83_FR_25724 83 FR 25617 - Interstate Transport Prongs 1 and 2 for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide (SO2

83 FR 25617 - Interstate Transport Prongs 1 and 2 for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide (SO2

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

Federal Register Volume 83, Issue 107 (June 4, 2018)

Page Range25617-25632
FR Document2018-11846

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve portions of State Implementation Plan (SIP) submissions from Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming addressing the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act) interstate transport SIP requirements for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide (SO<INF>2</INF>) National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). These submissions address the requirement that each SIP contain adequate provisions prohibiting air emissions that will have certain adverse air quality effects in other states. The EPA is proposing to approve portions of these infrastructure SIPs for the aforementioned states as containing adequate provisions to ensure that air emissions in the states will not significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO<INF>2</INF> NAAQS in any other state.

Federal Register, Volume 83 Issue 107 (Monday, June 4, 2018)
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 107 (Monday, June 4, 2018)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 25617-25632]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2018-11846]


-----------------------------------------------------------------------

ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

40 CFR Part 52

[EPA-R08-OAR-2018-0109; FRL-9978-72-Region 8]


Interstate Transport Prongs 1 and 2 for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide 
(SO2) Standard for Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota and 
Wyoming

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION: Proposed rule.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to 
approve portions of State Implementation Plan (SIP) submissions from 
Colorado, Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming addressing 
the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act) interstate transport SIP requirements 
for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) National Ambient Air 
Quality Standards (NAAQS). These submissions address the requirement 
that each SIP contain adequate provisions prohibiting air emissions 
that will have certain adverse air quality effects in other states. The 
EPA is proposing to approve portions of these infrastructure SIPs for 
the aforementioned states as containing adequate provisions to ensure 
that air emissions in the states will not significantly contribute to 
nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS in any other state.

DATES: Comments must be received on or before July 5, 2018.

ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No EPA-R08-
OAR-2018-0109 at http://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online 
instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot 
be edited or removed from www.regulations.gov. The EPA may publish any 
comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any 
information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) 
or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. 
Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a 
written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment 
and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA 
will generally not consider comments or comment contents located 
outside of the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other 
file sharing system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA 
public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions 
and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit http://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Adam Clark, Air Program, U.S. EPA 
Region 8, (303) 312-7104, [email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
II. Relevant Factors To Evaluate 2010 SO2 Interstate 
Transport SIPs
III. States' Submissions and EPA's Analysis
    A. Colorado
    1. State's Analysis
    2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    B. Montana
    1. State's Analysis
    2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    C. North Dakota
    1. State's Analysis
    2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    D. South Dakota
    1. State's Analysis
    2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    E. Wyoming
    1. State's Analysis
    2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
IV. Proposed Action
V. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

I. Background

    On June 2, 2010, the EPA established a new primary 1-hour 
SO2 NAAQS of 75 parts per billion (ppb), based on a 3-year 
average of the annual 99th percentile of 1-hour daily maximum 
concentrations.\1\ The CAA requires states to submit, within 3 years 
after promulgation of a new or revised NAAQS, SIPs meeting the 
applicable ``infrastructure'' elements of sections 110(a)(1) and (2). 
One of these applicable infrastructure elements, CAA section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i), requires SIPs to contain ``good neighbor'' provisions 
to prohibit certain adverse air quality effects on neighboring states 
due to interstate transport of pollution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ 75 FR 35520 (June 22, 2010).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) includes four distinct components, commonly 
referred to as ``prongs,'' that must be addressed in infrastructure SIP 
submissions. The first two prongs, which are codified in section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), require SIPs to contain adequate provisions that 
prohibit any source or other type of emissions activity in one state 
from contributing significantly to nonattainment of the NAAQS in 
another state (prong 1) and from interfering with maintenance of the 
NAAQS in another state (prong 2). The third and fourth prongs, which 
are codified in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), require SIPs to contain 
adequate provisions that prohibit emissions activity in one state from 
interfering with measures required to prevent significant deterioration 
of air quality in another state (prong 3) or from interfering with 
measures to protect visibility in another state (prong 4).
    In this action, the EPA is proposing to approve the prong 1 and 
prong 2 portions of infrastructure SIP submissions submitted by: 
Colorado on July 17, 2013 and February 16, 2018; Montana on July 15, 
2013; North Dakota on March 7, 2013; South Dakota on December 20, 2013; 
and Wyoming on March 6, 2015, as containing adequate provisions to 
ensure that air emissions in these states will not significantly 
contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in any other state. All other applicable 
infrastructure SIP requirements for these SIP submissions have been 
addressed in separate rulemakings.

[[Page 25618]]

II. Relevant Factors To Evaluate 2010 SO2 Interstate Transport SIPs

    Although SO2 is emitted from a similar universe of point 
and nonpoint sources, interstate transport of SO2 is unlike 
the transport of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) or ozone, 
in that SO2 is not a regional pollutant and does not 
commonly contribute to widespread nonattainment over a large (and often 
multi-state) area. The transport of SO2 is more analogous to 
the transport of lead (Pb) because its physical properties result in 
localized pollutant impacts very near the emissions source. However, 
ambient concentrations of SO2 do not decrease as quickly 
with distance from the source as Pb because of the physical properties 
and typical release heights of SO2. Emissions of 
SO2 travel farther and have wider ranging impacts than 
emissions of Pb, but do not travel far enough to be treated in a manner 
similar to ozone or PM2.5. The approaches that the EPA has 
adopted for ozone or PM2.5 transport are too regionally 
focused and the approach for Pb transport is too tightly circumscribed 
to the source. SO2 transport is therefore a unique case and 
requires a different approach.
    Given the physical properties of SO2, the EPA selected 
the ``urban scale''--a spatial scale with dimensions from 4 to 50 
kilometers (km) from point sources--given the usefulness of that range 
in assessing trends in both area-wide air quality and the effectiveness 
of large-scale pollution control strategies at such point sources.\2\ 
As such, the EPA utilized an assessment up to 50 km from point sources 
in order to assess trends in area-wide air quality that might impact 
downwind states.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \2\ For the definition of spatial scales for SO2, 
please see 40 CFR part 58, Appendix D, section 4.4 (``Sulfur Dioxide 
(SO2) Design Criteria''). For further discussion on how 
the EPA is applying these definitions with respect to interstate 
transport of SO2, see the EPA's proposal on Connecticut's 
SO2 transport SIP. 82 FR 21351, 21352, 21354 (May 8, 
2017).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As discussed in Section III of this proposed action, the EPA first 
reviewed each state's analysis to assess how the state evaluated the 
transport of SO2 to other states, the types of information 
used in the analysis and the conclusions drawn by the state. The EPA 
then conducted a weight of evidence analysis, including review of each 
state's submission and other available information, including air 
quality, emission sources and emission trends within the state and in 
neighboring states to which it could potentially contribute or 
interfere.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \3\ This proposed approval action is based on the information 
contained in the administrative record for this action, and does not 
prejudge any other future EPA action that may make other 
determinations regarding any of the subject state's air quality 
status. Any such future actions, such as area designations under any 
NAAQS, will be based on their own administrative records and the 
EPA's analyses of information that becomes available at those times. 
Future available information may include, and is not limited to, 
monitoring data and modeling analyses conducted pursuant to the 
EPA's SO2 Data Requirements Rule (80 FR 51052, August 21, 
2015) and information submitted to the EPA by states, air agencies, 
and third party stakeholders such as citizen groups and industry 
representatives.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

III. States' Submissions and EPA's Analysis

    In this section, we provide an overview of each state's 2010 
SO2 transport analysis, as well as the EPA's evaluation of 
prongs 1 and 2 for each state. Table 1, below, shows emission trends 
for the five states addressed in this notice along with their 
neighboring states. The table will be referenced as part of the EPA's 
analysis for each state.\4\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \4\ This emissions trends information was derived from EPA's 
webpage https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.

                                          Table 1--SO2 Emission Trends
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                  SO2 reduction,
              State                    2000            2005            2010            2016        2000-2016 (%)
 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arizona.........................         118,528          90,577          73,075          38,089              68
Colorado........................         115,122          80,468          60,459          20,626              82
Idaho...........................          34,525          35,451          14,774          10,051              70
Iowa............................         265,005         222,419         142,738          48,776              81
Kansas..........................         148,416         199,006          80,267          16,054              89
Minnesota.......................         148,899         156,468          85,254          34,219              77
Montana.........................          57,517          42,085          26,869          12,379              78
Nebraska........................          86,894         121,785          77,898          40,964              52
New Mexico......................         164,631          47,671          23,651          15,529              90
North Dakota....................         275,138         159,221         199,322         152,505              44
Oklahoma........................         145,862         169,464         136,348          73,006              50
South Dakota....................          41,120          28,579          16,202           2,642              93
Utah............................          58,040          52,998          29,776          15,226              73
Wyoming.........................         141,439         122,453          91,022          57,313              59
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

A. Colorado

1. State's Analysis
    Colorado conducted a weight of evidence analysis to examine whether 
SO2 emissions from Colorado adversely affect attainment or 
maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. 
Colorado evaluated potential air quality impacts on areas outside the 
State through an assessment of whether SO2 emissions from 
sources located within 50 km of Colorado's borders may have associated 
interstate transport impacts. Colorado's analysis included 
SO2 emissions information in the State, with specific focus 
on sources and counties located within 50 km of Colorado's borders. 
Among these sources, Colorado provided an in-depth analysis of the two 
sources emitting over 100 tons per year (tpy) of SO2; the 
Nucla Generating Station (47 km east of Utah border) and Rawhide Energy 
Station (15 km south of Wyoming border). Colorado also reviewed 
meteorological conditions at SO2 sources within 50 km of the 
State's border, and the distances from identified SO2 
sources in Colorado to the nearest area that is not attaining the NAAQS 
or may have trouble maintaining the NAAQS in another state. Finally, 
Colorado reviewed mobile source emissions data from highway and off-
highway vehicles in all of the Colorado counties which border other 
states. Based on this weight of evidence analysis, Colorado concluded 
that emissions within the State will not contribute to nonattainment or 
interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in 
neighboring states.

[[Page 25619]]

2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    The EPA proposes to find that Colorado's SIP meets the interstate 
transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We have analyzed the 
air quality, emission sources and emission trends in Colorado and 
neighboring states, i.e., Arizona, Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, 
Oklahoma, Utah and Wyoming. Based on that analysis, we propose to find 
that Colorado will not significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 
2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
    We reviewed 2014-2016 SO2 design value concentrations at 
monitors with data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2 
design values for Colorado and neighboring states.\5\ In Table 2, 
below, we have included monitoring data from four scenarios: (1) All of 
the monitor data from Colorado; (2) the monitor with the highest 
SO2 level in each neighboring state; (3) the monitor in each 
neighboring state located closest to the Colorado border; and (4) all 
monitors in each neighboring state within 50 km of the border.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \5\ Data retrieved from EPA's https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values#report.

                         Table 2--SO2 Monitor Values in Colorado and Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                    Distance to      2014-2016
                   State/area                        Scenario         Site ID        Colorado      Design value
                                                                                   border (km) *     (ppb) \6\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Arizona/Miami...................................               3       040070009             432             146
Arizona/Hayden..................................               2       040071001             470             280
Colorado/Denver.................................               1       080013001             127              18
Colorado/Denver.................................               1       080310002             138              12
Colorado/Denver.................................               1       080310026             135              14
Colorado/Colorado Springs.......................               1       080410015             203              52
Kansas/Trego County.............................               3       201950001             198               5
Kansas/Kansas City..............................               2       202090021             640              34
Nebraska/Omaha..................................               2       310550053             515              59
Nebraska/Omaha..................................               3       310550019             676              27
New Mexico/Fruitland............................               4       350450009              28               3
New Mexico/Waterflow............................         2, 3, 4       350451005              22               8
Oklahoma/Muskogee...............................               2       401010167             618              44
Oklahoma/Oklahoma City..........................               3       401091037             437               3
Wyoming/Cheyenne................................            3, 4       560210100              20               9
Wyoming/Casper..................................               2       560252601             206              25
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* All distances throughout this notice are approximations.

    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality data in Colorado and 
neighboring states to see whether there were any monitoring sites, 
particularly near the Colorado border, with elevated SO2 
concentrations that might warrant further investigation with respect to 
interstate transport of SO2 from emission sources near any 
given monitor. As shown, there are no violating design values in 
Colorado or neighboring states apart from in the Hayden, Arizona and 
Miami, Arizona areas. In Colorado's analysis, the state reviewed its 
potential impact on the Hayden and Miami, Arizona 2010 SO2 
nonattainment areas, which are the only areas designated nonattainment 
in states bordering Colorado. Colorado noted the significant distance 
between its border and these nonattainment areas, as well as the larger 
distance between the nonattainment areas to the nearest major 
SO2 source in Colorado (Nucla Generating Station--582 km).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \6\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The data presented in Table 2, above, show that Colorado's network 
of SO2 monitors with data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour 
SO2 design values indicates that monitored 1-hour 
SO2 levels in Colorado are between 16% and 69% of the 75 ppb 
level of the NAAQS. As shown, there are no Colorado monitors located 
within 50 km of a neighboring state's border. Three monitors in 
neighboring states are located within 50 km of the Colorado border, and 
these monitors recorded SO2 design values ranging between 4% 
and 12% of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus, these air quality data 
do not, by themselves, indicate any particular location that would 
warrant further investigation with respect to SO2 emission 
sources that might significantly contribute to nonattainment in the 
neighboring states. However, because the monitoring network is not 
necessarily designed to find all locations of high SO2 
concentrations, this observation indicates an absence of evidence of 
impact at these locations but is not sufficient evidence by itself of 
an absence of impact at all locations in the neighboring states. We 
have therefore also conducted a source-oriented analysis.
    As noted, the EPA finds that it is appropriate to examine the 
impacts of emissions from stationary sources in Colorado in distances 
ranging from 0 km to 50 km from the facility, based on the ``urban 
scale'' definition contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, Section 
4.4. Colorado assessed point sources up to 50 km from state borders to 
evaluate trends and SO2 concentrations in area-wide air 
quality. The list of sources of 100 tpy \7\ or more of SO2 
within 50 km from state borders, provided by Colorado, is shown in 
Table 3 below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ Colorado limited its analysis to Colorado sources of 
SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy. We agree with Colorado's 
choice to limit its analysis in this way, because in the absence of 
special factors, for example the presence of a nearby larger source 
or unusual physical factors, Colorado sources emitting less than 100 
tpy can appropriately be presumed to not be causing or contributing 
to SO2 concentrations above the NAAQS.

[[Page 25620]]



                              Table 3--Colorado SO2 Sources Near Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                    Neighboring
                                           2016 SO2       Distance to      Distance to nearest     state source
            Colorado source                emissions       Colorado       neighboring state SO2   2016 emissions
                                           (tons) *       border (km)          source (km)            (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nucla Generating Station..............             439              47  68 (Lisbon Natural Gas               499
                                                                         Processing Plant--San
                                                                         Juan County, Utah).
Rawhide Energy Station................             878              15  35 (Frontier Petroleum               311
                                                                         Refinery--Cheyenne,
                                                                         Wyoming).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Emissions data throughout this document were obtained using EPA's Emissions Inventory System (EIS) Gateway.

    Table 3 shows the distance from the sources listed therein to the 
nearest out-of-state source emitting above 100 tpy of SO2, 
because elevated levels of SO2, to which SO2 
emitted in Colorado may have a downwind impact, are most likely to be 
found near such sources. In the case of the Nucla Generating Station, 
the distance between this source and the Colorado-Utah state border (47 
km) and the nearest major SO2 source in neighboring state 
Utah (68 km), indicate that emissions from Colorado are very unlikely 
to contribute significantly to problems with attainment of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in Utah. The EPA notes that Colorado recently 
revised the Nucla Generating Station NOX reasonable progress 
determination in its regional haze SIP to require the source to shut 
down before December 31, 2022, and the EPA has proposed approval of 
this SIP revision. See 83 FR 18244 (April 26, 2018).
    With regard to the Rawhide Energy Station, because it is located 
within 50 km of the Frontier Petroleum Refinery in Cheyenne, Wyoming, 
the EPA has assessed potential SO2 impacts from the Rawhide 
Energy Station on the Cheyenne area. First, the EPA reviewed available 
monitoring data in Cheyenne, Wyoming, 6 km northeast of the Frontier 
Petroleum Refinery. The 2014-2016 SO2 design value for this 
monitor (Site ID 560210100--See Table 2) was 9 ppb. The maximum 1-hour 
SO2 value measured at this monitor from January 1, 2011, 
(when it began operation) to December 31, 2017, was 31 ppb. A second 
monitor not listed in Table 2, located 3 km east of the Frontier 
Petroleum Refinery, recorded 1 year of data in Cheyenne to examine 
potential population exposure near the refinery.\8\ Between March 31, 
2016, and April 3, 2017, this monitor recorded a maximum 1-hour 
SO2 concentration of 44 ppb, with a fourth highest 1-hour 
daily maximum concentration of 16.7 ppb. All of these monitoring data 
combined indicate that SO2 levels in Cheyenne, Wyoming, and 
therefore near the Frontier Petroleum Refinery, are not likely to 
exceed the 2010 SO2 NAAQS or come near the level of a NAAQS 
exceedance.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \8\ See Wyoming's 2016 Annual Monitoring Network Plan at pages 
50-51: http://deq.wyoming.gov/aqd/monitoring/resources/annual-network-plans/.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA also reviewed the location of sources in neighboring states 
emitting more than 100 tpy of SO2 and located within 50 km 
of the Colorado border (see Table 4). This is because elevated levels 
of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in Colorado may have 
a downwind impact, are most likely to be found near such sources. As 
shown in Table 4, the shortest distance between any pair of these 
sources is 84 km. Given the localized range of potential 1-hour 
SO2 impacts, this indicates that there are no additional 
locations (apart from Cheyenne) in neighboring states that would 
warrant further investigation with respect to Colorado SO2 
emission sources that might contribute to problems with attainment of 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. The Hayden and Miami, Arizona 2010 
SO2 nonattainment areas, which Colorado reviewed as part of 
its analysis, are over 400 km from the nearest Colorado border and so 
were not included in Table 4. Colorado asserted that the significant 
distance between its border and these nonattainment areas indicates 
that it is highly unlikely that SO2 emissions generated in 
Colorado are contributing significantly to either nonattainment area in 
Arizona, and the EPA agrees with this conclusion.

                              Table 4--Neighboring State SO2 Sources Near Colorado*
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                     Colorado
                                           2016 SO2       Distance to      Distance to nearest      source 2016
                Source                     emissions       Colorado     Colorado SO2 source (km)     emissions
                                            (tons)        border (km)                                 (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
San Juan Generating Station                      2,913              22  160 (Nucla Generating                439
 (Waterflow, New Mexico).                                                Station--Nucla,
                                                                         Colorado).
Four Corners Steam Electric Station              4,412              34  172 (Nucla Generating                439
 (Navajo Nation).                                                        Station--Nucla,
                                                                         Colorado).
Bonanza Power Plant (Uintah and Ouray            1,305              20  84 (Meeker Gas Plant--               210
 Reservation).                                                           Rio Blanco County,
                                                                         Colorado).
Resolute Natural Resources Company--               118              19  124 (Nucla Generating                439
 Aneth Unit (Navajo Nation).                                             Station--Nucla,
                                                                         Colorado).
Clean Harbors Env. Services (Kimball               218              17  104 (Pawnee Generating             1,493
 County, Nebraska).                                                      Station--Fort Morgan,
                                                                         Colorado).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* We have not included sources that are duplicative of those in Table 3.

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 1, we reviewed 
ambient SO2 monitoring data and SO2 emission 
sources both within Colorado and in neighboring states. Based on this 
analysis, we propose to determine that

[[Page 25621]]

Colorado will not significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements of CAA 
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    In its prong 2 analysis, Colorado reviewed potential SO2 
impacts on the Billings, Montana area, which is currently in 
``maintenance'' status for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, noting the 
large distance between the nearest Colorado border and the Billings 
area (520 km). The EPA interprets CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) prong 
2 to require an evaluation of the potential impact of a state's 
emissions on areas that are currently measuring clean data, but that 
may have issues maintaining that air quality, rather than only former 
nonattainment, and thus current maintenance, areas. Therefore, in 
addition to the analysis presented by Colorado, the EPA has also 
reviewed additional information on SO2 air quality and 
emission trends to evaluate the State's conclusion that Colorado will 
not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in 
downwind states. This evaluation builds on the analysis regarding 
significant contribution to nonattainment (prong 1). Specifically, 
because of the low monitored ambient concentrations of SO2 
in Colorado and neighboring states, and the large distances between 
cross-state SO2 sources, the EPA is proposing to find that 
SO2 levels in neighboring states near the Colorado border do 
not indicate any inability to maintain the SO2 NAAQS that 
could be attributed in part to sources in Colorado.
    As shown in Table 1, the statewide SO2 emissions from 
Colorado and neighboring states have decreased substantially over time, 
per our review of the EPA's emissions trends data.\9\ From 2000 to 
2016, total statewide SO2 emissions decreased by the 
following proportions: Arizona (68% decrease), Colorado (82% decrease), 
Kansas (89% decrease), Nebraska (52% decrease), New Mexico (90% 
decrease), Utah (73% decrease) and Wyoming (59% decrease). This trend 
of decreasing SO2 emissions does not by itself demonstrate 
that areas in Colorado and neighboring states will not have issues 
maintaining the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, as a piece of this 
weight of evidence analysis for prong 2, it provides further indication 
(when considered alongside low monitor values in neighboring states) 
that such maintenance issues are unlikely. This is because the 
geographic scope of these reductions and their large sizes strongly 
suggest that they are not transient effects from reversible causes, and 
thus these reductions suggest that there is very low likelihood that a 
strong upward trend in emissions will occur that might cause areas 
presently in attainment to violate the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \9\ Additional emissions trends data are available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted in Colorado's submission, any future large sources of 
SO2 emissions will be addressed by Colorado's SIP-approved 
Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) program.\10\ Future minor 
sources of SO2 emissions will be addressed by Colorado's 
SIP-approved minor new source review permit program.\11\ The permitting 
regulations contained within these programs should help ensure that 
ambient concentrations of SO2 in neighboring states are not 
exceeded as a result of new facility construction or modification 
occurring in Colorado.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \10\ See EPA's final action of the PSD portions of Colorado's 
SIP, at 82 FR 39030, August 17, 2017.
    \11\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 2, we reviewed 
additional information about emission trends, as well as the technical 
information considered for interstate transport prong 1. We find that 
the combination of low ambient concentrations of SO2 in 
Colorado and neighboring states, the large distances between cross-
state SO2 sources, the downward trend in SO2 
emissions from Colorado and neighboring states, and state measures that 
prevent new facility construction or modification in Colorado from 
causing SO2 exceedances in downwind states, indicates no 
interference with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS from 
Colorado. Accordingly, we propose to determine that Colorado 
SO2 emission sources will not interfere with maintenance of 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements 
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).

B. Montana

1. State's Analysis
    Montana relied on existing programs to assert that SO2 
emissions from Montana will not adversely affect attainment or 
maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. 
Montana noted that sources within the State are subject to new source 
review and Montana Air Quality Permit (MAQP) requirements, as well as 
applicable Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) and New Source 
Performance Standards (NSPS), and asserted that these requirements 
along with additional portions of Montana's SIP prevent sources within 
the State from contributing to nonattainment or interfering with 
maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in neighboring states.
2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    The EPA proposes to find that Montana's SIP meets the interstate 
transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We have analyzed the 
air quality, emission sources and emission trends in Montana and 
neighboring states, i.e., Idaho, North Dakota, South Dakota and 
Wyoming. Based on that analysis, we propose to find that Montana will 
not significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
    We reviewed 2014-2016 SO2 design value concentrations at 
monitors with data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2 
design values for Montana and neighboring states.\12\ In Table 5, 
below, we have included monitoring data from four scenarios: (1) All of 
the monitor data from Montana; (2) the monitor with the highest 
SO2 level in each neighboring state; (3) the monitor in each 
neighboring state located closest to the Montana border; and (4) all 
monitors in each neighboring state within 50 km of the border.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \12\ Data retrieved from EPA's https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values#report.

                          Table 5--SO2 Monitor Values in Montana and Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                    Distance to      2014-2016
                   State/area                        Scenario         Site ID     Montana border   design value
                                                                                       (km)            (ppb)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Idaho/Pocatello.................................            2, 3       160050004             162              39
Montana/Helena..................................               1       300490004             178               2
Montana/Richland County.........................               1       300830001              33               7

[[Page 25622]]

 
Montana/Billings................................               1       301110066              87              53
North Dakota/Dickinson..........................               4       380070002              50               5
North Dakota/Burke County.......................               2       380130004             120              23
North Dakota/McKenzie County....................               4       380530104               5               6
North Dakota/McKenzie County....................               4       380530111               2               7
South Dakota/Sioux Falls........................               2       460990008             608               6
South Dakota/Rapid City.........................               3       461030020             118               4
Wyoming/Gillette................................               3       560050857              80              21
Wyoming/Casper..................................               2       560252601             236              25
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality data in Montana and 
neighboring states to see whether there were any monitoring sites, 
particularly near the Montana border, with elevated SO2 
concentrations that might warrant further investigation with respect to 
interstate transport of SO2 from emission sources near any 
given monitor. The data presented in Table 5, above, show that 
Montana's network of SO2 monitors with data sufficient to 
produce valid 1-hour SO2 design values indicates that 
monitored 1-hour SO2 levels in Montana are between 2% and 
70% of the 75 ppb level of the NAAQS. There is one Montana monitor 
located within 50 km of a neighboring state's border, and this monitor 
indicates a design value at 9% of the NAAQS. Three monitors in 
neighboring states are located within 50 km of the Montana border, and 
these monitors recorded SO2 design values ranging between 6% 
and 9% of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus, these air quality data 
do not, by themselves, indicate any particular location that would 
warrant further investigation with respect to SO2 emission 
sources that might significantly contribute to nonattainment in the 
neighboring states. However, because the monitoring network is not 
necessarily designed to find all locations of high SO2 
concentrations, this observation indicates an absence of evidence of 
impact at these locations but is not sufficient evidence by itself of 
an absence of impact at all locations in the neighboring states. We 
have therefore also conducted a source-oriented analysis.
    As noted, the EPA finds that it is appropriate to examine the 
impacts of emissions from stationary sources in Montana in distances 
ranging from 0 km to 50 km from the facility, based on the ``urban 
scale'' definition contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, Section 
4.4. Therefore, we assessed point sources up to 50 km from state 
borders to evaluate trends and SO2 concentrations in area-
wide air quality, and determined that there are no such sources in 
Montana. The CHS Laurel Refinery, located 74 km north of the Wyoming 
border, is the Montana point source closest to another state's border. 
The large distances between Montana sources and the nearest neighboring 
state provide further evidence to support a conclusion that emissions 
from Montana will not contribute to problems with attainment of the 
2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.
    The EPA also reviewed the location of sources in neighboring states 
emitting more than 100 tpy \13\ of SO2 and located within 50 
km of the Montana border (see Table 6). This is because elevated levels 
of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in Montana may have 
a downwind impact, are most likely to be found near such sources. As 
shown in Table 6, the shortest distance between any pair of these 
sources is 75 km. This indicates that there are no locations in 
neighboring states that would warrant further investigation with 
respect to Montana SO2 emission sources that might 
contribute to problems with attainment of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \13\ We have limited our analysis to Montana sources of 
SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in the absence of 
special factors, for example the presence of a nearby larger source 
or unusual physical factors, Montana sources emitting less than 100 
tpy can appropriately be presumed to not be causing or contributing 
to SO2 concentrations above the NAAQS.

                               Table 6--Neighboring State SO2 Sources Near Montana
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                           2016 SO2       Distance to      Distance to nearest    Montana source
                Source                     emissions    Montana border   Montana SO2 source (km)  2016 emissions
                                            (tons)           (km)                                     (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Colony East and West Plants (Crook                 106              15  223 (Colstrip Station--            1,335
 County, Wyoming).                                                       Colstrip, Montana).
Elk Basin Gas Plant (Park County,                  641               2  75 (CHS Laurel Refinery--            272
 Wyoming).                                                               Laurel, Montana).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 1, we reviewed 
ambient SO2 monitoring data and SO2 emission 
sources within Montana and in neighboring states. Based on this 
analysis, we propose to determine that Montana will not significantly 
contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any 
other state, per the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    The EPA has reviewed available information on SO2 air 
quality and emission trends to evaluate the state's conclusion that 
Montana will not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS in downwind states. The EPA notes that Montana's analysis does 
not independently address whether the SIP contains adequate provisions 
prohibiting emissions that will interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2

[[Page 25623]]

NAAQS in any other state. In remanding the Clean Air Interstate Rule 
(CAIR) to the EPA in North Carolina v. EPA, the D.C. Circuit explained 
that the regulating authority must give the ``interfere with 
maintenance'' clause of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) ``independent 
significance'' by evaluating the impact of upwind state emissions on 
downwind areas that, while currently in attainment, are at risk of 
future nonattainment, considering historic variability.\14\ While 
Montana did not evaluate the potential impact of its emissions on areas 
that are currently measuring clean data, but that may have issues 
maintaining that air quality, the EPA has incorporated additional 
information into our evaluation of Montana's submission. This 
evaluation builds on the analysis regarding significant contribution to 
nonattainment (prong 1). Specifically, because of the low monitored 
ambient concentrations of SO2 in Montana and neighboring 
states, and the large distances between cross-state SO2 
sources, the EPA is proposing to find that SO2 levels in 
neighboring states near the Montana border do not indicate any 
inability to maintain the SO2 NAAQS that could be attributed 
in part to sources in Montana.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \14\ 531 F.3d 896, 910-11 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (holding that the EPA 
must give ``independent significance'' to each prong of CAA section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As shown in Table 1, the statewide SO2 emissions from 
Montana and neighboring states have decreased substantially over time, 
per our review of the EPA's emissions trends data.\15\ From 2000 to 
2016, total statewide SO2 emissions decreased by the 
following proportions: Idaho (70% decrease), Montana (78% decrease), 
North Dakota (44% decrease), South Dakota (93% decrease) and Wyoming 
(59% decrease). This trend of decreasing SO2 emissions does 
not by itself demonstrate that areas in Montana and neighboring states 
will not have issues maintaining the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. 
However, as a piece of this weight of evidence analysis for prong 2, it 
provides further indication (when considered alongside low monitor 
values in neighboring states) that such maintenance issues are 
unlikely. This is because the geographic scope of these reductions and 
their large sizes strongly suggest that they are not transient effects 
from reversible causes, and thus these reductions suggest that there is 
very low likelihood that a strong upward trend in emissions will occur 
that might cause areas presently in attainment to violate the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \15\ Additional emissions trends data are available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted in Montana's submission, any future large sources of 
SO2 emissions will be addressed by Montana's SIP-approved 
PSD program.\16\ Future minor sources of SO2 emissions will 
be addressed by Montana's SIP-approved minor new source review permit 
program.\17\ The permitting regulations contained within these programs 
should help ensure that ambient concentrations of SO2 in 
neighboring states are not exceeded as a result of new facility 
construction or modification occurring in Montana.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \16\ See EPA's final action of the PSD portions of Montana's 
SIP, at 81 FR 23180, April 20, 2016.
    \17\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 2, the EPA has 
incorporated additional information into our evaluation of Montana's 
submission, which did not include an independent analysis of prong 2. 
In doing so, we have reviewed information about emission trends, as 
well as the technical information considered for our interstate 
transport prong 1 analysis. We find that the combination of low ambient 
concentrations of SO2 in Montana and neighboring states, the 
large distances between cross-state SO2 sources, the 
downward trend in SO2 emissions from Montana and surrounding 
states, and state measures that prevent new facility construction or 
modification in Montana from causing SO2 exceedances in 
downwind states, indicates no interference with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS from Montana. Accordingly, we propose to determine 
that Montana SO2 emission sources will not interfere with 
maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per 
the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).

C. North Dakota

1. State's Analysis
    North Dakota conducted a weight of evidence analysis to examine 
whether SO2 emissions from North Dakota adversely affect 
attainment or maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind 
states. North Dakota cited the large distance between the State's 
SO2 sources and the nearest SO2 nonattainment and 
maintenance areas in downwind states, as well as the very low 
SO2 values at intervening monitors. North Dakota also noted 
that SO2 emissions within the State have been steadily 
decreasing over time, specifically noting a 35% point-source emissions 
decrease between 2002 and 2011. With regard to the interference with 
maintenance requirement, North Dakota discussed the low monitored 
ambient concentrations of SO2 in neighboring states in the 
period up to and including 2011. Based on this weight of evidence 
analysis, North Dakota concluded that emissions within the State will 
not contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 
2010 SO2 NAAQS in neighboring states.
2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    The EPA proposes to find that North Dakota's SIP meets the 
interstate transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), 
prong 1 for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We have 
analyzed the air quality, emission sources, and emission trends in 
North Dakota and neighboring states, i.e., Minnesota, Montana and South 
Dakota. Based on that analysis, we propose to find that North Dakota 
will not significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
    To date, the only area in a state bordering North Dakota that has 
been designated nonattainment for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS is 
Billings, Montana. The EPA designated the portion of Billings 
surrounding the PPL Corette Power Plant based on a 2009-2011 monitored 
design value, concluding that this source was the key contributor to 
the NAAQS violations during that period. See 78 FR 47191 (August 5, 
2013). Following the permanent closure of the PPL Corette Plant in 
March 2015, which was accompanied by a significant decrease in 
monitored SO2 values (which indicated attainment) in the 
nonattainment area, the EPA redesignated the former Billings 2010 
SO2 nonattainment area to attainment. See 81 FR 28718 (May 
10, 2016). As shown in Table 7, below, the Billings, Montana area is 
located a large distance (343 km) from the North Dakota border, and 
recent monitoring data in the Billings area do not approach the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS. For these reasons, the EPA is proposing to find 
that emissions from North Dakota will not contribute significantly to 
nonattainment in the Billings, Montana area.
    As noted, North Dakota also referred to ambient monitor values in 
its transport analysis. We reviewed these, as well as the more recent 
2014-2016 SO2 design value concentrations at monitors with 
data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2 design values 
for North Dakota and neighboring states.\18\ In Table 7, below, we have 
included

[[Page 25624]]

monitoring data from four scenarios: (1) All of the monitor data from 
North Dakota; (2) the monitor with the highest SO2 level in 
each neighboring state; (3) the monitor in each neighboring state 
located closest to the North Dakota border; and (4) all monitors in 
each neighboring state within 50 km of the border.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \18\ Data retrieved from EPA's https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values#report.

                       Table 7--SO2 Monitor Values in North Dakota and Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                    Distance to      2014-2016
                   State/Area                        Scenario         Site ID      North Dakota    Design value
                                                                                    border (km)      (ppb)\19\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul..................               2       270370020             306              12
Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul..................               3       270530954             278               5
Montana/Richland County.........................            3, 4       300830001              33               7
Montana/Billings................................               2       301110066             343              53
North Dakota/Dickinson..........................               1       380070002              50               5
North Dakota/Burke County.......................               1       380130004             121              23
North Dakota/Bismarck...........................               1       380150003              99              15
North Dakota/Fargo..............................               1       380171004               4               2
North Dakota/Dunn County........................               1       380250003             115               5
North Dakota/McKenzie County....................               1       380530002              55               6
North Dakota/McKenzie County....................               1       380530104               5               6
North Dakota/McKenzie County....................               1       380530111               2               7
North Dakota/Mercer County......................               1       380570004             150              22
North Dakota/Mercer County......................               1       380570118             159              22
North Dakota/Mercer County......................               1       380570124             160              16
North Dakota/Oliver County......................               1       380650002             139              10
South Dakota/Sioux Falls........................               2       460990008             265               6
South Dakota/Rapid City.........................               3       461030020             205               4
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality data in North Dakota and 
neighboring states to see whether there were any monitoring sites, 
particularly near the North Dakota border, with elevated SO2 
concentrations that might warrant further investigation with respect to 
interstate transport of SO2 from emission sources near any 
given monitor. The data presented in Table 7, above, show that North 
Dakota's network of SO2 monitors with data sufficient to 
produce valid 1-hour SO2 design values indicates that 
monitored 1-hour SO2 levels in North Dakota are between 2% 
and 31% of the 75 ppb level of the NAAQS. There are four North Dakota 
monitors located within 50 km of a neighboring state's border, and 
these monitors indicate design values between 2% to 9% of the NAAQS. 
Two SO2 monitors have recently been installed in North 
Dakota to assist the state and the EPA in designating portions of North 
Dakota by 2020.\20\ These are source oriented monitors, and both the 
monitors and the source they are characterizing (the Tioga Gas Plant) 
are located over 80 km from the North Dakota border. There is one 
monitor in a neighboring state located within 50 km of the North Dakota 
border, and this monitor recorded an SO2 design value of 9% 
of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus, these air quality data do not, 
by themselves, indicate any particular location that would warrant 
further investigation with respect to SO2 emission sources 
that might significantly contribute to nonattainment in the neighboring 
states. However, because the monitoring network is not necessarily 
designed to find all locations of high SO2 concentrations, 
this observation indicates an absence of evidence of impact at these 
locations but is not sufficient evidence by itself of an absence of 
impact at all locations in the neighboring states. We have therefore 
also conducted a source-oriented analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \19\ Id.
    \20\ See TSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for the 2010 1-
Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard 
for North Dakota, in http://www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA-HQ-
OAR-2017-0003-0600.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted, the EPA finds that it is appropriate to examine the 
impacts of emissions from stationary sources in North Dakota in 
distances ranging from 0 km to 50 km from the facility, based on the 
``urban scale'' definition contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, 
Section 4.4. Therefore, we assessed North Dakota sources of 100 tpy 
\21\ or more of SO2 up to 50 km from neighboring state 
borders to evaluate trends and SO2 concentrations in area-
wide air quality in Table 8 below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \21\ We have limited our analysis to North Dakota sources of 
SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in the absence of 
special factors, for example the presence of a nearby larger source 
or unusual physical factors, North Dakota sources emitting less than 
100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to not be causing or 
contributing to SO2 concentrations above the NAAQS.

                            Table 8--North Dakota SO2 Sources Near Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                    Neighboring
                                           2016 SO2       Distance to      Distance to nearest     state source
          North Dakota source              emissions     North Dakota     neighboring state SO2   2016 emissions
                                            (tons)        border (km)          source (km)            (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Drayton Sugar Mill....................             330               2  75 (American Crystal               1,005
                                                                         Sugar--East Grand
                                                                         Forks, Minnesota).
Hillsboro Sugar Mill..................             439              15  49 (American Crystal                 875
                                                                         Sugar--Crookston,
                                                                         Minnesota).

[[Page 25625]]

 
University of North Dakota Heating                 411               2  4 (American Crystal                1,005
 Plant (Grand Forks).                                                    Sugar--East Grand
                                                                         Forks, Minnesota).
North Dakota State University Heating              123               2  4.5 km (American Crystal             373
 Plant (Fargo).                                                          Sugar--Moorhead,
                                                                         Minnesota).
Wahpeton Sugar Mill...................             227               1  44 km (Hoot Lake Plant--             940
                                                                         Fergus Falls,
                                                                         Minnesota).
Wahpeton Wet Corn Mill................             135               1  47 km (Hoot Lake Plant--             940
                                                                         Fergus Falls,
                                                                         Minnesota).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As shown, there are six North Dakota sources within 50 kilometers 
of a cross-state source, and each neighboring state source is located 
in the State of Minnesota. The EPA has therefore assessed potential 
SO2 impacts from North Dakota on each of the four Minnesota 
areas with SO2 sources near the North Dakota border, 
specifically the Crookston, East Grand Forks, Moorhead and Fergus 
Falls, Minnesota areas.
    With regard to the Grand Forks, North Dakota, and East Grand Forks, 
Minnesota combined metropolitan area, the EPA does not have monitoring 
or modeling data to indicate transport from Grand Forks, North Dakota, 
to East Grand Forks, Minnesota. On the contrary, wind roses for three 
local meteorological stations indicate prevailing winds to be north-
south oriented as opposed to west-east that would be conducive to 
interstate transport.\22\ On this basis, the EPA is proposing to 
determine that emissions from Grand Forks, North Dakota, will not 
contribute significantly to nonattainment in East Grand Forks, 
Minnesota.\23\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \22\ This wind rose data are available in a memo to the docket 
for this action, which can be found on http://www.regulations.gov.
    \23\ The EPA is aware that the University of North Dakota has 
announced plans to replace its heating plant, though this change is 
not yet federally enforceable (See http://news.prairiepublic.org/post/und-replace-its-steam-plant-wont-be-asking-state-appropriation). The EPA also notes that any changes to the current 
facility and construction of a new facility must go through the 
state's EPA-approved New Source Review program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With regard to the Crookston, Minnesota area, the EPA finds the 
distance between the Hillsboro Sugar Mill and Crookston (49 km) makes 
it very unlikely that SO2 emissions from the Hillsboro Sugar 
Mill could interact with SO2 emissions from Crookston 
American Crystal Sugar in such a way as to contribute significantly to 
nonattainment in the Crookston area.
    With regard to the Moorhead, Minnesota, and Fargo, North Dakota, 
combined metropolitan area, the EPA reviewed available monitoring data. 
There is one SO2 monitor (Site ID 380171004--See Table 7) in 
the area, on the North Dakota side of the border, located 6.5 km 
northwest of the North Dakota State University Heating Plant, and 9.5 
km northwest of the Moorhead American Crystal Sugar Mill. As shown, 
this monitor recorded a design value of 2 ppb from 2014-2016. Although 
this monitor is not sited to determine maximum impacts from either the 
Moorhead American Crystal Sugar Mill or the North Dakota State 
University Heating Plant, it does indicate that SO2 levels 
are very low (2.6% of the NAAQS) in parts of the Fargo-Moorhead 
combined metropolitan area. Additionally, wind roses for a local 
meteorological station indicates prevailing winds to be north-south 
oriented as opposed to west-east that would be conducive to interstate 
transport.\24\ For these reasons, in addition to the relatively low 
level of SO2 emissions from the North Dakota State 
University Heating Plant, the EPA is proposing to determine that 
emissions from the North Dakota State University Heating Plant will not 
contribute significantly to nonattainment in Moorhead, Minnesota.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \24\ This wind rose data are available in a memo to the docket 
for this action, which can be found on http://www.regulations.gov.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Finally, with regard to the Fergus Falls, Minnesota area, air 
quality modeling submitted to the EPA by the State of Minnesota for the 
Hoot Lake Plant indicates that the highest predicted 99th percentile 
daily maximum 1-hour concentration within the modeling domain is 55.8 
ppb.\25\ For this reason, the Fergus Falls area does not warrant 
further investigation with regard to potential significant contribution 
to nonattainment from North Dakota. Additionally, in our analysis of 
Minnesota's modeling in the context of designations for the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS, the EPA noted that the Wahpeton facilities' 
``modeled impact at that distance to the Hoot Lake area would be 
minimal and it's expected their impact would be represented by the 
background concentration.'' \26\ The EPA continues to support this 
conclusion with respect to an interstate transport analysis for section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).\27\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \25\ See TSD: Intended Round 3 Area Designations for the 2010 1-
Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard 
for Minnesota, in http://www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA-HQ-
OAR-2017-0003-0057. This information was not changed for the final 
version of the designation, as shown at document ID EPA-HQ-OAR-2017-
0003-0618.
    \26\ Id.
    \27\ While the air quality modeling discussed here used by the 
EPA to support its final designation of the Fergus Falls area is 
also supportive of the Agency's analysis of North Dakota's 2010 
SO2 transport SIP, the designation itself or the use of 
this modeling in the specific context of that designation is not 
being re-opened through this separate proposed action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 1, we reviewed 
ambient SO2 monitoring data and SO2 emission 
sources both within North Dakota and in neighboring states. Based on 
this analysis, we propose to determine that North Dakota will not 
significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements of CAA section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    In its prong 2 analysis, North Dakota reviewed potential 
SO2 impacts on the Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota area, 
which is currently in ``maintenance'' status for the 1971 
SO2 NAAQS, noting the large distance between the North 
Dakota border and the Minneapolis-St. Paul area (255 km), as well as 
NAAQS-attaining monitoring data in eastern North Dakota and in 
Minneapolis-St. Paul. The EPA interprets CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) 
prong 2 to require an evaluation of the potential impact of a state's 
emissions on areas that are currently measuring clean data, but that

[[Page 25626]]

may have issues maintaining that air quality, rather than only former 
nonattainment, and thus current maintenance, areas. North Dakota also 
performed a prong 2 analysis based on the EPA's interpretation, noting 
that monitors located near North Dakota in neighboring states showed 
very low levels of SO2, indicating they should not be 
considered to have maintenance issues for this NAAQS. The EPA has 
reviewed North Dakota's analysis and other available information on 
SO2 air quality and emission trends to evaluate the State's 
conclusion that North Dakota will not interfere with maintenance of the 
2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. This evaluation builds on 
the analysis regarding significant contribution to nonattainment (prong 
1). Specifically, because of the low monitored ambient concentrations 
of SO2 in North Dakota and neighboring states and our 
conclusions from our qualitative analysis of the identified sources of 
SO2 emissions, the EPA is proposing to find that 
SO2 levels in neighboring states near the North Dakota 
border do not indicate any inability to maintain the SO2 
NAAQS that could be attributed in part to sources in North Dakota.
    As shown in Table 1, the statewide SO2 emissions from 
North Dakota and neighboring states have decreased substantially over 
time, per our review of the EPA's emissions trends data.\28\ From 2000 
to 2016, total statewide SO2 emissions decreased by the 
following proportions: Minnesota (77% decrease), Montana (78% 
decrease), North Dakota (44% decrease) and South Dakota (93% decrease). 
This trend of decreasing SO2 emissions does not by itself 
demonstrate that areas in North Dakota and neighboring states will not 
have issues maintaining the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, as a 
piece of this weight of evidence analysis for prong 2, it provides 
further indication (when considered alongside low monitor values in 
neighboring states) that such maintenance issues are unlikely. This is 
because the geographic scope of these reductions and their large sizes 
strongly suggest that they are not transient effects from reversible 
causes, and thus these reductions suggest that there is very low 
likelihood that a strong upward trend in emissions will occur that 
might cause areas presently in attainment to violate the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \28\ Additional emissions trends data are available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted in North Dakota's submission, any future large sources of 
SO2 emissions will be addressed by North Dakota's SIP-
approved PSD program.\29\ Future minor sources of SO2 
emissions will be addressed by North Dakota's SIP-approved minor new 
source review permit program.\30\ The permitting regulations contained 
within these programs should help ensure that ambient concentrations of 
SO2 in neighboring states are not exceeded as a result of 
new facility construction or modification occurring in North Dakota.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \29\ See EPA's final action of the PSD portions of North 
Dakota's SIP, at 82 FR 46681, October 6, 2017.
    \30\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 2, we reviewed 
additional information about emission trends, as well as the technical 
information considered for interstate transport prong 1. We find that 
the combination of low ambient concentrations of SO2 in 
North Dakota and neighboring states, our conclusions from our 
qualitative analysis of the identified sources of SO2 
emissions, the downward trend in SO2 emissions from North 
Dakota and surrounding states, and state measures that prevent new 
facility construction or modification in North Dakota from causing 
SO2 exceedances in downwind states, indicates no 
interference with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS from 
North Dakota. Accordingly, we propose to determine that North Dakota 
SO2 emission sources will not interfere with maintenance of 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements 
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).

D. South Dakota

1. State's Analysis
    South Dakota conducted a weight of evidence analysis to examine 
whether SO2 emissions from South Dakota adversely affect 
attainment or maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind 
states. South Dakota provided an inventory of each SO2 
source located in a county that borders another state, including the 
emissions for each source. South Dakota provided information on 
SO2 reductions for the larger SO2 sources in this 
inventory, noting that the State's largest SO2 emissions 
source (Big Stone I) installed pollution controls between 2012 and 2015 
to reduce SO2 emissions at the facility by 80%. South Dakota 
also discussed how the State's second highest emitter (Ben French 
facility) shut down in 2012, and that the combination of reductions 
from these two facilities would result in a 75% reduction in 
SO2 emissions throughout South Dakota from 2011 to 2016. 
South Dakota noted the large distance between the State and the nearest 
nonattainment areas in downwind states. South Dakota also considered 
the predominant northwesterly wind direction in the State, asserting 
that this made it very unlikely that South Dakota sources could impact 
SO2 nonattainment in states to its west. Finally, South 
Dakota noted that its permitting programs would prevent new or modified 
sources from impacting nonattainment and maintenance areas in downwind 
states going forward. Based on this weight of evidence analysis, South 
Dakota concluded that emissions within the State will not contribute to 
nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS in neighboring states.
2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    The EPA proposes to find that South Dakota's SIP meets the 
interstate transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), 
prong 1 for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We have 
analyzed the air quality, emission sources and emission trends in South 
Dakota and neighboring states, i.e., Iowa, Minnesota, Montana, 
Nebraska, North Dakota and Wyoming. Based on that analysis, we propose 
to find that South Dakota will not significantly contribute to 
nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
    We reviewed 2014-2016 SO2 design value concentrations at 
monitors with data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2 
design values for South Dakota and neighboring states.\31\ In Table 9, 
below, we have included monitoring data from four scenarios: (1) All of 
the monitor data from South Dakota; (2) the monitor with the highest 
SO2 level in each neighboring state; (3) the monitor in each 
neighboring state located closest to the South Dakota border; and (4) 
all monitors in each neighboring state within 50 km of the border.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \31\ Data retrieved from EPA's https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values#report.

[[Page 25627]]



                       Table 9--SO2 Monitor Values in South Dakota and Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                  Distance  from     2014-2016
                   State/Area                        Scenario         Site ID      South  Dakota   Design value
                                                                                   border  (km)     (ppb) \32\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Iowa/Muscatine..................................               2       191390020             462             113
Iowa/Sioux City.................................            3, 4       191930020              19               9
Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul..................               2       270370020             270              12
Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul..................               3       270530954             250               5
Montana/Richland County.........................               3       300830001             210               7
Montana/Billings................................               2       301110066             343              53
Nebraska/Omaha..................................               2       310550053             136              59
Nebraska/Omaha..................................               3       310550019             676              27
North Dakota/Burke County.......................               2       380130004             300              23
North Dakota/Bismarck...........................               3       380150003              99              15
South Dakota/Jackson County.....................               1       460710001              83               3
South Dakota/Sioux Falls........................               1       460990008              10               6
South Dakota/Rapid City.........................               1       461030020              62               4
South Dakota/Sioux City.........................               1       461270001               6               4
Wyoming/Casper..................................               2       560252601             178              25
Wyoming/Weston County...........................            3, 4       560450800              12               3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality data in South Dakota and 
neighboring states to determine whether there were any monitoring 
sites, particularly near the South Dakota border, with elevated 
SO2 concentrations that might warrant further investigation 
with respect to interstate transport of SO2 from emission 
sources near any given monitor. As shown, there are no violating design 
values in South Dakota or neighboring states apart from the Muscatine, 
Iowa area. In South Dakota's analysis, the State reviewed its potential 
impact on the Muscatine, Iowa 2010 SO2 nonattainment area. 
South Dakota asserted that the significant distance between its nearest 
border and the Muscatine area (shown in Table 9), as well as the low 
emissions in southeastern South Dakota indicated no SO2 
impacts to the Muscatine SO2 nonattainment area. The EPA 
agrees with South Dakota's analysis and conclusion with regard to the 
Muscatine, Iowa area. The EPA notes that during the 2014-2016 period, 
substantial reductions in SO2 emissions occurred within the 
Muscatine SO2 nonattainment area.\33\ For this reason, the 
last exceedance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS at the violating 
monitor listed in Table 9 (site ID 191390020) occurred in June 
2015.\34\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \32\ Id.
    \33\ See TSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for the 2010 1-
Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard 
for Iowa, in http://www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA-HQ-OAR-
2017-0003-0616.
    \34\ Data retrieved from EPA's https://www.epa.gov/outdoor-air-quality-data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    South Dakota also analyzed potential impacts to the Billings, 
Montana area, which was still in nonattainment status at the time of 
South Dakota's submission. As noted in the section of this notice about 
North Dakota, the EPA redesignated the former Billings 2010 
SO2 nonattainment area to attainment following the permanent 
closure of the PPL Corette Plant. See 81 FR 28718 (May 10, 2016). As 
noted by South Dakota, the Billings, Montana area is located a very 
large distance (343 km) from the nearest South Dakota border, and is 
upwind rather than downwind of South Dakota. Table 9 also shows that 
recent monitoring data in the Billings area do not approach the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS. For these reasons, the EPA agrees with South 
Dakota's conclusion that the emissions from South Dakota will not 
contribute significantly to nonattainment in the Billings, Montana 
area.
    The data presented in Table 9, above, show that South Dakota's 
network of SO2 monitors with data sufficient to produce 
valid 1-hour SO2 design values indicates that monitored 1-
hour SO2 levels in South Dakota are between 4% and 8% of the 
75 ppb level of the NAAQS. There are two South Dakota monitors located 
within 50 km of a neighboring state's border, and these monitors 
indicate design values between 5% and 8% of the NAAQS. There are two 
monitors in neighboring states located within 50 km of the South Dakota 
border, and these monitors recorded SO2 design values 
between 4% and 12% of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus, these air 
quality data do not, by themselves, indicate any particular location 
that would warrant further investigation with respect to SO2 
emission sources that might significantly contribute to nonattainment 
in the neighboring states. However, because the monitoring network is 
not necessarily designed to find all locations of high SO2 
concentrations, this observation indicates an absence of evidence of 
impact at these locations but is not sufficient evidence by itself of 
an absence of impact at all locations in the neighboring states. We 
have therefore also conducted a source-oriented analysis.
    As noted, the EPA finds that it is appropriate to examine the 
impacts of emissions from stationary sources in South Dakota in 
distances ranging from 0 km to 50 km from the facility, based on the 
``urban scale'' definition contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, 
Section 4.4. Therefore, we assessed point sources up to 50 km from 
state borders to evaluate trends and SO2 concentrations in 
area-wide air quality. The list of such sources with greater than 100 
tpy \35\ of SO2 within 50 km from state borders is provided 
in Table 10, below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \35\ We have limited our analysis to South Dakota sources of 
SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in the absence of 
special factors, for example the presence of a nearby larger source 
or unusual physical factors, South Dakota sources emitting less than 
100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to not be causing or 
contributing to SO2 concentrations above the NAAQS.

[[Page 25628]]



                               Table 10--SO2 Sources Near the South Dakota Border
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                    Cross-state
                                           2016 SO2       Distance to      Distance to nearest      source 2016
                Source                     emissions     South Dakota    cross-State SO2 source      emissions
                                            (tons)        border (km)             (km)                (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Big Stone Power Plant (Grant County,               827               4  113 (Wahpeton Sugar                  227
 South Dakota).                                                          Mill--Richland County,
                                                                         North Dakota).
Colony East and West Plant (Crook                  106               8  111 (GCC Dacotah--Rapid              304
 County, Wyoming).                                                       City, South Dakota).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With regard to potential cross-state impacts from the Big Stone 
Power Plant, air quality modeling submitted to the EPA by South Dakota 
indicates that the highest predicted 99th percentile daily maximum 1-
hour concentration within the modeling domain surrounding the power 
plant is 57.88 ppb.\36\ This predicted maximum concentration, which 
includes an estimate of the background concentration, indicates that 
this source alone could not cause nonattainment in South Dakota or any 
other state. Together with the distance between Big Stone and the 
nearest cross-state source (113 km), this indicates that the Big Stone 
Power Plant will not significantly contribute to nonattainment in any 
other state. The EPA continues to support this conclusion with respect 
to an interstate transport analysis for section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).\37\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \36\ See TSD: Final Area Designations for the 2010 
SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard for 
South Dakota, in http://www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA-HQ-OAR-
2014-0464-0359.
    \37\ While the air quality modeling discussed here used by the 
EPA to support its final designation of the Grant County, South 
Dakota area is also supportive of the Agency's analysis of South 
Dakota's 2010 SO2 transport SIP, the designation itself 
or the use of this modeling in the specific context of that 
designation is not being re-opened through this separate proposed 
action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA also reviewed the location of sources in neighboring states 
emitting more than 100 tpy of SO2 and located within 50 km 
of the South Dakota border. This is because elevated levels of 
SO2, to which SO2 emitted in South Dakota may 
have a downwind impact, are most likely to be found near such sources. 
As shown in Table 10, the only source within this distance of the South 
Dakota border is the Colony East and West Plant. The shortest distance 
between this source and the nearest source in South Dakota, the GCC 
Dacotah facility, is 111 km. This makes it very unlikely that 
SO2 emissions from the GCC Dacotah facility could interact 
with SO2 emissions from the Colony East and West Plants in 
such a way as to contribute significantly to nonattainment in the Crook 
County, Wyoming area.
    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 1, we reviewed 
ambient SO2 monitoring data and SO2 emission 
sources within South Dakota and in neighboring states. Based on this 
analysis, we propose to determine that South Dakota will not 
significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements of CAA section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    The EPA has reviewed available information on SO2 air 
quality and emission trends to evaluate the state's conclusion that 
South Dakota will not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. The EPA notes that South 
Dakota's analysis does not independently address whether the SIP 
contains adequate provisions prohibiting emissions that will interfere 
with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state. 
As noted, the ``interfere with maintenance'' clause of section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) must be given ``independent significance'' by 
evaluating the impact of upwind state emissions on downwind areas that, 
while currently in attainment, are at risk of future nonattainment, 
considering historic variability.\38\ While South Dakota did not 
evaluate the potential impact of its emissions on areas that are 
currently measuring clean data, but that may have issues maintaining 
that air quality, the EPA has incorporated additional information into 
our evaluation of South Dakota's submission. This evaluation builds on 
the analysis regarding significant contribution to nonattainment (prong 
1). Specifically, because of the low monitored ambient concentrations 
of SO2 in South Dakota and neighboring states, and the large 
distances between cross-state SO2 sources, the EPA is 
proposing to find that SO2 levels in neighboring states near 
the South Dakota border do not indicate any inability to maintain the 
SO2 NAAQS that could be attributed in part to sources in 
South Dakota.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \38\ 531 F.3d 896, 910-11 (DC Cir. 2008) (holding that the EPA 
must give ``independent significance'' to each prong of CAA section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As shown in Table 1, the statewide SO2 emissions from 
South Dakota and neighboring states have decreased substantially over 
time, per our review of the EPA's emissions trends data.\39\ From 2000 
to 2016, total statewide SO2 emissions decreased by the 
following proportions: Iowa (81% decrease), Minnesota (77% decrease), 
Montana (78% decrease), Nebraska (52% decrease), North Dakota (44% 
decrease), South Dakota (93% decrease) and Wyoming (59% decrease). This 
trend of decreasing SO2 emissions does not by itself 
demonstrate that areas in South Dakota and neighboring states will not 
have issues maintaining the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, as a 
piece of this weight of evidence analysis for prong 2, it provides 
further indication (when considered alongside low monitor values in 
neighboring states) that such maintenance issues are unlikely. This is 
because the geographic scope of these reductions and their large sizes 
strongly suggest that they are not transient effects from reversible 
causes, and thus these reductions suggest that there is very low 
likelihood that a strong upward trend in emissions will occur that 
might cause areas presently in attainment to violate the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \39\ Additional emissions trends data are available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted in South Dakota's submission, any future large sources of 
SO2 emissions will be addressed by South Dakota's SIP-
approved PSD program.\40\ Future minor sources of SO2 
emissions will be addressed by South Dakota's SIP-approved minor new 
source review permit program.\41\ The permitting regulations contained 
within these programs should help ensure that ambient concentrations of 
SO2 in neighboring states are not exceeded as a

[[Page 25629]]

result of new facility construction or modification occurring in South 
Dakota.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \40\ See EPA's final action of the PSD portions of South 
Dakota's SIP, at 82 FR 38832, August 16, 2017.
    \41\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 2, the EPA has 
incorporated additional information into our evaluation of South 
Dakota's submission, which did not include an independent analysis of 
prong 2. In doing so, we have reviewed additional information about 
emission trends, as well as the technical information considered for 
interstate transport prong 1. We find that the combination of low 
ambient concentrations of SO2 in South Dakota and 
neighboring states, the large distances between cross-state 
SO2 sources, the downward trend in SO2 emissions 
from South Dakota and surrounding states, and state measures that 
prevent new facility construction or modification in South Dakota from 
causing SO2 exceedances in downwind states, indicates no 
interference with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS from 
South Dakota. Accordingly, we propose to determine that South Dakota 
SO2 emission sources will not interfere with maintenance of 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements 
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).

E. Wyoming

1. State's Analysis
    Wyoming conducted a weight of evidence analysis to examine whether 
SO2 emissions from Wyoming adversely affect attainment or 
maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. 
Wyoming primarily reviewed the potential impact of emissions from 
Wyoming on the Billings, Montana 2010 SO2 maintenance area, 
which was designated as nonattainment at the time of Wyoming's 
submittal, because Montana was the only state bordering Wyoming that 
contained a nonattainment or maintenance area for this NAAQS. Wyoming 
reviewed wind rose data from northeast Wyoming, the location in Wyoming 
with the nearest significant SO2 sources to the Billings 
area. Based on a review of this information, Wyoming concluded that 
winds in northeast Wyoming were predominantly from the north and west, 
and therefore made transport to Billings very unlikely. Wyoming also 
asserted that SO2 sources within Wyoming were all located 
much further than 50 km from the Billings area. Finally, Wyoming noted 
that no neighboring state apart from Montana contained a 2010 
SO2 nonattainment area. Based on this weight of evidence 
analysis, Wyoming concluded that emissions within the State will not 
contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in neighboring states.
2. EPA's Prong 1 Evaluation
    The EPA proposes to find that Wyoming's SIP meets the interstate 
transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We have analyzed the 
air quality, emission sources and emission trends in Wyoming and 
neighboring states, i.e., Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, South 
Dakota and Utah.\42\ Based on that analysis, we propose to find that 
Wyoming will not significantly contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \42\ The EPA also analyzed potential Wyoming SO2 
transport to the Wind River Reservation in Wyoming. The Northern 
Arapaho and Eastern Shoshone Tribes have been approved by the EPA 
for treatment in a similar manner as a state (TAS) status for CAA 
Section 126 (78 FR 76829, December 19, 2013). The Tribes' TAS 
application for Section 126 demonstrates an interest in how their 
air quality is impacted by Wyoming sources outside of the 
Reservation. We determined that the only source above 100 tpy of 
SO2 within 50 km of the Wind River Reservation, the Lost 
Cabin Gas Plant, is located over 40 km downwind (see wind rose data 
in the docket for this action) from the Reservation. The area around 
this source contains a source-oriented monitor (Site ID 560130003) 
indicating a fourth highest 1-hour daily maximum below the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in its first year of operation. Therefore, the 
available information indicates that emissions from Wyoming will not 
contribute significantly to nonattainment or interfere with 
maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS at the Wind River 
Reservation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Wyoming focused its analysis on potential impacts to the Billings, 
Montana area, which was still in nonattainment status at the time of 
Wyoming's submission. As noted, the EPA redesignated the former 
Billings 2010 SO2 nonattainment area to attainment following 
the permanent closure of the PPL Corette Plant. See 81 FR 28718 (May 
10, 2016). As asserted by Wyoming and shown in Table 11, the Billings, 
Montana area is located a large distance (87 km) from the Wyoming 
border. Further, the wind roses provided by Wyoming indicate that 
meteorology does not favor transport from Wyoming sources to the 
Billings area. Table 11 also shows that recent monitoring data in the 
Billings area do not approach the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. For these 
reasons, the EPA agrees with Wyoming's conclusion that emissions from 
Wyoming will not contribute significantly to nonattainment in the 
Billings, Montana area.
    We reviewed 2014-2016 SO2 design value concentrations at 
monitors with data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2 
design values for Wyoming and neighboring states.\43\ In Table 11, 
below, we have included monitoring data from four scenarios: (1) All of 
the monitor data from Wyoming; (2) the monitor with the highest 
SO2 level in each neighboring state; (3) the monitor in each 
neighboring state located closest to the Wyoming border; and (4) all 
monitors in each neighboring state within 50 km of the Wyoming border.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \43\ Data retrieved from EPA's https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values#report.

                         Table 11--SO2 Monitor Values in Wyoming and Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                    Distance to      2014-2016
                   State/Area                        Scenario         Site ID         Wyoming      Design value
                                                                                   border  (km)     (ppb) \44\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Colorado/Denver.................................               3       080013001             127              18
Colorado/Colorado Springs.......................               2       080410015             240              52
Idaho/Pocatello.................................               2       160050004             120              39
Idaho/Caribou County............................            3, 4       160290031              45              26
Montana/Billings................................            2, 3       301110066              87              53
Nebraska/Omaha..................................               3       310550019             676              27
Nebraska/Omaha..................................               2       310550053             679              59
South Dakota/Sioux Falls........................               2       460990008             593               6
South Dakota/Rapid City.........................               3       461030020              62               4
Wyoming/Gillette................................               1       560050857              80              21
Wyoming/Cheyenne................................               1       560210100              20               9
Wyoming/Casper..................................               1       560252601             178              25

[[Page 25630]]

 
Wyoming/Rock Springs............................               1       560370300              83              21
Wyoming/Weston County...........................               1       560450800              12               3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality data in Wyoming and 
neighboring states to see whether there were any monitoring sites, 
particularly near the Wyoming border, with elevated SO2 
concentrations that might warrant further investigation with respect to 
interstate transport of SO2 from emission sources near any 
given monitor. The data presented in Table 11, above, show that 
Wyoming's network of SO2 monitors with data sufficient to 
produce valid 1-hour SO2 design values indicates that 
monitored 1-hour SO2 levels in Wyoming are between 4% and 
33% of the 75 ppb level of the NAAQS. There are two Wyoming monitors 
located within 50 km of the state's border, and these monitors indicate 
design values between 4% and 12% of the NAAQS. Seven SO2 
monitors have recently been installed in Wyoming to assist the State 
and the EPA in designating portions of Wyoming by 2020.\45\ These are 
source oriented monitors, and none of these monitors or the sources 
they are characterizing are located within 50 km of the Wyoming border. 
There is one monitor in a neighboring state located within 50 km of the 
Wyoming border, and this monitor recorded an SO2 design 
value of 35% of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus, these air quality 
data do not, by themselves, indicate any particular location that would 
warrant further investigation with respect to SO2 emission 
sources that might significantly contribute to nonattainment in the 
neighboring states. However, because the monitoring network is not 
necessarily designed to find all locations of high SO2 
concentrations, this observation indicates an absence of evidence of 
impact at these locations but is not sufficient evidence by itself of 
an absence of impact at all locations in the neighboring states. We 
have therefore also conducted a source-oriented analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \44\ Id.
    \45\ See TSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for the 2010 1-
Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard 
for Wyoming, in http://www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA-HQ-OAR-
2017-0003-0608.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted, the EPA finds that it is appropriate to examine the 
impacts of emissions from stationary sources in Wyoming in distances 
ranging from 0 km to 50 km from the facility, based on the ``urban 
scale'' definition contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, Section 
4.4. Therefore, we assessed point sources up to 50 km from state 
borders to evaluate trends and SO2 concentrations in area-
wide air quality. The list of sources of greater than 100 tpy \46\ of 
SO2 within 50 km from state borders is provided in Table 12 
below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \46\ We have limited our analysis to Wyoming sources of 
SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in the absence of 
special factors, for example the presence of a nearby larger source 
or unusual physical factors, Wyoming sources emitting less than 100 
tpy can appropriately be presumed to not be causing or contributing 
to SO2 concentrations above the NAAQS.

                              Table 12--Wyoming SO2 Sources Near Neighboring States
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          2016 annual                                               Neighboring
                                         SO2 emissions    Distance to      Distance to nearest     state source
            Wyoming source                  (tons)      Wyoming border    neighboring state SO2   2016 emissions
                                                             (km)              source (km)            (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Carter Creek Gas Plant................             130              11  76 (Devils Slide Plant,              187
                                                                         Holcim--Morgan County,
                                                                         Utah).
Frontier Petroleum Refinery...........             311              14  35 (Rawhide Energy                   879
                                                                         Station--Larimer
                                                                         County, Colorado).
Naughton Power Plant..................         4,069.7              37  110 (Devils Slide Plant,             187
                                                                         Holcim--Morgan County,
                                                                         Utah).
Laramie Cement Plant..................             165              30  67 (Rawhide Energy                   879
                                                                         Station, Larimer
                                                                         County, Colorado).
Colony East and West Plants...........             106               8  111 km (GCC Dacotah--                304
                                                                         Rapid City, South
                                                                         Dakota).
Elk Basin Gas Plant...................             641               2  75 km (CHS Laurel                    272
                                                                         Refinery--Laurel,
                                                                         Montana).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With regard to the Frontier Petroleum Refinery in Cheyenne, the EPA 
has assessed potential SO2 impacts from this source on the 
area near the Rawhide Energy Station, in Larimer County, Colorado.
    The EPA reviewed available monitoring data in Cheyenne, Wyoming. 
One monitor is located 6 km northeast of the Frontier Petroleum 
Refinery (Site ID 560210100--See Table 11), and recorded a 2014-2016 
SO2 design value of 9 ppb. The maximum 1-hour SO2 
value measured at this monitor from January 1, 2011 (when it began 
operation) to December 31, 2017, was 31 ppb. A second monitor not 
listed in Table 11, located 3 km east of the Frontier Petroleum 
Refinery, recorded 1 year of data in Cheyenne to examine potential 
population exposure near the Frontier Petroleum Refinery.\47\ Between 
March 31, 2016 and April 3, 2017, this monitor recorded a maximum 
SO2 concentration of 44 ppb, with a fourth highest 1-hour 
daily maximum concentration of 16.7 ppb. Although

[[Page 25631]]

these monitoring data do not provide information as to the air quality 
near the Rawhide Generating Station, they do indicate that 
SO2 levels are low near the Frontier Petroleum Refinery, and 
decrease even more at 6 km from the source. We anticipate emissions 
will continue to decrease as distance increases, resulting in very 
little SO2 impact from the Frontier Petroleum Refinery at 
the Colorado border (14 km), and even less near the Rawhide Generating 
Station (35 km). This, in combination with the relatively low level of 
emissions from the refinery (See Table 12), leads the EPA to conclude 
that SO2 transport at significant levels between Cheyenne, 
Wyoming and Larimer County, Colorado, is very unlikely.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \47\ See Wyoming's 2016 Annual Monitoring Network Plan at pages 
50-51: http://deq.wyoming.gov/aqd/monitoring/resources/annual-network-plans/.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    With regard to the Elk Basin Gas Plant, the EPA does not have 
information at this time suggesting that the State of Montana is 
impacted by emissions from Elk Basin Gas Plant or other emissions 
activity originating in Wyoming in violation of section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Therefore, we do not have evidence that 
demonstrates that emissions from this source will significantly 
contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
    With regard to potential cross-state impacts from the Naughton 
Power Plant, air quality modeling submitted to the EPA by Wyoming 
indicates that the highest predicted 99th percentile daily maximum 1-
hour concentration within the modeling domain surrounding the power 
plant is 56.3 ppb.\48\ This predicted maximum concentration, which 
includes an estimate of the background concentration, indicates that 
this source alone could not cause nonattainment in Wyoming or any other 
state. Together with the distance between Naughton and the nearest 
cross-state source (110 km), this indicates that the Naughton Power 
Plant will not significantly contribute to nonattainment in any other 
state. The EPA continues to support this conclusion with respect to an 
interstate transport analysis for section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).\49\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \48\ See TSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for the 2010 1-
Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard 
for Wyoming, in http://www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA-HQ-OAR-
2017-0003-0608, and TSD: Intended Round 3 Area Designations for the 
2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality 
Standard for Wyoming, at EPA-HQ-OAR-2017-0003-0033.
    \49\ While the air quality modeling discussed here used by the 
EPA to support its final designation of the Lincoln County, Wyoming 
area is also supportive of the Agency's analysis of Wyoming's 2010 
SO2 transport SIP, the designation itself or the use of 
this modeling in the specific context of that designation is not 
being re-opened through this separate proposed action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For the other sources listed in Table 12, the low levels of 
emissions and large distances between Wyoming sources within 50 km of a 
state border and the nearest SO2 source in a neighboring 
state provide further evidence to support a conclusion that emissions 
from Wyoming will not contribute to problems with attainment of the 
2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.

                             Table 13--Neighboring State SO2 Sources Near Wyoming *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                                      Wyoming
                                           2016 SO2       Distance to     Distance to  nearest      source 2016
                Source                     emissions        Wyoming        Wyoming  SO2 source       emissions
                                            (tons)       border  (km)             (km)                (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Clean Harbors Env. Services (Kimball               218              33  95 (Frontier Petroleum               311
 County, Nebraska).                                                      Refinery).
P4 Production Chemical Plant (Soda                 478              45  132 (Naughton Generating           4,069
 Springs, Idaho).                                                        Station).
Nu-West Industries Fertilizer Plant                364              40  134 (Naughton Generating           4,069
 (Conda, Idaho).                                                         Station).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* We have not included sources that are duplicative of those in Table 12.

    The EPA also reviewed the location of sources in neighboring states 
emitting more than 100 tpy of SO2 and located within 50 km 
of the Wyoming border (see Table 13). This is because elevated levels 
of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in Wyoming may have 
a downwind impact, are most likely to be found near such sources. As 
shown in Table 13, the shortest distance between any pair of these 
sources is within 95 km. This indicates that there are no additional 
locations in neighboring states that would warrant further 
investigation with respect to Wyoming SO2 emission sources 
that might contribute to problems with attainment of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS.
    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 1, we reviewed 
ambient SO2 monitoring data and SO2 emission 
sources both within Wyoming and in neighboring states. Based on this 
analysis, we propose to determine that Wyoming will not significantly 
contribute to nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any 
other state, per the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
3. EPA's Prong 2 Evaluation
    The EPA has reviewed the analysis presented by Wyoming and 
additional information on SO2 air quality and emission 
trends to evaluate the State's conclusion that Wyoming will not 
interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind 
states. The EPA notes that Wyoming's analysis does not independently 
address whether the SIP contains adequate provisions prohibiting 
emissions that will interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in any other state. As noted, the ``interfere with 
maintenance'' clause of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) must be given 
``independent significance'' by evaluating the impact of upwind state 
emissions on downwind areas that, while currently in attainment, are at 
risk of future nonattainment, considering historic variability.\50\ 
While Wyoming did not evaluate the potential impact of its emissions on 
areas that are currently measuring clean data, but that may have issues 
maintaining that air quality, the EPA has incorporated additional 
information into our evaluation of Wyoming's submission. This 
evaluation builds on the analysis regarding significant contribution to 
nonattainment (prong 1). Specifically, because of the low monitored 
ambient concentrations of SO2 in Wyoming and neighboring 
states and the large distances between cross-state SO2 
sources, the EPA is proposing to find that SO2 levels in 
neighboring states near the Wyoming border do not indicate an inability 
to maintain the SO2 NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \50\ 531 F.3d 896, 910-11 (DC Cir. 2008) (holding that the EPA 
must give ``independent significance'' to each prong of CAA section 
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).

---------------------------------------------------------------------------

[[Page 25632]]

    As shown in Table 1, the statewide SO2 emissions from 
Wyoming and neighboring states have decreased substantially over time, 
per our review of the EPA's emissions trends data.\51\ From 2000 to 
2016, total statewide SO2 emissions decreased by the 
following proportions: Colorado (82% decrease), Idaho (70% decrease), 
Montana (78% decrease), Nebraska (52% decrease), South Dakota (93% 
decrease), Utah (73% decrease) and Wyoming (59% decrease). This trend 
of decreasing SO2 emissions does not by itself demonstrate 
that areas in Wyoming and neighboring states will not have issues 
maintaining the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, as a piece of this 
weight of evidence analysis for prong 2, it provides further indication 
(when considered alongside low monitor values in neighboring states) 
that such maintenance issues are unlikely. This is because the 
geographic scope of these reductions and their large sizes strongly 
suggest that they are not transient effects from reversible causes, and 
thus these reductions suggest that there is very low likelihood that a 
strong upward trend in emissions will occur that might cause areas 
presently in attainment to violate the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \51\ Additional emissions trends data are available at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted in Wyoming's submission, any future large sources of 
SO2 emissions will be addressed by Wyoming's SIP-approved 
PSD program.\52\ Future minor sources of SO2 emissions will 
be addressed by Wyoming's SIP-approved minor new source review permit 
program.\53\ The permitting regulations contained within these programs 
should help ensure that ambient concentrations of SO2 in 
neighboring states are not exceeded as a result of new facility 
construction or modification occurring in Wyoming.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \52\ See EPA's final action of the PSD portions of Wyoming's 
SIP, at 82 FR 18992, April 25, 2017.
    \53\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In conclusion, for interstate transport prong 2, the EPA has 
incorporated additional information into our evaluation of Wyoming's 
submission, which did not include an independent analysis of prong 2. 
In doing so, we reviewed information about emission trends, as well as 
the technical information considered for interstate transport prong 1. 
We find that the combination of low ambient concentrations of 
SO2 in Wyoming and neighboring states, the large distances 
between cross-state SO2 sources, the downward trend in 
SO2 emissions from Wyoming and surrounding states, and state 
measures that prevent new facility construction or modification in 
Wyoming from causing SO2 exceedances in downwind states, 
indicates no interference with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS from Wyoming. Accordingly, we propose to determine that Wyoming 
SO2 emission sources will not interfere with maintenance of 
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the requirements 
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).

IV. Proposed Action

    The EPA is proposing to approve the following submittals as meeting 
the interstate transport requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) 
for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS: Colorado's July 17, 2013 and 
February 16, 2018 submittals; Montana's July 15, 2013 submittal; North 
Dakota's March 7, 2013 submittal; South Dakota's December 20, 2013; and 
Wyoming's March 6, 2015 submittal. The EPA is proposing this approval 
based on our review of the information and analysis provided by each 
state, as well as additional relevant information, which indicates that 
in-state air emissions will not contribute significantly to 
nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 
NAAQS in any other state. This action is being taken under section 110 
of the CAA.

V. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

    Under the Clean Air Act, the Administrator is required to approve a 
SIP submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and 
applicable federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). 
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the EPA's role is to approve state 
choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, 
these proposed actions merely approve state law as meeting federal 
requirements and do not impose additional requirements beyond those 
imposed by state law. For that reason, these proposed actions:
     Are not significant regulatory actions subject to review 
by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58 
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011);
     are not Executive Order 13771 (82 FR 9339, February 2, 
2017) regulatory actions because SIP approvals are exempted under 
Executive Order 12866;
     do not impose an information collection burden under the 
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
     are certified as not having a significant economic impact 
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory 
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
     do not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or 
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded 
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
     do not have federalism implications as specified in 
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
     are not economically significant regulatory actions based 
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 
19885, April 23, 1997);
     are not significant regulatory actions subject to 
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
     are not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the 
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 
note) because this action does not involve technical standards; and
     do not provide the EPA with the discretionary authority to 
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental 
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under 
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
    In addition, these SIPs are not approved to apply on any Indian 
reservation land or in any other area where the EPA or an Indian tribe 
has demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of 
Indian country, the rule does not have tribal implications and will not 
impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal 
law as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 
2000).

List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52

    Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by 
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Nitrogen dioxide, Particulate 
Matter, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur dioxide, 
Volatile organic compounds.

    Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.

    Dated: May 29, 2018.
Douglas Benevento,
Regional Administrator, Region 8.
[FR Doc. 2018-11846 Filed 6-1-18; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 6560-50-P



                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                               25617

                                                     • Is not a significant regulatory action             submissions address the requirement                      2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation
                                                  subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR                 that each SIP contain adequate                           3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation
                                                  28355, May 22, 2001);                                   provisions prohibiting air emissions that                E. Wyoming
                                                     • Is not subject to requirements of                                                                           1. State’s Analysis
                                                                                                          will have certain adverse air quality
                                                                                                                                                                   2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation
                                                  Section 12(d) of the National                           effects in other states. The EPA is                      3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation
                                                  Technology Transfer and Advancement                     proposing to approve portions of these                 IV. Proposed Action
                                                  Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because                infrastructure SIPs for the                            V. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
                                                  application of those requirements would                 aforementioned states as containing
                                                  be inconsistent with the Clean Air Act;                 adequate provisions to ensure that air                 I. Background
                                                  and                                                     emissions in the states will not                          On June 2, 2010, the EPA established
                                                     • Does not provide EPA with the                      significantly contribute to                            a new primary 1-hour SO2 NAAQS of 75
                                                  discretionary authority to address, as                  nonattainment or interfere with                        parts per billion (ppb), based on a 3-year
                                                  appropriate, disproportionate human                     maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in                   average of the annual 99th percentile of
                                                  health or environmental effects, using                  any other state.                                       1-hour daily maximum concentrations.1
                                                  practicable and legally permissible                     DATES: Comments must be received on                    The CAA requires states to submit,
                                                  methods, under Executive Order 12898                    or before July 5, 2018.                                within 3 years after promulgation of a
                                                  (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).                        ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,                       new or revised NAAQS, SIPs meeting
                                                     In addition, the SIP is not approved                 identified by Docket ID No EPA–R08–                    the applicable ‘‘infrastructure’’ elements
                                                  to apply on any Indian reservation land                 OAR–2018–0109 at http://                               of sections 110(a)(1) and (2). One of
                                                  or in any other area where EPA or an                    www.regulations.gov. Follow the online                 these applicable infrastructure elements,
                                                  Indian tribe has demonstrated that a                    instructions for submitting comments.                  CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), requires
                                                  tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of               Once submitted, comments cannot be                     SIPs to contain ‘‘good neighbor’’
                                                  Indian country, the rule does not have                  edited or removed from                                 provisions to prohibit certain adverse
                                                  tribal implications and will not impose                 www.regulations.gov. The EPA may                       air quality effects on neighboring states
                                                  substantial direct costs on tribal                      publish any comment received to its                    due to interstate transport of pollution.
                                                  governments or preempt tribal law as                                                                              Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) includes four
                                                                                                          public docket. Do not submit
                                                  specified by Executive Order 13175 (65                                                                         distinct components, commonly
                                                                                                          electronically any information you
                                                  FR 67249, November 9, 2000).                                                                                   referred to as ‘‘prongs,’’ that must be
                                                                                                          consider to be Confidential Business
                                                                                                                                                                 addressed in infrastructure SIP
                                                  List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52                      Information (CBI) or other information
                                                                                                                                                                 submissions. The first two prongs,
                                                    Environmental protection, Air                         whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
                                                                                                                                                                 which are codified in section
                                                  pollution control, Incorporation by                     Multimedia submissions (audio, video,
                                                                                                                                                                 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), require SIPs to contain
                                                  reference, Intergovernmental relations,                 etc.) must be accompanied by a written                 adequate provisions that prohibit any
                                                  Ozone, Reporting and recordkeeping                      comment. The written comment is                        source or other type of emissions
                                                  requirements, Volatile organic                          considered the official comment and                    activity in one state from contributing
                                                  compounds.                                              should include discussion of all points                significantly to nonattainment of the
                                                                                                          you wish to make. The EPA will                         NAAQS in another state (prong 1) and
                                                    Dated: May 23, 2018.                                  generally not consider comments or
                                                  Alexandra Dunn,
                                                                                                                                                                 from interfering with maintenance of
                                                                                                          comment contents located outside of the                the NAAQS in another state (prong 2).
                                                  Regional Administrator, EPA Region 1.                   primary submission (i.e., on the web,                  The third and fourth prongs, which are
                                                  [FR Doc. 2018–11596 Filed 6–1–18; 8:45 am]              cloud, or other file sharing system). For              codified in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II),
                                                  BILLING CODE 6560–50–P                                  additional submission methods, the full                require SIPs to contain adequate
                                                                                                          EPA public comment policy,                             provisions that prohibit emissions
                                                                                                          information about CBI or multimedia                    activity in one state from interfering
                                                  ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION                                submissions and general guidance on                    with measures required to prevent
                                                  AGENCY                                                  making effective comments, please visit                significant deterioration of air quality in
                                                                                                          http://www2.epa.gov/dockets/                           another state (prong 3) or from
                                                  40 CFR Part 52                                          commenting-epa-dockets.                                interfering with measures to protect
                                                  [EPA–R08–OAR–2018–0109; FRL–9978–72–                    FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:                       visibility in another state (prong 4).
                                                  Region 8]                                               Adam Clark, Air Program, U.S. EPA                         In this action, the EPA is proposing to
                                                                                                          Region 8, (303) 312–7104, clark.adam@                  approve the prong 1 and prong 2
                                                  Interstate Transport Prongs 1 and 2 for                 epa.gov.                                               portions of infrastructure SIP
                                                  the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Standard                  SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:                             submissions submitted by: Colorado on
                                                  for Colorado, Montana, North Dakota,                    I. Background                                          July 17, 2013 and February 16, 2018;
                                                  South Dakota and Wyoming                                II. Relevant Factors To Evaluate 2010 SO2              Montana on July 15, 2013; North Dakota
                                                                                                                Interstate Transport SIPs                        on March 7, 2013; South Dakota on
                                                  AGENCY:  Environmental Protection                       III. States’ Submissions and EPA’s Analysis
                                                  Agency (EPA).                                                                                                  December 20, 2013; and Wyoming on
                                                                                                             A. Colorado
                                                  ACTION: Proposed rule.                                     1. State’s Analysis                                 March 6, 2015, as containing adequate
                                                                                                             2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation                         provisions to ensure that air emissions
                                                  SUMMARY:  The Environmental Protection                     3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation                         in these states will not significantly
                                                  Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve                       B. Montana                                          contribute to nonattainment or interfere
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  portions of State Implementation Plan                      1. State’s Analysis                                 with maintenance of the 2010 SO2
                                                  (SIP) submissions from Colorado,                           2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation                         NAAQS in any other state. All other
                                                  Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota                        3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation                         applicable infrastructure SIP
                                                  and Wyoming addressing the Clean Air                       C. North Dakota
                                                                                                             1. State’s Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                 requirements for these SIP submissions
                                                  Act (CAA or Act) interstate transport                      2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation                         have been addressed in separate
                                                  SIP requirements for the 2010 Sulfur                       3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation                         rulemakings.
                                                  Dioxide (SO2) National Ambient Air                         D. South Dakota
                                                  Quality Standards (NAAQS). These                           1. State’s Analysis                                   1 75   FR 35520 (June 22, 2010).



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001   PO 00000   Frm 00035   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM     04JNP1


                                                  25618                               Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  II. Relevant Factors To Evaluate 2010                                       approaches that the EPA has adopted for                 other states, the types of information
                                                  SO2 Interstate Transport SIPs                                               ozone or PM2.5 transport are too                        used in the analysis and the conclusions
                                                     Although SO2 is emitted from a                                           regionally focused and the approach for                 drawn by the state. The EPA then
                                                  similar universe of point and nonpoint                                      Pb transport is too tightly circumscribed               conducted a weight of evidence
                                                  sources, interstate transport of SO2 is                                     to the source. SO2 transport is therefore               analysis, including review of each
                                                  unlike the transport of fine particulate                                    a unique case and requires a different                  state’s submission and other available
                                                  matter (PM2.5) or ozone, in that SO2 is                                     approach.                                               information, including air quality,
                                                  not a regional pollutant and does not                                         Given the physical properties of SO2,                 emission sources and emission trends
                                                  commonly contribute to widespread                                           the EPA selected the ‘‘urban scale’’—a                  within the state and in neighboring
                                                  nonattainment over a large (and often                                       spatial scale with dimensions from 4 to                 states to which it could potentially
                                                  multi-state) area. The transport of SO2 is                                  50 kilometers (km) from point sources—                  contribute or interfere.3
                                                  more analogous to the transport of lead                                     given the usefulness of that range in                   III. States’ Submissions and EPA’s
                                                  (Pb) because its physical properties                                        assessing trends in both area-wide air                  Analysis
                                                  result in localized pollutant impacts                                       quality and the effectiveness of large-
                                                  very near the emissions source.                                             scale pollution control strategies at such                 In this section, we provide an
                                                  However, ambient concentrations of SO2                                      point sources.2 As such, the EPA                        overview of each state’s 2010 SO2
                                                  do not decrease as quickly with distance                                    utilized an assessment up to 50 km from                 transport analysis, as well as the EPA’s
                                                  from the source as Pb because of the                                        point sources in order to assess trends                 evaluation of prongs 1 and 2 for each
                                                  physical properties and typical release                                     in area-wide air quality that might                     state. Table 1, below, shows emission
                                                  heights of SO2. Emissions of SO2 travel                                     impact downwind states.                                 trends for the five states addressed in
                                                  farther and have wider ranging impacts                                        As discussed in Section III of this                   this notice along with their neighboring
                                                  than emissions of Pb, but do not travel                                     proposed action, the EPA first reviewed                 states. The table will be referenced as
                                                  far enough to be treated in a manner                                        each state’s analysis to assess how the                 part of the EPA’s analysis for each
                                                  similar to ozone or PM2.5. The                                              state evaluated the transport of SO2 to                 state.4

                                                                                                                                   TABLE 1—SO2 EMISSION TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         SO2 reduction,
                                                                                           State                                                  2000                  2005            2010               2016           2000–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              (%)

                                                  Arizona .................................................................................         118,528               90,577           73,075              38,089                  68
                                                  Colorado ...............................................................................          115,122               80,468           60,459              20,626                  82
                                                  Idaho ....................................................................................         34,525               35,451           14,774              10,051                  70
                                                  Iowa ......................................................................................       265,005              222,419          142,738              48,776                  81
                                                  Kansas .................................................................................          148,416              199,006           80,267              16,054                  89
                                                  Minnesota .............................................................................           148,899              156,468           85,254              34,219                  77
                                                  Montana ...............................................................................            57,517               42,085           26,869              12,379                  78
                                                  Nebraska ..............................................................................            86,894              121,785           77,898              40,964                  52
                                                  New Mexico .........................................................................              164,631               47,671           23,651              15,529                  90
                                                  North Dakota ........................................................................             275,138              159,221          199,322             152,505                  44
                                                  Oklahoma .............................................................................            145,862              169,464          136,348              73,006                  50
                                                  South Dakota .......................................................................               41,120               28,579           16,202               2,642                  93
                                                  Utah ......................................................................................        58,040               52,998           29,776              15,226                  73
                                                  Wyoming ..............................................................................            141,439              122,453           91,022              57,313                  59



                                                  A. Colorado                                                                 Colorado’s analysis included SO2                        identified SO2 sources in Colorado to
                                                                                                                              emissions information in the State, with                the nearest area that is not attaining the
                                                  1. State’s Analysis
                                                                                                                              specific focus on sources and counties                  NAAQS or may have trouble
                                                     Colorado conducted a weight of                                           located within 50 km of Colorado’s                      maintaining the NAAQS in another
                                                  evidence analysis to examine whether                                        borders. Among these sources, Colorado                  state. Finally, Colorado reviewed mobile
                                                  SO2 emissions from Colorado adversely                                       provided an in-depth analysis of the two                source emissions data from highway
                                                  affect attainment or maintenance of the                                     sources emitting over 100 tons per year                 and off-highway vehicles in all of the
                                                  2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.                                          (tpy) of SO2; the Nucla Generating                      Colorado counties which border other
                                                  Colorado evaluated potential air quality                                    Station (47 km east of Utah border) and                 states. Based on this weight of evidence
                                                  impacts on areas outside the State                                          Rawhide Energy Station (15 km south of                  analysis, Colorado concluded that
                                                  through an assessment of whether SO2                                        Wyoming border). Colorado also                          emissions within the State will not
                                                  emissions from sources located within                                       reviewed meteorological conditions at                   contribute to nonattainment or interfere
                                                  50 km of Colorado’s borders may have                                        SO2 sources within 50 km of the State’s                 with maintenance of the 2010 SO2
                                                  associated interstate transport impacts.                                    border, and the distances from                          NAAQS in neighboring states.
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                     2 For the definition of spatial scales for SO ,                          for this action, and does not prejudge any other        SO2 Data Requirements Rule (80 FR 51052, August
                                                                                                  2
                                                  please see 40 CFR part 58, Appendix D, section 4.4                          future EPA action that may make other                   21, 2015) and information submitted to the EPA by
                                                  (‘‘Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Design Criteria’’). For further                     determinations regarding any of the subject state’s     states, air agencies, and third party stakeholders
                                                  discussion on how the EPA is applying these                                 air quality status. Any such future actions, such as    such as citizen groups and industry representatives.
                                                  definitions with respect to interstate transport of                         area designations under any NAAQS, will be based           4 This emissions trends information was derived
                                                  SO2, see the EPA’s proposal on Connecticut’s SO2                            on their own administrative records and the EPA’s
                                                  transport SIP. 82 FR 21351, 21352, 21354 (May 8,                            analyses of information that becomes available at       from EPA’s webpage https://www.epa.gov/air-
                                                  2017).                                                                      those times. Future available information may           emissions-inventories/air-pollutant-emissions-
                                                     3 This proposed approval action is based on the                          include, and is not limited to, monitoring data and     trends-data.
                                                  information contained in the administrative record                          modeling analyses conducted pursuant to the EPA’s



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014         16:57 Jun 01, 2018         Jkt 244001       PO 00000        Frm 00036   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                                   25619

                                                  2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation                                             Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico,                                 neighboring states.5 In Table 2, below,
                                                                                                                          Oklahoma, Utah and Wyoming. Based                             we have included monitoring data from
                                                     The EPA proposes to find that                                        on that analysis, we propose to find that                     four scenarios: (1) All of the monitor
                                                  Colorado’s SIP meets the interstate                                     Colorado will not significantly                               data from Colorado; (2) the monitor with
                                                  transport requirements of CAA section                                   contribute to nonattainment of the 2010                       the highest SO2 level in each
                                                  110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for the 2010                                SO2 NAAQS in any other state.                                 neighboring state; (3) the monitor in
                                                  SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We                                         We reviewed 2014–2016 SO2 design                            each neighboring state located closest to
                                                  have analyzed the air quality, emission                                 value concentrations at monitors with                         the Colorado border; and (4) all
                                                  sources and emission trends in Colorado                                 data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour                       monitors in each neighboring state
                                                  and neighboring states, i.e., Arizona,                                  SO2 design values for Colorado and                            within 50 km of the border.

                                                                                          TABLE 2—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN COLORADO AND NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Distance to         2014–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Colorado             Design
                                                                                                  State/area                                                          Scenario           Site ID           border               value
                                                                                                                                                                                                            (km) *             (ppb) 6

                                                  Arizona/Miami ..................................................................................................                3      040070009                  432                146
                                                  Arizona/Hayden ...............................................................................................                  2      040071001                  470                280
                                                  Colorado/Denver ..............................................................................................                  1      080013001                  127                 18
                                                  Colorado/Denver ..............................................................................................                  1      080310002                  138                 12
                                                  Colorado/Denver ..............................................................................................                  1      080310026                  135                 14
                                                  Colorado/Colorado Springs .............................................................................                         1      080410015                  203                 52
                                                  Kansas/Trego County ......................................................................................                      3      201950001                  198                  5
                                                  Kansas/Kansas City .........................................................................................                    2      202090021                  640                 34
                                                  Nebraska/Omaha .............................................................................................                    2      310550053                  515                 59
                                                  Nebraska/Omaha .............................................................................................                    3      310550019                  676                 27
                                                  New Mexico/Fruitland ......................................................................................                     4      350450009                   28                  3
                                                  New Mexico/Waterflow ....................................................................................                 2, 3, 4      350451005                   22                  8
                                                  Oklahoma/Muskogee .......................................................................................                       2      401010167                  618                 44
                                                  Oklahoma/Oklahoma City ................................................................................                         3      401091037                  437                  3
                                                  Wyoming/Cheyenne .........................................................................................                   3, 4      560210100                   20                  9
                                                  Wyoming/Casper .............................................................................................                    2      560252601                  206                 25
                                                     * All distances throughout this notice are approximations.


                                                    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality                                  SO2 source in Colorado (Nucla                                 network is not necessarily designed to
                                                  data in Colorado and neighboring states                                 Generating Station—582 km).                                   find all locations of high SO2
                                                  to see whether there were any                                             The data presented in Table 2, above,                       concentrations, this observation
                                                  monitoring sites, particularly near the                                 show that Colorado’s network of SO2                           indicates an absence of evidence of
                                                  Colorado border, with elevated SO2                                      monitors with data sufficient to produce                      impact at these locations but is not
                                                  concentrations that might warrant                                       valid 1-hour SO2 design values indicates                      sufficient evidence by itself of an
                                                  further investigation with respect to                                   that monitored 1-hour SO2 levels in                           absence of impact at all locations in the
                                                  interstate transport of SO2 from                                        Colorado are between 16% and 69% of                           neighboring states. We have therefore
                                                  emission sources near any given                                         the 75 ppb level of the NAAQS. As                             also conducted a source-oriented
                                                  monitor. As shown, there are no                                         shown, there are no Colorado monitors                         analysis.
                                                  violating design values in Colorado or                                  located within 50 km of a neighboring                            As noted, the EPA finds that it is
                                                  neighboring states apart from in the                                    state’s border. Three monitors in                             appropriate to examine the impacts of
                                                                                                                          neighboring states are located within 50                      emissions from stationary sources in
                                                  Hayden, Arizona and Miami, Arizona
                                                                                                                          km of the Colorado border, and these                          Colorado in distances ranging from 0 km
                                                  areas. In Colorado’s analysis, the state
                                                                                                                          monitors recorded SO2 design values                           to 50 km from the facility, based on the
                                                  reviewed its potential impact on the                                    ranging between 4% and 12% of the                             ‘‘urban scale’’ definition contained in
                                                  Hayden and Miami, Arizona 2010 SO2                                      2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus, these air                               Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, Section
                                                  nonattainment areas, which are the only                                 quality data do not, by themselves,                           4.4. Colorado assessed point sources up
                                                  areas designated nonattainment in states                                indicate any particular location that                         to 50 km from state borders to evaluate
                                                  bordering Colorado. Colorado noted the                                  would warrant further investigation                           trends and SO2 concentrations in area-
                                                  significant distance between its border                                 with respect to SO2 emission sources                          wide air quality. The list of sources of
                                                  and these nonattainment areas, as well                                  that might significantly contribute to                        100 tpy 7 or more of SO2 within 50 km
                                                  as the larger distance between the                                      nonattainment in the neighboring states.                      from state borders, provided by
                                                  nonattainment areas to the nearest major                                However, because the monitoring                               Colorado, is shown in Table 3 below.
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                    5 Data retrieved from EPA’s https://www.epa.gov/                        7 Colorado limited its analysis to Colorado                 unusual physical factors, Colorado sources emitting
                                                  air-trends/air-quality-design-values#report.                            sources of SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy. We agree            less than 100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to
                                                    6 Id.                                                                 with Colorado’s choice to limit its analysis in this          not be causing or contributing to SO2
                                                                                                                          way, because in the absence of special factors, for           concentrations above the NAAQS.
                                                                                                                          example the presence of a nearby larger source or



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014        16:57 Jun 01, 2018        Jkt 244001      PO 00000       Frm 00037      Fmt 4702      Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                  25620                        Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                                                           TABLE 3—COLORADO SO2 SOURCES NEAR NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Neighboring
                                                                                                                                  Distance to
                                                                                                               2016 SO2                                     Distance to nearest neighboring        state source
                                                                                                                                   Colorado
                                                                    Colorado source                            emissions                                           state SO2 source                    2016
                                                                                                                                    border
                                                                                                                (tons) *                                                  (km)                      emissions
                                                                                                                                     (km)                                                             (tons)

                                                  Nucla Generating Station ................................             439                   47      68 (Lisbon Natural Gas Processing Plant—              499
                                                                                                                                                        San Juan County, Utah).
                                                  Rawhide Energy Station .................................              878                   15      35 (Frontier Petroleum Refinery—Cheyenne,             311
                                                                                                                                                        Wyoming).
                                                     * Emissions data throughout this document were obtained using EPA’s Emissions Inventory System (EIS) Gateway.


                                                     Table 3 shows the distance from the                      Cheyenne area. First, the EPA reviewed                 within 50 km of the Colorado border
                                                  sources listed therein to the nearest out-                  available monitoring data in Cheyenne,                 (see Table 4). This is because elevated
                                                  of-state source emitting above 100 tpy of                   Wyoming, 6 km northeast of the                         levels of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in
                                                  SO2, because elevated levels of SO2, to                     Frontier Petroleum Refinery. The 2014–                 Colorado may have a downwind impact,
                                                  which SO2 emitted in Colorado may                           2016 SO2 design value for this monitor                 are most likely to be found near such
                                                  have a downwind impact, are most                            (Site ID 560210100—See Table 2) was 9                  sources. As shown in Table 4, the
                                                  likely to be found near such sources. In                    ppb. The maximum 1-hour SO2 value                      shortest distance between any pair of
                                                  the case of the Nucla Generating Station,                   measured at this monitor from January                  these sources is 84 km. Given the
                                                  the distance between this source and the                    1, 2011, (when it began operation) to                  localized range of potential 1-hour SO2
                                                  Colorado-Utah state border (47 km) and                      December 31, 2017, was 31 ppb. A                       impacts, this indicates that there are no
                                                  the nearest major SO2 source in                             second monitor not listed in Table 2,                  additional locations (apart from
                                                  neighboring state Utah (68 km), indicate                    located 3 km east of the Frontier                      Cheyenne) in neighboring states that
                                                  that emissions from Colorado are very                       Petroleum Refinery, recorded 1 year of
                                                                                                                                                                     would warrant further investigation
                                                  unlikely to contribute significantly to                     data in Cheyenne to examine potential
                                                                                                                                                                     with respect to Colorado SO2 emission
                                                  problems with attainment of the 2010                        population exposure near the refinery.8
                                                  SO2 NAAQS in Utah. The EPA notes                            Between March 31, 2016, and April 3,                   sources that might contribute to
                                                  that Colorado recently revised the Nucla                    2017, this monitor recorded a maximum                  problems with attainment of the 2010
                                                  Generating Station NOX reasonable                           1-hour SO2 concentration of 44 ppb,                    SO2 NAAQS. The Hayden and Miami,
                                                  progress determination in its regional                      with a fourth highest 1-hour daily                     Arizona 2010 SO2 nonattainment areas,
                                                  haze SIP to require the source to shut                      maximum concentration of 16.7 ppb.                     which Colorado reviewed as part of its
                                                  down before December 31, 2022, and                          All of these monitoring data combined                  analysis, are over 400 km from the
                                                  the EPA has proposed approval of this                       indicate that SO2 levels in Cheyenne,                  nearest Colorado border and so were not
                                                  SIP revision. See 83 FR 18244 (April 26,                    Wyoming, and therefore near the                        included in Table 4. Colorado asserted
                                                  2018).                                                      Frontier Petroleum Refinery, are not                   that the significant distance between its
                                                     With regard to the Rawhide Energy                        likely to exceed the 2010 SO2 NAAQS                    border and these nonattainment areas
                                                  Station, because it is located within 50                    or come near the level of a NAAQS                      indicates that it is highly unlikely that
                                                  km of the Frontier Petroleum Refinery                       exceedance.                                            SO2 emissions generated in Colorado are
                                                  in Cheyenne, Wyoming, the EPA has                              The EPA also reviewed the location of               contributing significantly to either
                                                  assessed potential SO2 impacts from the                     sources in neighboring states emitting                 nonattainment area in Arizona, and the
                                                  Rawhide Energy Station on the                               more than 100 tpy of SO2 and located                   EPA agrees with this conclusion.

                                                                                           TABLE 4—NEIGHBORING STATE SO2 SOURCES NEAR COLORADO*
                                                                                                                                  Distance to                                                       Colorado
                                                                                                               2016 SO2                                           Distance to nearest
                                                                                                                                   Colorado                                                        source 2016
                                                                          Source                               emissions                                         Colorado SO2 source
                                                                                                                                    border                                                          emissions
                                                                                                                 (tons)                                                  (km)
                                                                                                                                     (km)                                                             (tons)

                                                  San Juan Generating Station (Waterflow,                             2,913                   22      160 (Nucla Generating Station—Nucla, Colo-            439
                                                    New Mexico).                                                                                        rado).
                                                  Four Corners Steam Electric Station (Navajo                         4,412                   34      172 (Nucla Generating Station—Nucla, Colo-            439
                                                    Nation).                                                                                            rado).
                                                  Bonanza Power Plant (Uintah and Ouray                               1,305                   20      84 (Meeker Gas Plant—Rio Blanco County,               210
                                                    Reservation).                                                                                       Colorado).
                                                  Resolute Natural Resources Company—                                   118                   19      124 (Nucla Generating Station—Nucla, Colo-            439
                                                    Aneth Unit (Navajo Nation).                                                                         rado).
                                                  Clean Harbors Env. Services (Kimball Coun-                            218                   17      104 (Pawnee Generating Station—Fort Mor-            1,493
                                                    ty, Nebraska).                                                                                      gan, Colorado).
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                     * We have not included sources that are duplicative of those in Table 3.


                                                    In conclusion, for interstate transport                   monitoring data and SO2 emission                       neighboring states. Based on this
                                                  prong 1, we reviewed ambient SO2                            sources both within Colorado and in                    analysis, we propose to determine that

                                                   8 See Wyoming’s 2016 Annual Monitoring                     deq.wyoming.gov/aqd/monitoring/resources/
                                                  Network Plan at pages 50–51: http://                        annual-network-plans/.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014     16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001    PO 00000   Frm 00038   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702    E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                                  25621

                                                  Colorado will not significantly                                         This trend of decreasing SO2 emissions                        any other state, per the requirements of
                                                  contribute to nonattainment of the 2010                                 does not by itself demonstrate that areas                     CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
                                                  SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the                                   in Colorado and neighboring states will
                                                  requirements of CAA section                                             not have issues maintaining the 2010                          B. Montana
                                                  110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                                                     SO2 NAAQS. However, as a piece of this                        1. State’s Analysis
                                                                                                                          weight of evidence analysis for prong 2,
                                                  3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation                                                                                                              Montana relied on existing programs
                                                                                                                          it provides further indication (when
                                                     In its prong 2 analysis, Colorado                                    considered alongside low monitor                              to assert that SO2 emissions from
                                                  reviewed potential SO2 impacts on the                                   values in neighboring states) that such                       Montana will not adversely affect
                                                  Billings, Montana area, which is                                        maintenance issues are unlikely. This is                      attainment or maintenance of the 2010
                                                  currently in ‘‘maintenance’’ status for                                 because the geographic scope of these                         SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.
                                                  the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, noting the large                                    reductions and their large sizes strongly                     Montana noted that sources within the
                                                  distance between the nearest Colorado                                   suggest that they are not transient effects                   State are subject to new source review
                                                  border and the Billings area (520 km).                                  from reversible causes, and thus these                        and Montana Air Quality Permit
                                                  The EPA interprets CAA section                                          reductions suggest that there is very low                     (MAQP) requirements, as well as
                                                  110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) prong 2 to require an                                likelihood that a strong upward trend in                      applicable Maximum Achievable
                                                  evaluation of the potential impact of a                                 emissions will occur that might cause                         Control Technology (MACT) and New
                                                  state’s emissions on areas that are                                     areas presently in attainment to violate                      Source Performance Standards (NSPS),
                                                  currently measuring clean data, but that                                the NAAQS.                                                    and asserted that these requirements
                                                  may have issues maintaining that air                                       As noted in Colorado’s submission,                         along with additional portions of
                                                  quality, rather than only former                                        any future large sources of SO2                               Montana’s SIP prevent sources within
                                                  nonattainment, and thus current                                         emissions will be addressed by                                the State from contributing to
                                                  maintenance, areas. Therefore, in                                       Colorado’s SIP-approved Prevention of                         nonattainment or interfering with
                                                  addition to the analysis presented by                                   Significant Deterioration (PSD)                               maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in
                                                  Colorado, the EPA has also reviewed                                     program.10 Future minor sources of SO2                        neighboring states.
                                                  additional information on SO2 air                                       emissions will be addressed by
                                                  quality and emission trends to evaluate                                 Colorado’s SIP-approved minor new                             2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation
                                                  the State’s conclusion that Colorado will                               source review permit program.11 The                              The EPA proposes to find that
                                                  not interfere with maintenance of the                                   permitting regulations contained within                       Montana’s SIP meets the interstate
                                                  2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.                                      these programs should help ensure that                        transport requirements of CAA section
                                                  This evaluation builds on the analysis                                  ambient concentrations of SO2 in
                                                  regarding significant contribution to                                                                                                 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for the 2010
                                                                                                                          neighboring states are not exceeded as a
                                                  nonattainment (prong 1). Specifically,                                                                                                SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We
                                                                                                                          result of new facility construction or
                                                  because of the low monitored ambient                                                                                                  have analyzed the air quality, emission
                                                                                                                          modification occurring in Colorado.
                                                  concentrations of SO2 in Colorado and                                      In conclusion, for interstate transport                    sources and emission trends in Montana
                                                  neighboring states, and the large                                       prong 2, we reviewed additional                               and neighboring states, i.e., Idaho, North
                                                  distances between cross-state SO2                                       information about emission trends, as                         Dakota, South Dakota and Wyoming.
                                                  sources, the EPA is proposing to find                                   well as the technical information                             Based on that analysis, we propose to
                                                  that SO2 levels in neighboring states                                   considered for interstate transport prong                     find that Montana will not significantly
                                                  near the Colorado border do not indicate                                1. We find that the combination of low                        contribute to nonattainment of the 2010
                                                  any inability to maintain the SO2                                       ambient concentrations of SO2 in                              SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
                                                  NAAQS that could be attributed in part                                  Colorado and neighboring states, the                             We reviewed 2014–2016 SO2 design
                                                  to sources in Colorado.                                                 large distances between cross-state SO2                       value concentrations at monitors with
                                                     As shown in Table 1, the statewide                                   sources, the downward trend in SO2                            data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour
                                                  SO2 emissions from Colorado and                                         emissions from Colorado and                                   SO2 design values for Montana and
                                                  neighboring states have decreased                                       neighboring states, and state measures                        neighboring states.12 In Table 5, below,
                                                  substantially over time, per our review                                 that prevent new facility construction or                     we have included monitoring data from
                                                  of the EPA’s emissions trends data.9                                    modification in Colorado from causing                         four scenarios: (1) All of the monitor
                                                  From 2000 to 2016, total statewide SO2                                  SO2 exceedances in downwind states,                           data from Montana; (2) the monitor with
                                                  emissions decreased by the following                                    indicates no interference with                                the highest SO2 level in each
                                                  proportions: Arizona (68% decrease),                                    maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS                             neighboring state; (3) the monitor in
                                                  Colorado (82% decrease), Kansas (89%                                    from Colorado. Accordingly, we propose                        each neighboring state located closest to
                                                  decrease), Nebraska (52% decrease),                                     to determine that Colorado SO2                                the Montana border; and (4) all monitors
                                                  New Mexico (90% decrease), Utah (73%                                    emission sources will not interfere with                      in each neighboring state within 50 km
                                                  decrease) and Wyoming (59% decrease).                                   maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in                          of the border.

                                                                                           TABLE 5—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN MONTANA AND NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Distance to        2014–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Montana
                                                                                                  State/area                                                          Scenario           Site ID                           design value
                                                                                                                                                                                                           border             (ppb)
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                                                                                                                                                                            (km)

                                                  Idaho/Pocatello ................................................................................................             2, 3      160050004                  162              39
                                                  Montana/Helena ...............................................................................................                  1      300490004                  178               2
                                                  Montana/Richland County ...............................................................................                         1      300830001                   33               7

                                                     9 Additional emissions trends data are available                       10 See EPA’s final action of the PSD portions of              12 Data retrieved from EPA’s https://

                                                  at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/                      Colorado’s SIP, at 82 FR 39030, August 17, 2017.              www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-
                                                  air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.                                      11 Id.                                                      values#report.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014        16:57 Jun 01, 2018        Jkt 244001      PO 00000       Frm 00039      Fmt 4702      Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                  25622                             Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                                                TABLE 5—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN MONTANA AND NEIGHBORING STATES—Continued
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Distance to         2014–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Montana
                                                                                                  State/area                                                              Scenario           Site ID                            design value
                                                                                                                                                                                                               border              (ppb)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                (km)

                                                  Montana/Billings ...............................................................................................                   1       301110066                   87                 53
                                                  North Dakota/Dickinson ...................................................................................                         4       380070002                   50                  5
                                                  North Dakota/Burke County .............................................................................                            2       380130004                  120                 23
                                                  North Dakota/McKenzie County ......................................................................                                4       380530104                    5                  6
                                                  North Dakota/McKenzie County ......................................................................                                4       380530111                    2                  7
                                                  South Dakota/Sioux Falls ................................................................................                          2       460990008                  608                  6
                                                  South Dakota/Rapid City .................................................................................                          3       461030020                  118                  4
                                                  Wyoming/Gillette ..............................................................................................                    3       560050857                   80                 21
                                                  Wyoming/Casper .............................................................................................                       2       560252601                  236                 25



                                                    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality                                  investigation with respect to SO2                                 Refinery, located 74 km north of the
                                                  data in Montana and neighboring states                                  emission sources that might                                       Wyoming border, is the Montana point
                                                  to see whether there were any                                           significantly contribute to                                       source closest to another state’s border.
                                                  monitoring sites, particularly near the                                 nonattainment in the neighboring states.                          The large distances between Montana
                                                  Montana border, with elevated SO2                                       However, because the monitoring                                   sources and the nearest neighboring
                                                  concentrations that might warrant                                       network is not necessarily designed to                            state provide further evidence to
                                                  further investigation with respect to                                   find all locations of high SO2                                    support a conclusion that emissions
                                                  interstate transport of SO2 from                                        concentrations, this observation                                  from Montana will not contribute to
                                                  emission sources near any given                                         indicates an absence of evidence of                               problems with attainment of the 2010
                                                  monitor. The data presented in Table 5,                                 impact at these locations but is not                              SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.
                                                  above, show that Montana’s network of                                   sufficient evidence by itself of an
                                                  SO2 monitors with data sufficient to                                    absence of impact at all locations in the                            The EPA also reviewed the location of
                                                  produce valid 1-hour SO2 design values                                  neighboring states. We have therefore                             sources in neighboring states emitting
                                                  indicates that monitored 1-hour SO2                                     also conducted a source-oriented                                  more than 100 tpy 13 of SO2 and located
                                                  levels in Montana are between 2% and                                    analysis.                                                         within 50 km of the Montana border
                                                  70% of the 75 ppb level of the NAAQS.                                      As noted, the EPA finds that it is                             (see Table 6). This is because elevated
                                                  There is one Montana monitor located                                    appropriate to examine the impacts of                             levels of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in
                                                  within 50 km of a neighboring state’s                                   emissions from stationary sources in                              Montana may have a downwind impact,
                                                  border, and this monitor indicates a                                    Montana in distances ranging from 0 km                            are most likely to be found near such
                                                  design value at 9% of the NAAQS.                                        to 50 km from the facility, based on the                          sources. As shown in Table 6, the
                                                  Three monitors in neighboring states are                                ‘‘urban scale’’ definition contained in                           shortest distance between any pair of
                                                  located within 50 km of the Montana                                     Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58, Section                             these sources is 75 km. This indicates
                                                  border, and these monitors recorded                                     4.4. Therefore, we assessed point                                 that there are no locations in
                                                  SO2 design values ranging between 6%                                    sources up to 50 km from state borders                            neighboring states that would warrant
                                                  and 9% of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Thus,                                     to evaluate trends and SO2                                        further investigation with respect to
                                                  these air quality data do not, by                                       concentrations in area-wide air quality,                          Montana SO2 emission sources that
                                                  themselves, indicate any particular                                     and determined that there are no such                             might contribute to problems with
                                                  location that would warrant further                                     sources in Montana. The CHS Laurel                                attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.

                                                                                                     TABLE 6—NEIGHBORING STATE SO2 SOURCES NEAR MONTANA
                                                                                                                                                     Distance to                                                                  Montana
                                                                                                                            2016 SO2                                                     Distance to nearest
                                                                                                                                                      Montana                                                                   source 2016
                                                                              Source                                        emissions                                                    Montana SO2 source
                                                                                                                                                       border                                                                    emissions
                                                                                                                              (tons)                                                            (km)
                                                                                                                                                        (km)                                                                       (tons)

                                                  Colony East and West Plants (Crook County,                                             106                         15    223 (Colstrip Station—Colstrip, Montana) .....                1,335
                                                    Wyoming).
                                                  Elk Basin Gas Plant (Park County, Wyoming)                                             641                         2     75 (CHS Laurel Refinery—Laurel, Montana)                        272



                                                    In conclusion, for interstate transport                               SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the                             conclusion that Montana will not
                                                  prong 1, we reviewed ambient SO2                                        requirements of CAA section                                       interfere with maintenance of the 2010
                                                  monitoring data and SO2 emission                                        110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                                               SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. The
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  sources within Montana and in                                                                                                             EPA notes that Montana’s analysis does
                                                                                                                          3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation
                                                  neighboring states. Based on this                                                                                                         not independently address whether the
                                                  analysis, we propose to determine that                                    The EPA has reviewed available                                  SIP contains adequate provisions
                                                  Montana will not significantly                                          information on SO2 air quality and                                prohibiting emissions that will interfere
                                                  contribute to nonattainment of the 2010                                 emission trends to evaluate the state’s                           with maintenance of the 2010 SO2

                                                    13 We have limited our analysis to Montana                            presence of a nearby larger source or unusual                     causing or contributing to SO2 concentrations above
                                                  sources of SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in                    physical factors, Montana sources emitting less than              the NAAQS.
                                                  the absence of special factors, for example the                         100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to not be



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014        16:57 Jun 01, 2018        Jkt 244001      PO 00000       Frm 00040      Fmt 4702      Sfmt 4702     E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM    04JNP1


                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                   25623

                                                  NAAQS in any other state. In remanding                  areas presently in attainment to violate               Dakota discussed the low monitored
                                                  the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) to                 the NAAQS.                                             ambient concentrations of SO2 in
                                                  the EPA in North Carolina v. EPA, the                      As noted in Montana’s submission,                   neighboring states in the period up to
                                                  D.C. Circuit explained that the                         any future large sources of SO2                        and including 2011. Based on this
                                                  regulating authority must give the                      emissions will be addressed by                         weight of evidence analysis, North
                                                  ‘‘interfere with maintenance’’ clause of                Montana’s SIP-approved PSD                             Dakota concluded that emissions within
                                                  section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) ‘‘independent                program.16 Future minor sources of SO2                 the State will not contribute to
                                                  significance’’ by evaluating the impact                 emissions will be addressed by                         nonattainment or interfere with
                                                  of upwind state emissions on                            Montana’s SIP-approved minor new                       maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in
                                                  downwind areas that, while currently in                 source review permit program.17 The                    neighboring states.
                                                  attainment, are at risk of future                       permitting regulations contained within
                                                                                                          these programs should help ensure that                 2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation
                                                  nonattainment, considering historic
                                                  variability.14 While Montana did not                    ambient concentrations of SO2 in                          The EPA proposes to find that North
                                                  evaluate the potential impact of its                    neighboring states are not exceeded as a               Dakota’s SIP meets the interstate
                                                  emissions on areas that are currently                   result of new facility construction or                 transport requirements of CAA section
                                                                                                          modification occurring in Montana.                     110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for the 2010
                                                  measuring clean data, but that may have
                                                                                                             In conclusion, for interstate transport             SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We
                                                  issues maintaining that air quality, the                prong 2, the EPA has incorporated
                                                  EPA has incorporated additional                                                                                have analyzed the air quality, emission
                                                                                                          additional information into our                        sources, and emission trends in North
                                                  information into our evaluation of                      evaluation of Montana’s submission,                    Dakota and neighboring states, i.e.,
                                                  Montana’s submission. This evaluation                   which did not include an independent                   Minnesota, Montana and South Dakota.
                                                  builds on the analysis regarding                        analysis of prong 2. In doing so, we have              Based on that analysis, we propose to
                                                  significant contribution to                             reviewed information about emission                    find that North Dakota will not
                                                  nonattainment (prong 1). Specifically,                  trends, as well as the technical                       significantly contribute to
                                                  because of the low monitored ambient                    information considered for our                         nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS
                                                  concentrations of SO2 in Montana and                    interstate transport prong 1 analysis. We              in any other state.
                                                  neighboring states, and the large                       find that the combination of low                          To date, the only area in a state
                                                  distances between cross-state SO2                       ambient concentrations of SO2 in                       bordering North Dakota that has been
                                                  sources, the EPA is proposing to find                   Montana and neighboring states, the                    designated nonattainment for the 2010
                                                  that SO2 levels in neighboring states                   large distances between cross-state SO2                SO2 NAAQS is Billings, Montana. The
                                                  near the Montana border do not indicate                 sources, the downward trend in SO2                     EPA designated the portion of Billings
                                                  any inability to maintain the SO2                       emissions from Montana and                             surrounding the PPL Corette Power
                                                  NAAQS that could be attributed in part                  surrounding states, and state measures                 Plant based on a 2009–2011 monitored
                                                  to sources in Montana.                                  that prevent new facility construction or              design value, concluding that this
                                                     As shown in Table 1, the statewide                   modification in Montana from causing                   source was the key contributor to the
                                                  SO2 emissions from Montana and                          SO2 exceedances in downwind states,                    NAAQS violations during that period.
                                                  neighboring states have decreased                       indicates no interference with                         See 78 FR 47191 (August 5, 2013).
                                                  substantially over time, per our review                 maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS                      Following the permanent closure of the
                                                  of the EPA’s emissions trends data.15                   from Montana. Accordingly, we propose                  PPL Corette Plant in March 2015, which
                                                  From 2000 to 2016, total statewide SO2                  to determine that Montana SO2 emission                 was accompanied by a significant
                                                  emissions decreased by the following                    sources will not interfere with                        decrease in monitored SO2 values
                                                  proportions: Idaho (70% decrease),                      maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in                   (which indicated attainment) in the
                                                  Montana (78% decrease), North Dakota                    any other state, per the requirements of               nonattainment area, the EPA
                                                  (44% decrease), South Dakota (93%                       CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                        redesignated the former Billings 2010
                                                  decrease) and Wyoming (59% decrease).                   C. North Dakota                                        SO2 nonattainment area to attainment.
                                                  This trend of decreasing SO2 emissions                                                                         See 81 FR 28718 (May 10, 2016). As
                                                                                                          1. State’s Analysis                                    shown in Table 7, below, the Billings,
                                                  does not by itself demonstrate that areas
                                                  in Montana and neighboring states will                     North Dakota conducted a weight of                  Montana area is located a large distance
                                                  not have issues maintaining the 2010                    evidence analysis to examine whether                   (343 km) from the North Dakota border,
                                                  SO2 NAAQS. However, as a piece of this                  SO2 emissions from North Dakota                        and recent monitoring data in the
                                                  weight of evidence analysis for prong 2,                adversely affect attainment or                         Billings area do not approach the 2010
                                                  it provides further indication (when                    maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in                   SO2 NAAQS. For these reasons, the EPA
                                                  considered alongside low monitor                        downwind states. North Dakota cited                    is proposing to find that emissions from
                                                  values in neighboring states) that such                 the large distance between the State’s                 North Dakota will not contribute
                                                  maintenance issues are unlikely. This is                SO2 sources and the nearest SO2                        significantly to nonattainment in the
                                                  because the geographic scope of these                   nonattainment and maintenance areas                    Billings, Montana area.
                                                  reductions and their large sizes strongly               in downwind states, as well as the very                   As noted, North Dakota also referred
                                                  suggest that they are not transient effects             low SO2 values at intervening monitors.                to ambient monitor values in its
                                                  from reversible causes, and thus these                  North Dakota also noted that SO2                       transport analysis. We reviewed these,
                                                  reductions suggest that there is very low               emissions within the State have been                   as well as the more recent 2014–2016
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  likelihood that a strong upward trend in                steadily decreasing over time,                         SO2 design value concentrations at
                                                  emissions will occur that might cause                   specifically noting a 35% point-source                 monitors with data sufficient to produce
                                                                                                          emissions decrease between 2002 and                    valid 1-hour SO2 design values for
                                                     14 531 F.3d 896, 910–11 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (holding
                                                                                                          2011. With regard to the interference                  North Dakota and neighboring states.18
                                                  that the EPA must give ‘‘independent significance’’     with maintenance requirement, North                    In Table 7, below, we have included
                                                  to each prong of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).
                                                     15 Additional emissions trends data are available     16 See EPA’s final action of the PSD portions of        18 Data retrieved from EPA’s https://

                                                  at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/      Montana’s SIP, at 81 FR 23180, April 20, 2016.         www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-
                                                  air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.                     17 Id.                                                values#report.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001   PO 00000   Frm 00041   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                  25624                             Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  monitoring data from four scenarios: (1)                                SO2 level in each neighboring state; (3)                        border; and (4) all monitors in each
                                                  All of the monitor data from North                                      the monitor in each neighboring state                           neighboring state within 50 km of the
                                                  Dakota; (2) the monitor with the highest                                located closest to the North Dakota                             border.

                                                                                      TABLE 7—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN NORTH DAKOTA AND NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Distance to        2014–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                           North Dakota
                                                                                                  State/Area                                                              Scenario         Site ID                            Design value
                                                                                                                                                                                                              border             (ppb)19
                                                                                                                                                                                                               (km)

                                                  Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul ......................................................................                             2      270370020                  306                  12
                                                  Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul ......................................................................                             3      270530954                  278                   5
                                                  Montana/Richland County ...............................................................................                        3, 4      300830001                   33                   7
                                                  Montana/Billings ...............................................................................................                  2      301110066                  343                  53
                                                  North Dakota/Dickinson ...................................................................................                        1      380070002                   50                   5
                                                  North Dakota/Burke County .............................................................................                           1      380130004                  121                  23
                                                  North Dakota/Bismarck ....................................................................................                        1      380150003                   99                  15
                                                  North Dakota/Fargo .........................................................................................                      1      380171004                    4                   2
                                                  North Dakota/Dunn County .............................................................................                            1      380250003                  115                   5
                                                  North Dakota/McKenzie County ......................................................................                               1      380530002                   55                   6
                                                  North Dakota/McKenzie County ......................................................................                               1      380530104                    5                   6
                                                  North Dakota/McKenzie County ......................................................................                               1      380530111                    2                   7
                                                  North Dakota/Mercer County ...........................................................................                            1      380570004                  150                  22
                                                  North Dakota/Mercer County ...........................................................................                            1      380570118                  159                  22
                                                  North Dakota/Mercer County ...........................................................................                            1      380570124                  160                  16
                                                  North Dakota/Oliver County .............................................................................                          1      380650002                  139                  10
                                                  South Dakota/Sioux Falls ................................................................................                         2      460990008                  265                   6
                                                  South Dakota/Rapid City .................................................................................                         3      461030020                  205                   4



                                                    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality                                  recently been installed in North Dakota                         concentrations, this observation
                                                  data in North Dakota and neighboring                                    to assist the state and the EPA in                              indicates an absence of evidence of
                                                  states to see whether there were any                                    designating portions of North Dakota by                         impact at these locations but is not
                                                  monitoring sites, particularly near the                                 2020.20 These are source oriented                               sufficient evidence by itself of an
                                                  North Dakota border, with elevated SO2                                  monitors, and both the monitors and the                         absence of impact at all locations in the
                                                  concentrations that might warrant                                       source they are characterizing (the Tioga                       neighboring states. We have therefore
                                                  further investigation with respect to                                   Gas Plant) are located over 80 km from                          also conducted a source-oriented
                                                  interstate transport of SO2 from                                        the North Dakota border. There is one                           analysis.
                                                  emission sources near any given                                         monitor in a neighboring state located
                                                  monitor. The data presented in Table 7,                                 within 50 km of the North Dakota                                   As noted, the EPA finds that it is
                                                  above, show that North Dakota’s                                         border, and this monitor recorded an                            appropriate to examine the impacts of
                                                  network of SO2 monitors with data                                       SO2 design value of 9% of the 2010 SO2                          emissions from stationary sources in
                                                  sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2                                  NAAQS. Thus, these air quality data do                          North Dakota in distances ranging from
                                                  design values indicates that monitored                                  not, by themselves, indicate any                                0 km to 50 km from the facility, based
                                                  1-hour SO2 levels in North Dakota are                                   particular location that would warrant                          on the ‘‘urban scale’’ definition
                                                  between 2% and 31% of the 75 ppb                                        further investigation with respect to SO2                       contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part
                                                  level of the NAAQS. There are four                                      emission sources that might                                     58, Section 4.4. Therefore, we assessed
                                                  North Dakota monitors located within                                    significantly contribute to                                     North Dakota sources of 100 tpy 21 or
                                                  50 km of a neighboring state’s border,                                  nonattainment in the neighboring states.                        more of SO2 up to 50 km from
                                                  and these monitors indicate design                                      However, because the monitoring                                 neighboring state borders to evaluate
                                                  values between 2% to 9% of the                                          network is not necessarily designed to                          trends and SO2 concentrations in area-
                                                  NAAQS. Two SO2 monitors have                                            find all locations of high SO2                                  wide air quality in Table 8 below.

                                                                                              TABLE 8—NORTH DAKOTA SO2 SOURCES NEAR NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Neighboring
                                                                                                                                                    Distance to
                                                                                                                            2016 SO2                                             Distance to nearest neighboring               state source
                                                                                                                                                   North Dakota
                                                                    North Dakota source                                     emissions                                                   state SO2 source                           2016
                                                                                                                                                      border
                                                                                                                              (tons)                                                           (km)                             emissions
                                                                                                                                                       (km)                                                                       (tons)

                                                  Drayton Sugar Mill ..........................................                          330                         2     75 (American Crystal Sugar—East Grand                        1,005
                                                                                                                                                                             Forks, Minnesota).
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  Hillsboro Sugar Mill .........................................                         439                         15    49 (American Crystal Sugar—Crookston,                          875
                                                                                                                                                                             Minnesota).


                                                    19 Id.                                                                www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–                    presence of a nearby larger source or unusual
                                                    20 SeeTSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for                        2017–0003–0600.                                                 physical factors, North Dakota sources emitting less
                                                  the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air
                                                                                                                            21 We have limited our analysis to North Dakota               than 100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to not
                                                  Quality Standard for North Dakota, in http://                           sources of SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in            be causing or contributing to SO2 concentrations
                                                                                                                          the absence of special factors, for example the                 above the NAAQS.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014        16:57 Jun 01, 2018        Jkt 244001      PO 00000       Frm 00042      Fmt 4702      Sfmt 4702     E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                                               Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                       25625

                                                                              TABLE 8—NORTH DAKOTA SO2 SOURCES NEAR NEIGHBORING STATES—Continued
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Neighboring
                                                                                                                                   Distance to
                                                                                                                2016 SO2                                     Distance to nearest neighboring               state source
                                                                                                                                  North Dakota
                                                                 North Dakota source                            emissions                                           state SO2 source                           2016
                                                                                                                                     border
                                                                                                                  (tons)                                                   (km)                             emissions
                                                                                                                                      (km)                                                                    (tons)

                                                  University of North Dakota Heating Plant                                411                   2      4 (American Crystal Sugar—East Grand                         1,005
                                                    (Grand Forks).                                                                                       Forks, Minnesota).
                                                  North Dakota State University Heating Plant                             123                   2      4.5 km (American Crystal Sugar—Moorhead,                       373
                                                    (Fargo).                                                                                             Minnesota).
                                                  Wahpeton Sugar Mill ......................................              227                   1      44 km (Hoot Lake Plant—Fergus Falls, Min-                      940
                                                                                                                                                         nesota).
                                                  Wahpeton Wet Corn Mill .................................                135                   1      47 km (Hoot Lake Plant—Fergus Falls, Min-                      940
                                                                                                                                                         nesota).



                                                     As shown, there are six North Dakota                      combined metropolitan area, the EPA                    not warrant further investigation with
                                                  sources within 50 kilometers of a cross-                     reviewed available monitoring data.                    regard to potential significant
                                                  state source, and each neighboring state                     There is one SO2 monitor (Site ID                      contribution to nonattainment from
                                                  source is located in the State of                            380171004—See Table 7) in the area, on                 North Dakota. Additionally, in our
                                                  Minnesota. The EPA has therefore                             the North Dakota side of the border,                   analysis of Minnesota’s modeling in the
                                                  assessed potential SO2 impacts from                          located 6.5 km northwest of the North                  context of designations for the 2010 SO2
                                                  North Dakota on each of the four                             Dakota State University Heating Plant,                 NAAQS, the EPA noted that the
                                                  Minnesota areas with SO2 sources near                        and 9.5 km northwest of the Moorhead                   Wahpeton facilities’ ‘‘modeled impact at
                                                  the North Dakota border, specifically the                    American Crystal Sugar Mill. As shown,                 that distance to the Hoot Lake area
                                                  Crookston, East Grand Forks, Moorhead                        this monitor recorded a design value of                would be minimal and it’s expected
                                                  and Fergus Falls, Minnesota areas.                           2 ppb from 2014–2016. Although this                    their impact would be represented by
                                                     With regard to the Grand Forks, North                     monitor is not sited to determine                      the background concentration.’’ 26 The
                                                  Dakota, and East Grand Forks,                                maximum impacts from either the                        EPA continues to support this
                                                  Minnesota combined metropolitan area,                        Moorhead American Crystal Sugar Mill                   conclusion with respect to an interstate
                                                  the EPA does not have monitoring or                          or the North Dakota State University                   transport analysis for section
                                                  modeling data to indicate transport from                     Heating Plant, it does indicate that SO2               110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).27
                                                  Grand Forks, North Dakota, to East                           levels are very low (2.6% of the                          In conclusion, for interstate transport
                                                  Grand Forks, Minnesota. On the                               NAAQS) in parts of the Fargo-Moorhead                  prong 1, we reviewed ambient SO2
                                                  contrary, wind roses for three local                         combined metropolitan area.                            monitoring data and SO2 emission
                                                  meteorological stations indicate                             Additionally, wind roses for a local                   sources both within North Dakota and
                                                  prevailing winds to be north-south                           meteorological station indicates                       in neighboring states. Based on this
                                                  oriented as opposed to west-east that                        prevailing winds to be north-south                     analysis, we propose to determine that
                                                  would be conducive to interstate                             oriented as opposed to west-east that                  North Dakota will not significantly
                                                  transport.22 On this basis, the EPA is                       would be conducive to interstate                       contribute to nonattainment of the 2010
                                                  proposing to determine that emissions                        transport.24 For these reasons, in                     SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the
                                                  from Grand Forks, North Dakota, will                         addition to the relatively low level of                requirements of CAA section
                                                  not contribute significantly to                              SO2 emissions from the North Dakota                    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
                                                  nonattainment in East Grand Forks,                           State University Heating Plant, the EPA                3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation
                                                  Minnesota.23                                                 is proposing to determine that emissions
                                                     With regard to the Crookston,                             from the North Dakota State University                    In its prong 2 analysis, North Dakota
                                                  Minnesota area, the EPA finds the                            Heating Plant will not contribute                      reviewed potential SO2 impacts on the
                                                  distance between the Hillsboro Sugar                         significantly to nonattainment in                      Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota area,
                                                  Mill and Crookston (49 km) makes it                          Moorhead, Minnesota.                                   which is currently in ‘‘maintenance’’
                                                  very unlikely that SO2 emissions from                           Finally, with regard to the Fergus                  status for the 1971 SO2 NAAQS, noting
                                                                                                               Falls, Minnesota area, air quality                     the large distance between the North
                                                  the Hillsboro Sugar Mill could interact
                                                                                                               modeling submitted to the EPA by the                   Dakota border and the Minneapolis-St.
                                                  with SO2 emissions from Crookston
                                                                                                               State of Minnesota for the Hoot Lake                   Paul area (255 km), as well as NAAQS-
                                                  American Crystal Sugar in such a way
                                                                                                               Plant indicates that the highest                       attaining monitoring data in eastern
                                                  as to contribute significantly to
                                                                                                               predicted 99th percentile daily                        North Dakota and in Minneapolis-St.
                                                  nonattainment in the Crookston area.
                                                                                                               maximum 1-hour concentration within                    Paul. The EPA interprets CAA section
                                                     With regard to the Moorhead,
                                                                                                               the modeling domain is 55.8 ppb.25 For                 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) prong 2 to require an
                                                  Minnesota, and Fargo, North Dakota,
                                                                                                               this reason, the Fergus Falls area does                evaluation of the potential impact of a
                                                    22 This wind rose data are available in a memo
                                                                                                                                                                      state’s emissions on areas that are
                                                  to the docket for this action, which can be found              24 This wind rose data are available in a memo       currently measuring clean data, but that
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  on http://www.regulations.gov.                               to the docket for this action, which can be found
                                                    23 The EPA is aware that the University of North           on http://www.regulations.gov.                           26 Id.

                                                  Dakota has announced plans to replace its heating              25 See TSD: Intended Round 3 Area Designations          27 While the air quality modeling discussed here
                                                  plant, though this change is not yet federally               for the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient       used by the EPA to support its final designation of
                                                  enforceable (See http://news.prairiepublic.org/post/         Air Quality Standard for Minnesota, in http://         the Fergus Falls area is also supportive of the
                                                  und-replace-its-steam-plant-wont-be-asking-state-            www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–           Agency’s analysis of North Dakota’s 2010 SO2
                                                  appropriation). The EPA also notes that any                  2017–0003–0057. This information was not               transport SIP, the designation itself or the use of
                                                  changes to the current facility and construction of          changed for the final version of the designation, as   this modeling in the specific context of that
                                                  a new facility must go through the state’s EPA-              shown at document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–2017–0003–             designation is not being re-opened through this
                                                  approved New Source Review program.                          0618.                                                  separate proposed action.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014     16:57 Jun 01, 2018    Jkt 244001    PO 00000   Frm 00043   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702    E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM      04JNP1


                                                  25626                      Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                  may have issues maintaining that air                     areas presently in attainment to violate               2015 to reduce SO2 emissions at the
                                                  quality, rather than only former                         the NAAQS.                                             facility by 80%. South Dakota also
                                                  nonattainment, and thus current                             As noted in North Dakota’s                          discussed how the State’s second
                                                  maintenance, areas. North Dakota also                    submission, any future large sources of                highest emitter (Ben French facility)
                                                  performed a prong 2 analysis based on                    SO2 emissions will be addressed by                     shut down in 2012, and that the
                                                  the EPA’s interpretation, noting that                    North Dakota’s SIP-approved PSD                        combination of reductions from these
                                                  monitors located near North Dakota in                    program.29 Future minor sources of SO2                 two facilities would result in a 75%
                                                  neighboring states showed very low                       emissions will be addressed by North                   reduction in SO2 emissions throughout
                                                  levels of SO2, indicating they should not                Dakota’s SIP-approved minor new                        South Dakota from 2011 to 2016. South
                                                  be considered to have maintenance                        source review permit program.30 The                    Dakota noted the large distance between
                                                  issues for this NAAQS. The EPA has                       permitting regulations contained within                the State and the nearest nonattainment
                                                  reviewed North Dakota’s analysis and                     these programs should help ensure that                 areas in downwind states. South Dakota
                                                  other available information on SO2 air                   ambient concentrations of SO2 in                       also considered the predominant
                                                  quality and emission trends to evaluate                  neighboring states are not exceeded as a               northwesterly wind direction in the
                                                  the State’s conclusion that North Dakota                 result of new facility construction or                 State, asserting that this made it very
                                                  will not interfere with maintenance of                   modification occurring in North Dakota.                unlikely that South Dakota sources
                                                  the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind                              In conclusion, for interstate transport             could impact SO2 nonattainment in
                                                  states. This evaluation builds on the                    prong 2, we reviewed additional                        states to its west. Finally, South Dakota
                                                  analysis regarding significant                           information about emission trends, as                  noted that its permitting programs
                                                  contribution to nonattainment (prong 1).                 well as the technical information                      would prevent new or modified sources
                                                  Specifically, because of the low                         considered for interstate transport prong              from impacting nonattainment and
                                                  monitored ambient concentrations of                      1. We find that the combination of low                 maintenance areas in downwind states
                                                  SO2 in North Dakota and neighboring                      ambient concentrations of SO2 in North                 going forward. Based on this weight of
                                                  states and our conclusions from our                      Dakota and neighboring states, our                     evidence analysis, South Dakota
                                                  qualitative analysis of the identified                   conclusions from our qualitative                       concluded that emissions within the
                                                  sources of SO2 emissions, the EPA is                     analysis of the identified sources of SO2              State will not contribute to
                                                  proposing to find that SO2 levels in                     emissions, the downward trend in SO2                   nonattainment or interfere with
                                                  neighboring states near the North                        emissions from North Dakota and                        maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in
                                                  Dakota border do not indicate any                        surrounding states, and state measures                 neighboring states.
                                                  inability to maintain the SO2 NAAQS                      that prevent new facility construction or
                                                  that could be attributed in part to                      modification in North Dakota from                      2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation
                                                  sources in North Dakota.                                 causing SO2 exceedances in downwind
                                                                                                           states, indicates no interference with                    The EPA proposes to find that South
                                                     As shown in Table 1, the statewide
                                                                                                           maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS                      Dakota’s SIP meets the interstate
                                                  SO2 emissions from North Dakota and
                                                                                                           from North Dakota. Accordingly, we                     transport requirements of CAA section
                                                  neighboring states have decreased
                                                                                                           propose to determine that North Dakota                 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for the 2010
                                                  substantially over time, per our review
                                                                                                           SO2 emission sources will not interfere                SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We
                                                  of the EPA’s emissions trends data.28
                                                                                                           with maintenance of the 2010 SO2                       have analyzed the air quality, emission
                                                  From 2000 to 2016, total statewide SO2
                                                                                                           NAAQS in any other state, per the                      sources and emission trends in South
                                                  emissions decreased by the following
                                                                                                           requirements of CAA section                            Dakota and neighboring states, i.e.,
                                                  proportions: Minnesota (77% decrease),
                                                                                                           110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                                    Iowa, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska,
                                                  Montana (78% decrease), North Dakota
                                                                                                                                                                  North Dakota and Wyoming. Based on
                                                  (44% decrease) and South Dakota (93%                     D. South Dakota                                        that analysis, we propose to find that
                                                  decrease). This trend of decreasing SO2
                                                                                                           1. State’s Analysis                                    South Dakota will not significantly
                                                  emissions does not by itself demonstrate
                                                                                                                                                                  contribute to nonattainment of the 2010
                                                  that areas in North Dakota and                              South Dakota conducted a weight of                  SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
                                                  neighboring states will not have issues                  evidence analysis to examine whether
                                                  maintaining the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.                          SO2 emissions from South Dakota                           We reviewed 2014–2016 SO2 design
                                                  However, as a piece of this weight of                    adversely affect attainment or                         value concentrations at monitors with
                                                  evidence analysis for prong 2, it                        maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in                   data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour
                                                  provides further indication (when                        downwind states. South Dakota                          SO2 design values for South Dakota and
                                                  considered alongside low monitor                         provided an inventory of each SO2                      neighboring states.31 In Table 9, below,
                                                  values in neighboring states) that such                  source located in a county that borders                we have included monitoring data from
                                                  maintenance issues are unlikely. This is                 another state, including the emissions                 four scenarios: (1) All of the monitor
                                                  because the geographic scope of these                    for each source. South Dakota provided                 data from South Dakota; (2) the monitor
                                                  reductions and their large sizes strongly                information on SO2 reductions for the                  with the highest SO2 level in each
                                                  suggest that they are not transient effects              larger SO2 sources in this inventory,                  neighboring state; (3) the monitor in
                                                  from reversible causes, and thus these                   noting that the State’s largest SO2                    each neighboring state located closest to
                                                  reductions suggest that there is very low                emissions source (Big Stone I) installed               the South Dakota border; and (4) all
                                                  likelihood that a strong upward trend in                 pollution controls between 2012 and                    monitors in each neighboring state
                                                  emissions will occur that might cause                                                                           within 50 km of the border.
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                                                                             29 See EPA’s final action of the PSD portions of
                                                    28 Additional emissions trends data are available      North Dakota’s SIP, at 82 FR 46681, October 6,           31 Data retrieved from EPA’s https://

                                                  at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/       2017.                                                  www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-
                                                  air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.                       30 Id.                                               values#report.




                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014    16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001   PO 00000   Frm 00044   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                                   25627

                                                                                      TABLE 9—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN SOUTH DAKOTA AND NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                            Distance
                                                                                                                                                                                                          from South         2014–2016
                                                                                                  State/Area                                                          Scenario           Site ID             Dakota         Design value
                                                                                                                                                                                                             border           (ppb) 32
                                                                                                                                                                                                              (km)

                                                  Iowa/Muscatine ................................................................................................                 2      191390020                  462                 113
                                                  Iowa/Sioux City ................................................................................................             3, 4      191930020                   19                   9
                                                  Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul ......................................................................                           2      270370020                  270                  12
                                                  Minnesota/Minneapolis-St. Paul ......................................................................                           3      270530954                  250                   5
                                                  Montana/Richland County ...............................................................................                         3      300830001                  210                   7
                                                  Montana/Billings ...............................................................................................                2      301110066                  343                  53
                                                  Nebraska/Omaha .............................................................................................                    2      310550053                  136                  59
                                                  Nebraska/Omaha .............................................................................................                    3      310550019                  676                  27
                                                  North Dakota/Burke County .............................................................................                         2      380130004                  300                  23
                                                  North Dakota/Bismarck ....................................................................................                      3      380150003                   99                  15
                                                  South Dakota/Jackson County ........................................................................                            1      460710001                   83                   3
                                                  South Dakota/Sioux Falls ................................................................................                       1      460990008                   10                   6
                                                  South Dakota/Rapid City .................................................................................                       1      461030020                   62                   4
                                                  South Dakota/Sioux City ..................................................................................                      1      461270001                    6                   4
                                                  Wyoming/Casper .............................................................................................                    2      560252601                  178                  25
                                                  Wyoming/Weston County ................................................................................                       3, 4      560450800                   12                   3



                                                    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality                                  which was still in nonattainment status                       Dakota border, and these monitors
                                                  data in South Dakota and neighboring                                    at the time of South Dakota’s                                 recorded SO2 design values between 4%
                                                  states to determine whether there were                                  submission. As noted in the section of                        and 12% of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
                                                  any monitoring sites, particularly near                                 this notice about North Dakota, the EPA                       Thus, these air quality data do not, by
                                                  the South Dakota border, with elevated                                  redesignated the former Billings 2010                         themselves, indicate any particular
                                                  SO2 concentrations that might warrant                                   SO2 nonattainment area to attainment                          location that would warrant further
                                                  further investigation with respect to                                   following the permanent closure of the                        investigation with respect to SO2
                                                  interstate transport of SO2 from                                        PPL Corette Plant. See 81 FR 28718                            emission sources that might
                                                  emission sources near any given                                         (May 10, 2016). As noted by South                             significantly contribute to
                                                  monitor. As shown, there are no                                         Dakota, the Billings, Montana area is                         nonattainment in the neighboring states.
                                                  violating design values in South Dakota                                 located a very large distance (343 km)                        However, because the monitoring
                                                  or neighboring states apart from the                                    from the nearest South Dakota border,                         network is not necessarily designed to
                                                  Muscatine, Iowa area. In South Dakota’s                                 and is upwind rather than downwind of                         find all locations of high SO2
                                                  analysis, the State reviewed its potential                              South Dakota. Table 9 also shows that                         concentrations, this observation
                                                  impact on the Muscatine, Iowa 2010                                      recent monitoring data in the Billings                        indicates an absence of evidence of
                                                  SO2 nonattainment area. South Dakota                                    area do not approach the 2010 SO2                             impact at these locations but is not
                                                  asserted that the significant distance                                  NAAQS. For these reasons, the EPA                             sufficient evidence by itself of an
                                                  between its nearest border and the                                      agrees with South Dakota’s conclusion                         absence of impact at all locations in the
                                                  Muscatine area (shown in Table 9), as                                   that the emissions from South Dakota                          neighboring states. We have therefore
                                                  well as the low emissions in                                            will not contribute significantly to                          also conducted a source-oriented
                                                  southeastern South Dakota indicated no                                  nonattainment in the Billings, Montana                        analysis.
                                                  SO2 impacts to the Muscatine SO2                                        area.                                                            As noted, the EPA finds that it is
                                                  nonattainment area. The EPA agrees                                         The data presented in Table 9, above,                      appropriate to examine the impacts of
                                                  with South Dakota’s analysis and                                        show that South Dakota’s network of                           emissions from stationary sources in
                                                  conclusion with regard to the                                           SO2 monitors with data sufficient to                          South Dakota in distances ranging from
                                                  Muscatine, Iowa area. The EPA notes                                     produce valid 1-hour SO2 design values                        0 km to 50 km from the facility, based
                                                  that during the 2014–2016 period,                                       indicates that monitored 1-hour SO2                           on the ‘‘urban scale’’ definition
                                                  substantial reductions in SO2 emissions                                 levels in South Dakota are between 4%                         contained in Appendix D to 40 CFR part
                                                  occurred within the Muscatine SO2                                       and 8% of the 75 ppb level of the                             58, Section 4.4. Therefore, we assessed
                                                  nonattainment area.33 For this reason,                                  NAAQS. There are two South Dakota                             point sources up to 50 km from state
                                                  the last exceedance of the 2010 SO2                                     monitors located within 50 km of a                            borders to evaluate trends and SO2
                                                  NAAQS at the violating monitor listed                                   neighboring state’s border, and these                         concentrations in area-wide air quality.
                                                  in Table 9 (site ID 191390020) occurred                                 monitors indicate design values                               The list of such sources with greater
                                                  in June 2015.34                                                         between 5% and 8% of the NAAQS.                               than 100 tpy 35 of SO2 within 50 km
                                                    South Dakota also analyzed potential                                  There are two monitors in neighboring                         from state borders is provided in Table
                                                  impacts to the Billings, Montana area,                                  states located within 50 km of the South                      10, below.
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                    32 Id.                                                                  34 Data retrieved from EPA’s https://                       physical factors, South Dakota sources emitting less
                                                    33 SeeTSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for                        www.epa.gov/outdoor-air-quality-data.                         than 100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to not
                                                  the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air                          35 We have limited our analysis to South Dakota
                                                                                                                                                                                        be causing or contributing to SO2 concentrations
                                                  Quality Standard for Iowa, in http://                                   sources of SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in          above the NAAQS.
                                                  www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–                            the absence of special factors, for example the
                                                  2017–0003–0616.                                                         presence of a nearby larger source or unusual



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014        16:57 Jun 01, 2018        Jkt 244001      PO 00000       Frm 00045      Fmt 4702      Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                  25628                     Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                                                          TABLE 10—SO2 SOURCES NEAR THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER
                                                                                                                               Distance to                                                             Cross-state
                                                                                                           2016 SO2               South                  Distance to nearest cross-State               source 2016
                                                                       Source                              emissions             Dakota                            SO2 source                           emissions
                                                                                                             (tons)              border                               (km)                                (tons)
                                                                                                                                  (km)

                                                  Big Stone Power Plant (Grant County, South                         827                     4     113 (Wahpeton Sugar Mill—Richland Coun-                         227
                                                    Dakota).                                                                                         ty, North Dakota).
                                                  Colony East and West Plant (Crook County,                          106                     8     111 (GCC Dacotah—Rapid City, South Da-                          304
                                                    Wyoming).                                                                                        kota).



                                                     With regard to potential cross-state                 nonattainment in the Crook County,                      Dakota border do not indicate any
                                                  impacts from the Big Stone Power Plant,                 Wyoming area.                                           inability to maintain the SO2 NAAQS
                                                  air quality modeling submitted to the                     In conclusion, for interstate transport               that could be attributed in part to
                                                  EPA by South Dakota indicates that the                  prong 1, we reviewed ambient SO2                        sources in South Dakota.
                                                  highest predicted 99th percentile daily                 monitoring data and SO2 emission                           As shown in Table 1, the statewide
                                                  maximum 1-hour concentration within                     sources within South Dakota and in                      SO2 emissions from South Dakota and
                                                  the modeling domain surrounding the                     neighboring states. Based on this                       neighboring states have decreased
                                                  power plant is 57.88 ppb.36 This                        analysis, we propose to determine that                  substantially over time, per our review
                                                  predicted maximum concentration,                        South Dakota will not significantly                     of the EPA’s emissions trends data.39
                                                  which includes an estimate of the                       contribute to nonattainment of the 2010                 From 2000 to 2016, total statewide SO2
                                                  background concentration, indicates                     SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the                   emissions decreased by the following
                                                  that this source alone could not cause                  requirements of CAA section                             proportions: Iowa (81% decrease),
                                                  nonattainment in South Dakota or any                    110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                                     Minnesota (77% decrease), Montana
                                                  other state. Together with the distance                 3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation                             (78% decrease), Nebraska (52%
                                                  between Big Stone and the nearest                                                                               decrease), North Dakota (44% decrease),
                                                  cross-state source (113 km), this                          The EPA has reviewed available                       South Dakota (93% decrease) and
                                                  indicates that the Big Stone Power Plant                information on SO2 air quality and                      Wyoming (59% decrease). This trend of
                                                  will not significantly contribute to                    emission trends to evaluate the state’s                 decreasing SO2 emissions does not by
                                                  nonattainment in any other state. The                   conclusion that South Dakota will not                   itself demonstrate that areas in South
                                                  EPA continues to support this                           interfere with maintenance of the 2010                  Dakota and neighboring states will not
                                                  conclusion with respect to an interstate                SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. The                       have issues maintaining the 2010 SO2
                                                  transport analysis for section                          EPA notes that South Dakota’s analysis                  NAAQS. However, as a piece of this
                                                  110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).37                                   does not independently address                          weight of evidence analysis for prong 2,
                                                                                                          whether the SIP contains adequate                       it provides further indication (when
                                                     The EPA also reviewed the location of                provisions prohibiting emissions that
                                                  sources in neighboring states emitting                                                                          considered alongside low monitor
                                                                                                          will interfere with maintenance of the                  values in neighboring states) that such
                                                  more than 100 tpy of SO2 and located                    2010 SO2 NAAQS in any other state. As
                                                  within 50 km of the South Dakota                                                                                maintenance issues are unlikely. This is
                                                                                                          noted, the ‘‘interfere with maintenance’’               because the geographic scope of these
                                                  border. This is because elevated levels                 clause of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) must
                                                  of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in South                                                                           reductions and their large sizes strongly
                                                                                                          be given ‘‘independent significance’’ by                suggest that they are not transient effects
                                                  Dakota may have a downwind impact,                      evaluating the impact of upwind state
                                                  are most likely to be found near such                                                                           from reversible causes, and thus these
                                                                                                          emissions on downwind areas that,                       reductions suggest that there is very low
                                                  sources. As shown in Table 10, the only                 while currently in attainment, are at risk
                                                  source within this distance of the South                                                                        likelihood that a strong upward trend in
                                                                                                          of future nonattainment, considering                    emissions will occur that might cause
                                                  Dakota border is the Colony East and                    historic variability.38 While South
                                                  West Plant. The shortest distance                                                                               areas presently in attainment to violate
                                                                                                          Dakota did not evaluate the potential                   the NAAQS.
                                                  between this source and the nearest                     impact of its emissions on areas that are
                                                  source in South Dakota, the GCC                                                                                    As noted in South Dakota’s
                                                                                                          currently measuring clean data, but that                submission, any future large sources of
                                                  Dacotah facility, is 111 km. This makes                 may have issues maintaining that air
                                                  it very unlikely that SO2 emissions from                                                                        SO2 emissions will be addressed by
                                                                                                          quality, the EPA has incorporated
                                                  the GCC Dacotah facility could interact                                                                         South Dakota’s SIP-approved PSD
                                                                                                          additional information into our
                                                  with SO2 emissions from the Colony                                                                              program.40 Future minor sources of SO2
                                                                                                          evaluation of South Dakota’s
                                                  East and West Plants in such a way as                                                                           emissions will be addressed by South
                                                                                                          submission. This evaluation builds on
                                                  to contribute significantly to                                                                                  Dakota’s SIP-approved minor new
                                                                                                          the analysis regarding significant
                                                                                                                                                                  source review permit program.41 The
                                                                                                          contribution to nonattainment (prong 1).
                                                     36 See TSD: Final Area Designations for the 2010                                                             permitting regulations contained within
                                                                                                          Specifically, because of the low
                                                  SO2 Primary National Ambient Air Quality                                                                        these programs should help ensure that
                                                                                                          monitored ambient concentrations of
                                                  Standard for South Dakota, in http://                                                                           ambient concentrations of SO2 in
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–            SO2 in South Dakota and neighboring
                                                                                                                                                                  neighboring states are not exceeded as a
                                                  2014–0464–0359.                                         states, and the large distances between
                                                     37 While the air quality modeling discussed here
                                                                                                          cross-state SO2 sources, the EPA is                        39 Additional emissions trends data are available
                                                  used by the EPA to support its final designation of     proposing to find that SO2 levels in
                                                  the Grant County, South Dakota area is also                                                                     at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/
                                                  supportive of the Agency’s analysis of South            neighboring states near the South                       air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
                                                                                                                                                                     40 See EPA’s final action of the PSD portions of
                                                  Dakota’s 2010 SO2 transport SIP, the designation
                                                  itself or the use of this modeling in the specific        38 531 F.3d 896, 910–11 (DC Cir. 2008) (holding       South Dakota’s SIP, at 82 FR 38832, August 16,
                                                  context of that designation is not being re-opened      that the EPA must give ‘‘independent significance’’     2017.
                                                  through this separate proposed action.                  to each prong of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).          41 Id.




                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001   PO 00000   Frm 00046   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702    E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                                                    Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                                25629

                                                  result of new facility construction or                                  SO2 maintenance area, which was                               contribute to nonattainment of the 2010
                                                  modification occurring in South Dakota.                                 designated as nonattainment at the time                       SO2 NAAQS in any other state.
                                                     In conclusion, for interstate transport                              of Wyoming’s submittal, because                                  Wyoming focused its analysis on
                                                  prong 2, the EPA has incorporated                                       Montana was the only state bordering                          potential impacts to the Billings,
                                                  additional information into our                                         Wyoming that contained a                                      Montana area, which was still in
                                                  evaluation of South Dakota’s                                            nonattainment or maintenance area for                         nonattainment status at the time of
                                                  submission, which did not include an                                    this NAAQS. Wyoming reviewed wind                             Wyoming’s submission. As noted, the
                                                  independent analysis of prong 2. In                                     rose data from northeast Wyoming, the                         EPA redesignated the former Billings
                                                  doing so, we have reviewed additional                                   location in Wyoming with the nearest                          2010 SO2 nonattainment area to
                                                  information about emission trends, as                                   significant SO2 sources to the Billings
                                                  well as the technical information                                                                                                     attainment following the permanent
                                                                                                                          area. Based on a review of this                               closure of the PPL Corette Plant. See 81
                                                  considered for interstate transport prong                               information, Wyoming concluded that
                                                  1. We find that the combination of low                                                                                                FR 28718 (May 10, 2016). As asserted by
                                                                                                                          winds in northeast Wyoming were                               Wyoming and shown in Table 11, the
                                                  ambient concentrations of SO2 in South                                  predominantly from the north and west,
                                                  Dakota and neighboring states, the large                                                                                              Billings, Montana area is located a large
                                                                                                                          and therefore made transport to Billings                      distance (87 km) from the Wyoming
                                                  distances between cross-state SO2                                       very unlikely. Wyoming also asserted
                                                  sources, the downward trend in SO2                                                                                                    border. Further, the wind roses
                                                                                                                          that SO2 sources within Wyoming were
                                                  emissions from South Dakota and                                                                                                       provided by Wyoming indicate that
                                                                                                                          all located much further than 50 km
                                                  surrounding states, and state measures                                                                                                meteorology does not favor transport
                                                                                                                          from the Billings area. Finally,
                                                  that prevent new facility construction or                                                                                             from Wyoming sources to the Billings
                                                                                                                          Wyoming noted that no neighboring
                                                  modification in South Dakota from                                                                                                     area. Table 11 also shows that recent
                                                                                                                          state apart from Montana contained a
                                                  causing SO2 exceedances in downwind                                                                                                   monitoring data in the Billings area do
                                                                                                                          2010 SO2 nonattainment area. Based on
                                                  states, indicates no interference with                                                                                                not approach the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. For
                                                                                                                          this weight of evidence analysis,
                                                  maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS                                                                                                     these reasons, the EPA agrees with
                                                                                                                          Wyoming concluded that emissions
                                                  from South Dakota. Accordingly, we                                                                                                    Wyoming’s conclusion that emissions
                                                                                                                          within the State will not contribute to
                                                  propose to determine that South Dakota                                                                                                from Wyoming will not contribute
                                                                                                                          nonattainment or interfere with
                                                  SO2 emission sources will not interfere                                                                                               significantly to nonattainment in the
                                                                                                                          maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in
                                                  with maintenance of the 2010 SO2                                                                                                      Billings, Montana area.
                                                                                                                          neighboring states.
                                                  NAAQS in any other state, per the                                                                                                        We reviewed 2014–2016 SO2 design
                                                  requirements of CAA section                                             2. EPA’s Prong 1 Evaluation                                   value concentrations at monitors with
                                                  110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                                                        The EPA proposes to find that                              data sufficient to produce valid 1-hour
                                                  E. Wyoming                                                              Wyoming’s SIP meets the interstate                            SO2 design values for Wyoming and
                                                                                                                          transport requirements of CAA section                         neighboring states.43 In Table 11, below,
                                                  1. State’s Analysis                                                     110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), prong 1 for the 2010                      we have included monitoring data from
                                                     Wyoming conducted a weight of                                        SO2 NAAQS, as discussed below. We                             four scenarios: (1) All of the monitor
                                                  evidence analysis to examine whether                                    have analyzed the air quality, emission                       data from Wyoming; (2) the monitor
                                                  SO2 emissions from Wyoming adversely                                    sources and emission trends in                                with the highest SO2 level in each
                                                  affect attainment or maintenance of the                                 Wyoming and neighboring states, i.e.,                         neighboring state; (3) the monitor in
                                                  2010 SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.                                      Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska,                           each neighboring state located closest to
                                                  Wyoming primarily reviewed the                                          South Dakota and Utah.42 Based on that                        the Wyoming border; and (4) all
                                                  potential impact of emissions from                                      analysis, we propose to find that                             monitors in each neighboring state
                                                  Wyoming on the Billings, Montana 2010                                   Wyoming will not significantly                                within 50 km of the Wyoming border.

                                                                                          TABLE 11—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN WYOMING AND NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Distance to      2014–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Wyoming
                                                                                                  State/Area                                                          Scenario           Site ID                         Design value
                                                                                                                                                                                                           border          (ppb) 44
                                                                                                                                                                                                            (km)

                                                  Colorado/Denver ..............................................................................................                  3      080013001                127                18
                                                  Colorado/Colorado Springs .............................................................................                         2      080410015                240                52
                                                  Idaho/Pocatello ................................................................................................                2      160050004                120                39
                                                  Idaho/Caribou County ......................................................................................                  3, 4      160290031                 45                26
                                                  Montana/Billings ...............................................................................................             2, 3      301110066                 87                53
                                                  Nebraska/Omaha .............................................................................................                    3      310550019                676                27
                                                  Nebraska/Omaha .............................................................................................                    2      310550053                679                59
                                                  South Dakota/Sioux Falls ................................................................................                       2      460990008                593                 6
                                                  South Dakota/Rapid City .................................................................................                       3      461030020                 62                 4
                                                  Wyoming/Gillette ..............................................................................................                 1      560050857                 80                21
                                                  Wyoming/Cheyenne .........................................................................................                      1      560210100                 20                 9
                                                  Wyoming/Casper .............................................................................................                    1      560252601                178                25
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                     42 The EPA also analyzed potential Wyoming SO                        the Reservation. We determined that the only                  operation. Therefore, the available information
                                                                                                     2
                                                  transport to the Wind River Reservation in                              source above 100 tpy of SO2 within 50 km of the               indicates that emissions from Wyoming will not
                                                  Wyoming. The Northern Arapaho and Eastern                               Wind River Reservation, the Lost Cabin Gas Plant,             contribute significantly to nonattainment or
                                                  Shoshone Tribes have been approved by the EPA                           is located over 40 km downwind (see wind rose                 interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS
                                                  for treatment in a similar manner as a state (TAS)                      data in the docket for this action) from the
                                                                                                                                                                                        at the Wind River Reservation.
                                                  status for CAA Section 126 (78 FR 76829, December                       Reservation. The area around this source contains
                                                                                                                                                                                           43 Data retrieved from EPA’s https://
                                                  19, 2013). The Tribes’ TAS application for Section                      a source-oriented monitor (Site ID 560130003)
                                                  126 demonstrates an interest in how their air                           indicating a fourth highest 1-hour daily maximum              www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-
                                                  quality is impacted by Wyoming sources outside of                       below the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in its first year of                 values#report.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014        16:57 Jun 01, 2018        Jkt 244001      PO 00000       Frm 00047      Fmt 4702      Sfmt 4702   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                  25630                          Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                                             TABLE 11—SO2 MONITOR VALUES IN WYOMING AND NEIGHBORING STATES—Continued
                                                                                                                                                                                                     Distance to        2014–2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Wyoming
                                                                                              State/Area                                                          Scenario           Site ID                           Design value
                                                                                                                                                                                                       border            (ppb) 44
                                                                                                                                                                                                        (km)

                                                  Wyoming/Rock Springs ...................................................................................                   1      560370300                   83                    21
                                                  Wyoming/Weston County ................................................................................                     1      560450800                   12                     3



                                                    The EPA reviewed ambient air quality                             installed in Wyoming to assist the State                      indicates an absence of evidence of
                                                  data in Wyoming and neighboring states                             and the EPA in designating portions of                        impact at these locations but is not
                                                  to see whether there were any                                      Wyoming by 2020.45 These are source                           sufficient evidence by itself of an
                                                  monitoring sites, particularly near the                            oriented monitors, and none of these                          absence of impact at all locations in the
                                                  Wyoming border, with elevated SO2                                  monitors or the sources they are                              neighboring states. We have therefore
                                                  concentrations that might warrant                                  characterizing are located within 50 km                       also conducted a source-oriented
                                                  further investigation with respect to                              of the Wyoming border. There is one                           analysis.
                                                  interstate transport of SO2 from                                   monitor in a neighboring state located
                                                  emission sources near any given                                    within 50 km of the Wyoming border,                             As noted, the EPA finds that it is
                                                  monitor. The data presented in Table                               and this monitor recorded an SO2                              appropriate to examine the impacts of
                                                  11, above, show that Wyoming’s                                     design value of 35% of the 2010 SO2                           emissions from stationary sources in
                                                  network of SO2 monitors with data                                  NAAQS. Thus, these air quality data do                        Wyoming in distances ranging from 0
                                                  sufficient to produce valid 1-hour SO2                             not, by themselves, indicate any                              km to 50 km from the facility, based on
                                                  design values indicates that monitored                             particular location that would warrant                        the ‘‘urban scale’’ definition contained
                                                  1-hour SO2 levels in Wyoming are                                   further investigation with respect to SO2                     in Appendix D to 40 CFR part 58,
                                                  between 4% and 33% of the 75 ppb                                   emission sources that might                                   Section 4.4. Therefore, we assessed
                                                  level of the NAAQS. There are two                                  significantly contribute to                                   point sources up to 50 km from state
                                                  Wyoming monitors located within 50                                 nonattainment in the neighboring states.                      borders to evaluate trends and SO2
                                                  km of the state’s border, and these                                However, because the monitoring                               concentrations in area-wide air quality.
                                                  monitors indicate design values                                    network is not necessarily designed to                        The list of sources of greater than 100
                                                  between 4% and 12% of the NAAQS.                                   find all locations of high SO2                                tpy 46 of SO2 within 50 km from state
                                                  Seven SO2 monitors have recently been                              concentrations, this observation                              borders is provided in Table 12 below.

                                                                                               TABLE 12—WYOMING SO2 SOURCES NEAR NEIGHBORING STATES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Neighboring
                                                                                                                     2016 annual              Distance to                        Distance to nearest                   state source
                                                                                                                         SO2                   Wyoming                            neighboring state
                                                                     Wyoming source                                                                                                                                         2016
                                                                                                                      emissions                 border                               SO2 source                         emissions
                                                                                                                        (tons)                   (km)                                   (km)                               (tons)

                                                  Carter Creek Gas Plant ..................................                        130                       11    76 (Devils Slide Plant, Holcim—Morgan                          187
                                                                                                                                                                     County, Utah).
                                                  Frontier Petroleum Refinery ............................                         311                       14    35 (Rawhide Energy Station—Larimer Coun-                       879
                                                                                                                                                                     ty, Colorado).
                                                  Naughton Power Plant ....................................                   4,069.7                        37    110 (Devils Slide Plant, Holcim—Morgan                         187
                                                                                                                                                                     County, Utah).
                                                  Laramie Cement Plant ....................................                        165                       30    67 (Rawhide Energy Station, Larimer Coun-                      879
                                                                                                                                                                     ty, Colorado).
                                                  Colony East and West Plants .........................                            106                        8    111 km (GCC Dacotah—Rapid City, South                          304
                                                                                                                                                                     Dakota).
                                                  Elk Basin Gas Plant ........................................                     641                        2    75 km (CHS Laurel Refinery—Laurel, Mon-                        272
                                                                                                                                                                     tana).



                                                    With regard to the Frontier Petroleum                            of the Frontier Petroleum Refinery (Site                      Frontier Petroleum Refinery, recorded 1
                                                  Refinery in Cheyenne, the EPA has                                  ID 560210100—See Table 11), and                               year of data in Cheyenne to examine
                                                  assessed potential SO2 impacts from this                           recorded a 2014–2016 SO2 design value                         potential population exposure near the
                                                  source on the area near the Rawhide                                of 9 ppb. The maximum 1-hour SO2                              Frontier Petroleum Refinery.47 Between
                                                  Energy Station, in Larimer County,                                 value measured at this monitor from                           March 31, 2016 and April 3, 2017, this
                                                  Colorado.                                                          January 1, 2011 (when it began                                monitor recorded a maximum SO2
                                                    The EPA reviewed available                                       operation) to December 31, 2017, was 31                       concentration of 44 ppb, with a fourth
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  monitoring data in Cheyenne, Wyoming.                              ppb. A second monitor not listed in                           highest 1-hour daily maximum
                                                  One monitor is located 6 km northeast                              Table 11, located 3 km east of the                            concentration of 16.7 ppb. Although
                                                    44 Id.                                                             46 We have limited our analysis to Wyoming                  be causing or contributing to SO2 concentrations
                                                    45 SeeTSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for                   sources of SO2 emitting at least 100 tpy, because in          above the NAAQS.
                                                  the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air                   the absence of special factors, for example the                 47 See Wyoming’s 2016 Annual Monitoring

                                                  Quality Standard for Wyoming, in http://                           presence of a nearby larger source or unusual                 Network Plan at pages 50–51: http://
                                                  www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–                       physical factors, Wyoming sources emitting less               deq.wyoming.gov/aqd/monitoring/resources/
                                                  2017–0003–0608.                                                    than 100 tpy can appropriately be presumed to not             annual-network-plans/.



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014      16:57 Jun 01, 2018      Jkt 244001     PO 00000      Frm 00048      Fmt 4702     Sfmt 4702    E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1


                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules                                                         25631

                                                  these monitoring data do not provide                    information at this time suggesting that                   nonattainment in Wyoming or any other
                                                  information as to the air quality near the              the State of Montana is impacted by                        state. Together with the distance
                                                  Rawhide Generating Station, they do                     emissions from Elk Basin Gas Plant or                      between Naughton and the nearest
                                                  indicate that SO2 levels are low near the               other emissions activity originating in                    cross-state source (110 km), this
                                                  Frontier Petroleum Refinery, and                        Wyoming in violation of section                            indicates that the Naughton Power Plant
                                                  decrease even more at 6 km from the                     110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Therefore, we do not                   will not significantly contribute to
                                                  source. We anticipate emissions will                    have evidence that demonstrates that                       nonattainment in any other state. The
                                                  continue to decrease as distance                        emissions from this source will                            EPA continues to support this
                                                  increases, resulting in very little SO2                 significantly contribute to                                conclusion with respect to an interstate
                                                  impact from the Frontier Petroleum                      nonattainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.                       transport analysis for section
                                                  Refinery at the Colorado border (14 km),                  With regard to potential cross-state
                                                                                                                                                                     110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).49
                                                  and even less near the Rawhide                          impacts from the Naughton Power Plant,
                                                  Generating Station (35 km). This, in                    air quality modeling submitted to the                         For the other sources listed in Table
                                                  combination with the relatively low                     EPA by Wyoming indicates that the                          12, the low levels of emissions and large
                                                  level of emissions from the refinery (See               highest predicted 99th percentile daily                    distances between Wyoming sources
                                                  Table 12), leads the EPA to conclude                    maximum 1-hour concentration within                        within 50 km of a state border and the
                                                  that SO2 transport at significant levels                the modeling domain surrounding the                        nearest SO2 source in a neighboring
                                                  between Cheyenne, Wyoming and                           power plant is 56.3 ppb.48 This                            state provide further evidence to
                                                  Larimer County, Colorado, is very                       predicted maximum concentration,                           support a conclusion that emissions
                                                  unlikely.                                               which includes an estimate of the                          from Wyoming will not contribute to
                                                    With regard to the Elk Basin Gas                      background concentration, indicates                        problems with attainment of the 2010
                                                  Plant, the EPA does not have                            that this source alone could not cause                     SO2 NAAQS in downwind states.

                                                                                        TABLE 13—NEIGHBORING STATE SO2 SOURCES NEAR WYOMING *
                                                                                                                               Distance to                          Distance to                            Wyoming
                                                                                                           2016 SO2             Wyoming                           nearest Wyoming                         source 2016
                                                                       Source                              emissions             border                             SO2 source                             emissions
                                                                                                             (tons)               (km)                                  (km)                                 (tons)

                                                  Clean Harbors Env. Services (Kimball Coun-                         218                   33      95 (Frontier Petroleum Refinery) ...................              311
                                                    ty, Nebraska).
                                                  P4 Production Chemical Plant (Soda Springs,                        478                   45      132 (Naughton Generating Station) ...............               4,069
                                                    Idaho).
                                                  Nu-West Industries Fertilizer Plant (Conda,                        364                   40      134 (Naughton Generating Station) ...............               4,069
                                                    Idaho).
                                                     * We have not included sources that are duplicative of those in Table 12.


                                                    The EPA also reviewed the location of                 Wyoming will not significantly                             emissions on downwind areas that,
                                                  sources in neighboring states emitting                  contribute to nonattainment of the 2010                    while currently in attainment, are at risk
                                                  more than 100 tpy of SO2 and located                    SO2 NAAQS in any other state, per the                      of future nonattainment, considering
                                                  within 50 km of the Wyoming border                      requirements of CAA section                                historic variability.50 While Wyoming
                                                  (see Table 13). This is because elevated                110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                                        did not evaluate the potential impact of
                                                  levels of SO2, to which SO2 emitted in                                                                             its emissions on areas that are currently
                                                                                                          3. EPA’s Prong 2 Evaluation
                                                  Wyoming may have a downwind                                                                                        measuring clean data, but that may have
                                                  impact, are most likely to be found near                   The EPA has reviewed the analysis                       issues maintaining that air quality, the
                                                  such sources. As shown in Table 13, the                 presented by Wyoming and additional                        EPA has incorporated additional
                                                  shortest distance between any pair of                   information on SO2 air quality and                         information into our evaluation of
                                                  these sources is within 95 km. This                     emission trends to evaluate the State’s                    Wyoming’s submission. This evaluation
                                                  indicates that there are no additional                  conclusion that Wyoming will not                           builds on the analysis regarding
                                                  locations in neighboring states that                    interfere with maintenance of the 2010                     significant contribution to
                                                  would warrant further investigation                     SO2 NAAQS in downwind states. The                          nonattainment (prong 1). Specifically,
                                                  with respect to Wyoming SO2 emission                    EPA notes that Wyoming’s analysis does
                                                  sources that might contribute to                                                                                   because of the low monitored ambient
                                                                                                          not independently address whether the
                                                  problems with attainment of the 2010                                                                               concentrations of SO2 in Wyoming and
                                                                                                          SIP contains adequate provisions
                                                  SO2 NAAQS.                                                                                                         neighboring states and the large
                                                                                                          prohibiting emissions that will interfere
                                                    In conclusion, for interstate transport               with maintenance of the 2010 SO2                           distances between cross-state SO2
                                                  prong 1, we reviewed ambient SO2                        NAAQS in any other state. As noted, the                    sources, the EPA is proposing to find
                                                  monitoring data and SO2 emission                        ‘‘interfere with maintenance’’ clause of                   that SO2 levels in neighboring states
                                                  sources both within Wyoming and in                      section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) must be given                   near the Wyoming border do not
                                                                                                                                                                     indicate an inability to maintain the SO2
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  neighboring states. Based on this                       ‘‘independent significance’’ by
                                                  analysis, we propose to determine that                  evaluating the impact of upwind state                      NAAQS.

                                                    48 See TSD: Final Round 3 Area Designations for       National Ambient Air Quality Standard for                  use of this modeling in the specific context of that
                                                  the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary National Ambient Air        Wyoming, at EPA–HQ–OAR–2017–0003–0033.                     designation is not being re-opened through this
                                                                                                            49 While the air quality modeling discussed here
                                                  Quality Standard for Wyoming, in http://                                                                           separate proposed action.
                                                  www.regulations.gov, document ID EPA–HQ–OAR–            used by the EPA to support its final designation of          50 531 F.3d 896, 910–11 (DC Cir. 2008) (holding

                                                  2017–0003–0608, and TSD: Intended Round 3 Area          the Lincoln County, Wyoming area is also
                                                                                                                                                                     that the EPA must give ‘‘independent significance’’
                                                  Designations for the 2010 1-Hour SO2 Primary            supportive of the Agency’s analysis of Wyoming’s
                                                                                                                                                                     to each prong of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).
                                                                                                          2010 SO2 transport SIP, the designation itself or the



                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001   PO 00000   Frm 00049   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 4702    E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM      04JNP1


                                                  25632                     Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 107 / Monday, June 4, 2018 / Proposed Rules

                                                     As shown in Table 1, the statewide                   Wyoming from causing SO2                               under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
                                                  SO2 emissions from Wyoming and                          exceedances in downwind states,                        U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
                                                  neighboring states have decreased                       indicates no interference with                            • do not contain any unfunded
                                                  substantially over time, per our review                 maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS                      mandate or significantly or uniquely
                                                  of the EPA’s emissions trends data.51                   from Wyoming. Accordingly, we                          affect small governments, as described
                                                  From 2000 to 2016, total statewide SO2                  propose to determine that Wyoming SO2
                                                                                                                                                                 in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
                                                  emissions decreased by the following                    emission sources will not interfere with
                                                  proportions: Colorado (82% decrease),                                                                          of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
                                                                                                          maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in
                                                  Idaho (70% decrease), Montana (78%                      any other state, per the requirements of                  • do not have federalism implications
                                                  decrease), Nebraska (52% decrease),                     CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).                        as specified in Executive Order 13132
                                                  South Dakota (93% decrease), Utah                                                                              (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
                                                  (73% decrease) and Wyoming (59%                         IV. Proposed Action
                                                                                                                                                                    • are not economically significant
                                                  decrease). This trend of decreasing SO2                   The EPA is proposing to approve the                  regulatory actions based on health or
                                                  emissions does not by itself demonstrate                following submittals as meeting the                    safety risks subject to Executive Order
                                                  that areas in Wyoming and neighboring                   interstate transport requirements of                   13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
                                                  states will not have issues maintaining                 CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the
                                                  the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. However, as a                       2010 SO2 NAAQS: Colorado’s July 17,                       • are not significant regulatory
                                                  piece of this weight of evidence analysis               2013 and February 16, 2018 submittals;                 actions subject to Executive Order
                                                  for prong 2, it provides further                        Montana’s July 15, 2013 submittal;                     13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
                                                  indication (when considered alongside                   North Dakota’s March 7, 2013 submittal;                   • are not subject to requirements of
                                                  low monitor values in neighboring                       South Dakota’s December 20, 2013; and                  Section 12(d) of the National
                                                  states) that such maintenance issues are                Wyoming’s March 6, 2015 submittal.                     Technology Transfer and Advancement
                                                  unlikely. This is because the geographic                The EPA is proposing this approval                     Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
                                                  scope of these reductions and their large               based on our review of the information                 this action does not involve technical
                                                  sizes strongly suggest that they are not                and analysis provided by each state, as                standards; and
                                                  transient effects from reversible causes,               well as additional relevant information,
                                                  and thus these reductions suggest that                  which indicates that in-state air                         • do not provide the EPA with the
                                                  there is very low likelihood that a strong              emissions will not contribute                          discretionary authority to address, as
                                                  upward trend in emissions will occur                    significantly to nonattainment or                      appropriate, disproportionate human
                                                  that might cause areas presently in                     interfere with maintenance of the 2010                 health or environmental effects, using
                                                  attainment to violate the NAAQS.                        SO2 NAAQS in any other state. This                     practicable and legally permissible
                                                     As noted in Wyoming’s submission,                    action is being taken under section 110                methods, under Executive Order 12898
                                                  any future large sources of SO2                         of the CAA.                                            (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
                                                  emissions will be addressed by
                                                  Wyoming’s SIP-approved PSD                              V. Statutory and Executive Order                          In addition, these SIPs are not
                                                  program.52 Future minor sources of SO2                  Reviews                                                approved to apply on any Indian
                                                  emissions will be addressed by                                                                                 reservation land or in any other area
                                                                                                            Under the Clean Air Act, the                         where the EPA or an Indian tribe has
                                                  Wyoming’s SIP-approved minor new                        Administrator is required to approve a
                                                  source review permit program.53 The                                                                            demonstrated that a tribe has
                                                                                                          SIP submission that complies with the                  jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian
                                                  permitting regulations contained within                 provisions of the Act and applicable
                                                  these programs should help ensure that                                                                         country, the rule does not have tribal
                                                                                                          federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k);
                                                  ambient concentrations of SO2 in                                                                               implications and will not impose
                                                                                                          40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in reviewing SIP
                                                  neighboring states are not exceeded as a                                                                       substantial direct costs on tribal
                                                                                                          submissions, the EPA’s role is to
                                                  result of new facility construction or                  approve state choices, provided that                   governments or preempt tribal law as
                                                  modification occurring in Wyoming.                      they meet the criteria of the CAA.                     specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
                                                     In conclusion, for interstate transport                                                                     FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
                                                                                                          Accordingly, these proposed actions
                                                  prong 2, the EPA has incorporated
                                                                                                          merely approve state law as meeting                    List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
                                                  additional information into our
                                                  evaluation of Wyoming’s submission,                     federal requirements and do not impose
                                                                                                          additional requirements beyond those                     Environmental protection, Air
                                                  which did not include an independent
                                                  analysis of prong 2. In doing so, we                    imposed by state law. For that reason,                 pollution control, Incorporation by
                                                  reviewed information about emission                     these proposed actions:                                reference, Intergovernmental relations,
                                                  trends, as well as the technical                          • Are not significant regulatory                     Nitrogen dioxide, Particulate Matter,
                                                  information considered for interstate                   actions subject to review by the Office                Reporting and recordkeeping
                                                  transport prong 1. We find that the                     of Management and Budget under                         requirements, Sulfur dioxide, Volatile
                                                  combination of low ambient                              Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,                   organic compounds.
                                                  concentrations of SO2 in Wyoming and                    October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821,
                                                                                                                                                                   Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
                                                  neighboring states, the large distances                 January 21, 2011);
                                                  between cross-state SO2 sources, the                      • are not Executive Order 13771 (82                    Dated: May 29, 2018.
                                                  downward trend in SO2 emissions from                    FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory                  Douglas Benevento,
                                                  Wyoming and surrounding states, and                     actions because SIP approvals are                      Regional Administrator, Region 8.
sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with PROPOSALS




                                                  state measures that prevent new facility                exempted under Executive Order 12866;                  [FR Doc. 2018–11846 Filed 6–1–18; 8:45 am]
                                                  construction or modification in                           • do not impose an information                       BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
                                                                                                          collection burden under the provisions
                                                     51 Additional emissions trends data are available
                                                                                                          of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
                                                  at: https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/      U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
                                                  air-pollutant-emissions-trends-data.
                                                     52 See EPA’s final action of the PSD portions of       • are certified as not having a
                                                  Wyoming’s SIP, at 82 FR 18992, April 25, 2017.          significant economic impact on a
                                                     53 Id.                                               substantial number of small entities


                                             VerDate Sep<11>2014   16:57 Jun 01, 2018   Jkt 244001   PO 00000   Frm 00050   Fmt 4702   Sfmt 9990   E:\FR\FM\04JNP1.SGM   04JNP1



Document Created: 2018-06-02 00:47:11
Document Modified: 2018-06-02 00:47:11
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionProposed Rules
ActionProposed rule.
DatesComments must be received on or before July 5, 2018.
ContactAdam Clark, Air Program, U.S. EPA Region 8, (303) 312-7104, [email protected]
FR Citation83 FR 25617 
CFR AssociatedEnvironmental Protection; Air Pollution Control; Incorporation by Reference; Intergovernmental Relations; Nitrogen Dioxide; Particulate Matter; Reporting and Recordkeeping Requirements; Sulfur Dioxide and Volatile Organic Compounds

2025 Federal Register | Disclaimer | Privacy Policy
USC | CFR | eCFR