82_FR_31136 82 FR 31009 - 2018-2020 Enterprise Housing Goals

82 FR 31009 - 2018-2020 Enterprise Housing Goals

FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE AGENCY

Federal Register Volume 82, Issue 127 (July 5, 2017)

Page Range31009-31030
FR Document2017-14039

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is issuing a proposed rule with request for comments on the housing goals for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) for 2018 through 2020. The Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992 (the Safety and Soundness Act) requires FHFA to establish annual housing goals for mortgages purchased by the Enterprises. The housing goals include separate categories for single-family and multifamily mortgages on housing that is affordable to low-income and very low- income families, among other categories. The existing housing goals for the Enterprises include benchmark levels for each housing goal through the end of 2017. This proposed rule would establish benchmark levels for each of the housing goals and subgoals for 2018 through 2020. In addition, the proposed rule would make a number of clarifying and conforming changes, including revisions to the requirements for the housing plan that an Enterprise may be required to submit in response to a failure to achieve one or more of the housing goals.

Federal Register, Volume 82 Issue 127 (Wednesday, July 5, 2017)
[Federal Register Volume 82, Number 127 (Wednesday, July 5, 2017)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 31009-31030]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2017-14039]


========================================================================
Proposed Rules
                                                Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________

This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains notices to the public of 
the proposed issuance of rules and regulations. The purpose of these 
notices is to give interested persons an opportunity to participate in 
the rule making prior to the adoption of the final rules.

========================================================================


Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / 
Proposed Rules

[[Page 31009]]



FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE AGENCY

12 CFR Part 1282

RIN 2590-AA81


2018-2020 Enterprise Housing Goals

AGENCY: Federal Housing Finance Agency.

ACTION: Proposed rule.

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SUMMARY: The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is issuing a 
proposed rule with request for comments on the housing goals for Fannie 
Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) for 2018 through 2020. The 
Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act of 1992 
(the Safety and Soundness Act) requires FHFA to establish annual 
housing goals for mortgages purchased by the Enterprises. The housing 
goals include separate categories for single-family and multifamily 
mortgages on housing that is affordable to low-income and very low-
income families, among other categories.
    The existing housing goals for the Enterprises include benchmark 
levels for each housing goal through the end of 2017. This proposed 
rule would establish benchmark levels for each of the housing goals and 
subgoals for 2018 through 2020. In addition, the proposed rule would 
make a number of clarifying and conforming changes, including revisions 
to the requirements for the housing plan that an Enterprise may be 
required to submit in response to a failure to achieve one or more of 
the housing goals.

DATES: FHFA will accept written comments on the proposed rule on or 
before September 5, 2017.

ADDRESSES: You may submit your comments on the proposed rule, 
identified by regulatory information number (RIN) 2590-AA81, by any one 
of the following methods:
     Agency Web site: www.fhfa.gov/open-for-comment-or-input.
     Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://www.regulations.gov. 
Follow the instructions for submitting comments. If you submit your 
comment to the Federal eRulemaking Portal, please also send it by email 
to FHFA at [email protected] to ensure timely receipt by FHFA. 
Include the following information in the subject line of your 
submission: Comments/RIN 2590-AA81.
     Hand Delivered/Courier: The hand delivery address is: 
Alfred M. Pollard, General Counsel, Attention: Comments/RIN 2590-AA81, 
Federal Housing Finance Agency, Eighth Floor, 400 Seventh Street SW., 
Washington, DC 20219. Deliver the package at the Seventh Street 
entrance Guard Desk, First Floor, on business days between 9 a.m. and 5 
p.m.
     U.S. Mail, United Parcel Service, Federal Express, or 
Other Mail Service: The mailing address for comments is: Alfred M. 
Pollard, General Counsel, Attention: Comments/RIN 2590-AA81, Federal 
Housing Finance Agency, Eighth Floor, 400 Seventh Street SW., 
Washington, DC 20219. Please note that all mail sent to FHFA via U.S. 
Mail is routed through a national irradiation facility, a process that 
may delay delivery by approximately two weeks.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ted Wartell, Manager, Housing & 
Community Investment, Division of Housing Mission and Goals, at (202) 
649-3157. This is not a toll-free number. The mailing address is: 
Federal Housing Finance Agency, 400 Seventh Street SW., Washington, DC 
20219. The telephone number for the Telecommunications Device for the 
Deaf is (800) 877-8339.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: 

I. Comments

    FHFA invites comments on all aspects of the proposed rule and will 
take all comments into consideration before issuing the final rule. 
Copies of all comments will be posted without change, including any 
personal information you provide such as your name, address, email 
address, and telephone number, on the FHFA Web site at http://www.fhfa.gov. In addition, copies of all comments received will be 
available for examination by the public on business days between the 
hours of 10 a.m. and 3 p.m., at the Federal Housing Finance Agency, 400 
Seventh Street SW., Washington, DC 20219. To make an appointment to 
inspect comments, please call the Office of General Counsel at (202) 
649-3804.
    Commenters are encouraged to review and comment on all aspects of 
the proposed rule, including the single-family benchmark levels, the 
multifamily benchmark levels, and other changes to the regulation.

II. Background

A. Statutory and Regulatory Background for the Existing Housing Goals

    The Safety and Soundness Act requires FHFA to establish annual 
housing goals for several categories of both single-family and 
multifamily mortgages purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.\1\ The 
annual housing goals are one measure of the extent to which the 
Enterprises are meeting their public purposes, which include ``an 
affirmative obligation to facilitate the financing of affordable 
housing for low- and moderate-income families in a manner consistent 
with their overall public purposes, while maintaining a strong 
financial condition and a reasonable economic return.'' \2\
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    \1\ See 12 U.S.C. 4561(a).
    \2\ See 12 U.S.C. 4501(7).
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    The housing goals provisions of the Safety and Soundness Act were 
substantially revised in 2008 with the enactment of the Housing and 
Economic Recovery Act, which amended the Safety and Soundness Act.\3\ 
Under this revised structure, FHFA established housing goals for the 
Enterprises for 2010 and 2011 in a final rule published on September 
14, 2010.\4\ FHFA established housing goals levels for the Enterprises 
for 2012 through 2014 in a final rule published on November 13, 
2012.\5\ In a final rule published on September 3, 2015, FHFA announced 
the housing goals for the Enterprises for 2015 through 2017, including 
a new small multifamily low-income housing subgoal.\6\
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    \3\ Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008, Pub. L. 110-289, 
122 Stat. 2654 (July 30, 2008).
    \4\ See 75 FR 55892.
    \5\ See 77 FR 67535.
    \6\ See 80 FR 53392.
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    Single-family goals. The single-family goals defined under the 
Safety and Soundness Act include separate categories for home purchase 
mortgages for low-income families, very low-income families, and 
families that reside

[[Page 31010]]

in low-income areas. Performance on the single-family home purchase 
goals is measured as the percentage of the total home purchase 
mortgages purchased by an Enterprise each year that qualify for each 
goal or subgoal. There is also a separate goal for refinancing 
mortgages for low-income families, and performance on the refinancing 
goal is determined in a similar way.
    Under the Safety and Soundness Act, the single-family housing goals 
are limited to mortgages on owner-occupied housing with one to four 
units total. The single-family goals cover conventional, conforming 
mortgages, defined as mortgages that are not insured or guaranteed by 
the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) or another government agency 
and with principal balances that do not exceed the loan limits for 
Enterprise mortgages.
    Two-part approach. The performance of the Enterprises on the 
housing goals is evaluated using a two-part approach, which compares 
the goal-qualifying share of the Enterprise's mortgage purchases to two 
separate measures: A benchmark level and a market level. FHFA 
considered alternatives to this method in the 2015-2017 housing goals 
rulemaking and determined that the two-part approach continued to be 
the most appropriate method for evaluating performance on the single-
family goals. FHFA is proposing to continue that approach in this rule.
    In order to meet a single-family housing goal or subgoal, the 
percentage of mortgage purchases by an Enterprise that meet each goal 
or subgoal must exceed either the benchmark level or the market level 
for that year. The benchmark level is set prospectively by rulemaking 
based on various factors, including FHFA's forecast of the goal-
qualifying share of the overall market. The market level is determined 
retrospectively each year, based on the actual goal-qualifying share of 
the overall market as measured by FHFA based on Home Mortgage 
Disclosure Act (HMDA) data for that year. The overall mortgage market 
that FHFA uses for both the prospective market forecasts and the 
retrospective market measurement consists of all single-family owner-
occupied conventional conforming mortgages that would be eligible for 
purchase by either Enterprise. It includes loans actually purchased by 
the Enterprises as well as comparable loans held in a lender's 
portfolio. It also includes comparable loans that are part of a private 
label security (PLS), although very few such securities have been 
issued for conventional conforming mortgages since 2008.
    While both the benchmark and the retrospective market measure are 
designed to measure the current year's mortgage originations, the 
performance of the Enterprises on the housing goals includes all 
Enterprise purchases in that year, regardless of the year in which the 
loan was originated. This provides housing goals credit when the 
Enterprises acquire qualified seasoned loans. (Seasoned loans are loans 
that were originated in prior years and acquired by the Enterprise in 
the current year.) The Enterprises' acquisition of seasoned loans 
provides an important source of liquidity for this market segment.
    Recent changes to the HMDA regulations will result in the HMDA data 
covering a greater portion of the single-family mortgage market.\7\ The 
changes will also provide more detailed information about the loans 
included in the HMDA data. The changes to the HMDA regulations 
generally take effect at the start of 2018, so the new, more detailed 
information will not be available until after the 2018 performance 
year.
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    \7\ See Home Mortgage Disclosure Act final rule, 80 FR 66128 
(Oct. 28, 2015).
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    For example, the Enterprise housing goals currently count all loans 
purchased by an Enterprise with original principal balances that are 
within the conforming loan limits. The conforming loan limits are 
different for single-family properties depending on the number of units 
in the property. However, the definition of the retrospective market 
excludes all loans with original principal balances above the 
conforming loan limits for single unit properties because the current 
HMDA data do not identify the number of units for each loan. Starting 
with the new HMDA data reported, it will be possible to identify the 
number of units for each loan. This may allow FHFA to revise the 
definition of the retrospective market to exclude only those loans 
above the conforming loan limits applicable to the size of the 
property, instead of excluding all loans above the conforming loan 
limit applicable to a single unit property.
    FHFA has considered the possible impact that certain changes to the 
HMDA regulations may have on the Enterprise housing goals. However, at 
this time the impact that such changes might have on the retrospective 
measure of the market is uncertain. FHFA is not proposing to make any 
changes to the Enterprise housing goals in anticipation of the upcoming 
changes to the HMDA data. FHFA will assess the impact of the changes 
and, if necessary, may propose changes to the housing goals regulation 
at a later date.
    Multifamily goals. The multifamily goals defined under the Safety 
and Soundness Act include separate categories for mortgages on 
multifamily properties (properties with five or more units) with rental 
units affordable to low-income families and on multifamily properties 
with rental units affordable to very low-income families, as well as a 
small multifamily low-income subgoal for properties with 5-50 units. 
The multifamily goals established by FHFA in 2010, 2012, and 2015 
evaluated the performance of the Enterprises based on numeric targets, 
not percentages, for the number of affordable units in properties 
backed by mortgages purchased by an Enterprise. FHFA has not 
established a retrospective market level measure for the multifamily 
goals and subgoals, due in part to a lack of comprehensive data about 
the multifamily market such as that provided by HMDA for single-family 
mortgages. As a result, FHFA currently measures Enterprise multifamily 
goals performance against the benchmark levels only. The expanded HMDA 
fields that will be available for the 2018 performance year are 
expected to include information on the number of units for each 
multifamily loan and should be helpful in evaluating performance for 
this market segment.

B. Adjusting the Housing Goals

    Under the housing goals regulation first established by FHFA in 
2010, as well as under this proposed rule, FHFA may reduce the 
benchmark levels for any of the single-family or multifamily housing 
goals in a particular year without going through notice and comment 
rulemaking based on a determination by FHFA that (1) market and 
economic conditions or the financial condition of the Enterprise 
require a reduction, or (2) ``efforts to meet the goal or subgoal would 
result in the constraint of liquidity, over-investment in certain 
market segments, or other consequences contrary to the intent of the 
Safety and Soundness Act or the purposes of the Charter Acts.'' \8\ The 
proposal also takes into account the possibility that achievement of a 
particular housing goal may or may not have been feasible for the 
Enterprise. If FHFA determines that a housing goal was not feasible for 
the Enterprise to achieve, then the regulation provides for no further 
enforcement of that housing goal for that year.\9\
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    \8\ 12 CFR 1282.14(d).
    \9\ 12 CFR 1282.21(a).

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[[Page 31011]]

    If, after publication of a final rule establishing the housing 
goals for 2018 through 2020, FHFA determines that any of the single-
family or multifamily housing goals should be adjusted in light of 
market conditions, to ensure the safety and soundness of the 
Enterprises, or for any other reason, FHFA will take steps as necessary 
and appropriate to adjust that goal. Such steps could include adjusting 
the benchmark levels through the processes in the existing regulation 
or establishing revised housing goal levels through notice and comment 
rulemaking.

C. Housing Goals Under Conservatorship

    On September 6, 2008, FHFA placed each Enterprise into 
conservatorship. Although the Enterprises remain in conservatorship at 
this time, they continue to have the mission of supporting a stable and 
liquid national market for residential mortgage financing. FHFA has 
continued to establish annual housing goals for the Enterprises and to 
assess their performance under the housing goals each year during 
conservatorship.

III. Summary of Proposed Rule

A. Benchmark Levels for the Single-Family Housing Goals

    This proposed rule would establish the benchmark levels for the 
single-family housing goals and subgoal for 2018-2020 as follows:

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                 Current  benchmark        Proposed  benchmark
                Goal                         Criteria           level for  2015-2017      level for  2018-2020
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low-Income Home Purchase Goal.......  Home purchase           24 percent..............  24 percent.
                                       mortgages on single-
                                       family, owner-
                                       occupied properties
                                       with borrowers with
                                       incomes no greater
                                       than 80 percent of
                                       area median income.
Very Low-Income Home Purchase Goal..  Home purchase           6 percent...............  6 percent.
                                       mortgages on single-
                                       family, owner-
                                       occupied properties
                                       with borrowers with
                                       incomes no greater
                                       than 50 percent of
                                       area median income.
Low-Income Areas Home Purchase        Home purchase
 Subgoal.                              mortgages on single-
                                       family, owner-
                                       occupied properties
                                       with:
                                       Borrowers in   14 percent..............  15 percent.
                                       census tracts with
                                       tract median income
                                       of no greater than 80
                                       percent of area
                                       median income; or
                                       Borrowers
                                       with income no
                                       greater than 100
                                       percent of area
                                       median income in
                                       census tracts where
                                       (i) tract income is
                                       less than 100 percent
                                       of area median
                                       income, and (ii)
                                       minorities comprise
                                       at least 30 percent
                                       of the tract
                                       population.
Low-Income Refinancing Goal.........  Refinancing mortgages   21 percent..............  21 percent.
                                       on single-family,
                                       owner-occupied
                                       properties with
                                       borrowers with
                                       incomes no greater
                                       than 80 percent of
                                       area median income.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

B. Multifamily Housing Goal Levels

    The proposed rule would establish the levels for the multifamily 
goal and subgoals for 2018-2020 as follows:

 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                            Current goal level for      Proposed goal level for
               Goal                       Criteria                   2017                      2018-2020
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Low-Income Goal...................  Units affordable to   300,000 units.............  315,000 units.
                                     families with
                                     incomes no greater
                                     than 80 percent of
                                     area median income
                                     in multifamily
                                     rental properties
                                     with mortgages
                                     purchased by an
                                     Enterprise.
Very Low-Income Subgoal...........  Units affordable to   60,000 units..............  60,000 units.
                                     families with
                                     incomes no greater
                                     than 50 percent of
                                     area median income
                                     in multifamily
                                     rental properties
                                     with mortgages
                                     purchased by an
                                     Enterprise.
Low-Income Small Multifamily        Units affordable to   10,000 units..............  10,000 units.
 Subgoal.                            families with
                                     incomes no greater
                                     than 80 percent of
                                     area median income
                                     in small
                                     multifamily rental
                                     properties (5 to 50
                                     units) with
                                     mortgages purchased
                                     by an Enterprise.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C. Other Proposed Changes

    The proposed rule would make changes and clarifications to the 
existing rules, including minor technical changes to some regulatory 
definitions. The proposed rule also would revise the requirements 
applicable to the housing plan an Enterprise may be required to submit 
based on a failure to achieve one or more of the housing goals.

IV. Single-Family Housing Goals

    This proposed rule sets out FHFA's views about benchmark levels for 
the single-family housing goals from 2018-2020. In making this 
proposal, FHFA has considered the required statutory factors described 
below. FHFA's analysis and goal setting process includes developing 
market forecast models for each of the single-family housing goals, as 
well as considering a number of other variables that impact affordable 
homeownership. Many of these variables indicate that low-income and 
very low-income households are facing, and will continue to face, 
difficulties in achieving homeownership or in refinancing an existing 
mortgage. These factors, such as rising property values and stagnant 
household incomes, also impact the Enterprises' ability to meet their 
mission and facilitate

[[Page 31012]]

affordable homeownership for low-income and very low-income households. 
Nevertheless, FHFA expects and encourages the Enterprises to work 
toward meeting their housing goal requirements in a safe and sound 
manner. This may include steps the Enterprises take to fulfill FHFA's 
access to credit expectations expressed in the most recent 
Conservatorship Scorecard, which requires the Enterprises to undertake 
a number of research and related efforts including the development of 
pilots and initiatives.\10\
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    \10\ See 2017 Scorecard for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Common 
Securitization Solutions, December 2016, available at https://www.fhfa.gov/AboutUs/Reports/ReportDocuments/2017-Scorecard-for-Fannie-Mae-Freddie-Mac-and-CSS.pdf.
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A. Setting the Single-Family Housing Goal Levels

    FHFA process for setting the single-family benchmark levels. 
Section 1332(e)(2) of the Safety and Soundness Act requires FHFA to 
consider the following seven factors in setting the single-family 
housing goals:
    1. National housing needs;
    2. Economic, housing, and demographic conditions, including 
expected market developments;
    3. The performance and effort of the Enterprises toward achieving 
the housing goals in previous years;
    4. The ability of the Enterprises to lead the industry in making 
mortgage credit available;
    5. Such other reliable mortgage data as may be available;
    6. The size of the purchase money conventional mortgage market, or 
refinance conventional mortgage market, as applicable, serving each of 
the types of families described, relative to the size of the overall 
purchase money mortgage market or the overall refinance mortgage 
market, respectively; and
    7. The need to maintain the sound financial condition of the 
Enterprises.\11\
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    \11\ 12 U.S.C. 4562(e)(2).
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    FHFA has considered each of these seven statutory factors in 
setting the proposed benchmark levels for each of the single-family 
housing goals and subgoal.
    Recognizing that some of the factors required by statute to be 
considered can be readily captured using reliable data series while 
others cannot, FHFA implemented the following approach: FHFA's 
statistical market models considered factors that are captured through 
well-known and established data series and these are then used to 
generate a point forecast for each goal as well as a confidence 
interval for the point forecast. FHFA then considered the remaining 
statutory factors, as well as other relevant policy factors, in 
selecting the specific point forecast within the confidence interval as 
the proposed benchmark level. FHFA's market forecast models incorporate 
four of the seven statutory factors: national housing needs; economic, 
housing, and demographic conditions; other reliable mortgage data; and 
the size of the purchase money conventional mortgage market or 
refinance conventional mortgage market for each single-family housing 
goal. The market forecast models generate a point estimate, as well as 
a confidence interval. FHFA then considered the remaining three 
statutory factors (historical performance and effort of the Enterprises 
toward achieving the housing goal; ability of the Enterprises to lead 
the industry in making mortgage credit available; and need to maintain 
the sound financial condition of the Enterprises), as well as other 
relevant policy factors in selecting the specific point forecast within 
the confidence interval as the proposed benchmark level for the goal 
period.
    Market forecast models. The purpose of FHFA's market forecast 
models is to forecast the market share of the goal-qualifying mortgage 
originations in the market for the 2018-2020 period. The models are 
intended to generate reliable forecasts rather than to test various 
economic hypotheses about the housing market or to explain the 
relationship between variables. Following standard practice among 
forecasters and economists at other federal agencies, FHFA estimated a 
reduced-form equation for each of the housing goals and fit an 
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (or ARIMA) model to each goal 
share. The models look at the statistical relationship between (a) the 
historical market share for each single-family housing goal or subgoal, 
as calculated from monthly HMDA data, and (b) the historical values for 
various factors that may influence the market shares, e.g. interest 
rates, inflation, house prices, home sales, the unemployment rate, and 
other factors. The models then project the future value of the 
affordable market share using forecast values of the model inputs. 
Separate models were developed for each of the single-family housing 
goals and subgoals.
    FHFA has employed similar models in past housing goals rulemakings 
to generate market forecasts. The models were developed using monthly 
series generated from HMDA and other data sources, and the resulting 
monthly forecasts were then averaged into an annual forecast for each 
of the three years in the goal period. The models rely on 12 years of 
HMDA data, from 2004 to 2015, the latest year for which HMDA data are 
available. Additional discussion of the market forecast models can be 
found in a research paper, available at http://www.fhfa.gov/PolicyProgramsResearch/Research/.\12\
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    \12\ Details on FHFA's single-family market models will be 
available in the technical paper ``The Size of the Affordable 
Mortgage Market: 2018-2020 Enterprise Single-Family Housing Goals.''
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    In the final rule establishing the housing goals for 2015-2017, 
FHFA stated that it would engage directly with commenters to obtain 
detailed feedback on FHFA's econometric models for the housing goals. 
Throughout 2016, FHFA met with industry modeling experts about 
potential improvements to the econometric models. Considering input 
received, FHFA has revised the market forecast models to include better 
specifications and new variables for all goal-qualifying shares, while 
still following and adhering to generally accepted practices and 
standards adopted by economists, including those at other federal 
agencies. During the model development process, FHFA grouped factors 
that are expected by housing market economists to have an impact on the 
market share of affordable housing into seven broad categories. For 
each category of variables, many variables were tested but only 
retained when they exhibited predictive power. The new set of models 
includes new driver variables that reflect factors that impact the 
affordable housing market--for example, household debt service ratio, 
labor force participation rate, and underwriting standards.
    As is the case with any forecasting model, the accuracy of the 
forecast will vary depending on the accuracy of the inputs to the model 
and the length of the forecast period. FHFA has attempted to minimize 
the first variable by using third party forecasts published by Moody's 
and other accredited mortgage market forecasters. The second variable 
is harder to address. The proposed rule relies on the most up-to-date 
data available as of December 2016, and uses forecasted input values 
for 2017 to produce the forecasts for 2018-2020. The confidence 
intervals for the benchmark levels become wider as the forecast period 
lengthens. In other words, it becomes more likely that the actual 
market levels will be different from the forecasts the farther into the 
future the forecasts attempt to make predictions. Predicting four years 
out is not the usual practice in forecasting. A number of industry 
forecasters, including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac,

[[Page 31013]]

and the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), do not publish forecasts 
beyond two years because accuracy of forecasts decreases substantially 
beyond a two year period.
    Market outlook. There are many factors that impact the affordable 
housing market as a whole, and changes to any one of them may 
significantly impact the ability of the Enterprises to meet the goals. 
In developing our market models, FHFA used Moody's forecasts, where 
available, as the source for macroeconomic variables.\13\ In cases 
where Moody's forecasts were not available (for example, the share of 
government-guaranteed home purchases and the share of government-
guaranteed refinances), FHFA generated and tested its own 
forecasts.\14\ Elements that impact the models and the determination of 
benchmark levels are discussed below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \13\ The macroeconomic outlook described here is based on 
Moody's and other forecasts as of September 2016.
    \14\ This refers to the mortgages insured/guaranteed by 
government agencies such as the FHA, Department of Veterans Affairs 
(VA), and the Rural Housing Service (RHS).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Interest rates are arguably one of the most important variables in 
determining the trajectory of the mortgage market. The Federal Reserve 
launched its interest rate normalization process in December 2015 with 
a 0.25-percentage point increase. At the July 2016 meeting of the 
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), policymakers indicated their 
commitment to a low federal funds rate for the time being, signaling a 
pause in the interest rate normalization path. However, there is broad 
consensus among economists that the Federal Reserve will resume rate 
hikes if the economy performs as expected. Based on Moody's January 
2017 forecast, mortgage interest rates--in particular the 30-year fixed 
rate, which is closely tied to the federal funds rate and the 10-year 
Treasury note yield--are projected to rise gradually from the current 
historic low of 3.6 percent in 2016 to 5.5 percent by 2020.
    The unemployment rate has steadily fallen over the last few years 
and according to Moody's is expected to remain at 4.7 percent over the 
next four years, given expected growth of the economy at the modest 
range of 1.5 to 2.9 percent per year (January 2017 forecast). Moody's 
also forecasts a modest increase in per capita disposable nominal 
income growth--from $43,100 in 2016 to $50,300 in 2020. Moody's 
estimates that the inflation rate will remain flat at 2.0 percent 
throughout the same period, although this also depends on Federal 
Reserve policy.
    Industry analysts generally expect the overall housing market to 
continue its recovery, although the growth of house prices may slow 
down, assuming continued increases in interest rates. According to 
Moody's forecast (as of January 2017) based on FHFA's purchase-only 
House Price Index (HPI), house prices are expected to increase at the 
annual rates of 3.9, 1.8, and 2.0 percent in 2018, 2019, and 2020, 
respectively.
    The expected increase in mortgage interest rates and house prices 
will likely impact the ability of low- and very low-income households 
to purchase homes. Housing affordability, as measured by Moody's 
forecast of the National Association of Realtors' Housing Affordability 
Index, is projected to decline from an index value of 162.2 in 2016 to 
152.5 in 2020. Low interest rates coupled with rising house prices 
usually create incentives for homeowners to refinance, and the 
refinance share of overall mortgage originations increased from 39.9 
percent in 2014 to 50 percent in 2016. However, assuming that interest 
rates rise in the near future, the refinance rate is expected to fall 
below 21.4 percent by 2019, according to the Moody's forecast.
    Additional factors reflecting affordability challenges in the 
single-family market. While FHFA's models can address and forecast many 
of the statutory factors that can make affordability for single-family 
homeownership more challenging for low-income and very low-income 
households, including increasing interest rates and rising property 
values, some factors are not captured in the models. FHFA, therefore, 
considers additional factors when selecting the benchmark point within 
the model-generated confidence interval for each of the single-family 
housing goals. Some of these factors may affect a subset of the market 
rather than the market as a whole. Some of these additional factors 
include an uneven economic recovery, stagnant wages even where 
unemployment is decreasing, demographic trends, and the Enterprises' 
share of the mortgage market. Variability in these factors can also 
have substantial impacts on the ability of the Enterprises to meet 
housing goals. Consequently, as discussed further below, FHFA will 
carefully monitor these factors and consider the potential impact of 
market shifts or larger trends on the ability of the Enterprises to 
achieve the housing goals.
    Throughout 2016, the economy and the housing market continued to 
recover from the financial crisis, but the recovery has been uneven 
across the country. In some areas, economic growth, job gains, and 
demand are outpacing housing supply, sparking rapidly rising property 
values, while other areas of the country have not regained pre-crisis 
home values and are not projected to do so in the near future.
    Trends in factors such as area median income (AMI) point to an 
uneven recovery. FHFA uses census-tract level AMIs published by the 
U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) to determine 
affordability for the Enterprise single-family and multifamily mortgage 
acquisitions. AMI is a measure of median family income derived from the 
Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS). Since the 1990s, AMIs 
have been used widely by HUD, state housing finance agencies, the 
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), the U.S. Department of 
Treasury, and local governments across the nation to determine 
eligibility for various affordable housing and public assistance 
programs. The HUD-published AMIs are considered the standard benchmark 
in the affordable housing industry. HUD changed the methodology for 
determining AMIs in 2015 because of changes in the Census Bureau's data 
collection methodology and changes in the reporting schedules of the 
ACS data.
    AMI shifts reflect changes in borrower income levels at the census 
tract level. In general, a decrease in an area's AMI represents a 
decline in housing affordability in the area because the households 
will have relatively less income with which to purchase a home where 
property values have either remained the same or increased during the 
same time period.\15\ This can make it more challenging for the 
Enterprises to meet the housing goals. Conversely, increases in AMIs 
would make it easier for the Enterprises to meet the housing goals. 
Overall, while there are annual fluctuations in AMI, the trends over a 
longer period (for instance, over four years) indicate that the economy 
is recovering, albeit in an uneven manner. For instance, from 2014 to 
2016, over 80 percent of census tracts experienced an AMI increase. 
Over the four-year period from 2012 to 2016, AMI increased in about 51 
percent of census tracts. This unevenness of the economic recovery is 
particularly evident geographically. For instance, the census tracts 
that experienced more than a 10 percent

[[Page 31014]]

decline in AMIs in 2016 are concentrated in the southern and midwestern 
regions of the country.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \15\ The supply of single-family homes at the more affordable 
end of the market also impacts a low-income or very low-income 
household's ability to purchase a home. See The State of the 
Nation's Housing 2017, Joint Center on Housing Studies, June 2017.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In addition to the uneven recovery reflected in changing AMI 
levels, many households have experienced stagnant wages or limited wage 
growth even though unemployment levels have decreased significantly 
since the peak of the financial crisis. Data released by the U.S. 
Census Bureau last year for the most recent year available reflected 
that while median household income increased by 5.2 percent in 2015, 
the first annual increase in median household income since 2007, median 
wages remained 1.6 percent lower than the median in 2007, the year 
before the most recent recession, and 2.4 percent lower than the median 
household income peak that occurred in 1999.\16\ Constrained wages, in 
addition to rising interest rates and increasing property values, could 
make it difficult for many low-income and very low-income households to 
achieve homeownership.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \16\ See Income and Poverty in the United States: 2015, United 
States Census Bureau, September 2016 https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2016/demo/p60-256.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Demographic changes, such as the housing patterns of millennials or 
the growth of minority households, also reflect challenges in the 
affordable homeownership market. The homeownership rate among 
millennials is lower than other demographic groups, but household 
formation will likely increase as this group ages. However, many 
millennials will face multiple challenges, including difficulty finding 
affordable homes to buy and building enough wealth for a down payment 
and closing costs, particularly in light of student loan and other debt 
burdens. In addition, another continuing demographic trend is the 
growth of minority households, which is projected to be over 70 percent 
of net household growth through 2025.\17\ In light of the fact that the 
median net worth of minority households has been historically low, 
building the necessary wealth to meet down payment and closing costs 
will likely also be a challenge for many of these new households. FHFA 
is committed to identifying new market conditions and challenges and 
working with the Enterprises to identify solutions to help meet these 
challenges. The effectiveness of these solutions, however, cannot be 
accounted for in a model.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \17\ Daniel McCue, Christopher Herbert, Working Paper: Updated 
Household Projections, 2015-2035: Methodology and Results, Harvard 
Joint Center for Housing Studies, December 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Another factor that can affect the Enterprises' ability to support 
affordable homeownership for low-income and very low-income households 
is the Enterprises' overall share of the mortgage market. The 
Enterprises' share of the market is continually subject to fluctuation. 
During the mortgage market bubble, the Enterprises' share of the market 
dropped to about 46 percent in the last quarter of 2005. The other 
significant low point occurred in 2008, when the Enterprises' 
acquisitions accounted for less than 45 percent of the mortgage market. 
Since then, the Enterprises' share has risen overall but declined 
slightly in recent years, accounting for about 52 percent of the market 
in 2015. As shown in Graph 1, over the same time period, the total 
government share of the mortgage market (including FHA, VA, and RHS) 
has been expanding. In 2015, the total government share accounted for 
28 percent of overall mortgage originations, up from 24 percent in 
2014. This is likely an impact of the FHA mortgage insurance premium 
reduction announced in January 2015. As seen in Graph 1, the increase 
in government share came from decreases in the other two segments.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP05JY17.010


[[Page 31015]]


    Both Enterprises' charter acts require that all mortgages the 
Enterprises acquire have mortgage insurance (or one of the other forms 
of credit enhancement specified in the charter acts) if the loan-to-
value (LTV) ratio for the loan at acquisition is greater than 80 
percent. Private mortgage insurance rates are dependent on 
characteristics of the mortgage such as loan term, type of mortgage 
(purchase, type of refinance), LTV ratio, and credit score of the 
borrower. Lenders may also be able to negotiate and obtain lower 
private mortgage insurance directly from the mortgage insurer. 
Therefore, for certain market segments, the choice between government 
mortgage insurance or private mortgage insurance depends on the net 
impact of these factors.
    In recent years private mortgage insurance rates have increased 
relative to government mortgage insurance rates, but the increase has 
not been uniform across the credit score and LTV spectrum. Changes in 
the mortgage insurance market can impact the cost of mortgage insurance 
and, consequently, may influence whether the mortgage is originated 
with private mortgage insurance or with FHA insurance. For example, FHA 
decreased its rates for mortgage insurance from 1.35 percent to 0.85 
percent in January 2015. If FHA decreased or increased its mortgage 
insurance premiums, it would be reasonable to expect further shifts in 
the market that would not be uniform across the credit score and LTV 
spectrum. Reductions in the FHA insurance premium are likely to have 
two impacts on the conforming segment of the market: (1) The 
substitution effect--some borrowers will switch from private mortgage 
insurance to FHA insurance due to the lower premium rate; and (2) the 
expanded homeownership effect--new borrowers, especially those with 
lower credit scores seeking higher LTV loans, will enter the mortgage 
market because they are now able to meet the debt-to-income threshold 
due to the lower monthly mortgage payment. Analysis conducted by 
Federal Reserve Board staff indicates that both effects existed after 
the last FHA reduction.\18\ Increases in FHA premiums would likely 
result in reverse shifts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \18\ Bhutta, Neil and Ringo, Daniel (2016). ``Changing FHA 
Mortgage Insurance Premiums and the Effects on Lending,'' FEDS 
Notes. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 
September 29, 2016, http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1843.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As discussed above, multiple factors impact the Enterprises' 
ability to meet their mission and support affordable homeownership 
through the housing finance market. Nevertheless, FHFA expects the 
Enterprises to continue efforts in a safe and sound manner to support 
affordable homeownership under the single-family housing goals 
categories.

B. Proposed Single-Family Benchmark Levels

1. Low-Income Home Purchase Goal
    The low-income home purchase goal is based on the percentage of all 
single-family, owner-occupied home purchase mortgages purchased by an 
Enterprise that are for low-income families, defined as families with 
incomes less than or equal to 80 percent of AMI. The proposed rule 
would set the annual low-income home purchase housing goal benchmark 
level for 2018-2020 at 24 percent, the same as the current 2015-2017 
benchmark level. FHFA believes that, despite the various challenges to 
affordability highlighted above, the Enterprises will be able to take 
steps to maintain or increase their performance on this goal.

                                                    Table 1--Enterprise Low-Income Home Purchase Goal
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                Historical performance                               Projected performance
                      Year                       -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                      2013         2014         2015         2016         2017         2018         2019         2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Actual Market...................................        24.0%        22.8%        23.6%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Benchmark.......................................          23%          23%          24%          24%          24%  ...........  ...........  ...........
Current Market Forecast.........................  ...........  ...........  ...........        23.9%        24.9%        25.5%        24.0%        23.0%
                                                  ...........  ...........  ...........      +/-2.5%      +/-4.3%      +/-5.6%      +/-6.6%      +/-7.4%
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Low-Income Home Purchase Mortgages..........      193,712      177,846      188,891      221,249  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages...............      814,137      757,870      802,432      964,847  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income % of Home Purchase Mortgages.....        23.8%        23.5%        23.5%        22.9%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Low-Income Home Purchase Mortgages..........       93,478      108,948      129,455      153,435  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages...............      429,158      519,731      579,340      644,991  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income % of Home Purchase Mortgages.....        21.8%        21.0%        22.3%        23.8%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As shown in Table 1, performance at both Enterprises has fallen 
short of the market in the low-income purchase goal almost every year 
since 2013 (with the exception of Fannie Mae in 2014), although the 
Enterprises have sometimes missed the market look-back goal only by 
one- or two-tenths of a percentage point. Performance at both 
Enterprises fell short of both the benchmark and the market level in 
2015. The past performance of the Enterprises indicates that it has 
been difficult for the Enterprises to consistently lead this market 
segment in making credit available.
    From 2013 to 2014, the low-income home purchase market decreased 
from

[[Page 31016]]

24.0 percent to 22.8 percent. In 2015, the actual market rebounded to 
23.6 percent. FHFA's current model forecasts that the market for this 
goal will increase slightly to 23.9 percent in 2016 and then to 24.9 
percent in 2017. (Actual market levels for 2016 will not be available 
until HMDA data are published in September 2017.) Although the 
Enterprises have been challenged in meeting the percentage single-
family housing goal levels in recent years, FHFA notes that each 
Enterprise has increased the number of single-family home purchase 
loans made to low-income households. Fannie Mae's eligible single-
family loan purchases increased from 193,712 loans in 2013 to 221,249 
in 2016. Freddie Mac's eligible single-family loan purchases increased 
from 93,478 in 2013 to 153,435 in 2016.
    From 2018 to 2020, the proposed goals period, the current forecast 
peaks at 25.5 percent in 2018, before decreasing to 24.0 percent in 
2019 and 23.0 percent in 2020. The average of these projections is 24.1 
percent. This forecast is based on the latest data available and will 
be updated before the release of the final housing goals rule. The 
confidence intervals for the 2018-2020 goal period are wide, but they 
will narrow before the final rule is published.
    FHFA is proposing a benchmark level for the low-income home 
purchase housing goal that is close to the market forecast, to 
encourage the Enterprises to continue to find ways to support lower 
income borrowers while not compromising safe and sound lending 
standards. FHFA notes that the proposed benchmark is close to the 
average of its market forecast for this goal. FHFA recognizes that 
there may be challenges to meeting this goal, including uneven growth 
in AMI and the relative affordability of private mortgage insurance, 
that may be beyond the control of the Enterprises and impact their 
ability to achieve these goals. FHFA will continue to monitor the 
Enterprises, both as regulator and as conservator, and if FHFA 
determines in later years that the benchmark level for the low-income 
home purchase housing goal is no longer feasible for the Enterprises to 
achieve in light of market conditions or for any other reason, FHFA can 
take appropriate steps to adjust the benchmark level.
2. Very Low-Income Home Purchase Goal
    The very low-income home purchase goal is based on the percentage 
of all single-family, owner-occupied home purchase mortgages purchased 
by an Enterprise that are for very low-income families, defined as 
families with incomes less than or equal to 50 percent of the area 
median income. The proposed rule would set the annual very low-income 
home purchase housing goal benchmark level for 2018 through 2020 at 6 
percent, also unchanged from the current 2015 to 2017 benchmark level.

                                                       Table 2--Very Low-Income Home Purchase Goal
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                Historical performance                               Projected performance
                      Year                       -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                      2013         2014         2015         2016         2017         2018         2019         2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Actual Market...................................         6.3%         5.7%         5.8%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Benchmark.......................................           7%           7%           6%           6%           6%  ...........  ...........  ...........
Current Market Forecast.........................  ...........  ...........  ...........         5.9%         6.4%         6.7%         6.3%         6.2%
                                                  ...........  ...........  ...........      +/-0.8%      +/-1.4%      +/-1.8%      +/-2.1%      +/-2.4%
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Very Low-Income Home Purchase Mortgages.....       48,810       42,872       45,022       49,852  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages...............      814,137      757,870      802,432      964,847  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Very Low-Income % of Home Purchase Mortgages         6.0%         5.7%         5.6%         5.2%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Very Low-Income Home Purchase Mortgages.....       23,705       25,232       31,146       36,838  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages...............      429,158      519,731      579,340      644,991  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Very Low-Income % of Home Purchase Mortgages         5.5%         4.9%         5.4%         5.7%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Since 2013, the market for very low-income home purchase loans has 
also been declining, as reflected in HMDA data, although there was a 
slight uptick in 2015. FHFA has gradually lowered the benchmark for 
this goal from 8 percent in 2010 to 6 percent in 2015. Despite this 
reduction, the performance of both Enterprises has fallen below the 
benchmark and the market levels in each year since 2013. In addition, 
both Enterprises are projected to fall below the 6 percent benchmark 
level in 2016.
    FHFA market analysis reflects a relatively flat trend for this 
segment, at 5.7 percent in 2014 and 5.8 percent in 2015. FHFA's current 
model forecasted the market to increase slightly to 5.9 percent in 2016 
and then to 6.4 percent in 2017. For the 2018-2020 goal period, FHFA's 
forecast indicates an increase to 6.7 percent in 2018, followed by 
declines to 6.3 percent and 6.2 percent in 2019 and 2020, respectively. 
As noted earlier, the confidence intervals widen as the forecast period 
lengthens, and will reduce somewhat as FHFA incorporates more 
information before publishing the final rule.
    Similar to the low-income home purchase goal, FHFA is proposing a 
benchmark level that is near the market forecast to encourage the 
Enterprises to continue their efforts to promote safe and sustainable 
lending to very low-

[[Page 31017]]

income families. As noted in the low-income purchase goal discussion, 
FHFA believes that there are significant challenges to housing 
affordability that may be beyond the control of the Enterprises that 
could make the proposed benchmark a challenge for the Enterprises. As 
each Enterprise has been struggling to meet the current benchmark and 
market levels, the proposed benchmark will continue to encourage the 
Enterprise to safely and soundly innovate in this area. FHFA, as 
regulator and as conservator, will continue to monitor the Enterprises' 
performance, and if FHFA determines in later years that the benchmark 
level for the very low-income areas home purchase housing goal is no 
longer feasible for the Enterprises to achieve in light of market 
conditions or for any other reason, FHFA may take appropriate steps to 
adjust the benchmark level.
3. Low-Income Areas Home Purchase Subgoal
    Background. The low-income areas home purchase subgoal is based on 
the percentage of all single-family, owner-occupied home purchase 
mortgages purchased by an Enterprise that are either: (1) For families 
in low-income areas, defined to include census tracts with median 
income less than or equal to 80 percent of AMI; or (2) for families 
with incomes less than or equal to AMI who reside in minority census 
tracts (defined as census tracts with a minority population of at least 
30 percent and a tract median income of less than 100 percent of AMI). 
Borrowers could qualify under either or both conditions. As noted in 
Table 3, mortgages satisfying condition (1) above (borrowers in low-
income areas) are almost typically double the share of mortgages 
satisfying condition (2) (moderate-income borrowers in minority census 
tracts). For example, in 2015, 12.2 percent of mortgages met only 
condition (1), 7.6 percent met only condition (2), and 4.6 percent of 
mortgages met both conditions.

                                    Table 3--Composition of Low-Income Areas Home Purchase Subgoal Based on HMDA Data
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                            Low-income     High minority   High minority
                                                                             All low-      census tracts  areas that are  areas that are     All high
                          Year                              Low-income     income areas    that are not      also low-    not low-income  minority areas
                                                           area goal (%)        (%)        high minority   income census   census tracts        (%)
                                                                                             areas (%)      tracts (%)          (%)
                                                                     (A)             (B)             (C)             (D)             (E)             (F)
                                                             Grand Total              LI      LI, not HM       HM and LI      HM, not LI              HM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Distribution of HMDA Borrowers by Census Tract Location:
    2004................................................            16.8            13.3             8.1             5.3             3.5             8.7
    2005................................................            15.3            12.5             8.3             4.2             2.8             7.0
    2006................................................            15.8            13.1             8.9             4.3             2.7             6.9
    2007................................................            16.2            13.3             8.5             4.8             3.0             7.7
    2008................................................            14.3            11.6             7.4             4.2             2.7             6.9
    2009................................................            13.1            10.0             5.9             4.1             3.0             7.2
    2010................................................            12.1             9.2             5.6             3.6             2.9             6.5
    2011................................................            11.4             8.8             5.5             3.3             2.6             5.9
    2012................................................            13.5            10.3             6.0             4.3             3.2             7.5
    2013................................................            14.1            10.9             6.6             4.3             3.1             7.4
    2014................................................            15.0            12.0             7.5             4.6             3.0             7.5
    2015................................................            15.1            12.2             7.6             4.6             2.9             7.5
Enterprises' Performance:
    2010................................................            11.6             8.7             5.2             3.5             2.9             6.4
    2011................................................            10.7             8.1             5.1             3.1             2.6             5.7
    2012................................................            12.6             9.3             5.4             3.9             3.3             7.2
    2013................................................            13.4            10.2             6.2             4.0             3.2             7.2
    2014................................................            14.7            11.6             7.0             4.5             3.2             7.7
    2015................................................            15.1            12.1             7.4             4.6             3.0             7.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: FHFA's tabulation of Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) and Enterprises' data. Conventional conforming single-family owner-occupied 1st lien
  non-HOEPA originations.

    The forecast for this subgoal is obtained by generating separate 
forecasts for the two sub-populations (the low-income areas component 
and the high-minority income component). For this proposed rulemaking, 
FHFA has tested alternate model specifications for this subgoal and 
determined that aligning the overlapping portion with the low-income 
area component yields forecast estimates that are more precise (in 
terms of a narrower confidence interval).\19\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \19\ Details are available in the market model paper, ``The Size 
of the Affordable Mortgage Market: 2018-2020 Enterprise Single-
Family Housing Goals,'' available at http://www.fhfa.gov/PolicyProgramsResearch/Research/PaperDocuments/Market-Estimates_2018-2020.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FHFA sought to understand how the markets in low-income areas and 
high minority census tracts have evolved in recent years and who was 
being served by the Enterprises' efforts in these areas. FHFA's 
analysis found that the mortgage market in both low-income areas and in 
high-minority census tracts has been moving towards borrowers with 
higher incomes in recent years. As noted in Table 4, HMDA data show 
that both the low-income areas and the high-minority areas have 
increasing shares of borrowers with incomes at or above 100 percent of 
AMI, although loans to borrowers with incomes over 100 percent of AMI 
do not qualify for the minority areas component of the goal. For 
instance, the share of loans made to borrowers with incomes less than 
50 percent of AMI and residing in low-income areas decreased from 17.8 
percent in 2010 to 14.1 percent in 2015, after peaking at 19 percent in 
2012. Over the same period, the share of loans made to borrowers with 
incomes greater than 100 percent of AMI and residing in these low-
income census tracts increased from 38.8 percent in 2010 to

[[Page 31018]]

42.1 percent in 2015, after dipping to 36.5 percent in 2012. Thus, 
borrowers with higher incomes have made up an increasing share of the 
mortgage market in the low-income areas. A similar trend exists among 
borrowers residing in high minority census tracts. While borrowers with 
incomes greater than 100 percent of AMI represented 42.5 percent of 
borrowers in these census tracts in 2010, the share increased to 49.2 
percent in 2015.

                                          Table 4--Borrower Income Relative to AMI for Low-Income Areas Subgoal
                                                                         [HMDA]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             2010 (%)        2011 (%)        2012 (%)        2013 (%)        2014 (%)        2015 (%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Borrowers Residing in Low-Income Census Tracts:
    Borrower Income <=50% AMI...........................            17.8            17.7            19.0            15.4            14.1            14.1
    Borrower Income >50% and <=60% AMI..................             9.6             9.0            10.5             9.8             9.3             9.3
    Borrower Income >60% and <=80% AMI..................            18.4            17.6            18.8            18.6            18.6            18.6
    Borrower Income >80% and <=100% AMI.................            14.3            13.9            13.9            14.7            14.9            14.9
    Borrower Income >100% and <=120% AMI................            10.1            10.0            10.0            10.8            11.3            11.3
    Borrower Income >120% AMI...........................            28.7            30.5            26.5            29.3            30.9            30.8
    Income Missing......................................             1.0             1.4             1.3             1.3             0.9             1.0
        Total...........................................           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0
Borrowers Residing in High-Minority Census Tracts:
    Borrower Income <=50% AMI...........................            14.9            15.0            14.6            11.3            10.1            10.3
    Borrower Income >50% and <=60% AMI..................             9.0             8.7             9.1             8.1             7.6             7.6
    Borrower Income >60% and <=80% AMI..................            18.0            17.7            17.7            16.9            16.8            17.0
    Borrower Income >80% and <=100% AMI.................            14.6            14.3            14.1            14.7            14.8            14.9
    Borrower Income >100% and <=120% AMI................            10.9            10.6            11.0            11.7            12.0            12.2
    Borrower Income >120% AMI...........................            31.6            32.4            32.3            36.0            37.8            37.0
    Income Missing......................................             1.0             1.3             1.3             1.4             0.9             1.0
                                                         -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Total...........................................           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Definitions:
Low-income census tracts = Census tracts with median income <=80% Area Median Income (AMI).
High-minority census tracts = Census tracts where (i) tract median income <=100% Area Median Income (AMI); and (ii) minorities comprise at least 30
  percent of the tract population.
Source: FHFA's tabulation of HMDA data.

    The presence of higher income borrowers in lower income and higher 
minority areas may be a sign of economic diversity in those areas and 
may be related to the possibility of improved economic indicators for 
the community, but there is nevertheless some concern that such a trend 
could displace lower income households in these areas. Change in the 
mix of renters to owner-occupied households often precedes and 
accompanies these trends. FHFA is aware that this particular subgoal 
may encourage the Enterprises to focus on purchasing loans for higher 
income households in low-income and high-minority areas, and FHFA is 
also aware of concerns about the impact of rising housing costs on 
existing households in lower-income or higher-minority areas. FHFA 
welcomes input on all aspects of the low-income areas goal and subgoal, 
and in particular how best to satisfy the policy objectives of the 
various components of the goal and subgoal.
    Table 5 shows similar trends in Enterprise acquisitions of 
mortgages in low-income areas and high-minority areas. In 2015, 42.5 
percent of Enterprise acquisitions were of loans made to borrowers with 
incomes greater than or equal to 100 percent of the AMI, up from 40.7 
percent in 2010. Also in 2015, 48.3 percent of Enterprise acquisitions 
in high-minority census tracts were acquisitions of loans made to 
borrowers with incomes greater than or equal to 100 percent of AMI, up 
from 45.4 percent in 2010.

                                          Table 5--Borrower Income Relative to AMI for Low-Income Areas Subgoal
                                                                 [Enterprise Loans Only]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             2010 (%)        2011 (%)        2012 (%)        2013 (%)        2014 (%)        2015 (%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Borrowers Residing in Low-Income Census Tracts:
    Borrower Income <=50% AMI...........................            16.7            16.3            18.2            14.5            13.4            13.4
    Borrower Income >50% and <=60% AMI..................             9.2             8.8            10.0             9.6             9.4             9.4

[[Page 31019]]

 
    Borrower Income >60% and <=80% AMI..................            18.4            17.5            18.6            18.6            19.0            19.1
    Borrower Income >80% and <=100% AMI.................            14.8            14.4            14.6            15.3            15.5            15.6
    Borrower Income >100% and <=120% AMI................            10.8            10.9            10.8            11.5            11.7            11.8
    Borrower Income >120% AMI...........................            29.9            32.0            27.7            30.5            31.0            30.7
    Income Missing......................................             0.2             0.0             0.0             0.0             0.0             0.0
                                                         -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Total...........................................           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0
Borrowers Residing in High-Minority Census Tracts:
    Borrower Income <=50% AMI...........................            13.3            12.9            15.2            11.5            10.3            10.3
    Borrower Income >50% and <=60% AMI..................             8.4             8.0             9.0             8.3             8.0             7.9
    Borrower Income >60% and <=80% AMI..................            17.7            16.9            18.0            17.7            17.7            17.7
    Borrower Income >80% and <=100% AMI.................            15.1            14.7            14.9            15.5            15.7            15.9
    Borrower Income >100% and <=120% AMI................            11.6            11.4            11.5            12.4            12.6            12.8
    Borrower Income >120% AMI...........................            33.8            36.2            31.3            34.6            35.7            35.5
    Income Missing......................................             0.2             0.1             0.0             0.0             0.0             0.0
                                                         -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Total...........................................           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0           100.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Definitions:
Low-income census tracts = Census tracts with median income <=80% Area Median Income (AMI).
High-minority census tracts = Census tracts where (i) tract median income <=100% Area Median Income (AMI); and (ii) minorities comprise at least 30
  percent of the tract population.
Source: FHFA's tabulation of Enterprises' data.

    Proposed rule. The proposed rule would raise the annual low-income 
areas home purchase subgoal benchmark level for 2018 through 2020 to 15 
percent from the 14 percent level set for the current goal period 
(2015-2017).

                                                     Table 6--Low-Income Areas Home Purchase Subgoal
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                Historical performance                               Projected performance
                      Year                       -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                      2013         2014         2015         2016         2017         2018         2019         2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Actual Market...................................        14.2%        15.2%        15.2%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Benchmark.......................................          11%          11%          14%          14%          14%  ...........  ...........  ...........
Current Market Forecast.........................  ...........  ...........  ...........        14.7%        15.6%        15.8%        16.1%        15.7%
                                                  ...........  ...........  ...........      +/-1.2%      +/-2.0%      +/-2.6%      +/-3.1%      +/-3.5%
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Low-Income Area Home Purchase Mortgages.....       86,430       91,691       99,723          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    High-Minority Area Home Purchase Mortgages..       27,425       25,650       25,349          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Subgoal-Qualifying Total Home Purchase            113,855      117,341      125,072      156,441  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Mortgages..................................
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages...............      814,137      757,870      802,432      964,847  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income Area % of Home Purchase Mortgages        14.0%        15.5%        15.6%        16.2%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Low-Income Area Home Purchase Mortgages.....       40,444       55,987       67,172          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    High-Minority Area Home Purchase Mortgages..       12,177       14,808       16,601          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........

[[Page 31020]]

 
    Subgoal-Qualifying Total Home Purchase             52,621       70,795       83,773      100,608  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Mortgages..................................
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages...............      429,158      519,731      579,340      644,991  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income Area % of Home Purchase Mortgages        12.3%        13.6%        14.5%        15.6%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Both Enterprises have met this subgoal every year since 2013, 
regularly exceeding both the market and the benchmark levels. Fannie 
Mae's performance exceeded both the market and the benchmark in 2014 
and 2015, although its performance was lower than that of the market in 
2013. From 2013 through 2015, Freddie Mac's performance exceeded the 
benchmark but was below the market level. FHFA's forecast indicates 
that the market will increase slightly in the coming years, reaching a 
maximum level of 16.1 in 2019.
    FHFA is proposing only a modest increase in the benchmark level 
that reflects the recent performance levels of the Enterprises while 
FHFA continues to evaluate whether the measure meets policy objectives. 
FHFA, as regulator and as conservator, will continue to monitor the 
Enterprises' performance, and if FHFA determines in later years that 
the benchmark level for the low-income areas home purchase housing 
subgoal is no longer feasible for the Enterprises to achieve in light 
of market conditions or for other reasons, FHFA may take appropriate 
steps to adjust the benchmark level.
4. Low-Income Areas Home Purchase Goal
    The low-income areas home purchase goal covers the same categories 
as the low-income areas home purchase subgoal, but it also includes 
moderate income families in designated disaster areas. As a result, the 
low-income areas home purchase goal is based on the percentage of all 
single-family, owner-occupied home purchase mortgages purchased by an 
Enterprise that are: (1) For families in low-income areas, defined to 
include census tracts with median income less than or equal to 80 
percent of AMI; (2) for families with incomes less than or equal to AMI 
who reside in minority census tracts (defined as census tracts with a 
minority population of at least 30 percent and a tract median income of 
less than 100 percent of AMI); or (3) for families with incomes less 
than or equal to 100 percent of AMI who reside in designated disaster 
areas.
    The low-income areas goal benchmark level is established by a two-
step process. The first step is setting the benchmark level for the 
low-income areas subgoal, as established by this proposed rule. The 
second step is establishing an additional increment for mortgages to 
families located in federally-declared disaster areas with incomes less 
than or equal to AMI.\20\ Each year, FHFA sets the disaster area 
increment separately from this rule and notifies the Enterprises by 
letter of the benchmark level for that year. The proposed rule would 
set the annual low-income areas home purchase goal benchmark level for 
2018 through 2020 at the subgoal benchmark level of 15 percent plus a 
disaster areas increment that FHFA will set separately each year.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \20\ Disaster declarations are listed on the Federal Emergency 
Management Agency (FEMA) Web site at https://www.fema.gov/disasters.

                                                      Table 7--Low-Income Areas Home Purchase Goal
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                 Historical performance
                             Year                             ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                   2010         2011         2012         2013         2014         2015         2016
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Actual Market................................................        24.0%        22.0%        23.2%        22.1%        22.1%        19.8%          n/a
Benchmark....................................................          24%          24%          20%          21%          18%          19%          17%
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Subgoal-Qualifying Home Purchase Mortgages...............       59,281       54,285       83,202      113,855      117,341      125,072      156,441
    Disaster Areas Home Purchase Mortgages...................       56,076       50,209       58,085       62,314       54,548       38,885       38,545
    Goal-Qualifying Total Home Purchase Mortgages............      115,357      104,494      141,287      176,169      171,889      163,957      194,986
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages............................      479,200      467,066      633,627      814,137      757,870      802,432      964,847
    Goal Performance.........................................        24.1%        22.4%        22.3%        21.6%        22.7%        20.4%        20.2%
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Subgoal-Qualifying Home Purchase Mortgages...............       32,089       23,902       32,750       52,621       70,795       83,773      100,608
    Disaster Areas Home Purchase Mortgages...................       38,898       26,232       26,486       33,123       33,923       26,411       27,709
    Goal-Qualifying Total Home Purchase Mortgages............       70,987       50,134       59,236       85,744      104,718      110,184      128,317
    Total Home Purchase Mortgages............................      307,555      260,796      288,007      429,158      519,731      579,340      644,991

[[Page 31021]]

 
    Goal Performance.........................................        23.1%        19.2%        20.6%        20.0%        20.1%        19.0%        19.9%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5. Low-Income Refinancing Goal
    The low-income refinancing goal is based on the percentage of all 
single-family, owner-occupied refinance mortgages purchased by an 
Enterprise that are for low-income families, defined as families with 
incomes less than or equal to 80 percent of AMI. The proposed rule 
would set the annual low-income refinancing housing goal benchmark 
level for 2018 through 2020 at 21 percent. While this proposed 
benchmark level is unchanged from the current 2015 to 2017 benchmark 
level, FHFA believes that this level will nevertheless be challenging 
for the Enterprises given the current level of interest rates (which 
are at historic low levels) and the likelihood of interest rate hikes. 
Because of the significant impacts interest rate changes have on this 
market, Enterprise and market performance on this goal are particularly 
susceptible to fluctuation. Moderation in the setting of this goal is 
also supported by the fact that many borrowers have already refinanced 
during the recent extended period of historically low interest rates.

                                                          Table 8--Low-Income Refinancing Goal
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                Historical performance                               Projected performance
                      Year                       -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                      2013         2014         2015         2016         2017         2018         2019         2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Actual Market...................................        24.3%        25.0%        22.5%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
Benchmark.......................................          20%          20%          21%          21%          21%  ...........  ...........  ...........
Current Market Forecast.........................  ...........  ...........  ...........        21.1%        23.4%        24.3%        25.5%        24.8%
                                                  ...........  ...........  ...........      +/-2.9%      +/-4.9%      +/-6.2%      +/-7.3%      +/-8.3%
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Low-Income Refinance Mortgages..............      519,753      215,826      227,817      247,663  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total Refinance Mortgages...................    2,170,063      831,218    1,038,663    1,268,648  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income % of Refinance Mortgages.........        24.0%        26.0%        21.9%        19.5%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income HAMP Modification Mortgages......       11,858        6,503        3,563          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total HAMP Modification Mortgages...........       16,478        9,288        6,595          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income % of HAMP Modification Mortgages.        72.0%        70.0%        54.0%          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income Refinance & HAMP Modification          531,611      222,329      231,380          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Mortgages..................................
    Total Refinance & HAMP Modification             2,186,541      840,506    1,045,258          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Mortgages..................................
    Low-Income % of Refinance & HAMP                    24.3%        26.5%        22.1%          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Modification Mortgages.....................
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Low-Income Refinance Mortgages..............      306,205      131,921      179,530      174,664  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total Refinance Mortgages...................    1,309,435      514,936      795,936      830,824  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income % of Refinance Mortgages.........        23.4%        25.6%        22.6%        21.0%  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income HAMP Modification Mortgages......       14,757        6,795        3,064          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Total HAMP Modification Mortgages...........       21,599       10,335        4,433          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
    Low-Income % of HAMP Modification Mortgages.        68.3%        65.7%        69.1%          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........

[[Page 31022]]

 
    Low-Income Refinance & HAMP Modification          320,962      138,716      182,594          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Mortgages..................................
    Total Refinance & HAMP Modification             1,331,034      525,271      800,369          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Mortgages..................................
    Low-Income % of Refinance & HAMP                    24.1%        26.4%        22.8%          n/a  ...........  ...........  ...........  ...........
     Modification Mortgages.....................
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Both Enterprises have met this goal since 2013. The performance of 
the Enterprises on this goal has historically been very close to actual 
market levels. In 2014, when the market figure was at its highest 
point, both Enterprises met the goal and exceeded the market. In 2015, 
Freddie Mac exceeded the market and the benchmark level, and Fannie Mae 
exceeded the benchmark level.
    The low-income share of the refinance market as measured by HMDA 
data has changed dramatically in recent years, increasing from 20.2 
percent in 2010 to a peak of 25.0 percent in 2014. FHFA's model for 
this goal forecasts that this market will decrease in 2016, with a 
sharp rise in 2017-2019, followed by slight moderation in 2020. 
However, the confidence intervals around the forecasts are very wide, 
reflecting the uncertainty about interest rates. Recent macroeconomic 
forecasts have predicted interest rate hikes that have not 
materialized.
    Since 2010 the low-income refinancing housing goal has included 
modifications under the Home Affordable Modification Program 
(HAMP).\21\ HAMP modifications, however, are not included in the data 
used to calculate the market levels. Including HAMP modifications in 
the Enterprise performance numbers increases the measured performance 
of the Enterprises on the low-income refinancing housing goal because 
lower income borrowers make up a greater proportion of the borrowers 
receiving HAMP modifications than the low-income share of the overall 
refinancing mortgage market. However, HAMP modifications have been 
declining over time, and the program stopped taking applications at the 
end of 2016.\22\ The expiration of the HAMP program may make it 
slightly more difficult for the Enterprises to meet the low-income 
refinancing goal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \21\ The goal has included permanent HAMP modifications to low-
income borrowers in the numerator and all HAMP permanent 
modifications in the denominator.
    \22\ The HAMP program expired at the end of 2016. There will be 
some HAMP modifications that will count toward the Enterprise 
housing goals in 2017 as applications that were initiated before the 
end of the program are converted to permanent modifications.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FHFA, as regulator and conservator, will continue to monitor the 
Enterprises and if FHFA determines in later years that the benchmark 
level for the low-income refinancing housing goal needs to be revised, 
FHFA may take appropriate steps to adjust the benchmark level.

V. Multifamily Housing Goals

    This proposed rule also sets out FHFA's views about benchmark 
levels for the multifamily housing goals from 2018-2020. FHFA has 
considered the required statutory factors described below. Despite the 
strength of the multifamily mortgage market, data indicates a continued 
supply gap of units affordable to lower-income households. However, 
FHFA expects and encourages the Enterprises to fully support affordable 
multifamily housing, in part by fulfilling the multifamily housing 
goals in a safe and sound manner.

A. Factors Considered in Setting the Proposed Multifamily Housing Goal 
Levels

    In setting the proposed benchmark levels for the multifamily 
housing goals, FHFA has considered the statutory factors outlined in 
Section 1333(a)(4) of the Safety and Soundness Act. These factors 
include:
    1. National multifamily mortgage credit needs and the ability of 
the Enterprises to provide additional liquidity and stability for the 
multifamily mortgage market;
    2. The performance and effort of the Enterprises in making mortgage 
credit available for multifamily housing in previous years;
    3. The size of the multifamily mortgage market for housing 
affordable to low-income and very low-income families, including the 
size of the multifamily markets for housing of a smaller or limited 
size;
    4. The ability of the Enterprises to lead the market in making 
multifamily mortgage credit available, especially for multifamily 
housing affordable to low-income and very low-income families;
    5. The availability of public subsidies; and
    6. The need to maintain the sound financial condition of the 
Enterprises.\23\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \23\ 12 U.S.C. 4563(a)(4).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Unlike the single-family housing goals, performance on the 
multifamily housing goals is measured solely against a benchmark level, 
without any retrospective market measure. The absence of a 
retrospective market measure for the multifamily housing goals results, 
in part, from the lack of comprehensive data about the multifamily 
mortgage market. Unlike the single-family market, for which HMDA 
provides a reasonably comprehensive dataset about single-family 
mortgage originations each year, the multifamily market (including the 
affordable multifamily market segment) has no comparable source. 
Consequently, it can be difficult to correlate different datasets that 
usually rely on different reporting formats. For example, some data are 
available by dollar volume while other data are available by unit 
production. \24\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \24\ CFPB is planning to collect and release additional data 
fields (including the number of units for each multifamily loan that 
is reported) beginning in 2018 that likely will be useful in 
creating a retrospective market measure for the multifamily market.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Another difference between the single-family and multifamily goals 
is that there are separate single-family housing goals for home 
purchase and

[[Page 31023]]

refinancing mortgages, while the multifamily goals include all 
Enterprise multifamily mortgage purchases, regardless of the purpose of 
the loan. In addition, unlike the single-family housing goals, the 
multifamily housing goals are measured based on the total volume of 
affordable multifamily mortgage purchases rather than on a percentage 
of multifamily mortgage purchases. The use of total volumes, which FHFA 
measures by the number of eligible units, rather than percentages of 
each Enterprises' overall multifamily purchases, requires that FHFA 
take into account the expected size of the overall multifamily mortgage 
market and the affordable share of the market, as well as the expected 
volume of the Enterprises' overall multifamily purchases and the 
affordable share of those purchases.
    The lack of comprehensive data for the multifamily mortgage market 
is even more acute with respect to the segments of the market that are 
targeted to low-income families, defined as families with incomes at or 
below 80 percent of AMI, and very low-income families, defined as 
families with incomes at or below 50 percent of AMI. As required by the 
Safety and Soundness Act, FHFA determines affordability of multifamily 
units based on a unit's rent and utility expenses not exceeding 30 
percent of the area median income standard for low- and very low-income 
families.\25\ While much of the analysis that follows discusses trends 
in the overall multifamily mortgage market, FHFA recognizes that these 
general trends may not apply to the same extent to all segments of the 
multifamily market. Notwithstanding these challenges, FHFA has 
considered each of the required statutory factors (a number of which 
are related) as discussed below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \25\ 12 U.S.C. 4563(c).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Multifamily mortgage market. FHFA's consideration of the 
multifamily mortgage market addresses the size of and competition 
within the multifamily mortgage market, as well as the subset of the 
multifamily market affordable to low-income and very low-income 
families. In 2015, the multifamily mortgage origination market 
experienced remarkable growth--year-over-year origination volume grew 
28 percent over the prior year to nearly $250 billion, fueled largely 
by a recovery in multifamily construction. The overall market grew 
modestly in 2016. Forecasts from various industry experts indicate that 
overall multifamily growth in mortgage market volumes and mortgage 
originations are expected to increase only modestly in 2017, both for 
refinancing activity and for financing new multifamily units, and 
remain level in 2018.
    According to the National Multifamily Housing Council's tabulation 
of American Community Survey microdata, in 2015 about 43 percent of 
renter households (18.7 million households) lived in multifamily 
properties, defined as structures with five or more rental units.\26\ 
More generally, the population of renters continued to grow from 35 
million in 2005 to 44 million in 2015, an increase of about one 
quarter.\27\ This growth led to an increase in demand for rental units 
that has only partially been met by expansions in supply. Vacancy rates 
hit a 30-year low in 2016, and are especially low in lower-priced 
segments of the market, while climbing in the high-end segment of many 
markets.\28\ As a result of these factors, rents continued to rise 
nationally and outpaced inflation in 2016.\29\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \26\ Accessed on 9/22/2016 at http://www.nmhc.org/Content.aspx?id=4708#Type_of_Structure.
    \27\ ``America's Rental Housing: Expanding Options for Diverse 
and Growing Demand'' Joint Center on Housing Studies of Harvard 
University, December 2015.
    \28\ ``State of the Nation's Housing 2017,'' Joint Center on 
Housing Studies of Harvard University, June 2017.
    \29\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Affordability in the multifamily market. There are several factors 
that make it difficult to accurately forecast the affordable share of 
the multifamily mortgage market. First, the portion of the overall 
multifamily mortgage market that provides housing units affordable to 
low-income and very low-income families varies from year to year. 
Second, competition between purchasers of mortgages within the 
multifamily market overall may differ from the competition within the 
affordable multifamily market segment. Finally, the volume for the 
affordable multifamily market segment will depend on the availability 
of affordable housing subsidies.
    Using the measure under which affordable rent and utilities do not 
exceed 30 percent of AMI, affordability for families living in rental 
units has decreased for many households in recent years. The Joint 
Center for Housing Studies (JCHS) 2016 State of the Nation's Housing 
Report notes some concerning trends in the supply of affordable 
multifamily units. For example, the report found that the majority of 
growth in the multifamily housing stock has been the result of new 
construction. Moreover, most of the new construction consists of 
apartments with fewer bedrooms and has been concentrated in urban areas 
with higher median rents. In the same report, JCHS also noted, ``the 
steep rent for new units reflect rising land and development costs, 
which push multifamily construction to the high end of the market.'' 
\30\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \30\ ``The State of the Nation's Housing 2016,'' Joint Center 
for Housing Studies of Harvard University, June 2016, available at 
http://www.jchs.harvard.edu/sites/jchs.harvard.edu/files/jchs_2016_state_of_the_nations_housing_lowres.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    JCHS has also noted the significant prevalence of cost-burdened 
renters. In 2015, nearly half of all tenants paid more than 30 percent 
of household income for rental housing, especially in high-cost urban 
markets where most renters reside and where Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 
have focused their multifamily lending. Among lower-income households, 
cost burdens are especially severe.\31\ In addition, a recent study 
showed that the median incomes of renter households have experienced 
slight declines in some large metropolitan areas in recent years, 
leading to increased cost burdens for these households.\32\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \31\ ``State of the Nation's Housing 2017,'' Joint Center on 
Housing Studies of Harvard University, June 2017.
    \32\ ``Renting in America's Largest Metropolitan Areas,'' NYU 
Furman Center, March 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    One source of growth in the stock of lower-rent apartments is 
``filtering,'' a process by which existing units become more affordable 
as they age. However, in recent years, this downward filtering of 
rental units has occurred at a slow pace in most markets. Coupled with 
the permanent loss of affordable units, as these units fall into 
disrepair or units are demolished to create new higher-rent or higher-
valued ownership units, this trend has severely limited the supply of 
lower rent units. As a result, there is an acute shortfall of 
affordable units for extremely low-income renters (earning up to 30 
percent of AMI) and very low-income renters (earning up to 50 percent 
of AMI). This supply gap is especially wide in certain metropolitan 
areas in the southern and western United States.\33\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \33\ ``The Gap: The Affordable Housing Gap Analysis 2017,'' 
National Low Income Housing Coalition, March 2017.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The combination of the supply gap in affordable units which 
resulted in significant increases in rental rates, and the prevalence 
of cost-burdened renters resulting from largely flat real incomes has 
led to an erosion of affordability with fewer units qualifying for the

[[Page 31024]]

housing goals.\34\ This challenge of affordability is also reflected in 
the falling share of low-income multifamily units financed by loans 
purchased by the Enterprises. While 77 percent of the multifamily units 
financed by Fannie Mae in 2011 were low-income, that ratio dropped 
steadily in the intervening years to 64 percent in 2016. At Freddie 
Mac, the low-income share also peaked in 2011 and 2012 at 79 percent, 
and decreased gradually to 68 percent in 2016. For the very low-income 
goal, the share at Fannie Mae peaked in 2012 at 22 percent before 
falling to 12 percent in 2016, and at Freddie Mac the share peaked at 
17 percent in 2013 before falling to 12 percent in 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \34\ ``State of the Nation's Housing 2017,'' Joint Center on 
Housing Studies of Harvard University, June 2017.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Small multifamily properties with 5 to 50 units are also an 
important source of affordable rental housing and represent 
approximately one-third of the affordable rental market. Because they 
have different operating and ownership characteristics than larger 
properties, small multifamily properties often have different financing 
needs. For example, small multifamily properties are more likely to be 
owned by an individual or small investor and less likely to be managed 
by a third party property management firm.\35\ Likewise, the 
affordability of small multifamily units means they generate less 
revenue per unit than larger properties. These factors can make 
financing more difficult to obtain for small multifamily property 
owners. While the volume of Enterprise-supported loans on small 
multifamily properties has been inconsistent in recent years, each 
Enterprise continues to refine its approach to serving this market.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \35\ ``2012 Rental Housing Finance Survey,'' U.S. Census Bureau 
and U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Tables 2b, 2c, 
2d and 3.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Availability of public subsidies. Multifamily housing assistance is 
primarily available in two forms--demand-side subsidies that either 
assist low-income tenants directly (e.g., Section 8 vouchers) or 
provide project-based rental assistance (Section 8 contracts), and 
supply-side subsidies that support the creation and preservation of 
affordable housing (e.g., public housing and Low-Income Housing Tax 
Credit (LIHTC)). The availability of public subsidies impacts the 
overall affordable multifamily housing market, and changes to historic 
programs could significantly impact the ability of the Enterprises to 
meet the goals.
    Financing for affordable multifamily buildings--particularly those 
affordable to very low-income families--often uses an array of state 
and federal supply-side housing subsidies, such as LIHTC, tax-exempt 
bonds, project-based rental assistance, or soft subordinate 
financing.\36\ In recent years, competition for affordable housing 
subsidy has been intense and investor interest in tax credit equity 
projects of all types and in all markets has been strong, especially in 
markets in which bank investors are seeking to meet Community 
Reinvestment Act (CRA) goals. By contrast, in recent months, the 
subsidy provided by the LIHTC program has been volatile and much more 
uncertain, as policymakers consider a broader range of potential tax 
reform legislation that could adversely impact the LIHTC program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \36\ LIHTC is a supply-side subsidy created under the Tax Reform 
Act of 1986 and is the main source of new affordable housing 
construction in the United States today. Tax credits are used for 
the acquisition, rehabilitation, and/or new construction of rental 
housing for low-income households. LIHTC has facilitated the 
creation or rehabilitation of approximately 2.4 million affordable 
units since inception in 1986.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Subject to the continuing availability of these subsidies, there 
should continue to be opportunities in the multifamily market to 
provide permanent financing for properties with LIHTC during the 2018-
2020 period. There should also be opportunities for market 
participants, including the Enterprises, to purchase mortgages that 
finance the preservation of existing affordable housing units 
(especially for restructurings of older properties that reach the end 
of their initial 15-year LIHTC compliance periods and for refinancing 
properties with expiring Section 8 rental assistance contracts).
    In recent years, demand-side public subsidies and the availability 
of public housing have not kept pace with the growing number of low-
income and very low-income households in need of federal housing 
assistance. As a result, the number of renter households with ``worst 
case needs'' has grown to 8.19 million, an increase of one-third since 
2005.\37\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \37\ ``Preview of 2015 Worst Case Housing Needs,'' U.S. 
Department of Housing and Urban Development, January 2017. Renters 
with worse case needs have very low incomes, lack housing 
assistance, and have either severe rent burdens or severely 
inadequate housing (or both).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Role of the Enterprises. In setting the proposed multifamily 
housing goals, FHFA has considered the ability of the Enterprises to 
lead the market in making multifamily mortgage credit available. The 
share of the overall multifamily market purchased by the Enterprises 
increased in the years immediately following the financial crisis but 
has declined more recently in response to growing private sector 
participation. The Enterprise share of the multifamily origination 
market was approximately 70 percent of the market in 2008 and 2009 
compared to 38 percent in 2015.\38\ The total share is expected to 
remain at around the 2015 level in 2016, 2017, and 2018 in light of the 
Scorecard cap imposed by FHFA in its role as conservator (discussed 
below).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \38\ Urban Institute, ``The GSEs' Shrinking Role in the 
Multifamily Market,'' April 2015.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Despite the Enterprises' reduced market share in the overall 
multifamily market, FHFA expects the Enterprises to continue to 
demonstrate leadership in multifamily affordable housing by providing 
liquidity and supporting housing for tenants at different income levels 
in various geographic markets and in various market segments.
    Conservatorship limits on multifamily mortgage purchases 
(Conservatorship Scorecard cap). As conservator of the Enterprises, 
FHFA has established a yearly cap in the Conservatorship Scorecard that 
limits the amount of conventional (market-rate) multifamily loans that 
each Enterprise can purchase. The multifamily lending cap is intended 
to further FHFA's conservatorship goal: Maintaining the presence of the 
Enterprises as a backstop for the multifamily finance market, while not 
impeding the participation of private capital. This target for the 
Enterprise share of the multifamily origination market reflect what is 
generally considered by the industry as an appropriate market share for 
the Enterprises during normal market conditions. The cap prevents the 
Enterprises from crowding out other capital sources and restrains the 
rapid growth of the Enterprises' multifamily businesses that started in 
2011.\39\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \39\ MBA, 2015 Annual Report on Multifamily Lending, October 
2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In 2015, FHFA established a cap of $30 billion on new conventional 
multifamily loan purchases for each Enterprise in response to increased 
participation in the market from private sector capital. In 2016, the 
cap was initially set at $30 billion, raised in May 2016 to $35 
billion, and further increased to $36.5 billion in August, in response 
to growth of the overall multifamily origination market throughout the 
year. These increases maintained the Enterprises' current market share 
at about 40 percent. FHFA has announced that for 2017, the cap will 
remain at $36.5 billion.
    FHFA reviews the market size estimates quarterly, using current 
market data provided by Fannie Mae,

[[Page 31025]]

Freddie Mac, the MBA, and the National Multifamily Housing Council. If 
FHFA determines that the actual market size is greater than was 
projected, the agency will consider an approximate increase to the 
capped (conventional market-rate) category of the Conservatorship 
Scorecard for each Enterprise. In light of the need for market 
participants to plan sales of mortgages during long origination 
processes, if FHFA determines that the actual market size is smaller 
than projected, there will be no reduction to the capped volume for the 
current year from the amount initially established under the 
Conservatorship Scorecard.
    In order to encourage affordable lending activities, FHFA excludes 
many types of loans in underserved markets from the Conservatorship 
Scorecard cap on conventional loans. The Conservatorship Scorecard has 
no volume targets in the market segments excluded from the cap. There 
is significant overlap between the types of multifamily mortgages that 
are excluded from the Conservatorship Scorecard cap and the multifamily 
mortgages that contribute to the performance of the Enterprises under 
the affordable housing goals. The 2017 Conservatorship Scorecard 
excludes either the entirety of the loan amount or a pro rata share of 
the loan on the following categories: (1) Targeted affordable housing; 
(2) small multifamily properties; (3) blanket loans on manufactured 
housing communities; (4) blanket loans on senior housing and assisted 
living communities; (5) loans in rural areas; (6) loans to finance 
energy or water efficiency improvements; and (7) market rate affordable 
units in standard (60 percent AMI), high cost (80 percent AMI), and 
very high cost (100 percent AMI) markets. By excluding the underserved 
market categories from the cap, the Conservatorship Scorecard continues 
to encourage the Enterprises to support affordable housing in their 
purchases of multifamily mortgages.\40\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \40\ For more information on the Conservatorship Scorecard, see 
https://www.fhfa.gov/AboutUs/Reports/ReportDocuments/2017-Scorecard-for-Fannie-Mae-Freddie-Mac-and-CSS.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

B. Proposed Multifamily Housing Goal Benchmark Levels

    In setting the proposed multifamily housing goals, FHFA encourages 
the Enterprises to provide liquidity and to support various multifamily 
finance market segments while doing so in a safe and sound manner. The 
Enterprises have served as a stabilizing force in the multifamily 
market in the years since the financial crisis. During the 
conservatorship period, the Enterprise portfolios of loans on 
multifamily affordable housing properties have experienced low levels 
of delinquency and default, similar to the performance of Enterprise 
loans on market rate properties. In light of this performance, the 
Enterprises should be able to sustain or increase their volume of 
purchases of loans on affordable multifamily housing properties without 
adversely impacting the Enterprises' safety and soundness or negatively 
affecting the performance of their total loan portfolios.
    FHFA continues to monitor the activities of the Enterprises, both 
in FHFA's capacity as regulator and as conservator. If necessary, FHFA 
will make appropriate changes in the multifamily housing goals to 
ensure the Enterprises' continued safety and soundness.
    The proposed rule establishes benchmark levels for the multifamily 
housing goals for the Enterprises. Before finalizing the benchmark 
levels for the low-income and very low-income multifamily goals in the 
final rule, FHFA will review any additional data that become available 
about the multifamily performance of the Enterprises in 2016, updated 
projections of the size of the multifamily market and affordable market 
share, and any public comments received on the proposed multifamily 
housing goals.
1. Multifamily Low-Income Housing Goal
    The multifamily low-income housing goal is based on the total 
number of rental units in multifamily properties financed by mortgages 
purchased by the Enterprises that are affordable to low-income 
families, defined as families with incomes less than or equal to 80 
percent of AMI.

                                  Table 9--Multifamily Low-Income Housing Goal
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Historical performance
              Year               -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                       2012            2013            2014            2015            2016
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fannie Mae Goal.................         285,000         265,000         250,000         300,000         300,000
Freddie Mac Goal................         225,000         215,000         200,000         300,000         300,000
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Low-Income Multifamily Units         375,924         326,597         260,124         307,510         351,235
    Total Multifamily Units.....         501,256         430,751         372,089         468,798         551,666
    Low-Income % Total..........           75.0%           75.8%           69.9%           65.6%           63.7%
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Low-Income Multifamily Units         298,529         254,628         273,807         379,043         407,340
    Total Multifamily Units.....         377,522         341,921         366,377         514,275         597,033
    Low-Income % of Total Units.           79.1%           74.5%           74.7%           73.7%           68.2%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    From 2012 through 2016, both Enterprises exceeded their low-income 
multifamily goals. Prior to 2015, Fannie Mae had higher goals than 
Freddie Mac. For the 2015-2017 goal period, FHFA set the same goal 
level for both Enterprises for the first time, reflecting parity 
between Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae multifamily market share in terms of 
unit counts.
    In 2016, the goal for each Enterprise was 300,000 units. Fannie Mae 
purchased mortgages financing 351,235 low-income units, and Freddie Mac 
purchased mortgages financing 407,340 low-income units. While total 
volumes have increased, the share of low-income units financed at each 
Enterprise has been declining from peak levels in 2012.
    As noted above, the forecast for the multifamily originations 
market increases slightly and then levels off after 2017. The 
Conservatorship Scorecard cap for each Enterprise was raised from an 
initial $30 billion cap to $36.5 billion in August 2016 in response to 
growth of the multifamily origination market throughout the year. This 
change allowed the Enterprises to pursue purchases of a greater volume 
of multifamily originations and support the overall market and may seem 
to

[[Page 31026]]

support an increase in the proposed goal levels for both Enterprises. 
However, the gap between the supply of low-income and very low-income 
units and the needs of low-income households, as described in the 
affordability discussion above, is expected to continue in the next 
goal period. Moreover, the forecast for the multifamily originations 
market for 2017 and 2018 is relatively flat, and securing housing 
subsidies will likely continue to be challenging. These trends suggest 
moderation in any increase in the proposed goal levels. Therefore, 
balancing these considerations, the proposed rule sets the annual low-
income multifamily housing goal for each Enterprise at 315,000 units in 
each year from 2018 through 2020, a modest increase from the 300,000 
unit goal for each Enterprise in 2015-2017.
2. Multifamily Very Low-Income Housing Subgoal
    The multifamily very low-income housing subgoal includes units 
affordable to very low-income families, defined as families with 
incomes no greater than 50 percent of AMI.

                                  Table 10--Multifamily Very Low-Income Subgoal
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Historical performance
              Year               -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                       2012            2013            2014            2015            2016
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fannie Mae Goal.................          80,000          70,000          60,000          60,000          60,000
Freddie Mac Goal................          59,000          50,000          40,000          60,000          60,000
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Very Low-Income Multifamily          108,878          78,071          60,542          69,078          65,445
     Units......................
    Total Multifamily Units.....         501,256         430,751         372,089         468,798         551,666
    Very Low-Income % of Total             21.7%           18.1%           16.3%           14.7%           11.9%
     Units......................
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Very Low-Income Multifamily           60,084          56,752          48,689          76,935          73,032
     Units......................
    Total Home Purchase                  377,522         341,921         366,377         514,275         597,033
     Mortgages..................
    Very Low-Income % of Total             15.9%           16.6%           13.3%           15.0%           12.2%
     Units......................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    From 2012 through 2016, both Enterprises met and exceeded their 
very low-income multifamily goals. In 2016, the goal for each 
Enterprise was 60,000 units. Fannie Mae purchased mortgages financing 
65,445 very low-income units, while Freddie Mac purchased mortgages 
financing 73,032 very low-income units. Similar to the low-income 
multifamily goal, the share of very low-income units financed at each 
Enterprise has been declining in recent years.
    The market for very low-income multifamily housing faces even 
larger challenges than the market for low-income multifamily housing, 
given the need for lower rents--often requiring deeper subsidies--to 
make units affordable to these households. These factors suggest 
moderation in the setting of the very low-income multifamily subgoal 
for the Enterprises. Therefore, the proposed rule maintains the annual 
very low-income multifamily subgoal for each Enterprise at 60,000 units 
each year from 2018 through 2020.
3. Small Multifamily Low-Income Housing Subgoal
    A small multifamily property is defined as a property with 5 to 50 
units. The small multifamily low-income housing subgoal is based on the 
total number of units in small multifamily properties financed by 
mortgages purchased by the Enterprises that are affordable to low-
income families, defined as families with incomes less than or equal to 
80 percent of AMI.

                                 Table 11--Small Multifamily Low-Income Subgoal
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Historical performance
              Year               -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                       2012            2013            2014            2015            2016
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Small Low-Income Multifamily      ..............  ..............  ..............           6,000           8,000
 Goal...........................
Fannie Mae Performance:
    Small Low-Income Multifamily          16,801          13,827           6,732           6,731           9,310
     Units......................
    Total Small Multifamily               26,479          21,764          11,880          11,198          15,230
     Units......................
    Low-Income % of Total Small            63.5%           63.5%           56.7%           60.1%           61.1%
     Multifamily Units..........
Freddie Mac Performance:
    Small Low-Income Multifamily             829           1,128           2,076          12,802          22,101
     Units......................
    Total Small Multifamily                2,194           2,375           4,659          21,246          33,984
     Units......................
    Low-Income % of Total Small            37.8%           47.5%           44.6%           60.3%           65.0%
     Multifamily Units..........
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This was a new subgoal created in the 2015-2017 goal period. The 
goal was set at 6,000 units in 2015, 8,000 units in 2016, and 10,000 
units in 2017. In 2016, both Enterprises exceeded the goal of 8,000 
units. Fannie Mae purchased mortgages financing 9,310 units, and 
Freddie Mac purchased mortgages financing 22,101 units.
    The proposed rule would set the annual small multifamily subgoal 
for each Enterprise at 10,000 units for each year from 2018 through 
2020, the same as the 2017 goal. The Enterprises continue to innovate 
in their approaches to serving this market. FHFA is still monitoring 
the trends in this market segment as well as Enterprise performance for 
this new subgoal, and will consider all input in preparation of the 
final rule. However, FHFA is proposing to maintain the same benchmark 
level for 2018 through 2020 as the 2017 benchmark level for both 
Enterprises. Maintaining the current goal should continue to encourage 
the Enterprises' participation in this market and ensure the 
Enterprises have the expertise necessary to serve this market

[[Page 31027]]

should private sources of financing become unable or unwilling to lend 
on small multifamily properties.

VI. Section-by-Section Analysis of Other Proposed Changes

    The proposed rule would also revise other provisions of the housing 
goals regulation, as discussed below.

A. Changes to Definitions--Proposed Sec.  1282.1

    The proposed rule includes changes to definitions used in the 
current housing goals regulation. The proposed rule would revise the 
definitions of ``median income,'' ``metropolitan area,'' and ``non-
metropolitan area'' and would remove the definition of ``AHS.''
1. Definition of ``Median Income''
    The current regulation defines ``median income'' as the unadjusted 
median family income for an area as most recently determined by HUD. 
While this definition accurately identifies the source that FHFA uses 
to determine median incomes each year, the definition does not reflect 
the longstanding practice FHFA has followed in providing the 
Enterprises with the median incomes that the Enterprises must use each 
year. The proposed rule would revise the definition to be clear that 
the Enterprises are required to use the median incomes provided by FHFA 
each year in determining affordability for purposes of the housing 
goals.
    The proposed rule would also make two additional technical changes 
to the definition of ``median income.'' First, the proposed rule would 
add a reference to ``non-metropolitan areas'' in the definition because 
FHFA determines median incomes for both metropolitan areas and non-
metropolitan areas each year. Second, the proposed rule would remove 
the word ``family'' in one place so that the term ``median income'' is 
used consistently throughout the regulation.
    The revised definition would read: ``Median income means, with 
respect to an area, the unadjusted median family income for the area as 
determined by FHFA. FHFA will provide the Enterprises annually with 
information specifying how the median family income estimates for 
metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas are to be applied for purposes 
of determining median income.''
2. Definitions of ``Metropolitan Area'' and ``Non-Metropolitan Area''
    The proposed rule would revise the definitions of ``metropolitan 
area'' and ``non-metropolitan area'' to be consistent with each other 
and to reflect the proposed changes to the definition of ``median 
income'' discussed above.
    The current regulation defines both ``metropolitan area'' and 
``non-metropolitan area'' based on the areas for which HUD defines 
median family incomes. The definition of ``metropolitan area'' refers 
to median family incomes ``determined by HUD,'' while the definition of 
``non-metropolitan area'' refers to median family incomes ``published 
annually by HUD.''
    To be consistent with the proposed changes to the definition of 
``median income,'' the proposed rule would revise the definition of 
``metropolitan area'' by replacing the phrase ``for which median family 
income estimates are determined by HUD'' with the phrase ``for which 
median incomes are determined by FHFA.'' For the same reason, the 
proposed rule would revise the definition of ``non-metropolitan area'' 
by replacing the phrase ``for which median family income estimates are 
published annually by HUD'' with the phrase ``for which median incomes 
are determined by FHFA.''
3. Definition of ``AHS'' (American Housing Survey)
    The proposed rule would remove the definition of ``AHS'' from Sec.  
1282.1 because the term is no longer used in the Enterprise housing 
goals regulation.
    Prior to the 2015 amendments to the Enterprise housing goals 
regulation, the term ``AHS'' was used to specify the data source from 
which FHFA derives the utility allowances used to determine the total 
rent for a rental unit which, in turn, is used to determine the 
affordability of the unit when actual utility costs are not available. 
The 2015 amendments consolidated and simplified the definitions 
applicable to determining the total rent and eliminated the reference 
to AHS in the part of the definition related to utility allowances, 
providing FHFA with flexibility in how it determines the nationwide 
utility allowances. The current nationwide average utility allowances 
are still fixed numbers based on AHS data, but the regulation does not 
require FHFA to rely solely on AHS data to determine those utility 
allowances. The term ``AHS'' is not used anywhere else in the 
regulation, so the proposed rule would remove the definition from Sec.  
1282.1.

B. Data Source for Estimating Affordability of Multifamily Rental 
Units--Proposed Sec.  1282.15(e)(2)

    The proposed rule would revise Sec.  1282.15(e)(2) to update the 
data source used by FHFA to estimate affordability where actual 
information about rental units in a multifamily property is not 
available.
    Section 1282.15(e) permits the Enterprises to use estimated 
affordability information to determine the affordability of multifamily 
rental units for up to 5 percent of the total multifamily rental units 
in properties securing mortgages purchased by the Enterprise each year 
when actual information about the units is not available. The 
estimations are based on the affordable percentage of all rental units 
in the census tract in which the property for which the Enterprise is 
estimating affordability is located.
    The current regulation provides that the affordable percentage of 
all rental units in the census tract will be determined by FHFA based 
on the most recent decennial census. However, the 2000 decennial census 
was the last decennial census that collected this information. The U.S. 
Census Bureau now collects this information through the ACS. Since 
2011, FHFA has used the most recent data available from the ACS to 
determine the affordable percentage of rental units in a census tract 
for purposes of estimating affordability. The proposed rule would 
revise Sec.  1282.15(e)(2) to reflect this change. To take into account 
possible future changes in how rental affordability data is collected, 
the revised sentence would not refer specifically to data derived from 
the ACS. Section 1282.15(e)(2) would be revised to replace the phrase 
``as determined by FHFA based on the most recent decennial census'' 
with the phrase ``as determined by FHFA.''

C. Determination of Median Income for Certain Census Tracts--Proposed 
Sec.  1282.15(g)(2)

    The proposed rule would revise Sec.  1282.15(g) to remove paragraph 
(g)(2), an obsolete provision describing the method that the 
Enterprises were required to use to determine the median income for a 
census tract where the census tract was split between two areas with 
different median incomes.
    Current Sec.  1282.15(g)(2) requires the Enterprises to use the 
method prescribed by the Federal Financial Institutions Examination 
Council to determine the median income for certain census tracts that 
were split between two areas with different median incomes. This 
provision was put in place by the 1995 final rule published by HUD to 
establish the

[[Page 31028]]

Enterprise housing goals under the Safety and Soundness Act.\41\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \41\ See 60 FR 61846 (Dec. 1, 1995).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As discussed above regarding the definition of ``median income,'' 
the process of determining median incomes has changed over the years, 
so that the Enterprises are now required to use median incomes provided 
by FHFA each year when determining affordability for purposes of the 
housing goals. Because FHFA provides median incomes for every location 
in the United States, it is no longer necessary for the regulation to 
set forth a process for the Enterprises to use when it is not certain 
what the applicable median income would be for a particular location. 
Consequently, the proposed rule would remove Sec.  1282.15(g)(2) from 
the regulation.

D. Housing Plan Timing--Proposed Sec.  1282.21(b)(3)

    The proposed rule would revise Sec.  1282.21(b)(3) to provide the 
Director with discretion to determine the appropriate period of time 
that an Enterprise may be subject to a housing plan to address a 
failure to meet a housing goal.
    Section 1336 of the Safety and Soundness Act provides for the 
enforcement of the Enterprise housing goals. If FHFA determines that an 
Enterprise has failed to meet a housing goal and that achievement of 
the goal was feasible, FHFA may require the Enterprise to submit a 
housing plan describing the actions it will take ``to achieve the goal 
for the next calendar year.'' \42\ The Safety and Soundness Act has 
similar provisions for requiring a housing plan if FHFA determines, 
during the year in question, that there is a substantial probability 
that an Enterprise will fail to meet a housing goal and that 
achievement of the goal is feasible. In such cases, the housing plan 
would describe the actions the Enterprise will take ``to make such 
improvements and changes in its operations as are reasonable in the 
remainder of such year.'' The current regulation generally mirrors the 
statutory language on the requirements for a housing plan, except that 
the regulation makes clear that the housing plan must also ``[a]ddress 
any additional matters relevant to the plan as required, in writing, by 
the Director.'' \43\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \42\ See 12 U.S.C. 4566(c)(2).
    \43\ See 12 CFR 1282.21(b).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FHFA required an Enterprise to submit a housing plan for the first 
time in late 2015 in response to Freddie Mac's failure to achieve the 
single-family low-income and very low-income home purchase goals in 
2014. FHFA required Freddie Mac to submit a housing plan setting out 
the steps Freddie Mac would take in 2016 and 2017 to achieve the two 
goals that it failed to achieve in 2013 and 2014. The requirement for 
the plan to address actions taken in both 2016 and 2017 was based on 
FHFA's authority under Sec.  1282.21(b) to require a housing plan to 
address any additional matters required by the Director and was 
intended to address an issue of timing.
    FHFA's final determination on Freddie Mac's performance on the 
housing goals for 2014 was issued on December 17, 2015. As described in 
more detail below, that timing was driven by procedural steps required 
by the Safety and Soundness Act and FHFA's own regulation. If FHFA 
interpreted narrowly the statutory and regulatory provisions stating 
that the housing plan should address the steps the Enterprise would 
take in the following year, the housing plan itself would become 
irrelevant because the year it would cover would have ended before the 
housing plan was even submitted to FHFA.
    The extended time required to reach a final determination housing 
goals performance will occur every year as a result of the procedural 
steps required by the Safety and Soundness Act. Under those procedures, 
if FHFA determines that an Enterprise has failed to achieve a housing 
goal in a particular year, FHFA is first required to issue a 
preliminary determination that generally provides at least 30 days for 
the Enterprise to respond. FHFA must then consider any information 
submitted by the Enterprise before making a final determination on 
whether the Enterprise failed to meet the goal and whether achievement 
of the goal was feasible. If FHFA determines that the Enterprise should 
be required to submit a housing plan, the statute provides for up to 45 
days for the Enterprise to submit its housing plan.\44\ FHFA must then 
evaluate the housing plan, generally within 30 days. The time necessary 
for FHFA's review and determination at each step of this procedural 
process is generally four to six months.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \44\ See 12 U.S.C. 4566(c)(3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    These procedural steps cannot begin until FHFA has the information 
necessary to make a determination on whether the Enterprise has met the 
housing goals. The Enterprises are required to submit their official 
performance numbers to FHFA within 75 days after the end of the year, 
usually March 15 of the following year. Therefore, the earliest that 
FHFA would be able to approve a housing plan from an Enterprise would 
be mid-July of the year following the performance year. For the single-
family housing goals, this time period is extended even further because 
the HMDA data necessary to determine if an Enterprise met the 
retrospective market measurement portion of the single-family housing 
goals are not available until September of the year following the 
performance year.
    Based on (1) FHFA's experience in overseeing the housing goals, in 
particular the experience in requiring Freddie Mac to submit a housing 
plan based on its failure to achieve certain housing goals in 2014, (2) 
the inherent conflict in the timeframes set out in the Safety and 
Soundness Act, and (3) the importance of ensuring that any housing 
plans are focused on sustainable improvements in Enterprise goals 
performance, FHFA is proposing to amend Sec.  1282.21(b)(3) to state 
explicitly that a housing plan that is required based on an 
Enterprise's failure to achieve a housing goal will be required to 
address a time period determined by the Director. If FHFA requires an 
Enterprise to submit a housing plan, FHFA will notify the Enterprise of 
the applicable time period in FHFA's final determination on the 
performance of the Enterprise for a particular year.

VII. Paperwork Reduction Act

    The proposed rule would not contain any information collection 
requirement that would require the approval of the Office of Management 
and Budget (OMB) under the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et 
seq.). Therefore, FHFA has not submitted any information to OMB for 
review.

VIII. Regulatory Flexibility Act

    The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.) requires that 
a regulation that has a significant economic impact on a substantial 
number of small entities, small businesses, or small organizations must 
include an initial regulatory flexibility analysis describing the 
regulation's impact on small entities. Such an analysis need not be 
undertaken if the agency has certified that the regulation will not 
have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small 
entities. 5 U.S.C. 605(b). FHFA has considered the impact of the 
proposed rule under the Regulatory Flexibility Act. The General Counsel 
of FHFA certifies that the proposed rule, if adopted as a final rule, 
is not likely to have a significant economic impact on a substantial 
number of small entities

[[Page 31029]]

because the regulation applies to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which are 
not small entities for purposes of the Regulatory Flexibility Act.

List of Subjects in 12 CFR Part 1282

    Mortgages, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements.

Authority and Issuance

    For the reasons stated in the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION, under the 
authority of 12 U.S.C. 4511, 4513 and 4526, FHFA proposes to amend part 
1282 of Title 12 of the Code of Federal Regulations as follows:

CHAPTER XII--FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE AGENCY

Subchapter E--Housing Goals and Mission

PART 1282--ENTERPRISE HOUSING GOALS AND MISSION

0
1. The authority citation for part 1282 continues to read as follows:

    Authority:  12 U.S.C. 4501, 4502, 4511, 4513, 4526, 4561-4566.


Sec.  1282.1  [Amended]

0
2. Amend Sec.  1282.1 as follows:
0
a. Remove the definition of ``AHS''; and
0
b. Revise the definitions of ``Median income,'' ``Metropolitan area,'' 
and ``Non-metropolitan area.''
    The revisions read as follows:


Sec.  1282.1   Definitions.

* * * * *
    Median income means, with respect to an area, the unadjusted median 
family income for the area as determined by FHFA. FHFA will provide the 
Enterprises annually with information specifying how the median family 
income estimates for metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas are to be 
applied for purposes of determining median income.
    Metropolitan area means a metropolitan statistical area (MSA), or a 
portion of such an area, including Metropolitan Divisions, for which 
median incomes are determined by FHFA.
* * * * *
    Non-metropolitan area means a county, or a portion of a county, 
including those counties that comprise Micropolitan Statistical Areas, 
located outside any metropolitan area, for which median incomes are 
determined by FHFA.
* * * * *
0
3. Revise Sec.  1282.12 to read as follows:


Sec.  1282.12   Single-family housing goals.

    (a) Single-family housing goals. An Enterprise shall be in 
compliance with a single-family housing goal if its performance under 
the housing goal meets or exceeds either:
    (1) The share of the market that qualifies for the goal; or
    (2) The benchmark level for the goal.
    (b) Size of market. The size of the market for each goal shall be 
established annually by FHFA based on data reported pursuant to the 
Home Mortgage Disclosure Act for a given year. Unless otherwise 
adjusted by FHFA, the size of the market shall be determined based on 
the following criteria:
    (1) Only owner-occupied, conventional loans shall be considered;
    (2) Purchase money mortgages and refinancing mortgages shall only 
be counted for the applicable goal or goals;
    (3) All mortgages flagged as HOEPA loans or subordinate lien loans 
shall be excluded;
    (4) All mortgages with original principal balances above the 
conforming loan limits for single unit properties for the year being 
evaluated (rounded to the nearest $1,000) shall be excluded;
    (5) All mortgages with rate spreads of 150 basis points or more 
above the applicable average prime offer rate as reported in the Home 
Mortgage Disclosure Act data shall be excluded; and
    (6) All mortgages that are missing information necessary to 
determine appropriate counting under the housing goals shall be 
excluded.
    (c) Low-income families housing goal. The percentage share of each 
Enterprise's total purchases of purchase money mortgages on owner-
occupied single-family housing that consists of mortgages for low-
income families shall meet or exceed either:
    (1) The share of such mortgages in the market as defined in 
paragraph (b) of this section in each year; or
    (2) The benchmark level, which for 2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 24 
percent of the total number of purchase money mortgages purchased by 
that Enterprise in each year that finance owner-occupied single-family 
properties.
    (d) Very low-income families housing goal. The percentage share of 
each Enterprise's total purchases of purchase money mortgages on owner-
occupied single-family housing that consists of mortgages for very low-
income families shall meet or exceed either:
    (1) The share of such mortgages in the market as defined in 
paragraph (b) of this section in each year; or
    (2) The benchmark level, which for 2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 6 
percent of the total number of purchase money mortgages purchased by 
that Enterprise in each year that finance owner-occupied single-family 
properties.
    (e) Low-income areas housing goal. The percentage share of each 
Enterprise's total purchases of purchase money mortgages on owner-
occupied single-family housing that consists of mortgages for families 
in low-income areas shall meet or exceed either:
    (1) The share of such mortgages in the market as defined in 
paragraph (b) of this section in each year; or
    (2) A benchmark level which shall be set annually by FHFA notice 
based on the benchmark level for the low-income areas housing subgoal, 
plus an adjustment factor reflecting the additional incremental share 
of mortgages for moderate-income families in designated disaster areas 
in the most recent year for which such data is available.
    (f) Low-income areas housing subgoal. The percentage share of each 
Enterprise's total purchases of purchase money mortgages on owner-
occupied single-family housing that consists of mortgages for families 
in low-income census tracts or for moderate-income families in minority 
census tracts shall meet or exceed either:
    (1) The share of such mortgages in the market as defined in 
paragraph (b) of this section in each year; or
    (2) The benchmark level, which for 2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 15 
percent of the total number of purchase money mortgages purchased by 
that Enterprise in each year that finance owner-occupied single-family 
properties.
    (g) Refinancing housing goal. The percentage share of each 
Enterprise's total purchases of refinancing mortgages on owner-occupied 
single-family housing that consists of refinancing mortgages for low-
income families shall meet or exceed either:
    (1) The share of such mortgages in the market as defined in 
paragraph (b) of this section in each year; or
    (2) The benchmark level, which for 2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 21 
percent of the total number of refinancing mortgages purchased by that 
Enterprise in each year that finance owner-occupied single-family 
properties.
0
4. Revise Sec.  1282.13 to read as follows:


Sec.  1282.13   Multifamily special affordable housing goal and 
subgoals.

    (a) Multifamily housing goal and subgoals. An Enterprise shall be 
in compliance with a multifamily housing goal or subgoal if its 
performance under the housing goal or subgoal meets or exceeds the 
benchmark level for the goal or subgoal, respectively.
    (b) Multifamily low-income housing goal. The benchmark level for 
each Enterprise's purchases of mortgages on multifamily residential 
housing

[[Page 31030]]

affordable to low-income families shall be at least 315,000 dwelling 
units affordable to low-income families in multifamily residential 
housing financed by mortgages purchased by the Enterprise in each year 
for 2018, 2019, and 2020.
    (c) Multifamily very low-income housing subgoal. The benchmark 
level for each Enterprise's purchases of mortgages on multifamily 
residential housing affordable to very low-income families shall be at 
least 60,000 dwelling units affordable to very low-income families in 
multifamily residential housing financed by mortgages purchased by the 
Enterprise in each year for 2018, 2019, and 2020.
    (d) Small multifamily low-income housing subgoal. The benchmark 
level for each Enterprise's purchases of mortgages on small multifamily 
properties affordable to low-income families shall be at least 10,000 
dwelling units affordable to low-income families in small multifamily 
properties financed by mortgages purchased by the Enterprise in each 
year for 2018, 2019, and 2020.


Sec.  1282.15   [Amended]

0
5. Amend Sec.  1282.15 as follows:
0
a. In paragraph (e)(2) remove the phrase ``based on the most recent 
decennial census''; and
0
b. Revise paragraph (g).
    The revisions read as follows:


Sec.  1282.15   General counting requirements.

* * * * *
    (g) Application of median income. For purposes of determining an 
area's median income under Sec. Sec.  1282.17 through 1282.19 and the 
definitions in Sec.  1282.1, the area is:
    (1) The metropolitan area, if the property which is the subject of 
the mortgage is in a metropolitan area; and
    (2) In all other areas, the county in which the property is 
located, except that where the State non-metropolitan median income is 
higher than the county's median income, the area is the State non-
metropolitan area.
* * * * *
0
6. Amend Sec.  1282.21 by revising paragraph (b)(3), to read as 
follows:


Sec.  1282.21   Housing plans.

* * * * *
    (b) * * *
    (3) Describe the specific actions that the Enterprise will take in 
a time period determined by the Director to improve the Enterprise's 
performance under the housing goal; and
* * * * *

    Dated: June 28, 2017.
Melvin L. Watt,
Director, Federal Housing Finance Agency.
[FR Doc. 2017-14039 Filed 7-3-17; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 8070-01-P



                                                                                                                                                                                                          31009

                                                  Proposed Rules                                                                                                 Federal Register
                                                                                                                                                                 Vol. 82, No. 127

                                                                                                                                                                 Wednesday, July 5, 2017



                                                  This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER                        • Federal eRulemaking Portal: http://              Street SW., Washington, DC 20219. To
                                                  contains notices to the public of the proposed           www.regulations.gov. Follow the                       make an appointment to inspect
                                                  issuance of rules and regulations. The                   instructions for submitting comments. If              comments, please call the Office of
                                                  purpose of these notices is to give interested           you submit your comment to the                        General Counsel at (202) 649–3804.
                                                  persons an opportunity to participate in the             Federal eRulemaking Portal, please also                 Commenters are encouraged to review
                                                  rule making prior to the adoption of the final                                                                 and comment on all aspects of the
                                                  rules.
                                                                                                           send it by email to FHFA at
                                                                                                           RegComments@fhfa.gov to ensure                        proposed rule, including the single-
                                                                                                           timely receipt by FHFA. Include the                   family benchmark levels, the
                                                  FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE                                  following information in the subject line             multifamily benchmark levels, and
                                                  AGENCY                                                   of your submission: Comments/RIN                      other changes to the regulation.
                                                                                                           2590–AA81.                                            II. Background
                                                  12 CFR Part 1282                                            • Hand Delivered/Courier: The hand
                                                                                                           delivery address is: Alfred M. Pollard,               A. Statutory and Regulatory Background
                                                                                                           General Counsel, Attention: Comments/                 for the Existing Housing Goals
                                                  RIN 2590–AA81
                                                                                                           RIN 2590–AA81, Federal Housing                           The Safety and Soundness Act
                                                  2018–2020 Enterprise Housing Goals                       Finance Agency, Eighth Floor, 400                     requires FHFA to establish annual
                                                                                                           Seventh Street SW., Washington, DC                    housing goals for several categories of
                                                  AGENCY:  Federal Housing Finance                         20219. Deliver the package at the                     both single-family and multifamily
                                                  Agency.                                                  Seventh Street entrance Guard Desk,                   mortgages purchased by Fannie Mae
                                                  ACTION: Proposed rule.                                   First Floor, on business days between 9               and Freddie Mac.1 The annual housing
                                                                                                           a.m. and 5 p.m.                                       goals are one measure of the extent to
                                                  SUMMARY:    The Federal Housing Finance                     • U.S. Mail, United Parcel Service,                which the Enterprises are meeting their
                                                  Agency (FHFA) is issuing a proposed                      Federal Express, or Other Mail Service:               public purposes, which include ‘‘an
                                                  rule with request for comments on the                    The mailing address for comments is:                  affirmative obligation to facilitate the
                                                  housing goals for Fannie Mae and                         Alfred M. Pollard, General Counsel,                   financing of affordable housing for low-
                                                  Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) for 2018                   Attention: Comments/RIN 2590–AA81,                    and moderate-income families in a
                                                  through 2020. The Federal Housing                        Federal Housing Finance Agency,                       manner consistent with their overall
                                                  Enterprises Financial Safety and                         Eighth Floor, 400 Seventh Street SW.,                 public purposes, while maintaining a
                                                  Soundness Act of 1992 (the Safety and                    Washington, DC 20219. Please note that                strong financial condition and a
                                                  Soundness Act) requires FHFA to                          all mail sent to FHFA via U.S. Mail is                reasonable economic return.’’ 2
                                                  establish annual housing goals for                       routed through a national irradiation                    The housing goals provisions of the
                                                  mortgages purchased by the Enterprises.                  facility, a process that may delay                    Safety and Soundness Act were
                                                  The housing goals include separate                       delivery by approximately two weeks.                  substantially revised in 2008 with the
                                                  categories for single-family and                         FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ted                  enactment of the Housing and Economic
                                                  multifamily mortgages on housing that                    Wartell, Manager, Housing &                           Recovery Act, which amended the
                                                  is affordable to low-income and very                     Community Investment, Division of                     Safety and Soundness Act.3 Under this
                                                  low-income families, among other                         Housing Mission and Goals, at (202)                   revised structure, FHFA established
                                                  categories.                                              649–3157. This is not a toll-free number.             housing goals for the Enterprises for
                                                     The existing housing goals for the                    The mailing address is: Federal Housing               2010 and 2011 in a final rule published
                                                  Enterprises include benchmark levels                     Finance Agency, 400 Seventh Street                    on September 14, 2010.4 FHFA
                                                  for each housing goal through the end                    SW., Washington, DC 20219. The                        established housing goals levels for the
                                                  of 2017. This proposed rule would                        telephone number for the                              Enterprises for 2012 through 2014 in a
                                                  establish benchmark levels for each of                   Telecommunications Device for the Deaf                final rule published on November 13,
                                                  the housing goals and subgoals for 2018                  is (800) 877–8339.                                    2012.5 In a final rule published on
                                                  through 2020. In addition, the proposed                                                                        September 3, 2015, FHFA announced
                                                                                                           SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                                                  rule would make a number of clarifying                                                                         the housing goals for the Enterprises for
                                                  and conforming changes, including                        I. Comments                                           2015 through 2017, including a new
                                                  revisions to the requirements for the                       FHFA invites comments on all aspects               small multifamily low-income housing
                                                  housing plan that an Enterprise may be                   of the proposed rule and will take all                subgoal.6
                                                  required to submit in response to a                      comments into consideration before                       Single-family goals. The single-family
                                                  failure to achieve one or more of the                    issuing the final rule. Copies of all                 goals defined under the Safety and
                                                  housing goals.                                           comments will be posted without                       Soundness Act include separate
                                                  DATES: FHFA will accept written                          change, including any personal                        categories for home purchase mortgages
                                                  comments on the proposed rule on or                      information you provide such as your                  for low-income families, very low-
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                                                  before September 5, 2017.                                name, address, email address, and                     income families, and families that reside
                                                  ADDRESSES: You may submit your                           telephone number, on the FHFA Web
                                                                                                                                                                   1 See 12 U.S.C. 4561(a).
                                                  comments on the proposed rule,                           site at http://www.fhfa.gov. In addition,               2 See 12 U.S.C. 4501(7).
                                                  identified by regulatory information                     copies of all comments received will be                 3 Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008,
                                                  number (RIN) 2590–AA81, by any one                       available for examination by the public               Pub. L. 110–289, 122 Stat. 2654 (July 30, 2008).
                                                  of the following methods:                                on business days between the hours of                   4 See 75 FR 55892.

                                                     • Agency Web site: www.fhfa.gov/                      10 a.m. and 3 p.m., at the Federal                      5 See 77 FR 67535.

                                                  open-for-comment-or-input.                               Housing Finance Agency, 400 Seventh                     6 See 80 FR 53392.




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                                                  31010                   Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  in low-income areas. Performance on                         While both the benchmark and the                   changes to the housing goals regulation
                                                  the single-family home purchase goals is                 retrospective market measure are                      at a later date.
                                                  measured as the percentage of the total                  designed to measure the current year’s                   Multifamily goals. The multifamily
                                                  home purchase mortgages purchased by                     mortgage originations, the performance                goals defined under the Safety and
                                                  an Enterprise each year that qualify for                 of the Enterprises on the housing goals               Soundness Act include separate
                                                  each goal or subgoal. There is also a                    includes all Enterprise purchases in that             categories for mortgages on multifamily
                                                  separate goal for refinancing mortgages                  year, regardless of the year in which the             properties (properties with five or more
                                                  for low-income families, and                             loan was originated. This provides                    units) with rental units affordable to
                                                  performance on the refinancing goal is                   housing goals credit when the                         low-income families and on multifamily
                                                  determined in a similar way.                             Enterprises acquire qualified seasoned                properties with rental units affordable to
                                                     Under the Safety and Soundness Act,                   loans. (Seasoned loans are loans that                 very low-income families, as well as a
                                                  the single-family housing goals are                      were originated in prior years and                    small multifamily low-income subgoal
                                                  limited to mortgages on owner-occupied                   acquired by the Enterprise in the current             for properties with 5–50 units. The
                                                  housing with one to four units total. The                year.) The Enterprises’ acquisition of                multifamily goals established by FHFA
                                                  single-family goals cover conventional,                  seasoned loans provides an important                  in 2010, 2012, and 2015 evaluated the
                                                  conforming mortgages, defined as                         source of liquidity for this market                   performance of the Enterprises based on
                                                  mortgages that are not insured or                        segment.                                              numeric targets, not percentages, for the
                                                  guaranteed by the Federal Housing                           Recent changes to the HMDA                         number of affordable units in properties
                                                  Administration (FHA) or another                          regulations will result in the HMDA                   backed by mortgages purchased by an
                                                  government agency and with principal                     data covering a greater portion of the                Enterprise. FHFA has not established a
                                                  balances that do not exceed the loan                     single-family mortgage market.7 The                   retrospective market level measure for
                                                  limits for Enterprise mortgages.                         changes will also provide more detailed               the multifamily goals and subgoals, due
                                                     Two-part approach. The performance                    information about the loans included in               in part to a lack of comprehensive data
                                                  of the Enterprises on the housing goals                  the HMDA data. The changes to the                     about the multifamily market such as
                                                  is evaluated using a two-part approach,                  HMDA regulations generally take effect
                                                                                                                                                                 that provided by HMDA for single-
                                                  which compares the goal-qualifying                       at the start of 2018, so the new, more
                                                                                                                                                                 family mortgages. As a result, FHFA
                                                  share of the Enterprise’s mortgage                       detailed information will not be
                                                  purchases to two separate measures: A                                                                          currently measures Enterprise
                                                                                                           available until after the 2018
                                                  benchmark level and a market level.                                                                            multifamily goals performance against
                                                                                                           performance year.
                                                  FHFA considered alternatives to this                        For example, the Enterprise housing                the benchmark levels only. The
                                                  method in the 2015–2017 housing goals                    goals currently count all loans                       expanded HMDA fields that will be
                                                  rulemaking and determined that the                       purchased by an Enterprise with                       available for the 2018 performance year
                                                  two-part approach continued to be the                    original principal balances that are                  are expected to include information on
                                                  most appropriate method for evaluating                   within the conforming loan limits. The                the number of units for each
                                                  performance on the single-family goals.                  conforming loan limits are different for              multifamily loan and should be helpful
                                                  FHFA is proposing to continue that                       single-family properties depending on                 in evaluating performance for this
                                                  approach in this rule.                                   the number of units in the property.                  market segment.
                                                     In order to meet a single-family                      However, the definition of the                        B. Adjusting the Housing Goals
                                                  housing goal or subgoal, the percentage                  retrospective market excludes all loans
                                                  of mortgage purchases by an Enterprise                   with original principal balances above                   Under the housing goals regulation
                                                  that meet each goal or subgoal must                      the conforming loan limits for single                 first established by FHFA in 2010, as
                                                  exceed either the benchmark level or the                 unit properties because the current                   well as under this proposed rule, FHFA
                                                  market level for that year. The                          HMDA data do not identify the number                  may reduce the benchmark levels for
                                                  benchmark level is set prospectively by                  of units for each loan. Starting with the             any of the single-family or multifamily
                                                  rulemaking based on various factors,                     new HMDA data reported, it will be                    housing goals in a particular year
                                                  including FHFA’s forecast of the goal-                   possible to identify the number of units              without going through notice and
                                                  qualifying share of the overall market.                  for each loan. This may allow FHFA to                 comment rulemaking based on a
                                                  The market level is determined                           revise the definition of the retrospective            determination by FHFA that (1) market
                                                  retrospectively each year, based on the                  market to exclude only those loans                    and economic conditions or the
                                                  actual goal-qualifying share of the                      above the conforming loan limits                      financial condition of the Enterprise
                                                  overall market as measured by FHFA                       applicable to the size of the property,               require a reduction, or (2) ‘‘efforts to
                                                  based on Home Mortgage Disclosure Act                    instead of excluding all loans above the              meet the goal or subgoal would result in
                                                  (HMDA) data for that year. The overall                   conforming loan limit applicable to a                 the constraint of liquidity, over-
                                                  mortgage market that FHFA uses for                       single unit property.                                 investment in certain market segments,
                                                  both the prospective market forecasts                       FHFA has considered the possible                   or other consequences contrary to the
                                                  and the retrospective market                             impact that certain changes to the                    intent of the Safety and Soundness Act
                                                  measurement consists of all single-                      HMDA regulations may have on the                      or the purposes of the Charter Acts.’’ 8
                                                  family owner-occupied conventional                       Enterprise housing goals. However, at                 The proposal also takes into account the
                                                  conforming mortgages that would be                       this time the impact that such changes                possibility that achievement of a
                                                  eligible for purchase by either                          might have on the retrospective measure               particular housing goal may or may not
                                                  Enterprise. It includes loans actually                                                                         have been feasible for the Enterprise. If
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                                                                                                           of the market is uncertain. FHFA is not
                                                  purchased by the Enterprises as well as                  proposing to make any changes to the                  FHFA determines that a housing goal
                                                  comparable loans held in a lender’s                      Enterprise housing goals in anticipation              was not feasible for the Enterprise to
                                                  portfolio. It also includes comparable                   of the upcoming changes to the HMDA                   achieve, then the regulation provides for
                                                  loans that are part of a private label                   data. FHFA will assess the impact of the              no further enforcement of that housing
                                                  security (PLS), although very few such                   changes and, if necessary, may propose                goal for that year.9
                                                  securities have been issued for
                                                  conventional conforming mortgages                          7 See Home Mortgage Disclosure Act final rule, 80     8 12   CFR 1282.14(d).
                                                  since 2008.                                              FR 66128 (Oct. 28, 2015).                               9 12   CFR 1282.21(a).



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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                      31011

                                                     If, after publication of a final rule                  housing goal levels through notice and                  establish annual housing goals for the
                                                  establishing the housing goals for 2018                   comment rulemaking.                                     Enterprises and to assess their
                                                  through 2020, FHFA determines that                                                                                performance under the housing goals
                                                                                                            C. Housing Goals Under
                                                  any of the single-family or multifamily                                                                           each year during conservatorship.
                                                                                                            Conservatorship
                                                  housing goals should be adjusted in
                                                  light of market conditions, to ensure the                    On September 6, 2008, FHFA placed                    III. Summary of Proposed Rule
                                                  safety and soundness of the Enterprises,                  each Enterprise into conservatorship.                   A. Benchmark Levels for the Single-
                                                  or for any other reason, FHFA will take                   Although the Enterprises remain in                      Family Housing Goals
                                                  steps as necessary and appropriate to                     conservatorship at this time, they
                                                  adjust that goal. Such steps could                        continue to have the mission of                           This proposed rule would establish
                                                  include adjusting the benchmark levels                    supporting a stable and liquid national                 the benchmark levels for the single-
                                                  through the processes in the existing                     market for residential mortgage                         family housing goals and subgoal for
                                                  regulation or establishing revised                        financing. FHFA has continued to                        2018–2020 as follows:

                                                                                                                                                                                         Current             Proposed
                                                                                                                                                                                       benchmark            benchmark
                                                                     Goal                                                               Criteria                                        level for             level for
                                                                                                                                                                                       2015–2017            2018–2020

                                                  Low-Income Home Purchase Goal ..              Home purchase mortgages on single-family, owner-occupied properties                  24 percent .....     24 percent.
                                                                                                  with borrowers with incomes no greater than 80 percent of area me-
                                                                                                  dian income.
                                                  Very Low-Income Home Purchase                 Home purchase mortgages on single-family, owner-occupied properties                  6 percent .......    6 percent.
                                                    Goal.                                         with borrowers with incomes no greater than 50 percent of area me-
                                                                                                  dian income.
                                                  Low-Income Areas Home Purchase                Home purchase mortgages on single-family, owner-occupied properties
                                                    Subgoal.                                      with:
                                                                                                • Borrowers in census tracts with tract median income of no greater                  14 percent .....     15 percent.
                                                                                                  than 80 percent of area median income; or
                                                                                                • Borrowers with income no greater than 100 percent of area median
                                                                                                  income in census tracts where (i) tract income is less than 100 per-
                                                                                                  cent of area median income, and (ii) minorities comprise at least 30
                                                                                                  percent of the tract population.
                                                  Low-Income Refinancing Goal .........         Refinancing mortgages on single-family, owner-occupied properties with               21 percent .....     21 percent.
                                                                                                  borrowers with incomes no greater than 80 percent of area median in-
                                                                                                  come.



                                                  B. Multifamily Housing Goal Levels
                                                    The proposed rule would establish
                                                  the levels for the multifamily goal and
                                                  subgoals for 2018–2020 as follows:



                                                                                                                                                                                    Current                 Proposed
                                                                   Goal                                                         Criteria                                          goal level                goal level
                                                                                                                                                                                   for 2017              for 2018–2020

                                                  Low-Income Goal .........................   Units affordable to families with incomes no greater than 80 percent           300,000 units ......    315,000 units.
                                                                                                of area median income in multifamily rental properties with mort-
                                                                                                gages purchased by an Enterprise.
                                                  Very Low-Income Subgoal ...........         Units affordable to families with incomes no greater than 50 percent           60,000 units ........   60,000 units.
                                                                                                of area median income in multifamily rental properties with mort-
                                                                                                gages purchased by an Enterprise.
                                                  Low-Income        Small     Multifamily     Units affordable to families with incomes no greater than 80 percent           10,000 units ........   10,000 units.
                                                    Subgoal.                                    of area median income in small multifamily rental properties (5 to
                                                                                                50 units) with mortgages purchased by an Enterprise.



                                                  C. Other Proposed Changes                                 IV. Single-Family Housing Goals                         number of other variables that impact
                                                                                                                                                                    affordable homeownership. Many of
                                                    The proposed rule would make                              This proposed rule sets out FHFA’s                    these variables indicate that low-income
                                                  changes and clarifications to the                         views about benchmark levels for the
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                                                                                                                                                                    and very low-income households are
                                                  existing rules, including minor                           single-family housing goals from 2018–
                                                                                                                                                                    facing, and will continue to face,
                                                  technical changes to some regulatory                      2020. In making this proposal, FHFA
                                                  definitions. The proposed rule also                       has considered the required statutory                   difficulties in achieving homeownership
                                                  would revise the requirements                             factors described below. FHFA’s                         or in refinancing an existing mortgage.
                                                  applicable to the housing plan an                         analysis and goal setting process                       These factors, such as rising property
                                                  Enterprise may be required to submit                      includes developing market forecast                     values and stagnant household incomes,
                                                  based on a failure to achieve one or                      models for each of the single-family                    also impact the Enterprises’ ability to
                                                  more of the housing goals.                                housing goals, as well as considering a                 meet their mission and facilitate


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                                                  31012                   Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  affordable homeownership for low-                        point forecast. FHFA then considered                  years in the goal period. The models
                                                  income and very low-income                               the remaining statutory factors, as well              rely on 12 years of HMDA data, from
                                                  households. Nevertheless, FHFA                           as other relevant policy factors, in                  2004 to 2015, the latest year for which
                                                  expects and encourages the Enterprises                   selecting the specific point forecast                 HMDA data are available. Additional
                                                  to work toward meeting their housing                     within the confidence interval as the                 discussion of the market forecast models
                                                  goal requirements in a safe and sound                    proposed benchmark level. FHFA’s                      can be found in a research paper,
                                                  manner. This may include steps the                       market forecast models incorporate four               available at http://www.fhfa.gov/
                                                  Enterprises take to fulfill FHFA’s access                of the seven statutory factors: national              PolicyProgramsResearch/Research/.12
                                                  to credit expectations expressed in the                  housing needs; economic, housing, and                    In the final rule establishing the
                                                  most recent Conservatorship Scorecard,                   demographic conditions; other reliable                housing goals for 2015–2017, FHFA
                                                  which requires the Enterprises to                        mortgage data; and the size of the                    stated that it would engage directly with
                                                  undertake a number of research and                       purchase money conventional mortgage                  commenters to obtain detailed feedback
                                                  related efforts including the                            market or refinance conventional                      on FHFA’s econometric models for the
                                                  development of pilots and initiatives.10                 mortgage market for each single-family                housing goals. Throughout 2016, FHFA
                                                                                                           housing goal. The market forecast                     met with industry modeling experts
                                                  A. Setting the Single-Family Housing                     models generate a point estimate, as                  about potential improvements to the
                                                  Goal Levels                                              well as a confidence interval. FHFA                   econometric models. Considering input
                                                     FHFA process for setting the single-                  then considered the remaining three                   received, FHFA has revised the market
                                                  family benchmark levels. Section                         statutory factors (historical performance             forecast models to include better
                                                  1332(e)(2) of the Safety and Soundness                   and effort of the Enterprises toward                  specifications and new variables for all
                                                  Act requires FHFA to consider the                        achieving the housing goal; ability of the            goal-qualifying shares, while still
                                                  following seven factors in setting the                   Enterprises to lead the industry in                   following and adhering to generally
                                                  single-family housing goals:                             making mortgage credit available; and                 accepted practices and standards
                                                     1. National housing needs;                            need to maintain the sound financial                  adopted by economists, including those
                                                     2. Economic, housing, and                             condition of the Enterprises), as well as             at other federal agencies. During the
                                                  demographic conditions, including                        other relevant policy factors in selecting            model development process, FHFA
                                                  expected market developments;                            the specific point forecast within the                grouped factors that are expected by
                                                     3. The performance and effort of the                  confidence interval as the proposed                   housing market economists to have an
                                                  Enterprises toward achieving the                         benchmark level for the goal period.                  impact on the market share of affordable
                                                  housing goals in previous years;                           Market forecast models. The purpose                 housing into seven broad categories. For
                                                     4. The ability of the Enterprises to                  of FHFA’s market forecast models is to                each category of variables, many
                                                  lead the industry in making mortgage                     forecast the market share of the goal-                variables were tested but only retained
                                                  credit available;                                        qualifying mortgage originations in the               when they exhibited predictive power.
                                                     5. Such other reliable mortgage data                  market for the 2018–2020 period. The                  The new set of models includes new
                                                  as may be available;                                     models are intended to generate reliable              driver variables that reflect factors that
                                                     6. The size of the purchase money                     forecasts rather than to test various                 impact the affordable housing market—
                                                  conventional mortgage market, or                         economic hypotheses about the housing                 for example, household debt service
                                                  refinance conventional mortgage                          market or to explain the relationship                 ratio, labor force participation rate, and
                                                  market, as applicable, serving each of                   between variables. Following standard                 underwriting standards.
                                                  the types of families described, relative                practice among forecasters and                           As is the case with any forecasting
                                                  to the size of the overall purchase                      economists at other federal agencies,                 model, the accuracy of the forecast will
                                                  money mortgage market or the overall                     FHFA estimated a reduced-form                         vary depending on the accuracy of the
                                                  refinance mortgage market, respectively;                 equation for each of the housing goals                inputs to the model and the length of
                                                  and                                                      and fit an Autoregressive Integrated                  the forecast period. FHFA has attempted
                                                     7. The need to maintain the sound                     Moving Average (or ARIMA) model to                    to minimize the first variable by using
                                                  financial condition of the Enterprises.11                each goal share. The models look at the               third party forecasts published by
                                                     FHFA has considered each of these                     statistical relationship between (a) the              Moody’s and other accredited mortgage
                                                  seven statutory factors in setting the                   historical market share for each single-              market forecasters. The second variable
                                                  proposed benchmark levels for each of                    family housing goal or subgoal, as                    is harder to address. The proposed rule
                                                  the single-family housing goals and                      calculated from monthly HMDA data,                    relies on the most up-to-date data
                                                  subgoal.                                                 and (b) the historical values for various             available as of December 2016, and uses
                                                     Recognizing that some of the factors                  factors that may influence the market                 forecasted input values for 2017 to
                                                  required by statute to be considered can                 shares, e.g. interest rates, inflation,               produce the forecasts for 2018–2020.
                                                  be readily captured using reliable data                  house prices, home sales, the                         The confidence intervals for the
                                                  series while others cannot, FHFA                         unemployment rate, and other factors.
                                                                                                                                                                 benchmark levels become wider as the
                                                  implemented the following approach:                      The models then project the future
                                                                                                                                                                 forecast period lengthens. In other
                                                  FHFA’s statistical market models                         value of the affordable market share
                                                                                                                                                                 words, it becomes more likely that the
                                                  considered factors that are captured                     using forecast values of the model
                                                                                                                                                                 actual market levels will be different
                                                  through well-known and established                       inputs. Separate models were developed
                                                                                                                                                                 from the forecasts the farther into the
                                                  data series and these are then used to                   for each of the single-family housing
                                                                                                                                                                 future the forecasts attempt to make
                                                  generate a point forecast for each goal as               goals and subgoals.
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                                                                                                             FHFA has employed similar models                    predictions. Predicting four years out is
                                                  well as a confidence interval for the
                                                                                                           in past housing goals rulemakings to                  not the usual practice in forecasting. A
                                                    10 See 2017 Scorecard for Fannie Mae, Freddie          generate market forecasts. The models                 number of industry forecasters,
                                                  Mac, and Common Securitization Solutions,                were developed using monthly series                   including Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac,
                                                  December 2016, available at https://www.fhfa.gov/        generated from HMDA and other data
                                                  AboutUs/Reports/ReportDocuments/2017-                                                                            12 Details on FHFA’s single-family market models
                                                  Scorecard-for-Fannie-Mae-Freddie-Mac-and-                sources, and the resulting monthly                    will be available in the technical paper ‘‘The Size
                                                  CSS.pdf.                                                 forecasts were then averaged into an                  of the Affordable Mortgage Market: 2018–2020
                                                    11 12 U.S.C. 4562(e)(2).                               annual forecast for each of the three                 Enterprise Single-Family Housing Goals.’’



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                                                                          Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                   31013

                                                  and the Mortgage Bankers Association                        Industry analysts generally expect the             recovery has been uneven across the
                                                  (MBA), do not publish forecasts beyond                   overall housing market to continue its                country. In some areas, economic
                                                  two years because accuracy of forecasts                  recovery, although the growth of house                growth, job gains, and demand are
                                                  decreases substantially beyond a two                     prices may slow down, assuming                        outpacing housing supply, sparking
                                                  year period.                                             continued increases in interest rates.                rapidly rising property values, while
                                                     Market outlook. There are many                        According to Moody’s forecast (as of                  other areas of the country have not
                                                  factors that impact the affordable                       January 2017) based on FHFA’s                         regained pre-crisis home values and are
                                                  housing market as a whole, and changes                   purchase-only House Price Index (HPI),                not projected to do so in the near future.
                                                  to any one of them may significantly                     house prices are expected to increase at                 Trends in factors such as area median
                                                  impact the ability of the Enterprises to                 the annual rates of 3.9, 1.8, and 2.0                 income (AMI) point to an uneven
                                                  meet the goals. In developing our                        percent in 2018, 2019, and 2020,                      recovery. FHFA uses census-tract level
                                                  market models, FHFA used Moody’s                         respectively.                                         AMIs published by the U.S. Department
                                                  forecasts, where available, as the source                   The expected increase in mortgage                  of Housing and Urban Development
                                                  for macroeconomic variables.13 In cases                  interest rates and house prices will                  (HUD) to determine affordability for the
                                                  where Moody’s forecasts were not                         likely impact the ability of low- and                 Enterprise single-family and
                                                  available (for example, the share of                     very low-income households to                         multifamily mortgage acquisitions. AMI
                                                  government-guaranteed home purchases                     purchase homes. Housing affordability,                is a measure of median family income
                                                  and the share of government-guaranteed                   as measured by Moody’s forecast of the                derived from the Census Bureau’s
                                                  refinances), FHFA generated and tested                   National Association of Realtors’                     American Community Survey (ACS).
                                                  its own forecasts.14 Elements that                       Housing Affordability Index, is                       Since the 1990s, AMIs have been used
                                                  impact the models and the                                projected to decline from an index value              widely by HUD, state housing finance
                                                  determination of benchmark levels are                    of 162.2 in 2016 to 152.5 in 2020. Low                agencies, the Federal Deposit Insurance
                                                  discussed below.                                         interest rates coupled with rising house              Corporation (FDIC), the U.S. Department
                                                     Interest rates are arguably one of the                prices usually create incentives for                  of Treasury, and local governments
                                                  most important variables in determining                  homeowners to refinance, and the                      across the nation to determine eligibility
                                                  the trajectory of the mortgage market.                   refinance share of overall mortgage                   for various affordable housing and
                                                  The Federal Reserve launched its                         originations increased from 39.9 percent              public assistance programs. The HUD-
                                                  interest rate normalization process in                   in 2014 to 50 percent in 2016. However,               published AMIs are considered the
                                                  December 2015 with a 0.25-percentage                     assuming that interest rates rise in the              standard benchmark in the affordable
                                                  point increase. At the July 2016 meeting                 near future, the refinance rate is                    housing industry. HUD changed the
                                                  of the Federal Open Market Committee                     expected to fall below 21.4 percent by                methodology for determining AMIs in
                                                  (FOMC), policymakers indicated their                     2019, according to the Moody’s forecast.              2015 because of changes in the Census
                                                  commitment to a low federal funds rate                      Additional factors reflecting                      Bureau’s data collection methodology
                                                  for the time being, signaling a pause in                 affordability challenges in the single-               and changes in the reporting schedules
                                                  the interest rate normalization path.                    family market. While FHFA’s models                    of the ACS data.
                                                  However, there is broad consensus                        can address and forecast many of the                     AMI shifts reflect changes in borrower
                                                  among economists that the Federal                        statutory factors that can make                       income levels at the census tract level.
                                                  Reserve will resume rate hikes if the                    affordability for single-family                       In general, a decrease in an area’s AMI
                                                  economy performs as expected. Based                      homeownership more challenging for                    represents a decline in housing
                                                  on Moody’s January 2017 forecast,                        low-income and very low-income                        affordability in the area because the
                                                  mortgage interest rates—in particular                    households, including increasing                      households will have relatively less
                                                  the 30-year fixed rate, which is closely                 interest rates and rising property values,            income with which to purchase a home
                                                  tied to the federal funds rate and the 10-               some factors are not captured in the                  where property values have either
                                                  year Treasury note yield—are projected                   models. FHFA, therefore, considers                    remained the same or increased during
                                                  to rise gradually from the current                       additional factors when selecting the                 the same time period.15 This can make
                                                  historic low of 3.6 percent in 2016 to 5.5               benchmark point within the model-                     it more challenging for the Enterprises
                                                  percent by 2020.                                         generated confidence interval for each                to meet the housing goals. Conversely,
                                                     The unemployment rate has steadily                    of the single-family housing goals. Some              increases in AMIs would make it easier
                                                  fallen over the last few years and                       of these factors may affect a subset of               for the Enterprises to meet the housing
                                                  according to Moody’s is expected to                      the market rather than the market as a                goals. Overall, while there are annual
                                                  remain at 4.7 percent over the next four                 whole. Some of these additional factors               fluctuations in AMI, the trends over a
                                                  years, given expected growth of the                      include an uneven economic recovery,                  longer period (for instance, over four
                                                  economy at the modest range of 1.5 to                    stagnant wages even where                             years) indicate that the economy is
                                                  2.9 percent per year (January 2017                       unemployment is decreasing,                           recovering, albeit in an uneven manner.
                                                  forecast). Moody’s also forecasts a                      demographic trends, and the                           For instance, from 2014 to 2016, over 80
                                                  modest increase in per capita disposable                 Enterprises’ share of the mortgage                    percent of census tracts experienced an
                                                  nominal income growth—from $43,100                       market. Variability in these factors can              AMI increase. Over the four-year period
                                                  in 2016 to $50,300 in 2020. Moody’s                      also have substantial impacts on the                  from 2012 to 2016, AMI increased in
                                                  estimates that the inflation rate will                   ability of the Enterprises to meet                    about 51 percent of census tracts. This
                                                  remain flat at 2.0 percent throughout the                housing goals. Consequently, as                       unevenness of the economic recovery is
                                                  same period, although this also depends                  discussed further below, FHFA will                    particularly evident geographically. For
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                                                  on Federal Reserve policy.                               carefully monitor these factors and                   instance, the census tracts that
                                                                                                           consider the potential impact of market               experienced more than a 10 percent
                                                    13 The macroeconomic outlook described here is         shifts or larger trends on the ability of
                                                  based on Moody’s and other forecasts as of               the Enterprises to achieve the housing                   15 The supply of single-family homes at the more
                                                  September 2016.                                                                                                affordable end of the market also impacts a low-
                                                    14 This refers to the mortgages insured/guaranteed
                                                                                                           goals.
                                                                                                                                                                 income or very low-income household’s ability to
                                                  by government agencies such as the FHA,
                                                                                                              Throughout 2016, the economy and                   purchase a home. See The State of the Nation’s
                                                  Department of Veterans Affairs (VA), and the Rural       the housing market continued to recover               Housing 2017, Joint Center on Housing Studies,
                                                  Housing Service (RHS).                                   from the financial crisis, but the                    June 2017.



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                                                  31014                   Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  decline in AMIs in 2016 are                              homeownership rate among millennials                  homeownership for low-income and
                                                  concentrated in the southern and                         is lower than other demographic groups,               very low-income households is the
                                                  midwestern regions of the country.                       but household formation will likely                   Enterprises’ overall share of the
                                                     In addition to the uneven recovery                    increase as this group ages. However,                 mortgage market. The Enterprises’ share
                                                  reflected in changing AMI levels, many                   many millennials will face multiple                   of the market is continually subject to
                                                  households have experienced stagnant                     challenges, including difficulty finding              fluctuation. During the mortgage market
                                                  wages or limited wage growth even                        affordable homes to buy and building                  bubble, the Enterprises’ share of the
                                                  though unemployment levels have                          enough wealth for a down payment and                  market dropped to about 46 percent in
                                                  decreased significantly since the peak of                closing costs, particularly in light of               the last quarter of 2005. The other
                                                  the financial crisis. Data released by the               student loan and other debt burdens. In               significant low point occurred in 2008,
                                                  U.S. Census Bureau last year for the                     addition, another continuing                          when the Enterprises’ acquisitions
                                                  most recent year available reflected that                demographic trend is the growth of                    accounted for less than 45 percent of the
                                                  while median household income                            minority households, which is projected               mortgage market. Since then, the
                                                  increased by 5.2 percent in 2015, the                    to be over 70 percent of net household                Enterprises’ share has risen overall but
                                                  first annual increase in median                          growth through 2025.17 In light of the                declined slightly in recent years,
                                                  household income since 2007, median                      fact that the median net worth of                     accounting for about 52 percent of the
                                                  wages remained 1.6 percent lower than                    minority households has been
                                                  the median in 2007, the year before the                                                                        market in 2015. As shown in Graph 1,
                                                                                                           historically low, building the necessary              over the same time period, the total
                                                  most recent recession, and 2.4 percent                   wealth to meet down payment and
                                                  lower than the median household                                                                                government share of the mortgage
                                                                                                           closing costs will likely also be a                   market (including FHA, VA, and RHS)
                                                  income peak that occurred in 1999.16
                                                                                                           challenge for many of these new                       has been expanding. In 2015, the total
                                                  Constrained wages, in addition to rising
                                                                                                           households. FHFA is committed to                      government share accounted for 28
                                                  interest rates and increasing property
                                                                                                           identifying new market conditions and                 percent of overall mortgage originations,
                                                  values, could make it difficult for many
                                                                                                           challenges and working with the                       up from 24 percent in 2014. This is
                                                  low-income and very low-income
                                                  households to achieve homeownership.                     Enterprises to identify solutions to help             likely an impact of the FHA mortgage
                                                     Demographic changes, such as the                      meet these challenges. The effectiveness              insurance premium reduction
                                                  housing patterns of millennials or the                   of these solutions, however, cannot be                announced in January 2015. As seen in
                                                  growth of minority households, also                      accounted for in a model.                             Graph 1, the increase in government
                                                  reflect challenges in the affordable                        Another factor that can affect the                 share came from decreases in the other
                                                  homeownership market. The                                Enterprises’ ability to support affordable            two segments.
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                                                     16 See Income and Poverty in the United States:         17 Daniel McCue, Christopher Herbert, Working

                                                  2015, United States Census Bureau, September 2016        Paper: Updated Household Projections, 2015–2035:
                                                  https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/               Methodology and Results, Harvard Joint Center for
                                                                                                                                                                                                             EP05JY17.010</GPH>




                                                  library/publications/2016/demo/p60-256.pdf.              Housing Studies, December 2016.



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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                                                                   31015

                                                    Both Enterprises’ charter acts require                           insurance or with FHA insurance. For                                         their mission and support affordable
                                                  that all mortgages the Enterprises                                 example, FHA decreased its rates for                                         homeownership through the housing
                                                  acquire have mortgage insurance (or one                            mortgage insurance from 1.35 percent to                                      finance market. Nevertheless, FHFA
                                                  of the other forms of credit                                       0.85 percent in January 2015. If FHA                                         expects the Enterprises to continue
                                                  enhancement specified in the charter                               decreased or increased its mortgage                                          efforts in a safe and sound manner to
                                                  acts) if the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio for                         insurance premiums, it would be                                              support affordable homeownership
                                                  the loan at acquisition is greater than 80                         reasonable to expect further shifts in the                                   under the single-family housing goals
                                                  percent. Private mortgage insurance                                market that would not be uniform across                                      categories.
                                                  rates are dependent on characteristics of                          the credit score and LTV spectrum.
                                                  the mortgage such as loan term, type of                            Reductions in the FHA insurance                                              B. Proposed Single-Family Benchmark
                                                  mortgage (purchase, type of refinance),                            premium are likely to have two impacts                                       Levels
                                                  LTV ratio, and credit score of the                                 on the conforming segment of the                                             1. Low-Income Home Purchase Goal
                                                  borrower. Lenders may also be able to                              market: (1) The substitution effect—
                                                  negotiate and obtain lower private                                 some borrowers will switch from private                                         The low-income home purchase goal
                                                  mortgage insurance directly from the                               mortgage insurance to FHA insurance                                          is based on the percentage of all single-
                                                  mortgage insurer. Therefore, for certain                           due to the lower premium rate; and (2)                                       family, owner-occupied home purchase
                                                  market segments, the choice between                                the expanded homeownership effect—                                           mortgages purchased by an Enterprise
                                                  government mortgage insurance or                                   new borrowers, especially those with                                         that are for low-income families,
                                                  private mortgage insurance depends on                              lower credit scores seeking higher LTV                                       defined as families with incomes less
                                                  the net impact of these factors.                                   loans, will enter the mortgage market                                        than or equal to 80 percent of AMI. The
                                                    In recent years private mortgage                                 because they are now able to meet the                                        proposed rule would set the annual low-
                                                  insurance rates have increased relative                            debt-to-income threshold due to the                                          income home purchase housing goal
                                                  to government mortgage insurance rates,                            lower monthly mortgage payment.                                              benchmark level for 2018–2020 at 24
                                                  but the increase has not been uniform                              Analysis conducted by Federal Reserve                                        percent, the same as the current 2015–
                                                  across the credit score and LTV                                    Board staff indicates that both effects                                      2017 benchmark level. FHFA believes
                                                  spectrum. Changes in the mortgage                                  existed after the last FHA reduction.18                                      that, despite the various challenges to
                                                  insurance market can impact the cost of                            Increases in FHA premiums would                                              affordability highlighted above, the
                                                  mortgage insurance and, consequently,                              likely result in reverse shifts.                                             Enterprises will be able to take steps to
                                                  may influence whether the mortgage is                                 As discussed above, multiple factors                                      maintain or increase their performance
                                                  originated with private mortgage                                   impact the Enterprises’ ability to meet                                      on this goal.

                                                                                                 TABLE 1—ENTERPRISE LOW-INCOME HOME PURCHASE GOAL
                                                                                                                Historical performance                                                                     Projected performance
                                                               Year
                                                                                           2013                   2014                   2015                   2016                   2017                   2018                   2019                   2020

                                                  Actual Market ...................             24.0%                  22.8%                  23.6%        ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Benchmark .......................                23%                    23%                    24%                    24%                    24%       ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Current Market Forecast ..          ....................   ....................   ....................             23.9%                  24.9%                  25.5%                  24.0%                  23.0%
                                                                                      ....................   ....................   ....................        +/¥2.5%                +/¥4.3%                +/¥5.6%                +/¥6.6%                +/¥7.4%
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Low-Income Home
                                                        Purchase Mort-
                                                        gages .....................         193,712                177,846                 188,891                221,249         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............             814,137                757,870                802,432                964,847          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                23.8%                  23.5%                  23.5%                  22.9%         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Freddie Mac Perform-
                                                    ance:
                                                      Low-Income Home
                                                        Purchase Mort-
                                                        gages .....................            93,478              108,948                129,455                153,435          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............             429,158                519,731                579,340                644,991          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                21.8%                  21.0%                  22.3%                  23.8%         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................



                                                     As shown in Table 1, performance at                             sometimes missed the market look-back                                        Enterprises indicates that it has been
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                                                  both Enterprises has fallen short of the                           goal only by one- or two-tenths of a                                         difficult for the Enterprises to
                                                  market in the low-income purchase goal                             percentage point. Performance at both                                        consistently lead this market segment in
                                                  almost every year since 2013 (with the                             Enterprises fell short of both the                                           making credit available.
                                                  exception of Fannie Mae in 2014),                                  benchmark and the market level in                                              From 2013 to 2014, the low-income
                                                  although the Enterprises have                                      2015. The past performance of the                                            home purchase market decreased from
                                                     18 Bhutta, Neil and Ringo, Daniel (2016).                       the Effects on Lending,’’ FEDS Notes. Washington:                            September 29, 2016, http://dx.doi.org/10.17016/
                                                  ‘‘Changing FHA Mortgage Insurance Premiums and                     Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,                            2380-7172.1843.



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                                                  31016                     Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  24.0 percent to 22.8 percent. In 2015,                             these projections is 24.1 percent. This                                      conservator, and if FHFA determines in
                                                  the actual market rebounded to 23.6                                forecast is based on the latest data                                         later years that the benchmark level for
                                                  percent. FHFA’s current model forecasts                            available and will be updated before the                                     the low-income home purchase housing
                                                  that the market for this goal will                                 release of the final housing goals rule.                                     goal is no longer feasible for the
                                                  increase slightly to 23.9 percent in 2016                          The confidence intervals for the 2018–                                       Enterprises to achieve in light of market
                                                  and then to 24.9 percent in 2017.                                  2020 goal period are wide, but they will                                     conditions or for any other reason,
                                                  (Actual market levels for 2016 will not                            narrow before the final rule is                                              FHFA can take appropriate steps to
                                                  be available until HMDA data are                                   published.                                                                   adjust the benchmark level.
                                                  published in September 2017.)                                        FHFA is proposing a benchmark level
                                                  Although the Enterprises have been                                 for the low-income home purchase                                             2. Very Low-Income Home Purchase
                                                  challenged in meeting the percentage                               housing goal that is close to the market                                     Goal
                                                  single-family housing goal levels in                               forecast, to encourage the Enterprises to
                                                  recent years, FHFA notes that each                                 continue to find ways to support lower                                         The very low-income home purchase
                                                  Enterprise has increased the number of                             income borrowers while not                                                   goal is based on the percentage of all
                                                  single-family home purchase loans                                  compromising safe and sound lending                                          single-family, owner-occupied home
                                                  made to low-income households. Fannie                              standards. FHFA notes that the                                               purchase mortgages purchased by an
                                                  Mae’s eligible single-family loan                                  proposed benchmark is close to the                                           Enterprise that are for very low-income
                                                  purchases increased from 193,712 loans                             average of its market forecast for this                                      families, defined as families with
                                                  in 2013 to 221,249 in 2016. Freddie                                goal. FHFA recognizes that there may be                                      incomes less than or equal to 50 percent
                                                  Mac’s eligible single-family loan                                  challenges to meeting this goal,                                             of the area median income. The
                                                  purchases increased from 93,478 in                                 including uneven growth in AMI and                                           proposed rule would set the annual very
                                                  2013 to 153,435 in 2016.                                           the relative affordability of private                                        low-income home purchase housing
                                                     From 2018 to 2020, the proposed                                 mortgage insurance, that may be beyond                                       goal benchmark level for 2018 through
                                                  goals period, the current forecast peaks                           the control of the Enterprises and                                           2020 at 6 percent, also unchanged from
                                                  at 25.5 percent in 2018, before                                    impact their ability to achieve these                                        the current 2015 to 2017 benchmark
                                                  decreasing to 24.0 percent in 2019 and                             goals. FHFA will continue to monitor                                         level.
                                                  23.0 percent in 2020. The average of                               the Enterprises, both as regulator and as

                                                                                                        TABLE 2—VERY LOW-INCOME HOME PURCHASE GOAL
                                                                                                                Historical performance                                                                     Projected performance
                                                               Year
                                                                                           2013                   2014                   2015                   2016                   2017                   2018                   2019                   2020

                                                  Actual Market ...................               6.3%                   5.7%                   5.8%       ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Benchmark .......................                  7%                     7%                     6%                     6%                     6%      ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Current Market Forecast ..          ....................   ....................   ....................               5.9%                   6.4%                   6.7%                   6.3%                   6.2%
                                                                                      ....................   ....................   ....................        +/¥0.8%                +/¥1.4%                +/¥1.8%                +/¥2.1%                +/¥2.4%
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Very Low-Income
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............               48,810                  42,872                 45,022                 49,852        ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............             814,137                757,870                802,432                964,847          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Very Low-Income %
                                                        of Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                  6.0%                   5.7%                   5.6%                   5.2%        ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Freddie Mac Perform-
                                                    ance:
                                                      Very Low-Income
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............               23,705                  25,232                 31,146                 36,838        ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............             429,158                519,731                579,340                644,991          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Very Low-Income %
                                                        of Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                  5.5%                   4.9%                   5.4%                   5.7%        ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................



                                                    Since 2013, the market for very low-                             Enterprises are projected to fall below                                      in 2019 and 2020, respectively. As
                                                  income home purchase loans has also                                the 6 percent benchmark level in 2016.                                       noted earlier, the confidence intervals
                                                  been declining, as reflected in HMDA                                 FHFA market analysis reflects a                                            widen as the forecast period lengthens,
                                                  data, although there was a slight uptick                           relatively flat trend for this segment, at                                   and will reduce somewhat as FHFA
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                                                  in 2015. FHFA has gradually lowered                                5.7 percent in 2014 and 5.8 percent in                                       incorporates more information before
                                                  the benchmark for this goal from 8                                 2015. FHFA’s current model forecasted                                        publishing the final rule.
                                                  percent in 2010 to 6 percent in 2015.                              the market to increase slightly to 5.9                                         Similar to the low-income home
                                                  Despite this reduction, the performance                            percent in 2016 and then to 6.4 percent                                      purchase goal, FHFA is proposing a
                                                  of both Enterprises has fallen below the                           in 2017. For the 2018–2020 goal period,                                      benchmark level that is near the market
                                                  benchmark and the market levels in                                 FHFA’s forecast indicates an increase to                                     forecast to encourage the Enterprises to
                                                  each year since 2013. In addition, both                            6.7 percent in 2018, followed by                                             continue their efforts to promote safe
                                                                                                                     declines to 6.3 percent and 6.2 percent                                      and sustainable lending to very low-


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                                                                                 Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                  31017

                                                  income families. As noted in the low-                                purchase housing goal is no longer                     with incomes less than or equal to AMI
                                                  income purchase goal discussion, FHFA                                feasible for the Enterprises to achieve in             who reside in minority census tracts
                                                  believes that there are significant                                  light of market conditions or for any                  (defined as census tracts with a minority
                                                  challenges to housing affordability that                             other reason, FHFA may take                            population of at least 30 percent and a
                                                  may be beyond the control of the                                     appropriate steps to adjust the                        tract median income of less than 100
                                                  Enterprises that could make the                                      benchmark level.                                       percent of AMI). Borrowers could
                                                  proposed benchmark a challenge for the                                                                                      qualify under either or both conditions.
                                                                                                                       3. Low-Income Areas Home Purchase
                                                  Enterprises. As each Enterprise has been                                                                                    As noted in Table 3, mortgages
                                                                                                                       Subgoal
                                                  struggling to meet the current                                                                                              satisfying condition (1) above
                                                  benchmark and market levels, the                                        Background. The low-income areas                    (borrowers in low-income areas) are
                                                  proposed benchmark will continue to                                  home purchase subgoal is based on the                  almost typically double the share of
                                                  encourage the Enterprise to safely and                               percentage of all single-family, owner-                mortgages satisfying condition (2)
                                                  soundly innovate in this area. FHFA, as                              occupied home purchase mortgages                       (moderate-income borrowers in
                                                  regulator and as conservator, will                                   purchased by an Enterprise that are                    minority census tracts). For example, in
                                                  continue to monitor the Enterprises’                                 either: (1) For families in low-income                 2015, 12.2 percent of mortgages met
                                                  performance, and if FHFA determines in                               areas, defined to include census tracts                only condition (1), 7.6 percent met only
                                                  later years that the benchmark level for                             with median income less than or equal                  condition (2), and 4.6 percent of
                                                  the very low-income areas home                                       to 80 percent of AMI; or (2) for families              mortgages met both conditions.

                                                                   TABLE 3—COMPOSITION OF LOW-INCOME AREAS HOME PURCHASE SUBGOAL BASED ON HMDA DATA
                                                                                                                                                           Low-income       High minority      High minority
                                                                                                                                                          census tracts       areas that         areas that    All high
                                                                                                                   Low-income          All low-            that are not        are also           are not      minority
                                                                            Year                                    area goal       income areas          high minority      low-income         low-income      areas
                                                                                                                       (%)               (%)                  areas         census tracts      census tracts     (%)
                                                                                                                                                               (%)               (%)                (%)

                                                                                                                       (A)                 (B)                 (C)              (D)               (E)            (F)
                                                                                                                   Grand Total              LI             LI, not HM         HM and LI         HM, not LI       HM

                                                  Distribution of HMDA Borrowers by Cen-
                                                    sus Tract Location:
                                                       2004 ..................................................               16.8                  13.3               8.1               5.3              3.5              8.7
                                                       2005 ..................................................               15.3                  12.5               8.3               4.2              2.8              7.0
                                                       2006 ..................................................               15.8                  13.1               8.9               4.3              2.7              6.9
                                                       2007 ..................................................               16.2                  13.3               8.5               4.8              3.0              7.7
                                                       2008 ..................................................               14.3                  11.6               7.4               4.2              2.7              6.9
                                                       2009 ..................................................               13.1                  10.0               5.9               4.1              3.0              7.2
                                                       2010 ..................................................               12.1                   9.2               5.6               3.6              2.9              6.5
                                                       2011 ..................................................               11.4                   8.8               5.5               3.3              2.6              5.9
                                                       2012 ..................................................               13.5                  10.3               6.0               4.3              3.2              7.5
                                                       2013 ..................................................               14.1                  10.9               6.6               4.3              3.1              7.4
                                                       2014 ..................................................               15.0                  12.0               7.5               4.6              3.0              7.5
                                                       2015 ..................................................               15.1                  12.2               7.6               4.6              2.9              7.5
                                                  Enterprises’ Performance:
                                                       2010 ..................................................               11.6                   8.7               5.2               3.5              2.9              6.4
                                                       2011 ..................................................               10.7                   8.1               5.1               3.1              2.6              5.7
                                                       2012 ..................................................               12.6                   9.3               5.4               3.9              3.3              7.2
                                                       2013 ..................................................               13.4                  10.2               6.2               4.0              3.2              7.2
                                                       2014 ..................................................               14.7                  11.6               7.0               4.5              3.2              7.7
                                                       2015 ..................................................               15.1                  12.1               7.4               4.6              3.0              7.7
                                                    Source: FHFA’s tabulation of Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) and Enterprises’ data. Conventional conforming single-family owner-oc-
                                                  cupied 1st lien non-HOEPA originations.


                                                     The forecast for this subgoal is                                    FHFA sought to understand how the                    borrowers with incomes at or above 100
                                                  obtained by generating separate                                      markets in low-income areas and high                   percent of AMI, although loans to
                                                  forecasts for the two sub-populations                                minority census tracts have evolved in                 borrowers with incomes over 100
                                                  (the low-income areas component and                                  recent years and who was being served                  percent of AMI do not qualify for the
                                                  the high-minority income component).                                 by the Enterprises’ efforts in these areas.            minority areas component of the goal.
                                                  For this proposed rulemaking, FHFA                                   FHFA’s analysis found that the                         For instance, the share of loans made to
                                                  has tested alternate model specifications                            mortgage market in both low-income                     borrowers with incomes less than 50
                                                  for this subgoal and determined that                                 areas and in high-minority census tracts               percent of AMI and residing in low-
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                                                  aligning the overlapping portion with                                has been moving towards borrowers                      income areas decreased from 17.8
                                                  the low-income area component yields                                 with higher incomes in recent years. As                percent in 2010 to 14.1 percent in 2015,
                                                  forecast estimates that are more precise                             noted in Table 4, HMDA data show that                  after peaking at 19 percent in 2012. Over
                                                  (in terms of a narrower confidence                                   both the low-income areas and the high-                the same period, the share of loans
                                                  interval).19                                                         minority areas have increasing shares of               made to borrowers with incomes greater
                                                     19 Details are available in the market model paper,
                                                                                                                                                                              than 100 percent of AMI and residing in
                                                                                                                       available at http://www.fhfa.gov/
                                                  ‘‘The Size of the Affordable Mortgage Market: 2018–                  PolicyProgramsResearch/Research/                       these low-income census tracts
                                                  2020 Enterprise Single-Family Housing Goals,’’                       PaperDocuments/Market-Estimates_2018-2020.pdf.         increased from 38.8 percent in 2010 to


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                                                  31018                          Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  42.1 percent in 2015, after dipping to                                in the low-income areas. A similar trend               of AMI represented 42.5 percent of
                                                  36.5 percent in 2012. Thus, borrowers                                 exists among borrowers residing in high                borrowers in these census tracts in 2010,
                                                  with higher incomes have made up an                                   minority census tracts. While borrowers                the share increased to 49.2 percent in
                                                  increasing share of the mortgage market                               with incomes greater than 100 percent                  2015.

                                                                                 TABLE 4—BORROWER INCOME RELATIVE TO AMI FOR LOW-INCOME AREAS SUBGOAL
                                                                                                                                              [HMDA]

                                                                                                                       2010                2011                  2012            2013           2014           2015
                                                                                                                        (%)                 (%)                   (%)             (%)            (%)            (%)

                                                  Borrowers Residing in Low-Income Cen-
                                                    sus Tracts:
                                                      Borrower Income ≤50% AMI ............                                   17.8                  17.7                19.0            15.4           14.1           14.1
                                                      Borrower Income >50% and ≤60%
                                                        AMI ................................................                   9.6                   9.0                10.5             9.8            9.3            9.3
                                                      Borrower Income >60% and ≤80%
                                                        AMI ................................................                  18.4                  17.6                18.8            18.6           18.6           18.6
                                                      Borrower Income >80% and ≤100%
                                                        AMI ................................................                  14.3                  13.9                13.9            14.7           14.9           14.9
                                                      Borrower Income >100% and ≤120%
                                                        AMI ................................................                  10.1               10.0                 10.0              10.8        11.3            11.3
                                                      Borrower Income >120% AMI ..........                                    28.7               30.5                 26.5              29.3        30.9            30.8
                                                      Income Missing .................................                         1.0                1.4                  1.3               1.3         0.9             1.0
                                                          Total ...........................................                  100.0              100.0                100.0             100.0       100.0           100.0
                                                  Borrowers Residing in High-Minority
                                                    Census Tracts:
                                                      Borrower Income ≤50% AMI ............                                   14.9                  15.0                14.6            11.3           10.1           10.3
                                                      Borrower Income >50% and ≤60%
                                                        AMI ................................................                   9.0                   8.7                 9.1             8.1            7.6            7.6
                                                      Borrower Income >60% and ≤80%
                                                        AMI ................................................                  18.0                  17.7                17.7            16.9           16.8           17.0
                                                      Borrower Income >80% and ≤100%
                                                        AMI ................................................                  14.6                  14.3                14.1            14.7           14.8           14.9
                                                      Borrower Income >100% and ≤120%
                                                        AMI ................................................                  10.9                  10.6                11.0            11.7           12.0           12.2
                                                      Borrower Income >120% AMI ..........                                    31.6                  32.4                32.3            36.0           37.8           37.0
                                                      Income Missing .................................                         1.0                   1.3                 1.3             1.4            0.9            1.0

                                                              Total ...........................................              100.0              100.0                100.0             100.0       100.0           100.0
                                                    Definitions:
                                                    Low-income census tracts = Census tracts with median income ≤80% Area Median Income (AMI).
                                                    High-minority census tracts = Census tracts where (i) tract median income ≤100% Area Median Income (AMI); and (ii) minorities comprise at
                                                  least 30 percent of the tract population.
                                                    Source: FHFA’s tabulation of HMDA data.


                                                    The presence of higher income                                       to focus on purchasing loans for higher                low-income areas and high-minority
                                                  borrowers in lower income and higher                                  income households in low-income and                    areas. In 2015, 42.5 percent of
                                                  minority areas may be a sign of                                       high-minority areas, and FHFA is also                  Enterprise acquisitions were of loans
                                                  economic diversity in those areas and                                 aware of concerns about the impact of                  made to borrowers with incomes greater
                                                  may be related to the possibility of                                  rising housing costs on existing                       than or equal to 100 percent of the AMI,
                                                  improved economic indicators for the                                  households in lower-income or higher-                  up from 40.7 percent in 2010. Also in
                                                  community, but there is nevertheless                                  minority areas. FHFA welcomes input                    2015, 48.3 percent of Enterprise
                                                  some concern that such a trend could                                  on all aspects of the low-income areas                 acquisitions in high-minority census
                                                  displace lower income households in                                   goal and subgoal, and in particular how                tracts were acquisitions of loans made to
                                                  these areas. Change in the mix of renters                             best to satisfy the policy objectives of               borrowers with incomes greater than or
                                                  to owner-occupied households often                                    the various components of the goal and                 equal to 100 percent of AMI, up from
                                                  precedes and accompanies these trends.                                subgoal.                                               45.4 percent in 2010.
                                                  FHFA is aware that this particular                                       Table 5 shows similar trends in
                                                  subgoal may encourage the Enterprises                                 Enterprise acquisitions of mortgages in

                                                                                 TABLE 5—BORROWER INCOME RELATIVE TO AMI FOR LOW-INCOME AREAS SUBGOAL
                                                                                                                                     [Enterprise Loans Only]
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                                                                                                                       2010                2011                  2012            2013           2014           2015
                                                                                                                        (%)                 (%)                   (%)             (%)            (%)            (%)

                                                  Borrowers Residing in Low-Income Cen-
                                                    sus Tracts:
                                                      Borrower Income ≤50% AMI ............                                   16.7                  16.3                18.2            14.5           13.4           13.4
                                                      Borrower Income >50% and ≤60%
                                                        AMI ................................................                   9.2                   8.8                10.0             9.6            9.4            9.4



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                                                                                 Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                                                                     31019

                                                                      TABLE 5—BORROWER INCOME RELATIVE TO AMI FOR LOW-INCOME AREAS SUBGOAL—Continued
                                                                                                                                             [Enterprise Loans Only]

                                                                                                                          2010                       2011                        2012                       2013                       2014                      2015
                                                                                                                           (%)                        (%)                         (%)                        (%)                        (%)                       (%)

                                                        Borrower Income >60% and ≤80%
                                                          AMI ................................................                     18.4                          17.5                     18.6                       18.6                       19.0                       19.1
                                                        Borrower Income >80% and ≤100%
                                                          AMI ................................................                     14.8                          14.4                     14.6                       15.3                       15.5                      15.6
                                                        Borrower Income >100% and ≤120%
                                                          AMI ................................................                     10.8                          10.9                     10.8                       11.5                       11.7                       11.8
                                                        Borrower Income >120% AMI ..........                                       29.9                          32.0                     27.7                       30.5                       31.0                       30.7
                                                        Income Missing .................................                            0.2                           0.0                      0.0                        0.0                        0.0                        0.0

                                                          Total ...........................................                      100.0                      100.0                        100.0                     100.0                      100.0                      100.0
                                                  Borrowers Residing in High-Minority
                                                    Census Tracts:
                                                      Borrower Income ≤50% AMI ............                                        13.3                          12.9                     15.2                       11.5                       10.3                      10.3
                                                      Borrower Income >50% and ≤60%
                                                        AMI ................................................                         8.4                          8.0                       9.0                        8.3                        8.0                        7.9
                                                      Borrower Income >60% and ≤80%
                                                        AMI ................................................                       17.7                          16.9                     18.0                       17.7                       17.7                       17.7
                                                      Borrower Income >80% and ≤100%
                                                        AMI ................................................                       15.1                          14.7                     14.9                       15.5                       15.7                      15.9
                                                      Borrower Income >100% and ≤120%
                                                        AMI ................................................                       11.6                          11.4                     11.5                       12.4                       12.6                       12.8
                                                      Borrower Income >120% AMI ..........                                         33.8                          36.2                     31.3                       34.6                       35.7                       35.5
                                                      Income Missing .................................                              0.2                           0.1                      0.0                        0.0                        0.0                        0.0

                                                              Total ...........................................                  100.0                      100.0                        100.0                     100.0                      100.0                      100.0
                                                    Definitions:
                                                    Low-income census tracts = Census tracts with median income ≤80% Area Median Income (AMI).
                                                    High-minority census tracts = Census tracts where (i) tract median income ≤100% Area Median Income (AMI); and (ii) minorities comprise at
                                                  least 30 percent of the tract population.
                                                    Source: FHFA’s tabulation of Enterprises’ data.


                                                    Proposed rule. The proposed rule                                       benchmark level for 2018 through 2020                                         set for the current goal period (2015–
                                                  would raise the annual low-income                                        to 15 percent from the 14 percent level                                       2017).
                                                  areas home purchase subgoal

                                                                                                         TABLE 6—LOW-INCOME AREAS HOME PURCHASE SUBGOAL
                                                                                                                      Historical performance                                                                      Projected performance
                                                                 Year
                                                                                                 2013                   2014                   2015                     2016                  2017                   2018                   2019                   2020

                                                  Actual Market ...................                   14.2%                  15.2%                  15.2%         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Benchmark .......................                      11%                    11%                    14%                     14%                    14%       ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Current Market Forecast ..                ....................   ....................   ....................              14.7%                  15.6%                  15.8%                  16.1%                  15.7%
                                                                                            ....................   ....................   ....................         +/¥1.2%                +/¥2.0%                +/¥2.6%                +/¥3.1%                +/¥3.5%
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Low-Income Area
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                     86,430                 91,691                  99,723                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      High-Minority Area
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                      27,425                 25,650                 25,349                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Subgoal-Qualifying
                                                        Total Home Pur-
                                                        chase Mortgages ...                       113,855                117,341                 125,072                 156,441         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                   814,137                757,870                802,432                 964,847          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income Area %
                                                        of Home Purchase
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                                                        Mortgages .............                      14.0%                  15.5%                  15.6%                   16.2%         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Freddie Mac Perform-
                                                    ance:
                                                      Low-Income Area
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                     40,444                 55,987                  67,172                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      High-Minority Area
                                                        Home Purchase
                                                        Mortgages .............                      12,177                 14,808                 16,601                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................



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                                                  31020                        Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                                                          TABLE 6—LOW-INCOME AREAS HOME PURCHASE SUBGOAL—Continued
                                                                                                                 Historical performance                                                    Projected performance
                                                                Year
                                                                                              2013                2014               2015            2016              2017                   2018                   2019                   2020

                                                        Subgoal-Qualifying
                                                          Total Home Pur-
                                                          chase Mortgages ...                    52,621             70,795            83,773         100,608      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                        Total Home Purchase
                                                          Mortgages .............              429,158             519,731           579,340         644,991      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                        Low-Income Area %
                                                          of Home Purchase
                                                          Mortgages .............                 12.3%             13.6%              14.5%           15.6%      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................



                                                     Both Enterprises have met this                                 subgoal is no longer feasible for the                         tract median income of less than 100
                                                  subgoal every year since 2013, regularly                          Enterprises to achieve in light of market                     percent of AMI); or (3) for families with
                                                  exceeding both the market and the                                 conditions or for other reasons, FHFA                         incomes less than or equal to 100
                                                  benchmark levels. Fannie Mae’s                                    may take appropriate steps to adjust the                      percent of AMI who reside in
                                                  performance exceeded both the market                              benchmark level.                                              designated disaster areas.
                                                  and the benchmark in 2014 and 2015,                                                                                                The low-income areas goal benchmark
                                                                                                                    4. Low-Income Areas Home Purchase
                                                  although its performance was lower
                                                                                                                    Goal                                                          level is established by a two-step
                                                  than that of the market in 2013. From
                                                                                                                       The low-income areas home purchase                         process. The first step is setting the
                                                  2013 through 2015, Freddie Mac’s
                                                                                                                    goal covers the same categories as the                        benchmark level for the low-income
                                                  performance exceeded the benchmark
                                                  but was below the market level. FHFA’s                            low-income areas home purchase                                areas subgoal, as established by this
                                                  forecast indicates that the market will                           subgoal, but it also includes moderate                        proposed rule. The second step is
                                                  increase slightly in the coming years,                            income families in designated disaster                        establishing an additional increment for
                                                  reaching a maximum level of 16.1 in                               areas. As a result, the low-income areas                      mortgages to families located in
                                                  2019.                                                             home purchase goal is based on the                            federally-declared disaster areas with
                                                     FHFA is proposing only a modest                                percentage of all single-family, owner-                       incomes less than or equal to AMI.20
                                                  increase in the benchmark level that                              occupied home purchase mortgages                              Each year, FHFA sets the disaster area
                                                  reflects the recent performance levels of                         purchased by an Enterprise that are: (1)                      increment separately from this rule and
                                                  the Enterprises while FHFA continues                              For families in low-income areas,                             notifies the Enterprises by letter of the
                                                  to evaluate whether the measure meets                             defined to include census tracts with                         benchmark level for that year. The
                                                  policy objectives. FHFA, as regulator                             median income less than or equal to 80                        proposed rule would set the annual low-
                                                  and as conservator, will continue to                              percent of AMI; (2) for families with                         income areas home purchase goal
                                                  monitor the Enterprises’ performance,                             incomes less than or equal to AMI who                         benchmark level for 2018 through 2020
                                                  and if FHFA determines in later years                             reside in minority census tracts (defined                     at the subgoal benchmark level of 15
                                                  that the benchmark level for the low-                             as census tracts with a minority                              percent plus a disaster areas increment
                                                  income areas home purchase housing                                population of at least 30 percent and a                       that FHFA will set separately each year.

                                                                                                        TABLE 7—LOW-INCOME AREAS HOME PURCHASE GOAL
                                                                                                                                                             Historical performance
                                                                           Year
                                                                                                                  2010               2011            2012              2013                   2014                   2015                   2016

                                                  Actual Market ...........................................         24.0%              22.0%           23.2%               22.1%                  22.1%                  19.8%                      n/a
                                                  Benchmark ...............................................          24%                24%             20%                 21%                    18%                     19%                     17%
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Subgoal-Qualifying Home Purchase
                                                         Mortgages .....................................            59,281            54,285           83,202            113,855                117,341                125,072                156,441
                                                      Disaster Areas Home Purchase
                                                         Mortgages .....................................            56,076            50,209           58,085              62,314                 54,548                 38,885                 38,545
                                                      Goal-Qualifying Total Home Pur-
                                                         chase Mortgages ...........................               115,357           104,494         141,287            176,169                171,889                163,957                194,986
                                                      Total Home Purchase Mortgages .....                          479,200           467,066         633,627            814,137                757,870                802,432                964,847
                                                      Goal Performance .............................                24.1%             22.4%           22.3%              21.6%                  22.7%                  20.4%                  20.2%
                                                  Freddie Mac Performance:
                                                      Subgoal-Qualifying Home Purchase
                                                         Mortgages .....................................            32,089            23,902           32,750             52,621                 70,795                 83,773                100,608
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                                                      Disaster Areas Home Purchase
                                                         Mortgages .....................................            38,898            26,232           26,486              33,123                 33,923                 26,411                 27,709
                                                      Goal-Qualifying Total Home Pur-
                                                         chase Mortgages ...........................                70,987            50,134          59,236             85,744                104,718                 110,184               128,317
                                                      Total Home Purchase Mortgages .....                          307,555           260,796         288,007            429,158                519,731                 579,340               644,991



                                                     20 Disaster declarations are listed on the Federal

                                                  Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Web site
                                                  at https://www.fema.gov/disasters.

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                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                                                                   31021

                                                                                          TABLE 7—LOW-INCOME AREAS HOME PURCHASE GOAL—Continued
                                                                                                                                                                         Historical performance
                                                                        Year
                                                                                                                  2010                   2011                   2012                   2013                   2014                   2015                   2016

                                                       Goal Performance .............................                 23.1%                  19.2%                  20.6%                  20.0%                  20.1%                  19.0%                  19.9%



                                                  5. Low-Income Refinancing Goal                                     income refinancing housing goal                                              hikes. Because of the significant impacts
                                                                                                                     benchmark level for 2018 through 2020                                        interest rate changes have on this
                                                    The low-income refinancing goal is                               at 21 percent. While this proposed                                           market, Enterprise and market
                                                  based on the percentage of all single-                             benchmark level is unchanged from the                                        performance on this goal are
                                                  family, owner-occupied refinance                                   current 2015 to 2017 benchmark level,                                        particularly susceptible to fluctuation.
                                                  mortgages purchased by an Enterprise                               FHFA believes that this level will                                           Moderation in the setting of this goal is
                                                  that are for low-income families,                                  nevertheless be challenging for the                                          also supported by the fact that many
                                                  defined as families with incomes less                              Enterprises given the current level of                                       borrowers have already refinanced
                                                  than or equal to 80 percent of AMI. The                            interest rates (which are at historic low                                    during the recent extended period of
                                                  proposed rule would set the annual low-                            levels) and the likelihood of interest rate                                  historically low interest rates.

                                                                                                                 TABLE 8—LOW-INCOME REFINANCING GOAL
                                                                                                                Historical performance                                                                     Projected performance
                                                               Year
                                                                                           2013                   2014                   2015                   2016                   2017                   2018                   2019                   2020

                                                  Actual Market ...................             24.3%                  25.0%                  22.5%        ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Benchmark .......................                20%                    20%                    21%                    21%                    21%       ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Current Market Forecast ..          ....................   ....................   ....................             21.1%                  23.4%                  24.3%                  25.5%                  24.8%
                                                                                      ....................   ....................   ....................        +/¥2.9%                +/¥4.9%                +/¥6.2%                +/¥7.3%                +/¥8.3%
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Low-Income Refi-
                                                        nance Mortgages ..                  519,753                 215,826                227,817                247,663         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Refinance Mort-
                                                        gages .....................       2,170,063                831,218              1,038,663              1,268,648          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of Re-
                                                        finance Mortgages                      24.0%                  26.0%                  21.9%                  19.5%         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income HAMP
                                                        Modification Mort-
                                                        gages .....................            11,858                  6,503                  3,563                      n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total HAMP Modifica-
                                                        tion Mortgages ......                  16,478                  9,288                  6,595                      n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of
                                                        HAMP Modification
                                                        Mortgages .............                72.0%                  70.0%                  54.0%                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income Refi-
                                                        nance & HAMP
                                                        Modification Mort-
                                                        gages .....................          531,611                222,329               231,380                        n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Refinance &
                                                        HAMP Modification
                                                        Mortgages .............           2,186,541                 840,506             1,045,258                        n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of Re-
                                                        finance & HAMP
                                                        Modification Mort-
                                                        gages .....................            24.3%                  26.5%                  22.1%                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                  Freddie Mac Perform-
                                                    ance:
                                                      Low-Income Refi-
                                                        nance Mortgages ..                  306,205                 131,921                179,530                174,664         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total Refinance Mort-
                                                        gages .....................       1,309,435                514,936                795,936                830,824          ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of Re-
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                                                        finance Mortgages                      23.4%                  25.6%                  22.6%                  21.0%         ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income HAMP
                                                        Modification Mort-
                                                        gages .....................            14,757                  6,795                  3,064                      n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Total HAMP Modifica-
                                                        tion Mortgages ......                  21,599                 10,335                  4,433                      n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                      Low-Income % of
                                                        HAMP Modification
                                                        Mortgages .............                68.3%                  65.7%                  69.1%                       n/a      ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................



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                                                  31022                      Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                                                                  TABLE 8—LOW-INCOME REFINANCING GOAL—Continued
                                                                                                          Historical performance                                                       Projected performance
                                                               Year
                                                                                           2013            2014               2015            2016               2017                    2018                  2019                   2020

                                                       Low-Income Refi-
                                                         nance & HAMP
                                                         Modification Mort-
                                                         gages .....................       320,962          138,716           182,594                 n/a   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                       Total Refinance &
                                                         HAMP Modification
                                                         Mortgages .............          1,331,034         525,271           800,369                 n/a   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................
                                                       Low-Income % of Re-
                                                         finance & HAMP
                                                         Modification Mort-
                                                         gages .....................         24.1%           26.4%              22.8%                 n/a   ....................   ....................   ....................   ....................



                                                     Both Enterprises have met this goal                     expiration of the HAMP program may                             available for multifamily housing in
                                                  since 2013. The performance of the                         make it slightly more difficult for the                        previous years;
                                                  Enterprises on this goal has historically                  Enterprises to meet the low-income                                3. The size of the multifamily
                                                  been very close to actual market levels.                   refinancing goal.                                              mortgage market for housing affordable
                                                  In 2014, when the market figure was at                       FHFA, as regulator and conservator,                          to low-income and very low-income
                                                  its highest point, both Enterprises met                    will continue to monitor the Enterprises                       families, including the size of the
                                                  the goal and exceeded the market. In                       and if FHFA determines in later years                          multifamily markets for housing of a
                                                  2015, Freddie Mac exceeded the market                      that the benchmark level for the low-                          smaller or limited size;
                                                  and the benchmark level, and Fannie                        income refinancing housing goal needs                             4. The ability of the Enterprises to
                                                  Mae exceeded the benchmark level.                          to be revised, FHFA may take                                   lead the market in making multifamily
                                                     The low-income share of the refinance                   appropriate steps to adjust the                                mortgage credit available, especially for
                                                  market as measured by HMDA data has                        benchmark level.                                               multifamily housing affordable to low-
                                                  changed dramatically in recent years,                                                                                     income and very low-income families;
                                                  increasing from 20.2 percent in 2010 to                    V. Multifamily Housing Goals                                      5. The availability of public subsidies;
                                                  a peak of 25.0 percent in 2014. FHFA’s                       This proposed rule also sets out                             and
                                                  model for this goal forecasts that this                    FHFA’s views about benchmark levels                               6. The need to maintain the sound
                                                  market will decrease in 2016, with a                       for the multifamily housing goals from                         financial condition of the Enterprises.23
                                                  sharp rise in 2017–2019, followed by                       2018–2020. FHFA has considered the                                Unlike the single-family housing
                                                  slight moderation in 2020. However, the                    required statutory factors described                           goals, performance on the multifamily
                                                  confidence intervals around the                            below. Despite the strength of the                             housing goals is measured solely against
                                                  forecasts are very wide, reflecting the                    multifamily mortgage market, data                              a benchmark level, without any
                                                  uncertainty about interest rates. Recent                   indicates a continued supply gap of                            retrospective market measure. The
                                                  macroeconomic forecasts have predicted                     units affordable to lower-income                               absence of a retrospective market
                                                  interest rate hikes that have not                          households. However, FHFA expects                              measure for the multifamily housing
                                                  materialized.                                              and encourages the Enterprises to fully                        goals results, in part, from the lack of
                                                     Since 2010 the low-income                               support affordable multifamily housing,                        comprehensive data about the
                                                  refinancing housing goal has included                      in part by fulfilling the multifamily                          multifamily mortgage market. Unlike
                                                  modifications under the Home                               housing goals in a safe and sound                              the single-family market, for which
                                                  Affordable Modification Program                            manner.                                                        HMDA provides a reasonably
                                                  (HAMP).21 HAMP modifications,                                                                                             comprehensive dataset about single-
                                                  however, are not included in the data                      A. Factors Considered in Setting the                           family mortgage originations each year,
                                                  used to calculate the market levels.                       Proposed Multifamily Housing Goal                              the multifamily market (including the
                                                  Including HAMP modifications in the                        Levels                                                         affordable multifamily market segment)
                                                  Enterprise performance numbers                                In setting the proposed benchmark                           has no comparable source.
                                                  increases the measured performance of                      levels for the multifamily housing goals,                      Consequently, it can be difficult to
                                                  the Enterprises on the low-income                          FHFA has considered the statutory                              correlate different datasets that usually
                                                  refinancing housing goal because lower                     factors outlined in Section 1333(a)(4) of                      rely on different reporting formats. For
                                                  income borrowers make up a greater                         the Safety and Soundness Act. These                            example, some data are available by
                                                  proportion of the borrowers receiving                      factors include:                                               dollar volume while other data are
                                                  HAMP modifications than the low-                              1. National multifamily mortgage                            available by unit production. 24
                                                  income share of the overall refinancing                    credit needs and the ability of the                               Another difference between the
                                                  mortgage market. However, HAMP                             Enterprises to provide additional                              single-family and multifamily goals is
                                                  modifications have been declining over                                                                                    that there are separate single-family
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                                                                                                             liquidity and stability for the
                                                  time, and the program stopped taking                       multifamily mortgage market;                                   housing goals for home purchase and
                                                  applications at the end of 2016.22 The
                                                                                                                2. The performance and effort of the                           23 12U.S.C. 4563(a)(4).
                                                    21 The goal has included permanent HAMP
                                                                                                             Enterprises in making mortgage credit                             24 CFPB is planning to collect and release
                                                  modifications to low-income borrowers in the                                                                              additional data fields (including the number of
                                                  numerator and all HAMP permanent modifications             count toward the Enterprise housing goals in 2017              units for each multifamily loan that is reported)
                                                  in the denominator.                                        as applications that were initiated before the end of          beginning in 2018 that likely will be useful in
                                                    22 The HAMP program expired at the end of 2016.          the program are converted to permanent                         creating a retrospective market measure for the
                                                  There will be some HAMP modifications that will            modifications.                                                 multifamily market.



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                                                                              Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                   31023

                                                  refinancing mortgages, while the                           refinancing activity and for financing                fewer bedrooms and has been
                                                  multifamily goals include all Enterprise                   new multifamily units, and remain level               concentrated in urban areas with higher
                                                  multifamily mortgage purchases,                            in 2018.                                              median rents. In the same report, JCHS
                                                  regardless of the purpose of the loan. In                     According to the National Multifamily              also noted, ‘‘the steep rent for new units
                                                  addition, unlike the single-family                         Housing Council’s tabulation of                       reflect rising land and development
                                                  housing goals, the multifamily housing                     American Community Survey                             costs, which push multifamily
                                                  goals are measured based on the total                      microdata, in 2015 about 43 percent of                construction to the high end of the
                                                  volume of affordable multifamily                           renter households (18.7 million                       market.’’ 30
                                                  mortgage purchases rather than on a                        households) lived in multifamily
                                                  percentage of multifamily mortgage                                                                                  JCHS has also noted the significant
                                                                                                             properties, defined as structures with
                                                  purchases. The use of total volumes,                       five or more rental units.26 More                     prevalence of cost-burdened renters. In
                                                  which FHFA measures by the number of                       generally, the population of renters                  2015, nearly half of all tenants paid
                                                  eligible units, rather than percentages of                 continued to grow from 35 million in                  more than 30 percent of household
                                                  each Enterprises’ overall multifamily                      2005 to 44 million in 2015, an increase               income for rental housing, especially in
                                                  purchases, requires that FHFA take into                    of about one quarter.27 This growth led               high-cost urban markets where most
                                                  account the expected size of the overall                   to an increase in demand for rental units             renters reside and where Fannie Mae
                                                  multifamily mortgage market and the                        that has only partially been met by                   and Freddie Mac have focused their
                                                  affordable share of the market, as well                    expansions in supply. Vacancy rates hit               multifamily lending. Among lower-
                                                  as the expected volume of the                              a 30-year low in 2016, and are                        income households, cost burdens are
                                                  Enterprises’ overall multifamily                           especially low in lower-priced segments               especially severe.31 In addition, a recent
                                                  purchases and the affordable share of                      of the market, while climbing in the                  study showed that the median incomes
                                                  those purchases.                                           high-end segment of many markets.28 As                of renter households have experienced
                                                     The lack of comprehensive data for                      a result of these factors, rents continued            slight declines in some large
                                                  the multifamily mortgage market is even                    to rise nationally and outpaced inflation             metropolitan areas in recent years,
                                                  more acute with respect to the segments                    in 2016.29                                            leading to increased cost burdens for
                                                  of the market that are targeted to low-                       Affordability in the multifamily                   these households.32
                                                  income families, defined as families                       market. There are several factors that
                                                  with incomes at or below 80 percent of                                                                              One source of growth in the stock of
                                                                                                             make it difficult to accurately forecast              lower-rent apartments is ‘‘filtering,’’ a
                                                  AMI, and very low-income families,                         the affordable share of the multifamily
                                                  defined as families with incomes at or                                                                           process by which existing units become
                                                                                                             mortgage market. First, the portion of                more affordable as they age. However, in
                                                  below 50 percent of AMI. As required                       the overall multifamily mortgage market
                                                  by the Safety and Soundness Act, FHFA                                                                            recent years, this downward filtering of
                                                                                                             that provides housing units affordable to
                                                  determines affordability of multifamily                                                                          rental units has occurred at a slow pace
                                                                                                             low-income and very low-income
                                                  units based on a unit’s rent and utility                                                                         in most markets. Coupled with the
                                                                                                             families varies from year to year.
                                                  expenses not exceeding 30 percent of                                                                             permanent loss of affordable units, as
                                                                                                             Second, competition between
                                                  the area median income standard for                        purchasers of mortgages within the                    these units fall into disrepair or units
                                                  low- and very low-income families.25                       multifamily market overall may differ                 are demolished to create new higher-
                                                  While much of the analysis that follows                    from the competition within the                       rent or higher-valued ownership units,
                                                  discusses trends in the overall                            affordable multifamily market segment.                this trend has severely limited the
                                                  multifamily mortgage market, FHFA                                                                                supply of lower rent units. As a result,
                                                                                                             Finally, the volume for the affordable
                                                  recognizes that these general trends may                                                                         there is an acute shortfall of affordable
                                                                                                             multifamily market segment will
                                                  not apply to the same extent to all                                                                              units for extremely low-income renters
                                                                                                             depend on the availability of affordable
                                                  segments of the multifamily market.                                                                              (earning up to 30 percent of AMI) and
                                                                                                             housing subsidies.
                                                  Notwithstanding these challenges,                                                                                very low-income renters (earning up to
                                                                                                                Using the measure under which
                                                  FHFA has considered each of the                                                                                  50 percent of AMI). This supply gap is
                                                                                                             affordable rent and utilities do not
                                                  required statutory factors (a number of                                                                          especially wide in certain metropolitan
                                                                                                             exceed 30 percent of AMI, affordability
                                                  which are related) as discussed below.                                                                           areas in the southern and western
                                                     Multifamily mortgage market. FHFA’s                     for families living in rental units has
                                                                                                             decreased for many households in                      United States.33
                                                  consideration of the multifamily
                                                  mortgage market addresses the size of                      recent years. The Joint Center for                       The combination of the supply gap in
                                                  and competition within the multifamily                     Housing Studies (JCHS) 2016 State of                  affordable units which resulted in
                                                  mortgage market, as well as the subset                     the Nation’s Housing Report notes some                significant increases in rental rates, and
                                                  of the multifamily market affordable to                    concerning trends in the supply of                    the prevalence of cost-burdened renters
                                                  low-income and very low-income                             affordable multifamily units. For                     resulting from largely flat real incomes
                                                  families. In 2015, the multifamily                         example, the report found that the                    has led to an erosion of affordability
                                                  mortgage origination market                                majority of growth in the multifamily                 with fewer units qualifying for the
                                                  experienced remarkable growth—year-                        housing stock has been the result of new
                                                  over-year origination volume grew 28                       construction. Moreover, most of the new                 30 ‘‘The State of the Nation’s Housing 2016,’’ Joint

                                                  percent over the prior year to nearly                      construction consists of apartments with              Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University,
                                                  $250 billion, fueled largely by a                                                                                June 2016, available at http://
                                                                                                               26 Accessed on 9/22/2016 at http://                 www.jchs.harvard.edu/sites/jchs.harvard.edu/files/
                                                  recovery in multifamily construction.
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                                                                                                             www.nmhc.org/Content.aspx?id=4708#Type_of_            jchs_2016_state_of_the_nations_housing_
                                                  The overall market grew modestly in                        Structure.                                            lowres.pdf.
                                                  2016. Forecasts from various industry                        27 ‘‘America’s Rental Housing: Expanding Options      31 ‘‘State of the Nation’s Housing 2017,’’ Joint

                                                  experts indicate that overall multifamily                  for Diverse and Growing Demand’’ Joint Center on      Center on Housing Studies of Harvard University,
                                                  growth in mortgage market volumes and                      Housing Studies of Harvard University, December       June 2017.
                                                                                                             2015.                                                   32 ‘‘Renting in America’s Largest Metropolitan
                                                  mortgage originations are expected to                        28 ‘‘State of the Nation’s Housing 2017,’’ Joint    Areas,’’ NYU Furman Center, March 2016.
                                                  increase only modestly in 2017, both for                   Center on Housing Studies of Harvard University,        33 ‘‘The Gap: The Affordable Housing Gap
                                                                                                             June 2017.                                            Analysis 2017,’’ National Low Income Housing
                                                    25 12   U.S.C. 4563(c).                                    29 Id.                                              Coalition, March 2017.



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                                                  31024                   Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  housing goals.34 This challenge of                       to very low-income families—often uses                 declined more recently in response to
                                                  affordability is also reflected in the                   an array of state and federal supply-side              growing private sector participation.
                                                  falling share of low-income multifamily                  housing subsidies, such as LIHTC, tax-                 The Enterprise share of the multifamily
                                                  units financed by loans purchased by                     exempt bonds, project-based rental                     origination market was approximately
                                                  the Enterprises. While 77 percent of the                 assistance, or soft subordinate                        70 percent of the market in 2008 and
                                                  multifamily units financed by Fannie                     financing.36 In recent years, competition              2009 compared to 38 percent in 2015.38
                                                  Mae in 2011 were low-income, that ratio                  for affordable housing subsidy has been                The total share is expected to remain at
                                                  dropped steadily in the intervening                      intense and investor interest in tax                   around the 2015 level in 2016, 2017,
                                                  years to 64 percent in 2016. At Freddie                  credit equity projects of all types and in             and 2018 in light of the Scorecard cap
                                                  Mac, the low-income share also peaked                    all markets has been strong, especially                imposed by FHFA in its role as
                                                  in 2011 and 2012 at 79 percent, and                      in markets in which bank investors are                 conservator (discussed below).
                                                  decreased gradually to 68 percent in                     seeking to meet Community                                Despite the Enterprises’ reduced
                                                  2016. For the very low-income goal, the                  Reinvestment Act (CRA) goals. By                       market share in the overall multifamily
                                                  share at Fannie Mae peaked in 2012 at                    contrast, in recent months, the subsidy                market, FHFA expects the Enterprises to
                                                  22 percent before falling to 12 percent                  provided by the LIHTC program has                      continue to demonstrate leadership in
                                                  in 2016, and at Freddie Mac the share                    been volatile and much more uncertain,                 multifamily affordable housing by
                                                  peaked at 17 percent in 2013 before                      as policymakers consider a broader                     providing liquidity and supporting
                                                  falling to 12 percent in 2016.                           range of potential tax reform legislation              housing for tenants at different income
                                                     Small multifamily properties with 5                   that could adversely impact the LIHTC                  levels in various geographic markets
                                                  to 50 units are also an important source                 program.                                               and in various market segments.
                                                  of affordable rental housing and                            Subject to the continuing availability                Conservatorship limits on multifamily
                                                  represent approximately one-third of the                 of these subsidies, there should                       mortgage purchases (Conservatorship
                                                  affordable rental market. Because they                   continue to be opportunities in the                    Scorecard cap). As conservator of the
                                                  have different operating and ownership                   multifamily market to provide                          Enterprises, FHFA has established a
                                                  characteristics than larger properties,                  permanent financing for properties with                yearly cap in the Conservatorship
                                                  small multifamily properties often have                  LIHTC during the 2018–2020 period.                     Scorecard that limits the amount of
                                                  different financing needs. For example,                  There should also be opportunities for                 conventional (market-rate) multifamily
                                                  small multifamily properties are more                    market participants, including the                     loans that each Enterprise can purchase.
                                                  likely to be owned by an individual or                   Enterprises, to purchase mortgages that                The multifamily lending cap is intended
                                                  small investor and less likely to be                     finance the preservation of existing                   to further FHFA’s conservatorship goal:
                                                  managed by a third party property                        affordable housing units (especially for               Maintaining the presence of the
                                                  management firm.35 Likewise, the                         restructurings of older properties that                Enterprises as a backstop for the
                                                  affordability of small multifamily units                 reach the end of their initial 15-year                 multifamily finance market, while not
                                                  means they generate less revenue per                     LIHTC compliance periods and for                       impeding the participation of private
                                                  unit than larger properties. These factors               refinancing properties with expiring                   capital. This target for the Enterprise
                                                  can make financing more difficult to                     Section 8 rental assistance contracts).                share of the multifamily origination
                                                  obtain for small multifamily property                       In recent years, demand-side public                 market reflect what is generally
                                                  owners. While the volume of Enterprise-                  subsidies and the availability of public               considered by the industry as an
                                                  supported loans on small multifamily                     housing have not kept pace with the                    appropriate market share for the
                                                  properties has been inconsistent in                                                                             Enterprises during normal market
                                                                                                           growing number of low-income and
                                                  recent years, each Enterprise continues                                                                         conditions. The cap prevents the
                                                                                                           very low-income households in need of
                                                  to refine its approach to serving this                                                                          Enterprises from crowding out other
                                                                                                           federal housing assistance. As a result,
                                                  market.                                                                                                         capital sources and restrains the rapid
                                                     Availability of public subsidies.                     the number of renter households with
                                                                                                           ‘‘worst case needs’’ has grown to 8.19                 growth of the Enterprises’ multifamily
                                                  Multifamily housing assistance is                                                                               businesses that started in 2011.39
                                                  primarily available in two forms—                        million, an increase of one-third since
                                                                                                           2005.37                                                  In 2015, FHFA established a cap of
                                                  demand-side subsidies that either assist                                                                        $30 billion on new conventional
                                                  low-income tenants directly (e.g.,                          Role of the Enterprises. In setting the
                                                                                                           proposed multifamily housing goals,                    multifamily loan purchases for each
                                                  Section 8 vouchers) or provide project-                                                                         Enterprise in response to increased
                                                  based rental assistance (Section 8                       FHFA has considered the ability of the
                                                                                                           Enterprises to lead the market in making               participation in the market from private
                                                  contracts), and supply-side subsidies                                                                           sector capital. In 2016, the cap was
                                                  that support the creation and                            multifamily mortgage credit available.
                                                                                                           The share of the overall multifamily                   initially set at $30 billion, raised in May
                                                  preservation of affordable housing (e.g.,
                                                                                                           market purchased by the Enterprises                    2016 to $35 billion, and further
                                                  public housing and Low-Income
                                                                                                           increased in the years immediately                     increased to $36.5 billion in August, in
                                                  Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC)). The
                                                                                                           following the financial crisis but has                 response to growth of the overall
                                                  availability of public subsidies impacts
                                                                                                                                                                  multifamily origination market
                                                  the overall affordable multifamily                         36 LIHTC is a supply-side subsidy created under      throughout the year. These increases
                                                  housing market, and changes to historic                  the Tax Reform Act of 1986 and is the main source      maintained the Enterprises’ current
                                                  programs could significantly impact the                  of new affordable housing construction in the          market share at about 40 percent. FHFA
                                                  ability of the Enterprises to meet the                   United States today. Tax credits are used for the
                                                                                                           acquisition, rehabilitation, and/or new construction   has announced that for 2017, the cap
                                                  goals.
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                                                     Financing for affordable multifamily                  of rental housing for low-income households.           will remain at $36.5 billion.
                                                  buildings—particularly those affordable
                                                                                                           LIHTC has facilitated the creation or rehabilitation     FHFA reviews the market size
                                                                                                           of approximately 2.4 million affordable units since    estimates quarterly, using current
                                                                                                           inception in 1986.
                                                    34 ‘‘State of the Nation’s Housing 2017,’’ Joint         37 ‘‘Preview of 2015 Worst Case Housing Needs,’’
                                                                                                                                                                  market data provided by Fannie Mae,
                                                  Center on Housing Studies of Harvard University,         U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
                                                  June 2017.                                               Development, January 2017. Renters with worse            38 Urban Institute, ‘‘The GSEs’ Shrinking Role in
                                                    35 ‘‘2012 Rental Housing Finance Survey,’’ U.S.        case needs have very low incomes, lack housing         the Multifamily Market,’’ April 2015.
                                                  Census Bureau and U.S. Department of Housing and         assistance, and have either severe rent burdens or       39 MBA, 2015 Annual Report on Multifamily

                                                  Urban Development, Tables 2b, 2c, 2d and 3.              severely inadequate housing (or both).                 Lending, October 2016.



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                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                                31025

                                                  Freddie Mac, the MBA, and the National                             multifamily properties; (3) blanket loans              properties without adversely impacting
                                                  Multifamily Housing Council. If FHFA                               on manufactured housing communities;                   the Enterprises’ safety and soundness or
                                                  determines that the actual market size is                          (4) blanket loans on senior housing and                negatively affecting the performance of
                                                  greater than was projected, the agency                             assisted living communities; (5) loans in              their total loan portfolios.
                                                  will consider an approximate increase                              rural areas; (6) loans to finance energy                  FHFA continues to monitor the
                                                  to the capped (conventional market-rate)                           or water efficiency improvements; and                  activities of the Enterprises, both in
                                                  category of the Conservatorship                                    (7) market rate affordable units in                    FHFA’s capacity as regulator and as
                                                  Scorecard for each Enterprise. In light of                         standard (60 percent AMI), high cost (80               conservator. If necessary, FHFA will
                                                  the need for market participants to plan                           percent AMI), and very high cost (100                  make appropriate changes in the
                                                  sales of mortgages during long                                     percent AMI) markets. By excluding the                 multifamily housing goals to ensure the
                                                  origination processes, if FHFA                                     underserved market categories from the                 Enterprises’ continued safety and
                                                  determines that the actual market size is                          cap, the Conservatorship Scorecard                     soundness.
                                                  smaller than projected, there will be no                           continues to encourage the Enterprises                    The proposed rule establishes
                                                  reduction to the capped volume for the                             to support affordable housing in their                 benchmark levels for the multifamily
                                                  current year from the amount initially                             purchases of multifamily mortgages.40                  housing goals for the Enterprises. Before
                                                  established under the Conservatorship                                                                                     finalizing the benchmark levels for the
                                                                                                                     B. Proposed Multifamily Housing Goal
                                                  Scorecard.                                                                                                                low-income and very low-income
                                                                                                                     Benchmark Levels
                                                     In order to encourage affordable                                                                                       multifamily goals in the final rule,
                                                  lending activities, FHFA excludes many                                In setting the proposed multifamily                 FHFA will review any additional data
                                                  types of loans in underserved markets                              housing goals, FHFA encourages the                     that become available about the
                                                  from the Conservatorship Scorecard cap                             Enterprises to provide liquidity and to                multifamily performance of the
                                                  on conventional loans. The                                         support various multifamily finance                    Enterprises in 2016, updated projections
                                                  Conservatorship Scorecard has no                                   market segments while doing so in a                    of the size of the multifamily market
                                                  volume targets in the market segments                              safe and sound manner. The Enterprises                 and affordable market share, and any
                                                  excluded from the cap. There is                                    have served as a stabilizing force in the              public comments received on the
                                                  significant overlap between the types of                           multifamily market in the years since                  proposed multifamily housing goals.
                                                  multifamily mortgages that are excluded                            the financial crisis. During the
                                                  from the Conservatorship Scorecard cap                             conservatorship period, the Enterprise                 1. Multifamily Low-Income Housing
                                                  and the multifamily mortgages that                                 portfolios of loans on multifamily                     Goal
                                                  contribute to the performance of the                               affordable housing properties have                        The multifamily low-income housing
                                                  Enterprises under the affordable                                   experienced low levels of delinquency                  goal is based on the total number of
                                                  housing goals. The 2017                                            and default, similar to the performance                rental units in multifamily properties
                                                  Conservatorship Scorecard excludes                                 of Enterprise loans on market rate                     financed by mortgages purchased by the
                                                  either the entirety of the loan amount or                          properties. In light of this performance,              Enterprises that are affordable to low-
                                                  a pro rata share of the loan on the                                the Enterprises should be able to sustain              income families, defined as families
                                                  following categories: (1) Targeted                                 or increase their volume of purchases of               with incomes less than or equal to 80
                                                  affordable housing; (2) small                                      loans on affordable multifamily housing                percent of AMI.

                                                                                                          TABLE 9—MULTIFAMILY LOW-INCOME HOUSING GOAL
                                                                                                                                                                     Historical performance
                                                                                       Year
                                                                                                                                         2012                 2013            2014            2015          2016

                                                  Fannie Mae Goal .................................................................        285,000             265,000          250,000        300,000        300,000
                                                  Freddie Mac Goal ................................................................        225,000             215,000          200,000        300,000        300,000
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Low-Income Multifamily Units .......................................                 375,924             326,597          260,124        307,510        351,235
                                                      Total Multifamily Units ..................................................           501,256             430,751          372,089        468,798        551,666
                                                      Low-Income % Total .....................................................              75.0%               75.8%            69.9%          65.6%          63.7%
                                                  Freddie Mac Performance:
                                                      Low-Income Multifamily Units .......................................                 298,529             254,628          273,807        379,043        407,340
                                                      Total Multifamily Units ..................................................           377,522             341,921          366,377        514,275        597,033
                                                      Low-Income % of Total Units .......................................                   79.1%               74.5%            74.7%          73.7%          68.2%



                                                    From 2012 through 2016, both                                       In 2016, the goal for each Enterprise                increases slightly and then levels off
                                                  Enterprises exceeded their low-income                              was 300,000 units. Fannie Mae                          after 2017. The Conservatorship
                                                  multifamily goals. Prior to 2015, Fannie                           purchased mortgages financing 351,235                  Scorecard cap for each Enterprise was
                                                  Mae had higher goals than Freddie Mac.                             low-income units, and Freddie Mac                      raised from an initial $30 billion cap to
                                                  For the 2015–2017 goal period, FHFA                                purchased mortgages financing 407,340                  $36.5 billion in August 2016 in response
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                                                  set the same goal level for both                                   low-income units. While total volumes                  to growth of the multifamily origination
                                                  Enterprises for the first time, reflecting                         have increased, the share of low-income                market throughout the year. This change
                                                  parity between Freddie Mac and Fannie                              units financed at each Enterprise has                  allowed the Enterprises to pursue
                                                  Mae multifamily market share in terms                              been declining from peak levels in 2012.               purchases of a greater volume of
                                                  of unit counts.                                                      As noted above, the forecast for the                 multifamily originations and support
                                                                                                                     multifamily originations market                        the overall market and may seem to
                                                    40 For more information on the Conservatorship                   Reports/ReportDocuments/2017-Scorecard-for-
                                                  Scorecard, see https://www.fhfa.gov/AboutUs/                       Fannie-Mae-Freddie-Mac-and-CSS.pdf.



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                                                  31026                        Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  support an increase in the proposed goal                           securing housing subsidies will likely                                     increase from the 300,000 unit goal for
                                                  levels for both Enterprises. However, the                          continue to be challenging. These trends                                   each Enterprise in 2015–2017.
                                                  gap between the supply of low-income                               suggest moderation in any increase in                                      2. Multifamily Very Low-Income
                                                  and very low-income units and the                                  the proposed goal levels. Therefore,                                       Housing Subgoal
                                                  needs of low-income households, as                                 balancing these considerations, the
                                                  described in the affordability discussion                          proposed rule sets the annual low-                                            The multifamily very low-income
                                                  above, is expected to continue in the                              income multifamily housing goal for                                        housing subgoal includes units
                                                  next goal period. Moreover, the forecast                           each Enterprise at 315,000 units in each                                   affordable to very low-income families,
                                                  for the multifamily originations market                            year from 2018 through 2020, a modest                                      defined as families with incomes no
                                                  for 2017 and 2018 is relatively flat, and                                                                                                     greater than 50 percent of AMI.
                                                                                                         TABLE 10—MULTIFAMILY VERY LOW-INCOME SUBGOAL
                                                                                                                                                                                     Historical performance
                                                                                       Year
                                                                                                                                             2012                       2013                       2014                2015       2016

                                                  Fannie Mae Goal .................................................................               80,000                      70,000                     60,000          60,000     60,000
                                                  Freddie Mac Goal ................................................................               59,000                      50,000                     40,000          60,000     60,000
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Very Low-Income Multifamily Units ..............................                          108,878                      78,071                     60,542           69,078     65,445
                                                      Total Multifamily Units ..................................................                501,256                     430,751                    372,089          468,798    551,666
                                                      Very Low-Income % of Total Units ...............................                           21.7%                       18.1%                      16.3%            14.7%      11.9%
                                                  Freddie Mac Performance:
                                                      Very Low-Income Multifamily Units ..............................                            60,084                     56,752                     48,689           76,935     73,032
                                                      Total Home Purchase Mortgages .................................                            377,522                    341,921                    366,377          514,275    597,033
                                                      Very Low-Income % of Total Units ...............................                            15.9%                      16.6%                      13.3%            15.0%      12.2%



                                                     From 2012 through 2016, both                                    challenges than the market for low-                                        3. Small Multifamily Low-Income
                                                  Enterprises met and exceeded their very                            income multifamily housing, given the                                      Housing Subgoal
                                                  low-income multifamily goals. In 2016,                             need for lower rents—often requiring
                                                  the goal for each Enterprise was 60,000                            deeper subsidies—to make units                                                A small multifamily property is
                                                  units. Fannie Mae purchased mortgages                              affordable to these households. These                                      defined as a property with 5 to 50 units.
                                                  financing 65,445 very low-income units,                            factors suggest moderation in the setting                                  The small multifamily low-income
                                                  while Freddie Mac purchased mortgages                              of the very low-income multifamily                                         housing subgoal is based on the total
                                                  financing 73,032 very low-income units.                            subgoal for the Enterprises. Therefore,                                    number of units in small multifamily
                                                  Similar to the low-income multifamily                              the proposed rule maintains the annual                                     properties financed by mortgages
                                                  goal, the share of very low-income units                                                                                                      purchased by the Enterprises that are
                                                                                                                     very low-income multifamily subgoal
                                                  financed at each Enterprise has been                                                                                                          affordable to low-income families,
                                                                                                                     for each Enterprise at 60,000 units each
                                                  declining in recent years.                                                                                                                    defined as families with incomes less
                                                     The market for very low-income                                  year from 2018 through 2020.
                                                                                                                                                                                                than or equal to 80 percent of AMI.
                                                  multifamily housing faces even larger

                                                                                                        TABLE 11—SMALL MULTIFAMILY LOW-INCOME SUBGOAL
                                                                                                                                                                                     Historical performance
                                                                                       Year
                                                                                                                                             2012                       2013                       2014                2015       2016

                                                  Small Low-Income Multifamily Goal ....................................              ........................   ........................   ........................      6,000      8,000
                                                  Fannie Mae Performance:
                                                      Small Low-Income Multifamily Units .............................                            16,801                      13,827                      6,732           6,731      9,310
                                                      Total Small Multifamily Units ........................................                      26,479                      21,764                     11,880          11,198     15,230
                                                      Low-Income % of Total Small Multifamily Units ...........                                   63.5%                       63.5%                      56.7%           60.1%      61.1%
                                                  Freddie Mac Performance:
                                                      Small Low-Income Multifamily Units .............................                                829                      1,128                      2,076          12,802     22,101
                                                      Total Small Multifamily Units ........................................                        2,194                      2,375                      4,659          21,246     33,984
                                                      Low-Income % of Total Small Multifamily Units ...........                                    37.8%                      47.5%                      44.6%           60.3%      65.0%



                                                     This was a new subgoal created in the                             The proposed rule would set the                                          will consider all input in preparation of
                                                  2015–2017 goal period. The goal was set                            annual small multifamily subgoal for                                       the final rule. However, FHFA is
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                                                  at 6,000 units in 2015, 8,000 units in                             each Enterprise at 10,000 units for each                                   proposing to maintain the same
                                                  2016, and 10,000 units in 2017. In 2016,                           year from 2018 through 2020, the same                                      benchmark level for 2018 through 2020
                                                  both Enterprises exceeded the goal of                              as the 2017 goal. The Enterprises                                          as the 2017 benchmark level for both
                                                  8,000 units. Fannie Mae purchased                                  continue to innovate in their approaches                                   Enterprises. Maintaining the current
                                                  mortgages financing 9,310 units, and                               to serving this market. FHFA is still                                      goal should continue to encourage the
                                                  Freddie Mac purchased mortgages                                    monitoring the trends in this market                                       Enterprises’ participation in this market
                                                  financing 22,101 units.                                            segment as well as Enterprise                                              and ensure the Enterprises have the
                                                                                                                     performance for this new subgoal, and                                      expertise necessary to serve this market


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                                                                          Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                         31027

                                                  should private sources of financing                      consistent with each other and to reflect             used by FHFA to estimate affordability
                                                  become unable or unwilling to lend on                    the proposed changes to the definition                where actual information about rental
                                                  small multifamily properties.                            of ‘‘median income’’ discussed above.                 units in a multifamily property is not
                                                                                                             The current regulation defines both                 available.
                                                  VI. Section-by-Section Analysis of                       ‘‘metropolitan area’’ and ‘‘non-
                                                  Other Proposed Changes                                                                                            Section 1282.15(e) permits the
                                                                                                           metropolitan area’’ based on the areas
                                                    The proposed rule would also revise                                                                          Enterprises to use estimated
                                                                                                           for which HUD defines median family
                                                  other provisions of the housing goals                    incomes. The definition of                            affordability information to determine
                                                  regulation, as discussed below.                          ‘‘metropolitan area’’ refers to median                the affordability of multifamily rental
                                                                                                           family incomes ‘‘determined by HUD,’’                 units for up to 5 percent of the total
                                                  A. Changes to Definitions—Proposed                                                                             multifamily rental units in properties
                                                                                                           while the definition of ‘‘non-
                                                  § 1282.1                                                                                                       securing mortgages purchased by the
                                                                                                           metropolitan area’’ refers to median
                                                    The proposed rule includes changes                     family incomes ‘‘published annually by                Enterprise each year when actual
                                                  to definitions used in the current                       HUD.’’                                                information about the units is not
                                                  housing goals regulation. The proposed                     To be consistent with the proposed                  available. The estimations are based on
                                                  rule would revise the definitions of                     changes to the definition of ‘‘median                 the affordable percentage of all rental
                                                  ‘‘median income,’’ ‘‘metropolitan area,’’                income,’’ the proposed rule would                     units in the census tract in which the
                                                  and ‘‘non-metropolitan area’’ and would                  revise the definition of ‘‘metropolitan               property for which the Enterprise is
                                                  remove the definition of ‘‘AHS.’’                        area’’ by replacing the phrase ‘‘for                  estimating affordability is located.
                                                                                                           which median family income estimates                     The current regulation provides that
                                                  1. Definition of ‘‘Median Income’’
                                                                                                           are determined by HUD’’ with the                      the affordable percentage of all rental
                                                     The current regulation defines                        phrase ‘‘for which median incomes are                 units in the census tract will be
                                                  ‘‘median income’’ as the unadjusted                      determined by FHFA.’’ For the same                    determined by FHFA based on the most
                                                  median family income for an area as                      reason, the proposed rule would revise                recent decennial census. However, the
                                                  most recently determined by HUD.                         the definition of ‘‘non-metropolitan                  2000 decennial census was the last
                                                  While this definition accurately                         area’’ by replacing the phrase ‘‘for                  decennial census that collected this
                                                  identifies the source that FHFA uses to                  which median family income estimates                  information. The U.S. Census Bureau
                                                  determine median incomes each year,                      are published annually by HUD’’ with                  now collects this information through
                                                  the definition does not reflect the                      the phrase ‘‘for which median incomes                 the ACS. Since 2011, FHFA has used
                                                  longstanding practice FHFA has                           are determined by FHFA.’’                             the most recent data available from the
                                                  followed in providing the Enterprises
                                                  with the median incomes that the                         3. Definition of ‘‘AHS’’ (American                    ACS to determine the affordable
                                                  Enterprises must use each year. The                      Housing Survey)                                       percentage of rental units in a census
                                                  proposed rule would revise the                              The proposed rule would remove the                 tract for purposes of estimating
                                                  definition to be clear that the                          definition of ‘‘AHS’’ from § 1282.1                   affordability. The proposed rule would
                                                  Enterprises are required to use the                      because the term is no longer used in                 revise § 1282.15(e)(2) to reflect this
                                                  median incomes provided by FHFA                          the Enterprise housing goals regulation.              change. To take into account possible
                                                  each year in determining affordability                      Prior to the 2015 amendments to the                future changes in how rental
                                                  for purposes of the housing goals.                       Enterprise housing goals regulation, the              affordability data is collected, the
                                                     The proposed rule would also make                     term ‘‘AHS’’ was used to specify the                  revised sentence would not refer
                                                  two additional technical changes to the                  data source from which FHFA derives                   specifically to data derived from the
                                                  definition of ‘‘median income.’’ First,                  the utility allowances used to determine              ACS. Section 1282.15(e)(2) would be
                                                  the proposed rule would add a reference                  the total rent for a rental unit which, in            revised to replace the phrase ‘‘as
                                                  to ‘‘non-metropolitan areas’’ in the                     turn, is used to determine the                        determined by FHFA based on the most
                                                  definition because FHFA determines                       affordability of the unit when actual                 recent decennial census’’ with the
                                                  median incomes for both metropolitan                     utility costs are not available. The 2015             phrase ‘‘as determined by FHFA.’’
                                                  areas and non-metropolitan areas each                    amendments consolidated and                           C. Determination of Median Income for
                                                  year. Second, the proposed rule would                    simplified the definitions applicable to              Certain Census Tracts—Proposed
                                                  remove the word ‘‘family’’ in one place                  determining the total rent and                        § 1282.15(g)(2)
                                                  so that the term ‘‘median income’’ is                    eliminated the reference to AHS in the
                                                  used consistently throughout the                         part of the definition related to utility               The proposed rule would revise
                                                  regulation.                                              allowances, providing FHFA with                       § 1282.15(g) to remove paragraph (g)(2),
                                                     The revised definition would read:                    flexibility in how it determines the                  an obsolete provision describing the
                                                  ‘‘Median income means, with respect to                   nationwide utility allowances. The                    method that the Enterprises were
                                                  an area, the unadjusted median family                    current nationwide average utility                    required to use to determine the median
                                                  income for the area as determined by                     allowances are still fixed numbers based              income for a census tract where the
                                                  FHFA. FHFA will provide the                              on AHS data, but the regulation does                  census tract was split between two areas
                                                  Enterprises annually with information                    not require FHFA to rely solely on AHS                with different median incomes.
                                                  specifying how the median family                         data to determine those utility
                                                                                                                                                                   Current § 1282.15(g)(2) requires the
                                                  income estimates for metropolitan and                    allowances. The term ‘‘AHS’’ is not used
                                                                                                                                                                 Enterprises to use the method
                                                  non-metropolitan areas are to be applied
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                                                                                                           anywhere else in the regulation, so the
                                                  for purposes of determining median                                                                             prescribed by the Federal Financial
                                                                                                           proposed rule would remove the
                                                  income.’’                                                                                                      Institutions Examination Council to
                                                                                                           definition from § 1282.1.
                                                                                                                                                                 determine the median income for
                                                  2. Definitions of ‘‘Metropolitan Area’’                  B. Data Source for Estimating                         certain census tracts that were split
                                                  and ‘‘Non-Metropolitan Area’’                            Affordability of Multifamily Rental                   between two areas with different
                                                     The proposed rule would revise the                    Units—Proposed § 1282.15(e)(2)                        median incomes. This provision was
                                                  definitions of ‘‘metropolitan area’’ and                   The proposed rule would revise                      put in place by the 1995 final rule
                                                  ‘‘non-metropolitan area’’ to be                          § 1282.15(e)(2) to update the data source             published by HUD to establish the


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                                                  31028                   Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  Enterprise housing goals under the                        home purchase goals in 2014. FHFA                         Therefore, the earliest that FHFA would
                                                  Safety and Soundness Act.41                               required Freddie Mac to submit a                          be able to approve a housing plan from
                                                     As discussed above regarding the                       housing plan setting out the steps                        an Enterprise would be mid-July of the
                                                  definition of ‘‘median income,’’ the                      Freddie Mac would take in 2016 and                        year following the performance year.
                                                  process of determining median incomes                     2017 to achieve the two goals that it                     For the single-family housing goals, this
                                                  has changed over the years, so that the                   failed to achieve in 2013 and 2014. The                   time period is extended even further
                                                  Enterprises are now required to use                       requirement for the plan to address                       because the HMDA data necessary to
                                                  median incomes provided by FHFA                           actions taken in both 2016 and 2017 was                   determine if an Enterprise met the
                                                  each year when determining                                based on FHFA’s authority under                           retrospective market measurement
                                                  affordability for purposes of the housing                 § 1282.21(b) to require a housing plan to                 portion of the single-family housing
                                                  goals. Because FHFA provides median                       address any additional matters required                   goals are not available until September
                                                  incomes for every location in the United                  by the Director and was intended to                       of the year following the performance
                                                  States, it is no longer necessary for the                 address an issue of timing.                               year.
                                                  regulation to set forth a process for the                    FHFA’s final determination on                            Based on (1) FHFA’s experience in
                                                  Enterprises to use when it is not certain                 Freddie Mac’s performance on the                          overseeing the housing goals, in
                                                  what the applicable median income                         housing goals for 2014 was issued on                      particular the experience in requiring
                                                  would be for a particular location.                       December 17, 2015. As described in                        Freddie Mac to submit a housing plan
                                                  Consequently, the proposed rule would                     more detail below, that timing was                        based on its failure to achieve certain
                                                  remove § 1282.15(g)(2) from the                           driven by procedural steps required by                    housing goals in 2014, (2) the inherent
                                                  regulation.                                               the Safety and Soundness Act and                          conflict in the timeframes set out in the
                                                                                                            FHFA’s own regulation. If FHFA                            Safety and Soundness Act, and (3) the
                                                  D. Housing Plan Timing—Proposed                           interpreted narrowly the statutory and                    importance of ensuring that any housing
                                                  § 1282.21(b)(3)                                           regulatory provisions stating that the                    plans are focused on sustainable
                                                     The proposed rule would revise                         housing plan should address the steps                     improvements in Enterprise goals
                                                  § 1282.21(b)(3) to provide the Director                   the Enterprise would take in the                          performance, FHFA is proposing to
                                                  with discretion to determine the                          following year, the housing plan itself                   amend § 1282.21(b)(3) to state explicitly
                                                  appropriate period of time that an                        would become irrelevant because the                       that a housing plan that is required
                                                  Enterprise may be subject to a housing                    year it would cover would have ended                      based on an Enterprise’s failure to
                                                  plan to address a failure to meet a                       before the housing plan was even                          achieve a housing goal will be required
                                                  housing goal.                                             submitted to FHFA.                                        to address a time period determined by
                                                     Section 1336 of the Safety and                            The extended time required to reach                    the Director. If FHFA requires an
                                                  Soundness Act provides for the                            a final determination housing goals                       Enterprise to submit a housing plan,
                                                  enforcement of the Enterprise housing                     performance will occur every year as a                    FHFA will notify the Enterprise of the
                                                  goals. If FHFA determines that an                         result of the procedural steps required                   applicable time period in FHFA’s final
                                                  Enterprise has failed to meet a housing                   by the Safety and Soundness Act. Under                    determination on the performance of the
                                                  goal and that achievement of the goal                     those procedures, if FHFA determines                      Enterprise for a particular year.
                                                  was feasible, FHFA may require the                        that an Enterprise has failed to achieve
                                                  Enterprise to submit a housing plan                       a housing goal in a particular year,                      VII. Paperwork Reduction Act
                                                  describing the actions it will take ‘‘to                  FHFA is first required to issue a                           The proposed rule would not contain
                                                  achieve the goal for the next calendar                    preliminary determination that                            any information collection requirement
                                                  year.’’ 42 The Safety and Soundness Act                   generally provides at least 30 days for                   that would require the approval of the
                                                  has similar provisions for requiring a                    the Enterprise to respond. FHFA must                      Office of Management and Budget
                                                  housing plan if FHFA determines,                          then consider any information                             (OMB) under the Paperwork Reduction
                                                  during the year in question, that there                   submitted by the Enterprise before                        Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). Therefore,
                                                  is a substantial probability that an                      making a final determination on                           FHFA has not submitted any
                                                  Enterprise will fail to meet a housing                    whether the Enterprise failed to meet                     information to OMB for review.
                                                  goal and that achievement of the goal is                  the goal and whether achievement of the
                                                                                                                                                                      VIII. Regulatory Flexibility Act
                                                  feasible. In such cases, the housing plan                 goal was feasible. If FHFA determines
                                                  would describe the actions the                            that the Enterprise should be required to                    The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
                                                  Enterprise will take ‘‘to make such                       submit a housing plan, the statute                        U.S.C. 601 et seq.) requires that a
                                                  improvements and changes in its                           provides for up to 45 days for the                        regulation that has a significant
                                                  operations as are reasonable in the                       Enterprise to submit its housing plan.44                  economic impact on a substantial
                                                  remainder of such year.’’ The current                     FHFA must then evaluate the housing                       number of small entities, small
                                                  regulation generally mirrors the                          plan, generally within 30 days. The time                  businesses, or small organizations must
                                                  statutory language on the requirements                    necessary for FHFA’s review and                           include an initial regulatory flexibility
                                                  for a housing plan, except that the                       determination at each step of this                        analysis describing the regulation’s
                                                  regulation makes clear that the housing                   procedural process is generally four to                   impact on small entities. Such an
                                                  plan must also ‘‘[a]ddress any additional                 six months.                                               analysis need not be undertaken if the
                                                  matters relevant to the plan as required,                    These procedural steps cannot begin                    agency has certified that the regulation
                                                  in writing, by the Director.’’ 43                         until FHFA has the information                            will not have a significant economic
                                                                                                            necessary to make a determination on                      impact on a substantial number of small
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                                                     FHFA required an Enterprise to
                                                  submit a housing plan for the first time                  whether the Enterprise has met the                        entities. 5 U.S.C. 605(b). FHFA has
                                                  in late 2015 in response to Freddie                       housing goals. The Enterprises are                        considered the impact of the proposed
                                                  Mac’s failure to achieve the single-                      required to submit their official                         rule under the Regulatory Flexibility
                                                  family low-income and very low-income                     performance numbers to FHFA within                        Act. The General Counsel of FHFA
                                                                                                            75 days after the end of the year, usually                certifies that the proposed rule, if
                                                    41 See 60 FR 61846 (Dec. 1, 1995).                      March 15 of the following year.                           adopted as a final rule, is not likely to
                                                    42 See 12 U.S.C. 4566(c)(2).                                                                                      have a significant economic impact on
                                                    43 See 12 CFR 1282.21(b).                                    44 See   12 U.S.C. 4566(c)(3).                       a substantial number of small entities


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                                                                          Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules                                            31029

                                                  because the regulation applies to Fannie                 a single-family housing goal if its                     (e) Low-income areas housing goal.
                                                  Mae and Freddie Mac, which are not                       performance under the housing goal                    The percentage share of each
                                                  small entities for purposes of the                       meets or exceeds either:                              Enterprise’s total purchases of purchase
                                                  Regulatory Flexibility Act.                                 (1) The share of the market that                   money mortgages on owner-occupied
                                                                                                           qualifies for the goal; or                            single-family housing that consists of
                                                  List of Subjects in 12 CFR Part 1282                        (2) The benchmark level for the goal.              mortgages for families in low-income
                                                    Mortgages, Reporting and                                  (b) Size of market. The size of the                areas shall meet or exceed either:
                                                  recordkeeping requirements.                              market for each goal shall be established               (1) The share of such mortgages in the
                                                                                                           annually by FHFA based on data                        market as defined in paragraph (b) of
                                                  Authority and Issuance
                                                                                                           reported pursuant to the Home Mortgage                this section in each year; or
                                                    For the reasons stated in the                          Disclosure Act for a given year. Unless                 (2) A benchmark level which shall be
                                                  SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION, under the                     otherwise adjusted by FHFA, the size of               set annually by FHFA notice based on
                                                  authority of 12 U.S.C. 4511, 4513 and                    the market shall be determined based on               the benchmark level for the low-income
                                                  4526, FHFA proposes to amend part                        the following criteria:                               areas housing subgoal, plus an
                                                  1282 of Title 12 of the Code of Federal                     (1) Only owner-occupied,                           adjustment factor reflecting the
                                                  Regulations as follows:                                  conventional loans shall be considered;               additional incremental share of
                                                  CHAPTER XII—FEDERAL HOUSING                                 (2) Purchase money mortgages and                   mortgages for moderate-income families
                                                  FINANCE AGENCY                                           refinancing mortgages shall only be                   in designated disaster areas in the most
                                                                                                           counted for the applicable goal or goals;             recent year for which such data is
                                                  Subchapter E—Housing Goals and Mission                      (3) All mortgages flagged as HOEPA                 available.
                                                                                                           loans or subordinate lien loans shall be                (f) Low-income areas housing subgoal.
                                                  PART 1282—ENTERPRISE HOUSING
                                                                                                           excluded;                                             The percentage share of each
                                                  GOALS AND MISSION
                                                                                                              (4) All mortgages with original                    Enterprise’s total purchases of purchase
                                                  ■ 1. The authority citation for part 1282                principal balances above the conforming               money mortgages on owner-occupied
                                                  continues to read as follows:                            loan limits for single unit properties for            single-family housing that consists of
                                                                                                           the year being evaluated (rounded to the              mortgages for families in low-income
                                                    Authority: 12 U.S.C. 4501, 4502, 4511,
                                                                                                           nearest $1,000) shall be excluded;                    census tracts or for moderate-income
                                                  4513, 4526, 4561–4566.
                                                                                                              (5) All mortgages with rate spreads of             families in minority census tracts shall
                                                  § 1282.1    [Amended]                                    150 basis points or more above the                    meet or exceed either:
                                                  ■ 2. Amend § 1282.1 as follows:                          applicable average prime offer rate as                  (1) The share of such mortgages in the
                                                  ■ a. Remove the definition of ‘‘AHS’’;                   reported in the Home Mortgage                         market as defined in paragraph (b) of
                                                  and                                                      Disclosure Act data shall be excluded;                this section in each year; or
                                                  ■ b. Revise the definitions of ‘‘Median                  and                                                     (2) The benchmark level, which for
                                                  income,’’ ‘‘Metropolitan area,’’ and                        (6) All mortgages that are missing                 2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 15 percent
                                                  ‘‘Non-metropolitan area.’’                               information necessary to determine                    of the total number of purchase money
                                                     The revisions read as follows:                        appropriate counting under the housing                mortgages purchased by that Enterprise
                                                                                                           goals shall be excluded.                              in each year that finance owner-
                                                  § 1282.1    Definitions.                                    (c) Low-income families housing goal.              occupied single-family properties.
                                                  *     *     *     *    *                                 The percentage share of each                            (g) Refinancing housing goal. The
                                                    Median income means, with respect                      Enterprise’s total purchases of purchase              percentage share of each Enterprise’s
                                                  to an area, the unadjusted median                        money mortgages on owner-occupied                     total purchases of refinancing mortgages
                                                  family income for the area as                            single-family housing that consists of                on owner-occupied single-family
                                                  determined by FHFA. FHFA will                            mortgages for low-income families shall               housing that consists of refinancing
                                                  provide the Enterprises annually with                    meet or exceed either:                                mortgages for low-income families shall
                                                  information specifying how the median                       (1) The share of such mortgages in the             meet or exceed either:
                                                  family income estimates for                              market as defined in paragraph (b) of                   (1) The share of such mortgages in the
                                                  metropolitan and non-metropolitan                        this section in each year; or                         market as defined in paragraph (b) of
                                                  areas are to be applied for purposes of                     (2) The benchmark level, which for                 this section in each year; or
                                                  determining median income.                               2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 24 percent                 (2) The benchmark level, which for
                                                    Metropolitan area means a                              of the total number of purchase money                 2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 21 percent
                                                  metropolitan statistical area (MSA), or a                mortgages purchased by that Enterprise                of the total number of refinancing
                                                  portion of such an area, including                       in each year that finance owner-                      mortgages purchased by that Enterprise
                                                  Metropolitan Divisions, for which                        occupied single-family properties.                    in each year that finance owner-
                                                  median incomes are determined by                            (d) Very low-income families housing               occupied single-family properties.
                                                  FHFA.                                                    goal. The percentage share of each                    ■ 4. Revise § 1282.13 to read as follows:
                                                  *     *     *     *    *                                 Enterprise’s total purchases of purchase
                                                    Non-metropolitan area means a                          money mortgages on owner-occupied                     § 1282.13 Multifamily special affordable
                                                  county, or a portion of a county,                        single-family housing that consists of                housing goal and subgoals.
                                                  including those counties that comprise                   mortgages for very low-income families                  (a) Multifamily housing goal and
                                                  Micropolitan Statistical Areas, located                  shall meet or exceed either:                          subgoals. An Enterprise shall be in
                                                  outside any metropolitan area, for                          (1) The share of such mortgages in the             compliance with a multifamily housing
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                                                  which median incomes are determined                      market as defined in paragraph (b) of                 goal or subgoal if its performance under
                                                  by FHFA.                                                 this section in each year; or                         the housing goal or subgoal meets or
                                                  *     *     *     *    *                                    (2) The benchmark level, which for                 exceeds the benchmark level for the goal
                                                  ■ 3. Revise § 1282.12 to read as follows:                2018, 2019 and 2020 shall be 6 percent                or subgoal, respectively.
                                                                                                           of the total number of purchase money                   (b) Multifamily low-income housing
                                                  § 1282.12    Single-family housing goals.                mortgages purchased by that Enterprise                goal. The benchmark level for each
                                                    (a) Single-family housing goals. An                    in each year that finance owner-                      Enterprise’s purchases of mortgages on
                                                  Enterprise shall be in compliance with                   occupied single-family properties.                    multifamily residential housing


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                                                  31030                   Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 127 / Wednesday, July 5, 2017 / Proposed Rules

                                                  affordable to low-income families shall                    Dated: June 28, 2017.                               FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:   Tom
                                                  be at least 315,000 dwelling units                       Melvin L. Watt,                                       Clark, Federal Aviation Administration,
                                                  affordable to low-income families in                     Director, Federal Housing Finance Agency.             Operations Support Group, Western
                                                  multifamily residential housing                          [FR Doc. 2017–14039 Filed 7–3–17; 8:45 am]            Service Center, 1601 Lind Avenue SW.,
                                                  financed by mortgages purchased by the                   BILLING CODE 8070–01–P                                Renton, WA 98057; telephone (425)
                                                  Enterprise in each year for 2018, 2019,                                                                        203–4511.
                                                  and 2020.                                                                                                      SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
                                                     (c) Multifamily very low-income                       DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION                          Authority for This Rulemaking
                                                  housing subgoal. The benchmark level
                                                  for each Enterprise’s purchases of                       Federal Aviation Administration                          The FAA’s authority to issue rules
                                                  mortgages on multifamily residential                                                                           regarding aviation safety is found in
                                                  housing affordable to very low-income                    14 CFR Part 71                                        Title 49 of the United States Code.
                                                  families shall be at least 60,000 dwelling                                                                     Subtitle I, Section 106 describes the
                                                                                                           [Docket No. FAA–2017–0391; Airspace                   authority of the FAA Administrator.
                                                  units affordable to very low-income                      Docket No. 17–ANM–13]
                                                  families in multifamily residential                                                                            Subtitle VII, Aviation Programs,
                                                  housing financed by mortgages                            Proposed Amendment of Class E                         describes in more detail the scope of the
                                                  purchased by the Enterprise in each                      Airspace; Bend, OR                                    agency’s authority. This rulemaking is
                                                  year for 2018, 2019, and 2020.                                                                                 promulgated under the authority
                                                                                                           AGENCY: Federal Aviation                              described in Subtitle VII, Part A,
                                                     (d) Small multifamily low-income                      Administration (FAA), DOT.                            Subpart I, Section 40103. Under that
                                                  housing subgoal. The benchmark level
                                                                                                           ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking                 section, the FAA is charged with
                                                  for each Enterprise’s purchases of
                                                                                                           (NPRM).                                               prescribing regulations to assign the use
                                                  mortgages on small multifamily
                                                                                                                                                                 of airspace necessary to ensure the
                                                  properties affordable to low-income                      SUMMARY:   This action proposes to                    safety of aircraft and the efficient use of
                                                  families shall be at least 10,000 dwelling               modify Class E airspace extending                     airspace. This regulation is within the
                                                  units affordable to low-income families                  upward from 700 feet above the surface                scope of that authority as it would
                                                  in small multifamily properties financed                 at Bend Municipal Airport, Bend, OR, to               amend Class E airspace extending
                                                  by mortgages purchased by the                            accommodate airspace redesign for the                 upward from 700 feet above the surface
                                                  Enterprise in each year for 2018, 2019,                  safety and management of instrument                   at Bend Municipal Airport, Bend, OR, to
                                                  and 2020.                                                flight rules (IFR) operations within the              support IFR operations under standard
                                                                                                           National Airspace System.                             instrument approach procedures.
                                                  § 1282.15   [Amended]
                                                                                                           DATES: Comments must be received on
                                                  ■ 5. Amend § 1282.15 as follows:                         or before August 21, 2017.                            Comments Invited
                                                  ■ a. In paragraph (e)(2) remove the                      ADDRESSES: Send comments on this                         Interested parties are invited to
                                                  phrase ‘‘based on the most recent                        proposal to the U.S. Department of                    participate in this proposed rulemaking
                                                  decennial census’’; and                                  Transportation, Docket Operations, 1200               by submitting such written data, views,
                                                  ■ b. Revise paragraph (g).                               New Jersey Avenue SE., West Building                  or arguments, as they may desire.
                                                    The revisions read as follows:                         Ground Floor, Room W12–140,                           Comments that provide the factual basis
                                                                                                           Washington, DC 20590; telephone: 1–                   supporting the views and suggestions
                                                  § 1282.15   General counting requirements.               800–647–5527, or (202) 366–9826. You                  presented are particularly helpful in
                                                  *     *      *    *     *                                must identify FAA Docket No. FAA–                     developing reasoned regulatory
                                                    (g) Application of median income. For                  2017–0391; Airspace Docket No. 17–                    decisions on the proposal. Comments
                                                  purposes of determining an area’s                        ANM–13, at the beginning of your                      are specifically invited on the overall
                                                  median income under §§ 1282.17                           comments. You may also submit                         regulatory, aeronautical, economic,
                                                  through 1282.19 and the definitions in                   comments through the Internet at http://              environmental, and energy-related
                                                  § 1282.1, the area is:                                   www.regulations.gov.                                  aspects of the proposal.
                                                    (1) The metropolitan area, if the                         FAA Order 7400.11A, Airspace                       Communications should identify both
                                                  property which is the subject of the                     Designations and Reporting Points, and                docket numbers and be submitted in
                                                  mortgage is in a metropolitan area; and                  subsequent amendments can be viewed                   triplicate to the address listed above.
                                                    (2) In all other areas, the county in                  online at http://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/             Persons wishing the FAA to
                                                  which the property is located, except                    publications/. For further information,               acknowledge receipt of their comments
                                                  that where the State non-metropolitan                    you can contact the Airspace Policy                   on this notice must submit with those
                                                  median income is higher than the                         Group, Federal Aviation                               comments a self-addressed, stamped
                                                  county’s median income, the area is the                  Administration, 800 Independence                      postcard on which the following
                                                  State non-metropolitan area.                             Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20591;                     statement is made: ‘‘Comments to
                                                                                                           telephone: (202) 267–8783. The Order is               Docket No. FAA–2017–0391/Airspace
                                                  *     *      *    *     *                                also available for inspection at the                  Docket No. 17–ANM–13’’. The postcard
                                                  ■ 6. Amend § 1282.21 by revising                         National Archives and Records                         will be date/time stamped and returned
                                                  paragraph (b)(3), to read as follows:                    Administration (NARA). For                            to the commenter.
                                                  § 1282.21   Housing plans.                               information on the availability of FAA                   All communications received before
                                                                                                           Order 7400.11A at NARA, call (202)                    the specified closing date for comments
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                                                  *     *    *     *     *                                                                                       will be considered before taking action
                                                                                                           741–6030, or go to http://
                                                    (b) * * *                                              www.archives.gov/federal_register/                    on the proposed rule. The proposal
                                                    (3) Describe the specific actions that                 code_of_federal-regulations/                          contained in this notice may be changed
                                                  the Enterprise will take in a time period                ibr_locations.html.                                   in light of the comments received. A
                                                  determined by the Director to improve                       FAA Order 7400.11, Airspace                        report summarizing each substantive
                                                  the Enterprise’s performance under the                   Designations and Reporting Points, is                 public contact with FAA personnel
                                                  housing goal; and                                        published yearly and effective on                     concerned with this rulemaking will be
                                                  *     *    *     *     *                                 September 15.                                         filed in the docket.


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Document Created: 2017-07-04 02:00:56
Document Modified: 2017-07-04 02:00:56
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionProposed rule.
DatesFHFA will accept written comments on the proposed rule on or before September 5, 2017.
ContactTed Wartell, Manager, Housing & Community Investment, Division of Housing Mission and Goals, at (202)
FR Citation82 FR 31009 
RIN Number2590-AA81
CFR AssociatedMortgages and Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements

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