83_FR_15581 83 FR 15511 - Fisheries of the Northeastern United States; Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council; Omnibus Acceptable Biological Catch Framework Adjustment

83 FR 15511 - Fisheries of the Northeastern United States; Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council; Omnibus Acceptable Biological Catch Framework Adjustment

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Federal Register Volume 83, Issue 70 (April 11, 2018)

Page Range15511-15513
FR Document2018-07373

This action implements an Omnibus Framework Adjustment to the Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's acceptable biological catch setting process, allows for adoption of peer-reviewed scientific information more quickly, and clarifies language in the Council's catch control rules. This action is necessary to provide an additional approach in catch setting that will help bring stability to quotas, ensure the best available scientific information is more readily available, and clarify existing control rule language. The intended effect of this action is to inform the public of these changes to the Council's catch setting control rules and process.

Federal Register, Volume 83 Issue 70 (Wednesday, April 11, 2018)
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 70 (Wednesday, April 11, 2018)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 15511-15513]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2018-07373]


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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

50 CFR Part 648

[Docket No. 150309236-8327-02]
RIN 0648-BE65


Fisheries of the Northeastern United States; Mid-Atlantic Fishery 
Management Council; Omnibus Acceptable Biological Catch Framework 
Adjustment

AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.

ACTION: Final rule.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: This action implements an Omnibus Framework Adjustment to the 
Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's acceptable biological catch 
setting process, allows for adoption of peer-reviewed scientific 
information more quickly, and clarifies language in the Council's catch 
control rules. This action is necessary to provide an additional 
approach in catch setting that will help bring stability to quotas, 
ensure the best available scientific information is more readily 
available, and clarify existing control rule language. The intended 
effect of this action is to inform the public of these changes to the 
Council's catch setting control rules and process.

DATES: This rule is effective May 11, 2018.

ADDRESSES: Copies of the Council's Omnibus Acceptable Biological Catch 
Framework Adjustment and the accompanying environmental assessment (EA) 
are available on request from: Michael Pentony, Regional Administrator, 
National Marine Fisheries Service, 55 Great Republic Drive, Gloucester, 
MA 01930.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Erin Wilkinson, Fishery Management 
Specialist, (301) 427-8561.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:

Background

    The Council is required to set annual catch limits (ACLs) that do 
not exceed the acceptable biological catch (ABC) recommendation of its 
Scientific and Statistical Committee (SSC) to prevent overfishing. ABCs 
represent an upper limit for the Council to use when setting catch 
limits. The 2011 ACL Omnibus Amendment final rule (76 FR 60606; 
September 29, 2011), put in place the Council's risk policy that 
provides guidance to the SSC on the Council's tolerance for overfishing 
risk. The policy also outlines risk tolerance for ensuring stocks under 
rebuilding plans achieve fishing mortality objectives.
    The Council's risk policy for setting ABCs states that for a 
typical species whose stock size is equal to or greater than a biomass 
target associated with maximum sustainable yield (BMSY), the 
acceptable probability of overfishing is 40 percent, i.e., if the 
fishery catches the ABC then there is a 60-percent probability of not 
overfishing. If the SSC determines that a species has an atypical life 
history, the Council requires at least a 65-percent chance of not 
overfishing to create a larger buffer when biomass is at or above 
BMSY. The SSC determines whether a stock is typical or 
atypical each time an ABC is recommended.
    For both typical and atypical species, the Council has specified 
that as stock size biomass (B) falls below the target BMSY, 
the probability of overfishing decreases, until the probability of 
overfishing hits zero when the stock is at 10 percent of the target 
BMSY. For a stock under a rebuilding plan, the probability 
of not exceeding the fishing mortality rate (F) within the specified 
timeframe must be at least 50 percent, unless this probability 
threshold is modified through a stock rebuilding plan.
    The fishery management plans (FMPs) managed by the Council all have 
provisions for setting specifications for multiple years (five years 
for dogfish and three years for all other species).

Approved Measures

Overfishing Probability Averaging

    When the SSC accepts assessment fishing mortality reference points, 
the average probability of overfishing (or achieving the target fishing 
mortality for rebuilding stocks) may be used consistent with the 
existing risk policy requirements. The constant, multi-year ABCs that 
would result must continue to meet the Council's risk policy goals, 
with the probability of overfishing not to exceed 50 percent in any 
given year. For stocks in a rebuilding plan, the probability of 
achieving the rebuilding fishery mortality must meet the risk policy 
objectives when constant, multi-year ABCs are recommended by the SSC.
    Averaged ABCs could be set at a constant level for up to five years 
for spiny dogfish and up to three years for all other species managed 
by the Council. The SSC may provide both variable, year-to-year and 
constant multi-year recommendations based on the average overfishing 
probability approach for the Council to consider. The SSC will continue 
to review fishery performance each year during multi-year 
specifications, regardless of which multi-year approach is used to 
determine ABCs. The multi-year averaging of ABCs will not apply to 
stocks that do not have a quantitative assessment to derive ABCs, or to 
stocks with an assessment that lacks information on the risk of 
overfishing.

ABC Control Rule Assessment Level Designations

    In conjunction with this action, the Council developed and we 
approved some clarifying language describing its ABC control rule 
assessment level designations. These revisions are minor and intended 
to clarify the various components of the assessment levels used in the 
ABC control rules.

Approved Biological Status Criteria

    This action provides notice of the administrative process the 
Council will use for incorporating the best scientific information 
available in the development of ABCs for the Atlantic Bluefish, 
Tilefish, and Atlantic Mackerel, Squid, and Butterfish FMPs. All other 
Mid-Atlantic FMPs already use this process. The best available science 
requirements dictate that the SSC use the accepted assessment 
information to set quotas under National Standard 2. The Council's SSC 
will utilize peer-reviewed biological reference points (overfishing 
level, biomass thresholds, etc.) and periodic updates to stock status 
determination criteria (i.e., biomass and fishing mortality reference 
points) to define ABCs, consistent with the Council's other FMPs and 
National Standards 1 and 2 of the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation 
and Management Act (Magnuson-Stevens Act). This change in Council 
operations improves management efficiency by automatically 
incorporating new peer-reviewed status determination criteria instead 
of requiring a separate management action to adopt them within these 
three FMPs.

[[Page 15512]]

Comments and Responses

    We received one comment on the proposed rule from the public. The 
commenter suggested clarifying language in the preamble of the proposed 
rule notice, describing the measures. We clarified the description of 
the measures in the preamble of this final rule.

Changes From the Proposed Rule

    There are no changes from the proposed to final rule.

Classification

    Pursuant to section 304(b)(1)(A) of the Magnuson-Stevens Act, the 
NMFS Assistant Administrator has determined that the management 
measures implemented in this final rule are necessary for the 
conservation and management of the Council's FMPs, and consistent with 
the Magnuson-Stevens Act, and other applicable law.
    This final rule has been determined to not be significant for 
purposes of Executive Order (E.O.) 12866.
    The Chief Counsel for Regulation of the Department of Commerce 
certified to the Chief Counsel for Advocacy of the Small Business 
Administration during the proposed rule stage that this rule would not 
have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small 
entities. The factual basis for the certification was published in the 
proposed rule and is not repeated here. No comments were received 
regarding this certification, and the initial certification remains 
unchanged. As a result, a final regulatory flexibility analysis is not 
required and none has been prepared.

List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 648

    Fisheries, Fishing, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements.

    Dated: April 5, 2018.
Samuel D. Rauch, III,
Deputy Assistant Administrator for Regulatory Programs, National Marine 
Fisheries Service.
    For the reasons set out in the preamble, 50 CFR part 648 is amended 
as follows:

PART 648--FISHERIES OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES

0
1. The authority citation for part 648 continues to read as follows:

    Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq.

0
2. Section 648.20 is revised to read as follows:


Sec.  648.20  Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council Acceptable 
Biological Catch (ABC) control rules.

    The SSC shall review the following criteria, and any additional 
relevant information, to assign managed stocks to one of four types of 
control rules based on the species' assessments and its treatment of 
uncertainty when developing ABC recommendations. The SSC shall review 
the ABC control rule assignment for stocks each time an ABC is 
recommended. ABCs may be recommended for up to three years for all 
stocks, with the exception of five years for spiny dogfish. The SCC may 
specify constant, multi-year ABCs, derived from the average of ABCs (or 
average risk of overfishing) if the average probability of overfishing 
remains between zero and 40 percent, and does not exceed a 50-percent 
probability in any given year. The average ABCs may remain constant for 
up to three years for all stocks, with the exception of five years for 
spiny dogfish. The SSC may deviate from the control rule methods and 
recommend an ABC that differs from the result of the ABC control rule 
application; however, any such deviation must include the following: A 
description of why the deviation is warranted; description of the 
methods used to derive the alternative ABC; and an explanation of how 
the deviation is consistent with National Standard 2. The four types of 
ABC control rules are described below.
    (a) ABC control rule for a stock with an OFL probability 
distribution that is analytically-derived and accepted by the SSC. (1) 
The SSC determines that the assessment OFL and the assessment's 
treatment of uncertainty are acceptable, based on the following:
    (i) All important sources of scientific uncertainty are captured in 
the stock assessment model;
    (ii) The probability distribution of the OFL is calculated within 
the stock assessment and adequately describes the OFL uncertainty;
    (iii) The stock assessment model structure and treatment of the 
data prior to use in the model include relevant details of the biology 
of the stock, fisheries that exploit the stock, and data collection 
methods;
    (iv) The stock assessment provides the following estimates: Fishing 
mortality rate (F) at MSY or an acceptable proxy maximum fishing 
mortality threshold (MFMT) to define OFL, biomass, biological reference 
points, stock status, OFL, and the respective uncertainties associated 
with each value; and
    (v) No substantial retrospective patterns exist in the stock 
assessment estimates of fishing mortality, biomass, and recruitment.
    (2) An ABC for stocks with an accepted OFL probability distribution 
that is analytically-derived will be determined by applying the 
acceptable probability of overfishing from the MAFMC's risk policy 
found in Sec.  648.21(a) through (d) to the probability distribution of 
the OFL.
    (b) ABC control rule for a stock with an OFL probability 
distribution that is modified by the assessment team and accepted by 
the SSC. (1) The SSC determines the assessment OFL is acceptable and 
the SSC accepts the assessment team's modifications to the 
analytically-derived OFL probability distribution, based on the 
following:
    (i) Key features of the stock biology, the fisheries that exploit 
it, and/or the data collection methods for stock information are 
missing from, or poorly estimated in, the stock assessment;
    (ii) The stock assessment provides reference points (which may be 
proxies), stock status, and uncertainties associated with each; 
however, the uncertainty is not fully promulgated through the stock 
assessment model and/or some important sources of uncertainty may be 
lacking;
    (iii) The stock assessment provides estimates of the precision of 
biomass, fishing mortality, and reference points;
    (iv) The accuracy of the minimum fishing mortality threshold and 
projected future biomass is estimated in the stock assessment using ad 
hoc methods; and
    (v) The modified OFL probability distribution provided by the 
assessment team acceptably addresses the uncertainty of the assessment.
    (2) An ABC for stocks with an OFL probability distribution that is 
modified by the assessment team and accepted by the SSC will be 
determined by applying the acceptable probability of overfishing from 
the MAFMC's risk policy found in Sec.  648.21(a) through (d) to the 
probability distribution of the OFL as modified by the assessment team.
    (c) ABC control rule for a stock with an OFL probability 
distribution that is modified by the SSC. (1) The SSC determines the 
assessment OFL is acceptable but the SSC derives the appropriate 
uncertainty for OFL based on meta-analysis and other considerations. 
This requires the SSC to determine that the stock assessment does not 
contain an estimated probability distribution of OFL or the OFL 
probability distribution in the stock assessment is judged by the SSC 
to not adequately reflect uncertainty in the OFL estimate.

[[Page 15513]]

    (2) An ABC for stocks with an OFL probability distribution that is 
modified by the SSC will be determined by either:
    (i) Applying the acceptable probability of overfishing from the 
MAFMC's risk policy found in Sec.  648.21(a) through (d) to the SSC-
adjusted OFL probability distribution. The SSC will use default 
assignments of uncertainty in the adjusted OFL probability distribution 
based on literature review and valuation of control rule performance; 
or,
    (ii) If the SSC cannot develop an OFL probability distribution, a 
default control rule of 75 percent of the FMSY value will be 
applied to derive ABC.
    (d) ABC control rule for when an OFL cannot be specified. (1) The 
SSC determines that the OFL cannot be specified given the available 
information.
    (2) An ABC for stocks with an OFL that cannot be specified will be 
determined by using control rules based on biomass and catch history 
and application of the MAFMC's risk policy found in Sec.  648.21(a) 
through (d).

[FR Doc. 2018-07373 Filed 4-10-18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-P



                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 70 / Wednesday, April 11, 2018 / Rules and Regulations                                        15511

                                              the cover, the mesh netting shall be                    Background                                            probability of achieving the rebuilding
                                              tightly wrapped around the entire raft                     The Council is required to set annual              fishery mortality must meet the risk
                                              such that no loose netting hangs below                  catch limits (ACLs) that do not exceed                policy objectives when constant, multi-
                                              the FAD when deployed.                                  the acceptable biological catch (ABC)                 year ABCs are recommended by the
                                                 (2) Subsurface. Any netting used in                  recommendation of its Scientific and                  SSC.
                                              the subsurface structure of the FAD                     Statistical Committee (SSC) to prevent                   Averaged ABCs could be set at a
                                              must be tightly tied into bundles                       overfishing. ABCs represent an upper                  constant level for up to five years for
                                              (‘‘sausages’’).                                         limit for the Council to use when setting             spiny dogfish and up to three years for
                                              [FR Doc. 2018–07387 Filed 4–10–18; 8:45 am]             catch limits. The 2011 ACL Omnibus                    all other species managed by the
                                              BILLING CODE 3510–22–P                                  Amendment final rule (76 FR 60606;                    Council. The SSC may provide both
                                                                                                      September 29, 2011), put in place the                 variable, year-to-year and constant
                                                                                                      Council’s risk policy that provides                   multi-year recommendations based on
                                              DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE                                  guidance to the SSC on the Council’s                  the average overfishing probability
                                                                                                      tolerance for overfishing risk. The                   approach for the Council to consider.
                                              National Oceanic and Atmospheric                        policy also outlines risk tolerance for               The SSC will continue to review fishery
                                              Administration                                          ensuring stocks under rebuilding plans                performance each year during multi-
                                                                                                      achieve fishing mortality objectives.                 year specifications, regardless of which
                                              50 CFR Part 648                                            The Council’s risk policy for setting              multi-year approach is used to
                                                                                                      ABCs states that for a typical species                determine ABCs. The multi-year
                                              [Docket No. 150309236–8327–02]                          whose stock size is equal to or greater               averaging of ABCs will not apply to
                                                                                                      than a biomass target associated with                 stocks that do not have a quantitative
                                              RIN 0648–BE65                                           maximum sustainable yield (BMSY), the                 assessment to derive ABCs, or to stocks
                                                                                                      acceptable probability of overfishing is              with an assessment that lacks
                                              Fisheries of the Northeastern United                    40 percent, i.e., if the fishery catches the
                                              States; Mid-Atlantic Fishery                                                                                  information on the risk of overfishing.
                                                                                                      ABC then there is a 60-percent
                                              Management Council; Omnibus                             probability of not overfishing. If the SSC            ABC Control Rule Assessment Level
                                              Acceptable Biological Catch                             determines that a species has an                      Designations
                                              Framework Adjustment                                    atypical life history, the Council
                                              AGENCY:  National Marine Fisheries                      requires at least a 65-percent chance of                In conjunction with this action, the
                                              Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and                    not overfishing to create a larger buffer             Council developed and we approved
                                              Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),                      when biomass is at or above BMSY. The                 some clarifying language describing its
                                              Commerce.                                               SSC determines whether a stock is                     ABC control rule assessment level
                                                                                                      typical or atypical each time an ABC is               designations. These revisions are minor
                                              ACTION: Final rule.
                                                                                                      recommended.                                          and intended to clarify the various
                                              SUMMARY:   This action implements an                       For both typical and atypical species,             components of the assessment levels
                                              Omnibus Framework Adjustment to the                     the Council has specified that as stock               used in the ABC control rules.
                                              Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management                         size biomass (B) falls below the target
                                                                                                                                                            Approved Biological Status Criteria
                                              Council’s acceptable biological catch                   BMSY, the probability of overfishing
                                              setting process, allows for adoption of                 decreases, until the probability of                     This action provides notice of the
                                              peer-reviewed scientific information                    overfishing hits zero when the stock is               administrative process the Council will
                                              more quickly, and clarifies language in                 at 10 percent of the target BMSY. For a               use for incorporating the best scientific
                                              the Council’s catch control rules. This                 stock under a rebuilding plan, the                    information available in the
                                              action is necessary to provide an                       probability of not exceeding the fishing              development of ABCs for the Atlantic
                                              additional approach in catch setting that               mortality rate (F) within the specified               Bluefish, Tilefish, and Atlantic
                                              will help bring stability to quotas,                    timeframe must be at least 50 percent,                Mackerel, Squid, and Butterfish FMPs.
                                              ensure the best available scientific                    unless this probability threshold is                  All other Mid-Atlantic FMPs already
                                              information is more readily available,                  modified through a stock rebuilding                   use this process. The best available
                                              and clarify existing control rule                       plan.                                                 science requirements dictate that the
                                              language. The intended effect of this                      The fishery management plans (FMPs)                SSC use the accepted assessment
                                              action is to inform the public of these                 managed by the Council all have                       information to set quotas under National
                                              changes to the Council’s catch setting                  provisions for setting specifications for             Standard 2. The Council’s SSC will
                                              control rules and process.                              multiple years (five years for dogfish                utilize peer-reviewed biological
                                                                                                      and three years for all other species).               reference points (overfishing level,
                                              DATES: This rule is effective May 11,
                                              2018.                                                   Approved Measures                                     biomass thresholds, etc.) and periodic
                                                                                                                                                            updates to stock status determination
                                              ADDRESSES:   Copies of the Council’s                    Overfishing Probability Averaging                     criteria (i.e., biomass and fishing
                                              Omnibus Acceptable Biological Catch                        When the SSC accepts assessment                    mortality reference points) to define
                                              Framework Adjustment and the                            fishing mortality reference points, the               ABCs, consistent with the Council’s
                                              accompanying environmental                              average probability of overfishing (or                other FMPs and National Standards 1
                                              assessment (EA) are available on request                achieving the target fishing mortality for            and 2 of the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery
                                              from: Michael Pentony, Regional                         rebuilding stocks) may be used                        Conservation and Management Act
                                              Administrator, National Marine
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                                                                                                      consistent with the existing risk policy              (Magnuson-Stevens Act). This change in
                                              Fisheries Service, 55 Great Republic                    requirements. The constant, multi-year                Council operations improves
                                              Drive, Gloucester, MA 01930.                            ABCs that would result must continue                  management efficiency by automatically
                                              FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Erin                   to meet the Council’s risk policy goals,              incorporating new peer-reviewed status
                                              Wilkinson, Fishery Management                           with the probability of overfishing not               determination criteria instead of
                                              Specialist, (301) 427–8561.                             to exceed 50 percent in any given year.               requiring a separate management action
                                              SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                              For stocks in a rebuilding plan, the                  to adopt them within these three FMPs.


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                                              15512            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 70 / Wednesday, April 11, 2018 / Rules and Regulations

                                              Comments and Responses                                  § 648.20 Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management              estimates of fishing mortality, biomass,
                                                                                                      Council Acceptable Biological Catch (ABC)             and recruitment.
                                                 We received one comment on the                       control rules.                                           (2) An ABC for stocks with an
                                              proposed rule from the public. The                         The SSC shall review the following                 accepted OFL probability distribution
                                              commenter suggested clarifying                          criteria, and any additional relevant                 that is analytically-derived will be
                                              language in the preamble of the                         information, to assign managed stocks to              determined by applying the acceptable
                                              proposed rule notice, describing the                    one of four types of control rules based              probability of overfishing from the
                                              measures. We clarified the description                  on the species’ assessments and its                   MAFMC’s risk policy found in
                                              of the measures in the preamble of this                 treatment of uncertainty when                         § 648.21(a) through (d) to the probability
                                              final rule.                                             developing ABC recommendations. The                   distribution of the OFL.
                                              Changes From the Proposed Rule                          SSC shall review the ABC control rule                    (b) ABC control rule for a stock with
                                                                                                      assignment for stocks each time an ABC                an OFL probability distribution that is
                                                There are no changes from the                         is recommended. ABCs may be                           modified by the assessment team and
                                              proposed to final rule.                                 recommended for up to three years for                 accepted by the SSC. (1) The SSC
                                                                                                      all stocks, with the exception of five                determines the assessment OFL is
                                              Classification                                          years for spiny dogfish. The SCC may                  acceptable and the SSC accepts the
                                                                                                      specify constant, multi-year ABCs,                    assessment team’s modifications to the
                                                Pursuant to section 304(b)(1)(A) of the
                                                                                                      derived from the average of ABCs (or                  analytically-derived OFL probability
                                              Magnuson-Stevens Act, the NMFS
                                                                                                      average risk of overfishing) if the                   distribution, based on the following:
                                              Assistant Administrator has determined
                                                                                                      average probability of overfishing                       (i) Key features of the stock biology,
                                              that the management measures
                                                                                                      remains between zero and 40 percent,                  the fisheries that exploit it, and/or the
                                              implemented in this final rule are
                                                                                                      and does not exceed a 50-percent                      data collection methods for stock
                                              necessary for the conservation and
                                                                                                      probability in any given year. The                    information are missing from, or poorly
                                              management of the Council’s FMPs, and
                                                                                                      average ABCs may remain constant for                  estimated in, the stock assessment;
                                              consistent with the Magnuson-Stevens
                                                                                                      up to three years for all stocks, with the               (ii) The stock assessment provides
                                              Act, and other applicable law.
                                                                                                      exception of five years for spiny dogfish.            reference points (which may be
                                                This final rule has been determined to                The SSC may deviate from the control                  proxies), stock status, and uncertainties
                                              not be significant for purposes of                      rule methods and recommend an ABC                     associated with each; however, the
                                              Executive Order (E.O.) 12866.                           that differs from the result of the ABC               uncertainty is not fully promulgated
                                                The Chief Counsel for Regulation of                   control rule application; however, any                through the stock assessment model
                                              the Department of Commerce certified                    such deviation must include the                       and/or some important sources of
                                              to the Chief Counsel for Advocacy of the                following: A description of why the                   uncertainty may be lacking;
                                              Small Business Administration during                    deviation is warranted; description of                   (iii) The stock assessment provides
                                              the proposed rule stage that this rule                  the methods used to derive the                        estimates of the precision of biomass,
                                              would not have a significant economic                   alternative ABC; and an explanation of                fishing mortality, and reference points;
                                              impact on a substantial number of small                 how the deviation is consistent with                     (iv) The accuracy of the minimum
                                              entities. The factual basis for the                     National Standard 2. The four types of                fishing mortality threshold and
                                              certification was published in the                      ABC control rules are described below.                projected future biomass is estimated in
                                              proposed rule and is not repeated here.                    (a) ABC control rule for a stock with              the stock assessment using ad hoc
                                              No comments were received regarding                     an OFL probability distribution that is               methods; and
                                              this certification, and the initial                     analytically-derived and accepted by                     (v) The modified OFL probability
                                              certification remains unchanged. As a                   the SSC. (1) The SSC determines that                  distribution provided by the assessment
                                              result, a final regulatory flexibility                  the assessment OFL and the                            team acceptably addresses the
                                              analysis is not required and none has                   assessment’s treatment of uncertainty                 uncertainty of the assessment.
                                              been prepared.                                          are acceptable, based on the following:                  (2) An ABC for stocks with an OFL
                                                                                                         (i) All important sources of scientific            probability distribution that is modified
                                              List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 648                     uncertainty are captured in the stock                 by the assessment team and accepted by
                                                Fisheries, Fishing, Reporting and                     assessment model;                                     the SSC will be determined by applying
                                              recordkeeping requirements.                                (ii) The probability distribution of the           the acceptable probability of overfishing
                                                                                                      OFL is calculated within the stock                    from the MAFMC’s risk policy found in
                                                Dated: April 5, 2018.                                 assessment and adequately describes the               § 648.21(a) through (d) to the probability
                                              Samuel D. Rauch, III,                                   OFL uncertainty;                                      distribution of the OFL as modified by
                                              Deputy Assistant Administrator for                         (iii) The stock assessment model                   the assessment team.
                                              Regulatory Programs, National Marine                    structure and treatment of the data prior                (c) ABC control rule for a stock with
                                              Fisheries Service.                                      to use in the model include relevant                  an OFL probability distribution that is
                                                For the reasons set out in the                        details of the biology of the stock,                  modified by the SSC. (1) The SSC
                                              preamble, 50 CFR part 648 is amended                    fisheries that exploit the stock, and data            determines the assessment OFL is
                                              as follows:                                             collection methods;                                   acceptable but the SSC derives the
                                                                                                         (iv) The stock assessment provides the             appropriate uncertainty for OFL based
                                              PART 648—FISHERIES OF THE                               following estimates: Fishing mortality                on meta-analysis and other
                                              NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES                              rate (F) at MSY or an acceptable proxy                considerations. This requires the SSC to
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                                                                                                      maximum fishing mortality threshold                   determine that the stock assessment
                                              ■ 1. The authority citation for part 648                (MFMT) to define OFL, biomass,                        does not contain an estimated
                                              continues to read as follows:                           biological reference points, stock status,            probability distribution of OFL or the
                                                                                                      OFL, and the respective uncertainties                 OFL probability distribution in the stock
                                                  Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq.
                                                                                                      associated with each value; and                       assessment is judged by the SSC to not
                                              ■ 2. Section 648.20 is revised to read as                  (v) No substantial retrospective                   adequately reflect uncertainty in the
                                              follows:                                                patterns exist in the stock assessment                OFL estimate.


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                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 70 / Wednesday, April 11, 2018 / Rules and Regulations                                               15513

                                                (2) An ABC for stocks with an OFL                     probability distribution based on                     specified given the available
                                              probability distribution that is modified               literature review and valuation of                    information.
                                              by the SSC will be determined by either:                control rule performance; or,                           (2) An ABC for stocks with an OFL
                                                (i) Applying the acceptable                              (ii) If the SSC cannot develop an OFL              that cannot be specified will be
                                              probability of overfishing from the                     probability distribution, a default                   determined by using control rules based
                                              MAFMC’s risk policy found in                            control rule of 75 percent of the FMSY                on biomass and catch history and
                                              § 648.21(a) through (d) to the SSC-                     value will be applied to derive ABC.                  application of the MAFMC’s risk policy
                                              adjusted OFL probability distribution.                     (d) ABC control rule for when an OFL               found in § 648.21(a) through (d).
                                              The SSC will use default assignments of                 cannot be specified. (1) The SSC                      [FR Doc. 2018–07373 Filed 4–10–18; 8:45 am]
                                              uncertainty in the adjusted OFL                         determines that the OFL cannot be                     BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
nshattuck on DSK9F9SC42PROD with RULES




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Document Created: 2018-04-10 23:59:22
Document Modified: 2018-04-10 23:59:22
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionRules and Regulations
ActionFinal rule.
DatesThis rule is effective May 11, 2018.
ContactErin Wilkinson, Fishery Management Specialist, (301) 427-8561.
FR Citation83 FR 15511 
RIN Number0648-BE65
CFR AssociatedFisheries; Fishing and Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements

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