,                    addition, this proposal would increase
                                               cherries grown in the states of Michigan,               DC 20250–0237; Telephone: (202) 720–                  the carry-out volume of fruit to 55
                                               New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah,                   2491, Fax: (202) 720–8938, or Email:                  million pounds for calculation purposes
                                               Washington, and Wisconsin (order). The                  Jeffrey.Smutney@ams.usda.gov.                         for this season. This proposal should
                                               Board locally administers the marketing                                                                       stabilize marketing conditions by
                                                                                                       SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This
                                               order and is comprised of producers and                                                                       adjusting supply to meet market
                                                                                                       proposal is issued under Marketing
                                               handlers of tart cherries operating                                                                           demand and help improve grower
                                                                                                       Agreement and Order No. 930, both as
                                               within the production area. This action                                                                       returns. The proposed carry-out and the
                                                                                                       amended (7 CFR part 930), regulating
                                               would establish the proportion of tart                                                                        final percentages were recommended by
                                                                                                       the handling of tart cherries produced in
                                               cherries from the 2015 crop which may                                                                         the Board at a meeting on September 10,
                                                                                                       the States of Michigan, New York,
                                               be handled in commercial outlets at 80                                                                        2015.
                                                                                                       Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah,
                                               percent free and 20 percent restricted. In                                                                       Section 930.51(a) of the order
                                                                                                       Washington and Wisconsin, hereinafter
                                               addition, this proposal would increase                                                                        provides authority to regulate volume
                                                                                                       referred to as the ‘‘order.’’ The order is
                                               the carry-out volume of fruit to 55                                                                           by designating free and restricted
                                                                                                       effective under the Agricultural
                                               million pounds for this season. These                                                                         percentages for any tart cherries
                                                                                                       Marketing Agreement Act of 1937, as
                                               percentages should stabilize marketing                                                                        acquired by handlers in a given crop
                                                                                                       amended (7 U.S.C. 601–674), hereinafter
                                               conditions by adjusting supply to meet                                                                        year. Section 930.50 prescribes
                                                                                                       referred to as the ‘‘Act.’’
                                               market demand and help improve                                                                                procedures for computing an optimum
                                                                                                          The Department of Agriculture
                                               grower returns.                                                                                               supply based on sales history and for
                                                                                                       (USDA) is issuing this proposed rule in
                                               DATES: Comments must be received by                     conformance with Executive Orders                     calculating these free and restricted
                                               January 19, 2016.                                       12866, 13563, and 13175.                              percentages. Free percentage volume
                                               ADDRESSES: Interested persons are                          This proposal has been reviewed                    may be shipped to any market, while
                                               invited to submit written comments                      under Executive Order 12988, Civil                    restricted percentage volume must be
                                               concerning this proposal. Comments                      Justice Reform. Under the order                       held by handlers in a primary or
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                                               must be sent to the Docket Clerk,                       provisions now in effect, free and                    secondary reserve, or be diverted or
                                               Marketing Order and Agreement                           restricted percentages may be                         used for exempt purposes as prescribed
                                               Division, Specialty Crops Program,                      established for tart cherries handled                 in §§ 930.159 and 930.162 of the
                                               AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence                            during the crop year. This proposed rule              regulations. Exempt purposes include,
                                               Avenue SW., STOP 0237, Washington,                      would establish free and restricted                   in part, the development of new
                                               DC 20250–0237; Fax: (202) 720–8938; or                  percentages for tart cherries for the                 products, sales into new markets, the
                                               Internet: http://www.regulations.gov. All               2015–16 crop year, beginning July 1,                  development of export markets, and
                                               comments should reference the                           2015, through June 30, 2016.                          charitable contributions. For cherries


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                                               78678               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 242 / Thursday, December 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                               held in reserve, handlers would be                      to be carried into the succeeding crop                   In discussing the calculations,
                                               responsible for storage and would retain                year to meet market demand until the                  industry participants commented that a
                                               title of the tart cherries.                             new crop is available. Desirable carry-               carry-out of 20 million pounds would
                                                  Under § 930.52, only those districts                 out is set by the Board after considering             not meet their needs at the end of the
                                               with an annual average production of at                 market circumstances and needs.                       season before the new crop is available.
                                               least six million pounds are subject to                 Section 930.50(a) specifies that                      To address that concern, the Board
                                               regulation and any district producing a                 desirable carry-out can range from zero               recommended increasing the desirable
                                               crop which is less than 50 percent of its               to a maximum of 20 million pounds, but                carry-out to 55 million pounds for the
                                               annual average is exempt. The regulated                 also authorizes the Board to establish an             2015–2016 season. This change
                                               districts for the 2015–2016 crop year                   alternative carry-out figure with the                 increased the optimum supply to 243
                                               would be: District 1—Northern                           approval of the Secretary.                            million pounds, reducing the surplus to
                                               Michigan; District 2—Central Michigan;                     In addition, USDA’s ‘‘Guidelines for               94 million pounds.
                                               District 3—Southern Michigan; District                  Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop                     The Board also discussed whether the
                                               4—New York; District 7—Utah; District                   Marketing Orders’’ (http://                           substantial reduction of supply in 2012
                                               8—Washington; and District 9—                           www.ams.usda.gov/publications/                        due to weather was still a factor that
                                               Wisconsin. Districts 5 and 6 (Oregon                    content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-              needed to be considered in determining
                                               and Pennsylvania, respectively) would                   marketing-orders) specify that 110                    optimum supply. Because of the crop
                                               not be regulated for the 2015–16 season.                percent of recent years’ sales should be              loss, sales in 2012–13 reached only 123
                                                  Demand for tart cherries and tart                    made available to primary markets each                million pounds, nearly 100 million
                                               cherry products tend to be relatively                   season before recommendations for                     pounds less than 2013–14 sales. In the
                                               stable from year to year. Conversely,                   volume regulation are approved. This                  previous two seasons when considering
                                               annual tart cherry production can vary                  requirement is codified in § 930.50(g) of             volume regulation, the Board
                                               greatly. In addition, tart cherries are                 the order, which specifies that in years              recommended economic adjustments to
                                               processed and can be stored and carried                 when restricted percentages are                       account for the substantial decline in
                                               over from crop year to crop year, further               established, the Board shall make                     2012. The Board again determined that
                                               impacting supply. As a result, supply                   available tonnage equivalent to an                    the market required additional tonnage
                                               and demand for tart cherries are rarely                 additional 10 percent of the average                  to continue recovering sales and voted
                                               in balance.                                             sales of the prior three years for market             to make an economic adjustment of 43
                                                  Because demand for tart cherries is                  expansion (market growth factor).                     million pounds to increase the available
                                               inelastic, total sales volume is not very                  After the Board determines optimum                 supply of tart cherries. The Board also
                                               responsive to changes in price.                         supply, desirable carry-out, and market               complied with the market growth factor
                                               However, prices are very sensitive to                   growth factor, it must examine the                    requirement by adding 19 million
                                               changes in supply. As such, an                          current year’s available volume to                    pounds (188 million times 10 percent,
                                               oversupply of cherries would have a                     determine whether there is an                         rounded) to the free supply.
                                               sharp negative effect on prices, driving                oversupply situation. Available volume                   The economic adjustment and market
                                               down grower returns. The Board, aware                   includes carry-in inventory (any                      growth factor further reduced the
                                               of this economic relationship, focuses                  inventory available at the beginning of               preliminary surplus to 32 million
                                               on using the volume control provisions                  the season) along with that season’s                  pounds. After these adjustments, the
                                               in the order to balance supply and                      production. If production is greater than             preliminary restricted percentage was
                                               demand to stabilize industry returns.                   the optimum supply minus carry-in, the                recalculated as 14 percent (32 million
                                                  Pursuant to § 930.50 of the order, the               difference is considered surplus. This                pounds divided by 228 million pounds).
                                               Board meets on or about July 1 to review                surplus tonnage is divided by the sum                    The Board met again on September
                                               sales data, inventory data, current crop                of production in the regulated districts              10, 2015, to consider establishing final
                                               forecasts and market conditions for the                 to reach a restricted percentage. This                volume regulation percentages for the
                                               upcoming season and, if necessary, to                   percentage must be held in reserve or                 2015–16 season. The final percentages
                                               recommend preliminary free and                          used for approved diversion activities,               are based on the Board’s reported
                                               restricted percentages if anticipated                   such as exports.                                      production figures and the supply and
                                               supply would exceed demand. After                          The Board met on June 25, 2015, and                demand information available in
                                               harvest is complete, but no later than                  computed an optimum supply of 208                     September. The total production for the
                                               September 15, the Board meets again to                  million pounds for the 2015–16 crop                   2015–16 season was 249 million
                                               update their calculations using actual                  year using the average of free sales for              pounds, 25 million pounds above the
                                               production data, consider any necessary                 the three previous seasons and a                      Board’s June estimate. In addition,
                                               adjustments to the preliminary                          desirable carry-out of 20 million                     growers diverted 1 million pounds in
                                               percentages, and determine if final free                pounds. The Board then subtracted the                 the orchard, leaving 248 million pounds
                                               and restricted percentages should be                    estimated carry-in of 104 million                     available to market. Using the actual
                                               recommended to the Secretary.                           pounds from the optimum supply to                     production numbers, and accounting for
                                                  The Board uses sales history,                        calculate the production needed from                  the recommended increase in desirable
                                               inventory, and production data to                       the 2015–16 crop to meet optimum                      carry-out and economic adjustment, as
                                               determine whether there is a surplus,                   supply. This number, 104 million                      well as the market growth factor, the
                                               and if so, how much volume should be                    pounds, was subtracted from the                       restricted percentage was recalculated.
                                               restricted to maintain optimum supply.                  Board’s estimated 2015–16 production                     The Board subtracted the carry-in
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                                               The optimum supply represents the                       of 233 million pounds to calculate a                  figure used in June of 104 million
                                               desirable volume of tart cherries that                  surplus of 129 million pounds of tart                 pounds from the optimum supply of 243
                                               should be available for sale in the                     cherries. The surplus minus the market                million pounds to determine 139
                                               coming crop year. Optimum supply is                     growth factor was then divided by the                 million pounds of 2015–16 production
                                               defined as the average free sales of the                expected production in the regulated                  would be necessary to reach optimum
                                               prior three years plus desirable carry-                 districts (228 million pounds) to reach               supply. The Board subtracted the 139
                                               out inventory. Desirable carry-out is the               a preliminary restricted percentage of 48             million pounds from the actual
                                               amount of fruit needed by the industry                  percent for the 2015–16 crop year.                    production of 248 million pounds,


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                                                                         Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 242 / Thursday, December 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                                                                       78679

                                               resulting in a surplus of 109 million                                   19 million pounds, resulting in an                                      to calculate a restricted percentage of 20
                                               pounds of tart cherries. The surplus was                                adjusted surplus of 47 million pounds.                                  percent with a corresponding free
                                               then reduced by subtracting the                                         The Board then divided this final                                       percentage of 80 percent for the 2015–
                                               economic adjustment of 43 million                                       surplus by the actual production in the                                 16 crop year, as outlined in the
                                               pounds and the market growth factor of                                  regulated districts (240 million pounds)                                following table:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Millions of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               pounds

                                               Final Calculations:
                                                   (1) Average sales of the prior three years ...................................................................................................................................                      188
                                                   (2) Plus desirable carry-out ..........................................................................................................................................................              55
                                                   (3) Optimum supply calculated by the Board ...............................................................................................................................                          243
                                                   (4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2015 .....................................................................................................................................................               104
                                                   (5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3 minus item 4) ....................................................................................................................                              139
                                                   (6) Board reported production ......................................................................................................................................................                248
                                                   (7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5) ................................................................................................................................................                  109
                                                   (8) Total economic adjustments ...................................................................................................................................................                   43
                                                   (9) Market growth factor ...............................................................................................................................................................             19
                                                   (10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus items 8 and 9) ...................................................................................................................                               47
                                                   (11) Production from regulated districts .......................................................................................................................................                    240

                                               Final Percentages:                                                                                                                                                                              Percent

                                                     Restricted (item 10 divided by item 11 × 100) .............................................................................................................................                            20
                                                     Free (100 minus restricted percentage) .......................................................................................................................................                         80



                                                  The primary purpose of setting                                          One member noted setting the                                         Marketing orders issued pursuant to the
                                               restricted percentages is an attempt to                                 restriction at 20 percent would aid in                                  Act, and rules issued thereunder, are
                                               bring supply and demand into balance.                                   maintaining price stability, with another                               unique in that they are brought about
                                               If the primary market is oversupplied                                   member reminding the Board of the                                       through group action of essentially
                                               with cherries, grower prices decline                                    importance of the order and volume                                      small entities acting on their own
                                               substantially. Restricted percentages                                   control in avoiding oversupplying the                                   behalf.
                                               have benefited grower returns and                                       market with tart cherries. One other                                      There are approximately 600
                                               helped stabilize the market as compared                                 member said it was also important to                                    producers of tart cherries in the
                                               to those seasons prior to the                                           maintain a reserve in case of another                                   regulated area and approximately 40
                                               implementation of the order. The Board                                  crop disaster. Other members stated the                                 handlers of tart cherries who are subject
                                               believes the available information                                      demand adjustment and the                                               to regulation under the order. Small
                                               indicates that a restricted percentage                                  recommended increased carry-out                                         agricultural producers are defined by
                                               should be established for the 2015–16                                   would put sufficient fruit on the market                                the Small Business Administration
                                               crop year to avoid oversupplying the                                    in the coming year.                                                     (SBA) as those having annual receipts of
                                               market with tart cherries. Consequently,                                   After reviewing the available data,                                  less than $750,000 and small
                                               based on its discussion of this issue and                               and considering the concerns expressed,                                 agricultural service firms have been
                                               the result of the above calculations, the                               the Board determined that a 20 percent                                  defined as those whose annual receipts
                                               Board recommended final percentages                                     restriction with a carry-out volume of 55                               are less than $7,000,000 (13 CFR
                                               of 80 percent free and 20 percent                                       million pounds would meet sales needs                                   121.201).
                                               restricted by a vote of 16 in favor and                                 and establish some reserves without                                       According to the National
                                               1 against.                                                              oversupplying the market. Thus, the                                     Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS)
                                                  During the discussion of the proposed                                Board recommended establishing final                                    and Board data, the average annual
                                               restriction, some members expressed                                     percentages of 80 percent free and 20                                   grower price for tart cherries during the
                                               concern regarding competition from                                      percent restricted. The Board could                                     2014–15 season was $0.35 per pound,
                                               imported tart cherry juice concentrate.                                 meet and recommend the release of                                       and total utilization was around 300
                                               In particular, some were concerned that                                 additional volume during the crop year                                  million pounds. Therefore, average
                                               the additional volume from imports is                                   if conditions so warranted.                                             receipts for tart cherry producers were
                                               not accounted for in the Optimum                                                                                                                around $175,800, well below the SBA
                                                                                                                       Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
                                               Supply Formula, thus not capturing                                                                                                              threshold for small producers. In 2014,
                                               overall supply and demand. An                                             Pursuant to requirements set forth in                                 The Food Institute estimated an f.o.b.
                                               economist from Michigan State                                           the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA) (5                                 price of $0.96 per pound for frozen tart
                                               University is working with the Board to                                 U.S.C. 601–612), the Agricultural                                       cherries, which make up the majority of
                                               assemble information on tart cherry                                     Marketing Service (AMS) has                                             processed tart cherries. Using this data,
                                               imports. The Board also voted to                                        considered the economic impact of this                                  average annual handler receipts were
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                                               establish an import committee to review                                 proposed rule on small entities.                                        about $6.9 million, which is also below
                                               the data on imports once it is available.                               Accordingly, AMS has prepared this                                      the SBA threshold for small agricultural
                                               Another member asserted that any                                        initial regulatory flexibility analysis.                                service firms. Assuming a normal
                                               restriction would adversely impact                                        The purpose of the RFA is to fit                                      distribution, the majority of producers
                                               growers’ ability to sell all of their fruit.                            regulatory actions to the scale of                                      and handlers of tart cherries may be
                                               One member also said that a 20 percent                                  businesses subject to such actions in                                   classified as small entities.
                                               restriction seemed high given the                                       order that small businesses will not be                                   The tart cherry industry in the United
                                               moderate production in 2015.                                            unduly or disproportionately burdened.                                  States is characterized by wide annual


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                                               78680               Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 242 / Thursday, December 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                               fluctuations in production. According to                quantity that would be available under                districts, nearly 9 million pounds from
                                               NASS, tart cherry production in 2012                    this proposal is greater than 110 percent             the unrestricted districts (Oregon and
                                               was 85 million pounds, 294 million                      of the average quantity shipped in the                Pennsylvania), and the 104 million
                                               pounds in 2013, and in 2014,                            prior three years.                                    pound carry-in inventory would make a
                                               production was 304 million pounds.                         In addition, there are secondary uses              total of 305 million pounds available as
                                               Because of these fluctuations, the                      available for restricted fruit, including             free tonnage for the primary markets.
                                               supply and demand for tart cherries are                 the development of new products, sales                This is similar to the 300 million
                                               rarely equal.                                           into new markets, the development of                  pounds of total utilization in 2014–2015
                                                  Demand for tart cherries is inelastic,               export markets, and being placed in                   and less restrictive than the 12 percent
                                               meaning changes in price have a                         reserve. While these alternatives may                 restriction in 2011–2012 which made
                                               minimal effect on total sales volume.                   provide different levels of return than               just under 262 million pounds available.
                                               However, prices are very sensitive to                   the sales to primary markets, they play               Further, the Board could meet and
                                               changes in supply, and grower prices                    an important role for the industry. The               recommend the release of additional
                                               vary widely in response to the large                    areas of new products, new markets,                   volume during the crop year if
                                               swings in annual supply, with prices                    and the development of export markets                 conditions so warranted.
                                               ranging from a low of 7.3 cents per                     utilize restricted fruit to develop and                  Prior to the implementation of the
                                               pound in 1987 to a high of 59.4 cents                   expand the markets for tart cherries. In              order, grower prices often did not come
                                               per pound in 2012.                                      2014–15, these activities accounted for               close to covering the cost of production.
                                                  Because of this relationship between                 21 million pounds in sales, nearly 14                 The most recent costs of production
                                               supply and price, oversupplying the                     million of which were exports.                        determined by representatives of
                                               market with tart cherries would have a                     Placing tart cherries into reserves is             Michigan State University are an
                                               sharp negative effect on prices, driving                also a key part of balancing supply and               estimated $0.33 per pound. To assess
                                               down grower returns. The Board, aware                   demand. Although the industry must                    the impact that volume control has on
                                               of this economic relationship, focuses                  bear the handling and storage costs for               the prices growers receive for their
                                               on using the volume control authority in                fruit in reserve, reserves stored in large            product, an econometric model has been
                                               the order in an effort to balance supply                crop years are used to supplement                     developed. Based on the model, the use
                                               and demand in order to stabilize                        supplies in short crop years. The                     of volume control would have a positive
                                               industry returns. This authority allows                 reserves allow the industry to mitigate               impact on grower returns for this crop
                                               the industry to set free and restricted                 the impact of oversupply in large crop                year. With volume control, grower
                                               percentages as a way to bring supply                    years, while allowing the industry to                 prices are estimated to be approximately
                                               and demand into balance. Free                           maintain and supply markets in years                  $0.03 per pound higher than without
                                               percentage cherries can be marketed by                  where production falls below demand.                  restrictions.
                                               handlers to any outlet, while restricted                Further, storage and handling costs are                  In addition, absent volume control,
                                               percentage volume must be held by                       more than offset by the increase in price             the industry could start to build large
                                               handlers in reserve, diverted or used for               when moving from a large crop to a                    amounts of unwanted inventories.
                                               exempted purposes.                                      short crop year.                                      These inventories would have a
                                                  This proposal would establish free                      In addition, the Board recommended                 depressing effect on grower prices. The
                                               and restricted percentages using an                     an increased carry-out of 55 million                  econometric model shows for every 1
                                               increased carry-out volume of 55                        pounds and made a demand adjustment                   million-pound increase in carry-in
                                               million pounds for the 2015–16 crop                     of 43 million pounds in order to make                 inventories, a decrease in grower prices
                                               year under the order for tart cherries.                 the regulation less restrictive. Even with            of $0.0042 per pound occurs.
                                               This proposal would control the supply                  the recommended restriction, over 300                    Retail demand is assumed to be
                                               of tart cherries by establishing                        million pounds of fruit would be                      highly inelastic, which indicates that
                                               percentages of 80 percent free and 20                   available to the domestic market.                     changes in price do not result in
                                               percent restricted for the 2015–16 crop                 Consequently, it is not anticipated that              significant changes in the quantity
                                               year. These percentages should stabilize                this proposal would unduly burden                     demanded. Consumer prices largely do
                                               marketing conditions by adjusting                       growers or handlers.                                  not reflect fluctuations in cherry
                                               supply to meet market demand and help                      While this proposal could result in                supplies. Therefore, this proposal
                                               improve grower returns. The proposal                    some additional costs to the industry,                should have little or no effect on
                                               would regulate tart cherries handled in                 these costs are more than outweighed by               consumer prices and should not result
                                               Michigan, New York, Utah, Washington,                   the benefits. The purpose of setting                  in a reduction in retail sales.
                                               and Wisconsin. The authority for this                   restricted percentages is to attempt to                  The free and restricted percentages
                                               action is provided for in §§ 930.51(a)                  bring supply and demand into balance.                 established by this proposal would
                                               and 930.52 of the order. The Board                      If the primary market (domestic) is                   provide the market with optimum
                                               recommended this action at a meeting                    oversupplied with cherries, grower                    supply and apply uniformly to all
                                               on September 10, 2015.                                  prices decline substantially. Without                 regulated handlers in the industry,
                                                  This proposal would result in some                   volume control, the primary market                    regardless of size. As the restriction
                                               fruit being diverted from the primary                   would likely be oversupplied, resulting               represents a percentage of a handler’s
                                               domestic markets. However, as                           in lower grower prices.                               volume, the costs, when applicable, are
                                               mentioned earlier, the USDA’s                              The three districts in Michigan, along             proportionate and should not place an
                                               ‘‘Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and                  with the districts in New York, Utah,                 extra burden on small entities as
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                                               Specialty Crop Marketing Orders’’                       Washington, and Wisconsin are the                     compared to large entities.
                                               (http://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/                  restricted areas for this crop year with                 The stabilizing effects of this proposal
                                               content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-                a combined total production of 240                    would benefit all handlers by helping
                                               marketing-orders) specify that 110                      million pounds. A 20 percent restriction              them maintain and expand markets,
                                               percent of recent years’ sales should be                means 192 million pounds would be                     despite seasonal supply fluctuations.
                                               made available to primary markets each                  available to be shipped to primary                    Likewise, price stability positively
                                               season before recommendations for                       markets from these five states. The 192               impacts all growers and handlers by
                                               volume regulation are approved. The                     million pounds from the restricted                    allowing them to better anticipate the


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                                                                   Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 242 / Thursday, December 17, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                               78681

                                               revenues their tart cherries would                      tart cherry handlers. As with all Federal                 Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674.
                                               generate. Growers and handlers,                         marketing order programs, reports and                 ■   2. Revise § 930.151 to read as follows:
                                               regardless of size, would benefit from                  forms are periodically reviewed to
                                               the stabilizing effects of this restriction.            reduce information requirements and                   § 930.151    Desirable carry-out inventory.
                                               In addition, the increased carry-out                    duplication by industry and public                      For the crop year beginning on July 1,
                                               should provide processors enough                        sector agencies.                                      2015, the desirable carry-out inventory,
                                               supply to meet market needs going into                     AMS is committed to complying with                 for the purposes of determining an
                                               the next season.                                        the E-Government Act, to promote the                  optimum supply volume, will be 55
                                                  The Board considered some                            use of the Internet and other                         million pounds.
                                               alternatives in its preliminary restriction             information technologies to provide                   ■ 3. Revise § 930.256 to read as follows:
                                               discussions that affected this                          increased opportunities for citizen
                                               recommended action. The first                           access to Government information and                  § 930.256 Free and restricted percentages
                                               alternative concerned the average sales                 services, and for other purposes.                     for the 2015–16 crop year.
                                               in estimating demand for the coming                        USDA has not identified any relevant                 The percentages for tart cherries
                                               season, and the second alternative                      Federal rules that duplicate, overlap or              handled by handlers during the crop
                                               regarded the recommended carry-out                      conflict with this proposed rule.                     year beginning on July 1, 2015, which
                                               figure.                                                    In addition, the Board’s meeting was               shall be free and restricted, respectively,
                                                  Regarding demand, the Board began                    widely publicized throughout the tart                 are designated as follows: Free
                                               with the actual sales average of 188                    cherry industry and all interested                    percentage, 80 percent and restricted
                                               million pounds. There was concern,                      persons were invited to attend the                    percentage, 20 percent.
                                               however that this value, which                          meeting and participate in Board                        Dated: December 14, 2015.
                                               incorporated the weather-related crop                   deliberations on all issues. Like all                 Rex A. Barnes,
                                               failure of 2012, would result in an over-               Board meetings, the June 25, 2015, and
                                               restrictive calculation. After considering                                                                    Associate Administrator, Agricultural
                                                                                                       September 10, 2015, meetings were                     Marketing Service.
                                               options in the range of 40 to 62 million                public meetings and all entities, both
                                               pounds, the Board determined that an                                                                          [FR Doc. 2015–31777 Filed 12–16–15; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                       large and small, were able to express
                                               adjustment of 43 million pounds, would                  views on this issue. Finally, interested              BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
                                               best meet the industry’s sales needs.                   persons are invited to submit comments
                                               Thus the other alternatives were                        on this proposed rule, including the
                                               rejected and the Board recommended                      regulatory and informational impacts of               DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
                                               the 43 million pound economic                           this proposal on small businesses.
                                               adjustment.                                                A small business guide on complying                Office of the Comptroller of the
                                                  Regarding the carry-out value, the                   with fruit, vegetable, and specialty crop             Currency
                                               Board previously considered a one-year                  marketing agreements and orders may
                                               increase above the 20 million pounds                    be viewed at: http://www.ams.usda.gov/                12 CFR Part 30
                                               specified in the order to 50 million                    rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses.
                                               pounds. However, this season, Board                                                                           [Docket ID OCC–2015–0017]
                                                                                                       Any questions about the compliance
                                               members indicated the carry-out should                  guide should be sent to Jeffrey Smutny                RIN 1557–AD96
                                               be even higher to facilitate processing at              at the previously mentioned address in
                                               the end of the crop year. Board members                 the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT                   Guidelines Establishing Standards for
                                               suggested a series of options from 35                   section.                                              Recovery Planning by Certain Large
                                               million to 60 million pounds of carry-                     A 30-day comment period is provided                Insured National Banks, Insured
                                               out. Some feel the additional fruit is                  to allow interested persons to respond                Federal Savings Associations, and
                                               necessary while others were more                        to this proposal. Thirty days is deemed               Insured Federal Branches
                                               cautious about having additional fruit                  appropriate because this proposed rule
                                               on the market at the time of harvest,                                                                         AGENCY:  Office of the Comptroller of the
                                                                                                       would need to be in place as soon as                  Currency, Treasury.
                                               which may put downward pressure on                      possible since handlers are already
                                               prices. In conjunction with the demand                                                                        ACTION: Proposed guidelines.
                                                                                                       shipping tart cherries from the 2015–16
                                               adjustment, the Board reached a                         crop. All written comments timely
                                               consensus and recommended the                                                                                 SUMMARY:    The Office of the Comptroller
                                                                                                       received will be considered before a                  of the Currency (OCC) is requesting
                                               Secretary increase the maximum carry-                   final determination is made on this
                                               out to 55 million pounds for the 2015–                                                                        comment on proposed enforceable
                                                                                                       matter.                                               guidelines establishing standards for
                                               2016 season.
                                                  In accordance with the Paperwork                     List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930                    recovery planning by insured national
                                               Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.                                                                              banks, insured Federal savings
                                                                                                         Marketing agreements, Reporting and
                                               Chapter 35), the order’s information                                                                          associations, and insured Federal
                                                                                                       recordkeeping requirements, Tart
                                               collection requirements have been                                                                             branches of foreign banks with average
                                                                                                       cherries.
                                               previously approved by the Office of                                                                          total consolidated assets of $50 billion
                                                                                                         For the reasons set forth in the                    or more (Guidelines). The OCC would
                                               Management and Budget (OMB) and                         preamble, 7 CFR part 930 is proposed to
                                               assigned OMB No. 0581–0177, Tart                                                                              issue the Guidelines as an appendix to
                                                                                                       be amended as follows:                                its safety and soundness standards
                                               Cherries Grown in the States of MI, NY,
                                                                                                                                                             regulations, and the Guidelines would
Lhorne on DSK5TPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                               PA, OR, UT, WA, and WI. No changes                      PART 930—TART CHERRIES GROWN
                                               in those requirements as a result of this                                                                     be enforceable by the terms of the
                                                                                                       IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW
                                               action are necessary. Should any                                                                              Federal statute that authorizes the OCC
                                                                                                       YORK, PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON,
                                               changes become necessary, they would                                                                          to prescribe operational and managerial
                                                                                                       UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND
                                               be submitted to OMB for approval.                                                                             standards for national banks and
                                                                                                       WISCONSIN
                                                  This proposal would not impose any                                                                         Federal savings associations.
                                               additional reporting or recordkeeping                   ■ 1. The authority citation for 7 CFR                 DATES: Comments must be submitted by
                                               requirements on either small or large                   part 930 continues to read as follows:                February 16, 2016.


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Document Created: 2018-03-02 09:18:01
Document Modified: 2018-03-02 09:18:01
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionProposed rule.
DatesComments must be received by January 19, 2016.
ContactJennie M. Varela, Marketing Specialist, or Christian D. Nissen, Regional Director, Southeast Marketing Field Office, Marketing Order and Agreement Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324-3375, Fax: (863) 291-8614, or Email: [email protected] or [email protected]
FR Citation80 FR 78677 
CFR AssociatedMarketing Agreements; Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements and Tart Cherries

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