83_FR_44269 83 FR 44101 - Order Making Fiscal Year 2019 Annual Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates

83 FR 44101 - Order Making Fiscal Year 2019 Annual Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Federal Register Volume 83, Issue 168 (August 29, 2018)

Page Range44101-44108
FR Document2018-18762

Federal Register, Volume 83 Issue 168 (Wednesday, August 29, 2018)
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 168 (Wednesday, August 29, 2018)]
[Notices]
[Pages 44101-44108]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2018-18762]


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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

[Release Nos. 33-10538; 34-83935/August 24, 2018]


Order Making Fiscal Year 2019 Annual Adjustments to Registration 
Fee Rates

I. Background

    The Commission collects fees under various provisions of the 
securities laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act of 1933 
(``Securities Act'') requires the Commission to collect fees from 
issuers on the registration of securities.\1\ Section 13(e) of the 
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (``Exchange Act'') requires the 
Commission to collect fees on specified repurchases of securities.\2\ 
Section 14(g) of the Exchange Act requires the Commission to collect 
fees on specified proxy solicitations and statements in corporate 
control transactions.\3\ These provisions require the Commission to 
make annual adjustments to the applicable fee rates.
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    \1\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b).
    \2\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e).
    \3\ 15 U.S.C. 78n(g).
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II. Fiscal Year 2019 Annual Adjustment to Fee Rates

    Section 6(b)(2) of the Securities Act requires the Commission to 
make an annual adjustment to the fee rate applicable under Section 
6(b).\4\ The annual adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) of 
the Securities Act also sets the annual adjustment to the fee rates 
under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act.\5\
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    \4\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(2). The annual adjustments are designed to 
adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year so that, when applied to 
the aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are 
proposed to be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely 
to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b) equal to the 
``target fee collection amount'' specified in Section 6(b)(6)(A) for 
that fiscal year.
    \5\ 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(4) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(4).
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    Section 6(b)(2) sets forth the method for determining the annual 
adjustment to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for fiscal year 2019. 
Specifically, the Commission must adjust the fee rate under Section 
6(b) to a ``rate that, when applied to the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering prices for [fiscal year 2019], is reasonably 
likely to produce aggregate fee collections under [Section 6(b)] that 
are equal to the target fee collection amount for [fiscal year 2019].'' 
That is, the adjusted rate is determined by dividing the ``target fee 
collection amount'' for fiscal year 2019 by the ``baseline estimate of 
the aggregate maximum offering prices'' for fiscal year 2019.
    Section 6(b)(6)(A) specifies that the ``target fee collection 
amount'' for fiscal year 2019 is $660,000,000. Section 6(b)(6)(B) 
defines the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
prices'' for fiscal year 2019 as ``the baseline estimate of the 
aggregate maximum offering price at which securities are proposed to be 
offered pursuant to registration statements filed with the Commission 
during [fiscal year 2019] as determined by the Commission, after 
consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and the Office of 
Management and Budget . . . .''
    To make the baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price for fiscal year 2019, the Commission is using a methodology that 
has been used in prior fiscal years and that was developed in 
consultation with the Congressional Budget Office and Office of 
Management and Budget.\6\ Using this methodology, the Commission 
determines the ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price'' for fiscal year 2019 to be $5,447,649,888,566. Based on this 
estimate, the Commission calculates the fee rate for fiscal 2019 to be 
$121.20 per million. This adjusted fee rate applies to Section 6(b) of 
the Securities Act, as well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the 
Exchange Act.
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    \6\ Appendix A explains how we determined the ``baseline 
estimate of the aggregate maximum offering price'' for fiscal year 
2019 using our methodology, and then shows the arithmetical process 
of calculating the fiscal year 2019 annual adjustment based on that 
estimate. The appendix includes the data used by the Commission in 
making its ``baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering 
price'' for fiscal year 2019.
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III. Effective Dates of the Annual Adjustments

    The fiscal year 2019 annual adjustments to the fee rates applicable 
under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) 
of the Exchange Act will be effective on October 1, 2018.\7\
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    \7\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(4), 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(6) and 15 U.S.C. 
78n(g)(6).
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IV. Conclusion

    Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b) of the Securities Act and 
Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange Act,\8\
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    \8\ 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e) and 78n(g).
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    It is hereby ordered that the fee rates applicable under Section 
6(b) of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the Exchange 
Act shall be $121.20 per million effective on October 1, 2018.

    By the Commission.
Brent J. Fields,
Secretary.

Appendix A

    Congress has established a target amount of monies to be 
collected from fees charged to issuers based on the value of their 
registrations. This appendix provides the formula for determining 
such fees, which the Commission adjusts annually. Congress has 
mandated that the Commission determine these fees based on the 
``aggregate maximum offering prices,'' which measures the aggregate 
dollar amount of securities registered with the Commission over the 
course of the year. In order to maximize the likelihood that the 
amount of monies targeted by Congress will be collected, the fee 
rate must be set to reflect projected aggregate maximum offering 
prices. As a percentage, the fee rate equals the ratio of the target 
amounts of monies to the projected aggregate maximum offering 
prices.
    For 2019, the Commission has estimated the aggregate maximum 
offering prices by projecting forward the trend established in the 
previous decade. More specifically, an ARIMA model was used to 
forecast the value of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
months subsequent to July 2018, the last month for which the 
Commission has data on the aggregate maximum offering prices.
    The following sections describe this process in detail.

A. Baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
fiscal year 2019.

    First, calculate the aggregate maximum offering prices (AMOP) 
for each month in the sample (July 2008-July 2018). Next, calculate 
the percentage change in the AMOP from month to month.
    Model the monthly percentage change in AMOP as a first order 
moving average process. The moving average approach allows one to 
model the effect that an exceptionally high (or low) observation of 
AMOP tends to be followed by a more ``typical'' value of AMOP.
    Use the estimated moving average model to forecast the monthly 
percent change in AMOP. These percent changes can then be applied to 
obtain forecasts of the total dollar value of registrations. The 
following is a more formal (mathematical) description of the 
procedure:
    1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP. The sample spans ten 
years, from July 2008 to July 2018.
    2. Divide each month's AMOP (column C) by the number of trading 
days in that month (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP 
(AAMOP, column D).
    3. For each month t, the natural logarithm of AAMOP is reported 
in column E.
    4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP) from the previous month as 
[Delta]t = log

[[Page 44102]]

(AAMOPt)-log(AAMOPt-1). This approximates the 
percentage change.
    5. Estimate the first order moving average model 
[Delta]t = [alpha] + [beta]et-1 + 
et, where et denotes the forecast error for 
month t. The forecast error is simply the difference between the 
one-month ahead forecast and the actual realization of 
[Delta]t. The forecast error is expressed as 
et = [Delta]t-[alpha]-[beta]et-1. 
The model can be estimated using standard commercially available 
software. Using least squares, the estimated parameter values are 
[alpha] = 0.00446718 and [beta] = 0.94291195.
    6. For the month of August 2018 forecast 
[Delta]t = 8/2017 = [alpha] + 
[beta]et = 7/2017. For all subsequent months, forecast 
[Delta]t = [alpha].
    7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For example, the forecast 
of log(AAMOP) for October 2018 is given by FLAAMOP 
t = 10/2018 = log(AAMOP t = 7/2018) + [Delta] 
t = 8/2018 +[Delta] t = 9/2018 + [Delta] 
t = 10/2018.
    8. Under the assumption that et is normally 
distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of AAMOP is given by 
exp(FLAAMOPt + [sigma]n\2\/2), where 
[sigma]n denotes the standard error of the n-step ahead 
forecast.
    9. For October 2018, this gives a forecast AAMOP of $21.070 
billion (Column I), and a forecast AMOP of $484.618 billion (Column 
J).
    10. Iterate this process through September 2019 to obtain a 
baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum offering prices for 
fiscal year 2019 of $5,447,649,888,566.

B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate the New Fee Rate

    1. Using the data from Table A, estimate the aggregate maximum 
offering prices between 10/01/18 and 9/30/19 to be 
$5,447,649,888,566.
    2. The rate necessary to collect the target $660,000,000 in fee 
revenues set by Congress is then calculated as: $660,000,000 / 
$5,447,649,888,566 = 0.000121153.
    3. Round the result to the seventh decimal point, yielding a 
rate of 0.0001212 (or $121.20 per million).
BILLING CODE 8011-01-P
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[FR Doc. 2018-18762 Filed 8-28-18; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 8011-01-C



                                                                            Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 168 / Wednesday, August 29, 2018 / Notices                                                 44101

                                                  For the Commission, by the Division of                  [Section 6(b)] that are equal to the target               It is hereby ordered that the fee rates
                                                Trading and Markets, pursuant to delegated                fee collection amount for [fiscal year                 applicable under Section 6(b) of the
                                                authority.18                                              2019].’’ That is, the adjusted rate is                 Securities Act and Sections 13(e) and
                                                Eduardo A. Aleman,                                        determined by dividing the ‘‘target fee                14(g) of the Exchange Act shall be
                                                Assistant Secretary.                                      collection amount’’ for fiscal year 2019               $121.20 per million effective on October
                                                [FR Doc. 2018–18675 Filed 8–28–18; 8:45 am]               by the ‘‘baseline estimate of the                      1, 2018.
                                                BILLING CODE 8011–01–P                                    aggregate maximum offering prices’’ for                  By the Commission.
                                                                                                          fiscal year 2019.                                      Brent J. Fields,
                                                                                                             Section 6(b)(6)(A) specifies that the               Secretary.
                                                SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE                                   ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ for fiscal
                                                COMMISSION                                                year 2019 is $660,000,000. Section                     Appendix A
                                                [Release Nos. 33–10538; 34–83935/August                   6(b)(6)(B) defines the ‘‘baseline estimate                Congress has established a target amount of
                                                24, 2018]                                                 of the aggregate maximum offering                      monies to be collected from fees charged to
                                                                                                          prices’’ for fiscal year 2019 as ‘‘the                 issuers based on the value of their
                                                Order Making Fiscal Year 2019 Annual                      baseline estimate of the aggregate                     registrations. This appendix provides the
                                                Adjustments to Registration Fee Rates                     maximum offering price at which                        formula for determining such fees, which the
                                                                                                          securities are proposed to be offered                  Commission adjusts annually. Congress has
                                                I. Background                                                                                                    mandated that the Commission determine
                                                                                                          pursuant to registration statements filed              these fees based on the ‘‘aggregate maximum
                                                   The Commission collects fees under                     with the Commission during [fiscal year                offering prices,’’ which measures the
                                                various provisions of the securities                      2019] as determined by the                             aggregate dollar amount of securities
                                                laws. Section 6(b) of the Securities Act                  Commission, after consultation with the                registered with the Commission over the
                                                of 1933 (‘‘Securities Act’’) requires the                 Congressional Budget Office and the                    course of the year. In order to maximize the
                                                Commission to collect fees from issuers                   Office of Management and Budget                        likelihood that the amount of monies targeted
                                                on the registration of securities.1 Section               . . . .’’                                              by Congress will be collected, the fee rate
                                                13(e) of the Securities Exchange Act of                      To make the baseline estimate of the
                                                                                                                                                                 must be set to reflect projected aggregate
                                                1934 (‘‘Exchange Act’’) requires the                                                                             maximum offering prices. As a percentage,
                                                                                                          aggregate maximum offering price for                   the fee rate equals the ratio of the target
                                                Commission to collect fees on specified                   fiscal year 2019, the Commission is
                                                repurchases of securities.2 Section 14(g)                                                                        amounts of monies to the projected aggregate
                                                                                                          using a methodology that has been used                 maximum offering prices.
                                                of the Exchange Act requires the
                                                                                                          in prior fiscal years and that was                        For 2019, the Commission has estimated
                                                Commission to collect fees on specified                                                                          the aggregate maximum offering prices by
                                                                                                          developed in consultation with the
                                                proxy solicitations and statements in                                                                            projecting forward the trend established in
                                                                                                          Congressional Budget Office and Office
                                                corporate control transactions.3 These                                                                           the previous decade. More specifically, an
                                                                                                          of Management and Budget.6 Using this
                                                provisions require the Commission to                                                                             ARIMA model was used to forecast the value
                                                                                                          methodology, the Commission                            of the aggregate maximum offering prices for
                                                make annual adjustments to the
                                                                                                          determines the ‘‘baseline estimate of the              months subsequent to July 2018, the last
                                                applicable fee rates.
                                                                                                          aggregate maximum offering price’’ for                 month for which the Commission has data on
                                                II. Fiscal Year 2019 Annual Adjustment                    fiscal year 2019 to be                                 the aggregate maximum offering prices.
                                                to Fee Rates                                              $5,447,649,888,566. Based on this                         The following sections describe this
                                                                                                          estimate, the Commission calculates the                process in detail.
                                                   Section 6(b)(2) of the Securities Act
                                                requires the Commission to make an                        fee rate for fiscal 2019 to be $121.20 per             A. Baseline estimate of the aggregate
                                                annual adjustment to the fee rate                         million. This adjusted fee rate applies to             maximum offering prices for fiscal year
                                                applicable under Section 6(b).4 The                       Section 6(b) of the Securities Act, as                 2019.
                                                annual adjustment to the fee rate under                   well as to Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the                First, calculate the aggregate maximum
                                                Section 6(b) of the Securities Act also                   Exchange Act.                                          offering prices (AMOP) for each month in the
                                                sets the annual adjustment to the fee                                                                            sample (July 2008–July 2018). Next, calculate
                                                                                                          III. Effective Dates of the Annual                     the percentage change in the AMOP from
                                                rates under Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of                   Adjustments
                                                the Exchange Act.5                                                                                               month to month.
                                                                                                            The fiscal year 2019 annual                             Model the monthly percentage change in
                                                   Section 6(b)(2) sets forth the method
                                                                                                                                                                 AMOP as a first order moving average
                                                for determining the annual adjustment                     adjustments to the fee rates applicable
                                                                                                                                                                 process. The moving average approach
                                                to the fee rate under Section 6(b) for                    under Section 6(b) of the Securities Act               allows one to model the effect that an
                                                fiscal year 2019. Specifically, the                       and Sections 13(e) and 14(g) of the                    exceptionally high (or low) observation of
                                                Commission must adjust the fee rate                       Exchange Act will be effective on                      AMOP tends to be followed by a more
                                                under Section 6(b) to a ‘‘rate that, when                 October 1, 2018.7                                      ‘‘typical’’ value of AMOP.
                                                applied to the baseline estimate of the                                                                             Use the estimated moving average model to
                                                                                                          IV. Conclusion                                         forecast the monthly percent change in
                                                aggregate maximum offering prices for
                                                [fiscal year 2019], is reasonably likely to                 Accordingly, pursuant to Section 6(b)                AMOP. These percent changes can then be
                                                                                                          of the Securities Act and Sections 13(e)               applied to obtain forecasts of the total dollar
                                                produce aggregate fee collections under                                                                          value of registrations. The following is a
                                                                                                          and 14(g) of the Exchange Act,8                        more formal (mathematical) description of
                                                  18 17 CFR 200.30–3(a)(12).                                                                                     the procedure:
                                                  1 15 U.S.C. 77f(b).                                        6 Appendix A explains how we determined the
                                                                                                                                                                    1. Begin with the monthly data for AMOP.
                                                  2 15 U.S.C. 78m(e).
                                                                                                          ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate maximum           The sample spans ten years, from July 2008
                                                  3 15 U.S.C. 78n(g).                                     offering price’’ for fiscal year 2019 using our        to July 2018.
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                                                  4 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(2). The annual adjustments are       methodology, and then shows the arithmetical
                                                                                                                                                                    2. Divide each month’s AMOP (column C)
                                                designed to adjust the fee rate in a given fiscal year    process of calculating the fiscal year 2019 annual
                                                                                                          adjustment based on that estimate. The appendix        by the number of trading days in that month
                                                so that, when applied to the aggregate maximum
                                                offering price at which securities are proposed to        includes the data used by the Commission in            (column B) to obtain the average daily AMOP
                                                be offered for the fiscal year, it is reasonably likely   making its ‘‘baseline estimate of the aggregate        (AAMOP, column D).
                                                to produce total fee collections under Section 6(b)       maximum offering price’’ for fiscal year 2019.            3. For each month t, the natural logarithm
                                                equal to the ‘‘target fee collection amount’’ specified      7 15 U.S.C. 77f(b)(4), 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(6) and 15   of AAMOP is reported in column E.
                                                in Section 6(b)(6)(A) for that fiscal year.               U.S.C. 78n(g)(6).                                         4. Calculate the change in log(AAMOP)
                                                  5 15 U.S.C. 78m(e)(4) and 15 U.S.C. 78n(g)(4).             8 15 U.S.C. 77f(b), 78m(e) and 78n(g).              from the previous month as Dt = log



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                                                44102                      Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 168 / Wednesday, August 29, 2018 / Notices

                                                (AAMOPt)¥log(AAMOPt¥1). This                                7. Calculate forecasts of log(AAMOP). For         aggregate maximum offering prices for fiscal
                                                approximates the percentage change.                     example, the forecast of log(AAMOP) for               year 2019 of $5,447,649,888,566.
                                                   5. Estimate the first order moving average           October 2018 is given by FLAAMOP t = 10/2018          B. Using the Forecasts From A To Calculate
                                                model Dt = a + bet¥1 + et, where et denotes             = log(AAMOP t = 7/2018) + D t = 8/2018 +D t =         the New Fee Rate
                                                the forecast error for month t. The forecast            9/2018 + D t = 10/2018.
                                                                                                                                                                 1. Using the data from Table A, estimate
                                                error is simply the difference between the                  8. Under the assumption that et is normally
                                                                                                                                                              the aggregate maximum offering prices
                                                one-month ahead forecast and the actual                 distributed, the n-step ahead forecast of
                                                                                                                                                              between 10/01/18 and 9/30/19 to be
                                                realization of Dt. The forecast error is                AAMOP is given by exp(FLAAMOPt + sn2/2),              $5,447,649,888,566.
                                                expressed as et = Dt¥a¥bet¥1. The model                 where sn denotes the standard error of the n-            2. The rate necessary to collect the target
                                                can be estimated using standard                         step ahead forecast.                                  $660,000,000 in fee revenues set by Congress
                                                commercially available software. Using least                9. For October 2018, this gives a forecast        is then calculated as: $660,000,000 ÷
                                                squares, the estimated parameter values are             AAMOP of $21.070 billion (Column I), and              $5,447,649,888,566 = 0.000121153.
                                                a = 0.00446718 and b = 0.94291195.                      a forecast AMOP of $484.618 billion (Column              3. Round the result to the seventh decimal
                                                   6. For the month of August 2018 forecast             J).                                                   point, yielding a rate of 0.0001212 (or
                                                Dt = 8/2017 = a + bet = 7/2017. For all subsequent          10. Iterate this process through September        $121.20 per million).
                                                months, forecast Dt = a.                                2019 to obtain a baseline estimate of the             BILLING CODE 8011–01–P
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                                                                (C)                  (D)
                                               (B)                                                                 (F)                                   (I)                 (J)
                                                            Aggregate          Average Daily                                      (G)        (H)
                              (A)          #of Trading                                                  (E)        Log                                Forecast       Forecast Aggregate
                                                            Maximum           Aggregate Max.                                   Forecast   Standard
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                             Month           Days in                                               log(AAMOP)   (Change in                           AAMOP, in    Maximum Offering Prices, in
                                                         Offering Prices,      Offering Prices                               log(AAMOP)     Error
                                             Month                                                               AAMOP)                               $Millions           $Millions
                                                           in $Millions     (AAMOP) in $Millions




                                                                                                                                                                                                Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 168 / Wednesday, August 29, 2018 / Notices
                             Jul-08            22           232,896               10,586             23.083
                            Aug-08             21           395,440               18,830             23.659       0.576
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                             Sep-08            21           177,636                8,459             22.858       -0.800
                             Oct-08            23           360,494               15,674             23.475       0.617
                             Nov-08            19           288,911               15,206             23.445       -0.030
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                             Dec-08            22           319,584               14,527             23.399       -0.046
                             Jan-09            20           375,065               18,753             23.655       0.255
                             Feb-09            19           249,666               13,140             23.299       -0.356
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                             Mar-09            22           739,931               33,633             24.239       0.940
                            Apr-09             21           235,914               11,234             23.142       -1.097
                             May-09            20           329,522               16,476             23.525       0.383
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                             Jun-09            22           357,524               16,251             23.511       -0.014
                             Jul-09            22           185,187                8,418             22.854       -0.658
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                            Aug-09             21           192,726                9,177             22.940       0.086
                             Sep-09            21           189,224                9,011             22.922       -0.018
                             Oct-09            22           215,720                9,805             23.006       0.085
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                             Nov-09            20           248,353               12,418             23.242       0.236
                             Dec-09            22           340,464               15,476             23.463       0.220
                             Jan-1 0           19           173,235                9,118             22.933       -0.529
                             Feb-10            19           209,963               11,051             23.126       0.192
                             Mar-10            23           432,934               18,823             23.658       0.533
                            Apr-1 0            21           280,188               13,342             23.314       -0.344
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                             Mav-10            20           278,611               13,931             23.357       0.043
                             Jun-1 0           22           364,251               16,557             23.530       0.173
                             Jul-10            21           171,191                8,152             22.822       -0.709
                            Aug-10             22           240,793               10,945             23.116       0.295
                             Sep-10            21           260,783               12,418             23.242       0.126
                             Oct-10            21           214,988               10,238             23.049       -0.193
                             Nov-10            21           340,112               16,196             23.508       0.459
                             Dec-10            22           297,992               13,545             23.329       -0.179




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                                                                                                                                                                                                44104
                                                                (C)                  (D)
                                               (B)                                                                 (F)                                   (I)                 (J)
                                                            Aggregate          Average Daily                                      (G)        (H)
                              (A)          #of Trading                                                  (E)        Log                                Forecast       Forecast Aggregate
                                                            Maximum           Aggregate Max.                                   Forecast   Standard
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                             Month           Days in                                               log(AAMOP)   (Change in                           AAMOP, in    Maximum Offering Prices, in
                                                         Offering Prices,      Offering Prices                               log(AAMOP)     Error
                                             Month                                                               AAMOP)                               $Millions           $Millions
                                                           in $Millions     (AAMOP) in $Millions




                                                                                                                                                                                                Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 168 / Wednesday, August 29, 2018 / Notices
                             Jan-11            20           233,668               11,683             23.181       -0.148
                             Feb-11            19           252,785               13,304             23.311       0.130
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                             Mar-11            23           595,198               25,878             23.977       0.665
                            Apr-11             20           236,355               11,818             23.193       -0.784
                             May-11            21           319,053               15,193             23.444       0.251
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                             Jun-11            22           359,727               16,351             23.518       0.073
                             Jul-11            20           215,391               10,770             23.100       -0.418
                            Aug-11             23           179,870                7,820             22.780       -0.320
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                             Sep-11            21           168,005                8,000             22.803       0.023
                             Oct-11            21           181,452                8,641             22.880       0.077
                             Nov-11            21           256,418               12,210             23.226       0.346
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                             Dec-11            21           237,652               11,317             23.150       -0.076
                             Jan-12            20           276,965               13,848             23.351       0.202
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                             Feb-12            20           228,419               11,421             23.159       -0.193
                             Mar-12            22           430,806               19,582             23.698       0.539
                            Apr-12             20           173,626                8,681             22.884       -0.813
E:\FR\FM\29AUN1.SGM




                             May-12            22           414,122               18,824             23.658       0.774
                             Jun-12            21           272,218               12,963             23.285       -0.373
                             Jul-12            21           170,462                8,117             22.817       -0.468
                             Aug-12            23           295,472               12,847             23.276       0.459
                             Sep-12            19           331,295               17,437             23.582       0.305
                             Oct-12            21           137,562                6,551             22.603       -0.979
29AUN1




                             Nov-12            21           221,521               10,549             23.079       0.476
                             Dec-12            20           321,602               16,080             23.501       0.422
                             Jan-13            21           368,488               17,547             23.588       0.087
                             Feb-13            19           252,148               13,271             23.309       -0.279
                             Mar-13            20           533,440               26,672             24.007       0.698
                            Apr-13             22           235,779               10,717             23.095       -0.912
                             May-13            22           382,950               17,407             23.580       0.485
                             Jun-13            20           480,624               24,031             23.903       0.322




EN29AU18.007</GPH>


sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with NOTICES
VerDate Sep<11>2014




                                                                (C)                  (D)
                                               (B)                                                                 (F)                                   (I)                 (J)
                                                            Aggregate          Average Daily                                      (G)        (H)
                              (A)          #of Trading                                                  (E)        Log                                Forecast       Forecast Aggregate
                                                            Maximum           Aggregate Max.                                   Forecast   Standard
17:04 Aug 28, 2018




                             Month           Days in                                               log(AAMOP)   (Change in                           AAMOP, in    Maximum Offering Prices, in
                                                         Offering Prices,      Offering Prices                               log(AAMOP)     Error
                                             Month                                                               AAMOP)                               $Millions           $Millions
                                                           in $Millions     (AAMOP) in $Millions




                                                                                                                                                                                                Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 168 / Wednesday, August 29, 2018 / Notices
                             Jul-13            22           263,869               11,994             23.208       -0.695
                            Aug-13             22           253,305               11,514             23.167       -0.041
Jkt 244001




                             Sep-13            20           267,923               13,396             23.318       0.151
                             Oct-13            23           293,847               12,776             23.271       -0.047
                             Nov-13            20           326,257               16,313             23.515       0.244
PO 00000




                             Dec-13            21           358,169               17,056             23.560       0.045
                             Jan-14            21           369,067               17,575             23.590       0.030
                             Feb-14            19           298,376               15,704             23.477       -0.113
Frm 00091




                             Mar-14            21           564,840               26,897             24.015       0.538
                            Apr-14             21           263,401               12,543             23.252       -0.763
                             May-14            21           403,700               19,224             23.679       0.427
Fmt 4703




                             Jun-14            21           423,075               20,146             23.726       0.047
                             Jul-14            22           373,811               16,991             23.556       -0.170
Sfmt 4725




                            Aug-14             21           405,017               19,287             23.683       0.127
                             Sep-14            21           409,349               19,493             23.693       0.011
                             Oct-14            23           338,832               14,732             23.413       -0.280
E:\FR\FM\29AUN1.SGM




                             Nov-14            19           386,898               20,363             23.737       0.324
                             Dec-14            22           370,760               16,853             23.548       -0.189
                             Jan-15            20           394,127               19,706             23.704       0.156
                             Feb-15            19           466,138               24,534             23.923       0.219
                             Mar-15            22           753,747               34,261             24.257       0.334
                            Apr-15             21           356,560               16,979             23.555       -0.702
29AUN1




                             Mav-15            20           478,591               23,930             23.898       0.343
                             Jun-15            22           446,102               20,277             23.733       -0.166
                             Jul-15            22           402,062               18,276             23.629       -0.104
                            Aug-15             21           334,746               15,940             23.492       -0.137
                             Sep-15            21           289,872               13,803             23.348       -0.144
                             Oct-15            22           300,276               13,649             23.337       -0.011
                             Nov-15            20           409,690               20,485             23.743       0.406
                             Dec-15            22           308,569               14,026             23.364       -0.379




                                                                                                                                                                                                44105
EN29AU18.008</GPH>


sradovich on DSK3GMQ082PROD with NOTICES
VerDate Sep<11>2014




                                                                                                                                                                                                44106
                                                                (C)                  (D)
                                               (B)                                                                 (F)                                   (I)                 (J)
                                                            Aggregate          Average Daily                                      (G)        (H)
                              (A)          #of Trading                                                  (E)        Log                                Forecast       Forecast Aggregate
                                                            Maximum           Aggregate Max.                                   Forecast   Standard
17:04 Aug 28, 2018




                             Month           Days in                                               log(AAMOP)   (Change in                           AAMOP, in    Maximum Offering Prices, in
                                                         Offering Prices,      Offering Prices                               log(AAMOP)     Error
                                             Month                                                               AAMOP)                               $Millions           $Millions
                                                           in $Millions     (AAMOP) in $Millions




                                                                                                                                                                                                Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 168 / Wednesday, August 29, 2018 / Notices
                             Jan-16            19           457,411               24,074             23.904       0.540
                             Feb-16            20           554,343               27,717             24.045       0.141
Jkt 244001




                             Mar-16            22           900,301               40,923             24.435       0.390
                            Apr-16             21           250,716               11,939             23.203       -1.232
                             May-16            21           409,992               19,523             23.695       0.492
PO 00000




                             Jun-16            22           321,219               14,601             23.404       -0.291
                             Jul-16            20           289,671               14,484             23.396       -0.008
                            Aug-16             23           352,068               15,307             23.452       0.055
Frm 00092




                             Sep-16            21           326,116               15,529             23.466       0.014
                             Oct-16            21           266,115               12,672             23.263       -0.203
                             Nov-16            21           443,034               21,097             23.772       0.510
Fmt 4703




                             Dec-16            21           310,614               14,791             23.417       -0.355
                             Jan-17            20           503,030               25,152             23.948       0.531
Sfmt 4725




                             Feb-17            19           255,815               13,464             23.323       -0.625
                             Mar-17            23           723,870               31,473             24.172       0.849
                            Apr-17             19           255,275               13,436             23.321       -0.851
E:\FR\FM\29AUN1.SGM




                             May-17            22           569,965               25,908             23.978       0.657
                             Jun-17            22           445,081               20,231             23.730       -0.247
                             Jul-17            20           291,167               14,558             23.401       -0.329
                             Aug-17            23           263,981               11,477             23.164       -0.238
                             Sep-17            20           372,705               18,635             23.648       0.485
                             Oct-17            22           173,749                7,898             22.790       -0.858
29AUN1




                             Nov-17            21           377,262               17,965             23.612       0.822
                             Dec-17            20           281,126               14,056             23.366       -0.245
                             Jan-18            21           593,025               28,239             24.064       0.698
                             Feb-18            19           353,182               18,589             23.646       -0.418
                             Mar-18            21           685,784               32,656             24.209       0.563
                            Apr-18             21           367,569               17,503             23.586       -0.624
                             May-18            22           543,840               24,720             23.931       0.345
                             Jun-18            21           477,967               22,760             23.848       -0.083




EN29AU18.009</GPH>


                                                                                                                                                                     saononN/ @107 ‘6Z jsnSny ‘AepsaupamM /@91 ‘ON ‘g8 ‘TOA /JoipstSay jedapaq
                                  (c)                   )
  (A)    # of'(l'?a)lding     Aggr_egate          Avera(ge) Daily        (E)          Iflc:))g      (G)         (H)       For(eliast       Forecast(JA)ggregate
Month       Days in         Offgflr?:'mpu.r”      Aggregate Max.       log(AAMOP)   (Change in      Forecast   Standard   aaMoP, in     Maximum Offering Prices, in
            Month              feringPrices,
                               in $Millions
                                                 Offering Prices
                                               {AAMOP) in $Millions
                                                                                    Aamop)       l°g(AAMOP)     Error     $Millions           $Millions

Jul—18         21              327,710                15,605            23.471       —0.377
Aug—18         23                                                                                  23.706      0.334       20,875               480,133
Sep—18         19                                                                                  23.711      0.334       20,973               398,480
Oct—18         23                                                                                  23.m715     0.335       21,070               484,618
Nov—18         21                                                                                  23.719      0.336       21,169               444,539
Dec—18         20                                                                                  23.724      0.336       21,267               425,343
Jan—19         21                                                                                  23.728      0.337       21,366               448,691
Feb—19         19                                                                                  23.733      0.337       21,466               407,851
Mar—19         21                                                                                  23.737      0.338       21,566               452,803
Apr—19         21                                                                                  23.742      0.338       21,666               454,993
May—19         22                                                                                  23.746      0.339       21,767               478,880
Jun—19         20                                                                                  23.751      0.339       21,869               437,374
Jul—19         22                                                                                  23.755      0.340       21,971               483,354
Aug—19         22                                                                                  23.760      0.340       22,073               485,606
Sep—19         20                                                                                  23.764      0.341       22,176               443,517




                                                                                                                                                                                      LOLPFT


                                                        Figure A
                           Aggregate Maximum Offering Prices Subject to Securities Act Section 6(b)
Dollar Value,                                (Dashed Line Indicates Forecast Values}
    SBillions
   $1,000


     $900 —


     $800 —


     $700 —




             T
     $600
                                                                                                                     8102 1539015()




     $500                                                              |                                                                 _
                                                                                                                        o# fiwes
                                                                                                                     w




     $400
                                                                                                                     m tmen




     $300


     $200 —


     $100 —


       S{}                               T          T          1             I         T       +        £        U


         Jul—08   Jul—09    Jul—10    Jul—11      Jul—12     Jul—13        Jul—14   Jul—15   Jul—16   Jul—17   Jul—18                 Jul—19



Document Created: 2018-08-29 00:13:19
Document Modified: 2018-08-29 00:13:19
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
FR Citation83 FR 44101 

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