81_FR_92810 81 FR 92566 - Scope of Sections 202(a) and (b) of the Packers and Stockyards Act

81 FR 92566 - Scope of Sections 202(a) and (b) of the Packers and Stockyards Act

DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration

Federal Register Volume 81, Issue 244 (December 20, 2016)

Page Range92566-92594
FR Document2016-30424

The Department of Agriculture's (USDA) Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration (GIPSA), Packers and Stockyards Program (P&SP) is amending the regulations issued under the Packers and Stockyards Act, 1921, as amended and supplemented (P&S Act). GIPSA is adding a paragraph addressing the scope of sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act. This interim final rule clarifies that conduct or action may violate sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act without adversely affecting, or having a likelihood of adversely affecting, competition. This interim final rule reiterates USDA's longstanding interpretation that not all violations of the P&S Act require a showing of harm or likely harm to competition. The regulations would specifically provide that the scope of section 202(a) and (b) encompasses conduct or action that, depending on their nature and the circumstances, can be found to violate the P&S Act without a finding of harm or likely harm to competition. This interim final rule finalizes a proposed amendment that GIPSA published on June 22, 2010. GIPSA is now publishing as an interim final rule what was proposed on June 22, 2010, with slight modifications, in order to allow additional comment on these provisions.

Federal Register, Volume 81 Issue 244 (Tuesday, December 20, 2016)
[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 244 (Tuesday, December 20, 2016)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 92566-92594]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2016-30424]


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DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration

9 CFR Part 201

RIN 0580-AB25


Scope of Sections 202(a) and (b) of the Packers and Stockyards 
Act

AGENCY: Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration, USDA.

ACTION: Interim final rule; request for comments.

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SUMMARY: The Department of Agriculture's (USDA) Grain Inspection, 
Packers and Stockyards Administration (GIPSA), Packers and Stockyards 
Program (P&SP) is amending the regulations issued under the Packers and 
Stockyards Act, 1921, as amended and supplemented (P&S Act). GIPSA is 
adding a paragraph addressing the scope of sections 202(a) and (b) of 
the P&S Act. This interim final rule clarifies that conduct or action 
may violate sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act without adversely 
affecting, or having a likelihood of adversely affecting, competition. 
This interim final rule reiterates USDA's longstanding interpretation 
that not all violations of the P&S Act require a showing of harm or 
likely harm to competition. The regulations would specifically provide 
that the scope of section 202(a) and (b) encompasses conduct or action 
that, depending on their nature and the circumstances, can be found to 
violate the P&S Act without a finding of harm or likely harm to 
competition. This interim final rule finalizes a proposed amendment 
that GIPSA published on June 22, 2010. GIPSA is now publishing as an 
interim final rule what was proposed on June 22, 2010, with slight 
modifications, in order to allow additional comment on these 
provisions.

DATES: This interim final rule is February 21, 2017. Interested persons 
are invited to submit written comments on this interim final rule on or 
before February 21, 2017.

ADDRESSES: We invite you to submit comments on this interim final rule. 
You may submit comments by any of the following methods:
     Mail: M. Irene Omade, GIPSA, USDA, 1400 Independence 
Avenue SW., Room 2542A-S, Washington, DC 20250-3613.
     Hand Delivery or Courier: M. Irene Omade, GIPSA, USDA, 
1400 Independence Avenue SW., Room 2530-S, Washington, DC 20250-3613.
     Internet: http://www.regulations.gov. Follow the on-line 
instructions for submitting comments.
    Instructions: All comments should make reference to the date and 
page number of this issue of the Federal Register. All comments 
received will be included in the public docket without change, 
including any personal information provided. Regulatory analyses and 
other documents relating to this rulemaking will be available for 
public inspection in Room 2542A-S, 1400 Independence Avenue SW., 
Washington, DC 20250-3613 during regular business hours. All comments 
will be available for public inspection in the above office during 
regular business hours (7 CFR 1.27(b)). Please call the Management and 
Budget Services staff of GIPSA at (202) 720-8479 to arrange a public 
inspection of comments or other documents related to this rulemaking.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: S. Brett Offutt, Director, Litigation 
and Economic Analysis Division, P&SP, GIPSA, 1400 Independence Ave, 
SW., Washington, DC 20250, (202) 720-7051, [email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The first section that follows provides 
background and a summary of the regulatory text for Sec.  201.3(a) and 
(b) in this interim final rule as compared to the regulatory wording 
for Sec.  201.3(c) and (d) in the 2010 proposed rule. The second 
section provides background information about this rule. The third 
section provides a summary of the public comments received on the 
proposed rule and at the relevant USDA/Department of Justice Joint 
Competition Workshops that occurred during the comment period. The 
fourth section discusses the proposal of new Sec. Sec.  201.210, 
201.211, and 201.214, in this issue of the Federal Register. The last 
section provides the required impact analyses including the Regulatory 
Flexibility Act, the Paperwork Reduction Act, Civil Rights Analysis, 
and the relevant Executive Orders.

I. Summary of Changes From the 2010 Proposed Rule

Section 201.3 as Proposed in June 2010

    In the proposed rule published in the Federal Register on June 22, 
2010 [75 FR 35338], GIPSA proposed a new Sec.  201.3, ``Applicability 
of regulations in this part,'' providing four (4) subsections to 
describe, in certain respects, the application of the regulations in 9 
CFR part 201. These subsections were designated Sec.  201.3(a) through 
Sec.  201.3(d). Subsection 201.3(c) described the appropriate 
application of sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act (7 U.S.C. 192(a) 
and (b)).
    In this current rule, GIPSA is re-designating the existing 
undesignated paragraph in Sec.  201.3 as Sec.  201.3(b), and is adding 
back the subject heading, ``Effective dates'' to this paragraph.
    GIPSA is amending Sec.  201.3 with the addition of proposed Sec.  
201.3(c), with slight modifications. Because this provision is of 
primary importance, GIPSA is designating it as the first of two 
paragraphs in Sec.  201.3 and changing its designation from (c) to (a). 
GIPSA has made slight modifications including a grammatical edit and 
also modified a few words to make the language internally consistent 
and also consistent with the language in new proposed Sec. Sec.  
201.210, 201.211, and 201.214, published concurrently in this issue of 
the Federal Register as separate proposed rules.

II. Background

A. Development of the Rule

    Prior to issuing the initial proposed regulations in 2010, GIPSA 
held three public meetings in October 2008, in Arkansas, Iowa, and 
Georgia to gather comments, information, and recommendations from 
interested parties. Attendees at these meetings were asked to give 
input on the elements of the 2008 Farm Bill and other issues of concern 
under the P&S Act. In 2010, USDA and the Department of Justice held 
five joint public workshops to explore competition issues affecting 
agricultural industries in the 21st century and the appropriate role 
for antitrust and regulatory enforcement in those industries. These 
workshops were held in Ankeny, Iowa (Issues of Concern to Farmers, 
March 12, 2010); Normal, Alabama (Poultry Industry, May 21, 2010); 
Madison, Wisconsin (Dairy Industry, June 25, 2010); Fort Collins, 
Colorado (Livestock Industry, August 27, 2010); and Washington, 
District of Columbia (Margins, December 8, 2010). The Secretary 
informed attendees of the workshop in Fort Collins, Colorado that their 
comments provided that day would be considered in the development of 
this rulemaking. The Fort Collins workshop addressed issues in the 
cattle, hog, and other animal

[[Page 92567]]

sectors. Attendees provided comments on concentration in livestock 
markets, buyer power, and enforcement of the P&S Act. GIPSA 
incorporated relevant comments from the Madison, Wisconsin and Fort 
Collins, Colorado workshops into the text of the wording of the final 
rule published on December 9, 2011.
    The regulations in this current interim final rule also reflect 
comments, information, and recommendations received in all those 
meetings.
    On June 22, 2010, GIPSA published the proposed rule [75 FR 35338] 
upon which this interim final rule is based. The background information 
presented in the proposed rule remains pertinent to this interim final 
rule. Some of this background information is presented again here.
    In that proposed rule, GIPSA proposed a multi-faceted rule and 
sought public input. During a 5-month comment period, GIPSA received 
over 61,000 comments from a wide variety of stakeholders. Some 
commenters addressed issues associated with this interim final rule. 
GIPSA published a final rule in 2011 that included modifications to 
address concerns expressed by commenters. The final rule addressed 
most, but not all, of the requirements of the Food, Conservation, and 
Energy Act of 2008 (Pub. L. 110-246) (2008 Farm Bill); however, for the 
reasons described in further detail below, GIPSA never implemented a 
final Sec.  201.3(c) following the 2010 public notice and comment 
period. The 2010 proposed rule also proposed three other regulations, 
Sec. Sec.  201.210, 201.211, and 201.214, that GIPSA has restructured 
and rewritten and is publishing as two separate proposed rules 
concurrent with this rule. Proposed Sec.  201.210, ``Unfair, unjustly 
discriminatory and deceptive practices or devices by packers, swine 
contractors, or live poultry dealers,'' and Sec.  201.211, ``Undue or 
unreasonable preferences or advantages'' further clarify and define the 
provisions of Sec.  201.3(a). Proposed Sec.  201.214, ``Poultry Grower 
Ranking Systems'' provides criteria which would be used in considering 
whether a live poultry dealer has used a poultry grower ranking system 
in an unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive manner or in a way 
that gives an undue or unreasonable preference or advantage to any 
poultry grower or subjects any poultry grower to an undue or 
unreasonable prejudice or disadvantage.
    Beginning with the fiscal year (FY) 2012 appropriations act, USDA 
was precluded from finalizing some of the regulations as proposed in 
June 2010. Section 201.3(c), ``Scope of Sections 202(a) and (b) of the 
Act,'' Sec. Sec.  201.210, 201.211, and 201.214, published as part of 
the June 22, 2010, proposed rule, were included in the restrictions in 
the appropriations acts. Until FY 2016, appropriations acts continued 
to preclude the finalization of Sec. Sec.  201.3(c), 201.210, 201.211, 
and 201.214.
    Section 201.3(a), ``Applicability to live poultry dealers,'' and 
Sec.  201.3(d), ``Effective dates,'' proposed in June 2010, were 
published on December 9, 2011 [76 FR 76874], as a final rule with some 
changes. At that time, the designation of proposed paragraph (d) was 
changed to (b).
    Section 731, Division A, of the Consolidated and Further Continuing 
Appropriations Act, 2015 (Pub. L. 113-235), required the Secretary to 
rescind what was then Sec.  201.3(a), ``Applicability to live poultry 
dealers,'' leaving paragraph (b) as the only paragraph in Sec.  201.3. 
As a result, GIPSA removed the designation for this paragraph as 
paragraph (b) and also removed its subject heading, ``Effective 
dates.'' This was accomplished by a final rule published on February 5, 
2015 [80 FR 6430].
    Neither the FY 2016 appropriations act nor the FY 2017 continuing 
appropriations act precludes GIPSA from publishing Sec. Sec.  201.3(c), 
201.210, 201.211, or 201.214 as final rules.

B. Purpose of the Regulatory Action

    Section 202 of the P&S Act provides that ``[i]t shall be unlawful 
for any packer or swine contractor with respect to livestock, meats, 
meat food products, or livestock products in unmanufactured form, or 
for any live poultry dealer with respect to live poultry'' to engage in 
certain prohibited conduct. Section 202(a) prohibits ``any unfair, 
unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive practice or device.'' Section 
202(b) prohibits ``any undue or unreasonable preference or advantage'' 
or ``any undue or unreasonable prejudice or disadvantage.'' USDA has 
consistently taken the position that, in some cases, a violation of 
section 202(a) or (b) can be proven without proof of predatory intent, 
competitive injury, or likelihood of competitive injury.\1\ At the same 
time, USDA has always understood that an act or practice's effect on 
competition can be relevant \2\ and, in certain circumstances, even 
dispositive \3\ with respect to whether that act or practice violates 
sections 202(a) and/or (b).
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    \1\ In re Ozark County Cattle Co., 49 Agric. Dec. 336, 365 
(1990); 1 John H. Davidson et al., Agricultural Law section 3.47, at 
244 (1981).
    \2\ See, In re Sterling Colo. Beef Co., 39 Agric. Dec. 184, 235 
(1980) (considering and rejecting respondent packer's business 
justification for challenged conduct).
    \3\ See, Armour & Co. v. United States, 402 F.2d 712, 717 (7th 
Cir. 1968) (a coupon promotion plan (here coupons for fifty cents 
off specified packages of bacon) is not per se unfair and violates 
section 202(a) if it is implemented with some predatory intent or 
carries some likelihood of competitive injury); In re IBP, Inc., 57 
Agric. Dec. 1353, 1356 (1998) (contractual right of first refusal at 
issue violated section 202 ``because it has the effect or potential 
of reducing competition'').
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    As we explained in the proposed rule, the longstanding agency 
position that, in some cases, a violation of section 202(a) or (b) can 
be proven without proof of likelihood of competitive injury is 
consistent with the language and structure of the P&S Act, as well as 
its legislative history and purposes. Neither section 202(a) nor 
section 202(b) contains any language limiting the application of those 
sections to acts or practices that have an adverse effect on 
competition, such as acts ``restraining commerce.'' Instead, these 
provisions use terms including ``deceptive,'' ``unfair,'' ``unjust,'' 
``undue,'' and ``unreasonable''--which are commonly understood to 
encompass more than anticompetitive conduct.\4\ This is in direct 
contrast to subsections (c), (d), and (e), which expressly prohibit 
only those acts that have the effect of ``restraining commerce,'' 
``creating a monopoly,'' or producing another type of antitrust injury. 
The fact that Congress expressly included these limitations in 
subsections (c), (d), and (e), but not in subsections (a) and (b), is a 
strong indication that Congress did not intend subsections (a) and (b) 
to be limited to instances in which there was harm to competition. And 
Congress confirmed the agency's position by amending the P&S Act to 
specify specific instances of conduct prohibited as unfair that do not 
involve any inherent likelihood of competitive injury.\5\
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    \4\ When the P&S Act was enacted, Webster's New International 
Dictionary defined ``deceptive'' as ``[t]ending to deceive; having 
power to mislead, or impress with false opinions''; ``unfair'' as 
``[n]ot fair in act or character; disingenuous; using or involving 
trick or artifice; dishonest; unjust; inequitable'' (2d. 
definition); and ``unjust'' as ``[c]haracterized by injustice; 
contrary to justice and right; wrongful.'' Webster's New 
International Dictionary 578, 2237, 2238, 2245, 2248 (1st ed. 1917). 
This is the same understanding of the terms today.
    \5\ See sections 409(c) and 410(b).
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    USDA's interpretation of sections 202(a) and (b) is also consistent 
with the interpretation of other sections of the P&S Act using similar 
language--sections 307 and 312 (7 U.S.C. 208 and 213). Courts have 
recognized that the proper analysis under these provisions

[[Page 92568]]

depends on ``the facts of each case,'' \6\ and that these sections may 
apply in the absence of harm to competition or competitors.\7\
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    \6\ Capitol Packing Co. v. United States, 350 F.2d 67, 76 (10th 
Cir. 1965); see also, Spencer Livestock Comm'n Co. v. USDA, 841 F.2d 
1451, 1454 (9th Cir. 1988).
    \7\ See, e.g., Spencer, 841 F.2d at 1455 (Section 312 covers ``a 
deceptive practice, whether or not it harmed consumers or 
competitors.'').
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    The legislative history and purposes of the P&S Act also support 
USDA's position. The P&S Act ``is a most comprehensive measure and 
extends farther than any previous law in the regulation of private 
business, in time of peace, except possibly the interstate commerce 
act.'' \8\ In amending the P&S Act, Congress made clear that its goals 
for the statute extended beyond the protection of competition. In 1935, 
for instance, when Congress first subjected live poultry dealers to 
sections 202(a) and (b), Congress explained in the statute itself that 
``[t]he handling of the great volume of live poultry . . . is attendant 
with various unfair, deceptive, and fraudulent practices and devices, 
resulting in the producers sustaining sundry losses and receiving 
prices far below the reasonable value of their live poultry. . . .'' 
\9\ Similarly, the House Committee Report regarding the 1958 amendments 
stated that ``[t]he primary purpose of [the P&S Act] is to assure fair 
competition and fair trade practices'' and ``to safeguard farmers . . . 
against receiving less than the true market value of their livestock.'' 
\10\ The Report further observed that protection extends to ``unfair, 
deceptive, unjustly discriminatory'' practices by ``small'' companies 
in addition to ``monopolistic practices.'' \11\ In accordance with this 
legislative history, courts and commentators have recognized that the 
purposes of the P&S Act are not limited to protecting competition.\12\
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    \8\ H.R. Rep. 67-77, at 2 (1921); see also, Swift & Co. v. 
United States, 308 F.2d 849, 853 (7th Cir. 1962) (``The legislative 
history showed Congress understood the sections of the [P&S Act] 
under consideration were broader in scope than antecedent 
legislation such as the Sherman Antitrust Act, sec. 2 of the Clayton 
Act, 15 U.S.C. 13, sec. 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act, 15 
U.S.C. 45 and sec. 3 of the Interstate Commerce Act, 49 U.S.C. 
3.'').
    \9\ Public Law 74-272, 49 Stat. 648, 648 (1935).
    \10\ H.R. Rep. No. 85-1048 (1957), reprinted in 1958 
U.S.C.C.A.N. 5212, 5213 (emphasis added).
    \11\ Id. at 5213.
    \12\ See, e.g., Stafford v. Wallace, 258 U.S. 495, 513-14 
(1922); Spencer, 841 F.2d at 1455: United States v. Perdue Farms, 
Inc., 680 F.2d 277, 280 (2d Cir. 1982); Bruhn's Freezer Meats of 
Chicago, Inc. v. USDA, 438 F.2d 1332, 1336 (8th Cir. 1971); Bowman 
v. USDA, 363 F.2d 81, 85 (5th Cir. 1966); United States v. Donahue 
Bros., 59 F.2d 1019, 1023 (8th Cir. 1932).
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    Four courts of appeals have disagreed with USDA's interpretation of 
the P&S Act and have concluded (in cases to which the United States was 
not a party) that plaintiffs could not prove their claims under 
sections 202(a) and/or (b) without proving harm to competition or 
likely harm to competition.\13\ After carefully considering the 
analyses in these opinions, USDA continues to believe that its 
longstanding interpretation of the P&S Act is correct. These court of 
appeals opinions (two of which were issued over vigorous dissents) \14\ 
are inconsistent with the plain language of the statute; they 
incorrectly assume that harm to competition was the only evil Congress 
sought to prevent by enacting the P&S Act; and they fail to defer to 
the Secretary of Agriculture's longstanding and consistent 
interpretation of a statute administered by the Secretary. To the 
extent that these courts failed to defer to USDA's interpretation of 
the statute because that interpretation had not previously been 
enshrined in a regulation,\15\ this new regulation may constitute a 
material change in circumstances that warrants judicial reexamination 
of the issue.\16\
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    \13\ Terry v. Tyson Farms, Inc. 604 F.3d 272, 280 (6th Cir. 
2010) (``[I]n order to succeed on a claim under Sec. Sec.  192(a) 
and (b) of the [P&S Act], a plaintiff must show an adverse effect on 
competition.''); Wheeler v. Pilgrim's Pride Corp., 591 F.3d 355, 363 
(5th Cir. 2009) (en banc) (``To support a claim that a practice 
violates subsection (a) or (b) of Sec.  192 [of the P&S Act] there 
must be proof of injury, or likelihood of injury, to 
competition.''); Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc., 495 F.3d 1217,1238 (10th 
Cir. 2007) (An ``unfair practice'' under section 202(a) of the P&S 
Act is one that injures or is likely to injure competition); London 
v. Fieldale Farms Corp., 410 F.3d 1295, 1303 (11th Cir. 2005) (P&S 
Act prohibits only those unfair, discriminatory, or deceptive 
practices that adversely affect or are likely to adversely affect 
competition).
    \14\ Wheeler, 591 F.3d at 371-85 (Garza, J., dissenting); Been, 
495 F.3d at 1238-43 (Hartz, J., concurring in part and dissenting in 
part).
    \15\ See Been, 495 F.3d at 1226-27.
    \16\ See Nat'l Cable & Telecomm. Ass'n v. Brand X Internet 
Servs., 545 U.S. 967, 982-84 (2005).
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    Although it is not necessary in every case to demonstrate 
competitive injury in order to show a violation of sections 202(a) and/
or (b), any act that harms competition or is likely to harm competition 
may violate the statute. How a competitive injury or the likelihood of 
a competitive injury manifests itself depends critically on whether the 
target of the act or practice is a competitor (e.g., a packer harms 
other packers), or whether the target of the act or practice operates 
at a different level of the livestock or poultry production process 
(e.g., a packer harms a livestock producer). Competitive injury or the 
likelihood of competitive injury may occur when an act or practice 
improperly forecloses competition in a large share of the market 
through exclusive dealing, restrains competition among packers, live 
poultry dealers or swine contractors or otherwise represents a use of 
market power to distort competition.\17\ Competitive injury or the 
likelihood of competitive injury also may occur when a packer, swine 
contractor, or live poultry dealer wrongfully depresses prices paid to 
a livestock producer, swine production contract grower, or poultry 
grower below market value or impairs the livestock producer, swine 
production contract grower, or poultry grower's ability to compete with 
other producers or growers.
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    \17\ See, e.g., Thomas G. Krattenmaker & Steven C. Salop, 
Anticompetitive Exclusion: Raising Rivals' Costs to Achieve Power 
over Price, 96 Yale L.J. 209 (1986); 11 Philip E. Areeda & Herbert 
Hovenkamp, Antitrust Law 1821 (2d ed. 2005).
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    To establish an actual or likely competitive injury, it is not 
necessary to show that a challenged act or practice had a likely effect 
on resale price levels. Even the antitrust laws do not require such a 
showing. The P&S Act is broader than the antitrust laws and, therefore, 
such a requirement of showing effect on resale price levels is not 
necessary to establish competitive injury under section 202 of the P&S 
Act (though such a showing would suffice).

III. Discussion of Comments

    The proposed rule published on June 22, 2010, (75 FR 35338) 
provided a 60-day comment period to end on August 23, 2010. In response 
to requests for an extension of time to file comments, on July 28, 
2010, GIPSA extended the comment period to end on November 22, 2010 (75 
FR 44163). Commenters covered the spectrum of those affected by the 
rule, including livestock producers and poultry growers, packers and 
live poultry dealers, trade associations representing both production 
and processing, plant workers, and consumers. GIPSA considered all 
comments postmarked or electronically submitted by November 22, 2010. 
GIPSA received over 61,000 comments, which addressed the rule generally 
as well as specific provisions. GIPSA considered written comments as 
well as comments received at two public meetings, on June 25, 2010, and 
August 27, 2010, conducted jointly by USDA and the Department of 
Justice. Because these ``Workshops on Competition in Agriculture'' were 
held during the comment period for the proposed rule, the Secretary 
announced that any comments made in those forums would be considered 
comments on the proposed rule.
    Comments on proposed Sec.  201.3(c) were sharply divided with 
respect to

[[Page 92569]]

harm to competition. Those supporting the proposal pointed out it would 
provide legal relief for farmers and ranchers who suffer because of 
unfair actions, such as false weighing and retaliatory behavior, 
without having to show competitive harm to the industry. Opposing 
comments relied heavily on the fact that several of the United States 
Courts of Appeals have ruled that harm to competition (or the 
likelihood of harm to competition) is a required element to find a 
violation of sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act.
    Those supporting proposed Sec.  201.3(c) included numerous 
livestock producers and poultry growers and organizations representing 
the interests of farmers and ranchers. Commenters supporting proposed 
Sec.  201.3(c) pointed out that it would reduce the costs of litigation 
for poultry growers and livestock producers who suffer because of 
unfair actions, such as false weighing and retaliation. Proposed Sec.  
201.3(c), according to some commenters, corrects the analytical 
framework of the P&S Act and ensures that the courts grant a higher 
level of deference to USDA's interpretation of the P&S Act. They 
believed it was wrong to require a demonstration of harm to competition 
to the whole industry stemming from an unfair practice targeting an 
individual grower or producer in order to violate section 202(a) of the 
P&S Act, and that proposed Sec.  201.3(c) would remove an undue barrier 
to relief.
    Commenters in favor of proposed Sec.  201.3(c) further pointed out 
the imbalance in power between livestock producers and packers and 
noted that without this provision, the packers are inoculated against 
recourse by a livestock producer because the livestock producer is 
small and overmatched relative to the much larger and more well-
resourced packer. A common theme among supporters was that proposed 
Sec.  201.3(c) allowed farmers and ranchers to seek redress by showing 
that they were individually harmed in cases such as false weighing or 
retaliatory behavior, rather than requiring a showing of harm to 
competition in the industry. Commenters felt that the packers and 
poultry companies were given a free pass to act unfairly toward 
livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry 
growers knowing that proving harm to competition to the industry would 
be difficult, if not impossible, in many situations.
    Many of the supporting comments also addressed the plain language 
and intent of section 202 of the P&S Act and opined that the recent 
court decisions were based on incorrect interpretations of the law. 
Commenters wrote that proposed Sec.  201.3(c) correctly interpreted the 
plain language of section 202 and the legislative history of the P&S 
Act.
    Commenters opposing proposed Sec.  201.3(c) included many meat 
packers, live poultry dealers, and organizations representing packers 
and poultry companies. The opposing comments stated that the P&S Act 
had always been considered an antitrust statute and therefore, GIPSA 
should be required to show competitive harm to allege a violation of 
section 202(a). They also expressed concern that a flood of litigation 
would ensue if the scope of section 202(a) did not remain closely 
aligned with case law. Commenters opposed to the rulemaking asserted 
that allowing allegations of section 202(a) violations without a 
showing of harm or likely harm to competition would enable swine 
production contract growers, poultry growers, or livestock producers to 
sue a swine contractor, live poultry dealer, or packer for aa broad 
range of adverse circumstances affecting them. The comments went on to 
say that this would guarantee swine production contract growers, 
poultry growers, and livestock producers a profit on every transaction, 
a standard afforded in no other industry. In turn, this would reduce 
the number of swine production contract growers, poultry growers, and 
livestock producers with whom companies would do business.
    Opposing comments relied heavily on the fact that several United 
States Courts of Appeals have ruled that harm to competition (or the 
likelihood of harm to competition) is a required element to find a 
violation of sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act. These commenters 
stated that because of the decisions in these circuit courts, GIPSA 
lacked authority to implement proposed Sec.  201.3(c). Several large 
packers and poultry companies wrote that the proposed Sec.  201.3(c), 
if implemented, would be in direct conflict with circuit court 
decisions in the geographic regions in which they do business. One 
packer commented that livestock producers would bear the cost of 
determining the legality of an expanded scope of sections 202(a) and 
202(b).
    Many opposing commenters felt that proposed Sec.  201.3(c) would 
lead to a large increase in frivolous litigation and greatly increase 
operational costs for packers and poultry companies. Commenters felt 
that an increase in frivolous litigation would lead to a decrease in 
the use of the value-based pricing. Commenters opposed allowing 
livestock producers to file lawsuits based on their thoughts of what is 
unfair. Some commenters believed that proposed Sec.  201.3(c) would 
eliminate the requirement to show any harm at all. A common concern 
presented by those in opposition to the proposed change to Sec.  201.3 
was that while section 202(a) prohibits unfair, unjustly 
discriminatory, or deceptive practices, the P&S Act does not define 
what types of conduct would be classified as such. Of particular 
concern to these commenters was the prospect that GIPSA may bring 
actions under section 202(a) without a finding of harm to competition 
which would encourage livestock producers to sue firms subject to the 
P&S Act for any conduct having an adverse effect on livestock producer 
interests. While most of the comments focused on unfair conduct that 
could violate section 202(a), a few comments mentioned section 202(b) 
as well. These comments set forth concerns calling for regulatory 
guidance as to what conduct GIPSA would deem as unfair, unjustly 
discriminatory, or deceptive, and an undue preference or advantage in 
violation of the P&S Act, especially when there was no showing of harm 
to competition.
    Agency response: GIPSA did not make the specific changes to 
proposed Sec.  201.3(c) requested by comments. However, GIPSA is 
proposing new rule language in proposed rules Sec. Sec.  201.210, 
201.211, and 201.214, that provide the guidance commenters were 
seeking. GIPSA also modified a few words in Sec.  201.3(c) to make the 
language internally consistent and to make it consistent with the 
language in new proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210, 201.211, and 201.214, 
published concurrently in this issue of the Federal Register as two 
separate proposed rules. Specifically, proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 
201.211 discuss ``conduct or action'' and GIPSA has modified the 
references to ``conduct'' in proposed Sec.  201.3(c) to ``conduct or 
action.'' GIPSA also changed the reference to ``challenged act or 
practice'' to ``challenged conduct or action,'' again for consistency 
with proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 201.211 and to make the language 
in Sec.  201.3(a) internally consistent. In the proposed rule for Sec.  
201.214 in this issue of the Federal Register, GIPSA proposes listing 
the failure to use a poultry grower ranking system in a fair manner 
after applying the criteria in Sec.  201.214 as a tenth type of 
``challenged conduct or action'' under Sec.  201.210(b). GIPSA also 
made a minor grammatical edit and changed all references to ``section'' 
to ``sections.'' GIPSA believes the paragraph proposed on June 22, 
2010, as Sec.  201.3(c) (``Scope of Sections 202(a) and (b) of the 
Act.'') is of primary

[[Page 92570]]

importance. As a result, the paragraph is designated as paragraph (a) 
and the current text in Sec.  201.3 is designated as paragraph (b).
    It is the longstanding position of the Secretary of Agriculture 
that a violation of section 202(a) or (b) can be proven without 
evidence of competitive injury or the likelihood of competitive injury. 
The Secretary's position is consistent with the language and structure 
of the P&S Act, as well as its legislative history and purposes. 
Sections 202(c), 202(d), and 202(e) of the P&S Act include 
``restraint'' and ``monopoly'' language, some of which resembles 
language in the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C. 12-27. Neither section 202(a) 
nor section 202(b) contains language limiting the application to 
conduct or action that has an adverse effect, or the likelihood of an 
adverse effect, on competition, such as acts ``restraining commerce.'' 
Sections 202(a) and 202(b) are tort-like provisions that are concerned 
with unfair practices, discrimination, and preferential treatment, but 
not with restraint of trade or monopolistic activities.
    Analysis of the Federal Trade Commission Act, 15 U.S.C. 41-58, as 
amended, (FTC Act) is helpful in illustrating the Secretary's position 
on the scope of sections 202(a) and 202(b) of the P&S Act. Congress 
considered the FTC Act in drafting the P&S Act as it incorporated 
portions of the FTC Act by reference into the P&S Act. Section 5 of the 
FTC Act, now codified at 15 U.S.C. 45, states, ``[u]nfair methods of 
competition in or affecting commerce, and unfair or deceptive acts or 
practices in or affecting commerce, are hereby declared unlawful.'' 
Thus, in the FTC Act, Congress makes a distinction between ``unfair 
methods of competition'' and ``unfair or deceptive acts or practices.'' 
In drafting the P&S Act, Congress chose to prohibit any ``unfair, 
unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive practice or device,'' and the 
making or giving of ``any undue or unreasonable preference or advantage 
. . .,'' without limiting the unfair practices or devices, 
discrimination, or preferential treatment to only those involving 
competition. The Supreme Court of the United States has examined the 
scope of Section 5 of the FTC Act, noting that unfair practices are not 
limited to those likely to have anticompetitive consequences after the 
manner of the antitrust laws, nor are unfair practices in commerce 
confined to purely competitive behavior.\18\ The FTC Act's phrase, 
```unfair or deceptive acts or practices' '' makes the consumer, who 
may be injured by an unfair trade practice, of equal concern, before 
the law, with the merchant or manufacturer injured by the unfair 
methods of a dishonest competitor.'' \19\ The Court also noted, upon 
consideration of legislative and judicial authorities, that the Federal 
Trade Commission considers public values beyond simply those enshrined 
in the letter or encompassed in the spirit of the antitrust laws.\20\
    Recent circuit court decisions have found that a showing of 
competitive harm, or a likelihood of competitive harm, is required to 
substantiate a violation of sections 202(a) and 202(b) of the P&S Act. 
In one of these cases, Wheeler v. Pilgrim's Pride Corp.,\21\ while the 
majority opinion required a finding of harm to competition, the 
dissenting opinion agreed with the district court's ruling that 
sections (a) and (b) of 202 do not contain language limiting their 
application to actions which have an adverse effect on competition.\22\ 
The court in another case, Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc.,\23\ declined to 
defer to USDA's interpretation of ``unfair'' practices under section 
202(a) of the P&S Act, in part, because ``the Secretary has not 
promulgated a regulation applicable to the practices the Growers allege 
violate Sec.  202(a).'' \24\ The court, however, stated that 
``[r]egulations promulgated by an agency exercising its congressionally 
granted rule-making authority'' are entitled to deference,\25\ implying 
that such regulation, once enacted by USDA, would be entitled to 
deference. Therefore, while decisions of the courts of appeals support 
comments in opposition to amending Sec.  201.3, these same decisions 
have also pointed to a need for the very rulemaking the addition of 
paragraph (a) to Sec.  201.3 provides.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \18\ FTC v. Sperry & Hutchinson Co., 405 U.S. 233 (1972).
    \19\ Id., at 244. (quoting H.R.Rep.No.1613, 75th Cong., 1st 
Sess., 3 (1937).
    \20\ Id., at 244.
    \21\ 591 F. 3d 355 (5th Cir. 2009).
    \22\ Id. at 377 (Garza, J., dissenting).
    \23\ 495 F. 3d 1217 (10th Cir. 2007).
    \24\ Id. at 1226-27.
    \25\ Id. at 1226.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    An initial increase in litigation costs is a likely result of this 
rule, as the industry and the courts are setting precedents for the 
interpretation of Sec.  201.3. However, the litigation costs and the 
number of lawsuits are expected to decrease after precedent setting 
decisions are established. In order to place some parameters on conduct 
or action that constitutes unfair, unjustly discriminatory, and 
deceptive practices or devices under section 202(a), and on conduct or 
action that constitutes undue or unreasonable preferences or advantages 
under section 202(b), and to address concerns raised by commenters 
about what those terms mean, GIPSA is publishing concurrently with this 
interim final rule, proposed rules that will include revised Sec. Sec.  
201.210,201.211, and 201.214, which will help clarify the conduct or 
action GIPSA considers violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b) of the 
P&S Act.
    Contrary to some comments, Sec.  201.3(a) does not stand for the 
proposition that GIPSA never has to demonstrate that the challenged 
conduct or action adversely affects competition. Instead, Sec.  
201.3(a) solely reiterates GIPSA's longstanding position that a finding 
that the challenged conduct or action adversely affects or is likely to 
adversely affect competition is not necessary in all cases. Certain 
conduct is prohibited because it is unfair, unjustly discriminatory or 
deceptive even though there may be no harm, or likelihood of harm, to 
competition. Likewise, certain conduct is prohibited because it creates 
an unfair preference or advantage even though there may be no harm, or 
likelihood of harm, to competition. This rule, combined with the 
specific examples of prohibited conduct in proposed Sec.  201.210 and 
the criteria the Secretary will consider as set forth in proposed Sec.  
201.211, will assist industry participants in understanding which 
behaviors violate sections 202(a) and 202(b) of the P&S Act.

IV. Interim Final Rule and Request for Comments

    As previously discussed, GIPSA published a notice of proposed 
rulemaking in June, 2010, that, inter alia, proposed regulatory text 
relating to the scope of the P&S Act. GIPSA solicited comments over a 5 
month period and received thousands of comments on this aspect of the 
proposed rule. Accordingly, the agency has fulfilled the notice and 
comment requirements of the Administrative Procedure Act. However, 
given the significant level of stakeholder interest in this regulatory 
provision, the intervening six years, and in the interests of open and 
transparent government, the agency has decided to promulgate the rule 
as an interim final rule and provide an additional opportunity for 
public comment. The agency will consider all comments received by the 
date indicated in the DATES section of this interim final rule with 
request for comments. After the comment period closes, the agency 
intends to publish another document in the Federal Register. The 
document will

[[Page 92571]]

include a discussion of any comments received and whether any 
amendments will be made to the rule.

V. Concurrent Publication of Proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210, 201.211, and 
201.214

    While some appellate courts have determined that a showing of 
competitive injury, or likelihood of competitive injury, is required to 
allege a violation of sections 202(a) or 202(b), some dissenting 
opinions agreed with USDA's interpretation of sections 202(a) and 
202(b) \26\ and at least one dissenting opinion stated that if GIPSA 
developed regulation explaining whether a showing of competitive injury 
was required in a given circumstance, that regulation would entitle 
USDA to deference.\27\ Amending Sec.  201.3 with the addition of Sec.  
201.3(a) provides a structural foundation for the development of more 
specific regulations containing examples or criteria GIPSA may then use 
to determine if given conduct or action requires a showing of 
competitive injury or the potential for competitive injury to allege a 
violation of section 202(a) or section 202(b). As mentioned in the 
summary of comments, implementation of these specific regulations may 
lower costs to some livestock producers, swine production contract 
growers and poultry growers should they bring legal action for an 
alleged violation of section 202(a) or section 202(b). GIPSA 
acknowledges that Sec.  201.3(a) may initially encourage litigation, 
temporarily driving up overall costs for stakeholders. While this 
interim rule is a standalone rulemaking, it is worth noting that 
GIPSA's current thinking is also expressed in separate proposed rules 
published concurrently in this edition of the Federal Register. GIPSA 
is proposing Sec.  201.210, which clarifies the conduct or action by 
packers, swine contractors, or live poultry dealers that GIPSA 
considers unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive and a violation 
of section 202(a), and clarifies whether a showing of harm to 
competition or likelihood of harm to competition is required. GIPSA is 
also proposing Sec.  201.211, which identifies criteria the Secretary 
will consider in determining whether conduct or action by packers, 
swine contractors, or live poultry dealers constitutes an undue or 
unreasonable preference or advantage and a violation of section 202(b). 
Section 201.214, as proposed in this edition of the Federal Register, 
lists criteria the Secretary will consider in determining whether a 
live poultry dealer has used a poultry grower ranking system to 
compensate poultry growers in an unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or 
deceptive manner in violation of section 202(a), or in a way that gives 
an undue or unreasonable preference or advantage to any poultry grower 
or subjects any poultry grower to an undue or unreasonable prejudice or 
disadvantage in violation of section 202(b). GIPSA believes Sec. Sec.  
201.210, 201.211, and 201.214, once published as final rules, will 
mitigate potential costs associated with Sec.  201.3(a) by clarifying 
what conduct or action would violate section 202(a) and section 202(b). 
Listing examples and criteria to explain the boundaries for compliance 
with section 202 of the P&S Act will promote compliance and reduce the 
number of disputes associated with section 202. Even while proposed 
Sec. Sec.  201.210, 201.211, and 201.214 are being considered through 
the rulemaking process, amending Sec.  201.3 with the addition of Sec.  
201.3(a) provides sufficient clarity to obtain deference from the 
courts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \26\ Wheeler v. Pilgrim's Pride Corp., 591 F.3d 355(5th Cir. 
2009) (9-7 decision en banc) (Judge Garza dissenting, joined by 
Judges Jolly, Barksdale, Dennis, Prado, Elrod and Haynes).
    \27\ Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc., 495 F.3d 1217, 1238 (10th Cir. 
2007).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

VI. Required Impact Analyses

A. Executive Order 12866 and Regulatory Flexibility Act

    This rulemaking has been determined to be ``economically 
significant'' for the purposes of Executive Order 12866 and, therefore, 
has been reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget. GIPSA is 
issuing this interim final rule under the P&S Act, in part, to 
formalize USDA's position that, in some cases, a violation of section 
202(a) or (b) can be proven without proof of competitive injury or 
likelihood of competitive injury. As a required part of the regulatory 
process, GIPSA prepared an economic analysis of Sec.  201.3(a). The 
first section of the analysis is an introduction and a discussion of 
the prevalence of contracting in the cattle, hog, and poultry 
industries as well as a discussion of potential market failures. Next, 
GIPSA discusses three regulatory alternatives it considered and 
presents a summary cost-benefit analysis of each alternative. GIPSA 
then discusses the impact on small businesses.
Introduction
    GIPSA issued a proposed rule on June 22, 2010, which included 
Sec. Sec.  201.3, 201.210, 201.211, 201.214. GIPSA is issuing 
amendments to Sec.  201.3 as an interim final rule and is proposing new 
versions of Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 201.211 in a separate proposed rule 
published concurrently in this issue of the Federal Register. Likewise, 
201.214 is being proposed in a separate rulemaking. Section 201.3(a) 
formalizes GIPSA's longstanding position that conduct or action can be 
found to violate sections 202(a) and/or 202(b) of the P&S Act without a 
finding of harm or likely harm to competition. GIPSA believes the 
interim final Sec.  201.3(a) will serve to strengthen the protection 
afforded the nation's livestock producers and poultry growers.
    Section 201.3(a) states that a finding that the challenged conduct 
or action adversely affects or is likely to adversely affect 
competition is not necessary in all cases . . . Some unfair, unjustly 
discriminatory, or deceptive practices do not result in competitive 
harm to the industry but still result in significant harm to individual 
livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry 
growers. If, for example, a livestock producer, swine production 
contract grower, or poultry grower filed a complaint related to a 
matter that does not result in competitive harm, such as retaliatory 
conduct, use of inaccurate scales, or providing a poultry grower sick 
birds, the livestock producer, swine production contract grower, or 
poultry grower will be able to prevail without proof of harm to 
competition or the likelihood of harm to competition. GIPSA believes 
the standard articulated in Sec.  201.3(a) is consistent with its 
mission, which is to ``protect fair trade practices, financial 
integrity and competitive markets for livestock, meats and poultry.'' 
\28\ By removing the burden to prove harm or likely harm to competition 
in all cases, this interim final rule promotes fairness and equity in 
the livestock and poultry industries.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \28\ https://www.gipsa.usda.gov/laws/law/PS_act.pdf. Accessed on 
September 19, 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 201.3(a) may lower the costs to some livestock producers, 
swine production contract growers, and poultry growers should they 
bring legal action for an alleged violation of sections 202(a) and/or 
202(b). However, Sec.  201.3(a) may initially increase litigation costs 
for the livestock and poultry industries while precedent setting 
decisions are established. While this interim rule is a standalone 
rulemaking, it is worth noting that GIPSA's current thinking is also 
expressed in separate proposed rules, which will clarify to the 
industry the types of conduct and criteria that GIPSA believes violate 
section 202(a) and section 202(b) of the P&S Act.
    Proposed Sec.  201.210(a) specifies that any conduct or action by a 
packer, swine contractor, or live poultry dealer that is explicitly 
deemed to be an

[[Page 92572]]

``unfair,'' ``unjustly discriminatory,'' or ``deceptive'' practice or 
device by the P&S Act is a per se violation of section 202(a). Section 
201.210(b) provides examples of conduct or action that, absent 
demonstration of a legitimate business justification, are ``unfair,'' 
``unjustly discriminatory,'' or ``deceptive'' and a violation of 
section 202(a) regardless of whether the conduct or action harms or is 
likely to harm competition. Section 201.210(c) specifies that any 
conduct or action that harms or is likely to harm competition is an 
``unfair,'' ``unjustly discriminatory,'' or ``deceptive'' practice or 
device and a violation of section 202(a). Many of the examples provided 
in Sec.  201.210(b) relate to conduct or action that limits, by 
contract, the legal rights and remedies afforded by law to poultry 
growers, swine production contract growers, and livestock producers. 
Other examples specify conduct or actions that violate section 202(a).
    As required by the 2008 Farm Bill, proposed Sec.  201.211 specifies 
criteria the Secretary will consider when determining whether an undue 
or unreasonable preference or advantage has occurred in violation of 
section 202(b). The first four (4) criteria require the Secretary to 
consider whether one or more livestock producers, swine production 
contract growers, or poultry growers is treated more favorably as 
compared to other similarly situated livestock producers, swine 
production contract growers, or poultry growers. The fifth criterion in 
Sec.  201.211 requires the Secretary to consider whether the packer, 
swine contractor, or live poultry dealer has demonstrated a legitimate 
business justification for conduct or action that may otherwise be an 
undue or unreasonable preference or advantage.
    Proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 201.211 will thus limit the 
application of Sec.  201.3(a) by placing some parameters on conduct or 
action that constitutes unfair, unjustly discriminatory, and deceptive 
practices or devices under section 202(a), and on conduct or action 
that constitutes undue or unreasonable preferences or advantages under 
section 202(b). Proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 201.211 focus heavily 
on contracts between livestock producers and packers, swine production 
contract growers and swine contractors, and poultry growers and live 
poultry dealers.
    While proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 201.211 focus heavily on 
contracts, Sec.  201.3(a) is broad in nature. It applies to the use of 
all types of livestock and poultry procurement and growing arrangements 
by packers, swine contractors, and live poultry dealers, including 
packers' use of negotiated cash purchases of livestock. As discussed 
below, contracting broadly defined, is the primary method by which 
livestock are procured (especially for hogs) and the almost exclusive 
arrangement under which poultry are produced. A discussion of 
contracting in these industries is, therefore, useful in explaining the 
need for Sec.  201.3(a) and laying the foundation for the economic 
analysis of 201.3(a).
Prevalence of Contracting in Cattle, Hog, and Poultry Industries
    Contracting is an important and prevalent feature in the production 
and marketing of livestock and poultry. Although Sec.  201.3(a) applies 
to the livestock and poultry industries in general, proposed Sec. Sec.  
201.210 and 201.211 primarily affect livestock and poultry grown or 
marketed under contract. For example, under Sec.  201.210(b)(2), absent 
demonstration of a legitimate business justification, GIPSA considers 
conduct or action by packers, swine contractors, or live poultry 
dealers that limit or attempt to limit, by contract, the legal rights 
and remedies of livestock producers, swine production contract growers, 
or poultry growers as unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive and 
a violation of section 202(a) regardless of whether the conduct or 
action harms or is likely to harm competition. Section 201.211 defines 
criteria for section 202(b) violations with respect to providing undue 
or unreasonable preferences or advantages to one or more livestock 
producers or contract growers as compared to other livestock producers 
or contract growers.
    The type of contracting varies among cattle, hogs, and poultry. 
Broilers, the largest segment of poultry, are almost exclusively grown 
under production contracts, while a small percentage of cattle are 
custom fed and shipped directly for slaughter this activity is not 
subject to the jurisdiction of the P&S Act. Hog production falls 
between these two extremes. As shown in Table 1 below, over 96 percent 
of all broilers are grown under contractual arrangements and over 40 
percent of all hogs are grown under contractual arrangements. Live 
poultry dealers typically own the broilers and provide the growers with 
feed and medications. Contract growers provide the housing, labor, 
water, electricity and fuel to grow the birds. Similarly, swine 
contractors typically own the slaughter hogs and sell the finished hogs 
to pork packers. The swine contractors typically provide feed and 
medication to the contract growers who own the growing facilities and 
provide growing services. With the exception of turkey production, the 
use of contract growing arrangements has remained relatively stable 
over the years that the Census of Agriculture has published data on 
commodities raised and delivered under production contracts as Table 1 
shows.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \29\ Agricultural Census, 2007 and 2012. https://www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2012/Full_Report/Volume_1,_Chapter_1_US/ and https://www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2007/Full_Report/Volume_1,_Chapter_1_US/.

          Table 1--Percentage of Poultry and Hogs Raised and Delivered Under Production Contracts \29\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             Species                                   2002            2007            2012
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Broilers........................................................            98.0            96.5            96.4
Turkeys.........................................................            41.7            67.7            68.5
Hogs............................................................            42.9            43.3            43.5
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Another contract category is marketing contracts, where producers 
market their livestock to a packer for slaughter under a verbal or 
written agreement. These are commonly referred to as Alternative 
Marketing Arrangements (AMAs). Pricing mechanisms vary across AMAs. 
Some AMAs rely on a spot market for at least one aspect of its price, 
while others involve complicated pricing formulas with premiums and 
discounts based on carcass merits. The livestock seller and packer 
agree on a pricing mechanism under AMAs, but usually not on a specific 
price.
    USDA's Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) reports the number of

[[Page 92573]]

cattle sold to packers under formula, forward contract, and negotiated 
pricing mechanisms. The following table illustrates the prevalence of 
contracting in the marketing of fed cattle.

                          Table 2--Percentage of Fed Cattle Sold by Type of Purchase 30
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                      Forward
                              Year                                    Formula        contract       Negotiated
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2005............................................................            30.4             5.0            64.6
2006............................................................            31.5             6.8            61.7
2007............................................................            33.2             8.3            58.5
2008............................................................            37.4             9.9            52.7
2009............................................................            43.7             7.0            49.3
2010............................................................            44.9             9.5            45.6
2011............................................................            48.4            10.9            40.7
2012............................................................            54.7            11.4            33.8
2013............................................................            60.0            10.2            29.8
2014............................................................            58.1            14.2            27.6
2015............................................................            58.2            16.5            25.3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA considers cattle sold under formula pricing methods as sold 
under AMA contracts. Thus, the first two columns in the above table are 
cattle marketed under contract and the third column represents the spot 
market for fed cattle. The data in the table above show that the 
contracting of cattle has increased significantly since 2005. 
Approximately 35 percent of fed cattle were marketed under contracts in 
2005. By 2015, the percentage of fed cattle marketed to packers under 
contracts had increased to almost 75 percent, while negotiated spot 
market transactions have decreased to about 25 percent of all 
transactions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \30\ USDA's Agricultural Marketing Service. https://mpr.datamart.ams.usda.gov/menu.do?path=Products\Cattle\Weekly. 
Accessed on September 9, 2016
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As discussed above, over 40 percent of hogs are grown under 
production contracts. These hogs are then sold by swine contractors to 
packers under marketing contracts. The prevalence of marketing 
contracts in the sale of finished hogs, which includes production 
contract and non-production contract hogs, to packers is even more 
prevalent as shown in the table below.

                             Table 3--Percentage of Hogs Sold by Type of Purchase 31
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       Other
                                                                     marketing
                              Year                                 arrangements     Formula 33      Negotiated
                                                                        32
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2005............................................................            39.3            49.7            11.0
2006............................................................            44.0            46.4             9.6
2007............................................................            44.8            46.5             8.7
2008............................................................            43.9            47.6             8.5
2009............................................................            42.8            50.4             6.8
2010............................................................            45.4            49.4             5.2
2011............................................................            47.6            48.2             4.2
2012............................................................            47.7            48.6             3.6
2013............................................................            48.3            48.4             3.2
2014............................................................            45.9            51.4             2.7
2015............................................................            46.0            51.4             2.6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Similar to cattle, the percentage of hogs sold under marketing 
contracts has increased since 2005 to over 97 percent in 2015. The spot 
market for hogs has declined to 2.6 percent in 2015. As these data 
demonstrate, almost all hogs are marketed under some type of marketing 
contract.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \31\ USDA's Agricultural Marketing Service.
    \32\ Includes Packer Owned and Packer Sold, Other Purchase 
Arrangements.
    \33\ Includes Swine Pork Market Formula, Other Market Formula.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Benefits of Contracting in Cattle, Hog, and Poultry Industries
    Contracts have many benefits. They help farmers and livestock 
producers manage price and production risks, elicit the production of 
products with specific quality attributes by tying prices to those 
attributes, and smooth the flows of commodities to processing plants 
encouraging more efficient use of farm and processing capacities. 
Agricultural contracts can also lead to improvements in efficiency 
throughout the supply chain for products by providing farmers with 
incentives to deliver products consumers desire and produce products in 
ways that reduce processing costs and, ultimately, retail prices.
    In 2007, RTI International conducted a comprehensive study of 
marketing practices in the livestock and red meat industries from 
farmers to retailers (the RTI Study).\34\ The RTI Study analyzed the 
extent of use, price relationships, and costs and benefits of 
contracting, including AMAs. The RTI Study found that AMAs increased 
the economic efficiency of the livestock markets and yielded economic 
benefits to consumers, producers and packers.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \34\ RTI International, 2007, GIPSA Livestock and Meat Marketing 
Study, Prepared for GIPSA.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The RTI Study found that efficiencies come from less volatility in 
volume and

[[Page 92574]]

more intensive use of production and processing facilities, meaning 
less capital, labor, feed, and materials per pound of meat produced. 
Efficiencies also come from reduced transaction costs and from sending 
price signals to better match the meat attributes to consumer demand. 
Consumers benefit from lower meat prices and meat with desired 
attributes. In turn, the consumer benefits increase livestock demand, 
which provides benefits to producers.
Structural Issues in the Cattle, Hog, and Poultry Industries
    As the above discussion highlights, there are important benefits 
associated with the use of agriculture contracts in the cattle, hog, 
and poultry industries. However, if there are large disparities in the 
bargaining power among contracting parties resulting from size 
differences between contracting parties or the use of market power by 
one of the contracting parties, the contracts may have detrimental 
effects on one of the contracting parties and may result in 
inefficiencies in the marketplace.
    For example, a contract that ties a grower to a single purchaser of 
a specialized commodity or service, even if the contract provides for 
fair compensation to the grower, still leaves the grower subject to 
default risks should the contractor fail. Another example is a contract 
that covers a shorter term than the life of the capital (a poultry 
house, for example). The grower may face the hold-up risk that the 
contractor may require additional capital investments or may impose 
lower returns at the time of contract renewal. Hold-up risk is a 
potential market failure and is discussed in detail in the next 
section. These risks may be heightened when there are no alternative 
buyers for the grower to switch to, or when the capital investment is 
specific to the original buyer.\35\ Some growers make substantial long-
term capital investments as part of livestock or poultry production 
contracts, including land, poultry or hog houses, and equipment. Those 
investments may tie the grower to a single contractor or integrator. 
Costs associated with default risks and hold-up risks are important to 
many growers in the industry. The table below shows the number of 
integrators that broiler growers have in their local areas by percent 
of total farms and by total production.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \35\ See Vukina and Leegomonchai, Oligopsony Power, Asset 
Specificity, and Hold-Up: Evidence From The Broiler Industry, 
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 88(3): 589-605 (August 
2006).
    \36\ MacDonald, James M. Technology, Organization, and Financial 
Performance in U.S. Broiler Production. USDA, Economic Research 
Service, June 2014.
    \37\ Percentages were determined from the USDA Agricultural 
Resource Management Survey (ARMS), 2011. ``Respondents were asked 
the number of integrators in their area. They were also asked if 
they could change to another integrator if they stopped raising 
broilers for their current integrator.'' Ibid. p. 30

                                Table 4--Integrator Choice for Broiler Growers 36
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Percent of total                    Can change to
       Integrators in grower's area 37       ------------------------------------------------ another integrator
                                                   Farms           Birds        Production    (percent of farms)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number:
    1.......................................            21.7            23.4            24.5                   7
    2.......................................            30.2            31.9            31.7                  52
    3.......................................            20.4            20.4            19.7                  62
    4.......................................            16.1            14.9            14.8                  71
    >4......................................             7.8             6.7             6.6                  77
    No Response.............................             3.8             2.7             2.7                  Na
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The data in the table show that 52 percent of broiler growers, 
accounting for 56 percent of total production, report having only one 
or two integrators in their local areas. This limited integrator choice 
may accentuate the contract risks. A 2006 survey indicated that growers 
facing a single integrator received 7 to 8 percent less compensation, 
on average, than farmers located in areas with 4 or more 
integrators.\38\ If live poultry dealers already possess some market 
power to force prices for poultry growing services below competitive 
levels, some contracts can extend that power by raising the costs of 
entry for new competitors, or allowing for price discrimination.\39\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \38\ MacDonald, J. and N. Key. ``Market Power in Poultry 
Production Contracting? Evidence from a Farm Survey.'' Journal of 
Agricultural and Applied Economics. 44(4) (November 2012): 477-490.
    \39\ See, for example, Williamson, Oliver E. Markets and 
Hierarchies: Analysis and Antitrust Implications, New York: The Free 
Press (1975); Edlin, Aaron S. & Stefan Reichelstein (1996) 
``Holdups, Standard Breach Remedies, and Optimal Investment,'' The 
American Economic Review 86(3): 478-501 (June 1996).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Many beef, pork, and poultry processing markets face barriers to 
entry, including; (1) Economies of scale; (2) high asset-specific 
capital costs with few alternative uses of the capital; (3) brand 
loyalty of consumers, customer loyalty to the incumbent processors, and 
high customer switching costs; and (4) governmental food safety, bio-
hazard, and environmental regulations. Consistent with these barriers, 
there has been limited new entry.
    However, an area where entry has been successful is in developing 
and niche markets, such as organic meat and free-range chicken. 
Developing and niche markets have a relatively small consumer market 
that is willing to pay higher prices, which supports smaller plant 
sizes. Niche processors are generally small, however, and do not offer 
opportunities to many producers or growers.
    Economies of scale have resulted in large processing plants in the 
beef, pork, and poultry processing industries. The barriers to entry 
discussed above may have limited the entry of new processors, which 
limits the expansion of choice of processors to which livestock 
producers market their livestock. Barriers to entry also limit the 
expansion of choice for poultry growers who have only one or two 
integrators in their local areas with no potential entrants on the 
horizon. The limited expansion of choice of processors by livestock 
producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry growers may 
limit contract choices and the bargaining power of producers and 
growers in negotiating contracts.
    One indication of potential market power is industry 
concentration.\40\ The following table shows the level of concentration 
in the livestock and

[[Page 92575]]

poultry slaughtering industries for 2005-2015.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \40\ For additional discussion see MacDonald, J.M. 2016 
``Concentration, contracting, and competition policy in U.S. 
agribusiness,'' Competition Law Review, No. 1-2016: 3-8.
    \41\ The data on cattle and hogs were compiled from USDA's NASS 
data of federally inspected slaughter plants. Data on broilers and 
turkeys were compiled from Packers and Stockyards industry annual 
reports. Both data sources are proprietary.

                     Table 5--Four-Firm Concentration in Livestock and Poultry Slaughter 41
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Steers &
                      Year                          heifers (%)      Hogs (%)      Broilers (%)     Turkeys (%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2005............................................              80              64            n.a.            n.a.
2006............................................              81              61            n.a.            n.a.
2007............................................              80              65              57              52
2008............................................              79              65              57              51
2009............................................              86              63              53              58
2010............................................              85              65              51              56
2011............................................              85              64              52              55
2012............................................              85              64              51              53
2013............................................              85              64              54              53
2014............................................              83              62              51              58
2015............................................              85              66              51              57
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The table above shows the concentration of the four largest steer 
and heifer slaughterers has remained relatively stable between 79 and 
86 percent since 2005. Hog and broiler slaughter concentration has also 
remained relatively steady at over 60 percent and 50 percent, 
respectively.
    The data in Table 5 are estimates of national concentration and the 
size differences discussed below are also at the national level, but 
the economic markets for livestock and poultry may be regional or 
local, and concentration in regional or local areas may be higher than 
national measures. For example, while poultry markets may appear to be 
the least concentrated in terms of the four-firm concentration ratios 
presented above, economic markets for poultry growing services are more 
localized than markets for fed cattle or hogs, and local concentration 
in poultry markets is greater than in hog and other livestock 
markets.\42\ The data presented earlier in Table 4 highlight this issue 
by showing the limited ability a poultry grower has to switch to a 
different integrator. As a result, national concentration may not 
demonstrate accurately the options poultry growers in a particular 
region actually face.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \42\ MacDonald and Key (2012) Op. Cit. and Vukina and 
Leegomonchai (2006) Op. Cit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Empirical evidence does not show a strong or simple relationship 
between increases in concentration and increases in market power. Other 
factors matter, including the ease of entry by new producers into a 
concentrated industry and the ease with which retail food buyers or 
agricultural commodity sellers can change their buying or marketing 
strategies in response to attempts to exploit market power.
    For example, in 2009, the Government Accountability Office (GAO) 
reviewed 33 studies published since 1990 that were relevant for 
assessing the effect of concentration on commodity or food prices in 
the beef, pork, or dairy sectors.\43\ Most of the studies found no 
evidence of market power, or found that the efficiency gains from 
concentration were larger than the market power effects. Efficiency 
gains would be larger if increased concentration led to reduced 
processing costs (likely to occur if there are scale economies \44\ in 
processing), and if the reduced costs led to a larger effect on prices 
than the opposing impact of fewer firms. For example, with respect to 
beef processing, the GAO report concluded that concentration in the 
beef processing sector has been, overall, beneficial because the 
efficiency effects dominated the market power effects, thereby reducing 
farm-to-wholesale beef margins.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \43\ United States Government Accountability Office. 
Concentration in Agriculture. GAO-09-746R. Enclosure II: Potential 
Effects of Concentration on Agricultural Commodity and Retail Food 
Prices.
    \44\ Scale economies are present when average production costs 
decrease as output increases.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Several studies reviewed by the GAO did find evidence of market 
power in the retail sector, in that food prices exceeded competitive 
levels or that commodity prices fell below competitive levels. However, 
the GAO study also concluded that it was not clear whether market power 
was caused by concentration or some other factor. In interviews with 
experts, the GAO report concluded that increases in concentration may 
raise greater concerns in the future about the potential for market 
power and the manipulation of commodity or food prices.
    Another factor GIPSA considered in proposing Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 
201.211 is the contrast in size and scale between livestock producers, 
swine production contract growers, and poultry growers and the packers, 
swine contractors, and live poultry dealers they supply. The disparity 
in size between large oligopsonistic buyers and atomistic sellers may 
lead to market power and asymmetric information. The 2012 Census of 
Agriculture reported 740,978 cattle and calf farms with 69.76 million 
head of cattle for an average of 94 head per operation. Ninety-one 
percent of these were family or individually-owned operations.\45\ The 
largest one percent of cattle farms sold about 51 percent of the cattle 
sold by all cattle farms.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \45\ Census of Agriculture, 2012.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    There were 33,880 cattle feeding operations in 2012 that sold 25.47 
million head of fed cattle for an average of 752 head per feedlot. The 
607 largest feedlots sold about 75 percent of the fed cattle, and 
averaged 32,111 head sold. About 80 percent of feedlots were family or 
individually owned.\46\ As Table 5 shows, the four largest cattle 
packers processed about 85 percent, 25.47 million head, for an average 
of 5.41 million head per cattle packer. This means the average top four 
cattle packers had 57,574 times the volume of the average cattle farm, 
and 1,054 times the volume of the largest one percent of cattle farms. 
It also means the average top four cattle packers had 7,197 times the 
volume of the average feedlot, and

[[Page 92576]]

169 times the volume of the very largest feedlots.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \46\ Ibid.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service 2012 livestock 
slaughter summary reported that in 2012, 113.16 million head of hogs 
were commercially slaughtered in the United States.\47\ Table 5 shows 
that the top four hog packers processed about 64 percent of those hogs, 
which comes to an average of about 18.1 million head of hogs per top 
four packer. The 2012 Census of Agriculture reported 55,882 farms with 
hog and pig sales.\48\ About 83 percent of the farms were family or 
individually owned. Of the 55,882 farms with hog and pig sales, 47,336 
farms were independent growers raising hogs and pigs for themselves 
(sold an average of 1,931 head), 8,031 were swine production contract 
growers raising hogs and pigs for someone else (an average of 10,970 
head per swine production contract grower), and 515 were swine 
contractors (sold an average of 38,058 head per swine contractor).\49\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \47\ Ibid.
    \48\ A pig is a generic term for a young hog.
    \49\ Agricultural Census, 2012.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The National Chicken Council states that in 2016, approximately 35 
companies were involved in the business of raising, processing, and 
marketing chicken on a vertically integrated basis, while about 25,000 
family farmers had production contracts with those companies.\50\ That 
comes to about 714 family-growers per company. Collectively, the 
family-growers produced about 95 percent of the nearly 9 billion 
broilers produced in the United States in 2015. The other 5 percent 
were grown on company-owned farms. That means the average family-grower 
produced about 342,000 broilers. As Table 5 shows, the four largest 
poultry companies in the United States accounted for 51 percent of the 
broilers processed. That means the average volume processed by the four 
largest poultry companies was about 1.15 billion head, which was 3,357 
times the average family grower's volume.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \50\ http://www.nationalchickencouncil.org/about-the-industry/statistics/broiler-chicken-industry-key-facts/.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As the above discussion highlights, there are large size 
differences between livestock producers and meat packers. There are 
also large size differences between poultry growers and the live 
poultry dealers which they supply. These size differences may 
contribute to unequal bargaining power due to monopsony market power or 
oligopsony market power, or asymmetric information. The result is that 
the contracts bargained between the parties may have detrimental 
effects on livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and 
poultry growers due to the structural issues discussed above and may 
result in inefficiencies in the marketplace.
Hold-Up as a Potential Market Failure
    Integrators demand investment in fixed assets from the growers. One 
example is specific types of poultry houses and equipment the 
integrator may require the grower to utilize in their growing 
operations. These investments may improve efficiency by more than the 
cost of installation. Typically, the improved efficiency would accrue 
to both the integrator and the grower. The integrator has lower feed 
costs, and the grower performs better relative to other poultry growers 
in a settlement group. If the grower bears the entire cost of 
installation, then the grower should be further compensated for the 
feed conversion gains that accrue to the integrator. The risk is that 
after the assets are installed, the cost to the grower is ``sunk.'' 
This means that if the integrator reneges on paying compensation for 
the additional capital investments, and insists on maintaining the 
lower price, the grower will accept that lower price rather than 
receive nothing. This allows the integrator to get the benefit of the 
efficiency gains, at no expense to them, with the grower bearing all of 
the cost. This reneging is termed ``hold-up'' in the economic 
literature.\51\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \51\ See for example, Benjamin Klein, Robert G. Crawford, and 
Armen A. Alchian, ``Vertical Integration, Appropriable Rents, and 
the Competitive Contracting Process,'' The Journal of Law and 
Economics 21, no. 2 (Oct., 1978): 297-326.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Hold-up can have two consequences that result in a misallocation of 
resources. If the growers do not anticipate hold-up, then growers will 
spend too much on investments because the integrator who demands them 
is not incurring any cost. That is inefficient. If the grower does 
anticipate hold-up, they will act as if the integrator were going to 
renege even when they were not, resulting in too little investment and 
a loss of potential efficiency gains.
    Hold-up can be resolved with increased competition. If an 
integrator developed a reputation for reneging, and growers could go 
elsewhere, the initial integrator would be punished and disincentivized 
from reneging in the future. Unfortunately, in practice, many growers 
do not have the option of going elsewhere.
    Data shown above in Table 4 indicate that there are few integrators 
in these markets, and that growers have limited choice. Table 5, above, 
indicates the level of concentration in the livestock and poultry 
slaughtering industries and shows that integrators and livestock 
packers operate in concentrated markets.
    This rule would allow growers to file complaints against 
integrators that renege, giving some of the incentive benefit of 
competition, without compromising the efficiency of having a few large 
processors.
Contracting, Industry Structure, and Market Failure: Summary of the 
Need for Regulation
    There are benefits of contracting in the livestock and poultry 
industries, as well as structural issues that may result in unequal 
bargaining power and market failures. These structural issues and 
market failures will be mitigated by relieving plaintiffs from the 
requirement to demonstrate competitive injury. For instance, 
contracting parties can alleviate hold-up problems if they are able to 
write complete contracts, and are able to litigate to enforce the terms 
of those contracts when there is an attempt to engage in ex-post hold-
up. Because proving competitive injury is difficult and costly, 
removing that burden will facilitate the use of litigation by producers 
and growers to address violations of the Packers and Stockyards Act. If 
growers are able to seek legal remedies, then their contracts are 
easier to enforce. This will incentivize packers, swine contractors, 
and integrators to avoid exploitation of market power and asymmetric 
information, as well as behaviors that result in the market failure of 
hold-up. The result will be improved efficiency in the livestock and 
poultry markets.
    GIPSA has a clear role to ensure that market failures are mitigated 
so that livestock and poultry markets remain fair and competitive. 
Section 201.3(a) seeks to fulfill that role by promoting fairness and 
equity for livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and 
poultry growers.
Costs of the Regulations Proposed on June 22, 2010
    GIPSA issued a proposed rule on June 22, 2010, which included 
Sec. Sec.  201.3, 201.210, and 201.211. GIPSA received and considered 
thousands of comments before finalizing Sec.  201.3(a) and before 
proposing the current versions of Sec. Sec.  201.210, and 201.211. The 
following provisions were proposed in 2010 but are not in Sec.  201.3 
or currently proposed Sec. Sec.  201.210 and 201.211.
     Applicability to all stages of a live poultry dealer's 
poultry production, including pullets, laying hens, breeders, and 
broilers (Sec.  201.3(a)).

[[Page 92577]]

     Applicability to all swine production contracts, poultry 
growing arrangements and livestock production and marketing contracts, 
including formula and forward contracts (Sec.  201.3(b)).
     Requirement that packers, live poultry dealers, and swine 
contractors maintain records justifying differences in prices (Sec.  
201.210(a)(5)).
     Provision prohibiting packers from purchasing livestock 
from other packers (Sec.  201.212(c)).
     Requirement that packers offer the same terms to groups of 
small producers as offered to large producers when the group can 
collectively meet the same quantity commitments (Sec.  201.211(a)).
     Requirement that packers refrain from entering into 
exclusive agreements with livestock dealers (Sec.  201.212(b)).
     Requirements that packers and live poultry dealers submit 
sample contracts to GIPSA for posting to the public (Sec.  201.213).
    Although many thousands of the comments submitted contained general 
qualitative assessments of either the costs or benefits of the proposed 
rule, only two comments systematically described quantitative costs 
across the rule provisions. Comments from the National Meat Association 
(NMA) included cost estimates by Informa Economics (the Informa Study). 
The Informa Study projected costs of $880 million, $401 million, and 
$362 million for U.S. cattle and beef, hogs and pork, and poultry 
industries respectively.\52\ However, these cost estimates were for all 
of the 2010 proposed changes, many of which do not apply. The Informa 
Study estimated $133.3 million to be one-time direct costs resulting 
from rewriting contracts, additional record keeping, etc.\53\ The 
majority of the costs would be indirect costs. The Informa Study 
estimated $880.9 million in costs due to efficiency losses and $459.9 
million in costs due to reduced demand caused by a reduction in meat 
quality resulting from fewer AMAs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \52\ Informa Economics, Inc. ``An Estimate of the Economic 
Impact of GIPSA's Proposed Rules,'' prepared for the National Meat 
Association, 2010, Table 10, Page 53.
    \53\ Ibid. Page 53.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comments from the National Chicken Council (NCC) included cost 
estimates prepared by Dr. Thomas E. Elam, President, FarmEcon LLC (the 
Elam Study).\54\ The Elam Study estimated that the entire 2010 proposed 
rule would cost the chicken industry $84 million in the first year 
increasing to $337 million in the fifth year, with a total cost of 
$1.03 billion over the first five years.\55\ The Elam Study identified 
$6 million as one-time administrative costs. Most of the costs would be 
indirect costs resulting from efficiency losses.\56\ More than half of 
the costs would be due to a reduced rate of improvement in feed 
efficiency. Again, these cost estimates were for all of the 2010 
proposed changes, many of which do not apply.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \54\ See Elam, Dr. Thomas E. ``Proposed GIPSA Rules Relating to 
the Chicken Industry: Economic Impact.'' FarmEcon LLC, 2010.
    \55\ Ibid. Page 24
    \56\ Ibid. Page 24.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Informa Study estimated that the proposed provision requiring 
packers to refrain from entering into exclusive agreements with 
livestock dealers would cost livestock auctions as much as $85.5 
million.\57\ Because GIPSA has no current plans to propose the 
``exclusive agreements'' rule, those costs no longer apply. The Informa 
Study did not directly specify how much the estimates in the study 
attributed to each of the other provisions, but GIPSA expects that 
their omission will substantially reduce the cost of Sec.  201.3(a).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \57\ Ibid. Page 49.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Estimates of the costs in the Informa Study and the Elam Study were 
largely due to projections that packers, swine contractors, and live 
poultry dealers, would alter business practices in reaction to the 
proposed rule. For example, the Informa Study projected that packers 
would reduce the number and types of AMAs to avoid potential 
litigation,\58\ and the Elam Study expected live poultry dealers to 
evaluate each load of feed delivered to growers to avoid 
litigation.\59\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \58\ Informa, page 30.
    \59\ Elam, page 18.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The estimates from the Informa Study and the Elam Study may 
overstate costs because the studies relied on interviews of packers, 
swine contractors, live poultry dealers, and other stakeholders for 
much of the basis for the estimates of the willingness of packers, 
swine contractors, and live poultry dealers to alter their business 
practices. Moreover, neither study considered benefits from the 
proposed rule.
    The Informa Study projected that the regulations proposed in 2010 
would cause beef and pork packers to limit their involvement in 
vertical arrangements, and without those arrangements, they would not 
be able to produce the branded products they currently offer. The 
Informa Study projected that, as a result, beef and pork markets would 
lose $460 million, which is about half of the value added from branded 
products.\60\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \60\ Informa, pages 51 and 52.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA does not expect that the current Sec.  201.3(a) would cause 
beef and pork markets to abandon half of the value added from branded 
products. Current Sec.  201.3(a) does not prevent packers from offering 
quality incentives to hog or cattle feeders, and any vertical 
coordination among feeders and producers would be outside of GIPSA's 
jurisdiction.
    Given the differences from the rule proposed in 2010, the estimates 
from the Elam Study likely overstated the costs of compliance to the 
poultry industry with current Sec.  201.3(a) by at least $115 million 
over five years. The Informa Study estimates would overstate costs of 
compliance to the cattle, hog, and poultry industries with current 
Sec.  201.3(a) by at least $500 million. If packers, swine contractors, 
and live poultry dealers overstated their willingness to alter their 
business practices, then the estimates could be overstated that much 
more.
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Sec.  201.3(a)
Regulatory Alternatives Considered
    Executive Order 12866 requires an assessment of costs and benefits 
of potentially effective and reasonably feasible alternatives to the 
planned regulation and an explanation of why the planned regulatory 
action is preferable to the potential alternatives.\61\ GIPSA 
considered three regulatory alternatives. The first alternative that 
GIPSA considered is the baseline to maintain the status quo and not 
finalize Sec.  201.3(a). The second alternative that GIPSA considered 
is to issue Sec.  201.3(a) as an interim final regulation. This is 
GIPSA's preferred alternative as will be explained below. The third 
alternative that GIPSA considered is issuing Sec.  201.3(a) as an 
interim final regulation, but exempting small businesses, as defined by 
the Small Business Administration, from having to comply with the 
regulation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \61\ See Section 6(a)(3)(C) of Executive Order 12866.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Regulatory Option 1: Status Quo
    If Sec.  201.3(a) is never finalized, there are no marginal costs 
and marginal benefits as industry participants will not alter their 
conduct. From a cost standpoint, this is the least cost alternative 
compared to the other two alternatives. This alternative also has no 
marginal benefits. Since there are no changes from the status quo under 
this regulatory alternative, it will serve as the baseline against 
which to measure the other two alternatives.

[[Page 92578]]

Regulatory Alternative 2: The Preferred Alternative
    Section 201.3(a) states that conduct or action can be found to 
violate sections 202(a) and/or 202(b) of the P&S Act without a finding 
of harm or likely harm to competition. Given the applicability of the 
regulation to the entire livestock and poultry industries, it is 
difficult to predict how the industries will respond. Therefore, GIPSA 
believes that assigning a range to the expected costs of the regulation 
is appropriate.
    At the lower boundary of the cost spectrum, GIPSA considers the 
scenario where the only costs are increased litigation costs and there 
are no adjustments by the livestock and poultry industries to reduce 
their use of AMAs or incentive pay systems, such as poultry grower 
ranking systems, and there are no changes to existing marketing or 
production contracts. For the upper boundary of the cost spectrum, 
GIPSA considers the scenario in which the livestock and poultry 
industries adjust their use of AMAs and incentive pay systems and makes 
systematic changes in its marketing and production contracts to reduce 
the threat of litigation.
A. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower Boundary of Cost Spectrum--
Litigation Costs of Preferred Alternative
    GIPSA modeled the litigation costs by estimating the total cost of 
litigating a case filed under the jurisdiction of the P&S Act. The main 
costs are attorney fees to litigate a case in a court of law. Limited 
empirical data on actual historical litigation costs required GIPSA to 
use a cost engineering approach to estimate litigation costs. In 
considering the costs of the 2010 proposed rule, GIPSA, based on its 
expertise, assumed a cost of $3.5 million to litigate a case. GIPSA 
uses the same starting point here. The cost of litigating a case 
includes the costs to all parties including the respondent and the USDA 
in a case brought by the USDA and the costs of the plaintiff and the 
defendant in the case of private litigation.
    GIPSA then examined the actual number of cases decided under the 
P&S Act from 1926 to 2014. The listing of court decisions and the court 
in which the decision was reached came from the National Agricultural 
Law Center at the University of Arkansas.\62\ GIPSA then reviewed each 
case and classified it as either competition, financial, or trade 
practice cases. This is an internal classification system corresponding 
to the types of violations GIPSA investigates.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \62\ http://nationalaglawcenter.org/aglaw-reporter/case-law-index/packers-and-stockyards. We note that this list is not 
exhaustive, but it is extensive.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    All of the cases were assigned a specific attorney fee based on a 
random sample from a normal distribution ranging between $250 thousand 
and $3.5 million for trade practice cases, $250 thousand to $3 million 
for financial cases, and $1.5 million to $5 million for competition 
cases. These ranges are based on GIPSA's expertise and the complexity 
of each type of case, with competition being the most complex and 
therefore the most costly to litigate. This expertise comes from 
GIPSA's experience litigating each type of case and monitoring private 
litigation under the P&S Act. GIPSA estimated the cost of litigating 
each case from 1926 to 2014 using the cost ranges outlined above.
    GIPSA scaled the initial cost up or down based on the court making 
the decision and based on GIPSA's assumption that Supreme Court cases 
are more expensive than District court cases, which are more expensive 
than state court cases. For Supreme Court cases, GIPSA scaled up the 
cost by a factor of three. For District court cases, GIPSA left the 
costs unchanged except for the sole case litigated in the United States 
District Court for the District of Columbia, which GIPSA scaled up by a 
factor of 1.1. GIPSA scaled state courts down by a factor of 0.7.
    After estimating the cost of each case, by case type, GIPSA 
averaged all cases decided each year to obtain an estimated annual 
average cost of litigation. GIPSA then conducted a Monte Carlo 
simulation by sampling from a normal distribution of estimated average 
annual litigation costs for each type of case to arrive at the final 
estimated annual average cost of litigating cases filed under the P&S 
Act.\63\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \63\ Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical technique that 
relies on repeated random sampling from a distribution to obtain 
numerical results.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA recognizes the uncertainty in estimating litigation costs and 
conducted sensitivity analysis using a Monte Carlo simulation on the 
estimated average annual litigation costs. GIPSA used a normal 
distribution of estimated litigation costs and calculated estimated 
litigation costs at the 2.5th percentile (lower percentile) of the 
distribution, the mean (average), and the 97.5th percentile (upper 
percentile).
    GIPSA then estimated a linear trend line through the data using the 
Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) linear regression technique and used the 
trend line to project the litigation costs for 2015-2017.\64\ These are 
baseline litigation costs that GIPSA expects to occur without the 
regulation. The table below shows the estimated and projected baseline 
litigation costs for 2007-2017.\65\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \64\ Ordinary least squares regression technique is a method for 
estimating the unknown parameters using an established statistical 
model based on existing data observations.
    \65\ The baseline litigation costs are those costs GIPSA expects 
to occur without implementation of Sec.  201.3(a).

                  Table 6--Estimated and Projected Baseline Litigation Costs for 2007-2017 \66\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                         Lower                           Upper
                       Year                         percentile  ($    Average  ($   percentile  ($
                                                       millions)       millions)       millions)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2007..............................................            4.98            8.88           12.77
2008..............................................            2.16            5.12            8.08
2009..............................................            8.45           13.00           17.46
2010..............................................            6.82           11.25           15.60
2011..............................................           10.52           15.28           20.02
2012..............................................            6.49           10.10           13.81
2013..............................................            1.94            4.14            6.42
2014..............................................            3.56            6.74           10.03
2015..............................................            4.32            8.13           12.10
2016..............................................            4.45            8.28           12.31
2017..............................................            4.58            8.42           12.52
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 92579]]

    GIPSA then reviewed the complete history of all investigations 
conducted by its Packers and Stockyards Program since 2009 and 
separated out the investigations involving alleged violations of 
sections 202(a) and 202(b) of the P&S Act for cattle, hogs, and poultry 
because Sec.  201.3(a) only applies to alleged violations of sections 
202(a) and 202(b). The GIPSA investigation data are more robust, with 
more observations than the case data. There were never many cases in 
any given year. In addition, the data since 2009 are better predictors 
of the next ten years than cases that took place as far back as 1926.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \66\ The litigation costs for 2007-2014 are estimated using 
Monte Carlo simulation at the lower percentile, the average, and the 
upper percentile and 2015-2017 are projected using the estimated 
trend lines using OLS and historical estimates. The cost of each 
case is measured using 2016 dollars.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Based on the history of investigations, GIPSA then allocated all of 
the projected baseline litigation costs for 2017 into section 202(a) 
and 202(b) violations for each species at the lower percentile, the 
average, and the upper percentile. These allocations appear in the 
tables below.

        Table 7--Allocation of Sec.   201.3(a) Baseline Litigation Costs for 2017 at the Lower Percentile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            1.00            0.65            2.01            3.66
202(b)..........................................            0.10            0.11            0.71            0.92
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            1.10            0.76            2.72            4.58
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


            Table 8--Allocation of Sec.   201.3(a) Baseline Litigation Costs for 2017 at the Average
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            1.84            1.20            3.70            6.73
202(b)..........................................            0.19            0.21            1.30            1.69
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            2.02            1.41            4.99            8.42
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        Table 9--Allocation of Sec.   201.3(a) Baseline Litigation Costs for 2017 at the Upper Percentile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            2.73            1.78            5.50           10.00
202(b)..........................................            0.28            0.31            1.93            2.52
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            3.00            2.09            7.42           12.52
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    These allocations assume that all projected baseline litigation 
costs for 2017 will come only from section 202(a) and 202(b) 
violations. GIPSA then estimated the additional litigation costs the 
first full year the regulation is in place.
    In order to estimate the additional expected litigation costs in 
2017 assuming Sec.  201.3(a) becomes effective in early 2017, GIPSA 
again utilized the complete history of all investigations conducted by 
its Packers and Stockyards Program since 2009. GIPSA based the 
additional litigation costs on the difference between the number of 
complaints received in 2015 on alleged conduct that may violate 
sections 202(a) and 202(b), by species, and the highest number of 
complaints GIPSA received in any year since 2009. By 2015, court 
decisions had established the requirement to demonstrate harm to 
competition, which likely resulted in fewer complaints of Section 
202(a) and 202(b) violations, particularly in the poultry industry, 
than in previous years when this requirement was not fully realized by 
industry participants. GIPSA expects Sec.  201.3(a) will result in 
additional new complaints filed with GIPSA that will be at the levels 
experienced between 2009 and 2015 before the requirement of harm to 
competition was fully realized. GIPSA tracks the number of complaints 
received through a complaint tracking system initiated in 2009. Thus, 
this difference, by species, is the increase in complaints GIPSA 
expects when the regulations are finalized. GIPSA then used these 
differences as scaling factors to estimate the litigation that GIPSA 
expects to occur in 2017, the first full year that Sec.  201.3(a) 
becomes effective. The scaling factors appear in the table below:

                          Table 10--Scaling Factors for Litigation From Sec.   201.3(a)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                         P&S Act section                              Cattle            Hog           Poultry
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................................            2.30            1.40            2.15
202(b)..........................................................            2.30            1.20            2.15
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 92580]]

    The scaling factors run from 1.20 for hogs to 2.30 for cattle.
    To finalize the estimated increase in litigation costs, GIPSA 
multiplied the scaling factors in the above table by the projected 2017 
baseline litigation costs at the lower percentile, the average, and the 
upper percentile to arrive at the expected litigation costs in 2017. 
GIPSA then subtracted out the projected baseline litigation costs to 
arrive at the estimated additional litigation costs that GIPSA expects 
to occur assuming Sec.  201.3(a) become effective in early 2017. These 
estimated litigation costs appear in the following tables.

              Table 11--Projected Sec.   201.3(a) Litigation Costs for 2017 at the Lower Percentile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            1.30            0.26            2.31            3.87
202(b)..........................................            0.13            0.02            0.81            0.97
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            1.43            0.28            3.12            4.84
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                  Table 12--Projected Sec.   201.3(a) Litigation Costs for 2017 at the Average
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            2.39            0.48            4.25            7.12
202(b)..........................................            0.24            0.04            1.49            1.77
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


              Table 13--Projected Sec.   201.3(a) Litigation Costs for 2017 at the Upper Percentile
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            3.55            0.71            6.32           10.58
202(b)..........................................            0.36            0.06            2.22            2.64
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            3.91            0.77            8.54           13.22
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects Sec.  201.3(a) to result in an additional $4.84 
million in litigation in 2017 at the lower percentile, $8.89 million in 
litigation in 2017 at the average, and $13.22 million in litigation in 
2017 at the upper percentile. GIPSA also expects the majority of 
additional litigation to come from the poultry industry based on 
investigations GIPSA conducted from 2009 to 2015, many of which were 
based on industry complaints.
    As discussed above, GIPSA considers the lower boundary of costs 
from Sec.  201.3(a) to be increased litigation costs with no 
adjustments by the livestock and poultry industries to reduce their use 
of AMAs or incentive pay systems and no changes to existing marketing 
or production contracts. GIPSA also recognizes the uncertainty in 
estimating litigation costs and conducted a sensitivity analysis of 
litigation costs at the lower percentile, the average percentile, and 
the upper percentile. The sensitivity analysis shows that litigation 
may vary by as much as $8.38 million (upper percentile minus lower 
percentile). GIPSA believes the average litigation costs is the best 
available estimate of litigation costs and uses it as the lower 
boundary for the estimated litigation costs of Sec.  201.3(a). The 
lower boundary cost estimates appear in the table below.

                 Table 14--Lower Boundary Projected Sec.   201.3(a) Costs--Preferred Alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                 P&S Act section                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
202(a)..........................................            2.39            0.48            4.25            7.12
202(b)..........................................            0.24            0.04            1.49            1.77
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA estimates that Sec.  201.3(a) will result in an additional 
$8.89 million in additional litigation in the livestock and poultry 
industries with $2.63 million in litigation in the cattle industry, 
$0.52 million in the hog industry, and $5.74 million in the poultry 
industry in the first full year Sec.  201.3(a) would be in place.
B. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower Boundary--Ten-Year Total Costs of 
the Preferred Alternative
    To arrive at the estimated ten-year costs of Sec.  201.3(a), GIPSA 
expects the litigation costs to be constant for the first five years 
while courts are setting precedents for the interpretation of Sec.  
201.3(a). GIPSA expects that case law with respect to the regulation 
will be settled after five years and by then, industry participants 
will know how GIPSA will enforce the regulation and how courts will 
interpret the regulation.

[[Page 92581]]

The effect of courts establishing precedents is that litigation costs 
will decline after five years as the livestock and poultry industries 
understand how the courts interpret the regulation.
    To arrive at the estimated ten-year costs of Sec.  201.3(a), GIPSA 
estimates that litigation costs for the first five years will occur at 
the same rate and at the same cost as in 2017. In the second five 
years, GIPSA estimates that litigation costs will decrease each year 
and return to the baseline in the sixth year after the courts have 
established precedents. GIPSA estimates this decrease in litigation 
costs to the baseline to be linear with the same decrease in costs each 
year. The total ten-year costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the lower boundary 
appears in the table below.

                       Table 15--Lower Boundary of Ten-Year Total Costs of Sec.   201.3(a)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                      Year                           millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017............................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
2018............................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
2019............................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
2020............................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
2021............................................            2.63            0.52            5.74            8.89
2022............................................            2.19            0.43            4.79            7.41
2023............................................            1.75            0.35            3.83            5.93
2024............................................            1.31            0.26            2.87            4.44
2025............................................            0.88            0.17            1.91            2.96
2026............................................            0.44            0.09            0.96            1.48
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Totals......................................           19.70            3.90           43.07           66.67
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Based on the analysis, GIPSA expects the lower boundary of the ten-
year total costs of Sec.  201.3(a) to be $66.67 million.
C. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower Boundary--Net Present Value of Ten-
Year Total Costs of the Preferred Alternative
    The lower boundary ten-year total costs of Sec.  201.3(a) in the 
table above show that the costs are constant in the first five years 
and then gradually decrease over the next five years. Costs to be 
incurred in the future are less expensive than the same costs to be 
incurred today. This is because the money that will be used to pay the 
costs in the future can be invested today and earn interest until the 
time period in which the cost is incurred. After the cost has been 
incurred, the interest earned will still be available.
    To account for the time value of money, the costs of the regulation 
to be incurred in the future is discounted back to today's dollars 
using a discount rate. The sum of all costs discounted back to the 
present is called the net present value (NPV) of total costs. GIPSA 
relied on both a three percent and seven percent discount rate as 
discussed in Circular A-4.\67\ GIPSA measured all costs using constant 
2016 dollars.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \67\ https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/regulatory_matters_pdf/a-4.pdf. Accessed on September 19, 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA calculated the NPV of the ten-year total costs of the 
regulation using both a three percent and seven percent discount rate 
and the NPVs appear in the following table.

     Table 16--NPV of Lower Boundary of Ten-Year Total Cost of Sec.
                     201.3(a)--Preferred Alternative
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Preferred
                      Discount rate                       alternative ($
                                                             millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................................           58.62
7 Percent...............................................           50.03
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the NPV of the lower boundary of the ten-year total 
costs of Sec.  201.3(a) to be $58.62 million at a three percent 
discount rate and $50.03 million at a seven percent discount rate.
D. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower Boundary--Annualized NPV of Ten-Year 
Total Costs of the Preferred Alternative
    GIPSA then annualized the NPV of the ten-year total costs (referred 
to as annualized costs) of Sec.  201.3(a) at the lower boundary using 
both a three percent and seven percent discount rate as required by 
Circular A-4 and the results appear in the following table.\68\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \68\ Ibid.

     Table 17--Annualized Costs of Sec.   201.3(a)--Preferred Option
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Preferred
                      Discount rate                       alternative ($
                                                             millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................................            6.87
7 Percent...............................................            7.12
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the lower 
boundary to be $6.87 million at a three percent discount rate and $7.12 
million at a seven percent discount rate.
E. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper Boundary of Cost Spectrum--Preferred 
Alternative
    As discussed above, the upper boundary of the cost spectrum occurs 
if the cattle, hog, and poultry industries adjust their use of AMAs and 
incentive pay systems and make systematic changes in their marketing 
and production contracts to reduce the threat of litigation. For the 
upper boundary cost estimate, GIPSA relied on the Informa Study and 
Elam Study. The Informa Study was prepared for the NMA and the Elam 
Study was prepared for the NCC. Both of these groups were opposed to 
the rule proposed on June 22, 2010 and GIPSA considers their studies to 
be upper boundary scenarios for meat and livestock industries and 
poultry industry costs.
    GIPSA reviewed the Informa Study and the Elam Study and compared 
the provisions in the multiple proposed regulations in the June 22, 
2010 rule against Sec.  201.3(a). The Informa Study estimated both 
direct and indirect costs of the 2010 proposed rule. The Informa Study 
direct costs are estimates of actual costs of complying with all of the 
regulations proposed in 2010, such as new computer software and 
additional staff. The Informa Study estimated both direct one-time 
costs and on-going direct costs that would be incurred by the livestock 
industry each year. The Informa Study also estimated indirect costs to 
capture livestock and poultry industry adjustments to the 2010

[[Page 92582]]

regulations. The Informa Study also included litigation costs.
    The sources of indirect costs that the Informa Study estimated for 
the cattle industry are a reduction in production efficiencies due to a 
reduction in the use of AMAs and the corresponding reduction in 
premiums paid in branded beef programs and a reduction in beef quality. 
The RTI Study also found that hypothetical reductions in AMAs would 
reduce beef and cattle supplies, reduce the quality of beef, and 
increase retail and wholesale beef prices.\69\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \69\ RTI International, 2007, GIPSA Livestock and Meat Marketing 
Study. Prepared for Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyard 
Administration.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For the hog industry, the Informa Study estimated the indirect 
costs as the reduction in operational efficiency from operating 
slaughter plants at less than full optimal utilization as well as 
revenue losses due to reductions in quality from reductions in premiums 
paid for higher quality hogs procured under AMAs.
    For the poultry industry, the Informa Study estimated indirect 
costs resulting from a slowdown in the adoption of new technology that 
increases efficiency as integrators are unwilling to provide monetary 
incentives for growers to invest in new technology due to the threat of 
litigation for unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive payment 
practices.
    The Informa Study recognized that the economic costs of the 2010 
rule would take time to materialize. The Informa Study estimated that 
only the direct, one-time costs would occur shortly after 
implementation of the regulations in the 2010 rule and the more 
significant impacts, such as declining efficiency and quality 
degradation, would happen more slowly and might not reach the full 
impact until three or four years after the rule became effective.\70\ 
The Informa Study further recognized that companies would find ways to 
adapt to the provisions of the regulation in the rule and the impact of 
the rule would be lessened over time.\71\ The following table 
summarizes the full-impact of the Informa Study cost estimates on the 
impact of the June 22, 2010 proposed rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \70\ Informa Economics, Inc. ``An Estimate of the Economic 
Impact of GIPSA's Proposed Rules,'' prepared for the National Meat 
Association, 2010, Page 66.
    \71\ Ibid, Page 67.
    \72\ Ibid, Tables 7, 8, and 9.

                        Table 18--Total Informa Study Costs for the Full-Impact Year \72\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hogs ($       Poultry ($       Total ($
                                                     millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
One-Time Direct Costs...........................            38.7            68.7            26.0           133.4
Ongoing Direct Costs............................            61.5            73.8            33.4           168.7
Cost Increase Due to Efficiency Loss............           401.9           176.7           302.2           880.8
Revenue Lost Due to Quality/Demand Impact.......           377.7            82.2             0.0           459.9
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Total Informa Costs.........................           879.8           401.4           361.6         1,642.8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the full impact level, the Informa Study estimated the highest 
cost to be borne by the cattle industry at almost $880 million, 
followed by the hog and poultry industries. The Informa Study estimated 
that the total costs of the regulations proposed in 2010 could be as 
high as $1.64 billion and that this cost would not be fully borne until 
three or four years after implementation of the regulations.
    The Elam Study estimated a similar impact on the poultry industry 
as the Informa Study. The Elam Study estimated that the costs of the 
2010 proposed rule would increase over time and would cost the chicken 
industry $200.64 million in the third year after implementation, 
$266.94 in the fourth year, and $336.67 million in the fifth year, with 
a total cost of $1.03 billion over the first five years.\73\ The Elam 
Study estimated $6 million as one-time administrative costs from re-
drafting poultry grower contracts, additional record keeping, and 
submission of contracts to GIPSA.\74\ The remainder of the costs 
estimated in the Elam Study were indirect costs resulting from 
efficiency losses and costs of testing and evaluating feed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \73\ Elam, Dr. Thomas E. ``Proposed GIPSA Rules Relating to the 
Chicken Industry: Economic Impact.'' FarmEcon LLC, 2010, Table on 
Page 25.
    \74\ Ibid. Page 21.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the livestock and poultry industries to adapt to 
Sec.  201.3(a) after a period of five years when the courts have 
presumably settled the case law and the livestock and poultry 
industries know how courts will interpret the regulation. This will 
cause the costs of Sec.  201.3(a) to decline after a period of five 
years. GIPSA expects the livestock and poultry industries to adjust 
their business practices in a way to maximize profits and lessen the 
impact of the regulation over time.
    GIPSA also compared the estimated impact on the poultry industry in 
the first five years as estimated in the Informa Study and the Elam 
Study. In the first four years, the poultry costs estimated in the 
Informa Study are higher than those estimated in the Elam Study. The 
Elam study has higher cost estimates in year five. Because the Informa 
Study cost estimates are higher than the Elam Study cost estimates and 
the Informa Study cost estimates decline in the later years as GIPSA 
expects, GIPSA relies on the Informa Study cost estimates to estimate 
the upper boundary of the costs of Sec.  201.3(a).
1. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper Boundary-Informa Study Estimates--
Adjustment 1
    In order to arrive at the upper boundary estimate of the costs of 
Sec.  201.3(a), GIPSA made several downward adjustments to the Informa 
Study estimates presented in Table 18 above. The first adjustment is to 
reduce the Informa Study cost estimates by 25 percent. The Informa 
Study implicitly asserted that 75 percent of the total costs of the 
2010 rule were caused by relieving the plaintiff of the burden of 
proving competitive injury.\75\ Thus, the Informa Study implicitly 
asserted that provisions in regulations in the 2010 proposed rule other 
than Sec.  201.3(a) are responsible for 25 percent of the total costs. 
Because GIPSA is only concerned with costs attributable to Sec.  
201.3(a), GIPSA is reducing the Informa Study cost estimates by 25 
percent.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \75\ Informa Economics, Inc. ``An Estimate of the Economic 
Impact of GIPSA's Proposed Rules,'' prepared for the National Meat 
Association, 2010, Page 71.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

[[Page 92583]]

2. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper Boundary-Informa Study Estimates--
Adjustment 2
    The second downward adjustment that GIPSA made is to scale the 
Informa Study's estimates according to the timing of the economic 
impact the Informa Study estimated. The Informa Study expected the 
costs to increase in the first three years, peak in years three or 
four, and then decline through year ten. In order to simulate the costs 
that the Informa Study assigned to each year, GIPSA adjusted the costs 
in the full impact year in Table 18 above by the percentages listed in 
Table 19.\\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \76\ The Informa Study estimates are for years one through ten 
beginning with the first year of the implementation of the rule and 
are not specific to any one year. GIPSA uses 2017 as year one and 
2026 as year ten. The Informa Study stated that in particular, the 
decline in beef and pork quality and subsequent damage to consumer 
demand will take time to materialize, while the efficiency losses in 
poultry would likely happen sooner, but will still be delayed. This 
is presumably because the breeding cycle for hogs and especially for 
cattle is longer than that for poultry.

           Table 19--Impact Level of Informa Study Costs \76\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
               Year                 Cattle (%)    Hog (%)    Poultry (%)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017.............................           40           29           49
2018.............................           69           59           79
2019.............................          100           79          100
2020.............................          100          100          100
2021.............................          100           96           81
2022.............................           91           75           60
2023.............................           75           54           30
2024.............................           51           53            9
2025.............................           38           29            9
2026.............................           38           29            9
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA then weighted the Informa Study's full-impact cost estimate 
for each year and each industry by the impact level from the table 
above.
3. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper Boundary-Informa Study Estimates--
Adjustment 3
    The final downward adjustment GIPSA made is based on two factors. 
The first factor is that GIPSA expects the language in Sec.  201.3(a) 
to result in limited industry adjustments and a continued role for the 
courts to interpret when a showing of harm or likelihood of harm to 
competition is necessary in order to prove a violation of section 
202(a) or (b) of the P&S Act. The second factor is the fact that the 
courts have historically not required a showing of harm or likelihood 
of harm to competition in all livestock and poultry cases and GIPSA 
expects that trend to continue. GIPSA discusses the factors in turn and 
then estimates the third and final adjustment to the Informa Study 
estimates.
    The first factor is that Sec.  201.3(a) states that a finding that 
the challenged conduct or action adversely affects or is likely to 
adversely affect competition is not necessary in all cases. However, 
Sec.  201.3(a) does not provide any guidance regarding the types of 
conduct or action where a finding of harm or likelihood of harm would 
or would not be necessary to prove a violation of section 202(a) or (b) 
of the P&S Act.\77\ It is possible that without the guidance in the 
proposed regulations, courts will continue to exercise judicial 
discretion in determining when a finding of harm or likelihood of harm 
to competition is necessary in order to prove a violation of sections 
202(a) and/or (b). However, this rule will provide the longstanding 
position of the Department of Agriculture for the courts to consider. 
Because some of the U.S. Courts of Appeals in areas of heavy 
agricultural production have ruled that GIPSA must demonstrate 
competitive injury or the likelihood of competitive injury in order to 
prove that certain conduct or action violates section 202(a) and (b), 
GIPSA anticipates that the federal district courts in those circuits 
will continue to apply this binding case law.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \77\ Proposed regulations 201.210 and 201.211 provide conduct 
and criteria for 202(a) and 202(b) violations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA acknowledges that final Sec.  201.3(a) may motivate some 
private plaintiffs to file new lawsuits under sections 202(a) and/or 
202(b) to test its parameters in an attempt to move courts to find in 
selected cases that harm or likely harm to competition need not be 
proven. If a U.S. Court of Appeals upholds a district court ruling that 
competitive harm or likelihood of competitive harm must be demonstrated 
in order to prove a violation of section 202(a) or (b), that result 
would not involve any change from the status quo of section 202(a) and 
202(b) litigation. Packers, swine contractors, and live poultry dealers 
would have no reason to adjust their contracts or business practices 
with the result of few additional indirect costs being borne by the 
livestock and poultry industries. Similarly, plaintiffs would then need 
to consider the high costs (in terms of discovery of large amounts of 
data and the hiring of economic and statistical experts) to proceed to 
trial and may opt not to proceed with additional litigation.\78\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \78\ In the Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc. litigation, the 
plaintiffs' economic expert billed for more than 3,000 hours spent 
on economic analysis of data, building a monopsony case in 
accordance with the Tenth Circuit's 2007 opinion, writing reports, 
consulting with attorneys, and testifying at depositions and during 
the jury trial. The defendant's two economic experts presumably 
billed for a similarly significant amount of time.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the effects of Sec.  201.3(a) on livestock and 
poultry industry participants to be mixed. A small number of livestock 
producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry growers may 
seek judicial enforcement of their rights under the P&S Act without 
showing harm or likely harm to competition. However, due to the 
uncertain outcome of litigation under sections 202(a) and/or 202 (b), 
GIPSA expects packers, swine contractors, and live poultry dealers will 
likely take a ``wait and see'' approach prior to making any significant 
changes in their business models, marketing arrangements, or other 
practices. Concerned with net profit and reports to stockholders or 
owners, such firms will rationally forego any large changes in their 
operations until it is clear that such changes are legally required. If 
such changes are not required, due to status quo rulings by courts 
requiring proof of competitive

[[Page 92584]]

injury or the likelihood of competitive injury, as GIPSA anticipates, 
then GIPSA expects that few changes will be made as a result of Sec.  
201.3(a).
    GIPSA expects the status quo enforcement outcome of Sec.  201.3(a) 
discussed above to be most likely in the cattle and hog industries. 
GIPSA has enforced the P&S Act and regulations against packers without 
proving harm or likelihood of harm to competition for decades, and the 
courts have upheld successful enforcement actions. It is primarily in 
the poultry industry that, the courts have declined to enforce, 
sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act and regulations without a 
finding of harm or likelihood of harm to competition.
    Therefore, due to the likelihood of status quo rulings, GIPSA 
estimates that the upper boundary cost estimate of the overall impact 
of Sec.  201.3(a) on the cattle and hog industries will be considerably 
less than the Informa Study estimates after applying the first two 
adjustments.
    The second factor is the recent outcome of cases decided under the 
P&S Act since 2000 and whether courts have required demonstration of 
harm or likely harm to competition. GIPSA examined the actual number of 
cases decided under the P&S Act from 2000 to 2014. This is the same 
listing of cases as in the estimation of litigation costs presented 
earlier, except that GIPSA only considered cases decided after 2000 to 
reflect the most current decisions reached by the courts. The listing 
of court decisions and the court in which the decision was reached came 
from the National Agricultural Law Center at the University of 
Arkansas.\79\ GIPSA then reviewed each case since 2000 and classified 
it as either a competition, financial, or trade practice case. GIPSA 
then examined each case to determine which cases involved alleged 
violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b) and which of those cases the 
court required demonstration of harm or likelihood of harm to 
competition.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \79\ http://nationalaglawcenter.org/aglaw-reporter/case-law-index/packers-and-stockyards.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA found 22 cases which involved alleged violations of sections 
202(a) and 202(b) and addressed the issue of demonstrating harm or 
likelihood of harm to competition. Of those 22 cases, GIPSA found that 
the courts required demonstration of harm or likelihood of harm to 
competition in eight cases and did not require demonstration of a harm 
or likelihood of harm to competition in 14 cases. However, these 14 
cases where demonstration of harm or likelihood of harm to competition 
was not required were not evenly distributed among the cattle, hog, and 
poultry industries. Courts have only required a demonstration of harm 
or likelihood of harm to competition in 20 percent of the cases 
alleging violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b) in the cattle and hog 
industries since 2000. GIPSA found that the courts have required a 
demonstration of harm or likelihood of harm to competition in 50 
percent of the cases alleging violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b) 
in the poultry industry since 2000. The fact that demonstration of harm 
or likelihood of harm to competition was not required in every case is 
consistent with Sec.  201.3(a), which states that demonstration of harm 
or likelihood of harm to competition is not required in all cases. As 
these cases have all involved livestock packers, swine contractors, and 
live poultry dealers and are a matter of public record, GIPSA believes 
that packers, swine contractors, and live poultry dealers are already 
aware that courts have not required demonstration of a harm or 
likelihood of harm to competition in all cases. This is another reason 
why GIPSA expects packers, swine contractors, and live poultry dealers 
to likely take a ``wait and see'' approach.
    Therefore, due to the likelihood of status quo rulings by courts 
and the rationality of livestock packers, swine contractors, and live 
poultry dealers to tend toward a ``wait and see'' approach, GIPSA 
estimates the upper boundary estimate to be between 20 percent of the 
Informa Study cattle and hog industry estimates, 50 percent of the 
Informa Study poultry industry estimate and zero percent of the Informa 
Study estimates after applying the first two adjustments. Zero percent 
would mean that there are no industry adjustments from Sec.  201.3(a).
    Given the uncertainty in how the industry will respond to Sec.  
201.3(a), GIPSA selected one half of 20 percent of the Informa Study 
estimates for cattle and hogs, one half of 50 percent of the poultry 
industry estimate from the Informa Study estimates as its point 
estimate. Thus, GIPSA applied ten percent of the cattle and hog Informa 
Study estimates and 25 percent of the poultry Informa Study estimates 
as its point estimate after applying the first two adjustments. The 
following table shows the estimated upper boundary costs for Sec.  
201.3(a) on an annual and ten-year cost basis based on the adjusted 
Informa Study cost estimates.

                 Table 20--Upper Boundary Annual Costs of Sec.   201.3(a)--Preferred Alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hog ($        Poultry ($       Total ($
                      Year                           millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017............................................           28.14           12.49           35.87           76.49
2018............................................           43.67           14.68           49.78          108.13
2019............................................           63.08           19.82           62.93          145.82
2020............................................           63.08           24.95           62.93          150.96
2021............................................           63.08           23.85           50.72          137.65
2022............................................           57.26           18.71           37.57          113.54
2023............................................           47.55           13.58           18.78           79.92
2024............................................           32.03           13.21            5.64           50.87
2025............................................           24.26            7.34            5.64           37.24
2026............................................           24.26            7.34            5.64           37.24
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Totals......................................          446.42          155.97          335.47          937.86
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the upper boundary in the first full year after implementation, 
GIPSA estimates that Sec.  201.3(a) will result in an additional $76.49 
million in direct and indirect costs in the livestock and poultry 
industries, with $28.14 million in the cattle industry, $12.49 million 
in the hog industry, and $35.87 million in the poultry industry. GIPSA 
expects the

[[Page 92585]]

upper boundary of the ten-year total cost of Sec.  201.3(a) to be 
$937.86 million.
F. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper Boundary--NPV of Ten-Year Total 
Costs of the Preferred Alternative
    GIPSA calculated the NPV of the ten-year total costs of the 
regulation using both a three percent and seven percent discount rate 
and the NPVs appear in the following table.

     Table 21--NPV of Upper Boundary of Ten-Year Total Cost of Sec.
                     201.3(a)--Preferred Alternative
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Preferred
                      Discount rate                          option ($
                                                             millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................................          818.97
7 Percent...............................................          692.49
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the NPV of the upper boundary of the ten-year total 
costs of Sec.  201.3(a) to be $818.97 million at a three percent 
discount rate and $692.49 million at a seven percent discount rate.
G. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper Boundary--Annualized Costs of the 
Preferred Alternative
    GIPSA then annualized the costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the upper 
boundary using both a three percent and seven percent discount rate and 
the results appear in the following table.

     Table 22--Annualized Costs of Sec.   201.3(a)--Preferred Option
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             Preferred
                      Discount rate                          option ($
                                                             millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................................           96.01
7 Percent...............................................           98.60
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the upper 
boundary to be $96.01 million at a three percent discount rate and 
$98.60 million at a seven percent discount rate.
H. Sensitivity Analysis of the Upper Boundary
    In the section above, GIPSA explained that it chose 10 percent of 
the cattle and hog estimates from the Informa Study and 25 percent of 
the poultry estimate from the Informa Study as its point estimate for 
the upper boundary costs. Because of the uncertainty over the eventual 
impacts of this rule on industry behavior, GIPSA evaluates the 
sensitivity of its upper bound estimate to an alternative set of 
assumptions. GIPSA presents three alternative sets of assumptions for 
calculating the upper bound estimate.
    For the first scenario, GIPSA applies the full adjustment to the 
Informa Study cost estimates, specifically, 20 percent for cattle and 
hogs and 50 percent for poultry. In that case, GIPSA's estimate of the 
upper bound would be twice as high as presented in the previous 
section. For the second scenario, Sec.  201.3(a) is assumed to impact 
industry behavior for the poultry industry only, (that is, zero percent 
of the Informa Study estimate for cattle and hogs, and 25 percent of 
the estimate for poultry). In that scenario, the upper bound estimate 
would be the same as presented in Table 20, above, for poultry, and 
would be the lower boundary estimate for cattle and hogs as shown in 
Table 15. For a third scenario, all the Informa Study estimates are 
adjusted to zero assuming that there are no indirect costs of 
adjustment to the rule. In that case, the lower boundary estimate, only 
reflecting litigation costs, as shown in Tables 15 through 17 would be 
the result.
    GIPSA calculated the NPV of the ten-year total costs of the 
regulation using both a three percent and seven percent discount rate 
for each of the three scenarios described above and the NPVs appear in 
the following table.

  Table 23--Sensitivity Analysis of the Upper Boundary Estimate of the Ten-Year Total Cost of Sec.   201.3(a)--
                                     Preferred Alternative--Expressed in NPV
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                  Point estimate   Scenario 1 ($  Scenario 2  ($  Scenario 3  ($
                  Discount rate                    ($ millions)      millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................          818.97        1,637.94          319.43           58.62
7 Percent.......................................          692.49        1,384.98          276.18           50.03
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenario 1: Adjustment to Informa of 20% for cattle and hogs, 50% for poultry.
Scenario 2: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, 25% for poultry.
Scenario 3: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, and poultry.

    GIPSA then annualized the estimated costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the 
upper boundary for the three sensitivity scenarios using both a three 
percent and seven percent discount rate and the results appear in the 
following table.

  Table 24--Sensitivity Analysis of the Upper Boundary Estimate of the Ten-Year Total Cost of Sec.   201.3(a)--
                                        Preferred Alternative--Annualized
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                  Point estimate   Scenario 1 ($   Scenario 2 ($   Scenario 3 ($
                  Discount rate                    ($ millions)      millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................           96.01          192.02           37.45            6.87
7 Percent.......................................           98.60          197.19           39.32            7.12
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scenario 1: Adjustment to Informa of 20% for cattle and hogs, 50% for poultry.
Scenario 2: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, 25% for poultry.
Scenario 3: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, and poultry.


I. Regulatory Alternative 2: Range of Annualized Costs of the Preferred 
Alternative

    The following table shows the full range of the annualized costs of 
Sec.  201.3(a) at both a three percent and seven percent discount rate.

[[Page 92586]]



          Table 25--Range of Annualized Costs--Preferred Option
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                               Lower           Upper
              Discount rate                 boundary ($     boundary ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................            6.87           96.01
7 Percent...............................            7.12           98.60
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA estimates the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) will range 
from $6.87 million to $96.01 million at a three percent discount rate 
and from $7.12 million to $98.60 million at a seven percent discount 
rate.

J. Regulatory Alternative 2: Point Estimate of Annualized Costs of the 
Preferred Alternative

    The range of potential costs is broad. The reason there is a broad 
range of potential costs is because Sec.  201.3(a) has applicability to 
the livestock and poultry industries and it is difficult to predict how 
the industries will respond. If the industries do not change any of 
their current business practices, GIPSA expects additional litigation 
to be the only costs and the costs of the regulation will be closer to 
the lower boundary. If, however, the industries respond by reducing the 
use of AMAs and restricting their use of incentive pay, GIPSA expects 
the costs of the regulation to be closer to the upper boundary. Based 
on the uncertainty over how the industries will respond, GIPSA believes 
that the mid-point in the range of estimated annualized costs is the 
best available point estimate of the costs of Sec.  201.3(a). The point 
estimate along with the lower and upper boundary estimates appear in 
the table below.

                       Table 26--Point Estimate of Annualized Costs--Preferred Alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       Lower                           Upper
                          Discount rate                             boundary ($   Point estimate    boundary ($
                                                                     millions)     ($ millions)      millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................................            6.87           51.44           96.01
7 Percent.......................................................            7.12           52.86           98.60
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the point 
estimate to be $51.44 million at a three percent discount rate and 
$52.86 million at a seven percent discount rate. Based on the 
discussion of GIPSA's expectation that the cattle, hog, and poultry 
industries will likely take a ``wait and see'' approach to how the 
courts will interpret Sec.  201.3(a) and for courts to take a status 
quo approach, GIPSA believes the point estimates of the preferred 
alternative to be the best available estimates of the costs of Sec.  
201.3(a).

K. Regulatory Alternative 2: Sensitivity Analysis of Point Estimates of 
Annualized Costs

    In its estimate of litigation costs presented above, GIPSA 
recognized the uncertainty in estimating litigation costs and conducted 
a sensitivity analysis. GIPSA estimated that the lower boundary of the 
first-year costs of Sec.  201.3(a) were $4.84 million at the lower 
percentile, $8.89 million at the average percentile, and $13.22 million 
at the upper percentile.\80\ GIPSA relied on the average estimate of 
litigation costs as the lower boundary of the litigation costs of Sec.  
201.3(a).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \80\ See Tables 11-13 above.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    To consider the effects of the uncertainty in its estimation of 
litigation costs, GIPSA annualized its litigation costs estimates at 
the lower percentile, the average percentile, and the upper percentile 
and the results appear in the following table.

                 Table 27--Annualized Range of Estimated Litigation Costs--Preferred Alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       Lower                           Upper
                          Discount rate                            percentile ($    Average ($    percentile  ($
                                                                     millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................................            3.74            6.87           10.22
7 Percent.......................................................            4.54            7.12           12.41
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA then applied this uncertainty to its point estimates of the 
annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) by subtracting the difference of the 
lower percentile of estimated litigation costs and the point estimate 
at both the three and seven percent discount rates and added the 
difference of the upper percentile of estimated litigation costs and 
the point estimate at both the three and seven percent discount rates. 
The results of the sensitivity analysis appear in the following table.

[[Page 92587]]



             Table 28--Annualized Range of Point Estimates of Sec.   201.3(a)--Preferred Alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                       Lower                           Upper
                          Discount rate                            percentile ($  Point estimate  percentile  ($
                                                                     millions)     ($ millions)      millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................................           49.87           51.44           53.11
7 Percent.......................................................           51.57           52.86           55.50
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA estimates that the point estimates of the annualized costs of 
Sec.  201.3(a) will range from $49.87 million at the lower percentile 
to $53.11 million at the upper percentile using a three percent 
discount rate. At the seven percent discount rate, GIPSA estimates that 
the point estimate of the annualized costs will range from $51.57 
million at the lower percentile to $55.50 million at the upper 
percentile. Given the size of the range between the upper and lower 
boundary of the estimated annualized costs, GIPSA's point estimate is 
not overly sensitive to the uncertainty in the estimated litigation 
costs. Thus, GIPSA believes the point estimates of the preferred 
alternative to be the best available estimate of the costs of Sec.  
201.3(a).

L. Regulatory Alternative 2: Benefits of the Preferred Alternative

    GIPSA was unable to quantify the benefits of Sec.  201.3(a). 
However, there are qualitative benefits of Sec.  201.3(a) that merit 
discussion. The primary qualitative benefit of Sec.  201.3(a) is 
ability of livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and 
poultry growers to have more protections and be treated more fairly, 
which may lead to more equitable contracts. A simple example is the 
inaccurate weighing of slaughter-ready poultry grown by a poultry 
grower for a live poultry dealer. The poultry grower is harmed if the 
true weight is above the inaccurate weight because the poultry grower's 
payment is typically tied to the poultry grower's efficiency in growing 
poultry, which in this case is artificially low due to the inaccurate 
weight of the live birds. The impact of this harm to the poultry grower 
is very small when compared to the entire industry and there is no 
discernable or provable harm to competition from this one instance. 
However because there is no discernible or provable harm or likely harm 
to competition, courts have been reluctant to find a violation of 
section 202(a) of the P&S Act in such a situation, despite the harm 
suffered by the individual poultry grower.
    However, if similar, though unrelated, harm is experienced by a 
large number of poultry growers, the cumulative effect does result in a 
discernible and provable harm to competition. The individual harm is 
inconsequential to the poultry industry, but the sum total of all 
individual harm has the potential to be quite significant when compared 
to the poultry industry and therefore, courts have found harm or likely 
harm to competition in such a situation. Under proposed Sec.  
201.210(b)(8), failing to ensure accurate weights of live poultry, 
absent a legitimate business justification, will constitute an unfair, 
unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive practice or device and a 
violation of section 202(a) of the P&S Act. Whether or not the conduct 
harms or is likely to harm competition becomes irrelevant.
    GIPSA expects Sec.  201.3(a) to increase enforcement actions 
against live poultry dealers for violations of sections 202(a) and/or 
202(b) when the conduct or action does not harm or is not likely to 
harm competition. Several appellate courts have disagreed with USDA's 
interpretation of the P&S Act that harm or likely harm to competition 
is not necessary in all cases to prove a violation of sections 202(a) 
and/or 202(b). In some cases in which the United States was not a 
party, these courts have concluded that plaintiffs could not prove 
their claims under sections 202(a) and/or (b) without proving harm to 
competition or likely harm to competition. One reason the courts gave 
for declining to defer to USDA's interpretation of the statute is that 
USDA had not previously enshrined its interpretation in a regulation. 
Interim final Sec.  201.3(a) corrects the issue and courts may now give 
deference to USDA's interpretation.
    GIPSA expects the result will be additional enforcement actions 
that will be successfully litigated and serve as a deterrent to 
violating sections 202(a) and/or 202(b). Benefits to the industries and 
the markets from additional enforcement will also arise from 
establishing parity of negotiating power between livestock producers, 
swine production contract growers, and poultry growers and packers, 
swine contractors, and live poultry dealers by reducing the ability to 
use market power with the resulting dead weight losses.\81\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \81\ Nigel Key and Jim M. MacDonald discuss evidence for the 
effect of concentration on grower compensation in ``Local Monopsony 
Power in the Market for Broilers? Evidence from a Farm Survey'' 
selected paper American Agri. Economics Assn. meeting Orlando, FL, 
July 27-29, 2008.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 201.3(a) also provides additional protections for livestock 
producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry growers 
against unfair, unjustly discriminatory, and deceptive practices or 
devices and undue or unreasonable preferences, advantages, prejudices, 
or disadvantages since demonstration of harm to competition is required 
in all cases. GIPSA believes the standard articulated in Sec.  201.3(a) 
is consistent with its mission ``[T]o protect fair trade practices, 
financial integrity, and competitive markets for livestock, meats, and 
poultry.'' \82\ By making it clear that demonstration of harm or likely 
harm to competition is not necessary in all cases, this interim final 
rule promotes fairness and equity for livestock producers, swine 
production contract growers, and poultry growers.\83\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \82\ https://www.gipsa.usda.gov/laws/law/PS_act.pdf. Accessed on 
September 19, 2016.
    \83\ See additional discussion in Steven Y. Wu and James 
MacDonald (2015) ``Economics of Agricultural Contract Grower 
Protection Legislation,'' Choices 30(3): 1-6.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

M. Regulatory Alternative 2: Cost-Benefit Summary of the Preferred 
Alternative
    GIPSA estimates the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) to range 
from $6.87 million to $96.01 million at the three percent discount rate 
and from $7.12 million to $98.60 million at the seven percent discount 
rate. The range of potential costs is broad. GIPSA relied on its 
expertise to arrive at a point estimate range of expected annualized 
costs. GIPSA expects that the cattle, hog, and poultry industries will 
primarily take a ``wait and see'' approach to how courts will interpret 
Sec.  201.3(a) and courts to take a status quo approach and only 
slightly adjust their use of AMAs and performance-based payment 
systems. GIPSA estimates that the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) 
will be $51.44 million at a three percent discount rate and $52.86 
million at a seven percent discount rate based on an anticipated ``wait 
and see'' approach and industry adjustments.

[[Page 92588]]

    The primary benefit of Sec.  201.3(a) is the increased ability for 
the enforcement of the P&S Act for violations of sections 202(a) and/or 
202(b), which do not result in harm or likely harm to competition. 
This, in turn, will reduce instances of unfair, unjustly 
discriminatory, or deceptive practices or devices and undue or 
unreasonable preferences, advantages, prejudices, or disadvantages and 
increased efficiencies in the marketplace. The benefit of additional 
enforcement of the P&S Act will accrue to all segments of the value 
chain in the production of livestock and poultry, and ultimately to 
consumers.
N. Regulatory Alternative 3: Small Business Exemption
    The third regulatory alternative that GIPSA considered is issuing 
Sec.  201.3(a) as an interim final regulation, but exempting small 
businesses, as defined by the Small Business Administration, from 
having to comply with it.\84\ To estimate the expected costs of 
exempting small business, GIPSA relied on the percentage of small 
businesses in the cattle, hog, and poultry industries that are 
developed and presented in the Regulatory Flexibility Analysis section 
below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \84\ See: http://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/public/documents/sba_homepage/serv_sstd_tablepdf.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    To arrive at the estimated costs of Sec.  201.3(a) based on 
exempting small businesses, GIPSA weighted the point estimates, lower 
boundary, and upper boundary of cost estimates by the percentage of 
cattle and hogs processed by packers that are large businesses and the 
percentage of contracts held by swine contractors and live poultry 
dealers that are large businesses. GIPSA estimates that small 
businesses account for 19.3 percent of the cattle slaughtered. For the 
hog industry, GIPSA estimates that small businesses slaughter 17.8 
percent of hogs and that 65 percent of swine contractors are small 
businesses. GIPSA estimates that 10.27 percent of live poultry dealers 
are classified as small businesses.
O. Regulatory Alternative 3: Lower Boundary of Cost Spectrum--
Litigation Costs of the Small Business Exemption
    As discussed above, GIPSA considers the lower boundary of costs 
from Sec.  201.3(a) to be increased litigation with no adjustments by 
the cattle, hog, and poultry industries to reduce their use of AMAs or 
incentive pay systems and there are no changes to existing marketing or 
production contracts. GIPSA used the average of the litigation cost 
estimates as the lower boundary for the estimated costs of Sec.  
201.3(a). GIPSA then weighted the lower boundary cost estimate under 
the preferred alternative by the percentage of large businesses in the 
cattle, hog, and poultry industries. The estimates appear in the table 
below. The preferred alternative is also shown for convenience.

  Table 29--Lower Boundary Annual Total Costs--Small Business Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
                  Year                    alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017....................................            8.89            7.49
2018....................................            8.89            7.49
2019....................................            8.89            7.49
2020....................................            8.89            7.49
2021....................................            8.89            7.49
2022....................................            7.41            6.24
2023....................................            5.93            4.99
2024....................................            4.44            3.74
2025....................................            2.96            2.50
2026....................................            1.48            1.25
                                         -------------------------------
  Totals................................           66.67           56.16
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the lower boundary with a small business exemption, GIPSA 
estimates that Sec.  201.3(a) will result in an additional $7.49 
million in litigation costs in the cattle, hog, and poultry industries 
in the first full year following implementation. GIPSA expects the 
lower boundary of the ten-year total costs of Sec.  201.3(a) with a 
small business exemption to be $56.16 million.
P. Regulatory Alternative 3: Lower Boundary--NPV of Total Costs of the 
Small Business Exemption
    GIPSA calculated the lower boundary of the NPV of the ten-year 
total costs of the regulation under the small business exemption using 
both a three percent and seven percent discount and the NPVs appear in 
the following table. The preferred alternative is also shown for 
convenience.

   Table 30--Lower Boundary NPV of Ten-Year Total Cost--Small Business
                                Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
              Discount rate               alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................           58.62           49.38
7 Percent...............................           50.03           42.14
------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 92589]]

    GIPSA expects the NPV of the lower boundary of the ten-year total 
costs of Sec.  201.3(a) under a small business exemption to be $49.38 
million at a three percent discount rate and $42.14 million at a seven 
percent discount rate.
Q. Regulatory Alternative 3: Lower Boundary--Annualized Costs of the 
Small Business Exemption
    GIPSA then annualized the NPV of the ten-year total costs of Sec.  
201.3(a) at the lower boundary using both a three percent and seven 
percent discount rate and the results appear in the following table. 
The preferred alternative is also shown for convenience.

 Table 31--Lower Boundary of Annualized Costs--Small Business Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
              Discount rate               alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................            6.87            5.79
7 Percent...............................            7.12            6.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the lower 
boundary with a small business exemption to be $5.79 million at a three 
percent discount rate and $6.00 million at a seven percent discount 
rate.
R. Regulatory Alternative 3: Upper Boundary of Cost Spectrum--Small 
Business Exemption
    As discussed above, the upper boundary of the cost spectrum occurs 
if the cattle, hog, and poultry industries adjust their use of AMAs and 
incentive pay systems and make systematic changes in their marketing 
and production contracts to reduce the threat of litigation.
    For the upper boundary cost estimates under the small business 
exemption, GIPSA weighted the upper boundary cost estimates under the 
preferred alternative by the percentage of large businesses in the 
cattle, hog, and poultry industries and the estimates appear in the 
table below. For convenience, the estimated costs of the preferred 
alternative are shown in addition to the costs of the small business 
exemption.

  Table 32--Upper Boundary Annual Total Costs--Small Business Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
                  Year                    alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017....................................           76.49           60.08
2018....................................          108.13           86.00
2019....................................          145.82          115.60
2020....................................          150.96          117.73
2021....................................          137.65          106.32
2022....................................          113.54           87.69
2023....................................           79.92           60.87
2024....................................           50.87           36.39
2025....................................           37.24           27.68
2026....................................           37.24           27.68
                                         -------------------------------
  Totals................................          937.86          726.05
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    At the upper boundary with a small business exemption, GIPSA 
estimates that Sec.  201.3(a) will result in an additional $60.08 
million in direct and indirect costs in the cattle, hog, and poultry 
industries in the first full year following implementation. GIPSA 
expects the upper boundary of the ten-year total costs of Sec.  
201.3(a) with a small business exemption to be $726.05 million.
S. Regulatory Alternative 3: Upper Boundary--NPV of Ten-Year Total 
Costs of the Small Business Exemption
    GIPSA calculated the upper boundary of the NPV of the ten-year 
total costs of the regulation under the small business exemption using 
both a three percent and seven percent discount and the NPVs appear in 
the following table. The preferred alternative is also shown for 
convenience.

  Table 33--Upper Boundary NPV of Ten-Year Total Costs--Small Business
                                Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
              Discount rate               alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................          818.97          634.97
7 Percent...............................          692.49          537.90
------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 92590]]

    GIPSA expects the NPV of the upper boundary of the NPV of the ten-
year total costs of Sec.  201.3(a) under a small business exemption to 
be $634.97 million at a three percent discount rate and $537.90 million 
at a seven percent discount rate.
T. Regulatory Alternative 3: Upper Boundary--Annualized Costs of the 
Preferred Alternative
    GIPSA then annualized the costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the upper 
boundary using both a three percent and seven percent discount rate and 
the results appear in the following table. The preferred alternative is 
also shown for convenience.

 Table 34--Upper Boundary of Annualized Costs--Small Business Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
              Discount rate               alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................           96.01           74.44
7 Percent...............................           98.60           76.58
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the upper 
boundary with a small business exemption to be $74.44 million at a 
three percent discount rate and $76.58 million at a seven percent 
discount rate.
U. Regulatory Alternative 3: Point Estimates--Annualized Costs of the 
Small Business Exemption
    Using the same methodology, GIPSA also estimated the point 
estimates of the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) with a small 
business exemption using both a three percent and seven percent 
discount rate and the results appear in the following table. The 
preferred alternative is also shown for convenience.

 Table 35--Point Estimate of Annualized Costs--Small Business Exemption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               Small
                                             Preferred       business
              Discount rate               alternative ($   exemption ($
                                             millions)       millions)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent...............................           51.44           40.11
7 Percent...............................           52.86           41.29
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA expects the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) at the point 
estimates with a small business exemption to be $40.11 million at a 
three percent discount rate and $41.29 million at a seven percent 
discount rate.
V. Regulatory Alternative 3: Range of Annualized Costs of the Small 
Business Exemption
    The following table shows the range of the annualized costs of 
Sec.  201.3(a) at both a three percent and seven percent discount rate 
under the small business exemption.

                          Table 36--Range of Annualized Costs--Small Business Exemption
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                  Lower boundary  Point estimate  Upper boundary
                          Discount rate                            ($ millions)    ($ millions)    ($ millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................................            5.79           40.11           74.44
7 Percent.......................................................            6.00           41.29           76.58
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GIPSA estimates the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) to range 
from $5.79 million to $74.44 million at the three percent discount rate 
and from $6.00 million to $76.58 million at the seven percent discount 
rate. The range of potential costs is broad and GIPSA relied on its 
expertise and the methodology discussed above to arrive at point 
estimates of the costs within the range that GIPSA expects to occur. 
GIPSA expects the most likely point estimates of annualized costs to be 
$40.11 million at a three percent discount rate and $41.29 million at a 
seven percent discount rate.
W. Regulatory Alternative 3: Benefits of the Small Business Exemption
    The benefits of Sec.  201.3(a) with a small business exemption are 
the same as in the preferred alternative except that the benefits for 
livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry 
growers will only be captured by those livestock producers, swine 
production contract growers, and poultry growers selling or growing 
livestock and poultry for packers, swine contractors, and poultry 
dealers classified as large businesses.
X. Regulatory Alternative 3: Cost-Benefit Summary of the Small Business 
Exemption
    GIPSA estimates the annualized costs of Sec.  201.3(a) under a 
small business exemption to range from $5.79 million to $74.44 million 
at the three percent discount rate and from $6.00 million to $76.58 
million at the seven percent discount rate. GIPSA expects the point 
estimates of the annualized costs to be $40.11 million at a three 
percent discount rate and $41.29 million at a seven percent discount 
rate.

[[Page 92591]]

Cost-Benefit Comparison of Regulatory Alternatives
    The status quo option has zero marginal costs and benefits as GIPSA 
does not expect any changes in the cattle, hog, or poultry industries. 
GIPSA compared the annualized costs of the preferred alternative to the 
annualized costs of the small business exemption alternative by 
subtracting the annualized costs of the small business exemption 
alternative from the preferred alternative and the results appear in 
the following table.

    Table 37--Costs Savings of the Small Business Exemption Alternative Compared to the Preferred Alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                  Lower boundary  Point estimate  Upper boundary
                          Discount rate                            ($ millions)    ($ millions)    ($ millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent.......................................................            1.08           11.33           21.57
7 Percent.......................................................            1.12           11.57           22.01
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The annualized cost savings of the small business exemption 
alternative is between $1.08 million and $21.57 million using a three 
percent discount rate and between $1.12 million and $22.01 million 
using a seven percent discount rate. At GIPSA's point estimates, the 
annualized costs of the small business exemption alternative is $11.33 
million less than the preferred alternative using a three percent 
discount rate and $11.57 million less expensive using a seven percent 
discount rate.
    The data presented in Table 4 above show that over 50 percent of 
broiler growers have only one or two integrators in their local area. 
This limited integrator choice may accentuate the risks of contracting. 
Poultry growers with contract growing arrangements with both small and 
large live poultry dealers face these risks.
    Similarly, the potential market failures or unequal bargaining 
power among contracting parties due to monopsony or oligopsony market 
power or asymmetric information likely applies to both production and 
marketing contracts regardless of whether the packer, swine contractor, 
or live poultry dealer is large or small due to the regional nature of 
concentration. The result is that the contracts may have detrimental 
effects on one of the contracting parties and may result in 
inefficiencies in the marketplace.
    One purpose of Sec.  201.3(a) is to mitigate the risks of potential 
market failures or unequal bargaining power to all livestock producers, 
swine production contract growers, and poultry growers, not just the 
livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry 
growers selling or growing livestock and poultry for large packers, 
swine contractors, and poultry dealers. The small business exemption 
would continue to subject the livestock producers, swine production 
contract growers, and poultry growers with contractual arrangements 
with small packers, swine contractors, and live poultry dealers to the 
contracting risks and potential market failures discussed above. GIPSA 
believes that the benefits of Sec.  201.3(a) should be captured by all 
livestock producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry 
growers.
    GIPSA considered three regulatory alternatives and believes the 
preferred alternative is the best option. All livestock producers, 
swine production contract growers, and poultry growers, regardless of 
the size of the firm with which they contract, will capture the 
benefits of Sec.  201.3(a).
Regulatory Flexibility Analysis of the Preferred Option
    The Small Business Administration (SBA) defines small businesses by 
their North American Industry Classification System Codes (NAICS).\85\ 
SBA considers broiler and turkey producers and swine contractors, NAICS 
codes 112320, 112330, and 112210 respectively, to be small businesses 
if sales are less than $750,000 per year. Live poultry dealers, NAICS 
311615, are considered small businesses if they have fewer than 1,250 
employees. Beef and pork packers, NAICS 311611, are defined as small 
businesses if they have fewer than 1,000 employees.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \85\ See: http://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/public/documents/sba_homepage/serv_sstd_tablepdf.pdf. Accessed on September 19, 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The Census of Agriculture (Census) indicates there were 558 farms 
that sold their own hogs and pigs in 2012 and that identified 
themselves as contractors or integrators. The Census provides the 
number of head sold from their own operations by size classes for swine 
contractors, but not the value of sales nor number of head sold from 
the farms of the contracted production. Thus, to estimate the entity 
size and average per-entity revenue by the SBA classification, the 
average value per head for sales of all swine operations is multiplied 
by production values for firms in the Census size classes for swine 
contractors. The estimates reveal that although about 65 percent of 
swine contractors had sales of less than $750,000 in 2012 and would 
have been classified as small businesses, these small businesses 
accounted for only 2.8 percent of the hogs produced under production 
contracts. Additionally, there were 8,031 swine producers in 2012 with 
swine contracts and about half of these producers would have been 
classified as small businesses.
    Currently, there are 133 live poultry dealers that would be subject 
to Sec.  201.3(a). According to U.S. Census data on County Business 
Patterns, there were 74 live poultry dealers that had more than 1,250 
employees in 2013. The difference yields approximately 59 live poultry 
dealers that have fewer than 1,250 employees and would be considered as 
small businesses that would be subject to the interim final regulation.
    GIPSA records for 2014 indicated there were 21,925 poultry 
production contracts in effect, of which 13,370, or 61 percent, were 
held by the largest six live poultry dealers, and 90 percent (19,673) 
were held by the largest 25 firms. These 25 firms are all in the large 
business SBA category, whereas the 21,925 poultry growers holding the 
other end of the contracts are almost all small businesses by SBA's 
definitions.
    Poultry dealers classified as large businesses are responsible for 
about 89.7 percent of the poultry contracts. Assuming that small 
businesses will bear 10.3 percent of the costs in the first full year 
Sec.  201.3(a) is effective, between $590,000 \86\ at the lower 
boundary and $3.7 million \87\ at the upper boundary in additional 
costs would fall on live poultry dealers classified as small 
businesses. This amounts to average

[[Page 92592]]

estimated costs for each live poultry dealer classified as a small 
business of between $10,000 and $62,400.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \86\ Lower bound cost estimate of $5.74 million (Table 12) x 
10.27 percent of firms that are small businesses = $589 thousand.
    \87\ Upper bound cost estimate of $35.87 million (Table 20) x 
10.27 percent of firms that are small businesses = $3.7 million.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As of June 2016, GIPSA records identified 359 beef and pork packers 
actively purchasing cattle or hogs for slaughter. Many firms 
slaughtered more than one species of livestock. Of the 359 beef and 
pork packers, 161 processed both cattle and hogs, 132 processed cattle 
but not hogs, and 66 processed hogs but not cattle. GIPSA records had a 
total of 293 cattle slaughterers and 227 hog slaughterers. Two hundred 
eighty-seven of the cattle slaughterers and 219 of the hog slaughterers 
would be classified as small businesses.
    GIPSA estimates that small businesses accounted for 19.3 percent of 
the cattle and 17.8 percent of the hogs slaughtered in 2015. If the 
costs of implementing Sec.  201.3(a) are proportional to the number of 
head processed, then in 2017, the first full year the regulation would 
be effective, GIPSA expects between $507,000 \88\ and $5.4 million \89\ 
in additional costs would fall on beef packers classified as small 
businesses. This amounts to a range of $1,800 to $18,900 for each beef 
packer classified as a small business. GIPSA expects, between $13,000 
\90\ and $308,000 \91\ would fall on pork packers classified as small 
businesses, and between $12,500 \92\ and $301,000 \93\ would fall on 
swine contractors classified as small businesses. This amounts to 
average estimated costs for each pork packer classified as a small 
business of between $60 and $1,400, and for each swine contractor 
classified as a small business of between $35 and $831 in the first 
full year the regulation would be effective.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \88\ Lower bound cost estimate of $2.63 million x 19.3 percent 
of slaughter in small businesses = $507 thousand.
    \89\ Upper bound cost estimate of $28.14 million x 19.3 percent 
of slaughter in small businesses = $5.4 million.
    \90\ Lower bound cost estimate of $520 thousand x 17.8 percent 
of slaughter in small business x 13.8 percent of costs attributed to 
packers = $13,000.
    \91\ Upper bound cost estimate of $12.49 million x 17.8 percent 
of slaughter in small business x 13.8 percent of costs attributed to 
packers = $308 thousand.
    \92\ Lower bound cost estimate of $520 thousand x 2.8 percent of 
contracted hogs produced by swine contractors that are small 
businesses x 86.2 percent of costs attributed to swine contractors = 
$12,500.
    \93\ Upper bound cost estimate of $12.49 million x 2.8 percent 
of contracted hogs produced by swine contractors that are small 
businesses x 86.2 percent of costs attributed to swine contractors = 
$301 thousand.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Annualized ten-year costs discounted at a three percent interest 
rate would fall between $392,000 and $8.7 million for the cattle 
industry, between $20,000 and $772,000 for the hog industry, and 
between $456,000 and $3.6 million for the poultry industry. This 
amounts to average estimated costs ranging from $1,400 to $30,400 for 
each beef packer, $45 to $1,800 for each pork packer, $27 to $1,053 for 
each swine contractor, and $7,700 to $61,000 for each live poultry 
dealer that is a small business. The total annualized ten-year costs 
for small businesses would be between $870,000 and $13.1 million.
    Annualized ten-year costs discounted at a seven percent interest 
rate would fall between $406,000 and $8.8 million for the cattle 
industry, $20,000 and $785,000 for the hog industry, and $473,000 and 
$3.8 million for the poultry industry. This amounts to average estimate 
costs ranging from $1,400 to $30,700 for each beef packer, $40 to 
$1,800 for each pork packer, $23 to $1,100 for each swine contractor, 
and $8,000 to $64,100 for each live poultry dealer that is a small 
business. The total annualized ten-year costs for small businesses 
would be between $900,000 and $13.4 million.
    The table below lists the expected additional costs associated with 
the proposed regulation and upper and lower bound estimates of the 
costs. It also lists the point estimate, upper bound, and lower bound 
annualized costs at three percent and seven percent interest rates.

                  Table 38--Upper and Lower Bound Costs to Small Businesses of Sec.   201.3(a)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     Cattle ($        Hogs ($       Poultry ($       Total ($
                  Estimate type                      millions)       millions)       millions)       millions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
First Year Costs:
    Lower Bound.................................           0.507           0.025           0.590           1.122
    Point Estimate..............................           2.969           0.317           2.137           5.423
    Upper Bound.................................           5.430           0.609           3.684           9.723
10 years annualized at 3%:
    Lower Bound.................................           0.392           0.020           0.456           0.867
    Point Estimate..............................           4.554           0.396           2.026           6.976
    Upper Bound.................................           8.716           0.772           3.596          13.084
10 years annualized at 7%:
    Lower Bound.................................           0.406           0.020           0.473           0.899
    Point Estimate..............................           4.613           0.403           2.126           7.142
    Upper Bound.................................           8.820           0.785           3.780          13.385
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In considering the impact on small businesses, GIPSA considered the 
average costs and revenues of each small business impacted by Sec.  
201.3(a). The number of small businesses impacted by Sec.  201.3(a), by 
NAICS code, as well as the per entity, first-year and annualized costs 
at both the three percent and seven percent discount rates appear in 
the following table.

[[Page 92593]]



                                 Table 39--Per Entity Upper and Lower Bound Costs to Small Businesses of Sec.   201.3(a)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                              Average cost per entity
                                                         -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  NAICS                     Number  of              First-year                  Annualized costs 3%             Annualized costs 7%
                                          small business -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Low ($)        High ($)         Low ($)        High ($)         Low ($)        High ($)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
112210--Swine Contractor................             363              35             831              27           1,053              23           1,071
311615--Poultry.........................              59           9,996          62,443           7,727          60,957           8,010          64,066
311611--Cattle..........................             287           1,767          18,920           1,366          30,369           1,416          30,732
311611--Hogs............................             219              59           1,405              45           1,781              47           1,811
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The following table compares the average per entity first-year cost 
of Sec.  201.3(a) to the average revenue per establishment for all 
firms in the same NAICS code.

                          Table 40--Comparison of Per Entity First-Year Cost to Small Businesses of Sec.   201.3(a) to Revenues
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                            Average first-year cost per       Average       Cost as percent of revenue
                                                            Number  of                entity                revenue per  -------------------------------
                          NAICS                                small     --------------------------------  establishment
                                                             business         Low ($)        High ($)           ($)             Low            High
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
112210--Swine Contractor................................             363              35             831         485,860            0.01            0.17
311615--Poultry.........................................              59           9,996          62,443      13,842,548            0.07            0.45
311611--Cattle..........................................             287           1,767          18,920       6,882,205            0.03            0.27
311611--Hogs............................................             219              59           1,405       6,882,205            0.00            0.02
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The following table compares the average per entity annualized cost 
at a seven percent discount rate of Sec.  201.3(a) to the average 
revenue per establishment for all firms in the same NAICS code. The 
annualized costs are slightly higher at the seven percent rate than at 
the three percent rate, so only the seven percent rate is shown as it 
is the higher annualized cost.

                          Table 41--Comparison of Per Entity Annualized Cost to Small Businesses of Sec.   201.3(a) to Revenues
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                           Average annualized  cost per       Average       Cost as percent of revenue
                                                            Number  of                entity                revenue per  -------------------------------
                          NAICS                                small     --------------------------------  establishment
                                                             business         Low ($)        High ($)           ($)           Low (%)        High (%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
112210--Swine Contractor................................             363              23           1,071         485,860            0.00            0.22
311615--Poultry.........................................              59           8,010          64,066      13,842,548            0.06            0.46
311611--Cattle..........................................             287           1,416          30,732       6,882,205            0.02            0.45
311611--Hogs............................................             219              39           1,811       6,882,205            0.00            0.03
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The revenue figures in the above table come from Census data for 
live poultry dealers and cattle and hog slaughterers, NAICS codes 
311615 and 311611, respectively.\94\ As discussed above, the Census 
provides the number of head sold by size classes for farms that sold 
their own hogs and pigs in 2012 and that that identified themselves as 
contractors or integrators, but not the value of sales nor the number 
of head sold from the farms of the contracted production. Thus, to 
estimate average revenue per establishment, GIPSA used the estimated 
average value per head for sales of all swine operations and the 
production values for firms in the Census size classes for swine 
contractors
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \94\ Source: http://www.census.gov/data/tables/2012/econ/susb/2012-susb-annual.html. Accessed on November 29, 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As the results in Tables 40 and 41 demonstrate, the costs of Sec.  
201.3(a) as a percent of revenue are small as they are less than one 
percent, with the exception of the upper boundary for swine 
contractors.\95\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \95\ There are significant differences in average revenues 
between swine contractors and cattle, hog, and poultry processors, 
resulting from the difference in SBA thresholds.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Annualized costs savings of exempting small businesses would be 
between $870,000 and $13.1 million using a three percent discount rate 
and between $900,000 and $13.4 million using a seven percent discount 
rate. At GIPSA's point estimates, the annualized costs of the small 
business exemption alternative is $7.0 million less than the preferred 
alternative using a three percent discount rate and $7.1 million less 
expensive using a seven percent discount rate.
    Exempting small businesses would continue to subject the livestock 
producers, swine production contract growers, and poultry growers with 
contractual arrangements with small packers, swine contractors, and 
live poultry dealers to the contracting risks and potential market 
failures discussed above. GIPSA believes that the benefits

[[Page 92594]]

of Sec.  201.3(a) should be captured by all livestock producers, swine 
production contract growers, and poultry growers.
    Based on the above analyses regarding Sec.  201.3(a), GIPSA 
certifies that this rule is not expected to have a significant economic 
impact on a substantial number of small business entities as defined in 
the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.). While confident 
in this certification, GIPSA acknowledges that individual businesses 
may have relevant data to supplement our analysis. We would encourage 
small stakeholders to submit any relevant data during the comment 
period.

B. Executive Order 12988

    This interim final rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 
12988, Civil Justice Reform. These actions are not intended to have 
retroactive effect, although in some instances they merely reiterate 
GIPSA's previous interpretation of the P&S Act. This interim final rule 
will not pre-empt state or local laws, regulations, or policies, unless 
they present an irreconcilable conflict with this rule. There are no 
administrative procedures that must be exhausted prior to any judicial 
challenge to the provisions of this rule. Nothing in this interim final 
rule is intended to interfere with a person's right to enforce 
liability against any person subject to the P&S Act under authority 
granted in section 308 of the P&S Act.

C. Executive Order 13175

    This rule has been reviewed in accordance with the requirements of 
Executive Order 13175, ``Consultation and Coordination with Indian 
Tribal Governments.'' Executive Order 13175 requires Federal agencies 
to consult and coordinate with tribes on a government-to-government 
basis on policies that have tribal implications, including regulations, 
legislative comments or proposed legislation, and other policy 
statements or actions that have substantial direct effects on one or 
more Indian tribes, on the relationship between the Federal Government 
and Indian tribes or the distribution of power and responsibilities 
between the Federal Government and Indian tribes.
    Although GIPSA has assessed the impact of this rule on Indian 
tribes and determined that this rule does not, to our knowledge, have 
tribal implications that require tribal consultation under Executive 
Order 13175, GIPSA offered opportunities to meet with representatives 
from Tribal Governments during the comment period for the proposed rule 
(June 22 to November 22, 2010) with specific opportunities in Rapid 
City, South Dakota, on October 28, 2010, and Oklahoma City, Oklahoma on 
November 3, 2010. All tribal headquarters were invited to participate 
in these venues for consultation. GIPSA has received no specific 
indication that the rule will have tribal implications and has received 
no further requests for consultation as of the date of this 
publication. If a Tribe requests consultation, GIPSA will work with the 
Office of Tribal Relations to ensure meaningful consultation is 
provided where changes, additions, and modifications herein are not 
expressly mandated by Congress.

D. Paperwork Reduction Act

    This interim final rule does not contain new or amended information 
collection requirements subject to the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 
(44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). It does not involve collection of new or 
additional information by the federal government.

E. E-Government Act Compliance

    GIPSA is committed to compliance with the E-Government Act, to 
promote the use of the Internet and other information technologies to 
provide increased opportunities for citizen access to Government 
information and services, and for other purposes.

List of Subjects in 9 CFR Part 201

    Contracts, Livestock, Poultry, Trade practices.

    For the reasons set forth in the preamble, we amend 9 CFR part 201 
as follows:

PART 201--REGULATIONS UNDER THE PACKERS AND STOCKYARDS ACT

0
1. The authority citation for part 201 continues to read as follows:

    Authority: 7 U.S.C. 181-229c.


0
2. Section 201.3 is amended by redesignating the existing text as 
paragraph (b), adding new paragraph (a), and adding a heading to 
paragraph (b) to read as follows:


Sec.  201.3  Applicability of regulations in this part.

    (a) Scope of sections 202(a) and (b) of the Act. The appropriate 
application of sections 202(a) and (b) of the Act depends on the nature 
and circumstances of the challenged conduct or action. A finding that 
the challenged conduct or action adversely affects or is likely to 
adversely affect competition is not necessary in all cases. Certain 
conduct or action can be found to violate sections 202(a) and/or (b) of 
the Act without a finding of harm or likely harm to competition.
    (b) Effective dates. * * *

Larry Mitchell,
Administrator, Grain Inspection, Packers and Stockyards Administration.
[FR Doc. 2016-30424 Filed 12-19-16; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 3410-KD-P



                                                92566            Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                  Dated: December 12, 2016.                                • Mail: M. Irene Omade, GIPSA,                     FR 35338], GIPSA proposed a new
                                                Bruce Summers,                                          USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue                        § 201.3, ‘‘Applicability of regulations in
                                                Associate Administrator, Agricultural                   SW., Room 2542A–S, Washington, DC                     this part,’’ providing four (4)
                                                Marketing Service.                                      20250–3613.                                           subsections to describe, in certain
                                                [FR Doc. 2016–30303 Filed 12–19–16; 8:45 am]               • Hand Delivery or Courier: M. Irene               respects, the application of the
                                                BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
                                                                                                        Omade, GIPSA, USDA, 1400                              regulations in 9 CFR part 201. These
                                                                                                        Independence Avenue SW., Room                         subsections were designated § 201.3(a)
                                                                                                        2530–S, Washington, DC 20250–3613.                    through § 201.3(d). Subsection 201.3(c)
                                                                                                           • Internet: http://                                described the appropriate application of
                                                DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
                                                                                                        www.regulations.gov. Follow the on-line               sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act
                                                Grain Inspection, Packers and                           instructions for submitting comments.                 (7 U.S.C. 192(a) and (b)).
                                                Stockyards Administration                                  Instructions: All comments should                     In this current rule, GIPSA is re-
                                                                                                        make reference to the date and page                   designating the existing undesignated
                                                9 CFR Part 201                                          number of this issue of the Federal                   paragraph in § 201.3 as § 201.3(b), and is
                                                                                                        Register. All comments received will be               adding back the subject heading,
                                                RIN 0580–AB25                                           included in the public docket without                 ‘‘Effective dates’’ to this paragraph.
                                                                                                        change, including any personal                           GIPSA is amending § 201.3 with the
                                                Scope of Sections 202(a) and (b) of the                 information provided. Regulatory                      addition of proposed § 201.3(c), with
                                                Packers and Stockyards Act                              analyses and other documents relating                 slight modifications. Because this
                                                AGENCY:  Grain Inspection, Packers and                  to this rulemaking will be available for              provision is of primary importance,
                                                Stockyards Administration, USDA.                        public inspection in Room 2542A–S,                    GIPSA is designating it as the first of
                                                ACTION: Interim final rule; request for
                                                                                                        1400 Independence Avenue SW.,                         two paragraphs in § 201.3 and changing
                                                                                                        Washington, DC 20250–3613 during                      its designation from (c) to (a). GIPSA has
                                                comments.
                                                                                                        regular business hours. All comments                  made slight modifications including a
                                                SUMMARY:   The Department of                            will be available for public inspection in            grammatical edit and also modified a
                                                Agriculture’s (USDA) Grain Inspection,                  the above office during regular business              few words to make the language
                                                Packers and Stockyards Administration                   hours (7 CFR 1.27(b)). Please call the                internally consistent and also consistent
                                                (GIPSA), Packers and Stockyards                         Management and Budget Services staff                  with the language in new proposed
                                                Program (P&SP) is amending the                          of GIPSA at (202) 720–8479 to arrange                 §§ 201.210, 201.211, and 201.214,
                                                regulations issued under the Packers                    a public inspection of comments or                    published concurrently in this issue of
                                                and Stockyards Act, 1921, as amended                    other documents related to this                       the Federal Register as separate
                                                and supplemented (P&S Act). GIPSA is                    rulemaking.                                           proposed rules.
                                                adding a paragraph addressing the scope                 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: S.
                                                of sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S                   Brett Offutt, Director, Litigation and                II. Background
                                                Act. This interim final rule clarifies that             Economic Analysis Division, P&SP,                     A. Development of the Rule
                                                conduct or action may violate sections                  GIPSA, 1400 Independence Ave, SW.,                       Prior to issuing the initial proposed
                                                202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act without                   Washington, DC 20250, (202) 720–7051,                 regulations in 2010, GIPSA held three
                                                adversely affecting, or having a                        s.brett.offutt@usda.gov.                              public meetings in October 2008, in
                                                likelihood of adversely affecting,                      SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The first                  Arkansas, Iowa, and Georgia to gather
                                                competition. This interim final rule                    section that follows provides                         comments, information, and
                                                reiterates USDA’s longstanding                          background and a summary of the                       recommendations from interested
                                                interpretation that not all violations of               regulatory text for § 201.3(a) and (b) in             parties. Attendees at these meetings
                                                the P&S Act require a showing of harm                   this interim final rule as compared to                were asked to give input on the
                                                or likely harm to competition. The                      the regulatory wording for § 201.3(c)                 elements of the 2008 Farm Bill and
                                                regulations would specifically provide                  and (d) in the 2010 proposed rule. The                other issues of concern under the P&S
                                                that the scope of section 202(a) and (b)                second section provides background                    Act. In 2010, USDA and the Department
                                                encompasses conduct or action that,                     information about this rule. The third                of Justice held five joint public
                                                depending on their nature and the                       section provides a summary of the                     workshops to explore competition
                                                circumstances, can be found to violate                  public comments received on the                       issues affecting agricultural industries
                                                the P&S Act without a finding of harm                   proposed rule and at the relevant                     in the 21st century and the appropriate
                                                or likely harm to competition. This                     USDA/Department of Justice Joint                      role for antitrust and regulatory
                                                interim final rule finalizes a proposed                 Competition Workshops that occurred                   enforcement in those industries. These
                                                amendment that GIPSA published on                       during the comment period. The fourth                 workshops were held in Ankeny, Iowa
                                                June 22, 2010. GIPSA is now publishing                  section discusses the proposal of new                 (Issues of Concern to Farmers, March
                                                as an interim final rule what was                       §§ 201.210, 201.211, and 201.214, in                  12, 2010); Normal, Alabama (Poultry
                                                proposed on June 22, 2010, with slight                  this issue of the Federal Register. The               Industry, May 21, 2010); Madison,
                                                modifications, in order to allow                        last section provides the required                    Wisconsin (Dairy Industry, June 25,
                                                additional comment on these                             impact analyses including the                         2010); Fort Collins, Colorado (Livestock
                                                provisions.                                             Regulatory Flexibility Act, the                       Industry, August 27, 2010); and
                                                DATES:  This interim final rule is                      Paperwork Reduction Act, Civil Rights                 Washington, District of Columbia
                                                February 21, 2017. Interested persons                   Analysis, and the relevant Executive                  (Margins, December 8, 2010). The
mstockstill on DSK3G9T082PROD with RULES




                                                are invited to submit written comments                  Orders.                                               Secretary informed attendees of the
                                                on this interim final rule on or before                 I. Summary of Changes From the 2010                   workshop in Fort Collins, Colorado that
                                                February 21, 2017.                                      Proposed Rule                                         their comments provided that day
                                                ADDRESSES: We invite you to submit                                                                            would be considered in the
                                                comments on this interim final rule.                    Section 201.3 as Proposed in June 2010                development of this rulemaking. The
                                                You may submit comments by any of                         In the proposed rule published in the               Fort Collins workshop addressed issues
                                                the following methods:                                  Federal Register on June 22, 2010 [75                 in the cattle, hog, and other animal


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                                                                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                      92567

                                                sectors. Attendees provided comments                    202(a) and (b) of the Act,’’ §§ 201.210,                 dispositive 3 with respect to whether
                                                on concentration in livestock markets,                  201.211, and 201.214, published as part                  that act or practice violates sections
                                                buyer power, and enforcement of the                     of the June 22, 2010, proposed rule,                     202(a) and/or (b).
                                                P&S Act. GIPSA incorporated relevant                    were included in the restrictions in the                    As we explained in the proposed rule,
                                                comments from the Madison, Wisconsin                    appropriations acts. Until FY 2016,                      the longstanding agency position that,
                                                and Fort Collins, Colorado workshops                    appropriations acts continued to                         in some cases, a violation of section
                                                into the text of the wording of the final               preclude the finalization of §§ 201.3(c),                202(a) or (b) can be proven without
                                                rule published on December 9, 2011.                     201.210, 201.211, and 201.214.                           proof of likelihood of competitive injury
                                                   The regulations in this current interim                 Section 201.3(a), ‘‘Applicability to
                                                final rule also reflect comments,                                                                                is consistent with the language and
                                                                                                        live poultry dealers,’’ and § 201.3(d),                  structure of the P&S Act, as well as its
                                                information, and recommendations                        ‘‘Effective dates,’’ proposed in June
                                                received in all those meetings.                                                                                  legislative history and purposes. Neither
                                                                                                        2010, were published on December 9,                      section 202(a) nor section 202(b)
                                                   On June 22, 2010, GIPSA published                    2011 [76 FR 76874], as a final rule with
                                                the proposed rule [75 FR 35338] upon                                                                             contains any language limiting the
                                                                                                        some changes. At that time, the                          application of those sections to acts or
                                                which this interim final rule is based.                 designation of proposed paragraph (d)
                                                The background information presented                                                                             practices that have an adverse effect on
                                                                                                        was changed to (b).                                      competition, such as acts ‘‘restraining
                                                in the proposed rule remains pertinent
                                                                                                           Section 731, Division A, of the                       commerce.’’ Instead, these provisions
                                                to this interim final rule. Some of this
                                                                                                        Consolidated and Further Continuing                      use terms including ‘‘deceptive,’’
                                                background information is presented
                                                                                                        Appropriations Act, 2015 (Pub. L. 113–                   ‘‘unfair,’’ ‘‘unjust,’’ ‘‘undue,’’ and
                                                again here.
                                                   In that proposed rule, GIPSA                         235), required the Secretary to rescind                  ‘‘unreasonable’’—which are commonly
                                                proposed a multi-faceted rule and                       what was then § 201.3(a), ‘‘Applicability                understood to encompass more than
                                                sought public input. During a 5-month                   to live poultry dealers,’’ leaving                       anticompetitive conduct.4 This is in
                                                comment period, GIPSA received over                     paragraph (b) as the only paragraph in                   direct contrast to subsections (c), (d),
                                                61,000 comments from a wide variety of                  § 201.3. As a result, GIPSA removed the                  and (e), which expressly prohibit only
                                                stakeholders. Some commenters                           designation for this paragraph as                        those acts that have the effect of
                                                addressed issues associated with this                   paragraph (b) and also removed its                       ‘‘restraining commerce,’’ ‘‘creating a
                                                interim final rule. GIPSA published a                   subject heading, ‘‘Effective dates.’’ This               monopoly,’’ or producing another type
                                                final rule in 2011 that included                        was accomplished by a final rule                         of antitrust injury. The fact that
                                                modifications to address concerns                       published on February 5, 2015 [80 FR                     Congress expressly included these
                                                expressed by commenters. The final rule                 6430].
                                                                                                                                                                 limitations in subsections (c), (d), and
                                                addressed most, but not all, of the                        Neither the FY 2016 appropriations                    (e), but not in subsections (a) and (b), is
                                                requirements of the Food, Conservation,                 act nor the FY 2017 continuing                           a strong indication that Congress did not
                                                and Energy Act of 2008 (Pub. L. 110–                    appropriations act precludes GIPSA                       intend subsections (a) and (b) to be
                                                246) (2008 Farm Bill); however, for the                 from publishing §§ 201.3(c), 201.210,                    limited to instances in which there was
                                                reasons described in further detail                     201.211, or 201.214 as final rules.                      harm to competition. And Congress
                                                below, GIPSA never implemented a                        B. Purpose of the Regulatory Action                      confirmed the agency’s position by
                                                final § 201.3(c) following the 2010                                                                              amending the P&S Act to specify
                                                public notice and comment period. The                      Section 202 of the P&S Act provides
                                                                                                                                                                 specific instances of conduct prohibited
                                                2010 proposed rule also proposed three                  that ‘‘[i]t shall be unlawful for any
                                                                                                                                                                 as unfair that do not involve any
                                                other regulations, §§ 201.210, 201.211,                 packer or swine contractor with respect
                                                                                                                                                                 inherent likelihood of competitive
                                                and 201.214, that GIPSA has                             to livestock, meats, meat food products,
                                                                                                                                                                 injury.5
                                                restructured and rewritten and is                       or livestock products in
                                                publishing as two separate proposed                     unmanufactured form, or for any live                        USDA’s interpretation of sections
                                                rules concurrent with this rule.                        poultry dealer with respect to live                      202(a) and (b) is also consistent with the
                                                Proposed § 201.210, ‘‘Unfair, unjustly                  poultry’’ to engage in certain prohibited                interpretation of other sections of the
                                                discriminatory and deceptive practices                  conduct. Section 202(a) prohibits ‘‘any                  P&S Act using similar language—
                                                or devices by packers, swine                            unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or                      sections 307 and 312 (7 U.S.C. 208 and
                                                contractors, or live poultry dealers,’’ and             deceptive practice or device.’’ Section                  213). Courts have recognized that the
                                                § 201.211, ‘‘Undue or unreasonable                      202(b) prohibits ‘‘any undue or                          proper analysis under these provisions
                                                preferences or advantages’’ further                     unreasonable preference or advantage’’
                                                clarify and define the provisions of                    or ‘‘any undue or unreasonable                              3 See, Armour & Co. v. United States, 402 F.2d

                                                § 201.3(a). Proposed § 201.214, ‘‘Poultry               prejudice or disadvantage.’’ USDA has                    712, 717 (7th Cir. 1968) (a coupon promotion plan
                                                                                                                                                                 (here coupons for fifty cents off specified packages
                                                Grower Ranking Systems’’ provides                       consistently taken the position that, in                 of bacon) is not per se unfair and violates section
                                                criteria which would be used in                         some cases, a violation of section 202(a)                202(a) if it is implemented with some predatory
                                                considering whether a live poultry                      or (b) can be proven without proof of                    intent or carries some likelihood of competitive
                                                dealer has used a poultry grower                        predatory intent, competitive injury, or                 injury); In re IBP, Inc., 57 Agric. Dec. 1353, 1356
                                                                                                                                                                 (1998) (contractual right of first refusal at issue
                                                ranking system in an unfair, unjustly                   likelihood of competitive injury.1 At the                violated section 202 ‘‘because it has the effect or
                                                discriminatory, or deceptive manner or                  same time, USDA has always                               potential of reducing competition’’).
                                                in a way that gives an undue or                         understood that an act or practice’s                        4 When the P&S Act was enacted, Webster’s New

                                                unreasonable preference or advantage to                 effect on competition can be relevant 2                  International Dictionary defined ‘‘deceptive’’ as
                                                                                                        and, in certain circumstances, even                      ‘‘[t]ending to deceive; having power to mislead, or
                                                any poultry grower or subjects any
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                                                                                                                                                                 impress with false opinions’’; ‘‘unfair’’ as ‘‘[n]ot fair
                                                poultry grower to an undue or                                                                                    in act or character; disingenuous; using or involving
                                                unreasonable prejudice or disadvantage.                   1 In re Ozark County Cattle Co., 49 Agric. Dec.        trick or artifice; dishonest; unjust; inequitable’’ (2d.
                                                   Beginning with the fiscal year (FY)                  336, 365 (1990); 1 John H. Davidson et al.,              definition); and ‘‘unjust’’ as ‘‘[c]haracterized by
                                                2012 appropriations act, USDA was                       Agricultural Law section 3.47, at 244 (1981).            injustice; contrary to justice and right; wrongful.’’
                                                                                                          2 See, In re Sterling Colo. Beef Co., 39 Agric. Dec.   Webster’s New International Dictionary 578, 2237,
                                                precluded from finalizing some of the                   184, 235 (1980) (considering and rejecting               2238, 2245, 2248 (1st ed. 1917). This is the same
                                                regulations as proposed in June 2010.                   respondent packer’s business justification for           understanding of the terms today.
                                                Section 201.3(c), ‘‘Scope of Sections                   challenged conduct).                                        5 See sections 409(c) and 410(b).




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                                                92568            Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                depends on ‘‘the facts of each case,’’ 6                 Act and have concluded (in cases to                      market through exclusive dealing,
                                                and that these sections may apply in the                 which the United States was not a party)                 restrains competition among packers,
                                                absence of harm to competition or                        that plaintiffs could not prove their                    live poultry dealers or swine contractors
                                                competitors.7                                            claims under sections 202(a) and/or (b)                  or otherwise represents a use of market
                                                   The legislative history and purposes                  without proving harm to competition or                   power to distort competition.17
                                                of the P&S Act also support USDA’s                       likely harm to competition.13 After                      Competitive injury or the likelihood of
                                                position. The P&S Act ‘‘is a most                        carefully considering the analyses in                    competitive injury also may occur when
                                                comprehensive measure and extends                        these opinions, USDA continues to                        a packer, swine contractor, or live
                                                farther than any previous law in the                     believe that its longstanding                            poultry dealer wrongfully depresses
                                                regulation of private business, in time of               interpretation of the P&S Act is correct.                prices paid to a livestock producer,
                                                peace, except possibly the interstate                    These court of appeals opinions (two of                  swine production contract grower, or
                                                commerce act.’’ 8 In amending the P&S                    which were issued over vigorous                          poultry grower below market value or
                                                Act, Congress made clear that its goals                  dissents) 14 are inconsistent with the                   impairs the livestock producer, swine
                                                for the statute extended beyond the                      plain language of the statute; they                      production contract grower, or poultry
                                                protection of competition. In 1935, for                  incorrectly assume that harm to                          grower’s ability to compete with other
                                                instance, when Congress first subjected                  competition was the only evil Congress                   producers or growers.
                                                live poultry dealers to sections 202(a)                  sought to prevent by enacting the P&S                       To establish an actual or likely
                                                and (b), Congress explained in the                       Act; and they fail to defer to the                       competitive injury, it is not necessary to
                                                statute itself that ‘‘[t]he handling of the              Secretary of Agriculture’s longstanding                  show that a challenged act or practice
                                                great volume of live poultry . . . is                    and consistent interpretation of a statute               had a likely effect on resale price levels.
                                                attendant with various unfair,                           administered by the Secretary. To the                    Even the antitrust laws do not require
                                                deceptive, and fraudulent practices and                  extent that these courts failed to defer to              such a showing. The P&S Act is broader
                                                devices, resulting in the producers                      USDA’s interpretation of the statute                     than the antitrust laws and, therefore,
                                                sustaining sundry losses and receiving                   because that interpretation had not                      such a requirement of showing effect on
                                                prices far below the reasonable value of                 previously been enshrined in a                           resale price levels is not necessary to
                                                their live poultry. . . .’’ 9 Similarly, the             regulation,15 this new regulation may                    establish competitive injury under
                                                House Committee Report regarding the                     constitute a material change in                          section 202 of the P&S Act (though such
                                                1958 amendments stated that ‘‘[t]he                      circumstances that warrants judicial                     a showing would suffice).
                                                primary purpose of [the P&S Act] is to                   reexamination of the issue.16                            III. Discussion of Comments
                                                assure fair competition and fair trade                      Although it is not necessary in every
                                                practices’’ and ‘‘to safeguard farmers                   case to demonstrate competitive injury                      The proposed rule published on June
                                                . . . against receiving less than the true               in order to show a violation of sections                 22, 2010, (75 FR 35338) provided a 60-
                                                market value of their livestock.’’ 10 The                202(a) and/or (b), any act that harms                    day comment period to end on August
                                                Report further observed that protection                  competition or is likely to harm                         23, 2010. In response to requests for an
                                                extends to ‘‘unfair, deceptive, unjustly                 competition may violate the statute.                     extension of time to file comments, on
                                                discriminatory’’ practices by ‘‘small’’                  How a competitive injury or the                          July 28, 2010, GIPSA extended the
                                                companies in addition to ‘‘monopolistic                  likelihood of a competitive injury                       comment period to end on November
                                                practices.’’ 11 In accordance with this                  manifests itself depends critically on                   22, 2010 (75 FR 44163). Commenters
                                                legislative history, courts and                          whether the target of the act or practice                covered the spectrum of those affected
                                                commentators have recognized that the                    is a competitor (e.g., a packer harms                    by the rule, including livestock
                                                purposes of the P&S Act are not limited                  other packers), or whether the target of                 producers and poultry growers, packers
                                                to protecting competition.12                             the act or practice operates at a different              and live poultry dealers, trade
                                                   Four courts of appeals have disagreed                 level of the livestock or poultry                        associations representing both
                                                with USDA’s interpretation of the P&S                    production process (e.g., a packer harms                 production and processing, plant
                                                                                                         a livestock producer). Competitive                       workers, and consumers. GIPSA
                                                   6 Capitol Packing Co. v. United States, 350 F.2d
                                                                                                         injury or the likelihood of competitive                  considered all comments postmarked or
                                                67, 76 (10th Cir. 1965); see also, Spencer Livestock     injury may occur when an act or                          electronically submitted by November
                                                Comm’n Co. v. USDA, 841 F.2d 1451, 1454 (9th Cir.                                                                 22, 2010. GIPSA received over 61,000
                                                1988).                                                   practice improperly forecloses
                                                   7 See, e.g., Spencer, 841 F.2d at 1455 (Section 312   competition in a large share of the                      comments, which addressed the rule
                                                covers ‘‘a deceptive practice, whether or not it                                                                  generally as well as specific provisions.
                                                harmed consumers or competitors.’’).                        13 Terry v. Tyson Farms, Inc. 604 F.3d 272, 280       GIPSA considered written comments as
                                                   8 H.R. Rep. 67–77, at 2 (1921); see also, Swift &
                                                                                                         (6th Cir. 2010) (‘‘[I]n order to succeed on a claim      well as comments received at two
                                                Co. v. United States, 308 F.2d 849, 853 (7th Cir.        under §§ 192(a) and (b) of the [P&S Act], a plaintiff    public meetings, on June 25, 2010, and
                                                1962) (‘‘The legislative history showed Congress         must show an adverse effect on competition.’’);
                                                understood the sections of the [P&S Act] under           Wheeler v. Pilgrim’s Pride Corp., 591 F.3d 355, 363      August 27, 2010, conducted jointly by
                                                consideration were broader in scope than                 (5th Cir. 2009) (en banc) (‘‘To support a claim that     USDA and the Department of Justice.
                                                antecedent legislation such as the Sherman               a practice violates subsection (a) or (b) of § 192 [of   Because these ‘‘Workshops on
                                                Antitrust Act, sec. 2 of the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C.      the P&S Act] there must be proof of injury, or
                                                13, sec. 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act, 15
                                                                                                                                                                  Competition in Agriculture’’ were held
                                                                                                         likelihood of injury, to competition.’’); Been v. O.K.
                                                U.S.C. 45 and sec. 3 of the Interstate Commerce Act,     Indus., Inc., 495 F.3d 1217,1238 (10th Cir. 2007)        during the comment period for the
                                                49 U.S.C. 3.’’).                                         (An ‘‘unfair practice’’ under section 202(a) of the      proposed rule, the Secretary announced
                                                   9 Public Law 74–272, 49 Stat. 648, 648 (1935).        P&S Act is one that injures or is likely to injure       that any comments made in those
                                                   10 H.R. Rep. No. 85–1048 (1957), reprinted in         competition); London v. Fieldale Farms Corp., 410        forums would be considered comments
                                                1958 U.S.C.C.A.N. 5212, 5213 (emphasis added).           F.3d 1295, 1303 (11th Cir. 2005) (P&S Act prohibits
                                                                                                         only those unfair, discriminatory, or deceptive          on the proposed rule.
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                                                   11 Id. at 5213.
                                                   12 See, e.g., Stafford v. Wallace, 258 U.S. 495,      practices that adversely affect or are likely to            Comments on proposed § 201.3(c)
                                                513–14 (1922); Spencer, 841 F.2d at 1455: United         adversely affect competition).                           were sharply divided with respect to
                                                                                                            14 Wheeler, 591 F.3d at 371–85 (Garza, J.,
                                                States v. Perdue Farms, Inc., 680 F.2d 277, 280 (2d
                                                Cir. 1982); Bruhn’s Freezer Meats of Chicago, Inc.       dissenting); Been, 495 F.3d at 1238–43 (Hartz, J.,         17 See, e.g., Thomas G. Krattenmaker & Steven C.

                                                v. USDA, 438 F.2d 1332, 1336 (8th Cir. 1971);            concurring in part and dissenting in part).              Salop, Anticompetitive Exclusion: Raising Rivals’
                                                                                                            15 See Been, 495 F.3d at 1226–27.
                                                Bowman v. USDA, 363 F.2d 81, 85 (5th Cir. 1966);                                                                  Costs to Achieve Power over Price, 96 Yale L.J. 209
                                                United States v. Donahue Bros., 59 F.2d 1019, 1023          16 See Nat’l Cable & Telecomm. Ass’n v. Brand X       (1986); 11 Philip E. Areeda & Herbert Hovenkamp,
                                                (8th Cir. 1932).                                         Internet Servs., 545 U.S. 967, 982–84 (2005).            Antitrust Law 1821 (2d ed. 2005).



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                                                                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                      92569

                                                harm to competition. Those supporting                   of the law. Commenters wrote that                     proposed § 201.3(c) would eliminate the
                                                the proposal pointed out it would                       proposed § 201.3(c) correctly interpreted             requirement to show any harm at all. A
                                                provide legal relief for farmers and                    the plain language of section 202 and                 common concern presented by those in
                                                ranchers who suffer because of unfair                   the legislative history of the P&S Act.               opposition to the proposed change to
                                                actions, such as false weighing and                        Commenters opposing proposed                       § 201.3 was that while section 202(a)
                                                retaliatory behavior, without having to                 § 201.3(c) included many meat packers,                prohibits unfair, unjustly
                                                show competitive harm to the industry.                  live poultry dealers, and organizations               discriminatory, or deceptive practices,
                                                Opposing comments relied heavily on                     representing packers and poultry                      the P&S Act does not define what types
                                                the fact that several of the United States              companies. The opposing comments                      of conduct would be classified as such.
                                                Courts of Appeals have ruled that harm                  stated that the P&S Act had always been               Of particular concern to these
                                                to competition (or the likelihood of                    considered an antitrust statute and                   commenters was the prospect that
                                                harm to competition) is a required                      therefore, GIPSA should be required to                GIPSA may bring actions under section
                                                element to find a violation of sections                 show competitive harm to allege a                     202(a) without a finding of harm to
                                                202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act.                          violation of section 202(a). They also                competition which would encourage
                                                   Those supporting proposed § 201.3(c)                 expressed concern that a flood of                     livestock producers to sue firms subject
                                                included numerous livestock producers                   litigation would ensue if the scope of                to the P&S Act for any conduct having
                                                and poultry growers and organizations                   section 202(a) did not remain closely                 an adverse effect on livestock producer
                                                representing the interests of farmers and               aligned with case law. Commenters                     interests. While most of the comments
                                                ranchers. Commenters supporting                         opposed to the rulemaking asserted that               focused on unfair conduct that could
                                                proposed § 201.3(c) pointed out that it                 allowing allegations of section 202(a)                violate section 202(a), a few comments
                                                would reduce the costs of litigation for                violations without a showing of harm or               mentioned section 202(b) as well. These
                                                poultry growers and livestock producers                 likely harm to competition would                      comments set forth concerns calling for
                                                who suffer because of unfair actions,                   enable swine production contract                      regulatory guidance as to what conduct
                                                such as false weighing and retaliation.                 growers, poultry growers, or livestock                GIPSA would deem as unfair, unjustly
                                                Proposed § 201.3(c), according to some                  producers to sue a swine contractor, live             discriminatory, or deceptive, and an
                                                commenters, corrects the analytical                     poultry dealer, or packer for aa broad                undue preference or advantage in
                                                framework of the P&S Act and ensures                    range of adverse circumstances affecting              violation of the P&S Act, especially
                                                that the courts grant a higher level of                 them. The comments went on to say that                when there was no showing of harm to
                                                deference to USDA’s interpretation of                   this would guarantee swine production                 competition.
                                                the P&S Act. They believed it was                       contract growers, poultry growers, and
                                                wrong to require a demonstration of                     livestock producers a profit on every                    Agency response: GIPSA did not make
                                                harm to competition to the whole                        transaction, a standard afforded in no                the specific changes to proposed
                                                industry stemming from an unfair                        other industry. In turn, this would                   § 201.3(c) requested by comments.
                                                practice targeting an individual grower                 reduce the number of swine production                 However, GIPSA is proposing new rule
                                                or producer in order to violate section                 contract growers, poultry growers, and                language in proposed rules §§ 201.210,
                                                202(a) of the P&S Act, and that proposed                livestock producers with whom                         201.211, and 201.214, that provide the
                                                § 201.3(c) would remove an undue                        companies would do business.                          guidance commenters were seeking.
                                                barrier to relief.                                         Opposing comments relied heavily on                GIPSA also modified a few words in
                                                   Commenters in favor of proposed                      the fact that several United States Courts            § 201.3(c) to make the language
                                                § 201.3(c) further pointed out the                      of Appeals have ruled that harm to                    internally consistent and to make it
                                                imbalance in power between livestock                    competition (or the likelihood of harm                consistent with the language in new
                                                producers and packers and noted that                    to competition) is a required element to              proposed §§ 201.210, 201.211, and
                                                without this provision, the packers are                 find a violation of sections 202(a) and               201.214, published concurrently in this
                                                inoculated against recourse by a                        (b) of the P&S Act. These commenters                  issue of the Federal Register as two
                                                livestock producer because the livestock                stated that because of the decisions in               separate proposed rules. Specifically,
                                                producer is small and overmatched                       these circuit courts, GIPSA lacked                    proposed §§ 201.210 and 201.211
                                                relative to the much larger and more                    authority to implement proposed                       discuss ‘‘conduct or action’’ and GIPSA
                                                well-resourced packer. A common                         § 201.3(c). Several large packers and                 has modified the references to
                                                theme among supporters was that                         poultry companies wrote that the                      ‘‘conduct’’ in proposed § 201.3(c) to
                                                proposed § 201.3(c) allowed farmers and                 proposed § 201.3(c), if implemented,                  ‘‘conduct or action.’’ GIPSA also
                                                ranchers to seek redress by showing that                would be in direct conflict with circuit              changed the reference to ‘‘challenged act
                                                they were individually harmed in cases                  court decisions in the geographic                     or practice’’ to ‘‘challenged conduct or
                                                such as false weighing or retaliatory                   regions in which they do business. One                action,’’ again for consistency with
                                                behavior, rather than requiring a                       packer commented that livestock                       proposed §§ 201.210 and 201.211 and to
                                                showing of harm to competition in the                   producers would bear the cost of                      make the language in § 201.3(a)
                                                industry. Commenters felt that the                      determining the legality of an expanded               internally consistent. In the proposed
                                                packers and poultry companies were                      scope of sections 202(a) and 202(b).                  rule for § 201.214 in this issue of the
                                                given a free pass to act unfairly toward                   Many opposing commenters felt that                 Federal Register, GIPSA proposes
                                                livestock producers, swine production                   proposed § 201.3(c) would lead to a                   listing the failure to use a poultry
                                                contract growers, and poultry growers                   large increase in frivolous litigation and            grower ranking system in a fair manner
                                                knowing that proving harm to                            greatly increase operational costs for                after applying the criteria in § 201.214
                                                competition to the industry would be                    packers and poultry companies.                        as a tenth type of ‘‘challenged conduct
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                                                difficult, if not impossible, in many                   Commenters felt that an increase in                   or action’’ under § 201.210(b). GIPSA
                                                situations.                                             frivolous litigation would lead to a                  also made a minor grammatical edit and
                                                   Many of the supporting comments                      decrease in the use of the value-based                changed all references to ‘‘section’’ to
                                                also addressed the plain language and                   pricing. Commenters opposed allowing                  ‘‘sections.’’ GIPSA believes the
                                                intent of section 202 of the P&S Act and                livestock producers to file lawsuits                  paragraph proposed on June 22, 2010, as
                                                opined that the recent court decisions                  based on their thoughts of what is                    § 201.3(c) (‘‘Scope of Sections 202(a)
                                                were based on incorrect interpretations                 unfair. Some commenters believed that                 and (b) of the Act.’’) is of primary


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                                                92570            Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                importance. As a result, the paragraph is               acts or practices’ ’’ makes the consumer,             or unreasonable preferences or
                                                designated as paragraph (a) and the                     who may be injured by an unfair trade                 advantages under section 202(b), and to
                                                current text in § 201.3 is designated as                practice, of equal concern, before the                address concerns raised by commenters
                                                paragraph (b).                                          law, with the merchant or manufacturer                about what those terms mean, GIPSA is
                                                   It is the longstanding position of the               injured by the unfair methods of a                    publishing concurrently with this
                                                Secretary of Agriculture that a violation               dishonest competitor.’’ 19 The Court also             interim final rule, proposed rules that
                                                of section 202(a) or (b) can be proven                  noted, upon consideration of legislative              will include revised §§ 201.210,201.211,
                                                without evidence of competitive injury                  and judicial authorities, that the Federal            and 201.214, which will help clarify the
                                                or the likelihood of competitive injury.                Trade Commission considers public                     conduct or action GIPSA considers
                                                The Secretary’s position is consistent                  values beyond simply those enshrined                  violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b)
                                                with the language and structure of the                  in the letter or encompassed in the spirit            of the P&S Act.
                                                P&S Act, as well as its legislative history             of the antitrust laws.20                                 Contrary to some comments,
                                                and purposes. Sections 202(c), 202(d),                     Recent circuit court decisions have                § 201.3(a) does not stand for the
                                                and 202(e) of the P&S Act include                       found that a showing of competitive                   proposition that GIPSA never has to
                                                ‘‘restraint’’ and ‘‘monopoly’’ language,                harm, or a likelihood of competitive                  demonstrate that the challenged
                                                some of which resembles language in                     harm, is required to substantiate a                   conduct or action adversely affects
                                                the Clayton Act, 15 U.S.C. 12–27.                       violation of sections 202(a) and 202(b)               competition. Instead, § 201.3(a) solely
                                                Neither section 202(a) nor section 202(b)               of the P&S Act. In one of these cases,                reiterates GIPSA’s longstanding position
                                                contains language limiting the                          Wheeler v. Pilgrim’s Pride Corp.,21                   that a finding that the challenged
                                                application to conduct or action that has               while the majority opinion required a                 conduct or action adversely affects or is
                                                an adverse effect, or the likelihood of an              finding of harm to competition, the                   likely to adversely affect competition is
                                                adverse effect, on competition, such as                 dissenting opinion agreed with the                    not necessary in all cases. Certain
                                                acts ‘‘restraining commerce.’’ Sections                 district court’s ruling that sections (a)             conduct is prohibited because it is
                                                202(a) and 202(b) are tort-like                         and (b) of 202 do not contain language                unfair, unjustly discriminatory or
                                                provisions that are concerned with                      limiting their application to actions                 deceptive even though there may be no
                                                unfair practices, discrimination, and                   which have an adverse effect on                       harm, or likelihood of harm, to
                                                preferential treatment, but not with                    competition.22 The court in another                   competition. Likewise, certain conduct
                                                restraint of trade or monopolistic                      case, Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc.,23                    is prohibited because it creates an unfair
                                                activities.                                             declined to defer to USDA’s                           preference or advantage even though
                                                   Analysis of the Federal Trade                        interpretation of ‘‘unfair’’ practices                there may be no harm, or likelihood of
                                                Commission Act, 15 U.S.C. 41–58, as                     under section 202(a) of the P&S Act, in               harm, to competition. This rule,
                                                amended, (FTC Act) is helpful in                        part, because ‘‘the Secretary has not                 combined with the specific examples of
                                                illustrating the Secretary’s position on                promulgated a regulation applicable to                prohibited conduct in proposed
                                                the scope of sections 202(a) and 202(b)                 the practices the Growers allege violate              § 201.210 and the criteria the Secretary
                                                of the P&S Act. Congress considered the                 § 202(a).’’ 24 The court, however, stated             will consider as set forth in proposed
                                                FTC Act in drafting the P&S Act as it                   that ‘‘[r]egulations promulgated by an                § 201.211, will assist industry
                                                incorporated portions of the FTC Act by                 agency exercising its congressionally                 participants in understanding which
                                                reference into the P&S Act. Section 5 of                granted rule-making authority’’ are                   behaviors violate sections 202(a) and
                                                the FTC Act, now codified at 15 U.S.C.                  entitled to deference,25 implying that                202(b) of the P&S Act.
                                                45, states, ‘‘[u]nfair methods of                       such regulation, once enacted by USDA,
                                                competition in or affecting commerce,                                                                         IV. Interim Final Rule and Request for
                                                                                                        would be entitled to deference.
                                                and unfair or deceptive acts or practices                                                                     Comments
                                                                                                        Therefore, while decisions of the courts
                                                in or affecting commerce, are hereby                    of appeals support comments in                          As previously discussed, GIPSA
                                                declared unlawful.’’ Thus, in the FTC                   opposition to amending § 201.3, these                 published a notice of proposed
                                                Act, Congress makes a distinction                       same decisions have also pointed to a                 rulemaking in June, 2010, that, inter
                                                between ‘‘unfair methods of                             need for the very rulemaking the                      alia, proposed regulatory text relating to
                                                competition’’ and ‘‘unfair or deceptive                 addition of paragraph (a) to § 201.3                  the scope of the P&S Act. GIPSA
                                                acts or practices.’’ In drafting the P&S                provides.                                             solicited comments over a 5 month
                                                Act, Congress chose to prohibit any                        An initial increase in litigation costs            period and received thousands of
                                                ‘‘unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or                   is a likely result of this rule, as the               comments on this aspect of the
                                                deceptive practice or device,’’ and the                 industry and the courts are setting                   proposed rule. Accordingly, the agency
                                                making or giving of ‘‘any undue or                      precedents for the interpretation of                  has fulfilled the notice and comment
                                                unreasonable preference or advantage                    § 201.3. However, the litigation costs                requirements of the Administrative
                                                . . .,’’ without limiting the unfair                    and the number of lawsuits are expected               Procedure Act. However, given the
                                                practices or devices, discrimination, or                to decrease after precedent setting                   significant level of stakeholder interest
                                                preferential treatment to only those                    decisions are established. In order to                in this regulatory provision, the
                                                involving competition. The Supreme                      place some parameters on conduct or                   intervening six years, and in the
                                                Court of the United States has examined                 action that constitutes unfair, unjustly              interests of open and transparent
                                                the scope of Section 5 of the FTC Act,                  discriminatory, and deceptive practices               government, the agency has decided to
                                                noting that unfair practices are not                    or devices under section 202(a), and on               promulgate the rule as an interim final
                                                limited to those likely to have                         conduct or action that constitutes undue              rule and provide an additional
                                                anticompetitive consequences after the                                                                        opportunity for public comment. The
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                                                manner of the antitrust laws, nor are
                                                                                                          19 Id., at 244. (quoting H.R.Rep.No.1613, 75th
                                                                                                                                                              agency will consider all comments
                                                                                                        Cong., 1st Sess., 3 (1937).                           received by the date indicated in the
                                                unfair practices in commerce confined                     20 Id., at 244.
                                                to purely competitive behavior.18 The                     21 591 F. 3d 355 (5th Cir. 2009).
                                                                                                                                                              DATES section of this interim final rule
                                                FTC Act’s phrase, ‘‘‘unfair or deceptive                  22 Id. at 377 (Garza, J., dissenting).              with request for comments. After the
                                                                                                          23 495 F. 3d 1217 (10th Cir. 2007).                 comment period closes, the agency
                                                  18 FTC v. Sperry & Hutchinson Co., 405 U.S. 233         24 Id. at 1226–27.                                  intends to publish another document in
                                                (1972).                                                   25 Id. at 1226.                                     the Federal Register. The document will


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                                                                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                             92571

                                                include a discussion of any comments                    Register, lists criteria the Secretary will           Register. Likewise, 201.214 is being
                                                received and whether any amendments                     consider in determining whether a live                proposed in a separate rulemaking.
                                                will be made to the rule.                               poultry dealer has used a poultry grower              Section 201.3(a) formalizes GIPSA’s
                                                                                                        ranking system to compensate poultry                  longstanding position that conduct or
                                                V. Concurrent Publication of Proposed
                                                                                                        growers in an unfair, unjustly                        action can be found to violate sections
                                                §§ 201.210, 201.211, and 201.214
                                                                                                        discriminatory, or deceptive manner in                202(a) and/or 202(b) of the P&S Act
                                                   While some appellate courts have                     violation of section 202(a), or in a way              without a finding of harm or likely harm
                                                determined that a showing of                            that gives an undue or unreasonable                   to competition. GIPSA believes the
                                                competitive injury, or likelihood of                    preference or advantage to any poultry                interim final § 201.3(a) will serve to
                                                competitive injury, is required to allege               grower or subjects any poultry grower to              strengthen the protection afforded the
                                                a violation of sections 202(a) or 202(b),               an undue or unreasonable prejudice or                 nation’s livestock producers and poultry
                                                some dissenting opinions agreed with                    disadvantage in violation of section                  growers.
                                                USDA’s interpretation of sections 202(a)                202(b). GIPSA believes §§ 201.210,                       Section 201.3(a) states that a finding
                                                and 202(b) 26 and at least one dissenting               201.211, and 201.214, once published as               that the challenged conduct or action
                                                opinion stated that if GIPSA developed                  final rules, will mitigate potential costs            adversely affects or is likely to adversely
                                                regulation explaining whether a                         associated with § 201.3(a) by clarifying              affect competition is not necessary in all
                                                showing of competitive injury was                       what conduct or action would violate                  cases . . . Some unfair, unjustly
                                                required in a given circumstance, that                  section 202(a) and section 202(b).                    discriminatory, or deceptive practices
                                                regulation would entitle USDA to                        Listing examples and criteria to explain              do not result in competitive harm to the
                                                deference.27 Amending § 201.3 with the                  the boundaries for compliance with                    industry but still result in significant
                                                addition of § 201.3(a) provides a                       section 202 of the P&S Act will promote               harm to individual livestock producers,
                                                structural foundation for the                           compliance and reduce the number of                   swine production contract growers, and
                                                development of more specific                            disputes associated with section 202.                 poultry growers. If, for example, a
                                                regulations containing examples or                      Even while proposed §§ 201.210,                       livestock producer, swine production
                                                criteria GIPSA may then use to                          201.211, and 201.214 are being                        contract grower, or poultry grower filed
                                                determine if given conduct or action                    considered through the rulemaking                     a complaint related to a matter that does
                                                requires a showing of competitive injury                process, amending § 201.3 with the                    not result in competitive harm, such as
                                                or the potential for competitive injury to              addition of § 201.3(a) provides sufficient            retaliatory conduct, use of inaccurate
                                                allege a violation of section 202(a) or                 clarity to obtain deference from the                  scales, or providing a poultry grower
                                                section 202(b). As mentioned in the                                                                           sick birds, the livestock producer, swine
                                                                                                        courts.
                                                summary of comments, implementation                                                                           production contract grower, or poultry
                                                of these specific regulations may lower                 VI. Required Impact Analyses                          grower will be able to prevail without
                                                costs to some livestock producers, swine                                                                      proof of harm to competition or the
                                                                                                        A. Executive Order 12866 and
                                                production contract growers and poultry                                                                       likelihood of harm to competition.
                                                                                                        Regulatory Flexibility Act
                                                growers should they bring legal action                                                                        GIPSA believes the standard articulated
                                                for an alleged violation of section 202(a)                 This rulemaking has been determined                in § 201.3(a) is consistent with its
                                                or section 202(b). GIPSA acknowledges                   to be ‘‘economically significant’’ for the            mission, which is to ‘‘protect fair trade
                                                that § 201.3(a) may initially encourage                 purposes of Executive Order 12866 and,                practices, financial integrity and
                                                litigation, temporarily driving up overall              therefore, has been reviewed by the                   competitive markets for livestock, meats
                                                costs for stakeholders. While this                      Office of Management and Budget.                      and poultry.’’ 28 By removing the burden
                                                interim rule is a standalone rulemaking,                GIPSA is issuing this interim final rule              to prove harm or likely harm to
                                                it is worth noting that GIPSA’s current                 under the P&S Act, in part, to formalize              competition in all cases, this interim
                                                thinking is also expressed in separate                  USDA’s position that, in some cases, a                final rule promotes fairness and equity
                                                proposed rules published concurrently                   violation of section 202(a) or (b) can be             in the livestock and poultry industries.
                                                in this edition of the Federal Register.                proven without proof of competitive                      Section 201.3(a) may lower the costs
                                                GIPSA is proposing § 201.210, which                     injury or likelihood of competitive                   to some livestock producers, swine
                                                clarifies the conduct or action by                      injury. As a required part of the                     production contract growers, and
                                                packers, swine contractors, or live                     regulatory process, GIPSA prepared an                 poultry growers should they bring legal
                                                poultry dealers that GIPSA considers                    economic analysis of § 201.3(a). The                  action for an alleged violation of
                                                unfair, unjustly discriminatory, or                     first section of the analysis is an                   sections 202(a) and/or 202(b). However,
                                                deceptive and a violation of section                    introduction and a discussion of the                  § 201.3(a) may initially increase
                                                202(a), and clarifies whether a showing                 prevalence of contracting in the cattle,              litigation costs for the livestock and
                                                of harm to competition or likelihood of                 hog, and poultry industries as well as a              poultry industries while precedent
                                                harm to competition is required. GIPSA                  discussion of potential market failures.              setting decisions are established. While
                                                is also proposing § 201.211, which                      Next, GIPSA discusses three regulatory                this interim rule is a standalone
                                                identifies criteria the Secretary will                  alternatives it considered and presents a             rulemaking, it is worth noting that
                                                consider in determining whether                         summary cost-benefit analysis of each                 GIPSA’s current thinking is also
                                                conduct or action by packers, swine                     alternative. GIPSA then discusses the                 expressed in separate proposed rules,
                                                contractors, or live poultry dealers                    impact on small businesses.                           which will clarify to the industry the
                                                constitutes an undue or unreasonable                                                                          types of conduct and criteria that GIPSA
                                                preference or advantage and a violation                 Introduction
                                                                                                                                                              believes violate section 202(a) and
                                                of section 202(b). Section 201.214, as                     GIPSA issued a proposed rule on June               section 202(b) of the P&S Act.
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                                                proposed in this edition of the Federal                 22, 2010, which included §§ 201.3,                       Proposed § 201.210(a) specifies that
                                                                                                        201.210, 201.211, 201.214. GIPSA is                   any conduct or action by a packer,
                                                  26 Wheeler v. Pilgrim’s Pride Corp., 591 F.3d         issuing amendments to § 201.3 as an                   swine contractor, or live poultry dealer
                                                355(5th Cir. 2009) (9–7 decision en banc) (Judge        interim final rule and is proposing new
                                                Garza dissenting, joined by Judges Jolly, Barksdale,                                                          that is explicitly deemed to be an
                                                Dennis, Prado, Elrod and Haynes).                       versions of §§ 201.210 and 201.211 in a
                                                  27 Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc., 495 F.3d 1217, 1238     separate proposed rule published                        28 https://www.gipsa.usda.gov/laws/law/PS_

                                                (10th Cir. 2007).                                       concurrently in this issue of the Federal             act.pdf. Accessed on September 19, 2016.



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                                                92572                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                ‘‘unfair,’’ ‘‘unjustly discriminatory,’’ or                                 by placing some parameters on conduct                                    limit, by contract, the legal rights and
                                                ‘‘deceptive’’ practice or device by the                                     or action that constitutes unfair,                                       remedies of livestock producers, swine
                                                P&S Act is a per se violation of section                                    unjustly discriminatory, and deceptive                                   production contract growers, or poultry
                                                202(a). Section 201.210(b) provides                                         practices or devices under section                                       growers as unfair, unjustly
                                                examples of conduct or action that,                                         202(a), and on conduct or action that                                    discriminatory, or deceptive and a
                                                absent demonstration of a legitimate                                        constitutes undue or unreasonable                                        violation of section 202(a) regardless of
                                                business justification, are ‘‘unfair,’’                                     preferences or advantages under section                                  whether the conduct or action harms or
                                                ‘‘unjustly discriminatory,’’ or                                             202(b). Proposed §§ 201.210 and                                          is likely to harm competition. Section
                                                ‘‘deceptive’’ and a violation of section                                    201.211 focus heavily on contracts                                       201.211 defines criteria for section
                                                202(a) regardless of whether the conduct                                    between livestock producers and                                          202(b) violations with respect to
                                                or action harms or is likely to harm                                        packers, swine production contract                                       providing undue or unreasonable
                                                competition. Section 201.210(c)                                             growers and swine contractors, and                                       preferences or advantages to one or
                                                specifies that any conduct or action that                                   poultry growers and live poultry
                                                                                                                                                                                                     more livestock producers or contract
                                                harms or is likely to harm competition                                      dealers.
                                                                                                                              While proposed §§ 201.210 and                                          growers as compared to other livestock
                                                is an ‘‘unfair,’’ ‘‘unjustly
                                                discriminatory,’’ or ‘‘deceptive’’ practice                                 201.211 focus heavily on contracts,                                      producers or contract growers.
                                                or device and a violation of section                                        § 201.3(a) is broad in nature. It applies                                   The type of contracting varies among
                                                202(a). Many of the examples provided                                       to the use of all types of livestock and                                 cattle, hogs, and poultry. Broilers, the
                                                in § 201.210(b) relate to conduct or                                        poultry procurement and growing                                          largest segment of poultry, are almost
                                                action that limits, by contract, the legal                                  arrangements by packers, swine                                           exclusively grown under production
                                                rights and remedies afforded by law to                                      contractors, and live poultry dealers,                                   contracts, while a small percentage of
                                                poultry growers, swine production                                           including packers’ use of negotiated                                     cattle are custom fed and shipped
                                                contract growers, and livestock                                             cash purchases of livestock. As                                          directly for slaughter this activity is not
                                                producers. Other examples specify                                           discussed below, contracting broadly                                     subject to the jurisdiction of the P&S
                                                conduct or actions that violate section                                     defined, is the primary method by                                        Act. Hog production falls between these
                                                202(a).                                                                     which livestock are procured (especially                                 two extremes. As shown in Table 1
                                                   As required by the 2008 Farm Bill,                                       for hogs) and the almost exclusive                                       below, over 96 percent of all broilers are
                                                proposed § 201.211 specifies criteria the                                   arrangement under which poultry are                                      grown under contractual arrangements
                                                Secretary will consider when                                                produced. A discussion of contracting                                    and over 40 percent of all hogs are
                                                determining whether an undue or                                             in these industries is, therefore, useful                                grown under contractual arrangements.
                                                unreasonable preference or advantage                                        in explaining the need for § 201.3(a) and                                Live poultry dealers typically own the
                                                has occurred in violation of section                                        laying the foundation for the economic                                   broilers and provide the growers with
                                                202(b). The first four (4) criteria require                                 analysis of 201.3(a).
                                                                                                                                                                                                     feed and medications. Contract growers
                                                the Secretary to consider whether one or
                                                                                                                            Prevalence of Contracting in Cattle, Hog,                                provide the housing, labor, water,
                                                more livestock producers, swine
                                                                                                                            and Poultry Industries                                                   electricity and fuel to grow the birds.
                                                production contract growers, or poultry
                                                growers is treated more favorably as                                           Contracting is an important and                                       Similarly, swine contractors typically
                                                compared to other similarly situated                                        prevalent feature in the production and                                  own the slaughter hogs and sell the
                                                livestock producers, swine production                                       marketing of livestock and poultry.                                      finished hogs to pork packers. The
                                                contract growers, or poultry growers.                                       Although § 201.3(a) applies to the                                       swine contractors typically provide feed
                                                The fifth criterion in § 201.211 requires                                   livestock and poultry industries in                                      and medication to the contract growers
                                                the Secretary to consider whether the                                       general, proposed §§ 201.210 and                                         who own the growing facilities and
                                                packer, swine contractor, or live poultry                                   201.211 primarily affect livestock and                                   provide growing services. With the
                                                dealer has demonstrated a legitimate                                        poultry grown or marketed under                                          exception of turkey production, the use
                                                business justification for conduct or                                       contract. For example, under                                             of contract growing arrangements has
                                                action that may otherwise be an undue                                       § 201.210(b)(2), absent demonstration of                                 remained relatively stable over the years
                                                or unreasonable preference or                                               a legitimate business justification,                                     that the Census of Agriculture has
                                                advantage.                                                                  GIPSA considers conduct or action by                                     published data on commodities raised
                                                   Proposed §§ 201.210 and 201.211 will                                     packers, swine contractors, or live                                      and delivered under production
                                                thus limit the application of § 201.3(a)                                    poultry dealers that limit or attempt to                                 contracts as Table 1 shows.

                                                           TABLE 1—PERCENTAGE OF POULTRY AND HOGS RAISED AND DELIVERED UNDER PRODUCTION CONTRACTS 29
                                                                                                                  Species                                                                              2002             2007              2012

                                                Broilers .........................................................................................................................................            98.0             96.5              96.4
                                                Turkeys ........................................................................................................................................              41.7             67.7              68.5
                                                Hogs .............................................................................................................................................            42.9             43.3              43.5



                                                  Another contract category is                                              Arrangements (AMAs). Pricing                                             carcass merits. The livestock seller and
                                                marketing contracts, where producers                                        mechanisms vary across AMAs. Some                                        packer agree on a pricing mechanism
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                                                market their livestock to a packer for                                      AMAs rely on a spot market for at least                                  under AMAs, but usually not on a
                                                slaughter under a verbal or written                                         one aspect of its price, while others                                    specific price.
                                                agreement. These are commonly                                               involve complicated pricing formulas                                       USDA’s Agricultural Marketing
                                                referred to as Alternative Marketing                                        with premiums and discounts based on                                     Service (AMS) reports the number of

                                                 29 Agricultural Census, 2007 and 2012. https://                            Report/Volume_1,_Chapter_1_US/ and https://                              www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2007/Full_
                                                www.agcensus.usda.gov/Publications/2012/Full_                                                                                                        Report/Volume_1,_Chapter_1_US/.



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                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                                    92573

                                                cattle sold to packers under formula,                                       illustrates the prevalence of contracting
                                                forward contract, and negotiated pricing                                    in the marketing of fed cattle.
                                                mechanisms. The following table

                                                                                            TABLE 2—PERCENTAGE OF FED CATTLE SOLD BY TYPE OF PURCHASE 30
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Forward
                                                                                                                    Year                                                                               Formula                             Negotiated
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          contract

                                                2005   .............................................................................................................................................           30.4               5.0               64.6
                                                2006   .............................................................................................................................................           31.5               6.8               61.7
                                                2007   .............................................................................................................................................           33.2               8.3               58.5
                                                2008   .............................................................................................................................................           37.4               9.9               52.7
                                                2009   .............................................................................................................................................           43.7               7.0               49.3
                                                2010   .............................................................................................................................................           44.9               9.5               45.6
                                                2011   .............................................................................................................................................           48.4              10.9               40.7
                                                2012   .............................................................................................................................................           54.7              11.4               33.8
                                                2013   .............................................................................................................................................           60.0              10.2               29.8
                                                2014   .............................................................................................................................................           58.1              14.2               27.6
                                                2015   .............................................................................................................................................           58.2              16.5               25.3



                                                  GIPSA considers cattle sold under                                         Approximately 35 percent of fed cattle                                     contracts. These hogs are then sold by
                                                formula pricing methods as sold under                                       were marketed under contracts in 2005.                                     swine contractors to packers under
                                                AMA contracts. Thus, the first two                                          By 2015, the percentage of fed cattle                                      marketing contracts. The prevalence of
                                                columns in the above table are cattle                                       marketed to packers under contracts had                                    marketing contracts in the sale of
                                                marketed under contract and the third                                       increased to almost 75 percent, while                                      finished hogs, which includes
                                                column represents the spot market for                                       negotiated spot market transactions                                        production contract and non-production
                                                fed cattle. The data in the table above                                     have decreased to about 25 percent of                                      contract hogs, to packers is even more
                                                show that the contracting of cattle has                                     all transactions.                                                          prevalent as shown in the table below.
                                                                                                                               As discussed above, over 40 percent
                                                increased significantly since 2005.
                                                                                                                            of hogs are grown under production
                                                                                                  TABLE 3—PERCENTAGE OF HOGS SOLD BY TYPE OF PURCHASE 31
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Other
                                                                                                                                                                                                       marketing
                                                                                                                    Year                                                                                                Formula 33         Negotiated
                                                                                                                                                                                                       arrange-
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ments 32

                                                2005   .............................................................................................................................................           39.3              49.7               11.0
                                                2006   .............................................................................................................................................           44.0              46.4                9.6
                                                2007   .............................................................................................................................................           44.8              46.5                8.7
                                                2008   .............................................................................................................................................           43.9              47.6                8.5
                                                2009   .............................................................................................................................................           42.8              50.4                6.8
                                                2010   .............................................................................................................................................           45.4              49.4                5.2
                                                2011   .............................................................................................................................................           47.6              48.2                4.2
                                                2012   .............................................................................................................................................           47.7              48.6                3.6
                                                2013   .............................................................................................................................................           48.3              48.4                3.2
                                                2014   .............................................................................................................................................           45.9              51.4                2.7
                                                2015   .............................................................................................................................................           46.0              51.4                2.6



                                                  Similar to cattle, the percentage of                                      elicit the production of products with                                        In 2007, RTI International conducted
                                                hogs sold under marketing contracts has                                     specific quality attributes by tying                                       a comprehensive study of marketing
                                                increased since 2005 to over 97 percent                                     prices to those attributes, and smooth                                     practices in the livestock and red meat
                                                in 2015. The spot market for hogs has                                       the flows of commodities to processing                                     industries from farmers to retailers (the
                                                declined to 2.6 percent in 2015. As                                         plants encouraging more efficient use of                                   RTI Study).34 The RTI Study analyzed
                                                these data demonstrate, almost all hogs                                     farm and processing capacities.                                            the extent of use, price relationships,
                                                are marketed under some type of                                             Agricultural contracts can also lead to                                    and costs and benefits of contracting,
                                                marketing contract.                                                         improvements in efficiency throughout                                      including AMAs. The RTI Study found
                                                                                                                            the supply chain for products by                                           that AMAs increased the economic
                                                Benefits of Contracting in Cattle, Hog,
                                                                                                                            providing farmers with incentives to                                       efficiency of the livestock markets and
                                                and Poultry Industries
                                                                                                                            deliver products consumers desire and                                      yielded economic benefits to
                                                  Contracts have many benefits. They                                        produce products in ways that reduce                                       consumers, producers and packers.
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                                                help farmers and livestock producers                                        processing costs and, ultimately, retail                                      The RTI Study found that efficiencies
                                                manage price and production risks,                                          prices.                                                                    come from less volatility in volume and
                                                  30 USDA’s Agricultural Marketing Service.                                    31 USDA’sAgricultural Marketing Service.                                 33 Includes Swine Pork Market Formula, Other

                                                https://mpr.datamart.ams.usda.gov/                                             32 Includes
                                                                                                                                        Packer Owned and Packer Sold, Other                            Market Formula.
                                                menu.do?path=Products\Cattle\Weekly. Accessed                               Purchase Arrangements.                                                      34 RTI International, 2007, GIPSA Livestock and

                                                on September 9, 2016                                                                                                                                   Meat Marketing Study, Prepared for GIPSA.



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                                                92574                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                more intensive use of production and                                       parties resulting from size differences                         renewal. Hold-up risk is a potential
                                                processing facilities, meaning less                                        between contracting parties or the use of                       market failure and is discussed in detail
                                                capital, labor, feed, and materials per                                    market power by one of the contracting                          in the next section. These risks may be
                                                pound of meat produced. Efficiencies                                       parties, the contracts may have                                 heightened when there are no
                                                also come from reduced transaction                                         detrimental effects on one of the                               alternative buyers for the grower to
                                                costs and from sending price signals to                                    contracting parties and may result in                           switch to, or when the capital
                                                better match the meat attributes to                                        inefficiencies in the marketplace.                              investment is specific to the original
                                                consumer demand. Consumers benefit                                            For example, a contract that ties a                          buyer.35 Some growers make substantial
                                                from lower meat prices and meat with                                       grower to a single purchaser of a                               long-term capital investments as part of
                                                desired attributes. In turn, the consumer                                  specialized commodity or service, even                          livestock or poultry production
                                                benefits increase livestock demand,                                        if the contract provides for fair                               contracts, including land, poultry or hog
                                                which provides benefits to producers.                                      compensation to the grower, still leaves                        houses, and equipment. Those
                                                                                                                           the grower subject to default risks                             investments may tie the grower to a
                                                Structural Issues in the Cattle, Hog, and
                                                                                                                           should the contractor fail. Another                             single contractor or integrator. Costs
                                                Poultry Industries
                                                                                                                           example is a contract that covers a                             associated with default risks and hold-
                                                  As the above discussion highlights,                                      shorter term than the life of the capital                       up risks are important to many growers
                                                there are important benefits associated                                    (a poultry house, for example). The                             in the industry. The table below shows
                                                with the use of agriculture contracts in                                   grower may face the hold-up risk that                           the number of integrators that broiler
                                                the cattle, hog, and poultry industries.                                   the contractor may require additional                           growers have in their local areas by
                                                However, if there are large disparities in                                 capital investments or may impose                               percent of total farms and by total
                                                the bargaining power among contracting                                     lower returns at the time of contract                           production.

                                                                                                         TABLE 4—INTEGRATOR CHOICE FOR BROILER GROWERS 36
                                                                                                                                                                                   Percent of total                        Can change to
                                                                               Integrators in grower’s area 37                                                                                                           another integrator
                                                                                                                                                                   Farms                Birds             Production     (percent of farms)

                                                Number:
                                                   1 ........................................................................................................               21.7                23.4             24.5                       7
                                                   2 ........................................................................................................               30.2                31.9             31.7                      52
                                                   3 ........................................................................................................               20.4                20.4             19.7                      62
                                                   4 ........................................................................................................               16.1                14.9             14.8                      71
                                                   >4 ......................................................................................................                 7.8                 6.7              6.6                      77
                                                   No Response ....................................................................................                          3.8                 2.7              2.7                      Na



                                                   The data in the table show that 52                                      (2) high asset-specific capital costs with                      and poultry processing industries. The
                                                percent of broiler growers, accounting                                     few alternative uses of the capital; (3)                        barriers to entry discussed above may
                                                for 56 percent of total production, report                                 brand loyalty of consumers, customer                            have limited the entry of new
                                                having only one or two integrators in                                      loyalty to the incumbent processors, and                        processors, which limits the expansion
                                                their local areas. This limited integrator                                 high customer switching costs; and (4)                          of choice of processors to which
                                                choice may accentuate the contract                                         governmental food safety, bio-hazard,                           livestock producers market their
                                                risks. A 2006 survey indicated that                                        and environmental regulations.                                  livestock. Barriers to entry also limit the
                                                growers facing a single integrator                                         Consistent with these barriers, there has                       expansion of choice for poultry growers
                                                received 7 to 8 percent less                                               been limited new entry.                                         who have only one or two integrators in
                                                compensation, on average, than farmers                                        However, an area where entry has                             their local areas with no potential
                                                located in areas with 4 or more                                            been successful is in developing and                            entrants on the horizon. The limited
                                                integrators.38 If live poultry dealers                                     niche markets, such as organic meat and                         expansion of choice of processors by
                                                already possess some market power to                                       free-range chicken. Developing and                              livestock producers, swine production
                                                force prices for poultry growing services                                  niche markets have a relatively small                           contract growers, and poultry growers
                                                below competitive levels, some                                             consumer market that is willing to pay                          may limit contract choices and the
                                                contracts can extend that power by                                         higher prices, which supports smaller                           bargaining power of producers and
                                                raising the costs of entry for new                                         plant sizes. Niche processors are                               growers in negotiating contracts.
                                                competitors, or allowing for price                                         generally small, however, and do not
                                                discrimination.39                                                          offer opportunities to many producers                              One indication of potential market
                                                                                                                           or growers.                                                     power is industry concentration.40 The
                                                   Many beef, pork, and poultry
                                                                                                                                                                                           following table shows the level of
                                                processing markets face barriers to                                           Economies of scale have resulted in
                                                entry, including; (1) Economies of scale;                                  large processing plants in the beef, pork,                      concentration in the livestock and

                                                  35 See Vukina and Leegomonchai, Oligopsony                               2011. ‘‘Respondents were asked the number of                    Implications, New York: The Free Press (1975);
                                                Power, Asset Specificity, and Hold-Up: Evidence                            integrators in their area. They were also asked if              Edlin, Aaron S. & Stefan Reichelstein (1996)
                                                From The Broiler Industry, American Journal of                             they could change to another integrator if they
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                                                                                                                                                                                           ‘‘Holdups, Standard Breach Remedies, and Optimal
                                                Agricultural Economics, 88(3): 589–605 (August                             stopped raising broilers for their current integrator.’’        Investment,’’ The American Economic Review
                                                2006).                                                                     Ibid. p. 30
                                                  36 MacDonald, James M. Technology,                                         38 MacDonald, J. and N. Key. ‘‘Market Power in
                                                                                                                                                                                           86(3): 478–501 (June 1996).
                                                                                                                                                                                              40 For additional discussion see MacDonald, J.M.
                                                Organization, and Financial Performance in U.S.                            Poultry Production Contracting? Evidence from a
                                                Broiler Production. USDA, Economic Research                                Farm Survey.’’ Journal of Agricultural and Applied              2016 ‘‘Concentration, contracting, and competition
                                                Service, June 2014.                                                        Economics. 44(4) (November 2012): 477–490.                      policy in U.S. agribusiness,’’ Competition Law
                                                  37 Percentages were determined from the USDA                               39 See, for example, Williamson, Oliver E.                    Review, No. 1–2016: 3–8.
                                                Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS),                            Markets and Hierarchies: Analysis and Antitrust



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                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                           92575

                                                poultry slaughtering industries for
                                                2005–2015.

                                                                                  TABLE 5—FOUR-FIRM CONCENTRATION IN LIVESTOCK AND POULTRY SLAUGHTER 41
                                                                                                                                                                            Steers &            Hogs             Broilers           Turkeys
                                                                                                      Year                                                                   heifers             (%)               (%)                (%)
                                                                                                                                                                              (%)

                                                2005   .................................................................................................................               80               64                  n.a.               n.a.
                                                2006   .................................................................................................................               81               61                  n.a.               n.a.
                                                2007   .................................................................................................................               80               65                   57                 52
                                                2008   .................................................................................................................               79               65                   57                 51
                                                2009   .................................................................................................................               86               63                   53                 58
                                                2010   .................................................................................................................               85               65                   51                 56
                                                2011   .................................................................................................................               85               64                   52                 55
                                                2012   .................................................................................................................               85               64                   51                 53
                                                2013   .................................................................................................................               85               64                   54                 53
                                                2014   .................................................................................................................               83               62                   51                 58
                                                2015   .................................................................................................................               85               66                   51                 57



                                                   The table above shows the                                                strategies in response to attempts to                             manipulation of commodity or food
                                                concentration of the four largest steer                                     exploit market power.                                             prices.
                                                and heifer slaughterers has remained                                           For example, in 2009, the Government                              Another factor GIPSA considered in
                                                relatively stable between 79 and 86                                         Accountability Office (GAO) reviewed                              proposing §§ 201.210 and 201.211 is the
                                                percent since 2005. Hog and broiler                                         33 studies published since 1990 that                              contrast in size and scale between
                                                slaughter concentration has also                                            were relevant for assessing the effect of                         livestock producers, swine production
                                                remained relatively steady at over 60                                       concentration on commodity or food                                contract growers, and poultry growers
                                                percent and 50 percent, respectively.                                       prices in the beef, pork, or dairy                                and the packers, swine contractors, and
                                                   The data in Table 5 are estimates of                                     sectors.43 Most of the studies found no                           live poultry dealers they supply. The
                                                national concentration and the size                                         evidence of market power, or found that                           disparity in size between large
                                                differences discussed below are also at                                     the efficiency gains from concentration                           oligopsonistic buyers and atomistic
                                                the national level, but the economic                                        were larger than the market power                                 sellers may lead to market power and
                                                markets for livestock and poultry may                                       effects. Efficiency gains would be larger                         asymmetric information. The 2012
                                                be regional or local, and concentration                                     if increased concentration led to                                 Census of Agriculture reported 740,978
                                                in regional or local areas may be higher                                    reduced processing costs (likely to occur                         cattle and calf farms with 69.76 million
                                                than national measures. For example,                                        if there are scale economies 44 in                                head of cattle for an average of 94 head
                                                while poultry markets may appear to be                                      processing), and if the reduced costs led                         per operation. Ninety-one percent of
                                                the least concentrated in terms of the                                      to a larger effect on prices than the                             these were family or individually-
                                                four-firm concentration ratios presented                                    opposing impact of fewer firms. For                               owned operations.45 The largest one
                                                above, economic markets for poultry                                         example, with respect to beef                                     percent of cattle farms sold about 51
                                                growing services are more localized                                         processing, the GAO report concluded                              percent of the cattle sold by all cattle
                                                than markets for fed cattle or hogs, and                                    that concentration in the beef processing                         farms.
                                                local concentration in poultry markets is                                   sector has been, overall, beneficial                                 There were 33,880 cattle feeding
                                                greater than in hog and other livestock                                     because the efficiency effects dominated                          operations in 2012 that sold 25.47
                                                markets.42 The data presented earlier in                                    the market power effects, thereby                                 million head of fed cattle for an average
                                                Table 4 highlight this issue by showing                                     reducing farm-to-wholesale beef                                   of 752 head per feedlot. The 607 largest
                                                the limited ability a poultry grower has                                    margins.                                                          feedlots sold about 75 percent of the fed
                                                to switch to a different integrator. As a                                      Several studies reviewed by the GAO                            cattle, and averaged 32,111 head sold.
                                                result, national concentration may not                                      did find evidence of market power in                              About 80 percent of feedlots were
                                                demonstrate accurately the options                                          the retail sector, in that food prices                            family or individually owned.46 As
                                                poultry growers in a particular region                                      exceeded competitive levels or that                               Table 5 shows, the four largest cattle
                                                actually face.                                                              commodity prices fell below                                       packers processed about 85 percent,
                                                   Empirical evidence does not show a                                       competitive levels. However, the GAO                              25.47 million head, for an average of
                                                strong or simple relationship between                                       study also concluded that it was not                              5.41 million head per cattle packer. This
                                                increases in concentration and increases                                    clear whether market power was caused                             means the average top four cattle
                                                in market power. Other factors matter,                                      by concentration or some other factor. In                         packers had 57,574 times the volume of
                                                including the ease of entry by new                                          interviews with experts, the GAO report                           the average cattle farm, and 1,054 times
                                                producers into a concentrated industry                                      concluded that increases in                                       the volume of the largest one percent of
                                                and the ease with which retail food                                         concentration may raise greater                                   cattle farms. It also means the average
                                                buyers or agricultural commodity sellers                                    concerns in the future about the                                  top four cattle packers had 7,197 times
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                                                can change their buying or marketing                                        potential for market power and the                                the volume of the average feedlot, and
                                                   41 The data on cattle and hogs were compiled                               42 MacDonald and Key (2012) Op. Cit. and Vukina                 Concentration on Agricultural Commodity and
                                                from USDA’s NASS data of federally inspected                                and Leegomonchai (2006) Op. Cit.                                  Retail Food Prices.
                                                slaughter plants. Data on broilers and turkeys were                           43 United States Government Accountability                        44 Scale economies are present when average

                                                compiled from Packers and Stockyards industry                               Office. Concentration in Agriculture. GAO–09–                     production costs decrease as output increases.
                                                                                                                                                                                                45 Census of Agriculture, 2012.
                                                annual reports. Both data sources are proprietary.                          746R. Enclosure II: Potential Effects of
                                                                                                                                                                                                46 Ibid.




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                                                92576            Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                169 times the volume of the very largest                   may have detrimental effects on                       level of concentration in the livestock
                                                feedlots.                                                  livestock producers, swine production                 and poultry slaughtering industries and
                                                   The USDA, National Agricultural                         contract growers, and poultry growers                 shows that integrators and livestock
                                                Statistics Service 2012 livestock                          due to the structural issues discussed                packers operate in concentrated
                                                slaughter summary reported that in                         above and may result in inefficiencies in             markets.
                                                2012, 113.16 million head of hogs were                     the marketplace.                                        This rule would allow growers to file
                                                commercially slaughtered in the United                                                                           complaints against integrators that
                                                                                                           Hold-Up as a Potential Market Failure                 renege, giving some of the incentive
                                                States.47 Table 5 shows that the top four
                                                hog packers processed about 64 percent                        Integrators demand investment in                   benefit of competition, without
                                                of those hogs, which comes to an                           fixed assets from the growers. One                    compromising the efficiency of having a
                                                average of about 18.1 million head of                      example is specific types of poultry                  few large processors.
                                                hogs per top four packer. The 2012                         houses and equipment the integrator
                                                                                                           may require the grower to utilize in                  Contracting, Industry Structure, and
                                                Census of Agriculture reported 55,882                                                                            Market Failure: Summary of the Need
                                                farms with hog and pig sales.48 About                      their growing operations. These
                                                                                                           investments may improve efficiency by                 for Regulation
                                                83 percent of the farms were family or
                                                individually owned. Of the 55,882 farms                    more than the cost of installation.                      There are benefits of contracting in
                                                with hog and pig sales, 47,336 farms                       Typically, the improved efficiency                    the livestock and poultry industries, as
                                                were independent growers raising hogs                      would accrue to both the integrator and               well as structural issues that may result
                                                and pigs for themselves (sold an average                   the grower. The integrator has lower                  in unequal bargaining power and market
                                                of 1,931 head), 8,031 were swine                           feed costs, and the grower performs                   failures. These structural issues and
                                                production contract growers raising                        better relative to other poultry growers              market failures will be mitigated by
                                                hogs and pigs for someone else (an                         in a settlement group. If the grower                  relieving plaintiffs from the requirement
                                                average of 10,970 head per swine                           bears the entire cost of installation, then           to demonstrate competitive injury. For
                                                production contract grower), and 515                       the grower should be further                          instance, contracting parties can
                                                were swine contractors (sold an average                    compensated for the feed conversion                   alleviate hold-up problems if they are
                                                of 38,058 head per swine contractor).49                    gains that accrue to the integrator. The              able to write complete contracts, and are
                                                   The National Chicken Council states                     risk is that after the assets are installed,          able to litigate to enforce the terms of
                                                that in 2016, approximately 35                             the cost to the grower is ‘‘sunk.’’ This              those contracts when there is an attempt
                                                                                                           means that if the integrator reneges on               to engage in ex-post hold-up. Because
                                                companies were involved in the
                                                                                                           paying compensation for the additional                proving competitive injury is difficult
                                                business of raising, processing, and
                                                                                                           capital investments, and insists on                   and costly, removing that burden will
                                                marketing chicken on a vertically
                                                                                                           maintaining the lower price, the grower               facilitate the use of litigation by
                                                integrated basis, while about 25,000
                                                                                                           will accept that lower price rather than              producers and growers to address
                                                family farmers had production contracts
                                                                                                           receive nothing. This allows the                      violations of the Packers and Stockyards
                                                with those companies.50 That comes to
                                                                                                           integrator to get the benefit of the                  Act. If growers are able to seek legal
                                                about 714 family-growers per company.
                                                                                                           efficiency gains, at no expense to them,              remedies, then their contracts are easier
                                                Collectively, the family-growers
                                                                                                           with the grower bearing all of the cost.              to enforce. This will incentivize
                                                produced about 95 percent of the nearly
                                                                                                           This reneging is termed ‘‘hold-up’’ in                packers, swine contractors, and
                                                9 billion broilers produced in the                         the economic literature.51
                                                United States in 2015. The other 5                                                                               integrators to avoid exploitation of
                                                                                                              Hold-up can have two consequences                  market power and asymmetric
                                                percent were grown on company-owned                        that result in a misallocation of
                                                farms. That means the average family-                                                                            information, as well as behaviors that
                                                                                                           resources. If the growers do not                      result in the market failure of hold-up.
                                                grower produced about 342,000 broilers.                    anticipate hold-up, then growers will
                                                As Table 5 shows, the four largest                                                                               The result will be improved efficiency
                                                                                                           spend too much on investments because                 in the livestock and poultry markets.
                                                poultry companies in the United States                     the integrator who demands them is not                   GIPSA has a clear role to ensure that
                                                accounted for 51 percent of the broilers                   incurring any cost. That is inefficient. If           market failures are mitigated so that
                                                processed. That means the average                          the grower does anticipate hold-up, they              livestock and poultry markets remain
                                                volume processed by the four largest                       will act as if the integrator were going              fair and competitive. Section 201.3(a)
                                                poultry companies was about 1.15                           to renege even when they were not,                    seeks to fulfill that role by promoting
                                                billion head, which was 3,357 times the                    resulting in too little investment and a              fairness and equity for livestock
                                                average family grower’s volume.                            loss of potential efficiency gains.                   producers, swine production contract
                                                   As the above discussion highlights,                        Hold-up can be resolved with                       growers, and poultry growers.
                                                there are large size differences between                   increased competition. If an integrator
                                                livestock producers and meat packers.                      developed a reputation for reneging, and              Costs of the Regulations Proposed on
                                                There are also large size differences                      growers could go elsewhere, the initial               June 22, 2010
                                                between poultry growers and the live                       integrator would be punished and                        GIPSA issued a proposed rule on June
                                                poultry dealers which they supply.                         disincentivized from reneging in the                  22, 2010, which included §§ 201.3,
                                                These size differences may contribute to                   future. Unfortunately, in practice, many              201.210, and 201.211. GIPSA received
                                                unequal bargaining power due to                            growers do not have the option of going               and considered thousands of comments
                                                monopsony market power or oligopsony                       elsewhere.                                            before finalizing § 201.3(a) and before
                                                market power, or asymmetric                                   Data shown above in Table 4 indicate               proposing the current versions of
                                                information. The result is that the                        that there are few integrators in these               §§ 201.210, and 201.211. The following
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                                                contracts bargained between the parties                    markets, and that growers have limited                provisions were proposed in 2010 but
                                                                                                           choice. Table 5, above, indicates the                 are not in § 201.3 or currently proposed
                                                  47 Ibid.
                                                  48 A
                                                                                                                                                                 §§ 201.210 and 201.211.
                                                        pig is a generic term for a young hog.
                                                  49 Agricultural
                                                                                                             51 See for example, Benjamin Klein, Robert G.
                                                                                                                                                                   • Applicability to all stages of a live
                                                                   Census, 2012.                           Crawford, and Armen A. Alchian, ‘‘Vertical
                                                  50 http://www.nationalchickencouncil.org/about-          Integration, Appropriable Rents, and the
                                                                                                                                                                 poultry dealer’s poultry production,
                                                the-industry/statistics/broiler-chicken-industry-key-      Competitive Contracting Process,’’ The Journal of     including pullets, laying hens, breeders,
                                                facts/.                                                    Law and Economics 21, no. 2 (Oct., 1978): 297–326.    and broilers (§ 201.3(a)).


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                                                                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                92577

                                                   • Applicability to all swine                         $1.03 billion over the first five years.55              GIPSA does not expect that the
                                                production contracts, poultry growing                   The Elam Study identified $6 million as               current § 201.3(a) would cause beef and
                                                arrangements and livestock production                   one-time administrative costs. Most of                pork markets to abandon half of the
                                                and marketing contracts, including                      the costs would be indirect costs                     value added from branded products.
                                                formula and forward contracts                           resulting from efficiency losses.56 More              Current § 201.3(a) does not prevent
                                                (§ 201.3(b)).                                           than half of the costs would be due to                packers from offering quality incentives
                                                   • Requirement that packers, live                     a reduced rate of improvement in feed                 to hog or cattle feeders, and any vertical
                                                poultry dealers, and swine contractors                  efficiency. Again, these cost estimates               coordination among feeders and
                                                maintain records justifying differences                 were for all of the 2010 proposed                     producers would be outside of GIPSA’s
                                                in prices (§ 201.210(a)(5)).                            changes, many of which do not apply.                  jurisdiction.
                                                   • Provision prohibiting packers from                    The Informa Study estimated that the                 Given the differences from the rule
                                                purchasing livestock from other packers                 proposed provision requiring packers to               proposed in 2010, the estimates from
                                                (§ 201.212(c)).                                         refrain from entering into exclusive
                                                   • Requirement that packers offer the                                                                       the Elam Study likely overstated the
                                                                                                        agreements with livestock dealers                     costs of compliance to the poultry
                                                same terms to groups of small producers                 would cost livestock auctions as much
                                                as offered to large producers when the                                                                        industry with current § 201.3(a) by at
                                                                                                        as $85.5 million.57 Because GIPSA has                 least $115 million over five years. The
                                                group can collectively meet the same                    no current plans to propose the
                                                quantity commitments (§ 201.211(a)).                                                                          Informa Study estimates would
                                                                                                        ‘‘exclusive agreements’’ rule, those costs            overstate costs of compliance to the
                                                   • Requirement that packers refrain
                                                                                                        no longer apply. The Informa Study did                cattle, hog, and poultry industries with
                                                from entering into exclusive agreements
                                                                                                        not directly specify how much the                     current § 201.3(a) by at least $500
                                                with livestock dealers (§ 201.212(b)).
                                                   • Requirements that packers and live                 estimates in the study attributed to each             million. If packers, swine contractors,
                                                poultry dealers submit sample contracts                 of the other provisions, but GIPSA                    and live poultry dealers overstated their
                                                to GIPSA for posting to the public                      expects that their omission will                      willingness to alter their business
                                                (§ 201.213).                                            substantially reduce the cost of                      practices, then the estimates could be
                                                   Although many thousands of the                       § 201.3(a).                                           overstated that much more.
                                                comments submitted contained general                       Estimates of the costs in the Informa
                                                                                                        Study and the Elam Study were largely                 Cost-Benefit Analysis of § 201.3(a)
                                                qualitative assessments of either the
                                                costs or benefits of the proposed rule,                 due to projections that packers, swine                Regulatory Alternatives Considered
                                                only two comments systematically                        contractors, and live poultry dealers,
                                                                                                        would alter business practices in                        Executive Order 12866 requires an
                                                described quantitative costs across the
                                                                                                        reaction to the proposed rule. For                    assessment of costs and benefits of
                                                rule provisions. Comments from the
                                                                                                        example, the Informa Study projected                  potentially effective and reasonably
                                                National Meat Association (NMA)
                                                                                                        that packers would reduce the number                  feasible alternatives to the planned
                                                included cost estimates by Informa
                                                                                                        and types of AMAs to avoid potential                  regulation and an explanation of why
                                                Economics (the Informa Study). The
                                                                                                        litigation,58 and the Elam Study                      the planned regulatory action is
                                                Informa Study projected costs of $880
                                                                                                        expected live poultry dealers to evaluate             preferable to the potential alternatives.61
                                                million, $401 million, and $362 million
                                                                                                        each load of feed delivered to growers                GIPSA considered three regulatory
                                                for U.S. cattle and beef, hogs and pork,
                                                                                                        to avoid litigation.59                                alternatives. The first alternative that
                                                and poultry industries respectively.52
                                                                                                           The estimates from the Informa Study               GIPSA considered is the baseline to
                                                However, these cost estimates were for
                                                                                                        and the Elam Study may overstate costs                maintain the status quo and not finalize
                                                all of the 2010 proposed changes, many
                                                                                                        because the studies relied on interviews              § 201.3(a). The second alternative that
                                                of which do not apply. The Informa
                                                                                                        of packers, swine contractors, live                   GIPSA considered is to issue § 201.3(a)
                                                Study estimated $133.3 million to be
                                                                                                        poultry dealers, and other stakeholders               as an interim final regulation. This is
                                                one-time direct costs resulting from
                                                                                                        for much of the basis for the estimates               GIPSA’s preferred alternative as will be
                                                rewriting contracts, additional record
                                                                                                        of the willingness of packers, swine                  explained below. The third alternative
                                                keeping, etc.53 The majority of the costs
                                                                                                        contractors, and live poultry dealers to              that GIPSA considered is issuing
                                                would be indirect costs. The Informa
                                                                                                        alter their business practices. Moreover,             § 201.3(a) as an interim final regulation,
                                                Study estimated $880.9 million in costs
                                                                                                        neither study considered benefits from                but exempting small businesses, as
                                                due to efficiency losses and $459.9
                                                                                                        the proposed rule.                                    defined by the Small Business
                                                million in costs due to reduced demand
                                                                                                                                                              Administration, from having to comply
                                                caused by a reduction in meat quality                      The Informa Study projected that the               with the regulation.
                                                resulting from fewer AMAs.                              regulations proposed in 2010 would
                                                   Comments from the National Chicken                   cause beef and pork packers to limit                  Regulatory Option 1: Status Quo
                                                Council (NCC) included cost estimates                   their involvement in vertical
                                                prepared by Dr. Thomas E. Elam,                         arrangements, and without those                          If § 201.3(a) is never finalized, there
                                                President, FarmEcon LLC (the Elam                       arrangements, they would not be able to               are no marginal costs and marginal
                                                Study).54 The Elam Study estimated that                 produce the branded products they                     benefits as industry participants will not
                                                the entire 2010 proposed rule would                     currently offer. The Informa Study                    alter their conduct. From a cost
                                                cost the chicken industry $84 million in                projected that, as a result, beef and pork            standpoint, this is the least cost
                                                the first year increasing to $337 million               markets would lose $460 million, which                alternative compared to the other two
                                                in the fifth year, with a total cost of                 is about half of the value added from                 alternatives. This alternative also has no
                                                                                                        branded products.60                                   marginal benefits. Since there are no
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                                                  52 Informa Economics, Inc. ‘‘An Estimate of the                                                             changes from the status quo under this
                                                Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,’’              55 Ibid. Page 24
                                                                                                                                                              regulatory alternative, it will serve as
                                                prepared for the National Meat Association, 2010,                                                             the baseline against which to measure
                                                                                                          56 Ibid. Page 24.
                                                Table 10, Page 53.
                                                  53 Ibid. Page 53.                                       57 Ibid. Page 49.                                   the other two alternatives.
                                                  54 See Elam, Dr. Thomas E. ‘‘Proposed GIPSA             58 Informa, page 30.
                                                                                                          59 Elam, page 18.
                                                Rules Relating to the Chicken Industry: Economic                                                                61 See Section 6(a)(3)(C) of Executive Order

                                                Impact.’’ FarmEcon LLC, 2010.                             60 Informa, pages 51 and 52.                        12866.



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                                                92578               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                Regulatory Alternative 2: The Preferred                                     proposed rule, GIPSA, based on its                                         are more expensive than District court
                                                Alternative                                                                 expertise, assumed a cost of $3.5 million                                  cases, which are more expensive than
                                                   Section 201.3(a) states that conduct or                                  to litigate a case. GIPSA uses the same                                    state court cases. For Supreme Court
                                                action can be found to violate sections                                     starting point here. The cost of litigating                                cases, GIPSA scaled up the cost by a
                                                202(a) and/or 202(b) of the P&S Act                                         a case includes the costs to all parties                                   factor of three. For District court cases,
                                                without a finding of harm or likely harm                                    including the respondent and the USDA                                      GIPSA left the costs unchanged except
                                                to competition. Given the applicability                                     in a case brought by the USDA and the                                      for the sole case litigated in the United
                                                of the regulation to the entire livestock                                   costs of the plaintiff and the defendant                                   States District Court for the District of
                                                and poultry industries, it is difficult to                                  in the case of private litigation.                                         Columbia, which GIPSA scaled up by a
                                                predict how the industries will respond.                                       GIPSA then examined the actual                                          factor of 1.1. GIPSA scaled state courts
                                                Therefore, GIPSA believes that assigning                                    number of cases decided under the P&S                                      down by a factor of 0.7.
                                                a range to the expected costs of the                                        Act from 1926 to 2014. The listing of                                         After estimating the cost of each case,
                                                regulation is appropriate.                                                  court decisions and the court in which                                     by case type, GIPSA averaged all cases
                                                   At the lower boundary of the cost                                        the decision was reached came from the                                     decided each year to obtain an
                                                spectrum, GIPSA considers the scenario                                      National Agricultural Law Center at the                                    estimated annual average cost of
                                                where the only costs are increased                                          University of Arkansas.62 GIPSA then                                       litigation. GIPSA then conducted a
                                                litigation costs and there are no                                           reviewed each case and classified it as                                    Monte Carlo simulation by sampling
                                                adjustments by the livestock and                                            either competition, financial, or trade                                    from a normal distribution of estimated
                                                poultry industries to reduce their use of                                   practice cases. This is an internal                                        average annual litigation costs for each
                                                AMAs or incentive pay systems, such as                                      classification system corresponding to                                     type of case to arrive at the final
                                                poultry grower ranking systems, and                                         the types of violations GIPSA                                              estimated annual average cost of
                                                there are no changes to existing                                            investigates.                                                              litigating cases filed under the P&S
                                                marketing or production contracts. For                                         All of the cases were assigned a                                        Act.63
                                                the upper boundary of the cost                                              specific attorney fee based on a random                                       GIPSA recognizes the uncertainty in
                                                spectrum, GIPSA considers the scenario                                      sample from a normal distribution                                          estimating litigation costs and
                                                in which the livestock and poultry                                          ranging between $250 thousand and                                          conducted sensitivity analysis using a
                                                industries adjust their use of AMAs and                                     $3.5 million for trade practice cases,                                     Monte Carlo simulation on the
                                                incentive pay systems and makes                                             $250 thousand to $3 million for                                            estimated average annual litigation
                                                systematic changes in its marketing and                                     financial cases, and $1.5 million to $5                                    costs. GIPSA used a normal distribution
                                                production contracts to reduce the                                          million for competition cases. These                                       of estimated litigation costs and
                                                threat of litigation.                                                       ranges are based on GIPSA’s expertise                                      calculated estimated litigation costs at
                                                                                                                            and the complexity of each type of case,                                   the 2.5th percentile (lower percentile) of
                                                A. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower                                          with competition being the most                                            the distribution, the mean (average), and
                                                Boundary of Cost Spectrum—Litigation                                        complex and therefore the most costly                                      the 97.5th percentile (upper percentile).
                                                Costs of Preferred Alternative                                              to litigate. This expertise comes from                                        GIPSA then estimated a linear trend
                                                  GIPSA modeled the litigation costs by                                     GIPSA’s experience litigating each type                                    line through the data using the Ordinary
                                                estimating the total cost of litigating a                                   of case and monitoring private litigation                                  Least Squares (OLS) linear regression
                                                case filed under the jurisdiction of the                                    under the P&S Act. GIPSA estimated the                                     technique and used the trend line to
                                                P&S Act. The main costs are attorney                                        cost of litigating each case from 1926 to                                  project the litigation costs for 2015–
                                                fees to litigate a case in a court of law.                                  2014 using the cost ranges outlined                                        2017.64 These are baseline litigation
                                                Limited empirical data on actual                                            above.                                                                     costs that GIPSA expects to occur
                                                historical litigation costs required                                           GIPSA scaled the initial cost up or                                     without the regulation. The table below
                                                GIPSA to use a cost engineering                                             down based on the court making the                                         shows the estimated and projected
                                                approach to estimate litigation costs. In                                   decision and based on GIPSA’s                                              baseline litigation costs for 2007–
                                                considering the costs of the 2010                                           assumption that Supreme Court cases                                        2017.65

                                                                              TABLE 6—ESTIMATED AND PROJECTED BASELINE LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2007–2017 66
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lower                                Upper
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Average
                                                                                                                    Year                                                                                percentile                           percentile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ($ millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($ millions)                         ($ millions)

                                                2007   .............................................................................................................................................            4.98              8.88               12.77
                                                2008   .............................................................................................................................................            2.16              5.12                8.08
                                                2009   .............................................................................................................................................            8.45             13.00               17.46
                                                2010   .............................................................................................................................................            6.82             11.25               15.60
                                                2011   .............................................................................................................................................           10.52             15.28               20.02
                                                2012   .............................................................................................................................................            6.49             10.10               13.81
                                                2013   .............................................................................................................................................            1.94              4.14                6.42
                                                2014   .............................................................................................................................................            3.56              6.74               10.03
                                                2015   .............................................................................................................................................            4.32              8.13               12.10
                                                2016   .............................................................................................................................................            4.45              8.28               12.31
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                                                2017   .............................................................................................................................................            4.58              8.42               12.52


                                                  62 http://nationalaglawcenter.org/aglaw-reporter/                            63 Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical                              using an established statistical model based on
                                                case-law-index/packers-and-stockyards. We note                              technique that relies on repeated random sampling                          existing data observations.
                                                that this list is not exhaustive, but it is extensive.                      from a distribution to obtain numerical results.                              65 The baseline litigation costs are those costs
                                                                                                                               64 Ordinary least squares regression technique is                       GIPSA expects to occur without implementation of
                                                                                                                            a method for estimating the unknown parameters                             § 201.3(a).



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                                                                      Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                                 92579

                                                  GIPSA then reviewed the complete                                          and 202(b). The GIPSA investigation                                        Based on the history of investigations,
                                                history of all investigations conducted                                     data are more robust, with more                                          GIPSA then allocated all of the
                                                by its Packers and Stockyards Program                                       observations than the case data. There                                   projected baseline litigation costs for
                                                since 2009 and separated out the                                            were never many cases in any given                                       2017 into section 202(a) and 202(b)
                                                investigations involving alleged                                            year. In addition, the data since 2009 are                               violations for each species at the lower
                                                violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b)                                    better predictors of the next ten years                                  percentile, the average, and the upper
                                                of the P&S Act for cattle, hogs, and                                        than cases that took place as far back as                                percentile. These allocations appear in
                                                poultry because § 201.3(a) only applies                                     1926.                                                                    the tables below.
                                                to alleged violations of sections 202(a)

                                                               TABLE 7—ALLOCATION OF § 201.3(a) BASELINE LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2017 AT THE LOWER PERCENTILE
                                                                                                                                                                                Cattle                  Hog                Poultry           Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                                ($ millions)            ($ millions)        ($ millions)     ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................                     1.00                 0.65              2.01              3.66
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................                     0.10                 0.11              0.71              0.92

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................                     1.10                 0.76              2.72              4.58


                                                                        TABLE 8—ALLOCATION OF § 201.3(a) BASELINE LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2017 AT THE AVERAGE
                                                                                                                                                                                Cattle                  Hog                Poultry           Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                                ($ millions)            ($ millions)        ($ millions)     ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................                     1.84                 1.20              3.70              6.73
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................                     0.19                 0.21              1.30              1.69

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................                     2.02                 1.41              4.99              8.42


                                                               TABLE 9—ALLOCATION OF § 201.3(a) BASELINE LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2017 AT THE UPPER PERCENTILE
                                                                                                                                                                                Cattle                  Hog                Poultry           Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                                ($ millions)            ($ millions)        ($ millions)     ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................                     2.73                 1.78              5.50            10.00
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................                     0.28                 0.31              1.93             2.52

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................                     3.00                 2.09              7.42            12.52



                                                  These allocations assume that all                                         complaints received in 2015 on alleged                                   experienced between 2009 and 2015
                                                projected baseline litigation costs for                                     conduct that may violate sections 202(a)                                 before the requirement of harm to
                                                2017 will come only from section 202(a)                                     and 202(b), by species, and the highest                                  competition was fully realized. GIPSA
                                                and 202(b) violations. GIPSA then                                           number of complaints GIPSA received                                      tracks the number of complaints
                                                estimated the additional litigation costs                                   in any year since 2009. By 2015, court                                   received through a complaint tracking
                                                the first full year the regulation is in                                    decisions had established the                                            system initiated in 2009. Thus, this
                                                place.                                                                      requirement to demonstrate harm to                                       difference, by species, is the increase in
                                                  In order to estimate the additional                                       competition, which likely resulted in                                    complaints GIPSA expects when the
                                                expected litigation costs in 2017                                           fewer complaints of Section 202(a) and                                   regulations are finalized. GIPSA then
                                                assuming § 201.3(a) becomes effective in                                    202(b) violations, particularly in the
                                                                                                                                                                                                     used these differences as scaling factors
                                                early 2017, GIPSA again utilized the                                        poultry industry, than in previous years
                                                                                                                                                                                                     to estimate the litigation that GIPSA
                                                complete history of all investigations                                      when this requirement was not fully
                                                                                                                                                                                                     expects to occur in 2017, the first full
                                                conducted by its Packers and                                                realized by industry participants. GIPSA
                                                Stockyards Program since 2009. GIPSA                                        expects § 201.3(a) will result in                                        year that § 201.3(a) becomes effective.
                                                based the additional litigation costs on                                    additional new complaints filed with                                     The scaling factors appear in the table
                                                the difference between the number of                                        GIPSA that will be at the levels                                         below:

                                                                                                     TABLE 10—SCALING FACTORS FOR LITIGATION FROM § 201.3(a)
                                                                                                            P&S Act section                                                                            Cattle               Hog             Poultry

                                                202(a) ...........................................................................................................................................              2.30              1.40              2.15
                                                202(b) ...........................................................................................................................................              2.30              1.20              2.15
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                                                  66 The litigation costs for 2007–2014 are                                 percentile and 2015–2017 are projected using the                         estimates. The cost of each case is measured using
                                                estimated using Monte Carlo simulation at the                               estimated trend lines using OLS and historical                           2016 dollars.
                                                lower percentile, the average, and the upper



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                                                92580                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                   The scaling factors run from 1.20 for                                    at the lower percentile, the average, and                       estimated additional litigation costs that
                                                hogs to 2.30 for cattle.                                                    the upper percentile to arrive at the                           GIPSA expects to occur assuming
                                                   To finalize the estimated increase in                                    expected litigation costs in 2017. GIPSA                        § 201.3(a) become effective in early
                                                litigation costs, GIPSA multiplied the                                      then subtracted out the projected                               2017. These estimated litigation costs
                                                scaling factors in the above table by the                                   baseline litigation costs to arrive at the                      appear in the following tables.
                                                projected 2017 baseline litigation costs

                                                                          TABLE 11—PROJECTED § 201.3(a) LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2017 AT THE LOWER PERCENTILE
                                                                                                                                                                            Cattle            Hog               Poultry          Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                            ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................             1.30              0.26              2.31            3.87
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................             0.13              0.02              0.81            0.97

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................             1.43              0.28              3.12            4.84


                                                                                    TABLE 12—PROJECTED § 201.3(a) LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2017 AT THE AVERAGE
                                                                                                                                                                            Cattle            Hog               Poultry          Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                            ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................             2.39              0.48              4.25            7.12
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................             0.24              0.04              1.49            1.77

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................             2.63              0.52              5.74            8.89


                                                                           TABLE 13—PROJECTED § 201.3(a) LITIGATION COSTS FOR 2017 AT THE UPPER PERCENTILE
                                                                                                                                                                            Cattle            Hog               Poultry          Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                            ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................             3.55              0.71              6.32           10.58
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................             0.36              0.06              2.22            2.64

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................             3.91              0.77              8.54           13.22



                                                   GIPSA expects § 201.3(a) to result in                                       As discussed above, GIPSA considers                          percentile, and the upper percentile.
                                                an additional $4.84 million in litigation                                   the lower boundary of costs from                                The sensitivity analysis shows that
                                                in 2017 at the lower percentile, $8.89                                      § 201.3(a) to be increased litigation costs                     litigation may vary by as much as $8.38
                                                million in litigation in 2017 at the                                        with no adjustments by the livestock                            million (upper percentile minus lower
                                                average, and $13.22 million in litigation                                   and poultry industries to reduce their                          percentile). GIPSA believes the average
                                                in 2017 at the upper percentile. GIPSA                                      use of AMAs or incentive pay systems                            litigation costs is the best available
                                                also expects the majority of additional                                     and no changes to existing marketing or                         estimate of litigation costs and uses it as
                                                litigation to come from the poultry                                         production contracts. GIPSA also                                the lower boundary for the estimated
                                                industry based on investigations GIPSA                                      recognizes the uncertainty in estimating                        litigation costs of § 201.3(a). The lower
                                                conducted from 2009 to 2015, many of                                        litigation costs and conducted a
                                                                                                                                                                                            boundary cost estimates appear in the
                                                which were based on industry                                                sensitivity analysis of litigation costs at
                                                                                                                                                                                            table below.
                                                complaints.                                                                 the lower percentile, the average

                                                                             TABLE 14—LOWER BOUNDARY PROJECTED § 201.3(a) COSTS—PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
                                                                                                                                                                            Cattle            Hog               Poultry          Total
                                                                                              P&S Act section                                                            ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                202(a) ...............................................................................................................             2.39              0.48              4.25            7.12
                                                202(b) ...............................................................................................................             0.24              0.04              1.49            1.77

                                                      Total ..........................................................................................................             2.63              0.52              5.74            8.89



                                                   GIPSA estimates that § 201.3(a) will                                     first full year § 201.3(a) would be in                          first five years while courts are setting
                                                result in an additional $8.89 million in                                    place.                                                          precedents for the interpretation of
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                                                additional litigation in the livestock and                                  B. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower                              § 201.3(a). GIPSA expects that case law
                                                poultry industries with $2.63 million in                                    Boundary—Ten-Year Total Costs of the                            with respect to the regulation will be
                                                litigation in the cattle industry, $0.52                                    Preferred Alternative                                           settled after five years and by then,
                                                million in the hog industry, and $5.74                                                                                                      industry participants will know how
                                                                                                                               To arrive at the estimated ten-year
                                                million in the poultry industry in the                                                                                                      GIPSA will enforce the regulation and
                                                                                                                            costs of § 201.3(a), GIPSA expects the
                                                                                                                                                                                            how courts will interpret the regulation.
                                                                                                                            litigation costs to be constant for the


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                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                           92581

                                                The effect of courts establishing                                           litigation costs for the first five years                            GIPSA estimates this decrease in
                                                precedents is that litigation costs will                                    will occur at the same rate and at the                               litigation costs to the baseline to be
                                                decline after five years as the livestock                                   same cost as in 2017. In the second five                             linear with the same decrease in costs
                                                and poultry industries understand how                                       years, GIPSA estimates that litigation                               each year. The total ten-year costs of
                                                the courts interpret the regulation.                                        costs will decrease each year and return                             § 201.3(a) at the lower boundary appears
                                                  To arrive at the estimated ten-year                                       to the baseline in the sixth year after the                          in the table below.
                                                costs of § 201.3(a), GIPSA estimates that                                   courts have established precedents.

                                                                                           TABLE 15—LOWER BOUNDARY OF TEN-YEAR TOTAL COSTS OF § 201.3(a)
                                                                                                                                                                              Cattle                Hog              Poultry          Total
                                                                                                      Year                                                                 ($ millions)          ($ millions)      ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                2017   .................................................................................................................               2.63               0.52              5.74            8.89
                                                2018   .................................................................................................................               2.63               0.52              5.74            8.89
                                                2019   .................................................................................................................               2.63               0.52              5.74            8.89
                                                2020   .................................................................................................................               2.63               0.52              5.74            8.89
                                                2021   .................................................................................................................               2.63               0.52              5.74            8.89
                                                2022   .................................................................................................................               2.19               0.43              4.79            7.41
                                                2023   .................................................................................................................               1.75               0.35              3.83            5.93
                                                2024   .................................................................................................................               1.31               0.26              2.87            4.44
                                                2025   .................................................................................................................               0.88               0.17              1.91            2.96
                                                2026   .................................................................................................................               0.44               0.09              0.96            1.48

                                                     Totals ........................................................................................................                  19.70               3.90             43.07           66.67



                                                  Based on the analysis, GIPSA expects                                         TABLE 16—NPV OF LOWER BOUND- $6.87 million at a three percent discount
                                                the lower boundary of the ten-year total                                        ARY OF TEN-YEAR TOTAL COST OF rate and $7.12 million at a seven percent
                                                costs of § 201.3(a) to be $66.67 million.                                       § 201.3(a)—PREFERRED   ALTER- discount rate.
                                                C. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower                                               NATIVE                                                          E. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper
                                                Boundary—Net Present Value of Ten-                                                                                                               Boundary of Cost Spectrum—Preferred
                                                Year Total Costs of the Preferred                                                                                                 Preferred      Alternative
                                                                                                                                          Discount rate                          alternative
                                                Alternative                                                                                                                      ($ millions)      As discussed above, the upper
                                                   The lower boundary ten-year total                                                                                                             boundary of the cost spectrum occurs if
                                                costs of § 201.3(a) in the table above                                      3 Percent ..............................                     58.62   the cattle, hog, and poultry industries
                                                                                                                            7 Percent ..............................                     50.03   adjust their use of AMAs and incentive
                                                show that the costs are constant in the
                                                first five years and then gradually                                                                                                              pay systems and make systematic
                                                                                                                              GIPSA expects the NPV of the lower                                 changes in their marketing and
                                                decrease over the next five years. Costs
                                                                                                                            boundary of the ten-year total costs of                              production contracts to reduce the
                                                to be incurred in the future are less
                                                                                                                            § 201.3(a) to be $58.62 million at a three                           threat of litigation. For the upper
                                                expensive than the same costs to be
                                                                                                                            percent discount rate and $50.03                                     boundary cost estimate, GIPSA relied on
                                                incurred today. This is because the
                                                                                                                            million at a seven percent discount rate.                            the Informa Study and Elam Study. The
                                                money that will be used to pay the costs
                                                in the future can be invested today and                                     D. Regulatory Alternative 2: Lower                                   Informa Study was prepared for the
                                                earn interest until the time period in                                      Boundary—Annualized NPV of Ten-                                      NMA and the Elam Study was prepared
                                                which the cost is incurred. After the                                       Year Total Costs of the Preferred                                    for the NCC. Both of these groups were
                                                cost has been incurred, the interest                                        Alternative                                                          opposed to the rule proposed on June
                                                earned will still be available.                                                                                                                  22, 2010 and GIPSA considers their
                                                                                                                              GIPSA then annualized the NPV of                                   studies to be upper boundary scenarios
                                                   To account for the time value of                                         the ten-year total costs (referred to as
                                                money, the costs of the regulation to be                                                                                                         for meat and livestock industries and
                                                                                                                            annualized costs) of § 201.3(a) at the                               poultry industry costs.
                                                incurred in the future is discounted                                        lower boundary using both a three
                                                back to today’s dollars using a discount                                                                                                           GIPSA reviewed the Informa Study
                                                                                                                            percent and seven percent discount rate                              and the Elam Study and compared the
                                                rate. The sum of all costs discounted                                       as required by Circular A–4 and the
                                                back to the present is called the net                                                                                                            provisions in the multiple proposed
                                                                                                                            results appear in the following table.68                             regulations in the June 22, 2010 rule
                                                present value (NPV) of total costs.
                                                GIPSA relied on both a three percent                                                                                                             against § 201.3(a). The Informa Study
                                                                                                                                TABLE 17—ANNUALIZED COSTS OF                                     estimated both direct and indirect costs
                                                and seven percent discount rate as
                                                                                                                                 § 201.3(a)—PREFERRED OPTION                                     of the 2010 proposed rule. The Informa
                                                discussed in Circular A–4.67 GIPSA
                                                measured all costs using constant 2016                                                                                                           Study direct costs are estimates of actual
                                                                                                                                                                                  Preferred
                                                dollars.                                                                                  Discount rate                          alternative     costs of complying with all of the
                                                   GIPSA calculated the NPV of the ten-                                                                                          ($ millions)    regulations proposed in 2010, such as
                                                year total costs of the regulation using                                                                                                         new computer software and additional
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                                                both a three percent and seven percent                                      3 Percent ..............................                      6.87   staff. The Informa Study estimated both
                                                                                                                            7 Percent ..............................                      7.12   direct one-time costs and on-going
                                                discount rate and the NPVs appear in
                                                the following table.                                                                                                                             direct costs that would be incurred by
                                                                                                                              GIPSA expects the annualized costs of                              the livestock industry each year. The
                                                 67 https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/
                                                                                                                            § 201.3(a) at the lower boundary to be                               Informa Study also estimated indirect
                                                omb/assets/regulatory_matters_pdf/a-4.pdf.                                                                                                       costs to capture livestock and poultry
                                                Accessed on September 19, 2016.                                                68 Ibid.                                                          industry adjustments to the 2010


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                                                92582               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                regulations. The Informa Study also                                  revenue losses due to reductions in                          shortly after implementation of the
                                                included litigation costs.                                           quality from reductions in premiums                          regulations in the 2010 rule and the
                                                   The sources of indirect costs that the                            paid for higher quality hogs procured                        more significant impacts, such as
                                                Informa Study estimated for the cattle                               under AMAs.                                                  declining efficiency and quality
                                                industry are a reduction in production                                 For the poultry industry, the Informa                      degradation, would happen more slowly
                                                efficiencies due to a reduction in the use                           Study estimated indirect costs resulting                     and might not reach the full impact
                                                of AMAs and the corresponding                                        from a slowdown in the adoption of                           until three or four years after the rule
                                                reduction in premiums paid in branded                                new technology that increases efficiency                     became effective.70 The Informa Study
                                                beef programs and a reduction in beef                                as integrators are unwilling to provide
                                                                                                                                                                                  further recognized that companies
                                                quality. The RTI Study also found that                               monetary incentives for growers to
                                                                                                                                                                                  would find ways to adapt to the
                                                hypothetical reductions in AMAs would                                invest in new technology due to the
                                                reduce beef and cattle supplies, reduce                              threat of litigation for unfair, unjustly                    provisions of the regulation in the rule
                                                the quality of beef, and increase retail                             discriminatory, or deceptive payment                         and the impact of the rule would be
                                                and wholesale beef prices.69                                         practices.                                                   lessened over time.71 The following
                                                   For the hog industry, the Informa                                   The Informa Study recognized that                          table summarizes the full-impact of the
                                                Study estimated the indirect costs as the                            the economic costs of the 2010 rule                          Informa Study cost estimates on the
                                                reduction in operational efficiency from                             would take time to materialize. The                          impact of the June 22, 2010 proposed
                                                operating slaughter plants at less than                              Informa Study estimated that only the                        rule.
                                                full optimal utilization as well as                                  direct, one-time costs would occur

                                                                                        TABLE 18—TOTAL INFORMA STUDY COSTS FOR THE FULL-IMPACT YEAR 72
                                                                                                                                                                  Cattle            Hogs              Poultry             Total
                                                                                                                                                               ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)       ($ millions)

                                                One-Time Direct Costs ....................................................................................               38.7               68.7             26.0              133.4
                                                Ongoing Direct Costs ......................................................................................              61.5               73.8             33.4              168.7
                                                Cost Increase Due to Efficiency Loss .............................................................                      401.9              176.7            302.2              880.8
                                                Revenue Lost Due to Quality/Demand Impact ................................................                              377.7               82.2              0.0              459.9

                                                      Total Informa Costs ..................................................................................            879.8              401.4            361.6            1,642.8



                                                  At the full impact level, the Informa                              efficiency losses and costs of testing and                   estimates to estimate the upper
                                                Study estimated the highest cost to be                               evaluating feed.                                             boundary of the costs of § 201.3(a).
                                                borne by the cattle industry at almost                                  GIPSA expects the livestock and
                                                $880 million, followed by the hog and                                                                                             1. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper
                                                                                                                     poultry industries to adapt to § 201.3(a)                    Boundary-Informa Study Estimates—
                                                poultry industries. The Informa Study                                after a period of five years when the
                                                estimated that the total costs of the                                                                                             Adjustment 1
                                                                                                                     courts have presumably settled the case
                                                regulations proposed in 2010 could be                                law and the livestock and poultry                              In order to arrive at the upper
                                                as high as $1.64 billion and that this                               industries know how courts will                              boundary estimate of the costs of
                                                cost would not be fully borne until three                            interpret the regulation. This will cause                    § 201.3(a), GIPSA made several
                                                or four years after implementation of the                            the costs of § 201.3(a) to decline after a                   downward adjustments to the Informa
                                                regulations.                                                         period of five years. GIPSA expects the                      Study estimates presented in Table 18
                                                  The Elam Study estimated a similar                                 livestock and poultry industries to                          above. The first adjustment is to reduce
                                                impact on the poultry industry as the                                adjust their business practices in a way                     the Informa Study cost estimates by 25
                                                Informa Study. The Elam Study                                        to maximize profits and lessen the                           percent. The Informa Study implicitly
                                                estimated that the costs of the 2010                                 impact of the regulation over time.                          asserted that 75 percent of the total costs
                                                proposed rule would increase over time                                  GIPSA also compared the estimated                         of the 2010 rule were caused by
                                                and would cost the chicken industry                                  impact on the poultry industry in the                        relieving the plaintiff of the burden of
                                                $200.64 million in the third year after                              first five years as estimated in the                         proving competitive injury.75 Thus, the
                                                implementation, $266.94 in the fourth                                Informa Study and the Elam Study. In                         Informa Study implicitly asserted that
                                                year, and $336.67 million in the fifth                               the first four years, the poultry costs                      provisions in regulations in the 2010
                                                year, with a total cost of $1.03 billion                             estimated in the Informa Study are                           proposed rule other than § 201.3(a) are
                                                over the first five years.73 The Elam                                higher than those estimated in the Elam                      responsible for 25 percent of the total
                                                Study estimated $6 million as one-time                               Study. The Elam study has higher cost                        costs. Because GIPSA is only concerned
                                                administrative costs from re-drafting                                estimates in year five. Because the                          with costs attributable to § 201.3(a),
                                                poultry grower contracts, additional                                 Informa Study cost estimates are higher                      GIPSA is reducing the Informa Study
                                                record keeping, and submission of                                    than the Elam Study cost estimates and                       cost estimates by 25 percent.
                                                contracts to GIPSA.74 The remainder of                               the Informa Study cost estimates decline
                                                the costs estimated in the Elam Study                                in the later years as GIPSA expects,
                                                were indirect costs resulting from                                   GIPSA relies on the Informa Study cost
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                                                  69 RTI International, 2007, GIPSA Livestock and                       71 Ibid,Page 67.                                            75 Informa Economics, Inc. ‘‘An Estimate of the

                                                Meat Marketing Study. Prepared for Grain                                72 Ibid,Tables 7, 8, and 9.                               Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,’’
                                                Inspection, Packers and Stockyard Administration.                      73 Elam, Dr. Thomas E. ‘‘Proposed GIPSA Rules              prepared for the National Meat Association, 2010,
                                                  70 Informa Economics, Inc. ‘‘An Estimate of the
                                                                                                                     Relating to the Chicken Industry: Economic                   Page 71.
                                                Economic Impact of GIPSA’s Proposed Rules,’’
                                                prepared for the National Meat Association, 2010,                    Impact.’’ FarmEcon LLC, 2010, Table on Page 25.
                                                                                                                       74 Ibid. Page 21.
                                                Page 66.



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                                                2. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper                                          Study’s estimates according to the                                              ten. In order to simulate the costs that
                                                Boundary-Informa Study Estimates—                                           timing of the economic impact the                                               the Informa Study assigned to each year,
                                                Adjustment 2                                                                Informa Study estimated. The Informa                                            GIPSA adjusted the costs in the full
                                                                                                                            Study expected the costs to increase in                                         impact year in Table 18 above by the
                                                  The second downward adjustment                                            the first three years, peak in years three                                      percentages listed in Table 19.
                                                that GIPSA made is to scale the Informa                                     or four, and then decline through year

                                                                                                            TABLE 19—IMPACT LEVEL OF INFORMA STUDY COSTS 76
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Cattle            Hog           Poultry
                                                                                                                          Year                                                                                       (%)              (%)            (%)

                                                2017   .........................................................................................................................................................           40                29             49
                                                2018   .........................................................................................................................................................           69                59             79
                                                2019   .........................................................................................................................................................          100                79            100
                                                2020   .........................................................................................................................................................          100               100            100
                                                2021   .........................................................................................................................................................          100                96             81
                                                2022   .........................................................................................................................................................           91                75             60
                                                2023   .........................................................................................................................................................           75                54             30
                                                2024   .........................................................................................................................................................           51                53              9
                                                2025   .........................................................................................................................................................           38                29              9
                                                2026   .........................................................................................................................................................           38                29              9



                                                  GIPSA then weighted the Informa                                           section 202(a) or (b) of the P&S Act.77                                         poultry dealers would have no reason to
                                                Study’s full-impact cost estimate for                                       It is possible that without the guidance                                        adjust their contracts or business
                                                each year and each industry by the                                          in the proposed regulations, courts will                                        practices with the result of few
                                                impact level from the table above.                                          continue to exercise judicial discretion                                        additional indirect costs being borne by
                                                                                                                            in determining when a finding of harm                                           the livestock and poultry industries.
                                                3. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper
                                                                                                                            or likelihood of harm to competition is                                         Similarly, plaintiffs would then need to
                                                Boundary-Informa Study Estimates—
                                                                                                                            necessary in order to prove a violation                                         consider the high costs (in terms of
                                                Adjustment 3
                                                                                                                            of sections 202(a) and/or (b). However,                                         discovery of large amounts of data and
                                                   The final downward adjustment                                            this rule will provide the longstanding                                         the hiring of economic and statistical
                                                GIPSA made is based on two factors.                                         position of the Department of                                                   experts) to proceed to trial and may opt
                                                The first factor is that GIPSA expects the                                  Agriculture for the courts to consider.                                         not to proceed with additional
                                                language in § 201.3(a) to result in                                         Because some of the U.S. Courts of                                              litigation.78
                                                limited industry adjustments and a                                          Appeals in areas of heavy agricultural                                             GIPSA expects the effects of § 201.3(a)
                                                continued role for the courts to interpret                                  production have ruled that GIPSA must                                           on livestock and poultry industry
                                                when a showing of harm or likelihood                                        demonstrate competitive injury or the                                           participants to be mixed. A small
                                                of harm to competition is necessary in                                      likelihood of competitive injury in order                                       number of livestock producers, swine
                                                order to prove a violation of section                                       to prove that certain conduct or action                                         production contract growers, and
                                                202(a) or (b) of the P&S Act. The second                                    violates section 202(a) and (b), GIPSA                                          poultry growers may seek judicial
                                                factor is the fact that the courts have                                     anticipates that the federal district                                           enforcement of their rights under the
                                                historically not required a showing of                                      courts in those circuits will continue to                                       P&S Act without showing harm or likely
                                                harm or likelihood of harm to                                               apply this binding case law.                                                    harm to competition. However, due to
                                                competition in all livestock and poultry                                       GIPSA acknowledges that final                                                the uncertain outcome of litigation
                                                cases and GIPSA expects that trend to                                       § 201.3(a) may motivate some private                                            under sections 202(a) and/or 202 (b),
                                                continue. GIPSA discusses the factors in                                    plaintiffs to file new lawsuits under                                           GIPSA expects packers, swine
                                                turn and then estimates the third and                                       sections 202(a) and/or 202(b) to test its                                       contractors, and live poultry dealers
                                                final adjustment to the Informa Study                                       parameters in an attempt to move courts                                         will likely take a ‘‘wait and see’’
                                                estimates.                                                                  to find in selected cases that harm or                                          approach prior to making any
                                                   The first factor is that § 201.3(a) states                               likely harm to competition need not be                                          significant changes in their business
                                                that a finding that the challenged                                          proven. If a U.S. Court of Appeals                                              models, marketing arrangements, or
                                                conduct or action adversely affects or is                                   upholds a district court ruling that                                            other practices. Concerned with net
                                                likely to adversely affect competition is                                   competitive harm or likelihood of                                               profit and reports to stockholders or
                                                not necessary in all cases. However,                                        competitive harm must be demonstrated                                           owners, such firms will rationally forego
                                                § 201.3(a) does not provide any                                             in order to prove a violation of section                                        any large changes in their operations
                                                guidance regarding the types of conduct                                     202(a) or (b), that result would not                                            until it is clear that such changes are
                                                or action where a finding of harm or                                        involve any change from the status quo                                          legally required. If such changes are not
                                                likelihood of harm would or would not                                       of section 202(a) and 202(b) litigation.                                        required, due to status quo rulings by
                                                be necessary to prove a violation of                                        Packers, swine contractors, and live                                            courts requiring proof of competitive
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                                                  76 The Informa Study estimates are for years one                          be delayed. This is presumably because the                                      3,000 hours spent on economic analysis of data,
                                                through ten beginning with the first year of the                            breeding cycle for hogs and especially for cattle is                            building a monopsony case in accordance with the
                                                implementation of the rule and are not specific to                          longer than that for poultry.                                                   Tenth Circuit’s 2007 opinion, writing reports,
                                                any one year. GIPSA uses 2017 as year one and                                 77 Proposed regulations 201.210 and 201.211                                   consulting with attorneys, and testifying at
                                                2026 as year ten. The Informa Study stated that in
                                                                                                                            provide conduct and criteria for 202(a) and 202(b)                              depositions and during the jury trial. The
                                                particular, the decline in beef and pork quality and
                                                subsequent damage to consumer demand will take                              violations.                                                                     defendant’s two economic experts presumably
                                                time to materialize, while the efficiency losses in                           78 In the Been v. O.K. Indus., Inc. litigation, the                           billed for a similarly significant amount of time.
                                                poultry would likely happen sooner, but will still                          plaintiffs’ economic expert billed for more than



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                                                92584               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                injury or the likelihood of competitive                                     2000 and classified it as either a                                dealers and are a matter of public
                                                injury, as GIPSA anticipates, then                                          competition, financial, or trade practice                         record, GIPSA believes that packers,
                                                GIPSA expects that few changes will be                                      case. GIPSA then examined each case to                            swine contractors, and live poultry
                                                made as a result of § 201.3(a).                                             determine which cases involved alleged                            dealers are already aware that courts
                                                   GIPSA expects the status quo                                             violations of sections 202(a) and 202(b)                          have not required demonstration of a
                                                enforcement outcome of § 201.3(a)                                           and which of those cases the court                                harm or likelihood of harm to
                                                discussed above to be most likely in the                                    required demonstration of harm or                                 competition in all cases. This is another
                                                cattle and hog industries. GIPSA has                                        likelihood of harm to competition.                                reason why GIPSA expects packers,
                                                enforced the P&S Act and regulations                                                                                                          swine contractors, and live poultry
                                                                                                                               GIPSA found 22 cases which involved
                                                against packers without proving harm or                                                                                                       dealers to likely take a ‘‘wait and see’’
                                                                                                                            alleged violations of sections 202(a) and
                                                likelihood of harm to competition for                                                                                                         approach.
                                                                                                                            202(b) and addressed the issue of
                                                decades, and the courts have upheld                                                                                                              Therefore, due to the likelihood of
                                                                                                                            demonstrating harm or likelihood of
                                                successful enforcement actions. It is                                                                                                         status quo rulings by courts and the
                                                primarily in the poultry industry that,                                     harm to competition. Of those 22 cases,
                                                                                                                            GIPSA found that the courts required                              rationality of livestock packers, swine
                                                the courts have declined to enforce,                                                                                                          contractors, and live poultry dealers to
                                                sections 202(a) and (b) of the P&S Act                                      demonstration of harm or likelihood of
                                                                                                                            harm to competition in eight cases and                            tend toward a ‘‘wait and see’’ approach,
                                                and regulations without a finding of                                                                                                          GIPSA estimates the upper boundary
                                                harm or likelihood of harm to                                               did not require demonstration of a harm
                                                                                                                            or likelihood of harm to competition in                           estimate to be between 20 percent of the
                                                competition.                                                                                                                                  Informa Study cattle and hog industry
                                                   Therefore, due to the likelihood of                                      14 cases. However, these 14 cases where
                                                                                                                            demonstration of harm or likelihood of                            estimates, 50 percent of the Informa
                                                status quo rulings, GIPSA estimates that
                                                                                                                            harm to competition was not required                              Study poultry industry estimate and
                                                the upper boundary cost estimate of the
                                                                                                                            were not evenly distributed among the                             zero percent of the Informa Study
                                                overall impact of § 201.3(a) on the cattle
                                                                                                                            cattle, hog, and poultry industries.                              estimates after applying the first two
                                                and hog industries will be considerably
                                                less than the Informa Study estimates                                       Courts have only required a                                       adjustments. Zero percent would mean
                                                after applying the first two adjustments.                                   demonstration of harm or likelihood of                            that there are no industry adjustments
                                                   The second factor is the recent                                          harm to competition in 20 percent of the                          from § 201.3(a).
                                                outcome of cases decided under the P&S                                      cases alleging violations of sections                                Given the uncertainty in how the
                                                Act since 2000 and whether courts have                                      202(a) and 202(b) in the cattle and hog                           industry will respond to § 201.3(a),
                                                required demonstration of harm or                                           industries since 2000. GIPSA found that                           GIPSA selected one half of 20 percent of
                                                likely harm to competition. GIPSA                                           the courts have required a                                        the Informa Study estimates for cattle
                                                examined the actual number of cases                                         demonstration of harm or likelihood of                            and hogs, one half of 50 percent of the
                                                decided under the P&S Act from 2000                                         harm to competition in 50 percent of the                          poultry industry estimate from the
                                                to 2014. This is the same listing of cases                                  cases alleging violations of sections                             Informa Study estimates as its point
                                                as in the estimation of litigation costs                                    202(a) and 202(b) in the poultry                                  estimate. Thus, GIPSA applied ten
                                                presented earlier, except that GIPSA                                        industry since 2000. The fact that                                percent of the cattle and hog Informa
                                                only considered cases decided after                                         demonstration of harm or likelihood of                            Study estimates and 25 percent of the
                                                2000 to reflect the most current                                            harm to competition was not required in                           poultry Informa Study estimates as its
                                                decisions reached by the courts. The                                        every case is consistent with § 201.3(a),                         point estimate after applying the first
                                                listing of court decisions and the court                                    which states that demonstration of harm                           two adjustments. The following table
                                                in which the decision was reached came                                      or likelihood of harm to competition is                           shows the estimated upper boundary
                                                from the National Agricultural Law                                          not required in all cases. As these cases                         costs for § 201.3(a) on an annual and
                                                Center at the University of Arkansas.79                                     have all involved livestock packers,                              ten-year cost basis based on the adjusted
                                                GIPSA then reviewed each case since                                         swine contractors, and live poultry                               Informa Study cost estimates.

                                                                            TABLE 20—UPPER BOUNDARY ANNUAL COSTS OF § 201.3(a)—PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
                                                                                                                                                                              Cattle            Hog               Poultry          Total
                                                                                                      Year                                                                 ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                2017   .................................................................................................................            28.14              12.49            35.87          76.49
                                                2018   .................................................................................................................            43.67              14.68            49.78         108.13
                                                2019   .................................................................................................................            63.08              19.82            62.93         145.82
                                                2020   .................................................................................................................            63.08              24.95            62.93         150.96
                                                2021   .................................................................................................................            63.08              23.85            50.72         137.65
                                                2022   .................................................................................................................            57.26              18.71            37.57         113.54
                                                2023   .................................................................................................................            47.55              13.58            18.78          79.92
                                                2024   .................................................................................................................            32.03              13.21             5.64          50.87
                                                2025   .................................................................................................................            24.26               7.34             5.64          37.24
                                                2026   .................................................................................................................            24.26               7.34             5.64          37.24

                                                     Totals ........................................................................................................              446.42           155.97             335.47          937.86
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                                                  At the upper boundary in the first full                                   additional $76.49 million in direct and                           in the cattle industry, $12.49 million in
                                                year after implementation, GIPSA                                            indirect costs in the livestock and                               the hog industry, and $35.87 million in
                                                estimates that § 201.3(a) will result in an                                 poultry industries, with $28.14 million                           the poultry industry. GIPSA expects the


                                                  79 http://nationalaglawcenter.org/aglaw-reporter/

                                                case-law-index/packers-and-stockyards.


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                                                                     Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                  92585

                                                upper boundary of the ten-year total                                                                           assumptions for calculating the upper
                                                                                                                          both a three percent and seven percent
                                                cost of § 201.3(a) to be $937.86 million.                                                                      bound estimate.
                                                                                                                          discount rate and the results appear in
                                                                                                                          the following table.                    For the first scenario, GIPSA applies
                                                F. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper
                                                                                                                                                               the full adjustment to the Informa Study
                                                Boundary—NPV of Ten-Year Total Costs
                                                of the Preferred Alternative                              TABLE 22—ANNUALIZED COSTS OF                         cost estimates, specifically, 20 percent
                                                                                                           § 201.3(a)—PREFERRED OPTION                         for cattle and hogs and 50 percent for
                                                  GIPSA calculated the NPV of the ten-                                                                         poultry. In that case, GIPSA’s estimate
                                                year total costs of the regulation using                                                         Preferred     of the upper bound would be twice as
                                                both a three percent and seven percent                         Discount rate                       option      high as presented in the previous
                                                discount rate and the NPVs appear in                                                            ($ millions)   section. For the second scenario,
                                                the following table.                                                                                           § 201.3(a) is assumed to impact industry
                                                                                                       3 Percent ..............................          96.01
                                                                                                       7 Percent ..............................          98.60
                                                                                                                                                               behavior for the poultry industry only,
                                                  TABLE 21—NPV OF UPPER BOUND-                                                                                 (that is, zero percent of the Informa
                                                   ARY OF TEN-YEAR TOTAL COST OF                                                                               Study estimate for cattle and hogs, and
                                                   § 201.3(a)—PREFERRED                       ALTER-     GIPSA expects the annualized costs of 25 percent of the estimate for poultry).
                                                   NATIVE
                                                                                                       § 201.3(a) at the upper boundary to be                  In that scenario, the upper bound
                                                                                                       $96.01 million at a three percent                       estimate would be the same as
                                                                                          Preferred    discount rate and $98.60 million at a                   presented in Table 20, above, for
                                                        Discount rate                       option     seven percent discount rate.                            poultry, and would be the lower
                                                                                         ($ millions)                                                          boundary estimate for cattle and hogs as
                                                                                                       H. Sensitivity Analysis of the Upper
                                                3 Percent ..............................        818.97 Boundary                                                shown in Table 15. For a third scenario,
                                                7 Percent ..............................        692.49                                                         all the Informa Study estimates are
                                                                                                         In the section above, GIPSA explained adjusted to zero assuming that there are
                                                  GIPSA expects the NPV of the upper                   that it chose 10 percent of the cattle and no indirect costs of adjustment to the
                                                boundary of the ten-year total costs of                hog estimates from the Informa Study                    rule. In that case, the lower boundary
                                                § 201.3(a) to be $818.97 million at a                  and 25 percent of the poultry estimate                  estimate, only reflecting litigation costs,
                                                three percent discount rate and $692.49 from the Informa Study as its point                                    as shown in Tables 15 through 17 would
                                                million at a seven percent discount rate. estimate for the upper boundary costs.                               be the result.
                                                                                                       Because of the uncertainty over the                        GIPSA calculated the NPV of the ten-
                                                G. Regulatory Alternative 2: Upper                     eventual impacts of this rule on                        year total costs of the regulation using
                                                Boundary—Annualized Costs of the                       industry behavior, GIPSA evaluates the                  both a three percent and seven percent
                                                Preferred Alternative                                  sensitivity of its upper bound estimate                 discount rate for each of the three
                                                  GIPSA then annualized the costs of                   to an alternative set of assumptions.                   scenarios described above and the NPVs
                                                § 201.3(a) at the upper boundary using                 GIPSA presents three alternative sets of                appear in the following table.

                                                 TABLE 23—SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER BOUNDARY ESTIMATE OF THE TEN-YEAR TOTAL COST OF § 201.3(a)—
                                                                                PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE—EXPRESSED IN NPV
                                                                                                                                                                      Point estimate    Scenario 1         Scenario 2      Scenario 3
                                                                                               Discount rate                                                           ($ millions)     ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .........................................................................................................          818.97         1,637.94             319.43            58.62
                                                7 Percent .........................................................................................................          692.49         1,384.98             276.18            50.03
                                                   Scenario 1: Adjustment to Informa of 20% for cattle and hogs, 50% for poultry.
                                                   Scenario 2: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, 25% for poultry.
                                                   Scenario 3: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, and poultry.


                                                  GIPSA then annualized the estimated                                     for the three sensitivity scenarios using                      discount rate and the results appear in
                                                costs of § 201.3(a) at the upper boundary                                 both a three percent and seven percent                         the following table.

                                                 TABLE 24—SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF THE UPPER BOUNDARY ESTIMATE OF THE TEN-YEAR TOTAL COST OF § 201.3(a)—
                                                                                    PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE—ANNUALIZED
                                                                                                                                                                      Point estimate    Scenario 1         Scenario 2      Scenario 3
                                                                                               Discount rate                                                           ($ millions)     ($ millions)       ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .........................................................................................................            96.01          192.02               37.45            6.87
                                                7 Percent .........................................................................................................            98.60          197.19               39.32            7.12
                                                   Scenario 1: Adjustment to Informa of 20% for cattle and hogs, 50% for poultry.
                                                   Scenario 2: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, 25% for poultry.
                                                   Scenario 3: Adjustment to Informa of 0% for cattle and hogs, and poultry.
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                                                I. Regulatory Alternative 2: Range of                                       The following table shows the full                           § 201.3(a) at both a three percent and
                                                Annualized Costs of the Preferred                                         range of the annualized costs of                               seven percent discount rate.
                                                Alternative




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                                                92586                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                                                                    TABLE 25—RANGE OF ANNUALIZED COSTS—PREFERRED OPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Lower           Upper
                                                                                                                           Discount rate                                                                                        boundary        boundary
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................             6.87           96.01
                                                7 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................             7.12           98.60



                                                  GIPSA estimates the annualized costs                                      potential costs is because § 201.3(a) has                                   and restricting their use of incentive
                                                of § 201.3(a) will range from $6.87                                         applicability to the livestock and                                          pay, GIPSA expects the costs of the
                                                million to $96.01 million at a three                                        poultry industries and it is difficult to                                   regulation to be closer to the upper
                                                percent discount rate and from $7.12                                        predict how the industries will respond.                                    boundary. Based on the uncertainty over
                                                million to $98.60 million at a seven                                        If the industries do not change any of                                      how the industries will respond, GIPSA
                                                percent discount rate.                                                      their current business practices, GIPSA                                     believes that the mid-point in the range
                                                J. Regulatory Alternative 2: Point                                          expects additional litigation to be the                                     of estimated annualized costs is the best
                                                Estimate of Annualized Costs of the                                         only costs and the costs of the                                             available point estimate of the costs of
                                                Preferred Alternative                                                       regulation will be closer to the lower                                      § 201.3(a). The point estimate along
                                                   The range of potential costs is broad.                                   boundary. If, however, the industries                                       with the lower and upper boundary
                                                The reason there is a broad range of                                        respond by reducing the use of AMAs                                         estimates appear in the table below.

                                                                                      TABLE 26—POINT ESTIMATE OF ANNUALIZED COSTS—PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lower                                   Upper
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Point estimate
                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                              boundary                                boundary
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($ millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($ millions)                            ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .....................................................................................................................................                     6.87               51.44           96.01
                                                7 Percent .....................................................................................................................................                     7.12               52.86           98.60



                                                   GIPSA expects the annualized costs of                                    alternative to be the best available                                        lower percentile, $8.89 million at the
                                                § 201.3(a) at the point estimate to be                                      estimates of the costs of § 201.3(a).                                       average percentile, and $13.22 million
                                                $51.44 million at a three percent                                                                                                                       at the upper percentile.80 GIPSA relied
                                                                                                                            K. Regulatory Alternative 2: Sensitivity
                                                discount rate and $52.86 million at a                                                                                                                   on the average estimate of litigation
                                                                                                                            Analysis of Point Estimates of
                                                seven percent discount rate. Based on                                                                                                                   costs as the lower boundary of the
                                                                                                                            Annualized Costs
                                                the discussion of GIPSA’s expectation                                                                                                                   litigation costs of § 201.3(a).
                                                that the cattle, hog, and poultry                                             In its estimate of litigation costs                                          To consider the effects of the
                                                industries will likely take a ‘‘wait and                                    presented above, GIPSA recognized the                                       uncertainty in its estimation of litigation
                                                see’’ approach to how the courts will                                       uncertainty in estimating litigation costs                                  costs, GIPSA annualized its litigation
                                                interpret § 201.3(a) and for courts to take                                 and conducted a sensitivity analysis.                                       costs estimates at the lower percentile,
                                                a status quo approach, GIPSA believes                                       GIPSA estimated that the lower                                              the average percentile, and the upper
                                                the point estimates of the preferred                                        boundary of the first-year costs of                                         percentile and the results appear in the
                                                                                                                            § 201.3(a) were $4.84 million at the                                        following table.

                                                                         TABLE 27—ANNUALIZED RANGE OF ESTIMATED LITIGATION COSTS—PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lower                                   Upper
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Average
                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                              percentile                              percentile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               ($ millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($ millions)                            ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .....................................................................................................................................                     3.74                6.87           10.22
                                                7 Percent .....................................................................................................................................                     4.54                7.12           12.41



                                                  GIPSA then applied this uncertainty                                       estimate at both the three and seven                                        percent discount rates. The results of
                                                to its point estimates of the annualized                                    percent discount rates and added the                                        the sensitivity analysis appear in the
                                                costs of § 201.3(a) by subtracting the                                      difference of the upper percentile of                                       following table.
                                                difference of the lower percentile of                                       estimated litigation costs and the point
                                                estimated litigation costs and the point                                    estimate at both the three and seven
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                                                  80 See   Tables 11–13 above.



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                                                                      Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                             92587

                                                                       TABLE 28—ANNUALIZED RANGE OF POINT ESTIMATES OF § 201.3(a)—PREFERRED ALTERNATIVE
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Lower                               Upper
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Point estimate
                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                         percentile                          percentile
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ($ millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ($ millions)                        ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .....................................................................................................................................           49.87             51.44             53.11
                                                7 Percent .....................................................................................................................................           51.57             52.86             55.50



                                                  GIPSA estimates that the point                                           harm to competition. The individual                                       Section 201.3(a) also provides
                                                estimates of the annualized costs of                                       harm is inconsequential to the poultry                                 additional protections for livestock
                                                § 201.3(a) will range from $49.87                                          industry, but the sum total of all                                     producers, swine production contract
                                                million at the lower percentile to $53.11                                  individual harm has the potential to be                                growers, and poultry growers against
                                                million at the upper percentile using a                                    quite significant when compared to the                                 unfair, unjustly discriminatory, and
                                                three percent discount rate. At the seven                                  poultry industry and therefore, courts                                 deceptive practices or devices and
                                                percent discount rate, GIPSA estimates                                     have found harm or likely harm to                                      undue or unreasonable preferences,
                                                that the point estimate of the annualized                                  competition in such a situation. Under                                 advantages, prejudices, or disadvantages
                                                costs will range from $51.57 million at                                    proposed § 201.210(b)(8), failing to                                   since demonstration of harm to
                                                the lower percentile to $55.50 million at                                  ensure accurate weights of live poultry,                               competition is required in all cases.
                                                the upper percentile. Given the size of                                    absent a legitimate business                                           GIPSA believes the standard articulated
                                                the range between the upper and lower                                      justification, will constitute an unfair,                              in § 201.3(a) is consistent with its
                                                boundary of the estimated annualized                                       unjustly discriminatory, or deceptive                                  mission ‘‘[T]o protect fair trade
                                                costs, GIPSA’s point estimate is not                                       practice or device and a violation of                                  practices, financial integrity, and
                                                overly sensitive to the uncertainty in the                                 section 202(a) of the P&S Act. Whether                                 competitive markets for livestock,
                                                estimated litigation costs. Thus, GIPSA                                    or not the conduct harms or is likely to                               meats, and poultry.’’ 82 By making it
                                                believes the point estimates of the                                        harm competition becomes irrelevant.                                   clear that demonstration of harm or
                                                preferred alternative to be the best                                         GIPSA expects § 201.3(a) to increase                                 likely harm to competition is not
                                                available estimate of the costs of                                         enforcement actions against live poultry                               necessary in all cases, this interim final
                                                § 201.3(a).                                                                dealers for violations of sections 202(a)                              rule promotes fairness and equity for
                                                                                                                           and/or 202(b) when the conduct or                                      livestock producers, swine production
                                                L. Regulatory Alternative 2: Benefits of
                                                                                                                           action does not harm or is not likely to                               contract growers, and poultry growers.83
                                                the Preferred Alternative
                                                                                                                           harm competition. Several appellate
                                                   GIPSA was unable to quantify the                                                                                                               M. Regulatory Alternative 2: Cost-
                                                                                                                           courts have disagreed with USDA’s
                                                benefits of § 201.3(a). However, there are                                                                                                        Benefit Summary of the Preferred
                                                                                                                           interpretation of the P&S Act that harm
                                                qualitative benefits of § 201.3(a) that                                                                                                           Alternative
                                                                                                                           or likely harm to competition is not
                                                merit discussion. The primary                                              necessary in all cases to prove a                                         GIPSA estimates the annualized costs
                                                qualitative benefit of § 201.3(a) is ability                               violation of sections 202(a) and/or                                    of § 201.3(a) to range from $6.87 million
                                                of livestock producers, swine                                              202(b). In some cases in which the                                     to $96.01 million at the three percent
                                                production contract growers, and                                           United States was not a party, these                                   discount rate and from $7.12 million to
                                                poultry growers to have more                                               courts have concluded that plaintiffs                                  $98.60 million at the seven percent
                                                protections and be treated more fairly,                                    could not prove their claims under                                     discount rate. The range of potential
                                                which may lead to more equitable                                           sections 202(a) and/or (b) without                                     costs is broad. GIPSA relied on its
                                                contracts. A simple example is the                                         proving harm to competition or likely                                  expertise to arrive at a point estimate
                                                inaccurate weighing of slaughter-ready                                     harm to competition. One reason the                                    range of expected annualized costs.
                                                poultry grown by a poultry grower for                                      courts gave for declining to defer to                                  GIPSA expects that the cattle, hog, and
                                                a live poultry dealer. The poultry                                         USDA’s interpretation of the statute is                                poultry industries will primarily take a
                                                grower is harmed if the true weight is                                     that USDA had not previously                                           ‘‘wait and see’’ approach to how courts
                                                above the inaccurate weight because the                                    enshrined its interpretation in a                                      will interpret § 201.3(a) and courts to
                                                poultry grower’s payment is typically                                      regulation. Interim final § 201.3(a)                                   take a status quo approach and only
                                                tied to the poultry grower’s efficiency in                                 corrects the issue and courts may now                                  slightly adjust their use of AMAs and
                                                growing poultry, which in this case is                                     give deference to USDA’s interpretation.                               performance-based payment systems.
                                                artificially low due to the inaccurate                                       GIPSA expects the result will be                                     GIPSA estimates that the annualized
                                                weight of the live birds. The impact of                                    additional enforcement actions that will                               costs of § 201.3(a) will be $51.44 million
                                                this harm to the poultry grower is very                                    be successfully litigated and serve as a                               at a three percent discount rate and
                                                small when compared to the entire                                          deterrent to violating sections 202(a)                                 $52.86 million at a seven percent
                                                industry and there is no discernable or                                    and/or 202(b). Benefits to the industries                              discount rate based on an anticipated
                                                provable harm to competition from this                                     and the markets from additional                                        ‘‘wait and see’’ approach and industry
                                                one instance. However because there is                                     enforcement will also arise from                                       adjustments.
                                                no discernible or provable harm or                                         establishing parity of negotiating power
                                                likely harm to competition, courts have                                    between livestock producers, swine                                     compensation in ‘‘Local Monopsony Power in the
                                                been reluctant to find a violation of                                      production contract growers, and                                       Market for Broilers? Evidence from a Farm Survey’’
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                                                section 202(a) of the P&S Act in such a                                    poultry growers and packers, swine                                     selected paper American Agri. Economics Assn.
                                                situation, despite the harm suffered by                                    contractors, and live poultry dealers by                               meeting Orlando, FL, July 27–29, 2008.
                                                                                                                                                                                                    82 https://www.gipsa.usda.gov/laws/law/PS_
                                                the individual poultry grower.                                             reducing the ability to use market power
                                                   However, if similar, though unrelated,                                                                                                         act.pdf. Accessed on September 19, 2016.
                                                                                                                           with the resulting dead weight losses.81                                 83 See additional discussion in Steven Y. Wu and
                                                harm is experienced by a large number                                                                                                             James MacDonald (2015) ‘‘Economics of
                                                of poultry growers, the cumulative effect                                    81 Nigel Key and Jim M. MacDonald discuss                            Agricultural Contract Grower Protection
                                                does result in a discernible and provable                                  evidence for the effect of concentration on grower                     Legislation,’’ Choices 30(3): 1–6.



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                                                92588                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                  The primary benefit of § 201.3(a) is                                        estimate the expected costs of                                                  10.27 percent of live poultry dealers are
                                                the increased ability for the enforcement                                     exempting small business, GIPSA relied                                          classified as small businesses.
                                                of the P&S Act for violations of sections                                     on the percentage of small businesses in
                                                202(a) and/or 202(b), which do not                                                                                                                            O. Regulatory Alternative 3: Lower
                                                                                                                              the cattle, hog, and poultry industries
                                                result in harm or likely harm to                                                                                                                              Boundary of Cost Spectrum—Litigation
                                                                                                                              that are developed and presented in the
                                                competition. This, in turn, will reduce                                                                                                                       Costs of the Small Business Exemption
                                                                                                                              Regulatory Flexibility Analysis section
                                                instances of unfair, unjustly                                                 below.                                                                            As discussed above, GIPSA considers
                                                discriminatory, or deceptive practices or                                                                                                                     the lower boundary of costs from
                                                                                                                                To arrive at the estimated costs of
                                                devices and undue or unreasonable
                                                                                                                              § 201.3(a) based on exempting small                                             § 201.3(a) to be increased litigation with
                                                preferences, advantages, prejudices, or
                                                                                                                              businesses, GIPSA weighted the point                                            no adjustments by the cattle, hog, and
                                                disadvantages and increased efficiencies
                                                                                                                              estimates, lower boundary, and upper                                            poultry industries to reduce their use of
                                                in the marketplace. The benefit of
                                                additional enforcement of the P&S Act                                         boundary of cost estimates by the                                               AMAs or incentive pay systems and
                                                will accrue to all segments of the value                                      percentage of cattle and hogs processed                                         there are no changes to existing
                                                chain in the production of livestock and                                      by packers that are large businesses and                                        marketing or production contracts.
                                                poultry, and ultimately to consumers.                                         the percentage of contracts held by                                             GIPSA used the average of the litigation
                                                                                                                              swine contractors and live poultry                                              cost estimates as the lower boundary for
                                                N. Regulatory Alternative 3: Small                                            dealers that are large businesses. GIPSA                                        the estimated costs of § 201.3(a). GIPSA
                                                Business Exemption                                                            estimates that small businesses account                                         then weighted the lower boundary cost
                                                   The third regulatory alternative that                                      for 19.3 percent of the cattle                                                  estimate under the preferred alternative
                                                GIPSA considered is issuing § 201.3(a)                                        slaughtered. For the hog industry,                                              by the percentage of large businesses in
                                                as an interim final regulation, but                                           GIPSA estimates that small businesses                                           the cattle, hog, and poultry industries.
                                                exempting small businesses, as defined                                        slaughter 17.8 percent of hogs and that                                         The estimates appear in the table below.
                                                by the Small Business Administration,                                         65 percent of swine contractors are                                             The preferred alternative is also shown
                                                from having to comply with it.84 To                                           small businesses. GIPSA estimates that                                          for convenience.

                                                                                  TABLE 29—LOWER BOUNDARY ANNUAL TOTAL COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Preferred       business
                                                                                                                                    Year                                                                                             alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                2017     .........................................................................................................................................................................            8.89            7.49
                                                2018     .........................................................................................................................................................................            8.89            7.49
                                                2019     .........................................................................................................................................................................            8.89            7.49
                                                2020     .........................................................................................................................................................................            8.89            7.49
                                                2021     .........................................................................................................................................................................            8.89            7.49
                                                2022     .........................................................................................................................................................................            7.41            6.24
                                                2023     .........................................................................................................................................................................            5.93            4.99
                                                2024     .........................................................................................................................................................................            4.44            3.74
                                                2025     .........................................................................................................................................................................            2.96            2.50
                                                2026     .........................................................................................................................................................................            1.48            1.25

                                                   Totals ....................................................................................................................................................................               66.67           56.16



                                                  At the lower boundary with a small                                          costs of § 201.3(a) with a small business                                       the regulation under the small business
                                                business exemption, GIPSA estimates                                           exemption to be $56.16 million.                                                 exemption using both a three percent
                                                that § 201.3(a) will result in an                                                                                                                             and seven percent discount and the
                                                                                                                              P. Regulatory Alternative 3: Lower
                                                additional $7.49 million in litigation                                                                                                                        NPVs appear in the following table. The
                                                                                                                              Boundary—NPV of Total Costs of the
                                                costs in the cattle, hog, and poultry                                                                                                                         preferred alternative is also shown for
                                                                                                                              Small Business Exemption
                                                industries in the first full year following                                                                                                                   convenience.
                                                implementation. GIPSA expects the                                               GIPSA calculated the lower boundary
                                                lower boundary of the ten-year total                                          of the NPV of the ten-year total costs of

                                                                        TABLE 30—LOWER BOUNDARY NPV OF TEN-YEAR TOTAL COST—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Preferred       business
                                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                                           alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................                  58.62           49.38
                                                7 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................                  50.03           42.14
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                                                  84 See: http://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/public/

                                                documents/sba_homepage/serv_sstd_tablepdf.pdf.


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                                                                      Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                                           92589

                                                  GIPSA expects the NPV of the lower                                          Q. Regulatory Alternative 3: Lower                                              the lower boundary using both a three
                                                boundary of the ten-year total costs of                                       Boundary—Annualized Costs of the                                                percent and seven percent discount rate
                                                § 201.3(a) under a small business                                             Small Business Exemption                                                        and the results appear in the following
                                                exemption to be $49.38 million at a                                                                                                                           table. The preferred alternative is also
                                                three percent discount rate and $42.14                                          GIPSA then annualized the NPV of                                              shown for convenience.
                                                million at a seven percent discount rate.                                     the ten-year total costs of § 201.3(a) at

                                                                                 TABLE 31—LOWER BOUNDARY OF ANNUALIZED COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Preferred       business
                                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                                           alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................                   6.87            5.79
                                                7 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................                   7.12            6.00



                                                  GIPSA expects the annualized costs of                                       the cattle, hog, and poultry industries                                         businesses in the cattle, hog, and
                                                § 201.3(a) at the lower boundary with a                                       adjust their use of AMAs and incentive                                          poultry industries and the estimates
                                                small business exemption to be $5.79                                          pay systems and make systematic                                                 appear in the table below. For
                                                million at a three percent discount rate                                      changes in their marketing and                                                  convenience, the estimated costs of the
                                                and $6.00 million at a seven percent                                          production contracts to reduce the                                              preferred alternative are shown in
                                                discount rate.                                                                threat of litigation.                                                           addition to the costs of the small
                                                R. Regulatory Alternative 3: Upper                                               For the upper boundary cost estimates                                        business exemption.
                                                Boundary of Cost Spectrum—Small                                               under the small business exemption,
                                                Business Exemption                                                            GIPSA weighted the upper boundary
                                                  As discussed above, the upper                                               cost estimates under the preferred
                                                boundary of the cost spectrum occurs if                                       alternative by the percentage of large

                                                                                  TABLE 32—UPPER BOUNDARY ANNUAL TOTAL COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Preferred       business
                                                                                                                                    Year                                                                                             alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                2017     .........................................................................................................................................................................          76.49           60.08
                                                2018     .........................................................................................................................................................................         108.13           86.00
                                                2019     .........................................................................................................................................................................         145.82          115.60
                                                2020     .........................................................................................................................................................................         150.96          117.73
                                                2021     .........................................................................................................................................................................         137.65          106.32
                                                2022     .........................................................................................................................................................................         113.54           87.69
                                                2023     .........................................................................................................................................................................          79.92           60.87
                                                2024     .........................................................................................................................................................................          50.87           36.39
                                                2025     .........................................................................................................................................................................          37.24           27.68
                                                2026     .........................................................................................................................................................................          37.24           27.68

                                                   Totals ....................................................................................................................................................................             937.86          726.05



                                                  At the upper boundary with a small                                          year total costs of § 201.3(a) with a small                                     the regulation under the small business
                                                business exemption, GIPSA estimates                                           business exemption to be $726.05                                                exemption using both a three percent
                                                that § 201.3(a) will result in an                                             million.                                                                        and seven percent discount and the
                                                additional $60.08 million in direct and                                       S. Regulatory Alternative 3: Upper                                              NPVs appear in the following table. The
                                                indirect costs in the cattle, hog, and                                        Boundary—NPV of Ten-Year Total Costs                                            preferred alternative is also shown for
                                                poultry industries in the first full year                                     of the Small Business Exemption                                                 convenience.
                                                following implementation. GIPSA
                                                                                                                                GIPSA calculated the upper boundary
                                                expects the upper boundary of the ten-
                                                                                                                              of the NPV of the ten-year total costs of
                                                                       TABLE 33—UPPER BOUNDARY NPV OF TEN-YEAR TOTAL COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Preferred
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      business
                                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                                           alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................                818.97          634.97
                                                7 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................                692.49          537.90




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                                                92590                 Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                  GIPSA expects the NPV of the upper                                        T. Regulatory Alternative 3: Upper                                          discount rate and the results appear in
                                                boundary of the NPV of the ten-year                                         Boundary—Annualized Costs of the                                            the following table. The preferred
                                                total costs of § 201.3(a) under a small                                     Preferred Alternative                                                       alternative is also shown for
                                                business exemption to be $634.97                                                                                                                        convenience.
                                                million at a three percent discount rate                                      GIPSA then annualized the costs of
                                                and $537.90 million at a seven percent                                      § 201.3(a) at the upper boundary using
                                                discount rate.                                                              both a three percent and seven percent

                                                                                 TABLE 34—UPPER BOUNDARY OF ANNUALIZED COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Preferred       business
                                                                                                                           Discount rate                                                                                      alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................           96.01           74.44
                                                7 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................           98.60           76.58



                                                  GIPSA expects the annualized costs of                                     U. Regulatory Alternative 3: Point                                          small business exemption using both a
                                                § 201.3(a) at the upper boundary with a                                     Estimates—Annualized Costs of the                                           three percent and seven percent
                                                small business exemption to be $74.44                                       Small Business Exemption                                                    discount rate and the results appear in
                                                million at a three percent discount rate                                      Using the same methodology, GIPSA                                         the following table. The preferred
                                                and $76.58 million at a seven percent                                       also estimated the point estimates of the                                   alternative is also shown for
                                                discount rate.                                                              annualized costs of § 201.3(a) with a                                       convenience.

                                                                                   TABLE 35—POINT ESTIMATE OF ANNUALIZED COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Small
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Preferred       business
                                                                                                                           Discount rate                                                                                      alternative     exemption
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................           51.44           40.11
                                                7 Percent .................................................................................................................................................................           52.86           41.29



                                                  GIPSA expects the annualized costs of                                     V. Regulatory Alternative 3: Range of                                       both a three percent and seven percent
                                                § 201.3(a) at the point estimates with a                                    Annualized Costs of the Small Business                                      discount rate under the small business
                                                small business exemption to be $40.11                                       Exemption                                                                   exemption.
                                                million at a three percent discount rate
                                                and $41.29 million at a seven percent                                         The following table shows the range
                                                discount rate.                                                              of the annualized costs of § 201.3(a) at

                                                                                           TABLE 36—RANGE OF ANNUALIZED COSTS—SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lower                  Point           Upper
                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                              boundary               estimate        boundary
                                                                                                                                                                                                       ($ millions)           ($ millions)    ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .....................................................................................................................................                     5.79              40.11           74.44
                                                7 Percent .....................................................................................................................................                     6.00              41.29           76.58



                                                   GIPSA estimates the annualized costs                                     W. Regulatory Alternative 3: Benefits of                                    X. Regulatory Alternative 3: Cost-Benefit
                                                of § 201.3(a) to range from $5.79 million                                   the Small Business Exemption                                                Summary of the Small Business
                                                to $74.44 million at the three percent                                                                                                                  Exemption
                                                discount rate and from $6.00 million to                                        The benefits of § 201.3(a) with a small
                                                $76.58 million at the seven percent                                         business exemption are the same as in                                         GIPSA estimates the annualized costs
                                                discount rate. The range of potential                                       the preferred alternative except that the                                   of § 201.3(a) under a small business
                                                costs is broad and GIPSA relied on its                                      benefits for livestock producers, swine                                     exemption to range from $5.79 million
                                                expertise and the methodology                                               production contract growers, and                                            to $74.44 million at the three percent
                                                discussed above to arrive at point                                          poultry growers will only be captured                                       discount rate and from $6.00 million to
                                                                                                                            by those livestock producers, swine                                         $76.58 million at the seven percent
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                                                estimates of the costs within the range
                                                that GIPSA expects to occur. GIPSA                                          production contract growers, and                                            discount rate. GIPSA expects the point
                                                expects the most likely point estimates                                     poultry growers selling or growing                                          estimates of the annualized costs to be
                                                of annualized costs to be $40.11 million                                    livestock and poultry for packers, swine                                    $40.11 million at a three percent
                                                at a three percent discount rate and                                        contractors, and poultry dealers                                            discount rate and $41.29 million at a
                                                $41.29 million at a seven percent                                           classified as large businesses.                                             seven percent discount rate.
                                                discount rate.


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                                                                      Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                                               92591

                                                Cost-Benefit Comparison of Regulatory                                      does not expect any changes in the                                     alternative by subtracting the
                                                Alternatives                                                               cattle, hog, or poultry industries. GIPSA                              annualized costs of the small business
                                                                                                                           compared the annualized costs of the                                   exemption alternative from the
                                                 The status quo option has zero                                            preferred alternative to the annualized                                preferred alternative and the results
                                                marginal costs and benefits as GIPSA                                       costs of the small business exemption                                  appear in the following table.
                                                        TABLE 37—COSTS SAVINGS OF THE SMALL BUSINESS EXEMPTION ALTERNATIVE COMPARED TO THE PREFERRED
                                                                                                 ALTERNATIVE
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Lower             Point               Upper
                                                                                                             Discount rate                                                                         boundary          estimate            boundary
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ($ millions)      ($ millions)        ($ millions)

                                                3 Percent .....................................................................................................................................            1.08              11.33              21.57
                                                7 Percent .....................................................................................................................................            1.12              11.57              22.01



                                                   The annualized cost savings of the                                      packers, swine contractors, and live                                   contractors. The estimates reveal that
                                                small business exemption alternative is                                    poultry dealers to the contracting risks                               although about 65 percent of swine
                                                between $1.08 million and $21.57                                           and potential market failures discussed                                contractors had sales of less than
                                                million using a three percent discount                                     above. GIPSA believes that the benefits                                $750,000 in 2012 and would have been
                                                rate and between $1.12 million and                                         of § 201.3(a) should be captured by all                                classified as small businesses, these
                                                $22.01 million using a seven percent                                       livestock producers, swine production                                  small businesses accounted for only 2.8
                                                discount rate. At GIPSA’s point                                            contract growers, and poultry growers.                                 percent of the hogs produced under
                                                estimates, the annualized costs of the                                        GIPSA considered three regulatory                                   production contracts. Additionally,
                                                small business exemption alternative is                                    alternatives and believes the preferred                                there were 8,031 swine producers in
                                                $11.33 million less than the preferred                                     alternative is the best option. All                                    2012 with swine contracts and about
                                                alternative using a three percent                                          livestock producers, swine production                                  half of these producers would have been
                                                discount rate and $11.57 million less                                      contract growers, and poultry growers,                                 classified as small businesses.
                                                expensive using a seven percent                                            regardless of the size of the firm with                                   Currently, there are 133 live poultry
                                                discount rate.                                                             which they contract, will capture the                                  dealers that would be subject to
                                                   The data presented in Table 4 above                                     benefits of § 201.3(a).                                                § 201.3(a). According to U.S. Census
                                                show that over 50 percent of broiler                                       Regulatory Flexibility Analysis of the                                 data on County Business Patterns, there
                                                growers have only one or two                                               Preferred Option                                                       were 74 live poultry dealers that had
                                                integrators in their local area. This                                                                                                             more than 1,250 employees in 2013. The
                                                limited integrator choice may                                                 The Small Business Administration                                   difference yields approximately 59 live
                                                accentuate the risks of contracting.                                       (SBA) defines small businesses by their                                poultry dealers that have fewer than
                                                Poultry growers with contract growing                                      North American Industry Classification                                 1,250 employees and would be
                                                arrangements with both small and large                                     System Codes (NAICS).85 SBA considers                                  considered as small businesses that
                                                live poultry dealers face these risks.                                     broiler and turkey producers and swine                                 would be subject to the interim final
                                                   Similarly, the potential market                                         contractors, NAICS codes 112320,                                       regulation.
                                                failures or unequal bargaining power                                       112330, and 112210 respectively, to be                                    GIPSA records for 2014 indicated
                                                among contracting parties due to                                           small businesses if sales are less than                                there were 21,925 poultry production
                                                monopsony or oligopsony market power                                       $750,000 per year. Live poultry dealers,                               contracts in effect, of which 13,370, or
                                                or asymmetric information likely                                           NAICS 311615, are considered small                                     61 percent, were held by the largest six
                                                applies to both production and                                             businesses if they have fewer than 1,250                               live poultry dealers, and 90 percent
                                                marketing contracts regardless of                                          employees. Beef and pork packers,                                      (19,673) were held by the largest 25
                                                                                                                           NAICS 311611, are defined as small                                     firms. These 25 firms are all in the large
                                                whether the packer, swine contractor, or
                                                                                                                           businesses if they have fewer than 1,000                               business SBA category, whereas the
                                                live poultry dealer is large or small due
                                                                                                                           employees.                                                             21,925 poultry growers holding the
                                                to the regional nature of concentration.                                      The Census of Agriculture (Census)
                                                The result is that the contracts may have                                                                                                         other end of the contracts are almost all
                                                                                                                           indicates there were 558 farms that sold
                                                detrimental effects on one of the                                                                                                                 small businesses by SBA’s definitions.
                                                                                                                           their own hogs and pigs in 2012 and
                                                contracting parties and may result in                                                                                                                Poultry dealers classified as large
                                                                                                                           that identified themselves as contractors
                                                inefficiencies in the marketplace.                                                                                                                businesses are responsible for about
                                                                                                                           or integrators. The Census provides the
                                                   One purpose of § 201.3(a) is to                                                                                                                89.7 percent of the poultry contracts.
                                                                                                                           number of head sold from their own
                                                mitigate the risks of potential market                                                                                                            Assuming that small businesses will
                                                                                                                           operations by size classes for swine
                                                failures or unequal bargaining power to                                                                                                           bear 10.3 percent of the costs in the first
                                                                                                                           contractors, but not the value of sales
                                                all livestock producers, swine                                                                                                                    full year § 201.3(a) is effective, between
                                                                                                                           nor number of head sold from the farms
                                                production contract growers, and                                                                                                                  $590,000 86 at the lower boundary and
                                                                                                                           of the contracted production. Thus, to
                                                poultry growers, not just the livestock                                                                                                           $3.7 million 87 at the upper boundary in
                                                                                                                           estimate the entity size and average per-
                                                producers, swine production contract                                                                                                              additional costs would fall on live
                                                                                                                           entity revenue by the SBA classification,
                                                growers, and poultry growers selling or                                                                                                           poultry dealers classified as small
                                                                                                                           the average value per head for sales of
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                                                growing livestock and poultry for large                                                                                                           businesses. This amounts to average
                                                                                                                           all swine operations is multiplied by
                                                packers, swine contractors, and poultry
                                                                                                                           production values for firms in the
                                                dealers. The small business exemption                                                                                                               86 Lower bound cost estimate of $5.74 million
                                                                                                                           Census size classes for swine                                          (Table 12) × 10.27 percent of firms that are small
                                                would continue to subject the livestock
                                                                                                                                                                                                  businesses = $589 thousand.
                                                producers, swine production contract                                         85 See: http://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/public/                          87 Upper bound cost estimate of $35.87 million
                                                growers, and poultry growers with                                          documents/sba_homepage/serv_sstd_tablepdf.pdf.                         (Table 20) × 10.27 percent of firms that are small
                                                contractual arrangements with small                                        Accessed on September 19, 2016.                                        businesses = $3.7 million.



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                                                92592               Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                estimated costs for each live poultry                                  This amounts to a range of $1,800 to                         annualized ten-year costs for small
                                                dealer classified as a small business of                               $18,900 for each beef packer classified                      businesses would be between $870,000
                                                between $10,000 and $62,400.                                           as a small business. GIPSA expects,                          and $13.1 million.
                                                   As of June 2016, GIPSA records                                      between $13,000 90 and $308,000 91                              Annualized ten-year costs discounted
                                                identified 359 beef and pork packers                                   would fall on pork packers classified as                     at a seven percent interest rate would
                                                actively purchasing cattle or hogs for                                 small businesses, and between                                fall between $406,000 and $8.8 million
                                                slaughter. Many firms slaughtered more                                 $12,500 92 and $301,000 93 would fall on                     for the cattle industry, $20,000 and
                                                than one species of livestock. Of the 359                              swine contractors classified as small                        $785,000 for the hog industry, and
                                                beef and pork packers, 161 processed                                   businesses. This amounts to average
                                                                                                                                                                                    $473,000 and $3.8 million for the
                                                both cattle and hogs, 132 processed                                    estimated costs for each pork packer
                                                                                                                                                                                    poultry industry. This amounts to
                                                cattle but not hogs, and 66 processed                                  classified as a small business of between
                                                hogs but not cattle. GIPSA records had                                                                                              average estimate costs ranging from
                                                                                                                       $60 and $1,400, and for each swine
                                                a total of 293 cattle slaughterers and 227                                                                                          $1,400 to $30,700 for each beef packer,
                                                                                                                       contractor classified as a small business
                                                hog slaughterers. Two hundred eighty-                                                                                               $40 to $1,800 for each pork packer, $23
                                                                                                                       of between $35 and $831 in the first full
                                                seven of the cattle slaughterers and 219                                                                                            to $1,100 for each swine contractor, and
                                                                                                                       year the regulation would be effective.
                                                of the hog slaughterers would be                                          Annualized ten-year costs discounted                      $8,000 to $64,100 for each live poultry
                                                classified as small businesses.                                        at a three percent interest rate would fall                  dealer that is a small business. The total
                                                   GIPSA estimates that small businesses                               between $392,000 and $8.7 million for                        annualized ten-year costs for small
                                                accounted for 19.3 percent of the cattle                               the cattle industry, between $20,000 and                     businesses would be between $900,000
                                                and 17.8 percent of the hogs slaughtered                               $772,000 for the hog industry, and                           and $13.4 million.
                                                in 2015. If the costs of implementing                                  between $456,000 and $3.6 million for                           The table below lists the expected
                                                § 201.3(a) are proportional to the                                     the poultry industry. This amounts to                        additional costs associated with the
                                                number of head processed, then in 2017,                                average estimated costs ranging from                         proposed regulation and upper and
                                                the first full year the regulation would                               $1,400 to $30,400 for each beef packer,                      lower bound estimates of the costs. It
                                                be effective, GIPSA expects between                                    $45 to $1,800 for each pork packer, $27                      also lists the point estimate, upper
                                                $507,000 88 and $5.4 million 89 in                                     to $1,053 for each swine contractor, and                     bound, and lower bound annualized
                                                additional costs would fall on beef                                    $7,700 to $61,000 for each live poultry                      costs at three percent and seven percent
                                                packers classified as small businesses.                                dealer that is a small business. The total                   interest rates.

                                                                               TABLE 38—UPPER AND LOWER BOUND COSTS TO SMALL BUSINESSES OF § 201.3(a)
                                                                                                                                                                    Cattle            Hogs              Poultry              Total
                                                                                             Estimate type                                                       ($ millions)      ($ millions)       ($ millions)        ($ millions)

                                                First Year Costs:
                                                     Lower Bound ............................................................................................             0.507              0.025             0.590              1.122
                                                     Point Estimate ..........................................................................................            2.969              0.317             2.137              5.423
                                                     Upper Bound ............................................................................................             5.430              0.609             3.684              9.723
                                                10 years annualized at 3%:
                                                     Lower Bound ............................................................................................             0.392              0.020             0.456              0.867
                                                     Point Estimate ..........................................................................................            4.554              0.396             2.026              6.976
                                                     Upper Bound ............................................................................................             8.716              0.772             3.596             13.084
                                                10 years annualized at 7%:
                                                     Lower Bound ............................................................................................             0.406              0.020             0.473              0.899
                                                     Point Estimate ..........................................................................................            4.613              0.403             2.126              7.142
                                                     Upper Bound ............................................................................................             8.820              0.785             3.780             13.385



                                                  In considering the impact on small                                   The number of small businesses                               percent and seven percent discount
                                                businesses, GIPSA considered the                                       impacted by § 201.3(a), by NAICS code,                       rates appear in the following table.
                                                average costs and revenues of each                                     as well as the per entity, first-year and
                                                small business impacted by § 201.3(a).                                 annualized costs at both the three




                                                  88 Lower bound cost estimate of $2.63 million ×                        91 Upper bound cost estimate of $12.49 million ×             93 Upper bound cost estimate of $12.49 million ×
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                                                19.3 percent of slaughter in small businesses = $507                   17.8 percent of slaughter in small business × 13.8           2.8 percent of contracted hogs produced by swine
                                                thousand.                                                              percent of costs attributed to packers = $308                contractors that are small businesses × 86.2 percent
                                                  89 Upper bound cost estimate of $28.14 million ×
                                                                                                                       thousand.                                                    of costs attributed to swine contractors = $301
                                                19.3 percent of slaughter in small businesses = $5.4                     92 Lower bound cost estimate of $520 thousand ×            thousand.
                                                million.
                                                  90 Lower bound cost estimate of $520 thousand ×
                                                                                                                       2.8 percent of contracted hogs produced by swine
                                                17.8 percent of slaughter in small business × 13.8                     contractors that are small businesses × 86.2 percent
                                                percent of costs attributed to packers = $13,000.                      of costs attributed to swine contractors = $12,500.




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                                                                   Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations                                                   92593

                                                                   TABLE 39—PER ENTITY UPPER AND LOWER BOUND COSTS TO SMALL BUSINESSES OF § 201.3(a)
                                                                                                                                                      Average cost per entity

                                                                                      Number                                                                Annualized costs                  Annualized costs
                                                                                                                      First-year
                                                           NAICS                          of                                                                      3%                                7%
                                                                                    small business
                                                                                                              Low                   High                  Low            High                Low             High
                                                                                                               ($)                   ($)                   ($)            ($)                 ($)             ($)

                                                112210—Swine Con-
                                                  tractor .......................                363                   35                 831                   27              1,053               23              1,071
                                                311615—Poultry ..........                         59                9,996              62,443                7,727             60,957            8,010             64,066
                                                311611—Cattle ............                       287                1,767              18,920                1,366             30,369            1,416             30,732
                                                311611—Hogs .............                        219                   59               1,405                   45              1,781               47              1,811



                                                  The following table compares the                            establishment for all firms in the same
                                                average per entity first-year cost of                         NAICS code.
                                                § 201.3(a) to the average revenue per

                                                       TABLE 40—COMPARISON OF PER ENTITY FIRST-YEAR COST TO SMALL BUSINESSES OF § 201.3(a) TO REVENUES
                                                                                                                                    Average first-year cost                                   Cost as percent of
                                                                                                                                                                        Average
                                                                                                           Number                         per entity                                               revenue
                                                                                                                                                                      revenue per
                                                                       NAICS                               of small                                                  establishment
                                                                                                           business                 Low                   High            ($)                Low             High
                                                                                                                                     ($)                   ($)

                                                112210—Swine Contractor ......................                        363                   35                 831         485,860                  0.01             0.17
                                                311615—Poultry ......................................                  59                9,996              62,443      13,842,548                  0.07             0.45
                                                311611—Cattle ........................................                287                1,767              18,920       6,882,205                  0.03             0.27
                                                311611—Hogs .........................................                 219                   59               1,405       6,882,205                  0.00             0.02



                                                  The following table compares the                            establishment for all firms in the same                  the seven percent rate is shown as it is
                                                average per entity annualized cost at a                       NAICS code. The annualized costs are                     the higher annualized cost.
                                                seven percent discount rate of § 201.3(a)                     slightly higher at the seven percent rate
                                                to the average revenue per                                    than at the three percent rate, so only

                                                       TABLE 41—COMPARISON OF PER ENTITY ANNUALIZED COST TO SMALL BUSINESSES OF § 201.3(a) TO REVENUES
                                                                                                                                     Average annualized                                   Cost as percent of revenue
                                                                                                                                                                        Average
                                                                                                           Number                      cost per entity                revenue per
                                                                       NAICS                               of small                                                  establishment           Low             High
                                                                                                           business                 Low                   High            ($)                (%)             (%)
                                                                                                                                     ($)                   ($)

                                                112210—Swine Contractor ......................                        363                   23               1,071         485,860                  0.00             0.22
                                                311615—Poultry ......................................                  59                8,010              64,066      13,842,548                  0.06             0.46
                                                311611—Cattle ........................................                287                1,416              30,732       6,882,205                  0.02             0.45
                                                311611—Hogs .........................................                 219                   39               1,811       6,882,205                  0.00             0.03



                                                  The revenue figures in the above table                      sales of all swine operations and the                    between $900,000 and $13.4 million
                                                come from Census data for live poultry                        production values for firms in the                       using a seven percent discount rate. At
                                                dealers and cattle and hog slaughterers,                      Census size classes for swine                            GIPSA’s point estimates, the annualized
                                                NAICS codes 311615 and 311611,                                contractors                                              costs of the small business exemption
                                                respectively.94 As discussed above, the                         As the results in Tables 40 and 41                     alternative is $7.0 million less than the
                                                Census provides the number of head                            demonstrate, the costs of § 201.3(a) as a                preferred alternative using a three
                                                sold by size classes for farms that sold                      percent of revenue are small as they are                 percent discount rate and $7.1 million
                                                their own hogs and pigs in 2012 and                           less than one percent, with the                          less expensive using a seven percent
                                                that that identified themselves as                            exception of the upper boundary for                      discount rate.
                                                contractors or integrators, but not the                       swine contractors.95                                        Exempting small businesses would
                                                value of sales nor the number of head                           Annualized costs savings of                            continue to subject the livestock
                                                sold from the farms of the contracted                         exempting small businesses would be
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                                                                                                                                                                       producers, swine production contract
                                                production. Thus, to estimate average                         between $870,000 and $13.1 million                       growers, and poultry growers with
                                                revenue per establishment, GIPSA used                         using a three percent discount rate and
                                                                                                                                                                       contractual arrangements with small
                                                the estimated average value per head for
                                                                                                                95 There are significant differences in average
                                                                                                                                                                       packers, swine contractors, and live
                                                  94 Source:
                                                           http://www.census.gov/data/tables/                 revenues between swine contractors and cattle, hog,
                                                                                                                                                                       poultry dealers to the contracting risks
                                                2012/econ/susb/2012-susb-annual.html. Accessed                and poultry processors, resulting from the               and potential market failures discussed
                                                on November 29, 2016.                                         difference in SBA thresholds.                            above. GIPSA believes that the benefits


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                                                92594            Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 244 / Tuesday, December 20, 2016 / Rules and Regulations

                                                of § 201.3(a) should be captured by all                 November 22, 2010) with specific                      found to violate sections 202(a) and/or
                                                livestock producers, swine production                   opportunities in Rapid City, South                    (b) of the Act without a finding of harm
                                                contract growers, and poultry growers.                  Dakota, on October 28, 2010, and                      or likely harm to competition.
                                                   Based on the above analyses regarding                Oklahoma City, Oklahoma on November                     (b) Effective dates. * * *
                                                § 201.3(a), GIPSA certifies that this rule              3, 2010. All tribal headquarters were
                                                                                                                                                              Larry Mitchell,
                                                is not expected to have a significant                   invited to participate in these venues for
                                                economic impact on a substantial                                                                              Administrator, Grain Inspection, Packers and
                                                                                                        consultation. GIPSA has received no
                                                number of small business entities as                                                                          Stockyards Administration.
                                                                                                        specific indication that the rule will
                                                defined in the Regulatory Flexibility Act                                                                     [FR Doc. 2016–30424 Filed 12–19–16; 8:45 am]
                                                                                                        have tribal implications and has
                                                (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.). While confident                 received no further requests for                      BILLING CODE 3410–KD–P
                                                in this certification, GIPSA                            consultation as of the date of this
                                                acknowledges that individual                            publication. If a Tribe requests
                                                businesses may have relevant data to                    consultation, GIPSA will work with the                DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY
                                                supplement our analysis. We would                       Office of Tribal Relations to ensure
                                                encourage small stakeholders to submit                  meaningful consultation is provided                   Office of the Comptroller of the
                                                any relevant data during the comment                    where changes, additions, and                         Currency
                                                period.                                                 modifications herein are not expressly
                                                                                                        mandated by Congress.                                 12 CFR Part 51
                                                B. Executive Order 12988
                                                                                                                                                              [Docket ID OCC–2016–0017]
                                                   This interim final rule has been                     D. Paperwork Reduction Act
                                                reviewed under Executive Order 12988,                     This interim final rule does not                    RIN 1557–AE07
                                                Civil Justice Reform. These actions are                 contain new or amended information
                                                not intended to have retroactive effect,                                                                      Receiverships for Uninsured National
                                                                                                        collection requirements subject to the
                                                although in some instances they merely                                                                        Banks
                                                                                                        Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44
                                                reiterate GIPSA’s previous                              U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). It does not involve             AGENCY:  Office of the Comptroller of the
                                                interpretation of the P&S Act. This                     collection of new or additional                       Currency, Treasury.
                                                interim final rule will not pre-empt state              information by the federal government.                ACTION: Final rule.
                                                or local laws, regulations, or policies,
                                                unless they present an irreconcilable                   E. E-Government Act Compliance                        SUMMARY:   The Office of the Comptroller
                                                conflict with this rule. There are no                     GIPSA is committed to compliance                    of the Currency (OCC) is adopting a
                                                administrative procedures that must be                  with the E-Government Act, to promote                 final rule addressing the conduct of
                                                exhausted prior to any judicial                         the use of the Internet and other                     receiverships for national banks that are
                                                challenge to the provisions of this rule.               information technologies to provide                   not insured by the Federal Deposit
                                                Nothing in this interim final rule is                   increased opportunities for citizen                   Insurance Corporation (FDIC)
                                                intended to interfere with a person’s                   access to Government information and                  (uninsured banks) and for which the
                                                right to enforce liability against any                  services, and for other purposes.                     FDIC would not be appointed as
                                                person subject to the P&S Act under                                                                           receiver. The final rule implements the
                                                authority granted in section 308 of the                 List of Subjects in 9 CFR Part 201
                                                                                                                                                              provisions of the National Bank Act
                                                P&S Act.                                                  Contracts, Livestock, Poultry, Trade                (NBA) that provide the legal framework
                                                                                                        practices.                                            for receiverships of such institutions.
                                                C. Executive Order 13175
                                                                                                          For the reasons set forth in the                    The final rule adopts the rule as
                                                  This rule has been reviewed in                        preamble, we amend 9 CFR part 201 as                  proposed without change.
                                                accordance with the requirements of                     follows:                                              DATES: This final rule is effective on
                                                Executive Order 13175, ‘‘Consultation
                                                and Coordination with Indian Tribal                     PART 201—REGULATIONS UNDER                            January 19, 2017.
                                                Governments.’’ Executive Order 13175                    THE PACKERS AND STOCKYARDS                            FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
                                                requires Federal agencies to consult and                ACT                                                   Mitchell Plave, Special Counsel,
                                                coordinate with tribes on a government-                                                                       Legislative and Regulatory Activities
                                                to-government basis on policies that                    ■ 1. The authority citation for part 201              Division, (202) 649–5490, or for persons
                                                have tribal implications, including                     continues to read as follows:                         who are deaf or hard of hearing, TTY,
                                                regulations, legislative comments or                        Authority: 7 U.S.C. 181–229c.                     (202) 649–5597, or Richard Cleva,
                                                proposed legislation, and other policy                                                                        Senior Counsel, Bank Activities and
                                                                                                        ■ 2. Section 201.3 is amended by                      Structure Division, (202) 649–5500,
                                                statements or actions that have                         redesignating the existing text as
                                                substantial direct effects on one or more                                                                     Office of the Comptroller of the
                                                                                                        paragraph (b), adding new paragraph (a),              Currency, 400 7th Street SW.,
                                                Indian tribes, on the relationship                      and adding a heading to paragraph (b)
                                                between the Federal Government and                                                                            Washington, DC 20219.
                                                                                                        to read as follows:
                                                Indian tribes or the distribution of                                                                          SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                                                power and responsibilities between the                  § 201.3   Applicability of regulations in this
                                                                                                                                                              I. Introduction
                                                Federal Government and Indian tribes.                   part.
                                                  Although GIPSA has assessed the                          (a) Scope of sections 202(a) and (b) of              On September 13, 2016, the OCC
                                                impact of this rule on Indian tribes and                the Act. The appropriate application of               published a proposed rule to implement
                                                determined that this rule does not, to                  sections 202(a) and (b) of the Act                    the provisions of the NBA that provide
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                                                our knowledge, have tribal implications                 depends on the nature and                             the legal framework for receiverships for
                                                that require tribal consultation under                  circumstances of the challenged                       uninsured banks,1 12 U.S.C. 191—200,
                                                Executive Order 13175, GIPSA offered                    conduct or action. A finding that the
                                                                                                                                                                1 All Federal savings associations (FSAs),
                                                opportunities to meet with                              challenged conduct or action adversely
                                                                                                                                                              including trust-only FSAs, are required to be
                                                representatives from Tribal                             affects or is likely to adversely affect              insured. For this reason, this final rule does not
                                                Governments during the comment                          competition is not necessary in all                   apply to FSAs, given that receiverships for FSAs
                                                period for the proposed rule (June 22 to                cases. Certain conduct or action can be               would be conducted by the FDIC.



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Document Created: 2018-02-14 09:09:34
Document Modified: 2018-02-14 09:09:34
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionRules and Regulations
ActionInterim final rule; request for comments.
DatesThis interim final rule is February 21, 2017. Interested persons are invited to submit written comments on this interim final rule on or before February 21, 2017.
ContactS. Brett Offutt, Director, Litigation and Economic Analysis Division, P&SP, GIPSA, 1400 Independence Ave, SW., Washington, DC 20250, (202) 720-7051, [email protected]
FR Citation81 FR 92566 
RIN Number0580-AB25
CFR AssociatedContracts; Livestock; Poultry and Trade Practices

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