80_FR_80051 80 FR 79805 - Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Withdrawal of Proposed Rule To Reclassify the Arroyo Toad as Threatened

80 FR 79805 - Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Withdrawal of Proposed Rule To Reclassify the Arroyo Toad as Threatened

DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 246 (December 23, 2015)

Page Range79805-79816
FR Document2015-32075

We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), withdraw the proposed rule to reclassify the arroyo toad (Anaxyrus californicus) as threatened under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act). This withdrawal is based on our conclusion that the types of threats to the arroyo toad remain the same as at the time of listing and are ongoing, and new threats have been identified. Some conservation efforts are ongoing in most populations to help manage and reduce impacts to arroyo toads from many ongoing threats; however, the species has not yet responded to an extent that would allow a change in listing status. The intent of the reclassification criteria in the recovery plan (Service 1999) has not been met. We have therefore determined that reclassification of this species is not appropriate at this time.

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 246 (Wednesday, December 23, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 246 (Wednesday, December 23, 2015)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 79805-79816]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-32075]


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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR

Fish and Wildlife Service

50 CFR Part 17

[Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2014-0007;FXES11130900000-156-FF09E42000]
RIN 1018-AY82


Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Withdrawal of 
Proposed Rule To Reclassify the Arroyo Toad as Threatened

AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.

ACTION: Proposed rule; withdrawal.

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SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), withdraw the 
proposed rule to reclassify the arroyo toad (Anaxyrus californicus) as 
threatened under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act). 
This withdrawal is based on our conclusion that the types of threats to 
the arroyo toad remain the same as at the time of listing and are 
ongoing, and new threats have been identified. Some conservation 
efforts are ongoing in most populations to help manage and reduce 
impacts to arroyo toads from many ongoing threats; however, the species 
has not yet responded to an extent that would allow a change in listing 
status. The intent of the reclassification criteria in the recovery 
plan (Service 1999) has not been met. We have therefore determined that 
reclassification of this species is not appropriate at this time.

DATES: The March 27, 2014 (79 FR 17106), proposed rule to reclassify 
the arroyo toad as threatened is withdrawn as of December 23, 2015.

ADDRESSES: This withdrawal, comments on our March 27, 2014, proposed 
rule (79 FR 17106), and supplementary documents are available on the 
Internet at http://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R8-ES-2014-
0007. Comments and materials received, as well as supporting 
documentation used in the preparation of this withdrawal, are also 
available for public inspection, by appointment, during normal business 
hours at: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Ventura Fish and Wildlife 
Office, 2493 Portola Road, Suite B, Ventura, CA 93003; telephone 805-
644-1766; or facsimile 805-644-3958.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Stephen P. Henry, Field Supervisor, 
Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office (see ADDRESSES). If you use a 
telecommunications device for the deaf (TDD), call the Federal 
Information Relay Service (FIRS) at 800-877-8339.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Previous Federal Actions

    Please refer to the proposed reclassification rule for the arroyo 
toad (79 FR 17106; March 27, 2014) for a detailed description of the 
Federal actions concerning this species that occurred prior to 
publication of the proposed reclassification rule. We accepted 
submission of new information and comments on the proposed 
reclassification for a 60-day comment period, ending May 27, 2014. In 
order to ensure that the public had an adequate opportunity to review 
and comment on our proposed rule, we reopened the comment period for an 
additional 30 days on October 17, 2014 (79 FR 62408).

Background

    A scientific analysis was completed and presented in detail within 
the arroyo toad species report (Service 2014, entire), which was 
available on http://www.regulations.gov at Docket Number FWS-R8-ES-
2014-0007 after the publication of the proposed reclassification. The 
species report was updated to include the information we received from 
public and peer review comments, and the final species report (Service 
2015, entire) is available at http://www.regulations.gov at Docket 
Number FWS-R8-ES-2014-0007. The species report was prepared by Service 
biologists to provide thorough discussion of the species' ecology, 
biological needs, and an analysis of the threats that may be impacting 
the species. The species report includes discussion of the species' 
life history, taxonomy, habitat requirements, range, distribution, 
abundance, threats, and progress towards recovery. This detailed 
information is summarized in the following paragraphs of this 
Background section and the Summary of Factors Affecting the Species 
section.
    Arroyo toads are found in low gradient, medium-to-large streams and 
rivers with intermittent and perennial flow in coastal and desert 
drainages in central and southern California, and Baja California, 
Mexico. Arroyo toads occupy aquatic, riparian, and upland habitats in 
the remaining suitable drainages within its range. Arroyo toads are 
breeding habitat specialists that need slow-moving streams that are 
composed of sandy soils with sandy streamside terraces (Sweet 1992, pp. 
23-28). Reproduction is dependent upon the availability of very 
shallow, still, or low-flow pools in which breeding, egg-laying, and 
tadpole development occur. Suitable habitat for arroyo toads is created 
and maintained by periodic flooding and scouring that modify

[[Page 79806]]

stream channels, redistribute channel sediments, and alter pool 
location and form. These habitat requirements are largely dependent 
upon natural hydrological cycles and scouring events (Madden-Smith et 
al. 2003, p. 3).
    Arroyo toads were once relatively abundant in coastal central and 
southern California. Arroyo toads historically were known to occur in 
coastal drainages in southern California from the upper Salinas River 
system in Monterey and San Luis Obispo Counties; south through the 
Santa Maria and Santa Ynez River basins in Santa Barbara County; the 
Santa Clara River basin in Ventura County; the Los Angeles River basin 
in Los Angeles County; the coastal drainages of Orange, Riverside, and 
San Diego Counties; and south to the Arroyo San Simeon system in Baja 
California, M[eacute]xico (Sweet 1992, p. 18; Service 1999, p. 12). 
Jennings and Hayes (1994, p. 57) are most commonly cited as documenting 
a decline of 76 percent of arroyo toad populations throughout the 
species' range due to loss of habitat and hydrological alterations to 
stream systems as a result of dam construction and flood control. This 
76 percent decline was based on studies done in the early 1990s by Sam 
Sweet (Jennings and Hayes 1994, p. 57) that addressed the natural 
history and status of arroyo toad populations on a portion of the 
species' range on the Los Padres National Forest.
    Currently, arroyo toads are limited to isolated populations found 
primarily in the headwaters of coastal streams along the central and 
southern coast of California and southward to Rio Santa Maria near San 
Quintin in northwestern Baja California, M[eacute]xico (Lovich 2009, p. 
62). Arroyo toads are still extant within the range they occupied 
historically and at the time of listing, but new data indicate that the 
species has continued to decline in numbers and in area occupied within 
its current range (Hancock 2007-2014, entire; Hollingsworth in litt. 
2014; USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.; USGS 2015, pers. 
comm.). Overall, we recognize 25 river basins in the United States and 
an additional 10 river basins in Baja California, Mexico, as containing 
at least one extant population of arroyo toads (Service 2015, Table 1).
    A thorough review of the taxonomy, life history, and ecology of the 
arroyo toad is presented in the final species report (Service 2015) 
(the species report and other materials relating to this withdrawal can 
be found on http://www.regulations.gov at Docket Number FWS-R8-ES-2014-
0007).

Summary of Basis for This Withdrawal

    Based upon our review of the public comments, agency comments, peer 
review comments, and new relevant information that became available 
since the March 27, 2014, publication of the reclassification proposed 
rule (79 FR 17106), we reevaluated our proposed rule. Other than minor 
clarifications and incorporation of additional information on the 
species' biology and populations, this determination differs from the 
proposal in the following ways:
    (1) As in the proposed rule, we find that the types of threats to 
arroyo toads remain the same as at the time of listing and are ongoing; 
in addition, new threats have been identified. The threats of 
urbanization, dams and water diversions, introduced predators, and 
drought have current and ongoing, high impacts to arroyo toads and 
their habitat. New threats include invasive, nonnative plants and 
effects of climate change. Some conservation efforts are ongoing in 
most populations to help manage and reduce impacts to arroyo toads from 
many ongoing threats. However, we have now determined that the best 
available scientific data do not currently support a determination that 
the species has responded to conservation actions such that a change in 
listing status is warranted (see numbers (2) and (3), below).
    (2) Based on our evaluation of peer review and public comments and 
on additional population data received during the comment periods, we 
have determined that that the intent of the reclassification criteria 
in the recovery plan (Service 1999) has not been met. The downlisting 
recovery criteria state that for arroyo toads to be reclassified to 
threatened, management plans must have been approved and implemented on 
federally managed lands, and at least 20 self-sustaining 
metapopulations or populations at specified locations on Federal lands 
must be maintained. At the time of our proposed reclassification rule, 
as well as currently, there were no long-term population trend data 
available that demonstrate that arroyo toad populations have stabilized 
or are increasing. However, the Service is required by section 4(b)(1) 
of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.) to make determinations regarding 
the status of a species solely on the basis of the best scientific and 
commercial data available. We must make a determination based on the 
available information even when data that are lacking would be more 
desirable. In other words, we cannot delay or decline to make a 
determination because we lack data that would be more ideal. In the 
March 27, 2014, proposed rule, we stated that current available 
information indicates that arroyo toads are persisting or are presumed 
to be persisting on Federal lands in 17 river basin occurrences and 5 
additional occurrences on non-Federal lands, for a total of 22 extant 
or presumed extant occurrences in California. Because we lacked long-
term population trend data, this constituted the best available 
information on the status of arroyo toad populations. As the only 
population data available, we used this information as a proxy measure 
in attempting to determine whether populations were stable or 
increasing. We stated that this information supported our conclusion 
that the occurrences are self-sustaining (79 FR 17106; March 27, 2014), 
and, therefore, that the intent of the criteria identified in the 
arroyo toad recovery plan for downlisting had been met.
    Since we published the proposed rule to downlist the arroyo toad, 
however, we have received additional information through the peer 
review and public comment process that refutes our finding that the 
intent of the recovery criteria has been met. First, we reevaluated our 
use of extant or presumed extant populations as a proxy for self-
sustaining populations. While these kind of data do indicate that some 
level of reproduction and recruitment is occurring, we now agree with 
commenters that these data cannot be used to infer that arroyo toad 
populations are self-sustaining in the long term, and we conclude it is 
scientifically inaccurate to do so. Self-sustaining is clearly defined 
in the recovery plan as populations that have stabilized or are 
increasing. No long-term population trend data for arroyo toads 
demonstrate that populations have stabilized or are increasing anywhere 
within the species' range. Second, although arroyo toads are still 
persisting within the range they occupied historically and at the time 
of listing, new data indicate that the species has continued to decline 
in numbers and in area occupied within its current range (Hancock 2007-
2014, entire; Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 
2015, pers. comm.; USGS 2015, pers. comm.). At least three occurrences 
in the Northern Recovery Unit (Salinas River Basin, Santa Ynez River 
Basin, and Santa Clara River Basin) (Hancock 2007-2014, entire; Sweet 
2015, pers. comm.) and at least eight occurrences in the Southern 
Recovery Unit (Lower Santa Margarita River Basin, Upper San Luis Rey 
River Basin, Upper and Lower Santa Ysabel Creek Basins, Upper San Diego 
River

[[Page 79807]]

Basin, Upper Sweetwater River Basin, and Upper and Lower Cottonwood 
Creek Basins) (USGS in litt. 2014; USGS 2015, pers. comm.) have shown 
recent declines.
    (3) Because no information indicates that populations have 
stabilized or are increasing, and new information suggests several 
occurrences are in decline, we have determined that downlisting the 
arroyo toad is not appropriate at this time. As a result, this document 
withdraws the proposed rule published on March 27, 2014 (79 FR 17106).

Summary of Factors Affecting the Species

    Section 4 of the Act and its implementing regulations (50 CFR 424) 
set forth the procedures for listing species, reclassifying species, or 
removing species from listed status. ``Species'' is defined by the Act 
as including any species or subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants, 
and any distinct population segment of any species of vertebrate fish 
or wildlife which interbreeds when mature (16 U.S.C. 1532(16)). A 
species may be determined to be an endangered species or threatened 
species because of any one or a combination of the five factors 
described in section 4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The present or threatened 
destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B) 
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or 
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of 
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or human made 
factors affecting its continued existence. A species may be 
reclassified on the same basis.
    Determining whether the status of a species has improved to the 
point that it can be downlisted or delisted requires consideration of 
whether the species is endangered or threatened because of the same 
five categories of threats specified in section 4(a)(1) of the Act. For 
species that are already listed as endangered species or threatened 
species, this analysis of threats is an evaluation of both the threats 
currently facing the species and the threats that are reasonably likely 
to affect the species in the foreseeable future following the delisting 
or downlisting and the removal or reduction of the Act's protections.
    A species is an ``endangered species'' for purposes of the Act if 
it is in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion 
of its range and is a ``threatened species'' if it is likely to become 
an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a 
significant portion of its range. The word ``range'' in the definitions 
of ``endangered species'' and ``threatened species'' refers to the 
range in which the species currently exists. For the purposes of this 
analysis, we first evaluate the status of the species throughout all 
its range; then, if we determine that the species is neither in danger 
of extinction nor likely to becomes so, we next consider whether the 
species is in danger of extinction or likely to become so in any 
significant portion of its range.
    A threats analysis for the arroyo toad is included in the final 
species report (Service 2015, entire) associated with this document 
(and available at http://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R8-
ES-2014-0007). All potential threats that are acting upon arroyo toads 
currently or in the future (and consistent with the five listing 
factors identified above) were evaluated and addressed in the final 
species report, and are summarized in the following paragraphs.
    At the time of listing, the primary threats to arroyo toads were 
urban development, agricultural conversion, operations of dams and 
water flow, roads and road maintenance, recreational activities, 
introduced predator species, and drought (59 FR 64859; December 16, 
1994). Other threats identified in 1994 included livestock grazing, 
mining and prospecting, and alteration of the natural fire regime (59 
FR 64859).
    Current and potential future threats to arroyo toads include urban 
development (Factors A and E), agriculture (Factors A and E), operation 
of dams and water diversions (Factor A), mining and prospecting 
(Factors A and E), livestock grazing (Factor A), roads and road 
maintenance (Factors A and E), recreation (Factors A and E), invasive, 
nonnative plants (Factor A), disease (Factor C), introduced predator 
species (Factor C), drought (Factor E), fire and fire suppression 
(Factors A and E), and climate change (Factor E).
    Please see the ``Threats'' section of the final species report for 
a thorough discussion of all potential and current threats (Service 
2015, pp. 29-91). In the final species report, we use threat impact 
categories to reflect the magnitude to which arroyo toads are affected 
by the threat. Impact categories are: (1) High: Likely to have a major 
impact on local populations or habitat that rises to a species-level 
effect; (2) medium: Likely to have a moderate impact on local 
population numbers or habitat, but populations in other locations may 
not be impacted such that the effect does not rise to the species 
level; and (3) low: Likely to have minimal impacts on local population 
numbers or habitat such that the effect does not rise above the 
individual level. Timing is used to characterize the period of the 
available data and determine the general timeframe over which we can 
make reliable predictions about how threats will affect arroyo toads. 
In general, we have information about effects of threats on arroyo 
toads since time of listing, approximately 20 years ago. Therefore, the 
timeframe we are comfortable predicting into the future for most 
threats is also 20 years. The following sections provide a summary of 
the current and potential future threats that are impacting or may 
impact arroyo toads.

Urban Development

    At the time of listing, habitat loss from development projects in 
riparian wetlands caused permanent losses of riparian habitats. Urban 
development was the most conspicuous factor in the decline of arroyo 
toads at the time of listing because the loss of arroyo toad breeding 
habitat was permanent. By the time the arroyo toad was listed in 1994, 
development and urban sprawl had already resulted in conversion to 
urban and suburban use of nearly 40 percent of the riparian areas along 
the coast from Ventura County to the Mexican border (CDFG 2005). The 
trend toward increasing urbanization in California continues to the 
present day.
    Existing urban development currently affects 25 out of 32 river 
basins (3 unknown) where arroyo toads are known to occur and has a 
serious effect on arroyo toads and their habitats. While this threat 
has been somewhat reduced at 10 occurrences, we categorize the threat 
of urban development as having a high level of impact to the species 
throughout its range. Decline in number of populations of arroyo toads 
has already occurred (Jennings and Hayes 1994, p. 57), and new data 
indicate that the species has continued to decline in numbers and in 
area occupied within its current range (Hancock 2007-2014, entire; 
Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 2015, pers. 
comm.; USGS 2015, pers. comm.). In addition, increases in human 
population and urban development pressures will, through time, continue 
to cause new loss of arroyo toad populations and reduce opportunities 
for conservation and enhancement of existing populations; they will 
also reduce the potential for reintroduction of the species, and likely 
further reduce the genetic variation found in this species (Lovich 
2009, p. 91). While impacts

[[Page 79808]]

from development have been reduced at 10 occurrences through current 
conservation measures, over the next 20 years urban development is 
expected to continue to have a high level of impact to arroyo toads.

Agriculture

    At the time of listing, habitat loss from agricultural development 
projects in riparian wetlands also had caused permanent losses of 
riparian habitats. Agricultural development currently affects 20 out of 
35 river basins where arroyo toads are known to occur and has a 
moderate effect on arroyo toads and their habitats. While this threat 
has been reduced at two occurrences, we categorize the threat of 
agriculture as having a medium level of impact to the species 
throughout its range. Because arroyo toads use both aquatic and 
terrestrial environments, they are impacted both by agricultural 
activities that subject their habitats to increased fragmentation and 
by decreased habitat quality from groundwater pumping, water 
diversions, and contaminated runoff. Additionally, arroyo toads are 
attracted to open areas of farm fields to find foraging and burrowing 
sites, and thus are vulnerable to being run over by farm equipment or 
trampled by field workers. Where chemicals are used, arroyo toads are 
exposed to residues that can collect in soils where they burrow or in 
pools where they breed. Overall, over the next 20 years, agriculture is 
expected to continue to have a medium level of impact to arroyo toads.

Operation of Dams and Water Diversions

    At the time of listing, short- and long-term changes in river 
hydrology, including construction of dams and water diversions, were 
responsible for the loss of 40 percent of the estimated original range 
of the species, and nearly half of historical extirpations prior to 
listing are attributed to impacts from original dam construction and 
operation (Sweet 1992, pp. 4-5; Ramirez 2003, p. 7). These changes are 
a result of dam construction and operation because the original 
construction of a dam: (1) Effectively fragments a watershed by slowing 
rivers and blocking the natural flow of water and sediments; (2) 
inundates large areas of arroyo toad habitat; and (3) blocks in-stream 
movement of arroyo toads, which effectively isolates populations 
upstream and downstream of dams and may preclude recolonization of 
areas formerly occupied by arroyo toads (Campbell et al. 1996, p. 18).
    Dams and water diversions currently affect 19 out of 26 river 
basins (9 unknown) where arroyo toads are known to occur and have a 
serious effect on arroyo toads and their habitats. While this threat 
has been reduced at four occurrences, we categorize the threat of the 
operation of dams and water diversions as having a high level of impact 
to the species throughout its range. Dam construction results in the 
immediate destruction of habitat above the dam through inundation, 
destroying both arroyo toad breeding and upland habitats. Downstream 
habitat is eliminated by regulated stream flows that: Destroy sand bars 
used during the breeding season; reconfigure, and in some cases 
eliminate, suitable breeding pools; and disrupt clutch and larval 
development (Ramirez 2005, p. 2). The initial downstream effects of a 
dam will modify and degrade breeding habitat for arroyo toads, but in 
the long term will eventually eliminate it (Madden-Smith et al. 2005, 
p. 23). Impacts from unseasonal water releases have been minimized at 
three occurrences at the Santa Clara River Basin, Lower Sweetwater 
River Basin, and Lower Cottonwood Creek Basin, and have been partially 
minimized at the Upper San Diego River Basin occurrence. Although the 
threat is reduced in these areas, other impacts from dams and water 
diversions, such as reduction of sediments and nutrients, and increased 
desiccation, vegetation density, and presence of aquatic predators, 
still exist. Overall, over the next 20 years, operation of dams and 
water diversions are expected to continue to have a high level of 
impact to arroyo toads.

Mining and Prospecting

    At the time of listing, habitat loss through recreational suction 
dredge mining for gold was considered an additional threat to the 
species. For example, in 1991, during the Memorial Day weekend, four 
small dredges operating on Piru Creek in the Los Padres National Forest 
produced sedimentation visible more than 0.8 miles (mi) (1 kilometer 
(km)) downstream and adversely affected 40,000 to 60,000 arroyo toad 
larvae. Subsequent surveys revealed an almost total loss of the species 
in this stream section; fewer than 100 larvae survived, and only four 
juvenile toads were located (Sweet 1992, pp. 180-187). Currently, the 
California Department of Fish and Wildlife has prohibited suction 
dredge mining in Class A streams; only one occurrence is located 
outside Class A streams in the United States (24 total occurrences).
    Mining and prospecting currently affect 8 out of 27 river basins (8 
unknown) where arroyo toads are known to occur and have minimal impacts 
on local population numbers or habitat and their habitats. Therefore, 
we categorize this threat as having a low level of impact to the 
species throughout its range. Sand and gravel mining remain a threat at 
five occurrences in the United States and two occurrences in Baja 
California, Mexico, and gold prospecting is a threat at one occurrence 
in the United States. Overall, over the next 20 years, mining and 
prospecting are expected to continue to have a low level of impact to 
arroyo toads.

Livestock Grazing

    At the time of listing, overgrazing caused mortality to arroyo 
toads if horses or cattle were allowed to graze in riparian areas. The 
effects of livestock grazing on arroyo toads included directly crushing 
individuals and burrows; trampling stream banks, resulting in soil 
compaction, loss or reduction in vegetative bank cover, stream bank 
collapse, and increased in-stream water temperatures from loss of 
shade; and excess sedimentation entering stream segments at crossings 
or other stream areas used by livestock for watering or grazing on 
riparian vegetation.
    Livestock grazing currently affects 20 out of 35 river basins where 
arroyo toads are known to occur and has a moderate effect on arroyo 
toads and their habitats. While this threat has been reduced at four 
occurrences, we categorize the threat of livestock grazing as having a 
medium level of impact to the species throughout its range. Due to 
their fragile nature, even occasional use of riparian corridors by 
cattle can cause harm to the riparian and aquatic habitats. 
Concentrated grazing by cattle will, over time, reduce or eliminate the 
under- and mid-story components of vegetation. Evidence of livestock 
overgrazing is seen in the lack of breeding pool habitat, sloughed and 
trampled stream-banks, and a stressed riparian plant community where 
desirable species such as sedges (Carex spp.) and young willows (Salix 
spp.) are becoming scarce and undesirable species such as tamarisk 
(Tamarix spp.) are increasing. Livestock grazing on Federal lands has 
been reduced to some extent through section 7 consultation and the 
addition of minimization measures to grazing allotment permits issued 
by Los Padres and Cleveland National Forests. Overall, over the next 20 
years, livestock grazing is expected to

[[Page 79809]]

continue to have a medium level of impact to arroyo toads.

Roads and Road Maintenance

    At the time of listing, the use of heavy equipment in yearly 
reconstruction of roads and stream crossings in the National Forests 
had a significant and repeated impact to arroyo toads and their 
habitat. Conversion of streams and stream terraces to roads eliminates 
foraging and burrowing habitat for arroyo toads. Toads are crushed by 
equipment on the roads or when vehicles use the low water crossings 
during normal daytime project activities. For example, as described in 
the listing rule (59 FR 64859; December 16, 1994), grading in Mono 
Creek for Ogilvy Ranch Road destroyed habitat and likely killed 
individual toads; maintenance of the road continues to depress 
populations of toads in Mono Creek.
    Roads and road maintenance currently affect 30 out of 35 river 
basins where arroyo toads are known to occur and have a moderate effect 
on arroyo toads and their habitats. While this threat has been reduced 
at three occurrences, we categorize the threat of roads and road 
maintenance as having a medium level of impact to the species 
throughout its range. Overall, over the next 20 years, roads and road 
maintenance are expected to continue to have a medium level of impact 
to arroyo toads.

Recreation

    At the time of listing, recreational activities in riparian 
wetlands had substantial negative effects on arroyo toad habitat and 
individuals. Streamside campgrounds in southern California National 
Forests were frequently located adjacent to arroyo toad habitat (Sweet 
1992). With nearly 20 million people living within driving distance of 
the National Forests and other public lands in southern California, 
recreational access and its subsequent effects are an ongoing concern 
(CDFG 2005). Numerous studies have documented the effects of recreation 
on vegetation and soils, and document results of human trampling caused 
by hiking, camping, fishing, and nature study. Significantly fewer 
studies report the consequences of horse and bicycle riding or that of 
off-road vehicles (OHV) and snowmobiles (Cole and Landres 1995).
    Recreational activities are currently known to affect 22 out of 25 
river basins (10 unknown) where arroyo toad are known to occur and have 
a moderate effect on arroyo toads and their habitats. While this threat 
has been reduced at six occurrences, we categorize this threat as 
having a medium level of impact to the species throughout its range. 
Many of the recreational activities described above may result in the 
loss and fragmentation of arroyo toad habitat. Roads, trails, OHV use, 
recreational facilities, and water impoundments can replace natural 
habitat, and this destruction can displace arroyo toad populations 
(Maxell and Hokit 1999, p. 2.15). The U.S. Forest Service (Forest 
Service) has been proactive in reducing or eliminating some of these 
threats on their lands. To help control recreational activities, the 
Forest Service has closed campgrounds seasonally or permanently, 
installed road and interpretive signs, erected barriers, re-routed 
trails and trailheads, and implemented seasonal road closures in six 
occurrences on Federal lands. However, impacts have not been reduced at 
the remaining recreational sites on National Forests. Overall, over the 
next 20 years, recreational activities are expected to continue to have 
a medium level of impact to arroyo toads.

Invasive, Nonnative Plants

    At the time of listing, invasive, nonnative plants were not 
identified as a threat to arroyo toads. Since then, invasive, nonnative 
plants have had a negative effect on arroyo toads and their habitat. 
Nonnative plant species, particularly tamarisk and giant reed (Arundo 
donax), alter the natural hydrology of stream drainages by eliminating 
sandbars, breeding pools, and upland habitats.
    Invasive, nonnative plants are known to currently affect 16 out of 
25 river basins (10 unknown) where arroyo toads are known to occur and 
have a moderate effect on arroyo toad habitats. While this threat has 
been reduced at six occurrences, we categorize the threat of invasive, 
nonnative plants as having a medium level of impact to the species 
throughout its range. Invasive, nonnative plants such as tamarisk and 
giant reed alter the natural hydrology and habitat features of 
watersheds occupied by arroyo toad. Large riparian corridors have 
historically acted as natural firebreaks in southern California because 
of their low-lying topography and relative absence of flammable fuels. 
However, the highly flammable tamarisk and giant reed have altered this 
situation and pose a serious problem for management because they 
vigorously resprout after burning. Management of invasive plants and 
weeds with chemical herbicides and pesticides can also have impacts to 
arroyo toads. Management of invasive plants that minimizes impacts to 
arroyo toads is currently limited to proactive control and minimizing 
habitat disturbances that permit some invasive species to become 
established. Overall, over the next 20 years, invasive, nonnative 
plants are expected to continue to have a medium level of impact to 
arroyo toads.

Disease

    Disease was not considered a threat to arroyo toads at the time of 
listing in 1994. However, during the last several decades, significant 
declines in populations of amphibians have been observed worldwide 
(Beebee and Griffiths 2005, p. 273). Since the arroyo toad was listed, 
chytridiomycosis, an infectious amphibian disease caused by the fungus 
Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd), has been clearly linked to these 
amphibian declines and extinctions worldwide. Bullfrogs (Rana 
catesbeiana), an introduced predator, may also carry the pathogen 
without showing clinical signs of the disease (Beebee and Griffiths 
2005, p. 273). Infection caused by Bd would likely have a major effect 
to arroyo toads because the available information indicates that arroyo 
toads are susceptible to the disease. However, it is not currently 
known to occur in any populations. We therefore do not consider disease 
to be a threat currently affecting the species, although it could be a 
potential future threat that should be monitored.

Introduced Predator Species

    At the time of listing, nonnative predators had caused substantial 
reductions in the sizes of extant populations of arroyo toads, and 
nonnative predators have caused arroyo toads to disappear from large 
portions of historically occupied habitat (Jennings and Hayes 1994, p. 
57).
    Introduced predators currently affect 26 out of 35 river basins 
where arroyo toads are known to occur and have a serious effect on 
arroyo toads and their habitats. While this threat has been somewhat 
reduced at five occurrences, we categorize the threat of introduced 
predators as having a high level of impact to the species throughout 
its range. Introduced fishes and bullfrogs prey on arroyo toad larvae, 
juveniles, and adults. These predator species pose a continuing threat 
to almost all arroyo toad populations and have essentially become 
residents of the ecosystem. In reality, bullfrogs, green sunfish 
(Lepomis cyanellus), and other exotic predatory fishes are not well-
adapted to be permanent residents of the portions of streams occupied 
by arroyo toads; they die off during droughts, or are

[[Page 79810]]

washed out by moderate flooding (Sweet 1992, p. 156). However, they 
thrive in reservoirs and need only part of one season to reinvade 
upstream. Additionally, the deep pools formed below dams provide refuge 
for these introduced predators and allow them to rapidly recolonize 
downstream areas (Sweet 1992, p. 156). Modeling has indicated that 
arroyo toad populations are not self-sustaining in the presence of 
nonnative predators, but rather are dependent upon continued aquatic 
invasive species management (USGS in litt. 2014). Overall, over the 
next 20 years, introduced predators are expected to continue to have a 
high level of impact to arroyo toads.

Drought

    At the time of listing, drought and the resultant deterioration of 
riparian habitats was considered to be the most significant natural 
factor adversely affecting arroyo toads. Although drought is a 
recurring phenomenon in southern California, there is no doubt that 
this natural event combined with the many manmade factors negatively 
affects arroyo toad survival.
    Drought continues to have negative effects on arroyo toads. Drought 
tends to be regional in scale, and thus we expect Baja California, 
Mexico, to experience similar effects to southern California. 
Therefore, drought currently affects 35 out of 35 river basins where 
arroyo toads are known to occur and has a serious effect on arroyo 
toads and their habitats. Most arroyo toad occurrences are small and 
occur in ephemeral streams at high elevations. At lower elevations, 
impacts from drought on arroyo toad occurrences are exacerbated by 
alteration of hydrology from dams, water diversions, and groundwater 
extraction due to urbanization and agriculture. Arroyo toads' lifespan 
averages approximately 5 years; if drought persists longer than 6 
years, entire populations could be extirpated for lack of water 
necessary to reproduce and complete their life cycle (Sweet 1992, p. 
147; USGS in litt. 2014). Drought is certainly not unusual in southern 
California and arroyo toad populations have withstood such episodes in 
the past, such that no occurrences have become extirpated since 
listing; however, the 2014-2015 rainy season was part of the driest 4-
year stretch ever recorded in California history. Overall, over the 
next 20 years, episodes of drought are expected to have a high level of 
impact to arroyo toads.

Periodic Fire and Fire Suppression

    At the time of listing and at present, periodic fires are 
considered a threat to arroyo toads because fires can cause direct 
mortality of arroyo toads, destroy streamside vegetation, or eliminate 
vegetation that sustains the watershed. Direct mortality to arroyo 
toads can also result from construction of fuel breaks and safety zones 
in stream terraces where arroyo toads are burrowed. Bulldozing 
operations for construction of fuel breaks can severely degrade other 
essential upland habitats. In recent decades, large fires in the West 
have become more frequent, more widespread, and potentially more deadly 
to wildlife (Joint Fire Science Program 2007, entire). There has been a 
shift to more severe fires on the Los Padres National Forest, including 
the Day and Zaca Fires.
    Periodic fire and fire suppression activities could potentially 
affect 22 out of 25 river basins (10 unknown) where arroyo toads are 
known to occur and have a moderate effect on arroyo toads and their 
habitats. This threat has been reduced at none of the occurrences, and 
we categorize this threat as having a medium level of impact to the 
species throughout its range. Overall, over the next 20 years, periodic 
fire and fire suppression activities are expected to continue to have a 
medium level of impact to arroyo toads.

Climate Change

    Climate change is a new threat identified since listing. Climate 
change currently affects 35 out of 35 river basins where arroyo toads 
are known to occur; however, the impact of climate change on arroyo 
toad populations or habitat throughout the species' range remains 
unknown. Over the next 35 to 55 years, the key risk factor for climate 
change impacts to arroyo toads is likely the interaction between: (1) 
Reduced water levels limiting breeding and larval development or 
causing direct mortality; (2) reduction or loss of breeding and upland 
habitat; and (3) the relative inability of individuals to disperse 
longer distances in order to occupy more favorable habitat conditions 
(i.e., move up and down stream corridors, or across river basins). This 
reduced adaptive capacity for arroyo toad is a function of its highly 
specialized habitat requirements, the dynamic nature of its habitat, 
natural barriers such as steep topography at higher elevations, and 
extensive fragmentation (unnatural barriers) within and between river 
basins from reservoirs, urbanization, agriculture, roads, and the 
introduction of nonnative plants and predators. The potential loss of 
breeding and foraging habitats due to climate change can work in 
combination with and exacerbate the effects of the other threats. 
Overall, climate change is a current and future threat with an unknown 
impact to arroyo toads.

Cumulative and Synergistic Effects of Threats

    Threats working in combination with one another have the ability to 
negatively impact species to a greater degree than individual threats 
operating alone (IPCC 2002, p. 22; IPCC 2014, pp. 4-15; Boone et al. 
2003, pp. 138-143; Westerman et al. 2003, pp. 90-91; Opdam and Wascher 
2004, pp. 285-297; Boone et al. 2007, pp. 293-297; Vredenburg and Wake 
2007, p. 7; Lawler et al. 2010, p. 47; Miller et al. 2011, pp. 2360-
2361). Combinations of threats impede dispersal of arroyo toads, which 
could affect the long-term viability of individual occurrences. Should 
arroyo toad occurrences become extirpated, recolonization of these 
localities may not be possible when occurrences are isolated by 
physical barriers that may be too large or difficult to cross. Threats 
such as urbanization, agriculture (including road infrastructure), and 
dams and reservoirs create unnatural barriers that have already 
eliminated habitat that arroyo toads used for dispersal within and 
between river basins. In addition, drought-caused population 
bottlenecks may be more severe when coupled with habitat loss and 
degradation in the range of the arroyo toad, and while being impacted 
by introduced predators, water releases, and other anthropogenic 
activities. If the effects of climate change become more severe as 
predicted, these disturbances could increase, along with the potential 
spread or change in virulence of Bd, and these effects could further 
reduce dispersal habitat for arroyo toads.

Geographic Distribution of Threats

    We also examined the distribution of threats across the range of 
the species to assist in determining whether the status and the threats 
affecting the species might vary across its range.
Northern Recovery Unit
    Threats in the northern portion of the arroyo toad's range (five 
occurrences in Monterey, Santa Barbara, Ventura, and Los Angeles 
Counties) that are likely to impact some of the river basins in the 
Northern Recovery Unit are characterized as medium to high in impact; 
impacts primarily involve roads and road maintenance, recreation, 
urbanization, nonnative plants,

[[Page 79811]]

introduced predator species, and fire and fire suppression on Forest 
Service lands. All five occurrences in the Northern Recovery Unit are 
afforded some protection that contributes to the management of arroyo 
toads or their habitat through existing land management plans or an 
integrated natural resources management plan (INRMP) on Federal lands.
Southern Recovery Unit
    In the central/southern portion of the species' range (18 
occurrences in Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and San Diego 
Counties), threat impacts are medium to high, and are expected to 
continue to increase as the demand for water and suitable development 
sites continues. Threats here primarily involve urban development, 
agriculture, roads, operation of dams and water diversions, recreation, 
nonnative plants, introduced predator species, fire and fire 
suppression, and drought. As the human population grows, the negative 
effects from increased water needs and recreational activities will put 
more pressure on the remaining habitats, even those sites receiving 
some protection. Most occurrences (12 of 18) are restricted to 
ephemeral or low-order streams, and of these, most (10 of 12) are 
unnaturally restricted to these areas because habitat downstream was 
destroyed by large reservoirs, urbanization, or agriculture, thereby 
reducing the ability of arroyo toads to act in response to dynamic 
habitat conditions and increased threats, especially drought, climate 
change effects, roads, recreation, agriculture, and introduced 
predators. Five habitat conservation plans (HCPs) were developed to 
minimize impacts to arroyo toad at eight occurrences from development 
and associated infrastructure. There are also large areas of Federal 
lands, such as the Marine Corps Base Camp Pendleton, Naval Weapons 
Station Seal Beach Detachment Fallbrook, and the Remote Training Site 
Warner Springs, where arroyo toads are managed under the military's 
INRMPs, and 11 of 18 occurrences within the Southern Recovery Unit are 
on Forest Service lands or are partly on Forest Service lands and 
benefit from land management plans.
Desert Recovery Unit
    In the desert portion of the species' range (two occurrences in Los 
Angeles and San Bernardino Counties), threats are moderate in impact, 
and result primarily from recreation, urban development, agriculture, 
overgrazing, and dam operations. Portions of both occurrences are 
afforded some management through Forest Service land management plans.
Baja California, Mexico
    There are 10 occurrences in Baja California, Mexico, for which we 
have limited to no information concerning the scope or degree of impact 
from each threat. Urban development, agriculture, livestock grazing, 
roads, introduced predators, drought, and climate change are the 
threats known or suspected to impact arroyo toads within these 10 
occurrences.
Summary of Geographic Distribution of Threats
    Although the specific threats affecting the species may be 
different at individual sites or in different parts of the arroyo 
toad's range, on the whole threats are occurring throughout the 
species' range, and the severity of threats and their effects on arroyo 
toad populations are similar. We conclude that all populations 
throughout the species' range and all recovery units are experiencing 
similar levels of threats.

Recovery and Recovery Plan Implementation

    Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement 
recovery plans for the conservation and survival of endangered and 
threatened species unless we determine that such a plan will not 
promote the conservation of the species. Under section 4(f)(1)(B)(ii), 
recovery plans must, to the maximum extent practicable, include 
``objective, measurable criteria which, when met, would result in a 
determination, in accordance with the provisions of [section 4 of the 
Act], that the species be removed from the list.'' However, revisions 
to the list (adding, removing, or reclassifying a species) must reflect 
determinations made in accordance with sections 4(a)(1) and 4(b) of the 
Act. Section 4(a)(1) requires that the Secretary determine whether a 
species is endangered or threatened (or not) because of one or more of 
five threat factors. Section 4(b) of the Act requires that the 
determination be made ``solely on the basis of the best scientific and 
commercial data available.'' Therefore, recovery criteria should 
indicate when a species is no longer an endangered species or 
threatened species because of any of the five statutory factors. Thus, 
while recovery plans provide important guidance to the Service, States, 
and other partners on methods of minimizing threats to listed species 
and measurable objectives against which to measure progress towards 
recovery, they are not regulatory documents and cannot substitute for 
the determinations and promulgation of regulations required under 
section 4(a)(1) of the Act.
    The Service finalized a recovery plan for the arroyo toad in 1999 
(Service 1999, pp. 1-119). The intent of the arroyo toad recovery plan 
was to prescribe recovery criteria that would at least demonstrate 
population stability and good habitat management over a period of 
years, which would indicate a substantially improved situation for 
arroyo toads. The overall objectives of the recovery plan are to 
prevent further loss of individuals, populations, and habitat critical 
for the survival of the species; and to recover existing populations to 
normal reproductive capacity to ensure viability in the long term, 
prevent extinction, maintain genetic viability, and improve 
conservation status (Service 1999, p. 108). The general aim in species' 
recovery is to establish sufficient self-sustaining healthy populations 
for the species to be no longer considered as an endangered or 
threatened species.
    The recovery plan describes 22 river basins in the coastal and 
desert areas of nine U.S. counties along the central and southern coast 
of California, and the recovery plan divides the range of the arroyo 
toad into three large recovery units: Northern, Southern, and Desert. 
These recovery units were established to reflect the ecological and 
geographic distribution of the species and its current and historic 
range (Service 1999, p. 71-72) within the United States. The recovery 
plan did not address the species' range in Mexico. In the recovery 
plan, the downlisting recovery criteria state that for the arroyo toad 
to be reclassified to threatened, management plans must have been 
approved and implemented on federally managed lands, and at least 20 
self-sustaining metapopulations or populations at specified locations 
must be maintained (Service 1999, pp. 75-77). Self-sustaining is 
defined in the recovery plan as populations that have successful 
recruitment equal to 20 percent or more of the average number of 
breeding adults in 7 of 10 years of average to above-average rainfall 
amounts with normal rainfall patterns. Such recruitment would be 
documented by statistically valid trend data indicating stable or 
increasing populations.
    In our analysis of the status of the arroyo toad, we found that we 
lack long-term population trend data for arroyo toads demonstrating 
that populations have stabilized or are increasing anywhere within the 
species' range. Although arroyo toads are presumed to

[[Page 79812]]

be persisting on Federal lands in 18 river basin occurrences and 4 
additional occurrences on non-Federal lands, for a total of 22 extant 
or presumed extant occurrences in California, and management plans have 
been approved and are being implemented to help conserve, maintain, and 
restore habitat on Federal lands, the available data indicate that the 
species has continued to decline in numbers and in area occupied within 
its current range (Hancock 2007-2014, entire; Hollingsworth in litt. 
2014; USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.; USGS 2015, pers. 
comm.). At least three occurrences in the Northern Recovery Unit 
(Salinas River Basin, Santa Ynez River Basin, and Santa Clara River 
Basin) (Hancock 2006, 2007-2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.) and at least 
eight occurrences in the Southern Recovery Unit (Lower Santa Margarita 
River Basin, Upper San Luis Rey River Basin, Upper and Lower Santa 
Ysabel Creek Basins, Upper San Diego River Basin, Upper Sweetwater 
River Basin, and Upper and Lower Cottonwood Creek Basins) (USGS in 
litt. 2014; USGS 2015, pers. comm.) have shown recent declines.
    These and other data that we have analyzed indicate that the 
downlisting criteria have not been met for the arroyo toad. The types 
of threats to arroyo toads remain the same as at the time of listing 
and are ongoing, and new threats have been identified. Some 
conservation efforts are ongoing in most populations to help manage and 
reduce impacts to arroyo toads from many ongoing threats; however, we 
have not yet documented a response to these ongoing conservation 
actions that would indicate a change in the species' listing status is 
warranted.

Summary of Comments and Recommendations

    In the proposed rule published on March 27, 2014 (79 FR 17106), we 
requested that all interested parties submit written comments on the 
proposal by May 27, 2014. We reopened the comment period on the 
proposed rule on October 17, 2014, for an additional 30 days (79 FR 
62408). We also contacted appropriate Federal and State agencies, 
scientific experts and organizations, and other interested parties and 
invited them to comment on the proposal. We did not receive any 
comments from States or Tribes. We also did not receive any requests 
for a public hearing. All substantive information provided during the 
comment periods has been incorporated directly into this final 
determination or is addressed below.

Peer Reviewer Comments

    In accordance with our peer review policy published on July 1, 1994 
(59 FR 34270), we received expert opinion from four knowledgeable 
individuals with scientific expertise that included familiarity with 
arroyo toads and their habitat, biological needs, and threats.
    We reviewed all comments we received from the peer reviewers for 
substantive issues and new information regarding the proposed 
downlisting of the arroyo toad. The peer reviewers generally disagreed 
with our finding in the proposed rule and provided additional 
information, clarifications, and suggestions to improve the final rule. 
Peer reviewer comments are addressed in the following summary and 
incorporated into the final determination as appropriate.
    (1) Comment: Two peer reviewers and several public comments did not 
agree that we met the intent of the recovery criteria; they stated that 
arroyo toads are extant in only 17 river basins on Federal lands and 
the currently available data do not support that arroyo toad 
populations are self-sustaining.
    Our Response: We agree with the peer reviewers and commenters that 
the intent of the reclassification criteria in the recovery plan 
(Service 1999) has not been met at this time. We have revised our 
analysis accordingly (see Summary of Basis for This Withdrawal and 
Recovery and Recovery Plan Implementation). We are withdrawing the 
proposed rule to downlist the arroyo toad from an endangered to a 
threatened species under the Act.
    (2) Comment: Two peer reviewers provided new threat information. 
One peer reviewer provided new information on the threats of drought, 
introduced predator species, livestock grazing, and operation of dams 
and water diversions; another peer reviewer provided new information 
regarding threats affecting arroyo toad occurrences in Baja California, 
Mexico.
    Our Response: We incorporated this new information into the final 
species report where applicable and summarized those changes in this 
document (see Summary of Basis for This Withdrawal and Summary of 
Factors Affecting the Species).
    (3) Comment: Several peer reviewers provided new population survey 
information and information on recent years of reproductive failure and 
adult mortality.
    Our Response: We incorporated this new information into the final 
species report where applicable; see Summary of Basis for This 
Withdrawal and Recovery and Recovery Plan Implementation.
    (4) Comment: One peer reviewer suggested that we reclassify each 
threat in light of either the lack of information for the 10 Baja 
California river basins or the available information present in the 
literature or from personal communications from biologists in the 
United States and Mexico who work in the Baja California region.
    Our Response: Within our final species report, we recognize and 
account for uncertainty in the scope of each threat, defined as the 
proportion of arroyo toad occurrences that are affected by the threat, 
particularly when considering the occurrences in Baja California, 
Mexico. We now include occurrences in the scope determination only when 
we have information regarding the threat at that occurrence. For 6 of 
the 13 threats we evaluate, we do not have adequate information to 
assess whether the threat is impacting occurrences of arroyo toads in 
Baja California, Mexico; we therefore categorize these occurrences as 
``unknown'' and exclude them from our determination of scope for that 
threat.
    (5) Comment: Several peer reviewers and public comments pointed out 
that our conclusion in the proposed rule failed to account for current 
events because arroyo toads were listed at the end of a serious drought 
and we are now in the worst drought on record.
    Our Response: We incorporated this new information into the final 
species report where applicable and summarized those changes in this 
document (see the Drought section under Summary of Factors Affecting 
the Species, above).
    (6) Comment: One peer reviewer and public comment expressed concern 
that the increasing prevalence of chytrid fungus will severely impact 
the few remaining populations because arroyo toads are sensitive to 
infection and likely mortality from this pathogen.
    Our Response: Please see the Disease section under Summary of 
Factors Affecting the Species, above, for a discussion of impacts of 
chytridiomycosis on the arroyo toad.
    (7) Comment: One peer reviewer asked for information on how we have 
implemented the recovery strategy and objectives, specifically:
     Identify and secure additional suitable arroyo toad 
habitat and populations;
     Conduct research to obtain data to guide management 
efforts and determine the best methods for reducing threats; and
     Develop and implement an outreach program.
    Our Response: We have continued to work with our partners to 
protect arroyo

[[Page 79813]]

toads, and some arroyo toad habitat has been acquired since the time of 
listing at three occurrences on non-Federal land (Lower and Middle San 
Luis Rey River, Upper Santa Ysabel Creek, and Lower Cottonwood Creek 
basins) through HCPs or other mechanisms such as grants and section 7 
consultations. Additionally, the Lower Sweetwater River Basin 
occurrence (non-Federal land) is partially within the County Subarea 
Plan under the San Diego Multiple Species Conservation Plan, and some 
areas could be placed in reserves in the future. Some research is being 
conducted to guide management efforts, particularly research by the 
U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), much of which is described in their peer 
review. We have not developed or implemented an outreach program.
    (8) Comment: A peer reviewer recommended that climate change 
predictions and changes from historical patterns be considered or 
incorporated into the downlisting criteria. Because self-sustaining 
populations are currently defined by positive recruitment of arroyo 
toad individuals during average or above-average rainfall years, we are 
assuming that the frequency of average or above-average rainfall years 
would be consistent with historical patterns.
    Our Response: When we drafted the recovery plan for the arroyo toad 
in 1999, we did not consider climate change and its potential influence 
on recovery or the formation of the recovery criteria. Though we are 
not currently revising the recovery plan for the arroyo toad, we did 
take future climate change projections into account when evaluating 
potential threats in the final species report. Any future revisions of 
the recovery plan would consider new information, including effects of 
climate change.
    (9) Comment: One peer reviewer commented that recovery units should 
be reassessed to only include Northern and Southern Recovery Units and 
not include the Desert Recovery Unit, given that research shows desert 
unit haplotypes are virtually identical to those in the Northern 
Recovery Unit.
    Our Response: Arroyo toads survive in areas that are ecologically 
and geographically distinct from one another, and the threats in those 
areas differ to some degree (Service 1999, p. 70). To address the 
recovery needs of arroyo toads in each of these areas, we established 
the three recovery units, identified as Northern, Southern, and Desert, 
that reflect the ecological and geographic separations and cover the 
known and historical range of the species within the United States 
(Service 1999, p. 70). We did not identify the three recovery units 
(Northern, Southern, and Desert) based solely on genetics. Thus, 
stabilizing and expanding the populations in these units will preserve 
the species' genetic diversity as well as the distinct ecological 
environments in which the species is found (Service 1999, p. 70).
    (10) Comment: One peer reviewer commented that we discuss Camp 
Pendleton and Fort Hunter Liggett as military lands with INRMPs, but do 
not mention Naval Weapons Station Seal Beach, Detachment Fallbrook, and 
the Navy installation at Remote Training Site Warner Springs. These 
installations also have INRMPs that include arroyo toads, and they 
spend a lot of money on arroyo toads at these installations.
    Our Response: We incorporated this new information into the final 
species report where applicable (see Geographic Breakdown of Threats: 
Southern Recovery Unit (Service 2015, pp. 93-94) and Achievement of 
Downlisting Criteria: Criterion 1--Approved and Implemented Management 
Plans on Federal Lands (Service 2015, p. 98)).
    (11) Comment: One peer reviewer pointed out that the Conjunctive 
Use Project for the Santa Margarita River is currently being planned 
and will involve increased water diversions and groundwater pumping 
from the lower Santa Margarita River Basin (MCB Camp Pendleton 2012, 
2013). The portion of the River downstream from the water diversion 
represents the most stable area of arroyo toad breeding and recruitment 
on Camp Pendleton. Although the direct and indirect impacts are still 
being reviewed, this project has the potential to result in extremely 
severe impacts to the arroyo toad population along the lower Santa 
Margarita River.
    Our Response: The Service is currently in formal consultation with 
Camp Pendleton on the Conjunctive Use Project, and we are working with 
the U.S. Marine Corps to review and address those impacts.

Federal Agency Comments

    (12) Comment: One comment from Camp Pendleton expressed 
gratification that their INRMP has contributed to the recovery and 
conservation goals for arroyo toad. The base will continue to implement 
management conservation programs and projects through their INRMP.
    Our Response: We appreciate Camp Pendleton's willingness to work 
with the Service to help conserve arroyo toads. The Sikes Act (16 
U.S.C. 670a et seq.) requires the Department of Defense to develop and 
implement INRMPs for military installations across the United States. 
INRMPs are prepared in cooperation with the Service and State fish and 
wildlife agencies to ensure proper consideration of fish, wildlife, and 
habitat needs. We look forward to continued collaboration with Camp 
Pendleton in implementing conservation measures that contribute to the 
recovery of the arroyo toad.
    (13) Comment: The Angeles, Cleveland, Los Padres, and San 
Bernardino National Forests expressed concern that human-caused threats 
could be increasing as the presence of Forest Service recreation staff 
and fire prevention officers has been decreasing.
    Our Response: We recognize that lack of resources can affect the 
ability to implement conservation actions. We will work with the Forest 
Service through our consultations to determine whether changes in 
resources may impact arroyo toads.
    (14) Comment: One comment pointed out that attempts to remove 
introduced predators on Los Padres National Forest in the past have 
proved to be inadequate in scope and duration despite a focused effort 
because of the extensive distribution of these predators across 
jurisdictional boundaries and their ability to reproduce rapidly.
    Our Response: We commend the Forest Service for their efforts to 
remove introduced predators to improve arroyo toad habitat. The Forest 
Service, on the four National Forests that contain arroyo toads, 
implements conservation measures for sensitive species under their land 
and resource management plans, which outline management direction, 
including desired future conditions, suitable uses, monitoring 
requirements, goals and objectives, and standards and guidelines. 
Additionally, through section 7 of the Act, Federal agencies such as 
the Forest Service are required to use their authorities to carry out 
programs for the conservation of listed species and to consult with the 
Service when a Federal action may have an effect on listed species. We 
acknowledge the difficulty of removing introduced predators from arroyo 
toad habitat, which we recognize is one of the most serious threats to 
the survival of arroyo toads. This conservation measure to improve the 
status of arroyo toads is a long-term management action and will 
require ongoing efforts to remove or reduce the level of predation from 
introduced predators in order to recover arroyo toads.

Public Comments

    (15) Comment: Several commenters pointed out that while there have 
been some successes in mitigating the negative impacts of some threats 
to arroyo toads, others will grow in

[[Page 79814]]

severity in the future due to growing populations and greater water 
needs, leading to additional stresses on the populations of the arroyo 
toad.
    Our Response: We state in the final species report that as the 
human population grows, the negative effects from increased water needs 
and recreational activities, in the Southern Recovery Unit in 
particular, will put more pressure on the remaining arroyo toad 
habitat, even those sites receiving some protection (Service 2015, p. 
93). Additionally, we acknowledge that threats such as drought and 
climate change will place added stress on available water supplies 
throughout the species' range and may work in combination with other 
threats to impact arroyo toad populations. As noted in the final 
species report and earlier in the Geographic Distribution of Threats 
section under the Summary of Factors Affecting the Species, large-scale 
conservation planning efforts and land management plans for Federal 
lands include measures to benefit arroyo toad. Therefore, while we 
recognize the impact that a growing human population and increased 
water needs in California and Baja California, Mexico, would have on 
arroyo toads, we anticipate that these large-scale management plans 
will help buffer arroyo toads from the impact of these threats to some 
degree.
    (16) Comment: Several public commenters stated that there is little 
to no diminishment in many of the threats that caused the arroyo toad's 
widespread population decline. In particular, comments point to 
development of low-gradient river margins, OHVs, disruption of natural 
flow regimes, incompatible land uses, inappropriate vegetation 
treatments intended to reduce fires, drought, and no serious effort to 
reduce threats posed by nonnative, invasive species and invasive 
riparian plants.
    Our Response: As noted above, we conclude that the types of threats 
to arroyo toads remain the same as at the time of listing and are 
ongoing; in addition, new threats have been identified. However, while 
we conclude that threats have not been ameliorated sufficiently such 
that the species can be reclassified, conservation efforts, including 
HCPs, land and resource management plans, and INRMPs, are ongoing in 
most populations to reduce impacts from 9 of the 13 currently 
identified threats that affect arroyo toads. These plans have helped to 
manage and reduce impacts to arroyo toads from many ongoing threats. 
While we conclude that we have not yet achieved downlisting criteria 
for the species and that reclassifying arroyo toad is not warranted at 
this time, such conservation actions have prevented the extirpation of 
populations, and arroyo toads continue to persist and occupy the same 
range as they did at the time of listing.
    (17) Comment: One commenter stated that the original listing of the 
arroyo toad as endangered was intended to restrict public access to 
National Forests. Campgrounds and OHV riding areas at Littlerock Dam 
were closed; Hardluck Campground was closed; and all campgrounds were 
closed and trout stocking stopped in Big Tujunga Canyon. Even though 
heavy use occurred and lots of taxpayer dollars have been spent on 
facilities in these areas, arroyo toads were still found, and these 
areas will never be reopened.
    Our Response: Areas within Forest Service lands were closed to 
public access for recreational purposes to facilitate recovery of the 
arroyo toad. Land and resource management plans (LRMPs) provide 
guidance for activities carried out on National Forest lands. Each 
National Forest is governed by a LRMP in accordance with the National 
Forest Management Act (16 U.S.C. 1600 et seq.), which outlines 
management direction, including desired future conditions, suitable 
uses, monitoring requirements, goals and objectives, and standards and 
guidelines. Additionally, through section 7 of the Act, Federal 
agencies, such as the Forest Service, are required to use their 
authorities to carry out programs for the conservation of listed 
species and to consult with us (Service) when a Federal action may have 
an effect on listed species. Therefore, the Forest Service, in 
consultation with the Service under section 7 of the Act, proposed 
LRMPs for the four National Forests in which arroyo toad occurs that 
include land use priorities and fish and wildlife standards. For 
example, biological zones or wilderness areas such as Upper Big Tujunga 
and Little Rock Creeks are subject to fish and wildlife standards that 
direct activities in these areas to be neutral or beneficial to arroyo 
toads. Therefore, because recreational activities are known to 
negatively affect the arroyo toad and its habitat, certain recreational 
activities at identified locations are prohibited to avoid and minimize 
impacts to arroyo toad and its habitat.
    (18) Comment: One commenter noted that public access and recreation 
has been restricted at Hardluck Campground but it has been opened to 
environmental groups (i.e., Habitat Works) that are eradicating 
tamarisk. The public pays, but Habitat Works with the support of the 
Forest Service get to recreate where the public is not allowed.
    Our Response: The Forest Service has taken a number of steps to 
improve the status of arroyo toads. They initiated several nonnative 
and pest eradication programs, including efforts to eradicate yellow-
star thistle (Centaurea solstitialis), giant reed, and tamarisk, and 
have proposed the National Forests of Southern California Weed 
Management Strategy under Appendix M of the LRMP. According to 
Standards 12, 13, and 47 of that LRMP, future pest and nonnative 
species control projects will be beneficial for the recovery of listed 
and candidate species and their critical habitats. Moreover, Forest 
Service staff and volunteers conduct annual tamarisk removal in Los 
Padres National Forest along portions of Piru Creek, Sisquoc River, 
Santa Ynez River, and Sespe Creek to protect and restore arroyo toad 
habitat. Habitat Works is an environmental stewardship action group 
performing volunteer projects to improve wildlife habitat in southern 
California (Habitat Works 2015). Therefore, while Habitat Works is able 
to access locations that the public is not, the goal of volunteer 
restoration groups is to implement projects that improve wildlife 
habitat for the benefit of species such as the arroyo toad and not to 
access a site for recreational purposes.
    (19) Comment: One commenter acknowledged the Service, Forest 
Service, California Department of Fish and Wildlife, and other agencies 
involved with the species recovery program for their efforts in 
implementing various measures to help protect the species. As an 
example, suction dredging is now prohibited in Class A streams.
    Our Response: We appreciate the comment recognizing the hard work 
of the Service and our partners who are working to help recover the 
arroyo toad.
    (20) Comment: One commenter pointed out that since listing, new 
populations have been found, but none of these appears to be thriving, 
and in some populations there is evidence to suggest recruitment has 
plummeted.
    Our Response: Since the arroyo toad was listed as an endangered 
species, several new populations have been found within the extant 
range due to increased survey efforts. As summarized in the final 
species report (Service 2015, pp. 13-15), at the time of listing in 
1994, arroyo toads were believed to be extant in 22 populations within 
8 drainages in the United States; specific populations in Mexico were 
not discussed (59 FR 64859; December 16, 1994). Subsequent to listing, 
arroyo toads were discovered in Monterey County on the San Antonio

[[Page 79815]]

River at Fort Hunter Liggett Military Reservation in 1996 (Hancock 
2009a, p. 9). In Riverside County, a small population was detected 
within Murrieta Creek basin in 2001 (WRCRCA 2006, p. 5). In Baja 
California, Mexico, surveys have identified several newly recognized 
populations and the first records of the species in the Rio Las Palmas, 
Rio El Zorillo, and Rio Santo Tomas (Lovich 2009, pp. 74-97).
    Regarding evidence of plummeting recruitment, for most populations 
of arroyo toads, we do not have long-term trend data. However, we 
received information from peer reviewers that indicates that at least 
three occurrences in the Northern Recovery Unit (Salinas River Basin, 
Santa Ynez River Basin, and Santa Clara River Basin) (Hancock 2006, 
2007-2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.) and at least eight occurrences in 
the Southern Recovery Unit (Lower Santa Margarita River Basin, Upper 
San Luis Rey River Basin, Upper and Lower Santa Ysabel Creek Basins, 
Upper San Diego River Basin, Upper Sweetwater River Basin, and Upper 
and Lower Cottonwood Creek Basins) (USGS in litt. 2014; USGS 2015, 
pers. comm.) have shown recent declines. This new information has been 
added to our final species report.
    (21) Comment: One commenter implements the Western Riverside County 
Multiple Species Habitat Conservation Plan (MSHCP), and the arroyo toad 
is one of the covered species. They appreciate that the ongoing efforts 
to conserve arroyo toads and their habitat, including their own 
efforts, are contributing to the species' recovery.
    Our Response: We appreciate the efforts by the Western Riverside 
County MSHCP to help conserve arroyo toads and their habitat by 
addressing impacts to arroyo toads from new development and associated 
infrastructure.

Determination

    As required by the Act, we considered the five factors listed in 
section 4(a)(1) of the Act in assessing whether the arroyo toad 
warrants downlisting at this time. We examined the best scientific and 
commercial information available regarding the past, present, and 
foreseeable future threats faced by the species. For the purposes of 
this determination, we consider the foreseeable future to be 20 years. 
In general, we have information about effects of threats on arroyo 
toads since time of listing, approximately 20 years ago. Therefore, the 
timeframe we are comfortable predicting into the future for most 
threats is also 20 years (as described under the various threats 
analysis discussions in the final species report (Service 2015, pp. 29-
91)).
    Current and potential future threats to arroyo toads include urban 
development (Factors A and E), agriculture (Factors A and E), operation 
of dams and water diversions (Factor A), mining and prospecting 
(Factors A and E), livestock grazing (Factor A), roads and road 
maintenance (Factors A and E), recreation (Factors A and E), invasive, 
nonnative plants (Factor A), disease (Factor C), introduced predator 
species (Factor C), drought (Factor E), fire and fire suppression 
(Factors A and E), and climate change (Factor E). Some factors known to 
pose a threat to arroyo toads and their habitat at the time of listing 
are no longer of concern (for example, new dam construction or 
collection for scientific or commercial purposes). Conservation 
activities and preservation of habitat have further reduced threats 
from mining and prospecting, livestock overgrazing, roads and road 
maintenance, and recreation.
    Overall, we find that four threats (introduced predator species, 
drought, urban development, and operation of dams and water diversions) 
continue to pose a significant threat to the continued existence of the 
arroyo toad, such that these threats are likely to have a major impact 
on local populations or habitat that rises to a species-level effect. 
In particular, introduced predators pose a threat to the continued 
survival of arroyo toads. Other factors, such as operation of dams and 
increased drought, can increase the ability of introduced predators to 
invade and persist in habitats where arroyo toads are found. These 
predators can have a significant impact on the breeding success and 
survival of arroyo toad populations, and if not controlled, could 
result in the extirpation of entire populations of the species. Urban 
development, drought, and operation of dams and water diversions, and 
potentially climate change, also pose a threat to the continued 
existence of arroyo toads; all of these factors have the potential to 
alter the natural flow regime in creeks and streams that support arroyo 
toads. Because arroyo toads have specialized life-history needs and 
habitat requirements, they are especially sensitive to such changes in 
habitat. Furthermore, conservation actions that would be sufficient to 
ameliorate the effects of factors such as climate change and drought 
have not been implemented.
    Arroyo toads also continue to be impacted by threats from 
agriculture; livestock grazing; roads and road maintenance; recreation; 
invasive, nonnative plants; and fire and fire suppression. These 
threats are likely to have a moderate impact on local population 
numbers or habitat. However, populations in other locations may not be 
impacted. Therefore, the effects of these threats do not rise to the 
species level.
    Management efforts are being implemented in approximately 18 arroyo 
toad occurrences on Federal lands through the LRMPs for each of the 
four southern California National Forests (Los Padres, Angeles, San 
Bernardino, and Cleveland), and through the INRMPs on Fort Hunter 
Liggett, Naval Weapons Station Seal Beach, Camp Pendleton, and Naval 
Base Coronado. As a result, very few populations of arroyo toads have 
been extirpated since the time of listing, and the species continues to 
persist throughout the range known at the time of listing. However, 
data indicate that the species has continued to decline in numbers and 
in area occupied within its current range (Hancock 2007-2014, entire; 
Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 2015, pers. 
comm.). Therefore, although some conservation efforts are ongoing in 
most populations to help manage and reduce impacts to arroyo toads from 
many ongoing threats, we have not yet documented a species response to 
conservation actions that would indicate a change in listing status is 
warranted at this time.
    We examined the downlisting criteria provided in the recovery plan 
for the arroyo toad (Service 1999). Self-sustaining is defined in the 
recovery plan as populations which have stabilized or are increasing. 
We lack long-term population trend data for arroyo toads that 
demonstrate that populations have stabilized or are increasing anywhere 
within the species' range. Although arroyo toads are still extant 
within the range they occupied historically and at the time of listing, 
data indicate that the species has continued to decline (Hancock 2007-
2014, entire; Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 
2015, pers. comm.). At least three occurrences in the Northern Recovery 
Unit (Salinas River Basin, Santa Ynez River Basin, and Santa Clara 
River Basin) (Hancock 2006, 2007-2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.) and at 
least eight occurrences in the Southern Recovery Unit (Lower Santa 
Margarita River Basin, Upper San Luis Rey River Basin, Upper and Lower 
Santa Ysabel Creek Basins, Upper San Diego River Basin, Upper 
Sweetwater River Basin, and Upper and Lower Cottonwood Creek Basins) 
(USGS in litt. 2014; USGS 2015, pers. comm.) have shown recent 
declines. Because no information indicates that populations

[[Page 79816]]

have stabilized or are increasing, and new information suggests several 
occurrences are declining, we have determined that the intent of the 
downlisting criteria has not been met.
    In conclusion, we have carefully assessed the best scientific and 
commercial information available regarding the past, present, and 
future threats faced by this species. After review of the information 
pertaining to the five statutory factors, we determined that the types 
of threats to arroyo toads remain the same as at the time of listing 
and are ongoing, and new threats have been identified. Some 
conservation efforts are ongoing in most populations to help manage and 
reduce impacts to arroyo toads from many ongoing threats; however, we 
have not yet documented a species response to conservation actions that 
would indicate a change in status is warranted. We conclude that the 
intent of the reclassification criteria in the recovery plan (Service 
1999, pp. 75-77) has not been met and that ongoing threats continue to 
put all populations of arroyo at risk of extinction such that the 
species is in danger of extinction throughout all its range.
    Because we have determined that the arroyo toad is in danger of 
extinction throughout all its range, no portion of its range can be 
``significant'' for purposes of the Act's definitions of ``endangered 
species'' and ``threatened species.'' See the Service's final policy 
interpreting the phrase ``significant portion of its range'' (SPR) (79 
FR 37578; July 1, 2014).
    Based on the analysis above, we conclude the arroyo toad meets the 
Act's definition of an endangered species in that it is in danger of 
extinction throughout all of its range. We therefore conclude that 
reclassification of this species is not warranted at this time. As a 
result, this document withdraws the proposed rule published on March 
27, 2014, at 79 FR 17106.

References Cited

    A complete list of all references cited in this document is 
available on the Internet at http://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. 
FWS-R8-ES-2014-0007 or upon request from the Field Supervisor, Ventura 
Fish and Wildlife Office (see ADDRESSES).

Authors

    The primary authors of this document are the staff members of the 
Pacific Southwest Regional Office and Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office 
(see ADDRESSES).

Authority

    The authority for this action is the Endangered Species Act of 
1973, as amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).

    Dated: December 10, 2015
Stephen Guertin,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2015-32075 Filed 12-22-15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P



                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                            79805

                                                      proposals listed in Appendix F at this                  DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR                            Previous Federal Actions
                                                      time. Rather, this document seeks                                                                               Please refer to the proposed
                                                      additional recommendations regarding                    Fish and Wildlife Service
                                                                                                                                                                    reclassification rule for the arroyo toad
                                                      the development of new or modified                                                                            (79 FR 17106; March 27, 2014) for a
                                                      safe harbor regulations and new Special                 50 CFR Part 17
                                                                                                                                                                    detailed description of the Federal
                                                      Fraud Alerts beyond those summarized                    [Docket No. FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007;                      actions concerning this species that
                                                      in Appendix F.                                          FXES11130900000–156–FF09E42000]                       occurred prior to publication of the
                                                        A detailed explanation of                             RIN 1018–AY82                                         proposed reclassification rule. We
                                                      justifications for, or empirical data                                                                         accepted submission of new information
                                                      supporting, a suggestion for a safe                     Endangered and Threatened Wildlife                    and comments on the proposed
                                                      harbor or Special Fraud Alert would be                  and Plants; Withdrawal of Proposed                    reclassification for a 60-day comment
                                                      helpful and should, if possible, be                     Rule To Reclassify the Arroyo Toad as                 period, ending May 27, 2014. In order
                                                      included in any response to this                        Threatened                                            to ensure that the public had an
                                                      solicitation.                                                                                                 adequate opportunity to review and
                                                                                                              AGENCY:   Fish and Wildlife Service,                  comment on our proposed rule, we
                                                      A. Criteria for Modifying and                           Interior.                                             reopened the comment period for an
                                                      Establishing Safe Harbor Provisions                     ACTION: Proposed rule; withdrawal.                    additional 30 days on October 17, 2014
                                                                                                              SUMMARY:   We, the U.S. Fish and                      (79 FR 62408).
                                                        In accordance with section 205 of
                                                                                                              Wildlife Service (Service), withdraw the              Background
                                                      HIPAA, we will consider a number of
                                                                                                              proposed rule to reclassify the arroyo
                                                      factors in reviewing proposals for new                                                                           A scientific analysis was completed
                                                                                                              toad (Anaxyrus californicus) as
                                                      or modified safe harbor provisions, such                                                                      and presented in detail within the
                                                                                                              threatened under the Endangered
                                                      as the extent to which the proposals                                                                          arroyo toad species report (Service 2014,
                                                                                                              Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act).
                                                      would affect an increase or decrease in:                                                                      entire), which was available on http://
                                                                                                              This withdrawal is based on our
                                                                                                                                                                    www.regulations.gov at Docket Number
                                                        • Access to health care services,                     conclusion that the types of threats to
                                                                                                                                                                    FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007 after the
                                                        • the quality of health care services,                the arroyo toad remain the same as at
                                                                                                                                                                    publication of the proposed
                                                        • patient freedom of choice among health              the time of listing and are ongoing, and
                                                                                                                                                                    reclassification. The species report was
                                                      care providers,                                         new threats have been identified. Some
                                                        • competition among health care
                                                                                                                                                                    updated to include the information we
                                                                                                              conservation efforts are ongoing in most
                                                      providers,                                                                                                    received from public and peer review
                                                                                                              populations to help manage and reduce
                                                        • the cost to Federal health care programs,                                                                 comments, and the final species report
                                                                                                              impacts to arroyo toads from many
                                                        • the potential overutilization of health                                                                   (Service 2015, entire) is available at
                                                                                                              ongoing threats; however, the species
                                                      care services, and                                                                                            http://www.regulations.gov at Docket
                                                                                                              has not yet responded to an extent that
                                                        • the ability of health care facilities to                                                                  Number FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007. The
                                                                                                              would allow a change in listing status.
                                                      provide services in medically underserved                                                                     species report was prepared by Service
                                                                                                              The intent of the reclassification criteria
                                                      areas or to medically underserved                                                                             biologists to provide thorough
                                                                                                              in the recovery plan (Service 1999) has
                                                      populations.                                                                                                  discussion of the species’ ecology,
                                                                                                              not been met. We have therefore
                                                                                                                                                                    biological needs, and an analysis of the
                                                                                                              determined that reclassification of this
                                                         In addition, we will also consider                                                                         threats that may be impacting the
                                                                                                              species is not appropriate at this time.
                                                      other factors, including, for example,                                                                        species. The species report includes
                                                                                                              DATES: The March 27, 2014 (79 FR
                                                      the existence (or nonexistence) of any                                                                        discussion of the species’ life history,
                                                                                                              17106), proposed rule to reclassify the               taxonomy, habitat requirements, range,
                                                      potential financial benefit to health care
                                                                                                              arroyo toad as threatened is withdrawn                distribution, abundance, threats, and
                                                      professionals or providers that may take
                                                                                                              as of December 23, 2015.                              progress towards recovery. This detailed
                                                      into account their decisions whether to
                                                                                                              ADDRESSES: This withdrawal, comments                  information is summarized in the
                                                      (1) order a health care item or service or
                                                                                                              on our March 27, 2014, proposed rule                  following paragraphs of this Background
                                                      (2) arrange for a referral of health care
                                                                                                              (79 FR 17106), and supplementary                      section and the Summary of Factors
                                                      items or services to a particular                       documents are available on the Internet
                                                      practitioner or provider.                                                                                     Affecting the Species section.
                                                                                                              at http://www.regulations.gov at Docket                  Arroyo toads are found in low
                                                      B. Criteria for Developing Special Fraud                No. FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007. Comments                     gradient, medium-to-large streams and
                                                      Alerts                                                  and materials received, as well as                    rivers with intermittent and perennial
                                                                                                              supporting documentation used in the                  flow in coastal and desert drainages in
                                                        In determining whether to issue                       preparation of this withdrawal, are also              central and southern California, and
                                                      additional Special Fraud Alerts, we will                available for public inspection, by                   Baja California, Mexico. Arroyo toads
                                                      consider whether, and to what extent,                   appointment, during normal business                   occupy aquatic, riparian, and upland
                                                      the practices that would be identified in               hours at: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,             habitats in the remaining suitable
                                                      a new Special Fraud Alert may result in                 Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office, 2493                drainages within its range. Arroyo toads
                                                      any of the consequences set forth above,                Portola Road, Suite B, Ventura, CA                    are breeding habitat specialists that
                                                      as well as the volume and frequency of                  93003; telephone 805–644–1766; or                     need slow-moving streams that are
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      the conduct that would be identified in                 facsimile 805–644–3958.                               composed of sandy soils with sandy
                                                      the Special Fraud Alert.                                FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                      streamside terraces (Sweet 1992, pp. 23–
                                                                                                              Stephen P. Henry, Field Supervisor,                   28). Reproduction is dependent upon
                                                        Dated: December 16, 2015.
                                                                                                              Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office (see                 the availability of very shallow, still, or
                                                      Daniel R. Levinson,                                     ADDRESSES). If you use a                              low-flow pools in which breeding, egg-
                                                      Inspector General.                                      telecommunications device for the deaf                laying, and tadpole development occur.
                                                      [FR Doc. 2015–32267 Filed 12–22–15; 8:45 am]            (TDD), call the Federal Information                   Suitable habitat for arroyo toads is
                                                      BILLING CODE 4152–01–P                                  Relay Service (FIRS) at 800–877–8339.                 created and maintained by periodic
                                                                                                              SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                            flooding and scouring that modify


                                                 VerDate Sep<11>2014   17:28 Dec 22, 2015   Jkt 238001   PO 00000   Frm 00087   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\23DEP1.SGM   23DEP1


                                                      79806             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                      stream channels, redistribute channel                   Summary of Basis for This Withdrawal                  the March 27, 2014, proposed rule, we
                                                      sediments, and alter pool location and                    Based upon our review of the public                 stated that current available information
                                                      form. These habitat requirements are                    comments, agency comments, peer                       indicates that arroyo toads are persisting
                                                      largely dependent upon natural                          review comments, and new relevant                     or are presumed to be persisting on
                                                      hydrological cycles and scouring events                 information that became available since               Federal lands in 17 river basin
                                                      (Madden-Smith et al. 2003, p. 3).                       the March 27, 2014, publication of the                occurrences and 5 additional
                                                         Arroyo toads were once relatively                    reclassification proposed rule (79 FR                 occurrences on non-Federal lands, for a
                                                      abundant in coastal central and                         17106), we reevaluated our proposed                   total of 22 extant or presumed extant
                                                      southern California. Arroyo toads                       rule. Other than minor clarifications and             occurrences in California. Because we
                                                      historically were known to occur in                     incorporation of additional information               lacked long-term population trend data,
                                                      coastal drainages in southern California                on the species’ biology and populations,              this constituted the best available
                                                      from the upper Salinas River system in                  this determination differs from the                   information on the status of arroyo toad
                                                      Monterey and San Luis Obispo                            proposal in the following ways:                       populations. As the only population
                                                                                                                (1) As in the proposed rule, we find                data available, we used this information
                                                      Counties; south through the Santa Maria
                                                                                                              that the types of threats to arroyo toads             as a proxy measure in attempting to
                                                      and Santa Ynez River basins in Santa
                                                                                                              remain the same as at the time of listing             determine whether populations were
                                                      Barbara County; the Santa Clara River
                                                                                                              and are ongoing; in addition, new                     stable or increasing. We stated that this
                                                      basin in Ventura County; the Los
                                                                                                              threats have been identified. The threats             information supported our conclusion
                                                      Angeles River basin in Los Angeles
                                                                                                              of urbanization, dams and water                       that the occurrences are self-sustaining
                                                      County; the coastal drainages of Orange,
                                                                                                              diversions, introduced predators, and                 (79 FR 17106; March 27, 2014), and,
                                                      Riverside, and San Diego Counties; and
                                                                                                              drought have current and ongoing, high                therefore, that the intent of the criteria
                                                      south to the Arroyo San Simeon system
                                                                                                              impacts to arroyo toads and their                     identified in the arroyo toad recovery
                                                      in Baja California, México (Sweet 1992,
                                                                                                              habitat. New threats include invasive,                plan for downlisting had been met.
                                                      p. 18; Service 1999, p. 12). Jennings and
                                                      Hayes (1994, p. 57) are most commonly                   nonnative plants and effects of climate                  Since we published the proposed rule
                                                      cited as documenting a decline of 76                    change. Some conservation efforts are                 to downlist the arroyo toad, however,
                                                      percent of arroyo toad populations                      ongoing in most populations to help                   we have received additional information
                                                      throughout the species’ range due to                    manage and reduce impacts to arroyo                   through the peer review and public
                                                      loss of habitat and hydrological                        toads from many ongoing threats.                      comment process that refutes our
                                                      alterations to stream systems as a result               However, we have now determined that                  finding that the intent of the recovery
                                                      of dam construction and flood control.                  the best available scientific data do not             criteria has been met. First, we
                                                      This 76 percent decline was based on                    currently support a determination that                reevaluated our use of extant or
                                                      studies done in the early 1990s by Sam                  the species has responded to                          presumed extant populations as a proxy
                                                      Sweet (Jennings and Hayes 1994, p. 57)                  conservation actions such that a change               for self-sustaining populations. While
                                                      that addressed the natural history and                  in listing status is warranted (see                   these kind of data do indicate that some
                                                      status of arroyo toad populations on a                  numbers (2) and (3), below).                          level of reproduction and recruitment is
                                                      portion of the species’ range on the Los                  (2) Based on our evaluation of peer                 occurring, we now agree with
                                                      Padres National Forest.                                 review and public comments and on                     commenters that these data cannot be
                                                                                                              additional population data received                   used to infer that arroyo toad
                                                         Currently, arroyo toads are limited to               during the comment periods, we have                   populations are self-sustaining in the
                                                      isolated populations found primarily in                 determined that that the intent of the                long term, and we conclude it is
                                                      the headwaters of coastal streams along                 reclassification criteria in the recovery             scientifically inaccurate to do so. Self-
                                                      the central and southern coast of                       plan (Service 1999) has not been met.                 sustaining is clearly defined in the
                                                      California and southward to Rio Santa                   The downlisting recovery criteria state               recovery plan as populations that have
                                                      Maria near San Quintin in northwestern                  that for arroyo toads to be reclassified to           stabilized or are increasing. No long-
                                                      Baja California, México (Lovich 2009, p.               threatened, management plans must                     term population trend data for arroyo
                                                      62). Arroyo toads are still extant within               have been approved and implemented                    toads demonstrate that populations have
                                                      the range they occupied historically and                on federally managed lands, and at least              stabilized or are increasing anywhere
                                                      at the time of listing, but new data                    20 self-sustaining metapopulations or                 within the species’ range. Second,
                                                      indicate that the species has continued                 populations at specified locations on                 although arroyo toads are still persisting
                                                      to decline in numbers and in area                       Federal lands must be maintained. At                  within the range they occupied
                                                      occupied within its current range                       the time of our proposed reclassification             historically and at the time of listing,
                                                      (Hancock 2007–2014, entire;                             rule, as well as currently, there were no             new data indicate that the species has
                                                      Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt.              long-term population trend data                       continued to decline in numbers and in
                                                      2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.; USGS                     available that demonstrate that arroyo                area occupied within its current range
                                                      2015, pers. comm.). Overall, we                         toad populations have stabilized or are               (Hancock 2007–2014, entire;
                                                      recognize 25 river basins in the United                 increasing. However, the Service is                   Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt.
                                                      States and an additional 10 river basins                required by section 4(b)(1) of the Act (16            2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.; USGS
                                                      in Baja California, Mexico, as containing               U.S.C. 1531 et seq.) to make                          2015, pers. comm.). At least three
                                                      at least one extant population of arroyo                determinations regarding the status of a              occurrences in the Northern Recovery
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      toads (Service 2015, Table 1).                          species solely on the basis of the best               Unit (Salinas River Basin, Santa Ynez
                                                         A thorough review of the taxonomy,                   scientific and commercial data                        River Basin, and Santa Clara River
                                                      life history, and ecology of the arroyo                 available. We must make a                             Basin) (Hancock 2007–2014, entire;
                                                      toad is presented in the final species                  determination based on the available                  Sweet 2015, pers. comm.) and at least
                                                      report (Service 2015) (the species report               information even when data that are                   eight occurrences in the Southern
                                                      and other materials relating to this                    lacking would be more desirable. In                   Recovery Unit (Lower Santa Margarita
                                                      withdrawal can be found on http://                      other words, we cannot delay or decline               River Basin, Upper San Luis Rey River
                                                      www.regulations.gov at Docket Number                    to make a determination because we                    Basin, Upper and Lower Santa Ysabel
                                                      FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007).                                   lack data that would be more ideal. In                Creek Basins, Upper San Diego River


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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                           79807

                                                      Basin, Upper Sweetwater River Basin,                    a significant portion of its range. The               level; and (3) low: Likely to have
                                                      and Upper and Lower Cottonwood                          word ‘‘range’’ in the definitions of                  minimal impacts on local population
                                                      Creek Basins) (USGS in litt. 2014; USGS                 ‘‘endangered species’’ and ‘‘threatened               numbers or habitat such that the effect
                                                      2015, pers. comm.) have shown recent                    species’’ refers to the range in which the            does not rise above the individual level.
                                                      declines.                                               species currently exists. For the                     Timing is used to characterize the
                                                        (3) Because no information indicates                  purposes of this analysis, we first                   period of the available data and
                                                      that populations have stabilized or are                 evaluate the status of the species                    determine the general timeframe over
                                                      increasing, and new information                         throughout all its range; then, if we                 which we can make reliable predictions
                                                      suggests several occurrences are in                     determine that the species is neither in              about how threats will affect arroyo
                                                      decline, we have determined that                        danger of extinction nor likely to                    toads. In general, we have information
                                                      downlisting the arroyo toad is not                      becomes so, we next consider whether                  about effects of threats on arroyo toads
                                                      appropriate at this time. As a result, this             the species is in danger of extinction or             since time of listing, approximately 20
                                                      document withdraws the proposed rule                    likely to become so in any significant                years ago. Therefore, the timeframe we
                                                      published on March 27, 2014 (79 FR                      portion of its range.                                 are comfortable predicting into the
                                                      17106).                                                    A threats analysis for the arroyo toad             future for most threats is also 20 years.
                                                                                                              is included in the final species report               The following sections provide a
                                                      Summary of Factors Affecting the
                                                                                                              (Service 2015, entire) associated with                summary of the current and potential
                                                      Species
                                                                                                              this document (and available at http://               future threats that are impacting or may
                                                         Section 4 of the Act and its                         www.regulations.gov under Docket No.                  impact arroyo toads.
                                                      implementing regulations (50 CFR 424)                   FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007). All potential
                                                      set forth the procedures for listing                    threats that are acting upon arroyo toads             Urban Development
                                                      species, reclassifying species, or                      currently or in the future (and                          At the time of listing, habitat loss
                                                      removing species from listed status.                    consistent with the five listing factors              from development projects in riparian
                                                      ‘‘Species’’ is defined by the Act as                    identified above) were evaluated and                  wetlands caused permanent losses of
                                                      including any species or subspecies of                  addressed in the final species report,                riparian habitats. Urban development
                                                      fish or wildlife or plants, and any                     and are summarized in the following                   was the most conspicuous factor in the
                                                      distinct population segment of any                      paragraphs.                                           decline of arroyo toads at the time of
                                                      species of vertebrate fish or wildlife                     At the time of listing, the primary                listing because the loss of arroyo toad
                                                      which interbreeds when mature (16                       threats to arroyo toads were urban                    breeding habitat was permanent. By the
                                                      U.S.C. 1532(16)). A species may be                      development, agricultural conversion,                 time the arroyo toad was listed in 1994,
                                                      determined to be an endangered species                  operations of dams and water flow,                    development and urban sprawl had
                                                      or threatened species because of any one                roads and road maintenance,                           already resulted in conversion to urban
                                                      or a combination of the five factors                    recreational activities, introduced                   and suburban use of nearly 40 percent
                                                      described in section 4(a)(1) of the Act:                predator species, and drought (59 FR                  of the riparian areas along the coast
                                                      (A) The present or threatened                           64859; December 16, 1994). Other                      from Ventura County to the Mexican
                                                      destruction, modification, or                           threats identified in 1994 included                   border (CDFG 2005). The trend toward
                                                      curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)                livestock grazing, mining and                         increasing urbanization in California
                                                      overutilization for commercial,                         prospecting, and alteration of the                    continues to the present day.
                                                      recreational, scientific, or educational                natural fire regime (59 FR 64859).                       Existing urban development currently
                                                      purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)                    Current and potential future threats to            affects 25 out of 32 river basins (3
                                                      the inadequacy of existing regulatory                   arroyo toads include urban development                unknown) where arroyo toads are
                                                      mechanisms; or (E) other natural or                     (Factors A and E), agriculture (Factors A             known to occur and has a serious effect
                                                      human made factors affecting its                        and E), operation of dams and water                   on arroyo toads and their habitats.
                                                      continued existence. A species may be                   diversions (Factor A), mining and                     While this threat has been somewhat
                                                      reclassified on the same basis.                         prospecting (Factors A and E), livestock              reduced at 10 occurrences, we
                                                         Determining whether the status of a                  grazing (Factor A), roads and road                    categorize the threat of urban
                                                      species has improved to the point that                  maintenance (Factors A and E),                        development as having a high level of
                                                      it can be downlisted or delisted requires               recreation (Factors A and E), invasive,               impact to the species throughout its
                                                      consideration of whether the species is                 nonnative plants (Factor A), disease                  range. Decline in number of populations
                                                      endangered or threatened because of the                 (Factor C), introduced predator species               of arroyo toads has already occurred
                                                      same five categories of threats specified               (Factor C), drought (Factor E), fire and              (Jennings and Hayes 1994, p. 57), and
                                                      in section 4(a)(1) of the Act. For species              fire suppression (Factors A and E), and               new data indicate that the species has
                                                      that are already listed as endangered                   climate change (Factor E).                            continued to decline in numbers and in
                                                      species or threatened species, this                        Please see the ‘‘Threats’’ section of the          area occupied within its current range
                                                      analysis of threats is an evaluation of                 final species report for a thorough                   (Hancock 2007–2014, entire;
                                                      both the threats currently facing the                   discussion of all potential and current               Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt.
                                                      species and the threats that are                        threats (Service 2015, pp. 29–91). In the             2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.; USGS
                                                      reasonably likely to affect the species in              final species report, we use threat                   2015, pers. comm.). In addition,
                                                      the foreseeable future following the                    impact categories to reflect the                      increases in human population and
                                                      delisting or downlisting and the                        magnitude to which arroyo toads are                   urban development pressures will,
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      removal or reduction of the Act’s                       affected by the threat. Impact categories             through time, continue to cause new
                                                      protections.                                            are: (1) High: Likely to have a major                 loss of arroyo toad populations and
                                                         A species is an ‘‘endangered species’’               impact on local populations or habitat                reduce opportunities for conservation
                                                      for purposes of the Act if it is in danger              that rises to a species-level effect; (2)             and enhancement of existing
                                                      of extinction throughout all or a                       medium: Likely to have a moderate                     populations; they will also reduce the
                                                      significant portion of its range and is a               impact on local population numbers or                 potential for reintroduction of the
                                                      ‘‘threatened species’’ if it is likely to               habitat, but populations in other                     species, and likely further reduce the
                                                      become an endangered species within                     locations may not be impacted such that               genetic variation found in this species
                                                      the foreseeable future throughout all or                the effect does not rise to the species               (Lovich 2009, p. 91). While impacts


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                                                      79808             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                      from development have been reduced at                      Dams and water diversions currently                   Mining and prospecting currently
                                                      10 occurrences through current                          affect 19 out of 26 river basins (9                   affect 8 out of 27 river basins (8
                                                      conservation measures, over the next 20                 unknown) where arroyo toads are                       unknown) where arroyo toads are
                                                      years urban development is expected to                  known to occur and have a serious                     known to occur and have minimal
                                                      continue to have a high level of impact                 effect on arroyo toads and their habitats.            impacts on local population numbers or
                                                      to arroyo toads.                                        While this threat has been reduced at                 habitat and their habitats. Therefore, we
                                                                                                              four occurrences, we categorize the                   categorize this threat as having a low
                                                      Agriculture
                                                                                                              threat of the operation of dams and                   level of impact to the species
                                                         At the time of listing, habitat loss                 water diversions as having a high level               throughout its range. Sand and gravel
                                                      from agricultural development projects                  of impact to the species throughout its               mining remain a threat at five
                                                      in riparian wetlands also had caused                    range. Dam construction results in the                occurrences in the United States and
                                                      permanent losses of riparian habitats.                  immediate destruction of habitat above                two occurrences in Baja California,
                                                      Agricultural development currently                      the dam through inundation, destroying                Mexico, and gold prospecting is a threat
                                                      affects 20 out of 35 river basins where                 both arroyo toad breeding and upland                  at one occurrence in the United States.
                                                      arroyo toads are known to occur and has                 habitats. Downstream habitat is                       Overall, over the next 20 years, mining
                                                      a moderate effect on arroyo toads and                   eliminated by regulated stream flows                  and prospecting are expected to
                                                      their habitats. While this threat has been              that: Destroy sand bars used during the               continue to have a low level of impact
                                                      reduced at two occurrences, we                          breeding season; reconfigure, and in                  to arroyo toads.
                                                      categorize the threat of agriculture as                 some cases eliminate, suitable breeding
                                                                                                                                                                    Livestock Grazing
                                                      having a medium level of impact to the                  pools; and disrupt clutch and larval
                                                      species throughout its range. Because                   development (Ramirez 2005, p. 2). The                    At the time of listing, overgrazing
                                                      arroyo toads use both aquatic and                       initial downstream effects of a dam will              caused mortality to arroyo toads if
                                                      terrestrial environments, they are                      modify and degrade breeding habitat for               horses or cattle were allowed to graze in
                                                      impacted both by agricultural activities                arroyo toads, but in the long term will               riparian areas. The effects of livestock
                                                      that subject their habitats to increased                eventually eliminate it (Madden-Smith                 grazing on arroyo toads included
                                                      fragmentation and by decreased habitat                  et al. 2005, p. 23). Impacts from                     directly crushing individuals and
                                                      quality from groundwater pumping,                       unseasonal water releases have been                   burrows; trampling stream banks,
                                                      water diversions, and contaminated                      minimized at three occurrences at the                 resulting in soil compaction, loss or
                                                      runoff. Additionally, arroyo toads are                  Santa Clara River Basin, Lower                        reduction in vegetative bank cover,
                                                      attracted to open areas of farm fields to               Sweetwater River Basin, and Lower                     stream bank collapse, and increased in-
                                                      find foraging and burrowing sites, and                  Cottonwood Creek Basin, and have been                 stream water temperatures from loss of
                                                      thus are vulnerable to being run over by                partially minimized at the Upper San                  shade; and excess sedimentation
                                                      farm equipment or trampled by field                     Diego River Basin occurrence. Although                entering stream segments at crossings or
                                                      workers. Where chemicals are used,                      the threat is reduced in these areas,                 other stream areas used by livestock for
                                                      arroyo toads are exposed to residues                    other impacts from dams and water                     watering or grazing on riparian
                                                      that can collect in soils where they                    diversions, such as reduction of                      vegetation.
                                                      burrow or in pools where they breed.                    sediments and nutrients, and increased                   Livestock grazing currently affects 20
                                                      Overall, over the next 20 years,                        desiccation, vegetation density, and                  out of 35 river basins where arroyo
                                                      agriculture is expected to continue to                  presence of aquatic predators, still exist.           toads are known to occur and has a
                                                      have a medium level of impact to arroyo                 Overall, over the next 20 years,                      moderate effect on arroyo toads and
                                                      toads.                                                  operation of dams and water diversions                their habitats. While this threat has been
                                                                                                              are expected to continue to have a high               reduced at four occurrences, we
                                                      Operation of Dams and Water                             level of impact to arroyo toads.
                                                      Diversions                                                                                                    categorize the threat of livestock grazing
                                                                                                              Mining and Prospecting                                as having a medium level of impact to
                                                         At the time of listing, short- and long-                                                                   the species throughout its range. Due to
                                                      term changes in river hydrology,                          At the time of listing, habitat loss                their fragile nature, even occasional use
                                                      including construction of dams and                      through recreational suction dredge                   of riparian corridors by cattle can cause
                                                      water diversions, were responsible for                  mining for gold was considered an                     harm to the riparian and aquatic
                                                      the loss of 40 percent of the estimated                 additional threat to the species. For                 habitats. Concentrated grazing by cattle
                                                      original range of the species, and nearly               example, in 1991, during the Memorial                 will, over time, reduce or eliminate the
                                                      half of historical extirpations prior to                Day weekend, four small dredges                       under- and mid-story components of
                                                      listing are attributed to impacts from                  operating on Piru Creek in the Los                    vegetation. Evidence of livestock
                                                      original dam construction and operation                 Padres National Forest produced                       overgrazing is seen in the lack of
                                                      (Sweet 1992, pp. 4–5; Ramirez 2003, p.                  sedimentation visible more than 0.8                   breeding pool habitat, sloughed and
                                                      7). These changes are a result of dam                   miles (mi) (1 kilometer (km))                         trampled stream-banks, and a stressed
                                                      construction and operation because the                  downstream and adversely affected                     riparian plant community where
                                                      original construction of a dam: (1)                     40,000 to 60,000 arroyo toad larvae.                  desirable species such as sedges (Carex
                                                      Effectively fragments a watershed by                    Subsequent surveys revealed an almost                 spp.) and young willows (Salix spp.) are
                                                      slowing rivers and blocking the natural                 total loss of the species in this stream              becoming scarce and undesirable
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      flow of water and sediments; (2)                        section; fewer than 100 larvae survived,              species such as tamarisk (Tamarix spp.)
                                                      inundates large areas of arroyo toad                    and only four juvenile toads were                     are increasing. Livestock grazing on
                                                      habitat; and (3) blocks in-stream                       located (Sweet 1992, pp. 180–187).                    Federal lands has been reduced to some
                                                      movement of arroyo toads, which                         Currently, the California Department of               extent through section 7 consultation
                                                      effectively isolates populations                        Fish and Wildlife has prohibited suction              and the addition of minimization
                                                      upstream and downstream of dams and                     dredge mining in Class A streams; only                measures to grazing allotment permits
                                                      may preclude recolonization of areas                    one occurrence is located outside Class               issued by Los Padres and Cleveland
                                                      formerly occupied by arroyo toads                       A streams in the United States (24 total              National Forests. Overall, over the next
                                                      (Campbell et al. 1996, p. 18).                          occurrences).                                         20 years, livestock grazing is expected to


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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                           79809

                                                      continue to have a medium level of                      threat as having a medium level of                    currently limited to proactive control
                                                      impact to arroyo toads.                                 impact to the species throughout its                  and minimizing habitat disturbances
                                                                                                              range. Many of the recreational                       that permit some invasive species to
                                                      Roads and Road Maintenance
                                                                                                              activities described above may result in              become established. Overall, over the
                                                         At the time of listing, the use of heavy             the loss and fragmentation of arroyo                  next 20 years, invasive, nonnative
                                                      equipment in yearly reconstruction of                   toad habitat. Roads, trails, OHV use,                 plants are expected to continue to have
                                                      roads and stream crossings in the                       recreational facilities, and water                    a medium level of impact to arroyo
                                                      National Forests had a significant and                  impoundments can replace natural                      toads.
                                                      repeated impact to arroyo toads and                     habitat, and this destruction can
                                                      their habitat. Conversion of streams and                                                                      Disease
                                                                                                              displace arroyo toad populations
                                                      stream terraces to roads eliminates                     (Maxell and Hokit 1999, p. 2.15). The                    Disease was not considered a threat to
                                                      foraging and burrowing habitat for                      U.S. Forest Service (Forest Service) has              arroyo toads at the time of listing in
                                                      arroyo toads. Toads are crushed by                      been proactive in reducing or                         1994. However, during the last several
                                                      equipment on the roads or when                          eliminating some of these threats on                  decades, significant declines in
                                                      vehicles use the low water crossings                    their lands. To help control recreational             populations of amphibians have been
                                                      during normal daytime project                           activities, the Forest Service has closed             observed worldwide (Beebee and
                                                      activities. For example, as described in                campgrounds seasonally or                             Griffiths 2005, p. 273). Since the arroyo
                                                      the listing rule (59 FR 64859; December                 permanently, installed road and                       toad was listed, chytridiomycosis, an
                                                      16, 1994), grading in Mono Creek for                    interpretive signs, erected barriers, re-             infectious amphibian disease caused by
                                                      Ogilvy Ranch Road destroyed habitat                     routed trails and trailheads, and                     the fungus Batrachochytrium
                                                      and likely killed individual toads;                     implemented seasonal road closures in                 dendrobatidis (Bd), has been clearly
                                                      maintenance of the road continues to                    six occurrences on Federal lands.                     linked to these amphibian declines and
                                                      depress populations of toads in Mono                    However, impacts have not been                        extinctions worldwide. Bullfrogs (Rana
                                                      Creek.                                                  reduced at the remaining recreational                 catesbeiana), an introduced predator,
                                                         Roads and road maintenance                           sites on National Forests. Overall, over              may also carry the pathogen without
                                                      currently affect 30 out of 35 river basins              the next 20 years, recreational activities            showing clinical signs of the disease
                                                      where arroyo toads are known to occur                   are expected to continue to have a                    (Beebee and Griffiths 2005, p. 273).
                                                      and have a moderate effect on arroyo                    medium level of impact to arroyo toads.               Infection caused by Bd would likely
                                                      toads and their habitats. While this                                                                          have a major effect to arroyo toads
                                                      threat has been reduced at three                        Invasive, Nonnative Plants                            because the available information
                                                      occurrences, we categorize the threat of                   At the time of listing, invasive,                  indicates that arroyo toads are
                                                      roads and road maintenance as having                    nonnative plants were not identified as               susceptible to the disease. However, it is
                                                      a medium level of impact to the species                 a threat to arroyo toads. Since then,                 not currently known to occur in any
                                                      throughout its range. Overall, over the                 invasive, nonnative plants have had a                 populations. We therefore do not
                                                      next 20 years, roads and road                           negative effect on arroyo toads and their             consider disease to be a threat currently
                                                      maintenance are expected to continue to                 habitat. Nonnative plant species,                     affecting the species, although it could
                                                      have a medium level of impact to arroyo                 particularly tamarisk and giant reed                  be a potential future threat that should
                                                      toads.                                                  (Arundo donax), alter the natural                     be monitored.
                                                                                                              hydrology of stream drainages by
                                                      Recreation                                                                                                    Introduced Predator Species
                                                                                                              eliminating sandbars, breeding pools,
                                                         At the time of listing, recreational                 and upland habitats.                                    At the time of listing, nonnative
                                                      activities in riparian wetlands had                        Invasive, nonnative plants are known               predators had caused substantial
                                                      substantial negative effects on arroyo                  to currently affect 16 out of 25 river                reductions in the sizes of extant
                                                      toad habitat and individuals. Streamside                basins (10 unknown) where arroyo toads                populations of arroyo toads, and
                                                      campgrounds in southern California                      are known to occur and have a moderate                nonnative predators have caused arroyo
                                                      National Forests were frequently located                effect on arroyo toad habitats. While this            toads to disappear from large portions of
                                                      adjacent to arroyo toad habitat (Sweet                  threat has been reduced at six                        historically occupied habitat (Jennings
                                                      1992). With nearly 20 million people                    occurrences, we categorize the threat of              and Hayes 1994, p. 57).
                                                      living within driving distance of the                   invasive, nonnative plants as having a                  Introduced predators currently affect
                                                      National Forests and other public lands                 medium level of impact to the species                 26 out of 35 river basins where arroyo
                                                      in southern California, recreational                    throughout its range. Invasive,                       toads are known to occur and have a
                                                      access and its subsequent effects are an                nonnative plants such as tamarisk and                 serious effect on arroyo toads and their
                                                      ongoing concern (CDFG 2005).                            giant reed alter the natural hydrology                habitats. While this threat has been
                                                      Numerous studies have documented the                    and habitat features of watersheds                    somewhat reduced at five occurrences,
                                                      effects of recreation on vegetation and                 occupied by arroyo toad. Large riparian               we categorize the threat of introduced
                                                      soils, and document results of human                    corridors have historically acted as                  predators as having a high level of
                                                      trampling caused by hiking, camping,                    natural firebreaks in southern California             impact to the species throughout its
                                                      fishing, and nature study. Significantly                because of their low-lying topography                 range. Introduced fishes and bullfrogs
                                                      fewer studies report the consequences of                and relative absence of flammable fuels.              prey on arroyo toad larvae, juveniles,
                                                      horse and bicycle riding or that of off-                However, the highly flammable tamarisk                and adults. These predator species pose
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      road vehicles (OHV) and snowmobiles                     and giant reed have altered this                      a continuing threat to almost all arroyo
                                                      (Cole and Landres 1995).                                situation and pose a serious problem for              toad populations and have essentially
                                                         Recreational activities are currently                management because they vigorously                    become residents of the ecosystem. In
                                                      known to affect 22 out of 25 river basins               resprout after burning. Management of                 reality, bullfrogs, green sunfish
                                                      (10 unknown) where arroyo toad are                      invasive plants and weeds with                        (Lepomis cyanellus), and other exotic
                                                      known to occur and have a moderate                      chemical herbicides and pesticides can                predatory fishes are not well-adapted to
                                                      effect on arroyo toads and their habitats.              also have impacts to arroyo toads.                    be permanent residents of the portions
                                                      While this threat has been reduced at                   Management of invasive plants that                    of streams occupied by arroyo toads;
                                                      six occurrences, we categorize this                     minimizes impacts to arroyo toads is                  they die off during droughts, or are


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                                                      79810             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                      washed out by moderate flooding                         Periodic Fire and Fire Suppression                    plants and predators. The potential loss
                                                      (Sweet 1992, p. 156). However, they                        At the time of listing and at present,             of breeding and foraging habitats due to
                                                      thrive in reservoirs and need only part                 periodic fires are considered a threat to             climate change can work in combination
                                                      of one season to reinvade upstream.                     arroyo toads because fires can cause                  with and exacerbate the effects of the
                                                      Additionally, the deep pools formed                     direct mortality of arroyo toads, destroy             other threats. Overall, climate change is
                                                      below dams provide refuge for these                     streamside vegetation, or eliminate                   a current and future threat with an
                                                      introduced predators and allow them to                  vegetation that sustains the watershed.               unknown impact to arroyo toads.
                                                      rapidly recolonize downstream areas                     Direct mortality to arroyo toads can also             Cumulative and Synergistic Effects of
                                                      (Sweet 1992, p. 156). Modeling has                      result from construction of fuel breaks               Threats
                                                      indicated that arroyo toad populations                  and safety zones in stream terraces                     Threats working in combination with
                                                      are not self-sustaining in the presence of              where arroyo toads are burrowed.                      one another have the ability to
                                                      nonnative predators, but rather are                     Bulldozing operations for construction                negatively impact species to a greater
                                                      dependent upon continued aquatic                        of fuel breaks can severely degrade other             degree than individual threats operating
                                                      invasive species management (USGS in                    essential upland habitats. In recent                  alone (IPCC 2002, p. 22; IPCC 2014, pp.
                                                      litt. 2014). Overall, over the next 20                  decades, large fires in the West have                 4–15; Boone et al. 2003, pp. 138–143;
                                                      years, introduced predators are expected                become more frequent, more                            Westerman et al. 2003, pp. 90–91;
                                                      to continue to have a high level of                     widespread, and potentially more                      Opdam and Wascher 2004, pp. 285–297;
                                                      impact to arroyo toads.                                 deadly to wildlife (Joint Fire Science                Boone et al. 2007, pp. 293–297;
                                                                                                              Program 2007, entire). There has been a               Vredenburg and Wake 2007, p. 7;
                                                      Drought                                                 shift to more severe fires on the Los                 Lawler et al. 2010, p. 47; Miller et al.
                                                                                                              Padres National Forest, including the                 2011, pp. 2360–2361). Combinations of
                                                         At the time of listing, drought and the
                                                                                                              Day and Zaca Fires.                                   threats impede dispersal of arroyo toads,
                                                      resultant deterioration of riparian
                                                                                                                 Periodic fire and fire suppression                 which could affect the long-term
                                                      habitats was considered to be the most                  activities could potentially affect 22 out
                                                      significant natural factor adversely                                                                          viability of individual occurrences.
                                                                                                              of 25 river basins (10 unknown) where                 Should arroyo toad occurrences become
                                                      affecting arroyo toads. Although drought                arroyo toads are known to occur and
                                                      is a recurring phenomenon in southern                                                                         extirpated, recolonization of these
                                                                                                              have a moderate effect on arroyo toads                localities may not be possible when
                                                      California, there is no doubt that this                 and their habitats. This threat has been
                                                      natural event combined with the many                                                                          occurrences are isolated by physical
                                                                                                              reduced at none of the occurrences, and               barriers that may be too large or difficult
                                                      manmade factors negatively affects                      we categorize this threat as having a                 to cross. Threats such as urbanization,
                                                      arroyo toad survival.                                   medium level of impact to the species                 agriculture (including road
                                                         Drought continues to have negative                   throughout its range. Overall, over the               infrastructure), and dams and reservoirs
                                                      effects on arroyo toads. Drought tends to               next 20 years, periodic fire and fire                 create unnatural barriers that have
                                                      be regional in scale, and thus we expect                suppression activities are expected to                already eliminated habitat that arroyo
                                                      Baja California, Mexico, to experience                  continue to have a medium level of                    toads used for dispersal within and
                                                      similar effects to southern California.                 impact to arroyo toads.                               between river basins. In addition,
                                                      Therefore, drought currently affects 35                 Climate Change                                        drought-caused population bottlenecks
                                                      out of 35 river basins where arroyo                                                                           may be more severe when coupled with
                                                      toads are known to occur and has a                         Climate change is a new threat                     habitat loss and degradation in the range
                                                                                                              identified since listing. Climate change              of the arroyo toad, and while being
                                                      serious effect on arroyo toads and their
                                                                                                              currently affects 35 out of 35 river                  impacted by introduced predators,
                                                      habitats. Most arroyo toad occurrences
                                                                                                              basins where arroyo toads are known to                water releases, and other anthropogenic
                                                      are small and occur in ephemeral
                                                                                                              occur; however, the impact of climate                 activities. If the effects of climate change
                                                      streams at high elevations. At lower
                                                                                                              change on arroyo toad populations or                  become more severe as predicted, these
                                                      elevations, impacts from drought on                     habitat throughout the species’ range
                                                      arroyo toad occurrences are exacerbated                                                                       disturbances could increase, along with
                                                                                                              remains unknown. Over the next 35 to                  the potential spread or change in
                                                      by alteration of hydrology from dams,                   55 years, the key risk factor for climate
                                                      water diversions, and groundwater                                                                             virulence of Bd, and these effects could
                                                                                                              change impacts to arroyo toads is likely              further reduce dispersal habitat for
                                                      extraction due to urbanization and                      the interaction between: (1) Reduced
                                                      agriculture. Arroyo toads’ lifespan                                                                           arroyo toads.
                                                                                                              water levels limiting breeding and larval
                                                      averages approximately 5 years; if                      development or causing direct                         Geographic Distribution of Threats
                                                      drought persists longer than 6 years,                   mortality; (2) reduction or loss of                     We also examined the distribution of
                                                      entire populations could be extirpated                  breeding and upland habitat; and (3) the              threats across the range of the species to
                                                      for lack of water necessary to reproduce                relative inability of individuals to                  assist in determining whether the status
                                                      and complete their life cycle (Sweet                    disperse longer distances in order to                 and the threats affecting the species
                                                      1992, p. 147; USGS in litt. 2014).                      occupy more favorable habitat                         might vary across its range.
                                                      Drought is certainly not unusual in                     conditions (i.e., move up and down
                                                      southern California and arroyo toad                     stream corridors, or across river basins).            Northern Recovery Unit
                                                      populations have withstood such                         This reduced adaptive capacity for                      Threats in the northern portion of the
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      episodes in the past, such that no                      arroyo toad is a function of its highly               arroyo toad’s range (five occurrences in
                                                      occurrences have become extirpated                      specialized habitat requirements, the                 Monterey, Santa Barbara, Ventura, and
                                                      since listing; however, the 2014–2015                   dynamic nature of its habitat, natural                Los Angeles Counties) that are likely to
                                                      rainy season was part of the driest 4-                  barriers such as steep topography at                  impact some of the river basins in the
                                                      year stretch ever recorded in California                higher elevations, and extensive                      Northern Recovery Unit are
                                                      history. Overall, over the next 20 years,               fragmentation (unnatural barriers)                    characterized as medium to high in
                                                      episodes of drought are expected to                     within and between river basins from                  impact; impacts primarily involve roads
                                                      have a high level of impact to arroyo                   reservoirs, urbanization, agriculture,                and road maintenance, recreation,
                                                      toads.                                                  roads, and the introduction of nonnative              urbanization, nonnative plants,


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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                           79811

                                                      introduced predator species, and fire                   occurrences are afforded some                         cannot substitute for the determinations
                                                      and fire suppression on Forest Service                  management through Forest Service                     and promulgation of regulations
                                                      lands. All five occurrences in the                      land management plans.                                required under section 4(a)(1) of the
                                                      Northern Recovery Unit are afforded                                                                           Act.
                                                                                                              Baja California, Mexico                                 The Service finalized a recovery plan
                                                      some protection that contributes to the
                                                      management of arroyo toads or their                        There are 10 occurrences in Baja                   for the arroyo toad in 1999 (Service
                                                      habitat through existing land                           California, Mexico, for which we have                 1999, pp. 1–119). The intent of the
                                                      management plans or an integrated                       limited to no information concerning                  arroyo toad recovery plan was to
                                                      natural resources management plan                       the scope or degree of impact from each               prescribe recovery criteria that would at
                                                      (INRMP) on Federal lands.                               threat. Urban development, agriculture,               least demonstrate population stability
                                                                                                              livestock grazing, roads, introduced                  and good habitat management over a
                                                      Southern Recovery Unit                                  predators, drought, and climate change                period of years, which would indicate a
                                                         In the central/southern portion of the               are the threats known or suspected to                 substantially improved situation for
                                                      species’ range (18 occurrences in                       impact arroyo toads within these 10                   arroyo toads. The overall objectives of
                                                      Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and                  occurrences.                                          the recovery plan are to prevent further
                                                      San Diego Counties), threat impacts are                                                                       loss of individuals, populations, and
                                                                                                              Summary of Geographic Distribution of
                                                      medium to high, and are expected to                                                                           habitat critical for the survival of the
                                                                                                              Threats
                                                      continue to increase as the demand for                                                                        species; and to recover existing
                                                      water and suitable development sites                      Although the specific threats affecting             populations to normal reproductive
                                                      continues. Threats here primarily                       the species may be different at                       capacity to ensure viability in the long
                                                      involve urban development, agriculture,                 individual sites or in different parts of             term, prevent extinction, maintain
                                                      roads, operation of dams and water                      the arroyo toad’s range, on the whole                 genetic viability, and improve
                                                      diversions, recreation, nonnative plants,               threats are occurring throughout the                  conservation status (Service 1999, p.
                                                      introduced predator species, fire and                   species’ range, and the severity of                   108). The general aim in species’
                                                      fire suppression, and drought. As the                   threats and their effects on arroyo toad              recovery is to establish sufficient self-
                                                      human population grows, the negative                    populations are similar. We conclude                  sustaining healthy populations for the
                                                      effects from increased water needs and                  that all populations throughout the                   species to be no longer considered as an
                                                      recreational activities will put more                   species’ range and all recovery units are             endangered or threatened species.
                                                      pressure on the remaining habitats, even                experiencing similar levels of threats.                 The recovery plan describes 22 river
                                                      those sites receiving some protection.                  Recovery and Recovery Plan                            basins in the coastal and desert areas of
                                                      Most occurrences (12 of 18) are                         Implementation                                        nine U.S. counties along the central and
                                                      restricted to ephemeral or low-order                                                                          southern coast of California, and the
                                                      streams, and of these, most (10 of 12) are                 Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to              recovery plan divides the range of the
                                                      unnaturally restricted to these areas                   develop and implement recovery plans                  arroyo toad into three large recovery
                                                      because habitat downstream was                          for the conservation and survival of                  units: Northern, Southern, and Desert.
                                                      destroyed by large reservoirs,                          endangered and threatened species                     These recovery units were established to
                                                      urbanization, or agriculture, thereby                   unless we determine that such a plan                  reflect the ecological and geographic
                                                      reducing the ability of arroyo toads to                 will not promote the conservation of the              distribution of the species and its
                                                      act in response to dynamic habitat                      species. Under section 4(f)(1)(B)(ii),                current and historic range (Service 1999,
                                                      conditions and increased threats,                       recovery plans must, to the maximum                   p. 71–72) within the United States. The
                                                      especially drought, climate change                      extent practicable, include ‘‘objective,              recovery plan did not address the
                                                      effects, roads, recreation, agriculture,                measurable criteria which, when met,                  species’ range in Mexico. In the
                                                      and introduced predators. Five habitat                  would result in a determination, in                   recovery plan, the downlisting recovery
                                                      conservation plans (HCPs) were                          accordance with the provisions of                     criteria state that for the arroyo toad to
                                                      developed to minimize impacts to                        [section 4 of the Act], that the species              be reclassified to threatened,
                                                      arroyo toad at eight occurrences from                   be removed from the list.’’ However,                  management plans must have been
                                                      development and associated                              revisions to the list (adding, removing,              approved and implemented on federally
                                                      infrastructure. There are also large areas              or reclassifying a species) must reflect              managed lands, and at least 20 self-
                                                      of Federal lands, such as the Marine                    determinations made in accordance                     sustaining metapopulations or
                                                      Corps Base Camp Pendleton, Naval                        with sections 4(a)(1) and 4(b) of the Act.            populations at specified locations must
                                                      Weapons Station Seal Beach                              Section 4(a)(1) requires that the                     be maintained (Service 1999, pp. 75–
                                                      Detachment Fallbrook, and the Remote                    Secretary determine whether a species                 77). Self-sustaining is defined in the
                                                      Training Site Warner Springs, where                     is endangered or threatened (or not)                  recovery plan as populations that have
                                                      arroyo toads are managed under the                      because of one or more of five threat                 successful recruitment equal to 20
                                                      military’s INRMPs, and 11 of 18                         factors. Section 4(b) of the Act requires             percent or more of the average number
                                                      occurrences within the Southern                         that the determination be made ‘‘solely               of breeding adults in 7 of 10 years of
                                                      Recovery Unit are on Forest Service                     on the basis of the best scientific and               average to above-average rainfall
                                                      lands or are partly on Forest Service                   commercial data available.’’ Therefore,               amounts with normal rainfall patterns.
                                                      lands and benefit from land                             recovery criteria should indicate when a              Such recruitment would be documented
                                                      management plans.                                       species is no longer an endangered                    by statistically valid trend data
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                                                                              species or threatened species because of              indicating stable or increasing
                                                      Desert Recovery Unit                                    any of the five statutory factors. Thus,              populations.
                                                        In the desert portion of the species’                 while recovery plans provide important                  In our analysis of the status of the
                                                      range (two occurrences in Los Angeles                   guidance to the Service, States, and                  arroyo toad, we found that we lack long-
                                                      and San Bernardino Counties), threats                   other partners on methods of                          term population trend data for arroyo
                                                      are moderate in impact, and result                      minimizing threats to listed species and              toads demonstrating that populations
                                                      primarily from recreation, urban                        measurable objectives against which to                have stabilized or are increasing
                                                      development, agriculture, overgrazing,                  measure progress towards recovery, they               anywhere within the species’ range.
                                                      and dam operations. Portions of both                    are not regulatory documents and                      Although arroyo toads are presumed to


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                                                      79812             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                      be persisting on Federal lands in 18                    Peer Reviewer Comments                                   (4) Comment: One peer reviewer
                                                      river basin occurrences and 4 additional                  In accordance with our peer review                  suggested that we reclassify each threat
                                                      occurrences on non-Federal lands, for a                 policy published on July 1, 1994 (59 FR               in light of either the lack of information
                                                      total of 22 extant or presumed extant                   34270), we received expert opinion from               for the 10 Baja California river basins or
                                                      occurrences in California, and                          four knowledgeable individuals with                   the available information present in the
                                                      management plans have been approved                     scientific expertise that included                    literature or from personal
                                                      and are being implemented to help                       familiarity with arroyo toads and their               communications from biologists in the
                                                      conserve, maintain, and restore habitat                 habitat, biological needs, and threats.               United States and Mexico who work in
                                                      on Federal lands, the available data                      We reviewed all comments we                         the Baja California region.
                                                      indicate that the species has continued                 received from the peer reviewers for                     Our Response: Within our final
                                                      to decline in numbers and in area                       substantive issues and new information                species report, we recognize and
                                                      occupied within its current range                       regarding the proposed downlisting of                 account for uncertainty in the scope of
                                                      (Hancock 2007–2014, entire;                             the arroyo toad. The peer reviewers                   each threat, defined as the proportion of
                                                      Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS in litt.              generally disagreed with our finding in               arroyo toad occurrences that are affected
                                                      2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.; USGS                     the proposed rule and provided                        by the threat, particularly when
                                                      2015, pers. comm.). At least three                      additional information, clarifications,               considering the occurrences in Baja
                                                      occurrences in the Northern Recovery                    and suggestions to improve the final                  California, Mexico. We now include
                                                      Unit (Salinas River Basin, Santa Ynez                   rule. Peer reviewer comments are                      occurrences in the scope determination
                                                      River Basin, and Santa Clara River                      addressed in the following summary                    only when we have information
                                                      Basin) (Hancock 2006, 2007–2014;                        and incorporated into the final                       regarding the threat at that occurrence.
                                                      Sweet 2015, pers. comm.) and at least                   determination as appropriate.                         For 6 of the 13 threats we evaluate, we
                                                      eight occurrences in the Southern                         (1) Comment: Two peer reviewers and                 do not have adequate information to
                                                      Recovery Unit (Lower Santa Margarita                    several public comments did not agree                 assess whether the threat is impacting
                                                      River Basin, Upper San Luis Rey River                   that we met the intent of the recovery                occurrences of arroyo toads in Baja
                                                      Basin, Upper and Lower Santa Ysabel                     criteria; they stated that arroyo toads are           California, Mexico; we therefore
                                                      Creek Basins, Upper San Diego River                     extant in only 17 river basins on Federal             categorize these occurrences as
                                                      Basin, Upper Sweetwater River Basin,                    lands and the currently available data                ‘‘unknown’’ and exclude them from our
                                                      and Upper and Lower Cottonwood                          do not support that arroyo toad                       determination of scope for that threat.
                                                      Creek Basins) (USGS in litt. 2014; USGS                 populations are self-sustaining.                         (5) Comment: Several peer reviewers
                                                      2015, pers. comm.) have shown recent                      Our Response: We agree with the peer                and public comments pointed out that
                                                      declines.                                               reviewers and commenters that the                     our conclusion in the proposed rule
                                                         These and other data that we have                    intent of the reclassification criteria in            failed to account for current events
                                                      analyzed indicate that the downlisting                  the recovery plan (Service 1999) has not              because arroyo toads were listed at the
                                                      criteria have not been met for the arroyo               been met at this time. We have revised                end of a serious drought and we are now
                                                      toad. The types of threats to arroyo                    our analysis accordingly (see Summary                 in the worst drought on record.
                                                      toads remain the same as at the time of                 of Basis for This Withdrawal and                         Our Response: We incorporated this
                                                      listing and are ongoing, and new threats                Recovery and Recovery Plan                            new information into the final species
                                                      have been identified. Some conservation                 Implementation). We are withdrawing                   report where applicable and
                                                      efforts are ongoing in most populations                 the proposed rule to downlist the arroyo              summarized those changes in this
                                                      to help manage and reduce impacts to                    toad from an endangered to a threatened               document (see the Drought section
                                                      arroyo toads from many ongoing threats;                 species under the Act.                                under Summary of Factors Affecting the
                                                      however, we have not yet documented                       (2) Comment: Two peer reviewers                     Species, above).
                                                      a response to these ongoing                             provided new threat information. One                     (6) Comment: One peer reviewer and
                                                      conservation actions that would                         peer reviewer provided new information                public comment expressed concern that
                                                      indicate a change in the species’ listing               on the threats of drought, introduced                 the increasing prevalence of chytrid
                                                      status is warranted.                                    predator species, livestock grazing, and              fungus will severely impact the few
                                                      Summary of Comments and                                 operation of dams and water diversions;               remaining populations because arroyo
                                                      Recommendations                                         another peer reviewer provided new                    toads are sensitive to infection and
                                                                                                              information regarding threats affecting               likely mortality from this pathogen.
                                                         In the proposed rule published on                    arroyo toad occurrences in Baja                          Our Response: Please see the Disease
                                                      March 27, 2014 (79 FR 17106), we                        California, Mexico.                                   section under Summary of Factors
                                                      requested that all interested parties                     Our Response: We incorporated this                  Affecting the Species, above, for a
                                                      submit written comments on the                          new information into the final species                discussion of impacts of
                                                      proposal by May 27, 2014. We reopened                   report where applicable and                           chytridiomycosis on the arroyo toad.
                                                      the comment period on the proposed                      summarized those changes in this                         (7) Comment: One peer reviewer
                                                      rule on October 17, 2014, for an                        document (see Summary of Basis for                    asked for information on how we have
                                                      additional 30 days (79 FR 62408). We                    This Withdrawal and Summary of                        implemented the recovery strategy and
                                                      also contacted appropriate Federal and                  Factors Affecting the Species).                       objectives, specifically:
                                                      State agencies, scientific experts and                    (3) Comment: Several peer reviewers                    • Identify and secure additional
                                                      organizations, and other interested                     provided new population survey
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                                                                                                                                    suitable arroyo toad habitat and
                                                      parties and invited them to comment on                  information and information on recent                 populations;
                                                      the proposal. We did not receive any                    years of reproductive failure and adult                  • Conduct research to obtain data to
                                                      comments from States or Tribes. We                      mortality.                                            guide management efforts and
                                                      also did not receive any requests for a                   Our Response: We incorporated this                  determine the best methods for reducing
                                                      public hearing. All substantive                         new information into the final species                threats; and
                                                      information provided during the                         report where applicable; see Summary                     • Develop and implement an
                                                      comment periods has been incorporated                   of Basis for This Withdrawal and                      outreach program.
                                                      directly into this final determination or               Recovery and Recovery Plan                               Our Response: We have continued to
                                                      is addressed below.                                     Implementation.                                       work with our partners to protect arroyo


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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                           79813

                                                      toads, and some arroyo toad habitat has                 identify the three recovery units                     cooperation with the Service and State
                                                      been acquired since the time of listing                 (Northern, Southern, and Desert) based                fish and wildlife agencies to ensure
                                                      at three occurrences on non-Federal                     solely on genetics. Thus, stabilizing and             proper consideration of fish, wildlife,
                                                      land (Lower and Middle San Luis Rey                     expanding the populations in these                    and habitat needs. We look forward to
                                                      River, Upper Santa Ysabel Creek, and                    units will preserve the species’ genetic              continued collaboration with Camp
                                                      Lower Cottonwood Creek basins)                          diversity as well as the distinct                     Pendleton in implementing
                                                      through HCPs or other mechanisms                        ecological environments in which the                  conservation measures that contribute to
                                                      such as grants and section 7                            species is found (Service 1999, p. 70).               the recovery of the arroyo toad.
                                                      consultations. Additionally, the Lower                    (10) Comment: One peer reviewer                        (13) Comment: The Angeles,
                                                      Sweetwater River Basin occurrence                       commented that we discuss Camp                        Cleveland, Los Padres, and San
                                                      (non-Federal land) is partially within                  Pendleton and Fort Hunter Liggett as                  Bernardino National Forests expressed
                                                      the County Subarea Plan under the San                   military lands with INRMPs, but do not                concern that human-caused threats
                                                      Diego Multiple Species Conservation                     mention Naval Weapons Station Seal                    could be increasing as the presence of
                                                      Plan, and some areas could be placed in                 Beach, Detachment Fallbrook, and the                  Forest Service recreation staff and fire
                                                      reserves in the future. Some research is                Navy installation at Remote Training                  prevention officers has been decreasing.
                                                      being conducted to guide management                     Site Warner Springs. These installations                 Our Response: We recognize that lack
                                                      efforts, particularly research by the U.S.              also have INRMPs that include arroyo                  of resources can affect the ability to
                                                      Geological Survey (USGS), much of                       toads, and they spend a lot of money on               implement conservation actions. We
                                                      which is described in their peer review.                arroyo toads at these installations.                  will work with the Forest Service
                                                      We have not developed or implemented                      Our Response: We incorporated this                  through our consultations to determine
                                                      an outreach program.                                    new information into the final species                whether changes in resources may
                                                         (8) Comment: A peer reviewer                         report where applicable (see Geographic               impact arroyo toads.
                                                      recommended that climate change                         Breakdown of Threats: Southern                           (14) Comment: One comment pointed
                                                      predictions and changes from historical                 Recovery Unit (Service 2015, pp. 93–94)               out that attempts to remove introduced
                                                      patterns be considered or incorporated                  and Achievement of Downlisting                        predators on Los Padres National Forest
                                                      into the downlisting criteria. Because                  Criteria: Criterion 1—Approved and                    in the past have proved to be inadequate
                                                      self-sustaining populations are currently               Implemented Management Plans on                       in scope and duration despite a focused
                                                      defined by positive recruitment of                      Federal Lands (Service 2015, p. 98)).                 effort because of the extensive
                                                      arroyo toad individuals during average                    (11) Comment: One peer reviewer                     distribution of these predators across
                                                      or above-average rainfall years, we are                 pointed out that the Conjunctive Use                  jurisdictional boundaries and their
                                                      assuming that the frequency of average                  Project for the Santa Margarita River is              ability to reproduce rapidly.
                                                      or above-average rainfall years would be                currently being planned and will                         Our Response: We commend the
                                                      consistent with historical patterns.                    involve increased water diversions and                Forest Service for their efforts to remove
                                                         Our Response: When we drafted the                    groundwater pumping from the lower                    introduced predators to improve arroyo
                                                      recovery plan for the arroyo toad in                    Santa Margarita River Basin (MCB Camp                 toad habitat. The Forest Service, on the
                                                      1999, we did not consider climate                       Pendleton 2012, 2013). The portion of                 four National Forests that contain arroyo
                                                      change and its potential influence on                   the River downstream from the water                   toads, implements conservation
                                                      recovery or the formation of the                        diversion represents the most stable area             measures for sensitive species under
                                                      recovery criteria. Though we are not                    of arroyo toad breeding and recruitment               their land and resource management
                                                      currently revising the recovery plan for                on Camp Pendleton. Although the direct                plans, which outline management
                                                      the arroyo toad, we did take future                     and indirect impacts are still being                  direction, including desired future
                                                      climate change projections into account                 reviewed, this project has the potential              conditions, suitable uses, monitoring
                                                      when evaluating potential threats in the                to result in extremely severe impacts to              requirements, goals and objectives, and
                                                      final species report. Any future                        the arroyo toad population along the                  standards and guidelines. Additionally,
                                                      revisions of the recovery plan would                    lower Santa Margarita River.                          through section 7 of the Act, Federal
                                                      consider new information, including                       Our Response: The Service is                        agencies such as the Forest Service are
                                                      effects of climate change.                              currently in formal consultation with                 required to use their authorities to carry
                                                         (9) Comment: One peer reviewer                       Camp Pendleton on the Conjunctive Use                 out programs for the conservation of
                                                      commented that recovery units should                    Project, and we are working with the                  listed species and to consult with the
                                                      be reassessed to only include Northern                  U.S. Marine Corps to review and                       Service when a Federal action may have
                                                      and Southern Recovery Units and not                     address those impacts.                                an effect on listed species. We
                                                      include the Desert Recovery Unit, given                                                                       acknowledge the difficulty of removing
                                                      that research shows desert unit                         Federal Agency Comments                               introduced predators from arroyo toad
                                                      haplotypes are virtually identical to                     (12) Comment: One comment from                      habitat, which we recognize is one of
                                                      those in the Northern Recovery Unit.                    Camp Pendleton expressed gratification                the most serious threats to the survival
                                                         Our Response: Arroyo toads survive                   that their INRMP has contributed to the               of arroyo toads. This conservation
                                                      in areas that are ecologically and                      recovery and conservation goals for                   measure to improve the status of arroyo
                                                      geographically distinct from one                        arroyo toad. The base will continue to                toads is a long-term management action
                                                      another, and the threats in those areas                 implement management conservation                     and will require ongoing efforts to
                                                      differ to some degree (Service 1999, p.                 programs and projects through their                   remove or reduce the level of predation
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                      70). To address the recovery needs of                   INRMP.                                                from introduced predators in order to
                                                      arroyo toads in each of these areas, we                   Our Response: We appreciate Camp                    recover arroyo toads.
                                                      established the three recovery units,                   Pendleton’s willingness to work with
                                                      identified as Northern, Southern, and                   the Service to help conserve arroyo                   Public Comments
                                                      Desert, that reflect the ecological and                 toads. The Sikes Act (16 U.S.C. 670a et                 (15) Comment: Several commenters
                                                      geographic separations and cover the                    seq.) requires the Department of Defense              pointed out that while there have been
                                                      known and historical range of the                       to develop and implement INRMPs for                   some successes in mitigating the
                                                      species within the United States                        military installations across the United              negative impacts of some threats to
                                                      (Service 1999, p. 70). We did not                       States. INRMPs are prepared in                        arroyo toads, others will grow in


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                                                      79814             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                      severity in the future due to growing                   species and that reclassifying arroyo                 the Forest Service get to recreate where
                                                      populations and greater water needs,                    toad is not warranted at this time, such              the public is not allowed.
                                                      leading to additional stresses on the                   conservation actions have prevented the                  Our Response: The Forest Service has
                                                      populations of the arroyo toad.                         extirpation of populations, and arroyo                taken a number of steps to improve the
                                                         Our Response: We state in the final                  toads continue to persist and occupy the              status of arroyo toads. They initiated
                                                      species report that as the human                        same range as they did at the time of                 several nonnative and pest eradication
                                                      population grows, the negative effects                  listing.                                              programs, including efforts to eradicate
                                                      from increased water needs and                             (17) Comment: One commenter stated                 yellow-star thistle (Centaurea
                                                      recreational activities, in the Southern                that the original listing of the arroyo               solstitialis), giant reed, and tamarisk,
                                                      Recovery Unit in particular, will put                   toad as endangered was intended to                    and have proposed the National Forests
                                                      more pressure on the remaining arroyo                   restrict public access to National                    of Southern California Weed
                                                      toad habitat, even those sites receiving                Forests. Campgrounds and OHV riding                   Management Strategy under Appendix
                                                      some protection (Service 2015, p. 93).                  areas at Littlerock Dam were closed;                  M of the LRMP. According to Standards
                                                      Additionally, we acknowledge that                       Hardluck Campground was closed; and                   12, 13, and 47 of that LRMP, future pest
                                                      threats such as drought and climate                     all campgrounds were closed and trout                 and nonnative species control projects
                                                      change will place added stress on                       stocking stopped in Big Tujunga                       will be beneficial for the recovery of
                                                      available water supplies throughout the                 Canyon. Even though heavy use                         listed and candidate species and their
                                                      species’ range and may work in                          occurred and lots of taxpayer dollars                 critical habitats. Moreover, Forest
                                                      combination with other threats to                       have been spent on facilities in these                Service staff and volunteers conduct
                                                      impact arroyo toad populations. As                      areas, arroyo toads were still found, and             annual tamarisk removal in Los Padres
                                                      noted in the final species report and                   these areas will never be reopened.                   National Forest along portions of Piru
                                                      earlier in the Geographic Distribution of                  Our Response: Areas within Forest                  Creek, Sisquoc River, Santa Ynez River,
                                                      Threats section under the Summary of                    Service lands were closed to public                   and Sespe Creek to protect and restore
                                                      Factors Affecting the Species, large-                   access for recreational purposes to                   arroyo toad habitat. Habitat Works is an
                                                      scale conservation planning efforts and                 facilitate recovery of the arroyo toad.               environmental stewardship action group
                                                      land management plans for Federal                       Land and resource management plans                    performing volunteer projects to
                                                      lands include measures to benefit arroyo                (LRMPs) provide guidance for activities               improve wildlife habitat in southern
                                                      toad. Therefore, while we recognize the                 carried out on National Forest lands.                 California (Habitat Works 2015).
                                                      impact that a growing human                             Each National Forest is governed by a                 Therefore, while Habitat Works is able
                                                      population and increased water needs                    LRMP in accordance with the National                  to access locations that the public is not,
                                                      in California and Baja California,                      Forest Management Act (16 U.S.C. 1600                 the goal of volunteer restoration groups
                                                      Mexico, would have on arroyo toads, we                  et seq.), which outlines management                   is to implement projects that improve
                                                      anticipate that these large-scale                       direction, including desired future                   wildlife habitat for the benefit of species
                                                      management plans will help buffer                       conditions, suitable uses, monitoring                 such as the arroyo toad and not to
                                                      arroyo toads from the impact of these                   requirements, goals and objectives, and               access a site for recreational purposes.
                                                      threats to some degree.                                 standards and guidelines. Additionally,                  (19) Comment: One commenter
                                                         (16) Comment: Several public                         through section 7 of the Act, Federal                 acknowledged the Service, Forest
                                                      commenters stated that there is little to               agencies, such as the Forest Service, are             Service, California Department of Fish
                                                      no diminishment in many of the threats                  required to use their authorities to carry            and Wildlife, and other agencies
                                                      that caused the arroyo toad’s                           out programs for the conservation of                  involved with the species recovery
                                                      widespread population decline. In                       listed species and to consult with us                 program for their efforts in
                                                      particular, comments point to                           (Service) when a Federal action may                   implementing various measures to help
                                                      development of low-gradient river                       have an effect on listed species.                     protect the species. As an example,
                                                      margins, OHVs, disruption of natural                    Therefore, the Forest Service, in                     suction dredging is now prohibited in
                                                      flow regimes, incompatible land uses,                   consultation with the Service under                   Class A streams.
                                                      inappropriate vegetation treatments                     section 7 of the Act, proposed LRMPs                     Our Response: We appreciate the
                                                      intended to reduce fires, drought, and                  for the four National Forests in which                comment recognizing the hard work of
                                                      no serious effort to reduce threats posed               arroyo toad occurs that include land use              the Service and our partners who are
                                                      by nonnative, invasive species and                      priorities and fish and wildlife                      working to help recover the arroyo toad.
                                                      invasive riparian plants.                               standards. For example, biological zones                 (20) Comment: One commenter
                                                         Our Response: As noted above, we                     or wilderness areas such as Upper Big                 pointed out that since listing, new
                                                      conclude that the types of threats to                   Tujunga and Little Rock Creeks are                    populations have been found, but none
                                                      arroyo toads remain the same as at the                  subject to fish and wildlife standards                of these appears to be thriving, and in
                                                      time of listing and are ongoing; in                     that direct activities in these areas to be           some populations there is evidence to
                                                      addition, new threats have been                         neutral or beneficial to arroyo toads.                suggest recruitment has plummeted.
                                                      identified. However, while we conclude                  Therefore, because recreational                          Our Response: Since the arroyo toad
                                                      that threats have not been ameliorated                  activities are known to negatively affect             was listed as an endangered species,
                                                      sufficiently such that the species can be               the arroyo toad and its habitat, certain              several new populations have been
                                                      reclassified, conservation efforts,                     recreational activities at identified                 found within the extant range due to
                                                      including HCPs, land and resource                       locations are prohibited to avoid and                 increased survey efforts. As summarized
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                                                      management plans, and INRMPs, are                       minimize impacts to arroyo toad and its               in the final species report (Service 2015,
                                                      ongoing in most populations to reduce                   habitat.                                              pp. 13–15), at the time of listing in 1994,
                                                      impacts from 9 of the 13 currently                         (18) Comment: One commenter noted                  arroyo toads were believed to be extant
                                                      identified threats that affect arroyo                   that public access and recreation has                 in 22 populations within 8 drainages in
                                                      toads. These plans have helped to                       been restricted at Hardluck Campground                the United States; specific populations
                                                      manage and reduce impacts to arroyo                     but it has been opened to environmental               in Mexico were not discussed (59 FR
                                                      toads from many ongoing threats. While                  groups (i.e., Habitat Works) that are                 64859; December 16, 1994). Subsequent
                                                      we conclude that we have not yet                        eradicating tamarisk. The public pays,                to listing, arroyo toads were discovered
                                                      achieved downlisting criteria for the                   but Habitat Works with the support of                 in Monterey County on the San Antonio


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                                                                        Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules                                            79815

                                                      River at Fort Hunter Liggett Military                   analysis discussions in the final species             suppression. These threats are likely to
                                                      Reservation in 1996 (Hancock 2009a, p.                  report (Service 2015, pp. 29–91)).                    have a moderate impact on local
                                                      9). In Riverside County, a small                           Current and potential future threats to            population numbers or habitat.
                                                      population was detected within                          arroyo toads include urban development                However, populations in other locations
                                                      Murrieta Creek basin in 2001 (WRCRCA                    (Factors A and E), agriculture (Factors A             may not be impacted. Therefore, the
                                                      2006, p. 5). In Baja California, Mexico,                and E), operation of dams and water                   effects of these threats do not rise to the
                                                      surveys have identified several newly                   diversions (Factor A), mining and                     species level.
                                                      recognized populations and the first                    prospecting (Factors A and E), livestock                 Management efforts are being
                                                      records of the species in the Rio Las                   grazing (Factor A), roads and road                    implemented in approximately 18
                                                      Palmas, Rio El Zorillo, and Rio Santo                   maintenance (Factors A and E),                        arroyo toad occurrences on Federal
                                                      Tomas (Lovich 2009, pp. 74–97).                         recreation (Factors A and E), invasive,               lands through the LRMPs for each of the
                                                         Regarding evidence of plummeting                     nonnative plants (Factor A), disease                  four southern California National
                                                      recruitment, for most populations of                    (Factor C), introduced predator species               Forests (Los Padres, Angeles, San
                                                      arroyo toads, we do not have long-term                  (Factor C), drought (Factor E), fire and              Bernardino, and Cleveland), and
                                                      trend data. However, we received                        fire suppression (Factors A and E), and               through the INRMPs on Fort Hunter
                                                      information from peer reviewers that                    climate change (Factor E). Some factors               Liggett, Naval Weapons Station Seal
                                                      indicates that at least three occurrences               known to pose a threat to arroyo toads                Beach, Camp Pendleton, and Naval Base
                                                      in the Northern Recovery Unit (Salinas                  and their habitat at the time of listing              Coronado. As a result, very few
                                                      River Basin, Santa Ynez River Basin,                    are no longer of concern (for example,                populations of arroyo toads have been
                                                      and Santa Clara River Basin) (Hancock                   new dam construction or collection for                extirpated since the time of listing, and
                                                      2006, 2007–2014; Sweet 2015, pers.                      scientific or commercial purposes).                   the species continues to persist
                                                      comm.) and at least eight occurrences in                Conservation activities and preservation              throughout the range known at the time
                                                      the Southern Recovery Unit (Lower                       of habitat have further reduced threats               of listing. However, data indicate that
                                                      Santa Margarita River Basin, Upper San                  from mining and prospecting, livestock                the species has continued to decline in
                                                      Luis Rey River Basin, Upper and Lower                   overgrazing, roads and road                           numbers and in area occupied within its
                                                      Santa Ysabel Creek Basins, Upper San                    maintenance, and recreation.                          current range (Hancock 2007–2014,
                                                      Diego River Basin, Upper Sweetwater                        Overall, we find that four threats                 entire; Hollingsworth in litt. 2014; USGS
                                                      River Basin, and Upper and Lower                        (introduced predator species, drought,                in litt. 2014; Sweet 2015, pers. comm.).
                                                      Cottonwood Creek Basins) (USGS in litt.                 urban development, and operation of                   Therefore, although some conservation
                                                      2014; USGS 2015, pers. comm.) have                      dams and water diversions) continue to                efforts are ongoing in most populations
                                                      shown recent declines. This new                         pose a significant threat to the                      to help manage and reduce impacts to
                                                      information has been added to our final                 continued existence of the arroyo toad,               arroyo toads from many ongoing threats,
                                                      species report.                                         such that these threats are likely to have            we have not yet documented a species
                                                         (21) Comment: One commenter                          a major impact on local populations or                response to conservation actions that
                                                      implements the Western Riverside                        habitat that rises to a species-level                 would indicate a change in listing status
                                                      County Multiple Species Habitat                         effect. In particular, introduced                     is warranted at this time.
                                                      Conservation Plan (MSHCP), and the                      predators pose a threat to the continued                 We examined the downlisting criteria
                                                      arroyo toad is one of the covered                       survival of arroyo toads. Other factors,              provided in the recovery plan for the
                                                      species. They appreciate that the                       such as operation of dams and increased               arroyo toad (Service 1999). Self-
                                                      ongoing efforts to conserve arroyo toads                drought, can increase the ability of                  sustaining is defined in the recovery
                                                      and their habitat, including their own                  introduced predators to invade and                    plan as populations which have
                                                      efforts, are contributing to the species’               persist in habitats where arroyo toads                stabilized or are increasing. We lack
                                                      recovery.                                               are found. These predators can have a                 long-term population trend data for
                                                         Our Response: We appreciate the                      significant impact on the breeding                    arroyo toads that demonstrate that
                                                      efforts by the Western Riverside County                 success and survival of arroyo toad                   populations have stabilized or are
                                                      MSHCP to help conserve arroyo toads                     populations, and if not controlled, could             increasing anywhere within the species’
                                                      and their habitat by addressing impacts                 result in the extirpation of entire                   range. Although arroyo toads are still
                                                      to arroyo toads from new development                    populations of the species. Urban                     extant within the range they occupied
                                                      and associated infrastructure.                          development, drought, and operation of                historically and at the time of listing,
                                                                                                              dams and water diversions, and                        data indicate that the species has
                                                      Determination
                                                                                                              potentially climate change, also pose a               continued to decline (Hancock 2007–
                                                         As required by the Act, we considered                threat to the continued existence of                  2014, entire; Hollingsworth in litt. 2014;
                                                      the five factors listed in section 4(a)(1)              arroyo toads; all of these factors have               USGS in litt. 2014; Sweet 2015, pers.
                                                      of the Act in assessing whether the                     the potential to alter the natural flow               comm.). At least three occurrences in
                                                      arroyo toad warrants downlisting at this                regime in creeks and streams that                     the Northern Recovery Unit (Salinas
                                                      time. We examined the best scientific                   support arroyo toads. Because arroyo                  River Basin, Santa Ynez River Basin,
                                                      and commercial information available                    toads have specialized life-history needs             and Santa Clara River Basin) (Hancock
                                                      regarding the past, present, and                        and habitat requirements, they are                    2006, 2007–2014; Sweet 2015, pers.
                                                      foreseeable future threats faced by the                 especially sensitive to such changes in               comm.) and at least eight occurrences in
                                                      species. For the purposes of this                       habitat. Furthermore, conservation                    the Southern Recovery Unit (Lower
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                                                      determination, we consider the                          actions that would be sufficient to                   Santa Margarita River Basin, Upper San
                                                      foreseeable future to be 20 years. In                   ameliorate the effects of factors such as             Luis Rey River Basin, Upper and Lower
                                                      general, we have information about                      climate change and drought have not                   Santa Ysabel Creek Basins, Upper San
                                                      effects of threats on arroyo toads since                been implemented.                                     Diego River Basin, Upper Sweetwater
                                                      time of listing, approximately 20 years                    Arroyo toads also continue to be                   River Basin, and Upper and Lower
                                                      ago. Therefore, the timeframe we are                    impacted by threats from agriculture;                 Cottonwood Creek Basins) (USGS in litt.
                                                      comfortable predicting into the future                  livestock grazing; roads and road                     2014; USGS 2015, pers. comm.) have
                                                      for most threats is also 20 years (as                   maintenance; recreation; invasive,                    shown recent declines. Because no
                                                      described under the various threats                     nonnative plants; and fire and fire                   information indicates that populations


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                                                      79816             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 246 / Wednesday, December 23, 2015 / Proposed Rules

                                                      have stabilized or are increasing, and                  populations of arroyo at risk of                      References Cited
                                                      new information suggests several                        extinction such that the species is in                  A complete list of all references cited
                                                      occurrences are declining, we have                      danger of extinction throughout all its               in this document is available on the
                                                      determined that the intent of the                       range.                                                Internet at http://www.regulations.gov at
                                                      downlisting criteria has not been met.                                                                        Docket No. FWS–R8–ES–2014–0007 or
                                                         In conclusion, we have carefully                       Because we have determined that the
                                                                                                              arroyo toad is in danger of extinction                upon request from the Field Supervisor,
                                                      assessed the best scientific and
                                                                                                              throughout all its range, no portion of its           Ventura Fish and Wildlife Office (see
                                                      commercial information available
                                                                                                              range can be ‘‘significant’’ for purposes             ADDRESSES).
                                                      regarding the past, present, and future
                                                      threats faced by this species. After                    of the Act’s definitions of ‘‘endangered              Authors
                                                      review of the information pertaining to                 species’’ and ‘‘threatened species.’’ See
                                                                                                              the Service’s final policy interpreting                 The primary authors of this document
                                                      the five statutory factors, we determined
                                                                                                              the phrase ‘‘significant portion of its               are the staff members of the Pacific
                                                      that the types of threats to arroyo toads
                                                                                                                                                                    Southwest Regional Office and Ventura
                                                      remain the same as at the time of listing               range’’ (SPR) (79 FR 37578; July 1,
                                                                                                                                                                    Fish and Wildlife Office (see
                                                      and are ongoing, and new threats have                   2014).
                                                                                                                                                                    ADDRESSES).
                                                      been identified. Some conservation                        Based on the analysis above, we
                                                      efforts are ongoing in most populations                 conclude the arroyo toad meets the                    Authority
                                                      to help manage and reduce impacts to                    Act’s definition of an endangered                       The authority for this action is the
                                                      arroyo toads from many ongoing threats;                 species in that it is in danger of                    Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
                                                      however, we have not yet documented                                                                           amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).
                                                                                                              extinction throughout all of its range.
                                                      a species response to conservation
                                                                                                              We therefore conclude that                              Dated: December 10, 2015
                                                      actions that would indicate a change in
                                                      status is warranted. We conclude that                   reclassification of this species is not               Stephen Guertin,
                                                      the intent of the reclassification criteria             warranted at this time. As a result, this             Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
                                                      in the recovery plan (Service 1999, pp.                 document withdraws the proposed rule                  Service.
                                                      75–77) has not been met and that                        published on March 27, 2014, at 79 FR                 [FR Doc. 2015–32075 Filed 12–22–15; 8:45 am]
                                                      ongoing threats continue to put all                     17106.                                                BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
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Document Created: 2018-03-02 09:21:03
Document Modified: 2018-03-02 09:21:03
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionProposed rule; withdrawal.
DatesThe March 27, 2014 (79 FR 17106), proposed rule to reclassify the arroyo toad as threatened is withdrawn as of December 23, 2015.
ContactStephen P. Henry, Field Supervisor,
FR Citation80 FR 79805 
RIN Number1018-AY82

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