82_FR_3032 82 FR 3026 - Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal Programs

82 FR 3026 - Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal Programs

OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

Federal Register Volume 82, Issue 6 (January 10, 2017)

Page Range3026-3027
FR Document2017-00209

The Office of Management and Budget revised Circular A-94 in 1992. The revised Circular specified certain discount rates to be updated annually when the interest rate and inflation assumptions used to prepare the Budget of the United States Government were changed. These discount rates are found in Appendix C of the revised Circular. The updated discount rates are shown below. The discount rates in Appendix C are to be used for cost-effectiveness analysis, including lease-purchase analysis, as specified in the revised Circular. They do not apply to regulatory analysis.

Federal Register, Volume 82 Issue 6 (Tuesday, January 10, 2017)
[Federal Register Volume 82, Number 6 (Tuesday, January 10, 2017)]
[Notices]
[Pages 3026-3027]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2017-00209]


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OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET


Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Federal 
Programs

AGENCY: Office of Management and Budget.

ACTION: Revisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A-94.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: The Office of Management and Budget revised Circular A-94 in 
1992. The revised Circular specified certain discount rates to be 
updated annually when the interest rate and inflation assumptions used 
to prepare the Budget of the United States Government were changed. 
These discount rates are found in Appendix C of the revised Circular. 
The updated discount rates are shown below. The discount rates in 
Appendix C are to be used for cost-effectiveness analysis, including 
lease-purchase analysis, as specified in the revised Circular. They do 
not apply to regulatory analysis.

DATES: The revised discount rates will be in effect through December 
2017.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Gideon Lukens, Office of Economic 
Policy, Office of Management and Budget, (202) 395-3316.

Devin O'Connor,
Associate Director for Economic Policy, Office of Management and 
Budget.
Attachment
OMB Circular No. A-94

Appendix C

(Revised November 2016)

Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness, Lease Purchase, and Related 
Analyses

    Effective Dates. This appendix is updated annually. This version of 
the appendix is valid for calendar year 2017. A copy of the updated 
appendix can be obtained in electronic form through the OMB home page 
at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a094/a94_appx-c/. The text 
of the Circular is found at http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a094/, and a table of past years' rates is located at http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/a94/dischist.pdf. 
Updates of the appendix are also available upon request from OMB's 
Office of Economic Policy (202-395-3316).
    Nominal Discount Rates. A forecast of nominal or market interest 
rates for calendar year 2017 based on the economic assumptions for the 
2018 Budget is presented below. These nominal rates are to be used for 
discounting nominal flows, which are often encountered in lease-
purchase analysis.

                   Nominal Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities
                                                  [in percent]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      3-Year             5-Year             7-Year            10-Year            20-Year            30-Year
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            1.4                1.7                1.9                2.1                2.5                2.8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Real Discount Rates. A forecast of real interest rates from which 
the inflation premium has been removed and based on the economic 
assumptions from the 2018 Budget is presented below. These real rates 
are to be used for discounting constant-dollar flows, as is often 
required in cost-effectiveness analysis.

                     Real Interest Rates on Treasury Notes and Bonds of Specified Maturities
                                                  [in percent]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      3-Year             5-Year             7-Year            10-Year            20-Year            30-Year
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           -0.5               -0.3                0.0                0.1                0.5                0.7
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 3027]]

    Analyses of programs with terms different from those presented 
above may use a linear interpolation. For example, a four-year project 
can be evaluated with a rate equal to the average of the three-year and 
five-year rates. Programs with durations longer than 30 years may use 
the 30-year interest rate.

[FR Doc. 2017-00209 Filed 1-9-17; 8:45 am]
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                                               3026                          Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 6 / Tuesday, January 10, 2017 / Notices

                                               providers; research scientists and                      a statement of support from the                        used for cost-effectiveness analysis,
                                               academicians; Federal, State, Local                     applicant’s employer. Potential                        including lease-purchase analysis, as
                                               prosecutors, defense attorneys and                      candidates may be asked to provide                     specified in the revised Circular. They
                                               judges; law enforcement; and other                      detailed information as necessary                      do not apply to regulatory analysis.
                                               relevant stakeholders. DOJ encourages                   regarding financial interests,                         DATES: The revised discount rates will
                                               submissions from applicants with                        employment, and professional                           be in effect through December 2017.
                                               respect to diversity of backgrounds,                    affiliations to evaluate possible sources
                                                                                                       of conflicts of interest. The application              FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
                                               professions, ethnicities, gender, and
                                               geography. The Commission shall                         period will remain open through                        Gideon Lukens, Office of Economic
                                               consist of approximately 30 voting                      January 26, 2017. The applications must                Policy, Office of Management and
                                               members. Members will serve without                     be sent in one complete package, by                    Budget, (202) 395–3316.
                                               compensation. The Commission                            email, to Jonathan McGrath (contact                    Devin O’Connor,
                                               generally meets four times each year at                 information above) with the subject line               Associate Director for Economic Policy, Office
                                               approximately three-month intervals.                    of the email entitled, ‘‘NCFS                          of Management and Budget.
                                               The next Commission meetings will be                    Membership 2017.’’ Other sources, in
                                                                                                                                                              Attachment
                                               held on January 9–10, 2017 and April                    addition to the Federal Register notice,
                                                                                                       may be utilized in the solicitation of                 OMB Circular No. A–94
                                               10–11, 2017 in Washington, DC
                                               Additional information regarding the                    applications.                                          Appendix C
                                               Commission can be found at: http://                       Dated: January 4, 2017.                              (Revised November 2016)
                                               www.justice.gov/ncfs.                                   Jonathan McGrath,
                                                  Note: The Commission is developing                                                                          Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness,
                                                                                                       Designated Federal Officer, National
                                               a draft Views document on Statistical                   Commission on Forensic Science.
                                                                                                                                                              Lease Purchase, and Related Analyses
                                               Statements in Forensic Testimony, and                   [FR Doc. 2017–00210 Filed 1–9–17; 8:45 am]                Effective Dates. This appendix is
                                               it is anticipated that the additional                   BILLING CODE 4410–18–P                                 updated annually. This version of the
                                               Commissioner member will contribute                                                                            appendix is valid for calendar year
                                               to the Commission’s discussions on this                                                                        2017. A copy of the updated appendix
                                               topic, as well as all other Commission                  OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND                               can be obtained in electronic form
                                               activities. On December 12, 2016, the                   BUDGET                                                 through the OMB home page at http://
                                               Department of Justice published in the                                                                         www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_
                                               Federal Register a Notice announcing                    Discount Rates for Cost-Effectiveness                  a094/a94_appx-c/. The text of the
                                               the January 9–10, 2017, Federal                         Analysis of Federal Programs                           Circular is found at http://
                                               Advisory Committee Meeting of the                                                                              www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_
                                                                                                       AGENCY:  Office of Management and
                                               National Commission on Forensic                                                                                a094/, and a table of past years’ rates is
                                                                                                       Budget.
                                               Science (81 FR 89509). That Notice also                                                                        located at http://www.whitehouse.gov/
                                                                                                       ACTION: Revisions to Appendix C of
                                               announced that comments on draft work                                                                          sites/default/files/omb/assets/a94/
                                               products can be submitted through                       OMB Circular A–94.
                                                                                                                                                              dischist.pdf. Updates of the appendix
                                               www.regulations.gov starting on                         SUMMARY:   The Office of Management                    are also available upon request from
                                               December 23, 2016. Any comments                         and Budget revised Circular A–94 in                    OMB’s Office of Economic Policy (202–
                                               should be posted to                                     1992. The revised Circular specified                   395–3316).
                                               www.regulations.gov no later than                       certain discount rates to be updated                      Nominal Discount Rates. A forecast of
                                               January 25, 2017.                                       annually when the interest rate and                    nominal or market interest rates for
                                                  Applications: Any qualified person                   inflation assumptions used to prepare                  calendar year 2017 based on the
                                               may apply to be considered for                          the Budget of the United States                        economic assumptions for the 2018
                                               appointment to this advisory committee.                 Government were changed. These                         Budget is presented below. These
                                               Each application should include: (1) A                  discount rates are found in Appendix C                 nominal rates are to be used for
                                               resume or curriculum vitae; (2) a                       of the revised Circular. The updated                   discounting nominal flows, which are
                                               statement of interest describing the                    discount rates are shown below. The                    often encountered in lease-purchase
                                               applicant’s relevant experience; and (3)                discount rates in Appendix C are to be                 analysis.

                                                                     NOMINAL INTEREST RATES ON TREASURY NOTES AND BONDS OF SPECIFIED MATURITIES
                                                                                                                           [in percent]

                                                       3-Year                        5-Year                     7-Year                     10-Year                    20-Year                30-Year

                                                         1.4                          1.7                         1.9                           2.1                     2.5                    2.8



                                                 Real Discount Rates. A forecast of real               on the economic assumptions from the                   constant-dollar flows, as is often
                                               interest rates from which the inflation                 2018 Budget is presented below. These                  required in cost-effectiveness analysis.
                                               premium has been removed and based                      real rates are to be used for discounting
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                                                                        REAL INTEREST RATES ON TREASURY NOTES AND BONDS OF SPECIFIED MATURITIES
                                                                                                                           [in percent]

                                                       3-Year                        5-Year                     7-Year                     10-Year                    20-Year                30-Year

                                                        ¥0.5                         ¥0.3                         0.0                           0.1                     0.5                    0.7




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                                                                             Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 6 / Tuesday, January 10, 2017 / Notices                                               3027

                                                 Analyses of programs with terms                       and Agency Assistance (ACRA) using                     requesting disposition authority, this
                                               different from those presented above                    one of the following means:                            notice lists the organizational unit(s)
                                               may use a linear interpolation. For                        Mail: NARA (ACRA); 8601 Adelphi                     accumulating the records (or notes that
                                               example, a four-year project can be                     Road; College Park, MD 20740–6001.                     the schedule has agency-wide
                                               evaluated with a rate equal to the                         Email: request.schedule@nara.gov.                   applicability when schedules cover
                                               average of the three-year and five-year                    FAX: 301–837–3698.                                  records that may be accumulated
                                               rates. Programs with durations longer                      You must cite the control number,                   throughout an agency); provides the
                                               than 30 years may use the 30-year                       which appears in parentheses after the                 control number assigned to each
                                               interest rate.                                          name of the agency that submitted the                  schedule, the total number of schedule
                                               [FR Doc. 2017–00209 Filed 1–9–17; 8:45 am]              schedule, and a mailing address. If you                items, and the number of temporary
                                               BILLING CODE P
                                                                                                       would like an appraisal report, please                 items (the records proposed for
                                                                                                       include that in your request.                          destruction); and includes a brief
                                                                                                       FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                       description of the temporary records.
                                                                                                       Margaret Hawkins, Director, by mail at                 The records schedule itself contains a
                                               NATIONAL ARCHIVES AND RECORDS
                                                                                                       Records Appraisal and Agency                           full description of the records at the file
                                               ADMINISTRATION
                                                                                                       Assistance (ACRA); National Archives                   unit level as well as their disposition. If
                                               [NARA–2017–018]                                         and Records Administration; 8601                       NARA staff has prepared an appraisal
                                                                                                       Adelphi Road; College Park, MD 20740–                  memorandum for the schedule, it also
                                               Records Schedules; Availability and                     6001, by phone at 301–837–1799, or by                  includes information about the records.
                                               Request for Comments                                    email at request.schedule@nara.gov.                    You may request additional information
                                               AGENCY: National Archives and Records                                                                          about the disposition process at the
                                                                                                       SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Each year,
                                               Administration (NARA).                                                                                         addresses above.
                                                                                                       Federal agencies create billions of
                                               ACTION: Notice of availability of                       records on paper, film, magnetic tape,                 Schedules Pending
                                               proposed records schedules; request for                 and other media. To control this                          1. Department of the Army, Agency-
                                               comments.                                               accumulation, agency records managers                  wide (DAA–AU–2016–0063, 1 item, 1
                                                                                                       prepare schedules proposing records                    temporary item). Master files of an
                                               SUMMARY:   The National Archives and                    retention periods and submit these
                                               Records Administration (NARA)                                                                                  electronic information system used to
                                                                                                       schedules for NARA’s approval. These                   provide background data for safety and
                                               publishes notice at least once monthly                  schedules provide for timely transfer
                                               of certain Federal agency requests for                                                                         occupational health programs.
                                                                                                       into the National Archives of                             2. Department of Homeland Security,
                                               records disposition authority (records                  historically valuable records and
                                               schedules). Once approved by NARA,                                                                             Transportation Security Administration
                                                                                                       authorize the agency to dispose of all                 (DAA–0560–2017–0001, 1 item, 1
                                               records schedules provide mandatory                     other records after the agency no longer
                                               instructions on what happens to records                                                                        temporary item). Files related to
                                                                                                       needs them to conduct its business.                    employee requests for a change in duty
                                               when agencies no longer need them for                   Some schedules are comprehensive and
                                               current Government business. The                                                                               station due to a personal hardship.
                                                                                                       cover all the records of an agency or one                 3. Department of Homeland Security,
                                               records schedules authorize agencies to                 of its major subdivisions. Most                        United States Citizenship and
                                               preserve records of continuing value in                 schedules, however, cover records of                   Immigration Services (DAA–0566–
                                               the National Archives of the United                     only one office or program or a few                    2016–0021, 5 items, 5 temporary items).
                                               States and to destroy, after a specified                series of records. Many of these update                Applications for approval of potential
                                               period, records lacking administrative,                 previously approved schedules, and                     job-creating commercial enterprises that
                                               legal, research, or other value. NARA                   some include records proposed as                       immigrant investors may finance.
                                               publishes notice in the Federal Register                permanent.                                                4. Department of Homeland Security,
                                               for records schedules in which agencies                    The schedules listed in this notice are             United States Citizenship and
                                               propose to destroy records not                          media neutral unless otherwise                         Immigration Services (DAA–0566–
                                               previously authorized for disposal or                   specified. An item in a schedule is                    2016–0022, 8 items, 8 temporary items).
                                               reduce the retention period of records                  media neutral when an agency may                       Applications for a travel document to
                                               already authorized for disposal. NARA                   apply the disposition instructions to                  demonstrate to a commercial
                                               invites public comments on such                         records regardless of the medium in                    transportation carrier a permanent
                                               records schedules, as required by 44                    which it creates or maintains the                      resident’s eligibility to enter the United
                                               U.S.C. 3303a(a).                                        records. Items included in schedules                   States.
                                               DATES: NARA must receive requests for                   submitted to NARA on or after                             5. Department of Homeland Security,
                                               copies in writing by February 9, 2017.                  December 17, 2007, are media neutral                   United States Citizenship and
                                               Once NARA finishes appraising the                       unless the item is expressly limited to                Immigration Services (DAA–0566–
                                               records, we will send you a copy of the                 a specific medium. (See 36 CFR                         2017–0001, 9 items, 9 temporary items).
                                               schedule you requested. We usually                      1225.12(e).)                                           Petitions from large multinational
                                               prepare appraisal memoranda that                           Agencies may not destroy Federal                    corporations to be granted approval to
                                               contain additional information                          records without Archivist of the United                participate in a simplified process for
                                               concerning the records covered by a                     States’ approval. The Archivist approves               requesting visas for intra-company
                                               proposed schedule. You may also                         destruction only after thoroughly                      transfers of managers and professionals.
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                                               request these. If you do, we will also                  considering the records’ administrative                   6. Department of Justice, Federal
                                               provide them once we have completed                     use by the agency of origin, the rights                Bureau of Investigation (DAA–0065–
                                               the appraisal. You have 30 days after we                of the Government and of private people                2016–0002, 1 item, 1 temporary item).
                                               send to you these requested documents                   directly affected by the Government’s                  Master files of an electronic information
                                               in which to submit comments.                            activities, and whether or not the                     system used to track actions and results
                                               ADDRESSES: You may request a copy of                    records have historical or other value.                related to encounters between law
                                               any records schedule identified in this                    In addition to identifying the Federal              enforcement officials and known or
                                               notice by contacting Records Appraisal                  agencies and any subdivisions                          suspected terrorists, including


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Document Created: 2018-02-01 14:53:55
Document Modified: 2018-02-01 14:53:55
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
ActionRevisions to Appendix C of OMB Circular A-94.
DatesThe revised discount rates will be in effect through December 2017.
ContactGideon Lukens, Office of Economic Policy, Office of Management and Budget, (202) 395-3316.
FR Citation82 FR 3026 

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