81_FR_5683 81 FR 5661 - Regulatory Capital Rules: The Federal Reserve Board's Framework for Implementing the U.S. Basel III Countercyclical Capital Buffer

81 FR 5661 - Regulatory Capital Rules: The Federal Reserve Board's Framework for Implementing the U.S. Basel III Countercyclical Capital Buffer

FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

Federal Register Volume 81, Issue 22 (February 3, 2016)

Page Range5661-5666
FR Document2016-01934

The Board is inviting public comment on a policy statement on the framework that the Board will follow in setting the amount of the U.S. countercyclical capital buffer for advanced approaches bank holding companies, savings and loan holding companies, and state member banks under the Board's Regulation Q (12 CFR part 217).

Federal Register, Volume 81 Issue 22 (Wednesday, February 3, 2016)
[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 22 (Wednesday, February 3, 2016)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 5661-5666]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2016-01934]


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FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

12 CFR Part 217

[Docket No. R-1529]
RIN 7100 AE-43


Regulatory Capital Rules: The Federal Reserve Board's Framework 
for Implementing the U.S. Basel III Countercyclical Capital Buffer

AGENCY: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

ACTION: Proposed policy statement with request for public comment.

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SUMMARY: The Board is inviting public comment on a policy statement on 
the framework that the Board will follow in setting the amount of the 
U.S. countercyclical capital buffer for advanced approaches bank 
holding companies, savings and loan holding companies, and state member 
banks under the Board's Regulation Q (12 CFR part 217).

DATES: Comments must be received on or before March 21, 2016. Comments 
were originally due by February 19, 2016.

ADDRESSES: You may submit comments, identified by Docket No. R-1529 and 
RIN 7100 AE-43 by any of the following methods:
     Agency Web site: http://www.federalreserve.gov. Follow the 
instructions for submitting comments at http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/foia/ProposedRegs.aspx.
     Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. 
Follow the instructions for submitting comments.

[[Page 5662]]

     Email: [email protected]. Include the 
docket number and RIN number in the subject line of the message.
     Fax: (202) 452-3819 or (202) 452-3102.
     Mail: Robert V. Frierson, Secretary, Board of Governors of 
the Federal Reserve System, 20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW., 
Washington, DC 20551.
    All public comments will be made available on the Board's Web site 
at http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/foia/ProposedRegs.aspx as 
submitted, unless modified for technical reasons. Accordingly, your 
comments will not be edited to remove any identifying or contact 
information. Public comments may also be viewed electronically or in 
paper form in Room MP-500 of the Board's Martin Building (20th and C 
Streets NW., Washington, DC 20551) between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m. on 
weekdays.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: William Bassett, Deputy Associate 
Director, (202) 736-5644, or Rochelle Edge, Deputy Associate Director, 
(202) 452-2339, Office of Financial Stability Policy and Research; Sean 
Campbell, Associate Director, (202) 452-3760, Division of Banking 
Supervision and Regulation; Benjamin W. McDonough, Special Counsel, 
(202) 452-2036, Mark Buresh, Senior Attorney, (202) 452-5270, or Mary 
Watkins, Attorney, (202) 452-3722, Legal Division.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Table of Contents

I. Background
II. Proposed Policy Statement
III. Administrative Law Matters
    A. Use of Plain Language
    B. Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis
    C. Regulatory Flexibility Act Analysis

I. Background

    The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Board) issued 
in June 2013 a final regulatory capital rule (Regulation Q) in 
coordination with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) 
and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to strengthen 
risk-based and leverage capital requirements applicable to insured 
depository institutions and certain depository institution holding 
companies (banking organizations).\1\ Among the changes that Regulation 
Q introduced was the institution of a countercyclical capital buffer 
(CCyB) for large, internationally active banking organizations.\2\
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    \1\ See 78 FR 62018 (October 11, 2013) (Board and OCC); 79 FR 
20754 (April 14, 2014) (FDIC). Regulation Q applies generally to 
bank holding companies with more than $1 billion in total 
consolidated assets and savings and loan holding companies with more 
than $1 billion in total consolidated assets that are not 
substantially engaged in commercial or insurance underwriting 
activities. See 12 CFR 217.1(c)(1).
    \2\ 12 CFR 217.11(b).
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    The CCyB is a macroprudential policy tool that the Board can 
increase during periods of rising vulnerabilities in the financial 
system and reduce when vulnerabilities recede.\3\ The CCyB supplements 
the minimum capital requirements and other capital buffers included in 
Regulation Q, which themselves are designed to provide substantial 
resilience to unexpected losses created by normal fluctuations in 
economic and financial conditions. The CCyB is designed to increase the 
resilience of large banking organizations when the Board sees an 
elevated risk of above-normal losses. Increasing the resilience of 
large banking organizations should, in turn, improve the resilience of 
the broader financial system. Above-normal losses often follow periods 
of rapid asset price appreciation or credit growth that are not well 
supported by underlying economic fundamentals. The circumstances in 
which the Board would most likely use the CCyB as a supplemental, 
macroprudential tool to augment minimum capital requirements and other 
capital buffers would be to address circumstances when potential 
systemic vulnerabilities are somewhat above normal. By requiring 
advanced approaches institutions to hold a larger capital buffer during 
periods of increased systemic risk and removing the buffer requirement 
when the vulnerabilities have diminished, the CCyB has the potential to 
moderate fluctuations in the supply of credit over time.
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    \3\ Implementation of the CCyB also helps respond to the 
provision in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer 
Protection Act (Dodd-Frank Act) that the agencies ``shall seek to 
make such [capital] requirements countercyclical, so that the amount 
of capital required to be maintained by a company increases in times 
of economic expansion and decreases in times of economic 
contraction, consistent with the safety and soundness of the 
company.'' See 12 U.S.C. 1467a; 12 U.S.C. 1844; 12 U.S.C. 3907 (as 
amended by section 616 of the Dodd-Frank Act).
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    The CCyB applies to banking organizations subject to the advanced 
approaches capital rules (advanced approaches institutions).\4\ The 
advanced approaches capital rules generally apply to banking 
organizations with greater than $250 billion in total assets or $10 
billion in on-balance-sheet foreign exposure and to any depository 
institution subsidiary of such banking organizations.\5\
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    \4\ An advanced approaches institution is subject to the CCyB 
regardless of whether it has completed the parallel run process and 
received notification from its primary Federal supervisor pursuant 
to Sec.  217.121(d) of Regulation Q.
    \5\ 12 CFR 217.100(b)(1).
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    The CCyB functions as an expansion of the Capital Conservation 
Buffer (CCB). The CCB requires that a banking organization hold a 
buffer of common equity tier 1 capital in excess of the minimum risk-
based capital ratios greater than 2.5 percent of risk-weighted assets 
to avoid limits on capital distributions and certain discretionary 
bonus payments.\6\ The CCB is divided into quartiles, each associated 
with increasingly stringent limitations on capital distributions and 
certain discretionary bonus payments as the firm's risk-based capital 
ratios approach regulatory minimums.\7\
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    \6\ 12 CFR 217.11(b)(1)(i).
    \7\ 12 CFR 217.11(a).
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    As described in Regulation Q, the CCyB applies based on the 
location of exposures by national jurisdiction.\8\ Specifically, the 
applicable CCyB amount for a banking organization is equal to the 
weighted average of CCyB amounts established by the Board for the 
national jurisdictions where the banking organization has private-
sector credit exposures.\9\ The CCyB amount applicable to a banking 
organization is weighted by jurisdiction according to the firm's risk-
weighted private-sector credit exposures for a specific jurisdiction as 
a percentage of the firm's overall risk-weighted private-sector credit 
exposures.\10\
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    \8\ 12 CFR 217.11(b)(1). The Board may adjust the CCyB amount to 
reflect decisions made by foreign jurisdictions. See 12 CFR 
217.11(b)(3).
    \9\ 12 CFR 217.11(b)(1).
    \10\ Id.
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    Regulation Q established the initial CCyB amount with respect to 
private-sector credit exposures located in the United States (U.S.-
based credit exposures) at zero percent. Following a phase-in period, 
the amount of the CCyB will vary between 0 and 2.5 percent of risk-
weighted assets. Under the phase-in schedule, the maximum potential 
amount of the CCyB for U.S.-based credit exposures is 0.625 percentage 
points in 2016, 1.25 percentage points in 2017, 1.875 percentage points 
in 2018, and 2.5 percentage points in 2019 and all subsequent 
years.\11\ To provide banking organizations with sufficient time to 
adjust to any change to the CCyB, an increase in the amount of the CCyB 
for U.S.-based credit exposures will have an effective date 12 months 
after the determination, unless the Board determines that a more 
immediate implementation is necessary based on

[[Page 5663]]

economic conditions.\12\ In contrast, Regulation Q states that a 
decision by the Board to decrease the amount of the CCyB for U.S.-based 
credit exposures would become effective the day after the Board decides 
to decrease the CCyB or the earliest date permissible under applicable 
law or regulation, whichever is later.\13\ The amount of the CCyB for 
U.S.-based credit exposures will return to 0 percent 12 months after 
the effective date of any CCyB adjustment, unless the Board announces a 
decision to maintain the current amount or adjust it again before the 
expiration of the 12-month period.\14\
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    \11\ 12 CFR 217.300(a)(2).
    \12\ 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(v)(A).
    \13\ 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(v)(B).
    \14\ 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(vi).
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    The Board expects to make decisions about the appropriate level of 
the CCyB on U.S.-based credit exposures jointly with the OCC and FDIC. 
In addition, the Board expects that the CCyB amount for U.S.-based 
credit exposures would be the same for covered insured depository 
institutions as for covered depository institution holding companies. 
The CCyB is designed to take into account the broad macroeconomic and 
financial environment in which banking organizations function and the 
degree to which that environment impacts the resilience of the group of 
advanced approaches institutions. Therefore, the Board's determination 
of the appropriate level of the CCyB for U.S.-based credit exposures 
would be most directly linked to the condition of the overall financial 
environment rather than the condition of any individual banking 
organization. But, the overall CCyB requirement for a banking 
organization will vary based on the organization's particular 
composition of private sector credit exposures located across national 
jurisdictions.

II. Proposed Policy Statement

    The proposed policy statement (Policy Statement) describes the 
framework that the Board would follow in setting the amount of the CCyB 
for U.S.-based credit exposures. The framework consists of a set of 
principles for translating assessments of financial-system 
vulnerabilities that are regularly undertaken at the Board into the 
appropriate level of the CCyB. Those assessments are informed by a 
broad array of quantitative indicators of financial and economic 
performance and a set of empirical models. In addition, the framework 
includes a discussion of how the Board would assess whether the CCyB is 
the most appropriate policy instrument (among available policy 
instruments) to address the highlighted financial-system 
vulnerabilities.
    The proposed Policy Statement is organized as follows. Section 1 
provides background on the proposed Policy Statement. Section 2 is an 
outline of the proposed Policy Statement and describes its scope. 
Section 3 provides a broad description of the objectives of the CCyB, 
including a description of the ways in which the CCyB is expected to 
protect large banking organizations and the broader financial system. 
Section 4 provides a broad description of the factors that the Board 
considers in setting the CCyB, including specific financial-system 
vulnerabilities and types of quantitative indicators of financial and 
economic performance, and outlines of empirical models the Board may 
use as inputs to that decision. Further, section 4 describes a set of 
principles that the Board expects to use for combining judgmental 
assessments with quantitative indicators to determine the appropriate 
level of the CCyB. Section 5 discusses how the Board will communicate 
the level of the CCyB and any changes to the CCyB. Section 6 describes 
how the Board plans to monitor the effects of the CCyB, including what 
indicators and effects will be monitored.
    The Board seeks comment on all aspects of the proposed Policy 
Statement.
    Question 1. In what ways could the Board improve its proposed 
framework for making decisions on the CCyB?
    Question 2. The proposed Policy Statement describes a set of 
principles for translating judgmental assessments of financial-system 
vulnerabilities into specific levels of the CCyB, a set of empirical 
models used as inputs to the judgmental process that distill and 
translate quantitative indicators of financial and economic performance 
into potential settings for the CCyB, and an assessment of whether the 
CCyB is the most appropriate policy instrument to address highlighted 
financial-system vulnerabilities. Are there any other considerations 
that should form part of the CCyB decision-making framework?
    Question 3. To what extent does the Board's proposed framework for 
determining the appropriate level of the CCyB capture the appropriate 
set of financial-system vulnerabilities? Are there any vulnerabilities 
that should also be considered or are there vulnerabilities that should 
be given greater or less consideration? How should vulnerabilities 
developing outside of the banking sector be considered as compared to 
vulnerabilities developing inside of the banking sector?

III. Administrative Law Matters

A. Use of Plain Language

    Section 722 of the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (Pub. L. 106-102, 113 
Stat. 1338, 1471, 12 U.S.C. 4809) requires the Federal banking agencies 
to use plain language in all proposed and final rules published after 
January 1, 2000. The Board has sought to present the proposed policy 
statement in a simple and straightforward manner, and invites comment 
on the use of plain language.

B. Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis

    In accordance with the requirements of the Paperwork Reduction Act 
of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3506), the Board has reviewed the proposed policy 
statement to assess any information collections. There are no 
collections of information as defined by the Paperwork Reduction Act in 
the proposal.

C. Regulatory Flexibility Act Analysis

    The Board is providing an initial regulatory flexibility analysis 
with respect to this proposed Policy Statement. As discussed above, the 
proposed Policy Statement is designed to provide additional information 
regarding the factors that the Board expects to consider in evaluating 
whether to change the CCyB applicable to private-sector credit 
exposures located in the United States. The Regulatory Flexibility Act, 
5 U.S.C. 601 et seq. (RFA), generally requires that an agency prepare 
and make available an initial regulatory flexibility analysis in 
connection with a notice of proposed rulemaking. Under regulations 
issued by the Small Business Administration, a small entity includes a 
bank holding company with assets of $550 million or less (small bank 
holding company).\15\ As of December 31, 2014, there were approximately 
3,441 small BHCs, 187 small SLHCs, and 644 small state member banks.
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    \15\ See 13 CFR 121.201. Effective July 14, 2014, the Small 
Business Administration revised the size standards for banking 
organizations to $550 million in assets from $500 million in assets. 
79 FR 33647 (June 12, 2014).
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    The proposed Policy Statement would relate only to advanced 
approaches institutions, which, generally, are banking organizations 
with total consolidated assets of $250 billion or more, that have total 
consolidated on-balance sheet foreign exposure of $10 billion or more, 
are a subsidiary of an advanced approaches depository institution, or 
that elect to use the advanced approaches framework.\16\ Banking 
organizations that would be covered by the proposed Policy

[[Page 5664]]

Statement substantially exceed the $550 million asset threshold at 
which a banking entity would qualify as a small bank holding company, 
small savings and loan holding company, or small state member bank. 
Currently, no small top-tier bank holding company, small top-tier 
savings and loan holding company, or small state member bank is an 
advanced approaches institution, so there would be no additional 
projected compliance requirements imposed on small bank holding 
companies, small savings and loan holding companies, or small state 
member banks.
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    \16\ 12 CFR 217.100(b)(1).
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    Therefore, there are no significant alternatives to the proposal 
that would have less economic impact on small banking organizations. 
There are no projected reporting, recordkeeping, or other compliance 
requirements of the proposal. The Board does not believe that the 
proposal duplicates, overlaps, or conflicts with any other Federal 
rules. In light of the foregoing, the Board does not believe that the 
proposal, if adopted in final form, would have a significant economic 
impact on a substantial number of small entities. Nonetheless, the 
Board seeks comment on whether the proposal would impose undue burdens 
on, or have unintended consequences for, small organizations, and 
whether there are ways such potential burdens or consequences could be 
minimized in a manner consistent with the purpose of the proposal. A 
final regulatory flexibility analysis will be conducted after 
consideration of comments received during the public comment period.

List of Subjects in 12 CFR Part 217

    Administrative practice and procedure, Banks, banking. Holding 
companies, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Securities.

Authority and Issuance

    For the reasons stated in the Supplementary Information, the Board 
of Governors of the Federal Reserve System proposes to add the Policy 
Statement as set forth at the end of the Supplementary Information as 
appendix A to part 217 of 12 CFR chapter II as follows:

PART 217--CAPITAL ADEQUACY OF BANK HOLDING COMPANIES, SAVINGS AND 
LOAN HOLDING COMPANIES, AND STATE MEMBER BANKS

0
1. The authority citation for part 217 continues to read as follows:

    Authority: 12 U.S.C. 248(a), 321-338a, 481-486, 1462a, 1467a, 
1818, 1828, 1831n, 1831o, 1831p-l, 1831w, 1835, 1844(b), 1851, 3904, 
3906-3909, 4808, 5365, 5368, 5371.

PART 217--CAPITAL ADEQUACY OF BANK HOLDING COMPANIES, SAVINGS AND 
LOAN HOLDING COMPANIES, AND STATE MEMBER BANKS

0
2. Appendix A to part 217 is added to read as follows:

Appendix A to Part 217--The Federal Reserve Board's Framework for 
Implementing the Countercyclical Capital Buffer

1. Background

    The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (Board) 
issued a final regulatory capital rule (Regulation Q) in 
coordination with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency 
(OCC) and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) that 
strengthened risk-based and leverage capital requirements applicable 
to insured depository institutions and depository institution 
holding companies (banking organizations).\1\ Among those changes 
was the introduction of a countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) for 
large, internationally active banking organizations.\2\
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    \1\ See 78 FR 62018 (October 11, 2013) (Board and OCC); 79 FR 
20754 (April 14, 2014) (FDIC).
    \2\ 12 CFR 217.11(b). The CCyB applies only to banking 
organizations subject to the advanced approaches capital rules, 
which generally apply to those banking organizations with greater 
than $250 billion in assets or more than $10 billion in on-balance-
sheet foreign exposures. See 12 CFR 217.100(b). An advanced 
approaches institution is subject to the CCyB regardless of whether 
it has completed the parallel run process and received notification 
from its primary Federal supervisor. See 12 CFR 217.121(d).
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    The CCyB is a macroprudential policy tool that the Board can 
increase during periods of rising vulnerabilities in the financial 
system and reduce when vulnerabilities recede. It is designed to 
increase the resilience of large banking organizations when 
policymakers see an elevated risk of above-normal losses. Increasing 
the resilience of large banking organizations should, in turn, 
improve the resilience of the broader financial system. Above-normal 
losses often follow periods of rapid asset price appreciation or 
credit growth that are not well supported by underlying economic 
fundamentals. The circumstances in which the Board would most likely 
use the CCyB as a supplemental, macroprudential tool to augment 
minimum capital requirements and other capital buffers would be to 
address circumstances when potential systemic vulnerabilities are 
somewhat above normal. By requiring large banking organizations to 
hold additional capital during those periods of excess and removing 
the requirement to hold additional capital when the vulnerabilities 
have diminished, the CCyB also is expected to moderate fluctuations 
in the supply of credit over time.\3\ Further, Regulation Q 
established the initial CCyB amount with respect to U.S.-based 
credit exposures at zero percent and provided that the maximum 
potential amount of the CCyB for credit exposures in the United 
States was 2.5 percent of risk-weighted assets.\4\
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    \3\ Implementation of the CCyB also helps respond to the Dodd-
Frank Act's requirement that the Board seek to make its capital 
requirements countercyclical 12 U.S.C. 1844(b), 1464a(g)(1), and 
3907(a)(1) (codifying sections 616(a), (b), and (c) of the Dodd-
Frank Act).
    \4\ The CCyB is subject to a phase-in arrangement between 2016 
and 2019. See 12 CFR 217.300(a)(2).
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    The Board expects to make decisions about the appropriate level 
of the CCyB on U.S.-based credit exposures jointly with the OCC and 
FDIC, and expects that the CCyB amount for U.S.-based credit 
exposures will be the same for covered depository institution 
holding companies and insured depository institutions. The CCyB is 
designed to take into account the macrofinancial environment in 
which banking organizations function and the degree to which that 
environment impacts the resilience of the group of advanced 
approaches institutions. Therefore, the appropriate setting of the 
CCyB for private sector credit exposures located in the United 
States (U.S.-based credit exposures) is not closely linked to the 
characteristics of an individual institution. However, the overall 
CCyB for each institution will differ because the CCyB is weighted 
based on a banking organization's particular composition of private-
sector credit exposures across national jurisdictions.

2. Overview and Scope of the Policy Statement

    This Policy Statement describes the framework that the Board 
will follow in setting the amount of the CCyB for U.S.-based credit 
exposures. The framework consists of a set of principles for 
translating assessments of financial-system vulnerabilities that are 
regularly undertaken by the Board into the appropriate level of the 
CCyB. Those assessments are informed by a broad array of 
quantitative indicators of financial and economic performance and a 
set of empirical models. In addition, the framework includes an 
assessment of whether the CCyB is the most appropriate policy 
instrument (among available policy instruments) to address the 
highlighted financial-system vulnerabilities.

3. The Objectives of the CCyB

    The objectives of the CCyB are to strengthen banking 
organizations' resilience against the build-up of systemic 
vulnerabilities and reduce fluctuations in the supply of credit. The 
CCyB supplements the minimum capital requirements and the capital 
conservation buffer, which themselves are designed to provide 
substantial resilience to unexpected losses created by normal 
fluctuations in economic and financial conditions. The capital 
surcharge on global systemically important banking organizations 
adds an additional layer of defense for the largest and most 
systemically important institutions, whose financial distress can 
have outsized effects on the rest of the financial system and real 
economy.\5\ However, periods of financial excesses, as reflected in 
episodes of rapid

[[Page 5665]]

asset price appreciation or credit growth not well supported by 
underlying economic fundamentals, are often followed by above-normal 
losses that leave banking organizations and other financial 
institutions undercapitalized. Therefore, the Board would most 
likely apply the CCyB in those circumstances when systemic 
vulnerabilities are somewhat above normal.
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    \5\ See 80 FR 49082 (August 14, 2015).
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    The CCyB is expected to help provide additional resilience for 
advanced approaches institutions, and by extension the broader 
financial system, against elevated vulnerabilities primarily in two 
ways. First, advanced approaches institutions will likely hold more 
capital to avoid limitations on capital distributions and 
discretionary bonus payments resulting from implementation of the 
CCyB. Strengthening their capital positions when financial 
conditions are accommodative would increase the capacity of advanced 
approaches institutions to absorb outsized losses during a future 
significant economic downturn or period of financial instability, 
thus making them more resilient. The second and related goal of the 
CCyB is to promote a more sustainable supply of credit over the 
economic cycle.
    During a credit cycle downturn, better-capitalized institutions 
have been shown to be more likely to have continued access to 
funding and less likely to take actions that lead to broader 
financial-sector distress and its associated macroeconomic costs, 
such as large-scale sales of assets at prices below their 
fundamental value and sharp contractions in credit supply.\6\ 
Therefore, it is likely that as a result of the CCyB having been put 
into place during a period of rapid credit creation, advanced 
approaches institutions would be better positioned to continue their 
important intermediary functions during a subsequent economic 
contraction. A timely and credible reduction in the CCyB requirement 
during a period of high credit losses could reinforce those 
beneficial effects of a higher base level of capital, because it 
would permit advanced approaches institutions either to realize loan 
losses promptly and remove them from their balance sheets or to 
expand their balance sheets, for example by continuing to lend to 
creditworthy borrowers.
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    \6\ For additional background on the relationship between 
financial distress and economic outcomes, see Carmen Reinhart and 
Kenneth Rogoff (2009), This Time is Different. Princeton University 
Press; [Ograve]scar Jord[agrave] & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. 
Taylor (2011), ``Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and External 
Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons,'' IMF Economic Review, Palgrave 
Macmillan, vol. 59(2), pages 340-378; and Bank for International 
Settlements (2010), ``Assessing the Long-Run Economic Impact of 
Higher Capital and Liquidity Requirements.''
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    Likewise, during a period of cyclically increasing 
vulnerabilities, advanced approaches institutions might react to an 
increase in the CCyB by tightening lending standards, otherwise 
reducing their risk exposure, augmenting their capital, or some 
combination of those actions. They may choose to raise capital by 
taking actions that would increase net income, reducing capital 
distributions through share repurchases or dividends, or issuing new 
equity. In this regard, an increase in the CCyB would not prevent 
advanced approaches institutions from maintaining their important 
role as credit intermediaries, but would reduce the likelihood that 
banking organizations with insufficient capital would foster 
unsustainable credit growth or engage in imprudent risk taking. The 
specific combination of adjustments and the relative size of each 
adjustment will depend in part on the initial capital positions of 
advanced approaches institutions, the cost of debt and equity 
financing, and the earnings opportunities presented by the economic 
situation at the time.\7\
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    \7\ For estimates of the size of certain adjustments, see Samuel 
G. Hanson, Anil K. Kashyap, and Jeremy C. Stein (2011), ``A 
Macroprudential Approach to Financial Regulation,'' Journal of 
Economic Perspectives 25(1), pp. 3-28; Skander J. Van den Heuvel 
(2008), ``The Welfare Cost of Bank Capital Requirements.'' Journal 
of Monetary Economics 55, pp. 298-320.
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4. The Framework for Setting the U.S. CCyB

    The Board regularly monitors and assesses threats to financial 
stability by synthesizing information from a comprehensive set of 
financial-sector and macroeconomic indicators, supervisory 
information, surveys, and other interactions with market 
participants.\8\ In forming its view about the appropriate size of 
the U.S. CCyB, the Board will consider a number of financial-system 
vulnerabilities, including but not limited to, asset valuation 
pressures and risk appetite, leverage in the nonfinancial sector, 
leverage in the financial sector, and maturity and liquidity 
transformation in the financial sector. The decision will reflect 
the implications of the assessment of overall financial-system 
vulnerabilities as well as any concerns related to one or more 
classes of vulnerabilities. The specific combination of 
vulnerabilities is important because an adverse shock to one class 
of vulnerabilities could be more likely than another to exacerbate 
existing pressures in other parts of the economy or financial 
system.
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    \8\ Tobias Adrian, Daniel Covitz, and Nellie Liang (2014), 
``Financial Stability Monitoring.'' Finance and Economics Discussion 
Series 2013-021. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal 
Reserve System, http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2013/201321/201321pap.pdf.
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    The Board intends to monitor a wide range of financial and 
macroeconomic quantitative indicators including, but not limited to, 
measures of relative credit and liquidity expansion or contraction, 
a variety of asset prices, funding spreads, credit condition 
surveys, indices based on credit default swap spreads, options 
implied volatility, and measures of systemic risk.\9\ In addition, 
empirical models that translate a manageable set of quantitative 
indicators of financial and economic performance into potential 
settings for the CCyB, when used as part of a comprehensive 
judgmental assessment of all available information, can be a useful 
input to the Board's deliberations. Such models may include those 
that rely on small sets of indicators--such as the credit-to-GDP 
ratio, its growth rate, and combinations of the credit-to-GDP ratio 
with trends in the prices of residential and commercial real 
estate--which some academic research has shown to be useful in 
identifying periods of financial excess followed by a period of 
crisis on a cross-country basis.\10\ Such models may also include 
those that consider larger sets of indicators, which have the 
advantage of representing conditions in all key sectors of the 
economy, especially those specific to risk-taking, performance, and 
the financial condition of large banks.\11\
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    \9\ See 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(iv).
    \10\ See, e.g., Jorda, Oscar, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor, 
2012. ``When Credit Bites Back: Leverage, Business Cycles and 
Crises,'' Working Papers 1224, University of California, Davis, 
Department of Economics, and Drehmann, Mathias, Claudio Borio, and 
Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2012. ``Characterizing the financial cycle: 
don't lose sight of the medium term!'' BIS Working Papers 380, Bank 
for International Settlements. Jorda, Oscar, Moritz Schularick and 
Alan Taylor, 2015. ``Leveraged Bubbles,'' Center for Economic Policy 
Research Discussion Paper No. DP10781. BCBS (2010), ``Guidance for 
national authorities operating the countercyclical capital buffer,'' 
BIS.
    \11\ See, e.g., Aikman, David, Michael T. Kiley, Seung Jung Lee, 
Michael G. Palumbo, and Missaka N. Warusawitharana (2015), ``Mapping 
Heat in the U.S. Financial System,'' Finance and Economics 
Discussion Series 2015-059. Washington: Board of Governors of the 
Federal Reserve System, http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2015.059 
(providing an example of the range of indicators used and type of 
analysis possible).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    However, no single indictor or fixed set of indicators can 
adequately capture all the key vulnerabilities in the U.S. economy 
and financial system. Moreover, adjustments in the CCyB that were 
tightly linked to a specific model or set of models would be 
imprecise due to the relatively short period that some indicators 
are available, the limited number of past crises against which the 
models can be calibrated, and limited experience with the CCyB as a 
macroprudential tool. As a result, the types of indicators and 
models considered in assessments of the appropriate level of the 
CCyB are likely to change over time based on advances in research 
and the experience of the Board with this new macroprudential tool.
    The Board will determine the appropriate level of the CCyB for 
U.S.-based credit exposures based on its analysis of the above 
factors. Generally, a zero percent U.S. CCyB amount would reflect an 
assessment that U.S. economic and financial conditions are broadly 
consistent with a financial system in which levels of system-wide 
vulnerabilities are not somewhat above normal. The Board could 
increase the CCyB as vulnerabilities build, and a 2.5 percent CCyB 
amount for U.S.-based credit exposures would reflect an assessment 
that the U.S. financial sector is experiencing a period of 
significantly elevated or rapidly increasing system-wide 
vulnerabilities. Importantly, as a macroprudential policy tool, the 
CCyB will be activated and deactivated based on broad developments 
and trends in the U.S. financial system, rather than the activities 
of any individual banking organization.
    Similarly, the Board would remove or reduce the CCyB when the 
conditions that led to its activation abate or lessen, rather than 
leaving the nonzero level of the buffer in place over periods when 
financial and

[[Page 5666]]

economic developments suggest the absence of notable risks to 
financial stability. Indeed, for it to be most effective, the CCyB 
should be deactivated or reduced in a timely manner. This would 
reduce the likelihood that advanced approaches institutions would 
significantly pare their risk-weighted assets in order to maintain 
their capital ratios during a downturn.
    The pace and magnitude of changes in the CCyB will depend 
importantly on the underlying conditions in the financial sector and 
the economy as well as the desired effects of the proposed change in 
the CCyB. If vulnerabilities are rising gradually, then incremental 
increases in the level of the CCyB may be appropriate. Incremental 
increases would allow banks to augment their capital primarily 
through retained earnings and allow policymakers additional time to 
assess the effects of the policy change before making subsequent 
adjustments. However, if vulnerabilities in the financial system are 
building rapidly, then larger or more frequent adjustments may be 
necessary to increase loss-absorbing capacity sooner and potentially 
to mitigate the rise in vulnerabilities.
    The Board will also consider whether the CCyB is the most 
appropriate of its available policy instruments to address the 
financial-system vulnerabilities highlighted by the framework's 
judgmental assessments and empirical models. The CCyB primarily is 
intended to address cyclical vulnerabilities, rather than structural 
vulnerabilities that do not vary significantly over time. Structural 
vulnerabilities are better addressed though targeted reforms or 
permanent increases in financial system resilience. Two key factors 
for the Board to consider are whether advanced approaches 
institutions are exposed--either directly or indirectly--to the 
vulnerabilities identified in the comprehensive judgmental 
assessment or by the quantitative indicators that suggest activation 
of the CCyB and whether advanced approaches institutions are 
contributing--either directly or indirectly--to these highlighted 
vulnerabilities.
    The Board, in setting the CCyB for advanced approaches 
institutions that it supervises, plans to consult with the OCC and 
FDIC on their analyses of financial-system vulnerabilities and on 
the extent to which banking organizations are either exposed to or 
contributing to these vulnerabilities.

5. Communication of the U.S. CCyB With the Public

    The Board expects to consider at least once per year the 
applicable level of the U.S. CCyB. The Board will review financial 
conditions regularly throughout the year and may adjust the CCyB 
more frequently as a result of those monitoring activities.
    Further, the Board will continue to communicate with the public 
in other formats regarding its assessment of U.S. financial 
stability, including financial-system vulnerabilities. For example, 
the Board's biannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress, usually 
published in February and July, will continue to contain a section 
that reports on developments pertaining to the stability of the U.S. 
financial system.\12\ That portion of the report will be an 
important vehicle for updating the public on how the Board's current 
assessment of financial-system vulnerabilities bears on the setting 
of the CCyB.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \12\ For the most recent discussion in this format, see box 
titled ``Developments Related to Financial Stability'' in Board of 
Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy Report to 
Congress, July 2015, pp. 24-25.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

6. Monitoring of the Effects of the U.S. CCyB

    The effects of the U.S. CCyB ultimately will depend on the level 
at which it is set, the size and nature of any adjustments in the 
level, and the timeliness with which it is increased or decreased. 
The extent to which the CCyB may affect vulnerabilities in the 
broader financial system depends upon a complex set of interactions 
between required capital levels at the largest banking organizations 
and the economy and financial markets. In addition to the direct 
effects, the secondary economic effects could be amplified if 
financial markets extract a signal from the announcement of a change 
in the CCyB about subsequent actions that might be taken by the 
Board. Moreover, financial market participants might react by 
updating their expectations about future asset prices in specific 
markets or broader economic activity based on the concerns expressed 
by the regulators in communications announcing a policy change.
    The Board will monitor and analyze adjustments by banking 
organizations and other financial institutions to the CCyB. Factors 
that will be considered include (but are not limited to) the types 
of adjustments that affected banking organizations might undertake. 
For example, it will be useful to monitor whether a change in the 
CCyB leads to observed changes in risk-based capital ratios at 
advanced approaches institutions, as well as whether those 
adjustments are achieved passively through retained earnings, or 
actively through changes in capital distributions or in risk-
weighted assets. Other factors to be monitored include the extent to 
which loan growth and spreads on loans issued by affected banking 
organizations change relative to loan growth and loan spreads at 
banking organizations that are not subject to the buffer. Another 
key consideration in setting the CCyB and other macroprudential 
tools is the extent to which the adjustments by advanced approaches 
institutions to higher capital buffers lead to migration of credit 
market activity outside of those banking organizations, especially 
to the nonbank financial sector. Depending on the amount of 
migration and which institutions are affected, those adjustments 
could cause the Board to favor either a higher or a lower value of 
the CCyB.
    The Board will also monitor information regarding the levels of 
and changes in the CCyB in other countries. The Basel Committee on 
Banking Supervision is expected to maintain this information for 
member countries in a publically available form on its Web site.\13\ 
Using that data in conjunction with supervisory and publicly 
available datasets, Board staff will be able to draw not only upon 
the experience of the United States but also that of other countries 
to refine estimates of the effects of changes in the CCyB.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \13\ BIS, Countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB), www.bis.org/bcbs/ccyb/index.htm.

    By order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve 
System, December 21, 2015.
Robert deV. Frierson,
Secretary of the Board.

[FR Doc. 2016-01934 Filed 2-2-16; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE P



                                                                         Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 22 / Wednesday, February 3, 2016 / Proposed Rules                                                 5661

                                                    and sufficient technical knowledge to                   performing much of the same analysis                  Massachusetts, Washington, and
                                                    participate in substantive negotiations.                as it would during a normal standards                 Minnesota.
                                                       Certain concepts are central to                      rulemaking process and to providing                     Acceptable alternate forms of Photo-
                                                    negotiating in good faith. One is the                   information and technical support to the              ID include: U. S. Passport or Passport
                                                    willingness to bring all issues to the                  working group.                                        Card; An Enhanced Driver’s License or
                                                    bargaining table in an attempt to reach                                                                       Enhanced ID-Card issued by the states
                                                    a consensus, as opposed to keeping key                  IV. Comments Requested                                of Minnesota, New York or Washington
                                                    issues in reserve. The second is a                         DOE requests comments on which                     (Enhanced licenses issued by these
                                                    willingness to keep the issues at the                   parties should be included in a                       states are clearly marked Enhanced or
                                                    table and not take them to other forums.                negotiated rulemaking to develop draft                Enhanced Driver’s License); A military
                                                    Finally, good faith includes a                          language pertaining to the energy                     ID or other Federal government issued
                                                    willingness to move away from some of                   efficiency of circulator pumps and                    Photo-ID card.
                                                    the positions often taken in a more                     suggestions of additional interests and/              VI. Approval of the Office of the
                                                    traditional rulemaking process, and                     or stakeholders that should be                        Secretary
                                                    instead explore openly with other                       represented on the working group. All
                                                    parties all ideas that may emerge from                  who wish to participate as members of                   The Secretary of Energy has approved
                                                    the working group’s discussions.                        the working group should submit a                     publication of today’s notice of intent.
                                                    E. Facilitator                                          request for nomination to DOE.                          Issued in Washington, DC, on January 27,
                                                                                                                                                                  2016.
                                                      The facilitator will act as a neutral in              V. Public Participation
                                                                                                                                                                  Kathleen B. Hogan,
                                                    the substantive development of the                         Members of the public are welcome to               Deputy Assistant Secretary for Energy
                                                    proposed standard. Rather, the                          observe the business of the meeting and,              Efficiency and Renewable Energy.
                                                    facilitator’s role generally includes:                  if time allows, may make oral                         [FR Doc. 2016–01979 Filed 2–2–16; 8:45 am]
                                                      • Impartially assisting the members of                statements during the specified period                BILLING CODE 6450–01–P
                                                    the working group in conducting                         for public comment. To attend the
                                                    discussions and negotiations; and                       meeting and/or to make oral statements
                                                      • Impartially assisting in performing                 regarding any of the items on the
                                                    the duties of the Designated Federal                                                                          FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
                                                                                                            agenda, email asrac@ee.doe.gov. In the
                                                    Official under FACA.                                    email, please indicate your name,                     12 CFR Part 217
                                                    F. Department Representative                            organization (if appropriate),                        [Docket No. R–1529]
                                                                                                            citizenship, and contact information.
                                                      The DOE representative will be a full                                                                       RIN 7100 AE–43
                                                                                                            Please note that foreign nationals
                                                    and active participant in the consensus
                                                                                                            participating in the public meeting are
                                                    building negotiations. The Department’s                                                                       Regulatory Capital Rules: The Federal
                                                                                                            subject to advance security screening
                                                    representative will meet regularly with                                                                       Reserve Board’s Framework for
                                                                                                            procedures which require advance
                                                    senior Department officials, briefing                                                                         Implementing the U.S. Basel III
                                                                                                            notice prior to attendance at the public
                                                    them on the negotiations and receiving                                                                        Countercyclical Capital Buffer
                                                                                                            meeting. If a foreign national wishes to
                                                    their suggestions and advice so that he
                                                                                                            participate in the public meeting, please             AGENCY:  Board of Governors of the
                                                    or she can effectively represent the
                                                                                                            inform DOE as soon as possible by                     Federal Reserve System.
                                                    Department’s views regarding the issues
                                                                                                            contacting Ms. Regina Washington at                   ACTION: Proposed policy statement with
                                                    before the working group. DOE’s
                                                                                                            (202) 586–1214 or by email:                           request for public comment.
                                                    representative also will ensure that the
                                                                                                            Regina.Washington@ee.doe.gov so that
                                                    entire spectrum of governmental                                                                               SUMMARY:   The Board is inviting public
                                                                                                            the necessary procedures can be
                                                    interests affected by the standards                                                                           comment on a policy statement on the
                                                                                                            completed. Anyone attending the
                                                    rulemaking, including the Office of                                                                           framework that the Board will follow in
                                                                                                            meeting will be required to present a
                                                    Management and Budget, the Attorney                                                                           setting the amount of the U.S.
                                                                                                            government photo identification, such
                                                    General, and other Departmental offices,                                                                      countercyclical capital buffer for
                                                                                                            as a passport, driver’s license, or
                                                    are kept informed of the negotiations                                                                         advanced approaches bank holding
                                                                                                            government identification. Due to the
                                                    and encouraged to make their concerns                                                                         companies, savings and loan holding
                                                                                                            required security screening upon entry,
                                                    known in a timely fashion.                                                                                    companies, and state member banks
                                                                                                            individuals attending should arrive
                                                    G. Working Group and Schedule                           early to allow for the extra time needed.             under the Board’s Regulation Q (12 CFR
                                                       After evaluating the comments                           Due to the REAL ID Act implemented                 part 217).
                                                    submitted in response to this notice of                 by the Department of Homeland                         DATES: Comments must be received on
                                                    intent and the requests for nominations,                Security (DHS) recent changes regarding               or before March 21, 2016. Comments
                                                    DOE will either inform the members of                   ID requirements for individuals wishing               were originally due by February 19,
                                                    the working group that they have been                   to enter Federal buildings from specific              2016.
                                                    selected or determine that conducting a                 states and U.S. territories. Driver’s                 ADDRESSES: You may submit comments,
                                                    negotiated rulemaking is inappropriate.                 licenses from the following states or                 identified by Docket No. R–1529 and
                                                       Per the ASRAC Charter, the working                   territory will not be accepted for                    RIN 7100 AE–43 by any of the following
                                                    group is expected to make a concerted                   building entry and one of the alternate
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                                                                                                                                                                  methods:
                                                    effort to negotiate a final term sheet by               forms of ID listed below will be                         • Agency Web site: http://
                                                    September 30, 2016.                                     required.                                             www.federalreserve.gov. Follow the
                                                       DOE will advise working group                           DHS has determined that regular                    instructions for submitting comments at
                                                    members of administrative matters                       driver’s licenses (and ID cards) from the             http://www.federalreserve.gov/
                                                    related to the functions of the working                 following jurisdictions are not                       generalinfo/foia/ProposedRegs.aspx.
                                                    group before beginning. While the                       acceptable for entry into DOE facilities:                • Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://
                                                    negotiated rulemaking process is                        Alaska, Louisiana, New York, American                 www.regulations.gov. Follow the
                                                    underway, DOE is committed to                           Samoa, Maine, Oklahoma, Arizona,                      instructions for submitting comments.


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                                                    5662                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 22 / Wednesday, February 3, 2016 / Proposed Rules

                                                       • Email: regs.comments@                              Among the changes that Regulation Q                     institution subsidiary of such banking
                                                    federalreserve.gov. Include the docket                  introduced was the institution of a                     organizations.5
                                                    number and RIN number in the subject                    countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) for                  The CCyB functions as an expansion
                                                    line of the message.                                    large, internationally active banking                   of the Capital Conservation Buffer
                                                       • Fax: (202) 452–3819 or (202) 452–                  organizations.2                                         (CCB). The CCB requires that a banking
                                                    3102.                                                      The CCyB is a macroprudential policy                 organization hold a buffer of common
                                                       • Mail: Robert V. Frierson, Secretary,               tool that the Board can increase during                 equity tier 1 capital in excess of the
                                                    Board of Governors of the Federal                       periods of rising vulnerabilities in the                minimum risk-based capital ratios
                                                    Reserve System, 20th Street and                         financial system and reduce when                        greater than 2.5 percent of risk-weighted
                                                    Constitution Avenue NW., Washington,                    vulnerabilities recede.3 The CCyB                       assets to avoid limits on capital
                                                    DC 20551.                                               supplements the minimum capital                         distributions and certain discretionary
                                                       All public comments will be made                     requirements and other capital buffers                  bonus payments.6 The CCB is divided
                                                    available on the Board’s Web site at                    included in Regulation Q, which                         into quartiles, each associated with
                                                    http://www.federalreserve.gov/                          themselves are designed to provide                      increasingly stringent limitations on
                                                    generalinfo/foia/ProposedRegs.aspx as                   substantial resilience to unexpected                    capital distributions and certain
                                                    submitted, unless modified for technical                losses created by normal fluctuations in                discretionary bonus payments as the
                                                    reasons. Accordingly, your comments                     economic and financial conditions. The                  firm’s risk-based capital ratios approach
                                                    will not be edited to remove any                        CCyB is designed to increase the                        regulatory minimums.7
                                                    identifying or contact information.                     resilience of large banking organizations                  As described in Regulation Q, the
                                                    Public comments may also be viewed                      when the Board sees an elevated risk of                 CCyB applies based on the location of
                                                    electronically or in paper form in Room                 above-normal losses. Increasing the                     exposures by national jurisdiction.8
                                                    MP–500 of the Board’s Martin Building                   resilience of large banking organizations               Specifically, the applicable CCyB
                                                    (20th and C Streets NW., Washington,                    should, in turn, improve the resilience                 amount for a banking organization is
                                                    DC 20551) between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m. on                  of the broader financial system. Above-                 equal to the weighted average of CCyB
                                                    weekdays.                                               normal losses often follow periods of                   amounts established by the Board for
                                                    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                        rapid asset price appreciation or credit                the national jurisdictions where the
                                                    William Bassett, Deputy Associate                       growth that are not well supported by                   banking organization has private-sector
                                                    Director, (202) 736–5644, or Rochelle                   underlying economic fundamentals. The                   credit exposures.9 The CCyB amount
                                                    Edge, Deputy Associate Director, (202)                  circumstances in which the Board                        applicable to a banking organization is
                                                    452–2339, Office of Financial Stability                 would most likely use the CCyB as a                     weighted by jurisdiction according to
                                                    Policy and Research; Sean Campbell,                     supplemental, macroprudential tool to                   the firm’s risk-weighted private-sector
                                                    Associate Director, (202) 452–3760,                     augment minimum capital requirements                    credit exposures for a specific
                                                    Division of Banking Supervision and                     and other capital buffers would be to
                                                                                                                                                                    jurisdiction as a percentage of the firm’s
                                                    Regulation; Benjamin W. McDonough,                      address circumstances when potential
                                                                                                                                                                    overall risk-weighted private-sector
                                                    Special Counsel, (202) 452–2036, Mark                   systemic vulnerabilities are somewhat
                                                                                                                                                                    credit exposures.10
                                                    Buresh, Senior Attorney, (202) 452–                     above normal. By requiring advanced
                                                                                                                                                                       Regulation Q established the initial
                                                    5270, or Mary Watkins, Attorney, (202)                  approaches institutions to hold a larger
                                                                                                                                                                    CCyB amount with respect to private-
                                                    452–3722, Legal Division.                               capital buffer during periods of
                                                                                                                                                                    sector credit exposures located in the
                                                    SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                              increased systemic risk and removing
                                                                                                            the buffer requirement when the                         United States (U.S.-based credit
                                                    Table of Contents                                       vulnerabilities have diminished, the                    exposures) at zero percent. Following a
                                                                                                            CCyB has the potential to moderate                      phase-in period, the amount of the
                                                    I. Background
                                                    II. Proposed Policy Statement                           fluctuations in the supply of credit over               CCyB will vary between 0 and 2.5
                                                    III. Administrative Law Matters                         time.                                                   percent of risk-weighted assets. Under
                                                       A. Use of Plain Language                                The CCyB applies to banking                          the phase-in schedule, the maximum
                                                       B. Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis                  organizations subject to the advanced                   potential amount of the CCyB for U.S.-
                                                       C. Regulatory Flexibility Act Analysis               approaches capital rules (advanced                      based credit exposures is 0.625
                                                    I. Background                                           approaches institutions).4 The advanced                 percentage points in 2016, 1.25
                                                                                                            approaches capital rules generally apply                percentage points in 2017, 1.875
                                                       The Board of Governors of the Federal                                                                        percentage points in 2018, and 2.5
                                                    Reserve System (Board) issued in June                   to banking organizations with greater
                                                                                                            than $250 billion in total assets or $10                percentage points in 2019 and all
                                                    2013 a final regulatory capital rule                                                                            subsequent years.11 To provide banking
                                                    (Regulation Q) in coordination with the                 billion in on-balance-sheet foreign
                                                                                                            exposure and to any depository                          organizations with sufficient time to
                                                    Office of the Comptroller of the                                                                                adjust to any change to the CCyB, an
                                                    Currency (OCC) and the Federal Deposit                    2 12                                                  increase in the amount of the CCyB for
                                                                                                                   CFR 217.11(b).
                                                    Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to                           3 Implementation   of the CCyB also helps respond     U.S.-based credit exposures will have an
                                                    strengthen risk-based and leverage                      to the provision in the Dodd-Frank Wall Street          effective date 12 months after the
                                                    capital requirements applicable to                      Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank          determination, unless the Board
                                                    insured depository institutions and                     Act) that the agencies ‘‘shall seek to make such
                                                                                                            [capital] requirements countercyclical, so that the
                                                                                                                                                                    determines that a more immediate
                                                    certain depository institution holding                  amount of capital required to be maintained by a        implementation is necessary based on
                                                    companies (banking organizations).1                     company increases in times of economic expansion
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                                                                                                            and decreases in times of economic contraction,           5 12 CFR 217.100(b)(1).
                                                      1 See  78 FR 62018 (October 11, 2013) (Board and      consistent with the safety and soundness of the           6 12 CFR 217.11(b)(1)(i).
                                                    OCC); 79 FR 20754 (April 14, 2014) (FDIC).              company.’’ See 12 U.S.C. 1467a; 12 U.S.C. 1844; 12        7 12 CFR 217.11(a).
                                                    Regulation Q applies generally to bank holding          U.S.C. 3907 (as amended by section 616 of the
                                                                                                                                                                      8 12 CFR 217.11(b)(1). The Board may adjust the
                                                    companies with more than $1 billion in total            Dodd-Frank Act).
                                                    consolidated assets and savings and loan holding           4 An advanced approaches institution is subject to   CCyB amount to reflect decisions made by foreign
                                                    companies with more than $1 billion in total            the CCyB regardless of whether it has completed the     jurisdictions. See 12 CFR 217.11(b)(3).
                                                                                                                                                                      9 12 CFR 217.11(b)(1).
                                                    consolidated assets that are not substantially          parallel run process and received notification from
                                                                                                                                                                      10 Id.
                                                    engaged in commercial or insurance underwriting         its primary Federal supervisor pursuant to
                                                    activities. See 12 CFR 217.1(c)(1).                     § 217.121(d) of Regulation Q.                             11 12 CFR 217.300(a)(2).




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                                                                         Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 22 / Wednesday, February 3, 2016 / Proposed Rules                                                      5663

                                                    economic conditions.12 In contrast,                     the highlighted financial-system                      III. Administrative Law Matters
                                                    Regulation Q states that a decision by                  vulnerabilities.
                                                                                                               The proposed Policy Statement is                   A. Use of Plain Language
                                                    the Board to decrease the amount of the
                                                    CCyB for U.S.-based credit exposures                    organized as follows. Section 1 provides                Section 722 of the Gramm-Leach-
                                                    would become effective the day after the                background on the proposed Policy                     Bliley Act (Pub. L. 106–102, 113 Stat.
                                                    Board decides to decrease the CCyB or                   Statement. Section 2 is an outline of the             1338, 1471, 12 U.S.C. 4809) requires the
                                                    the earliest date permissible under                     proposed Policy Statement and                         Federal banking agencies to use plain
                                                    applicable law or regulation, whichever                 describes its scope. Section 3 provides               language in all proposed and final rules
                                                    is later.13 The amount of the CCyB for                  a broad description of the objectives of              published after January 1, 2000. The
                                                    U.S.-based credit exposures will return                 the CCyB, including a description of the              Board has sought to present the
                                                    to 0 percent 12 months after the                        ways in which the CCyB is expected to                 proposed policy statement in a simple
                                                    effective date of any CCyB adjustment,                  protect large banking organizations and               and straightforward manner, and invites
                                                    unless the Board announces a decision                   the broader financial system. Section 4               comment on the use of plain language.
                                                    to maintain the current amount or adjust                provides a broad description of the                   B. Paperwork Reduction Act Analysis
                                                    it again before the expiration of the 12-               factors that the Board considers in
                                                    month period.14                                         setting the CCyB, including specific                    In accordance with the requirements
                                                       The Board expects to make decisions                  financial-system vulnerabilities and                  of the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
                                                    about the appropriate level of the CCyB                 types of quantitative indicators of                   (44 U.S.C. 3506), the Board has
                                                    on U.S.-based credit exposures jointly                  financial and economic performance,                   reviewed the proposed policy statement
                                                    with the OCC and FDIC. In addition, the                 and outlines of empirical models the                  to assess any information collections.
                                                    Board expects that the CCyB amount for                  Board may use as inputs to that                       There are no collections of information
                                                    U.S.-based credit exposures would be                    decision. Further, section 4 describes a              as defined by the Paperwork Reduction
                                                    the same for covered insured depository                 set of principles that the Board expects              Act in the proposal.
                                                    institutions as for covered depository                  to use for combining judgmental                       C. Regulatory Flexibility Act Analysis
                                                    institution holding companies. The                      assessments with quantitative indicators
                                                    CCyB is designed to take into account                   to determine the appropriate level of the                The Board is providing an initial
                                                    the broad macroeconomic and financial                   CCyB. Section 5 discusses how the                     regulatory flexibility analysis with
                                                    environment in which banking                            Board will communicate the level of the               respect to this proposed Policy
                                                    organizations function and the degree to                CCyB and any changes to the CCyB.                     Statement. As discussed above, the
                                                    which that environment impacts the                      Section 6 describes how the Board plans               proposed Policy Statement is designed
                                                    resilience of the group of advanced                     to monitor the effects of the CCyB,                   to provide additional information
                                                    approaches institutions. Therefore, the                 including what indicators and effects                 regarding the factors that the Board
                                                    Board’s determination of the                            will be monitored.                                    expects to consider in evaluating
                                                    appropriate level of the CCyB for U.S.-                    The Board seeks comment on all                     whether to change the CCyB applicable
                                                    based credit exposures would be most                    aspects of the proposed Policy                        to private-sector credit exposures
                                                    directly linked to the condition of the                 Statement.                                            located in the United States. The
                                                    overall financial environment rather                       Question 1. In what ways could the                 Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. 601
                                                    than the condition of any individual                    Board improve its proposed framework                  et seq. (RFA), generally requires that an
                                                    banking organization. But, the overall                  for making decisions on the CCyB?                     agency prepare and make available an
                                                    CCyB requirement for a banking                             Question 2. The proposed Policy                    initial regulatory flexibility analysis in
                                                    organization will vary based on the                     Statement describes a set of principles               connection with a notice of proposed
                                                    organization’s particular composition of                for translating judgmental assessments                rulemaking. Under regulations issued by
                                                    private sector credit exposures located                 of financial-system vulnerabilities into              the Small Business Administration, a
                                                    across national jurisdictions.                          specific levels of the CCyB, a set of                 small entity includes a bank holding
                                                                                                            empirical models used as inputs to the                company with assets of $550 million or
                                                    II. Proposed Policy Statement                           judgmental process that distill and                   less (small bank holding company).15 As
                                                       The proposed policy statement                        translate quantitative indicators of                  of December 31, 2014, there were
                                                    (Policy Statement) describes the                        financial and economic performance                    approximately 3,441 small BHCs, 187
                                                    framework that the Board would follow                   into potential settings for the CCyB, and             small SLHCs, and 644 small state
                                                    in setting the amount of the CCyB for                   an assessment of whether the CCyB is                  member banks.
                                                    U.S.-based credit exposures. The                        the most appropriate policy instrument                   The proposed Policy Statement would
                                                    framework consists of a set of principles               to address highlighted financial-system               relate only to advanced approaches
                                                    for translating assessments of financial-               vulnerabilities. Are there any other                  institutions, which, generally, are
                                                    system vulnerabilities that are regularly               considerations that should form part of               banking organizations with total
                                                    undertaken at the Board into the                        the CCyB decision-making framework?                   consolidated assets of $250 billion or
                                                    appropriate level of the CCyB. Those                       Question 3. To what extent does the                more, that have total consolidated on-
                                                    assessments are informed by a broad                     Board’s proposed framework for                        balance sheet foreign exposure of $10
                                                    array of quantitative indicators of                     determining the appropriate level of the              billion or more, are a subsidiary of an
                                                    financial and economic performance                      CCyB capture the appropriate set of                   advanced approaches depository
                                                    and a set of empirical models. In                       financial-system vulnerabilities? Are                 institution, or that elect to use the
                                                                                                            there any vulnerabilities that should                 advanced approaches framework.16
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                                                    addition, the framework includes a
                                                    discussion of how the Board would                       also be considered or are there                       Banking organizations that would be
                                                    assess whether the CCyB is the most                     vulnerabilities that should be given                  covered by the proposed Policy
                                                    appropriate policy instrument (among                    greater or less consideration? How
                                                    available policy instruments) to address                should vulnerabilities developing                        15 See 13 CFR 121.201. Effective July 14, 2014, the

                                                                                                            outside of the banking sector be                      Small Business Administration revised the size
                                                                                                                                                                  standards for banking organizations to $550 million
                                                      12 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(v)(A).                         considered as compared to                             in assets from $500 million in assets. 79 FR 33647
                                                      13 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(v)(B).                         vulnerabilities developing inside of the              (June 12, 2014).
                                                      14 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(vi).                           banking sector?                                          16 12 CFR 217.100(b)(1).




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                                                    5664                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 22 / Wednesday, February 3, 2016 / Proposed Rules

                                                    Statement substantially exceed the $550                 1831o, 1831p–l, 1831w, 1835, 1844(b), 1851,           the initial CCyB amount with respect to U.S.-
                                                    million asset threshold at which a                      3904, 3906–3909, 4808, 5365, 5368, 5371.              based credit exposures at zero percent and
                                                    banking entity would qualify as a small                                                                       provided that the maximum potential
                                                    bank holding company, small savings                     PART 217—CAPITAL ADEQUACY OF                          amount of the CCyB for credit exposures in
                                                                                                            BANK HOLDING COMPANIES,                               the United States was 2.5 percent of risk-
                                                    and loan holding company, or small                                                                            weighted assets.4
                                                    state member bank. Currently, no small                  SAVINGS AND LOAN HOLDING
                                                                                                            COMPANIES, AND STATE MEMBER                             The Board expects to make decisions about
                                                    top-tier bank holding company, small                                                                          the appropriate level of the CCyB on U.S.-
                                                    top-tier savings and loan holding                       BANKS                                                 based credit exposures jointly with the OCC
                                                    company, or small state member bank is                  ■ 2. Appendix A to part 217 is added to               and FDIC, and expects that the CCyB amount
                                                    an advanced approaches institution, so                  read as follows:                                      for U.S.-based credit exposures will be the
                                                    there would be no additional projected                                                                        same for covered depository institution
                                                    compliance requirements imposed on                      Appendix A to Part 217—The Federal                    holding companies and insured depository
                                                                                                            Reserve Board’s Framework for                         institutions. The CCyB is designed to take
                                                    small bank holding companies, small                                                                           into account the macrofinancial environment
                                                    savings and loan holding companies, or                  Implementing the Countercyclical
                                                                                                            Capital Buffer                                        in which banking organizations function and
                                                    small state member banks.                                                                                     the degree to which that environment
                                                       Therefore, there are no significant                  1. Background                                         impacts the resilience of the group of
                                                    alternatives to the proposal that would                    The Board of Governors of the Federal              advanced approaches institutions. Therefore,
                                                    have less economic impact on small                      Reserve System (Board) issued a final                 the appropriate setting of the CCyB for
                                                                                                            regulatory capital rule (Regulation Q) in             private sector credit exposures located in the
                                                    banking organizations. There are no                                                                           United States (U.S.-based credit exposures) is
                                                    projected reporting, recordkeeping, or                  coordination with the Office of the
                                                                                                            Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the             not closely linked to the characteristics of an
                                                    other compliance requirements of the                                                                          individual institution. However, the overall
                                                                                                            Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation
                                                    proposal. The Board does not believe                    (FDIC) that strengthened risk-based and               CCyB for each institution will differ because
                                                    that the proposal duplicates, overlaps,                 leverage capital requirements applicable to           the CCyB is weighted based on a banking
                                                    or conflicts with any other Federal                     insured depository institutions and                   organization’s particular composition of
                                                    rules. In light of the foregoing, the Board             depository institution holding companies              private-sector credit exposures across
                                                    does not believe that the proposal, if                  (banking organizations).1 Among those                 national jurisdictions.
                                                    adopted in final form, would have a                     changes was the introduction of a                     2. Overview and Scope of the Policy
                                                    significant economic impact on a                        countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) for             Statement
                                                    substantial number of small entities.                   large, internationally active banking
                                                                                                                                                                     This Policy Statement describes the
                                                                                                            organizations.2
                                                    Nonetheless, the Board seeks comment                                                                          framework that the Board will follow in
                                                                                                               The CCyB is a macroprudential policy tool
                                                    on whether the proposal would impose                                                                          setting the amount of the CCyB for U.S.-based
                                                                                                            that the Board can increase during periods of
                                                    undue burdens on, or have unintended                                                                          credit exposures. The framework consists of
                                                                                                            rising vulnerabilities in the financial system
                                                    consequences for, small organizations,                                                                        a set of principles for translating assessments
                                                                                                            and reduce when vulnerabilities recede. It is
                                                                                                                                                                  of financial-system vulnerabilities that are
                                                    and whether there are ways such                         designed to increase the resilience of large
                                                                                                                                                                  regularly undertaken by the Board into the
                                                    potential burdens or consequences                       banking organizations when policymakers
                                                                                                                                                                  appropriate level of the CCyB. Those
                                                    could be minimized in a manner                          see an elevated risk of above-normal losses.
                                                                                                                                                                  assessments are informed by a broad array of
                                                    consistent with the purpose of the                      Increasing the resilience of large banking            quantitative indicators of financial and
                                                    proposal. A final regulatory flexibility                organizations should, in turn, improve the            economic performance and a set of empirical
                                                                                                            resilience of the broader financial system.
                                                    analysis will be conducted after                                                                              models. In addition, the framework includes
                                                                                                            Above-normal losses often follow periods of           an assessment of whether the CCyB is the
                                                    consideration of comments received                      rapid asset price appreciation or credit
                                                    during the public comment period.                                                                             most appropriate policy instrument (among
                                                                                                            growth that are not well supported by                 available policy instruments) to address the
                                                    List of Subjects in 12 CFR Part 217                     underlying economic fundamentals. The                 highlighted financial-system vulnerabilities.
                                                                                                            circumstances in which the Board would
                                                      Administrative practice and                           most likely use the CCyB as a supplemental,           3. The Objectives of the CCyB
                                                    procedure, Banks, banking. Holding                      macroprudential tool to augment minimum                  The objectives of the CCyB are to
                                                    companies, Reporting and                                capital requirements and other capital buffers        strengthen banking organizations’ resilience
                                                    recordkeeping requirements, Securities.                 would be to address circumstances when                against the build-up of systemic
                                                                                                            potential systemic vulnerabilities are                vulnerabilities and reduce fluctuations in the
                                                    Authority and Issuance                                  somewhat above normal. By requiring large             supply of credit. The CCyB supplements the
                                                                                                            banking organizations to hold additional              minimum capital requirements and the
                                                      For the reasons stated in the                         capital during those periods of excess and            capital conservation buffer, which
                                                    Supplementary Information, the Board                    removing the requirement to hold additional           themselves are designed to provide
                                                    of Governors of the Federal Reserve                     capital when the vulnerabilities have                 substantial resilience to unexpected losses
                                                    System proposes to add the Policy                       diminished, the CCyB also is expected to              created by normal fluctuations in economic
                                                    Statement as set forth at the end of the                moderate fluctuations in the supply of credit         and financial conditions. The capital
                                                    Supplementary Information as appendix                   over time.3 Further, Regulation Q established         surcharge on global systemically important
                                                    A to part 217 of 12 CFR chapter II as                                                                         banking organizations adds an additional
                                                                                                              1 See 78 FR 62018 (October 11, 2013) (Board and     layer of defense for the largest and most
                                                    follows:                                                OCC); 79 FR 20754 (April 14, 2014) (FDIC).            systemically important institutions, whose
                                                                                                              2 12 CFR 217.11(b). The CCyB applies only to
                                                                                                                                                                  financial distress can have outsized effects on
                                                    PART 217—CAPITAL ADEQUACY OF                            banking organizations subject to the advanced         the rest of the financial system and real
                                                    BANK HOLDING COMPANIES,                                 approaches capital rules, which generally apply to
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                                                                                                                                                                  economy.5 However, periods of financial
                                                    SAVINGS AND LOAN HOLDING                                those banking organizations with greater than $250
                                                                                                                                                                  excesses, as reflected in episodes of rapid
                                                                                                            billion in assets or more than $10 billion in on-
                                                    COMPANIES, AND STATE MEMBER                             balance-sheet foreign exposures. See 12 CFR
                                                    BANKS                                                   217.100(b). An advanced approaches institution is     seek to make its capital requirements
                                                                                                            subject to the CCyB regardless of whether it has      countercyclical 12 U.S.C. 1844(b), 1464a(g)(1), and
                                                    ■ 1. The authority citation for part 217                completed the parallel run process and received       3907(a)(1) (codifying sections 616(a), (b), and (c) of
                                                                                                            notification from its primary Federal supervisor.     the Dodd-Frank Act).
                                                    continues to read as follows:
                                                                                                            See 12 CFR 217.121(d).                                  4 The CCyB is subject to a phase-in arrangement

                                                      Authority: 12 U.S.C. 248(a), 321–338a,                  3 Implementation of the CCyB also helps respond     between 2016 and 2019. See 12 CFR 217.300(a)(2).
                                                    481–486, 1462a, 1467a, 1818, 1828, 1831n,               to the Dodd-Frank Act’s requirement that the Board      5 See 80 FR 49082 (August 14, 2015).




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                                                                         Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 22 / Wednesday, February 3, 2016 / Proposed Rules                                                        5665

                                                    asset price appreciation or credit growth not           regard, an increase in the CCyB would not               which some academic research has shown to
                                                    well supported by underlying economic                   prevent advanced approaches institutions                be useful in identifying periods of financial
                                                    fundamentals, are often followed by above-              from maintaining their important role as                excess followed by a period of crisis on a
                                                    normal losses that leave banking                        credit intermediaries, but would reduce the             cross-country basis.10 Such models may also
                                                    organizations and other financial institutions          likelihood that banking organizations with              include those that consider larger sets of
                                                    undercapitalized. Therefore, the Board would            insufficient capital would foster                       indicators, which have the advantage of
                                                    most likely apply the CCyB in those                     unsustainable credit growth or engage in                representing conditions in all key sectors of
                                                    circumstances when systemic vulnerabilities             imprudent risk taking. The specific                     the economy, especially those specific to
                                                    are somewhat above normal.                              combination of adjustments and the relative             risk-taking, performance, and the financial
                                                       The CCyB is expected to help provide                 size of each adjustment will depend in part             condition of large banks.11
                                                    additional resilience for advanced                      on the initial capital positions of advanced               However, no single indictor or fixed set of
                                                    approaches institutions, and by extension the           approaches institutions, the cost of debt and           indicators can adequately capture all the key
                                                    broader financial system, against elevated              equity financing, and the earnings                      vulnerabilities in the U.S. economy and
                                                    vulnerabilities primarily in two ways. First,           opportunities presented by the economic                 financial system. Moreover, adjustments in
                                                    advanced approaches institutions will likely            situation at the time.7                                 the CCyB that were tightly linked to a
                                                    hold more capital to avoid limitations on               4. The Framework for Setting the U.S. CCyB              specific model or set of models would be
                                                    capital distributions and discretionary bonus                                                                   imprecise due to the relatively short period
                                                    payments resulting from implementation of                  The Board regularly monitors and assesses
                                                                                                                                                                    that some indicators are available, the limited
                                                    the CCyB. Strengthening their capital                   threats to financial stability by synthesizing
                                                                                                                                                                    number of past crises against which the
                                                    positions when financial conditions are                 information from a comprehensive set of
                                                                                                                                                                    models can be calibrated, and limited
                                                    accommodative would increase the capacity               financial-sector and macroeconomic
                                                                                                            indicators, supervisory information, surveys,           experience with the CCyB as a
                                                    of advanced approaches institutions to                                                                          macroprudential tool. As a result, the types
                                                    absorb outsized losses during a future                  and other interactions with market
                                                                                                            participants.8 In forming its view about the            of indicators and models considered in
                                                    significant economic downturn or period of                                                                      assessments of the appropriate level of the
                                                                                                            appropriate size of the U.S. CCyB, the Board
                                                    financial instability, thus making them more                                                                    CCyB are likely to change over time based on
                                                                                                            will consider a number of financial-system
                                                    resilient. The second and related goal of the                                                                   advances in research and the experience of
                                                                                                            vulnerabilities, including but not limited to,
                                                    CCyB is to promote a more sustainable                                                                           the Board with this new macroprudential
                                                                                                            asset valuation pressures and risk appetite,
                                                    supply of credit over the economic cycle.                                                                       tool.
                                                                                                            leverage in the nonfinancial sector, leverage
                                                       During a credit cycle downturn, better-                                                                         The Board will determine the appropriate
                                                                                                            in the financial sector, and maturity and
                                                    capitalized institutions have been shown to                                                                     level of the CCyB for U.S.-based credit
                                                                                                            liquidity transformation in the financial
                                                    be more likely to have continued access to                                                                      exposures based on its analysis of the above
                                                                                                            sector. The decision will reflect the
                                                    funding and less likely to take actions that            implications of the assessment of overall               factors. Generally, a zero percent U.S. CCyB
                                                    lead to broader financial-sector distress and           financial-system vulnerabilities as well as             amount would reflect an assessment that U.S.
                                                    its associated macroeconomic costs, such as             any concerns related to one or more classes             economic and financial conditions are
                                                    large-scale sales of assets at prices below             of vulnerabilities. The specific combination            broadly consistent with a financial system in
                                                    their fundamental value and sharp                       of vulnerabilities is important because an              which levels of system-wide vulnerabilities
                                                    contractions in credit supply.6 Therefore, it           adverse shock to one class of vulnerabilities           are not somewhat above normal. The Board
                                                    is likely that as a result of the CCyB having           could be more likely than another to                    could increase the CCyB as vulnerabilities
                                                    been put into place during a period of rapid            exacerbate existing pressures in other parts of         build, and a 2.5 percent CCyB amount for
                                                    credit creation, advanced approaches                    the economy or financial system.                        U.S.-based credit exposures would reflect an
                                                    institutions would be better positioned to                 The Board intends to monitor a wide range            assessment that the U.S. financial sector is
                                                    continue their important intermediary                   of financial and macroeconomic quantitative             experiencing a period of significantly
                                                    functions during a subsequent economic                  indicators including, but not limited to,               elevated or rapidly increasing system-wide
                                                    contraction. A timely and credible reduction            measures of relative credit and liquidity               vulnerabilities. Importantly, as a
                                                    in the CCyB requirement during a period of              expansion or contraction, a variety of asset            macroprudential policy tool, the CCyB will
                                                    high credit losses could reinforce those                prices, funding spreads, credit condition               be activated and deactivated based on broad
                                                    beneficial effects of a higher base level of            surveys, indices based on credit default swap           developments and trends in the U.S.
                                                    capital, because it would permit advanced               spreads, options implied volatility, and                financial system, rather than the activities of
                                                    approaches institutions either to realize loan          measures of systemic risk.9 In addition,                any individual banking organization.
                                                    losses promptly and remove them from their              empirical models that translate a manageable               Similarly, the Board would remove or
                                                    balance sheets or to expand their balance               set of quantitative indicators of financial and         reduce the CCyB when the conditions that
                                                    sheets, for example by continuing to lend to            economic performance into potential settings            led to its activation abate or lessen, rather
                                                    creditworthy borrowers.                                 for the CCyB, when used as part of a                    than leaving the nonzero level of the buffer
                                                       Likewise, during a period of cyclically              comprehensive judgmental assessment of all              in place over periods when financial and
                                                    increasing vulnerabilities, advanced                    available information, can be a useful input
                                                    approaches institutions might react to an               to the Board’s deliberations. Such models                  10 See, e.g., Jorda, Oscar, Moritz Schularick and
                                                    increase in the CCyB by tightening lending              may include those that rely on small sets of            Alan Taylor, 2012. ‘‘When Credit Bites Back:
                                                    standards, otherwise reducing their risk                indicators—such as the credit-to-GDP ratio,             Leverage, Business Cycles and Crises,’’ Working
                                                    exposure, augmenting their capital, or some             its growth rate, and combinations of the                Papers 1224, University of California, Davis,
                                                    combination of those actions. They may                  credit-to-GDP ratio with trends in the prices           Department of Economics, and Drehmann, Mathias,
                                                    choose to raise capital by taking actions that                                                                  Claudio Borio, and Kostas Tsatsaronis, 2012.
                                                                                                            of residential and commercial real estate—
                                                                                                                                                                    ‘‘Characterizing the financial cycle: don’t lose sight
                                                    would increase net income, reducing capital
                                                                                                                                                                    of the medium term!’’ BIS Working Papers 380,
                                                    distributions through share repurchases or                7 For estimates of the size of certain adjustments,
                                                                                                                                                                    Bank for International Settlements. Jorda, Oscar,
                                                    dividends, or issuing new equity. In this               see Samuel G. Hanson, Anil K. Kashyap, and              Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor, 2015.
                                                                                                            Jeremy C. Stein (2011), ‘‘A Macroprudential             ‘‘Leveraged Bubbles,’’ Center for Economic Policy
                                                       6 For additional background on the relationship      Approach to Financial Regulation,’’ Journal of          Research Discussion Paper No. DP10781. BCBS
                                                                                                            Economic Perspectives 25(1), pp. 3–28; Skander J.       (2010), ‘‘Guidance for national authorities operating
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                                                    between financial distress and economic outcomes,
                                                    see Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff (2009),          Van den Heuvel (2008), ‘‘The Welfare Cost of Bank       the countercyclical capital buffer,’’ BIS.
                                                    This Time is Different. Princeton University Press;     Capital Requirements.’’ Journal of Monetary                11 See, e.g., Aikman, David, Michael T. Kiley,

                                                    Òscar Jordà & Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor      Economics 55, pp. 298–320.                              Seung Jung Lee, Michael G. Palumbo, and Missaka
                                                                                                              8 Tobias Adrian, Daniel Covitz, and Nellie Liang
                                                    (2011), ‘‘Financial Crises, Credit Booms, and                                                                   N. Warusawitharana (2015), ‘‘Mapping Heat in the
                                                    External Imbalances: 140 Years of Lessons,’’ IMF        (2014), ‘‘Financial Stability Monitoring.’’ Finance     U.S. Financial System,’’ Finance and Economics
                                                    Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 59(2),        and Economics Discussion Series 2013–021.               Discussion Series 2015–059. Washington: Board of
                                                    pages 340–378; and Bank for International               Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal           Governors of the Federal Reserve System, http://dx.
                                                    Settlements (2010), ‘‘Assessing the Long-Run            Reserve System, http://www.federalreserve.gov/          doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2015.059 (providing an
                                                    Economic Impact of Higher Capital and Liquidity         pubs/feds/2013/201321/201321pap.pdf.                    example of the range of indicators used and type
                                                    Requirements.’’                                           9 See 12 CFR 217.11(b)(2)(iv).                        of analysis possible).



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                                                    5666                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 22 / Wednesday, February 3, 2016 / Proposed Rules

                                                    economic developments suggest the absence               stability of the U.S. financial system.12 That        available datasets, Board staff will be able to
                                                    of notable risks to financial stability. Indeed,        portion of the report will be an important            draw not only upon the experience of the
                                                    for it to be most effective, the CCyB should            vehicle for updating the public on how the            United States but also that of other countries
                                                    be deactivated or reduced in a timely                   Board’s current assessment of financial-              to refine estimates of the effects of changes
                                                    manner. This would reduce the likelihood                system vulnerabilities bears on the setting of        in the CCyB.
                                                    that advanced approaches institutions would             the CCyB.                                               By order of the Board of Governors of the
                                                    significantly pare their risk-weighted assets                                                                 Federal Reserve System, December 21, 2015.
                                                    in order to maintain their capital ratios               6. Monitoring of the Effects of the U.S. CCyB
                                                                                                               The effects of the U.S. CCyB ultimately            Robert deV. Frierson,
                                                    during a downturn.
                                                       The pace and magnitude of changes in the             will depend on the level at which it is set,          Secretary of the Board.
                                                    CCyB will depend importantly on the                     the size and nature of any adjustments in the         [FR Doc. 2016–01934 Filed 2–2–16; 8:45 am]
                                                    underlying conditions in the financial sector           level, and the timeliness with which it is
                                                                                                                                                                  BILLING CODE P
                                                    and the economy as well as the desired                  increased or decreased. The extent to which
                                                    effects of the proposed change in the CCyB.             the CCyB may affect vulnerabilities in the
                                                    If vulnerabilities are rising gradually, then           broader financial system depends upon a
                                                    incremental increases in the level of the               complex set of interactions between required          SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
                                                    CCyB may be appropriate. Incremental                    capital levels at the largest banking
                                                    increases would allow banks to augment                  organizations and the economy and financial           13 CFR Part 107
                                                    their capital primarily through retained                markets. In addition to the direct effects, the
                                                                                                            secondary economic effects could be                   RIN 3245–AG66
                                                    earnings and allow policymakers additional
                                                    time to assess the effects of the policy change         amplified if financial markets extract a signal
                                                    before making subsequent adjustments.                   from the announcement of a change in the              Small Business Investment Company
                                                    However, if vulnerabilities in the financial            CCyB about subsequent actions that might be           Program—Impact SBICs
                                                    system are building rapidly, then larger or             taken by the Board. Moreover, financial
                                                                                                            market participants might react by updating           AGENCY: U.S. Small Business
                                                    more frequent adjustments may be necessary
                                                    to increase loss-absorbing capacity sooner              their expectations about future asset prices in       Administration.
                                                    and potentially to mitigate the rise in                 specific markets or broader economic activity         ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking.
                                                    vulnerabilities.                                        based on the concerns expressed by the
                                                       The Board will also consider whether the             regulators in communications announcing a             SUMMARY:   In this proposed rule, the U.S.
                                                    CCyB is the most appropriate of its available           policy change.                                        Small Business Administration (SBA) is
                                                    policy instruments to address the financial-               The Board will monitor and analyze                 defining a new class of small business
                                                    system vulnerabilities highlighted by the               adjustments by banking organizations and
                                                                                                                                                                  investment companies (SBICs) that will
                                                    framework’s judgmental assessments and                  other financial institutions to the CCyB.
                                                                                                            Factors that will be considered include (but          seek to generate positive and
                                                    empirical models. The CCyB primarily is                                                                       measurable social impact in addition to
                                                    intended to address cyclical vulnerabilities,           are not limited to) the types of adjustments
                                                                                                            that affected banking organizations might             financial return. With the creation of
                                                    rather than structural vulnerabilities that do
                                                    not vary significantly over time. Structural            undertake. For example, it will be useful to          this class of ‘‘Impact SBICs,’’ SBA is
                                                    vulnerabilities are better addressed though             monitor whether a change in the CCyB leads            seeking to expand the pool of
                                                    targeted reforms or permanent increases in              to observed changes in risk-based capital             investment capital available primarily to
                                                    financial system resilience. Two key factors            ratios at advanced approaches institutions, as        underserved communities and
                                                                                                            well as whether those adjustments are
                                                    for the Board to consider are whether                                                                         innovative sectors as well as support the
                                                                                                            achieved passively through retained
                                                    advanced approaches institutions are                                                                          development of America’s growing
                                                                                                            earnings, or actively through changes in
                                                    exposed—either directly or indirectly—to the                                                                  impact investing industry. This
                                                                                                            capital distributions or in risk-weighted
                                                    vulnerabilities identified in the                                                                             proposed rule sets forth regulations
                                                                                                            assets. Other factors to be monitored include
                                                    comprehensive judgmental assessment or by
                                                                                                            the extent to which loan growth and spreads           applicable to Impact SBICs with respect
                                                    the quantitative indicators that suggest
                                                    activation of the CCyB and whether advanced
                                                                                                            on loans issued by affected banking                   to licensing, leverage eligibility, fees,
                                                                                                            organizations change relative to loan growth          reporting and compliance requirements.
                                                    approaches institutions are contributing—
                                                                                                            and loan spreads at banking organizations
                                                    either directly or indirectly—to these                                                                        DATES: Comments on the proposed rule
                                                                                                            that are not subject to the buffer. Another key
                                                    highlighted vulnerabilities.                            consideration in setting the CCyB and other           must be received on or before March 4,
                                                       The Board, in setting the CCyB for                   macroprudential tools is the extent to which          2016.
                                                    advanced approaches institutions that it                the adjustments by advanced approaches                ADDRESSES: You may submit comments,
                                                    supervises, plans to consult with the OCC               institutions to higher capital buffers lead to
                                                    and FDIC on their analyses of financial-                                                                      identified by RIN 3245–AG66, by any of
                                                                                                            migration of credit market activity outside of        the following methods:
                                                    system vulnerabilities and on the extent to             those banking organizations, especially to the
                                                    which banking organizations are either                  nonbank financial sector. Depending on the
                                                                                                                                                                     Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://
                                                    exposed to or contributing to these                     amount of migration and which institutions            www.regulations.gov. Follow the
                                                    vulnerabilities.                                        are affected, those adjustments could cause           instructions for submitting comments.
                                                    5. Communication of the U.S. CCyB With the              the Board to favor either a higher or a lower            Mail, Hand Delivery/Courier: Mark
                                                    Public                                                  value of the CCyB.                                    Walsh, Associate Administrator for the
                                                                                                               The Board will also monitor information            Office of Investment and Innovation,
                                                       The Board expects to consider at least once          regarding the levels of and changes in the
                                                    per year the applicable level of the U.S.                                                                     U.S. Small Business Administration,
                                                                                                            CCyB in other countries. The Basel                    409 Third Street SW., Washington, DC
                                                    CCyB. The Board will review financial                   Committee on Banking Supervision is
                                                    conditions regularly throughout the year and            expected to maintain this information for
                                                                                                                                                                  20416.
                                                    may adjust the CCyB more frequently as a                member countries in a publically available               SBA will post comments on http://
                                                    result of those monitoring activities.                                                                        www.regulations.gov. If you wish to
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                                                                                                            form on its Web site.13 Using that data in
                                                       Further, the Board will continue to                  conjunction with supervisory and publicly             submit confidential business
                                                    communicate with the public in other                                                                          information (CBI) as defined in the User
                                                    formats regarding its assessment of U.S.                  12 For the most recent discussion in this format,   Notice at http://www.regulations.gov,
                                                    financial stability, including financial-system
                                                    vulnerabilities. For example, the Board’s
                                                                                                            see box titled ‘‘Developments Related to Financial    please submit the information to Nate T.
                                                                                                            Stability’’ in Board of Governors of the Federal      Yohannes, Office of Investment and
                                                    biannual Monetary Policy Report to                      Reserve System, Monetary Policy Report to
                                                    Congress, usually published in February and             Congress, July 2015, pp. 24–25.                       Innovation, 409 Third Street SW.,
                                                    July, will continue to contain a section that             13 BIS, Countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB),      Washington, DC 20416. Highlight the
                                                    reports on developments pertaining to the               www.bis.org/bcbs/ccyb/index.htm.                      information that you consider to be CBI


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Document Created: 2016-02-03 00:40:16
Document Modified: 2016-02-03 00:40:16
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionProposed policy statement with request for public comment.
DatesComments must be received on or before March 21, 2016. Comments were originally due by February 19, 2016.
ContactWilliam Bassett, Deputy Associate Director, (202) 736-5644, or Rochelle Edge, Deputy Associate Director, (202) 452-2339, Office of Financial Stability Policy and Research; Sean Campbell, Associate Director, (202) 452-3760, Division of Banking Supervision and Regulation; Benjamin W. McDonough, Special Counsel, (202) 452-2036, Mark Buresh, Senior Attorney, (202) 452-5270, or Mary Watkins, Attorney, (202) 452-3722, Legal Division.
FR Citation81 FR 5661 
RIN Number7100 AE43
CFR AssociatedAdministrative Practice and Procedure; Banks; Banking; Holding Companies; Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements and Securities

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