83_FR_60768 83 FR 60541 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The Options Clearing Corporation; Notice of Filing of Advance Notice, as Modified by Partial Amendment No. 1, Related to The Options Clearing Corporation's Margin Methodology for Incorporating Variations in Implied Volatility

83 FR 60541 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The Options Clearing Corporation; Notice of Filing of Advance Notice, as Modified by Partial Amendment No. 1, Related to The Options Clearing Corporation's Margin Methodology for Incorporating Variations in Implied Volatility

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Federal Register Volume 83, Issue 227 (November 26, 2018)

Page Range60541-60545
FR Document2018-25606

Federal Register, Volume 83 Issue 227 (Monday, November 26, 2018)
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 227 (Monday, November 26, 2018)]
[Notices]
[Pages 60541-60545]
From the Federal Register Online  [www.thefederalregister.org]
[FR Doc No: 2018-25606]



[[Page 60541]]

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SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

[Release No. 34-84626; File No. SR-OCC-2018-804]


Self-Regulatory Organizations; The Options Clearing Corporation; 
Notice of Filing of Advance Notice, as Modified by Partial Amendment 
No. 1, Related to The Options Clearing Corporation's Margin Methodology 
for Incorporating Variations in Implied Volatility

November 19, 2018.
    Pursuant to Section 806(e)(1) of Title VIII of the Dodd-Frank Wall 
Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, entitled Payment, Clearing 
and Settlement Supervision Act of 2010 (``Clearing Supervision Act'') 
\1\ and Rule 19b-4(n)(1)(i) \2\ under the Securities Exchange Act of 
1934 (``Exchange Act'' or ``Act''),\3\ notice is hereby given that on 
October 22, 2018, The Options Clearing Corporation (``OCC'') filed with 
the Securities and Exchange Commission (``Commission'') an advance 
notice as described in Items I, II and III below, which Items have been 
prepared by OCC. On October 30, 2018, OCC filed Partial Amendment No. 1 
to the advance notice.\4\ The Commission is publishing this notice to 
solicit comments on the advance notice from interested persons.
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    \1\ 12 U.S.C. 5465(e)(1).
    \2\ 17 CFR 240.19b-4(n)(1)(i).
    \3\ 15 U.S.C. 78a et seq.
    \4\ In Partial Amendment No. 1, OCC corrected an error in 
Exhibit 5 without changing the substance of the advance notice.
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I. Clearing Agency's Statement of the Terms of Substance of the Advance 
Notice

    This advance notice is filed in connection with proposed changes to 
enhance OCC's model for incorporating variations in implied volatility 
within OCC's margin methodology (``Implied Volatility Model''), the 
System for Theoretical Analysis and Numerical Simulations 
(``STANS'').\5\ The proposed changes to OCC's Margins Methodology 
document are contained in confidential Exhibit 5 of the filing. 
Material proposed to be added is marked by underlining and material 
proposed to be deleted is marked by strikethrough text. The proposed 
changes are described in detail in Item 10 below. The proposed changes 
do not require any changes to the text of OCC's By-Laws or Rules. The 
advance notice is available on OCC's website at https://www.theocc.com/about/publications/bylaws.jsp. All terms with initial capitalization 
that are not otherwise defined herein have the same meaning as set 
forth in the OCC By-Laws and Rules.\6\
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    \5\ OCC also has filed a proposed rule change with the 
Commission in connection with the proposed changes. See SR-OCC-2018-
014.
    \6\ OCC's By-Laws and Rules can be found on OCC's public 
website: http://optionsclearing.com/about/publications/bylaws.jsp.
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II. Clearing Agency's Statement of the Purpose of, and Statutory Basis 
for, the Advance Notice

    In its filing with the Commission, OCC included statements 
concerning the purpose of and basis for the advance notice and 
discussed any comments it received on the advance notice. The text of 
these statements may be examined at the places specified in Item IV 
below. OCC has prepared summaries, set forth in sections A and B below, 
of the most significant aspects of these statements.

(A) Clearing Agency's Statement on Comments on the Advance Notice 
Received From Members, Participants or Others

    Written comments were not and are not intended to be solicited with 
respect to the proposed rule change and none have been received. OCC 
will notify the Commission of any written comments received by OCC.

(B) Advance Notices Filed Pursuant to Section 806(e) of the Payment, 
Clearing, and Settlement Supervision Act

Description of the Proposed Change
Background
STANS Overview
    STANS is OCC's proprietary risk management system for calculating 
Clearing Member margin requirements.\7\ The STANS methodology utilizes 
large-scale Monte Carlo simulations to forecast price and volatility 
movements in determining a Clearing Member's margin requirement.\8\ 
STANS margin requirements are calculated at the portfolio level of 
Clearing Member accounts with positions in marginable securities and 
consists of an estimate of two primary components: A base component and 
a stress test add-on component. The base component is an estimate of a 
99% expected shortfall \9\ over a two-day time horizon. The 
concentration/dependence stress test charge is obtained by considering 
increases in the expected margin shortfall for an account that would 
occur due to (i) market movements that are especially large and/or in 
which certain risk factors would exhibit perfect or zero correlations 
rather than correlations otherwise estimated using historical data or 
(ii) extreme and adverse idiosyncratic movements for individual risk 
factors to which the account is particularly exposed. The STANS 
methodology is used to measure the exposure of portfolios of options 
and futures cleared by OCC and cash instruments in margin 
collateral.\10\
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    \7\ See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 53322 (February 15, 
2006), 71 FR 9403 (February 23, 2006) (SR-OCC-2004-20). A detailed 
description of the STANS methodology is available at http://optionsclearing.com/risk-management/margins/.
    \8\ See OCC Rule 601.
    \9\ The expected shortfall component is established as the 
estimated average of potential losses higher than the 99% value at 
risk threshold. The term ``value at risk'' or ``VaR'' refers to a 
statistical technique that, generally speaking, is used in risk 
management to measure the potential risk of loss for a given set of 
assets over a particular time horizon.
    \10\ OCC notes that, pursuant to OCC Rule 601(e)(1), OCC also 
calculates initial margin requirements for segregated futures 
accounts using the Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk Margin 
Calculation System (``SPAN''). No changes are proposed to OCC's use 
of SPAN because the proposed changes do not concern futures. See 
Securities Exchange Act Release No. 72331 (June 5, 2014), 79 FR 
33607 (June 11, 2014) (SR-OCC-2014-13).
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    The econometric models underlying STANS currently incorporate a 
number of risk factors. A ``risk factor'' within OCC's margin system is 
defined as a product or attribute whose historical data is used to 
estimate and simulate the risk for an associated product. The majority 
of risk factors utilized in the STANS methodology are the returns on 
individual equity securities; however, a number of other risk factors 
may be considered, including, among other things, returns on implied 
volatility risk factors.\11\
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    \11\ In December 2015, the Commission approved a proposed rule 
change and issued a Notice of No Objection to an advance notice 
filing by OCC to its modify margin methodology by more broadly 
incorporating variations in implied volatility within STANS. See 
Securities Exchange Act Release No. 76781 (December 28, 2015), 81 FR 
135 (January 4, 2016) (SR-OCC-2015-016) and Securities Exchange Act 
Release No. 76548 (December 3, 2015), 80 FR 76602 (December 9, 2015) 
(SR-OCC-2015-804). As discussed further below, implied volatility 
risk factors in STANS are a set of chosen volatility pivot points 
per product, depending on the tenor of the option.
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Current Implied Volatility Model in STANS
    Generally speaking, the implied volatility of an option is a 
measure of the expected future volatility of the option's underlying 
security at expiration, which is reflected in the current option 
premium in the market. Using the Black-Scholes options pricing model, 
the implied volatility is the standard deviation of the underlying 
asset price necessary to arrive at the market price of an option of a 
given strike, time to maturity, underlying asset price and the current 
risk-free rate. In effect, the implied volatility is

[[Page 60542]]

responsible for that portion of the premium that cannot be explained by 
the then-current intrinsic value of the option (i.e., the difference 
between the price of the underlying and the exercise price of the 
option), discounted to reflect its time value. OCC considers variations 
in implied volatility within STANS to ensure that the anticipated cost 
of liquidating options positions in an account recognizes the 
possibility that implied volatility could change during the two-
business day liquidation time horizon and lead to corresponding changes 
in the market prices of the options.
    OCC models the variations in implied volatility used to re-price 
options within STANS for substantially all option contracts \12\ 
available to be cleared by OCC that have a residual tenor \13\ of less 
than three years (``Shorter Tenor Options'').\14\ To address variations 
in implied volatility, OCC models a volatility surface \15\ for Shorter 
Tenor Options by incorporating into the econometric models underlying 
STANS certain risk factors (i.e., implied volatility pivot points) 
based on a range of tenors and option deltas.\16\ Currently, these 
implied volatility pivot points consist of three tenors of one month, 
three months and one year, and three deltas of 0.25, 0.5, and 0.75, 
resulting in nine implied volatility risk factors. These pivot points 
are chosen such that their combination allows the model to capture 
changes in level, skew, convexity and term structure of the implied 
volatility surface. OCC uses a GARCH model \17\ to forecast the 
volatility for each implied volatility risk factor at the nine pivot 
points.\18\ For each Shorter Tenor Option in the account of a Clearing 
Member, changes in its implied volatility are simulated using forecasts 
obtained from daily implied volatility market data according to the 
corresponding pivot point and the price of the option is computed to 
determine the amount of profit or loss in the account under the 
particular STANS price simulation. Additionally, OCC uses simulated 
closing prices for the assets underlying the options in the account of 
a Clearing Member that are scheduled to expire within the liquidation 
time horizon of two business days to compute the options' intrinsic 
value and uses those values to help calculate the profit or loss in the 
account.\19\
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    \12\ OCC's Implied Volatility Model excludes: (i) Binary 
options, (ii) options on commodity futures, (iii) options on U.S. 
Treasury securities, and (iv) Asians and Cliquets. These relatively 
new products were introduced as the implied volatility margin 
methodology changes were in the process of being completed by OCC, 
and OCC had de minimus open interest in those options. OCC therefore 
did not believe there was a substantive risk if those products were 
excluded from the implied volatility model. See id.
    \13\ The ``tenor'' of an option is the amount of time remaining 
to its expiration.
    \14\ OCC also incorporates variations in implied volatility as 
risk factors for certain options with residual tenors of at least 
three years (``Longer Tenor Options''); however, the proposed 
changes described herein would not apply to OCC's model for Longer 
Tenor Options. See Securities Exchange Act Release Nos. 68434 
(December 14, 2012), 77 FR 57602 (December 19, 2012) (SR-OCC-2012-
14); 70709 (October 18, 2013), 78 FR 63267 (October 23, 2013) (SR-
OCC-2013-16).
    \15\ The term ``volatility surface'' refers to a three-
dimensional graphed surface that represents the implied volatility 
for possible tenors of the option and the implied volatility of the 
option over those tenors for the possible levels of ``moneyness'' of 
the option. The term ``moneyness'' refers to the relationship 
between the current market price of the underlying interest and the 
exercise price.
    \16\ The ``delta'' of an option represents the sensitivity of 
the option price with respect to the price of the underlying 
security.
    \17\ The acronym ``GARCH'' refers to an econometric model that 
can be used to estimate volatility based on historical data. See 
generally Tim Bollerslev, ``Generalized Autoregressive Conditional 
Heteroskedasticity,'' Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327 
(1986).
    \18\ STANS relies on 10,000 price simulation scenarios that are 
based generally on a historical data period of 500 business days, 
which are updated daily to keep model results from becoming stale.
    \19\ For such Shorter Tenor Options that are scheduled to expire 
on the open of the market rather than the close, OCC uses the 
relevant opening price for the underlying assets.
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    OCC performed a number of analyses of its current Implied 
Volatility Model and to support development of the proposed model 
changes, including backtesting and impact analysis of the proposed 
model enhancements as well as comparison of OCC's current model 
performance against certain industry benchmarks.\20\ OCC's analysis 
demonstrated that one attribute of the current model is that the 
volatility changes forecasted by the GARCH model are extremely 
sensitive to sudden spikes in volatility, which can at times result in 
over reactive margin requirements that OCC believes are unreasonable 
and procyclical.\21\
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    \20\ OCC has provided results of these analyses to the 
Commission in confidential Exhibit 3 of the filing.
    \21\ A quality that is positively correlated with the overall 
state of the market is deemed to be ``procyclical.'' For example, 
procyclicality may be evidenced by increasing margin requirements in 
times of stressed market conditions and low margin requirements when 
markets are calm. Hence, anti-procyclical features in a model are 
measures intended to prevent risk-based models from fluctuating too 
drastically in response to changing market conditions.
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    For example, on February 5, 2018, the market experienced extreme 
levels of volatility, with the Cboe Volatility Index (``VIX'') \22\ 
moving from 17% up to 37%, representing a relative move of 116% (which 
is the largest relative daily jump in the history of the index). Under 
OCC's current model, OCC observed that the GARCH forecast SPX 
volatility for at-the-money implied volatility for a one-month tenor 
was approximately 4 times larger than the comparable market index, the 
Cboe VVIX Index, which is a volatility of volatility measure in that it 
represents the expected volatility of the 30-day forward price of the 
VIX. As a result, aggregated STANS margins jumped more than 80% 
overnight due to the GARCH model and margins for certain individual 
Clearing Members increased by a factor of 10.\23\
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    \22\ The VIX is an index designed to measure the 30-day expected 
volatility of the Standard & Poor's 500 index (``SPX'').
    \23\ For example, under the current model the total margin 
requirement calculated for one particular Clearing Member jumped 
from $120 million on February 2, 2018, to $1.78 billion on February 
5, 2018, representing a 14 times increase in the requirement.
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    In addition, volatility tends to be mean reverting; that is, 
volatility will quickly return to its long-run mean or average from an 
elevated level, so it is unlikely that volatility would continue to 
make big jumps immediately following a drastic increase. For example, 
based on the VIX history from 1990-2018, VIX levels jumped above 35 
(about the level observed on February 5, 2018) for approximately 293 
days (i.e., 4% of the sample period). From the level of 35 or higher, 
the range of daily change on the VIX index was between 27% and -35%. 
However, the largest daily changes on one-month at-the-money SPX 
implied volatility forecasted by OCC's current GARCH model on February 
5, 2018, were far in excess of those historical realized amounts, which 
points to extreme procyclicality issues that need to be addressed in 
the current model.\24\
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    \24\ For example, OCC's current model resulted in a maximum 
variation of 1100% in the one-month at-the-money SPX implied 
volatility pivot when compared with a maximum 35% move in the VIX 
for VIX levels greater than 30. Additionally, the model-generated 
number is significantly higher than 116%, which is the largest 
realized historical move in the VIX that occurred on February 5, 
2018.
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    OCC also performed backtesting of the current model and proposed 
model enhancements to evaluate and compare the performance of each 
model from a margin coverage perspective. OCC's backtesting 
demonstrated that exceedance counts \25\ and overall coverage levels 
over the backtesting period using the proposed model enhancements were 
substantially similar to the results obtained from the current 
production model. As a result, OCC believes the current model tends to

[[Page 60543]]

be overly conservative/reactive, and the proposed model is more 
appropriately commensurate with the risks presented by changes in 
implied volatility.
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    \25\ Exceedance counts here refer to instances where the actual 
loss on portfolio over the liquidation period of two business days 
exceeds the margin amounts generated by the model.
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    OCC believes that the sudden, extreme and unreasonable increases in 
margin requirements that may be experienced under its current Implied 
Volatility Model may stress certain Clearing Members' ability to obtain 
sufficient liquidity to meet these significantly increased margin 
requirements, particularly in periods of sudden, extreme volatility. 
OCC therefore is proposing changes to its Implied Volatility Model to 
limit procyclicality and produce margin requirements that OCC believes 
are more reasonable and are also commensurate with the risks presented 
by its cleared options products.
Proposed Changes
    OCC proposes to modify its Implied Volatility Model by introducing 
an exponentially weighted moving average \26\ for the daily forecasted 
volatility for implied volatility risk factors calculated using the 
GARCH model. Specifically, when forecasting the volatility for each 
implied volatility risk factor at each of the nine pivot points, OCC 
would use an exponentially weighted moving average of forecasted 
volatilities over a specified look-back period rather than using raw 
daily forecasted volatilities. The exponentially weighted moving 
average would involve the selection of a look-back period over which 
the data would be averaged and a decay factor (or weighting factor), 
which is a positive number between zero and one, that represents the 
weighting factor for the most recent data point.\27\ The look-back 
period and decay factor would be model parameters subject to monthly 
review,\28\ along with other model parameters that are reviewed by 
OCC's Model Risk Working Group (``MRWG'') \29\ in accordance with OCC's 
internal procedure for margin model parameter review and sensitivity 
analysis, and these parameters would be subject to change upon approval 
of the MRWG.
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    \26\ An exponentially weighted moving average is a statistical 
method that averages data in a way that gives more weight to the 
most recent observations using an exponential scheme.
    \27\ The lower the number the more weight is attributed to the 
more recent data (e.g., if the value is set to one, the 
exponentially weighted moving average becomes a simple average).
    \28\ OCC initially would use a look-back period of 22 days and 
an initial decay factor of 0.94 for the exponentially weighted 
moving average. OCC believes the 22-day look-back is an appropriate 
initial parameter setting as it would allow for close to monthly 
updates of the GARCH parameters used in the model. The decay factor 
value of 0.94 was selected based on the factor initially proposed by 
JP Morgan's RiskMetrics methodology (see JPMorgan/Reuters, 1996. 
``RiskMetrics--Technical Document'', Fourth edition).
    \29\ The MRWG is responsible for assisting OCC's Management 
Committee in overseeing and governing OCC's model-related risk 
issues and includes representatives from OCC's Financial Risk 
Management department, Quantitative Risk Management department, 
Model Validation Group, and Enterprise Risk Management department.
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    The proposed changes are intended to reduce the oversensitivity of 
the current Implied Volatility Model to large, sudden shocks in market 
volatility and therefore result in margin requirements that are more 
stable and that remain commensurate with the risks presented during 
periods of sudden, extreme volatility.\30\ The proposed changes are 
expected to produce margin requirements that are very similar to those 
generated using OCC's existing model during quiet, less volatile market 
periods; however, during more volatile periods, the proposed changes 
would result in a more measured initial response to increases in the 
volatility of volatility with margin requirements that may remain 
elevated for a longer period of time after the shock subsides than 
experienced under OCC's current model. The proposed changes are 
intended to reduce procyclicality in OCC's margin methodology across 
volatile market periods while continuing to capture changes in implied 
volatility and produce margin requirements that are commensurate with 
the risks presented by OCC's cleared options products. The proposed 
changes therefore would reduce the risk that a sudden, extreme increase 
in margin requirements may stress Clearing Members' ability to obtain 
liquidity to meet such increased requirements, particularly in periods 
of extreme volatility.
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    \30\ As noted above, OCC has performed analysis of the impact of 
the proposed changes, and OCC's backtesting of the proposed model 
demonstrates comparable exceedance counts and coverage levels to the 
current model during the most recent volatile period.
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Implementation Timeframe

    OCC expects to implement the proposed changes within thirty (30) 
days after the date that OCC receives all necessary regulatory 
approvals for the proposed changes. OCC will announce the 
implementation date of the proposed change by an Information Memorandum 
posted to its public website at least 2 weeks prior to implementation.

Anticipated Effect on, and Management of, Risk

    The volatility changes forecasted by OCC's current Implied 
Volatility Model are extremely sensitive to large, sudden spikes in 
volatility, which can at times result in over reactive margin 
requirements that OCC believes are unreasonable and procyclical (for 
the reasons set forth above). Such sudden, unreasonable increases in 
margin requirements may stress certain Clearing Members' ability to 
obtain liquidity to meet those requirements, particularly in periods of 
extreme volatility, and could result in a Clearing Member being delayed 
in meeting, or ultimately failing to meet, its daily settlement 
obligations to OCC. OCC notes that the proposed changes are expected to 
produce margin requirements that are very similar to those generated 
using OCC's existing model during quiet, less volatile market periods. 
The proposed changes would, however, result in a more measured initial 
response to increases in the volatility of volatility with margin 
requirements that may remain elevated for a longer period after the 
shock subsides than experienced under OCC's current model. The proposed 
changes would therefore reduce the likelihood that OCC's Implied 
Volatility Model would produce extreme, over reactive margin 
requirements that could strain the ability of certain Clearing Members 
to meet their daily margin requirements at OCC by reducing 
procyclicality in OCC's margin methodology and ensuring more stable and 
appropriate changes in margin requirements across volatile market 
periods while continuing to capture changes in implied volatility and 
produce margin requirements that are commensurate with the risks 
presented.

Consistency With the Payment, Clearing and Settlement Supervision Act

    The stated purpose of the Clearing Supervision Act is to mitigate 
systemic risk in the financial system and promote financial stability 
by, among other things, promoting uniform risk management standards for 
systemically important financial market utilities and strengthening the 
liquidity of systemically important financial market utilities.\31\ 
Section 805(a)(2) of the Clearing Supervision Act \32\ also authorizes 
the Commission to prescribe risk management standards for the payment, 
clearing and settlement activities of designated clearing entities, 
like OCC, for which the Commission is the supervisory agency. Section 
805(b) of the Clearing Supervision Act \33\ states that the objectives 
and principles for

[[Page 60544]]

risk management standards prescribed under Section 805(a) shall be to:
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    \31\ 12 U.S.C. 5461(b).
    \32\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(a)(2).
    \33\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).
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     Promote robust risk management;
     promote safety and soundness;
     reduce systemic risks; and
     support the stability of the broader financial system.
    OCC believes that the proposed changes described herein would 
enhance its margin methodology in a manner consistent with the 
objectives and principles of Section 805(b) of the Clearing Supervision 
Act \34\ and the risk management standards adopted by the Commission in 
Rule 17Ad-22 under the Act for the reasons set forth below.\35\
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    \34\ Id.
    \35\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-22. See Securities Exchange Act Release 
Nos. 68080 (October 22, 2012), 77 FR 66220 (November 2, 2012) (S7-
08-11) (``Clearing Agency Standards''); 78961 (September 28, 2016), 
81 FR 70786 (October 13, 2016) (S7-03-14) (``Standards for Covered 
Clearing Agencies''). The Standards for Covered Clearing Agencies 
became effective on December 12, 2016. OCC is a ``covered clearing 
agency'' as defined in Rule 17Ad-22(a)(5) and therefore must comply 
with the requirements of Rule 17Ad-22(e).
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    OCC believes the proposed changes are consistent with the 
objectives and principles of Section 805(b) of the Clearing Supervision 
Act \36\ in that they would promote robust risk management and safety 
and soundness while reducing systemic risks and supporting the 
stability of the broader financial system. As discussed above, the 
volatility changes forecasted by OCC's current Implied Volatility Model 
are extremely sensitive to large, sudden spikes in volatility, which 
can at times result in over reactive margin requirements that OCC 
believes are unreasonable and procyclical. Such sudden, unreasonable 
increases in margin requirements may stress certain Clearing Members' 
ability to obtain liquidity to meet those requirements, particularly in 
periods of extreme volatility, and could result in a Clearing Member 
being delayed in meeting, or ultimately failing to meet, its daily 
settlement obligations to OCC. OCC notes that the proposed changes are 
expected to produce margin requirements that are very similar to those 
generated using OCC's existing model during quiet, less volatile market 
periods. The proposed changes would, however, result in a more measured 
initial response to increases in the volatility of volatility with 
margin requirements that may remain elevated for a longer period after 
the shock subsides than experienced under OCC's current model. The 
proposed changes would therefore reduce the likelihood that OCC's 
Implied Volatility Model would produce extreme, over reactive margin 
requirements by reducing procyclicality in OCC's margin methodology and 
ensuring more stable and appropriate changes in margin requirements 
across volatile market periods while continuing to provide for robust 
management of the risks presented by the implied volatility of OCC's 
cleared options products. Accordingly, OCC believes the proposed 
changes would promote robust risk management and safety and soundness 
while reducing systemic risks and supporting the stability of the 
broader financial system.
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    \36\ 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).
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    Rules 17Ad-22(e)(6)(i) and (v) \37\ require a covered clearing 
agency that provides central counterparty services to establish, 
implement, maintain and enforce written policies and procedures 
reasonably designed to cover its credit exposures to its participants 
by establishing a risk-based margin system that (1) considers, and 
produces margin levels commensurate with, the risks and particular 
attributes of each relevant product, portfolio, and market and (2) uses 
an appropriate method for measuring credit exposure that accounts for 
relevant product risk factors and portfolio effects across products. As 
noted above, OCC's current model for implied volatility demonstrates 
extreme sensitivity to sudden spikes in volatility, which can at times 
result in over reactive margin requirements that OCC believes are 
unreasonable and procyclical. The proposed changes are designed to 
reduce the oversensitivity of the model and produce margin requirements 
that are commensurate with the risks presented during periods of 
sudden, extreme volatility. The proposed model enhancements are 
expected to produce margin requirements that are very similar to those 
generated using OCC's existing model during quiet, less volatile market 
periods; however, the proposed changes would result in a more measured 
initial response to increases in the volatility of volatility with 
margin requirements that may remain elevated for a longer period of 
time after the shock subsides than experienced under OCC's current 
model. The proposed changes are designed to reduce procyclicality in 
OCC's margin methodology and ensure more stable changes in margin 
requirements across volatile market periods while continuing to capture 
changes in implied volatility and produce margin requirements that are 
commensurate with the risks presented by OCC's cleared options. As a 
result, OCC believes that the proposed changes are reasonably designed 
to consider, and produce margin levels commensurate with, the risk 
presented by the implied volatility of OCC's cleared options and use an 
appropriate method for measuring credit exposure that accounts for this 
product risk factor (i.e., implied volatility) in a manner consistent 
with Rules 17Ad-22(e)(6)(i) and (v).\38\
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    \37\ 17 CFR 240.17Ad-2(e)(6)(i) and (v).
    \38\ Id.
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III. Date of Effectiveness of the Advance Notice and Timing for 
Commission Action

    The proposed change may be implemented if the Commission does not 
object to the proposed change within 60 days of the later of (i) the 
date the proposed change was filed with the Commission or (ii) the date 
any additional information requested by the Commission is received. OCC 
shall not implement the proposed change if the Commission has any 
objection to the proposed change.
    The Commission may extend the period for review by an additional 60 
days if the proposed change raises novel or complex issues, subject to 
the Commission providing the clearing agency with prompt written notice 
of the extension. A proposed change may be implemented in less than 60 
days from the date the advance notice is filed, or the date further 
information requested by the Commission is received, if the Commission 
notifies the clearing agency in writing that it does not object to the 
proposed change and authorizes the clearing agency to implement the 
proposed change on an earlier date, subject to any conditions imposed 
by the Commission.
    OCC shall post notice on its website of proposed changes that are 
implemented.
    The proposal shall not take effect until all regulatory actions 
required with respect to the proposal are completed.

IV. Solicitation of Comments

    Interested persons are invited to submit written data, views and 
arguments concerning the foregoing, including whether the advance 
notice is consistent with the Clearing Supervision Act. Comments may be 
submitted by any of the following methods:

Electronic Comments

     Use the Commission's internet comment form (http://www.sec.gov/rules/sro.shtml); or
     Send an email to rule-comments@sec.gov. Please include 
File Number SR-OCC-2018-804 on the subject line.

[[Page 60545]]

Paper Comments

     Send paper comments in triplicate to Secretary, Securities 
and Exchange Commission, 100 F Street NE, Washington, DC 20549.

All submissions should refer to File Number SR-OCC-2018-804. This file 
number should be included on the subject line if email is used. To help 
the Commission process and review your comments more efficiently, 
please use only one method. The Commission will post all comments on 
the Commission's internet website (http://www.sec.gov/rules/sro.shtml). 
Copies of the submission, all subsequent amendments, all written 
statements with respect to the advance notice that are filed with the 
Commission, and all written communications relating to the advance 
notice between the Commission and any person, other than those that may 
be withheld from the public in accordance with the provisions of 5 
U.S.C. 552, will be available for website viewing and printing in the 
Commission's Public Reference Room, 100 F Street NE, Washington, DC 
20549 on official business days between the hours of 10 a.m. and 3 p.m. 
Copies of the filing also will be available for inspection and copying 
at the principal office of the self-regulatory organization.
    All comments received will be posted without change. Persons 
submitting comments are cautioned that we do not redact or edit 
personal identifying information from comment submissions. You should 
submit only information that you wish to make available publicly.
    All submissions should refer to File Number SR-OCC-2018-804 and 
should be submitted on or before December 17, 2018.

    By the Commission.
Brent J. Fields,
Secretary.
[FR Doc. 2018-25606 Filed 11-23-18; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 8011-01-P



                                Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 227 / Monday, November 26, 2018 / Notices                                                       60541

     SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE                                 about/publications/bylaws.jsp. All                      concentration/dependence stress test
     COMMISSION                                              terms with initial capitalization that are              charge is obtained by considering
                                                             not otherwise defined herein have the                   increases in the expected margin
     [Release No. 34–84626; File No. SR–OCC–
     2018–804]
                                                             same meaning as set forth in the OCC                    shortfall for an account that would
                                                             By-Laws and Rules.6                                     occur due to (i) market movements that
     Self-Regulatory Organizations; The                      II. Clearing Agency’s Statement of the                  are especially large and/or in which
     Options Clearing Corporation; Notice                    Purpose of, and Statutory Basis for, the                certain risk factors would exhibit perfect
     of Filing of Advance Notice, as                         Advance Notice                                          or zero correlations rather than
     Modified by Partial Amendment No. 1,                                                                            correlations otherwise estimated using
     Related to The Options Clearing                            In its filing with the Commission,                   historical data or (ii) extreme and
     Corporation’s Margin Methodology for                    OCC included statements concerning                      adverse idiosyncratic movements for
     Incorporating Variations in Implied                     the purpose of and basis for the advance                individual risk factors to which the
     Volatility                                              notice and discussed any comments it                    account is particularly exposed. The
                                                             received on the advance notice. The text                STANS methodology is used to measure
     November 19, 2018.                                      of these statements may be examined at                  the exposure of portfolios of options and
        Pursuant to Section 806(e)(1) of Title               the places specified in Item IV below.                  futures cleared by OCC and cash
     VIII of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street                      OCC has prepared summaries, set forth                   instruments in margin collateral.10
     Reform and Consumer Protection Act,                     in sections A and B below, of the most                     The econometric models underlying
     entitled Payment, Clearing and                          significant aspects of these statements.                STANS currently incorporate a number
     Settlement Supervision Act of 2010                      (A) Clearing Agency’s Statement on                      of risk factors. A ‘‘risk factor’’ within
     (‘‘Clearing Supervision Act’’) 1 and Rule               Comments on the Advance Notice                          OCC’s margin system is defined as a
     19b–4(n)(1)(i) 2 under the Securities                   Received From Members, Participants or                  product or attribute whose historical
     Exchange Act of 1934 (‘‘Exchange Act’’                  Others                                                  data is used to estimate and simulate the
     or ‘‘Act’’),3 notice is hereby given that                                                                       risk for an associated product. The
     on October 22, 2018, The Options                          Written comments were not and are
                                                                                                                     majority of risk factors utilized in the
     Clearing Corporation (‘‘OCC’’) filed with               not intended to be solicited with respect
                                                                                                                     STANS methodology are the returns on
     the Securities and Exchange                             to the proposed rule change and none
                                                                                                                     individual equity securities; however, a
     Commission (‘‘Commission’’) an                          have been received. OCC will notify the
                                                                                                                     number of other risk factors may be
     advance notice as described in Items I,                 Commission of any written comments
                                                                                                                     considered, including, among other
     II and III below, which Items have been                 received by OCC.
                                                                                                                     things, returns on implied volatility risk
     prepared by OCC. On October 30, 2018,                   (B) Advance Notices Filed Pursuant to                   factors.11
     OCC filed Partial Amendment No. 1 to                    Section 806(e) of the Payment, Clearing,
     the advance notice.4 The Commission is                  and Settlement Supervision Act                          Current Implied Volatility Model in
     publishing this notice to solicit                                                                               STANS
     comments on the advance notice from                     Description of the Proposed Change                         Generally speaking, the implied
     interested persons.                                     Background                                              volatility of an option is a measure of
     I. Clearing Agency’s Statement of the                   STANS Overview                                          the expected future volatility of the
     Terms of Substance of the Advance                                                                               option’s underlying security at
                                                               STANS is OCC’s proprietary risk                       expiration, which is reflected in the
     Notice                                                  management system for calculating                       current option premium in the market.
        This advance notice is filed in                      Clearing Member margin requirements.7                   Using the Black-Scholes options pricing
     connection with proposed changes to                     The STANS methodology utilizes large-                   model, the implied volatility is the
     enhance OCC’s model for incorporating                   scale Monte Carlo simulations to                        standard deviation of the underlying
     variations in implied volatility within                 forecast price and volatility movements                 asset price necessary to arrive at the
     OCC’s margin methodology (‘‘Implied                     in determining a Clearing Member’s                      market price of an option of a given
     Volatility Model’’), the System for                     margin requirement.8 STANS margin                       strike, time to maturity, underlying asset
     Theoretical Analysis and Numerical                      requirements are calculated at the                      price and the current risk-free rate. In
     Simulations (‘‘STANS’’).5 The proposed                  portfolio level of Clearing Member                      effect, the implied volatility is
     changes to OCC’s Margins Methodology                    accounts with positions in marginable
     document are contained in confidential                  securities and consists of an estimate of                 10 OCC notes that, pursuant to OCC Rule

     Exhibit 5 of the filing. Material                       two primary components: A base                          601(e)(1), OCC also calculates initial margin
     proposed to be added is marked by                       component and a stress test add-on                      requirements for segregated futures accounts using
                                                             component. The base component is an                     the Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk Margin
     underlining and material proposed to be                                                                         Calculation System (‘‘SPAN’’). No changes are
     deleted is marked by strikethrough text.                estimate of a 99% expected shortfall 9
                                                                                                                     proposed to OCC’s use of SPAN because the
     The proposed changes are described in                   over a two-day time horizon. The                        proposed changes do not concern futures. See
     detail in Item 10 below. The proposed                                                                           Securities Exchange Act Release No. 72331 (June 5,
                                                                6 OCC’s By-Laws and Rules can be found on            2014), 79 FR 33607 (June 11, 2014) (SR–OCC–2014–
     changes do not require any changes to                                                                           13).
                                                             OCC’s public website: http://optionsclearing.com/
     the text of OCC’s By-Laws or Rules. The                 about/publications/bylaws.jsp.                            11 In December 2015, the Commission approved a
     advance notice is available on OCC’s                       7 See Securities Exchange Act Release No. 53322      proposed rule change and issued a Notice of No
     website at https://www.theocc.com/                      (February 15, 2006), 71 FR 9403 (February 23, 2006)     Objection to an advance notice filing by OCC to its
                                                             (SR–OCC–2004–20). A detailed description of the         modify margin methodology by more broadly
       1 12
                                                             STANS methodology is available at http://               incorporating variations in implied volatility within
            U.S.C. 5465(e)(1).                               optionsclearing.com/risk-management/margins/.
       2 17
                                                                                                                     STANS. See Securities Exchange Act Release No.
            CFR 240.19b–4(n)(1)(i).                             8 See OCC Rule 601.                                  76781 (December 28, 2015), 81 FR 135 (January 4,
       3 15 U.S.C. 78a et seq.
                                                                9 The expected shortfall component is established    2016) (SR–OCC–2015–016) and Securities Exchange
       4 In Partial Amendment No. 1, OCC corrected an
                                                             as the estimated average of potential losses higher     Act Release No. 76548 (December 3, 2015), 80 FR
     error in Exhibit 5 without changing the substance       than the 99% value at risk threshold. The term          76602 (December 9, 2015) (SR–OCC–2015–804). As
     of the advance notice.                                  ‘‘value at risk’’ or ‘‘VaR’’ refers to a statistical    discussed further below, implied volatility risk
       5 OCC also has filed a proposed rule change with      technique that, generally speaking, is used in risk     factors in STANS are a set of chosen volatility pivot
     the Commission in connection with the proposed          management to measure the potential risk of loss for    points per product, depending on the tenor of the
     changes. See SR–OCC–2018–014.                           a given set of assets over a particular time horizon.   option.



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     60542                        Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 227 / Monday, November 26, 2018 / Notices

     responsible for that portion of the                        GARCH model 17 to forecast the                           representing a relative move of 116%
     premium that cannot be explained by                        volatility for each implied volatility risk              (which is the largest relative daily jump
     the then-current intrinsic value of the                    factor at the nine pivot points.18 For                   in the history of the index). Under
     option (i.e., the difference between the                   each Shorter Tenor Option in the                         OCC’s current model, OCC observed
     price of the underlying and the exercise                   account of a Clearing Member, changes                    that the GARCH forecast SPX volatility
     price of the option), discounted to                        in its implied volatility are simulated                  for at-the-money implied volatility for a
     reflect its time value. OCC considers                      using forecasts obtained from daily                      one-month tenor was approximately 4
     variations in implied volatility within                    implied volatility market data according                 times larger than the comparable market
     STANS to ensure that the anticipated                       to the corresponding pivot point and the                 index, the Cboe VVIX Index, which is a
     cost of liquidating options positions in                   price of the option is computed to                       volatility of volatility measure in that it
     an account recognizes the possibility                      determine the amount of profit or loss                   represents the expected volatility of the
     that implied volatility could change                       in the account under the particular                      30-day forward price of the VIX. As a
     during the two-business day liquidation                    STANS price simulation. Additionally,                    result, aggregated STANS margins
     time horizon and lead to corresponding                     OCC uses simulated closing prices for                    jumped more than 80% overnight due to
     changes in the market prices of the                        the assets underlying the options in the                 the GARCH model and margins for
     options.                                                   account of a Clearing Member that are                    certain individual Clearing Members
       OCC models the variations in implied                     scheduled to expire within the                           increased by a factor of 10.23
     volatility used to re-price options within                 liquidation time horizon of two business                   In addition, volatility tends to be
     STANS for substantially all option                         days to compute the options’ intrinsic                   mean reverting; that is, volatility will
     contracts 12 available to be cleared by                    value and uses those values to help                      quickly return to its long-run mean or
     OCC that have a residual tenor 13 of less                  calculate the profit or loss in the                      average from an elevated level, so it is
     than three years (‘‘Shorter Tenor                          account.19                                               unlikely that volatility would continue
     Options’’).14 To address variations in                        OCC performed a number of analyses                    to make big jumps immediately
     implied volatility, OCC models a                           of its current Implied Volatility Model                  following a drastic increase. For
     volatility surface 15 for Shorter Tenor                    and to support development of the                        example, based on the VIX history from
     Options by incorporating into the                          proposed model changes, including                        1990–2018, VIX levels jumped above 35
     econometric models underlying STANS                        backtesting and impact analysis of the                   (about the level observed on February 5,
     certain risk factors (i.e., implied                        proposed model enhancements as well                      2018) for approximately 293 days (i.e.,
     volatility pivot points) based on a range                  as comparison of OCC’s current model                     4% of the sample period). From the
     of tenors and option deltas.16 Currently,                  performance against certain industry                     level of 35 or higher, the range of daily
     these implied volatility pivot points                      benchmarks.20 OCC’s analysis                             change on the VIX index was between
     consist of three tenors of one month,                      demonstrated that one attribute of the                   27% and -35%. However, the largest
     three months and one year, and three                       current model is that the volatility                     daily changes on one-month at-the-
     deltas of 0.25, 0.5, and 0.75, resulting in                changes forecasted by the GARCH                          money SPX implied volatility forecasted
     nine implied volatility risk factors.                      model are extremely sensitive to sudden                  by OCC’s current GARCH model on
     These pivot points are chosen such that                    spikes in volatility, which can at times                 February 5, 2018, were far in excess of
     their combination allows the model to                      result in over reactive margin                           those historical realized amounts, which
     capture changes in level, skew,                            requirements that OCC believes are                       points to extreme procyclicality issues
     convexity and term structure of the                        unreasonable and procyclical.21                          that need to be addressed in the current
     implied volatility surface. OCC uses a                        For example, on February 5, 2018, the                 model.24
                                                                market experienced extreme levels of                       OCC also performed backtesting of the
        12 OCC’s Implied Volatility Model excludes: (i)         volatility, with the Cboe Volatility Index               current model and proposed model
     Binary options, (ii) options on commodity futures,         (‘‘VIX’’) 22 moving from 17% up to 37%,                  enhancements to evaluate and compare
     (iii) options on U.S. Treasury securities, and (iv)
     Asians and Cliquets. These relatively new products
                                                                                                                         the performance of each model from a
                                                                   17 The acronym ‘‘GARCH’’ refers to an
     were introduced as the implied volatility margin                                                                    margin coverage perspective. OCC’s
                                                                econometric model that can be used to estimate
     methodology changes were in the process of being
                                                                volatility based on historical data. See generally
                                                                                                                         backtesting demonstrated that
     completed by OCC, and OCC had de minimus open                                                                       exceedance counts 25 and overall
                                                                Tim Bollerslev, ‘‘Generalized Autoregressive
     interest in those options. OCC therefore did not
     believe there was a substantive risk if those
                                                                Conditional Heteroskedasticity,’’ Journal of             coverage levels over the backtesting
                                                                Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327 (1986).                     period using the proposed model
     products were excluded from the implied volatility            18 STANS relies on 10,000 price simulation
     model. See id.
                                                                scenarios that are based generally on a historical
                                                                                                                         enhancements were substantially
        13 The ‘‘tenor’’ of an option is the amount of time
                                                                data period of 500 business days, which are              similar to the results obtained from the
     remaining to its expiration.
        14 OCC also incorporates variations in implied
                                                                updated daily to keep model results from becoming        current production model. As a result,
                                                                stale.                                                   OCC believes the current model tends to
     volatility as risk factors for certain options with           19 For such Shorter Tenor Options that are
     residual tenors of at least three years (‘‘Longer          scheduled to expire on the open of the market
     Tenor Options’’); however, the proposed changes            rather than the close, OCC uses the relevant
                                                                                                                            23 For example, under the current model the total

     described herein would not apply to OCC’s model            opening price for the underlying assets.                 margin requirement calculated for one particular
     for Longer Tenor Options. See Securities Exchange             20 OCC has provided results of these analyses to      Clearing Member jumped from $120 million on
     Act Release Nos. 68434 (December 14, 2012), 77 FR          the Commission in confidential Exhibit 3 of the          February 2, 2018, to $1.78 billion on February 5,
     57602 (December 19, 2012) (SR–OCC–2012–14);                filing.                                                  2018, representing a 14 times increase in the
     70709 (October 18, 2013), 78 FR 63267 (October 23,            21 A quality that is positively correlated with the   requirement.
     2013) (SR–OCC–2013–16).                                    overall state of the market is deemed to be
                                                                                                                            24 For example, OCC’s current model resulted in
        15 The term ‘‘volatility surface’’ refers to a three-                                                            a maximum variation of 1100% in the one-month
                                                                ‘‘procyclical.’’ For example, procyclicality may be
     dimensional graphed surface that represents the            evidenced by increasing margin requirements in           at-the-money SPX implied volatility pivot when
     implied volatility for possible tenors of the option       times of stressed market conditions and low margin       compared with a maximum 35% move in the VIX
     and the implied volatility of the option over those        requirements when markets are calm. Hence, anti-         for VIX levels greater than 30. Additionally, the
     tenors for the possible levels of ‘‘moneyness’’ of the     procyclical features in a model are measures             model-generated number is significantly higher
     option. The term ‘‘moneyness’’ refers to the               intended to prevent risk-based models from               than 116%, which is the largest realized historical
     relationship between the current market price of the       fluctuating too drastically in response to changing      move in the VIX that occurred on February 5, 2018.
     underlying interest and the exercise price.                market conditions.                                          25 Exceedance counts here refer to instances
        16 The ‘‘delta’’ of an option represents the               22 The VIX is an index designed to measure the        where the actual loss on portfolio over the
     sensitivity of the option price with respect to the        30-day expected volatility of the Standard & Poor’s      liquidation period of two business days exceeds the
     price of the underlying security.                          500 index (‘‘SPX’’).                                     margin amounts generated by the model.



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                                 Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 227 / Monday, November 26, 2018 / Notices                                              60543

     be overly conservative/reactive, and the                 accordance with OCC’s internal                         spikes in volatility, which can at times
     proposed model is more appropriately                     procedure for margin model parameter                   result in over reactive margin
     commensurate with the risks presented                    review and sensitivity analysis, and                   requirements that OCC believes are
     by changes in implied volatility.                        these parameters would be subject to                   unreasonable and procyclical (for the
       OCC believes that the sudden,                          change upon approval of the MRWG.                      reasons set forth above). Such sudden,
     extreme and unreasonable increases in                       The proposed changes are intended to                unreasonable increases in margin
     margin requirements that may be                          reduce the oversensitivity of the current              requirements may stress certain Clearing
     experienced under its current Implied                    Implied Volatility Model to large,                     Members’ ability to obtain liquidity to
     Volatility Model may stress certain                      sudden shocks in market volatility and                 meet those requirements, particularly in
     Clearing Members’ ability to obtain                      therefore result in margin requirements                periods of extreme volatility, and could
     sufficient liquidity to meet these                       that are more stable and that remain                   result in a Clearing Member being
     significantly increased margin                           commensurate with the risks presented                  delayed in meeting, or ultimately failing
     requirements, particularly in periods of                 during periods of sudden, extreme                      to meet, its daily settlement obligations
     sudden, extreme volatility. OCC                          volatility.30 The proposed changes are
                                                                                                                     to OCC. OCC notes that the proposed
     therefore is proposing changes to its                    expected to produce margin
                                                                                                                     changes are expected to produce margin
     Implied Volatility Model to limit                        requirements that are very similar to
                                                                                                                     requirements that are very similar to
     procyclicality and produce margin                        those generated using OCC’s existing
     requirements that OCC believes are                       model during quiet, less volatile market               those generated using OCC’s existing
     more reasonable and are also                             periods; however, during more volatile                 model during quiet, less volatile market
     commensurate with the risks presented                    periods, the proposed changes would                    periods. The proposed changes would,
     by its cleared options products.                         result in a more measured initial                      however, result in a more measured
                                                              response to increases in the volatility of             initial response to increases in the
     Proposed Changes                                                                                                volatility of volatility with margin
                                                              volatility with margin requirements that
        OCC proposes to modify its Implied                    may remain elevated for a longer period                requirements that may remain elevated
     Volatility Model by introducing an                       of time after the shock subsides than                  for a longer period after the shock
     exponentially weighted moving                            experienced under OCC’s current                        subsides than experienced under OCC’s
     average 26 for the daily forecasted                      model. The proposed changes are                        current model. The proposed changes
     volatility for implied volatility risk                   intended to reduce procyclicality in                   would therefore reduce the likelihood
     factors calculated using the GARCH                       OCC’s margin methodology across                        that OCC’s Implied Volatility Model
     model. Specifically, when forecasting                    volatile market periods while                          would produce extreme, over reactive
     the volatility for each implied volatility               continuing to capture changes in                       margin requirements that could strain
     risk factor at each of the nine pivot                    implied volatility and produce margin                  the ability of certain Clearing Members
     points, OCC would use an exponentially                   requirements that are commensurate                     to meet their daily margin requirements
     weighted moving average of forecasted                    with the risks presented by OCC’s                      at OCC by reducing procyclicality in
     volatilities over a specified look-back                  cleared options products. The proposed                 OCC’s margin methodology and
     period rather than using raw daily                       changes therefore would reduce the risk                ensuring more stable and appropriate
     forecasted volatilities. The                             that a sudden, extreme increase in                     changes in margin requirements across
     exponentially weighted moving average                    margin requirements may stress                         volatile market periods while
     would involve the selection of a look-                   Clearing Members’ ability to obtain                    continuing to capture changes in
     back period over which the data would                    liquidity to meet such increased                       implied volatility and produce margin
     be averaged and a decay factor (or                       requirements, particularly in periods of               requirements that are commensurate
     weighting factor), which is a positive                   extreme volatility.                                    with the risks presented.
     number between zero and one, that
     represents the weighting factor for the                  Implementation Timeframe                               Consistency With the Payment, Clearing
     most recent data point.27 The look-back                    OCC expects to implement the                         and Settlement Supervision Act
     period and decay factor would be model                   proposed changes within thirty (30)
     parameters subject to monthly review,28                  days after the date that OCC receives all                 The stated purpose of the Clearing
     along with other model parameters that                   necessary regulatory approvals for the                 Supervision Act is to mitigate systemic
     are reviewed by OCC’s Model Risk                         proposed changes. OCC will announce                    risk in the financial system and promote
     Working Group (‘‘MRWG’’) 29 in                           the implementation date of the                         financial stability by, among other
                                                              proposed change by an Information                      things, promoting uniform risk
        26 An exponentially weighted moving average is        Memorandum posted to its public                        management standards for systemically
     a statistical method that averages data in a way that    website at least 2 weeks prior to                      important financial market utilities and
     gives more weight to the most recent observations
     using an exponential scheme.
                                                              implementation.                                        strengthening the liquidity of
        27 The lower the number the more weight is                                                                   systemically important financial market
                                                              Anticipated Effect on, and Management
     attributed to the more recent data (e.g., if the value                                                          utilities.31 Section 805(a)(2) of the
     is set to one, the exponentially weighted moving
                                                              of, Risk
                                                                                                                     Clearing Supervision Act 32 also
     average becomes a simple average).                         The volatility changes forecasted by
        28 OCC initially would use a look-back period of
                                                                                                                     authorizes the Commission to prescribe
                                                              OCC’s current Implied Volatility Model                 risk management standards for the
     22 days and an initial decay factor of 0.94 for the
     exponentially weighted moving average. OCC               are extremely sensitive to large, sudden               payment, clearing and settlement
     believes the 22-day look-back is an appropriate                                                                 activities of designated clearing entities,
     initial parameter setting as it would allow for close    includes representatives from OCC’s Financial Risk
     to monthly updates of the GARCH parameters used
                                                                                                                     like OCC, for which the Commission is
                                                              Management department, Quantitative Risk
     in the model. The decay factor value of 0.94 was         Management department, Model Validation Group,         the supervisory agency. Section 805(b)
     selected based on the factor initially proposed by       and Enterprise Risk Management department.             of the Clearing Supervision Act 33 states
     JP Morgan’s RiskMetrics methodology (see                   30 As noted above, OCC has performed analysis of
                                                                                                                     that the objectives and principles for
     JPMorgan/Reuters, 1996. ‘‘RiskMetrics—Technical          the impact of the proposed changes, and OCC’s
     Document’’, Fourth edition).                             backtesting of the proposed model demonstrates
        29 The MRWG is responsible for assisting OCC’s                                                                31 12 U.S.C. 5461(b).
                                                              comparable exceedance counts and coverage levels
                                                                                                                      32 12 U.S.C. 5464(a)(2).
     Management Committee in overseeing and                   to the current model during the most recent volatile
     governing OCC’s model-related risk issues and            period.                                                 33 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).




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     60544                      Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 227 / Monday, November 26, 2018 / Notices

     risk management standards prescribed                    margin requirements by reducing                        produce margin levels commensurate
     under Section 805(a) shall be to:                       procyclicality in OCC’s margin                         with, the risk presented by the implied
        • Promote robust risk management;                    methodology and ensuring more stable                   volatility of OCC’s cleared options and
        • promote safety and soundness;                      and appropriate changes in margin                      use an appropriate method for
        • reduce systemic risks; and                         requirements across volatile market                    measuring credit exposure that accounts
        • support the stability of the broader               periods while continuing to provide for                for this product risk factor (i.e., implied
     financial system.                                       robust management of the risks                         volatility) in a manner consistent with
        OCC believes that the proposed                       presented by the implied volatility of                 Rules 17Ad–22(e)(6)(i) and (v).38
     changes described herein would                          OCC’s cleared options products.
     enhance its margin methodology in a                     Accordingly, OCC believes the proposed                 III. Date of Effectiveness of the Advance
     manner consistent with the objectives                   changes would promote robust risk                      Notice and Timing for Commission
     and principles of Section 805(b) of the                 management and safety and soundness                    Action
     Clearing Supervision Act 34 and the risk                while reducing systemic risks and                         The proposed change may be
     management standards adopted by the                     supporting the stability of the broader                implemented if the Commission does
     Commission in Rule 17Ad–22 under the                    financial system.                                      not object to the proposed change
     Act for the reasons set forth below.35                     Rules 17Ad–22(e)(6)(i) and (v) 37                   within 60 days of the later of (i) the date
        OCC believes the proposed changes                    require a covered clearing agency that                 the proposed change was filed with the
     are consistent with the objectives and                  provides central counterparty services                 Commission or (ii) the date any
     principles of Section 805(b) of the                     to establish, implement, maintain and                  additional information requested by the
     Clearing Supervision Act 36 in that they                enforce written policies and procedures                Commission is received. OCC shall not
     would promote robust risk management                    reasonably designed to cover its credit                implement the proposed change if the
     and safety and soundness while                          exposures to its participants by                       Commission has any objection to the
     reducing systemic risks and supporting                  establishing a risk-based margin system                proposed change.
     the stability of the broader financial                  that (1) considers, and produces margin
     system. As discussed above, the                                                                                   The Commission may extend the
                                                             levels commensurate with, the risks and                period for review by an additional 60
     volatility changes forecasted by OCC’s                  particular attributes of each relevant
     current Implied Volatility Model are                                                                           days if the proposed change raises novel
                                                             product, portfolio, and market and (2)                 or complex issues, subject to the
     extremely sensitive to large, sudden                    uses an appropriate method for
     spikes in volatility, which can at times                                                                       Commission providing the clearing
                                                             measuring credit exposure that accounts                agency with prompt written notice of
     result in over reactive margin                          for relevant product risk factors and
     requirements that OCC believes are                                                                             the extension. A proposed change may
                                                             portfolio effects across products. As                  be implemented in less than 60 days
     unreasonable and procyclical. Such                      noted above, OCC’s current model for
     sudden, unreasonable increases in                                                                              from the date the advance notice is
                                                             implied volatility demonstrates extreme                filed, or the date further information
     margin requirements may stress certain                  sensitivity to sudden spikes in
     Clearing Members’ ability to obtain                                                                            requested by the Commission is
                                                             volatility, which can at times result in               received, if the Commission notifies the
     liquidity to meet those requirements,                   over reactive margin requirements that
     particularly in periods of extreme                                                                             clearing agency in writing that it does
                                                             OCC believes are unreasonable and                      not object to the proposed change and
     volatility, and could result in a Clearing              procyclical. The proposed changes are
     Member being delayed in meeting, or                                                                            authorizes the clearing agency to
                                                             designed to reduce the oversensitivity of
     ultimately failing to meet, its daily                                                                          implement the proposed change on an
                                                             the model and produce margin
     settlement obligations to OCC. OCC                                                                             earlier date, subject to any conditions
                                                             requirements that are commensurate
     notes that the proposed changes are                                                                            imposed by the Commission.
                                                             with the risks presented during periods
     expected to produce margin                              of sudden, extreme volatility. The                        OCC shall post notice on its website
     requirements that are very similar to                   proposed model enhancements are                        of proposed changes that are
     those generated using OCC’s existing                    expected to produce margin                             implemented.
     model during quiet, less volatile market                requirements that are very similar to                     The proposal shall not take effect
     periods. The proposed changes would,                    those generated using OCC’s existing                   until all regulatory actions required
     however, result in a more measured                      model during quiet, less volatile market               with respect to the proposal are
     initial response to increases in the                    periods; however, the proposed changes                 completed.
     volatility of volatility with margin                    would result in a more measured initial                IV. Solicitation of Comments
     requirements that may remain elevated                   response to increases in the volatility of
     for a longer period after the shock                     volatility with margin requirements that                 Interested persons are invited to
     subsides than experienced under OCC’s                   may remain elevated for a longer period                submit written data, views and
     current model. The proposed changes                     of time after the shock subsides than                  arguments concerning the foregoing,
     would therefore reduce the likelihood                   experienced under OCC’s current                        including whether the advance notice is
     that OCC’s Implied Volatility Model                     model. The proposed changes are                        consistent with the Clearing
     would produce extreme, over reactive                    designed to reduce procyclicality in                   Supervision Act. Comments may be
                                                             OCC’s margin methodology and ensure                    submitted by any of the following
       34 Id.                                                more stable changes in margin                          methods:
        35 17 CFR 240.17Ad–22. See Securities Exchange
                                                             requirements across volatile market                    Electronic Comments
     Act Release Nos. 68080 (October 22, 2012), 77 FR        periods while continuing to capture
     66220 (November 2, 2012) (S7–08–11) (‘‘Clearing
                                                             changes in implied volatility and                        • Use the Commission’s internet
     Agency Standards’’); 78961 (September 28, 2016),
     81 FR 70786 (October 13, 2016) (S7–03–14)               produce margin requirements that are                   comment form (http://www.sec.gov/
     (‘‘Standards for Covered Clearing Agencies’’). The      commensurate with the risks presented                  rules/sro.shtml); or
     Standards for Covered Clearing Agencies became          by OCC’s cleared options. As a result,                   • Send an email to rule-comments@
     effective on December 12, 2016. OCC is a ‘‘covered                                                             sec.gov. Please include File Number SR–
     clearing agency’’ as defined in Rule 17Ad–22(a)(5)
                                                             OCC believes that the proposed changes
     and therefore must comply with the requirements         are reasonably designed to consider, and               OCC–2018–804 on the subject line.
     of Rule 17Ad–22(e).
        36 12 U.S.C. 5464(b).                                  37 17   CFR 240.17Ad–2(e)(6)(i) and (v).               38 Id.




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                                Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 227 / Monday, November 26, 2018 / Notices                                                     60545

     Paper Comments                                          SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE                                 forth in sections A, B, and C below, of
                                                             COMMISSION                                              the most significant aspects of such
       • Send paper comments in triplicate                                                                           statements.
     to Secretary, Securities and Exchange                   [Release No. 34–84629; File No. SR–
     Commission, 100 F Street NE,                            NASDAQ–2018–095]                                        A. Self-Regulatory Organization’s
     Washington, DC 20549.                                                                                           Statement of the Purpose of, and
                                                             Self-Regulatory Organizations; The                      Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule
     All submissions should refer to File                    Nasdaq Stock Market LLC; Notice of                      Change
     Number SR–OCC–2018–804. This file                       Filing and Immediate Effectiveness of
                                                             Proposed Rule Change to Nasdaq Rule                     1. Purpose
     number should be included on the
     subject line if email is used. To help the              5615(b)(4) To Change the Threshold for                     The purpose of the proposed rule
     Commission process and review your                      Qualifying as a Smaller Reporting                       change is to amend Rule 5615(b)(4) to
     comments more efficiently, please use                   Company To Qualify for Certain                          change the threshold for listed
     only one method. The Commission will                    Exemptions From the Compensation                        companies that are eligible to benefit
                                                             Committee Requirements                                  from the exemptions from the
     post all comments on the Commission’s
                                                                                                                     Exchange’s compensation committee
     internet website (http://www.sec.gov/                   November 20, 2018.                                      requirements applicable to smaller
     rules/sro.shtml). Copies of the                            Pursuant to Section 19(b)(1) of the                  reporting companies so that all
     submission, all subsequent                              Securities Exchange Act of 1934                         companies that qualify for smaller
     amendments, all written statements                      (‘‘Act’’) 1 and Rule 19b–4 thereunder,2                 reporting company status under the
     with respect to the advance notice that                 notice is hereby given that on November                 revised SEC definition will qualify for
     are filed with the Commission, and all                  14, 2018, The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC                   the Exchange’s exemptions.
     written communications relating to the                  (‘‘Nasdaq’’ or the ‘‘Exchange’’) filed with                The SEC recently adopted 3
     advance notice between the                              the Securities and Exchange                             amendments to the definition of
     Commission and any person, other than                   Commission (‘‘SEC’’ or ‘‘Commission’’)                  ‘‘smaller reporting company’’ set forth
     those that may be withheld from the                     the proposed rule change as described                   in Item 10(f)(1) of Regulation S–K,4 Rule
     public in accordance with the                           in Items I and II below, which Items                    12b–2 under the Act 5 and Rule 405
     provisions of 5 U.S.C. 552, will be                     have been prepared by the Exchange.                     under the Securities Act of 1933.6 The
     available for website viewing and                       The Commission is publishing this                       amendments raise the smaller reporting
     printing in the Commission’s Public                     notice to solicit comments on the                       company cap from less than $75 million
     Reference Room, 100 F Street NE,                        proposed rule change from interested                    in public float to less than $250 million
                                                             persons.                                                and also include as smaller reporting
     Washington, DC 20549 on official
     business days between the hours of 10                   I. Self-Regulatory Organization’s                       companies issuers with less than $100
     a.m. and 3 p.m. Copies of the filing also               Statement of the Terms of Substance of                  million in annual revenues if they also
                                                             the Proposed Rule Change                                have either no public float or a public
     will be available for inspection and
                                                                                                                     float that is less than $700 million. The
     copying at the principal office of the                     The Exchange proposes to amend                       amendments became effective on
     self-regulatory organization.                           Nasdaq Rule 5615(b)(4) to change the                    September 10, 2018. As a result of the
       All comments received will be posted                  threshold for listed companies that are                 SEC rule changes, an expanded number
     without change. Persons submitting                      eligible to benefit from the exemptions                 of registrants, and hence, of listed
     comments are cautioned that we do not                   from the Exchange’s compensation                        companies, will qualify for smaller
     redact or edit personal identifying                     committee requirements applicable to                    reporting company status than was
     information from comment submissions.                   smaller reporting companies so that all                 previously the case.7
     You should submit only information                      companies that qualify for smaller                         Smaller reporting companies are
     that you wish to make available                         reporting company status under the                      entitled to avail themselves of certain
                                                             revised SEC definition will qualify for                 exemptions from Nasdaq’s
     publicly.
                                                             the Exchange’s exemptions.                              compensation committee requirements.8
       All submissions should refer to File                     The text of the proposed rule change
     Number SR–OCC–2018–804 and should                       is available on the Exchange’s website at                  3 See Release Nos. 33–10513 and 34–83550 (June

     be submitted on or before December 17,                  http://nasdaq.cchwallstreet.com, at the                 28, 2018); 83 FR 31992 (July 10, 2018) (the
     2018.                                                   principal office of the Exchange, and at                ‘‘Adopting Release’’).
                                                                                                                        4 17 CFR 229.10(f)(1).
       By the Commission.                                    the Commission’s Public Reference                          5 17 CFR 240.12b–2.
                                                             Room.                                                      6 17 CFR 230.405.
     Brent J. Fields,
     Secretary.                                              II. Self-Regulatory Organization’s                         7 See the Adopting Release.
                                                                                                                        8 Specifically, pursuant to Rule 5605(d)(5), a
     [FR Doc. 2018–25606 Filed 11–23–18; 8:45 am]            Statement of the Purpose of, and
                                                                                                                     listed company that satisfies the definition of
                                                             Statutory Basis for, the Proposed Rule                  smaller reporting company is not required to
     BILLING CODE 8011–01–P
                                                             Change                                                  comply with: (i) The additional requirements with
                                                                                                                     respect to the independence of compensation
                                                                In its filing with the Commission, the               committee members set forth in Rule 5605(d)(2)(A);
                                                             Exchange included statements                            (ii) the requirements with respect to the specific
                                                             concerning the purpose of and basis for                 compensation committee responsibilities and
                                                             the proposed rule change and discussed                  authority set forth in Rule 5605(d)(3) and the
                                                                                                                     requirement to include such responsibilities and
                                                             any comments it received on the                         authority in its compensation committee charter as
                                                             proposed rule change. The text of these                 set forth in Rule 5605(d)(1)(D); or (iii) the
                                                             statements may be examined at the                       requirement with respect to the compensation
                                                             places specified in Item IV below. The                  committee’s responsibility to review and reassess
                                                                                                                     the adequacy of its compensation committee charter
                                                             Exchange has prepared summaries, set                    on an annual basis. A listed smaller reporting
                                                                                                                     company must comply with all other applicable
                                                               1 15   U.S.C. 78s(b)(1).                              Exchange corporate governance requirements,
                                                               2 17   CFR 240.19b–4.                                                                          Continued




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Document Created: 2018-11-24 00:51:41
Document Modified: 2018-11-24 00:51:41
CategoryRegulatory Information
CollectionFederal Register
sudoc ClassAE 2.7:
GS 4.107:
AE 2.106:
PublisherOffice of the Federal Register, National Archives and Records Administration
SectionNotices
FR Citation83 FR 60541 

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