80_FR_9672 80 FR 9636 - Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program Year 2016

80 FR 9636 - Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program Year 2016

DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

Federal Register Volume 80, Issue 36 (February 24, 2015)

Page Range9636-9648
FR Document2015-03662

This document provides the methodology and data sources necessary to determine federal payment amounts made in program year 2016 to states that elect to establish a Basic Health Program under the Affordable Care Act to offer health benefits coverage to low-income individuals otherwise eligible to purchase coverage through Affordable Insurance Exchanges.

Federal Register, Volume 80 Issue 36 (Tuesday, February 24, 2015)
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 36 (Tuesday, February 24, 2015)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 9636-9648]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2015-03662]


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DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES

Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services

42 CFR Part 600

[CMS-2391-FN]
RIN 0938-ZB18


Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program 
Year 2016

AGENCY: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), HHS.

ACTION: Final methodology.

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SUMMARY: This document provides the methodology and data sources 
necessary to determine federal payment amounts made in program year 
2016 to states that elect to establish a Basic Health Program under the 
Affordable Care Act to offer health benefits coverage to low-income 
individuals otherwise eligible to purchase coverage through Affordable 
Insurance Exchanges.

DATES: These regulations are effective on January 1, 2016.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Christopher Truffer, (410) 786-1264; 
Stephanie Kaminsky (410) 786-4653.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Table of Contents

I. Background
II. Summary of Proposed Provisions and Analysis of and Responses to 
Public Comments on the Proposed Methodology
    A. Background
    B. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the 
Payment Amount
    C. Required Rate Cells
    D. Sources and State Data Considerations
    E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
    F. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
    G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
    H. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health 
Risk Adjustment in Certified Methodology
III. Provisions of the Final Methodology
    A. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the 
Payment Amount
    B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
    C. Sources and State Data Considerations
    D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
    E. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
    F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
    G. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health 
Risk Adjustment in Certified Methodology
IV. Collection of Information Requirements
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
    A. Overall Impact
    B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
    C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
    D. Federalism

Acronyms

    To assist the reader, the following acronyms are used in this 
document.
[Delta]AV Change in Actuarial Value
APTC Advance payment of the premium tax credit
ARP Adjusted reference premium
AV Actuarial value
BHP Basic Health Program
CCIIO CMS' Center for Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight
CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
CHIP Children's Health Insurance Program
CPI-U Consumer price index for all urban consumers
CSR Cost-sharing reduction
EHB Essential Health Benefit
FPL Federal poverty line
FRAC Factor for removing administrative costs
IRF Income reconciliation factor
IRS Internal Revenue Service
IUF Induced utilization factor
QHP Qualified health plan
OTA Office of Tax Analysis [of the U.S. Department of Treasury]
PHF Population health factor
PTC Premium tax credit
PTCF Premium tax credit formula
PTF Premium trend factor
RP Reference premium
SBM State Based Marketplace
TRAF Tobacco rating adjustment factor

I. Background

    The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (Pub. L. 111-148, 
enacted on March 23, 2010), together with the Health Care and Education 
Reconciliation Act of 2010 (Pub. L. 111-152, enacted on March 30, 2010) 
(collectively referred as the Affordable

[[Page 9637]]

Care Act) provides for the establishment of Affordable Insurance 
Exchanges (Exchanges, also called the Health Insurance Marketplace) 
that provide access to affordable health insurance coverage offered by 
qualified health plans (QHPs). Individuals who enroll, or whose family 
member enrolls, in a QHP cannot be eligible for health coverage under 
other federally supported health benefits programs or through 
affordable employer-sponsored insurance coverage and have incomes above 
100 percent but no more than 400 percent of the federal poverty line 
(FPL), or have income below that level but be lawfully present non-
citizens ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration status. 
Individuals enrolled through Marketplaces in coverage offered by QHPs 
may qualify for the federal premium tax credit (PTC) or federally-
funded cost-sharing reductions (CSRs) based on their household income, 
to make coverage affordable.
    In the states that elect to operate a Basic Health Program (BHP), 
BHP will make affordable health benefits coverage available for 
individuals under age 65 with household incomes between 133 percent and 
200 percent of the FPL who are not otherwise eligible for Medicaid, the 
Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP), or affordable employer-
sponsored coverage. (For those states that have expanded Medicaid 
coverage under section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i)(VIII) of the Social Security 
Act (the Act), the lower income threshold for BHP eligibility is 
effectively 138 percent due to the application of a required 5 percent 
income disregard in determining the upper limits of Medicaid income 
eligibility (section 1902(e)(14)(I) of the Act).) Federal funding will 
be available for BHP based on the amount of PTC and CSRs that BHP 
enrollees would have received had they been enrolled in QHPs through 
Marketplaces.
    In the March 12, 2014 Federal Register (79 FR 14112), we published 
a final rule entitled the ``Basic Health Program; State Administration 
of Basic Health Programs; Eligibility and Enrollment in Standard Health 
Plans; Essential Health Benefits in Standard Health Plans; Performance 
Standards for Basic Health Programs; Premium and Cost Sharing for Basic 
Health Programs; Federal Funding Process; Trust Fund and Financial 
Integrity'' (hereinafter referred to as the BHP final rule) 
implementing section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act), which directs 
the establishment of BHP. The BHP final rule establishes the standards 
for state and federal administration of BHP, including provisions 
regarding eligibility and enrollment, benefits, cost-sharing 
requirements and oversight activities. While the BHP final rule 
codifies the overall statutory requirements and basic procedural 
framework for the funding methodology, it does not contain the specific 
information necessary to determine federal payments. We anticipated 
that the methodology would be based on data and assumptions that would 
reflect ongoing operations and experience of BHP programs, as well as 
the operation of the Marketplaces. For this reason, the BHP final rule 
indicated that the development and publication of the funding 
methodology, including any data sources, would be addressed in a 
separate annual BHP Payment Notice.
    In the BHP final rule, we specified that the BHP Payment Notice 
process would include the annual publication of both a proposed and 
final BHP Payment Notice. The proposed BHP Payment Notice would be 
published in the Federal Register each October, and would describe the 
proposed methodology for the upcoming BHP program year, including how 
the Secretary considered the factors specified in section 1331(d)(3) of 
the Affordable Care Act, along with the proposed data sources used to 
determine the federal BHP payment rates. The final BHP Payment Notice 
would be published in the Federal Register in February, and would 
include the final BHP funding methodology, as well as the federal BHP 
payment rates for the next BHP program year. For example, payment rates 
published in February 2015 would apply to BHP program year 2016, 
beginning in January 2016. As discussed in section III.C of this 
methodology, state data needed to calculate the federal BHP payment 
rates for the final BHP Payment Notice must be submitted to CMS.
    As described in the BHP final rule, once the final methodology has 
been published, we will only make modifications to the BHP funding 
methodology on a prospective basis with limited exceptions. The BHP 
final rule provided that retrospective adjustments to the state's BHP 
payment amount may occur to the extent that the prevailing BHP funding 
methodology for a given program year permits adjustments to a state's 
federal BHP payment amount due to insufficient data for prospective 
determination of the relevant factors specified in the payment notice. 
Additional adjustments could be made to the payment rates to correct 
errors in applying the methodology (such as mathematical errors).
    Under section 1331(d)(3)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act, the 
funding methodology and payment rates are expressed as an amount per 
BHP enrollee for each month of enrollment. These payment rates may vary 
based on categories or classes of enrollees. Actual payment to a state 
would depend on the actual enrollment in coverage through the state 
BHP. A state that is approved to implement BHP must provide data 
showing quarterly enrollment in the various federal BHP payment rate 
cells. The data submission requirements associated with this will be 
published subsequent to the proposed methodology.

II. Summary of Proposed Provisions and Analysis of and Responses to 
Public Comments on the Proposed Methodology

    The following sections, arranged by subject area, include a summary 
of the public comments that we received, and our responses. For a 
complete and full description of the BHP proposed funding methodology, 
see the ``Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program 
Year 2016'' proposed methodology published in the October 23, 2014 
Federal Register (79 FR 63363).
    We received a total of 3 timely comments from individuals and 
groups advocating on behalf of consumers and health care providers. The 
public comments received ranged from general support or opposition to 
the proposed methodology and BHP to specific comments regarding the 
proposed methodological factors.

A. Background

    In the October 23, 2014 (79 FR 63363) proposed methodology, we 
specified the methodology of how the federal BHP payments would be 
calculated. For specific discussions, please refer to the October 23, 
2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
    We received the following comments on the background information 
included in the proposed methodology:
    Comment: Some commenters expressed general opposition to BHP and 
the payment methodology.
    Response: The comments were outside the scope of the BHP program 
and payment methodology.
    Final Decision: After careful consideration of the public comments, 
we are finalizing our proposed methodology for how the federal BHP 
payments will be calculated.

[[Page 9638]]

B. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the Payment 
Amount

    We proposed in the overview of the funding methodology to calculate 
the PTC and CSR as consistently as possible and in general alignment 
with the methodology used by Marketplaces to calculate the advance 
payments of the PTC and CSR, and by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) 
to calculate the final PTC. We proposed in this section four equations 
that comprise the overall BHP funding methodology. For specific 
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology 
(79 FR 63363).
    We received no comments regarding the overview of the funding 
methodology and calculation of the payment amount. We are finalizing 
the BHP overview of the funding methodology and the payment amount for 
FY 2016.

C. Required Rate Cells

    In this section, we proposed that a state implementing BHP provide 
us with an estimate of the number of BHP enrollees it will enroll in 
the upcoming BHP program, by applicable rate cell, to determine the 
federal BHP payment amounts. For each state, we proposed using rate 
cells that separate the BHP population into separate cells based on the 
following five factors: age; geographic rating area; coverage status; 
household size; and income. For specific discussions, please refer to 
the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
    We received the following comment on the proposed rate cells:
    Comment: One commenter expressed concern that defining geographic 
rating areas as counties would not capture potential differences in 
health care costs and qualified health plan premiums in different parts 
of the county, and recommended defining the rating area by zip code 
instead.
    Response: We believe that this is unlikely to have a significant 
impact on the federal BHP payment. In addition, we believe that it 
would make state operation of the program substantially more 
challenging.
    Final Decision: After careful consideration of the comments, we are 
finalizing the criteria and definitions of the rate cells to determine 
the federal BHP payment amounts for FY 2016.

D. Sources and State Data Considerations

    We proposed in this section to use, to the extent possible, data 
submitted to the federal government by QHP issuers seeking to offer 
coverage through a Marketplace to determine the federal BHP payment 
cell rates. However, in states operating a State Based Marketplace 
(SBM), we proposed that such states submit required data for CMS to 
calculate the federal BHP payment rates in those states. For specific 
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology 
(79 FR 63363).
    We did not receive any comments on the ``Sources and State Data 
Considerations'' section and are finalizing the BHP methodology as 
proposed.

E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations

    In this section, we proposed 11 specific variables to use in the 
payment equations that comprise the overall BHP funding methodology. 
(10 variables are described in section III.D of this document, and the 
premium trend factor is described in section III.F.) For each proposed 
variable, we included a discussion on the assumptions and data sources 
used in developing the variables. For specific discussions, please 
refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
    We did not receive any comments on the ``Specific Variables Used in 
Payment Equations'' section and are finalizing the BHP methodology as 
proposed.

F. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives

    We proposed to make several adjustments for American Indians and 
Alaska Natives when calculating the CSR portion of the federal BHP 
payment rate to be consistent with the Marketplace rules. For specific 
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology 
(79 FR 63363).
    We did not receive any comments on the ``Adjustments for American 
Indians and Alaska Natives'' section and are finalizing the BHP 
methodology as proposed.

G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments

    In this section, we proposed to provide states implementing BHP 
with the option to use the 2015 QHP premiums multiplied by a premium 
trend factor to calculate the federal BHP payment rates instead of 
using the 2016 QHP premiums. For specific discussions, please refer to 
the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
    We did not receive any comments on the ``State Option to Use 2015 
QHP Premiums for BHP Payments'' section and are finalizing the BHP 
methodology as proposed.

H. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk 
Adjustment in Certified Methodology

    In this section, we proposed to provide states implementing BHP the 
option to develop a methodology to account for the impact that 
including the BHP population in the Marketplace would have had on QHP 
premiums based on any differences in health status between the BHP 
population and persons enrolled through the Marketplace. For specific 
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology 
(79 FR 63363).
    We did not receive any comments on the ``State Option to Include 
Retrospective State-specific Health Risk Adjustment in Certified 
Methodology'' section and are finalizing the BHP methodology as 
proposed.

III. Provisions of the Final Methodology

A. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the Payment 
Amount

    Section 1331(d)(3) of the Affordable Care Act directs the Secretary 
to consider several factors when determining the federal BHP payment 
amount, which, as specified in the statute, must equal 95 percent of 
the value of the PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would have been 
provided had they enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace. Thus, the 
BHP funding methodology is designed to calculate the PTC and CSRs as 
consistently as possible and in general alignment with the methodology 
used by Marketplaces to calculate the advance payments of the PTC and 
CSRs, and by the IRS to calculate final PTCs. In general, we rely on 
values for factors in the payment methodology specified in statute or 
other regulations as available, and we have developed values for other 
factors not otherwise specified in statute, or previously calculated in 
other regulations, to simulate the values of the PTC and CSRs that BHP 
enrollees would have received if they had enrolled in QHPs offered 
through a Marketplace. In accordance with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(iii) of 
the Affordable Care Act, the final funding methodology must be 
certified by CMS' Chief Actuary, in consultation with the Office of Tax 
Analysis (OTA) of the Department of the Treasury, as having met the 
requirements of section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act.
    Section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act specifies that 
the

[[Page 9639]]

payment determination ``shall take into account all relevant factors 
necessary to determine the value of the premium tax credits and cost-
sharing reductions that would have been provided to eligible 
individuals . . . including the age and income of the enrollee, whether 
the enrollment is for self-only or family coverage, geographic 
differences in average spending for health care across rating areas, 
the health status of the enrollee for purposes of determining risk 
adjustment payments and reinsurance payments that would have been made 
if the enrollee had enrolled in a qualified health plan through a 
Marketplace, and whether any reconciliation of the credit or cost-
sharing reductions would have occurred if the enrollee had been so 
enrolled.'' The payment methodology takes each of these factors into 
account. This methodology is the same as the 2015 payment methodology, 
with updated values but no changes in methods.
    We have developed a methodology that the total federal BHP payment 
amount would be based on multiple ``rate cells'' in each state. Each 
``rate cell'' represents a unique combination of age range, geographic 
area, coverage category (for example, self-only or two-adult coverage 
through BHP), household size, and income range as a percentage of FPL. 
Thus, there are distinct rate cells for individuals in each coverage 
category within a particular age range who reside in a specific 
geographic area and are in households of the same size and income 
range. We note that the development of the BHP payment rates will be 
consistent with each state's rules on age rating. Thus, in the case of 
a state that does not use age as a rating factor on the Marketplace, 
the BHP payment rates would not vary by age.
    The rate for each rate cell will be calculated in two parts. The 
first part (as described in Equation (1)) will equal 95 percent of the 
estimated PTC that would have been paid if a BHP enrollee in that rate 
cell had instead enrolled in a QHP in the Marketplace. The second part 
(as described in Equation (2)) will equal 95 percent of the estimated 
CSR payment that would have been made if a BHP enrollee in that rate 
cell had instead enrolled in a QHP in the Marketplace. These 2 parts 
will be added together and the total rate for that rate cell will be 
equal to the sum of the PTC and CSR rates.
    To calculate the total federal BHP payment, Equation (1) will be 
used to calculate the estimated PTC for individuals in each rate cell 
and Equation (2) will be used to calculate the estimated CSR payments 
for individuals in each rate cell. By applying the equations separately 
to rate cells based on age, income and other factors, we effectively 
take those factors into account in the calculation. In addition, the 
equations take into account additional relevant variables that are 
needed to determine the estimated PTC and CSR payments for individuals 
in each rate cell. Each of the variables in the equations is defined 
below, and further detail is provided later in this section of the 
payment notice.
    In addition, we describe how we will calculate the adjusted 
reference premium (described later in this section of the payment 
methodology) that is used in Equations (1) and (2). This is defined in 
Equation (3a) and Equation (3b).
Equation 1: Estimated PTC by Rate Cell
    The estimated PTC, on a per enrollee basis, will be calculated for 
each rate cell for each state based on age range, geographic area, 
coverage category, household size, and income range. The PTC portion of 
the rate will be calculated in a manner consistent with the methodology 
used to calculate the PTC for persons enrolled in a QHP, with 3 
adjustments. First, the PTC portion of the rate for each rate cell will 
represent the mean, or average, expected PTC that all persons in the 
rate cell would receive, rather than being calculated for each 
individual enrollee. Second, the reference premium used to calculate 
the PTC (described in more detail later in the section) will be 
adjusted for BHP population health status, and in the case of a state 
that elects to use 2015 premiums for the basis of the BHP federal 
payment, for the projected change in the premium from the 2015 to 2016, 
to which the rates announced in the final payment methodology would 
apply. These adjustments are described in Equation (3a) and Equation 
(3b). Third, the PTC will be adjusted prospectively to reflect the 
mean, or average, net expected impact of income reconciliation on the 
combination of all persons enrolled in BHP; this adjustment, as 
described in section III.D.5 of this methodology, will account for the 
impact on the PTC that would have occurred had such reconciliation been 
performed. Finally, the rate is multiplied by 95 percent, consistent 
with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable Care Act. We note that 
in the situation where the average income contribution of an enrollee 
would exceed the adjusted reference premium, we will calculate the PTC 
to be equal to 0 and would not allow the value of the PTC to be 
negative.
    Consistent with this description, equation (1) is defined as:
    [GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.000
    
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family 
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
Ih,i,j = Income (in dollars per month) at each 1 percentage-point 
increment of FPL
j = jth percentage-point increment FPL
n = Number of income increments used to calculate the mean PTC
PTCFh,i,j = Premium Tax Credit Formula percentage
IRF = Income reconciliation factor
Equation 2: Estimated CSR Payment by Rate Cell
    The CSR portion of the rate will be calculated for each rate cell 
for each state based on age range, geographic area, coverage category, 
household size, and income range defined as a percentage of FPL. The 
CSR portion of the rate will be calculated in a manner consistent with 
the methodology used to calculate the CSR advance payments for persons 
enrolled in a QHP, as described in the final rule we published in the 
Federal Register on March 11, 2014 entitled ``HHS Notice of Benefit and 
Payment Parameters for 2015'' final rule (79 FR 13744), with 3 
principal adjustments. (We will make a separate calculation that 
includes different adjustments for American Indian/Alaska Native BHP 
enrollees, as described in section III.D.1 of this methodology.) For 
the first adjustment, the CSR rate, like the PTC rate, will represent 
the mean expected CSR subsidy that would be paid on behalf of all 
persons in the rate cell, rather than being calculated for each 
individual enrollee. Second, this

[[Page 9640]]

calculation will be based on the adjusted reference premium, as 
described in section III.A.3 of this methodology. Third, this equation 
uses an adjusted reference premium that reflects premiums charged to 
non-tobacco users, rather than the actual premium that is charged to 
tobacco users to calculate CSR advance payments for tobacco users 
enrolled in a QHP. Accordingly, the equation includes a tobacco rating 
adjustment factor that would account for BHP enrollees' estimated 
tobacco-related health costs that are outside the premium charged to 
non-tobacco-users. Finally, the rate will be multiplied by 95 percent, 
as provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable Care Act.
    Consistent with the methodology described above, equation (2) is 
defined as:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.001

CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy portion of BHP payment 
rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family 
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
TRAF = Tobacco rating adjustment factor
FRAC = Factor removing administrative costs
AV = Actuarial value of plan (as percentage of allowed benefits 
covered by the applicable QHP without a cost-sharing reduction 
subsidy)
IUFh,i = Induced utilization factor
[Delta]AVh,i = Change in actuarial value (as percentage of allowed 
benefits)
Equation 3a and Equation 3b: Adjusted Reference Premium Variable (Used 
in Equations 1 and 2)
    As part of these calculations for both the PTC and CSR components, 
the value of the adjusted reference premium as described below. 
Consistent with the approach last year, we will allow states to choose 
between using the actual 2016 QHP premiums or the 2015 QHP premiums 
multiplied by the premium trend factor (as described in section III.F 
of this methodology). Therefore, we describe below how we would 
calculate the adjusted reference premium under each option.
    In the case of a state that elects to use the reference premium 
based on the 2016 premiums, we will calculate the value of the adjusted 
reference premium as specified in Equation (3a). The adjusted reference 
premium will be equal to the reference premium, which will be based on 
the second lowest cost silver plan premium in 2016, multiplied by the 
BHP population health factor (described in section III.D of this 
methodology), which will reflect the projected impact that enrolling 
BHP-eligible individuals in QHPs on a Marketplace would have had on the 
average QHP premium.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.002

ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family 
coverage) obtained through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor

    In the case of a state that elects to use the reference premium 
based on the 2015 premiums (as described in section III.F of this 
methodology), we will calculate the value of the adjusted reference 
premium as specified in Equation (3b). The adjusted reference premium 
will be equal to the reference premium, which will be based on the 
second lowest cost silver plan premium in 2015, multiplied by the BHP 
population health factor (described in section III.D of this 
methodology), which will reflect the projected impact that enrolling 
BHP-eligible individuals in QHPs on a Marketplace would have had on the 
average QHP premium, and by the premium trend factor, which will 
reflect the projected change in the premium level between 2015 and 2016 
(including the estimated impact of changes resulting from the 
transitional reinsurance program established in section 1341 of the 
Affordable Care Act).
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.003

ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family 
coverage) obtained through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
PTF = Premium trend factor
Equation 4: Determination of Total Monthly Payment for BHP Enrollees in 
Each Rate Cell
    In general, the rate for each rate cell will be multiplied by the 
number of BHP enrollees in that cell (that is, the number of enrollees 
that meet the criteria for each rate cell) to calculate the total 
monthly BHP payment. This calculation is shown in Equation 4 below.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.004

PMT = Total monthly BHP payment
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of BHP payment rate
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy portion of BHP payment 
rate
Ea,g,c,h,i = Number of BHP enrollees
a = Age range
g = Geographic area

[[Page 9641]]

c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family 
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)

B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells

    We will require that a state implementing BHP provide us an 
estimate of the number of BHP enrollees it projects will enroll in the 
upcoming BHP program year, by applicable rate cell, prior to the first 
quarter of program operations. Upon our approval of such estimates as 
reasonable, they will be used to calculate the prospective payment for 
the first and subsequent quarters of program operation until the state 
has provided us actual enrollment data. These data will be required to 
calculate the final BHP payment amount, and make any necessary 
reconciliation adjustments to the prior quarters' prospective payment 
amounts due to differences between projected and actual enrollment. In 
subsequent quarters, quarterly deposits to the state's trust fund will 
be based on the most recent actual enrollment data submitted to us. 
Procedures will ensure that federal payments to a state reflect actual 
BHP enrollment during a year, within each applicable category, and 
prospectively determined federal payment rates for each category of BHP 
enrollment, with such categories defined in terms of age range, 
geographic area, coverage status, household size, and income range, as 
explained above.
    We will require the use of certain rate cells as part of the 
methodology. For each state, we will use rate cells that separate the 
BHP population into separate cells based on the five factors described 
below.
    Factor 1--Age: We will separate enrollees into rate cells by age, 
using the following age ranges that capture the widest variations in 
premiums under HHS's Default Age Curve: \1\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ This curve is used to implement the Affordable Care Act's 
3:1 limit on age-rating in states that do not create an alternative 
rate structure to comply with that limit. The curve applies to all 
individual market plans, both within and outside the Exchange. The 
age bands capture the principal allowed age-based variations in 
premiums as permitted by this curve. More information can be found 
at http://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Files/Downloads/market-reforms-guidance-2-25-2013.pdf. Both children and adults under age 
21 are charged the same premium. For adults age 21-64, the age bands 
in this methodology divide the total age-based premium variation 
into the three most equally-sized ranges (defining size by the ratio 
between the highest and lowest premiums within the band) that are 
consistent with the age-bands used for risk-adjustment purposes in 
the HHS-Developed Risk Adjustment Model. For such age bands, see 
Table 5, ``Age-Sex Variables,'' in HHS-Developed Risk Adjustment 
Model Algorithm Software, June 2, 2014, http://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Regulations-and-Guidance/Downloads/ra-tables-03-27-2014.xlsx.
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     Ages 0-20.
     Ages 21-34.
     Ages 35-44.
     Ages 45-54.
     Ages 55-64.
    Factor 2--Geographic area: For each state, we will separate 
enrollees into rate cells by geographic areas within which a single 
reference premium is charged by QHPs offered through the state's 
Marketplace. Multiple, non-contiguous geographic areas will be 
incorporated within a single cell, so long as those areas share a 
common reference premium.\2\
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    \2\ For example, a cell within a particular state might refer to 
``County Group 1,'' ``County Group 2,'' etc., and a table for the 
state would list all the counties included in each such group. These 
geographic areas are consistent with the geographic areas 
established under the 2014 Market Reform Rules. They also reflect 
the service area requirements applicable to qualified health plans, 
as described in 45 CFR 155.1055, except that service areas smaller 
than counties are addressed as explained below.
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    Factor 3--Coverage status: We will separate enrollees into rate 
cells by coverage status, reflecting whether an individual is enrolled 
in self-only coverage or persons are enrolled in family coverage 
through BHP, as provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable 
Care Act. Among recipients of family coverage through BHP, separate 
rate cells, as explained below, will apply based on whether such 
coverage involves two adults alone or whether it involves children.
    Factor 4--Household size: We will separate enrollees into rate 
cells by household size that states use to determine BHP enrollees' 
income as a percentage of the FPL under 42 CFR 600.320. We will require 
separate rate cells for several specific household sizes. For each 
additional member above the largest specified size, we will publish 
instructions for how we will develop additional rate cells and 
calculate an appropriate payment rate based on data for the rate cell 
with the closest specified household size. We will publish separate 
rate cells for household sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, as unpublished 
analyses of American Community Survey data conducted by the Urban 
Institute, which take into account unaccepted offers of employer-
sponsored insurance, as well as income, Medicaid and CHIP eligibility, 
citizenship and immigration status, and current health coverage status, 
find that less than 1 percent of all BHP-eligible persons live in 
households of size 5 or greater.
    Factor 5--Income: For households of each applicable size, we will 
create separate rate cells by income range, as a percentage of FPL. The 
PTC that a person would receive if enrolled in a QHP varies by income, 
both in level and as a ratio to the FPL, and the CSR varies by income 
as a percentage of FPL. Thus, separate rate cells will be used to 
calculate federal BHP payment rates to reflect different bands of 
income measured as a percentage of FPL. We will use the following 
income ranges, measured as a ratio to the FPL:
     0 to 50 percent of the FPL.
     51 to 100 percent of the FPL.
     101 to 138 percent of the FPL.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \3\ The three lowest income ranges would be limited to lawfully 
present immigrants who are ineligible for Medicaid because of 
immigration status.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

     139 to 150 percent of the FPL.
     151 to 175 percent of the FPL.
     176 to 200 percent of the FPL.
    These rate cells will only be used to calculate the federal BHP 
payment amount. A state implementing BHP will not be required to use 
these rate cells or any of the factors in these rate cells as part of 
the state payment to the standard health plans participating in BHP or 
to help define BHP enrollees' covered benefits, premium costs, or out-
of-pocket cost-sharing levels.
    We will use averages to define federal payment rates, both for 
income ranges and age ranges, rather than varying such rates to 
correspond to each individual BHP enrollee's age and income level. We 
believe that this approach will increase the administrative feasibility 
of making federal BHP payments and reduce the likelihood of 
inadvertently erroneous payments resulting from highly complex 
methodologies. We believe that this approach will not significantly 
change federal payment amounts, since within applicable ranges; the 
BHP-eligible population is distributed relatively evenly.

C. Sources and State Data Considerations

    To the extent possible, we will use data submitted to the federal 
government by QHP issuers seeking to offer coverage through a 
Marketplace to perform the calculations that determine federal BHP 
payment cell rates.
    States operating a State Based Marketplace in the individual 
market, however, must provide certain data, including premiums for 
second lowest cost silver plans, by geographic area, in order for CMS 
to calculate the federal BHP payment rates in those states. We will 
require that a state operating a State Based Marketplace and interested 
in obtaining the applicable federal BHP payment rates for its state 
must submit

[[Page 9642]]

such data accurately, completely, and as specified by CMS, by no later 
than October 15, 2015, for CMS to calculate the applicable rates for 
2016. If additional state data (that is, in addition to the second 
lowest cost silver plan premium data) are needed to determine the 
federal BHP payment rate, such data must be submitted in a timely 
manner, and in a format specified by CMS to support the development and 
timely release of annual BHP payment notices. The specifications for 
data collection to support the development of BHP payment rates for 
2016 were published in CMS guidance and are available at http://www.medicaid.gov/Federal-Policy-Guidance/Federal-Policy-Guidance.html.
    If a state operating a SBM provides the necessary data accurately, 
completely, and as specified by CMS, but after the date specified 
above, we anticipate publishing federal payment rates for such a state 
in a subsequent Payment Notice. As noted in the BHP final rule, a state 
may elect to implement its BHP after a program year has begun. In such 
an instance, we require that the state, if operating a SBM, submit its 
data no later than 30 days after the Blueprint submission for CMS to 
calculate the applicable federal payment rates. We further require that 
the BHP Blueprint itself must be submitted for Secretarial 
certification with an effective date of no sooner than 120 days after 
submission of the BHP Blueprint. In addition, the state must ensure 
that its Blueprint includes a detailed description of how the state 
will coordinate with other insurance affordability programs to 
transition and transfer BHP-eligible individuals out of their existing 
QHP coverage, consistent with the requirements set forth in 42 CFR 
600.330 and 600.425. We believe that this 120-day period is necessary 
to establish the requisite administrative structures and ensure that 
all statutory and regulatory requirements are satisfied.

D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations

1. Reference Premium (RP)
    To calculate the estimated PTC that would be paid if individuals 
enrolled in QHPs through the Marketplace, we must calculate a reference 
premium (RP) because the PTC is based, in part, on the premiums for the 
applicable second lowest cost silver plan as explained in section 
III.C.4 of this methodology, regarding the Premium Tax Credit Formula 
(PTCF). Accordingly, for the purposes of calculating the BHP payment 
rates, the reference premium, in accordance with 26 U.S.C. 
36B(b)(3)(C), is defined as the adjusted monthly premium for an 
applicable second lowest cost silver plan. The applicable second lowest 
cost silver plan is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(B) as the second 
lowest cost silver plan of the individual market in the rating area in 
which the taxpayer resides, which is offered through the same 
Marketplace. We will use the adjusted monthly premium for an applicable 
second lowest cost silver plan in 2016 as the reference premium (except 
in the case of a state that elects to use the 2015 premium as the basis 
for the federal BHP payment, as described in section III.F of this 
methodology).
    The reference premium will be the premium applicable to non-tobacco 
users. This is consistent with the provision in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(C) 
that bases the PTC on premiums that are adjusted for age alone, without 
regard to tobacco use, even for states that allow insurers to vary 
premiums based on tobacco use pursuant to 42 U.S.C. 300gg(a)(1)(A)(iv).
    Consistent with the policy set forth in 26 CFR 1.36B-3(f)(6) to 
calculate the PTC for those enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace, we 
will not update the payment methodology, and subsequently the federal 
BHP payment rates, in the event that the second lowest cost silver plan 
used as the reference premium, or the lowest cost silver plan, changes 
(that is, terminates or closes enrollment during the year).
    The applicable second lowest cost silver plan premium will be 
included in the BHP payment methodology by age range, geographic area, 
and self-only or applicable category of family coverage obtained 
through BHP.
    American Indians and Alaska Natives in households with incomes 
below 300 percent of the FPL are eligible for a full cost sharing 
subsidy regardless of the plan they select (as described in sections 
1402(d) and 2901(a) of the Affordable Care Act). We assume that 
American Indians and Alaska Natives would be more likely to enroll in 
bronze plans as a result; thus, for American Indian/Alaska Native BHP 
enrollees, we will use the lowest cost bronze plan as the basis for the 
reference premium for the purposes of calculating the CSR portion (but 
not the PTC portion) of the federal BHP payment as described further in 
section III.E of this methodology.
    The applicable age bracket will be one dimension of each rate cell. 
We will assume a uniform distribution of ages and estimate the average 
premium amount within each rate cell. We believe that assuming a 
uniform distribution of ages within these ranges is a reasonable 
approach and would produce a reliable determination of the PTC and CSR 
components. We also believe this approach would avoid potential 
inaccuracies that could otherwise occur in relatively small payment 
cells if age distribution were measured by the number of persons 
eligible or enrolled.
    We will use geographic areas based on the rating areas used in the 
Marketplaces. We will define each geographic area so that the reference 
premium is the same throughout the geographic area. When the reference 
premium varies within a rating area, we will define geographic areas as 
aggregations of counties with the same reference premium. Although 
plans are allowed to serve geographic areas smaller than counties after 
obtaining our approval, no geographic area, for purposes of defining 
BHP payment rate cells, will be smaller than a county. We do not 
believe that this assumption will have a significant impact on federal 
payment levels and it would likely simplify both the calculation of BHP 
payment rates and the operation of BHP.
    Finally, in terms of the coverage category, federal payment rates 
will only recognize self-only and two-adult coverage, with exceptions 
that account for children who are potentially eligible for BHP. First, 
in states that set the upper income threshold for children's Medicaid 
and CHIP eligibility below 200 percent of FPL (based on modified 
adjusted gross income), children in households with incomes between 
that threshold and 200 percent of FPL would be potentially eligible for 
BHP. Currently, the only states in this category are Arizona, Idaho, 
and North Dakota.\4\ Second, BHP would include lawfully present 
immigrant children with incomes at or below 200 percent of FPL in 
states that have not exercised the option under the sections 
1903(v)(4)(A)(ii) and 2107(e)(1)(E) of the Act to qualify all otherwise 
eligible, lawfully present immigrant children for Medicaid and CHIP. 
States that fall within these exceptions would be identified based on 
their Medicaid and CHIP State Plans, and the rate cells would include 
appropriate categories of BHP family coverage for children. In other 
states, BHP eligibility will generally be restricted to adults, since 
children who are citizens or lawfully present immigrants and who live 
in households with incomes at or below 200 percent of FPL will qualify 
for Medicaid or CHIP and thus be ineligible

[[Page 9643]]

for BHP under section 1331(e)(1)(C) of the Affordable Care Act, which 
limits BHP to individuals who are ineligible for minimum essential 
coverage (as defined in section 5000A(f) of the Internal Revenue Code 
of 1986).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \4\ CMCS. ``State Medicaid and CHIP Income Eligibility Standards 
Effective January 1, 2014.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

2. Population Health Factor (PHF)
    We include the population health factor in the methodology to 
account for the potential differences in the average health status 
between BHP enrollees and persons enrolled in the Marketplace. To the 
extent that BHP enrollees would have been enrolled in the Marketplace 
in the absence of BHP in a state, the inclusion of those BHP enrollees 
in the Marketplace may affect the average health status of the overall 
population and the expected QHP premiums.
    We currently do not believe that there is evidence that the BHP 
population would have better or poorer health status than the 
Marketplace population. At this time, there is a lack of experience 
available in the Marketplace that limits the ability to analyze the 
health differences between these groups of enrollees. In addition, 
differences in population health may vary across states. Thus, at this 
time, we believe that it is not feasible to develop a methodology to 
make a prospective adjustment to the population health factor that is 
reliably accurate.
    Given these analytic challenges and the limited data about 
Marketplace coverage and the characteristics of BHP-eligible consumers 
that will be available by the time we establish federal payment rates 
for 2016, we believe that the most appropriate adjustment for 2016 
would be 1.00.
    In the 2015 payment methodology, we included an option for states 
to include a retrospective population health status adjustment. 
Similarly, we will provide the states with the same option for the 2016 
payment methodology, as described further in section III.G of this 
methodology, to include a retrospective population health status 
adjustment in the certified methodology, which is subject to CMS review 
and approval.
    While the statute requires consideration of risk adjustment 
payments and reinsurance payments insofar as they would have affected 
the PTC and CSRs that would have been provided to BHP-eligible 
individuals had they enrolled in QHPs, we will not require that a BHP 
program's standard health plans receive such payments. As explained in 
the BHP final rule, BHP standard health plans are not included in the 
risk adjustment program operated by HHS on behalf of states. Further, 
standard health plans do not qualify for payments from the transitional 
reinsurance program established under section 1341 of the Affordable 
Care Act.\5\ To the extent that a state operating a BHP determines 
that, because of the distinctive risk profile of BHP-eligible 
consumers, BHP standard health plans should be included in mechanisms 
that share risk with other plans in the state's individual market, the 
state would need to use other methods for achieving this goal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \5\ See 45 CFR 153.400(a)(2)(iv) (BHP standard health plans are 
not required to submit reinsurance contributions), 153.20 
(definition of ``Reinsurance-eligible plan'' as not including 
``health insurance coverage not required to submit reinsurance 
contributions''), Sec.  153.230(a) (reinsurance payments under the 
national reinsurance parameters are available only for 
``Reinsurance-eligible plans'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

3. Income (I)
    Household income is a significant determinant of the amount of the 
PTC and CSRs that are provided for persons enrolled in a QHP through 
the Marketplace. Accordingly, the BHP payment methodology incorporates 
income into the calculations of the payment rates through the use of 
income-based rate cells. We define income in accordance with the 
definition of modified adjusted gross income in 26 U.S.C. 36B(d)(2)(B) 
and consistent with the definition in 45 CFR 155.300. Income would be 
measured relative to the FPL, which is updated periodically in the 
Federal Register by the Secretary under the authority of 42 U.S.C. 
9902(2), based on annual changes in the consumer price index for all 
urban consumers (CPI-U). In this methodology, household size and income 
as a percentage of FPL would be used as factors in developing the rate 
cells. We will use the following income ranges measured as a percentage 
of FPL: \6\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \6\ These income ranges and this analysis of income apply to the 
calculation of the PTC. Many fewer income ranges and a much simpler 
analysis apply in determining the value of CSRs, as specified below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

     0-50 percent.
     51-100 percent.
     101-138 percent.
     139-150 percent.
     151-175 percent.
     176-200 percent.
    We will assume a uniform income distribution for each federal BHP 
payment cell. We believe that assuming a uniform income distribution 
for the income ranges would be reasonably accurate for the purposes of 
calculating the PTC and CSR components of the BHP payment and would 
avoid potential errors that could result if other sources of data were 
used to estimate the specific income distribution of persons who are 
eligible for or enrolled in BHP within rate cells that may be 
relatively small. Thus, when calculating the mean, or average, PTC for 
a rate cell, we will calculate the value of the PTC at each one 
percentage point interval of the income range for each federal BHP 
payment cell and then calculate the average of the PTC across all 
intervals. This calculation will rely on the PTC formula described 
below in section III.4 of this methodology.
    As the PTC for persons enrolled in QHPs will be calculated based on 
their income during the open enrollment period, and that income will be 
measured against the FPL at that time, we will adjust the FPL by 
multiplying the FPL by a projected increase in the CPI-U between the 
time that the BHP payment rates are published and the QHP open 
enrollment period, if the FPL is expected to be updated during that 
time. The projected increase in the CPI-U would be based on the 
intermediate inflation forecasts from the most recent OASDI and 
Medicare Trustees Reports.\7\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ See Table IV A1 from the 2014 reports in http://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/ReportsTrustFunds/Downloads/TR2014.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

4. Premium Tax Credit Formula (PTCF)
    The PTC amount for a person enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace 
is calculated in accordance with the methodology described in 26 U.S.C. 
36B(b)(2). The amount is equal to the lesser of the premium for the 
plan in which the person or household enrolls (the enrollment premiums) 
or adjusted premium for the applicable second lowest cost silver plan 
minus the contribution amount.
    In Equation 1 described in section III.A.1 of this methodology, we 
will use the formula described in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b) to calculate the 
contribution amount, which is needed to estimate the PTC for a person 
enrolled in a QHP on a Marketplace. This formula determines the 
contribution amount as a percentage of household income. The percentage 
is based on the FPL for the household income and family size, and is 
shown in the schedule specified in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and shown 
below. The difference between the contribution amount and the adjusted 
monthly premium for the applicable second lowest cost silver plan is 
the estimated amount of the PTC that would be provided for the enrollee 
(assuming that this amount is less than the enrollment premiums).
    The applicable percentage is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and 
26 CFR 1.36B-3(g) as the percentage that

[[Page 9644]]

applies to a taxpayer's household income that is within an income tier 
specified in the table, increasing on a sliding scale in a linear 
manner from an initial premium percentage to a final premium percentage 
specified in the table (see Table 1):

                        Table 1--Household Income
                [Expressed as a percent of poverty line]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
  In the case of household income
(expressed as a percent of poverty     The initial     The final premium
 line) within the following income       premium        percentage is--
               tier:                 percentage is--
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Up to 133%........................               2.01               2.01
133% but less than 150%...........               3.02               4.02
150% but less than 200%...........               4.02               6.34
200% but less than 250%...........               6.34               8.10
250% but less than 300%...........               8.10               9.56
300% but not more than 400%.......               9.56               9.56
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    These are the applicable percentages for CY 2015. The applicable 
percentages will be updated in future years in accordance with 26 
U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A)(ii).
5. Income Reconciliation Factor (IRF)
    For persons enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace who receive an 
advance payment of the premium tax credit (APTC), there will be an 
annual reconciliation following the end of the year to compare the 
advance payments to the correct amount of PTC based on household 
circumstances shown on the federal income tax return. Any difference 
between the latter amounts and the advance payments made during the 
year would either be paid to the taxpayer (if too little APTC was paid) 
or charged to the taxpayer as additional tax (if too much APTC was 
made, subject to any limitations in statute or regulation), as provided 
in 26 U.S.C. 36B(f).
    Section 1331(e)(2) of the Affordable Care Act specifies that an 
individual eligible for BHP may not be treated as a qualified 
individual under section 1312 eligible for enrollment in a QHP offered 
through a Marketplace. We are defining ``eligible'' to mean anyone for 
whom the state agency or the Exchange assesses or determines, based on 
the single streamlined application or renewal form, as eligible for 
enrollment in the BHP. Because enrollment in a QHP is a requirement for 
PTC for the enrolled individual's coverage, individuals determined or 
assessed as eligible for a BHP are not eligible to receive APTC 
assistance for coverage in the Marketplace. Because they do not receive 
APTC assistance, BHP enrollees, on whom the 2016 payment methodology is 
based, are not subject to the same income reconciliation as Marketplace 
consumers. Nonetheless, there may still be differences between a BHP 
enrollee's household income reported at the beginning of the year and 
the actual income over the year. These may include small changes 
(reflecting changes in hourly wage rates, hours worked per week, and 
other fluctuations in income during the year) and large changes 
(reflecting significant changes in employment status, hourly wage 
rates, or substantial fluctuations in income). There may also be 
changes in household composition. Thus, we believe that using 
unadjusted income as reported prior to the BHP program year may result 
in calculations of estimated PTC that are inconsistent with the actual 
incomes of BHP enrollees during the year. Even if the BHP program 
adjusts household income determinations and corresponding claims of 
federal payment amounts based on household reports during the year or 
data from third-party sources, such adjustments may not fully capture 
the effects of tax reconciliation that BHP enrollees would have 
experienced had they been enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace and 
received APTC assistance.
    Therefore, we are including in Equation 1 an income adjustment 
factor that would account for the difference between calculating 
estimated PTC using: (a) Income relative to FPL as determined at 
initial application and potentially revised mid-year, under 600.320, 
for purposes of determining BHP eligibility and claiming federal BHP 
payments; and (b) actual income relative to FPL received during the 
plan year, as it would be reflected on individual federal income tax 
returns. This adjustment will prospectively estimate the average effect 
of income reconciliation aggregated across the BHP population had those 
BHP enrollees been subject to tax reconciliation after receiving APTC 
assistance for coverage provided through QHPs. For 2016, we will 
estimate reconciliation effects based on tax data for 2 years, 
reflecting income and tax unit composition changes over time among BHP-
eligible individuals.
    The OTA maintains a model that combines detailed tax and other 
data, including Marketplace enrollment and PTC claimed, to project 
Marketplace premiums, enrollment, and tax credits. For each enrollee, 
this model compares the APTC based on household income and family size 
estimated at the point of enrollment with the PTC based on household 
income and family size reported at the end of the tax year. The former 
reflects the determination using enrollee information furnished by the 
applicant and tax data furnished by the IRS. The latter would reflect 
the PTC eligibility based on information on the tax return, which would 
have been determined if the individual had not enrolled in BHP. The 
ratio of the reconciled PTC to the initial estimation of PTC will be 
used as the income reconciliation factor in Equation (1) for estimating 
the PTC portion of the BHP payment rate.
    For 2016, OTA has estimated that the income reconciliation factor 
for states that have implemented the Medicaid eligibility expansion to 
cover adults up to 133 percent of the FPL will be 100.25 percent, and 
for states that have not implemented the Medicaid eligibility expansion 
and do not cover adults up to 133 percent of the FPL will be 100.24 
percent. For 2015, we used the average of the factors for the two 
groups of states. For 2016, the values of the factors for the two 
groups of states are within 0.01 percentage point of each other. 
Because the values are within 0.01 percentage point, we will use the 
greater of two factors (100.25 percent) rather than the average.
6. Tobacco Rating Adjustment Factor (TRAF)
    As previously described, the reference premium is estimated, for 
purposes of determining both the PTC and related

[[Page 9645]]

federal BHP payments, based on premiums charged for non-tobacco users, 
including in states that allow premium variations based on tobacco use, 
as provided in 42 U.S.C. 300gg (a)(1)(A)(iv). In contrast, as described 
in 45 CFR 156.430, the CSR advance payments are based on the total 
premium for a policy, including any adjustment for tobacco use. 
Accordingly, we will incorporate a tobacco rating adjustment factor 
into Equation 2 that reflects the average percentage increase in health 
care costs that results from tobacco use among the BHP-eligible 
population and that would not be reflected in the premium charged to 
non-users. This factor will also take into account the estimated 
proportion of tobacco users among BHP-eligible consumers.
    To estimate the average effect of tobacco use on health care costs 
(not reflected in the premium charged to non-users), we will calculate 
the ratio between premiums that silver level QHPs charge for tobacco 
users to the premiums they charge for non-tobacco users at selected 
ages. To calculate estimated proportions of tobacco users, we will use 
data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to 
estimate tobacco utilization rates by state and relevant population 
characteristic.\8\ For each state, we will calculate the tobacco usage 
rate based on the percentage of persons by age who use cigarettes and 
the percentage of persons by age that use smokeless tobacco, and 
calculate the utilization rate by adding the two rates together. The 
data is available for 3 age intervals: 18-24; 25-44; and 45-64. For the 
BHP payment rate cell for persons ages 21-34, we will calculate the 
factor as (4/14 * the utilization rate of 18-24 year olds) plus (10/14 
* the utilization rate of 25-44 year olds), which would be the weighted 
average of tobacco usage for persons 21-34 assuming a uniform 
distribution of ages; for all other age ranges used for the rate cells, 
we will use the age range in the CDC data in which the BHP payment rate 
cell age range is contained.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \8\ Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tobacco Control 
State Highlights 2012: http://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/state_data/state_highlights/2012/index.htm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    We will provide tobacco rating factors that may vary by age and by 
geographic area within each state. To the extent that the second lowest 
cost silver plans have a different ratio of tobacco user rates to non-
tobacco user rates in different geographic areas, the tobacco rating 
adjustment factor may differ across geographic areas within a state. In 
addition, to the extent that the second lowest cost silver plan has a 
different ratio of tobacco user rates to non-tobacco user rates by age, 
or that there is a different prevalence of tobacco use by age, the 
tobacco rating adjustment factor may differ by age.
7. Factor for Removing Administrative Costs (FRAC)
    The Factor for Removing Administrative Costs represents the average 
proportion of the total premium that covers allowed health benefits, 
and we include this factor in our calculation of estimated CSRs in 
Equation 2. The product of the reference premium and the Factor for 
Removing Administrative Costs would approximate the estimated amount of 
Essential Health Benefit (EHB) claims that would be expected to be paid 
by the plan. This step is needed because the premium also covers such 
costs as taxes, fees, and QHP administrative expenses. We are setting 
this factor equal to 0.80, which is the same percentage for the factor 
to remove administrative costs for calculating CSR advance payments for 
established in the 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters.
8. Actuarial Value (AV)
    The actuarial value is defined as the percentage paid by a health 
plan of the total allowed costs of benefits, as defined under 45 CFR 
156.20. (For example, if the average health care costs for enrollees in 
a health insurance plan were $1,000 and that plan has an actuarial 
value of 70 percent, the plan would be expected to pay on average $700 
($1,000 x 0.70) for health care costs per enrollee, on average.) By 
dividing such estimated costs by the actuarial value in the 
methodology, we will calculate the estimated amount of total EHB-
allowed claims, including both the portion of such claims paid by the 
plan and the portion paid by the consumer for in-network care. (To 
continue with that same example, we would divide the plan's expected 
$700 payment of the person's EHB-allowed claims by the plan's 70 
percent actuarial value to ascertain that the total amount of EHB-
allowed claims, including amounts paid by the consumer, is $1,000.)
    For the purposes of calculating the CSR rate in Equation 2, we will 
use the standard actuarial value of the silver level plans in the 
individual market, which is equal to 70 percent.
9. Induced Utilization Factor (IUF)
    The induced utilization factor will be used as a factor in 
calculating estimated CSRs in Equation 2 to account for the increase in 
health care service utilization associated with a reduction in the 
level of cost sharing a QHP enrollee would have to pay, based on the 
cost-sharing reduction subsidies provided to enrollees.
    The 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters provided 
induced utilization factors for the purposes of calculating cost-
sharing reduction advance payments for 2015. In that rule, the induced 
utilization factors for silver plan variations ranged from 1.00 to 
1.12, depending on income. Using those utilization factors, the induced 
utilization factor for all persons who would qualify for BHP based on 
their household income as a percentage of FPL is 1.12; this would 
include persons with household income between 100 percent and 200 
percent of FPL, lawfully present non-citizens below 100 percent of FPL 
who are ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration status, and 
persons with household income under 300 percent of FPL, not subject to 
any cost-sharing. Thus, consistent with last year, we will set the 
induced utilization factor equal to 1.12 for the BHP payment 
methodology.
10. Change in Actuarial Value ([Delta]AV)
    The increase in actuarial value would account for the impact of the 
cost-sharing reduction subsidies on the relative amount of EHB claims 
that would be covered for or paid by eligible persons, and we include 
it as a factor in calculating estimated CSRs in Equation 2.
    The actuarial values of QHPs for persons eligible for cost-sharing 
reduction subsidies are defined in 45 CFR 156.420(a), and eligibility 
for such subsidies is defined in 45 CFR 155.305(g)(2)(i) through (iii). 
For QHP enrollees with household incomes between 100 percent and 150 
percent of FPL, and those below 100 percent of FPL who are ineligible 
for Medicaid because of their immigration status, CSRs increase the 
actuarial value of a QHP silver plan from 70 percent to 94 percent. For 
QHP enrollees with household incomes between 150 percent and 200 
percent of FPL, CSRs increase the actuarial value of a QHP silver plan 
from 70 percent to 87 percent.
    We will apply this factor by subtracting the standard AV from the 
higher AV allowed by the applicable cost-sharing reduction. For BHP 
enrollees with household incomes at or below 150 percent of FPL, this 
factor will be 0.24 (94 percent minus 70 percent); for BHP enrollees 
with household incomes more than 150 percent but not more than 200 
percent

[[Page 9646]]

of FPL, this factor will be 0.17 (87 percent minus 70 percent).

E. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives

    There are several exceptions made for American Indians and Alaska 
Natives enrolled in QHPs through a Marketplace to calculate the PTC and 
CSRs. Thus, we will make adjustments to the payment methodology 
described above to be consistent with the Marketplace rules.
    We will make the following adjustments:
    1. The adjusted reference premium for use in the CSR portion of the 
rate will be the lowest cost bronze plan instead of the second lowest 
cost silver plan, with the same adjustment for the population health 
factor (and in the case of a state that elects to use the 2015 premiums 
as the basis of the federal BHP payment, the same adjustment for the 
premium trend factor). American Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible 
for CSRs with any metal level plan, and thus we believe that eligible 
persons would be more likely to select a bronze level plan instead of a 
silver level plan. (It is important to note that the assumption that 
American Indians and Alaska Natives would enroll in a bronze plan would 
not necessarily change the PTC, as the PTC amount calculated as part of 
the BHP payment methodology is the maximum possible PTC payment, which 
is always based on the applicable second lowest cost silver plan. In 
actuality, the PTC payment that would be made in for an individual 
enrolled in a QHP cannot exceed the total premium. It is possible that 
some bronze plan premiums would be less than the maximum PTC payment, 
but we have not made any adjustment in the methodology for this. We 
believe that this assumption would have a negligible impact on the BHP 
payment.)
    2. The actuarial value for use in the CSR portion of the rate will 
be 0.60 instead of 0.70, which is consistent with the actuarial value 
of a bronze level plan.
    3. The induced utilization factor for use in the CSR portion of the 
rate will be 1.15, which is consistent with the 2015 HHS Notice of 
Benefit and Payment Parameters induced utilization factor for 
calculating advance CSR payments for persons enrolled in bronze level 
plans and eligible for CSRs up to 100 percent of actuarial value.
    4. The change in the actuarial value for use in the CSR portion of 
the rate will be 0.40. This reflects the increase from 60 percent 
actuarial value of the bronze plan to 100 percent actuarial value, as 
American Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible to receive CSRs up to 
100 percent of actuarial value.

F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments

    In the interest of allowing states greater certainty in the total 
BHP federal payments for 2016, we will provide states the option to 
have their final 2016 federal BHP payment rates calculated using the 
projected 2016 adjusted reference premium (that is, using 2015 premium 
data multiplied by the premium trend factor defined below), as 
described in Equation (3b).
    For a state that elects to use the 2015 premium as the basis for 
the 2016 BHP federal payment, the state must inform CMS no later than 
May 15, 2015.
    For Equation (3b), we define the premium trend factor as follows:
    Premium Trend Factor (PTF): In Equation (3b), we calculate an 
adjusted reference premium (ARP) based on the application of certain 
relevant variables to the RP, including a PTF. In the case of a state 
that would elect to use the 2015 premiums as the basis for determining 
the BHP payment, it would be appropriate to apply a factor that would 
account for the change in health care costs between the year of the 
premium data and the BHP plan year. We define this as the premium trend 
factor in the BHP payment methodology. This factor will approximate the 
change in health care costs per enrollee, which would include, but not 
be limited to, changes in the price of health care services and changes 
in the utilization of health care services. This provides an estimate 
of the adjusted monthly premium for the applicable second lowest cost 
silver plan that would be more accurate and reflective of health care 
costs in the BHP program year, which will be the year following 
issuance of the final federal payment notice. In addition, we believe 
that it would be appropriate to adjust the trend factor for the 
estimated impact of changes to the transitional reinsurance program on 
the average QHP premium.
    We will use the annual growth rate in private health insurance 
expenditures per enrollee from the National Health Expenditure 
projections, developed by CMS' Office of the Actuary (http://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/NationalHealthAccountsProjected.html, 
Table 17--Health Insurance Enrollment and Enrollment Growth Rates). For 
2016, the projected increase in private health insurance premiums per 
enrollee is 3.9 percent.
    The adjustment for changes in the transitional reinsurance program 
is developed from analysis by CMS' Center for Consumer Information and 
Insurance Oversight (CCIIO). In unpublished analysis, CCIIO estimated 
that the transitional reinsurance program would reduce QHP premiums in 
2015 on average by 7.9 percent and in 2016 by 4.4 percent, as the 
amount of funding in the reinsurance program decreases. Based on these 
analyses, we estimate that the changes in the transitional reinsurance 
program would lead to an increase of 3.8 percent in average QHP 
premiums between 2015 and 2016: (1-0.044)/(1-0.079)-1 = 3.8 percent.
    Combining these two factors together, we calculate that the premium 
trend factor for 2016 would be 7.8 percent (1 + 0.039) x (1 + 0.038)-1 
= 7.8 percent.
    States may want to consider that the increase in premiums for QHPs 
from 2015 to 2016 may differ from the premium trend factor developed 
for the BHP funding methodology for several reasons. In particular, 
states may want to consider that the second lowest cost silver plan for 
2015 may not be the same as the second lowest cost silver plan in 2016. 
This may lead to the premium trend factor being greater than or less 
than the actual change in the premium of the second lowest cost silver 
plan in 2015 compared to the premium of the second lowest cost silver 
plan in 2016.

G. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk 
Adjustment in Certified Methodology

    To determine whether the potential difference in health status 
between BHP enrollees and consumers in the Marketplace would affect the 
PTC, CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance payments that would have 
otherwise been made had BHP enrollees been enrolled in coverage on the 
Marketplace, we will provide states implementing the BHP the option to 
propose and to implement, as part of the certified methodology, a 
retrospective adjustment to the federal BHP payments to reflect the 
actual value that would be assigned to the population health factor (or 
risk adjustment) based on data accumulated during program year 2016 for 
each rate cell.
    We acknowledge that there is uncertainty with respect to this 
factor due to the lack of experience of QHPs on the Marketplace and 
other payments related to the Marketplace, which is why, absent a state 
election, we will use a value for the population health factor to 
determine a prospective payment rate which assumes no difference in the 
health status of BHP enrollees and QHP

[[Page 9647]]

enrollees. There is considerable uncertainty regarding whether the BHP 
enrollees will pose a greater risk or a lesser risk compared to the QHP 
enrollees, how to best measure such risk, and the potential effect such 
risk would have had on PTC, CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance 
payments that would have otherwise been made had BHP enrollees been 
enrolled in coverage on the Marketplace. To the extent, however, that a 
state would develop an approved protocol to collect data and 
effectively measure the relative risk and the effect on federal 
payments, we will permit a retrospective adjustment that would measure 
the actual difference in risk between the two populations to be 
incorporated into the certified BHP payment methodology and used to 
adjust payments in the previous year.
    For a state electing the option to implement a retrospective 
population health status adjustment, we require that the state submit a 
proposed protocol to CMS, which will be subject to approval by CMS and 
would be required to be certified by CMS' Chief Actuary, in 
consultation with the OTA, as part of the BHP payment methodology. We 
described the protocol for the population health status adjustment in 
guidance in Considerations for Health Risk Adjustment in the Basic 
Health Program in Program Year 2015 (http://www.medicaid.gov/Basic-Health-Program/Downloads/Risk-Adjustment-and-BHP-White-Paper.pdf). We 
require a state to submit its proposed protocol by August 1, 2015 for 
CMS approval. This submission must include descriptions of how the 
state would collect the necessary data to determine the adjustment, 
including any contracting contingences that may be in place with 
participating standard health plan issuers. We will provide technical 
assistance to states as they develop their protocols. In order to 
implement the population health status, we must approve the state's 
protocol no later than December 31, 2015. Finally, the state will be 
required to complete the population health status adjustment at the end 
of 2016 based on the approved protocol. After the end of the 2016 
program year, and once data is made available, we will review the 
state's findings, consistent with the approved protocol, and make any 
necessary adjustments to the state's federal BHP payment amount. If we 
determine that the federal BHP payments were less than they would have 
been using the final adjustment factor, we would apply the difference 
to the state's quarterly BHP trust fund deposit. If we determine that 
the federal BHP payments were more than they would have been using the 
final reconciled factor, we would subtract the difference from the next 
quarterly BHP payment to the state.

IV. Collection of Information Requirements

    The 2016 funding methodology is unchanged from the 2015 final 
methodology that published on March 12, 2014 (79 FR 13887). The 2016 
methodology does not impose any new or revised reporting, 
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure requirements, and therefore, 
does not require additional OMB review under the authority of the 
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). The 
methodology's information collection requirements and burden estimates 
are approved by OMB under control number 0938-1218 (CMS-10510).
    Consistent with the Basic Health Program's proposed and final rules 
(September 25, 2013 at 78 FR 59122 and March 12, 2014 at 79 FR 14112, 
respectively) we continue to estimate less than 10 annual respondents 
for completing the Blueprint. Consequently, the Blueprint is exempt 
from formal OMB review and approval under 5 CFR 1320.3(c).
    Finally, this action does not impose any additional reporting, 
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure requirements on qualified 
health plans or on states operating State Based Marketplaces.

V. Regulatory Impact Statement

A. Overall Impact

    We have examined the impacts of this rule as required by Executive 
Order 12866 on Regulatory Planning and Review (September 30, 1993), 
Executive Order 13563 on Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review 
(January 18, 2011), the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA) (September 19, 
1980, Pub. L. 96-354), section 1102(b) of the Act, section 202 of the 
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4, March 22, 1995) 
(UMRA), Executive Order 13132 on Federalism (August 4, 1999) and the 
Congressional Review Act (5 U.S.C. 804(2)).
    Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 direct agencies to assess all 
costs and benefits of available regulatory alternatives and, if 
regulation is necessary, to select regulatory approaches that maximize 
net benefits (including potential economic, environmental, public 
health and safety effects, distributive impacts, and equity). Section 
3(f) of Executive Order 12866 defines a ``significant regulatory 
action'' as an action that is likely to result in a rule: (1) Having an 
annual effect on the economy of $100 million or more in any 1 year, or 
adversely and materially affecting a sector of the economy, 
productivity, competition, jobs, the environment, public health or 
safety, or state, local or tribal governments or communities (also 
referred to as ``economically significant''); (2) creating a serious 
inconsistency or otherwise interfering with an action taken or planned 
by another agency; (3) materially altering the budgetary impacts of 
entitlement grants, user fees, or loan programs or the rights and 
obligations of recipients thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or policy 
issues arising out of legal mandates, the President's priorities, or 
the principles set forth in the Executive Order.
    A regulatory impact analysis (RIA) must be prepared for major rules 
with economically significant effects ($100 million or more in any 1 
year). As noted in the BHP final rule, BHP provides states the 
flexibility to establish an alternative coverage program for low-income 
individuals who would otherwise be eligible to purchase coverage 
through the Marketplace. We are uncertain as to whether the effects of 
the final rulemaking, and subsequently, this methodology, will be 
``economically significant'' as measured by the $100 million threshold, 
and hence not a major rule under the Congressional Review Act. The 
impact may depend on several factors, including the number of and which 
particular states choose to implement or continue BHP in 2016, the 
level of QHP premiums in 2015 and 2016, the number of enrollees in BHP, 
and the other coverage options for persons who would be eligible for 
BHP. In particular, while we generally expect that many enrollees would 
have otherwise been enrolled in a QHP through the Marketplace, some 
persons may have been eligible for Medicaid under a waiver or a state 
health coverage program. For those who would have enrolled in a QHP and 
thus would have received PTCs or CSRs, the federal expenditures for BHP 
would be expected to be more than offset by a reduction in federal 
expenditures for PTCs and CSRs. For those who would have been enrolled 
in Medicaid, there would likely be a smaller offset in federal 
expenditures (to account for the federal share of Medicaid 
expenditures), and for those who would have been covered in non-federal 
programs or would have been uninsured, there likely would be an 
increase in federal

[[Page 9648]]

expenditures. In accordance with the provisions of Executive Order 
12866, this methodology was reviewed by the Office of Management and 
Budget.
1. Need for the Methodology
    Section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act (codified at 42 U.S.C. 
18051) requires the Secretary to establish a BHP, and section (d)(1) 
specifically provides that if the Secretary finds that a state ``meets 
the requirements of the program established under section (a) [of 
section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act], the Secretary shall transfer 
to the State'' federal BHP payments described in section (d)(3). This 
methodology provides for the funding methodology to determine the 
federal BHP payment amounts required to implement these provisions in 
program year 2016.
2. Alternative Approaches
    Many of the factors in this methodology are specified in statute; 
therefore, we are limited in the alternative approaches we could 
consider. One area in which we had a choice was in selecting the data 
sources used to determine the factors included in the methodology. 
Except for state-specific reference premiums and enrollment data, we 
are using national rather than state-specific data. This is due to the 
lack of currently available state-specific data needed to develop the 
majority of the factors included in the methodology. We believe the 
national data will produce sufficiently accurate determinations of 
payment rates. In addition, we believe that this approach will be less 
burdensome on states. To reference premiums and enrollment data, we are 
using state-specific data rather than national data as we believe 
state-specific data will produce more accurate determinations than 
national averages.
    In addition, we considered whether or not to provide states the 
option to develop a protocol for a retrospective adjustment to the 
population health factor in 2016 as we did in the 2015 payment 
methodology. We believe that providing this option again in 2016 is 
appropriate and likely to improve the accuracy of the final payments.
    We also considered whether or not to require the use of 2015 or 
2016 QHP premiums to develop the 2016 federal BHP payment rates. We 
believe that the payment rates can still be developed accurately using 
either the 2015 or 2016 QHP premiums and that it is appropriate to 
provide the states the option, given the interests and specific 
considerations each state may have in operating the BHP.
3. Transfers
    The provisions of this methodology are designed to determine the 
amount of funds that will be transferred to states offering coverage 
through a BHP rather than to individuals eligible for premium and cost-
sharing reductions for coverage purchased on the Marketplace. We are 
uncertain what the total federal BHP payment amounts to states will be 
as these amounts will vary from state to state due to the varying 
nature of state composition. For example, total federal BHP payment 
amounts may be greater in more populous states simply by virtue of the 
fact that they have a larger BHP-eligible population and total payment 
amounts are based on actual enrollment. Alternatively, total federal 
BHP payment amounts may be lower in states with a younger BHP-eligible 
population as the reference premium used to calculate the federal BHP 
payment will be lower relative to older BHP enrollees. While state 
composition will cause total federal BHP payment amounts to vary from 
state to state, we believe that the methodology accounts for these 
variations to ensure accurate BHP payment transfers are made to each 
state.

B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act

    Section 202 of the UMRA requires that agencies assess anticipated 
costs and benefits before issuing any rule whose mandates require 
spending in any 1 year of $100 million in 1995 dollars, updated 
annually for inflation, by state, local, or tribal governments, in the 
aggregate, or by the private sector. In 2014, that threshold is 
approximately $141 million. States have the option, but are not 
required, to establish a BHP. Further, the methodology would establish 
federal payment rates without requiring states to provide the Secretary 
with any data not already required by other provisions of the 
Affordable Care Act or its implementing regulations. Thus, this payment 
methodology does not mandate expenditures by state governments, local 
governments, or tribal governments.

C. Regulatory Flexibility Act

    The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.) (RFA) 
requires agencies to prepare an initial regulatory flexibility analysis 
to describe the impact of the proposed rule on small entities, unless 
the head of the agency can certify that the rule will not have a 
significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities. 
The Act generally defines a ``small entity'' as (1) a proprietary firm 
meeting the size standards of the Small Business Administration (SBA); 
(2) a not-for-profit organization that is not dominant in its field; or 
(3) a small government jurisdiction with a population of less than 
50,000. Individuals and states are not included in the definition of a 
small entity. Few of the entities that meet the definition of a small 
entity as that term is used in the RFA would be impacted directly by 
this methodology.
    Because this methodology is focused on the funding methodology that 
will be used to determine federal BHP payment rates, it does not 
contain provisions that would have a significant direct impact on 
hospitals, and other health care providers that are designated as small 
entities under the RFA. We cannot determine whether this methodology 
would have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of 
small entities.
    Section 1102(b) of the Act requires us to prepare a regulatory 
impact analysis if a may have a significant economic impact on the 
operations of a substantial number of small rural hospitals. For 
purposes of section 1102(b) of the Act, we define a small rural 
hospital as a hospital that is located outside of a metropolitan 
statistical area and has fewer than 100 beds. As indicated in the 
preceding discussion, there may be indirect positive effects from 
reductions in uncompensated care. Again, we cannot determine whether 
this methodology would have a significant economic impact on a 
substantial number of small rural hospitals, and we request public 
comment on this issue.

D. Federalism

    Executive Order 13132 establishes certain requirements that an 
agency must meet when it promulgates a proposed rule (and subsequent 
final rule) that imposes substantial direct effects on states, preempts 
state law, or otherwise has federalism implications. The BHP is 
entirely optional for states, and if implemented in a state, provides 
access to a pool of funding that would not otherwise be available to 
the state.

    Dated: February 4, 2015.
Marilyn Tavenner,
Administrator, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.
    Dated: February 13, 2015.
Sylvia M. Burwell,
Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services.
[FR Doc. 2015-03662 Filed 2-19-15; 11:15 am]
BILLING CODE 4120-01-P



                                            9636                 Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                               TABLE 51—ESTIMATED IMPACT OF THE CY 2015 UPDATE TO THE ASC PAYMENT SYSTEM ON AGGREGATE PAYMENTS
                                                                              FOR SELECTED PROCEDURES—Continued

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Estimated CY   Estimated CY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2014 ASC
                                              CPT/HCPCS code                                                                       Short descriptor                                                                                2015 percent
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    payments (in      change
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      millions)

                                                         (1)                                                                                 (2)                                                                        (3)            (4)

                                            64635 .........................   Destroy lumb/sac facet jnt ...............................................................................................                      45             ¥5
                                            63650 .........................   Implant neuroelectrodes ..................................................................................................                      41              4
                                            G0121 ........................    Colon ca scrn not hi rsk ind ............................................................................................                       41              1
                                            64590 .........................   Insrt/redo pn/gastr stimul .................................................................................................                    38             ¥1
                                            15823 .........................   Revision of upper eyelid ..................................................................................................                     35              2
                                            63685 .........................   Insrt/redo spine n generator ............................................................................................                       34             29
                                            29827 .........................   Arthroscop rotator cuff repr .............................................................................................                      34              1
                                            64721 .........................   Carpal tunnel surgery ......................................................................................................                    32             ¥1
                                            29881 .........................   Knee arthroscopy/surgery ................................................................................................                       30             ¥1
                                            29824 .........................   Shoulder arthroscopy/surgery ..........................................................................................                         27              1
                                            29880 .........................   Knee arthroscopy/surgery ................................................................................................                       25             ¥1
                                            43235 .........................   Uppr gi endoscopy diagnosis ..........................................................................................                          23             10
                                            62310 .........................   Inject spine c/t ..................................................................................................................             23              0
                                            29823 .........................   Shoulder arthroscopy/surgery ..........................................................................................                         22              1
                                            52000 .........................   Cystoscopy ......................................................................................................................               22              1
                                            G0260 ........................    Inj for sacroiliac jt anesth .................................................................................................                  21              0
                                            45384 .........................   Lesion remove colonoscopy ............................................................................................                          21              7
                                            67042 .........................   Vit for macular hole .........................................................................................................                  21              1
                                            26055 .........................   Incise finger tendon sheath .............................................................................................                       19             ¥2


                                              Dated: February 18, 2015.                                            FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                                           Acronyms
                                            C’Reda Weeden,                                                         Christopher Truffer, (410) 786–1264;                                         To assist the reader, the following
                                            Executive Secretary to the Department,                                 Stephanie Kaminsky (410) 786–4653.                                         acronyms are used in this document.
                                            Department of Health and Human Services.                               SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                                                 DAV Change in Actuarial Value
                                            [FR Doc. 2015–03760 Filed 2–23–15; 8:45 am]                                                                                                       APTC Advance payment of the premium
                                                                                                                   Table of Contents                                                            tax credit
                                            BILLING CODE 4120–01–P
                                                                                                                   I. Background                                                              ARP Adjusted reference premium
                                                                                                                   II. Summary of Proposed Provisions and                                     AV Actuarial value
                                                                                                                         Analysis of and Responses to Public                                  BHP Basic Health Program
                                            DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND
                                                                                                                         Comments on the Proposed Methodology                                 CCIIO CMS’ Center for Consumer
                                            HUMAN SERVICES                                                                                                                                      Information and Insurance Oversight
                                                                                                                      A. Background
                                                                                                                      B. Overview of the Funding Methodology                                  CDC Centers for Disease Control and
                                            Centers for Medicare & Medicaid                                              and Calculation of the Payment Amount                                  Prevention
                                            Services                                                                  C. Required Rate Cells                                                  CHIP Children’s Health Insurance Program
                                                                                                                      D. Sources and State Data Considerations                                CPI–U Consumer price index for all urban
                                            42 CFR Part 600                                                           E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in                               consumers
                                                                                                                         Payment Equations                                                    CSR Cost-sharing reduction
                                            [CMS–2391–FN]                                                             F. Adjustments for American Indians and                                 EHB Essential Health Benefit
                                                                                                                         Alaska Natives                                                       FPL Federal poverty line
                                                                                                                      G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP                                         FRAC Factor for removing administrative
                                            RIN 0938–ZB18                                                                Premiums for BHP Payments                                              costs
                                                                                                                      H. State Option To Include Retrospective                                IRF Income reconciliation factor
                                            Basic Health Program; Federal                                                State-Specific Health Risk Adjustment in                             IRS Internal Revenue Service
                                            Funding Methodology for Program                                              Certified Methodology                                                IUF Induced utilization factor
                                            Year 2016                                                              III. Provisions of the Final Methodology                                   QHP Qualified health plan
                                                                                                                      A. Overview of the Funding Methodology                                  OTA Office of Tax Analysis [of the U.S.
                                            AGENCY:  Centers for Medicare &                                              and Calculation of the Payment Amount                                  Department of Treasury]
                                            Medicaid Services (CMS), HHS.                                             B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells                                       PHF Population health factor
                                            ACTION: Final methodology.                                                C. Sources and State Data Considerations                                PTC Premium tax credit
                                                                                                                      D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in                             PTCF Premium tax credit formula
                                            SUMMARY:    This document provides the                                       Payment Equations                                                    PTF Premium trend factor
                                                                                                                      E. Adjustments for American Indians and                                 RP Reference premium
                                            methodology and data sources necessary                                       Alaska Natives                                                       SBM State Based Marketplace
                                            to determine federal payment amounts                                      F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP                                         TRAF Tobacco rating adjustment factor
                                            made in program year 2016 to states that                                     Premiums for BHP Payments
                                            elect to establish a Basic Health Program                                 G. State Option To Include Retrospective                                I. Background
                                            under the Affordable Care Act to offer                                       State-Specific Health Risk Adjustment in                                The Patient Protection and Affordable
tkelley on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with RULES




                                            health benefits coverage to low-income                                       Certified Methodology                                                Care Act (Pub. L. 111–148, enacted on
                                            individuals otherwise eligible to                                      IV. Collection of Information Requirements
                                                                                                                   V. Regulatory Impact Statement
                                                                                                                                                                                              March 23, 2010), together with the
                                            purchase coverage through Affordable                                                                                                              Health Care and Education
                                                                                                                      A. Overall Impact
                                            Insurance Exchanges.                                                      B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act                                         Reconciliation Act of 2010 (Pub. L. 111–
                                            DATES: These regulations are effective                                    C. Regulatory Flexibility Act                                           152, enacted on March 30, 2010)
                                            on January 1, 2016.                                                       D. Federalism                                                           (collectively referred as the Affordable


                                       VerDate Sep<11>2014       16:15 Feb 23, 2015       Jkt 235001      PO 00000        Frm 00046       Fmt 4700       Sfmt 4700      E:\FR\FM\24FER1.SGM              24FER1


                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations                                          9637

                                            Care Act) provides for the establishment                eligibility and enrollment, benefits, cost-             Under section 1331(d)(3)(ii) of the
                                            of Affordable Insurance Exchanges                       sharing requirements and oversight                    Affordable Care Act, the funding
                                            (Exchanges, also called the Health                      activities. While the BHP final rule                  methodology and payment rates are
                                            Insurance Marketplace) that provide                     codifies the overall statutory                        expressed as an amount per BHP
                                            access to affordable health insurance                   requirements and basic procedural                     enrollee for each month of enrollment.
                                            coverage offered by qualified health                    framework for the funding methodology,                These payment rates may vary based on
                                            plans (QHPs). Individuals who enroll, or                it does not contain the specific                      categories or classes of enrollees. Actual
                                            whose family member enrolls, in a QHP                   information necessary to determine                    payment to a state would depend on the
                                            cannot be eligible for health coverage                  federal payments. We anticipated that                 actual enrollment in coverage through
                                            under other federally supported health                  the methodology would be based on                     the state BHP. A state that is approved
                                            benefits programs or through affordable                 data and assumptions that would reflect               to implement BHP must provide data
                                            employer-sponsored insurance coverage                   ongoing operations and experience of                  showing quarterly enrollment in the
                                            and have incomes above 100 percent but                  BHP programs, as well as the operation                various federal BHP payment rate cells.
                                            no more than 400 percent of the federal                 of the Marketplaces. For this reason, the             The data submission requirements
                                            poverty line (FPL), or have income                      BHP final rule indicated that the                     associated with this will be published
                                            below that level but be lawfully present                development and publication of the                    subsequent to the proposed
                                            non-citizens ineligible for Medicaid                    funding methodology, including any                    methodology.
                                            because of immigration status.                          data sources, would be addressed in a
                                            Individuals enrolled through                            separate annual BHP Payment Notice.                   II. Summary of Proposed Provisions
                                            Marketplaces in coverage offered by                        In the BHP final rule, we specified                and Analysis of and Responses to
                                            QHPs may qualify for the federal                        that the BHP Payment Notice process                   Public Comments on the Proposed
                                            premium tax credit (PTC) or federally-                  would include the annual publication of               Methodology
                                            funded cost-sharing reductions (CSRs)                   both a proposed and final BHP Payment
                                            based on their household income, to                     Notice. The proposed BHP Payment                        The following sections, arranged by
                                            make coverage affordable.                               Notice would be published in the                      subject area, include a summary of the
                                               In the states that elect to operate a                Federal Register each October, and                    public comments that we received, and
                                            Basic Health Program (BHP), BHP will                    would describe the proposed                           our responses. For a complete and full
                                            make affordable health benefits coverage                methodology for the upcoming BHP                      description of the BHP proposed
                                            available for individuals under age 65                  program year, including how the                       funding methodology, see the ‘‘Basic
                                            with household incomes between 133                                                                            Health Program; Federal Funding
                                                                                                    Secretary considered the factors
                                            percent and 200 percent of the FPL who                                                                        Methodology for Program Year 2016’’
                                                                                                    specified in section 1331(d)(3) of the
                                            are not otherwise eligible for Medicaid,                                                                      proposed methodology published in the
                                                                                                    Affordable Care Act, along with the
                                            the Children’s Health Insurance                                                                               October 23, 2014 Federal Register (79
                                                                                                    proposed data sources used to
                                            Program (CHIP), or affordable employer-                                                                       FR 63363).
                                                                                                    determine the federal BHP payment
                                            sponsored coverage. (For those states
                                                                                                    rates. The final BHP Payment Notice                     We received a total of 3 timely
                                            that have expanded Medicaid coverage
                                                                                                    would be published in the Federal                     comments from individuals and groups
                                            under section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i)(VIII) of
                                                                                                    Register in February, and would include               advocating on behalf of consumers and
                                            the Social Security Act (the Act), the
                                                                                                    the final BHP funding methodology, as                 health care providers. The public
                                            lower income threshold for BHP
                                            eligibility is effectively 138 percent due              well as the federal BHP payment rates                 comments received ranged from general
                                            to the application of a required 5                      for the next BHP program year. For                    support or opposition to the proposed
                                            percent income disregard in                             example, payment rates published in                   methodology and BHP to specific
                                            determining the upper limits of                         February 2015 would apply to BHP                      comments regarding the proposed
                                            Medicaid income eligibility (section                    program year 2016, beginning in January               methodological factors.
                                            1902(e)(14)(I) of the Act).) Federal                    2016. As discussed in section III.C of
                                                                                                    this methodology, state data needed to                A. Background
                                            funding will be available for BHP based
                                            on the amount of PTC and CSRs that                      calculate the federal BHP payment rates
                                                                                                                                                            In the October 23, 2014 (79 FR 63363)
                                            BHP enrollees would have received had                   for the final BHP Payment Notice must
                                                                                                    be submitted to CMS.                                  proposed methodology, we specified the
                                            they been enrolled in QHPs through                                                                            methodology of how the federal BHP
                                            Marketplaces.                                              As described in the BHP final rule,
                                                                                                                                                          payments would be calculated. For
                                               In the March 12, 2014 Federal                        once the final methodology has been
                                                                                                                                                          specific discussions, please refer to the
                                            Register (79 FR 14112), we published a                  published, we will only make
                                                                                                                                                          October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
                                            final rule entitled the ‘‘Basic Health                  modifications to the BHP funding
                                                                                                    methodology on a prospective basis                    (79 FR 63363).
                                            Program; State Administration of Basic
                                            Health Programs; Eligibility and                        with limited exceptions. The BHP final                  We received the following comments
                                            Enrollment in Standard Health Plans;                    rule provided that retrospective                      on the background information included
                                            Essential Health Benefits in Standard                   adjustments to the state’s BHP payment                in the proposed methodology:
                                            Health Plans; Performance Standards for                 amount may occur to the extent that the                 Comment: Some commenters
                                            Basic Health Programs; Premium and                      prevailing BHP funding methodology                    expressed general opposition to BHP
                                            Cost Sharing for Basic Health Programs;                 for a given program year permits                      and the payment methodology.
                                            Federal Funding Process; Trust Fund                     adjustments to a state’s federal BHP
                                                                                                    payment amount due to insufficient                      Response: The comments were
                                            and Financial Integrity’’ (hereinafter
                                            referred to as the BHP final rule)                      data for prospective determination of                 outside the scope of the BHP program
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                                            implementing section 1331 of the                        the relevant factors specified in the                 and payment methodology.
                                            Affordable Care Act), which directs the                 payment notice. Additional adjustments                  Final Decision: After careful
                                            establishment of BHP. The BHP final                     could be made to the payment rates to                 consideration of the public comments,
                                            rule establishes the standards for state                correct errors in applying the                        we are finalizing our proposed
                                            and federal administration of BHP,                      methodology (such as mathematical                     methodology for how the federal BHP
                                            including provisions regarding                          errors).                                              payments will be calculated.


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                                            9638             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                            B. Overview of the Funding                              seeking to offer coverage through a                   and are finalizing the BHP methodology
                                            Methodology and Calculation of the                      Marketplace to determine the federal                  as proposed.
                                            Payment Amount                                          BHP payment cell rates. However, in
                                                                                                                                                          H. State Option To Include
                                               We proposed in the overview of the                   states operating a State Based
                                                                                                                                                          Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
                                            funding methodology to calculate the                    Marketplace (SBM), we proposed that
                                                                                                                                                          Adjustment in Certified Methodology
                                            PTC and CSR as consistently as possible                 such states submit required data for
                                                                                                    CMS to calculate the federal BHP                        In this section, we proposed to
                                            and in general alignment with the
                                                                                                    payment rates in those states. For                    provide states implementing BHP the
                                            methodology used by Marketplaces to
                                                                                                    specific discussions, please refer to the             option to develop a methodology to
                                            calculate the advance payments of the
                                                                                                    October 23, 2014 proposed methodology                 account for the impact that including
                                            PTC and CSR, and by the Internal
                                                                                                    (79 FR 63363).                                        the BHP population in the Marketplace
                                            Revenue Service (IRS) to calculate the
                                                                                                       We did not receive any comments on                 would have had on QHP premiums
                                            final PTC. We proposed in this section
                                                                                                    the ‘‘Sources and State Data                          based on any differences in health status
                                            four equations that comprise the overall
                                                                                                    Considerations’’ section and are                      between the BHP population and
                                            BHP funding methodology. For specific
                                                                                                    finalizing the BHP methodology as                     persons enrolled through the
                                            discussions, please refer to the October
                                                                                                    proposed.                                             Marketplace. For specific discussions,
                                            23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR
                                                                                                                                                          please refer to the October 23, 2014
                                            63363).                                                 E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used              proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
                                               We received no comments regarding                    in Payment Equations                                    We did not receive any comments on
                                            the overview of the funding                               In this section, we proposed 11                     the ‘‘State Option to Include
                                            methodology and calculation of the                      specific variables to use in the payment              Retrospective State-specific Health Risk
                                            payment amount. We are finalizing the                   equations that comprise the overall BHP               Adjustment in Certified Methodology’’
                                            BHP overview of the funding                             funding methodology. (10 variables are                section and are finalizing the BHP
                                            methodology and the payment amount                      described in section III.D of this                    methodology as proposed.
                                            for FY 2016.                                            document, and the premium trend
                                                                                                    factor is described in section III.F.) For            III. Provisions of the Final Methodology
                                            C. Required Rate Cells
                                                                                                    each proposed variable, we included a                 A. Overview of the Funding
                                               In this section, we proposed that a                  discussion on the assumptions and data                Methodology and Calculation of the
                                            state implementing BHP provide us                       sources used in developing the                        Payment Amount
                                            with an estimate of the number of BHP                   variables. For specific discussions,
                                            enrollees it will enroll in the upcoming                                                                        Section 1331(d)(3) of the Affordable
                                                                                                    please refer to the October 23, 2014
                                            BHP program, by applicable rate cell, to                                                                      Care Act directs the Secretary to
                                                                                                    proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
                                            determine the federal BHP payment                                                                             consider several factors when
                                                                                                      We did not receive any comments on
                                            amounts. For each state, we proposed                                                                          determining the federal BHP payment
                                                                                                    the ‘‘Specific Variables Used in Payment
                                            using rate cells that separate the BHP                                                                        amount, which, as specified in the
                                                                                                    Equations’’ section and are finalizing
                                            population into separate cells based on                                                                       statute, must equal 95 percent of the
                                                                                                    the BHP methodology as proposed.
                                            the following five factors: age;                                                                              value of the PTC and CSRs that BHP
                                            geographic rating area; coverage status;                F. Adjustments for American Indians                   enrollees would have been provided
                                            household size; and income. For                         and Alaska Natives                                    had they enrolled in a QHP through a
                                            specific discussions, please refer to the                  We proposed to make several                        Marketplace. Thus, the BHP funding
                                            October 23, 2014 proposed methodology                   adjustments for American Indians and                  methodology is designed to calculate
                                            (79 FR 63363).                                          Alaska Natives when calculating the                   the PTC and CSRs as consistently as
                                               We received the following comment                    CSR portion of the federal BHP payment                possible and in general alignment with
                                            on the proposed rate cells:                             rate to be consistent with the                        the methodology used by Marketplaces
                                               Comment: One commenter expressed                     Marketplace rules. For specific                       to calculate the advance payments of the
                                            concern that defining geographic rating                 discussions, please refer to the October              PTC and CSRs, and by the IRS to
                                            areas as counties would not capture                     23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR                  calculate final PTCs. In general, we rely
                                            potential differences in health care costs              63363).                                               on values for factors in the payment
                                            and qualified health plan premiums in                      We did not receive any comments on                 methodology specified in statute or
                                            different parts of the county, and                      the ‘‘Adjustments for American Indians                other regulations as available, and we
                                            recommended defining the rating area                    and Alaska Natives’’ section and are                  have developed values for other factors
                                            by zip code instead.                                    finalizing the BHP methodology as                     not otherwise specified in statute, or
                                               Response: We believe that this is                    proposed.                                             previously calculated in other
                                            unlikely to have a significant impact on                                                                      regulations, to simulate the values of the
                                            the federal BHP payment. In addition,                   G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP                       PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would
                                            we believe that it would make state                     Premiums for BHP Payments                             have received if they had enrolled in
                                            operation of the program substantially                     In this section, we proposed to                    QHPs offered through a Marketplace. In
                                            more challenging.                                       provide states implementing BHP with                  accordance with section
                                               Final Decision: After careful                        the option to use the 2015 QHP                        1331(d)(3)(A)(iii) of the Affordable Care
                                            consideration of the comments, we are                   premiums multiplied by a premium                      Act, the final funding methodology
                                            finalizing the criteria and definitions of              trend factor to calculate the federal BHP             must be certified by CMS’ Chief
                                            the rate cells to determine the federal                 payment rates instead of using the 2016               Actuary, in consultation with the Office
                                            BHP payment amounts for FY 2016.                        QHP premiums. For specific                            of Tax Analysis (OTA) of the
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                                                                                                    discussions, please refer to the October              Department of the Treasury, as having
                                            D. Sources and State Data                                                                                     met the requirements of section
                                                                                                    23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR
                                            Considerations                                                                                                1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care
                                                                                                    63363).
                                              We proposed in this section to use, to                   We did not receive any comments on                 Act.
                                            the extent possible, data submitted to                  the ‘‘State Option to Use 2015 QHP                      Section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the
                                            the federal government by QHP issuers                   Premiums for BHP Payments’’ section                   Affordable Care Act specifies that the


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                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations                                          9639

                                            payment determination ‘‘shall take into                    The rate for each rate cell will be                cell for each state based on age range,
                                            account all relevant factors necessary to               calculated in two parts. The first part (as           geographic area, coverage category,
                                            determine the value of the premium tax                  described in Equation (1)) will equal 95              household size, and income range. The
                                            credits and cost-sharing reductions that                percent of the estimated PTC that would               PTC portion of the rate will be
                                            would have been provided to eligible                    have been paid if a BHP enrollee in that              calculated in a manner consistent with
                                            individuals . . . including the age and                 rate cell had instead enrolled in a QHP               the methodology used to calculate the
                                            income of the enrollee, whether the                     in the Marketplace. The second part (as               PTC for persons enrolled in a QHP, with
                                            enrollment is for self-only or family                   described in Equation (2)) will equal 95              3 adjustments. First, the PTC portion of
                                            coverage, geographic differences in                     percent of the estimated CSR payment                  the rate for each rate cell will represent
                                            average spending for health care across                 that would have been made if a BHP                    the mean, or average, expected PTC that
                                            rating areas, the health status of the                  enrollee in that rate cell had instead                all persons in the rate cell would
                                            enrollee for purposes of determining                    enrolled in a QHP in the Marketplace.                 receive, rather than being calculated for
                                            risk adjustment payments and                            These 2 parts will be added together and              each individual enrollee. Second, the
                                            reinsurance payments that would have                    the total rate for that rate cell will be             reference premium used to calculate the
                                            been made if the enrollee had enrolled                  equal to the sum of the PTC and CSR                   PTC (described in more detail later in
                                            in a qualified health plan through a                    rates.                                                the section) will be adjusted for BHP
                                            Marketplace, and whether any                               To calculate the total federal BHP                 population health status, and in the case
                                            reconciliation of the credit or cost-                   payment, Equation (1) will be used to                 of a state that elects to use 2015
                                            sharing reductions would have occurred                  calculate the estimated PTC for                       premiums for the basis of the BHP
                                            if the enrollee had been so enrolled.’’                 individuals in each rate cell and                     federal payment, for the projected
                                            The payment methodology takes each of                   Equation (2) will be used to calculate                change in the premium from the 2015 to
                                            these factors into account. This                        the estimated CSR payments for                        2016, to which the rates announced in
                                            methodology is the same as the 2015                     individuals in each rate cell. By                     the final payment methodology would
                                            payment methodology, with updated                       applying the equations separately to rate             apply. These adjustments are described
                                            values but no changes in methods.                       cells based on age, income and other                  in Equation (3a) and Equation (3b).
                                                                                                    factors, we effectively take those factors            Third, the PTC will be adjusted
                                               We have developed a methodology                      into account in the calculation. In
                                            that the total federal BHP payment                                                                            prospectively to reflect the mean, or
                                                                                                    addition, the equations take into                     average, net expected impact of income
                                            amount would be based on multiple                       account additional relevant variables
                                            ‘‘rate cells’’ in each state. Each ‘‘rate                                                                     reconciliation on the combination of all
                                                                                                    that are needed to determine the                      persons enrolled in BHP; this
                                            cell’’ represents a unique combination                  estimated PTC and CSR payments for
                                            of age range, geographic area, coverage                                                                       adjustment, as described in section
                                                                                                    individuals in each rate cell. Each of the            III.D.5 of this methodology, will account
                                            category (for example, self-only or two-                variables in the equations is defined
                                            adult coverage through BHP), household                                                                        for the impact on the PTC that would
                                                                                                    below, and further detail is provided                 have occurred had such reconciliation
                                            size, and income range as a percentage                  later in this section of the payment
                                            of FPL. Thus, there are distinct rate cells                                                                   been performed. Finally, the rate is
                                                                                                    notice.                                               multiplied by 95 percent, consistent
                                            for individuals in each coverage                           In addition, we describe how we will
                                            category within a particular age range                                                                        with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the
                                                                                                    calculate the adjusted reference
                                            who reside in a specific geographic area                                                                      Affordable Care Act. We note that in the
                                                                                                    premium (described later in this section
                                            and are in households of the same size                                                                        situation where the average income
                                                                                                    of the payment methodology) that is
                                            and income range. We note that the                                                                            contribution of an enrollee would
                                                                                                    used in Equations (1) and (2). This is
                                            development of the BHP payment rates                                                                          exceed the adjusted reference premium,
                                                                                                    defined in Equation (3a) and Equation
                                            will be consistent with each state’s rules                                                                    we will calculate the PTC to be equal to
                                                                                                    (3b).
                                            on age rating. Thus, in the case of a state                                                                   0 and would not allow the value of the
                                            that does not use age as a rating factor                Equation 1: Estimated PTC by Rate Cell                PTC to be negative.
                                            on the Marketplace, the BHP payment                       The estimated PTC, on a per enrollee                   Consistent with this description,
                                            rates would not vary by age.                            basis, will be calculated for each rate               equation (1) is defined as:




                                            PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of            IRF = Income reconciliation factor                    Federal Register on March 11, 2014
                                                   BHP payment rate                                                                                       entitled ‘‘HHS Notice of Benefit and
                                            a = Age range                                           Equation 2: Estimated CSR Payment by
                                                                                                                                                          Payment Parameters for 2015’’ final rule
                                            g = Geographic area                                     Rate Cell
                                            c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
                                                                                                                                                          (79 FR 13744), with 3 principal
                                                   category of family coverage) obtained              The CSR portion of the rate will be                 adjustments. (We will make a separate
                                                   through BHP                                      calculated for each rate cell for each                calculation that includes different
                                            h = Household size                                      state based on age range, geographic                  adjustments for American Indian/Alaska
                                            i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)                 area, coverage category, household size,              Native BHP enrollees, as described in
                                            ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium                   and income range defined as a                         section III.D.1 of this methodology.) For
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                                            Ih,i,j = Income (in dollars per month) at each          percentage of FPL. The CSR portion of                 the first adjustment, the CSR rate, like
                                                   1 percentage-point increment of FPL
                                                                                                    the rate will be calculated in a manner               the PTC rate, will represent the mean
                                            j = jth percentage-point increment FPL
                                            n = Number of income increments used to                 consistent with the methodology used to               expected CSR subsidy that would be
                                                   calculate the mean PTC                           calculate the CSR advance payments for                paid on behalf of all persons in the rate
                                            PTCFh,i,j = Premium Tax Credit Formula                  persons enrolled in a QHP, as described               cell, rather than being calculated for
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ER24FE15.000</GPH>




                                                   percentage                                       in the final rule we published in the                 each individual enrollee. Second, this


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                                            9640             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                            calculation will be based on the                        users to calculate CSR advance                        Finally, the rate will be multiplied by 95
                                            adjusted reference premium, as                          payments for tobacco users enrolled in                percent, as provided in section
                                            described in section III.A.3 of this                    a QHP. Accordingly, the equation                      1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable Care
                                            methodology. Third, this equation uses                  includes a tobacco rating adjustment                  Act.
                                            an adjusted reference premium that                      factor that would account for BHP
                                                                                                                                                            Consistent with the methodology
                                            reflects premiums charged to non-                       enrollees’ estimated tobacco-related
                                                                                                                                                          described above, equation (2) is defined
                                            tobacco users, rather than the actual                   health costs that are outside the
                                            premium that is charged to tobacco                      premium charged to non-tobacco-users.                 as:




                                            CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy           Equation 3a and Equation 3b: Adjusted                    In the case of a state that elects to use
                                                 portion of BHP payment rate                        Reference Premium Variable (Used in                   the reference premium based on the
                                            a = Age range                                           Equations 1 and 2)                                    2016 premiums, we will calculate the
                                            g = Geographic area
                                            c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable                                                                  value of the adjusted reference premium
                                                                                                       As part of these calculations for both             as specified in Equation (3a). The
                                                 category of family coverage) obtained
                                                                                                    the PTC and CSR components, the value
                                                 through BHP                                                                                              adjusted reference premium will be
                                            h = Household size                                      of the adjusted reference premium as
                                                                                                                                                          equal to the reference premium, which
                                            i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)                 described below. Consistent with the
                                                                                                                                                          will be based on the second lowest cost
                                            ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium                   approach last year, we will allow states
                                            TRAF = Tobacco rating adjustment factor                                                                       silver plan premium in 2016, multiplied
                                                                                                    to choose between using the actual 2016
                                            FRAC = Factor removing administrative costs             QHP premiums or the 2015 QHP                          by the BHP population health factor
                                            AV = Actuarial value of plan (as percentage             premiums multiplied by the premium                    (described in section III.D of this
                                                 of allowed benefits covered by the
                                                                                                    trend factor (as described in section III.F           methodology), which will reflect the
                                                 applicable QHP without a cost-sharing                                                                    projected impact that enrolling BHP-
                                                 reduction subsidy)                                 of this methodology). Therefore, we
                                                                                                    describe below how we would calculate                 eligible individuals in QHPs on a
                                            IUFh,i = Induced utilization factor
                                            DAVh,i = Change in actuarial value (as                  the adjusted reference premium under                  Marketplace would have had on the
                                                 percentage of allowed benefits)                    each option.                                          average QHP premium.




                                            ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium                   III.F of this methodology), we will                   that enrolling BHP-eligible individuals
                                            a = Age range                                           calculate the value of the adjusted                   in QHPs on a Marketplace would have
                                            g = Geographic area                                     reference premium as specified in                     had on the average QHP premium, and
                                            c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable            Equation (3b). The adjusted reference
                                                 category of family coverage) obtained                                                                    by the premium trend factor, which will
                                                 through BHP
                                                                                                    premium will be equal to the reference                reflect the projected change in the
                                            RPa,g,c = Reference premium                             premium, which will be based on the                   premium level between 2015 and 2016
                                            PHF = Population health factor                          second lowest cost silver plan premium                (including the estimated impact of
                                                                                                    in 2015, multiplied by the BHP                        changes resulting from the transitional
                                              In the case of a state that elects to use             population health factor (described in                reinsurance program established in
                                            the reference premium based on the                      section III.D of this methodology),
                                                                                                                                                          section 1341 of the Affordable Care Act).
                                            2015 premiums (as described in section                  which will reflect the projected impact




                                            ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium                   PTF = Premium trend factor                            BHP enrollees in that cell (that is, the
                                            a = Age range                                                                                                 number of enrollees that meet the
                                                                                                    Equation 4: Determination of Total
                                                                                                                                                                                                         ER24FE15.004</GPH>
                                            g = Geographic area
                                                                                                    Monthly Payment for BHP Enrollees in                  criteria for each rate cell) to calculate
                                            c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
                                                 category of family coverage) obtained              Each Rate Cell                                        the total monthly BHP payment. This
                                                 through BHP                                                                                              calculation is shown in Equation 4
                                            RPa,g,c = Reference premium                               In general, the rate for each rate cell             below.
                                            PHF = Population health factor                          will be multiplied by the number of
                                                                                                                                                                                                         ER24FE15.003</GPH>
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                                                                                                                                                                                                         ER24FE15.001</GPH> ER24FE15.002</GPH>




                                            PMT = Total monthly BHP payment                         CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy         a = Age range
                                            PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of                  portion of BHP payment rate                     g = Geographic area
                                               BHP payment rate                                     Ea,g,c,h,i = Number of BHP enrollees



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                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations                                                     9641

                                            c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable               • Ages 0–20.                                           separate rate cells by income range, as
                                                 category of family coverage) obtained                 • Ages 21–34.                                          a percentage of FPL. The PTC that a
                                                 through BHP                                           • Ages 35–44.                                          person would receive if enrolled in a
                                            h = Household size                                         • Ages 45–54.                                          QHP varies by income, both in level and
                                            i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)                    • Ages 55–64.                                          as a ratio to the FPL, and the CSR varies
                                            B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells                          Factor 2—Geographic area: For each                     by income as a percentage of FPL. Thus,
                                                                                                    state, we will separate enrollees into                    separate rate cells will be used to
                                               We will require that a state                         rate cells by geographic areas within
                                            implementing BHP provide us an                                                                                    calculate federal BHP payment rates to
                                                                                                    which a single reference premium is                       reflect different bands of income
                                            estimate of the number of BHP enrollees                 charged by QHPs offered through the
                                            it projects will enroll in the upcoming                                                                           measured as a percentage of FPL. We
                                                                                                    state’s Marketplace. Multiple, non-                       will use the following income ranges,
                                            BHP program year, by applicable rate                    contiguous geographic areas will be
                                            cell, prior to the first quarter of program                                                                       measured as a ratio to the FPL:
                                                                                                    incorporated within a single cell, so
                                            operations. Upon our approval of such                                                                               • 0 to 50 percent of the FPL.
                                                                                                    long as those areas share a common
                                            estimates as reasonable, they will be                                                                               • 51 to 100 percent of the FPL.
                                                                                                    reference premium.2
                                            used to calculate the prospective                          Factor 3—Coverage status: We will                        • 101 to 138 percent of the FPL.3
                                            payment for the first and subsequent                    separate enrollees into rate cells by                       • 139 to 150 percent of the FPL.
                                            quarters of program operation until the                 coverage status, reflecting whether an                      • 151 to 175 percent of the FPL.
                                            state has provided us actual enrollment                 individual is enrolled in self-only                         • 176 to 200 percent of the FPL.
                                            data. These data will be required to                    coverage or persons are enrolled in                         These rate cells will only be used to
                                            calculate the final BHP payment                         family coverage through BHP, as                           calculate the federal BHP payment
                                            amount, and make any necessary                          provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of                  amount. A state implementing BHP will
                                            reconciliation adjustments to the prior                 the Affordable Care Act. Among                            not be required to use these rate cells or
                                            quarters’ prospective payment amounts                   recipients of family coverage through                     any of the factors in these rate cells as
                                            due to differences between projected                    BHP, separate rate cells, as explained                    part of the state payment to the standard
                                            and actual enrollment. In subsequent                    below, will apply based on whether                        health plans participating in BHP or to
                                            quarters, quarterly deposits to the state’s             such coverage involves two adults alone                   help define BHP enrollees’ covered
                                            trust fund will be based on the most                    or whether it involves children.                          benefits, premium costs, or out-of-
                                            recent actual enrollment data submitted                    Factor 4—Household size: We will                       pocket cost-sharing levels.
                                            to us. Procedures will ensure that                      separate enrollees into rate cells by                       We will use averages to define federal
                                            federal payments to a state reflect actual              household size that states use to                         payment rates, both for income ranges
                                            BHP enrollment during a year, within                    determine BHP enrollees’ income as a                      and age ranges, rather than varying such
                                            each applicable category, and                           percentage of the FPL under 42 CFR                        rates to correspond to each individual
                                            prospectively determined federal                        600.320. We will require separate rate                    BHP enrollee’s age and income level.
                                            payment rates for each category of BHP                  cells for several specific household                      We believe that this approach will
                                            enrollment, with such categories                        sizes. For each additional member above                   increase the administrative feasibility of
                                            defined in terms of age range,                          the largest specified size, we will                       making federal BHP payments and
                                            geographic area, coverage status,                       publish instructions for how we will                      reduce the likelihood of inadvertently
                                            household size, and income range, as                    develop additional rate cells and                         erroneous payments resulting from
                                            explained above.                                        calculate an appropriate payment rate                     highly complex methodologies. We
                                               We will require the use of certain rate              based on data for the rate cell with the                  believe that this approach will not
                                            cells as part of the methodology. For                   closest specified household size. We                      significantly change federal payment
                                            each state, we will use rate cells that                 will publish separate rate cells for                      amounts, since within applicable
                                            separate the BHP population into                        household sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, as                  ranges; the BHP-eligible population is
                                            separate cells based on the five factors                unpublished analyses of American                          distributed relatively evenly.
                                            described below.                                        Community Survey data conducted by                        C. Sources and State Data
                                               Factor 1—Age: We will separate                       the Urban Institute, which take into                      Considerations
                                            enrollees into rate cells by age, using the             account unaccepted offers of employer-
                                            following age ranges that capture the                   sponsored insurance, as well as income,                     To the extent possible, we will use
                                            widest variations in premiums under                     Medicaid and CHIP eligibility,                            data submitted to the federal
                                            HHS’s Default Age Curve: 1                              citizenship and immigration status, and                   government by QHP issuers seeking to
                                                                                                    current health coverage status, find that                 offer coverage through a Marketplace to
                                               1 This curve is used to implement the Affordable     less than 1 percent of all BHP-eligible                   perform the calculations that determine
                                            Care Act’s 3:1 limit on age-rating in states that do    persons live in households of size 5 or                   federal BHP payment cell rates.
                                            not create an alternative rate structure to comply      greater.                                                    States operating a State Based
                                            with that limit. The curve applies to all individual       Factor 5—Income: For households of                     Marketplace in the individual market,
                                            market plans, both within and outside the
                                            Exchange. The age bands capture the principal           each applicable size, we will create                      however, must provide certain data,
                                            allowed age-based variations in premiums as                                                                       including premiums for second lowest
                                            permitted by this curve. More information can be        Software, June 2, 2014, http://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/         cost silver plans, by geographic area, in
                                            found at http://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/            Resources/Regulations-and-Guidance/Downloads/             order for CMS to calculate the federal
                                            Files/Downloads/market-reforms-guidance-2-25-           ra-tables-03-27-2014.xlsx.
                                            2013.pdf. Both children and adults under age 21 are        2 For example, a cell within a particular state        BHP payment rates in those states. We
                                            charged the same premium. For adults age 21–64,         might refer to ‘‘County Group 1,’’ ‘‘County Group         will require that a state operating a State
                                            the age bands in this methodology divide the total      2,’’ etc., and a table for the state would list all the   Based Marketplace and interested in
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                                            age-based premium variation into the three most         counties included in each such group. These               obtaining the applicable federal BHP
                                            equally-sized ranges (defining size by the ratio        geographic areas are consistent with the geographic
                                            between the highest and lowest premiums within          areas established under the 2014 Market Reform            payment rates for its state must submit
                                            the band) that are consistent with the age-bands        Rules. They also reflect the service area
                                            used for risk-adjustment purposes in the HHS-           requirements applicable to qualified health plans,          3 The three lowest income ranges would be

                                            Developed Risk Adjustment Model. For such age           as described in 45 CFR 155.1055, except that              limited to lawfully present immigrants who are
                                            bands, see Table 5, ‘‘Age-Sex Variables,’’ in HHS-      service areas smaller than counties are addressed as      ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration
                                            Developed Risk Adjustment Model Algorithm               explained below.                                          status.



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                                            9642             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                            such data accurately, completely, and as                in accordance with 26 U.S.C.                          distribution of ages within these ranges
                                            specified by CMS, by no later than                      36B(b)(3)(C), is defined as the adjusted              is a reasonable approach and would
                                            October 15, 2015, for CMS to calculate                  monthly premium for an applicable                     produce a reliable determination of the
                                            the applicable rates for 2016. If                       second lowest cost silver plan. The                   PTC and CSR components. We also
                                            additional state data (that is, in addition             applicable second lowest cost silver                  believe this approach would avoid
                                            to the second lowest cost silver plan                   plan is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(B)             potential inaccuracies that could
                                            premium data) are needed to determine                   as the second lowest cost silver plan of              otherwise occur in relatively small
                                            the federal BHP payment rate, such data                 the individual market in the rating area              payment cells if age distribution were
                                            must be submitted in a timely manner,                   in which the taxpayer resides, which is               measured by the number of persons
                                            and in a format specified by CMS to                     offered through the same Marketplace.                 eligible or enrolled.
                                            support the development and timely                      We will use the adjusted monthly                         We will use geographic areas based on
                                            release of annual BHP payment notices.                  premium for an applicable second                      the rating areas used in the
                                            The specifications for data collection to               lowest cost silver plan in 2016 as the                Marketplaces. We will define each
                                            support the development of BHP                          reference premium (except in the case of              geographic area so that the reference
                                            payment rates for 2016 were published                   a state that elects to use the 2015                   premium is the same throughout the
                                            in CMS guidance and are available at                    premium as the basis for the federal                  geographic area. When the reference
                                            http://www.medicaid.gov/Federal-                        BHP payment, as described in section                  premium varies within a rating area, we
                                            Policy-Guidance/Federal-Policy-                         III.F of this methodology).                           will define geographic areas as
                                            Guidance.html.                                             The reference premium will be the                  aggregations of counties with the same
                                               If a state operating a SBM provides                  premium applicable to non-tobacco                     reference premium. Although plans are
                                            the necessary data accurately,                          users. This is consistent with the                    allowed to serve geographic areas
                                            completely, and as specified by CMS,                    provision in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(C) that              smaller than counties after obtaining our
                                            but after the date specified above, we                  bases the PTC on premiums that are                    approval, no geographic area, for
                                            anticipate publishing federal payment                   adjusted for age alone, without regard to             purposes of defining BHP payment rate
                                            rates for such a state in a subsequent                  tobacco use, even for states that allow               cells, will be smaller than a county. We
                                            Payment Notice. As noted in the BHP                     insurers to vary premiums based on                    do not believe that this assumption will
                                            final rule, a state may elect to                        tobacco use pursuant to 42 U.S.C.                     have a significant impact on federal
                                            implement its BHP after a program year                  300gg(a)(1)(A)(iv).                                   payment levels and it would likely
                                            has begun. In such an instance, we                         Consistent with the policy set forth in            simplify both the calculation of BHP
                                            require that the state, if operating a                  26 CFR 1.36B–3(f)(6) to calculate the                 payment rates and the operation of BHP.
                                            SBM, submit its data no later than 30                   PTC for those enrolled in a QHP through                  Finally, in terms of the coverage
                                            days after the Blueprint submission for                 a Marketplace, we will not update the                 category, federal payment rates will
                                            CMS to calculate the applicable federal                 payment methodology, and                              only recognize self-only and two-adult
                                            payment rates. We further require that                  subsequently the federal BHP payment                  coverage, with exceptions that account
                                            the BHP Blueprint itself must be                        rates, in the event that the second                   for children who are potentially eligible
                                            submitted for Secretarial certification                 lowest cost silver plan used as the                   for BHP. First, in states that set the
                                            with an effective date of no sooner than                reference premium, or the lowest cost                 upper income threshold for children’s
                                            120 days after submission of the BHP                    silver plan, changes (that is, terminates             Medicaid and CHIP eligibility below
                                            Blueprint. In addition, the state must                  or closes enrollment during the year).                200 percent of FPL (based on modified
                                                                                                       The applicable second lowest cost                  adjusted gross income), children in
                                            ensure that its Blueprint includes a
                                                                                                    silver plan premium will be included in               households with incomes between that
                                            detailed description of how the state
                                                                                                    the BHP payment methodology by age                    threshold and 200 percent of FPL would
                                            will coordinate with other insurance                    range, geographic area, and self-only or              be potentially eligible for BHP.
                                            affordability programs to transition and                applicable category of family coverage                Currently, the only states in this
                                            transfer BHP-eligible individuals out of                obtained through BHP.                                 category are Arizona, Idaho, and North
                                            their existing QHP coverage, consistent                    American Indians and Alaska Natives                Dakota.4 Second, BHP would include
                                            with the requirements set forth in 42                   in households with incomes below 300                  lawfully present immigrant children
                                            CFR 600.330 and 600.425. We believe                     percent of the FPL are eligible for a full            with incomes at or below 200 percent of
                                            that this 120-day period is necessary to                cost sharing subsidy regardless of the                FPL in states that have not exercised the
                                            establish the requisite administrative                  plan they select (as described in                     option under the sections
                                            structures and ensure that all statutory                sections 1402(d) and 2901(a) of the                   1903(v)(4)(A)(ii) and 2107(e)(1)(E) of the
                                            and regulatory requirements are                         Affordable Care Act). We assume that                  Act to qualify all otherwise eligible,
                                            satisfied.                                              American Indians and Alaska Natives                   lawfully present immigrant children for
                                            D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used                would be more likely to enroll in bronze              Medicaid and CHIP. States that fall
                                            in Payment Equations                                    plans as a result; thus, for American                 within these exceptions would be
                                                                                                    Indian/Alaska Native BHP enrollees, we                identified based on their Medicaid and
                                            1. Reference Premium (RP)                               will use the lowest cost bronze plan as               CHIP State Plans, and the rate cells
                                               To calculate the estimated PTC that                  the basis for the reference premium for               would include appropriate categories of
                                            would be paid if individuals enrolled in                the purposes of calculating the CSR                   BHP family coverage for children. In
                                            QHPs through the Marketplace, we must                   portion (but not the PTC portion) of the              other states, BHP eligibility will
                                            calculate a reference premium (RP)                      federal BHP payment as described                      generally be restricted to adults, since
                                            because the PTC is based, in part, on the               further in section III.E of this                      children who are citizens or lawfully
                                            premiums for the applicable second                      methodology.                                          present immigrants and who live in
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                                            lowest cost silver plan as explained in                    The applicable age bracket will be one             households with incomes at or below
                                            section III.C.4 of this methodology,                    dimension of each rate cell. We will                  200 percent of FPL will qualify for
                                            regarding the Premium Tax Credit                        assume a uniform distribution of ages                 Medicaid or CHIP and thus be ineligible
                                            Formula (PTCF). Accordingly, for the                    and estimate the average premium
                                            purposes of calculating the BHP                         amount within each rate cell. We                        4 CMCS. ‘‘State Medicaid and CHIP Income

                                            payment rates, the reference premium,                   believe that assuming a uniform                       Eligibility Standards Effective January 1, 2014.’’



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                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations                                                 9643

                                            for BHP under section 1331(e)(1)(C) of                  payments from the transitional                         persons who are eligible for or enrolled
                                            the Affordable Care Act, which limits                   reinsurance program established under                  in BHP within rate cells that may be
                                            BHP to individuals who are ineligible                   section 1341 of the Affordable Care                    relatively small. Thus, when calculating
                                            for minimum essential coverage (as                      Act.5 To the extent that a state operating             the mean, or average, PTC for a rate cell,
                                            defined in section 5000A(f) of the                      a BHP determines that, because of the                  we will calculate the value of the PTC
                                            Internal Revenue Code of 1986).                         distinctive risk profile of BHP-eligible               at each one percentage point interval of
                                            2. Population Health Factor (PHF)                       consumers, BHP standard health plans                   the income range for each federal BHP
                                                                                                    should be included in mechanisms that                  payment cell and then calculate the
                                               We include the population health                     share risk with other plans in the state’s             average of the PTC across all intervals.
                                            factor in the methodology to account for                individual market, the state would need                This calculation will rely on the PTC
                                            the potential differences in the average                to use other methods for achieving this                formula described below in section III.4
                                            health status between BHP enrollees                     goal.                                                  of this methodology.
                                            and persons enrolled in the                                                                                       As the PTC for persons enrolled in
                                            Marketplace. To the extent that BHP                     3. Income (I)
                                                                                                                                                           QHPs will be calculated based on their
                                            enrollees would have been enrolled in                      Household income is a significant                   income during the open enrollment
                                            the Marketplace in the absence of BHP                   determinant of the amount of the PTC                   period, and that income will be
                                            in a state, the inclusion of those BHP                  and CSRs that are provided for persons                 measured against the FPL at that time,
                                            enrollees in the Marketplace may affect                 enrolled in a QHP through the                          we will adjust the FPL by multiplying
                                            the average health status of the overall                Marketplace. Accordingly, the BHP                      the FPL by a projected increase in the
                                            population and the expected QHP                         payment methodology incorporates                       CPI–U between the time that the BHP
                                            premiums.                                               income into the calculations of the                    payment rates are published and the
                                               We currently do not believe that there               payment rates through the use of                       QHP open enrollment period, if the FPL
                                            is evidence that the BHP population                     income-based rate cells. We define                     is expected to be updated during that
                                            would have better or poorer health                      income in accordance with the                          time. The projected increase in the CPI–
                                            status than the Marketplace population.                 definition of modified adjusted gross                  U would be based on the intermediate
                                            At this time, there is a lack of                        income in 26 U.S.C. 36B(d)(2)(B) and                   inflation forecasts from the most recent
                                            experience available in the Marketplace                 consistent with the definition in 45 CFR               OASDI and Medicare Trustees Reports.7
                                            that limits the ability to analyze the                  155.300. Income would be measured
                                            health differences between these groups                 relative to the FPL, which is updated                  4. Premium Tax Credit Formula (PTCF)
                                            of enrollees. In addition, differences in               periodically in the Federal Register by                   The PTC amount for a person enrolled
                                            population health may vary across                       the Secretary under the authority of 42                in a QHP through a Marketplace is
                                            states. Thus, at this time, we believe that             U.S.C. 9902(2), based on annual changes                calculated in accordance with the
                                            it is not feasible to develop a                         in the consumer price index for all                    methodology described in 26 U.S.C.
                                            methodology to make a prospective                       urban consumers (CPI–U). In this                       36B(b)(2). The amount is equal to the
                                            adjustment to the population health                     methodology, household size and                        lesser of the premium for the plan in
                                            factor that is reliably accurate.                       income as a percentage of FPL would be                 which the person or household enrolls
                                               Given these analytic challenges and
                                                                                                    used as factors in developing the rate                 (the enrollment premiums) or adjusted
                                            the limited data about Marketplace
                                                                                                    cells. We will use the following income                premium for the applicable second
                                            coverage and the characteristics of BHP-
                                                                                                    ranges measured as a percentage of                     lowest cost silver plan minus the
                                            eligible consumers that will be available
                                                                                                    FPL: 6                                                 contribution amount.
                                            by the time we establish federal                           • 0–50 percent.                                        In Equation 1 described in section
                                            payment rates for 2016, we believe that                    • 51–100 percent.                                   III.A.1 of this methodology, we will use
                                            the most appropriate adjustment for                        • 101–138 percent.                                  the formula described in 26 U.S.C.
                                            2016 would be 1.00.                                        • 139–150 percent.
                                               In the 2015 payment methodology, we                                                                         36B(b) to calculate the contribution
                                                                                                       • 151–175 percent.                                  amount, which is needed to estimate the
                                            included an option for states to include                   • 176–200 percent.
                                            a retrospective population health status                                                                       PTC for a person enrolled in a QHP on
                                                                                                       We will assume a uniform income                     a Marketplace. This formula determines
                                            adjustment. Similarly, we will provide                  distribution for each federal BHP
                                            the states with the same option for the                                                                        the contribution amount as a percentage
                                                                                                    payment cell. We believe that assuming                 of household income. The percentage is
                                            2016 payment methodology, as                            a uniform income distribution for the
                                            described further in section III.G of this                                                                     based on the FPL for the household
                                                                                                    income ranges would be reasonably                      income and family size, and is shown in
                                            methodology, to include a retrospective                 accurate for the purposes of calculating
                                            population health status adjustment in                                                                         the schedule specified in 26 U.S.C.
                                                                                                    the PTC and CSR components of the                      36B(b)(3)(A) and shown below. The
                                            the certified methodology, which is                     BHP payment and would avoid
                                            subject to CMS review and approval.                                                                            difference between the contribution
                                                                                                    potential errors that could result if other            amount and the adjusted monthly
                                               While the statute requires                           sources of data were used to estimate
                                            consideration of risk adjustment                                                                               premium for the applicable second
                                                                                                    the specific income distribution of                    lowest cost silver plan is the estimated
                                            payments and reinsurance payments
                                            insofar as they would have affected the                    5 See 45 CFR 153.400(a)(2)(iv) (BHP standard
                                                                                                                                                           amount of the PTC that would be
                                            PTC and CSRs that would have been                       health plans are not required to submit reinsurance
                                                                                                                                                           provided for the enrollee (assuming that
                                            provided to BHP-eligible individuals                    contributions), 153.20 (definition of ‘‘Reinsurance-   this amount is less than the enrollment
                                            had they enrolled in QHPs, we will not                  eligible plan’’ as not including ‘‘health insurance    premiums).
                                                                                                    coverage not required to submit reinsurance               The applicable percentage is defined
                                            require that a BHP program’s standard
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                                                                                                    contributions’’), § 153.230(a) (reinsurance payments
                                            health plans receive such payments. As                  under the national reinsurance parameters are
                                                                                                                                                           in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and 26 CFR
                                            explained in the BHP final rule, BHP                    available only for ‘‘Reinsurance-eligible plans’’).    1.36B–3(g) as the percentage that
                                                                                                       6 These income ranges and this analysis of
                                            standard health plans are not included
                                                                                                    income apply to the calculation of the PTC. Many         7 See Table IV A1 from the 2014 reports in
                                            in the risk adjustment program operated                 fewer income ranges and a much simpler analysis        http://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-
                                            by HHS on behalf of states. Further,                    apply in determining the value of CSRs, as specified   Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/
                                            standard health plans do not qualify for                below.                                                 ReportsTrustFunds/Downloads/TR2014.pdf.



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                                            9644                    Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                            applies to a taxpayer’s household                                         sliding scale in a linear manner from an                                   premium percentage specified in the
                                            income that is within an income tier                                      initial premium percentage to a final                                      table (see Table 1):
                                            specified in the table, increasing on a

                                                                                                                             TABLE 1—HOUSEHOLD INCOME
                                                                                                                            [Expressed as a percent of poverty line]

                                                                                                                                                                                                            The initial
                                            In the case of household income (expressed as a percent of poverty line) within the following income                                                                               The final premium
                                                                                                                                                                                                            premium
                                            tier:                                                                                                                                                                              percentage is—
                                                                                                                                                                                                            percentage is—

                                            Up to 133% ..................................................................................................................................................               2.01                2.01
                                            133% but less than 150% ...........................................................................................................................                         3.02                4.02
                                            150% but less than 200% ...........................................................................................................................                         4.02                6.34
                                            200% but less than 250% ...........................................................................................................................                         6.34                8.10
                                            250% but less than 300% ...........................................................................................................................                         8.10                9.56
                                            300% but not more than 400% ...................................................................................................................                             9.56                9.56



                                              These are the applicable percentages                                    the actual income over the year. These                                     changes over time among BHP-eligible
                                            for CY 2015. The applicable percentages                                   may include small changes (reflecting                                      individuals.
                                            will be updated in future years in                                        changes in hourly wage rates, hours                                           The OTA maintains a model that
                                            accordance with 26 U.S.C.                                                 worked per week, and other fluctuations                                    combines detailed tax and other data,
                                            36B(b)(3)(A)(ii).                                                         in income during the year) and large                                       including Marketplace enrollment and
                                                                                                                      changes (reflecting significant changes                                    PTC claimed, to project Marketplace
                                            5. Income Reconciliation Factor (IRF)
                                                                                                                      in employment status, hourly wage                                          premiums, enrollment, and tax credits.
                                               For persons enrolled in a QHP                                          rates, or substantial fluctuations in                                      For each enrollee, this model compares
                                            through a Marketplace who receive an                                      income). There may also be changes in                                      the APTC based on household income
                                            advance payment of the premium tax                                        household composition. Thus, we                                            and family size estimated at the point of
                                            credit (APTC), there will be an annual                                    believe that using unadjusted income as                                    enrollment with the PTC based on
                                            reconciliation following the end of the                                   reported prior to the BHP program year                                     household income and family size
                                            year to compare the advance payments                                      may result in calculations of estimated                                    reported at the end of the tax year. The
                                            to the correct amount of PTC based on                                     PTC that are inconsistent with the                                         former reflects the determination using
                                            household circumstances shown on the                                      actual incomes of BHP enrollees during                                     enrollee information furnished by the
                                            federal income tax return. Any                                            the year. Even if the BHP program                                          applicant and tax data furnished by the
                                            difference between the latter amounts                                     adjusts household income                                                   IRS. The latter would reflect the PTC
                                            and the advance payments made during                                      determinations and corresponding                                           eligibility based on information on the
                                            the year would either be paid to the                                      claims of federal payment amounts                                          tax return, which would have been
                                            taxpayer (if too little APTC was paid) or                                 based on household reports during the                                      determined if the individual had not
                                            charged to the taxpayer as additional tax                                 year or data from third-party sources,                                     enrolled in BHP. The ratio of the
                                            (if too much APTC was made, subject to                                    such adjustments may not fully capture                                     reconciled PTC to the initial estimation
                                            any limitations in statute or regulation),                                the effects of tax reconciliation that BHP                                 of PTC will be used as the income
                                            as provided in 26 U.S.C. 36B(f).                                          enrollees would have experienced had                                       reconciliation factor in Equation (1) for
                                               Section 1331(e)(2) of the Affordable                                   they been enrolled in a QHP through a                                      estimating the PTC portion of the BHP
                                            Care Act specifies that an individual                                     Marketplace and received APTC                                              payment rate.
                                            eligible for BHP may not be treated as                                    assistance.                                                                   For 2016, OTA has estimated that the
                                            a qualified individual under section                                        Therefore, we are including in                                           income reconciliation factor for states
                                            1312 eligible for enrollment in a QHP                                     Equation 1 an income adjustment factor                                     that have implemented the Medicaid
                                            offered through a Marketplace. We are                                     that would account for the difference                                      eligibility expansion to cover adults up
                                            defining ‘‘eligible’’ to mean anyone for                                  between calculating estimated PTC                                          to 133 percent of the FPL will be 100.25
                                            whom the state agency or the Exchange                                     using: (a) Income relative to FPL as                                       percent, and for states that have not
                                            assesses or determines, based on the                                      determined at initial application and                                      implemented the Medicaid eligibility
                                            single streamlined application or                                         potentially revised mid-year, under                                        expansion and do not cover adults up to
                                            renewal form, as eligible for enrollment                                  600.320, for purposes of determining                                       133 percent of the FPL will be 100.24
                                            in the BHP. Because enrollment in a                                       BHP eligibility and claiming federal                                       percent. For 2015, we used the average
                                            QHP is a requirement for PTC for the                                      BHP payments; and (b) actual income                                        of the factors for the two groups of
                                            enrolled individual’s coverage,                                           relative to FPL received during the plan                                   states. For 2016, the values of the factors
                                            individuals determined or assessed as                                     year, as it would be reflected on                                          for the two groups of states are within
                                            eligible for a BHP are not eligible to                                    individual federal income tax returns.                                     0.01 percentage point of each other.
                                            receive APTC assistance for coverage in                                   This adjustment will prospectively                                         Because the values are within 0.01
                                            the Marketplace. Because they do not                                      estimate the average effect of income                                      percentage point, we will use the greater
                                            receive APTC assistance, BHP enrollees,                                   reconciliation aggregated across the BHP                                   of two factors (100.25 percent) rather
                                            on whom the 2016 payment                                                  population had those BHP enrollees                                         than the average.
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                                            methodology is based, are not subject to                                  been subject to tax reconciliation after
                                                                                                                                                                                                 6. Tobacco Rating Adjustment Factor
                                            the same income reconciliation as                                         receiving APTC assistance for coverage
                                                                                                                                                                                                 (TRAF)
                                            Marketplace consumers. Nonetheless,                                       provided through QHPs. For 2016, we
                                            there may still be differences between a                                  will estimate reconciliation effects                                         As previously described, the reference
                                            BHP enrollee’s household income                                           based on tax data for 2 years, reflecting                                  premium is estimated, for purposes of
                                            reported at the beginning of the year and                                 income and tax unit composition                                            determining both the PTC and related


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                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations                                          9645

                                            federal BHP payments, based on                          addition, to the extent that the second               increase in health care service
                                            premiums charged for non-tobacco                        lowest cost silver plan has a different               utilization associated with a reduction
                                            users, including in states that allow                   ratio of tobacco user rates to non-                   in the level of cost sharing a QHP
                                            premium variations based on tobacco                     tobacco user rates by age, or that there              enrollee would have to pay, based on
                                            use, as provided in 42 U.S.C. 300gg                     is a different prevalence of tobacco use              the cost-sharing reduction subsidies
                                            (a)(1)(A)(iv). In contrast, as described in             by age, the tobacco rating adjustment                 provided to enrollees.
                                            45 CFR 156.430, the CSR advance                         factor may differ by age.                               The 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and
                                            payments are based on the total                                                                               Payment Parameters provided induced
                                                                                                    7. Factor for Removing Administrative                 utilization factors for the purposes of
                                            premium for a policy, including any                     Costs (FRAC)
                                            adjustment for tobacco use.                                                                                   calculating cost-sharing reduction
                                            Accordingly, we will incorporate a                         The Factor for Removing                            advance payments for 2015. In that rule,
                                            tobacco rating adjustment factor into                   Administrative Costs represents the                   the induced utilization factors for silver
                                            Equation 2 that reflects the average                    average proportion of the total premium               plan variations ranged from 1.00 to 1.12,
                                            percentage increase in health care costs                that covers allowed health benefits, and              depending on income. Using those
                                            that results from tobacco use among the                 we include this factor in our calculation             utilization factors, the induced
                                            BHP-eligible population and that would                  of estimated CSRs in Equation 2. The                  utilization factor for all persons who
                                            not be reflected in the premium charged                 product of the reference premium and                  would qualify for BHP based on their
                                            to non-users. This factor will also take                the Factor for Removing Administrative                household income as a percentage of
                                            into account the estimated proportion of                Costs would approximate the estimated                 FPL is 1.12; this would include persons
                                            tobacco users among BHP-eligible                        amount of Essential Health Benefit                    with household income between 100
                                            consumers.                                              (EHB) claims that would be expected to                percent and 200 percent of FPL,
                                               To estimate the average effect of                    be paid by the plan. This step is needed              lawfully present non-citizens below 100
                                            tobacco use on health care costs (not                   because the premium also covers such                  percent of FPL who are ineligible for
                                            reflected in the premium charged to                     costs as taxes, fees, and QHP                         Medicaid because of immigration status,
                                            non-users), we will calculate the ratio                 administrative expenses. We are setting               and persons with household income
                                            between premiums that silver level                      this factor equal to 0.80, which is the               under 300 percent of FPL, not subject to
                                            QHPs charge for tobacco users to the                    same percentage for the factor to remove              any cost-sharing. Thus, consistent with
                                            premiums they charge for non-tobacco                    administrative costs for calculating CSR              last year, we will set the induced
                                            users at selected ages. To calculate                    advance payments for established in the               utilization factor equal to 1.12 for the
                                            estimated proportions of tobacco users,                 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and                        BHP payment methodology.
                                            we will use data from the Centers for                   Payment Parameters.                                   10. Change in Actuarial Value (DAV)
                                            Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to                 8. Actuarial Value (AV)                                  The increase in actuarial value would
                                            estimate tobacco utilization rates by
                                                                                                       The actuarial value is defined as the              account for the impact of the cost-
                                            state and relevant population
                                                                                                    percentage paid by a health plan of the               sharing reduction subsidies on the
                                            characteristic.8 For each state, we will
                                                                                                    total allowed costs of benefits, as                   relative amount of EHB claims that
                                            calculate the tobacco usage rate based
                                                                                                    defined under 45 CFR 156.20. (For                     would be covered for or paid by eligible
                                            on the percentage of persons by age who
                                                                                                    example, if the average health care costs             persons, and we include it as a factor in
                                            use cigarettes and the percentage of
                                                                                                    for enrollees in a health insurance plan              calculating estimated CSRs in
                                            persons by age that use smokeless                                                                             Equation 2.
                                            tobacco, and calculate the utilization                  were $1,000 and that plan has an
                                                                                                    actuarial value of 70 percent, the plan                  The actuarial values of QHPs for
                                            rate by adding the two rates together.                                                                        persons eligible for cost-sharing
                                            The data is available for 3 age intervals:              would be expected to pay on average
                                            18–24; 25–44; and 45–64. For the BHP                    $700 ($1,000 × 0.70) for health care                  reduction subsidies are defined in 45
                                                                                                    costs per enrollee, on average.) By                   CFR 156.420(a), and eligibility for such
                                            payment rate cell for persons ages 21–                                                                        subsidies is defined in 45 CFR
                                            34, we will calculate the factor as (4/14               dividing such estimated costs by the
                                                                                                    actuarial value in the methodology, we                155.305(g)(2)(i) through (iii). For QHP
                                            * the utilization rate of 18–24 year olds)                                                                    enrollees with household incomes
                                            plus (10/14 * the utilization rate of 25–               will calculate the estimated amount of
                                                                                                    total EHB-allowed claims, including                   between 100 percent and 150 percent of
                                            44 year olds), which would be the                                                                             FPL, and those below 100 percent of
                                            weighted average of tobacco usage for                   both the portion of such claims paid by
                                                                                                    the plan and the portion paid by the                  FPL who are ineligible for Medicaid
                                            persons 21–34 assuming a uniform                                                                              because of their immigration status,
                                            distribution of ages; for all other age                 consumer for in-network care. (To
                                                                                                    continue with that same example, we                   CSRs increase the actuarial value of a
                                            ranges used for the rate cells, we will                                                                       QHP silver plan from 70 percent to 94
                                            use the age range in the CDC data in                    would divide the plan’s expected $700
                                                                                                    payment of the person’s EHB-allowed                   percent. For QHP enrollees with
                                            which the BHP payment rate cell age                                                                           household incomes between 150
                                            range is contained.                                     claims by the plan’s 70 percent actuarial
                                                                                                    value to ascertain that the total amount              percent and 200 percent of FPL, CSRs
                                               We will provide tobacco rating factors                                                                     increase the actuarial value of a QHP
                                            that may vary by age and by geographic                  of EHB-allowed claims, including
                                                                                                    amounts paid by the consumer, is                      silver plan from 70 percent to 87
                                            area within each state. To the extent that                                                                    percent.
                                            the second lowest cost silver plans have                $1,000.)
                                                                                                       For the purposes of calculating the                   We will apply this factor by
                                            a different ratio of tobacco user rates to                                                                    subtracting the standard AV from the
                                                                                                    CSR rate in Equation 2, we will use the
                                            non-tobacco user rates in different                                                                           higher AV allowed by the applicable
                                                                                                    standard actuarial value of the silver
                                            geographic areas, the tobacco rating                                                                          cost-sharing reduction. For BHP
                                                                                                    level plans in the individual market,
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                                            adjustment factor may differ across                                                                           enrollees with household incomes at or
                                                                                                    which is equal to 70 percent.
                                            geographic areas within a state. In                                                                           below 150 percent of FPL, this factor
                                                                                                    9. Induced Utilization Factor (IUF)                   will be 0.24 (94 percent minus 70
                                              8 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,
                                            Tobacco Control State Highlights 2012: http://
                                                                                                       The induced utilization factor will be             percent); for BHP enrollees with
                                            www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/state_data/         used as a factor in calculating estimated             household incomes more than 150
                                            state_highlights/2012/index.htm.                        CSRs in Equation 2 to account for the                 percent but not more than 200 percent


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                                            9646             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                            of FPL, this factor will be 0.17 (87                    Natives are eligible to receive CSRs up                  The adjustment for changes in the
                                            percent minus 70 percent).                              to 100 percent of actuarial value.                    transitional reinsurance program is
                                                                                                                                                          developed from analysis by CMS’ Center
                                            E. Adjustments for American Indians                     F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP
                                                                                                                                                          for Consumer Information and
                                            and Alaska Natives                                      Premiums for BHP Payments
                                                                                                                                                          Insurance Oversight (CCIIO). In
                                               There are several exceptions made for                   In the interest of allowing states                 unpublished analysis, CCIIO estimated
                                            American Indians and Alaska Natives                     greater certainty in the total BHP federal            that the transitional reinsurance
                                            enrolled in QHPs through a Marketplace                  payments for 2016, we will provide                    program would reduce QHP premiums
                                            to calculate the PTC and CSRs. Thus, we                 states the option to have their final 2016            in 2015 on average by 7.9 percent and
                                            will make adjustments to the payment                    federal BHP payment rates calculated                  in 2016 by 4.4 percent, as the amount
                                            methodology described above to be                       using the projected 2016 adjusted                     of funding in the reinsurance program
                                            consistent with the Marketplace rules.                  reference premium (that is, using 2015                decreases. Based on these analyses, we
                                               We will make the following                           premium data multiplied by the                        estimate that the changes in the
                                            adjustments:                                            premium trend factor defined below), as               transitional reinsurance program would
                                               1. The adjusted reference premium for                described in Equation (3b).                           lead to an increase of 3.8 percent in
                                            use in the CSR portion of the rate will                    For a state that elects to use the 2015            average QHP premiums between 2015
                                            be the lowest cost bronze plan instead                  premium as the basis for the 2016 BHP                 and 2016: (1¥0.044)/(1¥0.079)¥1 =
                                            of the second lowest cost silver plan,                  federal payment, the state must inform                3.8 percent.
                                            with the same adjustment for the                        CMS no later than May 15, 2015.                          Combining these two factors together,
                                            population health factor (and in the case                  For Equation (3b), we define the                   we calculate that the premium trend
                                            of a state that elects to use the 2015                  premium trend factor as follows:                      factor for 2016 would be 7.8 percent (1
                                            premiums as the basis of the federal                       Premium Trend Factor (PTF): In                     + 0.039) × (1 + 0.038)¥1 = 7.8 percent.
                                            BHP payment, the same adjustment for                                                                             States may want to consider that the
                                                                                                    Equation (3b), we calculate an adjusted
                                            the premium trend factor). American                                                                           increase in premiums for QHPs from
                                                                                                    reference premium (ARP) based on the
                                            Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible                                                                       2015 to 2016 may differ from the
                                                                                                    application of certain relevant variables
                                            for CSRs with any metal level plan, and                                                                       premium trend factor developed for the
                                                                                                    to the RP, including a PTF. In the case
                                                                                                                                                          BHP funding methodology for several
                                            thus we believe that eligible persons                   of a state that would elect to use the                reasons. In particular, states may want
                                            would be more likely to select a bronze                 2015 premiums as the basis for                        to consider that the second lowest cost
                                            level plan instead of a silver level plan.              determining the BHP payment, it would                 silver plan for 2015 may not be the same
                                            (It is important to note that the                       be appropriate to apply a factor that                 as the second lowest cost silver plan in
                                            assumption that American Indians and                    would account for the change in health                2016. This may lead to the premium
                                            Alaska Natives would enroll in a bronze                 care costs between the year of the                    trend factor being greater than or less
                                            plan would not necessarily change the                   premium data and the BHP plan year.                   than the actual change in the premium
                                            PTC, as the PTC amount calculated as                    We define this as the premium trend                   of the second lowest cost silver plan in
                                            part of the BHP payment methodology                     factor in the BHP payment                             2015 compared to the premium of the
                                            is the maximum possible PTC payment,                    methodology. This factor will                         second lowest cost silver plan in 2016.
                                            which is always based on the applicable                 approximate the change in health care
                                            second lowest cost silver plan. In                      costs per enrollee, which would                       G. State Option To Include
                                            actuality, the PTC payment that would                   include, but not be limited to, changes               Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
                                            be made in for an individual enrolled in                in the price of health care services and              Adjustment in Certified Methodology
                                            a QHP cannot exceed the total premium.                  changes in the utilization of health care               To determine whether the potential
                                            It is possible that some bronze plan                    services. This provides an estimate of                difference in health status between BHP
                                            premiums would be less than the                         the adjusted monthly premium for the                  enrollees and consumers in the
                                            maximum PTC payment, but we have                        applicable second lowest cost silver                  Marketplace would affect the PTC,
                                            not made any adjustment in the                          plan that would be more accurate and                  CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance
                                            methodology for this. We believe that                   reflective of health care costs in the BHP            payments that would have otherwise
                                            this assumption would have a negligible                 program year, which will be the year                  been made had BHP enrollees been
                                            impact on the BHP payment.)                             following issuance of the final federal               enrolled in coverage on the
                                               2. The actuarial value for use in the                payment notice. In addition, we believe               Marketplace, we will provide states
                                            CSR portion of the rate will be 0.60                    that it would be appropriate to adjust                implementing the BHP the option to
                                            instead of 0.70, which is consistent with               the trend factor for the estimated impact             propose and to implement, as part of the
                                            the actuarial value of a bronze level                   of changes to the transitional                        certified methodology, a retrospective
                                            plan.                                                   reinsurance program on the average                    adjustment to the federal BHP payments
                                               3. The induced utilization factor for                QHP premium.                                          to reflect the actual value that would be
                                            use in the CSR portion of the rate will                    We will use the annual growth rate in              assigned to the population health factor
                                            be 1.15, which is consistent with the                   private health insurance expenditures                 (or risk adjustment) based on data
                                            2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and                          per enrollee from the National Health                 accumulated during program year 2016
                                            Payment Parameters induced utilization                  Expenditure projections, developed by                 for each rate cell.
                                            factor for calculating advance CSR                      CMS’ Office of the Actuary (http://                     We acknowledge that there is
                                            payments for persons enrolled in bronze                 www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-                 uncertainty with respect to this factor
                                            level plans and eligible for CSRs up to                 and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-                    due to the lack of experience of QHPs
                                            100 percent of actuarial value.                         Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/                     on the Marketplace and other payments
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                                               4. The change in the actuarial value                 NationalHealthAccountsProjected.html,                 related to the Marketplace, which is
                                            for use in the CSR portion of the rate                  Table 17—Health Insurance Enrollment                  why, absent a state election, we will use
                                            will be 0.40. This reflects the increase                and Enrollment Growth Rates). For                     a value for the population health factor
                                            from 60 percent actuarial value of the                  2016, the projected increase in private               to determine a prospective payment rate
                                            bronze plan to 100 percent actuarial                    health insurance premiums per enrollee                which assumes no difference in the
                                            value, as American Indians and Alaska                   is 3.9 percent.                                       health status of BHP enrollees and QHP


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                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations                                          9647

                                            enrollees. There is considerable                        BHP trust fund deposit. If we determine               action’’ as an action that is likely to
                                            uncertainty regarding whether the BHP                   that the federal BHP payments were                    result in a rule: (1) Having an annual
                                            enrollees will pose a greater risk or a                 more than they would have been using                  effect on the economy of $100 million
                                            lesser risk compared to the QHP                         the final reconciled factor, we would                 or more in any 1 year, or adversely and
                                            enrollees, how to best measure such                     subtract the difference from the next                 materially affecting a sector of the
                                            risk, and the potential effect such risk                quarterly BHP payment to the state.                   economy, productivity, competition,
                                            would have had on PTC, CSRs, risk                                                                             jobs, the environment, public health or
                                                                                                    IV. Collection of Information
                                            adjustment and reinsurance payments                                                                           safety, or state, local or tribal
                                                                                                    Requirements
                                            that would have otherwise been made                                                                           governments or communities (also
                                            had BHP enrollees been enrolled in                        The 2016 funding methodology is                     referred to as ‘‘economically
                                            coverage on the Marketplace. To the                     unchanged from the 2015 final                         significant’’); (2) creating a serious
                                            extent, however, that a state would                     methodology that published on March                   inconsistency or otherwise interfering
                                            develop an approved protocol to collect                 12, 2014 (79 FR 13887). The 2016                      with an action taken or planned by
                                            data and effectively measure the relative               methodology does not impose any new                   another agency; (3) materially altering
                                            risk and the effect on federal payments,                or revised reporting, recordkeeping, or               the budgetary impacts of entitlement
                                            we will permit a retrospective                          third-party disclosure requirements, and              grants, user fees, or loan programs or the
                                            adjustment that would measure the                       therefore, does not require additional                rights and obligations of recipients
                                            actual difference in risk between the                   OMB review under the authority of the                 thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or
                                            two populations to be incorporated into                 Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44                   policy issues arising out of legal
                                            the certified BHP payment methodology                   U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). The methodology’s               mandates, the President’s priorities, or
                                            and used to adjust payments in the                      information collection requirements and               the principles set forth in the Executive
                                            previous year.                                          burden estimates are approved by OMB                  Order.
                                               For a state electing the option to                   under control number 0938–1218                           A regulatory impact analysis (RIA)
                                            implement a retrospective population                    (CMS–10510).                                          must be prepared for major rules with
                                            health status adjustment, we require                      Consistent with the Basic Health                    economically significant effects ($100
                                            that the state submit a proposed                        Program’s proposed and final rules                    million or more in any 1 year). As noted
                                            protocol to CMS, which will be subject                  (September 25, 2013 at 78 FR 59122 and                in the BHP final rule, BHP provides
                                            to approval by CMS and would be                         March 12, 2014 at 79 FR 14112,                        states the flexibility to establish an
                                            required to be certified by CMS’ Chief                  respectively) we continue to estimate                 alternative coverage program for low-
                                            Actuary, in consultation with the OTA,                  less than 10 annual respondents for                   income individuals who would
                                            as part of the BHP payment                              completing the Blueprint. Consequently,               otherwise be eligible to purchase
                                            methodology. We described the protocol                  the Blueprint is exempt from formal                   coverage through the Marketplace. We
                                            for the population health status                        OMB review and approval under 5 CFR                   are uncertain as to whether the effects
                                            adjustment in guidance in                               1320.3(c).                                            of the final rulemaking, and
                                            Considerations for Health Risk                            Finally, this action does not impose                subsequently, this methodology, will be
                                            Adjustment in the Basic Health Program                  any additional reporting, recordkeeping,              ‘‘economically significant’’ as measured
                                            in Program Year 2015 (http://                           or third-party disclosure requirements                by the $100 million threshold, and
                                            www.medicaid.gov/Basic-Health-                          on qualified health plans or on states                hence not a major rule under the
                                            Program/Downloads/Risk-Adjustment-                      operating State Based Marketplaces.                   Congressional Review Act. The impact
                                            and-BHP-White-Paper.pdf). We require                    V. Regulatory Impact Statement                        may depend on several factors,
                                            a state to submit its proposed protocol                                                                       including the number of and which
                                            by August 1, 2015 for CMS approval.                     A. Overall Impact                                     particular states choose to implement or
                                            This submission must include                               We have examined the impacts of this               continue BHP in 2016, the level of QHP
                                            descriptions of how the state would                     rule as required by Executive Order                   premiums in 2015 and 2016, the
                                            collect the necessary data to determine                 12866 on Regulatory Planning and                      number of enrollees in BHP, and the
                                            the adjustment, including any                           Review (September 30, 1993), Executive                other coverage options for persons who
                                            contracting contingences that may be in                 Order 13563 on Improving Regulation                   would be eligible for BHP. In particular,
                                            place with participating standard health                and Regulatory Review (January 18,                    while we generally expect that many
                                            plan issuers. We will provide technical                 2011), the Regulatory Flexibility Act                 enrollees would have otherwise been
                                            assistance to states as they develop their              (RFA) (September 19, 1980, Pub. L. 96–                enrolled in a QHP through the
                                            protocols. In order to implement the                    354), section 1102(b) of the Act, section             Marketplace, some persons may have
                                            population health status, we must                       202 of the Unfunded Mandates Reform                   been eligible for Medicaid under a
                                            approve the state’s protocol no later                   Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4, March 22,                 waiver or a state health coverage
                                            than December 31, 2015. Finally, the                    1995) (UMRA), Executive Order 13132                   program. For those who would have
                                            state will be required to complete the                  on Federalism (August 4, 1999) and the                enrolled in a QHP and thus would have
                                            population health status adjustment at                  Congressional Review Act (5 U.S.C.                    received PTCs or CSRs, the federal
                                            the end of 2016 based on the approved                   804(2)).                                              expenditures for BHP would be
                                            protocol. After the end of the 2016                        Executive Orders 12866 and 13563                   expected to be more than offset by a
                                            program year, and once data is made                     direct agencies to assess all costs and               reduction in federal expenditures for
                                            available, we will review the state’s                   benefits of available regulatory                      PTCs and CSRs. For those who would
                                            findings, consistent with the approved                  alternatives and, if regulation is                    have been enrolled in Medicaid, there
                                            protocol, and make any necessary                        necessary, to select regulatory                       would likely be a smaller offset in
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                                            adjustments to the state’s federal BHP                  approaches that maximize net benefits                 federal expenditures (to account for the
                                            payment amount. If we determine that                    (including potential economic,                        federal share of Medicaid expenditures),
                                            the federal BHP payments were less                      environmental, public health and safety               and for those who would have been
                                            than they would have been using the                     effects, distributive impacts, and                    covered in non-federal programs or
                                            final adjustment factor, we would apply                 equity). Section 3(f) of Executive Order              would have been uninsured, there likely
                                            the difference to the state’s quarterly                 12866 defines a ‘‘significant regulatory              would be an increase in federal


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                                            9648             Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations

                                            expenditures. In accordance with the                    3. Transfers                                          Administration (SBA); (2) a not-for-
                                            provisions of Executive Order 12866,                      The provisions of this methodology                  profit organization that is not dominant
                                            this methodology was reviewed by the                    are designed to determine the amount of               in its field; or (3) a small government
                                            Office of Management and Budget.                        funds that will be transferred to states              jurisdiction with a population of less
                                            1. Need for the Methodology                             offering coverage through a BHP rather                than 50,000. Individuals and states are
                                                                                                    than to individuals eligible for premium              not included in the definition of a small
                                               Section 1331 of the Affordable Care                  and cost-sharing reductions for coverage              entity. Few of the entities that meet the
                                            Act (codified at 42 U.S.C. 18051)                       purchased on the Marketplace. We are                  definition of a small entity as that term
                                            requires the Secretary to establish a                   uncertain what the total federal BHP                  is used in the RFA would be impacted
                                            BHP, and section (d)(1) specifically                    payment amounts to states will be as                  directly by this methodology.
                                            provides that if the Secretary finds that               these amounts will vary from state to
                                            a state ‘‘meets the requirements of the                                                                          Because this methodology is focused
                                                                                                    state due to the varying nature of state              on the funding methodology that will be
                                            program established under section (a)                   composition. For example, total federal
                                            [of section 1331 of the Affordable Care                                                                       used to determine federal BHP payment
                                                                                                    BHP payment amounts may be greater                    rates, it does not contain provisions that
                                            Act], the Secretary shall transfer to the               in more populous states simply by
                                            State’’ federal BHP payments described                                                                        would have a significant direct impact
                                                                                                    virtue of the fact that they have a larger
                                            in section (d)(3). This methodology                                                                           on hospitals, and other health care
                                                                                                    BHP-eligible population and total
                                            provides for the funding methodology to                                                                       providers that are designated as small
                                                                                                    payment amounts are based on actual
                                            determine the federal BHP payment                       enrollment. Alternatively, total federal              entities under the RFA. We cannot
                                            amounts required to implement these                     BHP payment amounts may be lower in                   determine whether this methodology
                                            provisions in program year 2016.                        states with a younger BHP-eligible                    would have a significant economic
                                            2. Alternative Approaches                               population as the reference premium                   impact on a substantial number of small
                                                                                                    used to calculate the federal BHP                     entities.
                                               Many of the factors in this                          payment will be lower relative to older                  Section 1102(b) of the Act requires us
                                            methodology are specified in statute;                   BHP enrollees. While state composition                to prepare a regulatory impact analysis
                                            therefore, we are limited in the                        will cause total federal BHP payment                  if a may have a significant economic
                                            alternative approaches we could                         amounts to vary from state to state, we
                                            consider. One area in which we had a                                                                          impact on the operations of a substantial
                                                                                                    believe that the methodology accounts                 number of small rural hospitals. For
                                            choice was in selecting the data sources                for these variations to ensure accurate
                                            used to determine the factors included                                                                        purposes of section 1102(b) of the Act,
                                                                                                    BHP payment transfers are made to each                we define a small rural hospital as a
                                            in the methodology. Except for state-                   state.
                                            specific reference premiums and                                                                               hospital that is located outside of a
                                            enrollment data, we are using national                  B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act                       metropolitan statistical area and has
                                            rather than state-specific data. This is                                                                      fewer than 100 beds. As indicated in the
                                                                                                       Section 202 of the UMRA requires
                                            due to the lack of currently available                                                                        preceding discussion, there may be
                                                                                                    that agencies assess anticipated costs
                                            state-specific data needed to develop the               and benefits before issuing any rule                  indirect positive effects from reductions
                                            majority of the factors included in the                 whose mandates require spending in                    in uncompensated care. Again, we
                                            methodology. We believe the national                    any 1 year of $100 million in 1995                    cannot determine whether this
                                            data will produce sufficiently accurate                 dollars, updated annually for inflation,              methodology would have a significant
                                            determinations of payment rates. In                     by state, local, or tribal governments, in            economic impact on a substantial
                                            addition, we believe that this approach                 the aggregate, or by the private sector. In           number of small rural hospitals, and we
                                            will be less burdensome on states. To                   2014, that threshold is approximately                 request public comment on this issue.
                                            reference premiums and enrollment                       $141 million. States have the option, but
                                            data, we are using state-specific data                                                                        D. Federalism
                                                                                                    are not required, to establish a BHP.
                                            rather than national data as we believe                 Further, the methodology would                           Executive Order 13132 establishes
                                            state-specific data will produce more                   establish federal payment rates without               certain requirements that an agency
                                            accurate determinations than national                   requiring states to provide the Secretary             must meet when it promulgates a
                                            averages.                                               with any data not already required by                 proposed rule (and subsequent final
                                               In addition, we considered whether or                other provisions of the Affordable Care               rule) that imposes substantial direct
                                            not to provide states the option to                     Act or its implementing regulations.                  effects on states, preempts state law, or
                                            develop a protocol for a retrospective                  Thus, this payment methodology does
                                            adjustment to the population health                                                                           otherwise has federalism implications.
                                                                                                    not mandate expenditures by state                     The BHP is entirely optional for states,
                                            factor in 2016 as we did in the 2015                    governments, local governments, or
                                            payment methodology. We believe that                                                                          and if implemented in a state, provides
                                                                                                    tribal governments.
                                            providing this option again in 2016 is                                                                        access to a pool of funding that would
                                            appropriate and likely to improve the                   C. Regulatory Flexibility Act                         not otherwise be available to the state.
                                            accuracy of the final payments.                            The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5                    Dated: February 4, 2015.
                                               We also considered whether or not to                 U.S.C. 601 et seq.) (RFA) requires                    Marilyn Tavenner,
                                            require the use of 2015 or 2016 QHP                     agencies to prepare an initial regulatory             Administrator, Centers for Medicare &
                                            premiums to develop the 2016 federal                    flexibility analysis to describe the                  Medicaid Services.
                                            BHP payment rates. We believe that the                  impact of the proposed rule on small
                                                                                                                                                            Dated: February 13, 2015.
                                            payment rates can still be developed                    entities, unless the head of the agency
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                                            accurately using either the 2015 or 2016                can certify that the rule will not have a             Sylvia M. Burwell,
                                            QHP premiums and that it is                             significant economic impact on a                      Secretary, Department of Health and Human
                                            appropriate to provide the states the                   substantial number of small entities.                 Services.
                                            option, given the interests and specific                The Act generally defines a ‘‘small                   [FR Doc. 2015–03662 Filed 2–19–15; 11:15 am]
                                            considerations each state may have in                   entity’’ as (1) a proprietary firm meeting            BILLING CODE 4120–01–P
                                            operating the BHP.                                      the size standards of the Small Business


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Document Created: 2015-12-18 13:23:38
Document Modified: 2015-12-18 13:23:38
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionRules and Regulations
ActionFinal methodology.
DatesThese regulations are effective on January 1, 2016.
ContactChristopher Truffer, (410) 786-1264; Stephanie Kaminsky (410) 786-4653.
FR Citation80 FR 9636 
RIN Number0938-ZB18

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